Is this the year Arizona's Final Four drought finally comes to an end?
Arizona is the favorite in today's Elite Eight matchup vs. Purdue, and you'll be hard-pressed to find folks picking against the top-seeded Wildcats.
"We know we're playing a very talented, athletic, skilled, physical team in Arizona" Purdue coach Matt Painter said. "One of the best teams in the country, if not the best team in the country."
Tommy Lloyd has leaned into youth with this team, and it has served him well so far. But as the stage gets bigger, the lights get brighter.
While Arizona has three freshman starters, Purdue has three starters who have already played in a national championship game. Will that experience matter today with a trip to the Final Four on the line?
"I think having that experience what it takes to be there before, I think it helps... having a core group of guys that have done it, we're able to obviously help these guys out," Purdue guard Braden Smith said. "But at the same time they're also very skilled basketball players and also understand what it takes to win high-level games to get to that point."
Purdue leaned into that experience against 11-seed Texas, as senior Trey Kaufman-Renn put himself in position to tip in Smith's miss in the final second to give the Boilermakers their Sweet 16 win.
Arizona's run to the Elite Eight has been less dramatic. The Wildcats blitzed Arkansas, 109-88, in the Sweet 16 as freshman duo Brayden Burries (23 points) and Koa Peat (21 points) did the heavy lifting.
Today's winner is headed to Indianapolis (a short drive down I-65 for the Boilermakers) for the Final Four. Here's what you need to know about today's Elite Eight showdown, including predictions and how to watch.
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Arizona vs Purdue basketball live score
| TEAMS | 1H | 2H | F |
| Purdue | — | — | — |
| Arizona | — | — | — |
What time is Purdue vs Arizona in Elite 8?
- Time: 8:49 p.m. ET, Saturday, March 28.
What channel is Purdue vs Arizona? How to watch, streaming info
- The game is airing on TBS/truTV, streaming via Sling TV.
Arizona vs Purdue Elite 8 prediction, odds
∎ Nathan Baird, IndyStar: Arizona 81, Purdue 77
The Wildcats lost two games in a five-day span in February by a total of seven points to NCAA Tournament teams — one in overtime. To become the third team to join that club, Purdue must rebound and defend at a higher level than it did Thursday night. Arizona is a monster, but the last time the Boilermakers took the floor against one of those teams — Michigan, in the Big Ten Tournament championship — they won. Purdue's season always pointed toward some version of this game. Winning may require the best collective performance this group has put together.
∎ Sam King, Journal & Courier: Arizona 91, Purdue 88
Purdue's record in track meets this season isn't great. Purdue can't afford any defensive lapses or Arizona might make the Boilermakers have to score 100 to win. If you're rooting for Purdue, you hope it got its bad shooting night out of the way against Texas. Even if Purdue shoots well, it might not matter. Arizona might be the most complete team in the NCAA Tournament.
∎ Jeremy Cluff, Arizona Republic: Arizona 82, Purdue 77
Purdue hasn't lost in the postseason, a run that includes the Big Ten Tournament title. But, Arizona, winner of 12 straight, is playing at another level. Jaden Bradley will have a big game for Arizona as the Wildcats advance to the Final Four for the first time since 2001.
- John Leuzzi: Arizona
- Jordan Mendoza: Arizona
- Ehsan Kassim: Arizona
- Austin Curtright: Arizona
- Moneyline: Arizona (-275); Purdue (+220)
- Spread: Arizona (-6.5)
- Over/under total: 153.5
Arizona will reach Final Four if...
- John Leuzzi: It sticks to what got them to the Elite Eight: Winning in the paint.
- Jordan Mendoza: it controls the tempo of the game with its physicality.
- Ehsan Kassim: The Wildcats can limit Purdue inside
- Austin Curtright: It keeps Purdue's shooting in check.
Purdue will reach Final Four if...
- John Leuzzi: Be the more physical team inside the paint and knock down 3-pointers. Foul trouble too.
- Jordan Mendoza: the 3-point shot comes back.
- Ehsan Kassim: It dominates inside and puts the early pressure on Arizona
- Austin Curtright: Someone other than Fletcher Loyer heats up from 3-point range.
When was last time Arizona went to Final Four?
It's been 25 years since the Wildcats last reached the Final Four in 2001.
“You hear rumblings of it all the time,” Wildcats forward Tobe Awaka told USA TODAY Sports.
“The collective joy it would give our community, it would be more special than just the win by itself,” said Wildcats coach Tommy Lloyd.
Is Tommy Lloyd a candidate for UNC basketball coach job? What Arizona coach said about links
Lloyd was asked about the opening in Chapel Hill at Wednesday's press availability ahead of Thursday's Sweet 16. Here's what he said:
"I already have one of the best jobs in the country. One thing we talk about in our program all the time, and I think I've gotten better at, and I think our team has been crushing it this year, is just the ability to have full focus and be present in the moment.
"So I think we have a great team. I think we have a chance to advance in this tournament game by game. But I'm not delusional. I know we could lose tomorrow.
"But this team deserves my full focus, so there's not one thing that is going to knock me off my path. I'm 100 percent focused on Arizona basketball and this program, and I can't wait until the ball gets thrown up tomorrow, and then can't wait to try to figure out a way to come out on top."
Braden Smith breaks Bobby Hurley NCAA assists record
Smith broke Hurley's record in the first round of the NCAA Tournament against Queens on Friday, March 20. The senior from Indiana got the record on a dish to Trey Kaufman-Renn in the first half.
Smith finished the game with 1,083 career assists in his four-year career with the Boilermakers. Purdue fans at the game gave Smith a standing ovation for the achievement.
Smith told USA TODAY Sports ahead of the tournament he was "ready to just get it over with" so he could put all of the attention toward winning Purdue's first national championship. Now with that in hand, the decorated guard can go for the two goals he had for his senior season.
"That's one of the reasons I came back, was to win and to get the record," he said. "Obviously, wanted to do it at a place that I've been for the three years prior. For me, just to be around a great bunch of guys and obviously great coaching staff, and do it with them, I think it makes it more special."
Matt Painter March Madness record
Matt Painter has a 27-17 career record in the NCAA Tournament. This is his 18th trip to March Madness, 17th with Purdue (he led Southern Illinois to the NCAA Tournament before becoming Purdue's coach-in-waiting).
Is LeBron James' son on Arizona roster? Does he play?
Bryce James, LeBron's son, is on the Wildcats roster. The freshman is redshirting this season. Bryce was a three-star recruit out of Sierra Canyon, where brother Bronny James also attended,
Koa Peat 2026 NBA Draft, mock draft prediction
No. 19 overall to Miami Heat
Kalbrosky's Analysis:
The Miami Heat have drafted several prospects known for their athleticism, which means a player like Arizona forward Koa Peat will probably have some appeal to their organization. Peat is an ideal match for this franchise given his versatility as a playmaking forward. The All-Big 12 forward just needs a jumper to carve out regular minutes as a high-impact pro. Arizona plays at a significantly faster pace (4.6 extra possessions) when Peat is on the floor relative to when he is not, per CBB Analytics, which would fit very well with Miamis fastest-paced offense in the NBA.
See USA TODAY's full mock draft here
Koa Peat stats
(all stats as of March 15)
- 13.6 points per game
- 5.3 rebounds per game
- 2.7 assists per game
- 53.7% field goal percentage
- 31.6% three-point field goal percentage
Brayden Burries 2026 NBA Draft, mock draft prediction
No. 10 overall to Milwaukee Bucks.
Kalbrosky's Analysis:
Arizona freshman Brayden Burries had two breakout games in January, which helped solidify his draft stock. But the All-Big 12 guard has continued to display his tantalizing talent, scoring 31 points with seven rebounds and five steals against Colorado on March 7 and 20 points with 12 rebounds and five assists during a victory against No. 14 Kansas on Feb. 28. Burries has proven productivity and that he is able to defend, relocate, move the ball and make 3-pointers off the dribble.
See USA TODAY's full mock draft here
Brayden Burries stats
(all stats as of March 15)
- 15.9 points per game
- 4.7 rebounds per game
- 2.6 assists per game
- 49.2% field goal percentage
- 36.7% three-point field goal percentage
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Arizona vs Purdue basketball news, predictions, Elite 8 time, how to watch