Orioles-Tigers series preview: At another crisis point

ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - MAY 20: Anthony Nunez #66 of the Baltimore Orioles walks back to the dugout after being relived in the eighth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on May 20, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images

At the beginning of May, the Orioles got their butts kicked for four straight games by the Yankees and they needed to act immediately to prevent the season from spiraling out of control. The O’s managed to do this in winning two of the next three series, including getting some revenge against the Yankees. A struggle of a series facing a poor Nationals pitching staff and a sweep at the hands of the Rays later and the Orioles are back in a tailspin that could prove fatal to their hopes of being able to eventually go somewhere good this year.

If you are reading this hoping to feel better about the Orioles, I am probably not your guy. I am feeling bad about this team. It’s looking increasingly like, for a second consecutive year, they ain’t got it. They should have it. Some of their weaknesses should be their strengths instead. Other things among their weaknesses are going worse than even most pessimists would have predicted. Who to blame for all of this and what to do about it are the subjects of daily argument. Nobody with influence to change things seems to know how to make that happen.

Perhaps at least this weekend will go better for the Orioles. One thing working in their favor is that they are back at Camden Yards, where they are playing at a .500 clip so far this season. Another is that they are playing the Tigers, one of the teams with an even worse record than the O’s themselves have. Detroit has lost its last six games and 14 of its last 16. They were above .500 before this began and now they’re 20-31.

The story of Detroit’s season seems to be the disappointment from its offense, even though they have two great young hitters. 25-year-old outfielder Riley Greene is currently on pace to have the best-hitting year of his five MLB seasons. They debuted a top infield prospect, Kevin McGonigle, early this season, who is already worth 2.7 bWAR in 49 games of his rookie season. That’s basically the guy we wanted Jackson Holliday to be, and unlike Holliday, McGonigle has just showed up and he is doing great. That’s a good start to a good offense.

The problem is nearly every other Tigers hitter. There are some brutal batting splits kicking around, with several Tigers position players among the worst that MLB has to offer so far this season. This includes former Oriole Jahmai Jones, former #1 overall pick Spencer Torkelson, outfielder Wenceel Pérez, and utilityman Zach McKinstry. The best OPS of the players I just named is Torkelson at .681. The others are far worse; they’d fit in with the biggest Orioles strugglers like Tyler O’Neill and Colton Cowser. Pérez is kind of impressively already at a -1.1 bWAR.

Things are going better for Detroit’s pitching staff. Orioles fans looking at the team’s 4.97 ERA have got to be envious of the Tigers having a team ERA nearly a full run lower. How much of this is difference is an “invisible” gap in defensive quality is not something I can say because I don’t watch the Tigers.

They’ve had their share of pitching problems even through the overall quality. Two-time Cy Young Tarik Skubal is out due to surgery for loose bodies in his elbow. The feel-good late-career reunion with Justin Verlander halted after one terrible start. Free agent addition Framber Valdez has a 4.58 ERA through ten games. We’ll see him in this series. Some of their bullpen guys suck. But then, some of every bullpen’s guys suck.

Like the Orioles, this team probably “should” be better than it is. It’s not. One team may come away from this series feeling a little better about itself. Unless the weekend’s weather forecast leads to the teams playing only two games right now and they split the two games they actually play. That wouldn’t do much to feed into anybody’s narrative.

Game 1 – Friday, 7:05

  • BAL starter: Chris Bassitt – 5.44 ERA, 4.74 FIP, 1.698 WHIP in 43 IP
  • DET starter: Jack Flaherty – 5.77 ERA, 5.03 FIP, 1.603 WHIP in 43.2 IP

Note: This game is on Apple TV. No other TV broadcast will be available.

A theme I return to a lot when I think about these Orioles is that even pessimists could not have predicted these specific outcomes. I mentioned it above and here as I think about Bassitt it is on my mind again. I didn’t like the signing because I thought the Orioles needed to aim higher than stabilizing their back end. Yet even for that, a mid-5s ERA heading into Memorial Day weekend would have surprised me. I figured he might slide into the 4.5 range.

Maybe that’s where he’ll end up by season’s end. Maybe it’s the defense’s fault that he’s not there right now. I don’t know. What I do know is that his strikeout rate has been cut by close to a third compared to a year ago, while at the same time his walk rate has increased by about a third. That’s a tough combination, so even though his BABIP is crazy high (.352) and that’s probably not all his fault, there’s a lot that he could be doing to help his own cause that he’s not doing. Currently not looking like a great use of $18.5 million or a roster spot.

For the Tigers starter Flaherty, that’s a familiar-feeling ERA if you remember his short tenure here. He is failing in a different way than he did with the Orioles. The 2025 issue for Flaherty is that he’s walking way too many guys, handing out one walk roughly every seven batters. Whether Orioles who are not named Taylor Ward can take advantage of this may be one of the keys to success for the game.

Game 2 – Saturday, 4:05

  • BAL starter: Brandon Young – 4.25 ERA, 5.23 FIP, 1.483 WHIP in 29.2 IP
  • DET starter: Framber Valdez – 4.58 ERA, 4.07 FIP, 1.400 WHIP in 55 IP

At the end of spring training, if you had told me that Young would already have six starts with more coming, I wouldn’t have had a hard time picturing a disaster regarding the Orioles rotation. It has indeed been disastrous, but to be fair to Young, he hasn’t been one of the disastrous parts up to this point. Most likely he’s getting lucky. That’s a big gap between the ERA and the FIP. His strikeout/walk ratio is bad. Still, if he was the fifth-best Orioles starter, this season would probably be going fine. The problem is he’s the second best by ERA so far.

If you checked in on Valdez’s stats at the end of April, when he had a 3.35 ERA, you were probably quite upset that the Orioles didn’t sign him. He got socked in his first May start and hasn’t pitched well enough yet to recover a lower ERA. For the curious, Boston’s Ranger Suárez has a 2.40 ERA and Dylan Cease of the Blue Jays is at a 2.98. Adding either one of these guys to the Orioles rotation wouldn’t solve all of the problems they’ve had so far, but it would solve at least one.

Game 3 – Sunday, 1:35

  • BAL starter: Trevor Rogers – 6.87 ERA, 4.35 FIP, 1.658 WHIP in 38 IP
  • DET starter: TBD

No one should have believed that Rogers was just going to come out and drop another sub-2 ERA. I don’t think anyone believed that. Here’s another one for the “Not even the pessimists…” category. An ERA that rounds up to 7? Really? You could have thought that relying on Rogers at the top of the rotation was foolish and that the Orioles not acting to bolster the front of the rotation was a bad decision. Many people thought that and they certainly look like they were right.

Still, after last year, of course the 2026 Orioles rotation plan included Rogers in some capacity. That was always going to be the case. And like so many other guys who are undershooting even pessimistic projections, here he is. Put him at Brandon Young’s 4.25 ERA and he’s still massively disappointing after last year, and he’s more than two and a half runs worse than that.

There was no way to plan for that possibility, and at this moment, with even Cade Povich and Dean Kremer on the injured list, there’s not much way to adapt to it by kicking Rogers from the rotation even if that was an unquestionably good idea on its own merits. Everyone involved just has to hope for magical improvement.

As of this writing, it’s TBD for Detroit. TBD will probably not turn into Casey Mize, who pitched in Thursday’s game. That’s good news for the Orioles in that Mize is the best of the active Tigers pitchers. He’s sporting a 2.47 ERA across eight starts.

**

Here is another time where they have to make a stand. The Tigers are reeling. The Orioles need to make that continue. If they can’t even capitalize on that opportunity, how are we supposed to believe that they will do anything good with the season beyond Memorial Day? There’s also the basic math aspect of it. Even if they turn things around later, losing two of three this weekend would put the team at 22-31. As with last year, that’s a deep hole to escape over the remainder of the season.

How do you think this series will go? Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.

Friday Discussion: Did Morez Johnson Jr. make the right decision to stay in the NBA Draft?

CHICAGO, IL - MAY 11: Morez Johnson Jr. participates in the shuttle run drill during the 2026 NBA Draft Combine on May 11, 2026 at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jeff Haynes/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

On Tuesday, Morez Johnson Jr. announced he would keep his name in the NBA Draft past the deadline date, meaning that he is not returning to Michigan for a second season.

We here at Maize n Brew of course support Johnson in all his future endeavors and harbor no ill will towards him. Today, we want to discuss whether or not you think he made the right decision by electing to stay in the NBA Draft.

Johnson spent his freshman season at Illinois, appearing in 30 games and averaging 17.7 minutes per game. He tallied a modest seven points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.1 blocks per game before hitting the transfer portal in hopes of finding a larger role, as the Illini front court was a logjam and playing time would be tough to come by.

Under Dusty May at Michigan, Johnson started all 40 games he appeared in. His usage blossomed, as Johnson averaged 13.1 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.2 assists, 1.1 blocks and 0.7 steals per game while being a secondary scoring option. He was an excellent free throw shooter at 78.2 percent and was ruthlessly efficient from the field, as he shot 62.3 percent.

Prior to the NCAA Tournament, most mock drafts had Johnson as either a late first-round or an early second-round pick. There was some optimism Michigan would be able to retain him for another season, but that optimism faded after Michigan’s tournament run for the ages. Johnson capped it off with a double-double in the National Championship (12 points, 10 rebounds) at a time when the Wolverines were playing with a severely limited Yaxel Lendeborg.

Even following the NCAA Tournament, Johnson was still only projected as a mid-to-late first-rounder. The beauty of NIL is that player retention has gotten somewhat easier with regards to players going pro. What players would make on the rookie scale in the NBA pales in comparison to what they could be paid to return to college depending on how high the prospect is projected to be drafted.

While Michigan has had success retaining such players in the past, this one just didn’t go Michigan’s way. Several mid-to-late first-round prospects opted to return to school, which caused Johnson to ascend up draft boards. He is now viewed as a mid-first-round pick, with Oklahoma City being a popular mock destination.

As much as Michigan fans are sad to see him go, Johnson has a legitimate argument for why now is the best time for him to enter the NBA Draft. His stock has risen exponentially, and he also plays a brand and style of basketball that relies heavily on athleticism and energy. The NBA values youth and potential over experience. I don’t expect Johnson to develop a reliable three-point jumper any time soon, and there aren’t many other attributes he could reasonably develop in one more season of college basketball.

Do you think Johnson make the right decision to remain in the draft? Let us know your thoughts down in the comments section below.

Astros vs. Cubs Series Primer with Ryan Sweeney of Marquee Sports Network

CHICAGO, IL - JUNE 27: Ryan Sweeney #6 of the Chicago Cubs hits a two-run single in the 4th inning against the Washington Nationals at Wrigley Field on June 27, 2014 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Former Major Leaguer Ryan Sweeney, who serves as studio analyst on Chicago’s Marquee Sports Network, sits down to preview the Astros upcoming series with the Cubs at historic Wrigley Field.    

Q:  When it’s all said and done, could the Cubs have the best rotation in all of baseball this season?

A:  Cubs have had a lot of pitching injuries so to say they have the best rotation in baseball would be a stretch. With Boyd and Steele and Cade Horton out they have been piecing it together, but up until last night Shota had been pitching like a true ace. Also to think where they would be without Ben Brown and Colin Rea, they have been great.

Q:  Does something just seem “right” in the universe when the Cubs are playing a string of day games at Wrigley?

A:  Yes.  Day games at Wrigley are the best especially when you are the home team.   The Cubs had won 15 in a row at Wrigley up until Monday Night when that was halted.   I think everyone coming into town loves day games as well because Wrigley is a special place.

Q:  Astros fans miss Alex Bregman and justifiably so.  How has he made the transition to the Northside?     

A:  Alex is a great dude and I have had some interactions with him especially with the racehorses haha I own some as well . He’s just a winner and I think people respect that . That being said, with the big contract people expect him to produce.

He is a historically slow starter but has been swinging the bat better as of late, and I expect his numbers to be great by the end of the year . But I also think he loves Chicago and the team all gets along and has a good vibe together .

In The Lab: What Does BPO Say About Our Hitting Coaches?

One of the benefits of waiting until late May to look at statistics is that individual games have less of a difference on overall numbers. In April, it looked like the Astros hitting coaches were the toast of the town. The team was leading the American League in runs scoring. They were taking more pitches. They were taking more walks. It felt like there was a new message being delivered to hitters and they were listening. Of course, not we have gone most of the way through May (May 19th as of these numbers) and those gains may have slowed.

We have been looking at bases per out now for a couple of different articles. We looked at the catchers and we will look at the infield and outfield eventually, but this time we are looking at the offense as a whole. For comparisons sake, we will take a look at the 2025 numbers since those numbers were probably the numbers that got the past two hitting coaches sent out of town.

Now that the offense has seemingly come back to earth it bears asking whether there were any meaningful and lasting changes in the Astros offense. With one very notable exception, the players are basically the same. That exception is Yordan Alvarez as he spent most of 2025 on the shelf and wasn’t himself for most of the time when he was healthy. Is that enough to explain the difference?

Keep in mind that we will add BPO+ for reference sake. In case you missed our primer article, the major league BPO in 2025 was .670. The BPO so far this season is .663, Last year Daikan Park was perfectly neutral while this year it is playing one percent above average. Given that information let’s see if we have seen in real gains from 2025 to 2026.

BPOBPO+
2025.65197
2026.683103

That’s not an insignificant improvement. Of course, those gains might be short-lived as the Astros will live without Jose Altuve for a month and Carlos Correa for the remainder of the season. That doesn’t even mention any parts and pieces that will be bartered off before the August 3rd trade deadline. However, if we assume that forces will remain constant (never a good assumption) then we can note where the gains have occurred.

If we note where the gains have occurred then we can possibly isolate those gains down to either hitting talent or hitting approach. Keep in mind that the BPO formula is made up of four components. Total bases is obviously the biggest driver and one probably more dependent on hitting talent. The smaller components are walks, hit by pitches, and stolen bases. Walks are the main component tied to hitting approach.

Before we dive into the numbers, we have to acknowledge the impact of usage. This is why we will break down the infield and outfield in subsequent labs. Those numbers tell us who should play and how often they should play. Naturally, some of that is dependent on availability, but some of that is in the hands of the manager. A statistic like BPO can tell us more about damage than traditional numbers like batting average or more crude sabermetrics like OPS.

The Astros are 49 games into the season, so we will not look at the totals for these four components. Instead we will look at the per game averages to see where if any growth we see in the numbers. 30 BPO points is pretty significant, but as you will see the per game totals might be more subtle. It shows you how small tweaks can have a pretty significant impact on the numbers.

TB/GBB/GSB/GHBP/G
202513.512.910.440.44
202613.833.480.350.47

Seeing the numbers expressed this way also helps us understand the relative impact of each metric. The best team in baseball history in steals may have averaged 1.50 steals per game. So, an extra base per game is all you would get out of that exchange. However, as you can see, the 2026 is walking nearly 0.6 times more per game than the 2025 outfit. The impact of hit by pitches is also negligible.

So, the bulk of the difference will come from total bases and walks. The combined additions there equal almost one more base per game. That is the difference between a below average offense and an above average offense. Two total bases would probably take you from below average to elite. So, we aren’t really talking about huge differences this year.

The question then comes down to how we explain the improvement. It is an overall hitting approach improvement or are we talking isolated improvements in personnel. So far, Alvarez has not missed a game and has hit like expected, It turns out that 2025 might be the anomaly there. Otherwise, it looks like Christian Walker is the only significant hitter to show considerable improvement from 2025 to 2026. Can that be attributed to the hitting coaches? I suppose anything is possible.

it should be noted that Jake Meyers and Jeremy Pena have done very little and they were solid and very good respectively last season. There is still a ton of time for them to look more like they looked last year and that could further boost the numbers we are seeing. A more productive Yainer Diaz could also give a little boost to the lineup. Nothing is ever fixed in the middle of a season. So, given these numbers do you lean more on the hitting coaches being the reason for improvement or is it because of individual performances?

Good Morning San Diego: Improved Mason Miller set to take on former team

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - MAY 18: Miguel Andujar #41 of the San Diego Padres and Mason Miller #22 of the San Diego Padres celebrate after defeating the Los Angeles Dodgers at Petco Park on May 18, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Mason Miller joined the San Diego Padres at the 2025 trade deadline, and his acquisition came at a steep price. The top prospect in the San Diego organization, Leodalis De Vries, had to be in the return for Miller and left-hander JP Sears. Padres president of baseball operations and general manager A.J. Preller paid the price for one of the top closers in MLB with four-plus years of control, but the move was questioned by many. To his credit, Preller banked on MLB experience, which Miller had, and took a risk that the loss of De Vries, as vaunted a prospect as he is, may not hurt too bad in the future. He also saw an opportunity for Miller to become an even better closer under the tutelage of pitching coach Ruben Niebla. So far, Miller has made the trade a success. Prior to a throwing error on a pickoff attempt in the second game against the Los Angeles Dodgers this week, Miller coming into the game was a winning recipe for the Padres. He did not enter in a save situation, but manager Craig Stammen believed that Miller could get through the top of the ninth with the game tied, which would give San Diego a chance to win it in the home half of the inning. That opportunity was lost and so was the game, but it was not because Miller could not throw strikes, he rushed a throw to first base and Ty France could not bring it in, which put the runner at third with one out. He later scored on a sacrifice fly and that was all the Dodgers needed. Miller is looking for an opportunity to erase that memory and he may get the chance over the next three days against the Athletics. It is not a sure thing we see Miller in one of these games, but for now he is the biggest piece of the trade between the two teams that has any chance at making an impact at the MLB level. That may change when De Vries finally makes his debut, but that will not be this week or any time soon.

Padres News:

Baseball News:

  • Tigers ace Tarik Skubal, who had surgery two weeks ago, is throwing bullpens and his velocity is already near game speed.

MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions May 22

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We're starting early with our favorite MLB picks for Friday, taking a side in the lone afternoon game on the MLB schedule.

Read on to see why our baseball experts like the Cubs to hold down the fort at Wrigley, while we also have plays in Dodgers/Brewers and Rockies/Diamondbacks — plus more picks coming this morning!

  • UPDATE: Added best bets for CLE/PHI and TB/NYY.

MLB expert picks for today

PickOdds
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis: LAD/MIL o8.5+100
Neil Parker Neil Parker: CHC ML-138
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: ARI -1.5+113

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Dodgers/Brewers Over 8.5

Price: 50¢ (+100) at Polymarket

On a bad-weather slate loaded with rain concerns and heavy winds blowing in, let's target an Over 8.5 that appears as the best spot on the board. THE BAT is projecting 10.10 runs, with a fair price of -137. The pitching matchup looks appealing, if you’re only staring at the ERAs, but shaky BlastContact numbers suggest regression appears to be coming for both starters — Logan Henderson is stranding 98% of his runners over his last two starts, while Justin Wrobleski is carrying a .223 BABIP that feels due for some correction.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: BREW/SNLA

Neil Parker's expert pick: Cubs moneyline

Price: 58¢ (-138) at Polymarket

Jameson Taillon is holding opposing hitters to a well-below-average .300 wOBA, leading a tidy 3.28 ERA across 250 innings at Wrigley Field since signing with the Chicago Cubs in 2023. I give the North Siders a sizable edge on both sides of the dish, especially with Astros righty Spencer Arrighetti headed to the bump, who sports a career 5.15 ERA on the road.

  • Time: 2:20 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: Apple TV

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Diamondbacks -1.5

Price: 47¢ (+113) at Polymarket

The Arizona Diamondbacks have dominated the Rockies at home, winning 10 of the last 11 meetings in the desert. Michael Soroka has been outstanding in Arizona, with a 1.59 ERA across five home starts, and allowing one earned run or fewer in four of those outings. That’s a tough matchup for a Colorado lineup sitting at 27th in OPS vs. RHP over the past two weeks. Meanwhile, Tomoyuki Sugano faces a D-backs offense that leads MLB in runs scored over the last week. Arizona also holds a major bullpen advantage, ranking sixth in bullpen ERA over the last two weeks, while Colorado is 23rd.

  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: ARID/COLR

More MLB best bets for today

PickOdds
Rays ML+136
Read analysis in our Rays vs. Yankees predictions
Phillies ML-175
Read analysis in our Guardians vs. Phillies predictions
White Sox/Giants u7.5-125
Read analysis in our White Sox vs. Giants predictions
Orioles ML-126
Read analysis in our Tigers vs. Orioles predictions

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mets at Marlins: 5 things to watch and series predictions | May 22-24

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Marlins play a three-game series in Miami starting on Friday at 7:10 p.m. on PIX11.


5 things to watch

The starting rotation is in flux

With Clay Holmes out long-term, New York is patching things together in the rotation.

Against the Nationals in Washington, D.C., the four games were started by Christian Scott, Nolan McLean, Zach Thornton (in his MLB debut), and David Peterson (without an opener in front of him, as had become routine lately).

In Miami, Tobias Myers will start on Friday night, but he is not stretched out. That means he'll likely not go much beyond 35 or 40 pitches, and that the Mets will need plenty of length behind him. That length could come in the form of Jonah Tong, who has been held out in Triple-A just in case. Or, New York could possibly turn to Sean Manaea, who has been struggling.

The plan beyond Friday is unknown, though it will almost certainly include Freddy Peralta and one of Scott or McLean. 

Bo Bichette is heating up

Bichette went off during the series against the Nats, smacking three homers and driving in nine runs.

Over his last five games, Bichette is hitting .348/.375/.783.

Despite his prolonged slump to start the season, a rebound from Bichette wasn't hard to see coming. During his struggles, Bichette's BABIP was well below his career level despite similar metrics to his career norms.

In addition to Bichette, Carson Benge has been on fire -- and his tear dates back roughly a month.

Since April 23, Benge is slashing .347/.385/.469 (.854 OPS). He has hit safely in 10 of his last 11 games, with six multi-hit games during that span.

Juan Soto is also scorching, with a 1.357 OPS and five homers over his last eight games.

How will Nolan McLean bounce back?

McLean had a rough night against the Nats on Tuesday, allowing nine runs (six earned) on eight hits in 5.2 innings.

There were some caveats, though.

May 2, 2026; Anaheim, California, USA; New York Mets pitcher Nolan McLean (26) throws in the first inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium.
May 2, 2026; Anaheim, California, USA; New York Mets pitcher Nolan McLean (26) throws in the first inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. / Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Four of the six earned runs against McLean came on an inside-the-park home run by James Wood that caromed off the glove of left fielder Nick Morabito. It was a tough play, but one that could've been made.

Beyond that, there was some concern after the game that McLean was tipping his pitches. 

If McLean doesn't pitch on Sunday in Miami, he'll likely get the ball at Citi Field on Monday against the Reds. 

The Marlins have been sinking

Miami had a nice start to the year, racing out to a 5-1 record. But it's been a slog since then.

The Marlins are 6-12 since May 3, and have lost seven of their last 10 games -- including a three-game sweep at the hands of the Braves earlier this week.

Their offense has been feast or famine, with 16 runs over their last seven losses and 31 runs in their last three wins.

Miami's starting pitching remains solid, though, and will feature Eury Perez and Max Meyer this weekend, with Sunday's starter TBD. 

Otto Lopez is having a huge season

If there's one standout for the Marlins on offense, it's Lopez. 

Lopez had a .686 OPS in parts of four seasons before 2026, but a switch has flipped for him.

The infielder is leading the majors with a .342 batting average and 68 hits, getting on base at a .373 clip, and slugging .487. 

Lopez has been an extra-base hit machine, with 13 doubles, four homers, and two triples, and has also swiped eight bags.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Juan Soto

Soto has been absolutely locked in since breaking out of a mini-slump about a week ago. 

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Freddy Peralta

Peralta will be looking to bounce back after an uneven start last weekend against the Yankees.

Which Marlins player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Jakob Marsee

Things haven't come easily for Marsee in his second season, but he's one of the most talented bats in Miami's lineup.

Tyrese Maxey enters offseason looking to adjust to life as a No. 1 option

Tyrese Maxey has done nothing but get better year in and year out. In his rookie season, Maxey was every bit the part of a small guard drafted outside of the lottery. He had a few brilliant flashes, but only started eight games in 2020-21 and averaged just over 15 minutes a night.

While he became a starter in his second season in Philadelphia, the 17.5 points per game that he averaged in 2021-22 were still a far cry from the 28.3 points per game he just averaged this past season. His scoring averages have improved every season as have his totals in lots of statistical departments. There’s a reason Maxey has become such a fan favorite in Philadelphia. He works hard, gets better all the time and isn’t satisfied with just making it to the second round.

But as we head into the offseason, it’s fair to question what kind of ceiling a team built around Maxey and his backcourt mate VJ Edgecombe will have. The Sixers didn’t just get swept by the Knicks due to a lack of depth. Their bench problems might have been the most jarring concern and the single biggest reason Daryl Morey got fired, but their starters were also outplayed by New York’s starting lineup. Therefore, it’s fair to surmise that a deeper Philadelphia roster in seasons ahead could be more competitive in the second round, but still lose in the same round if Maxey can’t ever be the best player in a series of that caliber.

For what it’s worth, during the media session after Game 4 against the Knicks, Maxey did admit that the finger injury flared up again in the Knicks series. He indicated that it had been an issue late in the regular season, then started to feel better by the play-in tournament and in the Boston series, only for it to become a nagging issue against New York. Maxey, the consummate professional he is, did however quickly admit that the finger issue was not an excuse for his inefficient performances against the Knicks.

The big thing the 2020 first-round pick out of Kentucky can take from getting swept out of the playoffs in the second round is the way New York defended him. If Maxey is going to be the straw that stirs the drink for the Sixers in future postseasons, he’ll have to get used to some of the looks he saw from the Knicks and find better ways to combat them.

“I saw multiple bodies every single night, like every single pick-and-roll,” Maxey said of New York’s defense. “It was the trap. Every single Brunson action. It was a trap. Every single time I got downhill. The entire team was in the paint. I was trying to kick out and I gotta really watch because I think this was definitely one of the hardest series I played in for just myself, and I had to be better for my teammates.”

It should be noted that this was probably a first for Maxey when it comes to being the offensive focal point of the Philadelphia attack. Certainly an argument could be made that a lot of respect was paid to him in the 2024 series against the Knicks, but Joel Embiid was playing at a higher level then, having had a 50-point game in that series. In the 2022 and 2023 postseasons in which Maxey was a regular in Philly’s starting lineup, James Harden was also handling the ball a lot.

Heading into 2026-27, there is no doubt that Maxey is going to have to be the primary option for the Sixers offensively, and really the player that makes the entire engine go for the Sixers. Everyone knows at this point that Embiid can’t be counted on to be the team’s best player on a nightly basis. If Paul George is back with the Sixers next season, it’s also abundantly obvious that George is best suited as a 3-and-D wing who isn’t handling the ball a ton. It all went through Maxey for most of 2025-26 and that’s going to have to continue moving forward. The question for Maxey will be if he can continue to improve as the team’s A-lister.

One thing that should be helpful for Maxey is the comfort and peace of mind he can take from knowing that Edgecombe will be a fixture in Philadelphia’s starting lineup for years to come. The two-time All-Star noted that improving his play off the ball will be an area that he’ll look to focus in on during the offseason. Maxey implied that the drafting of Edgecombe started to allow him to handle the ball less in 2025-26 and that continuing to improve as an off-ball guard will allow the Sixers to throw different looks at opposing defenses.

It might feel hard to believe, but Maxey is entering his seventh season in the NBA come the fall. He sure sounded like a leader as well after Philly’s season ended. There’s a lot of focus pointed in Edgecombe’s direction and understandably so. But Maxey made references to the invaluable experience that younger players like Justin Edwards and Adem Bona got having appeared in playoff games for the first time in their careers. There’s no doubt Maxey carries himself like a leader off the court. As we approach the summer, he’ll need to figure out the next step that comes with being at the top of the opponent’s scouting report. 

MLB Lineup Report: Colt Emerson joins the rookie party, Bryson Stott gets his chance against lefties

Lineup construction both matters and doesn't, and when people argue that point they're often having two different conversations. But when we step aside from what we think a team should be doing and focus on what they're actually telling us, we're better equipped to process the changes.

When a hot player moves up in the order, it tells us the team believes in it, even if only short-term. When the Marlins finally abandon Jakob Marsee as the everyday leadoff hitter against right-handers, it can signal a new direction for the depth chart.

In a chaotic summer, it's tough to keep up with every lineup every day. That's what this article is for. Below are the spots worth watching this week.

Check out this week’s Closer Report for the latest news on the saves chase in fantasy baseball!

Arizona Diamondbacks

Ryan Waldschmidt is batting ninth while playing daily. Nolan Arenado has moved up to cleanup over the past 10 days. Ildemaro Vargas remains a lineup fixture with Carlos Santana and Pavin Smith missing so much time.

Athletics

Zack Gelof has been in the lineup 17 straight, including 15 in a row at third base. Henry Bolte has played in seven of 10 since being called up. Lawrence Butler has appeared five times during that same stretch. Carlos Cortes has hit leadoff against three consecutive righties.

Atlanta Braves

Austin Riley has been hitting as low as seventh this month depending on who else is available. There's a playing time crunch between Ha-Seong Kim and Mauricio Dubón now that Ronald Acuña Jr. is back.

Baltimore Orioles

Taylor Ward has doubled his walk rate from the past few years, but he has a career-worst ISO outside of 2020. It's unclear if this is a new identity tied to his leadoff duties in Baltimore, or if he's batting first because of this skill set. Either way, it's strange.

Samuel Basallo is, at minimum, in the lineup against all right-handers in May. It's a unique co-catching situation with him and Adley Rutschman, who are both hitting well. Jackson Holliday returned this week but sat against both southpaws Baltimore faced in favor of Jeremiah Jackson. Other current platoons include Tyler O'Neill and Colton Cowser in right field, plus Blaze Alexander and Leody Taveras in center field.

Boston Red Sox

Jarren Duran has hit leadoff in every game this month. Mickey Gasper has batted second against six of the past seven righties, stealing playing time from Masataka Yoshida even with Roman Anthony (wrist) sidelined. Marcelo Mayer has appeared against one of 11 southpaws this season.

Chicago Cubs

Moisés Ballesteros has appeared against just five of the past 10 righties after consistently hitting second versus them at the beginning of May. Michael Conforto has been the one cutting into his playing time. Pete Crow-Armstrong's glove keeps him in the lineup daily, but he's still batting mostly eighth or ninth.

Chicago White Sox

Antonacci/Murakami/Vargas/Montgomery has become the consistent 1-4 against righties. Chase Meidroth gets the leadoff role against southpaws. Jarred Kelenic has taken the primary right field job with Everson Pereira (pec) sidelined.

Cincinnati Reds

Matt McLain is the newest attempt to find a consistent leadoff hitter after TJ Friedl and Will Benson were given opportunities. Elly De La Cruz was recently bumped up from third to second. JJ Bleday has played in 22 of 23 since being recalled, including against four of five southpaws. Sal Stewart is up to 34 games at first base, five at second, and seven at third.

Cleveland Guardians

Daniel Schneemann has taken the primary leadoff role from Steven Kwan, with Angel Martínez getting looks against lefties. Travis Bazzana has only sat twice since debuting on April 28, mostly batting fifth or sixth lately. Brayan Rocchio and his .366 OBP remain stuck batting ninth. Kyle Manzardo's playing time is inconsistent, even against right-handers.

Colorado Rockies

Jake McCarthy hit leadoff against the most recent righty after Edouard Julien had done so against the previous seven. Mickey Moniak has appeared against four of the past six southpaws after getting one start in his first seven opportunities.

Detroit Tigers

Dillon Dingler plays nearly every day and has hit 2-5 since early April. Kevin McGonigle mostly plays shortstop against righties and third base versus southpaws. Colt Keith continues to bat first or third versus right-handers despite still not homering.

Houston Astros

Jeremy Peña returned from the IL on Monday and immediately went back to leading off. Jake Meyers is also back and playing center field, so we'll see how that affects playing time for Brice Matthews, Cam Smith, and Zach Cole. Yordan Alvarez has appeared in every game this year.

Kansas City Royals

Vinnie Pasquantino is getting dropped in the order against southpaws, which wasn't always happening earlier this year. Lane Thomas, Starling Marte, and Nick Loftin are operating as strict weak-side platoon bats. Otherwise, plenty of consistency here as usual.

Los Angeles Angels

Vaughn Grissom has been playing more at the expense of Yoán Moncada, and he gets premium lineup spots against lefties in particular. Zach Neto spent a couple of games hitting sixth, but has been back at leadoff for the past five contests. He and Jo Adell have appeared in every game. Josh Lowe is platooning in left field with Jose Siri.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Things are consistent here. Hyeseong Kim has shifted over to second base since Mookie Betts returned, and he's in the lineup against all right-handers.

Miami Marlins

Edwards/Hicks/Lopez/Stowers is the consistent 1-4 against righties. Joe Mack has played in 13 of 17 since debuting, all behind the plate. Jakob Marsee and Owen Caissie look like strong-side platoon bats.

Milwaukee Brewers

Jackson Chourio has appeared in every game since returning from the IL. William Contreras hasn't sat since April 19. Christian Yelich avoided a second IL stint, which has relegated Andrew Vaughn to a short-side platoon role.

Minnesota Twins

Ryan Jeffers, the team's three-hitter, is on the IL, so Kody Clemens is batting cleanup. Austin Martin hit leadoff, even against righties, when Byron Buxton missed a few games recently. Trevor Larnach continues to hold down a top lineup spot against right-handers.

New York Mets

A,J. Ewing has appeared in nine of 10 since debuting, including against two of three southpaws. Carson Benge has hit leadoff in 10 straight. Mark Vientos has batted cleanup in 13 straight. Brett Baty drops to eighth against lefties but has played against the past three they've faced.

New York Yankees

Ben Rice began the season in the lineup against one of five southpaws. Since then he's been in there for nine of the past 10 when healthy. Paul Goldschmidt bats first against lefties and has been on a tear versus them. Spencer Jones has played every other game since last Friday.

Philadelphia Phillies

Bryson Stott has played against four of the past five lefties the Phillies have faced after sitting for the previous seven. Alec Bohm has regained the cleanup role after batting eighth as recently as 10 days ago.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Konnor Griffin has batted second against the past three southpaws they've faced, and he's mostly 5-6 against righties. It's only a matter of time until he's permanently up at the top of the order. "The Password" has played in two of three since being recalled from Triple-A.

San Diego Padres

Fernando Tatis Jr. is up to 31 games in right field and 16 at second base, but still with zero homers. Miguel Andujar has appeared in 19 of 20 while batting second in each of the past four. Jackson Merrill has fallen to sixth in the order in each of the past four.

San Francisco Giants

Bryce Eldridge has played in just nine of 16 since being recalled. The 3-6 is settling in as Schmitt/Devers/Adames/Chapman for the time being.

Seattle Mariners

Colt Emerson has appeared in all four since being called up, batting eighth or ninth. He has two games at shortstop and two at third base. Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, and Cole Young have played in every game.

St. Louis Cardinals

Lots of consistency all year. The 1-4 is almost always Wetherholt/Herrera/Burleson/J-Walk. Herrera has appeared in every game.

Tampa Bay Rays

Another team with a consistent 1-4 against right-handers. It's Simpson/Caminero/Aranda/Yandy. Jonny DeLuca has played five straight after Jake Fraley landed on the IL.

Texas Rangers

They faced three consecutive southpaws this week and placed Corey Seager on the IL, so they haven't gotten into a rhythm yet. The last time they faced a righty, it was Evan Carter at leadoff and Ezequiel Duran up to fifth while playing shortstop. Josh Jung is consistently third or fourth regardless of handedness.

Toronto Blue Jays

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was recently moved up from third to second, dropping Yohendrick Piñango to fifth against righties. Ernie Clement and Lenyn Sosa hit 5-6 against southpaws. Jesús Sánchez is mostly hitting in the bottom half of the lineup when he plays against right-handers.

Washington Nationals

Luis García Jr. bats second against righties while Curtis Mead does so against southpaws. The combo of James Wood, CJ Abrams, and Daylen Lile have sat a total of three games. Dylan Crews has played three straight since being recalled.

Thunder vs. Spurs – NBA WCF – Game 3 – predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for May 22

The Western Conference Final has shifted to San Antonio with the series now tied at one game apiece following the Thunder’s 122-113 win Wednesday night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led all scorers with 30 points and Isaiah Hartenstein’s physicalitysomewhat slowed Victor Wembanyama, but the storyline coming out of Game 2 of this clash of the titans was injuries.

For the Spurs, De’Aaron Fox (ankle) has yet to play in this series and Dylan Harper (abductor) left Game 2 early. For the Thunder, Jalen Williams (hamstring) left Game 2 early as well as he continues the battle that has plagued him all season. The loss of Williams is not to be entirely discounted, but OKC has had nearly a full season to adjust to life without one of their All-Stars. Their depth was on display in Game 2 when they outscored the San Antonio bench 57-25. The loss of Fox for the Spurs has meant their floor general is missing and Harper’s play has been integral in the playoffs specifically in Game 1 of this series. The challenge for the young Spurs is immense even with a healthy roster. It grows exponentially more difficult without those two guards should they be unable to play in Game 3.

In Game 3, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s ability to get in the lane and draw fouls (not to be confused with contact) will be central to OKC’s attack. The injury issues for San Antonio means more of the burden is heaped on Victor Wembanyama. He of course remains San Antonio’s anchor, posting 21 points, 17 rebounds, and four blocks in Game 2. The true elephant in the room for the Spurs, though, is the turnover. As a team they have 44 turnovers in the first two games. Central to this issue is Stephon Castle. The de facto point guard in the absence of Fox has turned the ball over 20 times.

Game 3 is about who plays and who stays composed under the bright lights of one of the most intense and high-level series the NBA has seen in years.

Lets take a closer look at tonight’s matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

After 24 years, the NBA is back on NBC and Peacock, combining the nostalgia of an iconic era with the innovative future of basketball coverage. The NBA on NBC YouTube channel delivers fans must-see highlights, analysis, and exclusive and unique content. 

Game Details and How to Watch Game 3 Live: Thunder vs. Spurs

  • Date: Friday, May 22, 2026
  • Time: 8:30PM EST
  • Site: Frost Bank Center
  • City: San Antonio, TX
  • Network/Streaming: NBC/Peacock

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest NBA Player News for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Game 3 Odds: Thunder vs. Spurs

The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder (+105), San Antonio Spurs (-125)
  • Spread: Spurs -1.5
  • Total: 218.5 points

This game opened Thunder -1.5 with the Game Total set at 215.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule! 

Expected Starting Lineups for Game 3: Thunder vs. Spurs

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
  • SG Ajay Mitchell
  • C Isaiah Hartenstein
  • SF Luguentz Dort
  • PF Chet Holmgren

San Antonio Spurs

  • PG Stephon Castle
  • SG Devin Vassell
  • SF Keldon Johnson
  • PF Julian Champagnie
  • C Victor Wembanyama

Injury Report: Thunder vs. Spurs

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Thomas Sorber (knee) has been declared OUT of tonight’s game
  • Jalen Williams (hamstring) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game

San Antonio Spurs

  • De’Aaron Fox (ankle) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Dylan Harper (abductor) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • David Jones Garcia (ankle) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game

Important stats, trends and insights: Thunder vs. Spurs - Game 3

  • The Thunder are 34-10 on the road this season
  • The Spurs are 36-10 at home this season
  • The Spurs are 54-40-2 ATS this season
  • OKC is 45-46-1 ATS this season
  • The OVER has cashed in 52 of the Thunder’s 92 games this season (52-40)
  • The OVER has cashed in 44 of the Spurs’ 96 games this season (44-52)
  • Alex Caruso is shooting 61.5% from the field this series including 61.1% (11-15) from deep.
  • Chet Holmgren has scored just 21 points and pulled down 12 rebounds in the first two games
  • Keldon Johnson had 5 rebounds in Game 2 after failing to get even 1 in Game 1
  • Stephon Castle has 19 assists but 20 turnovers through 2 games of this series

Rotoworld Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
 
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Thunder and Spurs’ game:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Thunder on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Thunder +1.5 ATS
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 218.5

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar! 

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: 

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) 
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) 
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick) 

Spurs vs. Thunder Game 2 Analysis: Adjustments, matchups, and what to expect moving forward

OKLAHOMA CITY, OK - MAY 20: Isaiah Hartenstein #55 of the Oklahoma City Thunder guards Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs during the game during Game Two of the NBA Western Conference Finals on May 20, 2026 at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

Through two games, the Western Conference Finals could not be any more evenly matched. The Thunder have outscored the Spurs by a mere two points, with both contests coming down to the wire. OKC made smart adjustments in Game 2, and now the onus is on Mitch Johnson and the Spurs to counter.

Ultimately, this series will be determined in two areas: the number of turnovers the Thunder force, and the matchup between the bigs down low. It’s a battle of strengths between the two teams, and whoever can impose their will should emerge victorious.

Let’s start with the turnovers.

The ball is lava!

So far, OKC has forced 44 turnovers to just 25 for San Antonio, and the Thunder have outscored the Spurs 55-27 off those opportunities.

Stephon Castle has become the whipping boy for San Antonio’s turnover issues, and for good reason: he has thrown the ball away 20 times in the first two games, which accounts for over 45% of their total turnovers and is the most by any player in a two-game span in NBA history. It’s quite evident that his issues have been exacerbated by the Spurs’ depleted backcourt depth, as the sophomore guard has been overburdened by having to be the primary ballhandler with Fox injured and Harper missing at least half of Game 2. If one or both of them are out for Game 3 and beyond, San Antonio will need to put the ball in the hands of Jordan McLaughlin and their wings more often, while being very selective with the types of plays they’ll run in the halfcourt.

One option is to set high screens and attack with speed. This would force the Thunder’s point of attack defender to worry more about getting over screens or switching than going for steals, while also giving the ballhandler an open runway to the paint. Using Wemby as one of the screeners could force OKC’s bigs out of the paint, and even if one of Chet/Hartenstein is still roaming down low, they’ll be forced to rotate and make it easier to throw the Alien a lob.

The following drive from Harper is a perfect example. San Antonio needs to create advantages using simple plays that get the defense scrambling, thus minimizing the potential opportunities for a turnover to occur.

The Spurs also need to get their wings more involved. Even with Julian Champagnie’s shooting prowess, OKC has been comfortable having Chet Holmgren roam off of him because they know he’s the least involved in San Antonio’s offense. They’ve been right so far, and the Spurs need to counter by using him as a screener who can flare out for threes, which could cause confusion for OKC’s defense and create open driving lanes, or force Chet to guard out in space.

San Antonio could put the ball in Devin Vassell’s hands more too, but only in specific spots. He’s not a great playmaker and shouldn’t be relied on to bring the ball up, but he’s one of the Spurs’ best players at attacking advantages. For example, San Antonio needs to hunt Jared McCain and any of OKC’s “bad” defenders whenever the opportunity arises, like what Vassell did below. Involving the Thunder’s bigs should be prioritized since they always play a drop, and any daylight for an open shot is a win for the Spurs offense.

Goliath vs. … goliath?

San Antonio has shot 43-68 at the rim to just 28-47 for OKC — a similar percentage, but the discrepancy in attempts is the bigger story. As usual, Wemby’s presence alone has made the Thunder hesitant to shoot, while his gravity on offense creates easy rim attempts for his teammates. However, his own offensive game has been made harder, especially in Game 2.

Playing Wemby using a traditional big like Hartenstein made it difficult for the Alien to get to his spots in the paint, which wasn’t an issue in Game 1 since he was defended by smaller guards. Even so, San Antonio took advantage by utilizing Wemby on the perimeter to open up the paint. Mitch Johnson used the Alien as a decoy on multiple possessions, with the play below being the best example of some innovative play calling from the Spurs coach.

However, this also resulted in tougher shots for Wemby, as he attempted seven threes and only two free throws as opposed to two threes and 13 free throws in Game 1. There were fewer lob attempts because Isaiah Hartenstein pushed him out of his usual spots, plus being on the perimeter made it easier for The Extender Tony Brothers and company to swallow their whistles. OKC has shown that their game plan to defend pick-and-rolls involving Wemby is to have their bigs show and recover, which gives the Spurs a fraction of a second to throw a bounce pass or lob.

You can see this in the play below, where both Lu Dort and Hartenstein briefly flashed at Castle before the big man recovered back to Wemby.

The Spurs could counter by running double drags, or using off-ball actions that start in the corner. They did just that to open game three in the Wolves series, by utilizing Vassell’s threat as a shooter to get Rudy Gobert to commit, putting Wemby in position for a lob. On the very next possession, San Antonio then used Wemby as the screener and immediately threw the lob, and the defense couldn’t help since they needed to be glued to shooters in both corners.

It’s easier said than done given that this Thunder team is elite at picking off passes, but the Spurs should have enough tape to know exactly when and how they can thread the needle to get Wemby on the roll.

Defensively, OKC used some big-big action to get easier looks at the rim. Chet and Hartenstein connected on multiple lobs, and the Thunder used ball movement and screens to get one going downhill, putting Wemby in no man’s land.

More importantly, playing Hartenstein diminished the Spurs’ dominance on the glass. San Antonio outrebounded the Thunder 61-40 in game 1, and the difference was cut down to just 45-41 in game 2. Hartenstein grabbed eight offensive boards alone, almost singlehandedly raising OKC’s offensive rebounding percentage from 19.7% in game one to 36.7% in game two. Given the Spurs’ injury concerns and their lack of frontcourt size besides Wemby, Harrison Barnes and Carter Bryant should get more minutes to mitigate some of San Antonio’s rebounding issues, and they would likely be matched up with one of the Thunder’s bigs if they decide to go with a twin towers lineup.

Another adjustment the Spurs could make is to have Wemby roam off of Chet in the corners as opposed to Alex Caruso or one of OKC’s guards on the perimeter. This would keep Wemby closer to the rim, and although Chet is shooting 37.8% on almost four attempts a game, he’s a much more hesitant outside shooter than any of the Thunder’s guards and has a slower release too. The other Spurs should sag off Chet and dare him to shoot so they’re not caught flat-footed if OKC makes him a driver like in the play above.

Lastly, the health of San Antonio’s guards and Jalen Williams plays a huge role in the X’s and O’s. Having Dylan Harper would help the Spurs’ point of attack defense and prevent easy drives for the Thunder, which would allow Wemby to stay in the paint more often. JDub would give OKC another body to throw at the Alien, and Fox’s speed on offense would create more room for San Antonio and relieve some playmaking burden from everyone else.

Let’s pray that they all return from injuries soon, as it will only add to the intrigue.

How to watch Oklahoma City Thunder-San Antonio Spurs, Game 3: TV, stream info for tonight's NBA playoff game

The Western Conference Finals continue Friday night with the series tied 1-1 as the San Antonio Spurs play host to the Oklahoma City Thunder on NBC and Peacock.

When the first two games are split in a best-of-seven series, the third game often can be pivotal. The Game 3 winner has won 78.4% of the series. In the 2026 playoffs, teams up 2-1 are 4-4.

In best-of-seven conference finals tied 1-1, the Game 3 winner has won 38 of 54 times (70.4%). The Spurs have won their past two playoff series this season after being tied 1-1 and then winning Game 3.

The Thunder are 13-2 in best-of-seven series with a 2-1 lead (and 7-19 when trailing dropping two of the first three games in a series).

This marks the first time since 2022 that a conference finals series has been tied 1-1.

See below for additional information on the Spurs-Thunder game and how to watch the 2026 NBA Playoffs on NBC and Peacock.

Click here to sign up for Peacock!


How to watch Thunder vs. Spurs, Game 3:

  • When: Friday, May 22
  • Where: Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Announcing team: Mike Tirico (play by play), Reggie Miller (analyst), Jamal Crawford (analyst), Zora Stephenson (courtside reporter) and Ashley ShahAhmadi(courtside reporter).
  • TV: NBC
  • Live Stream:Peacock
  • Series: Tied 1-1

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs game preview:

With their Game 2 win, the Thunder are now 8-0 afer a loss during the last two playoff seasons.

Oklahoma City could again be dealing without star Jalen Williams, who played only 7 minutes in Game 2 before aggravating a left hamstring injury (he missed 26 games in the regular season with an injured right hamstring).

The Thunder are 45-10 without Williams this season (6-0 in the playoffs).

After proclaiming himself healthy from missing three weeks, Williams had played 37 minutes (second most this season) and led the Thunder with 26 points in Game 1's double-overtime loss. He reportedly underwent an MRI on Thursday and is considered day-to-day.

"He's going to get checked out," Oklahoma City head coach Mark Daigneault said. "I don't deal in hypotheticals, especially when doctors are involved... We'll see where he's at. We'll update him accordingly."

Ajay Mitchell also was hurt near the end of Game 2 but is expected to play in Game 3.

The Spurs also are dealing with myriad injury woes.

Starting point guard De’Aaron Fox missed the first two games with right ankle soreness and was replaced by rookie Dylan Harper, who had 24 pts, 11 rebounds, six assists and seven steals in the Game 1 win. The 20-year-old started Game 2 but left with a right hamstring injury in the third quarter.

Spurs head coach Mitch Johnson said he had “no update” on the availability of Harper, who reportedly underwent an MRI on Thursday.

The next man up with both guards out in the second half was Jordan McLaughlin, a 5-11 guard, who stayed on the bench over the 58 minutes of Game 1. McLaughlin hasn’t played more than 10 minutes in a playoff game since 2023.


How to watch the Western Conference Finals on NBC and Peacock:

NBC Sports will present the San Antonio Spurs vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference Finals. All games will be broadcast on NBC and Peacock. Here is the series schedule:

  • Game 1: Spurs 122, Thunder 115, 2OT
  • Game 2: Thunder 122, Spurs 113
  • Game 3: Friday, May 22, 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Game 4: Sunday, May 24, 8 p.m. ET
  • Game 5: Tuesday, May 26, 8:30 p.m.*
  • Game 6: Thursday, May 28: 8:30 p.m.*
  • Game 7: Saturday, May 30, 8 p.m.*

*—If necessary

RELATED:Ludacris, NBC Sports team up for ‘It’s Time’ spot promoting NBA Playoffs return to NBC

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Are the Orioles trying to hit the ball too hard?

CLEVELAND, OHIO - APRIL 18: Colton Cowser #17 of the Baltimore Orioles looks on during the fourth inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on April 18, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

You know your team’s season is going badly when … Oh, here’s a surefire one: in-organization fights start to erupt about why the team is playing badly.

One erupted this week, as beloved MASN broadcaster and former pitcher Ben McDonald unleashed an on-air rant about the O’s overreliance on analytics. Following the O’s 5-3 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays, McDonald vented as follows:

We can talk about analytics and what could happen and what should happen if you hit the ball hard. But … I don’t care if you hit it hard and you hit it to somebody. You’re out. I don’t care how hard you throw ball four. I don’t care what your spin rate was on your breaking ball if you bounce it three feet in front of home plate. I don’t care. What I care about is, do you make plays? Do you make pitches? Do you get hits when it matters? And that’s what the Orioles are struggling to do right now. … So, all this nonsense is eyewash to me about this analytical stuff. You either do or you don’t. And right now, the Orioles don’t.

It would appear Big Ben has a point. The Orioles (21-29) entered today tied for the second-highest average exit velocity in MLB (90 mph), but their offense ranked just 17th, scoring 4.3 runs per game. Adding insult to injury, the first-place Rays (33-15), who swept Baltimore this week in three games, own the sport’s lowest average exit velo, sitting at 87.6 mph.

This is not a totally new story. Last season, the Orioles were a thoroughgoing offensive disappointment, expected to contend but ultimately finishing tied for 24th in MLB in batting average (.235), 21st in OPS (.699), and 24th in runs scored (677). Injuries played a real role: Jordan Westburg, Adley Rutschman, Colton Cowser, Ryan Mountcastle, Heston Kjerstad and Tyler O’Neill each missed fifty games or more, the latter earning himself the nickname “General Soreness.”

The organization didn’t just sit and take these body blows: instead, they took action (a pun!)—namely by firing the entire hitting staff. Coaches Sherman Johnson and Tommy Joseph were shown the door, and with new manager Craig Albernaz came Dustin Lind as lead hitting coach, who brought experience building the Giants’ and Phillies’ hitting programs.

Have these showy moves made much difference? The truth is: not really, at least not yet. Last season, the Birds hit .235 with a 42.2% hard-hit rate and a 24.2% strikeout rate. This season, they’re hitting .233 with a 42.5% hard-hit rate and a 24.7% strikeout rate. (Cue the Spiderman meme here.) If anything, they’re swinging for the fences a bit more and the contact is slightly worse.

Broken down by pitch type, the pattern becomes easy to see. Against fastballs, the Orioles own a .266 average, .379 wOBA, and a hard-hit rate of nearly 50% of balls in play. All are above average. They’re better, too, than in 2025, when the Birds hit heaters to the tune of a .244 average, .334 wOBA, and 49% hard-hit rate.

The trouble, like the old saying goes, is with the curve. As of early May, pointed out a Baltimore Sports and Life piece (appropriately titled “At some point, someone’s gotta hit a curveball”), the O’s were hitting just .182 with a .250 wOBA and a 35.4% strikeout rate (league average is 29%)—among the worst numbers in baseball. (Last season, those numbers were .206, .272 and 32.1%, so the team is now appreciably worse.) That shouldn’t be surprising given some garish individual performances you already know about: Colton Cowser has two hits off a breaking ball all year; Coby Mayo boasts a 41% strikeout rate against curveballs.

Is it the exit velocities? I’m not sure. What I can say is that exit velocity does not correlate with offensive excellence—otherwise, the Mets and the Red Sox would be contenders this year. For that matter, these five teams are the best at hitting curveballs: LAD, SEA, CLE, PHI, MIL. In exit velocity, Philadelphia ranks fourth, LAD fifth, Seattle eighth, Milwaukee 28th and Cleveland 29th. I’m no statistician, but I think it seems like average exit velocity and hitting curveballs should have nothing to do with each other. I don’t know.  But I do think the Orioles should start to give press conferences explaining why they’re so bad at hitting curveballs.

One more trend that sticks out: the terrible splits against lefties. Last year the team batting average splits against lefty/righty starters were .230/.236. This year, it’s .210/.240. That’s pretty bad. The main offenders: Leody Taveras (.156 BA against LHP), Colton Cowser (.200), Gunnar Henderson (.211) and Jeremiah Jackson (.231).

Which brings us back to Ben McDonald. He’s right that hard-hit rates and spin rates don’t matter if you’re not producing. He’s right, too, to question whether there’s too much of an emphasis on hitting the ball hard, which seemingly has little to do with offensive excellence in general.

But it seems like the curveball problems are a different thing, and so are the roster construction problems that explain why this team is so outmatched by lefties, and why the young draft classes aren’t popping like other youngsters like Bobby Witt Jr., Corbin Carroll, and Konnor Griffin.

Can all the Orioles’ struggles be laid at the feet of GM Mike Elias, wondered Steve Melewski the other day. No, he said, given the bad injury luck and underperformance. Can they be laid on the coaches? I’m inclined to think that yes, in part.

But regrettably, it feels like the blame has to go around: players, coaches, scouts, management. Losing in myriad ways, in such convincing fashion, is unfortunately a team job.

Friday morning Rangers things

May 20, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Texas Rangers shortstop Ezequiel Duran (20) reacts with second baseman Justin Foscue (14) after the game against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images | Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Good morning, LSB.

The Rangers were off yesterday.

Evan Grant’s off day column details the life of the meticulous Brandon Nimmo.

Grant also writes that the Rangers have a golden opportunity this weekend against the crappy Angels.

MLB Pipeline lists a pleasantly surprising prospect from every team, and I have indeed been pleasantly surprised with the Rangers pick.

And finally former Ranger Marcus Semien is the coverboy of Jim Bowden’s piece on struggling MLB veterans. Woof.

That’s all for this morning. The Rangers start up a series against the lowly Angels at the weirdly specific time of 8:38 tonight. Jacob deGrom pitches for Texas.

Happy Friday!

Minor League Recap: Khal Stephen outduels Alex Clemmey, Kahlil Watson hits 9th homer

Columbus Clippers Travis Bazzana (12) throws the ball to first base during home opener at Huntington Park on Tuesday, March 31, 2026, in Columbus, Ohio. | Samantha Madar/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Columbus Clippers 2, Louisville Bats 4

Clippers fall to 25-23

Several top prospects had strong games, but it wasn’t enough. Cooper Ingle went 1-for-3 with two walks to reach base safely three times.

Kahlil Watson went 2-for-5 with a home run.

George Valera also reached base safely three times, going 2-for-3 with a double and a walk while Angel Genao went 1-for-3 with a double and a walk.

Starting pitcher Austin Peteson allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits with four strikeouts and two walks in 5.1 innings.

The bullpen was terrific. Daniel Espino struck out two in 0.2 scoreless innings. Will Dion pitched 2.0 scoreless frames and Jake Miller struck out two in a scoreless frame.

Akron RubberDucks 1, Harrisburg Senators 0

RubberDucks improve to 24-17

Thursday was a pitching duel between Khal Stephen and former Guardians prospect Alex Clemmey. Clemmey struck out 11 batters, but made one mistake, an RBI double to Alfonsin Rosario, who went 1-for-2 with two walks and three stolen bases. No one else reached base safely twice.

Stephen was excellent, tossing 5.0 scoreless innings with five hits allowed while striking out four and walking one.

Adam Tulloch added a scoreless inning while Carter Rustad pitched 2.0 scoreless frames out of relief and Magnus Ellerts finished off the shutout with a scoreless inning to earn his second save.

Lake County Captains 11, Lansing Lugnuts 1

Captains improve to 21-20

Lake County once again got excellent hitting and pitching in another blowout of Lansing. Something appears to be in the water east of the Captains lately.

Leading the way was Dean Curley, who went 2-for-3 with a grand slam and a walk.

Nolan Schubart also homered, going 1-for-3 with a walk.

Aaron Walton went 2-for-4 with a double while Jace LaViolette went 1-for-2 with a triple and a walk. Maick Collado went 2-for-4 with a home run.

Starting pitcher Franklin Gomez allowed one run on two hits with five strikeouts and two walks in 6.0 innings.

Cam Schuelke and Donovan Zsak combined for 3.0 scoreless innings of relief to close out the victory.

Hill City’s came was postponed due to rain.

ACL Guardians 3, ACL White Sox 2

ACL Guardians improve to 9-6

No one had an extra base hit, but Steven Cruz went 2-for-2 with a walk and a stolen base while scoring two of the three runs for the ACL Guardians on Thursday.

Starting pitcher Edelvis Perez allowed one run in 4.0 innings on three hits. He danced around five walks while striking out four.