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It’s an AL West showdown tonight with the Seattle Mariners home favorites over the Texas Rangers ahead of the 9:40 p.m. ET first pitch at T-Mobile Park on Tuesday, Sept. 8.

My top Rangers vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks are calling for plenty of runs during a Texas upset tonight. 

Who will win Rangers vs Mariners today: Rangers moneyline (45.5%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

The Seattle Mariners rank last in wOBA against left-handed pitchers. At 24th in the overall metric and 23rd in xwOBA over the past two weeks, I like taking a shot on the underdog Texas Rangers tonight.

Texas is fourth in wOBA and fifth in xwOBA while averaging 5.3 runs per game during the same stretch, after all.

Plus, Seattle righty Bryce Miller has been incredibly inconsistent, allowing three or more runs in seven of his past nine starts while posting an alarmingly high 4.70 xERA and 5.35 xFIP.

As a result, I like the Texas moneyline to 48.8%.

COVERS INTEL: Miller has negative pitch values on each of his five most-frequent offerings over his past nine starts.

Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (55.6%)

Alongside the highlighted path to success for the Texas offense, Seattle will also chip in runs tonight.

Rangers lefty Cody Bradford missed all of the 2025 season, and he’s struggled to a 5.48 xERA and 5.16 xFIP across six starts since returning to the majors on Aug. 5. Opposing hitters have teed off for a high-end .380 wOBA and 18.0% blast-contact rate against him, too.

Finally, both teams have trended to the Over, so I recommend this pick up to 57.4%.

Rangers vs Mariners home run prediction: Joc Pederson (16.7%)

With Miller allowing a massive .279 ISO and 2.33 HR/9 to left-handed hitters over his highlighted nine-start run, Rangers slugger Joc Pederson jumps out as a home-run target tonight, considering he's hit 24 bombs against righties with a .248 ISO.

Rangers vs Mariners weather

The forecast calls for clear, sunny skies with game-time temperatures in the mid-60s and falling slightly into the high 50s by the late innings, and a moderate 5-8 mph wind will blow in from left-center field at T-Mobile Park tonight.

Rangers vs Mariners odds

• Moneyline: Rangers 46.5% | Mariners 57.4%
• Run line: Rangers +1.5 (63.6%) | Mariners -1.5 (40%)
• Over/Under: Over 8 (52.4%) | Under 8 (52.5%)

Rangers vs Mariners trend

The Rangers have hit the Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.75 Units / 54% ROI), and the Mariners have played to the Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Mariners.

How to watch Rangers vs Mariners and game info

Rangers vs Mariners latest injuries

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Emmet Sheehan had such a successful first start back with the Dodgers that he earned at least another, after striking out 10 Cincinnati Reds in Monday night’s win at Dodger Stadium, his first start in the majors in five weeks.

“There was a lot of stuff going down, and try to figure stuff out in a little less stressful place, which was nice,” Sheehan told reporters Monday night, as shown on SportsNet LA. “Just getting my delivery locked in, and really just making sure I’m hammering it during the week so when I go out there I can just go out and compete, which I feel I was doing tonight.

Sheehan struggled trying to find consistency in the first four months of the season, with his ERA (5.29) not matching his xERA (3.99) thanks in part to a team-leading 20 home runs at the time through his first 20 starts. He was optioned to Triple-A after a three-homer loss to the Boston Red Sox on August 2.

He did not allow a home run to any of the 69 batters he faced with Oklahoma City in August. After allowing two runs in a planned brief outing in his first game back in Triple-A, Sheehan reeled off three straight excellent starts, totaling 24 strikeouts and only one run allowed in 17 1/3 innings, which earned Sheehan pitcher of the week and pitcher of the month awards in the Pacific Coast League.

Sheehan allowed a home run to Elly De La Cruz on Monday but almost nothing else, permitting only two more singles and a walk, with 10 strikeouts among his 21 batters faced. Sheehan will start again on Sunday against the Marlins in Miami.

Sheehan got the win on Monday, and replaced Bobby Miller, who earned the win on Sunday night with three innings of bulk relief in his first major league action since 2025. Miller was activated Saturday off the injured list after missing the first five months with shoulder and back maladies.

Barring another injury, this keeps Miller in the minors until potentially the final week of the regular season, depending on what the Dodgers might need to fill in as they both close out the regular season and prepare for the postseason. The Dodgers in the final weekend of 2025 called up Andrew Heaneyand Landon Knack, for instance.

I have long thought the the acquisition of a superstar player is among the most exciting experiences a fan can have. In a single move, teams can change, and a franchise’s trajectory can shift significantly, perhaps for years t0 come. Today’s entry in our daily birthday series dives in on one of the more exciting such moves in recent memory for the Yankees.

Already an established ace, Gerrit Cole donned the pinstripes for the first time, and didn’t miss a beat. Although his tenure began in a shortened season, and he has missed some time due to injury, Cole has turned in a handful of elite seasons, and doesn’t seem to have lost a step as he progresses into his late-30s. A Yankee fan growing up, and now among the franchise’s finest performers on the mound, Gerrit Cole has become a staple in the Bronx.

Gerrit Cole
Born: September 8, 1990 (Newport Beach, CA)
Yankees Tenure: 2020-pres.

Growing up in California, and clearly developing into a stud on the mound, Cole was actually first drafted by the Yankees out of high school, late in the first round of the 2008 draft. Electing to play college ball at UCLA instead, Cole was drafted again in 2011, this time with the first overall pick, by the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The 6-foot-4 right-hander quickly ascended through the Pirates’ system, and was a top-10 prospect in baseball prior to his debut. After being drafted in 2011, Cole made his Major League debut about two years late, on June 11, 2013. His presence on the mound was immediately apparent, as he tossed over 100 innings across 19 starts in his rookie season to the tune of a solid 111 ERA+. As one of the top pitching prospects in the sport, Cole was already delivering, and that season would stand as a great precursor to the career ahead of him.

The righty would ultimately pitch five total seasons in Pittsburgh, which saw him go from solid to elite as he developed in the big leagues. The high point with the Buccos came in 2015, when he posted a 2.60 ERA in 208 innings, good for a fourth-place finish in Cy Young voting and his first All-Star selection.

In January of 2018, Cole’s days in the Steel City came to a close, when he was dealt to the Houston Astros for a slew of prospects. Although he had already been an established top-notch pitcher, he found a different gear in Houston.

He was excellent in 2018, tossing just over 200 innings with a 2.88 ERA, with the added bonus of a skyrocketed strikeout rate as he was fanning more than 12 batters per nine innings. He made his second All-Star team, and was able to get his first taste of postseason ball since 2015.

Despite a good debut with the ‘Stros, he blew it out of the water in 2019. In that season, his 2.50 ERA led the league as he pitched a career-high 212.1 innings while amassing a whopping 326 strikeouts, the most by any pitcher in nearly two decades. In his final nine starts of that season, Cole struck out 110 batters in just over 60 innings, while managing a sparkling 1.61 ERA. He made another All-Star team, finished second in Cy Young voting, and had now established himself as one of the more consistent and dominant starters in the sport. Cole also get his most in-depth experience in the postseason, in a year the Astros ultimately lost Game 7 of the World Series.

After a not-entirely-pleasant send off from Houston, Gerrit Cole was finally hitting free agency. And, in December of 2019, the ace signed a nine-year, $324 million dollar deal to make him a Yankee for perhaps the rest of his career.

His first season in the Bronx was the unfortunate shortened 2020 campaign, though he still pitched quite well, posting a 151 ERA+ in his 12 starts. Come 2021, however, Cole started a run that further settled him in as a premier workhorse for the Yankees. From each season across 2021-23, Cole started at least 30 games, while posting a cumulative 3.13 ERA with a 3.19 FIP to back it up. His run peaked in a 2023 season that saw him lead the AL in ERA, innings pitched, and WHIP, leading to his first career Cy Young Award. At age 32 and in his fourth season with the Yankees, Cole had never been better.

In 2024, the injury big began to bite, as he started just 17 games and worked fewer innings than he ever had (excluding 2020). His performance was still good, though maybe a bit down by his lofty standards. Cole would, however, turn it on at the right time. In five postseason starts, he managed a 2.17 ERA, which included just two earned runs against him in 12.2 innings of work in that year’s World Series.

Although the series did not end happily for New York, Cole’s performance had nothing to do with it. After that shortened season, that dreaded injury bug came back with a vengeance, as Cole would miss the entire 2025 season, and the beginning of ‘26 recovering from Tommy John surgery.

He would return in May of this year, and despite some rust needing to come off, he’s largely been the same dependable ace he has been since arriving. As the Yankees head toward another postseason appearance, Cole’s experience and ability to dominate on the mound will surely be leaned upon this October, and likely some more to come.

Although there are still two seasons left on his nine-year deal, calling his enormous contract with the Yankees anything other than a success would be hard to picture at this point. If he can stay healthy, there’s little reason to doubt he’ll continue to be a vital piece of the Yankees roster.

Here’s to wishing the six-time All-Star a happy 36th birthday!

Losing three of four to the Athletics over the weekend pretty much killed any hope the Mariners had of making a dramatic last second entrance back into the playoff race. Technically, their playoff odds still stand at 6.6% but they’d need to win close to 80% of their remaining 18 games just to reach .500. Even that probably wouldn’t be enough to topple the Astros in the division. But there’s still a chance, even after that terrible, horrible, no good, very bad series against the A’s.

Technically, the Rangers are still alive in both the AL West and AL Wild Card races, but they haven’t made any forward progress in either chase since the beginning of August. Their playoff odds currently sit at 26.6% but they’re four games under .500 since the All-Star break. The problem is their schedule. These three games against the Mariners and a three-game set against the Blue Jays during the second to last weekend of the season are the only games against direct opponents in either playoff race. That means the team needs to win a bunch and needs some help from around the league to leapfrog the teams ahead of them. Critically, they hold the tiebreaker over Cleveland and Toronto in the Wild Card race but lost their season series against Houston.

The Rangers activated Corey Seager off the IL on July 31 and he’s been one of their best hitters over the last month plus; since returning from his back injury, he’s posted a 139 wRC+ with five home runs. Ezequiel Duran capably filled in at shortstop while Seager was sidelined but hit well enough to play his way into an everyday role while Josh Jung has been injured. He’s been the team’s best player since the All-Star break with a 139 wRC+. Wyatt Langford (107 wRC+) and Brandon Nimmo (106) have both been fine during the second half of the season, but the team needs more from both of them if they want to make a run at a playoff spot over these next three weeks.

Probable Pitchers 

Updated Stuff+ Explainer 

• Stuff+ scores for Mariners starters

Cody Bradford looked like he was in the midst of a breakout season back in 2024 before he injured his elbow and underwent an internal brace procedure in 2025. Impeccable command and an excellent changeup allowed him to overcome a pretty mediocre fastball, helping him produce a 5.4 strikeout-to-walk ratio and a 3.54 ERA in 13 starts. Since returning from his injury nearly two years later, his whiff rate has completely collapsed. He’s not generating any swings and misses with any of his pitches and his command is still a little off following his surgery.

Cal Quantrill started out the season as the long reliever in the Rangers’ bullpen but injuries have forced the team to move him back into the starting rotation over the last two and a half months. To his credit, he’s thrived back in a role that he has much more experience in. Since June 23, he’s posted a 2.41 ERA and a 3.71 FIP across 12 starts and two relief appearances. He’s been particularly good since the beginning of August, allowing just seven runs in 38 innings with an excellent 5.7 strikeout-to-walk ratio. 

From a previous series preview:

Kumar Rocker has taken a big step forward this year, not because he’s improved his strikeout-to-walk ratio in any meaningful way, but simply because he isn’t allowing as much hard contact. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is essentially unchanged from where it’s been during his first two seasons in the big leagues, but his hard hit and barrel rates allowed have dropped significantly. The biggest change in his profile is a greater emphasis on his death ball slider; he’s throwing it 38% of the time, is running a 41% whiff rate with it, and opposing batters have produced a .211 wOBA against it. His other pitches don’t stand out in any meaningful way, so it really seems like his improvement stems from leaning on his best pitch a lot more often.

Rocker allowed two runs in 6.2 innings in his previous outing against the Mariners. He struck out seven.

The Big Picture:

Just in case you’re holding out hope for a miracle, the Astros play the Phillies, the Guardians play the Orioles, and the Blue Jays play the Athletics this week.

The Phillies were unable to gain any ground in the division standings over the long weekend, which is unideal considering how quickly we’re approaching the end of the season. But even with another division title looking like a longshot, the Phillies need to get as many wins as they can in the coming weeks to bolster their playoff positioning.

This week sees another first place team come to Citizens Bank Park. However, unlike the Braves, the Houston Astros are in first place mostly because somebody has to be in first in the American League West.

Opposition research: Yordan Alvarez

The star studded roster of the 2022 Astros is a thing of the past. Stars like Kyle Tucker, Justin Verlander, Framber Valdez, and Alex Bregman have moved on. Jose Altuve is still around, but plays like he needs a new battery in his buzzer these days.

Still, the Astros are in first place for two main reasons:

1. The American League West is awful.
2. Yordan Alvarez is having an epic season.

Phillies fans should need no reminder as to who Alvarez is.

Note: I was surprised to look back and see that Alvarez struggled for most of the 2022 World Series, going 3-23. It shows you how much important home runs can flip narratives.

Considering the Phillies’ lefthanded relief situation has yet to sort itself out, it seems inevitable that Jose Alvarado is going to face Alvarez at some point in this series. I wouldn’t blame anyone for simply turning off their television when that happens. (Honestly, I wouldn’t blame anyone for turning off the TV for any Alvarado appearance, even though he has been somewhat better lately.) I was very surprised to learn that Alvarado and Alvarez haven’t squared off since 2022. Maybe Jose has just been waiting his chance to get some revenge?

Alvarez has been one of the best offensive players in the American League for years, although injuries limited him to just 48 games in 2025. In 2026, he’s healthy and it shows. He’s currently leading in all traditional Triple Crown categories, as well as walks and OPS.

Hating on the Astros

I still don’t understand how the Astros weren’t stripped of their World Series title from 2017. They clearly cheated, the league punished a bunch of the people involved, and the owner was only able to “defend” what they did using this word salad.

I’m sure they were also cheating somehow in 2022, but we’re still waiting for those details to come out.

Remembering a guy who used to play for both the Phillies and Astros

Brandon Duckworth’s popularity in Philadelphia was almost entirely due to his name, and the fans’ desire to start a fan club for every new player who joined the team. In August 2001, Duckworth was called up to make his debut and I believe there were about 50 different groups in the Veterans Stadium stands calling themselves either the “Duck Pond” or “Quack Pack” that day. (The number of groups eventually whittled down to just one or two.)

Duckworth gave those fans something to cheer about during his rookie season when he had a 3.52 ERA in eleven starts. Not so much the following year when his era shot up to 5.41. After another disappointing season in 2003, the Phillies sent him to the Astros as part of the trade for Billy Wagner.

I don’t know if Duckworth had any fan groups in Houston, but I can’t imagine he would, considering his ERA in two seasons there was 8.08.

Duckworth moved to Kansas City after 2005, but he was similarly bad there. After a stint in Japan, he moved to a front office role and is currently employed by the Yankees’ scouting department.

Additional thought about the series

It wasn’t a terrific weekend for the Phillies’ offense. I don’t have the exact figures, but it felt like Bryce Harper in particular abandoned his recent patient approach and was far more aggressive at the plate. Part of that may be trying to overcompensate for the rest of the lineup which hasn’t produced much lately.

The Phillies’ power has largely vanished in September. They have five home runs in the month, and three are by Kyle Schwarber. Luiz Arraez is showing why the Phillies didn’t pursue him last offseason, as his lack of power and refusal to accept a walk have hurt the team at times. And if anyone is still waiting for Trea Turner to finally get hot, you probably need to end that dream.

Can they improve during this series? The starters they’re scheduled to face appear to be a mixed bag. Hayden Wesneski has looked good in seven starts after coming back from Tommy John surgery. Hunter Brown hasn’t matched his 2025 season where he finished third in AL Cy Young Award voting, but he’s still been solid. They will seem to get a break in the third game against Cristian Brown who was demoted from the rotation and later reinserted only because the Astros were short on arms.

The Phillies can generally rely on their rotation to give them a good start most nights. But without more help from the offense (and the bullpen, but that’s a whole different story), that’s only going to get them so far.

I hope you all had a nice Labor Day holiday! The Twins did not, dropping the first game of a three-game series to the Tigers in Joe Ryan’s return from the injured list. In the previous week, the team went overall 3-3, taking a series 2-1 against the Tigers and then dropping a series 1-2 to the White Sox. They are now 8 games below .500, and 4.5 games outside of the final wild card spot. While there’s a chance, it’s growing more slim to play October baseball and frankly, their playoff chances are not completely in their own hands. So let’s just try to enjoy this last month of baseball!

The Past Week on Twinkie Town:

• Check out The Feed, where you can add your discussions about the Twins!
• We’re starting a new segment called Daily Questions! Provide your opinion on the Twins and debate with the community!
• Game threads and recaps are back! Commiserate with your fellow fans as we experience the season together.
• Aidan O’Brien provides his September update on the Twins top-40 prospects.

Elsewhere in Twins Territory:

• Patrick Reusse at the Star Tribune looks at why fans should be excited about Luke Keaschall taking control of the leadoff hitter spot.
• Matthew Leach at MLB.com discusses how Taj Bradley has turned around his career prospects this season.
• The St. Paul Saints set the International League record for homers in a season last week and Theo Tollefson at Zone Coverage looks at how the team is setting it’s eyes on a bigger goal – the MiLB record.

In the World of Baseball:

• Tell me if you’ve heard this before – nothing has changed in the American League. Tampa Bay still holds a commanding 4.0-game lead over the Yankees for top spot in the American League, and the White Sox and Astros hold the top spots in their respective divisions. The Blue Jays, Rangers, and Orioles are all within three games of the final wild card spot.
• The pennant race in the National League is a bit closer, with the Dodgers only 1.5 games behind the Brewers, and Atlanta is only 2.0 games behind. However, the Phillies, who have mounted a serious comeback since their abysmal April, have now climbed to the top wild card and have an outside chance at catching up to Atlanta, who have a 4.0 game lead. The Cubs and Diamondbacks round out the last two wild card spots, although the Padres are only 0.5 game behind the Dbacks.
• Jeff Passan at ESPN breaks down the candidates for the MLB’s next expansion teams.
• Manny Randhawa at MLB.com covers the first perfect game pitched in the minors since 2017.
• Despite leading the American League, Ben Clemens at Fangraphs looks at how Tampa Bay is dealing with injuries to a couple of pivotal pitchers.

Shohei Ohtani is still injured, and he doesn’t expect that to change between now and whenever the Dodgers are finished playing this year.

His acceptance of this reality shouldn’t be mistaken for submission. 

Ohtani said he can play through the discomfort in his right arm and left knee. He said he will overcome his current physical limitations by making changes to his swing.

“With some creativity, I think I can make up for what’s not right,” Ohtani said in Japanese. “Another way to say it is that it’s an opportunity to create new ways to compete.”

The question isn’t about his intent.

What’s unknown is whether what he said is even possible. What does he plan on doing, teach himself how to hit on one leg with one arm?

Ohtani played on Monday for the first time in five days and was 0 for 3 with a walk in a 6-3 win over the Cincinnati Reds at Dodger Stadium.

Striking out twice, he was about as non-threatening as he was the last time he played. Circling his forearm after fouling off a pitch in the seventh inning, he looked as physically compromised as he did last week.

Picturing this version of Ohtani as an offensive contributor in the playoffs feels unrealistic, but it’s not as if the Dodgers have a choice but to let him try to figure out something. Their offense isn’t the same when he’s not producing. 

Besides, if anyone can do the unthinkable, it’s Ohtani, who became a two-way player in the major leagues when the odds were believed to be stacked against him.

He’s not afraid to fail, and he’s not ashamed when he does.

Which is why he said he didn’t regret his attempt to return to the mound this season, even though it’s almost certainly responsible for his diminished physical state.

“If there was a chance I could contribute on the pitching side, I think September was the time to throw with that goal in mind,” Ohtani said. “I think we went for it at the appropriate time. 

“The result of that was a feeling that this season didn’t go well.”

Problems with his arm and knee kept from pitching after his start on July 3. But Ohtani did everything in his power to pitch again, and that probably cost him whatever chance he had of healing his arm and knee.

“For a pretty long time, it felt like there were times it got better and times it got worse,” Ohtani said. “I tried throwing, tried making adjustments, tried throwing live batting practice. When I raised the intensity, I felt the effects, and there were questions of whether I could contribute in the postseason. I think what the team didn’t want most was for me to push myself to where I couldn’t play as a hitter.”

When the Dodgers indicated they wanted him to abort his pitching comeback, Ohtani said, “I wanted to obey them.”

Ohtani sounded at peace with the decision.

On the prospect of him pitching again this season, he said, “I think there’s almost no chance of that.”

Ohtani added, “Right now, I think I want to focus on offense.”

Breaking out of his slump might require him to do so.

Ohtani is six for his last 52. He has only one home run in his last 22 games played outside of Coors Field in high-altitude Denver.

“I don’t feel extremely uncomfortable,” he said. “I don’t feel I’m especially late.”

In his view, he’s just missing the ball.

“It’s just that when I think I’m squaring it up, it goes foul,” he said. 

Ohtani didn’t blame his recent cold streak on his health, but he didn’t say his physical problems weren’t responsible for his decline in form, either.

Not feeling extremely uncomfortable doesn’t mean he doesn’t feel uncomfortable. Not feeling especially late doesn’t mean he doesn’t feel late.

Ohtani acknowledged he was concerned about his lead arm and back leg, and that he didn’t expect to feel healthy anytime soon.

“Just moving will, of course, slow down the recovery,” he said. “Whether it’s pitching or hitting, I think doing nothing and resting is the best.”

Ohtani didn’t plan on doing that, probably figuring that he was more likely to figure out how to perform with a broken-down body than he was to restore his health over the remainder of the regular season.

Rather than complain about the obstacles, Ohtani said he was in search of solutions.

“I think there are things that I’ve done until now that I’ll have to change,” he said.

He didn’t view himself as a lost cause.

“If I make adjustments,” he said, “I think my form will sufficiently improve.”

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Rockies fans and fans across the country.

One of the storylines during the 2026 Colorado Rockies season has been Hunter Goodman. The 26-year-old catcher made his second-consecutive All-Star Game this year, and has been an absolute force at the plate. So far, he’s smashed a record-breaking 36 home runs and there are still 19 games left of the season. If Goodman is able to eclipse 40 homers, he will be the first Rockie to do it since Nolan Arenado hit 41 in 2019.

Do you think he can do it? Let us know, and tell us your final predictions in the comments!

Please keep in mind our Purple Row Community Guidelines when you’re commenting. Thanks!

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The Toronto Blue Jays have fallen out of a wild-card spot after two straight defeats, but they’re -180 favorites tonight with Jose Soriano on the hill against the Athletics.

Find out why I expect a Toronto win and plenty of scoring in my Blue Jays vs. Athletics predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, Sept. 8, with first pitch from Sutter Health Park at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Blue Jays vs A’s predictions

Blue Jays vs A’s best bet: Over 9.5 (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays and Athletics combined for 11 runs on Monday, and I’m predicting a similarly high-scoring game tonight with Jack Perkins starting for the Athletics.

Perkins ranks in the sixth percentile in pitching run value with a 6.50 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, while posting a massive 8.86 ERA over his last five starts. 

Perkins pitched beyond the fifth inning just once during that stretch, and he’ll hand the ball off to the worst bullpen in the majors, which owns a collective 5.43 ERA.

After a solid start to his tenure with the Toronto Blue Jays, Jose Soriano has also hit a rough patch. The right-hander carries a 4.76 ERA over his last five starts.

I’m playing the Over to -115.

COVERS INTEL: The Over has cashed in eight of Perkins’ last 11 starts, and five of Soriano’s last six outings.

Blue Jays vs A’s same-game parlay (SGP)

The Blue Jays will have the advantage on the mound for nine innings and should be able to outscore the Athletics, even if the hosts get to Soriano.

Nathan Lukes will be integral to Toronto’s success at the plate — he’s batting .355 in September with multiple hits in four of his last six games.

The Blue Jays outfielder also leads the team in hits vs. right-handed pitching this season (31).

Blue Jays vs A’s SGP

• Blue Jays moneyline
• Over 9.5
• Nathan Lukes Over 1.5 total bases

Blue Jays vs A’s home run pick: Nathan Lukes (+625)

Lukes has just 10 home runs this season, but he’s been heating up with four since Aug. 20. He’s also hit nine of his dingers vs. right-handed pitching, which is why I like tonight’s matchup vs. Perkins so much.

Perkins has allowed 1.7 HR/9 this season, which is one of the worst marks in the majors.

Blue Jays vs A’s odds

• Moneyline: Toronto -180 | Athletics +155
• Run line: Toronto -1.5 (-115) | Athletics +1.5 (-105)
• Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-105) | Under 9.5 (-115)

Blue Jays vs A’s trend

The Blue Jays have hit the team total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.30 Units / 27% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. A’s.

How to watch Blue Jays vs A’s and game info

Blue Jays vs A’s latest injuries

Blue Jays vs A’s weather

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

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The final AL Wild Card spot looks out of sight for the Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers, but there's divisional bragging rights on the line as they square off at Comerica Park tonight, and the hosts enter as 56% favorites.

Detroit edged a free-scoring series opener yesterday, and my Twins vs. Tigers predictions signal another tough outing for a Minnesota team that struggles away from Target Field.

Read on for my free MLB picks for this Tuesday, Sept. 8 clash, with first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Who will win Twins vs Tigers today: Tigers moneyline (57%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

With three walk-off losses in the past week, it's no exaggeration to say the Detroit Tigers could be on a six-game win streak as they face the Minnesota Twins tonight.

I'm jumping on the Tigers moneyline given their history of feasting on Minnesota starter Dean Kremer, while fading a Twins team that’s 2-9 in its past 11 road games. This is playable up to 60%.

Kremer has an ugly 5.81 ERA this season, and he’s coughed up 15 runs in his last four outings. Even worse, he's posted a 9.12 career ERA against Detroit.

In contrast, the Tigers send the in-form Drew Anderson to the mound (2.96 ERA in his past five starts), and he held the Twins to one earned run through 5 2/3 innings of work earlier this month.

COVERS INTEL: Detroit has had Kremer’s number. He’s faced the Tigers twice this year — once with the Orioles, once with the Twins — and he’s given up a combined 14 hits and 12 earned runs.

Twins vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (49%)

Last night’s contest cashed the Over, and I’m expecting more of the same here, with the Detroit bats coming alive to the tune of 33 runs in their last six games. 

The Over has been a winning ticket in the past seven meetings between these teams, and it's 44-23-5 across Minnesota's 72 road contests this season. I'm also giving both lineups an edge against pitchers they faced just a week ago.

Each of Kremer's last five starts has delivered 11+ total runs, and the Twins’ relievers drag a 4.85 ERA into this matchup. Plus, Comerica Park continues to rank in the top half of the league for hitters.

Twins vs Tigers home run prediction: Riley Greene (17%)

Riley Greene was one of the Detroit heroes yesterday with a decisive two-run blast, and he also clubbed a pair of homers in Cleveland on Saturday as part of a scorching start to September. He's posted a 1.292 OPS across six games so far this month.

I see that continuing here against Kremer, who's allowing 2.0 dingers per nine innings in 2026, up from 1.2 last season, and a vulnerable Minnesota bullpen.

Kremer has been tagged for 16 homers this year, and nine of those have come against lefties. That bodes well for Greene, and I see him adding to his 19-HR tally tonight.

Twins vs Tigers weather

It’s set to be a cloudy night in Detroit with perfect baseball conditions and temperatures in the upper 70s for the first pitch.

Twins vs Tigers odds

• Moneyline: Twins 44% | Tigers 56%
• Run line: Twins +1.5 | Tigers -1.5
• Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Twins vs Tigers trend

The Over is 7-3 in Minnesota's last 10 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Tigers.

How to watch Twins vs Tigers and game info

Twins vs Tigers latest injuries

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It's a full slate of MLB action on Tuesday, Sept. 8. Our MLB expert picks cover three of those clashes, including the Washington Nationals as big-time underdogs in San Diego.

The Philadelphia Phillies and Kansas City Royals also feature prominently in our MLB picks below.

MLB expert picks for today

Pick	Probability
Josh Inglis: WSH ML	37%
Neil Parker: PHI ML	57%
Joe Osborne: KC ML	49%

Probabilities courtesy of Polymarket. For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Josh Inglis' expert pick: Nationals moneyline

Price: 37¢ at Polymarket

The Washington Nationals have dropped five straight games and have seen their market price fall, trading at just 37% today in a matchup where they can be competitive.

James Wood is back and has gone 6-for-19 with three extra-base hits since returning, boosting an offense that was the highest-scoring in the first half.

San Diego Padres starter Casey Mize is not a pitcher I want to back as a 67% favorite. He's struggled since coming over from Detroit, owning a 6.67 ERA with eight homers allowed over 27 innings.

His strikeouts are way down, and he's allowed five homers with just five strikeouts over his last three starts. His 6.05 xFIP is the worst of any San Diego pitcher in the second half with at least 20 innings.

The Nationals are going with a questionable opener, but every other arm is basically available. With the market giving them just a 37% chance to win, THE BAT's 42% fair price gives us enough value to take a shot on the Nats.

• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• How to watch: Nationals.TV, Padres.TV

Neil Parker's expert pick: Phillies moneyline

Price: 57¢ at Polymarket

The Philadelphia Phillies rank fifth in xwOBA with 4.7 runs per game across the past 30 days, while the Houston Astros rank last in the advanced metric with just 3.8 runs per game.

Promising Philly starter Andrew Painter has also found a groove, allowing two runs or fewer in five of his past seven starts while spinning a tidy 2.98 xERA and limiting opposing hitters to a minuscule 3.8% barrel rate.

Additionally, while Houston righty Hayden Wesneski has only allowed a single run across his past three outings, serious statistical correction is coming for his unsustainable .125 BABIP and 92.3% strand rate during the run.

For more, Neil gives a full breakdown in his Astros vs. Phillies predictions.

• Time:  6:40 p.m. ET
• How to watch: TBS

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Royals moneyline

Price: 49¢ at Polymarket

This is a sneaky spot to back the home dog.

Corbin Burnes makes his season debut, but a limited buildup could keep him on a short leash. The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen could be stretched thin after burning through seven arms yesterday.

The Kansas City Royals rank third in home OPS over the last month and are well positioned to take advantage.

Michael Wacha has carried his strong season into the second half, with the Royals winning his last four starts. Add a reliable bullpen, and there’s plenty to like about K.C. at an underdog price.

• Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
• How to watch: Diamondbacks.TV, Royals.TV

More MLB best bets for today

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