Sonny Gray feeling more like himself with Red Sox and matches career high with AL-best 14th win

BOSTON — Sonny Gray and the surging Boston Red Sox are on quite a roll together.

Gray pitched three-hit ball and struck out eight over six innings for his American League-leading 14th victory, with the crafty 36-year-old right-hander also matching his career high, as Boston beat the Chicago White Sox 4-0. The Red Sox have won seven in a row and 30 of 35.

“He was awesome, very locked in. ... Executed his pitches, had his spin. Pretty much had spin whenever he wanted to,” Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy said. “Looked like vintage Sonny. He was really good.”

The Red Sox acquired Gray (14-2) from St. Louis in a trade early last offseason. The three-time All-Star, who was left off this year’s AL squad, is providing the veteran presence Boston was hoping for.

After allowing nine runs over his previous two starts, Gray got 17 swing-and-misses from the White Sox, including the third strike on each of his strikeouts. He needed only seven pitches in a 1-2-3 second inning, then struck out the side in the fourth.

“I just felt like I was, you know, a little closer to just being myself, and that’s a good feeling,” said Gray, who has a 2.78 ERA in 21 starts.

He matched Philadelphia left-hander Cristopher Sánchez (14-4) for the major league lead in wins. Gray also had 14-win seasons for Oakland in 2014 and 2016, and was 14-8 in 32 starts for the Cardinals last season.

Gray gave up four runs over seven innings in a win over the Athletics his previous start. The came five days after allowing 10 hits and five runs — both season highs — against Toronto in his only loss in 16 starts since early May after coming back from being on the 15-day injured list with a right hamstring strain.

Asked what he had focused on between starts, Gray said it was attention to detail and creating an edge.

“Finding an edge, spinning the ball, that’s who I am,” he said. “There’s a lot of little things that add up, I don’t think it’s one thing.”

Blue Jays @ Cubs Game Thread

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - JULY 04: A general view of fireworks prior to the game between the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals at Wrigley Field on July 04, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Daniel Bartel/Chicago Cubs/Getty Images) | Getty Images

I’m in Edmonton for the next couple of days, visiting my son and his girlfriend and some friends. So I’m getting the Game Thread up early. We may be light on content for a couple of days. It has been a week. We were at a funeral yesterday. Today we visiting a friend of mine whose wife is not well and has decided to do MAID in September and tomorrow visiting a friend who has been in hospital for the last mount or so. It seems like an ‘all bad news’ week. They happen now and then.

The nice part is we are going to ‘Blowers & Grafton’ for supper with friends that I don’t get to see often enough.


Today’s game is a make up game of a rain out back on June 21st. For some silly reason they haven’t put a roof on Wrigley Field yet. You’d think with all the years they’ve had that ballpark, they’d have a roof on it by now. Oh, someone is telling me they just got lights a few years ago. Things move slow on the north side of Chicago.

It is a 2:20 Eastern start.

I see there is rain in the forecast this afternoon, hopefully they will get the game in. I’d hate it, if I was a player, to have given up a rare off-day to fly to Chicago and then not get that game in. Then fly off to Philadelphia tomorrow.


Shi Davidi tells us that Kevin Gausman didn’t ‘ask’ not to start against the Blue Jays, but to me it sounds like he did (which I can understand):


Today’s lineup, Vlad is still out.

Today’s Lineups

BLUE JAYSCUBS
Myles Straw – CFPete Crow-Armstrong – CF
Kazuma Okamoto – 1BSeiya Suzuki – DH
Alejandro Kirk – CMichael Busch – 1B
George Springer – DHAlex Bregman – 3B
Nathan Lukes – RFIan Happ – LF
Ernie Clement – 3BNico Hoerner – 2B
Luis Urias – 2BMichael Conforto – RF
Davis Schneider – LFDansby Swanson – SS
Andres Gimenez – SSMiguel Amaya – C
Dylan Cease – RHPDavid Peterson – LHP

Gausman also said nice things about what the Jays did at the deadline. He really is a class act.


Go Jays Go. I think we are going to go find a bar to watch the game.

After coming up empty at the trade deadline, the Braves get sterling starts from Bryce Elder, Grant Holmes

ATLANTA — The Atlanta Braves faced plenty of criticism after they failed to pick up a top-line starting pitcher at the trade deadline.

Bryce Elder and Grant Holmes have pitched like they didn’t need one.

Elder threw one-hit ball over seven innings a night after Holmes pitched six scoreless innings to lead a pair of victories over the Miami Marlins.

First-place Atlanta has won a season-high seven in a row and leads the Philadelphia Phillies by 8 1/2 games in the NL East.

“One of our messages to players, especially young players, is you’ve got to find something that puts a chip on your shoulder in this league or the rest of the league will chew you up,” manager Walt Weiss said after Elder’s sterling performance in a 4-1 victory. “Maybe that’s their response to the narrative over the last several days.”

The only hit off Elder was a soft liner that fell in front of left-fielder Lane Thomas and would up a double when Jakob Marsee hustled to second to beat the throw. Owen Caissie, who had walked with one out, raced around to third on the play, putting Elder is his first serious trouble of the night.

Joe Mack grounded out to drive in a run, but Elder retired Javier Sanoja on a flyout to end the threat.

That was it against Elder, who breezed through the next two innings with just one other base-runner on third baseman Austin Riley’s throwing error.

Mixing his cutter with a highly effective changeup, Elder turned in perhaps his most dominant start of the season and a big upgrade over a June slump that raised questions about his spot in the rotation.

After going 1-3 with an 8.10 ERA in that discouraging month, the right-hander has turned in four straight excellent starts, surrendering just five runs in 24 inning while posting a 3-0 record.

“That was probably the best command I’ve had in a long time,” said Elder (8-6), who was making the 100th start of his up-and-down career. “The changeup was really good. I was pleased with that. I like where I’m at.”

Elder made the All-Star Game during a surprising 2023 season, but he spent much of the following year in the minors. Lacking the sort of velocity that is the hallmark of today’s top pitchers, he’s always walked a fine line to maintain his effectiveness.

But the 27-year-old Texan never seems to get flustered, even when things aren’t going his way.

“He’s very level-headed,” Weiss said. “You can never tell if he’s dealing or he’s struggling. He’s literally the exact same guy. He’s a good thinker on the mound. He can put together a game plan. He knows how to execute pitches. He knows how to put together sequences. He’s got a good feel for the pitch. His velocity will fluctuate a little bit here and there, but it doesn’t really matter with him because of the movement and the command and the variety of pitches. He’s got a lot of pitches he can throw at you.”

Even so, the Braves were expected to make a strong bid for additional starting pitching ahead of the deadline. But the only newcomer to their rotation was Tyler Mahle from the Giants, a 31-year-old journeyman who is 3-9 with a 5.13 ERA this season.

He’ll go at the back end of a group that has faced big losses with Spencer Strider and Spencer Schwellenbach both likely to miss the rest of the season with injuries and Reynaldo López on the injured list.

Chris Sale, a Cy Young winner and 10-time All-Star, is the only big name among the starters, with Elder, Holmes and Martín Pérez filling the other spots, joined by a host of youngsters still trying to make their mark.

Elder shook off the disgruntled fans and unimpressed pundits who figured the Braves would make a bigger splash on the trade market.

“We heard what people said the last week or so,” he said. “But all we can do is control what he can control. Our job is to give these guys a chance to score some runs, and keep it close enough so that when they do score runs, we win ballgames.”

For the last two games at least, that plan has worked to perfection.

Red Sox News & Links: Injury updates on Roman Anthony, Garrett Crochet, Triston Casas

FORT MYERS, FL - FEBRUARY 17: Triston Casas #36 of the Boston Red Sox poses for a photo during the Boston Red Sox photo day at JetBlue Park at Fenway South on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 in Fort Myers, Florida. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Craig Breslow clearly did not go into this season counting on getting significant production from Triston Casas. That’s the whole reason why Willson Contreras is here. But still, did anyone predict that the team would get no production from him at all? Earlier this spring, as he was still rehabbing from last May’s knee injury, Casas suffered an abdominal injury that set his timeline back. In July, he was shut down with a wrist injury. And, yesterday, he had surgery on that wrist. There is no timeline for his return. (Lauren Campbell, MassLive)

Thankfully, Casas’ replacement at first has been better than Casas ever was. And healthy, too. Willson Contreras did leave last night’s game early, but after the game the team confirmed it was due to illness, not to any injury issues. (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

And while the Casas news remains depressing, at least there are other positive developments on the injury front:

Now we turn our attention to Adley Rutschman as he works to return from his wrist injury and make his Red Sox debut. While the injury is not considered serious, the Red Sox do not want to rush him. “I talked to him earlier [Monday], and at this point, I am not going to try to put a timetable on what his return might look like,” Craig Breslow said. “I think it’s best for him to get under our care and get our medical staff, our athletic trainers, our doctors’ hands on him, and from there we’ll figure out what the right course of action is here. But in talking to him, he’s very optimistic and he is saying he feels quite a bit better.” (Ty Anderson, 98.5)

When Rutschman does return, will it be difficult for him and the pitching staff to build up some on-field chemistry? “It’s not nothing, but also wouldn’t want to overstate it,” said Breslow. “These guys are professionals, and they’ve thrown to different catchers, whether that was because of injury or performance or whatever the case is. I think what it comes down to is building relationships and trust. And, like I said, everything that we’ve learned about Adley is he is fantastic at doing that.” (Alex Speier, Boston Globe)

Rutschman is known as a fantastic defensive catcher, much in the same way that Ceddanne Rafeala has always been known as a fantastic outfielder. But if the rest of the league still thinks of Ceddy as a glove man, they’re not seeing that he’s turned himself into one of the best all-around players in the game. Rafaela is currently third in all of baseball in position player bWAR, behind only Pete Crowe-Armstrong and Yordan Alvarez. (Peter Abraham, Boston Globe)

Nationals vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Washington Nationals sold off key players at the trade deadline and lost seven straight before winning Wednesday night. They now face one of the frontrunners to win the NL Cy Young Award in Cristopher Sanchez as +291 moneyline underdogs vs. the Philadelphia Phillies tonight.

My Nationals vs. Phillies predictions and MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 6 don't believe things are as bleak as they look for Washington, and I'll try for a potential huge payday.

Who will win Nationals vs Phillies today: Nationals moneyline (+291)

The Washington Nationals’ odds say they only have about a 25% chance of beating the Philadelphia Phillies and ace starter Cristopher Sanchez. It’s certainly a mismatch on paper with Miles Mikolas toeing the rubber for the Nats, but the line is too skewed.

The Nationals lead MLB in runs and have a better run differential than Philly. Philadelphia used nine pitchers on Wednesday, and Sanchez has tossed seven full innings in just one of his last five starts.

Philly's bullpen ranks 27th by bullpen ERA (5.17) over the last 30 days, instilling no confidence in its ability to protect a late lead vs. Washington's offense even at full strength.

Play to +270.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Sanchez has pitched a total of 24 1/3 innings in his last four starts, an average just over a six-inning outing, but he’s reached the 99-pitch mark in all of them. The Nationals are ninth in MLB in number of pitches seen.

Nationals vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-121)

The Phillies have scored 4+ runs in each of their last seven games. That trend should continue against Mikolas, who has a 5.67 ERA and 5.84 FIP.

Mikolas has as many home runs allowed as strikeouts since the start of July.

Sanchez has just two scoreless outings in 11 starts since the beginning of June. Washington can get a couple across early, then have about three innings against a Philly pen that has an 8.74 ERA in the last three games.

After a marathon game on Wednesday, the relievers Philadelphia is expected to have available Thursday own a combined 5.52 ERA and 1.64 WHIP on the year.

Play to -125.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 28-36, -4.68 units
  • Over/Under bets: 38-21, +4.74 units

Nationals vs Phillies weather

Batters will get a boost from the conditions, with 89-degree temperatures at first pitch and winds blowing out to center at 8 mph.

Nationals vs Phillies odds

  • Moneyline: Nationals +300 | Phillies -317
  • Run line: Nationals +2.5 (-117) | Phillies -2.5 (+108)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (+113)

Nationals vs Phillies trend

The Nationals have hit the moneyline in 25 of their last 45 away games (+10.75 Units / 23% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Nationals vs. Phillies.

How to watch Nationals vs Phillies and game info

LocationCitizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
DateThursday, August 6, 2026
First pitch6:05 p.m. ET
TVNationals.TV, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Nationals starting pitcherMiles Mikolas
(3-8, 5.67 ERA)
Phillies starting pitcherCristopher Sanchez
(14-4, 2.61 ERA)

Nationals vs Phillies latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB Home Run Props & Predictions Today: Best HR Picks & Parlay for August 6

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Friday Junior has arrived! It is time to get down and dirty looking for some guys to go yard on this slightly smaller slate. 

Here are my favorite MLBhome run props for today's slate, headlined by Boston Red Sox slugger Wilyer Abreu and Kansas City Royals sophomore Jac Caglianone.

Here are my favorite MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 6.

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

MLB home run props for today

Player to hit a HROdds
Brewers Jake Bauers +250
Red Sox Wilyer Abreu+276
Royals Jac Caglianone+344
💲Today's HR parlay+7049

Home run prediction: Jake Bauers (+344)

A lot of Milwaukee Brewers bats find themselves in a great matchup against Pittsburgh Pirates right hander Braxton Ashcraft, but only one guy really stood out to me. First baseman Jake Bauers.

The 30-year-old has been on fire as of late, posting a .371 BA, .464 wOBA, .629 SLG and 1.079 OPS over his last 10 games. During that stretch, Bauers also owns a 198 wRC+, 53.3% hard hit rate and 28.6% HR/FB rate.

Ashcraft has allowed plenty of hard contact and elevated baseballs to left-handed hitters on the road this season. The last 60 lefties he has faced have posted a .351 xBA, .584 xSLG and .377 xwOBA against him.

With Bauers covering more than 61% of Ashcraft's pitch mix, I think he's a great look to leave the yard. I'd be comfortable taking this prop down to +300.

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: BREW, SNP

Home run prediction: Wilyer Abreu (+250)

I'm fully expecting the Boston Red Sox and Wilyer Abreu to give Luis Castillo a warm welcome in his Chicago White Sox debut this evening. By that, I mean they're going to torch him, with Abreu leading the charge.

The Red Sox outfielder enters with an elite Batters-Box rating, covering nearly 91% of Castillo's pitch mix. On the other side, Castillo owns the third-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season dataset.

Over his last 10 games, Abreu owns a .667 SLG, 1.008 OPS and 173 wRC+. During that stretch, he has posted a 16.7% barrel rate while elevating the baseball 66.7% of the time.

Castillo has struggled tremendously against left-handed hitters. Most recently, the last 60 lefties he has faced have produced a 14.6% barrel rate, 70.8% elevation rate, .406 ISO, .698 xSLG, and .333 xwOBA against him.

I would try to snag this prop around +250. I'd hate to pay anything shorter than that for Abreu this evening.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CHSN, NESN

Home run prediction: Jac Caglianone (+276)

Kansas City Royals young slugger Jac Caglianone finds himself in a mouth-watering matchup this evening against Minnesota Twins right-hander Bailey Ober. Not only does the big fella own an elite Batters-Box rating, but he also covers nearly 100% of Ober's pitch repertoire. On top of that, through 21 elite Batters-Box ratings this season, Caglianone has left the yard in nearly 30% of those games.

So far this season, left-handed hitters on the road have been Ober's biggest kryptonite, batting .322 with a .586 SLG and .407 wOBA. They are also generating a 35.6% hard hit rate and a 71.4% elevation rate against him.

The Royals' future star has been a tad cold over his last few games, but his expected batting average suggests positive regression could be on the way, as he continues to generate plenty of hard contact.

I'd be comfortable taking this prop down to +250.

  • Time:7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 90-338, +3.7 units

Best home run combo for August 6

Red Sox Wilyer AbreuTrade Now
+7049
Royals Jac Caglianone
Brewers Jake Bauers

Want more baseball parlays? Check out our MLB parlay picks page!

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Moving on up: A look inside what happens when minor league prospects get promoted

The MLB Trade Deadline is now in the rearview mirror, and while much of the focus is on the players who are putting on new big league uniforms, the ripple effects are felt throughout an entire organization. As prospects change teams, the spots they leave behind need to be filled, which means dozens of minor leaguers across the league are being moved to new levels over these last couple of weeks. While that represents a step forward in their on-field growth, it can also be a challenging off-field adjustment for a young player.

"I think it's not as easy as it may seem," said Pirates top prospect Seth Hernandez, who began this season in Single-A Bradenton before being promoted to High-A Greensboro after six starts. "Obviously, you know everybody through spring training, but going to a new squad, you got to learn the vibe, you got to learn the coaching staff, how they go about things. You definitely don't want to be the guy to mess up a locker room, so you want to be a good teammate."

Stepping foot in a new locker room, much like transferring to a new school or showing up on the first day of college, can either be an overwhelming feeling of starting over or an exciting feeling of getting a new opportunity with new people.

"You meet so many new guys throughout the season," explained Nationals prospect Eli Willits, who was the first overall pick in the 2025 MLB Draft. "Just to be able to have new guys come in, it's such a cool opportunity to meet new people and make new friends."

Many of these young players learn quickly that the key to adapting to a new environment is simply trusting what got them there in the first place.

"Just be yourself," said Hernandez. "Not trying to be anybody you're not. I think that's the most important part." That was a sentiment echoed by Mets outfielder A.J. Ewing, who has already played at three different levels this season, after playing at three different levels during the 2025 season as well. "Just be yourself. Don't change. The organization made that decision for a reason. Just understand that you belong and your game will work."

To help young players with the transition to a new team, all MLB organizations lay the groundwork for these promotions before a season even begins. While Major League players are participating in spring training in their own part of the complex, all of the minor leaguers have spring training together. That means all the players in Single-A will be in meeting rooms and on-field drills with the players in Double-A or Triple-A. Those weeks together pay dividends in the future when a player changes levels.

"I would say it was an easy transition into that clubhouse because the Guards do a great job with keeping everyone really close," said Guardians' prospect Ralphy Velazquez, who was promoted from Double-A Akron to Triple-A Columbus in May. "We have a lot of camps in the off-season with a lot of players, and you spend time with those guys every day in the off-season. So to jump to a new level and get in a new clubhouse, you already know most of the guys and have hung out with them a ton. So they're all great guys, and it's super easy for sure."

"I think there's hardly ever a scenario where somebody's walking into a clubhouse and doesn't know anybody," said Stosh Hoover, the Director of Minor League Operations for the Rangers. "You're going to walk into familiar faces there that are going to help you out. Veteran players do a really good job of bringing young guys who are up there for the first time under their wing and helping them out, but I think all those connections are made during spring when these guys spend so much time with each other."

In addition to making sure the players all know each other, organizations also ensure that the players have access to all the coaches during spring training.

"Hopefully the organization's done everything they needed to make sure the coaches are around the players throughout spring training," continued Hoover," so I do not think there are times where the coaches aren't already familiar with the player or the player isn't already familiar with the staff there."

That familiarity not only helps the player but also helps the coaches, who not only already know the player but are constantly kept in the loop on that player's strengths, weaknesses, and tendencies.

"A lot of it comes down to the departmental communication," said Sean Buchanan, the Assistant Pitching Coordinator and Triple-A Pitching Coach for the Astros. "Our pitching coaches are in constant contact with one another about the things that are going on at their affiliate. Guys are bouncing ideas off each other. We're sharing video or sharing data. There's systems in place where everything that's going on is pretty much monitored, or is at least being talked about, so that if you do get a player sent your way, you can go back and see what they've been working on."

Those systems Buchanan mentions involve not only on-field instruction but also the seemingly mundane aspects of schedules, meetings, and documentation.

"We try to make sure schedules are similar, and practice plans and everything from a daily standpoint are similar across the board," explained Hoover, "so the transition is easier because you're going through a lot of the same stuff, just in a different city and a different ballpark. We expect messaging about how schedules are sent out, the timing on the date when things are going to occur, to largely be similar across the board, so there isn't a lot to get used to on that end. It's just, 'I'm putting on a new uniform, and I'm at a higher level, and everything else is the same.'"

The process of adapting to a new clubhouse then becomes secondary to focusing on their continued development on the field.

"I think it's great to have that opportunity to switch levels in the middle of the year," said Willits. "It means you're doing things right. You're playing the game well. So just to continue to go out there and grind each day, try and win every game."

"It's not always easy for everybody, but I think that when the game starts, and you go between the lines, there has to be a switch flip," echoed Ewing. "That this is what matters right now, and nothing else outside of this is going to affect how I play."

The ease of a transition can also be impacted by the suddenness of the move. Most players have no inkling that a promotion is coming, even if they've been producing at a high level.

"I don't think players have an idea that a promotion is going to come," said Buchanan. "The picture is just a lot less clear at the lower levels because of the trickle-down effect" of other promotions, demotions, playing time concerns, etc. "There are just so many layers to a promotion."

"It's kind of just out of the blue," admitted Ewing about most of his promotions. "I was not expecting it at that time, but I was really grateful for the opportunity that was presented to me."

Even if the news can come out of the blue for a player, on the front office side, those conversations have likely been ongoing for weeks.

"When it comes to a prospect or somebody who you're being really intentional about their development, they're conversations that happen for a bit," revealed Hoover. "You're looking for, does their performance merit it from whatever a specific organization's KPIs (Key Performance Indicators) are, right? Every organization is going to be a little bit different in what they're looking for and what they measure that tells them that, from a performance standpoint, a player is ready for the challenge of the next level... Then there's constant conversation with the staff and getting an idea if they're ready from a maturity standpoint. Are they ready from a physical standpoint? And discuss it with the performance staff, medical, and strength and conditioning. What have the [minor league] coordinators heard and seen if they've gone around? Then obviously you're having discussions within the front office about what the plan is for him when he does get moved up, and what are we looking to see?"

"I think it can generally be something that's discussed over weeks leading up to it, as you see the performance continue to progress and remain consistent. We try to look for windows where you feel like they've hit everything you need them to hit to move up to another level, and it's a good moment to get them up."

That means that not all promotions occur when the stats indicate that a player should be moved. Oftentimes, the surface-level stats are not the primary concern of the front office.

"It's really easy to look at the numbers and say, 'How is this guy not promoted yet?'" admitted Buchanan. "But so much of it has to do with things like, how old is the player? How many more years of club control do they have? What is their contract situation? What does the depth look like at that position above them? Those all become factors in whether this guy's going to get promoted by now or not."

Teams also often care more about those individual performance indicators, or KPIs, for a player than their surface-level stats.

"From a pitching standpoint, you're looking at, if they're coming up as a starter, are they covering the innings that they need to?" explained Hoover. "Are they working out of situations to make sure they get their innings and pitch counts for that night? Are they doing it on a consistent basis? Are their pitches and the characteristics that they're trying to achieve remaining consistent throughout? You could have a guy whose ERA might not look great, but his walk percentages are low, his strikeout percentages are high. Some of the underlying pitching numbers look good. His velocity remains consistent. His breaking ball has gotten better. Maybe the defense didn't play well around him, or he got hit around a little bit in Amarillo because a pop-up goes out for a home run. So you have park-adjusted numbers, and every organization is going to have their own internal analytics and systems running, so you can eliminate as much of the noise to make sure that the metrics under the hood match with the performance you're expecting."

"People are sometimes like, really, this is the guy they promoted?" laughs Buchanan. "And sometimes that's because we need to see, 'Can this guy play at the next level right now?' Because decisions need to be made about their future."

Then, once the decision is made to promote a prospect to another affiliate, an entirely different system of pulleys and levers begins

"The managers deliver the news, so we bring in the manager, and we'll let them know that [the player] is getting called up to the next level," details Hoover. "We'll give the player everything they need to know about the new coaching staff and what to expect, and then I begin to handle the travel. So is it something where we need the guy there tomorrow? Some guys will drive, depending on how far away the affiliate is."

That's what happened to Velazquez, who was driving to a road trip for Double-A Akron when he found out. "I got a phone call ahead of time on our off day. I was on the road to our away series in Double-A, and I had to turn the car around and head right back to Columbus."

While Velázquez was driving to Columbus, the Guardians' minor league operations staff was likely already working behind the scenes to facilitate his move. A collection of clubhouse employees, travel coordinators, and housing coordinators at the two minor league affiliates work together to coordinate the player's move from one team to the next.

"They take care of you," admitted Ewing. "I knew exactly where I needed to be at what time, and they got me here, and I didn't have to worry about anything."

"It's always cool to get a glimpse and see the inner workings of the clubhouse guys and travel people and everything like that," explained Buchanan. "It's a pretty seamless process. The player gets pulled into the office and gets told he's promoted. Within the hour, he's got a plane ticket in his email. His stuff has been and been shipped overnight for him, and he's given instructions that, at this time, he has to Uber to the airport and get on a plane. When you land, call this person and take an Uber to this location, and your stuff will be waiting for you."

"We cover housing," detailed Hoover, "so if a player is home, they've got to pack up all of their stuff and get everything ready. They travel with it. Then I've got to get them into a new apartment at their new location. There's a whole lifestyle change, right?"

That lifestyle includes moving to a new city, living in a new home, and familiarizing yourself with new surroundings. Some players, like Ewing, focus "more so just on the field stuff." But others, like Velazquez, like to take the time to get to know their new neighborhoods: "I try to make it feel like home as much as I can, for sure," revealed Velazquez. "Definitely going out, exploring, trying new restaurants with my buddies."

However, sometimes it's not only the player adjusting.

"What if they have a fiancé or a wife that's living with them?" asked Hoover. "What if they have a child? What if they have a dog? They're now picking up and moving a family potentially across the country. So we've got to coordinate all of that on the back end. Is their wife traveling with them? Are they going to come later? Were they promoted while the team was on the road, so we need to have somebody else pack up their stuff at home and mail it... We specifically allow spouses and significant others to live with players in the apartment, so, to me, it's even more important on that end to know that they have somebody coming with them and have empathy for that and make sure that I've got an apartment ready for them whenever they get to the next town. It's an adjustment, so the goal is to try and make it as comfortable as possible because it can be difficult."

The empathy that Hoover mentions is necessary in many aspects of a prospect promotion. While some of it is necessary for the player, and potentially family, being moved to a new level, we often lose sight of the fact that a promotion to a new level can often mean another player is being demoted.

"A lot of times, when one player is going up, it means that somebody else is coming off a roster," explained Hoover, "so you never know what that's going to do. I think there's a little sensitivity in keeping everything as private as we can until the actual transaction is announced, or maybe the organization decides to bring it up and let the press go with it."

There are also the instances where a player sees his teammates promoted while he remains at the same level. Or a player feels that his on-field performance warrants a promotion, but one just never seems to come. Sometimes they might be blocked by another prospect at the position, or the organization wants to see one specific approach change a little more consistently.

"It can be difficult to sit in the dugout with a player who feels like they should have gotten that opportunity," revealed Buchanan. "You just try to keep their mind on being successful with the opportunity that they have in front of them, like, this is not your fault that you're still here. You're doing your job. You're doing what's expected of you. There are a lot of other things that are out of your control that are just going to be a waste of time and energy if you focus on those. So be present where your feet are. Control what you can control, and trust the process, and your opportunity will come.

That potential for change and upheaval, whether positive or negative, is ever-present in the minor leagues. The constant transitions can be a valuable part of the process. They allow players to learn how to deal with change and help solidify confidence in their abilities to fit in with any clubhouse. Yet, even if the players begin to learn not to change, as Ewing and Hernandez mentioned, they still know that a change of scenery is always lurking around the corner until that one day when the big league club comes calling.

"I've gotten comfortable in Columbus," admitted Velazquez, "but you never know when your time's gonna come to go up, so you always gotta be ready."

Chicago Cubs vs. Toronto Blue Jays preview, Thursday 8/6, 1:20 CT

Today’s roster move: Here

Thursday notes…

  • STREAKING, PART 1: Since they were 34-34 on June 10, the Cubs have gone 32-15. Their last 32-15 stretch was July 19-Sept. 7, 2023. They also were 32-15 from July 17-Sept. 5. They were 33-14 from July 18-Sept. 6. Their last 32-15 span before 2023 was Aug. 13-Oct. 1, 2017. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • STREAKING, PART 2: The Cubs will be trying for a fourth consecutive win today. Their last streak of more than three in a row was five games, June 27-July 1: two at Milwaukee, then three at home vs. the Padres. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • PLAYING THE CHAMPS: Today’s game will be the third time that the Cubs have played back-to-back games against the teams that met in the previous year’s World Series. In 2005, the season after the White Sox swept the Astros, the Cubs hosted the Sox on June 30-July2, then visited Houston the next three days. In both series, the Cubs lost the first two games and won the third. They outslugged the Sox, 15-11, then nipped the Astros, 1-0. In 2023, the season after the Astros beat the Phillies in six games, the Cubs lost three games at Houston on May 15-17. After a day off, they won at Philadelphia, 10-1, then lost, 12-3 and 2-1. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • TODAY IN CUBS HISTORY: The Cubs sweep a doubleheader from the Expos at Jarry Park in Montreal, winning 6-5 in 13 innings in the opener and 1-0 in the nightcap. Rick Monday’s 13th-inning homer wins the first game. It happened 50 years ago today, Friday, Aug. 6, 1976.

Cubs lineup:

Blue Jays lineup:

David Peterson, LHP vs. Dylan Cease, RHP

David Peterson, last four starts: 1.52 ERA, 0.845 WHIP in 23.2 innings. That’ll play, even if there were a few too many walks (seven). His ground ball out percentage is very good — 35 ground ball outs of 71 total outs in those four starts.

Current members of the Blue Jays are a small sample size 8-for-36 (.222) against Peterson with no home runs.

Dylan Cease is having a very good year and in particular, had an excellent July: 1.00 ERA, 0.722 WHIP, 46 strikeouts and only 11 walks over 36 innings.

He has not faced the Cubs this year. Current Cubs are batting .198 (21-for-106) against him. Michael Conforto is 6-for-19 (.316) and Michael Busch has homered twice against him.

Here is the weather forecast for the area around Wrigley Field.

Today’s game is on Marquee Sports Network. It’s also streaming on Peacock (outside the Cubs and Blue Jays market territories).

Here is the complete MLB.com live streaming page for today.

MLB.com Gameday

Baseball-reference.com game preview

Please visit our SB Nation Blue Jays site Bluebird Banter. If you do go there to interact with Jays fans, please be respectful, abide by their individual site rules and serve as a good representation of Cub fans in general and BCB in particular.

The 2026 game discussion procedure has been changed, so please take note.

You’ll find the game preview, like this one, posted separately on the front page two hours before game time (90 minutes for some early day games following night games).

At the same time, a StoryStream containing the preview will also post on the front page, titled “Cubs vs. (Team) (Day of week/date) game threads.” It will contain every post related to that particular game.

The Live! (formerly “First Pitch”) thread will still post at five minutes to game time. It will also post to the front page. That will be the only live game discussion thread. After the game, the recap and Heroes and Goats will also live on the front page as separate posts.

You will also be able to find the preview, Live! thread, recap and Heroes and Goats in this section link. The StoryStream for each game can also be found in that section.

Discuss amongst yourselves.

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Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 6

The Diamondbacks (61-54) poured on 10 runs in a win over the Padres (59-56) Wednesday night to go up 2-1 in the series. Thursday's matchup marks the series finale. The two teams will meet for a three game series to end the season and that could determine who makes the Wild Card and who doesn't.

Arizona is 2.0 games up on San Diego as the Diamondbacks extend their record to 6-2 over the past eight games, plus 16-7 in the previous 23. Ildemaro Vargas drove in four runs in Wednesday's win as the offense stayed hot. The Diamondbacks are hitting .281 to start August (4th) and have seven home runs (T-6th) over five games.

San Diego is 9-3 in the last 12 games and has not lost back-to-back outings since July 22-23. The Padres followed up their last two losses with wins of five and seven runs. In August, San Diego's pitching rotation has a 5.86 ERA (27th).

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Padres at Diamondbacks

  • Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 PM EST
  • Site: Chase Field 
  • City: Phoenix, AZ
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV / ESPN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Padres at the Diamondbacks

The latest odds as of Thursday:

  • Moneyline: San Diego Padres (-104), Arizona Diamondbacks (-104)
  • Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-180), Padres -1.5 (+149)
  • Total: 9.0

Probable starting pitchers for Padres at Diamondbacks 

  • Thursday's pitching matchup (August 6): Walker Buehler vs Kohl Drake  
  • Diamondbacks: Kohl Drake

2026 stats: 13.0 IP, 0-0, 5.23 ERA, 1.45 WHIP, 12 K, 5 BB

  • Padres: Walker Buehler  

2026 Stats: 104.1 IP, 6-5, 4.85 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 92 K, 44 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • The Diamondbacks’ Gabriel Moreno is hitting .296 with 89 hits, 8 home runs and 49 RBI over 301 at-bats
  • The Diamondbacks’ Tim Tawa is hitting .232 with 35 hits and 35 strikeouts over 151 at-bats
  • The Padres’ Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .280 with 124 hits, 9 home runs, and 50 RBI over 443 at-bats
  • The Padres’ Jake Croneworth is hitting .216 with 45 hits and 51 strikeouts over 208 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Padres at Diamondbacks

  • San Diego is 62-53 ATS, ranking tied for fifth-best
  • Arizona is 62-53 ATS, ranking tied for fifth-best
  • San Diego is 61-53-1 to the Under, ranking eighth-best
  • Arizona is 60-49-6 to the Under, ranking sixth-best
  • San Diego is 31-25 ATS on the road, ranking fourth-best
  • Arizona is 30-24 ATS at home, ranking fourth-best

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday’s game between the Padres and the Diamondbacks:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Padres on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Padres at -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 9.0

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Game Discussion: Milwaukee Brewers (71-43) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (57-59)

MILWAUKEE, WISCONSIN - AUGUST 05: Esmerlyn Valdez #55 of the Pittsburgh Pirates is out at second base as Brice Turang #2 of the Milwaukee Brewers turns a double play in the seventh inning at American Family Field on August 05, 2026 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Milwaukee Brewers are looking to lock up a series victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday afternoon at American Family Field, as trade deadline acquisition Dustin May will make the start opposite Braxton Ashcraft for Pittsburgh.

After dropping Monday’s series opener by a 4-3 final, the Crew has rattled off a pair of 4-2 wins the last two nights with some solid pitching and timely hitting. They’ll look to make it three straight victories today.

May, 28, was a third-round pick by the Dodgers back in 2016 before debuting with them in 2019. He had a few solid albeit injury-riddled seasons to begin his career before struggling mightily in 2025 between the Dodgers and Red Sox. In 2026, he agreed to a one-year deal with the Cardinals, where he pitched to a respectable 4.38 ERA, 3.14 FIP, and 106 strikeouts across 109 innings before being shipped to Milwaukee on Monday. May made two starts against Pittsburgh while with the Cardinals this season, totaling 11 1/3 innings with six runs allowed and nine strikeouts.

On the other side, Ashcraft, 26, is a former second-round pick in his second major league season. He’s been solid this season, with a 3.96 ERA, 3.52 FIP, and 140 strikeouts over 127 1/3 innings, earning an All-Star selection as the replacement for Paul Skenes. Ashcraft faced the Brewers less than a month ago in Pittsburgh, pitching five innings with five runs allowed on five hits and two walks, striking out six in a no-decision as his offense bailed him out.

In the lineup, Brice Turang, Jackson Chourio, and Garrett Mitchell fill the top third of the order. Andrew Vaughn, Christian Yelich, and Luis Lara bring up the middle, with Gary Sánchez batting seventh as the catcher. David Hamilton and Cooper Pratt round things out.

First pitch is set for 1:10 p.m. on Brewers TV and the Brewers Radio Network.

Mets at Guardians, 8/6/26: McLean vs Griffin

NEW YORK, NY - JULY 30: Nolan McLean #26 of the New York Mets pitches during the game between the Miami Marlins and the New York Mets at Citi Field on Thursday, July 30, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Phebe Grosser/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Mets lineup

Francisco Lindor – SS
Bo Bichette – 3B
Luis Robert – CF
Carson Benge – RF
Francisco Alvarez – DH
Marcus Semien – 2B
Eric Wagaman – 1B
Luis Torrens – C
Cristian Pache – LF

SP: Nolan McLean – RHP

Guardians lineup

Travis Bazzana – DH
Chase DeLauter – RF
Jose Ramirez – 3B
Nathaniel Lowe – 1B
Angel Martinez – LF
Brayan Rocchio – SS
Petey Halpin – CF
Patrick Bailey – C
Angel Genao – 2B

SP: Foster Griffin – LHP

Broadcast info

First pitch: 1:10 PM EDT
TV: SNY
Radio: Audacy Mets Radio WHSQ 880AM, Audacy App, 92.3 HD2

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, August 6

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We're fading one arm, backing another, and targeting a hitter to clear his hits, runs, and RBI prop.

Headlined by Ranger Suarez, here are my three favorite MLB player props for Thursday, Aug. 6.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
bos logo Ranger SuarezOver 5.5 strikeouts-146
MIN logo Bailey OberUnder 3.5 strikeouts+133
pit logo Brandon LoweOver 1.5 hits + runs + RBI-101

Ranger Suarez Over 5.5 strikeouts (-146)

Boston Red Sox southpaw Ranger Suarez is in a great spot to eclipse his strikeout prop this evening, as he draws a Chicago White Sox team that has struggled against left-handed pitching this season.

Over the team's last 60 at-bats against lefties, eight hitters own at least a 22% strikeout rate, while five have struck out at a clip of at least 26.7%. On the season, five projected bats carry strikeout rates of at least 25.4%.

Suarez has been wheeling and dealing as of late. Over his last five starts, he owns a 30.3% strikeout rate, a 24.6% whiff rate, and nearly a 70% first-pitch strike rate.

Play this to -150, or alt this prop to 7+ strikeouts.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: CHSN, NESN

Bailey Ober Under 3.5 strikeouts (+133)

Minnesota Twins right-hander Bailey Ober owns the third-lowest strikeout rate in Batters-Box's current season dataset. On top of that, he has posted just a 14.4% strikeout rate on the road and a 17.9% strikeout rate over his last five starts.

Ober now draws one of the toughest teams in baseball to strike out. Over their last six games, the Kansas City Royals sport a 15.4% strikeout rate and an 80.4% contact rate. Across their last 12 home games, those numbers are even better, with Kansas City boasting a 13.6% strikeout rate and an 83.5% contact rate.

Considering how frequently the Royals put the ball in play, Ober will have a difficult time racking up punchouts. 

I'd play this down to +120.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ESPN

Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-101)

According to Batters-Box, Pittsburgh Pirates second baseman Brandon Lowe has cleared this prop in over 71% of his elite-rated road games. Across 107 elite ratings dating back to the last three seasons, he has gone Over 1.5 HRR in 63.55% of those contests.

This afternoon against Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Dustin May, Lowe owns nearly 95% arsenal coverage against the right-hander's entire pitch mix. Spanning his last 15 games, the Pirates slugger has posted a .290 batting average, 60% elevation rate, and 10% barrel rate.

Over the last 30 left-handed hitters May has faced, opponents have produced a 52.6% hard hit rate, 68.4% elevation rate, .394 xBA, .529 xSLG, and .414 xwOBA.

This is a massive misprice, even at -101. I'd be comfortable playing it down to -120.

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: BREW, SNP
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 360-726, -27.5 units | FADE ME.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Feared as baseball’s best, Dodgers are playing their worst

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 04: Manager Dave Roberts #30 of the Los Angeles Dodgers argues with umpire Brian O'Nora #7 against the Chicago Cubs during the sixth inning at Wrigley Field on August 04, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

For all the hemming and hawing over the Dodgers ruining baseball by accumulating many of the best players in the sport, they sure aren’t playing like it right now. They’ve gotten swept for two series in a row, looking more like a team who will have to play a wild card series rather than have a cakewalk to a third straight World Series.

The good news is the Dodgers will not lose on Thursday, but only because they don’t play.

Every team, no matter how good or bad, will have a stretch of the season in which they seemingly can’t get out of their own way, and look inept to the point of frustration over a reasonably long stretch of time. The Dodgers are in the throes of such a malaise right now, having lost six straight games.

Before getting drubbed by the Boston Red Sox and Chicago Cubs, the Dodgers had not lost more than four games in a row this season. In this decade-long stretch during which the Dodgers have won five pennants, beginning in 2017, they’ve only lost six games in row five times:

Dodgers longest losing streaks, 2017-26

  • 2017: 11 straight losses (Sept. 2-11)
  • 2025: 7 straight losses (July 4-11)
  • 2018: 6 straight losses (May 10-16)
  • 2019: 6 straight losses (April 8-13)
  • 2026: 6 straight losses (July 31-Aug. 5)*

*currently active streak

The Dodgers offense hasn’t exactly been humming during the losing streak, and has been rather ordinary even since the start of July. They scored more than one run five times in 54 innings over the last six games. The first four of those crooked-number frames gave the Dodgers the lead. Five runs in the eighth inning on Wednesday at Wrigley Field only served to give hope in a game that was already seemingly decided. Instead, the Dodgers lost by one run instead of a lot.

Yosshinobu Yamamoto and Tarik Skubal — the two pitchers on the active roster expected to be in the Dodgers’ ideal postseason rotation — each had productive, quality starts, combining to allow five runs in 14 innings. But they lost both starts, just like all six starters (or bulk pitcher, in the case of fill-in Cole Irvin on Friday) have during this woeful stretch.

Even with the good starts by Yamamoto and Skubal, Dodgers “starters” during the last six games have an 8.42 ERA, allowing 29 runs in 31 innings, including 13 home runs. That’s no way to live, with the team averaging seven runs allowed during the losing streak, giving up five or more runs five times in the last six games.

When the Dodgers allow five or more runs this season, they are 11-28 (.282). When they give up four or fewer runs, they are 58-18 (.763). They should look into doing more of the latter.

Over the last six games, the Dodgers played 105 half-innings. They led after 12 of them. Up next are the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field, who swept the Dodgers a month ago in Los Angeles. Not playing from behind most of the time would go a long way toward ending a losing streak.

Thursday afternoon Orioles game thread: vs. Angels, 12:35

BALTIMORE, MD - JULY 31: Brandon Young #63 of the Baltimore Orioles pitches against the Philadelphia Phillies during the second inning at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 31, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Shhh. Don’t say anything. Don’t jinx it. But…there’s a chance that the Orioles could end today tied for an AL Wild Card spot.

It’s hard to believe such a thing could be true, after all the trials and tribulations and the often foolish play we’ve witnessed from the 2026 Orioles. But if they win this afternoon and the Guardians lose to the Mets, then the O’s would vault ahead of Cleveland and move into a tie with the idle Rangers for the third wild card spot. Even while still being under .500. Wild stuff.

But first things first: the O’s need to take care of business against the Angels, the worst team in baseball. The Birds have done so in the first two games of the series, even if their hitting performance wasn’t quite as potent as we’d like. But their pitching has been stellar, with Cade Povich and Trevor Rogers each delivering quality starts and a patched-together back of the bullpen locking things down late. It helps that the Angels can’t really hit, but let’s not pick nits.

Today the O’s have their most reliable starter, Brandon Young, on the mound as they try for the sweep. As a reminder, the Orioles are a whopping 15-3 in Young’s starts this season. The right-hander passed the 100-inning mark in his last start and carries an 8-2 record and 3.31 ERA. The Angels will be facing him for the first time in his career.

On paper, the Birds would appear to have the pitching advantage with Young taking on Ryan Johnson, a rookie righty with a 7.63 ERA. Johnson has been absolutely dreadful against every team he’s faced…except the Orioles. Back in June, Johnson faced the Birds in Anaheim and dominated them for six shutout, one-hit innings, striking out eight. It was by far the best outing of Johnson’s career, and the only time he’s ever pitched more than five innings. The O’s offense was absolutely pathetic in that game. It wasn’t the first or last time the Orioles had been shut down by a pitcher with a sky-high ERA. Hopefully we won’t see a repeat performance today.

Orioles lineup:

LF Dylan Beavers
1B Pete Alonso
DH Gunnar Henderson
3B Christian Encarnacion-Strand
SS Jackson Holliday
RF Leody Taveras
2B Jeremiah Jackson
CF Colton Cowser
C Yohel Pozo

RHP Brandon Young

Angels lineup:

LF Wade Meckler
DH Mike Trout
1B Nolan Schanuel
SS Zach Neto
3B Vaughn Grissom
C Moisés Ballesteros
CF Jose Siri
LF Josh Lowe
2B Oswald Peraza

RHP Ryan Johnson

Twins vs Royals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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It’ll be Michael Wacha who gets the job done in my Twins vs. Royals predictions, as the All-Star has been lights out for the last month.

The Kansas City Royals welcome the Minnesota Twins to Kauffman Stadium as -117 favorites at Polymarket, which gives us some value right off the bat, as most sportsbooks are pricing them closer to -125.

With that in mind, let’s dive right into my MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 6.

Who will win Twins vs Royals today: Royals moneyline (-121)

Welcome to the Michael Wacha show, people. 

The Kansas City Royals ace has allowed just four earned runs across his last 20 innings, which include three straight quality starts since he pitched a shutout frame for the NL All-Star team.

The success over this Minnesota Twins lineup just bolsters the cause for us tonight, too. Across 104 plate appearances, he’s limited Minnesota to a .241 xBA — Ryan Jeffers and Josh Bell are a combined 8-for-35 against him.

Bailey Ober goes for the Twins, and it’s safe to say he hasn’t had the best time against Kansas City in his career. Over 131 at-bats (we love that sample size), the Royals own a .284 xBA and .387 xwOBA against the righty, while striking out at just an 18% clip.

The swing-and-miss issues have been under a microscope for Ober this season, as his 17.2% K rate is the lowest of his career.

I’d bet this up to -130; let’s start off hot tonight.

Looking for more ML plays today? Dive into Jason Wilson’s MLB moneyline picks.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Bailey Ober has a Bobby Witt Jr. problem, as most starters do. However, Witt is 12-for-28 with five extra-base hits against the big righty in his career, owning a .695 xSLG. 

Twins vs Royals Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+109)

Aside from a strong pitching matchup, we’re running with the MLB trends on this wager. When Wacha is on the mound and is coming off five days of rest, the Under has been perfect, going 6-0 in that situation. The Royals are also a Top-10 Under team this season, hitting at a 54% clip.

On the other side, this number has hit in three of Ober’s last four starts. And while the Royals have barreled Ober throughout the course of his career, they are the worst team in MLB hitting with runners in scoring position. What does this all add up to? An Under.

If 8.5 is daunting for you, Under 9.5 at -140 or below is still a go.

Dustin Saracini's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 0-2, -2 units
  • Over/Under bets: 0-2, -2 units

Twins vs Royals weather

It'll be a scorcher tonight, with temperatures hitting 84 degrees Fahrenheit prior to first pitch. This shouldn't have much of an impact on game conditions, however.

Twins vs Royals odds

  • Moneyline: Twins (+113) | Royals (-117)
  • Run line: Twins +1.5 (-186) | Royals -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+127) | Under 9.5 (-133)

Twins vs Royals trend

Not only are the Twins on a four-game losing streak, but the offense is scuffling, failing to score more than three runs in three of their last four games. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Royals.

How to watch Twins vs Royals and game info

LocationKauffman Stadium, Kansas City, MO
DateThursday, August 6, 2026
First pitch7:40 p.m. ET
TVESPN
Twins starting pitcherBailey Ober
(7-3, 4.45 ERA)
Royals starting pitcherMichael Wacha
(5-8, 3.51 ERA)

Twins vs Royals latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.