Best NBA Player Props Today for February 11: Ace in the Hole

It’s a jam-packed night of hoops action with 14 games on the NBA betting board.

I’ve sorted through the odds and found my three favorite plays for the day, including one on a Grizzlies guard who keeps giving us value and another on a rookie starting to show why he was a top pick.

Those and more NBA picks for Wednesday, February 11, are below.

Best NBA player props today

PlayerPickbet365
Pelicans Trey Murphy IIIOver 5.5 rebounds<<+122>>
Grizzlies Kentavious Caldwell-PopeOver 9.5 points<<+100>>
Jazz Ace BaileyOver 13.5 points<<-125>>

Prop #1: Trey Murphy III Over 5.5 rebounds

+122 at bet365

As long as the Miami Heat keep playing basketball, I’m going to keep fading them on the glass.

The Heat aren’t the worst rebounding team, but it’s their high tempo that’s made them profitable. 

Miami leads the NBA in pace and shot attempts per game, so that inherently means a lot of rebounds. It surrendered the second-most rebounds per game heading into tonight’s matchup with the New Orleans Pelicans.

My favorite Pels player to back is Trey Murphy III, who has pulled down six or more boards in three of his last five games.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN Oklahoma, GCSEN

Prop #2: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 9.5 points

+100 at bet365

Despite the injuries... the trades... the losses... the Memphis Grizzlies are showing some fight. Memphis is playing team basketball and getting performances from places you wouldn’t expect.

Ty Jerome has been a moneymaker lately, but books have caught on, so we turn our attention to Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.

KCP is putting up 11.3 points per game over his last six, getting to double digits five times. We’re getting even money against a Denver Nuggets team that ranks 24th in defensive rating.

  • Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Prop #3: Ace Bailey Over 13.5 points

-125 at bet365

Utah Jazz rookie Ace Bailey has been playing the best basketball of his young career, and I’m betting he keeps rolling in tonight’s matchup against the Sacramento Kings.

Bailey is putting up 16.1 points per game with a .522 effective field goal percentage over his last 11, and he’s had 16+ points seven times during that stretch. 

Yet, we’re still getting Bailey’s points prop at 13.5 against a Sacramento team that can’t stop anyone from getting buckets these days. The Kings have the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA, so why would they suddenly slow down Bailey?

  • Time: 9:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCSCA, KJZZ

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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If only the 2017 World Series had gone just like Game 1 did

Baseball: World Series: Rear view of Los Angeles Dodgers Clayton Kershaw (22) in action, pitching vs Houston Astros at Dodger Stadium. Game 1. Los Angeles, CA 10/24/2017 CREDIT: John W. McDonough (Photo by John W. McDonough /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images) (Set Number: X161490 TK1 )

The first great team from the Andrew Friedman era came within one game of reaching the ultimate goal despite all of the shenanigans, malfeasances, and such they had to deal with during the 2017 World Series. We aren’t here to dwell on the what-ifs; there’s been plenty of that for far too long. We’re here to remember a specific game that gets lost in the weeds of all that happened in that Fall Classic—one that, had Kenley Jansen completed the save, had Yu Darvish not completely imploded in Game 7, had one of many things gone differently, would be lauded to this day. Before all that transpired in this series, Clayton Kershaw was magnificent in Game 1, unhittable, his pristine great self in leading the Dodgers to a narrow victory over the Astros.

Before addressing that specific game, perhaps it’s worth, with the benefit of hindsight, pondering if 2017 was in fact, the last great chance for Kershaw to dramatically flip the script on the narrative of his postseason woes. Kershaw handled his decline with as much grace and adaptability as any superstar could ever hope for. Even in the twilight years of his career, the left-hander found ways to be significantly above average while also being a shell of his former self. By the time that first championship came around, Kershaw was still superb, but Walker Buehler was the fear-inducing presence amongst starters on that team. The performances throughout that extended postseason were great, but it was no longer truly his team; it was more of him being a part of it. Sure, the individualization of teams is an overplayed and quite tiresome phenomenon, but that doesn’t mean none of these points aren’t true.

If we account for the painful memories of 2019 and that in 2018, the Dodgers had a mountain to climb against a historically good Boston Red Sox team, that 2017 squad, still with Kershaw as its unquestionable ace, represented the last chance for this future Hall of Famer to change the narrative, and for a while, it looked like he’d do it. While even in 2017, one could argue he had already taken a small step back from his dominant era between 2011 and 2014, Kershaw was still inarguably amongst the game’s best, even if he couldn’t sit at 95 mph consistently.

After a pedestrian showing in Game 1 of the NLDS in 2017, one that still saw Kershaw earn the win over the Diamondbacks, the left-hander was terrific in helping the Dodgers win the NL pennant. The Dodgers won all three of Kershaw’s starts in the NLDS and NLCS, including a performance of six one-run innings to help clinch the NL pennant in Wrigley. Kershaw on one side, Justin Verlander on the other — on top of many other narratives, that World Series featured two of the great pitchers of the 21st century looking to put past postseason woes behind them in search of that elusive first championship.

Unfortunately, the schedules weren’t lined up as Houston went to the wire to beat the Yankees in the ALCS, so Kershaw had to face Dallas Keuchel in Game 1 of that World Series—the left-hander delivered in yet another game that the Dodgers’ offense didn’t give him a whole lot of support, scoring only three runs.

Facing a righty-heavy lineup with the likes of Carlos Correa, Alex Bregman, George Springer, and José Altuve, all while possessing the ability to actually surprise them with his patented down-and-in slider, Kershaw gave no quarter in a masterful showing of seven one-run innings to earn his first World Series win.

Springer, in particular, who would go on to torch the Dodgers in that series, gave no signs of what was to come, as he struck out all three times against Kershaw and then one more against Kenley Jansen just for good measure.

The one time the Dodgers’ starter might’ve been slightly rattled, following giving up a solo shot to Alex Bregman, he punched out the side in order, retiring Altuve, Correa, and Gurriel.

Here are all of Kershaw’s 11 strikeouts:

And since the other two hits Kershaw allowed were both singles, when he left the mound after seven innings of work, the Astros hadn’t had a single at-bat with a runner in scoring position. Whatever happened after this game, one could not ask anything more out of even the very best in these circumstances against such a talented opponent.

Braves and Mets hit with big injury news as Phillies open camp

ATLANTA, GEORGIA - JUNE 28: Spencer Schwellenbach #56 of the Atlanta Braves pitches against the Philadelphia Phillies in the first inning at Truist Park on June 28, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Brett Davis/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Phillies pitchers and catchers report to Clearwater today, effectively ending one of the dreariest off-seasons since team president Dave Dombrowski took over as head of baseball operations prior to the 2021 season.

Yes, he re-signed Kyle Schwarber, far-and-away the franchise’s primary goal over the winter, added free agent reliever Brad Keller to set up closer Jhoan Duran, brought back J.T. Realmuto to guide the pitching staff behind the dish and inked outfielder Adolis Garcia to a one-year deal. Nick Castellanos will soon be gone (we think!), Matt Strahm is in Kansas City, and Harrison Bader’s fun run in Philly ended.

Much has been made about what the Phillies didn’t do this off-season. Despite a desire to change up the team’s mix of players, most of the everyday lineup returns in 2026. Infielder Bo Bichette was stolen away from them by a Mets team that has re-made their roster in a way that some Phils fans with Dombrowski had done, and most of the same players that have frustrated over the last few seasons are back to give things another go.

It remains to be seen whether Dombrowski’s decisions were wise. Six weeks of spring training and 162 games over six months of regular season baseball await. However you feel about the ‘26 Phillies as the mitts start poppin’ down in Clearwater, their spring is off to a much better start than their two top rivals in the NL East.

On Tuesday, the Atlanta Braves announced starting pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach was being placed on the 60-day injured list with inflammation in his pitching elbow. Not long after that announcement, the Mets announced All Star shortstop Francisco Lindor could be out for six weeks due to an injury to the hamate bone in his left hand.

For Atlanta, it’s a continuation of a slew of injuries that have derailed their chances of competing for a World Series each of the last two years.

This marks the second straight year in which Schwellenbach was placed on the 60-day IL for elbow inflammation at the beginning of the season. He eventually made 17 starts and posted a 3.09 ERA over 110.2 innings last year, a solid finish to his second big league season, and he’s always been trouble for the Phillies. In five career regular season starts, he’s 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA in 31.1 innings against Philadelphia. His absence once again leaves the Braves with a lineup full of household names and serious questions about stability and durability.

Chris Sale will be the likely Opening Day starter after yet another brilliant season with the Braves, but at 37 years old, does he have another All Star campaign in him? Spencer Strider, who missed all of 2024 with a torn ACL, returned to post a 4.45 ERA in 23 starts last year. Once the undisputed best starter in the National League, he is a major question mark as the ‘26 season begins. Reynaldo Lopez was signed as a free agent prior to last year but was injured during his first start with Atlanta. What will he bring to the table? And with Schwellenbach out, Grant Holmes (3.99 ERA in 115 innings) and Bryce Elder (5.30 ERA, 156.1 IP) fill out the rest of a suddenly suspect Atlanta rotation.

For all the question marks Phillies fans have about their rotation, the Braves appear to have even more.

As for Lindor, Mets GM David Stearns is optimistic his star shortstop will be ready for Opening Day, even if surgery is required.

Lindor, 32, has been remarkably durable during his Mets’ career, with 160+ games played in three of the last four seasons, and 152 games in 2024. With Juan Soto, Bichette, Jorge Polanco and Marcus Semien in the fold, New York’s lineup is well-suited to suffer a Lindor injury for a short amount of time. Still, it is never good for a star player to begin the season with surgery on a bone in their hand.

Before Phillies fans celebrate too much, there are a number of open questions regarding their roster as camp begins, too. How long after Opening Day will Zack Wheeler begin his 2026 season? Was Aaron Nola’s disastrous 2025 season a fluke or a trend? Will Andrew Painter make up for the loss of Ranger Suarez? Will the Phillies’ outfield be better on the field than they appear to be on paper now? Will Bryce Harper put together an All Star season? Who will provide power and production in the middle of the order?

All three teams in the National League East are dealing with some significant uncertainty as spring training begins.

40 in 40: José Ferrer and the negative space

HOUSTON, TEXAS - JULY 29: Jose A. Ferrer #47 of the Washington Nationals looks on before a game against the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on July 29, 2025 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images) | Getty Images

We all know Henri Matisse the painter, with his vivid use of color and bold brushstrokes, leading with emotion over realism (distinct characteristics of Fauvism, so named after critics referred to the artists of the movement as fauves, or “wild beasts”). But in his later years, declining health made painting inaccessible, so he shifted to cut-outs, with aid from his studio assistants. Matisse would hold the scissors and they would rotate the paper until he’d reached his desired shape, and from there they would pin the cut-out to a surface, be it paper or wall, that allowed him to continue to adjust its location. 

Initially dismissed as childish, respect for this era of Matisse’s work grew over time. They are deceptively simple and utterly beguiling, beckoning the viewer to look again, and again, and again. One of the most frequently cited examples of negative space, they are an eternally paradoxical visual of cause-and-effect. Which part of the piece was the original cutout? What part is leftover? In some pieces, like “Composition, Black and Red,” Matisse used both the positive and negative forms of the cut-out, leaving the viewer to puzzle further over what matches and what is just in imitation.

Henri Matisse. Composition, Black and Red (Composition, noir et rouge). 1947Museum of Modern Art

Right now, before the season has begun, before pitchers and catchers have even reported for Spring Training, the reality of José Ferrer is obscured by the looming negative space left behind by Harry Ford. A high-profile trade where your team receives a reliever can be hard to swallow. A high-profile trade where your team trades their MLB-ready first round draft pick for a reliever can be like trying to stuff a chainsaw down your gullet. I don’t seek to relitigate the grading of the trade here; that’s been done many times over and, frankly, the deal itself is done. It’s time to move on. Instead, let us peer into that space and see what shape Ferrer might take in Seattle.

Jerry Dipoto and his front office have allegedly had their eyes on Ferrer since 2019 when, according to Daniel Kramer’s story, they tried to acquire him at the trade deadline. “We feel like we got the number one trade target on our list,” Dipoto crowed at the Winter Meetings. And while Ferrer lacked some of the name recognition of baseball’s top relievers, he’s squarely alongside – or ahead – of them on various leaderboards. He’s got a sub-3.0 FIP in his last two years of work, having adjusted some early-career control challenges and mitigating hard contact – in 2025, he only allowed five home runs in his 76.1 innings. As Connor Donovan pointed out in the news write-up, he is an elite ground ball pitcher whose ground ball rate of 62.6% was third among all relievers (minimum 50 innings pitched), after Jhoan Duran and Tim Hill.

Ferrer leads with a 98 MPH sinker, the fuel for those groundball rates, and mixes in a slider against lefties and a changeup for righties. A welcome second lefty in the ‘pen, he is a compelling player for the Mariners’ pitching development staff to tinker with. On a basic level, it seems likely they’ll have him seek to diversify his pitch mix, upping the changeup and slider rates and easing back on the fastball. I would also be quite curious to watch his bullpens in Spring Training, to see if any adjustments are made to his slider, which is certainly effective as-is but lacks some of the command that could maximize its efficacy like this nasty game-ender:

As John Trupin wrote earlier this week, Eduard Bazardo was a workhorse for Seattle’s bullpen last year, throwing 18 ⅓ innings on no rest – eighth-most in MLB. At sixth was Ferrer, pitching for 20 innings after an outing the day before. The Nationals were using him as their primary closer by the end of 2025, but that obviously will not be his role in Seattle. With club control through 2029, there’s ample flexibility for his development and his position within the ‘pen. His presence eases the burden on Gabe Speier when it comes to facing high-leverage lefties, and while they certainly would never be so rigid, it’s not hard to imagine a routine with Ferrer in the seventh, Matt Brash in the eight and Andres Munoz to close it out. Currently, the Mariners are looking at a locked-in relief corps of Munoz, Brash, Speier, Bazardo and Ferrer. That’s the kind of bullpen core that World Series teams are made of.

To the surprise of nobody who knows me, I found it exceptionally hard, in my ill-fated college art class, to relinquish control and make room for the negative space. I wanted to fill and coax and bodily drag the viewer into seeing exactly what I intended by drawing it all out for them. But that’s not how negative space works. It’s meant to be left alone, to shape through absence, and it tests both the resolution of the artist and the presence of the art around it. It is a show of strength, a leap not of faith but of surety, to leave blank space upon a canvas.

Top 25 Mets Prospects for 2026

We’ve officially wrapped up our countdown of our list of the Mets’ top twenty-five prospects going into the 2026 season. We hope you enjoyed it, and that it was as educational to everyone reading as it was enjoyable for us putting it together. We encourage everyone to use the comment section to submit questions about the state of the Mets’ farm system, our 2026 list, our individual lists, or anything else you have questions about. We’ll do our best to answer everyone!

Here, then, is the full list, complete with links to each player’s write-up:

  1. Nolan McLean
  2. Carson Benge
  3. Jonah Tong
  4. Jett Williams*
  5. Brandon Sproat*
  6. A.J. Ewing
  7. Jacob Reimer
  8. Ryan Clifford
  9. Will Watson
  10. Jack Wenninger
  11. Mitch Voit
  12. Jonathan Santucci
  13. Elian Peña
  14. Zach Thornton
  15. Nick Morabito
  16. R.J. Gordon
  17. Chris Suero
  18. Dylan Ross
  19. Ryan Lambert
  20. Antonio Jimenez
  21. Edward Lantigua
  22. Eli Serrano III
  23. Randy Guzman
  24. Daiverson Gutierrez
  25. Boston Baro
  26. Marco Vargas
  27. Peter Kussow

WRITER’S THOUGHTS: PROSPECTS 25-11

WRITER’S THOUGHTS: PROSPECTS 10-1

Amazin’ Avenue 2026 Mets Top 25 Prospect List

RankSteveLukas
1Nolan McLeanNolan McLean
2Jonah TongCarson Benge
3Carson BengeJonah Tong
4Jett WilliamsA.J. Ewing
5Brandon SproatJett Williams
6Jonathan SantucciJacob Reimer
7Will WatsonRyan Clifford
8Jacob ReimerBrandon Sproat
9A.J. EwingMitch Voit
10Ryan CliffordJack Wenninger
11Jack WenningerElian Pena
12Mitch VoitWill Watson
13R.J. GordonZach Thornton
14Zach ThorntonRyan Lambert
15Elian PenaDylan Ross
16Nick MorabitoNick Morabito
17Chris SueroEdward Lantigua
18Antonio JimenezJonathan Santucci
19Daiverson GutierrezChris Suero
20Boston BaroRandy Guzman
21Eli Serrano IIIAntonio Jimenez
22Dylan RossR.J. Gordon
23Ryan LambertEli Serrano III
24Edward LantiguaMarco Vargas
25Randy GuzmanJosmir Reyes
26Yovanny RodriguezPeter Kussow
27Peter KussowCamden Lohman
28Marco VargasNathan Hill
29Trey SnyderCam Tilly
30Anthony FroboseJeremy Rodriguez

As always, a special thanks goes out to our friends at Baseball Prospectus, Baseball America, FanGraphs, and the countless others who have contributed to our collective knowledge of the Mets’ farm system through first-hand information or secondary sources. Another thanks goes out to the various photographers who have graciously allowed Amazin’ Avenue to use their shots over the years.

Last but certainly not least, the Amazin’ Avenue minor league team thanks our amazing community for their continued passion and enthusiasm. None of this would be possible—or needed—without your continued support.

Love the Mets, Love the Mets!

The Sixers’ players deserve your support despite the disheartening deadline

Make no mistake about it, Monday’s blowout loss in Portland was an unfortunate ending to Philadelphia’s five-game West Coast trip that started off with convincing wins against the Clippers and Warriors. A few days prior to the loss on Monday was a loss in Los Angeles against the Lakers which happened to coincide with an NBA Trade Deadline that did not please Sixers fans.

By now, you all know what happened as the Sixers ducked the tax again and subtracted a young player in Jared McCain and were unable to flip the draft capital they acquired for McCain for a different player.

Fast forward to Wednesday night, and Philly is set to return home to Xfinity Mobile Arena and welcome in the hated New York Knicks. In recent seasons, Knicks games in Philadelphia have seen an avalanche of New Yorkers make the short trip down the Jersey Turnpike and across the bridge. There’s a good chance Wednesday night is no different — but it should be.

New York sits third in the Eastern Conference, a half game behind the Boston Celtics. In seventh place in the East, and just below the play-in tournament cut line, is the Orlando Magic with a record of 28-24. That’s right, only five games in the loss column separated the second-place teams from the seventh-place team in the conference and Philadelphia is included in this jumble. As for the first-place team in the East, that would be the Detroit Pistons, a franchise that has not won a playoff round since 2008. 

Nothing against Detroit, but I don’t think anyone would fear the Pistons in a postseason series. Of course, this landscape of the Eastern Conference was part of the argument behind a more aggressive trade deadline from Daryl Morey and his staff. It seems like a wide-open conference and if you’re the Sixers, why not go for it or at least push a few more chips into the middle of the table in a season many would probably call an overachieving one so far?

I understand the fan fatigue that’s probably existed in Sixers country lately. Countless early exits in the postseason followed by a disastrous 2024-25 season had a lot of fans tuned out at the start of this season and based on how tickets have been selling on the secondary market, it doesn’t seem like much has changed despite the team’s solid first half. Toss in a disappointing trade deadline and what do you have left to hang your head on?

However, if you were a fan arguing for additions instead of subtractions at last week’s trade deadline, you were doing so because you believed in this year’s roster at least a little bit. Part of you allowed yourself to enjoy some of the younger blood on the team and frankly, McCain had been having an underwhelming season anyway. Morey said he believes the team sold high on McCain and maybe he’s right.

So why not get behind a team that’s been overachieving so far this season? Joel Embiid has played at a higher level than most people would have anticipated. Tyrese Maxey has raised his level to become an All-Star starter. VJ Edgecombe has come right in and been an instant contributor as a rookie. Are they destined for the NBA Finals? Probably not. But sooner or later the invasion of Knicks fans at Xfinity Mobile Arena has to stop.

Could Brandon Sproat be the next “pitching lab” success story?

Sep 26, 2025; Miami, Florida, USA; New York Mets starting pitcher Brandon Sproat (40) delivers a pitch against the Miami Marlins during the first inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images | Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Milwaukee’s pitching development staff has a reputation around the league as a “pitching lab.” As an organization, the Brewers have done a great job of developing pitchers with talent who were either unheralded or underperformed previously. In 2024, Tobias Myers turned into arguably the Brewers’ best starting pitcher. In 2025, Quinn Priester didn’t lose a game for literal months on end.

In 2026, I think recent acquisition Brandon Sproat is the best bet to follow this pattern.

Coming out of the University of Florida, Sproat was regarded — per Baseball America — “as an athletic righthander with arm speed who emphasized his fastball and changeup,” although his “shaky control induced reliever risk.” Despite the “risk,” he was drafted in the second round of the 2024 draft by the Mets and initially looked to be an amazing find. Sproat breezed through the lower minors and arrived in Triple-A before the end of his first professional season.

Unfortunately, he hit a wall there. The right-hander started seven games in 2024 for the Syracuse Mets, posting a 7.53 ERA. His peripherals weren’t great, either. Sproat allowed 2.2 home runs and 11.3 hits per nine innings, both more than double his average in Double-A. He allowed an opponent slugging percentage of .574. Sproat struck out 11 batters per nine innings in both High-A and Double-A, but that number dipped all the way down to 6.59 in Triple-A. Through his first 22 starts with Syracuse (seven in 2024 and 15 in 2025), Sproat sported a pretty brutal 6.45 ERA.

And then, just like that, he figured things out. Starting in July 2025, Sproat started shoving like he had been in the lower minors. Through his last 11 starts in 2025, he recorded a 2.44 ERA while striking out batters a whopping 30% of the time.

Sproat was rewarded for his efforts with a September call-up, making his major-league debut just before his 25th birthday. He didn’t pitch incredibly well during his four appearances with the Mets but didn’t embarrass himself either. I’m inclined to agree with Baseball America, which said in their scouting report on Sproat that he “has all the ingredients to be a No. 4 starter or better, and he’s ready to assume that role in 2026.” He has talent to spare, with four pitches (a mid-80s sweeper, a high-70s curveball, a slider, and a 94-96 mph sinker) that all have the potential to be plus pitches at the major league level.

So, how can the Brewers’ pitching lab get the most out of Sproat?

Sproat has always been talented, but his success down the stretch came as a result of developing a more effective pitch mix. Milwaukee has had a ton of success with modifying and developing pitch selection, and Sproat has as much to work with as any pitcher the Brewers have had in recent years.

Sproat has used a combination of six different pitches — a sweeper, curveball, changeup, slider, fastball, and sinker — since becoming a member of the Mets organization. Below is his pitch chart over his first four career starts. As shown below, Sproat threw his sinker nearly twice as often as any other pitch. He deployed his sweeper, curveball, fastball, and changeup at roughly equal rates while barely using his slider. It’s an extremely limited sample size, but it does show us what the Mets thought an ideal pitch mix would be for Sproat.

His sinker was hit harder than any other pitch during his four starts in New York, even after accounting for higher volume. Sproat gave up a hit on nine of the 99, or 9.1%, of the sinkers that he threw, with three of those hits going for extra bases. His changeup (43 pitches, two hits) and sweeper (55 pitches, one hit) were each used less frequently than his sinker but proved very effective when utilized. Brewer Fanatic’s Jake McKibbin showed that the sinker and sweeper were ineffective against lefties, describing them as pretty much “neutralized.”

Sproat was only throwing his fastball 32% of the time, even in July. He gets solid velocity on his fastball, which can occasionally touch triple digits, but due to below-average shape (a lack of induced vertical break) his fastball hasn’t exactly been a put-out pitch thus far. Baseball America called it “pedestrian.”

The weird thing is that Sproat’s pitch chart with the Mets is almost the exact opposite of what it had been a year prior. Per a 2024 scouting report, Sproat’s best pitches were his fastball and his slider, the two pitches he threw the least as a Met. The fact that he only threw his four seamer 14% of the time in the big leagues probably doesn’t even mean it’s not a good pitch — it just means that without a good shape, it can’t be heavily featured without giving up hard contact. His fastball numbers were good as a Met, which may have because Sproat was reportedly able to slightly alter its shape sometime around… July.

Maybe the fastball is best as an ancillary offering, but I think Milwaukee sees a legitimate plus fastball waiting to be unlocked. Here’s former Brewer Josh Hader on the team’s pitching lab:

“With (pitching coaches) digging more into the lab, they’re starting to learn how pitches should spin to get optimal drop or movement. That’s one of the things we’ve been looking into with TrackMan, seeing how your ball rotates.”

Pretty much every scouting report on Sproat mentions that his fastball has a lot of potential but could use some work to induce further vertical break. That is exactly what the Brewers do. I’d bet that the Brewers will play with Sproat’s fastball until they find the right shape. Trevor Megill and Nick Mears both got hit around before arriving in Milwaukee, but both thrived once they leaned on their fastballs.

In a world where the Brewers are able to unlock his fastball, his ceiling seems to suddenly raise. Even if he doesn’t throw his fastball more than 30-35% of the time, he also has a few other pitches that are worth utilizing.

One of the reasons Sproat improved in July, per Baseball America, was that he began to throw changeups a lot more. His changeup recorded a 26% swinging-strike rate and a 71% groundball rate, with Baseball America noting that the pitch was “paramount” to his recent success. After his fastball, his changeup was his second-most used pitch against left-handed hitters in Triple-A. His curveball — which had a 41% whiff rate and a 32% chase rate in July — was the third-most frequently used.

For the sake of argument, let’s say the Brewers can’t get the sweeper and sinker — a pitch the Mets clearly believed in — to play better against left-handed hitters. If the Brewers can unlock his fastball, he’d have four pitches (fastball, curveball, slider, and changeup) that should all play well against lefties.

Can Sproat be the next Brewers pitching success story? Answer that for yourself. Sproat is an extremely talented prospect, but he’s still figuring out how to pitch to his strengths and fully harness his stuff. He couldn’t have come to a better organization.

The Pope gets a home game. Villanova, Notre Dame to open 2026-27 basketball season in Rome

Villanova and Notre Dame are finalizing an agreement to open the 2026-27 season with a men’s and women’s basketball doubleheader in Rome, according to multiple reports on Tuesday, Feb. 10.

The games would take place on Nov. 1, one day before the official start date of the season, but the NCAA reportedly gave the schools special clearance.

Given the circumstances, it’s easy to understand why.

Pope Leo XIV is a Villanova alum, having graduated from the university in 1977 with a degree in mathematics (back when he was known as Robert Prevost). He’s also a native of Chicago, which is a relatively short trip from Notre Dame’s South Bend, Indiana campus and is home to a significant number of Fighting Irish fans. Both universities are Catholic schools.

According to CBS Sports, which first reported news of the planned doubleheader, the Pope’s involvement in the event is unclear.

The game will be played at the 3,500-seat Palazzetto dello Sport and will air on Fox, according to CBS. The games will lead into the network’s NFL coverage that Sunday.

It will mark the second time in the past four seasons that Notre Dame’s women’s basketball team has opened a season on European soil. In Nov. 2023, the Fighting Irish lost to eventual national champion South Carolina 100-71 in a game played in Paris.

Villanova and Notre Dame were both in the Big East from 1995-2013, but haven’t met regularly since the Fighting Irish left for the ACC for non-football sports after the 2012-13 season. The two schools haven’t squared off in men’s basketball since 2016 and haven’t played each other in women’s basketball since 2018.

Notre Dame’s women’s basketball is among the most decorated programs in the sport’s history, with two national championships and five Final Four appearances. The Fighting Irish are struggling this season, though, with a 15-9 record.

On the men’s side, Villanova has been one of the most accomplished programs of the past 50 years, with three national championships, including titles in 2016 and 2018 under then-coach Jay Wright. After three tumultuous seasons after Wright’s surprise retirement in 2022, the Wildcats are 19-5 under first-year head coach Kevin Willard.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Rome to host Villanova, Notre Dame to open 2026-27 basketball season

Heat vs Pelicans Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Miami Heat head to the Big Easy tonight to face the New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center, with tip-off at 8:00 p.m. ET. 

Zion Williamson has thrived as a passer lately, and my Heat vs. Pelicans predictions will focus on his ability to facilitate the rock.

Find out more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, February 11. 

Heat vs Pelicans prediction

Heat vs Pelicans best bet: Zion Williamson Over 3.5 assists (-115)

Zion Williamson has an eye for picking a pass for a big man, averaging 3.5 dimes per night.

The former first overall pick had six dimes on Monday against the Sacramento Kings, marking the fourth time in his last six appearances he cashed the Over on assists

While Zion had just two dimes earlier this season against the Miami HeatMiami is allowing 4.4 assists per contest to power forwards

Heat vs Pelicans same-game parlay

Kasparas Jakucionis has eclipsed his rebound total in three straight, grabbing three boards in each game. He’s also hit the Over in rebounds in four consecutive road contests.

Miami has won three straight against the Pelicans, and its last road game was a huge 132-101 victory over the Washington Wizards. 

Jaime Jaquez has dished out Over 4.5 dimes in three straight outings, and the UCLA product is averaging 4.7 assists this season. 

Heat vs Pelicans SGP

  • Kasparas Jakucionis Over 3.5 rebounds
  • Heat moneyline
  • Jaime Jaquez Over 4.5 assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: Threes brigade

Herb Jones has cashed the Over in triples in two of his last four, while Trey Murphy III has been on fire from 3-point land — cashing his Over in three in a row. 

Saddiq Bey has also hit two or more treys in three of five, and there should be plenty of shots tonight with Miami ranked No. 1 in pace.

Heat vs Pelicans SGP

  • Zion Williamson Over 3.5 assists
  • Herbert Jones Over 1.5 threes
  • Trey Murphy III Over 3.5 threes
  • Saddiq Bey Over 1.5 threes

Heat vs Pelicans odds

  • Spread: Heat +1 (-115) | Pelicans -1 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Heat -105 | Pelicans -115
  • Over/Under: Over 231.5 | Under 231.5

Heat vs Pelicans betting trend to know

The Miami Heat have hit the first-quarter moneyline in 31 of their last 45 away games (+23.80 Units / 42% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Pelicans.

How to watch Heat vs Pelicans

LocationSmoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
DateWednesday, February 11, 2026
Tip-off8:00 p.m. ET
TVFDSN Sun, GCSEN

Heat vs Pelicans latest injuries

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How will the Reds juggle the 5th starter in their rotation?

PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 08: Chase Burns #26 of the Cincinnati Red pitches during the game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Friday, August 8, 2025 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joshua Veon/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Nick Martinez was a starting pitcher for the 2025 Cincinnati Reds right up until he wasn’t. He’d start on Tuesday. He’d then start on Friday. Then, he’d take two weeks off and be a reliever every other day, sometimes for two, three innings at a time.

Martinez, who finalized a one-year deal with the Tampa Bay Rays yesterday, was precisely the kind of malleable arm that made juggling the rest of the Reds rotation easy. After all, getting more than five arms to be ready only once every fifth day requires a kind of mathematic precision with roster planning and scheduling, and having someone who can do it on their own abbreviated schedule served as a major Band-Aid for manager Terry Francona and head pitching monk Derek Johnson along the way.

So, how will the Reds navigate that issue in 2026?

Complicating the process will be the inevitable innings limits on just about every single candidate for the job. Rhett Lowder, Brandon Williamson, and Julian Aguiar are each coming off almost completely lost 2025 seasons, and none of them is going to be tasked with getting 30 starts and 180 innings even if they simply refuse to allow hits and runs all year. Chase Burns, meanwhile, threw just 109.1 IP across four levels in 2026 after throwing just 100.0 at Wake Forest the year before, and the Reds clearly operated with innings limits in mind for him last year as they used him in the bullpen down the stretch to keep him available.

Four arms who will need some form of kid gloves all year, and four arms you’d love to still have ready and able for a playoff run come September. How, though, do you use them enough from April through August to get them to that point, though?

Will the Reds send Burns, perhaps, to the bullpen to begin the year, as MLB.com’s Mark Sheldon opined in his first stab at the Opening Day roster? Would the Reds consider piggy-backing two of these guys from the start?

Is it possible they’d be willing to, say, put Rhett Lowder in the rotation and tell him he’s got 15 starts and they’re shutting him down in July? Might they drag their feet on getting Williamson and Aguiar going in the minors, as both are coming off Tommy John surgeries?

Would they even consider going to a six-man rotation at any given point, or would that throw off the regularity enjoyed by the rest of the starters?

All of this, of course, assumes the health and progress of each of the four arms who are ‘known’ quantities in the rotation in Hunter Greene, Andrew Abbott, Nick Lodolo, and Brady Singer. The best case scenario, obviously, is the four names I talked about earlier only having one opening in the rotation available to them. Complications will surely arise, though, and the Reds have enviable depth to be able to address them when they do…provided they can find a way to keep that many talented, deserving arms ready and able to go at any point this season.

It’s almost enough to make you wish Martinez was still around.

What say you?

Rough Orioles injury news: Broken hamate for Holliday, Westburg’s oblique sore

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 27: Jackson Holliday #7 of the Baltimore Orioles takes the field prior to the game between the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Saturday, September 27, 2025 in New York, New York. (Photo by Michael Mooney/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The first big question to be answered in every spring training is this: Who got hurt before reporting to camp? Mike Elias’s first media availability with local reporters answered the question on Wednesday morning. It’s not a great report this year. The big news is that Jackson Holliday suffered a broken hamate bone while taking live batting practice on February 6. Additionally, Jordan Westburg has been dealing with some oblique soreness for about three weeks, although for the time being Elias claims Westburg will be ready for Opening Day.

The February 5 acquisition of Blaze Alexander from the Diamondbacks has a bit more of a clear rationale now that we know Westburg has the oblique issue. The team needed to firm up its infield depth if there was any kind of question mark for any of its key players.

This need for depth only became more apparent the very next day with Holliday’s broken hamate bone. According to Elias, Holliday will be having surgery that will remove the hamate tomorrow. If Holliday is able to recover on a typical timeline, it might be Opening Day before he’s even ready to resume baseball activities, and then he’ll need to start building up like he would have done in spring training from that point.

Hamate injuries are notorious for continuing to sap power for some time even after the player is able to play, so we can probably already rule out a big power breakout for Holliday in 2026. He’ll likely be back off the IL at some point in May, even if the full strength doesn’t come back right away. Alexander is going to get a good chance to get some playing time early in the season.

One piece of good news from Elias’s conference is that there were no major pitching injuries. If anything, this news turned out better than expected, as Elias said that Zach Eflin is a full go to start out in spring training. I had been assuming he might be a few weeks behind in his routine after last year’s back surgery. With apologies to Colin Selby, the fact that he has shoulder inflammation and will be hitting the injured list is not a major shakeup to anyone’s imagined Orioles roster. This does still create a roster opening, since Selby was in the projected bullpen especially after Kade Strowd was included in that Arizona trade. It’s not immediately clear who will fill that spot.

Elias also addressed the topic of pitchers who could have gone either way as a starting pitcher or a reliever. For camp, Tyler Wells will be preparing with a starting pitcher’s workload. Chayce McDermott is headed for the bullpen. Neither of these are too surprising, so it’s more notable that they’ve been confirmed by Elias.

Wells doesn’t have a clear path to the Opening Day rotation in my eyes unless someone ahead of him gets hurt. I think he’s the #6 guy around, so the team does need him to be ready for that workload if it becomes necessary due to anything that happens with another player in camp. I’m not going to pretend that I think McDermott might be anything or that it would be a good news if we ever see him on the big league roster for any length of time.

The next step is to get everybody through spring training with as few injuries as possible. The offseason injury report was pretty good in spring training last year and the Orioles still ended up with a whole bunch of problems by the time Opening Day rolled around and afterwards.

Are players allowed to fight in Olympic ice hockey?

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[BBC]

Ice hockey may have a reputation for fights breaking out in the US and Canada's National Hockey League (NHL), but that behaviour is prohibited in international games.

The International Ice Hockey Federation (IIHF) state in their rulebook that fighting is "not part of international ice hockey's DNA".

This includes Winter Olympic ice hockey games.

Players who do get involved in fights could face penalties or be ejected from the game.

When suspensions are issued, they can be carried over from one IIHF event to another.

For instance, should a player be suspended in the gold medal match at the Winter Olympics, it would carry over to the next IIHF tournament.

However, fighting in the NHL is a regular aspect of the matches, for which both sides can be given a far less harsh punishment of up to a five-minute penalty for individual players.

At the 2026 Winter Olympics, there are 12 men's teams and 10 women's. Great Britain failed to qualify for the Games with either team.

But for the first time since 2014, we will see NHL players from the United States and Canada in action at an Olympics.

What are the Olympic ice hockey rules?

Each team fields six players on the ice, made up of five skaters and a goalkeeper.

The players are continually rotated from a game-day squad of 22 players.

There are three 20 minute periods during the game, where each side will aim to hit a puck into the back of the net.

Should scores be tied, there is a period of overtime, lasting between five and 20 minutes, depending on the stage of the tournament.

Crucially, skaters are reduced from five to three for both teams during overtime.

Whoever scores first in this period wins - and if it is still a tie, the match goes to a penalty shootout, apart from in the gold medal match where the winner must be decided through open play.

This article is the latest from BBC Sport's Ask Me Anything team.

More questions answered...

Canadiens: Slafkovsky Motivated To Make A Difference

While the NHL has been on pause since February 6, the men’s Olympic tournament is only kicking off in Milano on Wednesday with two games in Group B. The first game will feature Slovakia and Finland, while the second will pit Sweden and Italy. In other words, one Montreal Canadiens will make his tournament debut.

Oliver Kapanen is part of the Finnish team, but he was the thirteenth forward when the team trained on Tuesday, and it has now been confirmed that he’ll be a healthy scratch when the Finns take on the Slovaks today.

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Meanwhile, Juraj Slafkovsky will be playing for Slovakia and is expected to play a major role for his country. Back in 2022, his dominant MVP performance at the Olympics helped Slovakia win the bronze medal and spectacularly launched his career, making him the Canadiens’ first-overall pick at the draft held in Montreal. In seven games in Beijing, he scored seven goals, including a pair in the bronze medal game, to lead the tournament in scoring.

The 21-year-old is fully aware that this tournament will be different from his first Olympic appearance since the NHL players are there this time around, but he still wants to make a difference:

I just want to give my best performance. I'll look to help my team and to be the best version of myself. Hopefully, I can help the team win a few games.
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Skating on the first line alongside former Hab Tomas Tatar and former NHLer Adam Ruzicka, Slafkovsky should face the opponents’ first line and first defensive pairing, which should prove to be a big challenge in this best-on-best competition.

The Canadiens’ winger will also play on his country’s first power play unit with Tatar, St. Louis Blues’ Dalibor Dvorsky, Libor Hudacek, who plays in Czechia, and New Jersey Devils defenseman Simon Nemec.

Team Slovakia only includes seven NHLers, while Finland only has one non-NHL player on its roster, which makes the Finns the favourite on paper to win today’s tilt, but the game is played on the ice and not on paper.


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Pretty in PECOTA, Mariners projected for best record in the American League

Jerry Dipoto, executive vice president of the Seattle Mariners, speaks during the GeekWire Sports Tech Summit in Seattle, Washington, U.S., on Thursday, June 22, 2017. The event brings together dozens of leading thinkers in data science, sports marketing, virtual reality, wearables and more. Photographer: David Ryder/Bloomberg via Getty Images | Bloomberg via Getty Images

Pitchers and catchers are reporting, and so are public projection systems. Baseball Prospectus has released their 2026 projections from PECOTA, with a glowing 93.6-win aggregated projection for the Seattle Mariners that is the best in the American League by a sizable margin. Not only is Seattle projected to repeat as AL West champions, but they hold the highest playoff odds and World Series odds of any club in the AL, and are second in all totals only to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

It’s a ringing endorsement for Seattle, who boast an above-average lineup and pitching staff, bolstered significantly by their willingness to add Brendan Donovan to the fold. Between Donovan, 5-win projections for both Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodríguez, and each of Seattle’s five presumed rotation members projecting from average to All-Star caliber, PECOTA tells us plenty we know already. What is helpful however, is how these M’s contrast to the rest of the league.

The AL West features three genuine contenders, with both Lone Star State clubs checking in as near-coin flips for a playoff spot. They remain a tier below Seattle, however, with Houston around an 86 win pace and Texas at 84. Striking distance, to be sure, but set in such a way to be Seattle’s to lose. Only the Cubs above their thrifty compatriots and the Dodgers above their mortal competitors feature a greater gap between the 1st and 2nd place clubs in their divisions in terms of projected wins as the AL West.

The crowded AL East is its own worst enemy, with all five clubs set at a >.500 pace, albeit more comfortably for the Yankees and Blue Jays than their compatriots. There’s plucky promise from the Kansas City Royals in PECOTA’s eyes as well, with the AL Central continuing to remain the second division of the sport’s highest level.

On the heels of a near dead heat projection by ZiPS in late January, prior to Seattle’s acquisition of Donovan, Seattle has now a formidable expectation of superiority from the major public projections, with FanGraphs presently showing Seattle around an 87-88 win club that’s 6-7 wins ahead of their Texan competition. On the day of triumphant celebration in downtown Seattle for one SoDo club, there’s reason to think more high-level play impends on the corner of Occidental.

Spurs vs. Warriors predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for February 11

After smacking the Lakers last night, 136-108, Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs (37-16) look to extend their five-game winning streak tonight when they take the court in San Francisco against the injury-ravaged Golden State Warriors (29-25).

With their win last night, San Antonio pulled to within 3.5 games of Oklahoma City for the top spot in the Western Conference. Wembanyama scored 40 in 26 minutes in the win. He was the only starter to score in double figures as the Spurs jumped out to a massive, 29-point lead at halftime.

The Warriors have won two of their last three but are just 4-6 in their last ten games. Steve Kerr’s lineup has been patchwork of late to say the least as the team deals with a multitude of injuries including possibly their two most impactful players, Jimmy Butler (knee) and Stephen Curry (knee). Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles) has not dressed for Golden State since arriving at the NBA Trade Deadline from Atlanta.

The Warriors have knocked off the Spurs in their only two previous meetings this season. Both games were in San Antonio. Golden State won 125-120 on November 12 and 109-108 on November 14. Stephen Curry scored a combined 95 points in the two games. These teams will conclude their season series April 1 in San Francisco.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

After 24 years, the NBA is back on NBC and Peacock, combining the nostalgia of an iconic era with the innovative future of basketball coverage. The NBA on NBC YouTube channel delivers fans must-see highlights, analysis, and exclusive and unique content. 

Game Details and How to Watch Live: Spurs at Warriors

  • Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
  • Time: 10PM EST
  • Site: Chase Center
  • City: San Francisco, CA
  • Network/Streaming: ESPN

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest NBA Player News for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Game Odds: Spurs at Warriors

The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: San Antonio Spurs (-250), Golden State Warriors (+205)
  • Spread: Spurs -7.5
  • Total: 220.5 points

This game opened Spurs -5.5 with the Total set at 216.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule! 

Expected Starting Lineups: Spurs at Warriors

San Antonio Spurs

  • PG De’Aaron Fox
  • SG Stephon Castle
  • SF Devin Vassell
  • PF Julian Champagnie
  • C Victor Wembanyama

Golden State Warriors

  • PG Pat Spencer
  • SG De’Anthony Melton
  • SF Moses Moody
  • PF Gui Santos
  • C Draymond Green

Injury Report: Spurs at Warriors

San Antonio Spurs

  • Stephon Castle (pelvic) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Lindy Waters III (knee) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • David Jones Garcia (ankle) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game

Golden State Warriors

  • Stephon Curry (knee) has been declared OUT of tonight’s game
  • Seth Curry (back) has been declared OUT of tonight’s game
  • De’Anthony Melton (glute) is listed as questionable for tonight’s gam
  • Will Richard (knee) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • L.J. Cryer (hamstring) has been declared OUT of tonight’s game
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles) has been declared OUT of tonight’s game

Important stats, trends and insights: Spurs at Warriors

  • The Spurs are 17-10 on the road this season
  • The Warriors are 18-9 at home this season
  • The Spurs are 28-23-2 ATS this season / 14-13 ATS on the road
  • The Warriors are 24-29-1 ATS this season / 13-13-1 ATS at home
  • The OVER has cashed in 22 of the Spurs’ 54 games this season (22-32)
  • The OVER has cashed in 30 of the Warriors’ 54 games this season (30-24) / 18-9 at home
  • Pat Spencer is averaging 16 points in his last 4 games after averaging 2.2PPG in all of January
  • Moses Moody has averaged 20 points over his last 2 games
  • Dylan Harper scored 15 points and tallied 6 assists last night against the Lakers
  • Julian Champagnie has pulled down just 2 rebounds in each of his last 2 games

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
 
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Spurs and Warriors’ game:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Spurs -7.5 ATS
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total OVER 220.5

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar! 

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

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