If you somehow haven’t heard about how good this kid is, maybe this will catch you up to speed.
There is very little to dislike about the BYU product’s game: he’s strong, he’s physical, he has all of the measurables to do well at the NBA level, he can play multiple positions, he’s comfortable being a play initiator, he’s efficient, he LED THE NCAA IN SCORING AS A FRESHMAN WITH 25 POINTS A GAME, and the list could honestly go on forever. The argument could be made, and has been made by myself before, that this entire year for Dybantsa was just a cardio session as he prepared for the NBA. The one and only knock on his game is his defensive prowess, and while I think there is certainly room to improve, he carried so much of the BYU Cougar’s offense (especially after Richie Saunders went down with injury) that I think his effort could be excused to some extent, but more importantly he wasn’t a bad defender; by every metric he was slightly below league average.
If the Utah Jazz had the #1 pick in this year’s draft I believe that Dybantsa would be the clear target for us. That being said, by every indication, the #1 selection for the Washington Wizards has not been set in stone and there is an opportunity that we could get our guy at #2 after all. I like to think positively so let’s dive into the AJ Dybantsa the prospect, and how he could change this franchise for the better.
Team Fit
I’ve had Dybantsa as the #1 prospect in this draft for quite some time, but I would be lying if I said that I didn’t think that Darryn Peterson would be the more natural fit for this team. After a stellar (albeit brief) run of play by Keyonte George where be displayed his playmaking ability with a career high 6.1 assists per game, it seems like Will Hardy believes in him to be the starting point guard of the future for this team. I think that he’s more than proven that he’s ready for the responsibility, and while I do think that Isaiah Collier is the more natural facilitator of the two, George’s offensive upside and Collier’s offensive downside are too evident to be ignored.
With George set to have a healthy season running point, a natural need makes its presence known in the form of a starting shooting guard. Respectfully to John Konchar, I don’t think that he’s exactly what we’re looking for. I’m also not a believer that you should draft for fit in the early stages of the draft, but when we’re talking about as talented of a draft class as the 2026 class is, nearly any of the top 4-5 prospects could be a winner. Early in the draft you must draft the best talent, and figure out the rest later.
There are a few scenarios that I can see play out if we do decide to draft Dybantsa.
Option 1: We have a starting lineup of Keyonte George, AJ Dybantsa, Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Walker Kessler (assuming we’re able to bring him back which I hope and pray to the basketball gods that we do).
Option 2: We start George, Ace Bailey, Dybantsa, Jackson Jr., and Kessler – we reward Bailey for his stellar play over the last 25 games of the season and trade Lauri Markkanen to the highest bidder (Detroit, perhaps) for even more draft capital.
Option 3: We start George, Bailey, Dybantsa, Markkanen, and Jackson Jr. at the 5 if we’re unable to retain Kessler. I personally think that this would be the worst option of the three given Jackson Jr.‘s struggles to rebound the ball, but with all of the size that we do have with the rest of the lineup I think it could work.
As mentioned before, Dybantsa can play multiple positions so with whatever lineup we choose he could play anywhere from the lead ballhandler, to the slashing wing, to the traditional power forward, and I even think with time we could play him as a small-ball center given his strength as a player.
Options are always a good thing, and luckily Dybantsa fits into any plan that we may have.
Comparisons
Comparison is the thief of joy, but what is a draft prospect without a NBA comparison? I’ve always done a low, medium, and high end comparison for any player that I talk about and this won’t be any different here. With as talented of a player as Dybantsa is, even his low won’t even be that low, so by all measures this is a win-win scenario.
Low End: RJ Barrett
The similarities are certainly there, especially when you compare Dybantsa’s one year at BYU to Barrett’s one year at Duke. They were both great scorers (over 20 points per game), they were both less than league average three point shooters, but they were able able to make up for that fact with their ability to get to the rim, and their midrange games. We’re 7 years into Barrett’s career now and it doesn’t seem like he’ll ever be an above league average shooter from deep. This obviously wouldn’t be the most desired outcome, but Barrett has hovered around 20 points per game ever since the 2021-2022 season with decent efficiency.
If Dybantsa ended up like Barrett would that feel like a let down? Sure, but Barrett is still a very solid player and can fit into any system. It isn’t ideal, but having Dybantsa be the next RJ Barrett wouldn’t be the end of the world.
Medium End: DeMar DeRozan
If this were a Pokemon evolution, DeMar DeRozan would be the Charmeleon stage of player. We want Charizard, of course, but Charmeleon is still pretty good. In this scenario Dybantsa still doesn’t reach his “full potential” but he becomes a master at slashing to the rim and becomes lethal in the midrange. DeRozan has had an incredible career, and while I’m sure that he would have liked a championship to go with all his personal accolades and stats, what he’s been able to do over the last 17 years has been outstanding.
DeRozan is in a very elite club of basketball players with over 26,000 points (and counting) in the league. This past season was actually a down year for him as he “only” scored 18.4 points per game, which is the first time that he’s scored less than 20 points per game since President Obama was in his first term. He’s maintained this level of excellence for most of his career, and if Dybantsa can follow in his footsteps, I think that scoring over 25,000 points is pretty great.
High End: Paul George
In this (hopeful) scenario, Dybantsa figures the game out. He’s a great at rim finisher, he has a great post game, he has stretched his game out to the three point line and shoots a respectable clip (George has shot 38% for his career from deep), AND he becomes an elite defender. As a legitimate two-way threat he’s able to put himself into MVP contention and propel this team to heights that they haven’t seen in quite some time.
This is asking for a lot, at least for right now, but I believe that in time he’ll be able to make the necessary adjustments to thrive in this game. It’s been a while since we’ve seen a truly remarkable season from George, but the streets won’t forget his run in Indiana, or what he was able to do alongside Russell Westbrook in OKC. That is what we’re striving for, and I think that Dybantsa has the ability to make it happen.
Ceiling
There is a secret fourth senecio where Dybantsa is so good that he goes beyond every single comparison I just made and becomes truly one of the elite; not just for a particular season, but potentially of all-time. That is a ridiculous amount of pressure to put on a 20 year old kid, but when you’re a top prospect in the NBA, it comes with the territory.
This may be a controversial statement (for multiple reasons) but in a world where Dybantsa becomes an all-time great player, I think that he could be as good as Jayson Tatum was prior to his Achilles injury. Some of why I say that is the Boston connection – Dybantsa grew up in Brockton, Massachusetts and grew up as a Boston Celtics fan, but when you look at what Dybantsa was able to do for BYU after Richie Saunders went down with an injury, dare I say it was very Tatum-esque.
Most NBA fans could tell you that Jayson Tatum scores with the best of them, is very efficient given his offensive responsibilities, and that he’s been one of the best 15 players in the league for quite some time. What Boston Celtics fans will tell you is that not only is he a great scorer, but he’s also a great facilitator, defender, and rebounder.
Tatum has averaged more than 7 rebounds per game since the 2019-2020 season, he’s averaged more than 4 assists per game since the 2020-2021 season, and while he won’t show up in any All-Defensive teams, you could make the argument that if the Celtics didn’t have Marcus Smart, Derrick White, and Jrue Holiday at various points, that his defense would be more widely known across the league’s fans. Even when you look at his (limited) games this year after coming back from injury, they show how great of a player he still is: nearly 22 points per game, 10 rebounds, 5 assists, and almost 1.5 steals. Not to mention the fact that Tatum, at only 27 years old mind you (although some people still say he’s 19) he has finished Top-6 in MVP voting 4 times, he’s a 6x All-Star, and a 5x All-NBA selection with four of them being 1st team.
I believe that Dybantsa has the ability to round out his game like Tatum has. Dybantsa has all the tools to be an All-World kind of player, and if he ends up like Tatum, we may be talking about multiple championships in Utah.
We here at SLC Dunk are AMPED for the draft and have a lot of great articles on the way, so be on the lookout for that! What do you think of Dybantsa as a prospect? Do you think we should draft someone else if we have the chance? Sound off in the comments!
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