Keaton Wagler's career-high 46 points lead No. 11 Illinois past No. 4 Purdue

WEST LAFAYETTE, Ind. (AP) — Keaton Wagler scored a career-high 46 points, making nine 3-pointers, as No. 11 Illinois beat No. 4 Purdue 88-82 on Saturday.

Wagler, a freshman guard, shot 13 for 17 overall, 9 of 11 from 3-point range and 11 of 13 on free throws. David Mirkovic added 12 points and eight rebounds for the Illini (17-3, 8-1 Big Ten).

Braden Smith led the Boilermakers (17-3, 7-2) with 27 points and 12 assists. Trey Kaufman-Renn added 12 points for Purdue, which lost its second consecutive game.

The Illini hit 18 of 38 3-pointers while Purdue was 7 of 19.

Wagler had 24 of the Illini’s 39 first-half points, including the first 14.

Smith’s 3-pointer cut Illinois’ lead to 82-80 with 45 seconds left. Wagler answered with a jumper with 18 seconds left, and after Smith made two from the line to again make it a two-point game, Wagler hit two to make it 86-82 with 9.3 seconds left. Purdue then turned the ball over.

Purdue shot 63% percent in the opening half compared to 43% for Illinois. However, the Illini countered that by hitting 9 of 21 3-pointers while the Boilermakers were 3 of 8 on 3-point shots.

NO. 2 UCONN 75, VILLANOVA 67, OT

HARTFORD, Conn. (AP) — Solo Ball had 24 points, including a key 3-pointer in overtime, and Alex Karaban had all of his 17 after halftime as UConn beat Villanova.

Silas Demary Jr. and Tarris Reed Jr. each finished with 10 for UConn (19-1, 9-0 Big East), which won its 15th game in a row.

Matthew Hodge hit a 3-pointer with 1:06 left in the second half to give Villanova a two-point lead, but Reed tied it on a tip that bounced off the rim a couple of times.

Villanova’s Tyler Perkins opened overtime with a 3-pointer, but that was the Wildcats’ only field goal in the extra period. Perkins and Duke Brennan had 16 points apiece for Villanova (15-5, 6-3).

UConn coach Dan Hurley was called for a technical foul with 15:06 left in the second half after no foul was called on a shot in the paint by Karaban and then Villanova’s Acaden Lewis went to the line after being fouled. Devin Askew made both free throws on the technical and Lewis hit both foul shots to put Villanova up 39-33. Ball had five points in a 7-0 UConn run and his 3-pointer with 12:12 remaining gave the Huskies their first lead of the second half.

NO. 5 DUKE 90, WAKE FOREST 68

DURHAM, N.C. (AP) — Cameron Boozer scored 32 points to lead Duke’s dominating interior play that helped the Blue Devils beat Wake Forest.

The star freshman big man made 11 of 20 shots to go with nine rebounds and four assists, controlling large stretches with his scoring and his playmaking ability to passing out of oncoming double teams.

And with the 6-foot-9, 250-pound forward in charge, Duke (18-1, 7-0 Atlantic Coast Conference) outscored its longtime instate league foe 48-16 in the paint. The Blue Devils also outrebounded the Demon Deacons by 21 and finished with a 18-7 edge in second-chance points.

It marked Boozer’s fourth output of at least 30 points this season, while Duke shot 50% overall.

NO. 12 TEXAS TECH 90, NO. 6 HOUSTON 86

LUBBOCK, Texas (AP) — JT Toppin had 31 points and 12 rebounds for his 44th career double-double and Donovan Atwell hit consecutive 3-pointers late to put Texas Tech ahead to stay in a win over Houston, ending the Cougars’ 11-game winning streak.

True freshman Kingston Flemings had a season-high 42 points with six assists for the Cougars (17-2, 5-1 Big 12), who had won their past 16 true road games — all conference games — since a loss at No. 8 Kansas two years ago. That was a school record and the nation’s longest active streak.

Texas Tech (16-4, 6-1) had 10 made 3s in the first half when scoring 55 points against a Houston team that coming in ranked second nationally allowing only 60.1 points. The Red Raiders made only two from beyond the arc after halftime, Atwell hitting the go-ahead 3 with 5:55 left and adding another 34 seconds later.

There were eight lead changes and eight ties in the game that Houston led for 18 minutes, 41 seconds, and Tech led 18:12.

NO. 7 NEBRASKA 76, MINNESOTA 57

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — Pryce Sandfort scored 20 of his 22 points in the second half and grabbed 10 rebounds for Nebraska, helping the Huskers remain unbeaten by surging past Minnesota.

Sam Hoiberg had 14 points and seven assists and Jamarques Lawrence added 14 points for the Huskers (20-0, 9-0 Big Ten), who maintained sole possession of first place in the conference and matched the program’s best start in conference play since the 1965-66 team began 9-0 in the Big Eight. That season was also the last time Nebraska won five straight conference road games.

The Huskers, who entered the weekend as one of three undefeated NCAA Division I teams along with No. 1 Arizona and No. 25 Miami of Ohio, outscored the Gophers 46-21 in the second half behind a stifling defensive performance. Sandfort finished with four blocks and two steals.

NO. 8 GONZAGA 68, SAN FRANCISCO 66

SPOKANE, Wash. (AP) — Jalen Warley scored 19 points and Davis Fogle added 15 points and a last-second rebound as Gonzaga edged San Francisco for its 14th consecutive victory of the season and 34th win in a row over the Dons.

Tyon Grant-Foster added 15 points for Gonzaga (21-1, 9-0 West Coast Conference), which was without its two leading scorers for the third straight game. Forward Braden Huff (17.8 points per game) is out for several weeks with a knee injury. Forward Graham Ike (18 ppg) is expected back soon from an ankle injury.

Legend Smiley scored 18 points and Ryan Beasley 14 for San Francisco (13-9, 5-4), which has not beaten Gonzaga since 2012. The Dons’ last win in Spokane was in 1989.

San Francisco sank 14 of 28 3-point attempts to nearly end its long victory drought at Gonzaga.

Junjie Wang had a basket and two free throws to cut Gonzaga’s lead to 60-57 with five minutes left. But the Dons went cold after that and Grant-Foster’s basket and a late 3-pointer with two minutes left lifted the Zags to a 67-57 lead.

Vukasin Masic hit a pair of 3-pointers for the Dons to cut Gonzaga’s lead to 68-66 with 30 seconds left.

The Dons played for the final shot and Wang launched a long 3-pointer that clanged off the rim. Fogle rebounded for Gonzaga and time expired.

NO. 9 IOWA STATE 84, OKLAHOMA STATE 71

STILLWATER, Okla. (AP) — Milan Momcilovic scored 29 points, and Iowa State defeated Oklahoma State.

Momcilovic made 8 of 12 field goals, including 5 of 9 3-pointers, and all eight of his free throw attempts. The 6-foot-8 junior guard has averaged 27.7 points in his past three games.

Joshua Jefferson added 20 points for Iowa State, (18-2, 5-2 Big 12), which led by 30 points at halftime.

Kanye Clary and Jaylen Curry each scored 19 points for the Cowboys (14-6, 2-5), who outscored the Cyclones 50-33 in the second half, but lost for the fifth time in seven games.

Iowa State jumped out to an 11-2 lead. Momcilovic hit a 3-pointer, was fouled and made the free throw to push Iowa State’s lead to 23-4 seven minutes into the game. Oklahoma State missed nine of its first 10 shots and its first six 3-pointers.

Iowa State kept the pressure on and led 51-21 at halftime. Momcilovic scored 19 points in the first half as Cyclones made nine of 17 3-pointers before the break.

NO. 10 MICHIGAN ST. 91, MARYLAND 48

EAST LANSING, Mich. (AP) — Jeremy Fears had 17 points and a career-high 17 assists and Coen Carr scored 14 points while adding to his highlight reel of dunks, leading Michigan State to a win over Maryland.

The Spartans (18-2, 8-1 Big Ten) jumped out to a 24-4 lead and didn’t let up in the second half, scoring 15 straight points to lead 71-34 with 11:11 to play.

Michigan State’s 43-point margin of victory in a Big Ten game trailed only a 51-point win over Michigan during its 2000 national championship season.

The Spartans have won six straight games and 10 of 11, losing only to then-No. 13 Nebraska by two points on the road. They also lost to then-No. 4 Duke 66-60 at home in December.

NO. 13 BYU 91, UTAH 78

PROVO, Utah (AP) — AJ Dybantsa scored 43 points to break BYU’s freshman scoring record, leading the Cougars to a victory over Utah.

Dybantsa went 15 for 24 from the floor and 9 for 10 from the free throw line for his first 40-point game. He surpassed Danny Ainge’s record for points in a game by a BYU freshman and added six rebounds, three assists and blocked a shot.

Rob Wright III finished with 21 points and Richie Saunders added 12 to help the Cougars (17-2, 5-1 Big 12) bounce back from an 84-71 loss to Texas Tech a week earlier. BYU shot 60% in the second half to pull away in its final test before facing No. 1 Arizona on Monday.

Keanu Dawes led Utah with 23 points and six rebounds. Terrence Brown chipped in 22 points and Dom McHenry added 16 for the Utes (9-11, 1-6), who shot 62% from 3-point range.

NO. 15 VANDERBILT 88, MISSISSIPPI ST. 56

STARKVILLE, Miss. (AP) — Tyler Tanner scored 24 points and Duke Miles added 17 as Vanderbilt snapped a three-game losing skid with a win over Mississippi State.

The 32-point margin was the third-largest defeat for coach Chris Jans in his tenure at Mississippi State.

Tyler Nickel scored 13 points and Devin McGlockton 10 for Vanderbilt (17-3, 4-3 SEC).

Jayden Epps led Mississippi State (10-10, 2-6) with 14 points. After winning their first two SEC games, the Bulldogs have dropped five straight.

Vanderbilt led by as many as 34 points in the second half and shot 54% for the game. The Commodores shot 8 for 25 from 3-point range and were 10 for 11 at the foul line. Vanderbilt outscored Mississippi State 50-22 in points in the paint and never trailed.

AUBURN 76, NO. 16 FLORIDA 67

GAINESVILLE, Fla. (AP) — Keyshawn Hall scored 24 points, including 22 in Auburn’s dominant and stunning first half, and the Tigers upset Florida for the program’s first win in Gainesville since 1996.

Auburn used 7-0, 8-0 and 12-0 runs en route to a 15-point halftime lead in a matchup of 2025 Final Four teams, building enough of a cushion to withstand the Gators’ frantic rally after the break.

Defending national champion Florida (14-6, 5-2 Southeastern Conference), an 11 1/2-point favorite, tied the game twice in the second half, but Auburn’s Tahaad Pettiford hit a driving layup with 4:24 remaining to push the lead to 62-56. The Tigers (13-7, 4-3) held on from there for their third consecutive win.

The outcome ended Florida’s five-game winning streak, its 16-game home winning streak and its 15-game winning streak in the series.

Hall was the difference. The 6-foot-7, 225-pound senior made 8 of 17 shots, including 3 of 5 from 3-point range, to go along with seven rebounds and four assists. He got just about anything he wanted in the first half inside and made an array of shots from every level.

The Tigers mostly neutralized the best rebounding team in the country, outscoring Florida 36-28 in the paint and holding big men Rueben Chinyelu and Alex Condon to a combined 11 points and 16 rebounds.

KeShawn Murphy added 16 points and nine rebounds for Auburn, and Pettiford chipped in 11 points and five boards while being heckled by chants of “D-U-I, D-U-I” every time he touched the ball.

TENNESSEE 79, NO. 17 ALABAMA 73

TUSCALOOSA, Ala. (AP) — Tennessee freshman Nate Ament scored a career-high 29 points, Ja’K Gillespie added 23 and the Volunteers upset Alabama.

The loss spolied the debut of Charles Bediako for Alabama. He was playing in his first college game in nearly three years after securing a temporary restraining order in an ongoing eligibility lawsuit against the NCAA. Bediako received a loud ovation when he checked into the game nearly 4 minutes in. He scored two quick baskets and finished with 13 points and three rebounds in 25 minutes.

He provided a lift for Alabama (13-6, 3-3 SEC) , which was without two starters on Saturday — guard Aden Holloway and forward Amari Allen, who are the team’s second and third leading scorers. Alabama’s offense, which ranks third nationally in points per game (93.7), had its lowest total of the season.

Labaron Philon led Alabama with 26 points and Latrell Wrightsell added 14.

The win marked the fifth straight for Tennessee over Alabama — its longest streak since 1968-1972.

NO. 18 CLEMSON 77, GEORGIA TECH 63

ATLANTA (AP) — Jake Wahlin and Nick Davidson scored 13 points apiece and Clemson got hot from long range, bouncing back from its first Atlantic Coast Conference loss to beat Georgia Tech.

After making only 4 of 16 beyond the 3-point stripe in the first half, the Tigers (17-4, 7-1 ACC) went 7 of 12 over the final 20 minutes. Jestin Porter’s step-back 3 with just over a minute left sealed the victory.

Wahlin made all three of his 3-point attempts in the second half after going 0 for 3 in the opening period. He also led Clemson with eight rebounds, along with a thunderous dunk after the inside game opened up.

NO. 19 KANSAS 86, KANSAS STATE 62

MANHATTAN, Kan. (AP) — Flory Bidunga had 21 points and 10 rebounds, Elmarko Jackson added 19 points, and Kansas overcame the absence of standout guard Darryn Peterson with a big finishing kick for a win over Kansas State.

Melvin Council Jr. contributed 17 points and Bryson Tiller had 16 for the Jayhawks (15-5, 5-2 Big 12), who ended the game on a 27-7 run in the return to the sideline for coach Bill Self, who had missed their previous game because of a health-related issue.

Peterson, one of the nation’s best freshmen, had been on a tear after finally overcoming a series of cramping issues. But the Jayhawks’ high-scoring guard was sidelined against Kansas State after spraining his ankle in Tuesday night’s win over Colorado.

P.J. Haggerty had 18 of his 23 points in the second half to lead the Wildcats (10-10, 1-6). Andrej Kostic added 12 points.

NO. 22 NORTH CAROLINA 85, NO. 14 VIRGINIA 80

CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. (AP) — Caleb Wilson scored 20 points, Jarin Stevenson added all of his 17 in the second half and North Carolina rallied past Virginia for a big ACC road victory.

Trailing by two points with 3:50 to play, Carolina got three-point plays from Stevenson and Seth Trimble to build a 78-74 lead, then hung on. The Tar Heels outscored the Cavaliers 18-9 over the final 5:25.

Thijs DeRidder had 20 points and seven rebounds for UVA, which had its 11-game home winning streak snapped.

Virginia led by 16 in the first half and went to the locker room ahead 43-34. That lead was thanks, in part, to a 26-16 rebounding edge that helped the Cavaliers score 14 second-chance points in the first 20 minutes.

But the Tar Heels rallied after the break, executing crisp, efficient offense and taking their first lead since the game’s opening minutes on a dunk by Stevenson with 11:57 to go. That put UNC up 59-58. They’d go ahead by as many as five.

NO. 18 CLEMSON 77, GEORGIA TECH 63

ATLANTA (AP) — Jake Wahlin and Nick Davidson scored 13 points apiece and Clemson got hot from long range, bouncing back from its first Atlantic Coast Conference loss to beat Georgia Tech.

After making only 4 of 16 beyond the 3-point stripe in the first half, the Tigers (17-4, 7-1 ACC) went 7 of 12 over the final 20 minutes. Jestin Porter’s step-back 3 with just over a minute left sealed the victory.

Wahlin made all three of his 3-point attempts in the second half after going 0 for 3 in the opening period. He also led Clemson with eight rebounds, along with a thunderous dunk after the inside game opened up.

Georgia Tech (11-9, 2-5) trailed by as many as 16 before rallying down the stretch. Kam Craft swished a 3 to close the gap to 71-63 with about 2 minutes to go, but the Yellow Jackets would get no closer.

Kowacie Reeves Jr. led Georgia Tech with 19 points. No one else scored more than 10 for the Yellow Jackets, who shot just 37% from the field.

Clemson, on the other hand, had four players in double figures. Ace Buckner and Dillon Hunter chipped in with 12 points apiece.

NO. 20 ARKANSAS 85, LSU 81

FAYETTEVILLE, Ark. (AP) — Darius Acuff Jr. scored 24 of his career-high 31 points in the second half to lead Arkansas to a victory over LSU.

Acuff shot 10 for 11 from the field in the final 20 minutes, making all three of his 3-pointers. Fellow freshman Meleek Thomas joined him in double figures for the Razorbacks (15-5, 5-2 Southeastern Conference) with 13 points and Billy Richmond III added 11.

Arkansas made nine consecutive shots starting midway through the second half and Acuff had a hand in all of them. He made six of the baskets, including three from 3-point range, and assisted on the other three.

LSU (13-7, 1-6) stayed in the game by getting inside. The Tigers scored 19 second-chance points and outscored the Razorbacks in the paint, 42-36. Arkansas only made 7 of 18 free throws to LSU’s 22-of-25 mark, as well.

Acuff missed two free throws with 31 seconds remaining and Arkansas ahead by three points, giving LSU a chance. But Dedan Thomas Jr. missed a jumper on the Tigers’ next possession.

Thomas scored 18 points to lead all five LSU starters in double figures. Pablo Tamba had 12 points and 10 rebounds.

TEXAS 87, NO. 21 GEORGIA 67

AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — Dailyn Swain scored 26 points, Tramon Mark added a season-best 23 and Texas overwhelmed Georgia with a strong second half.

Texas (12-8, 3-4 Southeastern Conference) trailed by seven at halftime but outscored Georgia 57-30 in the second half while shooting 69% from the field.

Swain hit 12 of 16 shots from the field overall, and Mark made 10 of 16.

Mark scored 10 straight points for Texas in the second half, including consecutive 3-pointers. Mark had 16 points in the second half, and Swain had 14. Swain also had five steals.

After Mark’s scoring streak, the Longhorns made a 17-2 push that included a pair of 3-pointers by Cam Heide. Texas hit 5 of 11 3-pointers in the second half.

NO. 23 LOUISVILLE 85, VIRGINIA TECH 71

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — Mikel Brown Jr. returned from an eight-game absence and scored 20 points to lead Louisville to a victory over Virginia Tech.

Brown had been sidelined by a back injury. The 6-foot-5 freshman point guard went 7 for 11 from the field in his fourth 20-point game of the season and added a team-high six assists.

Neither team shot particularly well in the first half, but the Cardinals (14-5, 4-3 Atlantic Coast Conference) warmed up toward the end as they outscored the Hokies 14-3 over the final 3:54 to take a 37-22 halftime lead.

Virginia Tech (15-6, 4-4) shot just 24.2% (8 for 33) before intermission. The point total and shooting percentage in the first half were both the second-lowest of the season for the Hokies.

Louisville led 49-29 with 14:24 left, but Virginia Tech finally found its touch and made 10 of its next 11 shots, with Amani Hansberry hitting two 3-pointers 30 seconds apart to cut the deficit to 64-56 with 7:22 remaining.

That was the only time the Cardinals’ lead went under 10 points in the second half. A 12-2 run capped by Ryan Conwell’s four-point play put Louisville up 17 with 5:11 to play, and the Cardinals were never threatened the rest of the way.

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Knicks’ Mikal Bridges suffers brutal shooting night in return to native city

An image collage containing 1 images, Image 1 shows Mikal Bridges #25 of the New York Knicks shoots a three point basket during the game against the Philadelphia 76ers on January 24, 2026 at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

PHILADELPHIA — Mikal Bridges could build a house in his native city with the many bricks he put up there.

The Philadelphia product and Villanova alumnus shot a brutal 3-for-16 from the field and 1-for-9 from 3-point range in the Knicks’ 112-109 win over the 76ers on Saturday afternoon.

He also sat the last 5:24.

Mikal Bridges shoots a jumper during the Knicks’ 112-109 win over the 76ers on Jan. 24, 2026 at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. NBAE via Getty Images

Instead, coach Mike Brown decided to roll with Landry Shamet and Miles McBride down the stretch over the struggling Bridges and Karl-Anthony Towns, who had fouled out earlier in the quarter. It was a small lineup — with Jalen Brunson, Josh Hart and OG Anunoby primarily on the floor with Shamet and McBride.

That meant Anunoby had to guard Joel Embiid.

“We can’t do anything like that if you don’t have a guy like OG,” Brown said. “OG allows us to play the basketball game in a lot of different ways. So, we were able to do it.”

Shamet and McBride — and Mitchell Robinson — filled in admirably for Bridges and Towns. The Knicks had a 17-point advantage in points off the bench.



“Some nights, that [bench scoring] is going to have a huge onus on it,” Shamet said. “Some nights it’s not. Some nights it’s just going to change. I’ve been saying that the entire time I’ve been here because we have that group, it’s a carousel. Some nights, it’s going to be a heavy bench night where we come in and pick it up. Other nights, our first five have it going and the ball doesn’t find us as much. That’s the beauty of our team. We’re built that way. We’ve got to be adaptable and find ways to win games as difficulties and challenges within the game are presented to us.”

Towns managed to foul out in just 16 minutes on the floor and was minus-6. The Knicks were actually better when he was on the bench.

“We gotta just have other guys step up,” Brown said. “We can’t control the fouls called, so if somebody is in foul trouble, hopefully the next guy can step up and play the right way to help us get a win.”

Stewart Cink wins the PGA Tour Champions' opener in Hawaii

KA’UPULEHU-KONA, Hawaii (AP) — Stewart Cink won the PGA Tour Champions' season-opening Mitsubishi Electric Championship on Saturday, closing with an 8-under 63 for a three-stroke victory.

The 52-year-old Cink finished at 23-under 193 at Hualalai. He won his second straight event after closing last season with a victory in Phoenix in the Charles Schwab Cup Championship. He has five senior titles.

Ángel Cabrera was second after a 66. Retief Goosen shot a 64 to finish third at 18 under, and Ernie Els (67), Thomas Bjorn (66) and Freddie Jacobson (70) were 17 under. Sixty-six-year-old Fred Couples was 15 under after a 70.

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AP golf: https://apnews.com/hub/golf

Camden hits 5 3s, scores 25 to help Cal beat Stanford 78-66, snap 5-game skid in series

STANFORD, Calif. (AP) — John Camden his season high with 25 points and set a new season high with 10 rebounds on Saturday night to help California overcome a 16-point deficit to beat Stanford 78-66 and snap a five-game skid in the series.

Camden made 8 of 13 from the field, 5 of 8 from 3-point range, and 4 of 5 from the free-throw line. Justin Pippen scored 18 points and added six assists. Dai Dai Ames added 11, including nine in the second half, to go with six rebounds. Chris Bell had 10 and three blocks for Cal (15-5, 3-4 ACC).

Jeremy Dent-Smith led Stanford (14-6, 3-4) with 20 points and Ryan Agarwal had 12 points and nine rebounds. Ebuka Okorie, who went in scoring 22.1 per game (No. 8 nationally), had 14 points on 1-of-16 shooting, 0 of 9 from 3-point range, while making 12 of 14 from the free-throw line.

The Cardinal scored 10 consecutive points to make it 60-all with 6:38 to play, but Bell answered 14 seconds later with a 3-pointer before Pippen hit two free throws and added a 3 to spark a 17-2 run that made it 77-62 with 55 seconds left.

The Bears lead the series, which dates to the 1911-12 season, 155-134.

Dent-Smith scored 11 points, which included three 3-pointers, in a 21-4 run that gave the Cardinal a 16-point lead with 7:08 left in the first half.

The Cardinal made nine of their first 21 field-goal attempts, but hit 9 of 45 from there and finished shooting 27% (18 of 66) overall.

Stanford announced Wednesday that Chisom Okpara, the team's second-leading scorer (13.9 per game), will miss the rest of the season. The 6-foot-8 senior suffered a lower-body injury in a 70-55 loss Jan. 10 at No. 14 Virginia.

Up next

Cal: Plays Wednesday at Florida State.

Stanford: Visits Miami on Wednesday.

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Winners and Losers: Cavs at Magic – Donovan Mitchell dazzles

A near wire-to-wire victory for a Cleveland Cavaliers team that is slowly, and quietly, playing their best basketball of the season. Here is who won and lost the game.

Winner – Donovan Mitchell’s Second Half

There is a Disney joke in here somewhere, but pun or not, the Cavs got a superstar effort from their best player in a game that held a little more meaning than usual. Mitchell’s 36 points, 27 of which came in the second half, are even more impressive given that he was only 2-8 from deep and attempted five free throws the whole night. Mitchell methodically and surgically picked apart Orlando’s defense, like here, where he did his patented high carry to lose the defender.

With the Cavs missing four rotation players and playing on the second end of a back-to-back, a sterling performance from Mitchell is exactly what they needed. The NBA’s leading second-half scorer lived up to that title, and it led the Cavs to an impressive road win.

Winner – Team Defense

The Cavs won this game on the defensive end, treating the Magic as they should be – the worst three-point shooting team in the Eastern Conference. Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen patrolled the paint and stonewalled any attempts at the rim, forcing Orlando to work from the outside in. That, predictably, went quite poorly.

Desmond Bane is not having a great three-point shooting season, seemingly becoming stricken with whatever has plagued Orlando’s shooters over the last few years. Paulo Banchero is not a good shooter from deep, yet tied for the team lead in makes with three. Anthony Black has been good, but he isn’t striking fear into anyone. Orlando’s bench went 1-12 from deep, the lone make coming from Moe Wagner.

This game felt like the Cavs had a plan in mind and executed it perfectly, which has not appeared to be the case as much as one would expect. Cleveland’s team defenders all played well and pressured the Magic in all the ways they should.

Loser – De’Andre Hunter’s knee

Hunter was a relatively late scratch with knee soreness, something to monitor given his injury history. The tumultuous season for Hunter has, somehow, not involved any extended injury issues. It’s just been ineffectiveness, lineup shifts, and the odd trade rumor. Surely the Cavs will be cautious with Hunter as the All-Star break approaches.

Winner – The Backup Point Guards

Craig Porter Jr. has his place in Cavs’ fans’ hearts, and has stepped up this season as well, but tonight was about the other two point guards on Cleveland’s roster.

Lonzo Ball has been a disappointment for the Cavs, but he has the capability of putting together enough plays to make an impact. He had a stretch in the second quarter where he poked the ball free from Wagner, dove for possession, and immediately ran up the floor and got back on offense for an eventual bucket. If the shot isn’t falling, and it hasn’t for Ball this season, then those types of things are where he can make an impact.

Another quality draft find for the Cavs’ front office is Tyrese Proctor, who now has double-digit minutes in four of his last five games. Proctor had 12 points on 4-4 shooting, staying ready given the constantly changing rotations. With Darius Garland out, Proctor may get the occasional spurt of minutes to provide a little shooting, but his size also gives an additional wrinkle. Once Garland returns, Proctor’s minutes will surely decline, if not disappear. But he has some juice for a rookie second-round draft pick.

Red Wings score 4 times in third period to beat Jets 5-1

WINNIPEG, Manitoba (AP) — J.T. Compher scored twice as the Detroit Red Wings defeated the Winnipeg Jets 5-1 in front of a sold-out crowd of 15,225 on Saturday night.

The Red Wings rebounded from a 4-3 overtime loss to Minnesota on Thursday and now have points in their last five games. The Jets have lost four of their last five.

Lucas Raymond and Marco Kasper added a goal and assist, and Alex DeBrincat also scored for the Red Wings, who scored four times in the third period.

John Gibson made 26 saves to earn his 21st win of the season. Gibson has now earned victories in eight straight starts.

Cole Koepke scored for the Jets, and Connor Hellebuyck made 26 saves in his fourth consecutive loss.

Koepke opened the scoring at 10:08 of the second period. The goal snapped a scoreless drought for Winnipeg at 5-on-5 dating back to Jan. 17 against Toronto — a span of 235 minutes, 48 seconds.

Detroit responded with 4:10 left in the period when Compher batted home a loose puck in the crease. Former Jet Andrew Copp picked up the assist.

Raymond scored his 18th of the season to extend his point streak to five games. The goal stood following video review for a high stick.

The Red Wings swept the season series 2-0. Detroit won the first game on home ice, 2-1, on Dec. 31.

Up next

Red Wings: Host the Los Angeles Kings on Tuesday.

Jets: Visit the New Jersey Devils on Tuesday.

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AP NHL: https://apnews.com/hub/nhl

Celtics drop second game of back-to-back, lose to Bulls 114-111

On a night when the Bulls franchise honored Derrick Rose and raised his #1 to the United Center rafters, the home team beat Boston 114-111 with a last second triple from Kevin Huerter. For the Celtics, they split the back-to-back nailbiters after winning in double OT last night in Brooklyn, but fall to 10-14 in clutch games.

Back in early January, the Celtics cruised to a 115-101 win over the Bulls back at TD Garden. They led by as many as 23 points and Boston buried Chicago under an avalanche of threes with Anfernee Simons hitting 8-of-14 from behind the arc for 27 points.

On a chilly night in the Windy City, it was the Bulls that got hot and hit nearly half their triples (21-of-45), including Huerter’s game-winner from the corner.

Since promoting Joe Mazzulla to head coach, the Celtics have the best record on back-to-backs at 35-13 (h/t Dan Greenberg). Coming off a double overtime win in Brooklyn on Friday night, the Celtics offense looked a little tired and hey couldn’t overcome their poor shooting; they made just 15 of their 47 threes.

Jaylen Brown finished with another 30-plus game with 33 points (14-0f-28 from the field), eight rebounds, and five assists. Anfernee Simons chipped in 21 and Derrick White’s shooting slump (5-of-18) continued in the loss. Seven Bulls players finished in double figures.

As CelticsBlog’s Nate Moskowitz noted in his Question Marks heading into the game, Williams getting more minutes was a distinct possibility:

Mazzulla has consistently rewarded young players who impact games, and Williams may have earned himself a longer look. While his development is primarily happening in Maine, there’s value in giving him NBA reps — something he’s handled well each time so far.

Williams in fact started in place of Neemias Queta. He didn’t get the lion’s share at center as a starter normally does, but he did look solid in his ten minutes of playing time.

The team now heads home for seven of nine at TD Garden with the trade deadline (February 5th) and All-Star Weekend on the horizon. They host the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday at 5 pm.

Warley scores 19 points and Fogle grabs key rebound as No. 8 Gonzaga edges San Francisco 68-66

SPOKANE, Wash. (AP) — Jalen Warley scored 19 points and Davis Fogle added 15 points and a last-second rebound as No. 8 Gonzaga edged San Francisco 68-66 on Saturday night for its 14th consecutive victory of the season and 34th win in a row over the Dons.

Tyon Grant-Foster added 15 points for Gonzaga (21-1, 9-0 West Coast Conference), which was without its two leading scorers for the third straight game. Forward Braden Huff (17.8 points per game) is out for several weeks with a knee injury. Forward Graham Ike (18 ppg) is expected back soon from an ankle injury.

Legend Smiley scored 18 points and Ryan Beasley 14 for San Francisco (13-9, 5-4), which has not beaten Gonzaga since 2012. The Dons' last win in Spokane was in 1989.

San Francisco sank 14 of 28 3-point attempts to nearly end its long victory drought at Gonzaga.

Junjie Wang had a basket and two free throws to cut Gonzaga’s lead to 60-57 with five minutes left. But the Dons went cold after that and Grant-Foster’s basket and a late 3-pointer with two minutes left lifted the Zags to a 67-57 lead.

Vukasin Masic hit a pair of 3-pointers for the Dons to cut Gonzaga’s lead to 68-66 with 30 seconds left.

The Dons played for the final shot and Wang launched a long 3-pointer that clanged off the rim. Fogle rebounded for Gonzaga and time expired.

The Zags opened the game with a 12-0 run. San Francisco missed its first eight field goal attempts and didn't score until Tyrone Riley's 3-pointer with 12:40 left in the first.

But the Dons hit four more 3-pointers in the first to close within 26-21. Gonzaga then went on a 10-4 run to build a 36-25 lead at halftime.

San Francisco made six 3-pointers early in the second half, including three by Smiley, to cut Gonzaga's lead to 53-47.

Up next

San Francisco: Plays at Santa Clara on Wednesday.

Gonzaga: Hosts rival Saint Mary's next Saturday.

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No. 19 Kansas finishes on 27-7 run to beat Kansas State 86-62 despite Darryn Peterson's absence

MANHATTAN, Kan. (AP) — Flory Bidunga had 21 points and 10 rebounds, Elmarko Jackson added 19 points, and No. 19 Kansas overcame the absence of standout guard Darryn Peterson with a big finishing kick for an 86-62 win over Kansas State on Saturday night.

Melvin Council Jr. contributed 17 points and Bryson Tiller had 16 for the Jayhawks (15-5, 5-2 Big 12), who ended the game on a 27-7 run in the return to the sideline for coach Bill Self, who had missed their previous game because of a health-related issue.

Peterson, one of the nation's best freshmen, had been on a tear after finally overcoming a series of cramping issues. But the Jayhawks' high-scoring guard was sidelined against Kansas State after spraining his ankle in Tuesday night's win over Colorado.

P.J. Haggerty had 18 of his 23 points in the second half to lead the Wildcats (10-10, 1-6). Andrej Kostic added 12 points.

Kansas State was short-handed, too. Khamari McGriff and fellow forward Mobi Ikegwuruka have been out with injuries, while starting guard Abdi Bashir remains sidelined after undergoing surgery to repair a stress fracture in his foot.

Kostic was among those pressed into more minutes. And the freshman from Serbia delivered right away, hitting four 3-pointers in a span of about four minutes in the first half, helping to keep the Wildcats within 37-35 at the break.

Kansas was still clinging to a 59-55 lead after Haggerty's 3-pointer with 7:50 to go, but Bidunga proceeded to score seven points during a 15-3 run. It was highlighted by a rim-rattling ally-oop dunk by Bidunga that helped to put the game away.

The Jayhawks won their fourth straight game while snapping a three-game skid against Kansas State in Manhattan. They also have won 16 of the past 20 overall in the second-longest active rivalry played in Division I men's basketball.

Up next

Kansas plays No. 13 BYU at Allen Fieldhouse next Saturday.

Kansas State heads to West Virginia on Tuesday night.

___

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Hurricanes beat Senators 4-1 to take the Eastern Conference lead

OTTAWA, Ontario (AP) — William Carrier, Seth Jarvis and Taylor Hall scored in the first period and the Carolina Hurricanes beat the Ottawa Senators 4-1 on Saturday night to take the Eastern Conference lead.

Rookie goalie Brandon Bussi 35 saves for the victory.

Jalen Chatfield’s cross-ice pass sprung Mark Jankowski on an odd-man rush, where he fed Carrier cross-slot for an easy backhand tap-in to open the scoring just four minutes into the game. Only two minutes later, Jarvis beat James Reimer cleanly with a top-corner snipe from the faceoff circle.

Andrei Svechnikov made it 4-0 in the second.

Tim Stutzle scored for Ottawa.

Before the game, the Senators honored former coach Jacques Martin for his induction into the Senators’ Ring of Honor.

Up next

Hurricanes: Host Utah on Thursday night.

Senators: Host Vegas on Sunday.

___

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Player Grades: Cavs at Magic – Donovan Mitchell leads the way with 36 points

The Cleveland Cavaliers had a solid all-around game as they picked up a stress-free 119-105 win over the Orlando Magic.

Grades are based on our usual expectations for each player. A “B” represents an average performance for that player.

Donovan Mitchell

36 points, 9 assists, 5 rebounds, 2 steals

Mitchell struggled to get going early. He had just nine points on 4-12 shooting at the break, and he very much looked like someone playing their second game in as many nights.

But it’s often not about how you start, but how you finish.

Mitchell was spectacular in the closing two quarters. He poured in 27 points in the second half on 11-18 shooting. Orlando didn’t have an answer as Mitchell continually got inside the paint whenever he wanted to.

The Cavs didn’t necessarily need a 36-point outing to win this game, this was a solid performance up and down the roster. However, the incredible scoring in the second half allowed this to be the double-digit victory that it was.

Grade: A

Jaylon Tyson

17 points, 5 rebounds, 4 assists

The most encouraging part about Tyson’s offensive impact this season has been how he’s been able to find his spots within the flow of the offense. There isn’t any over-dribbling or indecision. He either goes up quickly with the shot or keeps the ball moving to find the open man.

It helps that Tyson has been one of the most efficient off-ball shooters in the league. Tyson came into this game shooting 46.3% on 4.3 catch-and-shoot threes. That’s in the top ten for players who’ve attempted more than to catch-and-shoot threes per game. That number is going to go up as he went 3-5 from beyond the arc in the win.

Additionally, the two-man game between him and Mitchell continues to grow. Head coach Kenny Atkinson has credited their development together to how much time they spend discussing and practicing those actions. That came in useful again here.

Overall, it was another good performance from someone who’s far exceeded expectations this season.

Grade: A

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Evan Mobley

14 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists

The offensive process was solid. Mobley tried to get to his spots on the court and was aggressive with his moves. The issue was that his shots weren’t going as he went 4-14 from the floor. That’s not too surprising given it was the second night of a back-to-back and the Magic front court is much more physical than the Sacramento Kings’.

The Cavs’ interior defense was impressive. He, Jarrett Allen, and Dean Wade deserve credit for that.

Grade: C+

Tyrese Proctor

12 points, 1 rebound, 1 assist

Proctor’s game has often looked better than the results. He has a good understanding of where he should be on the court, takes shots within the flow of the offense, and competes on the defensive end. And when the shot is falling, like it did in Orlando, he can provide a much-needed boost off the bench.

Grade: A

Craig Porter Jr.

4 points, 1 assist, 0 rebounds

This was a relatively quiet night for Porter. He didn’t play bad by any stretch. He just didn’t have a large impact on the outcome.

Grade: C

Lonzo Ball

6 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists

Ball does a lot of things well on the court. Those come through more in games that don’t turn into three-point shooting contests.

It’s easy to point out a player’s flaw when it’s something as obvious as struggling with the outside shot. Those struggles shouldn’t overshadow how good a rebounder, facilitator, and all-around basketball player he can be on nights like this.

Grade: A-

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Jarrett Allen

8 points, 6 rebounds, 1 assist

Allen didn’t make much of an impact as a scorer, but he did show up on the defensive end by contributing three steals and two blocks.

Grade: C

Nae’Qwan Tomlin

9 points, 1 rebound, 4 assists

Three-point shooting has been an issue for Tomlin this season. It wasn’t on Saturday as he went 2-4 on outside shots.

Tomlin’s energy, offensive rebounding, and finishing inside have been much needed. It’s easier to get him on the court to showcase those skills if the three-ball is an asset, as it was here.

Grade: B+

Thomas Bryant

4 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assist

The Cavs needed extra energy on the second night of a back-to-back. Bryant provided that in the limited time he was on the court, while also hitting a momentum-saving three at the end of the third quarter to make it a double-digit lead heading into the fourth.

He did his job.

Grade: B+

Dean Wade

10 points, 3 rebounds, 1 assist

Wade’s defense is incredibly valuable for this starting unit to the point that anything he provides on the offensive end feels like a bonus. He didn’t have a scoring outburst against Orlando, but the baskets he made either turned the momentum or kept the momentum going. That included an impressive layup from nearly behind the backboard after a three-quarter court pass from Mitchell.

Grade: A-

J.T. Compher Scores Twice As Red Wings Ground Jets With 5-1 Victory

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It was another successful road trip for the Detroit Red Wings, who collected five of a possible six points, capped by a 5–1 victory over the Winnipeg Jets on Saturday night.

Led by a pair of goals from J.T. Compher, the Red Wings moved back into first place in the Atlantic Division standings, overtaking the Tampa Bay Lightning, who were in action at the same time but beaten 8-5 by the Columbus Blue Jackets.  

It was also the second straight game the Red Wings played without defenseman Simon Edvinsson, who is unavailable because of a lower-body injury. 

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There was no score in the opening 20 minutes of play at Canada Life Centre in downtown Winnipeg, but the ice was broken midway through the second period by Jets forward Cole Koepke, who backhanded a loose puck off a shot from Logan Stanley past goaltender John Gibson. 

However, the Red Wings would knot the score late in the frame thanks to the first of two goals on the night from Compher. He banged the puck past Jets goaltender Connor Hellebuyck right in front of the crease after taking a feed from Andrew Copp.

Compher then scored what ultimately proved to be the game-winning goal in the third period, capitalizing on a pretty three-way passing play with James van Riemsdyk and Emmitt Finnie, who now has points in consecutive games. 

Lucas Raymond doubled the lead when his wraparound attempt deflected into the air, off the crossbar, off Hellebuyck’s back, and into the net. While the Jets thought that Marco Kasper may have high-sticked the puck before it entered the net, replays showed that wasn't the case. 

Detroit then salted the game away with an empty-net goal from Alex DeBrincat. Patrick Kane picked up an assist on the play, moving him within one point of Mike Modano for the most points by a U.S.-born player in NHL history.

Kasper then added a goal on a two-on-one rush with Dylan Larkin just 32 seconds later, giving him his fifth goal of the season; he now has points in four of five games after a lengthy drought. 

Gibson continued his impressive streak for the Red Wings, making 25 saves. Hellebuyck, a Commerce Township, Mich. native who will be teammates with Larkin next month during the Winter Olympics, made 26 saves.

The Red Wings will return home for three straight contests, starting on Tuesday evening against the Los Angeles Kings. 

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The overarching issue among Rangers’ woes during pivotal moments

An image collage containing 1 images, Image 1 shows New York Rangers left wing Will Cuylle (50) and San Jose Sharks left wing William Eklund (72) fight for control of the puck during the third period at SAP Center at San Jose.

The Rangers’ baffling unreadiness at pivotal moments in a game dates back to last season.

It is, of course, easily identifiable, but Mike Sullivan clocked it as a reflection of the team’s shortcomings in situational play. The first-year Rangers head coach has rattled off several instances this season, such as the start and end of periods, after a goal is scored and after a fight.

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Those are critical moments in games, he’s pointed out numerous times, in which teams have an opportunity to build or stifle momentum.

Friday night at San Jose saw the Blueshirts give up their 14th goal of the season within at least the first 2:18 of a period. That includes overtime, in which they have surrendered the game-winner within the first 1:33 on three occasions.

The onus will always fall on the players who are actually taking the ice, but Sullivan took accountability from behind the bench as well.

“I think we got to have a readiness from the drop of the puck,” Sullivan said after the 3-1 loss to the Sharks on Friday night. “And trust me, I’ve thought about it because lately I think the last few games, we haven’t had the best starts. So I got to do a better job preparing them for it. I got to find a way to make sure they’re ready from the drop of the puck.”

The 14 goals do not even include the multitude of occasions the Rangers were caught slipping at the end of period.

Falling on the right side of momentum-changing moments has been a point of concern for this Rangers team. There’s a certain level of focus that is required to manage games effectively, and they have repeatedly blown critical moments.

Will Cuylle (50) and William Eklund (72) battle for the puck during the third period of the Rangers’ loss to the Sharks on Jan. 23, 2026 at SAP Center at San Jose. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Unable to avoid what’s gone on outside the locker room since the 2024 offseason, the Rangers’ on-ice product undoubtedly has been affected. Team confidence is so clearly fractured. There doesn’t appear to be much internal drive. It feels like they are anticipating defeat most nights.

As much as roster construction and chemistry are to blame as well, no club can function properly under the circumstances the Rangers have faced in the last 19 months or so.

It has been evident for some time that the team needs some fresh faces, hence the retooling announcement in “The Letter II.”



The Rangers would like to believe that clarity on the organization’s status would alleviate pressure.

Mika Zibanejad talked about enjoying the time they still have with each other as a group.

Captain J.T. Miller noted that all the “B.S.” is out in front of them now, and they can try to enjoy the game again.

Alexander Wennberg (21) attempts to shoot past goalie Spencer Martin during the second period of the Rangers’ road loss to the Sharks. IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

A team psyche, however, doesn’t always work so simply.

The Rangers might want to begin with starting games on time.

“It’s just they came out with more urgency,” Miller said of the Sharks. “We’re not ready to play, I don’t like saying that. Like, we were ready to play the game, but they won a couple more battles early on. They worked harder, they drew more penalties in those certain instances and capitalized on their power play. So, I mean, that was basically the start of the game. I mean, when we took the timeout, I think it was 3 ¹/₂ minutes into the game and was basically short-handed up until that point. So it’s kind of hard. But like I said, they earned their power plays in the beginning of the game, and they were just a little more urgent than we were.”


Due to the impending snowstorm, the Rangers canceled their Alumni Classic that was scheduled to take place Sunday at Madison Square Garden.

According to a news release, the organization assured that tickets purchased through Ticketmaster or directly at the MSG Box Office would be automatically refunded to the original method of payment.

Word is there are no current plans to reschedule the event, which was set to feature notable alumni such as Adam Graves, Derek Stepan, Mike Richter, Dan Girardi, Henrik Lundqvist, Marc Staal, Brian Boyle and Sean Avery.

Nets’ Nolan Traore set to miss Clippers game with illness after coming off best game of season

An image collage containing 1 images, Image 1 shows Nolan Traore #88 of the Brooklyn Nets dribbles the ball during the game against the Boston Celtics on January 23, 2026 at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York.

Coming off the best game of his rookie season, Nolan Traore will have to wait to make his next impact. 

Both Traore (illness) and Cam Thomas (sprained left ankle) were ruled out for Sunday’s game against the Clippers in Los Angeles. 

Traore’s fellow rookie Egor Dëmin showed signs earlier in the season of growing into the player the team hoped when they drafted him eighth overall out of BYU, Traore has stepped into the spotlight more recently.

In Friday’s double-overtime loss to the Celtics, the 19-year-old Traore, the No. 19 pick in last year’s draft, set career highs in minutes (36:51) and points (21).

Nolan Traore dribbles the ball upcourt during the Nets’ double overtime loss to the Celtics on Jan.23, 2026. NBAE via Getty Images

Traore was also on the floor again late in the game instead of Dëmin.

“I think as a 19-year-old, Nolan played very meaningful minutes and he did a great job,’’ Jordi Fernández said. 

The coach noted Traore’s “ability to touch the paint and how slippery he is” as the reason he used him late and believes he will develop into having a greater role.

“There [are] some mistakes and we need him to be the floor general and talk and use his voice,’’ Fernández said. “But he’s going to grow that voice and I’m going to trust him.”



Traore managed to impress some of his veteran teammates with his latest performance.

“He got to the paint, he finished well [and] he steadied the team in the clutch moments,’’ Michael Porter Jr. said. “He made some really big layups. And he used his speed to his advantage. So I thought it was a really good [game] for him to get that experience in the fourth quarter and overtimes. Egor’s been in those moments now a few times and it was good that Nolan got to be in those moments, as well.”

Nic Claxton said it was “big” for Traore to be on the court down the stretch.

Payton Pritchard shoots over Nolan Traore during overtime of the Nets’ loss to the Celtics. Charles Wenzelberg/New York Post

“You can show him that he belongs here,’’ Claxton said. “I remember when I first started getting those clutch-time minutes. It is a good feeling and being able to impact the game.”

Claxton added Traore “did a lot of good things for us: Getting downhill and getting in the paint, spraying it out, making some good plays… Going forward, we’re definitely going to need that level of play from him.”

Thomas’ latest absence comes in what’s been a rough season, with his future with the Nets in doubt as the Feb. 5 trade deadline approaches. 

Ben Saraf will be available in Traore’s absence.


Claxton was not listed on the injury report Saturday. He was due to get imaging on his right pinky finger on after injuring it during Friday’s game.

He initially left the game due to the injury, but later returned and was able to finish the game.

If Claxton is unavailable Sunday in Los Angeles, Day’Ron Sharpe could make his fourth start of the season. Noah Clowney was listed as doubtful with back soreness.

The 2026 projections are in for Padres

It’s a good thing the baseball season is still two months away. San Diego Padres president of baseball operations/general manager A.J. Preller has plenty of time to upgrade the roster before the start of the new season. It could be a problem if he doesn’t make the needed improvements before March 26, Opening Day against the Detroit Tigers.

With the roster still missing a 1B/DH and at least one starting pitcher, the projections for 2026 are not favorable, according to certain projections.

There are two different projections found on the FanGraphs pages. The Steamer projections are the work of Jared Cross, Dash Davidson and Peter Rosenbloom. The definition from MLB:

Steamer uses past performance and aging trends to develop a future projection for players. It also uses pitch-tracking data to help forecast pitchers. On Fangraphs, the projections are updated daily and predict each player’s numbers over the course of the remainder of the season.

These are the objective evaluations that are available to fans and media alike.

There is another system published on FanGraphs, the ZiPS projections developed by Dave Zymborski. The Zymborski Projection System (ZiPS) is not based on human evaluation but an algorithm developed by Zymborski.

ZiPS uses growth and decline curves based on player type to find trends. It then factors those trends into the past performance of those players to come up with projections. The system uses statistics from the previous four years for players from ages 24-38, and it weights more recent seasons heavier. For younger or older players, it uses weighted statistics from only the previous three years. The system also factors velocities, injury data and play-by-play data into its equations.

These two systems can differ significantly at times. The projections begin with a preseason posting of stats for all players and teams and are updated as the season goes along, based on performance.

As of now, the Padres are projected to have a .496 winning percentage from Steamer. ZiPS is more optimistic, with a high 80s to 90-win season. They would only have 80 wins based on the Steamer numbers after removing the players that have left the team. With Michael King being the only significant returning player, the Padres rotation does not measure up as a playoff team, according to those Steamer numbers.

Both Steamers and ZiPS uses WAR as the final tool to measure a player’s value. Specific stats are also included in the projection but the overall evaluation is expressed in WAR (Wins Above Replacement). For pitchers, their ERA and WAR is the overall valuation tool as well as games pitched and innings pitched.

The Padres bullpen is already acknowledged as one of the best, if not the best, in baseball. With the rotation and lineup being the factors still in flux, I limited my research to those areas.

Offense

For the 2025 season, Fernando Tatis Jr. topped the team with a fWAR of 6.1 (FanGraphs stat). The next closest Padre was Manny Machado at 3.8 WAR. Xander Bogaerts came in at 3.2 and Jackson Merrill at 3.0. Jake Cronenworth had a 2.9 WAR but then the WAR fell off significantly to Gavin Sheets at 1.3. Ramon Laureano played only 50 games with the Padres so his WAR only reflected those games. He had a 6.0 offensive WAR but his defense brought his overall down to 0.7. All other Padres were under 1.0.

For reference, 1-2 is considered below average. 2.0 is an average player with 2-3 being a good player. 3-4 is considered All-Star level and 4-5 is a superstar. 6 or 6-plus is an MVP candidate-type player.

With the season that Tatis Jr. had offensively, the majority of his WAR was accumulated defensively as his offense was good but not MVP level.

Pitchers WAR

For the starting pitchers, Nick Pivetta topped out at 3.7 WAR and Dylan Cease had a 3.4. They were the only two starters above 1.0 in WAR in 2025.

Projections: Offense

Here are some of the numbers projected for the Padres players for 2026. I’m listing both Steamers and ZiPS for comparison and listing other notable stats projected with their WAR.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a projected 4.9 with ZiPS and 5.1 with Steamers. He has a similar batting average projected with both (.275 with Steamers and .265 with ZiPS). He is projected to hit 30 (Steamers) or 26 (ZiPS) homers with 80 (Z) or 78 (Z) RBI.

Manny Machado has a projected 3.2 WAR (Z) or 3.3 (S) and a batting average of .258 (Z) and .268 (S). They believe his home run totals will drop again in 2026 to 23 (Z) and 26 (S) with 84 (Z) and 85 (S) RBI.

Jackson Merrill is projected to take a significant step up, undoubtedly presuming that he will have better health in the coming season. His WAR increases to 4.3 (Z) and 4.1 (S) with a .270 (Z) or .269 (S) batting average. His home run total is 20 (Z) and 23 (S) with 75 (Z) and 77 (S) RBI.

Xander Bogaerts has a 3.3 WAR (Z) versus a 2.9 (S) with a batting average of .259 (Z) and .270 (S). He is projected to hit 10 (Z) and 13 (S) homers with 52 (Z) and 57 (S) RBI.

Jake Cronenworth is also projected to take a step down from his 2025 season. His WAR is projected to be 2.0 (Z) and 1.6 (S) with his batting average dropping to .233 (Z) and .236 (S). With his home run 12 (Z) and 13 (S) numbers and his RBI 55 (Z) and 56 (S) numbers also similar. His drop would be due to an assumed decrease in his on base ability or his defense dipping.

Ramon Laureano, in his first full season with the Padres, is projected to have a 2.2 (Z) and 1.2 (S) WAR with a .242 (Z) and .243 (S) average. He is projected to hit 17 homers in both with 58 (Z) and 57 (S) RBI.

Projections: Starters

None of the Padres starters are projected to have an ERA below 3.55, with Michael King projected to have 22 games pitched and 119 innings to achieve that ERA with a 2.2 WAR. Nick Pivetta has a projected 26 games started and 156 innings pitched with a 3.87 ERA and 2.3 WAR. He is obviously not viewed as being able to replicate his 2025 success.

Joe Musgrove is viewed conservatively in his first season back after UCL surgery. He projects to 16 starts and 91 innings with a 3.87 ERA and 1.4 WAR. JP Sears is seen with a 4.0 ERA in 28 games started and 144 innings pitched and a 0.8 WAR. Randy Vasquez brings up the rear with a 4.68 ERA in 25 starts and 125 innings pitched and a 0.7 WAR.

Any significant upgrade to the roster will improve the overall team projections but it will be up to the players to outperform their individual projections.

With most of the major free agents in MLB now off the board, it could be a good time to sign the mid-tier players that Preller would presumably be aiming to target. A quality bat and mid-rotation starter is just what is needed to improve the overall projections.