Mets Wild Card Scenarios: Everything to know for final weekend of 2025 MLB regular season

The Mets enter the final weekend of the regular season with a 1.0 game lead over the Reds and a 2.0 game lead over the Diamondbacks for the third and final Wild Card spot in the National League.

As the Mets play a three-game series against the Marlins in Miami, the Reds play three games against the Brewers in Milwaukee while the D-backs play three games against the Padres in San Diego.

The Mets do not have the tiebreaker over the Reds (Cincinnati won the season series) or the tiebreaker over the D-backs (season series was split, D-backs will end season with a better intradivision record).

In the event of a three-way tie between the Mets, Reds, and D-backs, the Reds would make the playoffs based on better head-to-head records against the Mets and D-backs.

Here are the Wild Card clinching scenarios for the Mets...


Mets go 3-0 against Marlins

Mets clinch the third Wild Card spot

Their magic number is three, meaning the Reds and D-backs cannot catch them if they sweep Miami

Mets go 2-1 against Marlins

Mets clinch the third Wild Card spot if...

Reds go 2-1 or worse against Brewers

In a scenario where the Mets win two games or more this weekend, the D-backs cannot catch them

Mets go 1-2 against Marlins

Mets clinch the third Wild Card spot if...

Reds go 1-2 or worse against Brewers

D-backs go 2-1 or worse against Padres

Mets go 0-3 against Marlins 

Mets clinch the third Wild Card spot if...

Reds are swept by the Brewers

D-backs go 1-2 or worse against Padres

Former Red Wings Goaltender James Reimer Signs PTO with Maple Leafs

Former Red Wings backup goaltender James Reimer signs PTO with Toronto Maple Leafs on Friday

Veteran goaltender James Reimer has come full circle, signing a professional tryout agreement with the Toronto Maple Leafs on Friday, sources confirm. If he performs well in camp, he could rejoin the organization that drafted him nearly two decades ago.

Reimer, hailing from Morweena, Manitoba, has seen his journeyman career take him through six NHL franchises in Toronto, San Jose, Florida, Carolina, Detroit, Anaheim, and Buffalo. 

Reimer's Recent Numbers

  • 2022‑23 (San Jose): 12‑21‑8 record, 3.48 goals‑against average (GAA), .890 save percentage, 3 shutouts in 43 games
  • 2021‑22 (San Jose): 19‑17‑10, 2.90 GAA, .911 SV% in 48 games
  • 2023‑24 (Detroit Red Wings): 11‑8‑2 record, 3.11 GAA, .904 SV% in 25 games
  • 2024‑25 (Anaheim, Buffalo): 10‑10‑2, 3.04 GAA, .897 SV% (1 shutout) in 24 games 

Reimer’s most recent prominent NHL role was with the Detroit Red Wings in the 2023‑24 season, where he posted that 11‑8‑2 mark with a 3.11 GAA and a .904 save percentage across 25 games. He would go on to split time between the Anaheim Ducks and Buffalo Sabres last season before going unsigned into this off-season as a now 37-year-old netminder. 

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His roots in Toronto run deep as Reimer was originally drafted in the fourth round, 99th overall, by the Maple Leafs in 2006. He broke into the NHL with Toronto during the 2010‑11 season, eventually stepping into a starting role. Over his career against the Red Wings, Reimer posted a record of 6-8-4 with a goals against average of 2.70 and a save percentage of .905 through 20 starts. 

One of his best seasons in a Leafs uniform came in 2012‑13, when he posted a .924 save percentage and a 2.46 GAA in 33 appearances, helping guide Toronto back to the playoffs after a long drought. 

He left Toronto in 2016 as part of a trade but remains a beloved figure among Leafs fans, with many sentimental moments along the way. Reimer was given the nickname 'Optimus Reim' for his leadership within the Maple Leafs locker room as well as his helmet designs that regularly incorporated the character Optimus Prime from the Transformers franchise. 

For Toronto, bringing in Reimer on a PTO represents a veteran safety net during training camp, someone familiar with the organization and able to push younger netminders. For Reimer, the move offers a chance to revive his NHL career in a familiar setting.

Over his career, Reimer has appeared in over 500 NHL games, compiling a career 2.88 goals against average and a .910 save percentage.

"Hell Of A Shooter": Todd McLellan Praises Michael Brandsegg-Nygård Detroit Red Wings forward Michael Brandsegg-Nygård may be more known for his hard-nosed approach to the game, but he gave Red Wings fans a demonstration of his offensive abilities as well on Thursday night. 

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Why The Maple Leafs Signed James Reimer To A Professional Tryout

James Reimer is back in a Toronto Maple Leafs uniform.

The 37-year-old goaltender has signed a professional tryout with the Maple Leafs. The signing comes days after Joseph Woll took a leave of absence from the team to attend to a personal family matter.

Reimer played 24 games in the NHL last season, split between the Buffalo Sabres and Anaheim Ducks. He tallied 10 wins and a .896 save percentage. The netminder has played 15 seasons in the NHL, with the Maple Leafs, Sabres, Ducks, San Jose Sharks, Florida Panthers, Carolina Hurricanes, and the Detroit Red Wings.

The last time he played for the Maple Leafs was during the 2015-16 season, where he tallied nine wins and a .918 save percentage in 32 games. Reimer was then traded to the Sharks with Jeremy Morin for Alex Stalock, Ben Smith, and a conditional fourth-round pick.

'We're All Here For Him': Maple Leafs React To Joseph Woll Taking A Personal Leave of Absence, Lend Support'We're All Here For Him': Maple Leafs React To Joseph Woll Taking A Personal Leave of Absence, Lend SupportThe Toronto Maple Leafs revealed some unexpected news on Tuesday when they announced that goaltender Joseph Woll had stepped away to deal with a personal family issue.

Riemer was originally drafted in the fourth round (99th overall) during the 2006 NHL Draft. The last time he played the Maple Leafs was on Apr. 13, 2024, with the Red Wings. He helped Detroit get the 5-4 overtime win, stopping 32 of 36 shots.

Toronto now has four goaltenders on their training camp roster: Anthony Stolarz, Reimer, Dennis Hildeby, and Artur Akhtyamov. Reimer wasn’t on the ice with the team’s main group for practice on Friday.

Craig Berube explains the addition of Reimer

Maple Leafs head coach Craig Berube cautioned against making anything more of Woll's situation with the addition of Reimer, citing the only reason for the move was "depth".

"Just (that) he's an NHL goalie. Been an NHL goalie, but, I've never met the guy," Berube said on Friday.

Maple Leafs teammates react to Reimer's addition

Morgan Rielly, Toronto's longest tenured Maple Leaf, weighed in on being teammates with Reimer again.

"He's been around for so long now. That doesn't just happen," Rielly said of Reimer's NHL career. "He's been working really hard. He's obviously a great goalie. And it's just cool to see him back in the building."

William Nylander was in the Leafs organization during Reimers tenure, but the two never played together. Nylander was called up to make his Leafs and NHL debut just days after Reimer was traded by the Maple Leafs to the San Jose Sharks 

"Just an amazing guy. It's great to see him playing," Nylander said. "He's been here and coming back, so it's going to be a lot of fun to have him back in the squad."

Anthony Stolarz, who will work with Reimer between the pipes, pointed to Reimer's unique style of goaltending as something he's eager to pick up on.

"His patience was something that I noticed. So I'm looking forward to seeing him in here and getting to work with him."

When might Reimer play with the Leafs?

The Maple Leafs have three pre-season games remaining, and it sounds like Stolarz is going to appear in 1-2 of those games. Reimer is a solid candidate to get into action for Toronto's final pre-season game against the Detroit Red Wings on Oct. 4. Depending on how long it takes the goaltender to get up to speed, it could happen earlier.

Reimer is expected to the join the Leafs on the ice on Saturday.

Latest stories:

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Four NHL Goalies Ready To Bounce Back In 2025-26

Recently, we discussed four forwards who are clear bounce-back candidates heading into the 2025-26 season. 

Now, let's look at four NHL goalies who have the potential to bounce back for their teams.

Jeremy Swayman, Boston Bruins 

After a long off-season of tense negotiations last year, the Boston Bruins signed Jeremy Swayman to an eight-year, $66-million contract right at the start of the 2024-25 season.

After landing his big payday and becoming the Bruins' true No. 1 goalie, Swayman recorded a 22-29-7 record, a 3.11 goals-against average and a .892 save percentage in 58 games. There is no question that Swayman struggled in 2024-25. 

Yet, when looking at Swayman's past success, he is an obvious bounce-back candidate for 2025-26. Before last season, Swayman had a .914 save percentage or better in each of his four previous campaigns. He also won the William M. Jennings Trophy with Linus Ullmark in 2022-23 and played in the 2024 NHL All-Star Game. With this, he should be better in 2025-26.

Thatcher Demko (Jerome Miron-Imagn Images)

Thatcher Demko, Vancouver Canucks 

The 2024-25 season was tough for Vancouver Canucks goalie Thatcher Demko.

The 29-year-old did not make his season debut until December due to injury and never seemed to shake off the rust fully. In 23 appearances, the 2014 second-round pick posted a 10-8-3 record, 2.90 GAA and a career-worst .889 SP.

Now that Demko is entering this season healthy and with a clean slate, it will be fascinating to see if he can turn things back around. Considering his past success, it should not be ruled out.

Demko recorded a 35-14-2 record, a .918 save percentage and a 2.45 goals-against average in 51 games just back in 2023-24, and he's had a save percentage of at least .913 in four campaigns.

Juuse Saros, Nashville Predators 

Juuse Saros is another star goalie who will be looking to bounce back in 2025-26. Saros struggled with the Nashville Predators, posting a 20-31-6 record, 2.98 GAA and .896 SP in 58 games. With this, there is no question that he performed below expectations.

Yet, when noting that Saros had a .906 save percentage or better from 2016-17 to 2023-24, it is hard to bet against him bouncing back this season. The 30-year-old has been an excellent goalie throughout his career, and he should still be in his prime. Just back in 2022-23, he recorded 46.7 goals saved above expected, which led the NHL, according to moneypuck.com.

Igor Shesterkin, New York Rangers 

New York Rangers star goalie Igor Shesterkin had a 27-29-5 record and set new career worsts with a 2.86 goals-against average and a .905 save percentage. That said, he still had 21.6 goals saved above expected, so his season wasn't as rough as the others here.

Given Shesterkin's incredible resume, he could bounce back to being a Vezina Trophy candidate this season. The 2022 Vezina Trophy winner had a .912 save percentage or better in each of his first five NHL seasons before 2024-25.

If Shesterkin does regain his top form, it would be massive for a Rangers club looking to prove that missing the playoffs last year was a fluke. 

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Takeaways from the Flyers’ 5-1 Preseason Loss to the Capitals: York’s Return, Abols’ Case, and What Comes Next

"The preseason is not solely about results!"

That’s the line everyone falls back on after a lopsided score, and in truth, it’s accurate. The Philadelphia Flyers’ 5-1 loss to the Washington Capitals in Hershey didn’t reveal anything catastrophic about the team’s direction, but it did sharpen a few storylines—including Cam York's comeback, a (for some) surprising frontrunner for a roster spot, and the imminent roster trims as preseason trucks on.

For a September night, that’s plenty to sift through.


Welcome Back, Cam York

There was no hiding how central this game was to Cam York’s preseason. The 24-year-old defenseman finally suited up after sitting out the first two contests, and he wasted no time stepping into a role he's long deserved a chance to play at the NHL level but never fully got a chance at: a truly offensive defenseman (and quarterback of the power play!)

It wasn’t flawless—York himself admitted as much—but the intent was there. He wanted to push the pace, dictate possession, and involve himself in the attack.

“Just always trying to push the pace,” York said postgame. “I always want to be in the play, I had a couple opportunities there that just didn’t go in, but, yeah, first game, definitely some rust there, but things to build on, for sure.”

Rust is expected, but the bigger picture is clear: the Flyers need York to be bold. His legs looked heavy in the opening period, but as he noted, “after that, you can kind of push them and they start to feel better, but good to get the first [preseason game] out of the way.”

There was also symbolism in the “A” stitched on his sweater. Head coach Rick Tocchet has been deliberate about stressing York’s leadership qualities, and York himself leaned into that responsibility.

“Yeah, it was awesome,” he said. “I feel like I’ve been here a pretty long time and there’s a lot of new faces in the locker room, a lot of new young guys, so just trying to help them out as much as I can. I’ve worn a letter in the past and definitely feel like I have some leadership qualities, so just trying to make it as easy as possible for these young guys.”


Rodrigo Abols Keeps Showing Up

When camp opened, Rodrigo Abols’ name wasn’t exactly circled in Sharpie as a top candidate for an NHL spot. Yet here we are, three games into preseason, and Abols has been in the lineup for all of them.

More importantly, he hasn’t just been present—he’s been effective.

“The nice part about having those games is you can work on things so that once the season goes, we can hit the ground running and have the things we talked about be second nature,” Abols explained. “I think, sometimes, you can see guys and I can feel myself kind of second guessing or have that split second where I’m thinking about what we talked out. It’s nice to get that rust out of the game in the preseason.”

That’s a veteran’s take, and it’s telling. Abols isn’t trying to be anybody but himself, to prove that he can do the simple things consistently at an NHL pace. Even when he admitted that fatigue was creeping in (“I’m not gonna lie, you can feel that it’s the third game in five nights”), he framed it as a learning curve.

“That’s where I’ve gotta learn to pick my spots and kind of put myself in good positions—not play cheaper offense, not get stuck out there," he said. "I think I’ve managed that pretty well.”

Tocchet has been noncommittal so far, but if the coach is serious about rewarding consistency, Abols has earned another long look.


Vladar’s First Impression

Dan Vladar’s Flyers debut lasted only a single period (a plan that was in place before the game even started), but it was enough to spark intrigue. Washington could have easily blown the game open early if not for several sharp stops from the 6-foot-6 netminder, whose mobility and awareness were immediately noticeable.

One period doesn’t make a case concretely for or against him, but in a crowded goaltending picture, every rep matters. The Flyers were intentional in giving him only a short assignment, with Tocchet explaining beforehand that it was about letting Vladar settle into structure before heavier workloads later in the schedule.

He’ll get those full-game opportunities soon, but for now, the Flyers can feel encouraged that his debut leaned more towards "reliable NHL tandem partner for Sam Ersson" rather than inciting the mass panic and overreaction that tends to hover around Flyers goaltenders like mist at dawn.

Dan Vladar (80). (Megan DeRuchie-The Hockey News)

Roster Cuts Are Coming

If the first three preseason games were about casting a wide net, the next few will be about narrowing focus.

Tocchet didn’t mince words after the game: “I don’t know if there are any guys that played. That’s OK, though. Third game, two-, three-hour bus ride. There are some factors to it. I’ll probably have to give these guys off the ice tomorrow, to give them some rest. It was just a tough night for a lot of guys. That’s going to happen.”

It wasn’t a dismissal as much as a reset. The Flyers are halfway through their exhibition slate, and while no prospect has embarrassed himself, the time has come for more NHL-leaning lineups. That means several young players will be reassigned to the AHL, juniors, or college programs soon, freeing up space for veterans to tune up and bubble players to fight for their spots.


The Bottom Line

A 5-1 loss never feels good, even in September. But the score mattered far less than the subplots within it: guys like York who needed to find themselves again under a new coach are doing so undeniably; the goaltending picture isn't looking as desolate as it has in years past; the roster is starting to really take shape and identity. 

Preseason is a process. Some nights, the takeaways outweigh the goals—and this was one of them.

Mets at Marlins: How to watch on Sept. 26, 2025

The Mets open a three-game series against the Marlins in Miami on Friday at 7:10 p.m. on PIX11.

Here's what to know about the game and how to watch...


Mets Notes

  • Francisco Lindoris hitting .333/.429/.694 with four homers in 42 plate appearances over his last nine games
  • In 11.2 innings over nine appearances this month, Edwin Diaz has allowed one run on six hits while walking three and striking out 17
  • Brandon Sproat has a 3.94 ERA (2.39 FIP) and 1.18 WHIP with 15 strikeouts in 16.0 innings over his first three big league starts

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How can I watch the game online?

To watch Mets games online via PIX11, you will need a subscription to a TV service provider and live in the New York City metro area. This will allow fans to watch the Mets on their computer, tablet or mobile phone browser.

To get started on your computer, go to the PIX11 live stream website and follow the site's steps. For more FAQs, you can go here.

Canadiens: Slafkovsky Momentarily Scared Straight

On Tuesday night, Montreal Canadiens power forward Juraj Slafkovsky took former teammate Christian Dvorak’s skate to the face and suffered a cut to the face in the game against the Philadelphia Flyers. As a result, he missed most of the second period while he was being attended to.

On Thursday, at the Canadiens’ morning skate, the young Slovak was wearing a full cage and a neck protector. One could have thought he had been scared straight since the incident with Dvorak could have had much more serious consequences if the blade had caught him lower. Who doesn’t remember Clint Malarchuk or Richard Zednick being cut to the neck in the NHL or, more recently, Adam Johnson tragically dying in a Challenge Cup match between the Sheffield Steelers and the Nottingham Panthers in England?

Canadiens: Three Takeaways From A Subpar Effort
Canadiens Defender Is Important Piece This Season
Canadiens: Slafkovsky Is Playing Big

I reached out to Juraj Slafkovsky Sr. to see if perhaps it was a concerned parent who got the left winger to wear the additional protection, but it wasn’t. The dad replied:

 We watched the game at home via stream, and we also communicated with Juraj right after the match. Of course, the protectors will help, he probably realized himself that this type of protection is suitable.
- Juraj Slafkovsky Sr. on his son's cut

When the player jumped on the ice for Thursday’s game against the Toronto Maple Leafs, he was still wearing the full cage, but the neck guard had disappeared in warm-up. After the game, he was asked what it was like playing with a cage, and he replied:

It was awful; I felt like I couldn’t see to the sides, but I have to do it for a couple of days, and then it will be fine.
- Slafkovsky on playing with a cage

Hockey players are creatures of habit, and his comments are not at all surprising, but it’s a shame that NHLers are not more open to protecting themselves. In the PWHL, all players wear full cages, and they have no issues with it because that’s how they’ve always played. While I don’t have statistics, I’m pretty sure that fewer teeth have been broken in that league and fewer cuts sustained.

Perhaps, one day, protective gear will be obligatory, but for now, it’s up to the players themselves, and even a serious scare isn’t enough to make them change their ways.


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Mets at Marlins: 5 things to watch and series predictions with Wild Card on the line

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Marlins play a three-game series in Miami starting on Friday at 7:10 p.m. on PIX11.


5 things to watch

It all comes down to this

As the Mets won two of three games against the Cubs in Chicago, the Reds dropped two of three to the Pirates and the Diamondbacks lost two of three to the Dodgers.

That means New York enters the final weekend of the regular season with a 1.0 game lead over the Reds and a 2.0 game lead over the D-backs for the third and final Wild Card spot in the National League.

Cincinnati owns the tiebreaker over the Mets by virtue of winning the season series, and Arizona will have the tiebreaker over them as well due to a stronger intradivision record (the teams split the season series).

So this is simple for the Mets: their magic number is three over the Reds and two over the D-backs. If they sweep the Marlins, the Reds and D-backs can't catch them.

The Reds head to Milwaukee this weekend for a three-game series against the Brewers, while the D-backs play three games against the Padres in San Diego. 

The biggest start of Brandon Sproat's young career

A lot has been put on the Mets' trio of rookie starters down the stretch, and that will continue on Friday night.

Sproat gets the start in what will be the biggest and most pressure-filled outing of his young career.

His 3.94 ERA does not reflect how well he's pitched over his first three big league starts, since two of the runs he allowed on Sept. 19 against the Nationals should have been unearned due to a misplay by center fielder Jose Siri that was somehow ruled a hit.

Sproat has the stuff to thrive, and has shown poise as well. Following the hiccup he had in the third inning of his last start, he rebounded to throw a shutdown frame in the fourth to complete his night.

Who will start for the Mets on Saturday and Sunday?

Following Sproat's start on Friday, things are up in the air.

It seems likely that Clay Holmes will start on Saturday, but who pitches after him is a mystery. That's because it's been a struggle for Sean Manaea since his strong piggyback performance on Sept. 16, when he allowed one run in 5.0 innings.

New York Mets starting pitcher Sean Manaea (59) delivers a pitch during the fifth inning against the San Diego Padres at Citi Field.
New York Mets starting pitcher Sean Manaea (59) delivers a pitch during the fifth inning against the San Diego Padres at Citi Field. / Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

Manaea surrendered three runs in 3.0 innings in a start on Sept. 21 against the Nationals, and allowed two runs in 1.0 inning while pitching in relief against the Cubs on Wednesday.

As far as Sunday?

If that game matters for the Mets, it's very hard to envision them handing the ball to David Peterson. The lefty allowed five runs in 1.1 innings on Tuesday in Chicago, and has an 8.42 ERA in 41.2 innings over nine starts dating back to Aug. 6.

So it could be all hands on deck for New York on Sunday afternoon. 

Will Mets go defense over offense?

The Mets have vacillated between defensive and offensive lineups lately.

On Thursday night against the Cubs, they went with Tyrone Taylor in center field, Luisangel Acuña at second base, and Luis Torrens behind the plate.

Earlier in the series, they had a lineup that included Brandon Nimmo in center field and Starling Marte in left field.

Perhaps the Mets will split the difference a bit in Miami.

A lineup with Brett Baty at third base, Taylor in center field, Francisco Alvarez behind the plate, and with DH duties split between Marte and Mark Vientos could make the most sense.

Marlins' starting pitching is lined up perfectly

The Marlins' minuscule playoff chances were extinguished on Thursday, but they remain a tough opponent.

That mainly has to do with the three pitchers they'll have toeing the rubber to start these games.

It will be Sandy Alcantara on Friday (the Marlins pushed him back so he can pitch in this series), Eury Perez on Saturday, and Edward Cabrera on Sunday.

Following a tough first half as he worked back into shape following Tommy John surgery, Alcantara has been dominant. In seven starts since Aug. 15, he has a 2.70 ERA in 46.2 innings, allowing just 30 hits.

Perez has been hit and miss (the Mets lit him up for five runs on Aug. 29 as he failed to escape the first inning), but has filthy stuff. The same can be said for Cabrera, who has slowed down a bit lately -- New York touched him up for six runs (five earned) in 4.0 innings on Aug. 30.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Francisco Lindor

Lindor has the same look in his eye at the plate that he had during the 2024 NLDS against the Phillies.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Clay Holmes

Holmes has been strong over his last three appearances.

Which Marlins player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

Jakob Marsee

The rookie has an .876 OPS over his first 222 big league plate appearances. 

"Hell Of A Shooter": Todd McLellan Praises Michael Brandsegg-Nygård

Detroit Red Wings forward Michael Brandsegg-Nygård may be more known for his hard-nosed approach to the game, but he gave Red Wings fans a demonstration of his offensive abilities as well on Thursday night. 

He sniped a shot from the face-off circle while the Red Wings enjoyed a first period man-advantage, beating goaltender Alexandar Georgiev cleanly and looking like a 30-goal scorer in the process. 

While his shooting abilities may be a more sneaky element of his game, head coach Todd McLellan explained that from what he's seen, Brandsegg-Nygård has always been ready to fire away when he gets the puck from a teammate. 

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"The information I've received is that he's a hell of a shooter, and I watched the one playoff game in Grand Rapids last year and I thought he set himself up to shoot all the time," McLellan said after Detroit's 5-2 win over Buffalo. "If someone gets him the puck, he's ready to shoot. I think it's a big part of his game, he has that heaviness and all those other things but for me, the shot isn't a surprise. I've been told it and I've witnessed it." 

Brandsegg-Nygård himself is adapting to the North American-style of play on the smaller ice surface, having spent last season with Skellefteå AIK.

“I’m just trying to show that I’m willing to play hard to play here, and I know the hockey in the NHL is pretty hard, so trying to get used to that and use my body as much as possible,” Brandsegg-Nygård said.

Red Wings Improve To 2-0 In Pre-Season Play With Dominating Win Over Sabres Red Wings Improve To 2-0 In Pre-Season Play With Dominating Win Over Sabres While it may have only been the second pre-season game, the Detroit Red Wings played as if they were in mid-season form took control over the Buffalo Sabres at Little Caesars Arena, handily winning not only on the scoreboard but on the shot counter. 

Emmitt Finnie, who scored twice during Detroit's pre-season opening victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins, nearly had himself his third goal in two games, but his backhand attempt was stopped by Georgiev with only an inch to spare on the goal line.

He spent Thursday's game playing on Detroit's top line with Dylan Larkin and Lucas Raymond, and according to McLellan, he looked the part. 

"We've talked about him a lot lately, my opinion hasn't changed - I thought he was a factor," McLellan said. "Both sides of the puck, his pace fit well with Larkin and Raymond. He's a pretty trusting player - it's not just about trying to go out and score a goal, he plays the game with an awareness of what's going on around him, very mature. It was a good night for him." 

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The Tigers are enduring one of MLB’s greatest-ever meltdowns. And yet there may be hope

The Tigers have blown a huge lead in the AL Central and may miss the playoffs entirely. Photograph: Aaron Josefczyk/UPI/Shutterstock

On Wednesday night against the Cleveland Guardians, Tigers first baseman Spencer Torkelson stood stunned as he watched a routine ground ball spin off his glove and into right field. Later, his teammate, catcher Dillon Dingler, doubled over in disbelief after an innocent foul pop up plopped off his mitt and on to the dirt. These were some of the low-lights of yet another Tigers loss, their eighth straight, a defeat which dropped them completely out of first place for the first time since April, shortly after the 2025 season began.

Collapse is not a powerful enough descriptor to characterize Detroit’s sudden and dramatic downfall, which we’ll get to momentarily. But first, some housekeeping. With three games to go of the regular season, the Tigers and the Guardians are tied for first place in the AL Central, but Cleveland own the tiebreaker as they have the better head-to-head over the course of the season. The Tigers do hold a one-game lead over the Houston Astros for the final wildcard place, but if their collapse continues and the Astros do well in their final games, Detroit would be in serious trouble. For the Tigers, who were skating towards the playoffs with a 9.5-game lead in the AL Central with just 16 to play as recently as 10 September, there are three ways their regular season could end. On Monday morning, their fans could wake up dazed but with a division title, sputtering “it was all just a terrible dream.” Or Detroit could be preparing for a humiliating but somewhat face saving wildcard series. The third option, in which the Astros overtake them and the Tigers miss the postseason altogether, is that the franchise becomes the holder of what is arguably the most catastrophic late season collapse in nearly 150 years of Major League Baseball.

Related: Guardians’ David Fry suffers facial fractures after being hit by 99 mph fastball

At this point, one thing we can definitively say is that these once promising young Tigers are in dire need of a break. By that I mean for a few bounces to go their way, and a couple of days to set their heads straight. Except baseball doesn’t work that way. As Earl Weaver, Baltimore’s Hall-of-Fame manager once told Washington Post writer Thomas Boswell, “This ain’t a football game, kid. We do this every day.”

And it’s that baseball schedule, a 162-game slog that starts in the thaws of March and ends in the early frosts of late September, that is at least partially responsible for the history that made the 1964 Philadelphia Phillies and the 2007 New York Mets the benchmarks for late season swoons. The sheer volume of baseball games in a season opens the door for graphics like this, which claims (ridiculously) that on that same 10 September, Detroit had a 100% chance of making the playoffs. Now they don’t know if they’re going anywhere other than Cancún. This couldn’t happen in most other sports, where, for example, a four-game divisional lead in the NBA feels like eight, and, well, a division title really doesn’t matter and sliding down a few seeds has minor consequences.

In the pre-division MLB alignment up of 1964, when the Phillies blew their 6.5 game lead with 12 to play, the result was brutal: a blown National League pennant. In the wild card era of 2007, when the Mets, who are on the verge of making their own piece of miserable history this season, blew a seven-game lead with 17 to play, they wound up missing out on the playoffs entirely. If the Tigers earn a wildcard berth over the Astros, they’ll be forced to play, guess who, the Guardians in a three-game series, and all those match-ups will be played in Cleveland.

And yet, with such a long season, streaks of such malaise are not unheard of, even for strong teams. The 2000 New York Yankees finished the season 3-14 and went on to win their third World Series title in four years. So when AJ Hinch’s Tigers, a relatively young, inexperienced club, slumped to a 1-14 stretch in July, was it unnerving? Yes. But then they righted the ship and hit their high-water mark of 25 games over .500 on 23 August. Criticism of team president Scott Harris – who passed on adding a big bat to protect the farm system despite a good but not great lineup – quieted once the team turned things around. Now? Well, it’s a different story altogether, with the once celebrated Harris being universally vilified by the locals.

With soon to be multi-Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal under team control for just one more year and the team on the verge of making the wrong kind of history, all of the franchise’s recent accomplishments are on the verge of being cast in the darkest shadow baseball can offer. Their unexpected playoff run in 2024? Owning the best record in baseball earlier this season? Sending six players to the All-Star Game? The reclamation of all-star Javier Baez (once considered one of the worst free agent contracts in baseball history)? yet another incredible season from Skubal? Torkelson, the former No 1 overall draft pick, who wasn’t even guaranteed a starting place in Spring Training, finally fulfilling his potential? Right now, that’s all gone.

Instead, the city of Detroit is deep into the full-blown panic that takes over when a sports plague sucks up every ounce of oxygen available. Tuning into local sports talk radio for just five minutes on Thursday revealed hosts and callers arguing over whether it’s better to miss the playoffs altogether rather than suffer the embarrassment of a wildcard series. One host decried that the “anything can happen in the playoffs” mantra sounded a lot like “trying your luck as a 16th seed in an NCAA basketball tournament.” Gulp.

“To be honest, people are embarrassed by it, because you take pride in your city,” says Deadline Detroit journalist Allan Lengel (disclaimer: yes, he’s a relation). “And so this is another national embarrassment, and we’re kind of hoping that nobody in other cities is paying attention, but, you know, I’m getting little notes from people: ‘Oh my God … what’s going on with the Tigers?’”

What’s going on is that their fanbase is so low, they can’t begin to imagine the team winning another game, and that’s in a sport where you can run into a win here and there almost by accident.

All that said, for a collapse of this type to unfold, it does take two to tango, and what Cleveland have pulled off is nearly as remarkable. On 4 September, the Guardians were in third place with a 69-70 record, 11 games behind Detroit – only slightly better than their 15.5 game July deficit. Then, just as the Tigers were gearing up for their sudden slide, Cleveland put together a run of 19 games where they won all but two games and outscored their opponents 86 to 32, while posting a 1.35 ERA, a truly jaw dropping set of results.

That staggering run came to a close on Thursday night, with Detroit snapping their slide, moving back into a dead heat with their rust-belt rivals. But as it’s been with the September version of the Tigers, even the good news isn’t good: Cleveland own the tiebreaker, so even when Detroit is even, they’re still effectively in second place. To finish the season, Cleveland are at home to Texas, who have nothing to play for while Detroit head to Boston whose games should still matter as the AL playoff picture takes form.

What’s good? Well, maybe it’s that Detroit, a city that’s had its share of both real life and sports setbacks, is back in a more familiar place – as underdogs.