As Opening Day approaches the vibes are immaculate, if you will, for the local teams after the Mets and Yankees each gave their fans reason for optimism with spring trainings full of promise and good health.
As such, there is plenty of intrigue as each team’s season figures to be a referendum of sorts on near-opposite offseason approaches with Brian Cashman deciding to run it back with much the same Yankees’ team that lost to the Toronto Blue Jays last October while David Stearns overhauled a Mets’ roster that underachieved badly.
Meanwhile, it’s hard to ignore the dark cloud hanging over the sport, as a bitter labor war is expected after the season, one that may feel even more inevitable if the Los Angeles Dodgers’ high-spending ways -- $60 million a year for Kyle Tucker! -- result in a third straight World Series title.
With all of that in mind, here are my 10 bold predictions for the 2026 season, centering mostly around the Mets and Yankees.
10. CARLOS LAGRANGE EMERGES AS YANKEES BULLPEN WEAPON
Carlos Lagrange won the spring as a somewhat unknown pitching prospect who astonished the Yankees with his eye-popping velocity, his fastball reaching 103 mph. And while he was sent to the minors to open the season, there seems little doubt he’ll bring that high heat to the Bronx at some point in 2026.
Maybe it will be as a starter, but it would take multiple injuries in the rotation for that to happen. It seems more likely the Yankees eventually will groom the 22-year old right-hander for a bullpen role, even if it’s just for this season, as Lagrange could be a huge late-inning weapon down the stretch of a division race and into the post-season as well.
9. JUAN SOTO HITS 50 HRS, OUTDUELS SHOHEI OHTANI FOR NL MVP AWARD
Juan Soto talked openly with MLB.com this spring about how much he wants to win an MVP award, and to have any hope of dethroning Shohei Ohtani on that front, he’s going to need something beyond his typically outstanding offensive numbers.
Something like 50 or more home runs. Soto surely knows that and he’s capable of it, considering he’s only 27 and his power numbers are still ascending, as reflected by his totals of 35, 41, and 43 home runs over the past three seasons. It may require him to be a little more aggressive, perhaps not taking as many walks, and the Mets would be fine with that.
Ohtani, of course, could make it all moot if he returns to full-time pitching in a big-splash way, but it’s also asking a lot of him to hit and pitch over a full season at age 32.
8. PIRATES RIDE PAUL SKENES, KONNOR GRIFFIN TO WILD CARD BERTH
It’s kind of a trendy prediction, I know, but it would be fun to see it happen, as bad as the Pittsburgh Pirates have been for a decade. And it seems possible, considering they finally should have a capable offense to go with their strong starting pitching, led by NL Cy Young winner Paul Skenes.
Toward that end they acquired veterans bats in Marcell Ozuna, Ryan O’Hearn, and Brandon Lowe, and even more significantly, in Konnor Griffin they have perhaps the top offensive prospect in the game, and another in Jhostynxon Garcia. As such, FanGraphs and other analytical models are projecting a massive improvement in runs scored, which, paired with their pitching, could give them a shot at the third wild card.
7. JOE RYAN WILL BE BEST AVAILABLE STARTER AT TRADE DEADLINE
It might not matter to the Yankees or Mets if their pitching stays healthy and lives up to expectations, but for any team looking for a starter at the trade deadline, Joe Ryan is likely to be the best available.
The Minnesota Twins should have traded the right-hander in the offseason, after essentially committing to a rebuild at last season’s trade deadline, and it would be a surprise if they’re anywhere near contention come July. At age 30 in June, Ryan has high-strikeout stuff that has many scouts believing he still hasn’t reached his full potential as a No. 2-type starter, and with another year of team control before free agency, he’ll draw plenty of interest.
6. NOLAN MCLEAN MEETS HYPE, METS’ ROTATION LEADS LEAGUE
I’m all-in on Nolan McLean living up to the hype. He wasn’t perfect in the WBC but neither was the moment too big for him, as he showed plenty of dominance in his two starts. So I think he’ll have an All-Star type season, and when you combine that with Freddy Peralta’s track record, the Mets should have a playoff-worthy 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation.
Even more significantly, in terms of the overall rotation, Kodai Senga had a strong spring, looking like the guy who had a 1.39 ERA before the hamstring injury last June that wrecked his season, while Clay Holmes wowed observers with his work at the WBC.
Questions hang over Sean Manaea about his low velocity this spring, but David Peterson figures to be at least solid again, Christian Scott and Jonah Tong offer promise if needed along the way, so this rotation should be the strength of the 2026 Mets, perhaps leading the NL in ERA.
5. TARIK SKUBAL, FRAMBER VALDEZ PITCH TIGERS TO WORLD SERIES
The Detroit Tigers made the go-for-it decision not to trade Tarik Skubal, knowing they’re likely to lose him to free agency after the 2026 season, and I think it could pay off in a big way. By signing Framber Valdez they now have a 1-2 punch capable of not only winning the AL Central but making a deep run in October.
So who knows, maybe Justin Verlander will get a storybook ending, returning to Detroit at age 43. The Tigers aren’t great offensively but they should get some impact from two top prospects, shortstop Kevin McGonigle and center fielder Max Clark, and if they win the relatively weak AL Central, the pitching could carry them in the postseason.
4. AARON JUDGE HITS 50 AGAIN TO SET RECORD AND INCREASE SCRUTINY
Don’t let his failures at the World Baseball Classic overshadow what Aaron Judge did last season. It’s remarkable that he out-hit every other player in baseball by at least 20 batting average points, leading the majors at .331, and oh by the way hit 53 home runs as well. Even as he enters his age-34 season, Judge still seems to be getting better.
If he hits 50 or more home runs again, and I think he will, he’ll become the first player in major league history to do it as many as five times, and that likely would earn him a fourth AL MVP Award. Of course, that would also further the ever-increasing need for him to win a World Series title and cement his status with Yankee fans as being equal to the likes of Ruth, Gehrig, DiMaggio, and Mantle.
Unfortunately for him…
3. YANKS LOSE TO JAYS IN OCTOBER. AGAIN.
Until proven otherwise, the Toronto Blue Jays have the formula to beat the Yankees, putting pressure on them last season with good contact hitting and aggressive baserunning that forced defensive mistakes and had them on their heels.
As such, I think the Jays will prevail in a tight AL East race and from there the various team records will determine the matchups. Maybe the Yankees will figure it out against the Jays. But if they couldn’t beat them last October with Judge hitting .600 in the ALDS, the odds are against them with essentially the same team back for 2026.
2. METS WIN NL EAST, LOSE TO DODGERS IN NLCS
Have to admit, I like what I saw in spring training from the Mets, and that’s always a risky basis for making predictions, but I’m picking the Mets over the Phillies in what should be a tight NL East race. It could develop into a spicy rivalry this season as well, with seemingly all of Philadelphia outraged by the Mets swooping in to land Bo Bichette when the former Blue Jay was on the verge of signing a long-term deal with the Phillies.
I think the Mets should be more consistent offensively, with proven clutch hitters Bichette and Jorge Polanco hitting behind Soto, than they’ve been in recent years. That and their potentially dominant pitching gives them the edge over Philly, at least for me, especially with Zack Wheeler coming back from thoracic outlet surgery. But beyond that, well, the Dodgers are the Dodgers, built to win in October with their power and pitching. And in the end, the bullpens could be the difference in a seven-game series, specifically closers Edwin Diaz and Devin Williams.
1. DODGERS WIN IT ALL AGAIN, ENSURING A FIGHT OVER SALARY CAP
It’s kind of nuts for the Dodgers to pay Tucker $60 million a year, but he does fit perfectly into their star-studded lineup and likely will play a pivotal role in helping them win another championship.
Last year, LA won a second straight title even without much of a bullpen, so signing Diaz away from the Mets figures to make the Dodgers even tougher to beat come October. As a result, I think they get their three-peat, beating the Tigers handily in the World Series and in the process further angering other owners in baseball, all but ensuring a lockout next winter and a bitter fight with the MLB Players Association over a salary cap.