Category: Sports News

The Pirates went from one of the worst offenses in the game last year to having the most runs scored at the All-Star break. That’s a massive upgrade from last year and a big reason because of that is the power.

In 2025 Pittsburgh finished last in numerous categories, including in runs scored (583), RBI (561), home runs (117), slugging percentage (.350) and OPS (.655). 

A lot of those numbers have been increased this year, like home runs with 125. They rank amongst the best in the other categories, such as first in RBI and hits. The Bucs are also second in OPS and third in slugging percentage.

Pittsburgh already having eight more home runs than they did last year is a big reason why they are 50-47 and in the wild card playoff race. The Pirates are able to help out their pitching depth this year which is something they were not able to do last year.

The Pirates adding players like Brandon Lowe and Ryan O’hearn has been a huge reason as to why their offense has been such an improvement. Lowe leads the team with home runs (20) and in RBIs (64). While O’hearn has 16 home runs and 63 RBIs which are both second on the team.

The Pirates become just the second team in league history that went from scoring the least amount runs in one season and then leading the league in runs the following season. The St. Louis Cardinals did so, going from worst in 1986 to first in 1987, where they made the World Series.

What has made this first half really impressive is that the Pirates are putting up these numbers with some important injuries. The players being center fielder Oneil Cruz, first baseman Spencer Horwitz, rookie shortstop Konnor Griffin and catcher Endy Rodrguez, all of whom have been great themselves.

Rookie Esmerlyn Valdez has been helping the offense a lot with 10 home runs in 27 games. Other players have stepped up as well, making this a top and formidable lineup in baseball.

If the Bucs want to stay in the race and snap their decade long playoff drought, the offense will need to continue to keep that pace. 

All-Star week in Philadelphia has come and gone, which means it’s time to prepare for the unofficial second half of the season. The Phillies had a good first half considering they experienced a ten-game losing streak and fired their manager in April. They come into their second half opening series with the New York Mets two games behind the Atlanta Braves in the National League East with a record of 54-43. They currently occupy the second NL Wild Card spot and have a three-game lead for a spot in the postseason field. There is work to be done, but the Phillies have placed themselves right in the thick of the NL postseason picture.

That doesn’t mean there aren’t glaring weaknesses in this Phillies team though. The upcoming trade deadline will be the biggest chance to improve the roster, but thanks to the Phillies limited trade capital, they will also have to look inward for improvements. There’s no shortage of underperformers on the roster, but these are three that could make a real impact if they find a way to improve.

Trea Turner

Turner was one of the Phillies best players in 2025 when he won the batting title and dramatically improved his defense resulting in a 5.4 WAR season. He has regressed heavily in each aspect, as he’s hitting .236 and has the fifth most errors (12) of any shortstop in baseball which has resulted in a negative WAR total. His strikeout rate has spiked, up to 22.2% from 16.7% last season. His chase rate is back up in conjunction with that, up over 35% after cutting it down to 31.2% last season.

Defensively, Turner has lost all of the gains he made last season. He already has more errors than he had all of last season (8) and is on pace to come close to his brutal 2023 season when he led the majors with 23 errors. It’s even worse if you go by defensive metrics, as his -9 defensive runs saved are tied for second worst in baseball and his -6 defensive run value is fourth worst.

The good news is that Turner has begun to show a pulse offensively for the better part of the last month. Since June 15th, Turner is hitting .286 with a .759 OPS across 106 plate appearances. He started off July well but is currently 1 for his last 13 entering the break. The Phillies need Turner to rediscover some of what made him a batting champion in 2025, because it’s beginning to look like his strong defensive season last year may be an aberration.

José Alvarado

Alvarado looked to be having a renaissance in 2025 before a PED suspension and injuries completely derailed his season. The Phillies elected to pick up his club option for 2026 anyway, believing that he would rebound after a full offseason reset. That decision is not looking wise, as Alvarado is in the midst of the worst season of his career with a 6.82 ERA through 39 games. Opponents are currently slashing .307/.394/.464 against Alvarado. Yordan Alvarez and Yandy Díaz are the only qualified hitters with at least that slash line overall this season.

Despite a walk rate of 8.7% that is right around league average, Alvarado has struggled to throw strikes consistently. The in-zone rates of his two best pitches in the sinker and cutter are both down from his previous few seasons, with the sinker seeing a dramatic drop from three straight seasons over 60% to 53.3% in 2026. Opponents are also not swinging and missing at the cutter at the same rate as they have in years past while they are demolishing the sinker to the tune of a .342 AVG and .481 SLG.

However, there are signs that at least some of Alvarado’s struggles have been due to bad luck and, perhaps more astutely, poor defense. His 11.7 hits per nine is tied for the worst among all relievers with at least 30 IP and it would be the second worst among all pitchers if Alvarado qualified. His .440 batting average on balls in play is the highest in baseball and would be by far the highest in MLB history for a full season, surpassing the .364 BABIP Kevin Gausman posted in 2022. Alvarado’s FIP of 3.25 being almost half of his 6.82 ERA is the biggest evidence that he’s been victimized by the Phillies poor infield defense.

Where the ball goes when hitters make contact is largely outside of his control, but Alvarado can still control the part of his struggles that includes throwing more strikes and limiting contact. He has roughly over two weeks to find some way to improve before the Phillies will be forced to acquire a different left-handed reliever at the deadline.

Aaron Nola

This may seem to be the most obvious one of all and yet the one most people believe has the least chance of actually happening. Nevertheless, the Phillies are in desperate need of back of the rotation pitching and Aaron Nola isn’t going anywhere anytime soon, so the easiest path forward would be for Nola to occupy that role. It is much easier said than done of course, as Nola is having yet another nightmare season with a 3-6 record and a 5.76 ERA through 19 starts. His 20 home runs allowed are the third most in baseball despite Nola only logging 97 innings pitched. For context, Bert Blyleven holds the dubious MLB record of allowing the most home runs in a season with 50, but he did it in 271.2 innings. Nola is currently on pace to approach that despite being projected to throw under 200 innings. All of this has been the continuation of a trend of him being one of the worst qualified starting pitchers in baseball.

Nola has shown some signs recently that he may have gained some sort of footing, as in his last two starts, he’s thrown 5 IP with 2 runs and 7 IP with 3 runs allowed. Of course, those two starts were following one of the worst starts of Nola’s career when he blew a 5-0 lead and allowed 8 runs in 4.1 IP. The Phillies don’t need Nola to be an ace or even a mid-rotation starter at this point. What they need him to be is an innings eater that keeps you in games and saves the bullpen. The contract is likely going to go down as a net negative, but that doesn’t mean that the Phillies and Nola can’t salvage some value out of it.

The Phillies are 40-14 in games started by Cristopher Sánchez, Zack Wheeler, and Jesús Luzardo. They are 14-29 in games started by anyone else, including 9-10 in games started by Nola. They are 5-21 in games started by the fifth spot in the rotation that has been a smorgasbord of Andrew Painter, Taijuan Walker, Alan Rangel, and openers. Nola is no longer the same pitcher he was when he signed his seven year, $112M contract and is certainly no longer the pitcher that placed in the top 11 of Cy Young voting four times. But it would be a boon to the Phillies if he can stabilize himself as a quality back of the rotation starter as it would remove one of the question marks from the rotation.

Sitting in position for a postseason spot, the Tampa Bay Rays will look to supplement their roster at the trade deadline. Of course, they’ll do some buying and selling, but at the major league level they will primarily be buyers. The moves they make will be determined by a few key things early this month.

What does OF Jake Fraley look like in his return from the IL?

Fraley is a steady veteran who owns a career 110 wRC+ against right-handed pitching. While this isn’t an outlier level of production, it does represent a meaningful improvement over Victor Mesa Jr. (career 83 wRC+ vs RHP) and Chandler Simpson (career 94 wRC+ vs RHP). However, his lengthy injury history makes it difficult to count on that production over the final two months – especially when considering he was recently removed from his rehab assignment.

Should Fraley give the Rays a reason to explore other left-handed outfield options, they would first look internally. Jacob Melton was a major acquisition this winter, but unfortunately he got hurt in late April and missed a large chunk of the season. He’s unproven at the major league level so there’s some risk. However, his near 70-grade power, plus speed, and plus defense at all three outfield spots gives him significant upside. Melton’s underlying data have taken a real step forwards this season so he may be ready for a role in the majors.

If the Rays decide to take a conservative approach and keep Melton in AAA, there are plenty of affordable left-handed outfielders. I’ve already written about Lars Nootbaar, but here are a couple more names:

• MIN OF Matt Wallner (career 137 wRC+ vs RHP); recent struggles may have lowered the acquisiton cost
• COL OF Troy Johnston (career 137 wRC+ vs RHP); plus hitter but comes with defensive questions
• MIN INF/OF Kody Clemens (career 96 wRC+ vs RHP); 117 wRC+ against righties in his last 500 PAs

What does 2B Gavin Lux look like in his return from the IL?

Lux is feeling the best he has felt all year and is rehabbing in Durham. Similar to Fraley, Lux brings a steady veteran presence with him to a lineup. His 109 wRC+ vs righties for his career represents a real upgrade over what Palacios (92 wRC+ vs RHP) and Williamson (82 wRC+ vs RHP) are currently providing. I think Williamson’s best baseball is still ahead of him and moving him to short-side platoon work at 2B and back-up duties at SS could help him get into more optimal match-ups that improve his production.

As with Fraley, there’s a chance that Lux doesn’t get healthy or his production isn’t what the Rays need it to be. In that case, there aren’t really any internal candidates to come in and hold down bulk platoon work at 2B. Brayden Taylor could be that guy if he wasn’t still in AA. His performance this year has restored his prospect status following a swing adjustment late last season, but there’s a lot of risk in bringing him up to play most days without him having any AAA experience.

It looks like the Rays would explore an external candidate if Lux is unable to regain his form. Luis Arraez would be an ideal acquisition given his track record (126 wRC+ against RHP for his career), and his defensive improvements that have allowed him to play a solid 2B. Some other names they could explore are:

• PIT 2B Brandon Lowe (career 134 wRC+ vs RHP); proven track record, but comes with injury risk
• MIN INF/OF Kody Clemens (career 96 wRC+ vs RHP); 117 wRC+ against righties in his last 500 PAs
• ATH INF/OF Zack Gelof (career 114 wRC+ vs RHP); reverse splits, but he’s currently injured

How will starter workloads be managed?

The Rays have several members of their rotation who will have varying degrees of innings limits. Nick Martinez is the only starter likely to reach 170-180 innings this season.

There are a couple internal options in AAA who could come up and cover innings in spot starts or bulk roles out of the bullpen:

• Mason Englert; being stretched out and working as a starter after working in the bullpen for his ML career
• Ty Johnson; throws only two pitches, but could be reliable as a bulk pitcher or multi-inning reliever
• Michael Forret; strike throwing is inconsistent, but could be reliable as a bulk pitcher or multi-inning reliever
• Joe Boyle; working in the bullpen for the rest of the season, could be impactful as a multi-inning reliever
• Michael Grove; long-term plan is for him to start, but he could be effective in a multi-inning role for now

Brody Hopkins is still learning to pitch with the AAA baseball and he underwent some mechanical changes that will take time to get used to so I don’t anticipate him providing many meaningful innings in the majors this season.

The Rays don’t have enough impact pitching ready to contribute in the majors this season, so they’ll likely explore an external addition. I’ve already written about Tarik Skubal, Joe Ryan, and Freddy Peralta. All three have strong track records and could help the Rays in the top half of their rotation. Given the way baseballs are flying off the bat similar to 2019, a groundball pitcher like Sandy Alcantara could also be a good fit if the Marlins fall out of contention in the next few weeks. Jose Soriano, Sonny Gray, and Landon Roupp also fit this mold. The biggest barrier to acquiring a high-end starter at the deadline will certainly be the cost. The Rays have the prospect capital to afford a big name to add to their rotation without depleting their farm system.

Which Rule 5 eligible prospects will need protection?

No doubt the Rays will be looking to get ahead of their annual Rule 5 crunch this summer. They already dealt Ty Cummings for Casey Legumina, but they still have over 50 players who will be Rule 5 eligible. Not all of them will need protection, but some of the names in the upper levels include:

• C Tatem Levins
• 1B Tre’ Morgan
• INF Cooper Kinney
• OF Homer Bush Jr.
• RHP Brody Hopkins
• RHP Ty Johnson
• RHP Michael Forret
• RHP Owen Wild
• DH/1B Xavier Isaac
• INF Brayden Taylor
• RHP Jackson Baumeister
• RHP Santiago Suarez
• RHP Gary Gill Hill
• RHP TJ Nichols

There’s a chance that the Rule 5 Draft may not happen given the expiring CBA after this season, and that would certainly benefit the Rays because then they wouldn’t have to make a decision on these players. However, it would still be wise to look to move some of these prospects as part of a deal for help in the majors or for lower level prospects – like when Duncan Davitt and Ben Peoples were part of the package for Adrian Houser last season. The Rays could also look to move some of these Rule 5 eligible guys for a prospect in the lower minors – like when they traded Tobias Myers for Junior Caminero a few years ago.

The Rays’ deadline priorities will ultimately depend less on what other clubs make available than on the health of Fraley and Lux over the next few weeks. If both return and perform, Tampa Bay can focus almost entirely on adding rotation help and consolidating their minor league rosters ahead of a potential Rule 5 crunch. If either Fraley or Lux struggles/suffers another setback, the front office has enough prospect capital to address those needs externally while still pursuing an impact starter.

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

This might be the most overanalyzed game of the MLB season, but that's not stopping me from betting on dingers with Christian Scott and Aaron Nola on the mound. Home runs and MLB player props are all live Thursday night on the standalone game.

Despite one of the shorter prices on the board, Juan Soto is still projecting +EV to go deep vs. Aaron Nola, who's one of the best home run matchups in baseball. On the other side, lefty bats have the edge vs. Christian Scott, and Brandon Marsh at +400 or better is making the card.

These are my favorite home run predictions for Thursday, July 16.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HR	Odds
Juan Soto	+234
Brandon Marsh	+433
💲Today's HR parlay	+1400

Mets home run pick: Juan Soto (+234)

I don't venture into this price range too often, but on a smaller card, with a +EV number and a ton of familiarity in the matchup, Juan Soto is making the card today.

He projects for nearly the same home run probability as Kyle Schwarber, but at a price roughly 50 points longer, according to Covers projections powered by THE BAT.

Soto has also seen plenty of Aaron Nola over his career, facing him 42 times and taking him deep five times. One homer every eight at-bats is an elite home run rate against any pitcher.

Nola has been a punching bag for hitters this season, ranking second-worst among qualified starters in HR/9, fourth-worst in HR/FB rate, and fourth-worst in BlastContact%. Since the start of 2024, left-handed hitters have accounted for 65% of the home runs he's allowed.

I'm playing this down to +200.

• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: ESPN

Phillies home run pick: Brandon Marsh (+433)

Lefties have done the most damage against Christian Scott, which gives us plenty of Phillies bats to choose from. For the price, it's tough to ignore Brandon Marsh at +400 or better. Kyle Schwarber's and Bryce Harper's numbers have been bet down too far, while left-handed hitters have accounted for 11 of Scott's 15 home runs allowed.

Marsh is a .300 hitter who was batting .335 to begin June. His BlastContact% sits just behind the big boppers in Harper and Schwarber, and he's not a guy looking to take a free pass with just a 5.2% walk rate. When he steps into the box, he's swinging.

He faced Scott back in late June, and his only ball in play was a hard-hit single. Half of the balls put in play against Scott that day were hit at 95 mph or harder.

Marsh has treated me well all season, and this is the price at which I'm jumping back in while everyone else is piling onto Schwarber and Harper.

• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Where to watch: ESPN

Today’s HR parlay

Juan Soto	Bet Now +1400
Brandon Marsh

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

The St. Louis Cardinals had plenty to be excited about over the past week or so. With JJ Wetherholt inking an extension and Jordan Walker making history, the draft almost took a back seat to everything else over the All-Star break. That could have been the case if it were not for the Cardinals receiving rave reviews from experts everywhere for Chaim Bloom and Randy Flores’ work on the 2026 MLB Draft.

With the draft complete and the signing period underway, the Cardinals began opening up roster spots and moving people around to different levels. I will do my best to summarize them below, but I wanted to shout out MILBToday.com where I have been getting a lot of my St. Louis system trends and stats. Take a look over there and give a follow on Twitter if you like what the site does.

Chase Davis and Jurrangelo Cijntje promoted, others released amid organization roster shuffle

In good news, Chase Davis was activated and promoted to Triple-A Memphis as the former first rounder looks to get back on the organization’s radar. He is joined by Jurrangelo Cijntje, who the Cardinals have been more aggressive with promoting that most of their other pitching prospects. These spots came to be vacant after multiple releases and opt outs were triggered among the Memphis roster. Mason Molina has also steamrolled his way into Memphis and is definitely causing some intrigue for me.

Doubleheader savior Bruce Zimmerman officially elected free agency and Scott Blewett is planning to exercise his opt-out clause. Zimmerman was an expected loss after his solid season debut, but losing Blewett could be a bummer for a bullpen that will be undergoing some shuffling in the next couple weeks. He was putting together a solid season but the other pitching prospects around the veteran and the Cardinals needing roster spots, Blewett will look to catch on elsewhere.

Also getting removed from the roster was Bligh Madris, who will be going to the KBO, Jeremy Rivas, Jason Savacool, and feel-good outfielder Matt Koperniak who were all released from Memphis. So far, Brody Moore has been called up to fill one of those spots but other promotions are likely to follow.

Elsewhere, Zach Levenson is back in Springfield and maybe most excitingly, Brandon Clarke is in the FSL getting some mound work in. Clarke underwent surgery for a shoulder aneurysm early in the year and was left without a clear timetable, so this news is definitely welcomed. On the rehab front, it appears that Ixan Henderson is also back on the bump and will hopefully build off his great 2025 season when he is back to full health.

There may be plenty more that I missed or that will be coming up shortly, so feel free to drop in the comments and let us know! Also, feel free to add your exciting second half prospects to watch!

Thanks as always!

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies kick off the second half of the season tonight, and I've found value in the MLB player props. 

Tonight's Mets vs. Phillies props are highlighted by J.T. Realmuto, Juan Soto, and Bryson Stott. 

Read more in our Mets vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, July 16, and don't miss first pitch at 6:10 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Mets vs Phillies props for July 16

Pick	Odds
J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 total bases	+155
Juan Soto to hit a home run	+220
Bryson Stott Over 0.5 singles	-120

Mets vs Phillies player prop picks

J.T. Realmuto Over 1.5 total bases (+155)

J.T. Realmuto may be hitting just .250 over his last six games, but he's showcasing gap-to-gap power. The catcher has a .250 ISO during that span, and a 42.9% hard-hit rate.

Realmuto has cashed the Over in total bases in three of his last four contests, and he has multi-base hits in back-to-back games.

New York Mets starter Christian Scott has a 4.90 FIP over the last month, and he's allowed a 46.7% hard-hit rate over his last three outings. He's also given up 2.03 HR/9 over that span. 

I'll play this pick up to +100. 

Juan Soto to hit a home run (+220)

I don't like to lean into the matchup too much, but it's hard to ignore here.

Juan Soto has faced Aaron Nola 45 times and recorded 12 hits. Five of those hits have been home runs, so he's consistently shown power against Nola. 

The right-hander is also struggling to limit the long ball. Over the last month, Nola has allowed 2.61 HR/9 while posting a 5.65 FIP. 

Soto owns a .302 ISO over the last two weeks, and he's gone deep four times in his last 13 games while posting an impressive 16.7% barrel rate. If Nola continues to make mistakes, Soto could very well punish him. 

I'll play this pick up to +200. 

Bryson Stott Over 0.5 singles (-120)

Bryson Stott is a base-knock type of hitter, and he was finding a rhythm before the All-Star break. The infielder has four hits across his last two games, and three of those were singles.

Stott has a .291 xBA across his previous seven games, and again, Scott has been vulnerable to hard contact lately. His primary offering is the four-seamer, and Stott owns a 46.9% hard-hit rate against the fastball this season. 

I'll play this pick up to -140. 

How to watch Mets vs Phillies and game info

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

Welcome back, folks! Here's to the second half of the MLB season, which kicks off with Aaron Nola and the Phillies hosting Christian Scott and the Mets tonight. 

ESPN has live coverage starting at 6:10 p.m. ET.

Let's dive into my Mets vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, July 16, where I see New York offering value as a +118 moneyline underdog.

Who will win Mets vs Phillies today: Mets moneyline (+118)

Despite the first game back from the All-Star break being in the City of Brotherly Love, I think this is a letdown spot for the Philadelphia Phillies. Especially with Aaron Nola on the mound, as he owns a 6.61 ERA over his last three outings.

Meanwhile, New York Mets right-hander Christian Scott has been more than serviceable over his last three starts, posting a 3.38 ERA, 4.14 xERA and 1.13 WHIP. Before the break, the Mets were on a tear, sporting a 117 wRC+, .334 wOBA, .172 ISO, and .757 OPS over their previous 12 games. 

With all the theatrics and hype around the city over the last few days, this feels like a prime letdown spot for the Phillies. Pair that with the way Nola has been pitching lately, and the Mets should be in a great position to feast.

COVERS INTEL: The Phillies have managed just a 93 wRC+, .135 ISO, and .684 OPS over their last 12 games.

Mets vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-103)

With how poorly Nola has pitched this season and how hot the Mets offense was heading into the break, I want to be on the over.

Batters-Box projects six combined elite-rated bats and three more with strong ratings. Scott owns a poor rating in the default settings, while Nola carries a poor rating in the current season dataset. Both pitchers also grade out poorly in matchup hard contact, wOBA, and ISO.

I think most of the damage comes from the Mets, but Scott is due to give up a few runs as well.

Mets vs Phillies weather

This evening in Philadelphia should be a scorcher, with temperatures around 93 degrees at first pitch and winds blowing out to left field at 11 mph. There's a 28% chance of precipitation, but the game should be just fine.

The heat should definitely give the long ball a boost tonight.

Mets vs Phillies odds

• Moneyline: Mets +118 | Phillies -122
• Run line: Mets +1.5 (-160) | Phillies -1.5 (+156)
• Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-102) | Under 9.5 (-100)

Mets vs Phillies trend

The Mets have covered the run line in nine of their last 16 games for +2.85 units and a 15% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Mets vs. Phillies.

How to watch Mets vs Phillies and game info

Mets vs Phillies latest injuries

Mets: Luis Robert (Out), Marcus Semien (Out). 
Phillies: No key injuries to report.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

If the A’s have a terrific second half reversing all bad trends, we will be able to look at this “unauthorized coaching” article as the springboard that vaulted the team back to relevancy. Obviously, if the team continues to sputter it’s not my fault — who reads junk on the internet anyway?

The All-Star break offers a natural “reset” and no team could use one more than the A’s, who limped, tripped, and plunged into a well even Lassie couldn’t help with, dropping 9 in a row and 17 of 20 to achieve the impossible: falling off the radar in the AL West.

Hopefully, Zack Gelof’s and Nick Kurtz’ IL stints will be minimal and soon the A’s will be at least near full strength again in terms of their roster. But how to squeeze more out of a roster that struggled to hit (on the road), pitch (at home), and led for 6 pitches on the last 6 game road trip.

Here’s some of how (if you know these folks feel free to pass these pearls along)…

Henry Bolte

For whatever reason, possibly involving head movement and/or swinging too much with the top half and not properly aligning the bottom half, most every time Bolte pulls the ball it’s on the ground. This worked fine for a while as he beat out a bevy of weak bouncers and some of the harder ones got through the infield, but it is not a sustainable profile.

This was shown in the slump Bolte took into the All-Star break, 6 for his last 50 with just one extra base hit (a HR). That a .120 BA and .180 SLG.

The solution: Even if he can’t adjust your mechanics easily mid-season, simply a change in approach can allow Bolte to return to being an offensive force in the 2nd half. During his epic 12 for 12 XBH-a-palooza at AAA just before being called up, Bolte was rifling balls to RF and right-center. This has always been, and continues to be, his best swing.

Pitchers are exploiting Bolte’s desire to “turn on pitches” by running a lot of fastballs in on the hands and Bolte is responding by chopping a lot of weak ground balls to 3B and SS. Sliders and changeups away, unless hung, have never been good pitches to try to pull.

Bolte should embrace his strength and think “right-center”. This will have many positive repercussions all at once. One is that he will naturally become less interested in pitches that are in off the plate, curing him of one way pitchers are getting him out a lot lately. Another is that an off-field swing/approach allows hitters to see pitches that fraction of a second longer, resulting in generally better swing decisions. A third is that it plays to Bolte’s inherent strength rather than trying, in real time, to master a part of his game that does not come easily.

The beauty is that when you focus on your strength and it results in a lot of hard contact, more slugging, increased success, not only is it a confidence booster but pitchers lose a “way to get you out” and are forced to throw more strikes to the inner half (if you are routinely mashing strikes on the outer half). And with that increased confidence, perhaps without being so self-conscious or effortful about it, you might turn on some inside fastballs or spin left up and hit the line drives and fly balls to LF that are so hard to produce now.

If Bolte emphasizes a “right center field first” approach he will be in company with some truly great hitters, such as Miguel Cabrera, Edgar Martinez, and Michael Young. And it doesn’t have to be forever, but it absolutely should be for right now.

Jacob Wilson

I’ve made much of this in game thread comments but it warrants its own paragraph here. Wilson suffers for his own ability and confidence: he is sure he can “get to” any pitch and he has a gift for sometimes turning pitches off the outside corner or down at the ankles into base hits.

The problem is, just because you can hit a pitch doesn’t mean you are well served to put it in play. The reality is that Wilson has, many many times, been gotten out (or you could say gotten himself out) on two pitches: well in off the plate and very high out outside. These are pitches that when you do put them in play, it’s going to be a pop-up or a lazy fly ball.

My belief is this: yes, Wilson can be a decent hitter swinging at a lot of junk. He has a unique gift that might allow him to hit .280 with this flawed approach. Trouble is, as a .280 hitter Wilson’s value is compromised since he rarely walks and his slugging is not especially high. A .280/.320/.400 hitter is ok but not special.

The solution: My other belief is that if Wilson will just commit to an approach of “hunting strikes” he can hit .320, which in this day and age is elite. He has even demonstrated that for long stretches (2-3 months) he is capable of hitting at that level. Bump his BA .040 and suddenly we’re talking about a .320/.360/.440 hitter who plays a solid SS. Now that’s the player the A’s signed to an extension.

Jacob, we know you can hit a lot of bad balls and even poke some of them for hits. But if you truly “hunt strikes” and commit to trying to lay off pitches you can hit but are balls, you can be the player who earned the All-Star starting gig just one year ago.

Shea Langeliers, Tyler Soderstrom

Both Langeliers and Soderstrom have had excellent stretches this season and bad stretches. For Soderstrom he struggled mightily early before turning it on lately, and Langeliers has been in a funk since an incredible April. Both are essential cogs in the A’s hopes of having a plus lineup with depth and ample power. But neither has been as consistent as you would want.

The solution: Stop guessing, start reacting. Soderstrom and Langeliers share that too many times that are caught looking for a pitch and either looking foolish swinging at what they’re not being thrown or, just as often, watching a called third strike they could have mashed if only they had known it was coming.

To my eyes, both hitters are at their best when they simply react to each pitch as best they can and are at their worst when they anticipate one pitch only to be vulnerable if and when they guess wrong. Most recently we saw this in action during the White Sox series that was so forgettable for Langeliers, culminating in a critical at bat (runner at 3B, one out, 1-0 in the 8th) when looking fastball Shea was frozen by a curve center cut that he wasn’t looking for, then tried to swing at a fastball that turned out to be a chase slider. Resolving not to swing at another chase slider, Langeliers stepped back in…and watched a belt fastball that caught a lot of the plate.

These two hitters will take off if they get back to basics, a version of “see ball, hit ball”. Just react so that every belt high curve, every elevated slider or changeup, every fastball in your happy zone, gets properly punished. Of course you won’t recognize correctly every pitch, so you’re going to wave at some sliders in the dirt or get way out of in front of some changeups, but overall you will be much better off and so will the A’s.

Basic Hitting Strategies

There is one tendency that drives me crazy, because even as I watch game after game for decades I still don’t get it. It’s the compulsion to swing at high fastballs well above the top of the strike zone.

The solution: There is a very basic principle that can prevent hitters from falling into this trap. It’s a “truth” that should be ingrained in every hitter: if you have to raise your hands significantly to swing, you’re not swinging at a strike. This was actually taught to me years and years ago by the great Cal baseball head coach, Bob Milano.

He was right. The moment you feel yourself start to raise your hands, you are about to swing at a ball. That’s because every hitter’s hands set up no lower than the top of the strike zone, certainly at the point where they are actually swinging. So don’t raise your hands to go after a pitch and you have stopped swinging at a key chase pitch: the high fastball out of the zone.

Put Players In The Best Position To Succeed

Ideally, every player should be able to thrive under any conditions, but in reality this is just not the case. Recently the A’s have walked into some unnecessary trouble, giving Jeffrey Springs not one but two starts on a 6-game homestand in Summerlin, and last week moving JT Ginn up while he was battling a 2-week illness to both start and finish the 6-game road trip.

Opportunities to shuffle personnel in their best interests don’t always present themselves, but here’s an easy example in front of Mark Kotsay and his wacky coaching crew. The A’s have a brief 3-game homestand coming out of the All-Star break, a 4-day hiatus that allows teams to reshuffle their rotations as they please.

The SP you clearly want to minimize starts at Sutter Health Park is the lone remaining veteran, Springs. Starting Springs against the Nationals over the weekend would be yet again asking for trouble, whereas the rotation is so flexible at this moment that Springs could easily be penciled into the #4 spot opening the road trip to Arizona, a hitter’s ballpark but nothing like West Sacramento where Springs has an unsightly 6.79 with 16 HR in 54.1 IP.

The solution: So here’s one easy move the A’s could make coming out of the ASB: Let 3 of the young guns, e.g., Jump, Perkins, and Ginn, get the ball for the 3 home games and then trot Springs out there against the Diamondbacks — and focus on fastballs down and away. Why? Because one thing about that pitch and location is it rarely gets hit out of the ballpark. And lord knows that should be the first, second, and third emphasis for Springs, who leads the planet in HRs allowed.

Leave it to the A’s to wait until it’s too late to make necessary changes and then start playing good baseball. But better late than never and in the mediocre AL West, a suburb of the mediocre AL, string a few wins together and as the Red Sox can tell you, you never know when you might even find yourself being relevant again.

Go do all these things, A’s, and godspeed to you. If you can lose 9 in a row then you can win 9 in a row, and I highly recommend it. Let’s face it: if the team only loses 55 games this season, it’s probably going to be a fun ride after all.

Casey Candaele became a member of the Houston Astros on July 23rd, 1988.  In a three-year period from 1990-1992, he played in 416 contests.   He joins us exclusively at The Crawfish Boxes for our 31st series entry of the Legends Series.    

Q:  The trade in 1988 that brought you to Houston.    What do you remember about that time?

A:  I was traded for Mark Bailey who they sent to Montreal.   I had a pretty good rookie season but at the time they had guys like Otis Nixon and Rex Hudler that were playing well, so it made sense at the time to trade me.

Q:  You played a bunch in 1991.   Bagwell was Rookie of the Year.   What did you see from Bagwell in his first season?

A:  That season I got to play almost every day at second base.   Bagwell’s discipline at the plate and his ability to get the barrel of the bat to the ball was just unprecedented.    You just could see he was going to make an impact.   He was the best 3-0 hitter I ever saw.   He never missed a 3-0 pitch.   He hit it really hard and really far most of the time.    He knew where he wanted his pitches, and he swung at pitches that he knew he could handle.   That was a unique talent.

Q:  Biggio brought it every day.  What stood out to you the most about him?

A:  What impressed me so much was that Craig always seemed to put the ball in play, even if he had two strikes on him.   He had the speed to beat balls out and he had power.   Complete player.   

Q:  Milo Hamilton gave you the nickname “Mighty Mite.”   Did you like that moniker?   

A:  (laughs)    That was great!    I had a little bit of pop but not home run pop for a little guy.    It was kind of cool.    It might have started when I hit a ball to the warning track or something which back then at the Astrodome was pretty far for me.   

Q:  Speaking of smaller guys, do you just sit back and marvel at the career that Jose Altuve has put together at only 5’6”? 

A:  He’s amazing.   The torque and the power he can generate is unreal.    He’s been such a good hitter for so many years, what an unbelievable talent.   I’m not going to say I look up to him, because I’m taller than he is (laughs) but I do respect him because he’s made his mark on the game.   

Q:  Did you like playing for Art Howe?

A:  Art was great.    He gave me an opportunity to play.    He really trusted me.   I did a lot of double switching back then, so Art used me often.   Art was probably one of the only managers that could’ve dealt with me and my personality and some of the things that I did or said back then.   I got called into his office quite a few times to talk to Art, but he was always understanding of my humor and if I went over the line, he’d call me in and talk to me about it in private.    I respected that about him.    I would fall in line and make any adjustment that was necessary afterwards.  

The New York Mets (40-57) return from their brief respite as they battle with the Philadelphia Phillies (54-43) for three games at Citizens Bank Park. The rivals squared off six times in June—three times in Philly, three times in New York—with Philadelphia winning four of the six games (two of three in each park). In a bit of an odd scheduling decision, the teams will play on Thursday, serving as the only game on the MLB schedule while the remaining 28 squads get another day to recuperate from the All-Star game. Then, the Mets and Phillies will be off on Friday while all the other teams play, and they’ll resume their series over the weekend.

The Mets’ final series of the first half was one to forget, as the team was swept by the Red Sox in three games at Citi Field. The offense was mostly missing in action, scoring just four runs across the three losses. Despite catching a break when flight issues delayed Boston’s arrival to New York until about two hours before first pitch—the game was eventually delayed by 35 minutes to accommodate—the Mets looked to be the tired ones in a 6-2 loss on Friday. The offense was even worse on Saturday as they fell 4-0 to secure a series loss.. The Mets looked to flip the script on Sunday, leading 2-0 heading into the ninth, but a Francisco Lindor error on a would-be game-ending double play and some ineffectiveness from Devil Williams combined to allow Boston to tie the game and eventually win 3-2 in extra innings.

The series really was a microcosm of the first half for the Mets. The offense was largely vacant, and when they put guys on, they failed to bring them home. The pitching had its moments but wasn’t good enough to overcome the weak offense. The bullpen was largely great, but Williams, who has been fine at times but also had a few blow-ups here and there, sunk a would-be win with his ineffectiveness on Sunday. The team has basically been unable to really string together any sort of momentum, and that’s how they find themselves where they are now: In last place in the National League East, eight (8!) games behind the fourth-place Nationals and 16 behind the first-place Braves. The Mets are 12 games behind the third-place Marlins, who also happen to hold the final postseason spot in the National League. Conversely, the Mets are only two 1.5 games ahead of the Rockies, who own the worst record in the NL, and two games ahead of the Royals and Angels for worst record in the sport. Get hyped!

So yeah, scoreboard watching won’t be a thing in the second half, at least for the playoffs, but that doesn’t mean you should turn off your TV and tune out entirely. There still are some things worth watching in the final 65 games of the season. One of them is Juan Soto, who did not have to travel far because he participated in Tuesday’s All-Star Game at Citizen’s Bank Park. Soto picked up one of three hits for the National League (it turned out to be the first one of the game for the losing side) and he ultimately did his club proud, as he always does. Despite the down season for the Mets, Soto will likely receive MVP votes once again. Soto leads the Mets in basically every offensive category, hitting .290/.405/.562 (all tops on the roster) with a 163 wRC+ (best on the Mets) and 2.9 fWAR (same). He also leads the team with 21 home runs and 51 runs batted in. In a dark season for the Mets, his star has continued to shine bright.

Carson Benge and A.J. Ewing have been two of the most positive developments from the season, giving New York “two golden nuggets” as Keith Hernandez so eloquently put it to build their team around. Benge begins the second half of his rookie season hitting .263/.326/.402 with a 106 wRC+ and 1.7 fWAR, which is second to Soto. He is also second on the club with 11 homers and first with 52 runs scored. Ewing, who debuted later than Benge, is hitting .276/.350/.439 with seven homers, 27 runs scored, 24 runs batted in, a 122 wRC+ (second to Soto), and 1.2 fWAR (third to Soto and Benge). It’s safe to say Benge and Ewing should get a bulk of the playing time from here on out, especially with the club floundering.

The vets, on the other hand, have been mostly disappointing, but their performance post-break could go a long way towards determining their futures in New York. Lindor has unfortunately missed significant time with a pair of injuries before and during this season, and he struggled both before his calf injury and after his return from it. In what has amounted to a mostly-lost first half, he’s hitting .216/.298/.373 with five homers, a 90 wRC+, and 0.6 fWAR in 40 games. The team could field trade offers for him in July/August or this offseason, but his future still seems to be in New York, where pairing him with Soto and the young pair of outfielders is the team’s best path towards relevancy in 2027 and beyond. I’m not quite ready to sign off on the “Lindor is declining” takes just yet, personally.

Bo Bichette got off to a rough start but has picked it up as of late, slashing .255/.300/.376 with 10 homers, 51 runs batted in, an 89 wRC+, and 0.9 fWAR. His play in the second half could determine if he decides to opt in, which is looking very likely given his overall numbers and the state of the CBA and a potential lockout heading into the winter. Beyond that, guys like Marcus Semien, Luis Robert Jr., and Jorge Polanco have been either ineffective, injured, or both, and they will certainly get time in the second half to prove that they belong on the team next year.

Other than that, the team is probably best suited losing more games than they win from here on out. Should the Mets fall out of the top-6 in the lottery, their place in the MLB Draft will fall ten spots. As of now, they have the fourth-worst record, so they enjoy a fairly decent chance of picking within those first six protected slots, but knowing their luck, they will fall to seventh or eighth, which drops them into the late teens given penalties for their payroll. I know it goes against character for some to root for losing, but perhaps think of it less “rooting for failure” and more “thinking about the team’s potential bright future”. In any event, losses (with some bright performances from their talented youngsters) is probably the way to go from here.

The Phillies entered the break on a high note, taking the last two from the Tigers and four of six overall from Detroit and Cincinnati before entering the All-Star Game at their home ballpark. As things currently stand, they are just two games behind the Braves for first place in the division, and two games up on the Wild Card field. If the season ended today, they would take on the Cubs in the 4-vs-5 matchup on the road at Wrigley Field. But as mentioned, there’s a lot of baseball left to play.

The Phillies led all of baseball with six All-Stars (tied with the Dodgers): Jhoan Duran, Bryce Harper (“Legend Pick”), Jesús Luzardo, Brandon Marsh, Cristopher Sánchez, and Kyle Schwarber. Schwarber and Marsh both started, and Harper came in later in the game, but none of them picked up a hit in the game. Schwarber, Harper, and Marsh are 1-2-3, respectively on the club in fWAR and have each enjoyed a great season. Schwarber entered the break leading all NL hitters with 32 homer runs while slashing .254/.367/.560 with a 149 wRC+. Harper as 20 homers and a team-high 59 runs scored while hitting .260/.365/.497 with a 133 wRC+—he also became the first hitter to request an ABS challenge in an All-Star game. Marsh, who started for the NL, is hitting .301/.339/.490 with 15 homers, 52 runs scored, and a 123 wRC+.

Thursday, July 16: Christian Scott vs. Aaron Nola, 7:10 PM EDT on ESPN

Scott (2026): 54.0 IP, 65 K, 26 BB, 7 HR, 3.17 ERA, 4.10 FIP, 77 ERA-

Scott was one of the biggest bright spots for the Mets in the first half, finishing with a 3.17 ERA in 12 starts after returning from Tommy John Surgery, which cost him the entire 2026 campaign. He ended his half on a high note as well, pitching five scoreless innings and scattering three hits against the Royals. He exited with a chance to earn his third career win, but the bullpen let him down, and he settled for a no decision. Despite that, he looked sharp as he struck out five while walking one, though he again struggled with a high pitch count, which has prevented him from pitching beyond five innings in most starts. That will be one thing he can work on and improve the rest of the way as he looks to position himself for a permanent spot in the rotation in 2027 and beyond.

Nola (2026): 97.0 IP, 102 K, 31 BB, 20 HR, 5.75 ERA, 4.67 FIP, 134 ERA-

Nola is just about the one key starter for Philly that hasn’t been performing all that well, but with Sánchez, Wheeler, and Luzardo dominating like they have, Philadelphia is more than happy to bury Nola in the back-end of their rotation. He’s actually had a couple of solid starts to kick off the month, although the Phillies lost both games. His last time out, he allowed two earned runs on three hits while striking out eight Tigers’ hitters in a no decision. Before that, he went seven and allowed three earned runs on seven hits with seven strikeouts, but he picked up the loss against the Reds. That represents the only start this year where Nola has completed seven innings of work.

Saturday, July 18: Sean Manaea vs. Zack Wheeler, 4:05 PM EDT on SNY

Manaea (2026): 75.0 IP, 74 K, 24 BB, 10 HR, 4.56 ERA, 4.14 FIP, 112 ERA-

Manaea closed off an uneven first half, which began with him in the bullpen, on a really high note. For the first time since September 21, 2024, he completed seven innings of work as he limited the Royals to three runs (two earned) on six hits. He struck out six, walked one, and was extremely efficient, needing just 97 pitches to complete his outing. Better yet, he threw 68 of those pitches (70%). He has now pitched into the sixth inning or deeper in four of his last five outings and has laid the blueprint for an effective second half: Attack the strike zone, pitch to contact, and keep the pitch count low. If he can do that, the team may be able to salvage the final year-and-a-half of his contract, and he may just find himself with a role in the 2027 rotation.

Wheeler (2026): 93.0 IP, 108 K, 22 BB, 10 HR, 2.13 ERA, 2.95 FIP, 50 ERA-

Wheeler was so offended that he was the fifth choice to join the NL All-Star squad that he openly rejected the invitation when it finally came. It’s hard to blame him, as Wheeler, who returned earlier this year after being diagnosed with venous thoracic outlet syndrome and undergoing surgery, has returned to form about as quickly as the Phillies could have hoped for. Wheeler begins the second half with the third-most wins among NL Starters (10) despite being about four-to-five starts behind the pack. He’s also fifth in bWAR (4.8) and second in ERA (2.13) among NL starters with at least 90 innings under their belt—he falls just short of qualifying, given his late start to the year. He ended the first half two wins against the Reds and the Tigers, as he combined to allow one earned run on six hits in those outings. He has also struck out 34 batters in his last three starts while hitting triple-digits in punch outs in each one.

Sunday, July 19: Nolan McLean vs. Jesús Luzardo, 1:35 PM EDT on SNY

McLean (2026): 107.1 IP, 125 K, 39 BB, 10 HR, 3.52 ERA, 3.44 FIP, 86 ERA-

Despite picking up the loss, McLean was really good in his final start before the break. He was charged with two unearned runs on a Soto error in the first, and that was all he ended up giving up to Boston. He allowed just the two unearned runs on five hits and he struck out seven over six innings of work. McLean, who figured to be the ace of the staff (or at least the 1b to Freddy Peralta’s 1a) had a difficult first half, but he found himself towards the end there. After allowing six runs to the Cubs back on June 24, he posted a 1.00 ERA and a 2.16 FIP, with 19 strikeouts over 18 innings in his last three starts.

Luzardo (2026): 110.1 IP, 136 K, 35 BB, 9 HR, 3.51 ERA, 2.84 FIP, 82 ERA-

Luzardo was just about the only Phillies player who didn’t outright embarrass themselves in front of the home crowd at the All-Star game—this may be a bit harsh, but I also don’t care. He hurled a perfect inning and struck out one while needing just six pitches in his first career All-Star game performance. It was a nice capper to a solid first half that saw the left-hander go 8-4 with a 3.51 ERA and a 2.84 FIP in 19 starts. Philadelphia has won each of his last nine starts dating back to May 25, and the lefty has five wins, a 2.14 ERA, a 2.81 FIP, and 70 strikeouts across 54 2/3 innings during that stretch. He enters the second half with the third-best K% (29.4%), fourth-best FIP (2.84), and fifth-best HR/9 (0.73/9) among qualified NL starters.

I hope you’re enjoying the All-Star break. It is the only time in the regular season when baseball fans do not worry about the state of the lineup or that day’s starting pitcher. But the week is good for reflecting and admitting when you are wrong.

Here is my confession: The Automated Ball-Strike (ABS) Challenge System is good for baseball.

Wait, let me explain

Yes, I am a baseball purist. Baseball remains genuinely authentic because its core rules have not changed since the sport’s founders played the game. But all fans can agree that their biggest source of discontent is the plate umpire’s strike zone.

Major League Baseball felt the time was right to implement the ABS Challenge System this season. It allows a batter, catcher or pitcher to challenge an umpire’s call. The system was extensively tested in the minor leagues before debuting at the start of the 2026 campaign.

The Perfect Alliance: ABS and plate umpires

I never thought the ABS Challenge System and the home plate umpire would form an unexpectedly perfect alliance. The system works because it integrates technology into the game without disregarding the umpire’s accuracy in calling balls and strikes. Missed calls will occur, but ABS is the perfect safety net to resolve issues within minutes. 

The challenge system is so popular because it eliminates human error while still relying on umpires to make quality calls. An electric graphic appears on the scoreboard to show the pitch’s location. It is fast, painless, and play resumes with little delay. 

Now, stadium crowds have switched from yelling about the plate umpire’s strike zone to pleading for their team to challenge a questionable call. Technology has crept into baseball, eliminating the fiery theatrical spectacle of a manager and umpire arguing over a call. Those days are over, as all disputes are decided quickly.

Who knew the ABS Challenge System offers game strategy?

Teams have developed a strategy for the challenge system. Too many clubs were losing both challenges early in contests, and had no recourse to question a call late in games. 

As the season has progressed, managers are cautioning their players not to use ABS until after the fifth inning. No longer are you seeing hitters challenge a pitch in the first inning, as teams want to hold onto at least one challenge for the eighth or ninth inning. It might be the difference in a low-scoring affair.

Baseball purists who dislike the challenge system are waiting for a call to be overturned in a high-leverage situation such as Game 7 of the World Series. They hope the controversy from the call will doom ABS. 

What they fail to see is that the challenge system offers instant accountability. ABS is designed to determine a winner and a loser when it matters most.