Scouts, exec assess fair value if Sharks decide to trade 2026 No. 2 overall pick originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area
What’s a fair trade for the Sharks’ No. 2 overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Of course, odds are, the Sharks aren’t actually going to deal the pick: The last time that a top-five selection moved, post-draft lottery, was in 2008.
That said?
“Mike Grier is absolutely open to moving the No. 2 pick,” insider Pierre LeBrun reported in The Athletic on Wednesday, “depending on the offers.”
So what are fair offers for No. 2 overall?
San Jose Hockey Now spoke with three NHL scouts and an executive to come up with some reasonable deals.
Two trade scenarios seem to make the most sense for the Sharks: Trading back from No. 2 and still coming out with a high pick or dangling No. 2 for an established star.
Trade Back?
The Sharks, as an organization, are deep up front and shallow on defense.
So while there’s much thought that wingers Gavin McKenna and Ivar Stenberg are the top prospects of the draft, there’s also a handful of blueline prospects, Chase Reid, Carson Carels, Keaton Verhoeff and Alberts Smits, who could well be future No. 1 defensemen.
The Sharks must also add to their current blueline, which has just two defensemen signed for next year, veteran Dmitry Orlov and rookie Sam Dickinson.
So trading back can still net the Sharks a high pick, which they can use on a top defensive prospect, and they can acquire some blueline help right now, too.
Could the Sharks trade No. 2 to the Blackhawks for the No. 4 pick, defenseman Kevin Korchinski and Chicago’s 2026 second-rounder — No. 34 overall?
“I think that would be a fair trade,” the executive said.
“I like this trade for San Jose,” Scout No. 1 said.
Korchinski would be an intriguing-but-risky gamble. The 2022 No. 7 pick has bounced between the NHL and AHL for the last two years.
“I’m only 50-50 that he’s a top-four guy [in the future],” the exec said. “He’s sort of erratic. Has trouble slowing the game down.”
That said, the 6-foot-1 left-hander is just 21, talented, and could benefit from a change of scenery.
Also, the Blackhawks aren’t likely to trade their top young defensemen, think Alex Vlasic and Artyom Levshunov and Sam Rinzel, just to move up two spots in the draft. Meanwhile, the Sharks might still end up with their choice of defenseman in the draft, if the top-three picks are forwards, and they’re adding some quality assets on top of that.
In the same vein, could the Sharks trade No. 2 to the New York Rangers for the No. 5 pick, defenseman Braden Schneider and the Carolina Hurricanes’ 2026 second-rounder? That pick will be in the 60’s.
Schneider, unlike Korchinski, is an established NHL player. He’s 24, big and mobile, and averaged over 20 minutes a night this season.
But there are also questions about what the pending RFA’s ceiling is, if he’s more of a high-end bottom-pairing defender as opposed to a true top-four.
“He didn’t elevate his play last year,” Scout No. 2 said. “But he would be a stabilizer for the Sharks. Not a big numbers guy, [can be] second-pairing and kill penalties.”
Schneider could be a solid replacement for possibly departing UFA Mario Ferraro. Both are stay-at-home defenders.
“I like this trade for both teams,” the executive said.
“This one could be close,” Scout No. 3 said.
This deal might lose the Sharks their top choice of defenseman in this draft, but that could be acceptable, if they like multiple blueliners equally or if their favorite is a less celebrated one like Smits.
Win Now?
Or, the Sharks could get teen superstar Macklin Celebrini some real help right now.
There aren’t a lot of true No. 1 defensemen in the NHL, and even fewer potentially available for the No. 2 pick. So who’s a top blueliner who could be conceivably available?
Keep in mind, this is less likely than a trade back, and simply an exercise in ascertaining fair value.
Could the Sharks trade No. 2 and center prospect Filip Bystedt (or goalie prospect Joshua Ravensbergen) to the Rangers for defenseman Adam Fox?
Fox, 28, is a right-hander with a $9.5 million AAV until 2029. He has a No-Movement Clause next year, which becomes a 16-team No-Trade List after that.
“If I were San Jose, I would be scared to take Fox,” the executive said, remembering that the star defenseman forced his way out of the Calgary Flames, who drafted him, and the Carolina Hurricanes, before landing in the Big Apple. Is he finally ready to go West?
New York was one of the NHL’s worst teams this year, though Rangers general manager Chris Drury hasn’t signaled that the organization is ready to rebuild.
Fox is not considered by most to be in the class of arguable best defenseman in the world, Cale Makar, but he’s still a true No. 1, a point-per-game force who was the 2021 Norris Trophy winner and a four-time top-five Norris finalist. Despite these accolades, Fox’s reputation has taken a hit in recent years, as he struggled for Team USA at Four Nations and was passed over for the 2026 Olympics.
“Value is fair,” the executive said of the No. 2 and Bystedt for Fox.
“I like the Fox scenario [for both sides],” Scout No. 2 said.
If the No. 2 pick and 2022 first-rounder Bystedt, a good-but-not-great third-line center prospect, feels light for Fox, perhaps 2025 first-rounder and top goalie prospect Ravensbergen instead of Bystedt is more appropriate value? The Rangers don’t appear to have an heir apparent for veteran Igor Shesterkin, while the Sharks have 23-year-old Yaroslav Askarov tabbed as their starter of the future.
“I’m sure they’d ask for a higher-end prospect than Bystedt,” Scout No. 3 opined, “or a young player already in the NHL.”
That said, youngsters Michael Misa, Sam Dickinson or Igor Chernyshov, along with the No. 2, would probably tip the scales too much in the Rangers’ favor.
Anyway, remember these trade proposals are just exercises in figuring out fair value.
“I think all have some traction to them,” Scout No. 2 said.
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