
Here’s a fun one, let’s hop back into the time machine to July 2024 for an article titled, “What could the Penguins look like in two years?”
Spoiler alert: the very active Kyle Dubas changed the picture in ways that couldn’t be forseen. We knew it at the time but you can’t predict the unpredictable. It only took a few weeks from that article for the Brayden Yager for Rutger McGroarty trade to derail a chunk of the outlook, and things only changed further from there.
It is a good piece to look back on, and recognize some of the changes and improvements made over the past couple years as Dubas angles the Pens into being a strong team now while still assembling a large quantity of future picks that could become NHL players down the line.
Top six forward pot: Crosby, Bryan Rust, Rickard Rakell, Brayden Yager, and longer shots like Ville Koivunen, Tristan Broz
—Imagining top lines without Malkin is a peculiar process. Two years from now, ideally Yager should be able to play on the second line, possibly at center. Rust and Rakell will still be under contract, though they could be moved by then. We’ll have to see what comes from the development of players like Koivunen and Broz as they begin their journeys. Odds are high that at least one, if not two players not currently in the organization will be in key roles for the Pens for 2026-27 as the team turnover rates increase and more talent is sought out.
The biggest surprise of all is that Evgeni Malkin earned a spot on the team for 2026-27. What looked like a potential winding down has been delayed. That’s a positive short-term development, since quite frankly a team can always use a quality scoring forward in the mix no matter the age.
Counting on individual young players to go from prospects to NHL talent is tough to do. Overall though, three holdovers (Crosby, Rakell and Rust) remain in the picture. It’s the other areas that didn’t develop. The Pens added Egor Chinakhov, which is a big win for the organization. Whether or not they can get players like Ben Kindel, Nick Robertson and Andrey Kuzmenko to this level will be one worth watching.
Bottom six forward pot: Who knows! But perhaps and ideally: Vasily Ponomarev, maybe Sam Poulin, maybe even longer-shot of Tanner Howe, other cheap and new players
—As of this moment, Pittsburgh only has two forwards under contract for 2026-27 (Rust and Rakell). That builds in a great deal of flexibility for Kyle Dubas, who will be able to stake out in any number of directions by 24 months from now to construct his team as he sees fit. The Pens’ system isn’t that stocked at the moment with young players who could stick or have long-term futures in the organization. Could Drew O’Connor be extended and figure in here? Sure! Is O’Connor likely to be on the team 24 months from now? Well…probably not.
There is normally lots of movement at the bottom of the roster in the first place, and Dubas loves to swirl players at this level in and out of the team. The only thing to expect is that the future bottom of the lineup is completely unpredictable at this point.
Dubas has had to do a lot of work to scare up bottom-six options, doing a good job in this department. Connor Dewar and Blake Lizotte were added for very low cost and provide excellent fourth line options. McGroarty, Koivunen and Elmer Soderblom may find places here, with Tommy Novak and Justin Brazeau in the picture too.
Others that we thought or hoped a while back that might be in the picture like Ponomarev and Poulin have frittered away. So it goes in the world of frequent player movement and mostly unfulfilled potential that frequently sees prospects fail to stick as NHL regulars.
Overall, this is an area that will continue to have a lot of swirl and mixing with players coming and going off the active roster to either the IR, the AHL or out of the organization altogether.
Top four defense: Erik Karlsson, Kris Letang (?), Ryan Graves
—Will Letang (39 for the start of the 2026-27 season) still be playing? He reportedly had some injuries at the end of this season. Obviously he’ll want to keep the wheels on as long as possible, but old players tend to fall out and unofficially retire with regularity. Letang’s contractual status doesn’t guarantee inclusion in the roster two years from now (and there are only two 39+ defensemen under contract for this upcoming season: Brent Burns and Ryan Suter). Graves we’ll still include here, since he’s under contract and if he’s NOT playing on at least the second pair after three years in Pittsburgh by the start of 2026-27, one would think he would be traded for another bad contract by this point.
Given the question marks here, the Pens have a lot of building to do on the blueline in the next 24 months. It could also really use Owen Pickering getting his development into high gear and finding a big hit there, unless the team makes a move to re-sign Marcus Pettersson the defense looks lacking or at least in need of some real attention and talent infusions in the very near future.
Well, sadly Graves has neither been traded nor justified his massive contract. Just is what it is by 2026, especially with the willingness to waive and demote him to the AHL last year. Otherwise, Letang and Karlsson were hits that are in-place to be matchup level defensemen for the Pens last season.
Bottom end defense: Pickering, Jack St. Ivany
St. Ivany will still be under contract at this point but who knows how much of a hold he will keep on that position over the next two seasons to sink or swim. Defensive depth is another thing that tends to swirl around (no one could have foreseen 24 months ago that St. Ivany, John Ludvig, Sebastian Aho and Ryan Shea would be currently around) and isn’t that big of a concern to have as a hazy question mark at this point.
There hasn’t been a lot of positive stories at the bottom of the lineup. Pickering’s career hasn’t taken off, St. Ivany hung around until getting traded this summer. Young defensive development in the 2020’s has been an issue for the Pens. They haven’t had a lot to work with but players like Pickering and PO Joseph failing to move up the ranks has hurt. They did a good job with John Marino and Marcus Pettersson, but since then there hasn’t been much beyond Ryan Shea. Here’s to hoping that changes in the near future for players like Harrison Brunicke and to an extent newcomers Declan Carlile and Kaeden Korczak that are going to have to grow to pay off.
Goaltending: Tristan Jarry, Joel Blomqvist
Alex Nedeljkovic has a contract through 2025-26, but by this year Blomqvist will surely be up in the big league, and possibly not for the first time. Jarry remains a wild card and will still have two years remaining on his contract in 2026-27. Jarry’s future, on or off the Penguins, might be one of the more interesting storylines over then next couple months/years for how that ends up going for him and the team.
No one really knew in 2024 when Sergei Murashov would enter the organization, his emergence has taken a lot of the shine off Blomqvist. Blomqvist also didn’t take the steps that were expected a few years ago, though he does have a one-way contract in 2027-28 and might require a little more patience.
Dubas’ ability to dump Jarry’s contract has been trumpeted before, and frankly it should be celebrated at every turn. That was a nicely done way to amend for the mistake of giving out that contract to now have Girard (plus a couple of second round picks) to show as a direct result of the Jarry trade.
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Overall, the Pens remain a difficult team to forecast for in the future. That won’t be changing anytime soon since only six players have contracts for the 2028-29 season at this point. The team has been built for an upcoming turnover, though as we saw with projecting Malkin off by 2026 a couple years ago – nailing exactly when that happens will have to be more of a wait and see.












