40 in 40: Domingo González, A Man Caught Between Worlds

NORTH PORT, FLORIDA - MARCH 08: Domingo Gonzalez #34 of the Dominican Republic delivers a pitch to the Atlanta Braves in the third inning during an exhibition game at CoolToday Park on March 08, 2023 in North Port, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Since I was a young child, I’ve had a deep pre-occupation with outer space, particularly the solar system. While the rest of the universe is obviously deeply fascinating, the solar system is so much more observable. We get to know stuff about it. That rocks.

In particular, I’ve always been drawn to trans-Neptunian space – the region between Neptune’s orbit and the outer edge of the Sun’s gravitational and magnetic influence (the heliopause). When I was six, I named my favorite stuffed animal Kuiper to honor the Kuiper belt, the second real obsession of my life (following my intense Barney the Friendly Dinosaur phase). 

The Kuiper belt is a massive disk of icy objects that’s 20 astronomical units (AUs, the distance between the sun and the earth) wide – for context, that’s the same as the distance from the sun to Uranus. It lies beyond Neptune’s orbit, circumscribing the rest of the solar system. It had been theorized to exist since the 1940’s, but remained hypothesis only until 1992, when a pair of researchers discovered the first object beyond Pluto, a relatively small object that was later named Albion. Between 1992 and 2018, over 2000 distinct hunks of frozen rock were identified, and it’s likely that there’s at least a thousand times more objects that are large enough to be structurally stable (100 km in diameter, more or less), but dark or small enough that they’ve eluded detection. 

The Kuiper belt is a lonely, cold place. A massive, silent frontier populated by objects not close enough to the sun to feel its warmth but still thralled into orbit by its mass. It’s the boundary between local space and the beyond – between what we know and what we don’t. As a child and as an adult, it’s this liminality, the in-betweenness, that captivates me. I love learning about these lonely little frozen rocks, caught between worlds, and I can’t help but find myself emotionally attached to them.

I feel the same type of small heartache for players like Domingo González. 

John wrote about González’s journey to Seattle after the Mariners claimed him off the waiver wire last August. He’s lived the unfortunate reality of being at the butt-end of the 40-man roster – a few mediocre months, or even just roster constraints for the big-league club, and you find yourself DFA’d and waiting to see who calls.  

His 2024 season was the culmination of an incrementally-rising star for him that earned a mention by Fangraphs as a prospect to watch (though still falling outside the top 40 list) for Atlanta. He saw his best traits, his whiffs and his strikeouts, reach new heights, and showed real improvement in his command, one of his weaker spots through his professional career. 

It’s the fate of relievers, though, to eternally live in small-sample lands. They tend to see higher highs and lower lows. González lived this in 2025.

Even in his best years, the platoon struggles have been brutal for him: in 2024 and 2025, he had a OPS split of .297 – from a .520 against RHH to .817 against LHH. That’s essentially the difference between pitching against 2025 Josh Naylor or Lamonte Wade Jr. If you’re unfamiliar with Wade Jr, well, it might be because he had about a .520 OPS last year and had a 52 wRC+ last season.

He introduced a new pitch, a splitter, to try and become viable against lefties. Unfortunately, the splitter did not pan out. He threw about 45 of them, never developing a consistent movement profile and garnering mediocre results.

So, when Atlanta found themselves in need of a pitcher capable of spot-starting, González found himself as the 40th man on a 40-man roster, and out of a job.

Moving to Tacoma in August, González struggled even more. Turns out getting cut for nothing and moving across the country doesn’t necessarily help the ole’ mental game. By season-end, González’ had seen a major drop-off in almost every meaningful statistic compared to 2024. His FIP rose from 2.75 to 4.73, his K% fell from 36.3% to 20%. His spin-rate on the fastball and slider fell by about 150 RPMs. Nothing went his way.

González is almost certainly starting the season in Triple-A. His path to finding big-league playing time is difficult to make out, likely blocked by about three or four fellow Pilers who are higher on the depth chart than him. Nothing in his profile particularly screams Contraptability, but that is the most realistic way for him to find a spot in Seattle’s bullpen – hope that the pitching machine can find some freak pitch for him to throw. However, being a waiver wire pickup makes his acquisition truly feel like a depth add and less like a project.

While he does have all of his minor-league options left and his 2024 numbers do inspire some optimism, that hope is admittedly dim as we enter 2026.


Dark matter is the theorized something that astrophysicists say serves as the  “gravitational scaffolding” for the universe – we can’t see this material, but its existence seems prerequisite for the universe to exist and behave the way it does. Invisible but essential, players like González and their fungibility serve the same purpose for MLB. MLB as we know it is held together almost entirely by the career minor leaguers. The scaffolding that provides developmental opportunities for the 10% of minor leaguers who play even a single game in MLB is the other 90%. The dirt-cheap labor of the 90% subsidizes the pocketbooks of the never-enough owners. And without that 90% playing games in front of families in smaller cities and towns across the country, baseball’s tenuous grasp on national pastime-hood would grow weaker. So yes, it doesn’t seem likely that González will get the opportunity to impact the big league club before finding a new home. But it doesn’t mean that he, and the hundreds of players just like him, aren’t massively important to MLB.

And yeah, I acknowledge that the space metaphors have become a little mixed here. Are González and players like him dark matter or Kuiper belt objects? Should I have re-written this to fit just one theme or the other? Does this all feel a little bit forced? Yes, yes, probably and yes. Regardless, I know that I feel the same way about González as I do 486958 Arrokoth, a small, interesting Kuiper belt object that was the recipient of a New Horizons flyby in 2019. I’m drawn to them, almost unwillingly compelled to obsess over their minutia, and emotionally impacted by their circumstances. They both live on the outside looking in. Held in orbit by a tantalizing promise. Easily forgotten.

World Baseball Classic rosters set, who can challenge Team USA?

MIAMI, FLORIDA - MARCH 21: Shohei Ohtani #16 of Team Japan reacts after the final out of the World Baseball Classic Championship defeating Team USA 3-2 at loanDepot park on March 21, 2023 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The rosters for the 2026 World Baseball Classic were announced on Friday with loads of loads of major league talent spread out across 20 national teams. Defending champion Team Japan looks like it will face a serious challenge from loaded Team USA and Dominican Republic rosters. The World Baseball Classic will get underway on March 5 with the final set for March 17.

The Favorite: Team USA

After looking over the rosters, Team USA is my favorite. They were finalists at the last WBC, and the roster looks much stronger this time around. The biggest difference comes in the pitching staff. A lot of America’s top arms elected not to pitch at the event last time. However, the big guns will be at the WBC this time around.

Last time around, America’s starting rotation included the likes of Miles Mikolas, Nick Martinez and a 41 year old Adam Wainwright. This time, Team USA will have both of the 2025 CY Young winners, with Tarik Skubal and Paul Skenes pitching in the event.

The lineup will also be stacked with Aaron Judge, Cal Raleigh, Bobby Witt Jr. and more teaming up. You can make an argument that the Dominican Republic has a lineup as good, or maybe even a little bit better. However, no team is as complete as Team USA. 

The Contenders: Dominican Republic, Japan, Venezuela

On paper, the second most talented team at the competition is either the Dominican Republic or Japan. The Dominicans stacked lineup gives them a slight edge in my books. You can make a case that the Dominicans have the best lineup in the competition. It features the likes of Juan Soto, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr., and Manny Machado.

A big x-factor for the Dominicans is catcher Austin Wells, who they recruited to join the team. For whatever reason, the Dominican Republic has not been able to produce catching talent the way America or Venezuela have. In 2023, the Dominican catchers were Gary Sanchez and Francisco Mejia. Wells will be an upgrade on that.

On the mound, the DR has a two headed monster of Sandy Alcantara and Cristopher Sanchez at the top of their rotation. They also have strong bullpen options in Abner Uribe, Camilo Doval and Carlos Estevez. As usual, the Dominicans should be a big threat in this competition.

Now, let’s talk about the defending champions, Team Japan. They will be led by the best player in the world, Shohei Ohtani. However, Ohtani will not be pitching this time. Famously, he got the save in the WBC final last time around. Roki Sasaki is also not pitching at the event.

However, Japan still has plenty of firepower on the mound. World Series legend Yoshinobu Yamamoto will be the ace of the staff. He will be joined by Yusei Yikuchi and some of the top arms from the NPB.

Japan’s lineup is stacked with MLB talent. Ohtani is the star, but recent MLB free agent signings Munetaka Murakami and Kazuma Okamoto will join him. Cubs star Seiya Suzuki was not at the last WBC, but is on the team this time. Samurai Japan also tend to rise to the occasion in these competitions, so do not count out the defending champions.

The last of the top contenders is Venezuela. Led by Ronald Acuna Jr., and Salvador Perez, the Venezuelans have a stacked lineup. As usual, the Venezuelans have a ton of catching talent. Both of the Contreras brothers are on the team, as well as Perez.

Their outfield of Acuna, Jackson Chourio and Wilyer Abreu is among the best in the competition. They also have a lineup full of diverse skillsets. Luis Arraez and Eugenio Suarez are total opposites as hitters, but both are very effective.

On the mound, Venezuela’s aces will be Pablo Lopez and Ranger Suarez. There is not as much depth on the mound as some of the other top teams, but their pitching staff is still full of big leaguers.

The Dark Horses: Italy, Israel, Puerto Rico, Mexico, Korea, Canada, Netherlands

None of these teams are very likely to make the finals, but all of them have the talent to be party crashers. They all have plenty of big league talent, but are in a different tier than the top four teams on paper.

Puerto Rico could have been in the second tier if not for the unfortunate insurance situation. A few teams were harmed by the insurance controversy, but none more than Puerto Rico. Most of their stars will be unable to play in the competition. Francisco Lindor, Carlos Correa and Javier Baez are all absent from the roster because they could not get insured.

The Puerto Ricans still have MLB talent. They also added Nolan Arenado to the fold, which will help offset the losses of some of their stars. Notable big leaguers like Heliot Ramos and Edwin Diaz will still be there. However, this Puerto Rico team will not be as strong as usual.

One team that really interests me is Italy. The Italians are filled with US born MLB players of Italian heritage. Some of the biggest names are Aaron Nola, Vinny Pasquantino and Jac Caglianone. They also have big league talent up and down the roster. The most notable Italian born player is Sam Aldegheri, a top prospect in the Angels system who has made his MLB debut. This is a really underrated roster with a lot of young talent. Do not be surprised to see them play spoiler.

Israel is in a similar spot to Italy, but I do not think they are as talented. They have a lot of Jewish big leaguers. Their best player is Harrison Bader, who had an outstanding season last year. Other familiar faces like Spencer Horowitz and Garrett Stubbs are in the lineup.

On the mound, Israel’s rotation is headlined by Dean Kramer of the O’s. One problem for Israel is that they are in the group of death. Israel, the Dominican Republic, Venezuela and the Netherlands are all in the same group.

Speaking of the Netherlands, they have a strong roster as usual. The island of Curacao produces a lot of MLB talent. Xander Bogaerts, Jurickson Profar, Ozzie Albies, and Kenley Jansen give them plenty of major league experience. They also have some youngsters and former MLB players. Druw Jones, the son of Hall of Famer and Dutch manager Andruw Jones is on the team. As are former big leaguers like Didi Gregorious. 

Korea will also feature a strong group of players. They are led by Jung Hoo Lee. Other notable names include Hyun Jin Ryu and Hyseong Kim. There are also American players of Korean heritage like Jahmai Jones, Dane Dunning and Riley O’Brien on the team.

Canada is another team without some of their stars. Most notably, Freddie Freeman will not be competing at the WBC this year. However, they still have plenty of talent. Josh Naylor and Tyler O’Neill are a potent duo in the middle of the lineup. Denzel Clarke is one of the best center field defenders you will ever see. On the mound, they feature the likes of Jameson Taillon and Michael Soroka. 

The last team in this tier is Mexico. They are one of the better teams in this group, led by Jarren Duran, Alejandro Kirk, Jonathan Aranda and Randy Arozerena. On the mound, the Mexicans strength is in the bullpen. They have an elite closer in Andres Munoz, as well as quality set up men in Robert Garcia and Victor Vodnik. The rotation features Taj Bradley and Javier Assad.

The Scrappy Bunch: Taipei, Colombia, Great Britain, Cuba, Panama

These teams are not littered with big leaguers like the squads above them, but still have the talent to give them a scare. If you come out flat, these teams can clip you. They are scrappy and hungry.

Most of the best Cuban players are not on this roster. Given these players have to defect the country to pursue their MLB dreams, this is understandable. However, there is still some MLB talent. The most notable name on this team is Yoan Moncada. A funny tid bit is that 44 year old Alexei Ramirez is on the roster. He last played in the MLB in 2016.

Colombia is the best team in this tier, and has a case to be in the dark horse tier. I just did not think they had quite as much firepower. Elias Diaz and Gio Urshela are MLB vets who will be in their lineup. Young Mariners prospect Michael Arroyo is a name to watch as well. On the mound, they have the likes of Jose Quintana and former top prospect Luis Patino.

Jazz Chisholm gives Great Britain the best player in this tier of teams. Britain also has big leaguers like Harry Ford and Nate Eaton in their lineup. Hard throwing reliever Michael Peterson pitched in the big leagues some last year and will feature for Britain. Some interesting prospects like Gary Gill Hill and Brendan Beck are also on the team.

Panama has some sneaky solid talent. Their strength is at catcher, where they feature Ivan Herrera and Miguel Amaya. They also have big leaguers in their infield like Edmundo Sosa and Jose Caballero. On the mound, their best arm is US born Logan Allen. 

The final team in this tier is Taipei. They have solid talent, but also have a history of punching above their weight. For Asian countries in particular, this event is a big deal. Some notable hitters include prospect Hao-Yo Lee, Tsung-Che Cheng and American recruits Stuart Fairchild and Jonathan Long. On the mound, their most notable name is D-Backs prospect Yu-Min Lin.

Happy to be here: Brazil, Australia, Czechia, Nicaragua

The teams in this tier do not have many, if any MLB players. They are very unlikely to make it out of the group phases. However, this is still a very cool experience for the players on these teams.

Nicaragua is the most well-rounded of these teams, with a decent amount of MLB talent. Their star is Mark Vientos of the Mets, who will provide big time power for them. They also feature former big leaguers Jeter Downs and Cheslor Cuthbert. On the mound, they have prospect Carlos Rodriguez and long time big leaguer Erasmo Ramirez. 

Australia also has some notable names, especially at the plate. Their stars are Curtis Mead of the White Sox and former first overall pick Travis Bazzana. They do not have many notable names on the mound, but those two could provide an offensive spark for the Aussies.

Brazil does not have any current MLB players, but they do have some former big leaguers and top prospects. Their most interesting story is Joseph Contreras, the son of big leaguer Jose Contreras. The 17 year old has a chance to be a first round pick in the 2026 draft and is a senior in high school right now. Talk about a way to raise your draft stock.

Lastly, Czechia is the least talented group here. They do not have much big league talent at all, but it was so cool to see how much fun they had at the last event. This time around, they actually do have a player with MLB experience in Terrin Vavra. The Czechs are here for a good time, not a long time. 

Did Danny Ainge and the Jazz just help the Lakers keep Austin Reaves?

SALT LAKE CITY, UT - OCTOBER 27: Danny Ainge the CEO of the Utah Jazz laughs as he watches warmups before their game against the Los Angeles Clippers at the Delta Center on October 27 2023 in Salt Lake City, Utah. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Chris Gardner/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The NBA trade deadline went off the rails Tuesday, and it still hasn’t recovered.

Jaren Jackson Jr. is now on the Jazz. Anthony Davis is now on the Wizards?! Darius Garland is on the Clippers? James Harden is a Cavalier? And the Sixers gifted the defending champions Jared McCain so they could duck the luxury tax? (Well, that last one isn’t that surprising.)

The Lakers even jumped into the fray Thursday, sending Gabe Vincent and their 2032 second-round pick to the Atlanta Hawks for Luke Kennard. Both Kennard and Vincent are on expiring contracts, so this move didn’t cut into the Lakers’ precious cap space this offseason.

In the meantime, the Lakers should be thankful that other teams have been aggressive at the trade deadline. Their wheeling and dealing has drastically reshaped the 2026 free-agency landscape.

That’s good news for the Lakers’ (already strong) chances of re-signing Austin Reaves this offseason.

The trade deadline shakeup

In early November, Spotrac’s Keith Smith posted some initial cap-space projections for the 2026 offseason. Six teams made the cut: The Wizards ($80.9 million), Clippers ($67.6 million), Lakers ($55.6 million), Jazz ($48.4 million), Nets ($44.4 million) and Bulls ($35.0 million).

The Wizards have since burned all of that projected cap space on their acquisitions of Davis and Trae Young. Unless Young leaves in free agency this offseason, the Wizards are no longer even a remote threat to throw a bag at Reaves.

The same goes for the Jazz, who just burned their cap space on JJJ. If anything, that deal may work the other way on them. Not only can they no longer offer Reaves a huge contract, but the Lakers may now be able to pry Walker Kessler away in free agency by throwing a massive offer sheet at him in restricted free agency.

The Clippers still have John Collins’ $26.6 million contract coming off their books and $31.1 million in team options between Bogdan Bogdanović, Brook Lopez and Nic Batum. However, they now have Garland’s $42.2 million in guaranteed salary on their books for 2026-27. Harden only has $13.3 million of his $42.3 million salary guaranteed, which appears to have been the beginning of the end for his time in L.A.

Once the dust settles on the Bulls’ whirlwind of activity, they figure to still have a sizable amount of cap space as long as they let all of their players on expiring contracts go. However, they’ve acquired a number of guards ahead of the trade deadline, including Anfernee Simons, Jaden Ivey and Rob Dillingham. Will they still have interest or the roster makeup to make a big run at Reaves?

The Hawks also still project to have some cap space, although they wiped out a fair bit of it Wednesday night by acquiring Buddy Hield ($9.7 million next year) and Jonathan Kuminga for Kristaps Porziņģis’ expiring contract. If the Hawks plan to re-sign Kuminga — or just pick up their $24.3 million team option on him—that will likely slam the door on any chances they had of signing Reaves.

The Nets haven’t cut into their offseason spending power yet, but they’re in the early stages of a rebuild and just spent approximately 17 first-round picks on guards this past June. Reaves might not prefer to join a team that far away from contention unless its offer was far better than any other.

The Lakers’ outlook

There have been zero indications to date that Reaves is seriously entertaining the prospect of leaving the Lakers this summer in free agency. In fact, he’s said quite the opposite, and all indications have been that he wants to remain with the Lakers.

Reaves will be an unrestricted free agent once his declines his $14.9 million player option, so he could leave them empty-handed if he does sign elsewhere this offseason. The lack of rumors about his future can only mean good things for the Lakers, though. It wouldn’t be a surprise if Reaves and the Lakers already had a basic understanding of what his next contract will look like.  

If teams thought Reaves was a real flight risk, more of them might have lined up their books for a run at him in free agency. Instead, with the high-end soon-to-be free agents already flying off the board, most cap-space teams just went with the “pre-agency” approach at the trade deadline.

That doesn’t mean the Lakers are free to lowball Reaves, though. If the Lakers try to take advantage of his dwindling number of potential suitors, his agent could start sniffing around other teams and encouraging them to free up more cap space. As the Milwaukee Bucks proved last year when they waive-and-stretched Damian Lillard to sign Myles Turner, it only takes one wild card for a team’s best-laid plans to go awry.

Reaves is critical to the Lakers’ offseason plans, specifically from an order-of-operations standpoint. His $20.9 million salary-cap hold is far lower than what his next contract figures to begin at. The Lakers can spend their cap space first and then re-sign Reaves once they’re over the cap.

If Reaves wasn’t on board with that plan, he could blow up their entire strategy. Much like Tyrese Maxey and the Sixers a few years ago, there’s likely a mutual understanding of how much Reaves will cost on his next contract.

Even if negotiations do take a hard left turn at some point, the Lakers can rest easy in knowing that the pool of potential threats for Reaves is already thinning out.  

Unless otherwise noted, all stats via NBA.com, PBPStats, Cleaning the Glass or Basketball Reference. All salary information via Spotrac and salary-cap information via RealGM.

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Buck Martinez Announces Retirement

TORONTO, ON - July 26 - Former jays manager and now broadcaster Buck Martinez acknowledges the crowd on his first day back after battling cancer. The Toronto Blue Jays took on the St. Louis Cardinals in MLB baseball action at the Rogers Centre. July 26 2022 (Richard Lautens/Toronto Star via Getty Images) | Toronto Star via Getty Images

Longtime Blue Jays TV announcer Buck Martinez announced his retirement this morning. Martinez joined the Jays’ booth as a colour commentator nearly 40 years ago, for the 1986 season. He moved down to the dugout to manage the 2001 and 2002 seasons. After leaving the team, he worked for seven years in the the Baltimore Orioles’ booth before returning in 2010 as the play-by-play announcer with Pat Tabler as his main colour analyst for the next 13 years.

Buck missed the first half of the 2023 season while receiving cancer treatment. He returned in July, moving back to his old job providing colour and pairing back up with Dan Shulman, with whom he’d worked from 1995 through 2000.

The Buck/Tabby booth was the source of a lot of jokes on our site for many years, but in my opinion the Shulman/Martinez pairing was one of the best local broadcast booths in the league.

Buck turned 77 in November, so you can’t say he hasn’t put in his time. He’s been a part of the Jays organization my whole life (barring the brief Orioles stint), and I’m not young. I hope he amd his wife Arlene enjoy a long and happy retirement.

Why don’t we use the comments to share some memories of Buck’s Blue Jays calls. For me, the great “barbecues on boats” digression, when a guy grilling on his boat in McCovey Cove excited him and Pat so much that it derailed the broadcast for about three innings, is a treasured memory. There were also lots of calls of huge moments on the field, of course, but as much as anything a baseball broadcast booth functions as a couple of buddies you watch the game with, and there are a lot more August afternoons in indifferent seasons than there are World Series game sevens. That night in San Francico, for me, epitomizes what it was like to hang out with Buck and Pat, our friendly if loopy collective uncles, as they only sort of pay attention to what’s going on on the field.

Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The NBA trade deadline has come and gone with neither the Miami Heat nor the Boston Celtics making seismic moves.

Miami, in particular, stands out as one of only three teams to have not made a trade this season.

My Heat vs. Celtics predictions expect Miami to be a bit let down by that inaction, the effects of the trade deadline impacting plenty of NBA picks on Friday, February 6.

Heat vs Celtics prediction

Heat vs Celtics best bet: Under 228 (-110)

The Miami Heat were supposedly in the mix for two of the biggest names on the trade market. And they walked away with exactly nothing.

We have all heard that story before, but it has to be deflating for that locker room to hear it was considering title contention only to putter forward with this middling roster.

That deflated vibe should play right into the Boston Celtics’ preferences.Miami plays at the fastest pace in the league, while Boston plays at the slowest.

Trust the Celtics to set the terms tonight.

Heat vs Celtics same-game parlay

This exact same-game parlay has cashed in two of Boston’s last four games.

In fact, the Celtics have won against the spread in their last four games.

Heat vs Celtics SGP

  • Under 228
  • Celtics -6
  • Payton Pritchard Over 2.5 threes

Our "from downtown" SGP: Preaching Pritchard

This is simply overpriced. Payton Pritchard has hit at least three 3-pointers but fallen short of 17 points in six games this season.

A slower game should set him up for that exact dichotomy.

Heat vs Celtics SGP

  • Under 228
  • Celtics -6
  • Payton Pritchard Over 2.5 threes
  • Payton Pritchard Under 16.5 points

Heat vs Celtics odds

  • Spread: Heat +6 (-110) | Celtics -6 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Heat +195 | Celtics -240
  • Over/Under: Over 228 (-110) | Under 228 (-110)

Heat vs Celtics betting trend to know

Boston’s last seven games have all gone Under their totals, and by an average of 14.8 points. Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Celtics.

How to watch Heat vs Celtics

LocationTD Garden, Boston, MA
DateFriday, February 6, 2026
Tip-off7:30 p.m. ET
TVFDSN Sun, NBC Sports Boston

Heat vs Celtics latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Patrick Reed takes the lead in Qatar and tries to wrap up Middle East swing with another win

DOHA, Qatar (AP) — Patrick Reed birdied two of his last three holes Friday for a 5-under 67, giving him a one-shot lead in the Qatar Masters as the American tries to wrap up a career-changing month in the Middle East with another victory.

Reed took advantage of late scoring opportunities at Doha Golf Club. He drove just short of the reachable par-4 16th to set up a pitch-and-putt birdie, then chose to lay up from 272 yards on the par-5 18th with water down the left side. Reed hit wedge to 7 feet for birdie.

That put him at 12-under 132, one shot ahead of Joakim Lagergren of Sweden, who had a 66. Daniel Hillier of New Zealand (69) and Richard Sterne of South Africa (66) were another shot back.

Reed came over to the Middle East a month ago while preparing for his fifth season on LIV Golf. But he won the Dubai Desert Classic, revealed he still had not signed a contract with LIV and then couldn't agree on a new deal with the Saudi-funded league.

Reed is playing a European tour schedule this year with an eye toward returning to the PGA Tour. A victory in Qatar would all but lock up one of the 10 tour cards offered to leading European tour players who are not yet PGA Tour members.

___

AP golf: https://apnews.com/hub/golf

What we learned from the Spurs win over the Mavericks

DALLAS, TEXAS - FEBRUARY 5: Cooper Flagg #32 of the Dallas Mavericks shoots the ball against Victor Wembanyama #1 and Devin Vassell #24 of the San Antonio Spurs during the first half at American Airlines Center on February 5, 2026 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The NBA’s official definition of “clutch time” refers to when a game is within five points or less in the last five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime. It can be exciting for fans who want a thrilling game, but it can also be stressful and may not be for everyone on every night, especially if you’re already tired or stressed and just want a relaxing viewing experience.

The Spurs have not been relaxing to watch lately, and frankly, I’m starting to think they like it that way. I think they like playing in the clutch. They enjoy the thrill and experience that comes with closing out tight games, and as fans may have deduced at this point, they’re good at it. The have the fifth best record in the league in “clutch” games, sitting at 19-10 (65.5%, just slightly under their overall win percentage), and it’s almost like they’re out to increase that number, which they did last night.

Their opponent was an improving Mavericks team that is no longer the deer-in-the-headlights group they encountered in their season opener — led by the then doe-eyed but now scintillating Cooper Flagg — but they have also committed to starting over from the mess former GM Nico Harrison created. They traded away the cornerstone of his shocking and terrible deal that sent Luka Doncic to LA, sending the oft-injured Anthony Davis to the Washington Wizards, and I sensed a bit of relief in the air of their arena last night, even from my own couch. That painful page in franchise history is officially turned for good, and now they can move on (even if it will always linger, like the page that a book always opens to first because it’s been open so much lately that the spine has been shaped around it).

Despite being likely destined for the lottery again, the Mavs showed that with the right future moves, they and Flagg could be a force to reconned with again soon, and the Spurs learned that last night. With their propensity to play down to opponents, they failed to build any kind of sizable lead all night but remained ahead and just enough in control to stop any threating Mavs runs. With 5:15 left in the game, Devin Vassell hit one of his reliable midrange jumpers to put them ahead by seven, but wait! We can’t have the Spurs not having any clutch time when they enjoy it so much, so of course they allowed a quick 6-0 Mavs run to get within a point a minute later, and perhaps for the first time all game, there may have been a tad bit of doubt about the outcome.

But then, the Spurs proceeded with what I’ve decided has been their mischievous plan all along considering the repeating pattern: dominate the rest of clutch time by closing on a 15-4 run so they could continue to pad those clutch time stats. Stephon Castle hit a big three to start it off and put back a Victor Webmanyama miss with an emphatic dunk to close things out, and everyone did everything right on both ends in between.

As fun as it may be, I need a break from tight games. Whether that relief will come in the form of a blowout win in the next three games or simply as a part of the All-Star break after that is the ultimate question. Don’t get me wrong: I love a team that knows how to tighten the strings and put things together on both ends when the game is on the line, which will be very important in the playoffs, but I would also happily accept a blowout win here or there, just for my own sanity.

Takeaways

  • Lately, the Spurs path to victory has been more akin to defensive slugfests because of their inconsistency on offense and from their three-point shooters. In this game, the defense was lazy at times, but they made up for it with a balanced offensive attack. Seven players scored in double figures, including all five starters, and overall, they hit 17-41 threes to keep the defense honest. That included Wemby and Harrison Barnes finding their strokes from outside, combining to hit 10-18 with the former hitting his first five (all in the first half) and the latter spreading them out across the game. It was especially noteworthy for Barnes, who has been in an extended shooting slump dating back months, and this was the first time he hit five threes since December 2. His stroke has slowly been returning to form in recent games, and hopefully this is finally the breakthrough performance that returns him to his Uncle Harrison form from earlier in the season. When he’s on, his spacing does wonders for the starting lineup (especially if Julian Champagnie is off, which he was last night with a 2-8 performance from three).
  • The Stephon Castle Viewing Experience continues to be a wild ride. Whether it’s game-to-game, quarter-to-quarter or even play-to-play, you never know whether you’re going to get his frustrating or game-changing version. Last night, he was mostly the latter. He came off the bench for the first time in 11 months after missing the night before to nurse his sore adductor, with the reason reportedly being he’s on a minutes restriction. He was his usual self regardless of role, with 18 points on 8-13 shooting, 7 rebounds 6 assists and 2 steals, plus the aforementioned huge clutch shots, but there was also the frustrating moments, like him driving into traffic and getting stripped on his way to three turnovers.
  • Don’t look now, but despite an up-and-down January when the Spurs barely crossed over the .500 mark with an 8-7 record, they have won three straight to start the month of February (even if they haven’t been pretty). As a result, they are in firm control of the second seed once again as the teams behind them continue to struggle, with a three-game cushion in the loss column on the Nuggets and Rockets. In fact, along with the Lakers, they are the only team in the West with a better record than 6-4 across their last ten games. That doesn’t mean they can relax — the schedule continues to be brutal, and the Rodeo Road Trip begins next week — but even if the Spurs want to give us a heart attack in the process of winning, it’s nice to be able to enjoy standings watching again.
  • Speaking of the Rockets, my Alperen Sengun sports hate has been justified. Thank you. (Not going to embed everything here, but for proof, click here, here and here. Rough 24 hours for the big fella.)

2025 Season in Review: Billy McKinney

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - JULY 01: Billy McKinney #23 of the Texas Rangers swings his bat during the second inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Globe Life Field on July 01, 2025 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images) | Getty Images

With the 2025 Texas Rangers season having come to an end, we shall be, over the course of the offseason, taking a look at every player who appeared in a major league game for the Texas Rangers in 2025.

Today we are looking at outfielder Billy McKinney.

Ah, Billy McKinney…Texas native, product of Plano West, first round pick of the Oakland A’s in 2013.

The funny thing about McKinney coming out of high school is that he’s the type of player the 2013 Texas Rangers steered clear of, but that the 2026 Texas Rangers would have high on their draft board. From BA’s writeup of him at the time:

McKinney has one of the sweetest swings in the 2013 draft, and he has hit his way into the first round with a strong spring. He generates excellent bat speed from the left side of the plate, and he barrels balls with ease thanks to his hand-eye coordination and disciplined approach. The 6-foot-2, 195-pounder has strength and should grow into solid power. The rest of McKinney’s tools are fringy to average, but his arm and speed play up because he goes all-out all the time. Scouts love his makeup and are confident that he’ll provide the offense required on an outfield corner

Great swing and hit tool, not a lot of current power but projects to power, everything else fringy, great makeup…I expect the Rangers to take a high school hitter in the first few rounds of this year’s draft whose scouting report could be boiled down to that.

Unfortunately, the power never really developed past average, and the hit tool ended up being more okay than great, and when you’ve got nothing else in your box to fall back on, you end up dropping in the prospect rankings and eventually landing in perpetual NRI land.

You can track McKinney’s prospect arc in the myriad of trades he was involved in. A year and a month after being drafted by the A’s, he went to the Cubs as the second prospect (behind Addison Russell) in a deal where the A’s acquired Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel, with Dan Straily also going to Chicago. Two years and 20 days after that, he was again sent out as the second prospect in a deadline deal, this time to the Yankees for rental closer Aroldis Chapman, with Gleyber Torres as the headliner, and Adam Warren and Rashad Crawford also going to New York.

Samardzija, incidentally, was traded by Oakland that winter to the White Sox for a package that included Marcus Semien.

Anyway, two years and one day after he was traded to the Yankees, he was once again in a deadline trade, this time wo the Toronto Blue Jays, along with Brandon Drury, in exchange for J.A. Happ, a deal that would indicate that his star had fallen significantly from where it was before. After that, he was claimed on waivers from the Jays by the Brewers in September, 2020, traded by the Brewers to the Mets in May, 2021, for Pedro Quintana, and then traded by the Mets to the Dodgers in July, 2021, for Carlos Rincon. The Rangers purchased him from the Dodgers that November, then non-tendered him a week later.

The transactions log for McKinney in that time paints a picture.

McKinney has spent at least part of every major league season since 2018 in the big leagues, accumulating a whopping 327 games and 964 plate appearances in that time for nine different clubs, one of which is Your Texas Rangers.

You are forgiven if you don’t remember this, but McKinney had two different stints in the bigs with Texas in 2025. Released by the Mets, for whom he was toiling in AAA, in May, he signed at the end of the month with Texas and joined the Express. He was up briefly in July when Evan Carter went on the bereavement list, going 1 for 7 in two games before being DFA’d upon Carter’s return, clearing waivers, opting for free agency, and then re-signing with Texas.

Then, at the end of September, when everyone was hurt, Texas added him to the 40 man and active roster once again, replacing Wyatt Langford, who went on the i.l. He went 3 for 13 in four starts.

McKinney ended the season with a .200/.238/.250 slash line for Texas. Not great, but then, his role was to be a warm body for a handful of games when Texas needed a warm body. The veteran depth in AAA, who can be called up when injuries or other events necessitate a short term plug.

McKinney does not appear to have signed with anyone yet this offseason, but I imagine he will. He’ll get a minor league deal with an NRI, get some plate appearances in camp, probably won’t make the major league roster, will spend the 2026 season at one or more team’s AAA affiliate, and wait to see if he’s needed for a dozen or so plate appearances in the majors for some club needing a short-term patch.

Its a living.

Previously:

Gerson Garabito

Tyler Mahle

Kyle Higashioka

Adolis Garcia

Luis Curvelo

Alejandro Osuna

Blaine Crim

Jake Burger

Jacob Webb

Nick Ahmed

Jon Gray

Carl Edwards Jr.

Josh Jung

Leody Taveras

Dustin Harris

Marc Church

Luke Jackson

Danny Coulombe

Wyatt Langford

Dylan Moore

Michael Helman

Evan Carter

Cole Winn

Rowdy Tellez

Dane Dunning

Marcus Semien

Top 25 Mets Prospects for 2026: Peter Kussow (27)

On January 21, 2026, Jett Williams and Brandon Sproat were traded to the Milwaukee Brewers. This list, and their place on it, was compiled back in late-November. For continuity’s sake, I decided upon including Williams and Sproat’s profile, but for all intents and purposes, every player on our list below the pair can be considered to have moved up, with the addition of prospects 26 and 27 effectively becoming 24 and 25.

Hartland, Wisconsin native Peter Kussow attended Arrowhead High School in Hartland, Wisconsin, a school that up until this point has never produced a major leaguer; infielder Scott Doffek, who was signed by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the late-80s and made it as high as Double-A is the closest the school has to offer. Initially a two-sport baseball and football player, he gave up the gridiron to focus on baseball, and in doing so, changed the trajectory of his life for the better. In 2025, his senior year, the 20-6 Arrowhead Warhawks were rated 10 among Division 1 schools by the Wisconsin Baseball Coaches Association, and Peter Kussow was a big reason why. After growing, putting on some weight, and experiencing a fastball velocity boost, the right-hander posted a 2.03 ERA in 33.1 innings, allowing 22 hits, walking 14, and striking out a team-leading 75 batters, nearly 33% of the entire team’s total. Unsurprisingly as a result, scouts and evaluators considered the big right-hander one of the best draft-eligible high school players in Wisconsin in 2025, and arguably the best pitcher.

Overview

Name: Peter Kussow
Position: RHP
Born: 12/08/2006 (Age 19 season in 2026)
Height: 6’5”
Weight: 205 lbs.
Bats/Throws: R/R
Acquired: 2025 MLB Draft, 4th Round (Arrowhead Union High School, Wisconsin)
2025 Stats: DNP

The Mets selected Kussow with their 4th round pick in the 2025 MLB Draft, the only prep player in the entire state to be selected in 2025. The right-hander had a commitment to play baseball for the University of Louisville but ended up forging it as he signed professionally to play for the Mets. With an MLB-assigned slot value for the 133rd overall pick of $555,800, Kussow and the Mets agreed to an $897,500 signing bonus, $341,700 above slot value. He did not pitch in 2025.

Kussow, who stands 6’5” and is listed at 205-pounds, throws from a high-three-quarters arm slot with a long arm action through the back and wrist hyperflexion. His whippy arm is capable of reaching 97 MPH, though the pitch generally lives in the low-90s. The pitch generally sits around 2400 RPM, generating as much as 18 inches of induced vertical break. In addition to the ride, thanks to his arm slot and his crossfire delivery, the pitch has plenty of arm-side run, and when thrown down in the zone, has steep angle thanks to his height and extension.

His slider is his go-to strikeout pitch, though he also likes to throw it for strikes early in the count as well. The pitch sits in the high-80s and features gyroscopic movement, averaging roughly 2500 RPM of spin, topping out almost 2700 RPM. The pitch possesses late vertical slice without much horizontal movement and the right-hander has consistently been able to command the pitch all throughout his high school career. Kussow rounds out his pitching repertoire with a changeup, which sits in the high-80s and at present is still developing as a pitch but shows promise thanks to the tumble and fade it gets.

The right-hander has displayed inconsistent command of his pitches, partially because of his mechanics and partially because, as a pitcher from a cold weather state, he does not have as much mound experience as many of his peers. Additionally, while he has not displayed them over the course of his high school career, he may eventually develop platoon splits against better competition because of his mechanics. Because of the extremely long arm circle through the back that he utilizes, left-handed hitters have plenty of time to pick up the ball in his hand.

2026 Mets Top 25 Prospect List

1) Nolan McLean
2) Carson Benge
3) Jonah Tong
4) Jett Williams*
5) Brandon Sproat*
6) A.J. Ewing
7) Jacob Reimer
8) Ryan Clifford
9) Will Watson
10) Jack Wenninger
11) Mitch Voit
12) Jonathan Santucci
13) Elian Peña
14) Zach Thornton
15) Nick Morabito
16) R.J. Gordon
17) Chris Suero
18) Dylan Ross
19) Ryan Lambert
20) Antonio Jimenez
21) Edward Lantigua
22) Eli Serrano III
23) Randy Guzman
24) Daiverson Gutierrez
25) Boston Baro
26) Marco Vargas
27) Peter Kussow

The Framber Valdez signing has the Royals sweating and other news tidbits with Max Rieper

Royals Rundown
Royals Rundown

In this episode of the Royals Rundown Podcast, Jeremy “Hokius” Greco is joined by Royals Review Managing Editor Max Rieper to discuss how worried Royals fans should be about Framber Valdez joining the Tigers, John Wathan entering the Royals Hall of Fame, how fans can watch the team this year, and more!

Will the Brandon Drury signing mean anything for the team? Which historical trades have hurt us the most? And who are the Royals counting on the most to improve in 2026?

Email Jacob directly at: jm17971047@gmail.com

Need your Royals fix? Head to royalsreview.com for news, analysis, and to engage with Royals fans around the world! Follow us online:

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– Jeremy Greco: @hokius.fromthehawkseye.com
– Jacob Milham: @jacobmilhkc.bsky.social

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– Podcast: @RoyalRundownPod

The Good Phight’s Community Prospect list: #11 – Cade Obermueller

Iowa’s Cade Obermueller (33) gets ready to pitch against Oregon during a Big Ten conference baseball game May 15, 2025 at Duane Banks Field in Iowa City, Iowa. | Julia Hansen/Iowa City Press-Citizen / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Finally, a close vote!

Cade Obermueller – 25
Jean Cabrera – 23
Yoniel Curet – 23
Keaton Anthony – 11
Griffin Burkholder – 10
Carson DeMartini – 9
Alex McFarlane – 3
Mavis Graves – 3
Romeli Espinosa – 2
Cody Bowker – 1

It was quite interesting watching the Phillies’ 2025 draft unfold. Once Gage Wood was secured in the first round, the team could have gone any different direction since their player development system was somewhat devoid of top notch prospects. What we saw instead was a refilling of the pitching stockpile the team desperately needed to refill.

Obermueller is one of them. He might reach the majors quickly if the team focused on his becoming a reliever, but there is some time still. They can see what he can do as a starter first, then go from there. His only really throwing two pitches will probably dictate a lot of his path, but this is something the Phillies need to develop: starters and/or relievers that they can promote from within as opposed to having to trade for them all the time.

2025 stats

Did not make professional debut

Fangraphs scouting report

Obermueller has relief risk because he’s smaller, he throws just two pitches, and he doesn’t have great command of either of them. But he’s a special athlete with a beautiful delivery, which arguably allows for mold-breaking command and changeup projection. Obermueller is an incredibly loose, explosive athlete with bendy, whippy limbs and a powerful lower body. His delivery adds deception to his stuff in basically every way. He’s able to hide the ball for a long time because of how far back his arm lays before release. He takes a cross-bodied stride and has a lower arm slot, but he still manages to power down the mound and generate plus extension despite an indirect line to the plate. Plus, Obermueller gets to a more vertical hand position on release than is typical of someone with his arm slot. All of this creates huge uphill angle on his fastball, which averages 91-95 mph. That’s up a tick from his sophomore year, and he’ll peak in the 97-98 mph range.

With each new post, we’ll reveal who won the voting for that particular slot, then post new players for you to vote on, adding another one to the list each time until we get to our final tally of 20. Once we get to 20 top prospects, we’ll do an honorable mention post at the end. If a player gets traded to another team, we’ll just chuck him right on outta here and all the players will move up a spot. If a prospect gets acquired, we’ll ask where he should go on the list.

Probably the most important thing about this whole process – please vote. Give us a few minutes of your time, just click a button and then we can discuss other players and things in the comment section, but don’t forget – VOTE!

Weird Islanders: The Podcast! – Episode 80 – Dick Tarnstrom (with guest Dan Hopper)

Along with “Thrill of Defeat” host and Pittsburgh guy Dan Hopper, we remember Dick Tarnstrom, who turned getting waived by the Islanders into a starring role on some bad transitional Penguins teams.

While the Penguins have had some all time great players in their history, the periods between those players were pretty dire. Bankruptcies, empty buildings and lots of losses were not uncommon for one of the NHL’s now-marquee teams. Into one of these eras stepped Dick Tarnstrom, a very late round pick of the Islanders who found himself squeezed out of Long Island during one of their rare fertile periods of the early 2000’s and onto a Penguins team desperate for anyone who could put the puck into a net. Tarnstrom was competent on a bereft squad, which means he got comparisons to Hall of Famers, and Hart and Norris Trophy votes from the win-starved writers covering it. The Penguins’ “X-Generation” might have featured a lot of weird players, but thanks to cheap tickets and EXTREME marketing, it actually succeeded in creating a new wave of fans. To those kids, guys like Dick Tarnstrom felt like superstars of tomorrow.

Dan takes us through the Full Tarnstrom Experience and tells us what it was like watching the Penguins between the Lemieux/Jagr and Crosby/Malkin eras. We learn about the “Ric and Dick Show,” attending Ryan Malone’s hockey camp as a kid, the Woodstock 99 flavor of the “X-Generation” ads and how Tarnstrom was able to capture hearts in the Steel City. We also wonder how we forgot he played for the Oilers during their 2006 Cup final run and why he was put on waivers in the first place (it probably had something to do with being Swedish and having Mike Milbury as a general manager). It’s the deepest dive you’ll find on the man who is surely the last “Dick” in NHL history.

Thanks again to Dan for coming on. His podcast, “Thrill of Defeat” is outstanding and if you’re a fan of Weird Islanders, it will be right up your alley. He’s on a bit of a hiatus now, but there are plenty of episodes to get started on.

WEIRD BONUS MATERIAL

  • Tarnstrom didn’t score a ton of goals for the Islanders but one of them helped them forge a 6-6 tie (!) with the Panthers in February of 2002.
  • Most people probably didn’t notice Tarnstrom getting picked up off waivers by the Penguins in August of 2002. But he started turning heads early that season (playing with Mario Lemieux might have helped). After a 41-point campaign, he would re-up with them in the summer of 2003 because, basically, they had to sign someone on defense. That investment would pay off in spades for them.
  • Here’s Tarnstrom scoring for the Penguins (includes a couple of classic Mike Lange calls)
  • This incredible article detailed the impact Tarnstrom had on the Penguins in the early rebuild stages. It would read like a satire if it didn’t really happen. Includes a cheap shot at the Islanders for good measure.
  • After playing for the Oilers, on their 2006 Stanley Cup final team, and the Blue Jackets to disappointing results, Tarnstrom returned to his native Sweden and his original club, the Stockholm-based AIK in 2008. The team had been relegated to the SEL’s second division. But with Tarnstrom as captain, they made it back to the top tier in 2010 and went on a couple of long playoff runs.
  • He was forced to retire in 2013 due to a herniated spinal disc. He’s currently the youth hockey manager for the Mälarhöjden/Bredäng Hockey or MB Hockey school. His son Oliver was drafted by the Rangers in 2020 but wasn’t signed and is currently playing in Sweden.

What makes a “Weird Islander?”

We’re always open to suggestions about other Weird Islanders to discuss. Remember the criteria. Candidates must fulfill one of the two of the following:

  • Played one (1) season or less for the Islanders or very short stints over multiple seasons.
  • Be a veteran NHLer who is not generally associated with his time on Islanders.

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The LeBron James to Cleveland rumors are heating up

CLEVELAND, OH - JANUARY 28: LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers drives to the basket during the game against the Cleveland Cavaliers on January 28, 2026 at Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The fuel on the “LeBron James is coming back to Cleveland” fire is seemingly getting gasoline poured on it from every corner. Noted The Athletic columnist Jason Lloyd spoke on 92.3 The Fan and dumped even more lighter fluid on the rumor (or at this point, league-wide assumption) that James will end his tenure with the Los Angeles Lakers and rejoin the Cleveland Cavaliers for one last ride.

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“If (LeBron) plays anywhere next year, it’s going to be here,” Lloyd said. “He’s not going back to LA.” Lloyd also went on to give his experience as someone who saw the writing on the wall in Cleveland in 2018 when it became apparent that James was leaving the Cavaliers for the second time. “I’ve seen this movie before.”

James and the Lakers have been at odds seemingly for quite some time, whether that be due to the roster or the head coach. With the acquisition of Luka Doncic, who immediately became the face of the franchise in Los Angeles, it further alienated James — who rarely plays second fiddle to anyone. Even to a top-five player in the league like Doncic.

There are two questions that remain in this fairytale. The first one is if James decides to play again, which is not a given. The 41-year-old is still throwing down reverse dunks and nabbing alley-oops, but there is no guarantee that he will take the court after this season. The second question is how much money he will ask for as an unrestricted free agent playing likely his last year in the NBA.

James is an anomaly, an alien of basketball with a physical fitness level unseen in the league before. This isn’t Paul Pierce signing a deal to retire in a Boston Celtics jersey. The Cavs would be leveled up with James on the roster. But that comes at a price, and it won’t be the league minimum value.

“I don’t think he is going to take a league-minimum from Dan [Gilbert],” Lloyd continued. “Find a way to get to the mid-level [exception], have to get under the [second] apron, there’s other conversations that have to be had.”

The Cavs did good work this past week or so to put themselves in a position to get under the dreaded second apron with the trades of De’Andre Hunter and Lonzo Ball, and they have some expiring salary they can shed. It’s worth noting that they would need to get out of more than just the second apron to get full access to the mid-level exception.

That said, if there is a willingness from both sides to make it work out from a salary perspective, there’s a good chance it will in the end.

How good is the Red Sox defense?

Baltimore Orioles v Boston Red Sox

In 2025, the Boston Red Sox led all of baseball in errors, a statistical category they’ve been near the top of for several years now.

And yet, most defensive metrics don’t think the Sox are that bad, and some think they are elite. By Statcast’s Fielding Run Value as presented by Baseball Savant, the Red Sox had the fifth-best defense in baseball last year. By Statcast’s Fielding Run Value as presented by FanGraphs (which is apparently a slightly different thing, though I couldn’t tell you how) they were the seventh-best. By Statcast’s Outs Above Average as presented by FanGraphs, they were the tenth-best. By Statcast’s Outs Above Average as presented by Savant (again, somehow different!), they were more middling at number 13. And by Defensive Runs Saved from the Fielding Bible, they were twelfth.

Which of these metrics is the right metric? Well, according to the rules of arguing about baseball on the internet, the right metric is the one that helps you prove whatever point you’ve already decided you want to make. If you want to say that the Sox suck defensively, go ahead and use errors. If you want to say they’re great, go ahead and use Fielding Run Value. If you want to provide a nuanced opinion, choose any of the others, but nobody cares for nuance and everyone will ignore you.

The truth is that defensive metrics are far behind the metrics we use to measure pitching and hitting, and they probably always will be. This is just how the field of statistics works: some things are harder to measure than others.

Complicating the issue in the case of the Red Sox is the fact that roster features players of shockingly disparate defensive quality. Ceddanne Rafaela was arguably the best gloveman in all of baseball last year; Kristian Campbell was arguably the worst. Carlos Narvaez graded out as elite by many metrics; Connor Wong graded out as horrendous. When Wilyer Abreu was healthy, the Sox had one of the best defensive right fielders you could ask for; when Rob Refsnyder was out there, they were below average. You get the picture, and if you don’t here’s a pretty shocking little image:

According to Savant’s OAA, the Red Sox outfield (the table on the left side of the slider) was far and away the best defensive outfield in baseball, with the gap between them and the number two team almost twice as big as the gap between number two and number three. But in the infield (on the right of the slider) they were the second-worst collection of defenders, a whopping 47 runs worse than the league leaders.

We still don’t know what the Red Sox infield will look like, but it probably won’t have Kristian Campbell in it anymore. It will have Willson Contreras, who was the sixth-best first baseman in baseball by Savant’s OAA. Marcelo Mayer should absolutely be a plus-defender, though we don’t yet know exactly how good he’ll be, how much he’ll play, or where he’ll play. Much of the same can be said about Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Trevor Story, David Hamilton, and Romy Gonzalez, though, are pretty bad by most metrics.

And then there’s the issue of the revamped pitching staff. The Red Sox outfield (the strongest part of their defense, remember!) had 1074 total fielding chances in 2025, which was actually pretty low overall. And the outfield may get even fewer chances in 2026, thanks to the additions of Sonny Gray and Ranger Suárez, two pitchers who induce grounders at a much higher rate than most starters (just like Garrett Crochet).

So how good will the Red Sox defense be in 2026? Talk about that or whatever else you want, and, as always, be good to one another.

Thoughts on the Penguins at the Olympic break: Are they contenders?

PITTSBURGH, PA - DECEMBER 30: Sidney Crosby #87 of the Pittsburgh Penguins skates against the Carolina Hurricanes at PPG PAINTS Arena on December 30, 2025 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/NHLI via Getty Images) | NHLI via Getty Images

The Pittsburgh Penguins scored one of their most impressive wins of the 2025-26 season on Thursday night when they beat a Buffalo Sabres team that has been one of the hottest in the NHL by an 5-2 margin. It was an impressive win not only because they mostly outplayed the Sabres, but also because they did it without Kris Letang, Rickard Rakell, Blake Lizotte and Noel Acciari. They did it with another mostly off night from the Sidney Crosby line. They did it with a couple of rookies (Ben Kindel and Avery Hayes) providing most of the offense.

It has the Penguins in second place in the Metropolitan Division going into the Olympic break, while also having a pretty nice cushion over the non-playoff teams in the Eastern Conference.

It is impressive. It is also far better than anybody anticipated for this season when it began.

It also leads to a question that needs to be asked. Are the Penguins contenders this season? Right now? The knee-jerk reaction instinct is to simply say, no, they are not, because that is not what anybody anticipated at the start and certainly not what the expectations were. But as I wrote on Tuesday, your play changes expectations, and based on the Penguins play and results I am having a hard time arguing why they can not contend for the Eastern Conference this season.

Follow me here.

1. Can the Pittsburgh Penguins be Eastern Conference contenders right now?

Let me just give you some numbers on where the Penguins rank across the board in both the standings and some other major categories.

  • NHL Points Percentage: .625 (7th)
  • Eastern Conference Points Percentage: .625 (4th)
  • NHL Goal Differential: plus-23 (7th)
  • 5-on-5 Goal Share: plus-15 (8th)
  • 5-on-5 Expected Goals Share: 52.2 (7th)
  • 5-on-5 Expected Goals For Per 60 Minutes: 2.92 (4th)
  • 5-on-5 Expected Goals Against Per 60 Minutes: 2.67 (17th)
  • 5-on-5 Scoring Chance Share: 51.6 (9th)
  • 5-on-5 High-Danger Scoring Chance Share: 52.7 (9th)
  • Penalty Kill Success Rate: 84.0 (3rd)
  • Power Play Success Rate: 25.9 (4th)

In just about every standings metric, possession metric, and scoring chance metric they are a top-10 team. In most of them, they are a top-eight team. They are an outstanding 5-on-5 team. Their special teams in both areas are among the best in the NHL. They have four capable forward lines with some depth beyond them (as we have seen with Rutger McGroarty, Ville Koivunen and now Avery Hayes able to make the move from the AHL and contribute). The goaltending has run hot-and-cold at times, but overall it has been good enough.

The only metric where they are not in the top-10 is when it comes to preventing expected goals defensively. They are middle-of-the-pack in that area. But even then they jump up to 12th in the NHL over the past 25 games, indicating some significant improvement in their defensive play.

Against teams currently in a playoff position they are 13-5-6 this season. Against the other top-10 teams in the standings this season they are 8-4-2.

We all know what the preseason expectations were. We all know what the roster looks like on paper and where the perceived shortcomings are.

We also know that we have a 56-game sampling where they have consistently outplayed teams, won games, and won games against other top contenders in the Eastern Conference and the NHL as a whole.

Right now the Tampa Bay Lightning are separating themselves from everybody else in the Eastern Conference and are starting to get healthy. They look like the class of the conference right now and are suddenly giving the Colorado Avalanche a run for their money league wide. They look impressive. Even dominant. Even then, the Penguins have traditionally matched up well with them and played them very well. Including this season. Including recently.

There is still a lot of hockey to be played, obviously, but not THAT much. The March schedule is brutally difficult and I suspect we will learn a lot about the Penguins during that stretch. We have also been saying that quite often this season and each time they keep passing the test. There is a lot to be said for that.

They are an objectively good hockey team right now. It is just a matter of how good and what their potential ceiling might be. My suspicion is it might be higher than even Pittsburgh thinks it is.

2. Sidney Crosby is in a funk and it has not really mattered

The one Penguins line that is not really clicking right now is, oddly enough, the Sidney Crosby line. Part of that was the absence of Bryan Rust for a few games while he served his suspension, and Justin Brazeau not really being a great fit in his place. Part of it has been Crosby going through a rare funk. Both things are contributing.

Crosby especially has been struggling with zero goals, only two assists and a minus-3 rating over his past seven games.

The Penguins record in those six games: 4-1-1

That is a testament to the Penguins forward depth.

That is also another box checked in the “why are they not considered contenders right now?” list.

3. Ben Kindel just keeps getting better

Of all the changes the Penguins made to their roster for this season, the selection of Ben Kindel and his unexpected presence in the lineup has been one of the most significant. An 18-year-old, non-top-five pick, playing at center, and just stepping right into the NHL and being one of the best players on his team (and a good team!) is just outrageously impressive and unexpected work.

He is not only impressive.

He keeps getting better.

Especially now that he has snapped out of the goal-scoring funk that he was stuck in for a few weeks.

He is now up to 14 goals in 53 games (a 22-goal pace over 82 games) and still one of their best all-around players. He had a game this past week where the Penguins expected goal share when he was on the ice was 98 percent. It is the second game this season he was over 94 percent in a game. He is arguably their best possession-driving forward this season. He is finding his scoring touch. He is a relentless puck-hound. He plays with an insane level of confidence for an 18-year-old. He has helped make their lineup significantly deeper in terms of quality. It can not be overstated how significant his presence in the organization has become.

He is not only a big reason why they are a potential playoff team this season, he is setting up to be a significant long-term building block. He is a huge part of the reason why this season has become so exciting for both the short-term and the long-term.

4. Anthony Mantha is having a career year

Kyle Dubas has been on some kind of a run over the past season-and-a-half and the Anthony Mantha signing this past offseason has been one of the more surprisingly productive moves. The plan with him at the time seemed obvious. Sign a guy coming off a down, injury-shortened season the prior year to a low-risk contract, hope to build his value up a little, then flip him at the trade deadline for a second-round pick. He seemed to be this season’s Anthony Beauvilier.

It has worked out significantly better than expected.

Going into the Olympic break Mantha is already up to 20 goals and 42 total points in 56 games, is on pace to set career highs in goals and total points. Prior to this season his high goal-mark was 25 (in only 67 games) during the 2018-19 season with the Detroit Red Wings. He is currently on pace for 29 goals. His career high in total points is 48 in both the 2017-18 and 2018-19 seasons. He is currently on pace for 61 points.

The Penguins could easily trade him for a second-round pick in March. Probably more. But I also do not know how they do that given the way the season is right now. It is not like the Penguins have a pressing need for more draft picks. They already have more of them over the next four years than any team in the NHL, including several picks in the first three rounds.

Should the Penguins re-sign him? That might be going a little too far with it. He has been a great addition and a great story this season. Whether or not he can continue that next season at age 32 on a significantly higher contract is an entirely different question. For now, though, you might just have to ride with it and see where it can take you.

Expectations change. Sometimes when expectations change your plans also have to change.