The Brooklyn Nets will try to break an eight-game losing streak as they visit the Miami Heat tonight.
Miami is playing better since the return of one of its star players, which is why I’m taking the home team to cover in my Nets vs. Heat predictions.
Let’s break down this matchup and see how bettors should approach it with my free NBA picks for Tuesday, March 3.
Nets vs Heat prediction
Nets vs Heat best bet: Heat -13 (-110)
The Miami Heat have won four of their last six games and are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine.
That’s more than enough to give them a leg up on the hapless Brooklyn Nets, who have lost eight in a row and only covered once in that span, losing five games by double figures.
The Heat have Tyler Herro (21.0 points per game) back in the lineup, further widening the talent gap between these teams. Brooklyn is by far the lowest-scoring team in the league (107.0 PPG) and won’t be able to keep up with Miami tonight.
Nets vs Heat same-game parlay
One reason I like the Heat to win in a blowout tonight is Herro's recent return, who should play a big role for Miami tonight. I’ll take Herro to hit the Over on both his points and assists totals, as he’s averaging 21 PPG and has dished out at least six assists in three of his last four games.
Nets vs Heat SGP
Heat -13
Tyler Herro Over 20.5 points
Tyler Herro Over 3.5 assists
Our "from downtown" SGP: The Heat Go Big
Along with my bets on Herro, I’m going to target two other Miami players to hit their props to bring in a long-shot SGP. That means taking Bam Adebayo to record his third straight double-double, along with picking Kel’el Ware to hit at least one 3-pointer, something the big man has done in eight straight games.
Nets vs Heat SGP
Heat -13
Tyler Herro Over 20.5 points
Tyler Herro Over 3.5 assists
Bam Adebayo double-double
Kel'el Ware Over 0.5 made threes
Nets vs Heat odds
Spread: Nets +13 (-110) | Heat -13 (-110)
Moneyline: Nets +525 | Heat -750
Over/Under: Over 226 (-110) | Under 226 (-110)
Nets vs Heat betting trend to know
Brooklyn is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games overall. Find more NBA betting trends for Nets vs. Heat.
How to watch Nets vs Heat
Location
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Date
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
YES, FDSN Sun
Nets vs Heat latest injuries
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DURHAM, NORTH CAROLINA - FEBRUARY 28: Johann Grünloh #17 and Thijs de Ridder #28 of the Virginia Cavaliers defend Cameron Boozer #12 of the Duke Blue Devils during the first half of the game at Cameron Indoor Stadium on February 28, 2026 in Durham, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
As the Brooklyn Nets inch closer to finishing their season with one of their season objectives — top-three NBA Draft lottery odds — it’s time to put on our wishful-thinking cap and look ahead.
Assuming Brooklyn lands near the top of the board, there will be no shortage of intriguing prospects.
But the Nets already have intriguing prospects.
What they need is a franchise changer, someone who can lead them out of the league’s bottom tier and make becoming a Net feel appealing to an available star for the first time since the Big Three era.
“Identity” is a common cliché tossed around when discussing young teams trying to establish themselves. But even if teams don’t formally sit down and define it, having a strong organizational culture has an impact on everything.
That’s why, depending on where the Nets land, the highest-rated player available might not automatically be the best fit for a rebuilding team still figuring itself out. Sean Marks & co. take high character very, very seriously when assessing prospects.
An unhappy star can derail a takeoff before the seatbelt sign even turns off. And after the time this franchise has invested in starting over, Marks cannot afford to miss.
At this stage of the process, you’d have to think Brooklyn’s guy has to be Duke’s Cameron Boozer, a two-time Gatorade National Player of the Year who is having one of the best analytical collegiate seasons of all time and checks other boxes as well.
He leads the country in Player Efficiency Rating, Offensive Box Plus/Minus, Box Plus/Minus, Win Shares per 40 minutes and total Win Shares. His 19.82 BPM and 13.31 OBPM are the second-highest marks posted since 2010-11, trailing only Zion Williamson’s 2018-19 run, which is about as elite a comparison as it gets.
Through 29 games, the freshman power forward is averaging 22.5 points, 10 rebounds, four assists and 1.8 steals.
Drafting four guards and a forward who operates like one in the 2025 NBA Draft doesn’t lock Brooklyn into targeting the frontcourt. The Nets will tell you it’s always about BPA, best player available. But it does matter when you’re sketching out the future.
At 6’10” and 250 pounds, with an uncanny playmaking ability from the 4, the 18-year-old offers size that creates offense instead of slowing it down.
He plays advanced for his age, physically and mentally, like someone who already knows exactly what he’s good at and how to lean into it.
“Cam is never satisfied, I think that’s the great thing about him,” Duke head coach Jon Scheyer said. “He’ll find something from tonight’s game, I’m sure, where he’s pissed at, he didn’t do as well, even though he had 32 (points), nine (rebounds) and four (assists). That’s what makes him special. I think when your best player is that way, it becomes contagious and have a big effect on the rest of the group.”
While his skillset should translate quickly to the NBA, some of the bully-ball stuff, lowering a shoulder into a defender’s chest and carving out space at the rim, probably won’t be as easy against grown men.
Still, that doesn’t mean he’s limited. He’s just taking what’s easiest right now. He can get downhill and finish with either hand, score on the block, face up and knock down a jumper, and even slide into catch-and-shoot threes off movement. The foundation is all there.
Then, there’s the intangible: Boozer is the son of Carlos Boozer who played for four teams in a 15-year NBA career, twice being named to the NBA All-Star team and once to an All-NBA berth. He also won gold as part of the 2008 USA dream team in the Olympics and an NCAA championship. That has to matter. Cameron has a unique resource in pursuing his NBA dream.
What about the others at the top of everyone’s draft board. Darryn Peterson has seen his stock drop because of concerns related to nagging injuries and reliability and one decision-maker told ND this week that A.J. Dybantsa may not be the guy to “set your culture” because of maturity issues. As has been reported, the player the Nets take in the draft will likely be a big part of the draw for a superstar.
Brooklyn’s two most promising young pieces this season have come from backcourt backgrounds — Egor Demin and Nolan Traoré. Demin has already emerged as one of the top young 3-point shooters in the NBA, while Traoré is learning how to properly channel his explosiveness and use his speed to control tempo instead of just playing fast.
With two rising young talents in their backcourt, Boozer can slide in and form a dynamic two-man game with either to carve up defenses for the near future.
Whether lottery luck puts Brooklyn in a chance to immediately draft him, the Nets have options.
They control 10 first-round picks over the next five years, the second-largest asset pool in the league, 13 over the next seven. If they decide to move up, unlike last year, they have enough draft capital to make another rebuilding team at least pick up the phone.
Sitting around and waiting for a player of his caliber to fall into their lap isn’t a safe bet by any means.
If this rebuild is really about getting the plane off the ground and keeping it there, then this is the pick.
BROOKLYN, NY - MARCH 1: Jarrett Allen #31 of the Cleveland Cavaliers dunks the ball during the game against the Brooklyn Nets on March 1, 2026 at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Jesse D. Garrabrant/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
After feeling like Jarrett Allen was being wasted with the Cleveland Cavaliers at the start of the season, Allen saw an uptick of involvement around the trade deadline. This turned into a whole month of Allen seizing opportunities and showing a level of aggression we haven’t seen since his All-Star campaign in 2021-22.
It only feels right that in this first edition of Fear the Sword’s player of the week, we celebrate the fro and praise the campaign he is putting together.
Average player grade last week: A
Stats last week: 22.8 points, 9.0 rebounds and 1.8 assists in four games last week.
Standout performance: 25 points, 9 rebounds, and 4 assists in OT loss to the Detroit Pistons on 2/27/2026.
Frankly, when I was thinking of other players in contention for this award, there was no argument for anyone other than Allen. He’s been on a different level for the better part of a month plus.
Does anybody realize Jarrett Allen was maybe quite literally the best player in the NBA for February?https://t.co/00PY3dPtb1 has their catchall player value stat stat — PIE or Player Impact Estimate.
Last week he quelled any concerns regarding whether the month of February was going to be a fleeting memory or something of substance.
Allen’s peaks in his career have come frequently enough that fans aren’t surprised but more disappointed that they don’t translate to sustained aggression and success. While the arrival of James Harden has certainly gotten Allen more involved, his production came about before the Harden addition.
It was almost a month ago that Allen posted a 40-point game against the Portland Trail Blazers. From there, it was a different Allen for the Cavaliers. The level of involvement from Allen is tied to a winning formula as the Cavaliers are 11-2 when Allen scores 20+ points in this season.
This is because when Allen is active and engaged, he is about as dynamic of a pick-and-roll player as there is in the league. When active in the restricted area, he can also put his touch and vision on display as well.
Against Detroit, it felt like the full display of what a difference an engaged Allen does for Cleveland. The Cavaliers entered that game against Detroit without their star backcourt of Harden and Donovan Mitchell. In the past, this would have been a death knell for the offense. However, Allen stepped up to the call against the Pistons.
Allen played well against one of the best defensive bigs in the league, Jalen Duran. He was the tone setter for the Cavaliers. Allen was getting to the rack early and often against Detroit to the point where when Allen had the ball Detroit’s defense was crashing to meet him around the rim.
Allen was unfazed by the extra defensive attention as he finished 9-10 inside the paint, scoring 25 points, shooting overall 10-12 on the night. That level of scoring, combined with nine rebounds and four assists, would have led the Cavaliers to an impressive victory if not for the team making poor decisions down the stretch.
The talent for Allen has always been there; the level of engagement and enforcement has been what has waivered at times.
The attitude shift in Allen changes the identity of the Cavaliers as much as the acquisition of Harden. Allen has had multiple narratives in the past dangled over his head questioning his toughness. If this version of Allen comes with the Cavaliers into the postseason that is a game-changer for this team.
On behalf of Fear the Sword, Jarrett Allen, your award is in the mail.
BOSTON, MA - MARCH 1: Neemias Queta #88 of the Boston Celtics drives to the basket during the game against the Philadelphia 76ers on March 1, 2026 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Brian Babineau/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
At the NBA trade deadline, the Sixers only subtracted from their roster. They moved Jared McCain and Eric Gordon and received no NBA player in return.
Daryl Morey was asked at his post-deadline presser if he believed in his team’s depth:
“We feel like we’re a deep team. Again, people might not agree, but we do feel like a deep team. In fact, there are many people who are writing that we’re a deep team, so it wasn’t just our opinion. … You for sure always want more good players than bad players. We still have two roster spots. We’ll see what those are still to come.”
The team used the open roster spots and luxury tax savings to sign Dominick Barlow and Jabari Walker — two guys who were already here — and plucked Cameron Payne back from overseas. Nobody expected the team to add a star at the deadline, but any upgrade would’ve been welcomed — especially by the team’s franchise player of the last decade.
Instead, the Sixers’ lack of depth, scoring, shooting and rebounding have haunted them time and time again. It might be what ultimately costs them a guaranteed playoff spot.
Coming into the season, nobody knew what to expect from Joel Embiid and Paul George. Their absences were already been baked into any team-building designs this past offseason. At this very website, we essentially said we thought anything Embiid and/or George would provide this season would be gravy.
Still, the team came into the season with second-year big Adem Bona, veteran Andre Drummond and rookie second-rounder Johni Broome as the only true fives on the roster behind Embiid. Maybe the team believed Broome, who was a heavily experienced and accomplished college player, could contribute right away. And with the way Drummond started the season, the Sixers got away with it … until they didn’t.
No backup center is going to come close to matching Embiid’s production, but the Sixers are lacking stability at the position.
Drummond took a nasty fall in Brooklyn in late November. Prior to that, he’d been giving the Sixers almost starter-caliber minutes when Embiid was sidelined. Though he didn’t miss any time, Drummond’s play has declined. Since Nov. 29, his numbers are down across the board. He was clearly supplanted by Bona for the primary backup role. While Bona is plenty promising, he’s still inexperienced, which shows at times. As for Broome, he never came close to cracking the lineup and had surgery to repair a torn meniscus this past weekend.
Drummond’s inability to contain Neemias Queta, a nice player who looked like prime Dwight Howard Sunday night, was alarming. The veteran big is one of the best rebounders in NBA history, but Queta was able to get 10 offensive rebounds by himself. The Celtics had 19 as a team. It’s a season-long pattern as the Sixers sit 20th in the league in rebounding. Conversely, Boston is sixth.
Here’s another depressing stat: McCain scored more points Sunday than Quentin Grimes and Payne combined. Like Drummond, Grimes got off a tremendous start, but his production has fallen off a cliff. He showed signs of life coming out of the All-Star break, but scored just 14 points combined over his last two games. As for Payne, he’s coming into a difficult spot. He’s had to adjust to time differences, a different league and new teammates. We’ve yet to see him provide much, but that’s sort of to be expected, at least right away.
Some were quick to point to Tyrese Maxey jacking up 34 shots as a reason for the team’s loss to the Celtics. While it was clear Maxey was pressing and forcing things in the first half, the question becomes, who would you rather take the shots? VJ Edgecombe took 21. Kelly Oubre Jr., who didn’t have one of his best nights, took 10. Should they be running more actions to get Drummond threes? Should they let Barlow run point forward? With all due respect to those players, Maxey’s hyper-aggressiveness is sort of necessary on nights like that because of the roster construction. The common factor for most Sixers’ wins without Embiid has been big Maxey nights.
Of course, if you want to complain about the offensive sets the team is running, it’s hard to quibble with that.
Sure, Oubre can have the occasional 20-point night and Grimes has done it in the past, but there needs to be other options. Right now, the Sixers boast one of the worst benches in the NBA. They’re 28th in points and threes per game from their reserves.
Outside of Maxey and Edgecombe, the Sixers don’t take or make enough threes. It’s something Nurse has sort of brushed off here, but in the modern NBA, you have to take high-volume threes. They took 31 threes Sunday — 22 combined from Maxey and Edgecombe. Drummond was the only other guy to take at least four. The Celtics jacked up 49 triples with seven guys putting at least four up. The Sixers are 20th in the NBA in threes per game. Boston is second. Which team would you rather be?
The Celtics, despite missing Jayson Tatum all season, are second in the East with guys like Queta, Baylor Scheierman, Jordan Walsh and Hugo Gonzalez giving them meaningful minutes while being on minimum contracts. They also acquired veteran big man Nikola Vucevic at the deadline.
The center position is an issue. The lack of scoring punch and shooting off the bench is an issue. Rebounding is an evergreen issue. With no reinforcements acquired at the deadline, the likely only way for the Sixers to remedy these problems is for Embiid and George to play.
Both should (hopefully) be ready to roll for the postseason. The issue could be getting there.
The 1995-96 NBA season was legendary — and NBC was right in the middle of it.
Tuesday night, NBC is bringing back that vibe when legendary sports broadcasters Bob Costas, Doug Collins, Mike "Czar of the Telestrator" Fratello, Jim Gray, Hannah Storm, Isiah Thomas and P.J. Carlesimo return to NBC Sports in a special edition "throwback" Coast 2 Coast Tuesday broadcast. That crew will be on hand when Victor Wembanyama and the San Antonio Spurs visit Tyrese Maxey and the Philadelphia 76ers. Costas, Collins and Fratello will call the game alongside courtside reporter Gray, and the NBA Showtime that precedes the game will feature Storm as studio host and Thomas and Carlesimo as studio analysts.
What do we remember from that 1995-96 season? So very much, it was the peak of that NBA era.
72-win Chicago Bulls
The greatest team of all time.
No team in NBA history has won so many games (72-10) and capped it by winning an NBA championship. Nobody. (The 2015-16 Warriors won 73 games but blew a 3-1 Finals lead to LeBron James's Cavaliers.)
That Bulls team featured MVP Michael Jordan, who averaged 30.4 points per game capping off his comeback, as well as Scottie Pippen (fifth in MVP voting and second in Defensive Player of the. Year voting that season), Dennis Rodman (14.9 rebounds per game and elite defense), Tony Kukoc winning Sixth Man of the Year, plus a veteran and impressive group of role players, which included a young sharpshooter out of Southern California by way of Arizona, Steve Kerr.
June 16, 1996: Chicago's Dennis Rodman ignites the crowd with this uninterrupted series of 3rd quarter plays in Game 6 of the NBA Finals.
Rodman had 19 REB/5 AST/3 STL and Michael Jordan had 22 PTS/9 REB/7 AST in the Bulls' 87-75 win over Seattle that clinched the Championship. pic.twitter.com/FgCII6nb8J
Chicago won the 1996 NBA championship on Father's Day, and this was Jordan's first championship after his father's death, which led to an iconic, tearful celebration on the locker room floor.
Magic Johnson abruptly and shockingly retired from basketball in 1991 after contracting AIDS.
Four years later, for the 1995-96 season, Magic returned midseason and played 32 games for the Lakers, still averaging 14.6 points, 6.9 assists, and 5.7 rebounds per game, mostly coming off the bench.
MAGIC RETURNED 30 YEARS AGO TODAY
Magic Johnson came out of retirement on Jan. 30, 1996 and dropped...
Back in 1995-96, Seattle still had an NBA team — and a very good one. A 64-win SuperSonics team that reached the NBA Finals and pushed those 72-win Bulls harder than any other team in the postseason, taking them to six games.
Shawn Kemp led that team with 19.6 points a game, but we tuned in to see him dunk — no player in NBA history has been more of a highlight factory than Kemp.
May 20, 1996: Shawn Kemp dunks on Antoine Carr of the Jazz during Seattle's 91-87 win in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals.
Kemp finished with 15 PTS and Gary Payton had 18 PTS/8 AST/4 STL for the Sonics, who took a 2-0 series lead. Karl Malone had 32 PTS/13 REB for Utah. pic.twitter.com/GooxjQ3ldr
However, the player that really made this team go was The Glove, Gary Payton — 19.3 points a game while winning Defensive Player of the Year. He was locking people down on one end and was part of a high-flying offensive show on the other.
Shawn Kemp and Gary Payton put on a show in a blowout Finals Game 4 win against the Bulls! (1996)
The Toronto Raptors made their debut and started to win over what has become one of the largest and best fan bases in the NBA. Rookie of the Year Damon Stoudemire led that inaugural team.
On the West Coast, the Vancouver Grizzlies debuted, a team led in scoring by Greg Anthony and big men Benoit Benjamin and Bryant "Big Country" Reaves.
Unfortunately, the team would only spend six years in Vancouver, never making the playoffs, before a new owner, Michael Heisley, moved the team to Memphis, where there are no Grizzlies but the team has stayed.
Feb 11, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Cavaliers guard James Harden (1) reacts in the first quarter against the Washington Wizards at Rocket Arena. Mandatory Credit: David Richard-Imagn Images | David Richard-Imagn Images
Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the NBA. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Cavs fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.
It’s been nearly a month since the Cleveland Cavaliers traded for James Harden. He’s played in eight games with the team, and the Cavs are 7-1 in those contests.
Cleveland didn’t trade for Harden to be a good regular-season team. At the same time, that’s all we can base it on right now.
How would you grade the Harden experience so far?
Additionally, the Cavs rocketed up the standings after a strong month of February. However, they may not have much further they can climb, considering the teams in front of them.
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - FEBRUARY 19: CJ McCollum #3 of the Atlanta Hawks reacts after making a free throw during the fourth quarter against the Philadelphia 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena on February 19, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Isaiah Vazquez/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Atlanta Hawks are arguably the NBA’s least distinguished franchise. The Hawks’ one NBA championship happened way back in 1958, and otherwise the team hasn’t even won the Eastern Conference during their existence. The team’s 2021 conference finals run was a rare re-introduction to national relevance for the franchise, but they followed it with a .500 season and eventually punted on that era when they traded Trae Young to the Washington Wizards earlier this year.
The Hawks just seem like they’re permanently stuck in play-in tournament range, and not even a huge stroke of luck could help change that. Atlanta won the 2024 NBA Draft lottery from the No. 10 spot, but unfortunately it was a notoriously bad class at the top, and Atlanta ended up choosing a player we didn’t even have ranked in the top-10. Zaccharie Risacher has had a disappointing start to his career so far, and once again the Hawks are as mid as can be.
There was real optimism the Hawks could take a leap forward this year. The addition of Kristaps Porzingis, a star leap from Jalen Johnson, and the free agent signing of Nickeil Alexander-Walker had sharp analysts like The Ringer’s Zach Lowe on the Hawks bandwagon entering the season. Instead, Atlanta is 31-31 after 62 games, which shouldn’t really surprise anyone, because .500 is what this team has consistently been over the last 70 years.
The Hawks are almost perfectly average this season in terms of points scored and points allowed. Oh, but there’s so much more than that.
Atlanta’s mediocrity actually goes all the way back to the 1950s. The Hawks aren’t just .500 over their last 62 games, they’re actually .500 over their last 90 games, their last 134 games, their last 348 games, their last 420 games, their last 1,570 games …
You get the picture.
Hawks are not only 31-31 in their last 62 games but also…
45-45 in their last 90, 67-67 in their 134, 174-174 in their 348, 210-210 in their last 420, 785-785 in their last 1,570, 1,940-1,940 in their last 3,880, and 2,895-2,895 in their last 5,790 https://t.co/5SWcdEpDgA
This stat is cherry-picking a little bit, but it’s still remarkable. The Hawks have always been mid over the course of 70 years, despite playing in what’s been the league’s JV conference for the last 25 years.
There is some hope on the way for Hawks fans. The team made a brilliant trade for the New Orleans Pelicans’ unprotected 2026 first-round pick during the 2025 draft. The Pelicans are currently 19-43 and are the sixth-worst team in the NBA. The Hawks actually own the most favorable of the Pelicans’ and Milwaukee Bucks’ pick. The Bucks are 26-34, and would enter the lottery in the No. 10 spot if the season ended today. Atlanta is going to have outstanding odds at landing a top pick in an absolutely loaded draft class. Hawks fans, read our most recently 2026 NBA mock draft here.
Hey, there has to be some team that’s always losing to the Celtics and beating the Wizards in the East. Some teams are usually great, some teams are usually terrible. The Hawks are neither. They are simply pure mid.
The TCU product has cashed the Over in four of his last five appearances, posting 30+ points in three of those. While he scored just 17 in his most recent game against the Pistons, Bane erupted for 30 just two days prior against the Rockets.
Bane is averaging 22.3 points at home this season, and the Washington Wizards aren’t exactly an elite team, ranking only above the Jazz in overall defensive efficiency.
Wizards vs Magic same-game parlay
Banchero is averaging 8.5 rebounds this season, and he’s coming off a 10-board performance against Detroit.
The former first-overall pick has cashed the Over in rebounds in two of his last three, and he’s up against a Wizards team giving up 10.8 boards per contest to power forwards.
Jalen Suggs is Orlando’s best playmaker, averaging 5.2 assists per game. He’s dished out Over 5.5 dimes in seven of his last 10 outings.
Wizards vs Magic SGP
Desmond Bane Over 21.5 points
Paolo Banchero Over 9.5 rebounds
Jalen Suggs Over 5.5 assists
Our "from downtown" SGP: Cast a Deadly Spell
Bane is averaging 2.4 makes at home for a 40% clip from deep, and he’s cashed the Over in triples in two of his last three games at the Kia Center. With how bullish we are on several key Magic players, we'll add Orlando to cover the lofty spread to boost our odds.
Wizards vs Magic SGP
Desmond Bane Over 21.5 points
Paolo Banchero Over 9.5 rebounds
Jalen Suggs Over 5.5 assists
Desmond Bane Over 2.5 made threes
Magic -15.5
Wizards vs Magic odds
Spread: Wizards +15.5 (-110) | Magic -15.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Wizards +750 | Magic -1200
Over/Under: Over 228.5 (-110) | Under 228.5 (-110)
Wizards vs Magic betting trend to know
The Washington Wizards have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 45 games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Wizards vs. Magic.
How to watch Wizards vs Magic
Location
Kia Center, Orlando, FL
Date
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
MNMT, FDSN Florida
Wizards vs Magic latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
NBC's Coast 2 Coast Tuesday is going to have a distinct, vintage 1990s vibe this week, and that is coming to Sacramento.
That's because for the game between the Phoenix Suns and Sacramento Kings — a game where Devin Booker is set to make his return from a hip injury — NBC will feature some of its famed broadcasters from the 1990s: Hannah Storm, P.J. Carlisimo and player and broadcaster Isiah Thomas. Both Coast 2 Coast Tuesday broadcasts — Spurs vs. 76ers at 8 p.m. ET and Suns vs. Kings at 11 p.m. ET — will incorporate reminiscent and familiar components from the 1995-96 NBA on NBC season, including feature graphics package (score bar, stats, full pages, replay wipes, etc.) and tape elements.
The second game of the night will feature a Phoenix team that is one of the best stories of the NBA season, a team that revamped its roster and culture and started winning way ahead of schedule. Well, at least until recently, when injuries hit hard, which is why the Suns head into Tuesday trying to get back into a winning groove and move up into the top six in the West
Phoenix takes on a Sacramento team that has won a couple of games in the past week and has a couple of name stars on the roster in Russell Westbrook and DeMar DeRozan. That said, injuries derailed the Kings' season, and as a result, they have the worst record in the NBA. Sacramento is focused on June's NBA Draft.
Phoenix has been one of the best stories of the NBA season.
Last summer, after a couple of disappointing seasons, the Suns pulled the plug on the Kevin Durant, Bradley Beal and Devin Booker era, trading away Durant and Beal, but keeping the homegrown Booker (they also fired coach Mike Budenholzer). With the heavy roster turnover, expectations outside Phoenix were low (preseason, the Suns were projected to win 31.5 games — they already have 34). Owner Mat Ishbia talked about the culture he wanted to build: "We want to make sure that it's a team that competes, that's grinding, that wants to win, that doesn't just cash in because it looks like we're down by too much."
Dillon Brooks has been exactly that guy and brought the rest of the team along with him. Brooks came over from Houston in the Durant trade and was having a career year (20.9 points per game), but he is out for this game with a fractured left hand.
Injuries have hit the Suns hard of late, not having Booker or Brooks for a stretch has them 3-6 in their last nine games — but Booker is not on the injury report and is expected to play Tuesday night. Booker leads the team in scoring at 24.7 points per game (which would be his lowest scoring average since the 2016-17 season). The Suns have also found surprising players to step up this season, such as Collin Gillespie, who is averaging 13.5 points per game and is a frontrunner for the Most Improved Player award.
One Sun to watch is Jalen Green. Injuries hit him hard this season, too, he played in just five of the Suns' first 52 games of the season due to hamstring and hip issues. That time off hasn't made Green shy offensively, as he's hoisted at least 15 field goal attempts in each of his last 5 games. He just hasn't found his rhythm yet, hitting just 32.7% of his shots (and 21.4% of threes). That said, he did knock down the buzzer-beating game-winner to defeat the Magic in double overtime.
Sacramento entered this season with playoff aspirations, but injuries and struggles have derailed the team — the Kings recently set a franchise record with a 16-game losing streak. Sacramento's current win percentage (.226) puts it on pace for the second-worst season in franchise history, and that's a rough franchise history.
Injuries are part of what has hit the Kings so hard. Right now, All-Star center Domantas Sabonis is out (knee surgery), as is Zach LaVine (hand surgery), De'Andre Hunter (eye surgery) and their rising star Keegan Murray (ankle).
There are names to know and names to watch in Sacramento. Future Hall of Famer Russell Westbrook, 37, is currently 14th on the NBA's all-time scoring list with 27,074 points (just 240 points away from surpassing Elvin Hayes, who's next on the list). Then there is DeMar DeRozan, 36, who is the only player to play in all 62 Kings games this season.
There are young players to watch in Sacramento. Center Maxime Raynaud is one, averaging 10.4 points and 7.1 rebounds per game, as is rookie Nique Clifford, who is averaging 13.5 points per game in hislast 13 games. Raynaud (22 points) and Clifford (13 points and seven assists) were both big parts of the Kings' most recent win, a 130-121 victory at Dallas, a game where veteran big man Precious Achiuwa led the Kings with a career-high 29 points.
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It took two games for Jose Alvarado to win the hearts of New Yorkers after the trade deadline.
Honestly, Jose had our hearts a long time before that, and it was only a matter of time until he put on a Knicks uniform. But still: the moment had arrived. Finally, after years of Alvarado to New York rumors flying around, the front office finally pulled the trigger on February 5th. Less than a week later, Jose made history, becoming the first player in Knicks franchise history to record 25+ points, 5+ steals, and 5+ three-pointers in a game off the bench. Keep in mind the fact that the Knicks got him for a bag of chips (sorry, Yabusele and Dalen Terry) and the deal only gets sweeter and sweeter from there.
This wasn’t a one-off performance, either. Alvarado has been averaging 8.4 points, 2.9 boards, and 3.9 assists in just under 20 minutes per game. Add to the equation his 1.7 steals per outing, and it’s easy to see how his constant energy and effort amount to a flurry of activity on the court.
Jose Alvarado is tonight's defensive player of the game 👷
It’s not just the eye test – numbers nerds should love him as well. The advanced stats back it up. The Knicks have a 98.1(!!) defensive rating with him on the floor. For reference, OKC leads the league with a 106.1 defensive rating. New York’s defense, led by Alvarado, is on par with some of the best lineups in the league. And the offensive side of things remains just as strong, with a 118.0 rating. That gives Alvarado a 19.9 net rating, which over the course of the season would be far and away the best in the league.
Expect some regression on both ends here, but nine games is a large enough sample size to look at Alvarado’s production and say that we might have something here. Keep in mind – excluding his flamethrowing game at Philadelphia, Jose is shooting only 20% from deep, so there’s still room to grow.
New York wanted to strengthen their bench at the trade deadline after the Jordan Clarkson experiment didn’t go exactly to plan. They wanted a guy who would play hard on both sides of the floor. They got the prototype.
The next question, and rightfully so, is whether a Brunson/Alvarado backcourt hold their own together? There’s a lot of talent there, of course, but the lack of size hurts. A lot.
So far, the two have played 77 minutes together, and according to net rating, it’s been the offense that takes the bump, not the defense. Again, it’s a small sample size, but Mike Brown hasn’t shied away from pairing the two together, and it’s delivered encouraging returns so far.
The other thing is, how does the return of Deuce McBride impact Alvarado’s minutes off the bench come playoff time? McBride also serves as a combo guard who can shoot the three and play tough defense. We’ll see how Brown manages the two down the stretch of the season.
However you see it, though, it’s an excellent problem to have. Alvarado is making the Knicks better already, and he’s exactly the kind of spark plug you want off of your bench in a best-of-seven series.
Despite missing Isaiah Hartenstein and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tonight, the Oklahoma City Thunder enter as a well-oiled machine against a Chicago Bulls squad in a total tailspin.
While the Bulls recently beat a Giannis-less Milwaukee team, they entered that game on a staggering 11-game losing streak and rank dead last in net rating since the trade deadline.
OKC boasts the league’s No. 1 defensive rating and covers 57% of its road games. Facing a "tanking" Bulls “G-League” roster, the Thunder’s elite defensive efficiency and transition offense should pull away for a double-digit cover.
Dort has cleared 10.5 points in three straight games without SGA, while Holmgren’s 19-point Dallas performance could fuel another big night against the leaky Bulls defense.
Thunder vs Bulls SGP
Thunder -10.5
Luguentz Dort Over 10.5 points
Chet Holmgren Over 18.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Cason closed
Cason Wallace is another who should see heavy usage. He dropped eight dimes Sunday at Dallas and has cleared his assist total in four of his previous six contests.
Thunder vs Bulls SGP
Thunder -10.5
Luguentz Dort Over 10.5 points
Chet Holmgren Over 18.5 points
Cason Wallace Over 5.5 assists
Thunder vs Bulls odds
Spread: Thunder -10.5 (-105) | Bulls +10.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Thunder -475 | Bulls +370
Over/Under: Over 229 | Under 229
Thunder vs Bulls betting trend to know
The Chicago Bulls have only covered the spread in 18 of their last 50 games (-16.10 units / -29% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. Bulls.
How to watch Thunder vs Bulls
Location
United Center, Chicago, IL
Date
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Oklahoma, CHSN
Thunder vs Bulls latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
The team with the fewest wins in the NBA faces a playoff hopeful as the Sacramento Kings host the Phoenix Suns tonight.
Maxime Raynaud has seen big minutes and big numbers in Sacramento’s shorthanded frontcourt, and my Suns vs. Kings predictions expect a stat-stuffing performance from the rook.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this Pacific Division showdown on Tuesday, March 3.
Suns vs Kings prediction
Suns vs Kings best bet: Maxime Raynaud double-double (+105)
The Sacramento Kings are missing Domantas Sabonis and Dylan Cardwell, which means Maxime Raynaud will see ample playing time.
Raynaud has 12 double-doubles on the season, and four of them have come across his last six outings.
In those six games, Raynaud has averaged 15.3 points and 11 rebounds across 31.2 minutes. In that span, the Phoenix Suns have surrendered the sixth-most rebounds (47.8).
Given Raynaud’s recent success as a scorer and rebounder, this line is mispriced, and I’m happy to take this profitable wager at plus-money odds.
Suns vs Kings same-game parlay
Nique Clifford has started two straight games, and he's averaged 32.5 PRA across 40.5 minutes. The rookie has averaged 19.4 PRA across 12 starts, hitting the Over on this combo line in three of his last five in the starting lineup.
The Kings' offense isn't going to put up a ton of points regularly, and the Phoenix Suns are 25-35 to the Under this season.
Suns vs Kings SGP
Maxime Raynaud double-double
Nique Clifford Over 22.5 points+rebounds+assists
Under 223
Our "from downtown" SGP: Kings of the hill
The Suns hit the road after playing eight of nine at home, while Sacramento is back home after five straight on the road. Phoenix is just 3-6-1 ATS across its last 10, and the Kings will be motivated to avoid the season sweep by a division rival after dropping three straight to PHX.
Suns vs Kings SGP
Maxime Raynaud double-double
Nique Clifford Over 22.5 points+rebounds+assists
Under 223
Kings moneyline
Suns vs Kings odds
Spread: Suns -10.5 | Kings +10.5
Moneyline: Suns -500 | Kings +375
Over/Under: Over 223 | Under 223
Suns vs Kings betting trend to know
The Sacramento Kings have hit the team total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Kings.
How to watch Suns vs Kings
Location
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
Date
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off
11:00 p.m. ET
TV
Peacock
Suns vs Kings latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
Don’t fear, Canadian friends! The Knicks (39*-22) are in your country to face the Raptors (35-25), not to start a war. Unless they lose. Then maybe Canada becomes an existential threat.
This tilt features two top-five Eastern Conference teams, with New York third and Toronto fifth. Both have won six of their last 10 games. When they last met, on January 28, New York whomped Toronto, 119–92, behind a blistering 30 points from Mikal Bridges. OG Anunoby added 26 points and a season-high six steals, while Josh Hart matched a season-high with 22 points. For the Dinos, Brandon Ingram led with 27 points, Scottie Barnes posted 17 points and 10 rebounds, and our old pal RJ Barrett chipped in 14.
The Toronto Raptors beat the Wizards, 134 to 125, on Saturday thanks to 27 points and 11 assists from Immanuel Quickley. In a Sunday matinee, the Knicks beat the Spurs, 114–89, behind 25 points from Mikal Bridges. Jalen Brunson scored 24 with seven assists, and Josh Hart chipped in a 10-10 double-double. Victor Wembanyama led San Antonio with 25 points and 13 boards.
The Raptors post a 114.9 offensive rating, 16th in the league. Their defensive rating is 112.9, seventh overall. They score 114 points per game, ranking 22nd, and surrender 112, eighth in the league. They don’t take a ton of threes – 33 per game – maybe because they shoot 35%. Don’t be fooled by their 35 wins; most of those came against the league’s weaker teams.
That sleepy All-Star Ingram averages 22 PPG and shoots 37% for Toronto, while fellow All-Star Barnes puts up 19 PPG and grabs 8 RPG. As for the OAKAAKs, Barrett can be counted on for 18 PPG, and Quickley logs almost 18 points per game and 6 APG, shooting 38% from yard. Sandro (never forget) Mamukelashvili averages 11 PPG and grabs five boards.
The Raptors’ likely starting five will be Quickley, Ingram, Barrett, Barnes, andJakob Poeltl (9.8 PPG, 7.4 RPG). The game’s injury report says you won’t see Miles McBride, Collin Murray-Boyles, and Mr. Chucky Hepburn. And we thought the only Chucky in the league was Cam Thomas.
THIS DATE IN KNICKS HISTORY: On March 3, 1967, Walt Bellamy logged a triple-double, recording 29 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists in a 138-132 loss to the Lakers in L.A. The following year, the Hall-of-Famer was traded with Howard Komives to the Detroit Pistons for Dave DeBusschere.
Prediction
ESPN gives the Knicks a 56% chance to win. As they should. The Knicks hold a better record and lead the five-game season series, 3-0. Their frontcourt might be thin, though; Mitchell Robinson is likely to sit, given that he’ll be needed tomorrow at home against the Thunder.
Which raises a good point: since our heroes will have to zip back across the border and face OKC in approximately 24 hours, how much effort should they exert tonight, in a possible playoff preview? Conventional wisdom suggests they should pace themselves, which could result in a tighter game. Plus, Quickley loves to shoot three-pointers against the Knicks, making 11-of-25 in five career games against his old team. When they met in January, Quick stunk and posted seven points on nine shots in almost 30 minutes. He’ll do better tonight. Although the Knicks have beaten the Raptors 11 straight times, winning number 12 might not be so easy. New York takes this one by three.
Game Details
Who: New York Knicks (39*-22) at Toronto Raptors (35-25) Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 Time: 7:30 PM ET Place: ScotiaBank Arena, Toronto, CA TV: MSG Follow: @ptknicksblog and bsky
* Should be one more, but NBA Cup wins, like love, are evanescent stuff.
WASHINGTON, DC - MARCH 2: Sharife Cooper #13 of the Washington Wizards drives to the basket during the game against the Houston Rockets on March 2, 2026 at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Stephen Gosling/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images
Last night’s loss by the Washington Wizards — this time to the Houston Rockets — seems from the numbers like it was at least a somewhat entertaining game. They fell behind by as much as 19, then went ham in the fourth quarter to trim the final margin to just five.
Now, it was one of those sorta phony “comebacks” that was more than a little about Houston slacking off. But, Sharife Cooper had the game of his career and the quarter of his life (11 points on 5 shots, plus 2 assists in the fourth). Jaden Hardy shot 4-4 in the period. Justin Champagnie 3-3.
<p>Wizards guard Sharife Cooper with a paint touch and kickout pass during the team’s loss to the Houston Rockets.</p><br> | NBAE via Getty Images
So, I’d imagine these guys were giving a helluva good effort and it might have even been fun to see.
Unfortunately, I can only imagine because of the NBA’s blackout rules. I live in the Houston market, so I can’t use League Pass. Well, technically I can, I just have to wait three days.
“Every NBA game is available live with NBA League Pass in every country except the US and Canada due to blackouts,” the league explains on their website. “Blackout restrictions exist because local and national content providers have certain exclusive rights to show live games and content.”
The problem, of course, is that these blackout rules were made decades ago when the only ways to watch games were to show up in person or catch it on over-the-air TV. Cable TV entered the fray and made local market games available to subscribers, which for a time was virtually every household.
We’re in the cable cutting era now. According to AdWave, 80% of US households had a pay cable, satellite, in 2011. The current number is about half that. In 2024, 4 million households canceled cable per day. The pace increased in 2025 — an estimated 77 million households dumped their cable TV subscriptions last year alone.
In other words, cable and satellite are dying. People are consuming content over the internet and via streaming services. Or they’re pirating games they want to see by watching illegal streams that put their device and network security at risk.
The goal of these kinds of blackouts is to force people like me to buy cable or satellite so I can watch these games. That’s the theory. The reality is that it’s not working. Any bump the cable company gets from sports fans is offset by the millions of households canceling. Or, in my case, not subscribing at all when I moved to Texas.
Archaic blackouts are doing two main things at this point;
Punishing fans who don’t have a cable subscription. I’m a hoops junkie who enjoys the way the Rockets play and would watch virtually every game — if I could. But I’m not paying another $20+ per month on top of my League Pass subscription to watch the Rockets. I’ll catch them on national TV or put on a three-day old game in the background when I’m doing something else.
Undermining the development of new fans. To me, this is the more serious consequence. I became a fan watching over-the-air Bullets games on channel 20 — at-times staticky and often in black-and-white (that’s what we had in the kitchen) — but I could follow the action, especially when the great Mel Proctor was calling the game. How does a kid who’s curious about NBA basketball but doesn’t know much experience more than highlights if her parents don’t have the right subscriptions to watch games until three days after the game?
The three-day waiting period to watch an NBA game is absurd. Preposterous. Ridiculous. Unreasonable. By the time last night’s game is legally available to me, the Wizards will have played the Orlando Magic (tonight) and the Utah Jazz (Thursday). Which is to say, I’m never watching this game. I may see clips at some point if I’m doing some video analysis, but that’s it.
It’s time for the very smart people running the NBA to update these broadcast policies to reflect the changed reality of how people consume content. A League Pass subscriber should have access to every game, regardless of where it’s played or who’s broadcasting it. Financial aspects might get complex, but this seems like the sort of problem that smart people could figure out — or at least prompt an AI to figure it out for them.
I’ll stop complaining with this: The NBA’s broadcast policy should reflect something Commissioner Adam Silver said a couple years ago: maximum flexibility for people to watch games. Someone who cares enough about the NBA to have a “no-ads” League Pass subscription should be able to watch anything using League Pass. ‘Nuff said.
Thoughts & Observations
Since I didn’t watch, these are all derived from the box score or play-by-play.
Once again, the Wizards have done the improbable. They shout 54.3% from three-point range and were +30 from the three-point line and lost.
The Rockets pummeled the Wizards on the boards despite the absence of Steven Adams. Houston had 21 offensive rebounds to Washington’s 20 defensive boards. They out-rebounded Washington 59-27. This is not unexpected considering Washington’s complete lack of size. Julian Reese, a 6-9 forward they signed on Saturday, started at center. He could manage just four rebounds in 28 minutes.
Houston committed 20 turnovers — 1-in-5 possessions. Alperen Sengun and Kevin Durant combined for 14 turnovers (8 and 6 respectively). Outside of Reese (four turnovers), the Wizards did a pretty good job avoiding turnovers.
Bilal Coulibaly hitting 5-7 from three-point range is a welcome development. He’s up to 30.4% from the three-point line this season. That’s something of an improvement from last season’s 28.1%.
Four Factors
Below are the four factors that decide wins and losses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).
The four factors are measured by:
eFG% (effective field goal percentage, which accounts for the three-point shot)
OREB% (offensive rebound percentage)
TOV% (turnover percentage — turnovers divided by possessions)
FTM/FGA (free throws made divided by field goal attempts)
FOUR FACTORS
ROCKETS
WIZARDS
LGAVG
eFG%
53.8%
58.8%
54.3%
OREB%
51.2%
15.6%
26.1%
TOV%
19.8%
11.9%
12.8%
FTM/FGA
0.261
0.121
0.207
PACE
101
99.4
ORTG
122
117
115.3
Stats & Metrics
PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).
PPA is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small sample sizes, the numbers can get weird. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45. For a single game, replacement level isn’t much use, and I reiterate the caution about small samples sometimes producing weird results.
POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.
ORTG = offensive rating, which is points produced per individual possessions x 100. League average so far this season is listed in the Four Factors table above. Points produced is not the same as points scored. It includes the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing credit when receiving an assist.
USG = offensive usage rate. Average is 20%. Median so far this season is 17.7%.
ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by former Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and modified by me. ORTG is an efficiency measure that accounts for the value of shooting, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.
+PTS = “Plus Points” is a measure of the points gained or lost by each player based on their efficiency in this game compared to league average efficiency on the same number of possessions. A player with an offensive rating (points produced per possession x 100) of 100 who uses 20 possessions would produce 20 points. If the league average efficiency is 115, the league — on average — would produced 23.0 points in the same 20 possessions. So, the player in this hypothetical would have a +PTS score of -3.0.
Players are sorted by total production in the game.
James Harden running the entire offense as the primary scorer and ball handler usually slows the game down. He brings it up, gets the Cleveland Cavaliers into sets, and makes you defend deep into the clock.
Cleveland is without Donovan Mitchell, its late-clock bailout option. Remove him, and the Cavs lose downhill attacking and easy paint touches. Against a Detroit Pistons defense allowing the fourth-fewest points per game, scoring will not come easily.
Cleveland will lean on its own elite defense to compete. These head-to-head battles usually turn into low-scoring wars, which is why the Under is the play tonight.
Pistons vs Cavaliers same-game parlay
I’ll back the Cavs to win. They must have a chip on their shoulders after blowing a nine-point lead late on Friday night in Detroit.
Having Harden and a healthy Keon Ellis should be enough to shore up the defense and secure their seventh consecutive victory at Rocket Arena.
Pistons vs Cavaliers SGP
Under 227.5
Cavaliers moneyline
Our "from downtown" SGP: TEASER
Dennis Schroder is starting in Mitchell’s absence and has dished at least four dimes in five straight contests.
Tobias Harris is in for a tough night against Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen. He’s also failed to score more than 14 points in three of his last five games.
The last 10 meetings are 3-7-0 to the Under. Find more NBA betting trends for Pistons vs. Cavaliers.
How to watch Pistons vs Cavaliers
Location
Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
Date
Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Tip-off
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN Detroit, FDSN Ohio
Pistons vs Cavaliers latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
