Yaxel Lendeborg NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, Michigan's Yaxel Lendeborg is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the forward's draft night will play out.

Yaxel Lendeborg 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 8 overall, Memphis Grizzlies

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

The Grizzlies could add to their rebuilding core after trading away Jaren Jackson Jr. by selecting Yaxel Lendeborg, who is perhaps the most NBA-ready player in this draft class. The Big Ten Player of the Year offers a bit of everything on both sides of the ball and has silenced skeptics who were unsure how his game would scale after transferring from mid-major UAB to high-major Michigan. The Grizzlies have drafted players with similar trajectories like Jaylen Wells and Cedric Coward.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

Yaxel Lendeborg player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Forward
  • Current Team: Michigan
  • 17.7 points per game
  • 7 rebounds per game
  • 3.2 assists per game
  • 50.9% field goal percentage
  • 35.3% three-point field goal percentage

Memphis Grizzlies 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 8, No. 19 (via ORL) and No. 31 (via IND)

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Yaxel Lendeborg NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land

Morez Johnson Jr. NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, Michigan's Morez Johnson Jr. is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the forward's draft night will play out.

Morez Johnson Jr. 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 25 overall, New York Knicks

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

Morez Johnson Jr. is one of the best, most underrated two-way players in the NCAA. He is a crucial part of the Michigan identity this season and has thrived since transferring to the Wolverines from Illinois. Johnson's shooting form at the free throw line looks good, and he scores well near the rim, especially when cutting to the basket. The former FIBA U-19 Team USA standout and All-Big Ten big man is a trustworthy defensive playmaker, too, and should find minutes at the next level.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

Morez Johnson Jr. player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Forward
  • Current Team: Michigan
  • 13.1 points per game
  • 7.2 rebounds per game
  • 1.1 assists per game
  • 62.8% field goal percentage
  • 37.9% three-point field goal percentage

New York Knicks 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 26, No. 33 (via WAS) and No. 56

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Morez Johnson Jr. NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land

Kingston Flemings NBA mock draft projection: Where Houston star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, Houston's Kingston Flemings is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the guard's draft night will play out.

Kingston Flemings 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 5 overall, Utah Jazz

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

The Jazz currently have the worst defensive rating in the league but could potentially improve that by selecting Houston freshman Kingston Flemings. The All-Big 12 guard has several games when he has recorded at least three steals, notching eight against Arizona State earlier this season. He scored 42 points against No. 11 Texas Tech on Jan. 24 and had a strong performance against Baylor, recording 21 points with seven assists and two steals on March 4. With highs as high as his thus far, it will not take long for him to hear his name called on draft night.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

Kingston Flemings player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Guard
  • Current Team: Houston
  • 16.4 points per game
  • 3.9 rebounds per game
  • 5.3 assists per game
  • 47.5% field goal percentage
  • 39.2% three-point field goal percentage

Utah Jazz 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 5

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Kingston Flemings NBA mock draft projection: Where Houston star is expected to land

A.J. Dybantsa NBA mock draft projection: Where BYU star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, BYU's A.J. Dybantsa  is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the forward's draft night will play out.

A.J. Dybantsa 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 1 overall, Indiana Pacers

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

The race for the No. 1 pick is a tight one, but if the Pacers get the pick, the most likely candidate is AJ Dybantsa. Even though he has flirted with the idea of returning to college, he is the perfect missing piece (around Tyrese Haliburton, Andrew Nembhard, Pascal Siakam and Ivica Zubac) for this roster. The Big 12 Rookie of the Year leads the nation in unassisted points scored (680) by a wide margin this season, per CBB Analytics. The emerging star became the youngest player in NCAA history with a 30-point triple-double against Eastern Washington on Dec. 22. Highlighted by his 43-point performance against in-state rival Utah on Jan. 24 and 40 points against Kansas State in the Big 12 Tournament on March 10, he has averaged 28.4 points per game over his last 16 appearances.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

A.J. Dybantsa player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Forward
  • Current Team: BYU
  • 25.3 points per game
  • 6.7 rebounds per game
  • 3.8 assists per game
  • 51.3% field goal percentage
  • 34.0% three-point field goal percentage

Indiana Pacers 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 1

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: A.J. Dybantsa NBA mock draft projection: Where BYU star is expected to land

Keaton Wagler NBA mock draft projection: Where Illinois star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, Illinois' Keaton Wagler is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the guard's draft night will play out.

Keaton Wagler 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 7 overall, Atlanta Hawks

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

After trading away Trae Young, the Hawks could find their point guard of the future in Illinois standout Keaton Wagler using a first-round pick they received from the Pelicans. The 19-year-old guard scored 46 points while shooting 9-of-11 on 3-pointers against No. 12 Purdue on Jan. 24. He projects as one of the best 3-point shooters in this class, shooting 41.0 percent from beyond the arc as a freshman this year. The Big Ten Rookie of the Year is a cerebral basketball player who is also averaging 4.9 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game this season.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

Keaton Wagler player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Guard
  • Current Team: Illinois
  • 17.9 points per game
  • 4.8 rebounds per game
  • 4.4 assists per game
  • 44.6% field goal percentage
  • 40.2% three-point field goal percentage

Atlanta Hawks 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 7 (via NOP), No. 22 (via CLE) and No. 57 (via BOS)

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Keaton Wagler NBA mock draft projection: Where Illinois star is expected to land

Tyler Tanner NBA mock draft projection: Where Vanderbilt star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, Vanderbilt's Tyler Tanner  is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the guard's draft night will play out.

Tyler Tanner 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 28 overall, Minnesota Timberwolves

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

It is unusual to find a 6-foot sophomore projected in the first round of a mock draft, but if there were ever a player who has earned that kind of praise it's Tyler Tanner. Despite his size, the All-SEC guard has found meaningful ways to contribute on both sides of the floor. He can score efficiently, dunk, block shots, steal the ball, and he is more than serviceable as a floor general capable of earning rotation minutes for a team like the Timberwolves. His performance on March 3 against Ole Miss included 34 points (3-of-6 on 3-pointers), five rebounds, seven assists and five steals. It was his second performance with at least 30 points in a 30-day stretch.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

Tyler Tanner player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Guard
  • Current Team: Vanderbilt
  • 19.1 points per game
  • 3.6 rebounds per game
  • 5.1 assists per game
  • 49.0% field goal percentage
  • 37.2% three-point field goal percentage

Minnesota Timberwolves 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 28 (via DET) and No. 59 (via SA)

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Tyler Tanner NBA mock draft projection: Where Vanderbilt star is expected to land

Aday Mara NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, Michigan's Aday Mara is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the center's draft night will play out.

Aday Mara 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 27 overall, Boston Celtics

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

As the Celtics continue to exceed expectations, they do have some holes to fill in their frontcourt after losing both Kristaps Porzi??is And Al Horford. After selecting Hugo Gonzlez from Spain in the draft last season, they could potentially target his former FIBA U18 European Championship tournament teammate Aday Mara. The 7-foot-3 big man who transferred from UCLA is a fantastic rim protector. Opponents only attempt 18.7 percent of their field goals at the rim when the Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year is on the court, per CBB Analytics, the second-lowest among all NCAA players. He can also pass well, finding some awesome outlet looks in transition.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

Aday Mara player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Center
  • Current Team: Michigan
  • 11.6 points per game
  • 6.9 rebounds per game
  • 2.3 assists per game
  • 67.4% field goal percentage
  • 25.0% three-point field goal percentage

Boston Celtics 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 27 and No. 40 (via MIL)

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Aday Mara NBA mock draft projection: Where Michigan star is expected to land

Caleb Wilson NBA mock draft projection: Where North Carolina star is expected to land

March Madness is underway and today's college stars have a chance to cement themselves in this summer's NBA draft class. The 2026 draft is expected to take place in late June. In USA TODAY's latest mock draft, North Carolina's Caleb Wilson is expected to go in the first round.

Here's how USA TODAY currently projects the forward's draft night will play out.

Caleb Wilson 2026 NBA Draft prediction: Pick No. 4 overall, Brooklyn Nets

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

Kalbrosky's Analysis:

It was devastating news to learn North Carolina freshman Caleb Wilson would miss the NCAA mens basketball tournament with a broken thumb. Wilson, who also suffered a hand fracture earlier in the season, did more than enough to earn this placement though. After the Nets took five bites at the apple in the first round of the 2025 NBA Draft last season, they could fill in the rest of the puzzle of their roster by adding the All-ACC big man. Before the injury, via Bart Torvik, the freshman led the nation with 67 dunks recorded. He was also the only player under 20 years old to reach thresholds of 2.5 percent for both block and steal percentage while also notching a defensive rebound percentage above 20.0 percent.

See USA TODAY's full mock draft here

Caleb Wilson player profile

(all stats as of March 15)

  • Position: Forward
  • Current Team: North Carolina
  • 19.8 points per game
  • 9.4 rebounds per game
  • 2.7 assists per game
  • 57.8% field goal percentage
  • 25.9% three-point field goal percentage

Brooklyn Nets 2026 projected draft picks

  • No. 4, No. 34 and No. 44 (via LAC)

All picks based on Tankathon lottery projection

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Caleb Wilson NBA mock draft projection: Where North Carolina star is expected to land

John Calipari has history of early March Madness upsets. Will it happen again?

Arkansas head coach John Calipari has his Razorbacks at the No. 4 seed line and prepared to face the No. 13-seed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at 4:25 p.m. ET (1:25 p.m. PT).

Although it seems like a no-brainer to have Arkansas over Hawaii, Calipari's recent history might suggest otherwise.

Calipari joined the Arkansas bench for the 2024-25 season after 15 seasons at Kentucky that included winning a national championship in 2012. However, his time in Lexington ended in heartbreaking fashion.

In his final three seasons at Kentucky, Calipari's teams lost in the first weekend of the NCAA men's basketball tournament, two of them truly shocking upsets. Here's what happened:

2024: Kentucky loses to No. 14 seed in first round

Kentucky lost in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament in 2024. The Wildcats were a No. 3 seed that season but fell to No. 14 Oakland by a final of 80-76.

Calipari's team featured players such as Rob Dillingham, Adou Thiero and Reed Sheppard. That defeat marked Calipari's final game at Kentucky.

2023: Kentucky upended in second round

The Wildcats were a No. 6-seed in the 2023 NCAA Tournament. They made it past the first round after defeating the No. 11 Providence Friars, 61-53.

Awaiting them in the second round was No. 3-seeded Kansas State, which was led by heroics from 5-foot-8, heart-over-height point guard Markquis Nowell. Nowell and K-State upended Kentucky, 75-69. Nowell scored 27 points and dished nine assists in the win.

2022: Kentucky loses overtime thriller to No. 15 seed

Kentucky was a No. 2 seed in the 2022 NCAA men's basketball tournament when it went up against No. 15-seed Saint Peter's. It was arguably the biggest upset of the year.

The game needed an extra period to decide a winner. Saint Peter's outscored Kentucky, 14-8, in the overtime play to go on to win. The Peacocks were led by Daryl Banks III with 27 points and Doug Edert chipped in with 20.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: John Calipari history of March Madness upsets: Arkansas in trouble?

Where is Siena? What to know of Duke's NCAA Tournament opponent

No. 1 overall seed Duke takes on No. 16 seed Siena in the first round of the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament on Thursday, March 19, looking to take care of business and avoid an absolutely devastating upset.

Only two No. 16 seeds have won first-round NCAA Tournament games ever, both of which came in recent years: when Virginia lost to UMBC in 2018 and Purdue to Fairleigh Dickinson in 2023. Siena is also led by a former Syracuse legend in Gerry McNamara, who won a national championship with the Orange in 2003 and has his jersey retired in the rafters at the school.

Siena isn't the most recognizable brand in college basketball: It has six previous NCAA Tournament appearances in its history, last reaching the field in 2010. The Saints did win first-round games in 1989, 2008 and 2009, however.

For those tuning into the David vs. Goliath-level matchup, here's what to know of Siena before it takes on Duke, the current national championship favorite heading into the NCAA Tournament:

Where is Siena located?

Siena is a private school located in Loudonville, New York, where it was founded in 1937. Its total undergraduate enrollment is less than 4,000 students.

Siena basketball nickname

Siena's athletics teams go by the nickname "Saints," and its mascot is a St. Bernard named "Bernie."

Siena NCAA Tournament history

Siena has six prior NCAA Tournament appearances in its history, last reaching the big dance in 2010. The Saints actually have four NCAA Tournament wins in their history, most recently winning games in back-to-back seasons against No. 4 seed Vanderbilt in 2008 and against No. 8 Ohio State in double overtime in 2009.

Siena made the NCAA Tournament again in 2010, but fell to Purdue by eight points as a No. 13 seed. Its first NCAA Tournament win came against Stanford in 1989 as a No. 14 seed, before winning its second game in the play-in round against Alcorn State in 2002.

Siena has never made it past the first weekend of March Madness. Here's a look at how they have performed in their NCAA Tournament appearances:

  • 1989: Beat (3) Stanford 80-78 | Lost to (11) Minnesota 80-67
  • 1999: Lost to (4) Arkansas 94-80
  • 2002: Beat (16) Alcorn State 81-77 | Lost to (1) Maryland 85-70
  • 2008: Beat (4) Vanderbilt 83-62 | Lost to (12) Villanova 84-72
  • 2009: Beat (8) Ohio State 74-72 (2OT) | Lost to (1) Louisville 79-72
  • 2010: Lost to (4) Purdue 72-64
  • 2026: vs. (1) Duke

What conference does Siena play in?

Siena competes in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC), where it has been a member since 1989-90. The MAAC features teams from Connecticut, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Jersey and New York. Siena won the conference tournament in 2025-26 to reach the NCAA Tournament.

The Saints have won regular-season MAAC championships in 1991, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2020 and 2021, winning the MAAC Tournament championship in 1999, 2002, 2008, 2009, 2010 and 2026.

Before joining the MAAC, Siena competed out of the Eastern College Athletic Conference-North (ECACN) before it was renamed to the North Atlantic Conference (NAC) in 1989. In their last year in the conference, the Saints won the 1989 NAC Tournament to earn their first bid to the NCAA Tournament.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Where is Siena located? Nickname, March Madness history for MAAC program

Matt Painter, Purdue basketball and the honest quest for March Madness glory

Be honest.

It’s been the guiding principle Purdue basketball coach Matt Painter has lived by. On and off the court, whether you like hearing it or not, he has spent every moment in West Lafayette providing his belief over false assurances.

You can ask him just about anything, and he’ll give the facts, or his truth.

“We don't promise guys anything,” he told USA TODAY Sports. “We'll try to be as honest as we can be. If we lose you that way, that's cool with us. We'd rather be honest and lose you.”

There is no legacy as rich as honesty, and it has helped Painter build one with the Boilermakers. In his 22nd season coaching his alma mater, he has been through it all. Sustained success, disappointing finishes, all while the sport rapidly changes around him.

What hasn’t changed is his pursuit to finally bring a championship to Purdue.

“It gets old, but it's part of the fight,” he said.

Purdue Boilermakers head coach Matt Painter claps his hands after a foul is called during the first half against the Illinois Fighting Illini at Mackey Arena.

It’s taken a unique approach for Purdue to consistently be a contender. First off, it starts with that honesty.

When Painter is building his roster, he’s not looking for high school All-Americans or blue-chip recruits. In the 247Sports all-time database that began in 2010, he’s only signed one five-star prospect — Caleb Swanigan in 2015. 

In that same timeframe, he’s produced eight All-Americans, including a national player of the year in Zach Edey.

How does that happen? By laying down the path of development. Before you step on campus, he tells you how he expects your time will go. 

Major contributor off the bat? Sweet. Not seeing any minutes in Year 1? That’s all good. Painter is far from done with you. It builds up faith and trust in those who decide to wear the black and gold.

“He's genuine. He cares about you as a person, not just as a basketball player, and he's truthful,” said senior guard Braden Smith. “That's important as well, because a lot of coaches promise things that they can't hold or will say stuff that doesn't happen. 

“(Painter) has never done that.”

The approach also applies to transfers. Painter vows not to “spend all cost” toward additions. He wants to pay for someone’s value, not their projection.

Putting together a team is one of the things Painter loves about his job. He also loves practices and games like any other coach. There are some things he doesn’t really enjoy. One is the attention, but you can’t really avoid that as a high-profile coach.

Then there's the chaos of college basketball, which he isn’t afraid to share his feelings about, advocating for some government intervention to help get a level playing field for universities.

“The landscape is harder, and it's changing,” Painter said. “You don't know, are we here to stay? If we don't get some help here from Congress, or get some firm rules and collective bargaining and things of that nature.

“We need something to solidify our grounds so we can move forward. We want a competitive balance,” he added.

Painter recalled the Boilermakers “had to be hit in the face” to understand how the landscape changed, and adjust to where it could survive instead of sink. Now, it’s all about being able to "stay up at the Joneses.”

College sports have changed, and it’s led to some high-profile coaching departures. Nick Saban is the most notable name to cite how NIL contributed to him stepping away, with basketball coaches like Jay Wright, Tony Bennett and Jim Larrañaga also departing.

So, why hasn’t Painter? 

Well, the 55-year-old loves this too much.

“I could do this until I'm 70,” he said with a smile.

Braden Smith of the Purdue Boilermakers high fives head coach Matt Painter against the Iowa State Cyclones during the second half at Mackey Arena on December 6, 2025 in West Lafayette, Indiana.

Ever since taking over from his coach, Gene Keady, there’s been a lot for Painter to love about leading the Boilermakers. Winning Big Ten titles, consistently making the tournament and winning games in it. Why would he want to leave that?

Painter is making $4.975 million this season, according to IndyStar, ranking in the top 20 of coaches’ salaries. He said there were open jobs after last season he could’ve taken and gotten more money, but didn’t see it worth leaving Purdue for.

For as great as it’s been, it also comes with plenty of heartbreak. Purdue has developed a stigma for its March shortcomings. In the past nine tournaments, it has lost to a No. 12, 13, 15 and 16 seed, becoming the butt of jokes.

Even though the astonishing loss to No. 16 seed Fairleigh Dickinson in 2023 was followed up with a national championship appearance, three years later, it’s a result that still fuels Painter. 

“In this business, you're either humble or you're getting ready to get humbled,” he said. “We were officially humbled.”

Be honest. Let the team know its goals and expectations, where it stands and what can happen.

The goal? Win a national championship. 

This team is capable of it. Led by soon-to-be NCAA assists record-holder Smith and a group of seniors who have “accomplished everything” but winning it all, Purdue entered the season the No. 1 team in the country. It started 17-1, having the look of a title-winning team.

Yet, one thing Painter learned is his team is never complete. He knew the oil would begin leaking, and sure enough, it did with a 6-7 finish to the regular season. While it raised the panic alarms, the coach finds a silver lining in struggles.

“One thing that I always believe in is bad things happen when you win and good things happen when you lose,” Painter said. “Your puzzle is never complete. If you're a coach and you think your puzzle is complete, you're an absolute fool.”

The puzzle was far from complete, yet recently it looks like it’s a few pieces away. It was almost like a flip was switched for the Big Ten tournament, winning four games in four days en route to the conference title.

Purdue looked like the team expected ahead of the season, and goes into the NCAA Tournament on a hot streak. The goal was to get a top-three seed, and the Boilermakers are the No. 2 in the West Region.

Exactly where they want to be. But, they’ve also been here before. Painter is no stranger to heartbreak.

“We’ve had a lot of success through the years, but we also understand we can get beat by anybody, anytime,” he said. 

If there’s a team to break all of that though, end years of shortcomings and frustrations, it’s this one. If Painter is being honest, this squad is there.

His players believe the same, and they’re out to get their coach the ending he deserves. 

“First, it would be for him,” Smith said of winning a national championship for Painter. “Just being able to win it for a program that he's been a part of for 20 years or whatever it is, it's special, because you don't see that often. 

“He does it the right way, he coaches the right way, he approaches the game the right way, he does everything the right way. I think people should get rewarded,” he added. “That's our goal: to help him out and try to get that for him.”

And that’s the honest truth.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Purdue's March Madness lows fuel Matt Painter's championship quest

Has Nebraska won an NCAA Tournament game? Cornhuskers' March Madness history

Nebraska men's basketball is amid an historic season in 2025-26, earning a program-best No. 4 seed in the NCAA Tournament. It's unprecedented territory for the Cornhuskers, who have never experienced success in March Madness.

Literally.

Seventh-year coach Fred Hoiberg didn't make the NCAA tournament with Nebraska until his fifth season with the program in 2023-24. The Cornhuskers missed the big dance again last season, although they won the inaugural College Basketball Crown championship before winning 20 consecutive games to start the 2025-26 season.

No. 13 seed Troy, who's making its second consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance, won't be an easy out. Nebraska will also certainly be looking to lift some historical blunders off its shoulders with a win.

Here's what to know of Nebraska's NCAA Tournament history:

Has Nebraska ever won an NCAA Tournament game?

Nebraska is the only Power conference program to have never won a Men's NCAA Tournament game, and has its best chance in program history to win its first when it faces Troy in the first round on Thursday, March 19.

It's the Cornhuskers' ninth-ever NCAA Tournament appearance, having last made the field in 2024. Nebraska lost to Texas A&M 98-83, despite being a No. 8 seed against the No. 9 Aggies in the first round.

Hoiberg said March 18 that he hasn't addressed the program's NCAA Tournament history leading up to the game, and that he doesn't plan to. He did note, however, that there's pressure involved with the game.

“I know the first question is going to be Nebraska has never won a tournament game,” Hoiberg said. “We realize that. Have I talked to our players about it? No, I haven’t. They know. They see it. Is there a pressure that goes along with that? Of course there is.” 

Hoiberg's son, Sam Hoiberg, is one of Nebraska's top players. He also addressed what it would mean for the school to win a March Madness game.

“That's what I've been dreaming of since I became a player in this program,” Sam Hoiberg said. “That's the only thing left to do is get that tournament win. It's the unsaid thing in every single room, is we don't have a tournament win. So being able to do it as a senior would be pretty cool.”

Nebraska NCAA Tournament history

  • 2024: No. 9 Texas A&M 98, No. 8 Nebraska 83
  • 2014: No. 6 Baylor 74, No. 11 Nebraska 60 
  • 1998: No. 6 Arkansas 74, No. 11 Nebraska 65
  • 1994: No. 11 Penn 90, No. 6 Nebraska 80 
  • 1993: No. 7 New Mexico State 93, No. 10 Nebraska 79 
  • 1992: No. 9 UConn 86, No. 8 Nebraska 65
  • 1991: No. 14 Xavier 89, No. 3 Nebraska 84
  • 1986: No. 8 Western Kentucky 67, No. 9 Nebraska 59

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Nebraska March Madness history: Have Cornhuskers ever won NCAA Tournament game?

California teams could go on Cinderella runs through March Madness

California Love is displayed throughout the NCAA men's basketball tournament this year, with UCLA leading the way.

However, there are some surprising California sleepers experts predict can have a Cinderella run and bust brackets along the way. California Baptist, Santa Clara and Saint Mary's College have all earned bids to the 2026 NCAA Tournament.

The California Baptist Lancers are going to the big dance for the first time. The Santa Clara Broncos are going for the first time in a long time; their last NCAA Tournament appearance was in 1996, when they were led by Steve Nash.

For the Saint Mary's Gaels, it's their fifth straight appearance, but they have been a first- or second-round exit each year since 2022.

All three hope to make this the year of unpredictability. Here's what the experts think of their chances in the 2026 NCAA men's basketball tournament.

No. 10 Santa Clara could repeat history, 30 years later

The last time Santa Clara made an appearance in the NCAA men's basketball tournament, no player on the current roster was born. It was 1996 and it was led by some Canadian kid named Steve Nash. The Broncos earned a No. 10-seed and upset No. 7-seed Maryland, before losing in the second round.

It's deja vu, three decades later — the Broncos earned the No. 10-seed and will go against the No. 7 seed. This year it's Kentucky. USA TODAY Sports' Blake Toppmeyer believes they have the repertoire to break the Wildcats' hearts.

Toppmeyer:"This is Santa Clara’s first NCAA Tournament bid in 30 years. It got here with an offense that can score 80-plus points with relative ease. Two wins against Saint Mary’s proved Santa Clara’s mettle. Santa Clara coach Herb Sendek, a former Kentucky assistant under Rick Pitino, has won NCAA Tournament games with three different schools."

Santa Clara Broncos forward Allen Graves (22) dribbles the basketball against Gonzaga Bulldogs guard Davis Fogle (4) during the second half at Orleans Arena.

The Broncos can score with the best of them, led by sophomore Christian Hammond with nearly 16 points per outing. Kentucky has been a team that has had to play hero ball after falling behind in games it probably shouldn't have.

The last time Kentucky faced a West Coast Conference team it suffered a 35-point loss to Gonzaga, which Santa Clara lost to in the WCC Tournament final on March 10.

The Broncos and Wildcats face each other beginning at 12:15 p.m. ET (9:15 a.m. PT) on Friday, March 20.

Will No. 13-seed California Baptist have first-timer's luck?

The California Baptist Lancers are a private school in Riverside, but there's nothing private about their game. They dominated the Western Athletic Conference, going 25-8, including 15-0 at home.

The Lancers were led by Compton native Dominique Daniels Jr. Their 5-foot-10, senior guard was one of the best scorers in all of college basketball during the 2025-26 season. Daniels averaged 23.2 points on 43.7% shooting, which included a couple 40-point games.

CBS Sports' Owen O'Brien has the Lancers on upset watch as a potential Cinderella team in this year's tournament.

O'Brien:"CBU is making its NCAA Tournament debut after a strong finish to the year, winning 15 of its last 17 and taking the WAC Tournament. It has one of the nation's best scorers in Dominique Daniels Jr. (23.2 ppg), who led the WAC in points and is averaging 32 ppg over his last three games. Cal Baptist will see No. 4 Kansas in the first round, and the game will take place in San Diego — just 100 miles from CBU's campus. Additionally, there have been seven 13-seeds to upset 4-seeds over the last seven NCAA Tournaments."

No. 13 California Baptist plays No. 4 Kansas at 9:45 p.m. ET (6:45 p.m. PT) on Friday, March 20.

How far will Saint Mary's go this year?

Saint Mary's is in an interesting position at a No. 7-seed, as it prepares to face No. 10 Texas A&M.

They Gaels lost twice to Santa Clara, a No. 10-seed in the bracket. This is their fifth straight tournament appearance but they've had first- or second-round exits each year since 2022.

And this season, they are expected to do much of the same. CBS Sports' Gene Menez believes they suffer another first-round exit, losing to the Aggies, despite Texas A&M going on a downslide to end the season, losing seven of its last 11 games.

Menez:"Thursday's game will be a contrast of styles. A&M plays at the 29th fastest tempo in the country (70.5 possessions per 40 minutes), which is a major reason the team averages 87.7 points per game (ninth in the nation). Meanwhile, Saint Mary's ranks 298th in tempo (65.2 possessions per 40). Despite playing at a slower tempo — or perhaps because of it — the Gaels have a more efficient offense than A&M, averaging 120.4 points per 100 possessions to the Aggies' 119.7."

For what it's worth, the Gaels advanced to the second round last year, beating Vanderbilt before losing to Alabama.

No. 7 Saint Mary's goes up against No. 10 Texas A&M at 7:35 p.m. ET (4:35 p.m. PT) on Thursday, March 19.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: March Madness Cinderella predictions for California teams

How Illinois' Keaton Wagler has risen from freshman unknown to superstar

From completely unrecognized to a superstar.

That has been the story of Illinois men's basketball freshman guard Keaton Wagler, who went from an under-recruited 3-star prospect to the Big Ten Freshman of the Year and likely NBA draft lottery pick.

Wagler has led veteran-laden, European-influenced Illinois to the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament as a No. 3 seed in the South Region. He's averaging a team-leading 17.9 points, breaking the freshman record previously held by Cory Bradford (1998-99). He also leads the team with 4.4 assists per game and is tied for third on the team with 4.8 rebounds per game.

Perhaps most notably, he leads the team in minutes played, with 33.7 per game.

His immediate success has surprised even the people who have been in his corner since Day 1, such as his former high school coach David Birch at Shawnee Mission Northwest High School (Shawnee, Kansas).

"The only thing that surprises me is he looks the same at Illinois as he did in the Sunflower League in Kansas," Birch told USA TODAY Sports. "The way he's playing now is the way he played for us for four years. The only thing that surprises me is how quickly his game translated."

While Illinois coach Brad Underwood was already singing Wagler's praises after a strong summer, it was still fair to say the scrawny 6-foot-6 guard was an unknown. That was evident to Wagler when Illinois honored the 2005 men's basketball team during the first timeout of the first quarter of their season opener against Western Michigan on Aug. 29, 2025.

Deron Williams, Luther Head and Dee Brown were among the stars honored from the 2005 NCAA tournament runner-up team that finished 37-2. Wagler was just happy to pose for pictures and talk to them for a few minutes.

"No one really knew who I was at that point," Wagler told USA TODAY Sports. "For everyone, I was just a freshman who they didn't know what to expect."

Wagler changed everyone's tune, and quickly. He earned a start in the season opener for the Fighting Illini on Nov. 3, 2025, against Jackson State: In his collegiate debut, he scored 18 points, adding six rebounds, four assists and two steals in 27 minutes.

In his second game, Wagler scored 22 points in 28 minutes against Florida Gulf Coast. He scored 11 against Texas Tech. After just a few games at the collegiate level, he had already caught the attention of former NBA star Peja Stojakovic — the father of Illinois teammate Andrej Stojakovic.

"After a couple of games, he came and dapped me up," Wagler said. Though he didn't have the opportunity to watch Peja Stojakovic growing up — Wagler was born in 2007, and Stojakovic's career ended in 2011 — he knew the magnitude of receiving acknowledgment from the 2011 NBA Finals champion and three-time NBA All-Star.

"It just showed I was going in the right direction. It gives me a lot of confidence to know that I've been playing [well enough] that I've earned the respect of Peja Stojakovic," Wagler said.

Keaton Wagler NBA draft rise

USA TODAY Sports has projected Wagler as the No. 7 overall pick to the Atlanta Hawks in its most recent mock draft.

Likely, no scouts saw Wagler as an NBA prospect after his freshman season in college. In fact, entering his senior year of high school, Wagler only had offers from mid-majors such as Colorado State and Drake. It wasn't until Aug. 22, 2024, that he received offers from Minnesota and Illinois. He committed to the Fighting Illini a month later.

Indeed, Birch figured Wagler had all the skills to be an NBA player, but it would take him three to four years to hone his skills.

It took just one phone call for Birch to change his opinion about Wagler's NBA outlook.

"It was Oklahoma City," Birch said. "The way they scout and how well they've done building their roster, just in terms of draft, the way they evaluate players, the way they develop players, and the fact that that was the first one to call, kind of sounded the alarms that, 'Hey, this guy's going to be an NBA player, for sure.'"

Keaton Wagler's transformation

While Wagler did find early success against lower-level teams, his first three games against high-major teams in Texas Tech, Alabama and Connecticut yielded 11-, eight- and three-point performances, respectively. In those games, he shot 6-of-21 (28.5%) from the field. He fouled out of the game against the Crimson Tide.

Through his first eight games, Wagler was averaging just 13.5 points per game on 8.8 field goal attempts per game, with three single-digit point games. Over the final 24 games, he averaged 19.4 points on 13 shots per game.

"At the start [of the season], I was playing off the ball more," Wagler said. "I got switched to more on the ball after our UConn game and that gave me a lot of confidence that the coaches trusted me to have the ball in my hands and make plays."

Keaton Wagler's breakout performance vs Purdue

Sure, Wagler had 20-point performances against NCAA Tournament teams in Ohio State and Missouri in December, but he saved his biggest performance for a bigger stage.

Against Purdue on Jan. 24, Wagler scored 46 points in an 88-82 win for Illinois. He shot an efficient 13-of-17 from the field and splashed down nine of his 11 3-point attempts. The 46 points were the most points by a visiting player in Mackey Arena history, and the most points by a Big Ten player this season.

"Everyone was talking about how good he had played, but then you go put up 46 at one of the toughest places to play," Birch said. "The [hype] went up a whole other level."

Of course, for Birch, those kinds of performances were nothing new for the 2025 Gatorade Kansas Player of the Year and the 2024-25 Kansas MaxPreps High School Basketball Player of the Year.

Shawnee Mission Northwest won the state title in Wagler's junior season and repeated as champs in 2024-25 when he was a senior.

"What's crazy about that performance was that he did that same kind of thing for us the year before," Birch said. "We had our 7-foot center, who signed with Michigan State, Ethan Taylor, out for four games. And it was our toughest four-game stretch of the season.

"He averaged 30 points a game, 14 rebounds and seven assists at that time. We won all those games. That's what he's doing for Illinois."

Against Michigan on Feb. 27, Big Ten Player of the Year Yaxel Lendeborg took up guarding Wagler. But he was guarding him the full length of the court, forcing the ball out of Wagler's hands.

"He was picking me up 94 feet the whole game," Wagler said after the loss to the Wolverines. "He was getting physical, getting through ball screens, just pressuring me at all times, and making it hard."

He admitted that it was a shock for him.

"It's kind of crazy," Just seeing the scouting and how much the scouting report has changed from the beginning of the season to now. Most teams put their top defender on me and try to guard me super physically, not let me catch the ball, guard me 94 feet, just to wear me down.

"I think it just shows the respect that other teams and coaches have for me, and how good a player I've transformed into this season."

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Inside Keaton Wagler's rise at Illinois, from unknown to freshman star

How Rod Strickland took LIU from college basketball's worst team to March Madness

BROOKLYN, NY – This time three years ago, Long Island University went into the offseason as the unquestioned worst team in college basketball — winners of just three games in coach Rod Strickland’s debut, two against teams from Division III.

This time a year ago, the Sharks were still stinging from a loss to Saint Francis in the Northeast Conference semifinals after finishing second in the league standings during the regular season.

A rocky, step-by-step construction process has led to Friday, when Strickland and the No. 16 Sharks will face No. 1 seed Arizona as heavy underdogs in the opening round of the Men's NCAA Tournament West Region.

“I was just looking for LIU on that board,” Strickland said on Selection Sunday. “Actually seeing it, it’s a great feeling for everyone in the room.”

Over the course of Strickland’s four seasons, LIU has gone from abysmal (2022-23) to flat-out bad (2023-24) to postseason contenders (2024-25) to the program’s first tournament appearance since the university system consolidated its Brooklyn and Long Island athletics departments in 2019.

Simply reaching this point is the culmination of a four-year journey: LIU turned the embarrassment of Strickland’s debut and the pain of last season’s tournament near-miss into perhaps the most impressive rebuilding project in this year’s field.

“Last year, it burnt,” said senior guard Jamal Fuller. “It carried over to this year. We all made sure that this year, it wouldn’t happen. We all did what we were supposed to do. From Day 1, we came in here as a group and no one tried to belittle anybody.”

Building on last season’s tournament miss

The seed of this unexpected NCAA appearance was planted in the days after last year’s exit from the conference tournament.

The 2024-25 season was a breakthrough, sure, but the Sharks were focused on what could have been. LIU finished 17-16 overall, posting the program’s first winning season since 2021-22, but lost 10 games by single digits, including three losses in overtime.

“We lost a lot of games that we should’ve won,” Fuller said. “But we learned from it.”

In the wake of the loss to Saint Francis, the Sharks gathered to outline the expectations for this season: to win the NEC regular-season championship, tournament championship and, yes, the national championship.

“That’s what it’s about. We started this as a unit,” said Strickland. “This call to become regular-season, conference and NCAA champions. It started with all of us in a room talking about it.”

By the summer, LIU had added in a seven-person recruiting class that joined key holdovers such as Fuller and fellow guard Malachi Davis, both of whom were selected to the preseason all-conference team.

“I have to give them a lot of credit for sticking with us, for believing in us,” Strickland said of the Sharks’ returning core.

Among the additions were guard Greg Gordon, who previously played at Alabama-Birmingham and Iona, and guard Jomo Goings, a 6-5 junior who earned all-conference accolades at Slippery Rock University.

Over the course of the summer months and preseason, the Sharks weathered early dissension as they blended the incoming class with the returning roster.  

“It was a lot of, like, arguments about who was going to be who, who’s going to lead or what,” said Gordon. “But eventually we just kind of chose the fact that we’ll prioritize winning over feelings. That’s kind of been our biggest thing.”

After going 6-7 in nonconference play, including road losses to future tournament teams in Illinois and Georgia, the Sharks won 11 of 12 to open NEC action and fulfilled their promise as the league’s unanimous preseason favorite.

“At the end of the day, that’s what this is all about,” said Strickland. “Giving them the best experience we’ve had and we’re having.”

A major gamble has paid off for LIU, Strickland

It’s not uncommon to see former NBA players leading teams into the NCAA Tournament.

Strickland is one of six in this year’s field, joining Hofstra’s Speedy Claxton, Central Florida’s Johnny Dawkins, Nebraska’s Fred Hoiberg, North Carolina’s Hubert Davis and Kentucky’s Mark Pope.

During his 17-year NBA career, Strickland developed a reputation as a mercurial talent who, when harnessed, could rival any of the league’s top point guards. That reputation lingered into the start of Strickland’s coaching career, which began as the director of basketball operations at Memphis before he served as an on-court assistant under former South Florida coach Orlando Antigua from 2014-17 and an off-court support staffer for John Calipari at Kentucky.

Despite his limited résumé, that Strickland accepted the job at LIU in 2022 represented a major gamble on both ends — the Sharks’ administration was rolling the dice on an unproven coach, while Strickland was betting he could avoid the type of pitfall that could come to define his coaching career.

“I had to bet on me,” he said. “And bet on that I could define the environment and try to make it work and make it happen. I was betting on me and the people I could bring around to help me elevate this place.”

He rarely references his NBA career, according to players. Gordon didn’t even know Strickland was “a big NBA guy” when he arrived on campus, he said; asked by a teammate if he knew of Strickland’s background, Gordon replied, “Not really.”

But a professional career that still clings to Strickland led to raised eyebrows when he accepted the LIU opening: Why would someone with his level of name recognition choose to make his debut as a head coach at a program miles removed from the sport’s upper crust?

Because of the challenge, said Strickland.

“It’s never about the job, like, itself,” he said. “For me, it was about growth. I feel like I’ve done so many things in basketball and this was just, like, another thing to conquer. I wanted to see if I could do it. I wanted to see if I could change the environment as a head coach. More than anything, I probably came here for more personal growth than anything.

“Like, I was given an opportunity. I would never walk in somewhere and think it’s beneath me. LIU was a great opportunity. And it was an opportunity to show that I could change the environment, I could help young people get better, I could help the staff.”

Does LIU have a chance at upsetting Arizona?

This year’s team is Strickland’s most talented “as a whole,” he said.

Looking ahead to the tournament, the Sharks have assets that typically play well in March: a productive and veteran backcourt, rim protection and solid perimeter defense.

Led by Fuller’s 16.4 points per game, the four primary ballhandlers — Fuller, Davis, Gordon and Goings — account for 75.4% of the Sharks’ scoring. All four average in double figures with at least 3.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. Goings was the only one of this group not to earn all-conference accolades.

LIU also ranks 10th nationally and third among mid-major programs with 5.4 blocks per game. It also ranks first in the NEC and 70th in the country with 7.8 steals per game and first in the NEC and 73rd nationally in allowing opponents to make 31.9% from deep.

Arizona remains a daunting challenge. The Big 12 regular-season and conference champions have gone a combined 24-2 against Quad 1 and Quad 2 competition — LIU is 0-4 in such games — and enter the tournament on a nine-game winning streak punctuated by wins against Iowa State and Houston.

“Regardless, we’re going to go out there and do what we have to do,” Fuller said.

While two No. 16 seeds have defeated No. 1 seeds since the tournament expanded — most recently, fellow NEC member Fairleigh Dickinson beat Purdue in 2023 — the top-ranked Wildcats opened as nearly 30-point favorites, meaning an LIU shocker would qualify as the biggest upset in tournament history by point spread.

“Opportunity is opportunity,” said Strickland. “And you’ve got to start somewhere. Everybody’s path and how it happens is just different.”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: How Rod Strickland led LIU from rock bottom to NCAA Tournament 2026