Pelicans vs Spurs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The San Antonio Spurs try to sweep the regular season series with the visiting New Orleans Pelicans tonight.

All previous matchups have been close, which is why my Pelicans vs. Spurs predictions take the points with NOLA.

Find out more in my NBA picks for January 25.

Pelicans vs Spurs prediction

Pelicans vs Spurs best bet: Pelicans +11.5 (-105)

There’s not much question in my mind who wins: At 4-17, the New Orleans Pelicans are tied for the second-fewest road wins in the NBA and are dead last in the West (4-28) against teams with a winning record.

However, the San Antonio Spurs haven’t been a great bet against the spread of late, going just 2-4-0 in their last six.

While the Spurs have won all three games against the Pelicans this season, the largest margin of victory has been seven points, and NOLA is 3-0-0 against the spread.

Consider also the Pels are as healthy as they’ve been all season, so all those extra points are a nice gift for Sunday’s matchup.

Pelicans vs Spurs same-game parlay

Victor Wembanyama is coming off a 14-rebound game, the third straight double-digit rebound game and fourth in the last five. In the two games he’s played against NOLA this year, Wemby has had at least 11 rebounds in both.

De’Aaron Fox has only hit 19 points or more twice in his last seven games.

Pelicans vs Spurs SGP

  • Pelicans +11.5
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 10.5 rebounds
  • De'Aaron Fox Under 18.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Big boy balling

Zion Williamson has scored at least 20 points in eight of 12 January matchups, including seven games over 20.5 points.

Stephon Castle has been working as the primary table-setter for San Antonio of late, but he’s hit nine dimes just twice in the last 10 games.

Pelicans vs Spurs SGP

  • Pelicans +11.5
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 10.5 rebounds
  • De'Aaron Fox Under 18.5 points
  • Zion Williamson Over 20.5 points
  • Stephon Castle Under 8.5 assists

Pelicans vs Spurs odds

  • Spread: Pelicans +11.5 | Spurs -11.5
  • Moneyline: Pelicans +425 | Spurs -575
  • Over/Under: Over 239.5 | Under 239.5

Pelicans vs Spurs betting trend to know

New Orleans has covered the spread in eight of its last nine games vs Southwest Division opponents. Find more NBA betting trends for Pelicans vs. Spurs.

How to watch Pelicans vs Spurs

LocationFrost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
DateSunday, January 25, 2026
Tip-off7:00 p.m. ET
TVPelicans+, FDSN Southwest

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Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Minnesota Timberwolves are still searching for the consistency of true contenders, and they’ll try to rebound tonight against the Golden State Warriors in a matchup rescheduled after yesterday's tragic events in Minneapolis.

Minnesota enters on a four-game losing streak, but my Warriors vs Timberwolves predictions signal a change of fortunes for the hosts against a Golden State team that could be without Steph Curry.

Read on for my NBA picks ahead of this January 25 contest.

Warriors vs Timberwolves prediction

Warriors vs Timberwolves best bet: Timberwolves -5.5 (-110)

Every time the Minnesota Timberwolves seem to be gathering momentum to take a crack at the Top 4 in the West, they seem to hit a rough patch.

But some uneven results this month can’t mask the talent on this roster, which is why I’m trusting Anthony Edwards & Co. to respond tonight.

Minnesota is 15-7 at home this season — in contrast to the Golden State Warriors' ugly 8-14 mark on the road — and has covered in the past five meetings between these teams. That dominance largely stems from a playoff series in May, but the T-Wolves also landed a 127-120 victory at Chase Center in December.

This line has climbed overnight, and it surely hints that Curry will sit out today with knee soreness before these teams collide again tomorrow night.

The Warriors’ injury report also features Al Horford, De’Anthony Melton, and Jonatha Kuminga, and the visitors have lost back-to-back games since losing Jimmy Butler to a torn ACL.

Warriors vs Timberwolves same-game parlay

Julius Randle feasted against the Warriors in last year’s playoff series, averaging 25.2 ppg on 53% shooting. He was a difference-maker in Minnesota’s win over Golden State earlier this season, scoring 27 points.

I like this points prop Over, with Randle coming off a 30-point night on Thursday against the Chicago Bulls.

Whether Curry plays or not, the Warriors are going to lean on Brandin Podziemski as they try to fill the Butler void. He’s nailed this Over in three of his last four outings, and he dished 10 dimes in Dallas earlier this week.

Warriors vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Timberwolves -7
  • Julius Randle Over 22.5 points
  • Brandin Podziemski Over 9.5 rebounds+assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: Block party

Look for Jaden McDaniels to bring the heat defensively tonight, and he’s recorded a block in each of his last six games.

With the length to bother smaller guards, he’s averaging 1.2 blocks per game in January, and he should be a threat in this category against the Golden State backcourt.

Warriors vs Timberwolves SGP

  • Timberwolves -7
  • Julius Randle Over 22.5 points
  • Brandin Podziemski Over 9.5 rebounds+assists
  • Jaden McDaniels Over 0.5 blocks

Warriors vs Timberwolves odds

  • Spread: Warriors +5.5 | Timberwolves -5.5
  • Moneyline: Warriors +180 | Timberwolves -220
  • Over/Under: Over 237.5 | Under 237.5

Warriors vs Timberwolves betting trend to know

The Over is 7-3 in Golden State’s last 10 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Timberwolves.

How to watch Warriors vs Timberwolves

LocationTarget Center, Minneapolis, MN
DateSunday, January 25, 2026
Tip-off5:30 p.m. ET
TVABC

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Heat vs Suns Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Miami Heat will wrap up a five-game road trip when they face the Phoenix Suns, who are back home for the first time in two weeks.

Phoenix will be without its leading scorer, Devin Booker, and my Heat vs Suns predictions call for a big offensive performance from Dillon Brooks.

Here are my free NBA picks for this inter-conference matchup from Mortgage Matchup Center on Sunday, January 25.

Heat vs Suns prediction

Heat vs Suns best bet: Dillon Brooks Over 22.5 points (-125)

Devin Booker left Friday’s loss to the Hawks on crutches, and Jalen Green left early with a hamstring injury. Someone’s got to pick up the slack on offense, and Dillon Brooks is in a prime spot to get buckets at home.

Booker has been ruled out, and Jalen Green is questionable, which means Brooks should be in line for a big bump in offensive responsibilities against the Miami Heat tonight.

Brooks has averaged 23.9 points per game at home, and he finished with 25 points against Miami in his first matchup of the season.

The scrappy wing has scored at least 22 points in 17 games, including 11 of 15 at home. Miami has allowed the seventh-most points per game, setting up Brooks to hit the Over.

Heat vs Suns same-game parlay

Bam Adebayo has averaged 37.5 PRA across his last seven games, hitting the Over four times. Kel'el Ware is sidelined again, and Bam is set up for another bump in production. He also went for 42 PRA when he faced the Suns on January 13.

The Phoenix Suns have home-court advantage, but without Devin Booker and potentially Jalen Green, the Suns may struggle to keep up with Miami's high-scoring offense. The Heat are 26-20 against the spread overall and 13-11 on the road.

Heat vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 22.5 points
  • Bam Adebayo Over 32.5 points+rebounds+assists
  • Heat +4

Our "from downtown" SGP: Gettin Wiggy with it

Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.9 points this season, and he's scored 14+ in 27 of 42 games overall. He's hit the Over on this modest scoring line in six straight, and I expect him to keep that streak going on the road.

Heat vs Suns SGP

  • Dillon Brooks Over 22.5 points
  • Bam Adebayo Over 32.5 points+rebounds+assists
  • Heat +4
  • Andrew Wiggins Over 13.5 points

Heat vs Suns odds

  • Spread: Heat +4 | Suns -4
  • Moneyline: Heat +135 | Suns -160
  • Over/Under: Over 229 | Under 229

Heat vs Suns betting trend to know

The Miami Heat have covered the first-quarter spread in 33 of their last 45 away games (+20.45 Units / 40% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Suns.

How to watch Heat vs Suns

LocationPHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ
DateSunday, January 25, 2026
Tip-off8:00 p.m. ET
TVFDSN Sun, Arizona's Family Sports

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Nuggets vs Grizzlies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NBA Game

Two injury-plagued teams meet at FedExForum this afternoon when the Denver Nuggets take on the Memphis Grizzlies.

With Ja Morant sidelined through at least the All-Star Break, my Nuggets vs Grizzlies predictions expect a strong performance from Cam Spencer as a facilitator.

Here are my free NBA picks for this Western Conference matchup on Sunday, January 25.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies prediction

Nuggets vs Grizzlies best bet: Cam Spencer Over 8.5 assists (-112)

Cam Spencer continues to excel as a facilitator, and he'll have plenty of runway to operate as the Memphis Grizzlies' primary playmaker against the Denver Nuggets. 

Spencer has averaged 7.2 assists per game in 27.9 minutes of action with Ja Morant sidelined, compared to just 3.7 assists in 19.4 minutes with Morant in the lineup.

In 11 starts, Spencer has averaged 9.5 dimes, going for at least eight assists nine times and at least nine assists seven times. Denver is middle-of-the-pack in assists allowed, and the team will be without multiple starters and key defenders.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies same-game parlay

Jock Landale should see plenty of run with both Zach Edey and Santi Aldama sidelined against the Nuggets. Over his last nine games, Landale has averaged 22.9 points+rebounds, hitting the Over on this combo line seven times.

Both teams are dealing with multiple key injuries, but the Nuggets have stayed competitive, while the Grizzlies have not. Over the last 10 games, Denver is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread, while Memphis is 3-7 and 3-6-1 respectively. 

Nuggets vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Cam Spencer Over 8.5 assists
  • Jock Landale Over 21.5 points+rebounds
  • Nuggets +3.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: Picking Pickett 

Jalen Pickett has started nine straight games, averaging 9.3 points across 30.7 minutes. He's scored 11+ in four of his last nine overall, including two of his last four on the road.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies SGP

  • Cam Spencer Over 8.5 assists
  • Jock Landale Over 21.5 points+rebounds
  • Nuggets +3.5
  • Jalen Pickett Over 10.5 points

Nuggets vs Grizzlies odds

  • Spread: Nuggets +3.5 | Grizzlies -3.5
  • Moneyline: Nuggets +130 | Grizzlies -155
  • Over/Under: Over 225 | Under 225

Nuggets vs Grizzlies betting trend to know

The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the moneyline in 16 of their last 40 games at home (-18.75 Units / -29% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Grizzlies.

How to watch Nuggets vs Grizzlies

LocationFedExForum, Memphis, TN
DateSunday, January 25, 2026
Tip-off3:30 p.m. ET
TVAltitude 2, FDSN SE Memphis

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Best NBA Player Props Today for January 25: Leonard Does Damage from Deep

The weather outside might be frightful, but the NBA has a delightful eight-game Sunday slate to enjoy.

My three NBA player props and NBA picks should keep you interested all day long, with plays including Anthony Edwards and Kawhi Leonard.

Best NBA player props today

PlayerPickbet365
Pistons Jalen DurenTo record a double-double<<-115>>
Timberwolves Anthony EdwardsOver 3.5 threes<<-115>>
Clippers Kawhi LeonardOver 2.5 thres<<+105>>

Prop #1: Jalen Duren to record a double-double

-115 at bet365

Jalen Duren is a walking double-double, currently averaging 17.8 points per game and 10.9 rebounds per game. He's cleared 10+ points in every game this month with two double-doubles in his previous six games.

Today, he meets a Sacramento Kings small-ball group that ranks 29th in the NBA in rebounding. With Sacramento playing a more undersized frontline and struggling with its overall efficiency, Duren’s physical presence on both ends makes him a viable play this afternoon.

  • Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN-Detroit, NBCS-California

Prop #2: Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 threes

-115 at bet365

Anthony Edwards is on a tear. He’s averaging 4.0 made threes on 9.4 attempts over his last 10 games. He recently exploded for nine triples and has cleared the 3.5 mark in 60% of his recent outings. 

Facing a Golden State Warriors defense decimated by injuries and missing perimeter stoppers Jimmy Butler and possibly Jonathan Kuminga, Edwards should see high volume, and his elite 40% shooting from downtown makes this prop a high-value play.

  • Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN-North, NBCS-Bay Area

Prop #3: Kawhi Leonard Over 2.5 threes

+105 at bet365

Kawhi Leonard has completely evolved his game this month, leaning heavily into his perimeter shot. He's cleared this 2.5-three line in six consecutive games, averaging a staggering 4.6 makes on nearly 10 attempts per outing during that stretch. 

He’s up against a Brooklyn Nets defense that he just torched for four triples on January 9, and I expect Leonard to see plenty of high-quality looks. With Leonard’s 40 % shooting and increased volume, three makes at plus-money is very realistic.

  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN-SoCal, YES

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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What the Rockets should do with the absence of Steven Adams

After Steven Adams left the game Sunday versus the New Orleans Pelicans with an apparent ankle injury, fans began speculating on the severity. Well, it was confirmed earlier this week that Adams has a grade-three ankle sprain, so fans should not be expecting him back anytime soon, as a grade-three ankle sprain can take up to nine weeks or more. The nine-week timeline would mean that it is possible Houston would not see Adams return until mid to late March, which would be right before the playoffs. It’s even possible he misses the season.

However, one benefit this Rockets team has is its depth, as Houston would be able to deploy numerous other players at center without even considering Alperen Sengun. If Houston wanted to continue to use the double-big lineup, Ime Udoka could utilize Clint Capela. Afterall, Houston did sign Capela as a way to ensure that with or without Steven Adams, the Rockets would be able to play big and dominate the glass. There is a definite drop-off from Capela to Adams, but Capela can still fill his role nicely.

However, Capela is not the only option, as Houston could turn away from the double big lineup and go for a small ball approach. In this case, two players come to mind as options: Kevin Durant and Jabari Smith Jr. Every Rockets fan is unfortunately familiar with the Golden State Warriors dynasty. Durant played a lot of small-ball center when Golden State would roll out their death-ball lineup, especially in the 2017-2018 playoffs. Additonally, Jabari Smith Jr. also has experience playing the five, but his overall skills are much more limited, but perhaps he will receive some opportunities to help aid his development.

Additonally Dorian Finney-Smith, Tari Eason, and Jeff Green could also fill in as centers, but due to Finney-Smith and Eason’s potential lack of ability, I doubt that will be explored as often. As for Jeff Green, so far this season, he has not been getting many minutes at all outside of garbage time, and it is clear Capela has likely supplanted him as that reserve center option.

Houston is back in action Monday at home versus the Memphis Grizzlies for Steven Adams and Reed Sheppard bobblehead night. Tip-off is at 7:00. As always, be sure to check back here at The Dream Shake for pre- and post-game coverage of the game.

Open Thread: Spurs rate their wardrobe choices

I found this on Instagram:

The video is called “Flex Check.”

In it Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, and Harrison Barnes rate some of their game day outfits they wore on their way to the arena.

Vassell, one of the most stylish members of the Spurs, saw himself in some a hoodie, beanie, andTimberlands heading in from the cold. He appreciated his color combination and gave the outfit an 8.5.

Keldon gave himself a 10 for a combo he got at the Luis Vuitton store. For a baller normally seen in boots and a cowboy hat, he certainly looks dapper and red carpet ready.

Harrison Barnes described his stylish suit as a “clean fit” but gave himself an 8 for passing on a button down shirt for a t-shirt.

Hopefully there will be additional installments with the other members of the Silver & Black. It’d be great to hear what Victor, Stephon, Dylan, and Luke think of their entrances.


Welcome to the Thread. Join in the conversation, start your own discussion, and share your thoughts. This is the Spurs community, your Spurs community. Thanks for being here.

Our community guidelines apply which should remind everyone to be cool, avoid personal attacks, not to troll and to watch the language.

4 Things to Watch for as the Mavericks Visit the Bucks

The Dallas Mavericks (19-27) travel to Milwaukee to play the Bucks (18-26) after losing to Luka Doncic’s Lakers on Saturday. The Mavs had their four-game win streak snapped by the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. After a quick turnaround, they hope to regroup as they enter Sunday’s showdown with the Antetokounmpo-less Bucks, who are coming off a home loss to the Denver Nuggets. Here are three things to think about as Dallas looks to get back on track in Milwaukee.‘

How tired will they be?

The Mavericks did not get to leave Dallas on Saturday night.

Teams always try to travel the night before so players can get some rest and acclimate to the the area they’re playing in. The Mavericks will try to come in hot and eek out a win despite being low on any reasonable amount of energy.

Antetokounmpo Out with Calf Strain

The misery of the Milwaukee Bucks’ season deepened on Friday night after Giannis Antetokounmpo left the game against the Denver Nuggets with 34 seconds remaining in the fourth quarter. It was later revealed he suffered a right calf strain, the same injury that kept him sidelined three weeks earlier this season. He’ll miss 4-6 weeks this time around.

Despite the disappointing year for Milwaukee, Antetokounmpo has played like his MVP self. In 30 games, he’s averaged 28.0 points, 10.0 rebounds, 5.6 assists, and 2.3 stocks (steals + blocks). He’s the fifth most efficient scorer in the NBA at 64.5% from the floor. In November’s 116-114 win over Dallas, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks with 30 points on 11/18 from the floor and eight rebounds. No Antetokounmpo leaves a big hole in the middle. If the Mavs want to keep their win streak alive, they’ll have to expose the paint on both ends of the floor and Milwaukee’s lack of a true big man.

The Bucks’ Offensive Struggles

The Bucks are a .500 team with Antetokounmpo, but are dreadful without him. In the 14 games he’s missed this season, Milwaukee is 3-11. The Bucks are 27th in the NBA in offensive rating this season at 111.9 points per 100 possessions. With Antetokounmpo, they have an offensive rating of 116.3 points, which would be fifth in the NBA. Without him, they sit dead last in the NBA with an offensive rating of 108.0 points, just behind the Brooklyn Nets. Without Antetokounmpo’s gravity, it’s challenging for Milwaukee to find consistent good looks at the basket. 

The next two big men in line for the Bucks are Myles Turner and Bobby Portis, who both spend a lot of time on the perimeter, along with power forward Kyle Kuzma. Without the main cog in the wheel, Milwaukee will try to rely on its shooting to bail them out. They are second in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage at 39.2%.

Milwaukee has scorers, having seven players who average double digits in points: Antetokounmpo (28.0), Kevin Porter Jr. (16.8), Ryan Rollins (16.1), Bobby Portis (13.1), Kyle Kuzma (12.5), Myles Turner (12.4), and A.J Green (10.5). The Bucks’ second-best scorer in Kevin Porter Jr. is out due to an oblique strain. One silver lining for Milwaukee this season has been the growth of guard Ryan Rollins. The 44th overall pick in the 2022 draft by the Warriors found his way on the Bucks roster last season and has propelled himself to a potential future cornerstone. Expect him to have the ball in his hands a lot.

The Mavericks’ Offense Has Been Rolling

On the Dallas side, they’ve been one of the best paint-scoring teams in this recent stretch of good basketball, getting to the rim at will. The Mavs’ quickness on the perimeter with Brandon Williams, Ryan Nembhard, and Max Christie has allowed them to have their way against opponents inside. Add in the craftiness and ability to get to their spots of guys like Naji Marshall and Cooper Flagg, and defenses have their hands full. Dallas sits at sixth in the NBA in points per game scored in the paint at 53.3. Attacking and finishing against this Bucks defense should be a top priority for the Mavs.

Although the Mavs haven’t been great this season from beyond the arc, they have been better as of late, making double-digit threes in five consecutive games: 10, 13, 15, 18, and 19. Max Christie continues to shoot the lights out as the league’s seventh-best three-point shooter at a scoring 45.7%. Klay Thompson has been on a heater in January as well. In his last five games, he’s 20/42 from distance, 47.6%. Dallas will need to keep knocking down deep shots if it wants to get back in the win column.

How to Watch

Tipoff is 6 PM and you can watch on KFAA-TV, Mavs.com, or NBA League Pass.

Austrian skier Manuel Feller pleases home crowd with surprise World Cup slalom win in Kitzbühel

KITZBÜHEL, Austria (AP) — Manuel Feller pleased the home crowd with a surprise win in the World Cup slalom of the classic Hahnenkamm event on Sunday, a day after the Austrian team had a disastrous result in the downhill.

Feller, fourth after the opening leg, kneeled on the snow in the finish area after his run as he watched the final three racers all coming up well short, including first-run leader and world champion Loic Meillard, who finished 0.35 behind in second.

Meillard was seeking his first slalom win of the season after two podiums in December, though he did win a giant slalom in France last month.

Germany’s Linus Strasser, who won the race two years ago, was 0.53 behind in third after edging out Lucas Pinheiro Braathen by four-hundredths for a place on the podium.

When his victory was confirmed, Feller got up, held one of his skis in the air and let out a loud scream.

“I can’t describe how much this means to me,” the Austrian said in a tearful course-side interview.

“This year I was close to quit a few times, just no energy anymore for a few races. But all my life, quitting was no option, so I kept on going.”

His victory came a day after Vincent Kriechmayr in 13th was the best Austrian finisher in the storied Hahnenkamm downhill, which marked the worst result for the home team in the history of the race.

Feller was the 2023-24 slalom champion but has been struggling with back pain in recent years. He had not won a race since triumphing in Palisades Tahoe, California, in March 2024, and had not had a podium result in the current campaign.

“It was probably my toughest season, probably one of the toughest parts of my life,” Feller said. “It’s only skiing, but right now, skiing feels pretty good.”

Feller became the first Austrian winner of the Kitzbühel slalom since Marcel Hirscher triumphed nine years ago.

In the first run, World Cup discipline leader Atle Lie McGrath skied out.

“I’m obviously very disappointed and it hurts a lot,” McGrath said. “I was at the start with a good mindset. I really tried to push and stuff like that happens.”

The United States-born Norwegian went top of the standings last week after winning in Wengen, but has now been overtaken by his close friend and former teammate, Pinheiro Braathen, who competes for Brazil.

A night race on Wednesday in Schladming is the final slalom before the Milan Cortina Olympics.

___

AP skiing: https://apnews.com/hub/alpine-skiing

15 stats to explain Cavs 119-105 victory over Magic

The Cleveland Cavaliers took care of business as they defeated the Orlando Magic 119-105 to win their third game in a row.

The stats in the table below are from Cleaning the Glass.

Effective Field Goal PercentageOffensive Rebounding PercentageOffensive Turnover PercentageFree Throw Rate
Cavs62.3%, 88th percentile23.1%, 22nd percentile17.2%, 27th percentile22.2, 57th percentile
Magic47.5%, 14th percentile31.2%, 62nd percentile16.2%, 34th percentile34.6, 94th percentile

Now, let’s dive into the numbers.

  • Donovan Mitchell scored 27 of his 36 points in the second half. Mitchell struggled to get anything going at the start of the game, but turned it around in the second half. Orlando couldn’t keep him from driving inside as he went 9-14 on shots in the paint in the second half.
  • Mitchell is now leading the league in second-half scoring with 17.2 points per game on .519/.427/.836 shooting splits. The Cavs have needed their best player to carry their offense to victory many nights. The numbers partially reflect that. However, they also show just how gifted a scorer Mitchell really is. He’s been producing in volume and efficiency when his team has needed him most, regardless of what his clutch numbers say.
  • This was the 17th time this season that Mitchell has scored 20 or more points in the second half. The Cavs are 11-6 when he does so and 7-0 when he puts up 24 or more over the final two quarters.
  • The Cavs are now 10-1 when Mitchell scores 35 or more points. This team has gone as Mitchell has from a scoring perspective. That trend continued again in Orlando.
  • Mitchell hit just two triples en route to his 36-point performance. He’s reached at least 30 points 24 times this season, and he’s registered two or fewer three-point makes in just five of those outings. This was the second time he’s scored 35 or more and had just two outside field goals.
  • This was the third time this season Mitchell has contributed at least nine assists. The Cavs have won each time he’s done so. They’re 10-5 when he has seven or more assists in a game.
  • The Magic went just 11-40 (27.5%) from three. They’re the second-worst three-point shooting team in the league this season. The Cavs, understandably, played into that. They packed the paint and dared the Magic to shoot. This led to them taking 43% of their shots from beyond the arc (74th percentile). That’s exactly how you want to play the Magic.
  • Only 26% of Orlando’s field-goal attempts came at the rim (26th percentile). The best defenses force their opponent to take their shots where they want them to. The Cavs did this as they kept the Magic from getting to the rim. Cleveland executed their defensive game plan perfectly.
  • Cleveland outscored Orlando 50-40 in the paint.
  • The Cavs connected on 44.1% of their threes (85th percentile). This was the 15th time this season the Cavs hit 40% or more of their triples. They’re 11-4 when they do so.
  • Cavaliers outside of Mitchell and Evan Mobley went 12-20 (60%) from beyond the arc. This was a well-rounded performance where each member in the rotation made a positive contribution in the victory.
  • Cleveland had five players finish in double figures scoring: Mitchell (36), Jaylon Tyson (17), Mobley (13), Tyrese Proctor (12), and Dean Wade (10).
  • This was the eighth time Wade has scored 10 or more points in a game this season. The Cavs are now 6-2 when he does so.
  • Twenty-seven of Cleveland’s 43 field goals were assisted. The ball was moving around the court well in Orlando. That doesn’t always show through in the assist numbers, but it did so here.
  • Five Cavaliers contributed two or more assists: Mitchell (9), Nae’Qwan Tomlin (4), Tyson (4), Mobley (3), and Lonzo Ball (2).

Fantasy Basketball Week 15 Schedule Primer: The last full week before the trade deadline

By the end of Week 15 in the 2025-26 NBA season, the calendar will have flipped to February. And that means one thing: the trade deadline (February 5) is right around the corner. For some fantasy managers, now is the time to ramp up the activity via trades or scouring the waiver wire for players who may have added value after the deadline. Waiting until the week of the deadline to make moves may be too late.

Of course, none of that matters if your team can't get into the playoffs, which is why Week 15 is an important one in fantasy basketball. With this being the last week before the trade deadline, there may not be much movement in the NBA, if any. That should help from an availability standpoint, as things can get tricky in the immediate aftermath of the deadline, since traded players aren't available to their new teams right away.

Like Week 14, games are pretty evenly distributed in Week 15. There are no fewer than six games on any day, with Sunday (ten games) being the busiest, since it is also the week between the NFL conference championship games and the Super Bowl. Let's look at the Week 15 schedule breakdown and a few of its key storylines.

Week 15 Games Played

5 Games: CHI

4 Games: ATL, BKN, BOS, CHA, CLE, DEN, DET, HOU, LAL, MEM, MIA, MIN, NYK, ORL, PHI, PHX, POR, SAS, UTA, WAS

3 Games: DAL, GSW, IND, LAC, MIL, NOR, OKC, SAS, TOR

NBA: Washington Wizards at Los Angeles Clippers
Miller has impressed in recent days while Jordan Poole continues to prove inconsistent with the Pelicans.

Week 15 Back-to-backs

Sunday (Week 14)-Monday: GSW, MEM, MIN

Monday-Tuesday: PHI, POR

Tuesday-Wednesday: NYK, UTA

Wednesday-Thursday: ATL, CHA, CHI, DAL, HOU, MIA, MIN

Thursday-Friday: BKN, DEN, DET, PHX, SAC, WAS

Friday-Saturday: MEM, NOR

Saturday-Sunday: CHI, MIA, SAS

Sunday-Monday (Week 16): LAC

Week 15 Storylines of Note

- Bucks move forward without Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf).

Already reeling, the Milwaukee Bucks lost Giannis Antetokounmpo to a strained right calf during Friday's loss to the Nuggets. While the team has not offered a diagnosis, Antetokounmpo told the media he expects to miss four to six weeks. Already without Kevin Porter Jr. (oblique), the Bucks will have to navigate a three-game Week 15 without their two most valuable options in terms of fantasy basketball. Can a low-rostered player besides Ryan Rollins or Bobby Portis step up for fantasy managers? Or should they look elsewhere for value? The Bucks play on Tuesday, Thursday and Sunday, all days with at least seven games scheduled. That's not the best from a streaming standpoint, but given who the Bucks won't have, rolling the dice on someone like Kyle Kuzma would be understandable, even if their fantasy value hasn't been good overall.

- Grizzlies play a four-game week without Ja Morant (elbow).

Morant suffered a sprained UCL in his left elbow and will be re-evaluated in three weeks. He's already missed at least four consecutive games on three separate occasions this season, and the latest injury will cause a fourth extended absence unless something drastic happens regarding the guard's availability. Cam Spencer has been the best streaming option when Morant sits, and now would be a good time to add the second-year guard if he's sitting on the waiver wire. The Grizzlies' four-game Week 15 ends with a Friday/Saturday back-to-back, and games against the Hornets (Wednesday) and Pelicans (Friday) could be good ones for those interested in adding a player like Spencer or Cedric Coward.

- The Bulls have the league's busiest Week 15 schedule, including a run of four games in five days.

No team plays fewer than three games in Week 15, and Chicago is the only one that will play five. This was initially supposed to be a four-game week for the Bulls, but the January 8 meeting with the Heat, postponed due to condensation on the United Center court, was rescheduled for January 29. That gives the Bulls two back-to-backs over five days during a five-game week. Also, the final three games will be against the same team, as the Bulls visit the Heat on Saturday and Sunday. With Josh Giddey and Coby White recently returning from injury, Week 15 could be a challenging one for them and for fantasy managers from an availability standpoint.

- The Warriors are the lone team that doesn't play after Friday.

Not having Jimmy Butler III (knee) for the rest of the season has opened up opportunities for some of the other Warriors. Unfortunately, Jonathan Kuminga went down with ankle and knee injuries during Thursday's loss to the Mavericks. Ruled out for the Warriors' final game of Week 14 on Sunday against the Timberwolves, it's unknown how much time he'll miss. Monday's rematch with Minnesota is the first of three games the Warriors will play during Week 15, and their schedule wraps up on Friday against the Pistons. Should fantasy managers move on from a Brandin Podziemski or De'Anthony Melton following Friday's games simply because of the schedule? Probably not. But a player like Buddy Hield may not be worth holding onto if you decide to stream them to begin the week.

- The Heat, Spurs and Raptors won't play their first games of Week 15 until Wednesday.

The low-rostered players on these teams won't do fantasy managers any good during the first two days of Week 15, but Miami could be especially valuable from Wednesday onward. Due to the rescheduled game with the Bulls, the Heat play four games over the final five days of Week 15, starting with a home game against the Magic on Wednesday. Tyler Herro (ribs) and Kel'el Ware (hamstring) are both out, with the former likely looking at an extended absence. Add in Davion Mitchell's recent shoulder injury, and the Heat may have to navigate Week 15 without three rotation players. Nikola Jović has played backup center minutes, but Saturday's win over the Jazz was the first in which he truly took advantage of the new role after struggling two nights prior against Portland.

While the Heat play four games in Week 15, the Spurs and Raptors will only play three. San Antonio's slate concludes with a back-to-back on Saturday and Sunday. We'll see how that affects Devin Vassell, who will make his return from an adductor injury in San Antonio's final game of Week 14 against the Pelicans. His availability affects Julian Champagnie, who has performed well as the fifth starter.

Wizards Start Youngest Lineup Ever, Get Same Result, Make Subtle Progress

The Wizards lost again, this time to the Charlotte Hornets. It was their ninth straight defeat, and they’re back in last place.

The Wizards starting lineup was the youngest in NBA history — Will Riley and Tre Johnson are both 19. Alex Sarr and Bub Carrington are 20. Kyshawn George was the old guy at 22. Yes, they should have started Justin Champagnie (age 24), but I like using the opportunity to get Riley his first NBA start and taking advantage to set the record.

Wait a minute, Wizards guard Tre Johnson is generating basketball gravity.

The game was replete with some of the same-old-same-old. They had plenty of defensive breakdowns. They got dominated on the glass. And yet, I saw some things in this one that I think are positive signs for the future.

  • Throughout the night, Sarr’s combination of length, agility, and skills were way too much for the Hornets to handle — at least on the offensive end. He was too strong and long for Moussa Diabate and Miles Bridges. He was much too quick for Ryan Kalkbrenner. He shot over defenders whether big or small.
  • Jamir Watkins was a defensive menace. He tallied five steals and two blocks, including an open-court strip of Collin Sexton (which resulted in a breakaway dunk) and alert plays in passing lanes.
  • Repeatedly in my notes are entries about the team’s well-designed offensive system. Some examples:
  • At 9:11 of the second quarter, the Wizards ran a high screen action to get an open look out top. If you’ve watched any game this season, you’ve seen this action. In this example, Sarr screen for Johnson, who immediately went into a three-point shot upon receiving the pass from George. He got fouled and ended up at the free throw line. This is an example of Washington’s offensive design — it’s a difficult action to defend and comes with a set of options if the primary action is covered. Brian Keefe’s challenge: getting his exuberant youngsters to consistently execute the system.
  • Probably my favorite observation in this one was noticing something new: Tre Johnson producing gravity. In transition during the third quarter, the threat of Johnson at the three-point line drew a hyper-aggressive closeout. He attacked the closeout and drove middle. Charlotte’s defense collapsed on him, he kicked to George, who got a wide open three, which he missed. He drew defensive attention beyond the three-point line throughout the second half, which helped give his teammates more space to operate.
  • In the fourth quarter, the Wizards defense was actually good. The results (108 defensive rating) weren’t all-time great, but their communication was excellent, their switches were seamless, and they worked together as a unit to keep Hornets players from driving. They forced Charlotte deeper into the shot clock and forced them to take difficult shots. Charlotte made enough of those shots to secure the win, but the defensive process was mostly what it needed to be.
  • Sturdier perimeter defense — meaning preventing or cutting off drives — is important to Washington’s defense. Even in that fourth quarter, Charlotte paint touches led to open threes. They shot just 1-8 from deep in the period.
  • Champagnie and Sarr both had terrific fourth quarters.
  • I don’t know the numbers, but my eye tells me Sarr is superb when switching onto smaller players on the perimeter. His ability to get low and move was key to Washington’s fourth quarter defense.
  • Another great example of Johnson’s gravity came with about 4:10 left in the game. The Wizards set stagger screens to bring Johnson up from the corner. Charlotte covered the initial action well, so Johnson cleared to the weak side, and Carrington dribbled to the right. Sarr immediately re-screened for Johnson to come back to the middle, who caught the pass on the move and drove into the lane. Four (4!) defenders reacted to him. He kicked to Champagnie in the corner, who swung it to Carrington out top for a wide open three.
  • One more example of Keefe’s good play design — with 2:30 left in the game, the Wizards ran a devilish baseline out of bounds play. Washington gets a surprisingly high number of layups and dunks on BLOB plays, and this was one of them. In this version, Champagnie ran a fake screen action — it looked to the defense like he was going to set a back screen for a teammate to cut to the basket. At the last second, he slipped the screen and made the cut himself. He came open for a dunk. Superb design.

The Wizards have a long ways to go with players executing the scheme, getting stronger, and getting smarter. They really need George to become a consistently better decision-maker…if he’s going to retain a significant on-ball roll. Still, I think there’s reason to be encouraged. They’re showing improvement and there’s room for plenty more.

Four Factors

Below are the four factors that decide wins and losses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).

The four factors are measured by:

  • eFG% (effective field goal percentage, which accounts for the three-point shot)
  • OREB% (offensive rebound percentage)
  • TOV% (turnover percentage — turnovers divided by possessions)
  • FTM/FGA (free throws made divided by field goal attempts)
FOUR FACTORSWIZARDSHORNETSLGAVG
eFG%55.7%60.8%54.4%
OREB%22.7%33.3%26.1%
TOV%12.9%20.9%12.8%
FTM/FGA0.0830.2910.210
PACE10099.6
ORTG114118115.6

Stats & Metrics

PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).

PPA is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small sample sizes, the numbers can get weird. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45. For a single game, replacement level isn’t much use, and I reiterate the caution about small samples sometimes producing weird results.

POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.

ORTG = offensive rating, which is points produced per individual possessions x 100. League average so far this season is 115.1. Points produced is not the same as points scored. It includes the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing credit when receiving an assist.

USG = offensive usage rate. Average is 20%.

ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by former Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and modified by me. ORTG is an efficiency measure that accounts for the value of shooting, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.

+PTS = “Plus Points” is a measure of the points gained or lost by each player based on their efficiency in this game compared to league average efficiency on the same number of possessions. A player with an offensive rating (points produced per possession x 100) of 100 who uses 20 possessions would produce 20 points. If the league average efficiency is 114, the league — on average — would produced 22.8 points in the same 20 possessions. So, the player in this hypothetical would have a +PTS score of -2.8.

Players are sorted by total production in the game.

WIZARDSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+/-
Justin Champagnie326714714.8%3.12164
Jamir Watkins296013514.2%1.719912
Bub Carrington326813617.9%2.5160-12
Alex Sarr377811821.9%0.499-16
Tre Johnson377611128.1%-1.082-2
Will Riley23491319.8%0.879-22
Kyshawn George25538728.7%-4.466-10
Sharife Cooper9201459.8%0.61236
Malaki Branham8169423.1%-0.8428
Anthony Gill7155514.4%-1.3-11612
HORNETSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+/-
Brandon Miller337012426.9%1.620415
Moussa Diabate326714613.5%2.814613
Kon Knueppel326712718.0%1.4130-9
LaMelo Ball326610830.9%-1.61226
Miles Bridges296012425.2%1.31323
Collin Sexton163310824.1%-0.6195-8
Ryan Kalkbrenner163315912.4%1.8134-9
Josh Green15321807.9%1.67810
Grant Williams19406011.3%-2.511
Sion James16346528.0%-4.8-70-2

Novak Djokovic advances to Australian Open quarterfinals on a walkover after Jakub Mensik withdraws

MELBOURNE, Australia (AP) — Novak Djokovic has had a walkover into the Australian Open quarterfinals after Jakub Mensik withdrew 24 hours ahead of their scheduled fourth-round match with an abdominal injury.

The tournament confirmed Mensik's withdrawal late Sunday. The match had been scheduled for Rod Laver Arena on Monday night.

“After last couple of matches, I started to feel worse, and actually the problem is my abdominal muscle on the left side,” Mensik said in comments published by the tournament. “Like I said, last few matches it got significantly worse, and I think if I would step on the court tomorrow, it would be such a big risk for me for my next weeks, for my next tournaments, and actually for my health.”

No. 16-seeded Mensik beat Ethan Quinn in straight sets on Saturday.

Novak Djokovic has won the Australian Open a record 10 times.

The 24-time major winner became the first player to reach 400 wins in Grand Slam singles when he beat Botic van de Zandschulp 6-3, 6-4, 7-6 (4) on Saturday night in the third round of the Australian Open.

___

More AP tennis: https://apnews.com/hub/tennis

Stats Rundown: 3 numbers to know from the Mavericks 116-110 loss to the Lakers

The Dallas Mavericks lost to the Los Angeles Lakers 116-110 Saturday night in Dallas. It was a very weird, up-and-down game, with the Lakers jumping on the Mavericks early, Dallas storming back in the third quarter, then the Lakers returning the favor in the fourth.

This was former Mavericks star Luka Doncic’s first game back in Dallas this season, and only his second total since the shocking trade to the Lakers last year. Doncic was very good in this game, while the Mavericks struggled offensively outside of that third quarter burst.

It was a disappointing finish for sure, as the Mavericks had a 15 point lead at one point in the fourth quarter. Dallas didn’t get enough from their best players, as Cooper Flagg, PJ Washington, and Daniel Gafford all struggled, with Washington and Gafford putting up some pretty egregious stinkers.

This game snaps the Mavericks three-game winning streak. Onto the stats.

14-to-10: Lakers advantage in 3-point makes

In a game this tightly contested, the Lakers superior shooting was the biggest difference. Los Angeles won by six in a game they outscored Dallas at the three point line by 12.

The Lakers offense wasn’t doing too much outside of getting hot from three. Luka Doncic had 11 assists, most of them to shooters in the corner. The Lakers were 5-of-12 on corner threes. Dallas on the other hand, couldn’t make much — going 10-of-29 from three overall. This was the first game in what felt like weeks where the Mavericks couldn’t get their drive game going, so a lot of the Mavericks threes were end-of-shot clock, contested looks.

4: Combined points scored by PJ Washington, Daniel Gafford

It was a disastorious night for two of Luka’s former NBA Finals teammates. Daniel Gafford and PJ Washington were starters with Luka on that 2024 Finals team, but both came off the bench tonight as they are working their way to full health after nagging injuries.

Washington had the bigger stinker of the two, but it wasn’t a great night for either: Washington had two points in 26 minutes on 1-of-5 shooting, with only three rebounds and zero assists. Gafford had two points on 0-of-1 shooting, with two rebounds and two blocks in 16 minutes. At least Gafford had one impact play, a terrific blocked shot in the first half that felt like the first time all season we saw the old Gafford athleticism in action.

The Lakers are top-heavy, after Luka, LeBron, and Austin Reaves (who was out with injury), their depth drops off a cliff. Dallas theoretically has the advantage in depth but when two of their best players play like this? Woof. Dallas needed more from these two, even if they’re still working their way back from injuries.

3: Caleb Martin 3-pointers

This was a lousy game for Dallas, so I’ll end on a somewhat positive, although funny note: Caleb Martin nearly doubled his season three point total in one game. Martin entered tonight with five made three pointers: he made three, going 3-of-4 from deep.

Martin has been one of the worst rotation NBA players since arriving in Dallas last year, and injuries surely haven’t helped. This is the longest stretch of games Martin has played in the rotation and healthy, and it appears he might be inching back toward his Miami Heat form that earned him that multi-year deal with Philadelphia initially.

Who knows how long this lasts or where it goes. Martin did have six combined points in the previous three games. But Martin showing a pulse matters for a Mavericks team that needs all the help it can get.

'Fantastic' Doncic inspires Lakers to win at Dallas

Los Angeles Lakers star Luka Doncic
Doncic was at the Dallas Mavericks from 2018 to 2025 [Getty Images]

Luka Doncic starred for the Los Angeles Lakers with 33 points as he helped them beat his former side, the Dallas Mavericks 116-110.

The Slovenian, playing in Dallas for the second time since being traded to the Lakers last February, also registered 11 assists and eight rebounds.

"We counted after the game, he [Doncic] had six straight stops where they targeted him," said Lakers coach JJ Redick.

"Just a fantastic job from him. Then [he] makes the game-sealing defensive play with the charge on [Naji] Marshall."

"It's a special place," Doncic told ESPN of his return to Dallas. "I mean, I'm always going to want to win no matter what. Every game I want to win, but obviously this one's a little bit different."

Doncic scored twice from beyond the arc in the first quarter as the 26-year-old became the youngest player in NBA history to reach 1,500 three-pointers.

He had been with Dallas from 2018 until last year, and said he almost went to the home dressing room at half-time as he "was kind of confused".

The Lakers trailed by 15 points with seven minutes and 41 seconds remaining, but overturned the deficit to secure a third win in four games.

LeBron James scored 11 of his 17 points in the fourth quarter, while Max Christie top scored for Dallas with 24 points.

"I think the biggest thing this year, he's just more comfortable," said James about Doncic.

"Understanding the system, understanding the city, the city embracing him. Understanding it's his team, and we're all rallying around him.

"Obviously we know it's emotional, a big game, to come back and play your former team. He showed who he is tonight."

The result leaves the Lakers fifth in the Western Conference, while the Mavericks are 12th.

Elsewhere, Kevin Huerter made a three-pointer just before the buzzer to help the Chicago Bulls beat the Boston Celtics 114-111, while Bam Adebayo scored 26 points as the Miami Heat thrashed the Utah Jazz 147-116.

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves' home game against the Golden State Warriors was postponed until Sunday following federal immigration officers shooting and killing a man in Minneapolis.

"The decision was made to prioritise the safety and security of the Minneapolis community," said an NBA statement.