#1 – ¿Dónde está España?
The Celtics’ Spain pick-and-roll action is the most efficient play call they have, especially against a big man like Joël Embiid. Therefore, it wasn’t a surprise to see them go to this action to start the game.
First with Sam Hauser and then with Jayson Tatum, the Celtics scored their first four points with this play call. Embiid really struggles to protect the drive, and Paul George can’t always stay connected to the ball-handler. Therefore, this creates opportunities at the rim—what more can you ask for?
Well, after running it twice in the first three minutes of the game, they stopped it for 16 minutes, and we had to wait until the end of the second quarter to see that play again. Why? Why change an offensive play call that works, that has been working all season, in an elimination game?
The Celtics ran it only a few times in the first half, and when you consider how efficient these actions are, it is hard to understand the reasoning that led the Celtics away from that movement.
Instead, they insisted on a lot of isolation, and it is safe to say that it didn’t go as expected.
#2 – Isolation struggles
The Celtics are scoring at a very poor efficiency rate against Paul George in isolation this series, but they are also struggling against the usual mismatches. Tyrese Maxey has been much better than in previous years at staying in front of Jaylen Brown, and he is now able to force mid-range shots instead of giving up drives.
Brown has also struggled against Kelly Oubre, committing four turnovers when defended by the Sixers wing. The driving lanes weren’t open as usual, and the 2024 Finals MVP wasn’t able to navigate space the way he likes to.
41% shooting from the All-Star, with only two assists and 18 points, was one of the reasons the Celtics couldn’t keep up in the game—but his defense might have been the biggest problem.
#3 – “Best two-way player in the league”?
Calling yourself the best two-way player in the game in December is certainly a bold move, but what matters most is staying true to your word when the playoffs come around. Last night, Brown was the weakest link in the Celtics’ defensive shell and caused multiple breakdowns.
First, there is this transition defense against VJ Edgecombe, where he lets him go right by and doesn’t offer any resistance. This is the playoffs—you’re playing a Game 6. Every possession should matter, even in transition.
Then, in the half-court, the Celtics wanted to avoid giving Joël Embiid one-on-one situations against their centers. The goal was to send a second defender while making sure the corners and the paint remained protected. The problem is that Brown isn’t able to do both, and when the help comes from him, it gives a free pass to his defender at the rim—especially when the rotation behind him isn’t there either.
The body language and defensive execution on that play against Kelly Oubre as the ball-handler provide a great example of the defensive level we saw last night. There is no pressure, and the wing gets to his spot with ease.
As the Sixers realized Brown couldn’t keep up with Oubre off-ball, they put the wing in the opposite corner from Embiid, waited for the help to come, and for Brown to lose track of his matchup—leading to another open layup at the rim.
#4 – The drop coverage has to change
After Game 5, I wrote about how the Sixers exposed the Celtics’ drop coverage.
Guess what? The Celtics stuck to the same coverage, and the Sixers exposed them again. As we saw in the last game, both Neemias Queta and Nikola Vucevic don’t have the backpedaling ability and hip mobility to keep up with Tyrese Maxey… so why keep trying?
The Celtics should try putting Jayson Tatum on Joël Embiid to take away the two-man game from the Sixers. Kelly Oubre is an average enough shooter that you can try putting Neemias Queta on him—or go small, double aggressively on Embiid with better rotations—but something different has to be shown to the Sixers. They are getting too comfortable. You can’t let that happen in a Game 6.
#5 – Is Paul George the best wing of the series?
We already mentioned his stellar defense in isolation, but the rim protection he also brings, for a wing, has been elite. On that Spain action from the Celtics—one of the rare times they didn’t score—he came off Jayson Tatum to block Queta at the rim. Wow.
Offensively, he brings the versatility needed alongside a quick guard like Maxey and a big man like Embiid. He knows how to play off them and use their gravity. On this play that gave the Sixers a 23-point lead, PG tricks Jaylen Brown and cuts behind the defense for an easy layup at the rim.
What becomes really problematic for the Celtics is that he is making the tough shots he likes to take from mid-range. This gives the Sixers another offensive option to attack smaller bodies like Sam Hauser.
The Jays have one game to step up and show who the best wings in this series are. But so far, with his elite defense and efficient offensive role, PG has been dominating that debate.
#6 – What happened to the offensive rebounds?
In three of the first four games, the Celtics had an offensive rebound rate above 40%. Over the last two games, that number dropped to 28% in Game 5 and 15% in Game 6. What happened to winning the possession battle and attacking a team weakness?
The Sixers ranked 27th in defensive rebound rate this season. Their numbers are basically saying: “crash the glass, and you’ll be fine.”
This needs to be addressed.
#7 – Turnover economy favors the 76ers
While they are losing the possession battle on the rebounding side, the Sixers are also forcing more turnovers—which is rare, but it is working. First, there is the way Jaylen Brown commits offensive fouls. He is already up to 10 this postseason, twice as many as the second player in that category.
Then there is the impressive length and defensive discipline from the Sixers, who know the Celtics’ playbook and have been very good at anticipating movements and forcing difficult passes.
Overall, the Sixers took three more shots than the Celtics and had three more free throws—a small possession gap that could cost Boston its season on Sunday in Game 7.
#8 – Has anyone seen Hugo Gonzalez?
The Celtics are losing the possession battle in both rebounds and turnovers. You know who might help in that area? Hugo Gonzalez.
The young rookie could also help with switchability. Against the Knicks earlier in the season, he showed he could defend both Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns in the same game. It might be time to unleash him against the Sixers.
#9 – Going to the bench with 10 minutes left?
This one is more of an open question for you in the comments, because it’s another strategic decision I don’t fully understand.
Does it make sense because you want to approach Game 7 with as much energy as possible? Or did you expect the bench unit to pull off a comeback? Was it more of a message to the starters?
#10 – The best words in sports… Game 7!
Now is the time to breathe and enjoy it while it lasts, because the season could end this weekend. Still, it’s hard not to be excited about a Game 7 at TD Garden—a chance to see what this group is really made of.