How much should Ronald Acuña Jr play in his first week back?

ATLANTA, GA - JUNE 17: Injured Atlanta outfielder Ronald Acuna Jr. (13) in the dugout during the MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and the Atlanta Braves on June 17th, 2026 at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Ronald Acuña Jr could be back with the Atlanta Braves as soon as today. Ronald is returning to the Braves after straining his left hamstring in consecutive months. They have been much more careful with Sean Murphy, Ha-Seong Kim and Ronald after shorter IL stints earlier this season. In light of his numerous lower body injuries, I was wondering if they might ease him back into the lineup. I was also wondering if this option is even considered by the Braves and Acuña.

One of the big themes of the last two months is the rally of save the bullpen. Right now, no reliever pitches three days in a row. In some cases, some relievers are not allowed to go on consecutive days. And we saw this last night. Elieser Hernández pitched 3 innings of 3 walk/2 strikeout ball (to be fair, one walk was intentional). He hadn’t pitched since July 12th in Gwinnett, and hadn’t pitched in the major league in two years. It’s fair to say he was rested, and he carried the Braves through the late innings as Raisel Iglesias and Didier Fuentes did not appear. It might also be fair to say that he will enter the DFA cycle later today.

For the great lengths that the Braves are going to preserve their bullpen throughout the season, they aren’t bothering to rest the everyday players. Austin Riley has started every game but one, and has been asked to work through his struggles. Mauricio Dubon has started 98 games. Matt Olson is going to play every game as well, as they won’t pull him off his streak. It seems that the only way for everyday players to get a rest is to pull a muscle.

In the first 8 games of Ronald’s return after his first 2026 IL stint, he put together a .167/.306/.206 with a 53 wRC+. His xwOBA wasn’t terrible at .304, but it did take him a week to get back in the swing of baseball bats. So they may not miss a lot if the Braves ease him back into playing everyday. Maybe they could put him at DH for a couple of days, then gave him a full day off, followed by two of the next three games in the field.

So how much should Ronald Acuña Jr play in his first week back? I’m not sure of the answer, but I think we all know what will happen.

Orioles news: O’s begin homestand with brutal loss

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JULY 24: Jackson Holliday #7 of the Baltimore Orioles forces out Austin Riley #27 of the Atlanta Braves to start a double play in the seventh inning at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 24, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning Birdland,

These Orioles sure do know how to wear out any goodwill they have built up with a quickness. Coming back from a successful road trip, which concluded with a streak-stopping win up in Boston, the O’s began their brief homestand with a brutal 7-6 loss to the visiting Braves. Yours truly was on recap duty for the humiliation.

There was good stuff buried within the loss. Trevor Rogers was great again, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand seems to have taken over the role of everyday third baseman, for the moment anyway. Outside of that, it was tough. The bullpen wasn’t good enough. Jackson Holliday made a bad error. Craig Albernaz was misguided in pitching to Matt Olson. And the lineup, overall, failed to cash in on their many, many opportunities.

You never want to lose a game like that, but particularly this close to the trade deadline when you are already a few games outside of the final wild card spot. This team just doesn’t have that sort of wiggle room. The front office will have to choose a direction within the next couple of days. Falling too much further behind could be all they need to decide on selling.

For those amongst the fan base hoping that the silver lining of a losing season would mean that Mike Elias gets the boot, you may have to find something else to cling onto. Orioles control person David Rubenstein spoke to the media on Friday at Kyle Bradish’s contract extension press conference, and he was very complimentary of Elias. He described the team’s president of baseball operations as “terrific,” and said that he was “very, very happy” with the job Elias has done.

There are points in Elias’ favor, of course. He opened up the team’s operations in Latin America. He has gotten his owner to commit long term to several key players. And the team, at one point anyway, was playing really good baseball on the field. The last two seasons, however, have shaken that confidence. Injuries are a reasonable, but frustrating, excuse that every team deals with. At some point, they need to win more games, and the person in control of baseball decisions is who that falls to.

Links

Amid critical Trade Deadline stretch, Rogers hopes to stay and ‘help the boys win’ | Orioles.com
If the Orioles do decide to sell, Rogers might be the player they get the most for in return. He is back to pitching like an ace, which he also did for most of 2025. Will teams view him as such? Maybe not quite, but at least a playoff-caliber starter. That should be worth quite a bit on the trade market.

Jon Meoli: Why the Orioles’ trade deadline plans hinge on Trevor Rogers | The Baltimore Banner
As Meoli explains here, the Orioles need to play really good baseball from now through the end of September in order to even make the playoffs. Previous versions of Elias would have already started preparing to sell in the next week or so.

Orioles’ Bradish reflects on extension: ‘This is where I want to spend my future’ | Baltimore Baseball
I am personally very excited about the Bradish extension. The guy is so good, and while he is not technically homegrown (drafted by the Angels) he is as close as it gets. The Orioles have groomed him and helped him beat the projected ceiling of being a relief arm to become a Cy Young caliber starter. Between him and Shane Baz, they have two spots on the rotation sorted for the next half decade.

Orioles birthdays

Is it your birthday? Happy birthday!

  • Doug Drabek turns 64 today. He concluded his 13-season big league career with a tough 1998 campaign in Baltimore. That year he had a 7.29 ERA over 108.2 innings.
  • The late Mickey Scott (b. 1947, d. 2011) was born on this day. The southpaw spent parts of two seasons in the Orioles bullpen, tossing 24.2 total innings for the team between 1972 and ‘73.
  • The late Whitey Lockman (b. 1926, d. 2009) was born on this day. He played in 28 games for the 1959 Orioles, a relative blimp in his 15-season big league career.

This day in O’s history

The Baseball Reference tool that tracks events in baseball history was down when writing this, but maybe it’s back up by now. In any event, here are some happenings from beyond Birdland on this date:

1965 – Bob Dylan performs his first concert with an electric guitar. This takes place at the Newport Folk Festival.

1976 – Viking 1 takes the famous Face on Mars photo

1978 – Louise Joy Brown, the first human to be born after conception from in vitro fertilisation, arrives.

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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It’s a battle of the aces tonight at PNC Park when Shota Imanaga and Paul Skenes go head-to-head.

The Chicago Cubs are +117 moneyline underdogs tonight, but my Cubs vs. Pirates predictions are picking them over the Pittsburgh Pirates, who are overvalued at -122.

Keep reading for my free MLB picks for Saturday, July 25.

Who will win Cubs vs Pirates today: Cubs moneyline (+114)

Paul Skenes’ resume speaks for itself, but the Pittsburgh Pirates ace is not himself this season.

Skenes’ ERA is up to 3.43 compared to his 2.35 career average, and he’s not getting nearly as many swings and misses. His Whiff % is down to the 68th percentile in MLB after ranking in the 83rd last season.

Meanwhile, Chicago Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is trending up with a stingy 1.62 ERA over his last three outings. He’ll dominate a Pirates lineup that’s missing three everyday players and ranks 19th in runs scored and 20th in SLG since the All-Star break.

Play the Cubs up to +110.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Imanaga has a 0.28 career ERA in five starts against the Pirates. He pitched six scoreless, hitless innings vs. Pittsburgh on April 10.

Cubs vs Pirates Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-116)

Skenes has a lofty 5.27 ERA over his last five starts, and the Pirates cashed the Over in each of those games.

Both bullpens are also shaky, with Pittsburgh’s relief corps owning the 10th-highest ERA in MLB (4.40), slightly worse than Chicago’s (4.04).

It feels like this line was set with prime Skenes in mind, but that’s probably not who the Cubs will face tonight.

The Over is the play up to -120.

Chris Faria's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 6-3, +2.07 units
  • Over/Under bets: 2-7, -4.9 units

Cubs vs Pirates weather

Temperatures will be 80F at first pitch, with minimal winds blowing out to center field. Slight boost to the batters.

Cubs vs Pirates odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs +117 | Pirates -122
  • Run line: Cubs +1.5 | Pirates -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Cubs vs Pirates trend

Chicago is 12-3 in its last 15 road games against Pittsburgh. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Pirates.

How to watch Cubs vs Pirates and game info

LocationPNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA
DateSaturday, July 25, 2026
First pitch6:40 p.m. ET
TVMARQ, SNP
Cubs starting pitcherShota Imanaga
(6-8, 3.91 ERA)
Pirates starting pitcherPaul Skenes
(9-8, 3.43 ERA)

Cubs vs Pirates latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Even now, Embiid holds the key to what the Sixers might become

LOS ANGELES, CA - FEBRUARY 5: LeBron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers and Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers handshake after the game on February 5, 2026 at Crypto.Com Arena in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

Fifteen years ago, amid another promising summer, an Eagles backup quarterback named Vince Young surveyed the talent on hand – new acquisitions like himself, Nnamdi Asomugha, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Jason Babin, added to a Michael Vick-led core – and declared the Birds a “Dream Team.”

Turned out that none of the new guys (least of all Vince Young) made a significant difference. Those Eagles finished 8-8, then tumbled to 4-12 the following season, spelling the end of the Andy Reid Era.

The point being that we all need to pump the brakes on what the addition of LeBron James might mean for your 76ers. That as rosy as things appear to be, it might all prove to be a summertime dream.

But sure, have your fun. Marvel at a roster that, following the additions of LeBron, Jaylen Brown and others now features players who have won five MVP trophies (four by LBJ), made 29 All-NBA teams (21 by James) and appeared in 36 All-Star Games (22 by his ownself).

Rest assured, this team is as talented as any the Sixers have ever assembled. It rivals the Julius Erving–Moses Malone 1982-83 team, the last one to win a title, and the ‘66-67 championship bunch, which started three Hall of Famers in Wilt Chamberlain, Chet Walker and Hal Greer and brought another, Billy Cunningham, off the bench. (The other starters, Luke Jackson and Wali Jones, weren’t too shabby, either.)

And certainly the mission is clear – especially to the 41-year-old James. He tweeted Friday that after this past season, the last of eight he spent with the Lakers and the 23rd of his career, he thought his playing days were over. But then he added the following: “I still want to compete, to win and to have a chance at the feeling of winning another championship. I believe I can help make the Philadelphia 76ers a championship team and I am so excited to energize a new fan base and start this incredible journey one last time.”

Still, there are questions. Of course there are questions. Questions about fit and ego. About spacing and sharing. About who will take, much less make, a big shot from downtown. (Check the three-point percentages of potential Sixers starters not named Tyrese Maxey or VJ Edgecombe.)

And the biggest of all is this: What can they get out of Joel Embiid? How much will he play, and how effective will he be?

After all this time and all these roster machinations, that is the long and short of it: They need the big fella to deliver … something. That does not mean they need vintage, MVP-level Embiid; that guy doesn’t exist anymore. What it does mean is that they need him on the floor, engaged and efficient, when it matters most. Because even in an era when the center position has been devalued, a capable big is still a must. And after Embiid, all the Sixers have are Adem Bona and Ariel Hukporti.

Certainly those guys will see their share of action. Embiid, 32, has played 96 of a possible 246 games the last three seasons, including 38 in 2025-26. And certainly Nick Nurse can spackle over Embiid’s regular-season absences by using a center-less closing lineup. (You will recall, for instance, that there were times Boston used Brown as a center on defense against the Sixers.)

But to navigate the postseason company they now figure to keep, they will need Embiid. While it is obvious that his creaky knees will not allow him to be what he once was, he can still be an on-court presence. He can still counter the Karl-Anthony Townses of the world (and, if it comes to that, the Chet Holmgrens and Victor Wembanyamas as well). Even at this late stage of his career, Embiid can be the difference between a berth in the conference finals and something far, far greater, no matter who is arrayed around him.

It is not a question of whether the Sixers will be good this season. It is, rather, a question of how good. And to be at their very best – to be something more than a summertime dream – they will need to maximize Embiid. For all the talent they have, there is no one else like him on the roster, even now. He still holds the key to what they might become.

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, July 25

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It's a busy day in the Majors, and I've found value on the mound and at the dish. 

Let's dive into my favorite MLB player props and MLB picks for Saturday, July 25, including Casey Mize, CJ Abrams, and Sonny Gray. 

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Tigers Casey MizeUnder 1.5 earned runs+101
Nationals CJ AbramsOver 1.5 total bases+111
Red Sox Sonny GrayUnder 2.5 earned runs-145

Casey Mize Under 1.5 earned runs (+101)

Detroit Tigers starter Casey Mize has been dominant lately, posting a 2.22 FIP across his last four outings while surrendering just 0.40 HR/9. In fact, the righty hasn't given up a homer in back-to-back starts. 

Mize is also pitching well at home this season, compiling a 2.17 FIP. He held the Los Angeles Angels to one earned run in his last appearance, and Mize faces a Kansas City Royals lineup with a 90 wRC+ in the last week and minimal power at the moment. 

I'll play this pick up to -120. 

  • Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Royals.TV, DSN

CJ Abrams Over 1.5 total bases (+111)

CJ Abrams is one of the hottest hitters in baseball right now. The Washington Nationals slugger has a .440 average and .560 ISO across his last six games, going deep four times during that span. 

Abrams has cashed the Over in total bases in six of his last seven contests. No one has been able to slow him down since the All-Star break. The youngster will face Arizona Diamondbacks lefty Mitch Bratt tonight, and he has a 9.10 FIP in his last two outings. 

But Bratt doesn't typically stay in long, and the Diamondbacks bullpen isn't exactly lights out, posting a 4.75 xERA in the last week. 

I'll play this pick up to -120. 

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: DBacks.TV, Nationals.TV

Sonny Gray Under 2.5 earned runs (-152)

The Boston Red Sox hand Sonny Gray the baseball today against the Toronto Blue Jays, and he's in a prime position for another gem. The righty has been carving up opponents, sporting a 3.18 FIP over the last month while giving up just 0.71 HR/9. 

Gray has surrendered Under 2.5 earned runs in five consecutive appearances, consistently pounding the strike zone and inducing weak contact. He'll face a Jays lineup that is in horrendous form, posting a mere 69 wRC+ in their last 10 games. 

Expect Toronto's struggles to continue. It will be another gem for Gray. 

I'll play this pick up to -160. 

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Sportsnet, NESN
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 0-0 0.00 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Royals vs Tigers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Detroit Tigers head into today's matchup with the Kansas City Royals as a heavy -168 moneyline favorite behind Casey Mize. 

After winning the first two games of the series, my Royals vs. Tigers predictions are targeting another victory for Detroit. 

Find out more in my MLB picks for Saturday, July 25. 

Who will win Royals vs Tigers today: Tigers moneyline (-168)

Casey Mize has been utterly dominant lately for the Detroit Tigers. The right-hander sports a 2.22 FIP across his last four outings while allowing just 0.40 HR/9. 

Michael Wacha hasn't been awful for the Kansas City Royals, but he is vulnerable right now. The right-hander owns a 4.83 xERA in his last four appearances, allowing 1.85 HR/9. 

The Tigers are swinging it relatively well, carrying a 100 wRC+ and .182 ISO in the last week. They should be able to do some damage off Wacha and K.C.'s vulnerable bullpen, who have a 6.29 FIP in their last 26 1/3 frames. 

I'll play this pick up to -170. The run line is also a solid option if the moneyline becomes out of sight. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Mize has compiled a 2.17 FIP at home this season compared to a 3.06 FIP on the road. 

Royals vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-121)

There's obviously some vulnerability for the Kansas City 'pen, but they've allowed fewer runs lately, surrendering four in this series so far.

Detroit's relief corps has a 4.70 xERA in the last week, but they've held opponents to a 4.9% barrel rate and just 0.61 HR/9. 

While the Tigers are in respectable form offensively, they're not tearing the cover off the baseball, and Wacha isn't exactly getting lit up at the moment.

Mize, meanwhile, is lights-out at Comerica Park, and he often pitches into the fifth or sixth, limiting Detroit's bullpen exposure. 

K.C. also carries a 90 wRC+ in their last seven contests with a .158 ISO. 

Hammer the Under to -130. 

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 36-45, -13.34 units
  • Over/Under bets:  44-35, +2.80 units

Royals vs Tigers weather

Conditions should be pleasant at Comerica Park this afternoon, with mostly sunny skies and temperatures climbing from the mid-70s into the low 80s. Winds look light, and rain does not appear to be a concern. Overall, weather should have minimal impact, though the warmer afternoon air could slightly help carry.

Royals vs Tigers odds

  • Moneyline: Royals +156 | Tigers -163
  • Run line: Royals +1.5 (-133) | Tigers -1.5 (+127)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)

Royals vs Tigers trend

The Tigers have hit the Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.75 Units / 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Royals vs. Tigers.

How to watch Royals vs Tigers and game info

LocationComerica Park, Detroit, MI
DateSaturday, July 25, 2026
First pitch1:10 p.m. ET
TVRoyals.TV, DSN
Royals starting pitcherMichael Wacha
(5-7, 3.66 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcherCasey Mize
(4-6, 2.79 ERA)

Royals vs Tigers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Yankees potential trade target: Reid Detmers

Jul 3, 2026; Anaheim, California, USA; Los Angeles Angels pitcher Reid Detmers (48) throws against the Boston Red Sox during the third inning at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images | Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images

The Los Angeles Angels are a mess, and are likely best served by opening the floodgates this trade deadline. They leaked on Thursday that they are interested in trading shortstop Zack Neto, but perhaps the single most-likely-to-be-dealt player on the entire market is lefty starter Reid Detmers.

Detmers just turned 27 and is under team control for two seasons after this. He’s always been decent enough, with a pair of two-win seasons and a strong bullpen year in 2025 that was cut short by elbow injury. This year, it’s a bit of a coming out campaign for Detmers, with a 3.27 FIP and 3.32 xERA contributing to a 3.0 fWAR across 120 innings so far in 2026.

If he played for a functioning franchise, he’d probably be approached with an extension — 3.5-4 win seasons from guys in their age-27 seasons are nothing to sneeze at. But this isn’t a functioning franchise, and the returns from dealing away a player like this are probably more in line with the direction that a (in theory) rebuilt front office would want to go. Once again, teams like this are an object lesson that Yankee fans, for as frustrated as we can get with them, have it better than most.

Detmers features one of the best arrays of breaking pitches in the sport, especially his slider, which he’ll often front door against southpaws and run hard away from right handed batters. It’s been a +14 (!!) run pitch for him this year, running a 35 percent whiff rate. His curveball, which has seen usage drop off this year, gets a whiff 38 percent of the time, and you wonder if the right idea is to lean into pitching backwards even more. Neither of his four-seam nor sinking fastball are all that good, and that may be what keeps him outside the inner circle of elite starters. Then again, the Yankees have had success developing all kinds of fastballs making him the kind of pitcher that fits Matt Blake’s pitching lab — play up the breaking balls that are working, and add some shape to a fastball while in a rotation that features some damn good heaters.

The added benefit of trading for Detmers is that you also functionally trade for a reliever at the same time. We’ve batted around all year which guy in the rotation is best suited to shore up a bullpen that desperately needs some reinforcement, and landing Detmers, who would be a better option than both Ryan Weathers and Will Warren, in my opinion lets you transfer one of those two to the relief corps. Even if you don’t want to do that, you give the rotation margin for rest. You may want to give Max Fried or Gerrit Cole the odd day off, or save Cam Schlittler’s arm in a random September start and hope that helps him in the postseason, and an additional very good pitcher gets you that room to breathe.

The downside is cost. Detmers’ skill and team control means he’s going to be pricey, and you almost drool at the potential he could reach in a pitching lab like the Brewers’. The bidding for Detmers will rival any other player on the market, and if the Angels are able to play that well — a significant if — they should be able to kick start a rebuild off the return.

Raptors success be damned, I just want DeMar DeRozan back

Apr 1, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Sacramento Kings forward DeMar DeRozan (10) dribbles the ball as Toronto Raptors forward Scottie Barnes (4) defends in the second half at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images | Dan Hamilton-Imagn Images

A lot has been said about homecomings this offseason. Kyle Lowry retiring a Raptor, Kawhi Leonard in limbo, but ostensibly one step away from joining the team. However, all this talk about the greatest Raptors has left me feeling like there’s something missing. And that’s because my favourite Raptor of all-time might potentially be back on a squad, facing off against his greatest rival in LeBron James. And I’m here for all 82 games of it.

DeMar DeRozan has had a long NBA career that has, frankly, been characterized by unfortunate flame-outs in Toronto, unrealized team potential in Chicago, and being traded away from the Raptors in exchange for Kawhi Leonard and our championship. In many ways, I feel that this is the Faustian bargain or original sin of the Raptors, that we had 20 years of stars wanting to leave, and we traded one of the only stars that wanted to stay so we could win. But now, things are different, and it looks like we might be able to have our cake and eat it too.

Earlier this month, Shams Charania reported that DeMar DeRozan was waived after the Kings couldn’t trade him, meaning that their most reliable scorer would be hitting the open market, and potentially, making his way back to Canada. Insider Jake Fischer has suggested that this certainly could be the case, with DeMar on a veteran’s minimum potentially heading either North to Toronto or South to South Beach.

DeRozan has always been adamant about his love for Toronto, and I believe that if he had never been traded, he’d never have left the team. And I think now, the best thing for both parties here is to get DeRozan back – ideally off the bench – and try and make a push for a championship. Toronto would be a crowded place for him, with Kawhi theoretically slotting in at the 3 ahead of DeRozan. Kind of like moving into your ex-wife’s basement while she lives on the main floor with her new guy. But, I believe that professional maturity will win out, and DeMar could successfully embrace a reserve role and do very well in it. I like DeMar for a lot of reasons. The guy is California Cool. He’s played in the Michael Jordan archetype, dropping in middies and dunks that scratches the old-school itch for me. He’s upfront about mental health, and wrote a damn good book on the subject. And he reps Toronto better than maybe anyone else ever has.

NEW YORK, NY- SEPTEMBER 10: DeMar DeRozan #10 of the Sacramento Kings attends a book signing to promote his new book at the NBA Store in New York, New York on September 10, 2024. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory copyright notice: Copyright NBAE 2024 (Photo by Evan Yu/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

Bill Russell said it best: “What these young bloods have to understand… that this game has always been, and always will be, about buckets.” And Toronto does a lot of things really, really well. Defending, passing, playing team basketball. But when it comes to getting buckets? Sometimes, that just doesn’t seem like a priority for us. The whole point of getting Kawhi Leonard is doing just that, getting someone to score and do the heavy lifting our guys can’t quite do. And from a bench perspective, DeMar DeRozan might be the best guy for that. Our most productive bench scorer was Sandro Mamukelashvili, who averaged 11 points in 22 minutes. I find it hard to believe that with him and Gradey Dick gone, Demar couldn’t give us at least 15 off the bench and be a real flamethrower. Since 2011, DeRozan has made his living off of being able to score, and even at 36, he can still do just that.

For me, this isn’t just a basketball decision. It’s a morale pick: it’ll be good for the fans and good for the city to have a star from the days of a real, entrenched culture of Raptors Basketball to be back. I’m not suggesting we go back to We The North; those days are long gone. But, DeRozan still has gas left in the tank, and to have him get one last chance to team up with Lowry, to play actual meaningful basketball (sorry Kings), and to have a chance to exorcise his demons on the hardwood would be a really great thing for everyone involved. But, the matter that now looms over a potential DeRozan return is the new reality of the old wolf of the Eastern Conference, LeBron James, back in his old hunting grounds for at least 2 more years.

I am not someone who wants to sit around defending the Raptors’ playoff collapses of yore, but we were being quite simply outmatched and outclassed by what the Akron Hammer in his prime was doing. And now, we seem to be staring down the barrel of the most loaded Philadelphia team that’s been assembled since 1983. LeBron James has been the kryptonite of the Toronto Raptors, and of DeMar DeRozan at that. But, at the same time – James is getting older, and would not be feasting on a young Raptors squad. Rather, he’d be facing off against the team he lost his 10-point streak against, a team that would be adding Kawhi Leonard, a player he famously doesn’t like to play against, paired with Scottie Barnes, for some of the most suffocating forward defence in the league. All that’s been said by the front office about assembling a real two-way team is going to be put to the test in the crucible that is Philadelphia this year. But, with a good enough team around him, it’s entirely possible that DeMar DeRozan could use his talents and make it to the NBA Finals, and past LeBron James, finally closing a chapter in a book written in blood, that is shamefully titled “LeBronto.”

Braves News: Matt Olson delivers, AJ Smith-Shawver progressing, and more

Jul 24, 2026; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Atlanta Braves first baseman Matt Olson (28) greeted by catcher Joey Bart (16) following his three run home run during the tenth inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Mandatory Credit: Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images | Mitch Stringer-Imagn Images

The Atlanta Braves’ weekend series against the Baltimore Orioles started off strong after Friday’s 7-6 win in extra innings. Matt Olson was the man of the hour and gave Atlanta the lead in 10th, courtesy of his three-run homer. 

Things were shaky for Atlanta in the bottom half of the 10th inning, but fortunately the Braves were able to hold on and win the series opener. The series continues tonight at 7:05 ET as Bryce Elder gets the start.

More Braves News:

AJ Smith-Shawver continues to progress after a solid outing for Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday. More in the minor league recap. 

The FCL Braves are done for the season, and here is how 2026 shaped up. 

MLB News:

Toronto Blue Jays 3B/OF Addison Barger will undergo season-ending elbow surgery. It has not yet been determined if he will have Tommy John or the internal brace procedure. 

From the Feed:

Cast your vote for Braves Player of the Game here!

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope set to follow LeBron James to 76ers after massive stunner

An image collage containing 2 images, Image 1 shows Memphis Grizzlies player, Steven Adams, on the court during a game against the Sacramento Kings, Image 2 shows LeBron James (23) of the Los Angeles Lakers talks with teammate Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (1) during a game against the Denver Nuggets
KCP to 76ers

Bench spots in Philadelphia just became much more appealing.

Ex-LeBron James teammate Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is negotiating a buyout with the Grizzlies with the plan to sign with the 76ers and reunite with the future Hall of Famer, according to Chris Haynes.

The 33-year-old previously exercised his $21.6 million player option for the 2026-27 season in June.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is negotiating a buyout with the 76ers. NBAE via Getty Images

Caldwell-Pope and LeBron spent three seasons together with the Lakes from 2018-21, helping deliver the franchise’s last championship in 2020.

They also have shared the same representation in Klutch Sports.

Caldwell-Pope added another championship to his resume in 2023 with the Nuggets, but would be slated for a backup role with the 76ers.

Philadelphia would hope that the veteran could provide strong shooting and defense in a reserve role, although he’s coming off a down year from beyond the arc.

Caldwell-Pope made just 31.6 percent of his 3-point attempts, a notable dip from his 40.3 percent five-year average spanning the 2019-20 season to 2023-24 campaign.

A change of scenery could perhaps help after Caldwell-Pope played for a poor Grizzlies team, and he averaged 8.4 points and 2.5 rebounds per game spanning 21.3 minutes last season.

LeBron James (l) and Caldwell-Pope (r) in 2020. Getty Images

Memphis acquired Caldwell-Pope last year in the blockbuster that sent Desmond Bane to the Magic, with the former lasting just one season with Orlando after signing a three-year, $66 million deal in 2024.

The idea of veterans joining James-led teams is not a new concept, with veterans on the downside of their career often joining contenders in hope of winning another ring.

Philadelphia has an incredible starting five featuring James, former MVP Joel Embiid, star guard Tyrese Maxey, ex-Finals MVP Jaylen Brown and emerging second-year guard VJ Edgecombe, but recent NBA history has shown that teams need deep benches to make sustained postseason runs.

Caldwell-Pope is set to join a 76ers reserve unit that potentially features Anfernee Simmons, first-round pick Labaron Philon Jr., Dean Wade and ex-Knick Ariel Hukporti.

Guardians News: Every Town Has Its Ups and Downs

SURPRISE, ARIZONA - MARCH 12: Sean Armstrong #40 of the Texas Rangers pitches during the game against the Cincinnati Reds at Surprise Stadium on March 12, 2025 in Surprise, AZ. (Photo by Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images)

Sometimes ups outnumber the downs. Not in Nottingham.

This little ditty from Disney’s Robin Hood is brought to you by a terrible last three days for the Cleveland Guardians. But, don’t worry, folks. At least we aren’t the Mets. Or something.

The Guardians lost 11-3. Sean Armstrong pitched horribly and seemingly got hurt.

Rumors abound on Twitter that the Guardians won’t be able to sign second round pick Logan Schmidt. In which case they will get the 60th pick in next year’s draft. Sure, why not? Add it to the mix.

AROUND MLB:

Tigers beat the Royals, but the Twins and White Sox managed to lose, thankfully.

Dodgers notes: Kyle Tucker, Roki Sasaki, Shohei Ohtani

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 24: Roki Sasaki #11 of the Los Angeles Dodgers pitches during the first inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field on July 24, 2026 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Kyle Tucker picked a good time for his first home run of July, hitting a two-run home run in the eighth inning which game the Dodgers breathing room for their third straight win on Friday night, beating the Mets to improve to 5-2 on the road trip.

Tucker’s previous home run came on June 27, one day shy of four weeks prior, with Tucker hitting .239/.313/.268 in the 80 plate appearances between long balls.


Roki Sasaki was sharp on Friday, striking out nine Mets while allowing one run in seven innings for the victory. Since the right-hander appeared to be tipping his pitches in a bad start against the Padres on July 2, Sasaki has a 1.93 ERA with 19 strikeouts against only four walks in 18 2/3 innings over his last three starts. Asked if Sasaki’s noticeably larger glove helped resolve the pitch tipping, he told reporters Friday, per Maddie Lee of the Los Angeles Times, “Probably my face kind of got smaller … That’s why the glove looked bigger.”

Manager Dave Roberts told reporters on Friday, “He doesn’t seem like he’s searching anyore.”

Links

Shohei Ohtani threw a bullpen session on Wednesday in Philadelphia, and he’ll throw another bullpen session on Saturday at Citi Field. Though there doesn’t appear to be a set timetable for his return to pitching, according to Roberts, per Bill Plunkett of the Orange County Register:

I still think he is very honest with us about how he’s feeling and we’re aligned with that,” he said. “Every player wants to get back out there and do what they do. But I think he understands that it’s not about July, it’s about October. We’ve already taken a lot of time to get him back to full health so we’re not going to start (him in a game) earlier than we need to.”

With the August 3 trade deadline looming, Kiley McDaniel at ESPN profiled the prospects who might be traded from each major league team. He noted the outfield depth specifically and that Josue De Paula is likely the only truly untouchable prospect in the system, and called Mike Sirota, Eduardo Quintero, (shortstop) Emil Morales) and Zyhir Hope as unlikely to be traded.

Fabian Ardaya at The Athletic dug deeper into the Dodgers outfield prospect depth, profiling nine different outfielders in the Dodgers minors.

NBA Power Rankings for all 30 teams updated after LeBron James signs with 76ers

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - DECEMBER 28: Lebron James #23 of the Los Angeles Lakers reacts against the Sacramento Kings during the first quarter at Crypto.com Arena on December 28, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Luke Hales/Getty Images) | Getty Images

LeBron James wasn’t lying when he said he didn’t care about money when assessing his options in NBA free agency. Any team in the league could have landed James for essentially the veteran’s minimum if they could make the case that they gave him the best chance to win a fifth championship.

In the end, the Philadelphia 76ers won the LeBron sweepstakes. James is joining a lineup that already includes Jaylen Brown, Tyrese Maxey, V.J. Edgecombe, and Joel Embiid. The bench is pretty strong too with Dean Wade, Anfernee Simons, Labaron Philon, Dominick Barlow, Adem Bona, Justin Edwards, and Ariel Hukporti. I predicted the Sixers were the favorites to sign James last weekend, but it’s still hard to believe it actually happened.

The Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers have to be heartbroken over James’ decision. The Golden State Warriors and Minnesota Timberwolves must be kicking themselves that they couldn’t make a couple more moves to woo LeBron. Do the Boston Celtics suddenly regret the shocking Jaylen Brown to Philly trade that set LeBron’s decision into motion?

I released by way-too-early NBA power rankings two weeks ago, and now they’re already irrelevant after LeBron’s decision. With the Oklahoma City Thunder also trading Lu Dort to the Atlanta Hawks in a three-team deal, it feels appropriate to refresh the rankings. Here’s our latest power rankings for the 2026-2027 NBA season. One note: this is based on championship chances, not regular season performance. We’ll have more notes on the changes after the table.

RankTeamChange
1Oklahoma City Thunder—
2San Antonio Spurs—
3New York Knicks—
4Minnesota Timberwolves—
5Philadelphia 76ersUp 7
6Boston CelticsDown 1
7Los Angeles LakersDown 1
8Denver NuggetsDown 1
9Detroit PistonsDown 1
10Toronto RaptorsDown 1
11Houston RocketsUp 2
12Cleveland CavaliersDown 2
13Indiana PacersDown 2
14Atlanta HawksUp 3
15Miami HeatDown 1
16Orlando MagicDown 1
17Portland Trail BlazersDown 1
18Utah Jazz—
19Phoenix Suns—
20Dallas Mavericks—
21Charlotte Hornets—
22Memphis Grizzlies—
23Golden State Warriors—
24New Orleans Pelicans—
25Brooklyn Nets—
26Los Angeles Clippers—
27Washington Wizards—
28Chicago Bulls—
29Milwaukee Bucks—
30Sacramento Kings—

Let’s dive into some changes from the last edition of power rankings.

The Thunder have a weak grip on No. 1 after the Lu Dort trade

The Thunder traded Lu Dort to save on their tax bill, and even Sam Presti admitted as much. I thought Dort was borderline unplayable late in the playoffs last year with a shaky handle, poor passing vision, and an inconsistent three-point stroke, but his defense was still impactful to opponents who feared his physicality. Losing Dort means more minutes for Ajay Mitchell, Cason Wallace, and Jared McCain, which should be a very good thing for OKC. It also means some of the young guns need to step up behind them, and the pressure is now on Nikola Topic and Bennett Stirtz, as well as Aday Mara and Thomas Sorber, to turn into decent rotation pieces.

I thought about moving OKC off the No. 1 spot with this update. The Spurs whooped them all season, right? The Knicks deserve the benefit of the doubt after a championship run, don’t they? The thing that keeps bringing me back to OKC is that we didn’t really get to see this team fully healthy all year, not with Jalen Williams and Mitchell both suffering untimely injuries. I hate the way Chet Holmgren looks in the Spurs matchup against Victor Wembanyama, but to me he’s still a top-15 player against anyone else. At the end of the day, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still the best guard in the game, and I’ll take my chances with him fully in his prime.

There is part of me that thinks losing Dort could be addition by subtraction for the Thunder. Their season will be determined by Williams’ health, Holmgren’s mindset, and Mitchell’s ability to level up again. I still think this is the strongest roster in the NBA, so they’re No. 1 entering the season to me.

The Sixers’ postseason ceiling is real, but can they get there?

I don’t love the fit with LeBron on the Sixers. Sorry. There are a lot of guys here at their best with the ball in their hands, with Philly’s five projected starters totaling 140% in usage rate. The defense is even more worrisome. Scaling down can be as hard as scaling up, and I just don’t think Jaylen Brown or Joel Embiid as it in their game to do it. Those two will need to prove me wrong for Philly to walk away from this season with a championship.

Can Brown adjust to a more off-ball role where he maximizes his three-point rate and locks in off-the-ball defensively? He only hit 33.1% on 2.5 catch-and-shoot attempts from three per game last year, and he’s always been inattentive defensively when he’s not guarding the ball. Can Embiid forgo his need for post touches and instead use most of his energy to get back to being a monster rim protector? I’m skeptical he’s interested in doing that. The Celtics shopped Brown to the entire NBA and no one wanted him enough to beat Philly’s offer. LeBron is seeing something that the nerds in rival front offices aren’t seeing, and that makes this move feel like a big bet on “Jaylen Brown, the superstar” as much as anything else.

The media is going to expect this team to be really good, but there’s quite a bit of downside here. James is going to need to have a big time shooting season after hitting just 31.7% from deep last year. He’s going to need to push himself as a leader to get Brown and Embiid to buy into their best roles. I still trust LeBron’s ability to problem-solve in the biggest moments, and this team will need it. I like Philly a lot better as a playoff team than a regular season team, but only if they’re healthy. That’s a big if with this collection.

Miami and Cleveland are the big losers of LeBron’s decision

Don’t look now, but the Heat and Cavs might be fighting to just get out of the play-in tournament after LeBron decided against a reunion with both franchises.

The Heat landed Giannis Antetokounmpo, but their depth is poor and they don’t really have any future assets left to continue building out the team. Miami is always so good at developing players on the margins, and this will be the biggest test yet of their ability to do it again. The Cavs are coming off a decidedly unconvincing run to the Eastern Conference Finals, and they’ve only gotten worse this summer. Dean Wade is gone, and the only addition to the roster is second-round pick Meleek Thomas. I don’t care how great Thomas looked in summer league, this roster is in big trouble, and James choosing to go elsewhere is a huge indictment.

I’m liking the Hawks roster as much or more than the Heat and Cavs’. With New York, Philly, Boston, and Toronto (assuming they land Kawhi) all looking like better regular season teams, the pressure is on the front offices for Miami and Cleveland to pull a rabbit out of their hat at some point to up their ceiling and give their teams a real chance come playoff time.

Chicago Cubs news — Suzuki, Happ, Rolison, Hollowell

Today’s Reflections

This group of starting pitchers are earning a middle name of “But One Pitch”. Shota Imanaga avoided getting that tag in his last outing, but Colin Rea didn’t Wednesday. Rea’s pitching line would have been six baserunners over five innings with five strikeouts. He did earlier give up a solo home run, and would have been that’s fine. It’s always the multiple-run homer that’s the problem, and Rea’s fatal pitch that led to a three-run homer ultimately put the game out of reach. One has to wonder if the former swingman is starting to get figured out. The counter to that would be it was just one pitch (or two pitches). After that home run, he struck out the next batter to end the inning, then went 1-2-3 with a strikeout in the fifth. I dunno.

Nevertheless, even if Rea held the Tigers to just one run, that’s all the Cubs’ hitters were able to manage anyway. Seiya Suzuki put them on the board with a solo home run in the first, and that was it. Only Ian Happ showed any life, going 2-3 with a double and a walk, plus he added an excellent play in left on a sinking liner and added a snap throw to strand a runner. Other than a Michael Busch single, that was it for the Cubs — for hits or walks. They did manage 12 strikeouts (good job, boys). Obviously, the offense needs more consistency game-to-game.

The bullpen needs a shoutout. Wednesday saw a parade of single innings by Ryan Rolison, Gavin Hollowell, Caleb Thielbar and Tyler Ferguson. The group allowed a run on three hits, no walks and struck out seven over the four innings pitched. An RBI double allowed by Ferguson took the shine off an excellent bullpen outing. At least it wasn’t a three-run homer.


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Wednesday’s Stories

Trade Talk involving names:

Trade Talk general conversation:

PCA-Mania Stories:

Assorted Stories:


Food For Thought:

Jackie Scott is a native of Virginia and received her early training singing in the baptist church. Music played an important part in the worship experience and after singing gospel for 20 years, she felt a call to the blues. Her first introduction to live blues took place at a Buddy Guy concert followed by seeing BB King live. After seeing such phenomenal performances she was convinced singing the blues was what she wanted to do. Her quest to learn more about the blues lead her to the steamy windows of the windy city, Chicago.

After visiting Chicago to attend a wedding, she heard Chicago blues live in its element and was determined to capture the sound that swept her off her feet. That decision lead to many future trips to Chicago, honing her craft as a vocalist and entertainer. Koko Taylor, Ruth Brown, Alberta Hunter and Big Mama Thornton are some of the many influences that have allowed Jackie to carve out a unique style of her won.

Please be reminded that Cub Tracks and Bleed Cubbie Blue do not necessarily endorse the content of articles, podcasts, or videos that are linked to in this series.

MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Saturday, July 25

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Saturday's MLB slate features 15 games, with several short favorites and plus-money underdogs creating value across the moneyline market. Detroit and Milwaukee are among the stronger favorites on the board, while Miami, Pittsburgh, Oakland, and the White Sox offer potential upset opportunities.

Here are my MLB moneyline predictions for every game on July 25. Find more daily betting analysis with our latest MLB picks.

MLB moneyline picks for July 25

MatchupPick
Royals
vs
Tigers

-163
Diamondbacks
vs
Nationals

-117
Angels
vs
Giants

-117
Blue Jays
vs
Red Sox

-117
Padres
vs
Marlins

+116
Yankees
vs
Phillies

+100
Guardians
vs
Rays

-118
Cubs
vs
Pirates

+116
Braves
vs
Orioles

-108
Athletics
vs
Twins

+132
Astros
vs
White Sox

+113
Rockies
vs
Brewers

-203
Dodgers
vs
Mets

-136
Reds
vs
Cardinals

-117
Mariners
vs
Rangers

-102

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 7-25.

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Expert MLB moneyline picks for July 25

Royals vs Tigers: Tigers (-163)

Tigers win probability: 62%

Detroit owns the edge almost everywhere that matters. Casey Mize has quietly put together a strong season with a 2.79 ERA, while the Tigers boast the better pitching staff and allow more than a run fewer per game than Kansas City. The Royals have struggled to prevent traffic on the bases all year, and against a quality team like Detroit, that usually catches up. I'll back the Tigers at home.

Diamondbacks vs Nationals: Nationals (-117)

Nationals win probability: 54%

Washington continues to be one of baseball's most productive offenses, leading the league in runs while ranking near the top in virtually every major hitting category. Foster Griffin has also been outstanding this season, and although Arizona owns the better overall pitching staff, the Nationals' offensive firepower gives them the edge. I'll trust the stronger lineup to outscore the Diamondbacks at home.

Angels vs Giants: Giants (-117)

Giants win probability: 54%

Robbie Ray gives San Francisco the clear pitching advantage against Ryan Johnson, and that's enough for me in a matchup between two inconsistent offenses. The Giants have produced more consistently at the plate, rank inside the Top 10 in slugging, and should create opportunities against an Angels rotation that has struggled all season. With the better starter and home-field advantage, San Francisco is the pick.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox: Red Sox (-117)

Red Sox win probability: 54%

This projects as one of the tighter games on the board, but Boston gets the nod behind Sonny Gray and one of the American League's better pitching staffs. Toronto ranks last in baseball in runs scored and OPS, making it difficult to back regardless of who's on the mound. With Gray enjoying a tremendous season and the Red Sox playing at Fenway Park, Boston is the side.

Padres vs Marlins: Marlins (+116)

Marlins win probability: 56%

Miami is worth backing at home behind Eury Perez, who has been the steadier starter in this matchup. The Marlins have quietly been the superior offensive club, ranking inside the Top 10 in batting average and on-base percentage, while San Diego sits near the bottom of the league in several offensive categories. Miami's more balanced profile gives it the edge in a competitive matchup.

Yankees vs Phillies: Yankees (+100)

Yankees win probability: 50%

The Yankees bring the league's top pitching staff into Philadelphia, and that's enough to lean toward New York in what the market views as a coin flip. The Yankees also own the more dangerous lineup, ranking among baseball's best in home runs, slugging, and OPS. With New York holding meaningful advantages on both sides of the ball, I'll take the Yankees at even money.

Guardians vs Rays: Rays (-108)

Rays win probability: 51%

Tampa Bay has quietly been one of the more complete clubs in baseball, ranking near the top in batting average, on-base percentage, and WHIP. Nick Martinez has also been excellent this season, while Cleveland continues to struggle offensively and sits near the bottom of the league in most hitting categories. The Rays check more boxes entering this matchup and deserve the slight edge at home.

Cubs vs Pirates: Pirates (-117)

Pirates win probability: 54%

Pittsburgh owns one of baseball's most dangerous offenses, leading the league in batting average while ranking second in runs scored. Paul Skenes also gives the Pirates an important starting-pitching advantage over Shota Imanaga. Chicago is certainly capable of generating offense, but Pittsburgh owns the stronger lineup and the better starter, making the Pirates the preferred side at home.

Braves vs Orioles: Braves (+104)

Braves win probability: 49%

Atlanta holds the edge in overall roster quality and offers value as a slight underdog. The Braves rank inside the Top 10 offensively while pairing that production with one of baseball's better pitching staffs. Baltimore has been more inconsistent on both sides of the ball, while Bryce Elder has been the steadier starter compared to Brandon Young. At plus money, Atlanta is the better investment.

Athletics vs Twins: Athletics (+133)

Athletics win probability: 43%

The A's are one of the more appealing underdog options on the board. Minnesota has not separated itself statistically, and while both pitching staffs have struggled, the Athletics match up well offensively, ranking inside the Top 10 in batting average and on-base percentage. The A's don't need to be the better team over a full season to justify the play. It only needs to outperform a 43% implied probability.

Astros vs White Sox: White Sox (+113)

White Sox win probability: 54%

Chicago gets the nod at home in what appears to be a relatively even matchup. Sean Burke has been more reliable than Hunter Brown this season, and the White Sox own the stronger overall pitching profile. Houston brings more home-run power, but the offensive gap between these teams isn't substantial enough to overcome Chicago's advantage on the mound. I'll back the White Sox as a home underdog.

Rockies vs Brewers: Brewers (-203)

Brewers win probability: 67%

Milwaukee is the strongest favorite on the slate for good reason. Colorado owns one of baseball's worst pitching staffs, ranking last in ERA, WHIP, and hits allowed, while the Brewers counter with one of the league's best run-prevention units. Milwaukee's offense should receive plenty of scoring opportunities against Ryan Feltner and an unreliable Rockies bullpen, making the Brewers the clear moneyline choice.

Dodgers vs Mets: Dodgers (-138)

Dodgers win probability: 58%

Los Angeles continues to separate itself as baseball's most complete team. The Dodgers rank first in OPS and on-base percentage while also leading the majors in runs allowed and hits allowed per game. Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives them another advantage on the mound against a Mets lineup that has struggled for much of the season. At this price, Los Angeles remains a playable favorite.

Reds vs Cardinals: Cardinals (-117)

Cardinals win probability: 54%

St. Louis has been the steadier club this season, and Andre Pallante has provided more dependable innings than Hunter Greene. Cincinnati continues to struggle preventing baserunners, ranking near the bottom of the league in ERA and WHIP. While the Reds possess greater home-run upside, the Cardinals' more balanced offensive approach and stronger pitching profile give them the higher floor at home.

Mariners vs Rangers: Mariners (+100)

Mariners win probability: 50%

Seattle's pitching gives the Mariners the edge in this near pick'em matchup. They enter with one of baseball's best ERAs and WHIPs while facing a Texas club that has been merely average offensively. Bryan Woo and Nathan Eovaldi have produced similar numbers, but Seattle's deeper run-prevention profile provides more confidence over nine innings. At even money, I'll back the Mariners.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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