Keibert Ruiz has been rock solid for the Washington Nationals

MIAMI, FLORIDA - AUGUST 21: Keibert Ruiz #20 of the Washington Nationals hits a solo homerun in the sixth inning against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on August 21, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by JC Ruiz/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Not a whole lot is going right for the Nats right now. Between injuries and trades, the once fearsome offense is a shell of itself. However, one player who is still producing is catcher Keibert Ruiz. Plenty of players have not been stepping up, but you can’t lay that accusation on Ruiz, who homered last night.

In a season full of surprise contributors, Ruiz might be the most surprising of them all. His 8-year $50 million contract looked like a complete anchor heading into the season. According to fWAR, he had been a below replacement level player each of the last three seasons. In 2023, that was due to his abysmal defense, but in the past two seasons, the bat fell off a cliff as well.

It felt like 2025 was rock bottom for the Nats catcher. He posted -1 WAR and had concussion issues which put his future in question. With the trade for Harry Ford in the offseason, it felt like his time in DC was coming to a merciful end. However, the 28 year old catcher has completely flipped the switch this season on both sides of the ball.

Honestly, the biggest surprise for me has been his defensive improvements. With the help of new catching coach Bobby Wilson, Ruiz has turned into a slightly above average defensive catcher. That may not sound like anything crazy, but given where he was that is a radical turnaround. From 2023 to 2025, he was the worst defensive catcher in baseball.

The framing was poor, his blocking was a disaster and he was not great at controlling the running game. He still has some issues with the running game, but he has taken massive strides in the other two areas. Ruiz has gone from -6 blocking runs last year to a mediocre but acceptable -1 this season. The framing has been the biggest area of improvement though, going from -9 runs last year to +1 this year.

One thing that helps his framing value even more is the fact he has gotten a lot better at ABS challenges. He struggled with the new system early in the season, but he has really picked it up. Ruiz has the 7th most challenge wins in all of baseball and his win percentage is a slightly above average 60%. 

Ruiz has also made substantial offensive improvements, which have made him a rock solid catcher. On the season, he has a 107 wRC+, a career high outside of 8 at bats in 2020. He has really leaned into pulling the ball in the air, which leads to his outslugging his pedestrian exit velocities. Ruiz is making contact like always, but he is elevating the ball more often which is leading to more hits.

His plate discipline remains questionable, but even that has come along slightly in the second half. Since the All-Star Break, Ruiz has more walks than strikeouts. His 7 walks in the second half is the same as he had in all of the first half. 

There is actually an interesting reason for this. Ruiz is still chasing a lot, but he has found a way to be more selective in 3 ball counts. He may not get there often, but when he does, the Nats catcher is finding a way to turn those into walks. 

In 2026, Keibert Ruiz has been a solid starting catcher. Given where he was last year, this is a minor miracle. He is hitting .279 with a .761 OPS and solid defense. When the Nats acquired Ruiz, that was about what we expected from him. It has taken a long time to get there, but it seems like we have finally arrived. 

Ruiz has been outperforming his xwOBA pretty substantially all season, so it is worth looking out for some offensive regression. However, there is some reason to believe he can overperform at least slightly moving forward. His high contact, pull heavy approach tends to lead to more hits than expected. If he can continue pulling the ball in the air over 30% of the time, he should be in decent shape.

For the season, Keibert Ruiz has 1.5 WAR according to Fangraphs and Baseball Reference. That is not star level production by any means, but if he can perform like that for the rest of his contract, that 8-year $50 million deal won’t look so bad after all. There are not a lot of positives for the Nats right now, but Keibert Ruiz is one of them and his turnaround has been so much fun to watch.

Let’s get Bryson Stott that extension

PHILADELPHIA, PA - AUGUST 21: Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Bryson Stott #5 is shown at bat with his custom Victus Sports bat during the game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the St. Louis Cardinals on August 21st, 2026 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

We asked the question about whether or not you would give Bryson Stott an extension and boy howdy are the results one sided.

Nine out of ten people thought that there should be talks on the horizon with Stott, which is somewhat of a shocking number. There have been a lot of things written about Stott lately with his play having been picked up quite a bit since the All-Star break, putting him among the league leaders in a lot of offensive categories in that time period. His defense has also been a talking point thanks to an early smooth transition to third base in the wake of the Luis Arraez trade. Yet seeing how many people would want an extension is surprising.

But maybe it shouldn’t be.

I’ll have more on this later on next week, but there are a lot of reasons why an extension for Stott makes sense, but the counterarguments are also pretty convincing.

This post brought to you by FanDuel.

Diamondbacks News

PHOENIX, ARIZONA - AUGUST 21: Jose Fernandez #11 of the Arizona Diamondbacks slides into home plate to score a run against the Cincinnati Reds during the second inning of the MLB game at Chase Field on August 21, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Diamondbacks News

Snakes Tune Out Distractions, Dominate Reds
Eduardo Rodriguez tossed 5.2 shutout innings while the Arizona offense ponded out 15 total hits as the Diamondbacks earned a dominant win over Cincinnati.

Ketel Marte at Talking Stick Casino While Diamondbacks Hosted Reds
Marte spent Friday at Salt River Fields as part of his stint on the 10-day IL. Afterward, the star second baseman apparently decided to avail himself of the casino while he was there. During his four hours at the casino, the Diamondbacks hosted and trounced the Cincinnati Reds.

How Marte’s Absence is Impacting Clubhouse
There is no denying that the current Ketel Marte saga is having a distracting influence on the clubhouse.

Lovullo Felt Betrayed by Marte Disappearance
Pretty sure the fandom did too.

Diamondbacks Injury Return Tracker
Reinforcements are still a ways off.

Other Baseball News

Dodgers’ President Quashes Rumblings About Sale of Dodgers
Despite Mark Walter’s legal and financial hurdles, the Dodgers are not for sale, something that was being bandied about once Walter sold his share in the Los Angeles Lakers.

MLB Players’ Best Advice for Little Leaguers
There are some masterful nuggets in here such as, “Have fun,” and “Don’t dig holes in the outfield.”

Bryce Harper’s Defense is Distracting from His Great Offense
Does the Philly front office even know how to spell the word defense?

Somebody didn’t read the scouting report on Ronald Acuña Jr. and his bazooka.

Sabres Top 40 Prospects – #18

The Buffalo Sabres have been considered to have one of the deepest prospect pools in the NHL, which is in part due to them selecting high in recent drafts because of their not qualifying for the playoffs. The Sabres have displayed an eye for talent, and the organization’s developmental model has begun to yield results, with 2023 first rounder Zach Benson making an impact in the playoffs, and 2024 top pick Konsta Helenius appearing as one of the AHL’s top prospects the last two seasons.  

Leading up to the opening of training camp in mid-September, we will look at the club's top 40 prospects. These players are all 25 years old or younger, whose rights are currently held by the Sabres or are on AHL or NHL deals, and have played less than 82 NHL games. 

Other Sabres Stories

Sabres Emotionally Devastated By Game 7 Overtime Loss

18. David Bedkowski - Defense (Owen Sound - OHL)

The Sabres have drafted predominantly right-handed defensemen (Radim Mrtka, Daxon Rudolph, Adam Kleber, Simon-Pier Brunet, Maxim Strbak, Gavin McCarthy, and Vsevolod Komarov) in the last five drafts, with the top half of their NHL blueline all left-handers. 

Who had the best and worst offseason in the Atlantic Division?

The club continued that practice at the 2025 NHL Draft, selecting Mrtka ninth overall, and after trading their second-round pick to clear Connor Clifton’s contract and acquire righty Conor Timmins, Buffalo selected another righty in David Bedkowski in the third round.  

The 19-year-old played his first two OHL seasons with Oshawa and was traded in his draft year early in the season to the Owen Sound Attack. The 6’5”, 215 lb. defenseman’s skill set is purely physical, as he had only seven points (3 goals, 4 assists) in 35 games, but compiled 73 penalty minutes. Last season, Bedkowski played the first half as team captain of the Attack, but was traded to the Ottawa 67’s. In 68 games between the two clubs, he posted 29 points (5 goals, 24 assists) and 118 penalty minutes. 

Elite Prospects Draft Guide said that it would be an understatement to say Bedkowski has a mean streak. “He punishes. He hurts, retaliates, beats down, knocks, and crushes opponents with open-ice hits and bone-rattling contact along the boards.”  

That mean streak is something that most of Buffalo’s blueline have been missing for years, but it will be at least a few years before the Toronto native can bring that physicality to the NHL roster. He has one more year before the Sabres have to make a decision on whether to sign him or not, unless he decides like many CHL products to go the NCAA route.

Follow Michael on X, and Instagram @MikeInBuffalo 

 

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Mark Vientos gets first-hand look at new Mets prospect Jefferson Rojas: ‘He’s for real’

After a bit of a slow start with his new organization, Jefferson Rojas has quickly been showing why he’s the most highly-regarded prospect the Mets acquired at the MLB trade deadline. 

Rojas has been swinging an extremely hot bat of late with Binghamton, and that continued again on Friday night. 

The youngster struck out his first time up but was able to get the Rumble Ponies on the board in his next AB, clobbering a pitch almost at his shoulders for a monstrous two-run homer. 

He did even more damage in the very next inning, driving in his third run of the night with an RBI single the other way in the bottom of the fourth. 

Rojas was retired each of his next two times up, but he left rehabbing Mets slugger Mark Vientos impressed with his strong 2-for-5 showing at the plate. 

“He’s for real,” Vientos said. “He’s a really good baseball player -- that home run and that single to the opposite-way, you could just see the talent in him, for sure.”

Vientos will be around Rojas and the Ponies for a few more days as he continues his rehab. 

As for the 21-year-old infielder, he's now up to three homers, four doubles, 17 RBI, and a .872 OPS over his first 14 games since joining Binghamton. 

If he’s able to keep this up, Rojas just might take that next step to Triple-A Syracuse, with his sights set on making his mark with Vientos and the big-league club at some point next season.

Jays @ Yankees Game Thread

Jun 2, 2026; Bronx, New York, USA; A view of Yankee Stadium before the match between between the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

It is a busy day here at Casa Dakers, my wife’s birthday. We are having friends over and someone is expected to barbecue steaks. I don’t think I’ve ever barbecued 20ish steaks all at one time. They will be barbecued medium rare (likely closer to rare) and if anyone wants their steak well done:

It is really just a busy weekend, but we will get through and get back to regular programming very soon.

The best news coming out of yesterday was that Buck Martinez is cancer free. He’s been through a lot, so it is great to hear.

Yesterday there were a couple of roster moves, that you likely already know about:

  • Brendan Cellucci was optioned to Buffalo.
  • Josh Smith went on the IL with left hamstring inflammation (with all the players going down in Tampa, we are lucky Smith is the only one going on the IL
  • Spencer Arrighetti came off the IL, and pitched some yesterday.
  • Davis Schneider is back.

I’m running around until game time, or likely slightly after game time, so use this as an open thread until the game starts (our game threads are pretty much open threads most of the time.

Vlad is back on the roster and in the lineup. Davis Schneider goes back to Buffalo.

Today’s Lineups

BLUE JAYSYANKEES
Brett Bateman – RFTrent Grisham – CF
Vladimir Guerrero – 1BBen Rice – DH
Alejandro Kirk – CHeliot Ramos – LF
George Springer – DHLuis Garcia – 1B
Kazuma Okamoto – 3BSpencer Jones – RF
Ernie Clement – SSGeorge Lombard – SS
Daz Cameron – LFJazz Chisholm – 2B
Charles McAdoo – 2BAustin Wells – C
Myles Straw – CFJose Caballero – 3B
Dylan Cease – RHPRyan Weathers – LHP

Mets Morning News: Sadness in South Side

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 21: Jake Rogers #28 of the Chicago White Sox is greeted at home after hitting a two run walk-off home run against the New York Mets during the ninth inning at Rate Field on August 21, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Daniel Bartel/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Meet the Mets

The Mets got out to a 4-0 lead in last night’s series opener against the White Sox in Chicago. Alas, they could not hold the lead, as Sean Manaea surrendered back-t0-back-to-back homers to tie the game in the sixth inning, and Jefry Yan subsequently gave up a two-run walk-off homer to Jake Rogers. The Mets thus fell to the White Sox 6-4.

Choose your recap: Amazin’ Avenue, NY Post, Daily News, MLB.com

FanGraphs examined the Mets’ chances of successfully retooling for the 2027 season.

Luis Robert Jr. made his return to his former home in Chicago last night.

The Mets are still expressing confidence in Jonah Tong despite his disappointing 2026 campaign.

Austin Warren spoke about his fear that his previous injury would require Tommy John surgery.

Carson Benge and Nolan McLean are both in the mix for NL Rookie of the Year, though both are likely behind JJ Wetherholt.

Around the National League East

The Braves, like many teams before them, had no answer for Jacob Misiorowski, and Atlanta fell to the Brewers 2-1.

The Phillies had themselves an extra-inning affair against the Cardinals and won on a two-run walk-off triple from Alec Bohm in the tenth inning.

The Marlins were held scoreless for the first seven innings against the Nationals, but they tied it up in the eighth and then got a walk-off single from Javier Sanoja in the ninth to defeat Washington 3-2.

Trade deadline acquisition Will Dion has been a revelation since joining the Nationals.

Around Major League Baseball

With the Little League World Series underway, a number of big leaguers have offered their advice to young players.

Despite online speculation, the Dodgers are not for sale.

Andy Pages will miss several weeks with a fractured hand, though the Dodgers believe he will be back before the end of the season.

Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo spoke some more about the bizarre Ketel Marte situation.

Max Fried will soon throw off the mound as he seeks to return from the injured list.

Spencer Steer does not expect to return from his wrist injury for the Reds this year.

Several players around the league have turned their seasons around after bad starts.

MLB.com listed one prospect who could be called up before the end of the season by each MLB team.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Vasilis Drimalitis previewed the weekend series in the south side of Chicago.

This Date in Mets History

Carlos Delgado hit the 400th home run of his career on this date in 2006.

Could former top Giants prospect Marco Luciano be the Yankees’ future at second?

DUNEDIN, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 24: Marco Luciano #60 of the New York Yankees high fives teammates in the dugout in the first inning against the Toronto Blue Jays during the Grapefruit League spring training game at TD Ballpark on February 24, 2026 in Dunedin, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It’s been a long road for Marco Luciano.

The No. 2 overall prospect in the 2018 international class, Luciano was signed by the Giants out of the Dominican Republic for $2.6 million. San Francisco valued the 16-year-old for his 6-foot-3 frame, pop, and athleticism, projecting him as a middle-of-the-order bat with the potential to develop into a sturdy defender at a premium position. After Luciano slashed .302/.417/.564 across 47 games in his first action as a pro, the wider baseball world agreed. He entered Baseball America’s prospect rankings at number 19 in 2020, marking a player with both high upside and — ostensibly — a projectible floor.

Still just 18 in 2020, it would be a few years before the uber-talent made his way to the bigs. He lost some steam as he went but was still a consensus top-50 prospect by the time he debuted with sky-high expectations in 2023.

That’s when the narrative flipped. Luciano hit just .217 with no home runs in 126 plate appearance between 2023-24, failing to translate his power and plate discipline at the MLB level. And he was done no favors by his glove, grading out well below average on defense while splitting time between shortstop and second base.

And so it was that he ended up on waivers after the 2025 season. He was claimed by the Pirates, putting in motion a month-plus of indignity that would have been unthinkable for the former top prospect just a couple of years prior. Pittsburgh cut him after a month to clear up a roster spot. The Orioles picked Luciano up, only to DFA him again a couple of weeks later.

That’s when the Yankees swooped in, adding him off waivers. They DFA’d him themselves a week later, but when none of the other 29 MLB teams had a 40-man spot for Luciano, he was sent down to Double-A Somerset to rebuild his swing. While there was a modicum of buzz around the move, largely due to his former prospect pedigree, Luciano’s signing was more of a move around the margins than a long-term play.

Then something surprising happened. In his first 28 games of the seasons, Luciano hit like a man reborn, batting .327 with 10 homers. It was the kind of dominance he hadn’t demonstrated since Rookie ball seven years earlier. He was quickly promoted to Triple-A where he’s slashed a still-excellent .280/.374/.470 the rest of the way. He’s also passed the eye test as a viable defender at second base after moving to the position full-time.

Is this a case of a Quadruple-A player having a couple of good months? Or is something more at play here? As Eli Ben-Porat over at Baseball America outlined in an excellent primer on Monday, there are some tangible changes that signal the latter. While Luciano never ceased to show prodigious power, he was being too passive at the plate, resulting in poor timing and a lot of swing and miss. By hunting fastballs and not being afraid to swing at borderline pitches, he’s making much more hard contact, leading to a more balanced offensive profile.

The results speak for themselves. Among the 119 second basemen who’ve come to the plate at least 350 times across all levels of the minors, Luciano’s 141 wRC+ leads the pack. In his article, Ben-Porat teases that Luciano could be the Yankees’ second baseman of the future. With Luciano still a couple of weeks from his 25th birthday and Jazz Chisholm Jr. a free agent after the season, it’s a distinct possibility he’ll get an opportunity next spring to earn a job.

But what about this year? Chisholm has been a massive disappointment at the plate but, barring an injury, it’s hard to see him getting displaced at this stage of the season. If the Yankees did need a next man up at the keystone, José Caballero, Max Schuemann, and Amed Rosario are already on the active roster while Anthony Volpe and Oswaldo Cabrera are on the 40-man down at Triple-A. The fact that the Yankees would need to free up a 40-man spot for Luciano makes his promotion unlikely. Still, his is a name to tuck away in the back of your mind. He’s been the best-hitting second baseman in the Yankees’ system this year. Whether this season or next, it behooves the Yankees to give him a look at the big-league level.

Andy Pages has broken left hand, expected to miss 4-5 weeks

Aug 21, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers center fielder Andy Pages (44) walks with head athletic trainer Thomas Albert (left) and manager Dave Roberts (30) after being hit by a pitch in the third inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The Dodgers lost their lone productive outfielder for nearly the rest of the regular season, as Andy Pages broke his left hand after getting hit by a pitch during Friday’s win over the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pages was hit by a 100.2-mph fastball from Pirates right-hander Bubba Chandler in the third inning on Friday.

Pages remained in the game for one more inning on defense, but was replaced in center field by Kiké Hernández in the top of the fifth inning.

“Unfortunately it came back as a fracture, so he’ll be out for a while,” manager Dave Roberts told reporters on Friday night. “It’s not season-ending, because obviously things like that is four to five weeks I would expect him back, knowing him, on the earlier side. … There’s still time in the season for him to be back.”

Pages started the All-Star Game in his third major league season and has been one of the Dodgers’ best players this season, hitting .272/.338/.458 with 21 home runs and a 119 wRC+. Pages also has 18 defensive runs saved and nine outs above average in center field, and leads all major leaguers with 13 outfield assists.

Not that there’s any good time to suffer an injury, but Pages was basically the only Dodgers outfielder producing anything this season. Kyle Tucker and Teoscar Hernández have been barely above replacement level, combining below average offense with bad defense in the corners.

Roberts said Friday night the Dodgers will prioritize defense in replacing Pages, who has started 125 of 129 games in center field this season. Tommy Edman and Kiké Hernández have center field experience, but also Edman has been playing second base regularly. Among the options on the 40-man roster, Alek Thomas is the only other true center fielder.

“You’ve got to be mindful of the defense,” Roberts said. “The main thing is locking down center field.”

Morning Flurries: NHL teases new specialty jerseys

DENVER, COLORADO - NOVEMBER 26: Reverse Retro jerseys of the Colorado Avalanche hang in the locker room prior to the game against the Dallas Stars. (Photo by Michael Martin/NHLI via Getty Images) | NHLI via Getty Images

In the biggest Colorado Avalanche news of the summer, our beloved LG Red is back at Altitude for the upcoming season! Lauren Gardner won’t be exclusive to just Avalanche broadcasts but she is back in Colorado and will be on our TV screens. Welcome home, LG!

The NHL announced they are committing to regular season games in Germany for three years starting with the 2026-27 season as the league continues to increase their global reach.

There will be a new specialty jersey coming this fall for every team, dubbed the Hometown Remix. Word on the street is that just like their two versions of the Reverse Retro, the Avalanche will have a white sweater in this upcoming collection as well.

Preseason isn’t just for the Avalanche as the Colorado Eagles are expected to participate in what’s been dubbed the Southwest Showdown. The Tucson Roadrunners will serve as host while the Eagles will play the Texas Stars on September 26th and the Henderson Silver Knights on September 27th. Giddy up!

Meet The Colorado Avalanche’s Newest Bad Boy

Zach L’Heureux could either become exactly what the Colorado Avalanche have been missing or give Jared Bednar one more headache to solve.

That is what makes bringing the 23-year-old forward to Colorado so intriguing. L’Heureux may not be the most naturally gifted player on the roster, but he brings something the Avalanche badly lacked when their season ended: physicality, nastiness and an unmistakable edge.

Colorado was swept by the Vegas Golden Knights in the Western Conference Final last season, and Vegas repeatedly imposed its more punishing, hard-nosed style on the Avalanche. L’Heureux gives Colorado another player capable of pushing back. 

But there is a fine line between providing an edge and becoming a liability, and L’Heureux has spent much of his career walking it. He has been suspended at every level of hockey he has played, including nine times in the QMJHL — one resulting in a 10-game ban after he jabbed a fan with his stick. He was also suspended three times during his AHL career before receiving a three-game NHL suspension for slew-footing Minnesota Wild defenseman Jared Spurgeon.

For Colorado, the challenge will be harnessing L’Heureux’s aggression without allowing it to become more trouble than it is worth.

His NHL numbers tell an equally interesting story.

L’Heureux’s 63 penalty minutes in 62 games during his first full NHL season with the Nashville Predators in 2024-25 further illustrate the double-edged nature of his game. He averaged just 12:03 of ice time per night, meaning he was racking up more than a penalty minute per game despite playing limited minutes. That physical edge can be valuable for an Avalanche team that needs more pushback, but it also comes with a caveat: Colorado needs L’Heureux making an impact on the ice, not watching from the penalty box.

That is the balancing act Bednar will have to solve.

The Avalanche have lacked some bite in their lineup at times, particularly when games become nasty and opponents try to drag them into the kind of physical battle that can disrupt Colorado’s speed game. L’Heureux has never needed an invitation to make things uncomfortable.

The question is whether Bednar will trust him to do it.

There is a significant difference between playing with an edge and becoming a nuisance, and L’Heureux’s career suggests he has occasionally crossed that line. Colorado’s coaching staff will have to find a way to preserve the aggression that makes him valuable without allowing it to become the very thing that keeps him out of the lineup.

It is an interesting problem to have.

As the old hockey saying goes, it is easier to rein in a player with too much passion than it is to manufacture passion in a player who does not have it.

L’Heureux certainly does not need anyone to teach him how to play with emotion.

What remains to be determined is whether he can turn that emotion into consistent NHL production.

The pedigree is there.

L’Heureux was a first-round pick for a reason, and his production in the AHL has only reinforced the offensive potential that made him a coveted prospect. He erupted for 19 goals and 48 points in 66 games with the Milwaukee Admirals during the 2023-24 season before taking another step forward last year, recording 14 goals and 14 assists for 28 points in just 30 games.

That is a jump from 0.73 points per game to 0.93, an indication that L’Heureux was becoming increasingly productive at the AHL level. The question now is whether he can finally translate that offensive consistency to the NHL.

And perhaps just as intriguing for Colorado is the cost of finding out. L’Heureux is signed for the next two seasons at just a $875,000 annual cap hit, giving the Avalanche a former first-round pick with legitimate offensive upside and a physical edge without requiring a significant financial commitment. If he breaks out, the value of that contract could become enormous.

If he can put everything together, Colorado may have landed one of the sneakiest steals of the offseason. 

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Cubs vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Seattle Mariners are -120 favorites with top pitching prospect Kade Anderson slated to make his MLB debut.

Given the discrepancy between how the two teams have hit lefties, my Cubs vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks believe the value lies with Chicago.

Who will win Cubs vs Mariners today: Cubs moneyline (+100)

David Peterson is quietly pitching well. He's worked 23 1/3 innings the past month, posting a 2.70 ERA with solid indicators (3.48 xFIP, 3.56 FIP). That is miles ahead of where he’s been.

He’s in a good spot to keep building vs. the Seattle Mariners, who've hit .214 with a .288 wOBA against lefties over the last month.

The Chicago Cubslead the majors in OPS, ISO, and slot second in wOBA over the same span. Slowing them down will be a tall order for Kade Anderson in his debut.

Back Chicago to -115.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Cubs lead the league in OBP and OPS against left-handed pitching, leading to a strong 24-13 record when facing southpaw starters.

Cubs vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-110)

Peterson’s ERA sits at 5.26 this season but drops to 4.00 in "pitcher-friendly" conditions, and that’ll be the case in Seattle tonight.

Factor in that he’s in the best form of the season, and taking on a weak offense, and it’s a good spot for him to limit runs.

It’ll be tough to fully neutralize a strong Cubs offense, but Anderson should be able to prevent a ceiling performance. Their Achilles heel the last 30 days is a 25.3 K%, and Anderson possesses high-end strikeout upside.

I envision a 4-2 type of game, and see value in the Under to -120.

Cubs vs Mariners home run prediction: Seiya Suzuki (+365)

Seiya Suzuki possesses real pop against southpaws. He ranks in the 89th percentile in xSLG, the 91st percentile in ISO, and the 93rd in xwOBA.

He is consistently making powerful contact, and his ability to draw walks at a high rate — and play with real discipline — allows him to hang in at-bats and wait for the right opportunity to strike.

His OPS vs. lefties sits at 1.100 since July 1, putting him in the same range as NL MVP favorite Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Play to +350.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 86-78, -10.20 units
  • Over/Under bets: 85-73-6, +1.22 units

Cubs vs Mariners weather

Temperatures in the mid 70s are expected with slight winds blowing out. Neutral impact on the offenses.

Cubs vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs +100 | Mariners -120
  • Run line: Cubs +1.5 (-200) | Mariners -1.5 (+165)
  • Over/Under: Over 8 (+100) | Under 8 (-120)

Cubs vs Mariners trend

Chicago has hit the moneyline in 21 of the last 30 away games (+11.55 units, 32% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Mariners.

How to watch Cubs vs Mariners and game info

LocationT-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
DateSaturday, August 22, 2026
First pitch10:10 p.m. ET
TVFOX
Cubs starting pitcherDavid Peterson
(7-7, 5.29 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcherKade Anderson
(MLB Debut)

Cubs vs Mariners latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Phillies on the Pharm: 8/22/2026

Gage Wood of the Reading Fightin' Phils is present before a Minor League Baseball game at TD Bank Ballpark in Bridgewater, United States, on July 10, 2026. (Photo by Dan Squicciarini/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

‘Twas a good night to make sure that their top prospect was on the mound and dominating as the rest of the system didn’t do a whole lot to put wins on the board.

Buffalo 8, Lehigh Valley 0

Yeah, this one had about zero action in it. The IronPigs managed to accumulate only three hits on the day while the Bisons pitching staff shut them down almost completely. Brian Keys hit two home runs for the opposition, both of them off of Brian Keller. Keller only went 4 1/3 innings, giving up five runs in the process. Truly, a blah kind of night.

Reading 5, Portland 2

Another Gage Wood night for Reading, the team’s top prospect showed out once again, throwing five innings in which he allowed a single unearned run. He struck out five and walked two, getting to 86 pitches in the process. Might the leash be getting a little longer in anticipation for something larger in September? At the plate, Bryan Rincon hit his 19th home run of the year to lead off the game for the Fightin’ Phils. Raider Tello went two for four with a double and an RBI to help lead the bats.

Hudson Valley 5, Jersey Shore 1
Hudson Valley 2, Jersey Shore 0

A doubleheader defeat does damage during Friday’s night. The BlueClaws offense simply could not get going at all. In Game 1, they did get two triples on the night from Juan Villavicencio and Brady Day, but only one of those could push themselves across the plate. In Game 2, the team itself only had two hits, seemingly gassed from having to play a game already on the day. A shame, since the pitching was actually pretty good. Ryan Dromboski gave up only two unearned runs (five overall) in the first game while Tanner Gresham gave up only two runs total over four innings in the nightcap.

Dunedin 10, Clearwater 2

Yikes. Sean Youngerman and Manuel Colon allowed all ten runs within six innings of work on the night, putting the game out of reach for the Threshers and their offense on the night. Tyler Spangler, the team’s first round pick this year, got another start for them, this time at DH, and went 0 for 2 with two walks and a run scored. Cade Bogenpohl had a double and struck out twice as well.

Saturday morning Rangers stuff

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - AUGUST 21: Ezequiel Duran #20 of the Texas Rangers celebrates with teammates after hitting a game winning single to defeat the Los Angeles Angels during the tenth inning at Globe Life Field on August 21, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning, LSB.

The Rangers won a wild one last night, 2-1 over the Angels in extra innings.

Skip Schumaker says doing the little things made a big difference in the walk-off win.

MacKenzie Gore continued his August heater with another fine start in the win.

Evan Grant says the Rangers are in a playoff race whether you like it or not so you might as well enjoy it.

Elsewhere Evan Carter has been playing more against lefties, but not because he’s been hitting them.

Jack Leiter and Josh Jung are still broken, apparently.

Jake Burger is spotlighting his daughter and his foundation again on Player’s Weekend.

And finally the latest guest on Grant’s podcast is none other than Ivan “Pudge” Rodriguez, right in time to toast the 1996 Rangers team this afternoon.

That’s all for this morning. Have a great weekend!

Quickly Evaluating the Guardians’ Bullpen

DENVER, CO - AUGUST 21: Matt Festa #52 of the Cleveland Guardians and Patrick Bailey #16 celebrate after the Guardians defeated the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Friday, August 21, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Ray Bahner/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Today we’re here to take a look at the Guardians’ bullpen options, break down how everyone has looked, and see what future roles might be available to these pitchers out of the Guardians’ bullpen. We’re going to start by taking a look at some general numbers for most of the pitchers who have thrown from the bullpen for the Guards in 2026 and are still with the team. For Logan Allen, Connor Brogdon, and Daniel Espino, the numbers are their minor league and major league stats combined, and for every other pitcher it’s just the 2026 MLB numbers. I chose to include MiLB numbers because those three pitchers did not have a substantial amount of MLB innings to look at.

We’re going to look at four primary stats: Whiff%, K%, BB%, and xwOBA. The stats are color coded in such a way that they move closer to white when they’re near league average, and closer to red/green depending on if they’re better or worse than league average. I’m also putting a column at the end to label the potential bullpen roles each pitcher might be most suited to fill. The categories listed are high leverage (HL), fireman (FM), middle relief (MR), long relief (LR), right-handed specialist (RS), left-handed specialist (LS), and closer (C).

A typical 13 man pitching staff is going to have five starters, leaving eight bullpen spots to work with. There’s not one universal formula for a bullpen build, but ideally you want a mix of high leverage arms, matchup options, middle relief, and at least one pitcher capable of covering a few innings in case of an emergency.

First, I think we want to establish the obvious keepers. Cade Smith, Erik Sabrowski, Daniel Espino, and Franco Aleman – from a long term standpoint – shouldn’t be going anywhere. Cade Smith has proven to be a dominant closer, and Sabrowski has been a very valuable high leverage arm vs. LHP. Espino and Aleman have limited numbers to go off of, but they both have high upside and have shown potential as future high leverage arms as well. 

The next tier are guys that look keepable, but maybe should be used in lower leverage roles. This group contains Herrin, Gaddis, Holderman, and Yoho. Herrin has very solid numbers vs. lefties, so I would consider him for very matchup specific moments. The other three are significantly better vs. righties than lefties. I think ideally you’d keep one or two as a righty matchup option for earlier in games, and then aim to keep someone with a bit more balanced splits for the last spot. In our list, Armstrong fits that bill. If my counting is correct, Armstrong technically would be eligible to return from the IL in the last week of the regular season in 2026, but given his age and contract, looking beyond that becomes hazy for considering him. You could look for similar/better options in FA as well to fill that spot for future seasons.

If we’re taking 2 of Gaddis/Holderman/Yoho, that leaves us with 1 more spot to consider. There’s a couple ways to go about this. A safe option is having someone like Allen or Cecconi, who can provide multiple innings in a pinch and possibly even give you a spot start here or there. Another option is going for a more balanced/complete middle relief option or going for another left handed matchup option. This bullpen does not have very many LHPs, and adding another one of those would be a solid way to round it out.

There’s a lot of potential with this bullpen, especially as Aleman and Espino can get more work in. I think if you include them, you have 4 clear keepers and 4 more that have legitimate reasons they can be in an MLB bullpen as long as they’re used appropriately. Some of the others have potential as organizational depth that could be brought up in a pinch. I think for the MLB level, you’d ideally want one more pitcher that can handle lefties, given the splits for Gaddis/Holderman/Yoho are very tilted towards usefulness against righties, but apart from that improvement, there’s a lot of good pieces here for the near future.