Awaiting the Knicks in the Eastern Conference Semifinals, following New York's dominant defeat of the Atlanta Hawks in the first round, are the Philadelphia 76ers.
The Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid-led Sixers are coming off a 3-1 comeback to top the Boston Celtics, and are ready to keep that momentum going against New York.
Here's what to expect from what could be a drawn-out, physical series, and who will come out on top...
The biggest question for both teams is how they’re going to make life easier for their elite scoring guards without exposing them too much defensively. New York’s offense has largely figured this out forJalen Brunson, who started slow against Atlanta but should have more opportunities against Philadelphia.
The Sixers offer him a couple of targets in Maxey and Embiid, the latter obviously being a strong defensive player but less comfortable switching out on the perimeter. They do have an assortment of defensive wings who are likely to occupy his time, though, in Paul George, V.J. Edgecombe, and Kelly Oubre Jr.
That may leave them more inclined to play Brunson straight-up, switch fewer screens, and help off non-shooters less aggressively. The Knicks have a real wrinkle to throw at them now with Brunson involved in more off-ball and screening options, so expect a chess match from the jump.
Philly likely moves to all-but-ignore Josh Hart on offense early on, maybe starting Maxey on him, forcing him to hit some threes to punish them. Hart and the Knicks will have to be ready to make them pay.
There’s few other hiding spots for the Sixers star. If he’s on Mikal Bridges, the Knicks should feed him every trip down and get solid offense out of it. These matchups very often just come down to Brunson and Maxey calling for screens to face each other, and this series may serve as a larger version of that.
The Knicks have another edge over their previous meeting, which is Karl-Anthony Towns. The Sixers likely don’t want Embiid stretched out of the paint or having to watch his foul trouble guarding Towns one-on-one, so expect George to start out on him.
Towns will have to display much of the patience and passing ability he did against Atlanta, since these Sixers wings are built a bit better to deal with Towns and will be hunting those passing lanes. The Knicks will need another big series out of him if the Sixers overload on Brunson.
There’s two big advantages for the Knicks on paper: their rebounding and depth. New York is rebounding a third of its own misses in the playoffs after finishing top-five in rebound rate during the regular season.
Philadelphia has been solid on the defensive glass in the postseason, but doesn’t boast the same offensive rebound playoff stats or regular season numbers. The Knicks' bigs should do their job against a weak Sixers frontcourt, but it’s the battle of the guards and wings that will decide this contest. Bridges, Hart, and OG Anunobywill need more big performances.
As for depth, the 76ers played only seven guys in their Game 7 win, with Andre Drummond and Quentin Grimes coming off the bench. Their next options are Justin Edwards and Trendon Watford.
Meanwhile New York just got great bench lifts in the first round from Jose Alvarado, Jordan Clarkson, Miles McBride, and Mitchell Robinson, and may tap back into Landry Shamet for shooting. If they can maintain this edge it would be massive on the series, owning the first few minutes of every second and fourth quarter.
With the Sixers offense, Maxey is the biggest puzzle piece, and the Knicks don’t have a simple answer. None of their one-on-one matchups are very clean outside of McBride, and Maxey pressures every screen coverage to its limits.
Drop and Maxey gets a full head of steam or clean pull-up, switch and live with bad matchups that likely involve Embiid putting someone in the cup, and he can blow right past or split a hedge if it’s not perfect. The Knicks will need a mix of their lead defenders and some aggressive coverages to slow him down.
Bridges or Hart likely gets the start so Brunson can hide on Oubre. There are also small things they can do try and slow Maxey down: get the refs hung up on Embiid screens, throw occasional unders in to force long pull-ups, and target him without mercy on the opposite end.
But Maxey is only one threat. Embiid is no slouch, either, and Towns will have a huge challenge in trying to maintain him. The Knicks can live with tough mid-rangers, constant falls and flops, and the odd big performance. What they can’t live with is Towns getting in foul trouble or getting too preoccupied with the officials.
Towns will need to defend without fouling and most importantly, brush off the flop calls Embiid is bound to draw. A bad call or two may turn a game, but Towns getting in his head over bad officiating can turn the series.
If he does it right, the Knicks won’t need to be over-aggressive on help. Also expect to see some Anunoby on Embiid after past successes, especially with Towns showing he can be useful guarding and helping off a wing.
The 76ers are going to try to attack Brunson as part of their game plan, and he’ll need to be more prepared than when he gave up multiple big nights to CJ McCollum. Expect the fearless rookie Edgecombe to go at him with gusto early on.
Philadelphia has proven itself talented and viable, but they’re going up against a very tough New York team that isn’t trying to recover from a seven-game dogfight. Combine that with the bench and rebounding advantages, and it’s tough to see the Knicks not coming out of this one victorious.
Prediction: Knicks in 6