The start of the 2026-27 NBA regular season is less than 48 hours away, and the first game is an exciting matchup between the Boston Celtics and Detroit Pistons.
The Celtics had a very busy offseason, highlighted by the blockbuster trade that sent Jaylen Brown to the rival Philadelphia 76ers in exchange for Paul George and two first-round draft picks.
The C’s also signed center Mitchell Robinson and point guard Mike Conley Jr. in free agency, while re-signing Neemias Queta, Ron Harper Jr. and Jordan Walsh. Payton Pritchard reportedly signed a two-year extension last week.
So, the roster will definitely look a bit different for Tuesday’s season opener. Despite the loss of Brown, a lot of experts are bullish on the Celtics’ ability to be a top-three team in the Eastern Conference standings again.
But can the Celtics make a surprise run to the 2027 NBA Finals?
Our friends at Sim Station simulated the entire 2026-27 campaign. Let’s take a look at the results below.
Celtics stats
NBC Sports Boston
Jayson Tatum put up solid all-around stats, but his numbers wouldn’t be good enough to return to first-team All-NBA status.
Part of the reason for Tatum’s lower-than-expected scoring average could be the fact that Paul George averaged just under 18 points per game and Derrick White scored a career-high 17.3 points per game.
Jaylen Brown’s Sixers debut
NBC Sports Boston
Jaylen Brown finished third on the Sixers in scoring with 25.2 points per game.
It would be his third career season averaging 25-plus points per contest.
NBA Cup
NBC Sports Boston
The Celtics finished atop East Group C with a 3-1 record.
They beat the Cleveland Cavaliers in the quarterfinals of the NBA Cup tournament before eliminating the Detroit Pistons in the semifinals.
The Celtics’ rivalry with the Los Angeles Lakers is re-ignited in the NBA Cup final, where L.A. wins its second in-season tournament crown.
Eastern Conference standings
NBC Sports Boston
The Celtics finished with a 47-35 record, good enough for third in the Atlantic Division and fourth in the conference.
They tied the 76ers but owned the tiebreaker, therefore earning homecourt advantage in the first round of the playoffs.
Two of the best stretches of the season for the C’s were a seven-game win streak from Jan. 16 through Jan. 27. They also went 14-4 from Feb. 9 through March 21.
Awards and leaders
NBC Sports Boston
Oklahoma City Thunder point guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won NBA MVP for the third straight year. He becomes the first player to win three straight MVPs since Celtics Hall of Famer Larry Bird in 1984 through 1986.
Utah Jazz guard Darryn Peterson wins Rookie of the Year.
The scoring champion is Los Angeles Lakers guard Luka Doncic, who averages 32.4 points per game.
2027 NBA Playoffs
NBC Sports Boston
The Celtics get their revenge on the Sixers. Philly beat the Celtics in Game 7 of the first round last season, but in this simulation, it’s Boston advancing in a first-round sweep.
The Celtics meet the Pistons in the conference semifinals, re-igniting a rivalry that hasn’t had a playoff series since the 2008 conference finals. The C’s survive by winning Game 7 on the road in Detroit.
Another rivalry series awaits in the Eastern Conference finals, where the Celtics end the Knicks’ title defense in a short five-game series. The C’s advance to the NBA Finals with a Game 5 victory at Madison Square Garden.
For the first time, despite both teams making a combined 11 NBA Finals appearances since 1999, the Spurs and Celtics finally meet with a championship at stake.
After losing to the Knicks in five games in last season’s Finals, the Spurs prevail and win their sixth championship with a dramatic Game 7 victory in San Antonio.
Spurs superstar Victor Wembanyama wins Finals MVP after averaging 26.4 points per game in the series, including a stellar Game 4 performance in which he scored 36 points with 17 rebounds.
Nimmo's deal runs through 2030, with Semien's ending after the 2028 season.
While Nimmo was still an above average offensive player at the time of the trade, his defense had regressed in a big way. It continued to trend down in 2026, with Nimmo in the 12th percentile in OAA, via Baseball Savant.
Meanwhile, trading Nimmo allowed the Mets to shift Juan Soto to left field, use Carson Benge in right field, and promote prospect A.J. Ewing from Triple-A on May 12 -- with Ewing quickly becoming the regular center fielder and key contributor on both sides of the ball.
The hope with Semien, who had just won a Gold Glove award at second base for the Rangers in 2025, was that he would provide stellar up-the-middle defense while possibly rebounding at the plate.
Neither of those things happened, and the Mets are now facing an early crossroads with Semien, who is owed $26 million in 2027 and $20 million in 2028 (with a payroll hit of $24 million annually for luxury tax purposes).
Given the developing situation with Semien, who should New York's second baseman be in 2027? Let's break down the likely options...
Semien's offensive struggles worsened in 2026, as he went from being a bit below average (93 OPS+ in 2025) to one of the least productive everyday players in the sport (74 OPS+).
His last average or better season with the bat came in 2024, when he had 23 homers and a 103 OPS+ in his age-33 season.
More alarming than Semien's offensive futility were his difficulties defensively.
Jul 29, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets second baseman Marcus Semien (10) attempts to turn a double play after forcing out Atlanta Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies (1) during the fifth inning at second base at Citi Field. / Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images
A hip issue he played through early in the season might have impacted things, but the overall numbers were ugly, with Semien in the fifth percentile in OAA (worth -9).
Given Semien's prowess as an elite defensive second baseman from 2021 through 2025, there should be at least some hope he can recapture that form. But even if he does, the offensive issues could do him in.
Asked during his end-of-season news conference at Citi Field whether he was ready to declare Semien the Mets' starting second baseman in 2027, president of baseball operations David Stearns was non-committal, potentially foreshadowing a quick changing of the guard.
In the same news conference where he addressed Semien's shaky hold on the position, Stearns talked up Baty.
"I think Brett showed us for the last four-to-six weeks of the season what his ceiling looks like," Stearns noted. "And as I said, we need him to get to that ceiling more consistently."
About that hot finish Stearns was referencing: Baty slashed .352/.427/.592 (1.018 OPS) in 82 plate appearances over his final 30 games of the season. Overall in 2026, Baty hit just .236/.309/.371 (.681 OPS) in 143 games, which was a step back from the career-best .748 OPS he put up in 2025.
While Baty has upside with the bat and provides versatility defensively, he has a career .671 OPS (.91 OPS+) in parts of five big league seasons. So the time to find consistency would be now.
If Baty can't turn the corner offensively as a starter, his best fit could be as a super utility player who can handle third base, second base, first base, and both corner outfield spots.
The Mets were able to pry Rojas from the Cubs in the trade deadline deal that sent Clay Holmes and Tyrone Taylor to Chicago, and the 21-year-old shot straight to the top of SNY's top 30 Mets prospects list.
After joining the Mets organization, Rojas caught fire, smacking nine homers and posting a .929 OPS in 29 games for Double-A Binghamton before a late-season promotion to Triple-A Syracuse. In 29 plate appearances over six games with Syracuse, Rojas hit .308/.345/.692 -- homering in his first three games at the level.
/ Knoxville Smokies infielder Jefferson Rojas (2) scores a run during a Minor League baseball game between the Knoxville Smokies and Birmingham Barons at Covenant Health Park in Knoxville, Tenn., on June 2, 2026.
Rojas can play third base in addition to second base, so he could be an answer for the Mets at the hot corner in the unlikely event Bo Bichette doesn't opt in to his contract for 2027, which would pay him $42 million.
If Bichette opts in as expected, Rojas should be in pole position to take over as the starting second baseman sooner rather than later.
Rojas isn't the only top Mets infield prospect who is getting close to the majors.
Voit, who put up a very respectable .745 OPS in 76 games for A-level Brooklyn while playing his home games in a really tough environment for hitters, erupted after being promoted to Binghamton, hitting .347/.430/.517 in 29 games.
Entering his age-22 season in 2027, Voit will likely start the year back with the Rumble Ponies. But he should be knocking on the door soon enough.
Along with Rojas and Voit, Émilien Pitre -- whom the Mets acquired from the Rays in the Freddy Peralta trade -- could be another second base option in the near future.
The 24-year-old Pitre doesn't hit for much power, but he has gotten on base at a prolific rate in three minor league seasons, with a .389 OBP. Pitre's OBP across three levels for the Rays and Mets in 2026 (he finished the season with Syracuse) was .420.
***
Using spring training (whenever that is, given the uncertainty surrounding the CBA) to see how Semien looks makes sense. And it wouldn't be illogical to give Semien a shot when the bell rings to show his 2026 was an aberration.
But if Semien looks similar to the player he was this past season, the Mets should be quickly prepared to turn to Rojas as the starter at second base. And given Stearns' comments about the situation at the end of the season, that seems to be a likely scenario.
Welcome to our weekly Monday Morning NBA notebook, a quick hit of NBA news and injuries from around the league to catch you up on what happened in the past week. If you've been focused on football — or going to a Doja Cat concert, or just enjoying life — and not been paying much attention to the NBA, we've got you covered. Here's what you need to know.
Simmons was out of the league last season, focusing on getting his body healthy — after years of lingering back issues and multiple surgeries — and his mind in a good place. It appeared to have worked. Reports out of Sacramento had been overwhelmingly positive, and Simmons, 30, averaged 10.5 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists in 17.4 minutes per preseason game. He was expected to be a starter. Now a fluke injury has sidelined him.
It also leaves Kings' coach Doug Christie scrambling to round out his rotations.
Stephen Curry sprains ankle
Golden State's Mr. Everything Stephen Curry gave everyone a scare when he limped straight to the locker room during a public practice on Sunday.
Steph Curry limps off the court at open practice and he just went back to the locker room @NBCSWarriors
After practice, coach Steve Kerr said Curry was “fine” and downplayed it as a tweaked ankle. Officially, the Warriors have said it's a sprain, although it doesn't appear to be severe.
The Warriors open the season on Wednesday against the Lakers. Curry's status will be worth monitoring.
Kristaps Porzingis still away from Warriors
Warriors big man Kristaps Porzingis came in this week and met with general manager Mike Dunleavy and vice president of player health & performance Dr. Rick Celebrini about his still-undisclosed ailment. There is no timeline for his return, but Porzingis said he is improving, is frustrated, and shot down some of the most ridiculous (but somehow gaining traction) speculation among Warriors faithful.
This is a good bit of work by both sides. The Oklahoma City Thunder lock up now-starting guard Cason Wallace with a five-year, $139 million contract extension. With that, the Thunder now have their starting five, plus bench star Alex Caruso, under contract for multiple years.
Wallace, 22 and Second Team All-Defense last season, will step into a larger role as a starter for the Thunder this season, stepping into Lu Dort's role (Dort was traded to Atlanta in a cost-cutting move). Wallace could have bet on himself and a big restricted free agent market next summer, but surveyed the landscape and decided to stay with the only team he has known on a healthy contract.
NBA season tips off Tuesday
Welcome to the start of the NBA season — and it all begins with an epic triple-header on NBC and Peacock.
• Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons, 3 p.m. Eastern. For all the focus on other teams in the East, these were the top two seeds in the conference a year ago and with Jayson Tatum and Cade Cunningham, they are going to be back near the top again. • Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks, ring ceremony at 6:30 p.m., game at 7 p.m. Eastern. Newcomers LeBron James and Jaylen Brown lead Philadelphia into Madison Square Garden as the 76ers look to spoil ring night for Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and the rest of the Knicks. • Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs, 9:30 p.m. Eastern. Game 8 of last year's epic Western Conference Finals, with a showdown between two MVP favorites: Victor Wembanyama and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
You can catch all the games on NBC or stream them on Peacock.
Other NBA news, notes
• Nuggets wing Julian Strawther suffered a sprained left knee and is out indefinitely, he will be re-evaluated in six weeks. Strawther suffered the injury in a preseason game against the Clippers, and it looked worse than it turned out to be. With Peyton Watson no longer in Denver, Strawther, the 24-year-old fourth-year player out of Gonzaga, is poised to take on a bigger role with the team, but that is now on hold.
• The New York Knicks waived veteran guard Bruce Brown. As reported a few days before, the Knicks coaching staff and front office wanted to keep Brown on the roster this season, but to do so and stay under the second apron of the luxury tax — as mandated by owner James Dolan — they would have needed to trade Pacome Dadiet or Tyler Kolek, and no deal was available, so Brown was waived. Reserve big man James Wiseman gets the final roster spot. Don't expect Brown to be out of a job for long.
• The Philadelphia 76ers are keeping fan favorite, 7'6" Tacko Fall around on a two-way contract to start the season. For a team with depth questions at center, there are good basketball reasons for this, but it just makes a lot of fans happy to see him play.
• The good news for the Kings was that reserve center Maxime Raynaud suffered "only" a right patellar subluxation that will keep him out a couple of weeks. It looked a lot worse when it happened. While there is no timeline for a return, Raynaud — Second Team All-Rookie last season — should be back early in the season.
On top of that, another Kings center, Dylan Cardwell, suffered a left calf strain and will miss a couple of weeks at the start of the season. That leaves the Kings thin at center. Domantas Sabonis will start at the five, but after him it's now Precious Achiuwa (more of a four) and two-way player Jonathan Mogbo.
• The Charlotte Hornets chose to waive veteran guard Pat Connaughton — who was on a non-guaranteed contract — which means they keep former No. 6 pick Tidjane Salaun (current GM Jeff Peterson's first pick).
• The Clippers' Brandon Ingram is back to doing on-court work and getting closer to a return, but he is still going to miss the start of the season and there is no timetable for his return. The Clippers need his shot creation.
• Also with the Clippers, they waived Cam Christie, but then brought him back on a two-way contract. For two seasons after the Clippers drafted him in the second round, Christie — brother of Dallas' Max Christie — has teased fans and the organization with his potential, but he never seemed to develop. The Clippers had to make roster cuts, and after a rough preseason Christie was the guy not making the final 15, but keeping him around is smart.
• Thunder rookie Otega Oweh, the No. 41 pick in last June's NBA Draft out of Kentucky and on a two-way contract, suffered a torn Achilles and is out for the season.
• The Suns and young center Oso Ighodaro agreed to a three-year, $29 million contract extension that will keep him with the team through 2031. Ighodaro played 82 games with Phoenix last season, was solid, and will have a real opportunity to grow that role this season.
The New York Islanders have suddenly and quickly played 10% of their season, with the exact figure sitting just over 9.5%.
As soon as the first period Tuesday night against the Anaheim Ducks is concluded, that'll be 10% of the season done and dusted.
Through eight games, the Islanders are 4-3-1, good for nine points. That leaves the Islanders one point adrift of both the Washington Capitals for third in the Metropolitan Division and the Buffalo Sabres for the final wild-card playoff spot.
Washington has only played eight games, same as the Islanders. Buffalo, however, sits with nine played.
By points percentage, if the season ended today, the Islanders would be headed to the playoffs for the first time in three years.
Moneypuck.com makes it all look rather simple by their odds.
That's the Islanders' competition right there, point-blank.
The Pennsylvania teams, the Philadelphia Flyers and Pittsburgh Penguins, both are well below .500 and have had big trade rumors swirl around their clubs two weeks before Halloween.
The Columbus Blue Jackets remain wildly inconsistent, and look further from a playoff spot than they were last year.
That then leaves the Islanders, Devils, and Rangers.
The Islanders have an extremely clear X-factor:
Ilya Sorokin and Semyon Varlamov, emphasis on Sorokin.
The Devils goaltenders? Jake Allen and Nico Daws. The Rangers lost Igor Shesterkin for the year due to a lower-body injury. Right now, they've got rookie Dylan Garand and journeyman Spencer Martin as their duo, with Joonas Korpisalo expected back from injury in mid-November.
Ilya Sorokin is the standout goalie in the Metropolitan Division, with Logan Thompson the only healthy goalie that comes anywhere close.
It's the Islanders' biggest X-factor against any team, and it's plain to see, especially when you look at the state of the Devils' goaltending. It's hard to see a path to true contention for the Devils unless they make a massive in-season trade for a goalie.
That leaves the Islanders and the Rangers for the final playoff spot. The Rangers hold a four-point edge over the Islanders right now.
Had the Islanders beaten the Rangers at Madison Square Garden in the second week of the year, the Islanders would sit tied for second in the Metropolitan Division, with the Rangers.
That's how narrow the gap is right now, with Washington in the middle but expected to finish second behind the perennial division champs, the Carolina Hurricanes.
The next six months look set to become an incredible chapter in the Islanders and Rangers rivalry.
Huascar Brazobán’s Mets tenure was undeniably a highly successful one. Acquired for a pittance at the 2024 deadline from the Marlins ($10 for you if you can name the prospect the Mets gave up in that deal without looking it up), the 36-year-old posted 135.2 innings of 3.45 ERA ball in Queens. He was a good soldier, too, functioning as a setup guy, an opener, a multi-inning fireman, and even an up-and-down option at times as the Mets’ bullpen went through several iterations during his tenure.
The first half of Brazobán’s 2026 was arguably the best performance of his major league career, with 52.2 innings of 2.56 ERA ball. There was even a shiny 2.75 xERA underlying that performance, which might suggest that this was somewhat sustainable. That mark could even an argument to hold Brazobán beyond the deadline given that he remains under team control until 2030the trade deadline.
In reality, this was a mirage. Brazobán, like countless relievers before him and countess after him, was succeeding on a unsustainable stretch of favorable contact suppression numbers. His K-BB% remained below average at 12.6%, his stuff pedestrian, and the top-line figures more dependent on a .206 BABIP in New York than an actual breakout at age 36. With this information in mind, the Mets made the prudent decision to sell high at the deadline, shipping Brazobán out to the south side of Chicago.
Brazobán then posted a 4.40 ERA (7.24 xERA) down the stretch, missing time with a lat injury. Yes, the White Sox will have him under control for multiple seasons, but that’s hardly the help they were looking for as they looked to make a deep playoff push. Meanwhile, the prospects the Mets got back are already paying dividends. Gabe Davis was widely regarded as a promising-but-poorly-optimized arm in the Chicago system (he had an ERA over 8 this season), then posted a 2.53 ERA in Binghamton while doing stuff like this every time he took the ball. Zach Franklin probably has better present stuff than Brazobán right now, and the odds he’s the better major league arm in 2027 are much closer to even than you’d think. Both Davis and Franklin are likely to be 2027 contributors.
If this story sounds nearly identical to that of Brooks Raley, you’d be right. The Mets did quite a good job of maximizing their veteran bullpen arms in the first half, then did an even better job of selling high and picking up solid prospects in return. We should all have some doubts about the Mets’ front office at this point, but this particular maneuver is one they’re executing better than just about anyone else right now. Hang your hat on what you can.
SAN FRANCISCO – A collective sigh of relief can be felt throughout the Bay Area and the entire basketball world from Steph Curry avoiding a serious injury on Sunday during Warriors open practice when he limped off the court.
The news got even better the next day.
Warriors coach Steve Kerr said Monday that Curry will be good to go for Wednesday’s regular-season opener against the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena. Curry has a sprained right ankle but was a full participant in Monday’s practice.
“I’m always concerned when Steph limps off,” Kerr said Monday. “But I went down and checked on him and he told me immediately he was fine.”
Curry rolled his right ankle trying to make a move on De’Anthony Melton as part of Sunday’s light scrimmage in front of thousands of fans. He bounced the ball hard twice in frustration, flapped his arms and limped to the sidelines, where he then continued limping down the hallway and to the Warriors’ locker room.
Steph Curry limps off the court at open practice and he just went back to the locker room @NBCSWarriors
Curry missed 43 games last season, including more than two months to runner’s knee. He averaged 13 points per game in the preseason in a little under 18 minutes a night, shooting 41.9 percent from 3-point range.
While Curry appears ready for the regular-season opener, the already shorthanded Warriors continue to battle the injury bug. Brandin Podziemski and Charles Bassey both didn’t participate in Sunday’s open practice, and both are questionable for Wednesday’s game in LA.
Bassey had his right knee wrapped in ice Sunday and is dealing with tendinitis. Podziemski has lower back soreness he sustained on the practice court ahead of open practice. Neither practiced Monday.
Kerr is considering them each day-to-day right now. The Warriors will practice Tuesday ahead of their flight to LA and conduct a shootaround Wednesday morning prior to playing the Lakers.
CLEVELAND, OHIO - OCTOBER 18: Chandler Simpson #14 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates hitting a double during the third inning against the Cleveland Guardians in game five of the American League Championship Series at Progressive Field on October 18, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Meet the Mets
Mets relief prospect Ryan Lambert is off to a strong start in the Arizona Fall League.
Around the National League East
Washington Nationals CFO Ted Towne is leaving the organization to become CFO of the NHL’s Pittsburgh Penguins, per a report from the Washington Business Journal. Chief Revenue Office Chris Zaber and vice president of events at Nationals Park Jonathan Stahl are also departing the Nationals’ front office.
Around Major League Baseball
The Rays defeated the Guardians 3-1 in Cleveland in Game 5 of the ALCS to go ahead in the series three games to two. Rays ace Drew Rasmussen held Cleveland to just one run on four hits in seven innings with strong defense behind him helping him out. Freddy Peralta will now take the mound for the Rays in Game 6 with a chance to help punch their ticket to the World Series.
Rays leadoff hitter Yandy Díaz, who got three hits in support of last night’s victory, certainly thinks the Rays are going to do just that. “We’re going to win tomorrow,” he said.
If the Rays do advance to the World Series, they will match up against the Brewers, guaranteeing that whoever wins will be a first-time champion. Brewers owner Mark Attanasio wants it very badly for a fanbase and a community that has been waiting a long time.
The league’s stance on the salary cap took a big hit when the Brewers swept the Dodgers in the NLCS, writes David Lennon of Newsday.
Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue
Lukas Vlahos took a look back at Brooks Raley’s 2026 season, in which he was part of a bullpen that was one of the few bright spots of the 2026 Mets, but struggled after being traded to the Phillies despite being the same pitcher, indicating a regression the Mets perhaps saw coming.
This Date in Mets History
October 19 is not a good day in Mets history. It marked the end of the line in the NLCS for both the 1999 Mets and the 2006 Mets. Even the eventual World Champion 1986 Mets lost on this date in Game 2 of the World Series.
NORTH PORT, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 20: Jurickson Profar #17 of the Atlanta Braves poses for a photo during Spring Training photo day at CoolToday Park on February 20, 2026 in North Port, Florida. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images) | Getty Images
While the offseason has started for 27 of 30 MLB teams, not much news is out there as teams can only currently focus on business with players on their roster. And though he is under contract, one player the Braves will need to focus on is Jurickson Profar. As reported over the past few days, Profar will play winter ball in Venezuela in the coming months. This is important as it is the first baseball Profar will have played since before the 2026 season started. It will be interesting to see what the team decides to do with Profar before the 2027 arrives.
MLB News
The Rays were able to win in their usual small ball fashion on Sunday, and now are one win away from the World Series as they lead the Guardians 3-2 in the ALCS.
Former Mets manager Carlos Mendoza was reportedly a candidate for the Mariners managerial position. However, Mendoza joined the Phillies as their new third base coach over the weekend.
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 16: Head coach Steve Kerr of the Golden State Warriors talks to Draymond Green #23 and Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors during the first half of their preseason game against the Portland Trail Blazers at Chase Center on October 16, 2026 in San Francisco, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Five years ago, the Stephen Curry led Golden State Warriors won a fourth title together over the Boston Celtics. Steve Kerr, Draymond Green, and Curry are all still in place, and yet these Warriors are perhaps as far off as they’ve ever been from their championship winning days. Father time is undefeated, and often times the end of an era can be a bit unceremonious. The Warriors are a dying dynasty at best, or in reality, a dynasty that’d been dead for a few seasons now. As they look to what’s next, can they give the Curry era an ending that it deserves?
PHOENIX, AZ – APRIL 17: Stephen Curry #30, Draymond Green #23 and Steve Kerr of the Golden State Warriors huddle up after the game against the Phoenix Suns during the SoFi NBA Play-In Tournament on April 17, 2026 at PHX Arena in Phoenix, Arizona. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jim Poorten/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
Golden State Warriors: Over/Under 36.5 regular season wins (-110/-115)
To win Pacific Division: +430
To win Western Conference: 35/1
To win NBA Finals: 75/1
Last season: 37-45, lost in second play in game
Key additions: Yaxel Lendeborg (12th pick in Draft), Brandon Williams (Dallas)
Key losses: Jonathan Kuminga (Minnesota), Quentin Post (Memphis), Pat Spencer (Phoenix)
The Warriors have pretty clearly reached the place that no NBA franchise wants to be. They are stuck in the middle, with a clear ceiling and a floor that make you wonder exactly what the plan is here. Jimmy Butler is still working his way back from a knee injury he suffered last year, and Steph, Draymond and Al Horford aren’t getting younger. Beyond that, Kristaps Porzingis still has a mystery illness, apparently.
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – OCTOBER 10: Yaxel Lendeborg #1 of the Golden State Warriors walks on the court during the first half of the preseason game against the Sacramento Kings at Chase Center on October 10, 2026 in San Francisco, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Godofredo A. Vásquez/Getty Images) | Getty Images
When you look at the roster to try and find the next generation of guys who will try and get the Warriors back to making deep runs in the playoff, they’re banking on Yaxel Lendeborg being that guy. Of course, Lendeborg won a national title at Michigan with Dusty May, Morez Johnson Jr. and the rest of their group, so he knows how to be a part of winning basketball. I just wonder what the long term path is here. I get giving Curry all the tools he deserves to give it an earnest shot, but there is very little in the way of future assets to build around. In the immediate, the Warriors figure to be around the same as they were last year. But in the long term, there’s many reasons to be concerned about the long term viability of this franchise.
TOKYO, JAPAN - MARCH 19: Shohei Ohtani #17 of the Los Angeles Dodgers waves to the crowd as he exits the field after the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Chicago Cubs at Tokyo Dome on Wednesday, March 19, 2025 in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Waking up on a Monday morning knowing we’ll know the full World Series matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays return home up three games to two on the Cleveland Guardians, with Game 6 on Monday night at Tropicana Field. Game 1 of the World Series is Friday night in Milwaukee.
Here are a few Dodgers-related and Dodgers-adjacent stories to start your morning.
A jersey worn by Shohei Ohtani during the Dodgers’ season-opening Tokyo Series against the Chicago Cubs in 2025 was sold at auction on Saturday for just over $2 million. Larry Holder at The Athletic has more.
The Savannah Bananas last week announced their 2027 schedule, which includes a game on Saturday, April 24 at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are scheduled that day to be on the road, facing the Washington Nationals.
Then again, with the lockout coming on December 1, the actual start of the 2027 season is still in many ways to be determined, depending on how long it takes for major league owners and players to hammer out a new collective bargaining agreement.
That uncertainty was reminded to me when reading the Dodgers’ offseason primer from Beth Harris at Associated Press, which included, “A work stoppage would give Ohtani extra time to heal, although during such time the Dodgers would be cut off from communicating with any player, leaving Ohtani to rehab either from possible surgery or from his injuries on his own.” Emphasis mine.
CLEVELAND, OHIO - OCTOBER 18: PitcherDrew Rasmussen #57 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates at the end of the first inning against the Cleveland Guardians in game five of the American League Championship Series at Progressive Field on October 18, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Happy Monday, everyone! We could know as soon as tonight who will be heading to the World Series against the Brewers, or whether we’ll get a nail-biter Game 7 in the ALCS. Today we’ll check in on how the Rays have managed to turn things around when they needed it the most, and how pitcher Drew Rasmussen came in clutch precisely when his team needed him. We round things up with some postseason chatter as well as some offseason and free agency overview. Plus, the Tigers have added a new member to their coaching staff, and it’s a reunion of sorts for A.J. Hinch from his Astros days.
Let’s get right into it.
Detroit Tigers News
Happy Willie Horton Day!
One of the greatest to ever wear the Olde English D and #RepDetroit
Join us in celebrating Willie Horton’s 84th birthday and Willie Horton Day in the state of Michigan! 👏 pic.twitter.com/JWyh5IXClE
Longtime MLB catcher Martín Maldonado is in agreement to join the Detroit Tigers coaching staff, sources tell @CodyStavenhagen and me – https://t.co/QLAEbAkoCv
PHILADELPHIA, PA - SEPTEMBER 22: Luis Arraez #4 of the Philadelphia Phillies warms up during batting practice prior to the game between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, September 22, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Denis Kennedy/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
If the Cardinals want to compete next season, it would be wise to shore up their positions of weakness. The bullpen is a clear weakness, but it’s also the part of the team I would probably focus on last personally. An argument for the best closer in baseball is Bryan Baker of the Tampa Bay Rays, a 31-year-old with 3 career saves entering this season. Baker was drafted by the Rockies, traded as the player to be named later in a package for a year and a month of Seung Hwan Oh, selected off waivers by the Orioles a few years later, and finally traded for a draft pick last deadline. Meanwhile, Edwin Diaz got paid $17 million to allow nearly a run per inning in his 21 appearances for the Dodgers. Neither of these are unusual stories for relievers.
So most of my offseason talk will be focused on finding someone for either third base, center field, or starting pitcher. There is a very big, unfortunate issue with this however: the free agent market at those positions kind of suck. It’s why my very first free agent profile was focused on someone who has barely played 3B (JP Crawford). Any true 3B upgrade will either have to come via trade or someone at a different position. Which brings me to today’s post.
In theory, anybody who plays second base can play third base. And while that is literally true, the two positions require different strengths so they are likely not going provide the same quality of defense. But the truth of the matter is that the 2B market is significantly stronger than the 3B market. At the very least entertaining the better second basemen on the market is worth exploring to improve 3B. You could also move JJ Wetherholt to 3B, but I am opposed to that, so I would make it clear to these free agents that they would have to play 3B. It’d be an easier argument because Wetherholt is indeed better defensively than every other 2B. So if for no other reason than to eliminate them as real targets, let’s look at the 2B who might make sense at 3B.
The Tampa Bay Rays are one win away from the World Series. They also, at least as of now, made an extremely bad trade involving Brandon Lowe. They traded one season of Lowe, getting paid $11.5 million, 5 seasons of Mason Montgomery (2.2 fWAR out of the bullpen), and Jake Magnum (who isn’t very good) for 25-year-old Jacob Melton (who missed most of 2026 to injury and never saw the majors) and Anderson Brito, a mediocre prospect who only pitched in 8 games in 2026 at a level he had already pitched before (and he was worse at that level in 2026).
With all that said, Brandon Lowe has more warning signs than a radiation plant. He will most likely receive a qualified offer, and that is not a good start. In his previous four seasons prior to 2026, he averaged under 2 WAR per season. He was randomly great at defense after a career of not being very good defensively. The first year of his deal will be at 32-years-old. And he has never played an inning of 3B at pro ball. Also his arm is 11th percentile according to Statcast, though 2B hold back more than 3B as we will soon see.
The arm is the big one because frankly, a career of being not great defensively is actually a very good argument for someone to move to 3B. But I wanted to take a one-year game on Crawford defensively, and you would likely be taking a 3-4 year gamble on Lowe (his QO could very much hurt his market to an extreme degree though). On the positive side, his power wouldn’t be that terribly affected by Busch. He hit 35 homers for the Pirates. It would have been 32 at Busch.
But unfortunately, I have even more warning signs. For as good of a season as he had, there are so many reasons to not sign this guy. My last warning sign is that his offense looked to be on the luckier side. He had his highest K% since 2019 and he had his highest BABIP also since 2019. That’s not a great combo. His xwOBA was .331, which was his lowest since 2022 in his injury-shortened season. His actual wOBA was .354.
I’m going to be completely honest. I think I would avoid Lowe even if the Cardinals had a hole at 2B. A 32-year-old who probably didn’t actually get better last season but saw a career year saddled with a QO? And we have to move him to 3B, a position he hasn’t played professionally, and he has a weak arm?
Expected Contract: I don’t think I can even guess, I have no idea
The great big mystery of Arraez is how does the league value Arraez? Coming off a 0.9 fWAR season, Arraez signed for $1 year, $12 million. That is honestly more than most 0.9 WAR players will get, maybe all of them, so I’m not necessarily taking it as a given that the league doesn’t value Arraez like anti-stats people like to say. He will be 30-years-old and will likely get a multi-year deal.
With that said, his offense did not really get that much better, he was a significantly better player because he was suddenly great at defense. I have not looked into why, but unlike Lowe who was generally below average before 2026, Arraez was straight up awful defensively. Even with genuine improvements, it’s very hard to buy into his 2026 level of defense. You just don’t really see that kind of jump defensively, ever, and if it was hitting that did it, everyone would be similarly skeptical. When a sudden jump happens, you don’t assume the same level, you go somewhere in between where he used to be and his career year.
Arraez has played 3B, although very little, and like 2B and like 1B, he was awful defensively. I don’t think his arm is an issue. It’s 25th percentile, but I think he has more in the tank. When he last played significant innings at 3B, he threw it four miles per hour harder at 3B than when he played at 2B. And his arm at 2B this past season was very similar to how hard he threw at 2B in the year he also played 3B. He was actually dead average the year he played 400 innings at 3B, for some reason he was -7 OAA in 40 innings the very next season and nobody’s tried him at 3B since.
His bat is more reliable, although not near as good as the batting average people think. He doesn’t walk and he has no power, so he’s an above average hitter, but definitely not elite. He also hits into a lot of double plays. He hit into 15 double plays last season and has averaged just about that in the last four seasons. He somehow hit into 18 double plays when he batted .354.
As I said in the beginning, I don’t really know how the league values him. My interest in him is entirely dependent on his next contract. Is he valued like an All-Star, because I’d definitely avoid that contract. Like the 1 WAR player he was in 2024 and 2025? That means short-term and that’s more interesting.
Chisholm is kind of the opposite of our first two choices. His 2026 season stats are him coming off a down season and he’s very likely good on defense, despite his blunders. His numbers at 3B are a bit of a mixed bag – he was very good in 2024 and not good in 2025, and then the Yankees stopped playing him at 3B. He’s similar to Arraez in that he threw it harder at 3B than he does at 2B and most of his 9th percentile arm is related to that fact. He threw it 85.6 mph at 3B last year, 78.5 mph at 2B. So he must be really having his fair share of lobbing it over at 2B. It’s not really possible to lob it over at 3B (despite it looking like that’s what Matt Carpenter did).
We also saw in the 2026 playoffs that he likes to play hero ball and will likely continue to do so given his postgame comments, and I can see how that could potentially affect you more at 3B than 2B when you simply have more opportunities to make errors from trying to land on a top ten list. Couple that with the high standard he sets at 2B and the 3B version of Chisholm is probably a worse player than the 2B version.
On top of that, he had a down year with the bat. His xwOBA was a career low .294 and his 98 wRC+ was only a little bit better than his career low his rookie season. His power took a huge dip despite the bandbox he got to play in. Like his offensive stats are concerning.
Of course he’ll be 29 and the reporting is indicating he will not receive a qualified offer. They didn’t actually want Trent Grisham and he accepted, and I don’t think they want to repeat that risk. And Chisholm is firmly in his prime years so a bounceback offensively wouldn’t be the craziest thing. Chisholm would be a bit of a swing and it doesn’t seem like he’d be a fan favorite, but at least by value…. I mean he makes sense.
Conclusion: If you can get him for a good deal, frankly, I might take that swing
Torres is an interesting case, because he has not played 3B since 2018 and he has a grand total of less than 200 innings there in his entire pro career. But he’s also a former SS who has spent his fair share of time on the left side of the infield. Of course, he was bad defensively there and had to move to 2B. He has also been bad there. It’s clear range is not his thing which means there’s some theoretical upside to him defensively at 3B. Like he sets a low enough standard at 2B that I’m not real sure his defense would actually be worse at 3B. And like the others, once he moved from SS to 2B, his arm strength magically got weak. So I feel like his arm wouldn’t be an issue.
He also will 100 percent not have the qualified offer saddled on him. He already accepted it for the 2026 season and can’t get it again. He’ll be 30. He is fairly consistent as an above average hitter. And his batting profile is walk-heavy, not a ton of strikeouts, not reliant on power at all, so a move to Busch shouldn’t really hurt him. I’d actually be very curious on what kind of deal he would get, coming off a down year.
Conclusion: I’d be very tempted if less than my proposed contract
I could talk myself into Jazz Chisholm or Gleybar Torres. I assume the Cardinals have a much better way of figuring out how each player’s defense would translate at 3B. It’s entirely possible them at 3B is just a nonstarter. Kind of an important part of this whole process. So the estimates would have to work out, the contract would have to work out, they’d have to be willing to play 3B, I wouldn’t say any of these are likely.
Oct 15, 2026; Los Angeles, California, USA; Milwaukee Brewers outfielder Sal Frelick (10) celebrates in the clubhouse after defeating the Los Angeles Dodgers in game four of the NLCS for the 2026 MLB Playoffs at Uniqlo Field at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Good morning.
The Rays beat the Guardians yesterday to take a three-games-to-two lead in the American League Championship Series. Here are some takeaways from Game 5.
Assuming Díaz is correct, the Rays will take on the National League Champions Milwaukee Brewers. Eric Longenhagen has a review of the NL Championship Series.
Jayson Stark writes that with the Brewers win, the “gamers” beat the Hall of Famers. (The Athletic sub. req.) Stark also tries to put the Brewers win in historic context and has the kinds of obscure facts that we’ve come to expect out of Stark.
PORT CHARLOTTE, FL - MARCH 18: Nate George (11) of the Baltimore Orioles runs in from the field during a minor league spring training game against the Tampa Bay Rays on March 18, 2026 at Charlotte Sports Park in Port Charlotte, Florida. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
On the surface, it might feel like Nate George and Enddy Azocar are an unlikely pairing for our prospect review series. And it’s true, their 2026 seasons had very different trajectories. But they are both talented outfielders who weren’t heralded signings when they joined pro ball in 2024. They are both above-average defenders, which is always exciting after watching the Orioles’ current defense. And they both played for the High-A Frederick Keys, though not at the same time.
These two had almost opposite arcs over the course of the season. George’s year was highly anticipated after he shot up the prospect lists with his 2025 performance. Azocar, however, struggled in 2025 and was looking to get into the top prospect discussion (spoiler: he did). Now the two sit back-to-back on the Orioles prospect list at MLB Pipeline; Azocar is #6 and George is #7.
Nate George
At the end of 2025, Nate George was a star on the rise. The Orioles drafted him in the 16th round of the 2024 draft. By the end of the next season, everyone was taking notice. He was awarded the team’s Minor League Prospect of the Year in 2025, was named a top 100 prospect by Baseball America, and was at the top of Orioles’ prospect lists.
He did so by spending his 19th year laying waste to the Florida Coast League and Low-A, then finishing off the season with a .380 OBP in 21 games with the high-A Aberdeen IronBirds. His full 2025 numbers: .336/.413/.483 with 50 stolen bases. He is also an above-average fielder with a ton of speed, making him perhaps even more enticing than Enrique Bradfield, Jr., who has the defense but struggles offensively.
When the 2026 minor league rosters were announced, the High-A Frederick Keys had an enviable lineup. George joined fellow prospects Ike Irish and Wehiwa Aloy to make a formidable threesome. But it didn’t last long.
George was off to a pretty good start when, after 20 games, he was put on the injured list with a non-baseball-related medical condition. George was hitting .293/.372/.366 with 15 SB when he left the team. He did not play for the rest of the year.
There have been no real updates on George since he was removed from the active roster at the beginning of May. It hurts for a prospect to lose so much development time, but more than that, I think we can agree that we just hope he’s doing ok as a person. I expect we’ll get news of some sort as we approach spring training.
Enddy Azocar
The same year that Nate George was drafted #489 overall, the Boston Red Sox signed Enddy Azocar out of Venezuela for just $40,000. Azocar made his professional debut that year in the Dominican Summer League, then started strong in 2025 in the Florida Coast League. After just 14 games, the Red Sox promoted him to low-A Salem.
Unlike George, Azocar struggled in low-A. Over 71 games he failed to get on base (.273 OBP) and failed to hit for power (.315 SLG). He was young for the league, about 2.5 years younger than the average player. It was a struggle he apparently learned from, because 2026 was much different.
Azocar began 2026 with the same team he finished 2025 with, the low-A Salem Red Sox. Same team, but he appeared to be a different player. He started strong at the plate, OPS’ing .868 in May and .907 in April. His power jumped up, too. By the end of May, Azocar had seven home runs. He hit only six in all of 2025.
His improved numbers earned him a promotion to high-A, and he stumbled against the higher competition. June was his worst month of the season, but he adjusted. In July, he hit eight home runs and OPS’d 1.046 in 19 games.
On August 3rd, Azocar was traded to the Orioles in the package that sent Adley Rutschman to the Red Sox. He debuted with the Frederick Keys the next day and made a very good first impression. Azocar had three hits in his organizational debut and 10 hits over his first five games. He finished out the year with the Keys and hit .327/.372/.529 in 25 games.
At just 19, Azocar was still young for the league he played in. But this time around, he thrived. Between the two orgs, he played well at High-A for 71 games. I expect he’ll start 2027 with the Double-A Chesapeake Baysox.
Azocar has played multiple outfield positions, but on all three teams in 2026 he spent the majority of his time in center field. Per MLB Pipeline, he has good instincts and average range in center, but is much better suited to a corner outfield position. Luckily for him, the Orioles need defensive help at all positions.
George and Azocar are both young, talented outfielders in the Orioles’ system. They had different paths in 2026, but we hope to see them both continue to succeed in 2027.
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JULY 17: Carter Jensen, center, is mobbed by his Kansas City Royals teammates after his two-RBI single gave them the win over the San Diego Padres at Kauffman Stadium on July 17, 2026 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Reed Hoffmann/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Brooks Sherman, president of real estate and development for the Royals, said on Thursday that master planning for the ballpark district is getting started now as the team looks to hire a master planner. “Right now our focus is on the stadium,” he said.
Sherman said there have been no decisions about any demolitions in Crown Center and that there are great tenants already on site whom officials look to keep and add to.
“That’s when we begin to look at the entirety of the rest of the district to understand what kind of buildings we would have, an entertainment venue, the retail, the food and beverage and so forth, so there have been no decisions about any destruction on any building.”
Sherman said there are a lot of great tenants at Crown Center, and they want to keep all of them. One of those, just north of 25th Street and the Hallmark-owned Kaleidoscope, is the Sea Life Aquarium. That entity told us to reach out to Hallmark about demolition.
“The development will reimagine Crown Center and revitalize the city’s original live-work-play neighborhood while strengthening our business community and creating new opportunities,” one of the spokespeople for Hallmark said. “We remain in the early phases of planning the district beyond the ballpark. We are committed to maintaining open communication with our tenants and business partners as plans progress.”
Dobnak excelled in limiting hitters to a 3.7% barrel rate and inducing ground balls at a 51.2% rate. While this is a good recipe for limiting home runs and extra-base hits, Dobnak struggled with striking out batters, and batters were too easily able to make contact off him. One of Dobnak’s biggest weaknesses was his inability to miss bats. Hitters made contact on 91% of their swings at pitches in the strike zone (league worst), leaving him heavily reliant on his defense to record outs. His 4.22 FIP, more than a run higher than his ERA, suggests his results could be difficult to sustain.
“I’m just continuing to get better,” said Tolbert, whose .246 batting average and .693 OPS while coming up through the Royals system didn’t exactly portend his recent level of success. “Each season you just try to find what works for you, and try to get into a groove. I’ve had good hitting years and I’ve had average hitting years. I don’t really chase numbers, though. I just trust my routine and my process. If you’re focusing on the process, the numbers are going to be the numbers.”