The New Orion Kerkering

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 13: Orion Kerkering #50 of the Philadelphia Phillies looks on against the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park on April 13, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies defeated the Cubs 13-7. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Does anyone reading this need any reminders about how the NLDS ended in 2025? Didn’t think so.

Orion Kerkering’s 2025 season was disappointing after a very good 2024 where he seemed primed for a future late-inning role. The Phillies let Jeff Hoffman walk for Jordan Romano with the idea that Kerkering would fill a bigger role.

Kerkering struggled to with throwing quality strikes and getting consistent chase. He has always had a knack for generating weak contact but he walked more hitters and struggled to keep the ball on the ground as he did so well before.

There were greater concerns with the overall profile. He backed off throwing his patented sweeper because it wasn’t as good of a shape. He lost three inches of drop and a few more inches of horizontal break in an attempt to throw the pitch a little harder.

Velocity gain is generally a good thing, even on pitches like sweepers that require more movement but it just didn’t play as well. Opponents slugged 81 points better against the offering than they did in 2024 and he was not getting as much chase. The trade off just wasn’t worth it.

He also probably needed another secondary pitch to lefties, even if it was just for show. Left handed hitters had a .738 OPS against him which forced Rob Thomson to utilize him differently. Since Kerkering wasn’t a great option to trust for three hitters, they asked him to pitch dirty innings against certain matchups.

After all of that, Kerkering needed to do at least two things for a better 2026: get the sweeper back to it’s 2024 shape and to develop a second off-speed pitch.

The sweeper profile is now much closer to 2024 with roughly the same amount of vertical drop and only slightly less horizontal movement. Kerkering’s outlier sweeper movement worked not just for getting whiffs but for generating soft contact because hitters don’t often see a pitch like it.

He then developed a splitter. It’s not a great pitch since it has well below average drop but it’s another look for left handed hitters and he can locate it.

With a four-pitch mix, the Phillies now have the flexibility to use his arsenal differently than in the past.

Kerkering’s best strike pitch is without question his sweeper, so he is now throwing it more over the plate to get ahead in counts. Given the movement profile, it’s not as risky a bet because hitters generally don’t hit the pitch hard. Despite the middle-middle location, opponents have a hard hit rate of only 17.9% against his sweeper

(image from BaseballSavant)

With the pitch ending over the middle of the plate a lot, the fastballs should be higher in the zone to stay within the sequence tunnel he is working.

It’s risky, especially since Kerkering does not possess a plus fastball but he throws it at 97.4 mph and hitters will be late when it’s sequenced with the sweeper.

The sinker is more fascinating He is landing the pitch on the inner third of the plate to right handed hitters like he has in the past but it’s higher in the zone. Instead of working a traditional east-west approach, throwing the sinker high and in works off the tunnel.

(image from BaseballSavant)

Finally, there is the splitter that can work below the zone to keep hitters honest. He is throwing it 14% of the time to lefties and it forces them to stay honest on the outside part of the plate.

There are some indicators that a 2.49 ERA is probably on the high end of outcomes. He is not getting the groundballs he once generated in 2024 and is riding the highest strand rate of his career. But this is a pitcher figuring out who he is in real time and getting results in the process.

Mariners Game #65 Preview and Discussion, 6/6/26: SEA at DET

May 31, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Mariners starting pitcher Bryce Miller (50) walks off the field after the final out of the fourth inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: John Froschauer-Imagn Images | John Froschauer-Imagn Images

Well, yesterday’s kickoff of a ten-game, three-city ~East Coast road trip could have gone better, with the M’s falling 7-3 to the Tigers in a rainy, muddy mess and J.P. Crawford needing to leave the game thanks to a Framber Valdez hit-by-pitch. It’s a new day today, though, and what better time to bounce back than some breakfast ball and a newly piggyback-less Bryce Miller on the mound?

Lineups:

X-rays for Crawford’s hand yesterday were thankfully negative, but it is zero surprise at all that he is out of the lineup today. Colt Emerson will move over to shortstop, Patrick Wisdom steps in at the hot corner, and Cole Young will slide up to the leadoff spot for the second time of the season.

Detroit’s first seven hitters are unchanged from yesterday, with the exception of rookie sensation Kevin McGonigle being at shortstop rather than third base and Colt Keith taking over duties there, but Matt Vierling and Wenceel Pérez will be patrolling center and right field respectively.

Game Info:

First Pitch: 10:10am PDT

TV: Mariners.TV

Radio: Old Reliable

Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants preview, Saturday 6/6, 1:20 CT

Today’s roster move: Here

Saturday notes…

  • PICKING UP THE PIECES: The Cubs are 10-10 in second games of series, but have lost seven of eight, with their only win at St. Louis on May 30. They are 5-5 in second games at home, but 1-4 after having lost first games. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • TOO MANY RUNS ALLOWED: Yesterday’s 18-3 debacle was the fifth game this season in which the Cubs gave up double-digit runs. They won the next game after three of the previous four, most recently by 10-4 at Pittsburgh on May 27, the day after a 12-1 loss. They did it once at home, losing to the Nationals on Opening Day, 10-4, then beating them, 10-2. Since 2014, the Cubs are 64-60 in games after allowing at least 10 runs. They have given up an average of 4.6 runs in those games. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • RUN DIFFERENTIAL: With their 18-3 loss yesterday, the Cubs’ run differential for the season is down to +3: 299 scored, 296 allowed. The last time it was lower was April 6, when it was +1, 41-40, after a 6-4 loss at Tampa. That was their 10th game of the season. Their peak was +56, 215-159, on May 8, after a 7-1 win at Texas that was the last of the Cubs’ second 10-game winning streak. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • PCA, STREAKING: Pete Crow-Armstrong is on a 10-game hitting streak in which he is batting .366/.447/.659 (15-for-41) with three doubles, three home runs, seven RBI and seven runs scored.

Cubs lineup:

Giants lineup:

Ben Brown, RHP vs. Landen Roupp, RHP

Ben Brown has been just outstanding since he joined the Cubs rotation.

Over those five starts: 1.73 ERA, 1.79 FIP, 0.846 WHIP, 29 strikeouts in 26 innings. NO home runs. In fact, Brown hasn’t allowed a home run since he gave one up to Jacob Young of the Nationals on Opening Day — the very first batter he faced this year.

Keep up the great work, Ben.

Landen Roupp had a decent year for the Giants in 2025, and this year was doing all right until the Brewers pounded him this past Monday with eight runs in five innings. He walked five Brewers, and walks have been an issue for him at times this year.

Roupp last faced the Cubs May 5, 2025 at Wrigley Field and allowed four runs (two earned) in five innings. Ian Happ homered off him.

Here is the weather forecast for the area around Wrigley Field.

Today’s game is on Marquee Sports Network. It’s also streaming on Peacock (outside the Cubs and Giants market territories).

Here is the complete MLB.com live streaming page for today.

MLB.com Gameday

Baseball-reference.com game preview

Please visit our SB Nation Giants site McCovey Chronicles. If you do go there to interact with Giants fans, please be respectful, abide by their individual site rules and serve as a good representation of Cub fans in general and BCB in particular.

The 2026 game discussion procedure has been changed, so please take note.

You’ll find the game preview, like this one, posted separately on the front page two hours before game time (90 minutes for some early day games following night games).

At the same time, a StoryStream containing the preview will also post on the front page, titled “Cubs vs. (Team) (Day of week/date) game threads.” It will contain every post related to that particular game.

The Live! (formerly “First Pitch”) thread will still post at five minutes to game time. It will also post to the front page. That will be the only live game discussion thread. After the game, the recap and Heroes and Goats will also live on the front page as separate posts.

You will also be able to find the preview, Live! thread, recap and Heroes and Goats in this section link. The StoryStream for each game can also be found in that section.

Discuss amongst yourselves.

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Spencer Strider gets the start as Braves contend with Braxton Ashcraft

CINCINNATI, OH - MAY 31: Spencer Strider #99 of the Atlanta Braves pitches during the game between the Atlanta Braves and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on Sunday, May 31, 2026 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Colten Strauss/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Hey, you, reading this. Who is the Pittsburgh Pirates’ best starter? Paul Skenes, yeah? That’s an easy one. But, who’s the Pirates’ second-best starter? Well, if you read the title of this post, you probably have an inkling… it’s Braxton Ashcraft.

The 26-year-old Texan was taken 51st overall in the 2018 MLB Draft. Despite a series of serious injuries (meniscus, Tommy John Surgery) as he developed in the minors, he made his MLB debut last year in a swing role, and seriously impressed in a manner commensurate with his draft pedigree and top prospect status: a 63 ERA-, 68 FIP-, and 86 xFIP- in 69 2/3 innings spanning eight starts and 18 relief appearances, good for 1.6 fWAR.

Fully ascended to the rotation in 2026, Ashcraft has nearly rivaled Skenes in effectiveness so far. He’s made 12 starts, lasted 74 2/3 innings, and already has 2.0 fWAR with a 66/74/76 line. For the record, Skenes is at 74/64/71 this year (2.2 fWAR in 13 starts), so… that’s quite a one-two punch they’re packing in Pittsburgh these days.

How does Ashcraft do it? Well, mostly how you’d expect. He throws really hard (97 mph average on his heater) and has almost-excellent command. The only pitch that has notable inconsistency in mechanics is his curve, but when you’re fending off a 97 mph four-seamer and a 91 mph slider-cutter thing, it gets harder to punish an 85 mph curve that works more like a traditional slider with a bunch more depth, even if Ashcraft mostly tends to throw it in the zone. Does he have any weaknesses? Lefties tend to do okay against him when they’re not swinging through that curve, so the Braves’ best bet might be for Michael Harris II and company to guess a fastball or slider/cutter and let loose.

Ashcraft is also coming off a pretty dominant outing against the Twins with an 11/0 K/BB ratio in six innings, so… good luck, Braves!

On the flip side, the Braves will hand the ball to a once-dominant phenom who is still figuring out what his career will look like going forward. Spencer Strider comes into the game with a 91/116/93 line in 31 innings (six starts). The run prevention results for him and his defense are above-average, and his pitching’s been in that range as well… but boy, those homers. Strider started his season with just one longball against him in his first three starts, but then the Marlins hit three off him, and the Red Sox tagged him for two first-inning dingers in Boston. He rebounded with a very nice outing against the Reds (8/2 K/BB ratio, his best start of the year in six tries so far)… except that Ronald Acuña Jr. concentrated a series of defensive flubs in right field into the same game, and things didn’t go quite so great for the Braves in a loss — their first defeat in a Strider start this year.

Will the Braves win the set this afternoon, or will they need to rely on a rubber game victory to do so? Stay tuned and find out.

Game Info

Game Date/Time: Saturday, June 6, 4:10 p.m. EDT

Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

TV: BravesVision

Streaming: MLB.tv

Radio: 680 AM / 93.7 FM The Fan, La Mejor 1600/1460/1130 AM

Mets grant release of LHP Anderson Severino to play in Japan: report

The Mets have granted the release of LHP Anderson Severino for him to play in Japan, according to The Athletic's Will Sammon.

Severino, 31, was recently designated for assignment by New York on May 30 to make room for Cionel Pérez on the 40-man roster.

While he did not pitch in the big leagues with the Mets, Severino went 2-0 with five saves, 20 strikeouts, and a 1.31 ERA over 18 appearances with Triple-A Syracuse.

Severino signed a minor league contract with New York in November 2025 and played in three spring training games this year, but struggled with a 13.50 ERA over 2.2 innings. He was then reassigned to minor league camp on March 1.

For his major league career, the left-hander has appeared in six games (all with the Chicago White Sox in 2022) and owns a 6.14 ERA with nine strikeouts over 7.1 IP.

Guardians vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Texas Rangers opened their series against the Cleveland Guardians with a low-scoring victory.

My Guardians vs. Rangers predictions are banking on more of the same Saturday night.

Let's take a closer look at my MLB picks for June 6.

Who will win Guardians vs Rangers today: Texas Rangers (-115)

Tanner Bibee has really struggled on the road, posting a 5.96 ERA and alarming underlying metrics to boot.

Bibee has induced soft contact just 6.5% of the time on balls put in play, the lowest among today’s starting pitchers. He has also allowed a sky-high 26% line drive rate.

With Wyatt Langford and Corey Seager healthy again, the Texas Rangers have a more dangerous lineup to slow down.

Jack Leiter has pitched much better at home. He shouldn’t need much run support against a 22nd ranked Cleveland Guardians offense.

Back the Rangers to -125.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Tanner Bibee ranks in the 26th percentile in Pitching Run Value.

Guardians vs Rangers Over/Under pick: Under 8.0 (-115)

Leiter has made three starts at home against Bottom-15 offenses in OBP vs. right-handed pitching. He allowed a total of five runs while averaging just under 17 outs.

The Guardians rank 24th in OBP and 29th in average against right-handed pitching. Hitting for power at Globe Life Field is difficult to do, and they aren’t well-equipped to string together hits against Leiter.

The Rangers average almost a full run less per game at home. Playing in such a pitcher-friendly environment should help Bibee mask his problems.

Play the Under to -125.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 24-19, -0.68 units
  • Over/Under bets: 20-21-2, -3.71 units

Guardians vs Rangers odds

  • Moneyline: Guardians -105 | Rangers -115
  • Run line: Guardians -1.5 (+160) | Rangers +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-115) | Under 7.5 (-105)

Guardians vs Rangers trend

Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 home games (+12.20 units, 32% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Rangers.

How to watch Guardians vs Rangers and game info

LocationGlobe Life Field, Arlington, TX
DateSaturday, June 6, 2026
First pitch7:35 p.m. ET
TVFOX
Guardians starting pitcherTanner Bibee
(0-7, 4.57 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcherJack Leiter
(3-4, 4.34 ERA)

Guardians vs Rangers latest injuries

Guardians vs Rangers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Rays Trade Candidate: Luis Arraez

MILWAUKEE, WI - JUNE 04: Luis Arraez #1 of the San Francisco Giants looks on with teammates Willy Adames #2 and Matt Chapman #26 prior the game between the San Francisco Giants and the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on Thursday, June 4, 2026 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Kylie Bridenhagen/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

With the uncertainty surrounding Gavin Lux’s health, the Rays are relatively thin in the middle infield. Richie Palacios (103 wRC+ vs righties) and Ben Williamson (92 wRC+ vs lefties) have done their best to platoon the second base position into close to league average production, but the Rays would be wise to consider some external candidates to take over if Lux remains on the IL much longer.

A potential trade target is Giants second baseman Luis Arraez. Arraez hadn’t played much second base since 2023, but the Giants seem to have helped him find another gear defensively at the position. While I don’t think he is as good as his early-season Outs Above Average (OAA) numbers suggest, I do believe that he’s a passable defender there who will make the plays he’s supposed to make. But the Rays wouldn’t be trading him for his glove.

Arraez is as consistent as they come in his ability to spray line drives all over the field. His contact-oriented profile fits the Rays new offensive identity well, and his career 126 wRC+ against righties makes him even more enticing. It’s rare for a team in contention like the Rays to be able to improve second-base production from roughly league average to comfortably above average without a tradeoff in defensive quality. As a pending free agent, Arraez is one of the few veterans on the roster who could bring back meaningful prospect value if San Francisco decides to sell. His positional fit, production, and status on his current team make him an ideal trade target for the Rays.

So what could it take to acquire Arraez? Unlike a frontline starter, Arraez is a rental bat playing a lower-value defensive position, which should keep the acquisition cost below the Flewelling/Hopkins tier discussed previously. I think it starts with one of the players in the third tier of prospects I mentioned in my last write-up:

  • SS Daniel Pierce
  • C Caden Bodine
  • RHP Michael Forret
  • INF Cooper Flemming
  • RHP Anderson Brito
  • RHP Santiago Suarez
  • RHP TJ Nichols

It might feel like a slight overpay to give up one of these guys to get a rental bat, but that’s generally what happens heading into the trade deadline; the Rays would not just be trying to give something of value to land Arraez – they would be trying to make a better offer than several other teams. The Rays may even need to throw in an additional low-minors level lottery ticket type to get the deal done.

The appeal of a move like this is that it addresses a legitimate need without materially changing the organization’s long-term outlook. Arraez would deepen the lineup for a postseason run, the acquisition cost should remain manageable, and the Rays would still retain enough prospect depth to address other needs before the deadline.

Yankees Sequence of the Week: Carlos Rodón (6/4)

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JUNE 04: Carlos Rodon #55 of the New York Yankees in action against the Cleveland Guardians at Yankee Stadium on June 04, 2026 in New York City. The Yankees defeated the Guardians 2-1. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Yankees eked out a win on Thursday to avoid being swept by the Guardians, largely on the back of an excellent start from Carlos Rodón. Rodón held Cleveland to a run on two hits and three walks against seven strikeouts in six innings. That makes it three straight starts by the veteran southpaw of at least five innings and just one run allowed, lowering his season ERA to 2.88 through five outings. There as a moment in the fourth inning that I felt showcased the Rodón of old, earning the nod for Sequence of the Week.

We join Rodón with no outs in the top of the fourth, facing Travis Bazzana. There are runners on first and second and no one out after José Ramírez led off with a single followed by a Rhys Hoskins walk. Bazzana was selected first overall in the 2024 MLB Draft, made his debut at the end of April, and has been one of the Guardians’ most productive hitters with a 128 wRC+ entering play, lauded for his bat-to-ball skills and all fields approach. Given the way the Yankees offense had been struggling in the wake of Aaron Judge’s broken rib, it became imperative that Rodón silence this threat.

Rodón starts Bazzana with an elevated 96 mph four-seamer.

This is exactly the type of fastball that Rodón was known for at the very peak of his powers — high velocity, late life, and pinpointed right to the top shelf of the strike zone. Bazzana has no shot at catching up with this heater and whiffs underneath it late.

Now that Bazzana has shown a willingness to swing at a fastball up and in, the logical follow-up pitch would be a slider down and away that starts down a similar tunnel before dropping off the table late.

Unfortunately, Rodón is a little too high with his release point. The slider therefore exits his hand looking like a ball well above the strike zone and never looks like a strike during its path toward home, making for an easy take from Bazzana.

Given how good the first pitch fastball must have felt coming out of Rodón’s hand, it is no surprise to see him return to the heat here to get back ahead in the count after the mis-executed slider.

He nails almost the exact same location as the first four-seamer he threw and the end result is effectively the same. Bazzana is late with his swing and underneath a pitch that just doesn’t drop as much as he is expecting thanks to its excellent life, fouling it back over the screen for strike two.

With the count to two strikes, Rodón instantly goes for the kill with his typical put-away pitch against lefties — the slider low and away. The question is whether he can make the mid-AB adjustment from the first one he threw.

The answer, as it turns out, was no. Rodón sails another slider, this one even worse than the first. It’s almost like the pitch slips out of his hand with how high it lands. This is about as non-competitive a 1-2 slider as you are going to see and about as automatic a take as Bazzana could hope for with the count leverage so overwhelmingly not in his favor.

Following two substantial misses with the slider this AB, I’ll admit I was surprised to see Rodón double up on the pitch in this spot.

That’s now three sliders and three pieces of poor execution. This pitch starts aimed at Bazzana’s front shoulder, the late glove-side movement and Bazzana’s evasive maneuvers combining to prevent this from being a hit-by-pitch.

Rodón has worked himself into a spot of bother with those two sliders, going from fully in the driver’s seat, 1-2, to being a ball away from walking the bases loaded with no outs. It becomes obvious from this point forward that all Bazzana is going to see is four-seamers, a fact of which I’m sure the hitter is fully aware. That being said, Bazzana has not shown in this encounter that he has the ability to put Rodón’s fastball in play, provided that Rodón keeps hitting his spot at the top of the zone.

That’s exactly what Rodón does, unleashing his third perfectly executed four-seamer of the AB. This pitch just nips the top of the zone, meaning Bazzana has to swing or risk being punched out looking. However, he has not made the adjustment to his swing path to be able to get on top of this pitch, and once again all he is able to do is fight it off foul despite knowing exactly what is coming.

With Bazzana’s eyes clearly set for the elevated four-seamer but with no other pitch he can reasonably throw in this spot, there is an opportunity for Rodón to exploit what Bazzana is hunting by climbing the ladder a little higher than the previous pitch, in effect throwing the pitch that the hitter wants him to but in a spot that is just out of reach.

Talk about a literal perfect pitch. Rodón elevates this four-seamer ever so slightly higher than the previous one, and this time Bazzana can’t fight it off to stay alive. This is such an enticing pitch given it is over the plate, and it’s close enough to the top shelf of the zone that Bazzana is forced to swing. But Rodón commands it inside enough such that the hitter is not given a chance to get extended, which would make it easier to foul off, and the heater handcuffs Bazzana as he whiffs underneath for a huge first out of the inning.

Here’s the full sequence:

This snapshot is as good as I can remember Rodón’s four-seamer in pinstripes. Over the spring, he talked about how the bone spurs were preventing him from really letting lose and throwing the pitch with full conviction in 2025. The pitch currently sports its highest whiff rate (25%) during his time with the Yankees with a little extra velocity and almost an inch less drop than last year, taking the pitch from a 104 Stuff+ grade to 108.

This was also a bit of a “welcome to the big leagues” moment of sorts for Bazzana, who has been otherwise great thus far for the Guardians. Look at that tight grouping of heaters at top of strike zone. The final four-seamer for the strikeout was 97 mph with 18 inches of induced vertical break, both elite marks that the Cleveland rookie will have to get used to seeing in the majors. Bazzana has done most of his damage off the off-speed in his young career, so the attack plan of heaters up and me confirms that Rodón and J.C. Escarra read the scouting report.

Lastly, I liked seeing the mid-game adjustment when it became obvious Rodón had no feel for the slider. Most of his sliders including the three in this AB sailed high, which tells me that Rodón hasn’t quite found the release point that made the pitch so deadly last year. It looks to me that he’s not quite finishing the pitch all the way out in front, which should be something to monitor in his next start. All the same, this AB tells me that Rodón is pretty much all the way back from his injury and can even improve upon his stellar results from last year, which would make it four straight seasons of getting better than the year before.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Saturday, June 6

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For today's busy slate, I've found the value in the MLB player props home run market.

I'll include Michael Massey, Isaac Paredes, and Andrew Benintendi.

Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, June 6.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Royals Michael Massey+640
Astros Isaac Paredes+510
White Sox Andrew Benintendi +435
💲Today's HR parlay+24702

Home run pick: Michael Massey (+640)

He may not be a household name, but Michael Massey is torching baseballs right now.

He has three homers in his last six games and a 47.6% hard-hit rate during that span. The 21.2-degree average launch angle over the last week also stands out, and it's particularly important for this matchup.

Joe Ryan takes the hill for the Minnesota Twins, and he's allowed a 43.2% hard-hit rate across his last two outings. Additionally, 47.2% of the contact against him during that stretch has come through the air, with 17.6% of those fly balls leaving the yard.

With Massey consistently generating hard contact and lift, and Ryan struggling to keep the ball on the ground lately, this is an appealing spot for another long ball.

I'll play this pick up to +600.

  • Time: 2:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Royals.TV, Twins.TV

Home run pick: Isaac Paredes (+510)

Houston Astros third baseman Isaac Paredes has an astounding .550 ISO over his last six games, and it's no surprise that he's also gone deep three times.

But it gets better.

He also owns a 62.5% hard-hit rate and 25% barrel rate over the last week, with an average launch angle just above 20 degrees.

The matchup tonight will see him face Athletics rookie Kade Morris, who is making his big-league debut. While there's limited data on Morris at this level, he did allow eight home runs across 11 Triple-A starts before his promotion.

That's far from ideal against a hitter swinging the bat as well as Paredes.

With the Astros third baseman consistently generating elite power numbers, this looks like another favorable spot for a long ball. I'll play this pick up to +450.

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBC Sports California, Space City Home Network

Home run pick: Andrew Benintendi (+435)

Andrew Benintendi has a .500 ISO across his previous six contests, along with a 61.5% hard-hit rate and 23.1% barrel rate. The Chicago White Sox slugger is consistently squaring up the baseball, and he'll face Philadelphia Phillies starter Andrew Painter this afternoon.

Painter has given up 1.86 home runs per nine innings across his last two appearances, while opponents have generated a 36.4% hard-hit rate against him. Additionally, 51% of the contact against Painter during that span has come through the air.

His 5.32 xFIP also suggests he's been vulnerable lately.

While Benintendi's fly-ball rate over the last week sits just below 40%, his recent power surge is difficult to ignore. If Painter continues allowing elevated contact, Benintendi has a strong opportunity to take advantage.

I'll play this pick up to +400.

  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Chicago Sports Network, NBC Sports Philadelphia
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 9-60, -15.56 units

Today’s HR parlay

Royals Michael MasseyBet Now
+24702
Astros Isaac Paredes
White Sox Andrew Benintendi 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Where to Watch Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Saturday, June 6

The Los Angeles Angels, ranked fifth in the AL West with a 24-40 record, face the Los Angeles Dodgers, who are first in the NL West with a 41-23 record. The Los Angeles Dodgers are favored with a -375 moneyline compared to the Los Angeles Angels' +290. Starting pitchers are Jack Kochanowicz for the Angels, with a 5.23 ERA, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers, with a 2.86 ERA.

  • Date: Saturday, June 6

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET / 7:10 p.m. PT

  • Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

  • TV Channels: SportsNet LA, ABTV, presented by Pechanga Resort Casino, KCOP 13

  • Live Stream:ESPN+, MLB.TV | Follow on Yahoo Sports

  • Los Angeles Angels: 24-40 (#5 in AL West)

  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 41-23 (#1 in NL West)

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers -375 / Los Angeles Angels +290

  • Over/Under: 8.5

Los Angeles Angels: Jack Kochanowicz (2-4, ERA: 5.23, K: 46, WHIP: 1.48)

Los Angeles Dodgers: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (5-4, ERA: 2.86, K: 69, WHIP: 1.00)

Series: Game 2 of 3 (series tied)

Weather: 70°F at first pitch

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The St. Louis Cardinals will look to clinch just their second series win in two weeks when they host the Cincinnati Reds in the second game of their weekend series.

Nothing gets Cardinal bats started like playing Cincinnati, and St. Louis hopes to keep the hitting going on Saturday.

The Reds are in danger of losing their third series in a row, and with the Cardinals having an edge in the pitching matchup, my Reds vs. Cardinals predictions and MLB picks call for St. Louis to get the win.

Who will win Reds vs Cardinals today: Cardinals -1.5 run line (+165)

The St. Louis Cardinals have scored 24 runs in three games against the Cincinnati Reds this season. Jordan Walker, in particular, loves seeing the Reds, hitting .500 with five extra-base hits and eight RBIs. 

Reds starter Nick Lodolo doesn't seem like a candidate to slow the St. Louis onslaught. Lodolo's fastball is in the bottom 5% of MLB, and his barrel rate allowed is in the bottom 2%. His barrel rate (14.3%) nearly matches his strikeout rate (18.3%).

The Cards' last three wins have been by multiple runs. I'd take them and give the runs until about +150, or until the moneyline gets closer to -110.

Covers COVERS INTEL:  Lodolo throws his sinker nearly 23% of the time, even though batters are slugging 1.000 against it with a .444 average. He's given up almost as many extra base hits on the sinker (8) as swings and misses (9).

Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-122)

The total market is teetering on the verge of being too expensive. I'd prefer a cutoff at a run lower and closer to even odds, but I'll take -122. Not much steeper.

St. Louis has allowed under five runs in four of the last five. Cincinnati doesn't have much punch with Elly de la Cruz hurt. The Reds have lost six of eight, hitting the five-run mark once. They're scoring less than three a game with Elly out.

Cards starter Matthew Liberatore is coming off a scoreless 5.1 innings. He dropped his ERA by .77 runs and his WHIP by .096 in May.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 19-23 -2.79 units
  • Over/Under bets: 23-23 -1.51 units

Reds vs Cardinals odds

  • Moneyline: Reds +117 | Cardinals -122
  • Run line: Reds +1.5 (-178) | Cardinals -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+117) | Under 9.5 (-122)

Reds vs Cardinals trend

The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI. Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Cardinals.

How to watch Reds vs Cardinals and game info

LocationBusch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
DateSaturday, June 6, 2026
First pitch2:15 p.m. ET
TVReds.TV, Cardinals.TV
Reds starting pitcherNick Lodolo
(2-1, 5.20 ERA)
Cardinals starting pitcherMatthew Liberatore
(3-3, 4.35 ERA)

Reds vs Cardinals latest injuries

Reds vs Cardinals weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Where to watch Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Saturday, June 6

The Boston Red Sox, ranked fifth in the AL East with a 27-35 record, face the New York Yankees, who are second in the AL East with a 37-26 record. The New York Yankees are favored with a -120 moneyline compared to the Boston Red Sox's +110. Starting pitchers are Ranger Suarez for Boston, with a 3.38 ERA, and Will Warren for New York, with a 3.22 ERA.

  • Boston Red Sox: 27-35 (fifth in AL East)

  • New York Yankees: 37-26 (second in AL East)

  • Spread: New York Yankees -1.5

  • Moneyline: New York Yankees -120 / Boston Red Sox +110

  • Over/Under: 8.5

Boston Red Sox: Ranger Suarez (2-3, ERA: 3.38, K: 57, WHIP: 1.16)

New York Yankees: Will Warren (7-1, ERA: 3.22, K: 70, WHIP: 1.20)

Series: Game 2 of 3 (series tied)

Weather: 87°F at first pitch

Cubs roster move: Javier Assad recalled, Ethan Roberts optioned

The Cubs keep trying to fix the pitching mix.

Saturday, they recalled right-hander Javier Assad from Triple-A Iowa.

To make room for Assad on the 26-man roster, right-hander Ethan Roberts was optioned to Triple-A Iowa.

Assad has made eight appearances for the Cubs this year (three starts) with a 5.88 ERA and 1.269 WHIP. At Iowa, Assad has posted a 7.88 ERA in five starts. He was sent to Iowa to stretch out to start but threw just one inning and threw only six pitches in his last outing June 3. The short outing might have been to keep him available for this recall.

Roberts has a 1.96 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in 14 relief appearances for the Cubs this year. He’s been fairly reliable, but the Cubs might be looking for someone who can go multiple innings, as Assad can.

As always, we await further developments.

Walt Weiss: Mauricio Dubón “seems to be in the middle” of great Braves moments so far

ATLANTA, GA - JUNE 5: Mauricio Dubón #14 of the Atlanta Braves flips his bat after hitting a home run in the third inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Truist Park on June 5, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Folks, I’m afraid that we’re going to have to talk about Mauricio Dubón once again. Well, I’m not so much “afraid” of it as I am happy to do so, since this has been one heck of a week at the plate for ol’ Dubie. Dubón hit another big homer during Friday’s 6-3 win for the Atlanta Braves over the Pittsburgh Pirates and he’s now hit a homer in three straight games — a new personal best mark for Dubón in terms of homer streaks.

Earlier this week when he spoke to the media, Dubón stated that he was a “confident” guy and that he was relishing the opportunity to get the chance to show what he can do with the bat in big-time situations. This was yet another case of Dubón coming through in the big moments as both of hits came with two strikes on the board this time. I asked Dubón about where his confidence level is at right now and whether or not it’s spiking at the moment or if this is just how he normally operates.

“I’m very cocky,” said Dubón. “I know I can do it. I know I can go out there and […] let my game speak for itself. I’ve always got the chip on my shoulder so I know I can go out there and perform.”

He’s definitely been performing as of late, as he’s upped his slash line to .259/.315/.418 with a wOBA of .324 and a wRC+ of 105. For Dubón, his current wOBA and wRC+ would both be career-high numbers for him and while he did also acknowledge the ebbs and flows of a season, he seems determined to make sure that he’s making the best of this opportunity that he’s got so far.

Dubón also credited manager Walt Weiss for giving him the opportunities in the first place and Weiss was more-than-happy to deflect that praise onto his capable utilityman. “With all of the big hits he’s had, it’s pretty easy to write his name in the lineup,” explained Weiss when he was asked about Dubón’s performance so far. “It’s easy for me to write Dubón’s name in the lineup because of what he’s been doing all year. He seems to be in the middle of a lot of really good things this year.”

“He’s a treat to be around,” continued Weiss when he was asked further questions about Dubón. “It’s good energy every day. He loves playing baseball and I know that sounds weird but he truly does. You never see him without a smile on his face. Even on the days when he’s not playing, he’s a pro and he’s already ready. When he’s not in the starting lineup, he’s ready to pinch-hit or go in the game. He doesn’t even have to get any warning.”

“He’s a really good player and I think the Atlanta fans are seeing what this guy really is,” exclaimed Weiss. “Maybe he hasn’t had so many opportunities along the way but you put this guy out there and he helps you win games.”

Dubón as certainly helped the Braves a ton this season and we’re only seeing it start to ramp up with his performances this week. We’ve already talked about the versatility that he brings to the table and his sky-high confidence and now we’re starting to see him really put it all together in order to hit a level that we haven’t seen from him in other destinations. We’ll see if Dubón can continue to keep things going in the right direction as he continues to get the job done for the Braves here in 2026.

Phillies All-Star One and Dones: The 1980s Part 1

BALTIMORE - OCTOBER 11: Al Holland of the Philadelphia Phillies pitches against the Baltimore Orioles during Game one of the 1983 World Series at Memorial Stadium on October 11, 1983 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Focus on Sport via Getty Images) | Focus on Sport via Getty Images

In honor of the Philadelphia Phillies playing host to the 2026 Major League Baseball All-Star Game at Citizens Bank Park, we here at The Good Phight are launching a yearlong series that focuses on the history of the Phillies and the All-Star Game. Check back regularly for posts about the Phillies participation (or lack thereof) in the Midsummer Classic over its history.

At last, we’ve reached the first period of real sustained success the Phillies have had in their history as we take a look back at all of their one-time All-Stars. The eighties started off pretty well with the team’s first championship and included another World Series appearance in 1983 after many disappointments at the end of the seventies. But by the latter half of the decade, the team once again slid into mediocrity and, eventually, back into the basement. That made it prime territory for one-and done All-Stars, and as such, this will be another two-part entry in this series. If you’d like to catch up with the rest of the series, you can with the following links: 1930s, 1940s part 1, 1940s part 2, 1950s, 1960s, and 1970s.

Al Holland, 1984

Holland was the forgotten relief ace of the forgotten 1983 pennant winning Phillies, but way before that he was the oldest of four boys born to Charles Holland and Sylvia Wade of Roanoke, Virginia. Al excelled in sports at Lucy Addison High School, a segregation-era school for African Americans. Holland was good enough to be able to play baseball and football at North Carolina A&T State University; a historically black university located in Greensboro.

His two-sport success peaked in 1972, when after leading the football team in rushing, Holland led the country with 143 strikeouts and pitched to a 0.54 ERA. His mind-blowing baseball season also included a no-hitter with 25 strikeouts and one ball being hit in fair territory. He would throw three more no hitters in his college career, one each season. Despite his athletic success, Holland planned to use his bachelor’s degree in Recreation to run youth recreation programs. He was drafted twice, once by the Rangers in the 30th round in 1974 and by the Padres in the fourth round in 1975, but Holland chose not to leave college either time. Because of this, he ended up being an undrafted free agent following his collegiate tenure and ultimately signed with the Pittsburgh Pirates in June of 1975.

Holland excelled in his first full season of professional ball in 1976, posting a 2.96 ERA in 39 games with 4 starts in A-ball. He continued to impress in 1977, and by late September of that year, Holland earned a call to the Majors to make his MLB debut on September 5th against the Phillies. The 24-year-old lefty entered in the 7th inning of a 9-1 game his Pirates were on the wrong end of. Holland allowed a single to Gary Maddox to begin the inning before retiring Tim McCarver, Ted Sizemore, and Steve Carlton on a fly out and a pair of groundouts.

Despite making two MLB appearances to end 1977, Holland spent all of 1978 and the majority of 1979 in Triple-A Portland. That was until he was traded by the Pirates to the San Francisco Giants in late June 1979. Holland was sent to the Giants as part of a six-player deal that brought Bill Madlock to Pittsburgh. Holland made his Giants debut on September 9th and threw three scoreless innings in relief. He made two further MLB appearances that year that were also scoreless, bringing his shutout inning streak to seven.

Holland made the Giants roster to start 1980 and quickly showed why he belonged there. His first eight appearances were all scoreless, extending his shutout streak to 16.2 innings. Holland rose to be the top left-handed option for the Giants out of the bullpen and finished his first full season in the Majors with a 1.75 ERA in 82.1 IP across 54 appearances. He struggled to begin 1981 but righted the ship by June, just in time for the MLBPA strike that shut down the season until July. By late September, the Giants opted to give Holland a chance at starting, and he ran with it. Holland made three starts to close the 1981 season and went 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 21.2 IP.

The 29-year-old was a full-fledged member of the 1982 rotation, even being named the Opening Day starter. But Holland was back to the bullpen by June after missing almost all of May with a hamstring injury. He settled back into a reliever’s role, preferring the opportunity to pitch almost every day, once saying “If we play 162 games, I’d say I’d want to be in at least half of them.”

However, the Giants decided they had enough left-handed pitching in their bullpen that they could afford to trade one. Holland became the choice to be moved, and he was traded to the Phillies along with 39-year-old Joe Morgan in exchange for Mike Krukow, Mark Davis, and C.L. Penigar. The deal was the second the Phillies made in less than a week to try and remake their roster in order to have one last ride with their championship core, as they traded Manny Trillo for outfielder Von Hayes six days earlier.

Holland suffered an elbow injury in spring training and missed the first month of the 1983 season, but he returned in May and quickly rose to be a stalwart in the Phillies bullpen, throwing his power fastball almost exclusively in an era of relievers focused on deception. Holland pitched to a 2.26 ERA in 91.2 IP across 68 appearances and collected 25 saves while striking out 100 and walking only 30, earning the nickname “Mr. T” thanks to a pair of gold chains given to him by his wife. One of the games Holland finished on the mound just so happened to be Steve Carlton’s 300th career win on September 23rd in St. Louis. Another notable game was the 1983 NL Pennant clincher against the Dodgers when Holland struck out Bill Russell to send the Phillies to the World Series. Holland excelled in the 1983 postseason, throwing 6.2 scoreless innings across four appearances, but the Phillies ultimately lost the World Series to the Orioles in five games.

The 1984 season started off well for Holland, as he was sitting on a 2.80 ERA and 17 saves by the time of the All-Star break. That strong performance earned him a trip to the All-Star game, conveniently being held in his old stomping grounds of Candlestick Park in San Francisco. Unfortunately for Holland, he did not appear in the game that ended in a 3-1 NL win. Part of the reason may have been that Phillies manager Paul Owens was the manager for the NL squad and opted to use Goose Gossage as closer instead and save his own closer. However, Holland took offense at the slight, telling the Philadelphia Daily News “I’m very disappointed in not pitching. Back in San Francisco, my first All-star game…I really wanted to pitch.” Holland added that he was never told if or when he was going to pitch, despite Owens claiming that he would have used Holland if the game went into extra innings.

Nevertheless, Holland, much like the Phillies, tailed off in the second half of the season. Despite breaking his own franchise record for saves in a season with 29, Holland pitched to a 4.34 ERA across 37.1 innings while the team went 36-42 in the second half, ultimately finishing 81-81. He was particularly bad in August and September, with a 6.86 ERA in 19 games and allowing 28 hits and five home runs in 21 IP. 1985 started with discussions about Holland’s weight, with it later being revealed that there was a $10,000 bonus in his contract if he could stay under 210 pounds, and speculation about Holland’s future as he entered the final year of his deal. Team president Bill Giles downplayed trade rumors, but a trade did eventually come to fruition. The 32-year-old Holland and minor league pitcher Frankie Griffin were shipped to Pittsburgh in exchange for 38-year-old reliever Kent Tekulve on April 20th.

But Holland wasn’t in Pittsburgh for long, as he was traded once again later in the season to the California Angels before finishing the 1985 with a 2.90 ERA in 56 appearances. However, his free agency was compromised due to his involvement in the Pittsburgh Drug Trials that investigated cocaine use in baseball. Holland was one of the players suspended 60 games but avoided serving the time by agreeing to donate 5% of his salary to drug prevention programs and completing 50 hours of community service. He eventually signed with the Yankees and became a favorite of George Steinbrenner for his no-nonsense attitude, but Holland began the season in Triple-A and then saw his season mired by injury and ineffectiveness before being released in August. He re-signed with the Yankees for 1987 but made just three big league appearances before a suffering a major injury to his pitching arm on August 9th. That would prove to be his final game, as Holland never threw another professional pitch and to this day cannot straighten his left arm.

Glenn Wilson, 1985

Wilson was a first-round pick by the Detroit Tigers out of Sam Houston State University in the 1980 MLB amateur draft. As a 21-year-old in his final year in college, the 6’1, 195-pound Wilson played third base and hit a staggering .469 with 11 home runs in 46 games. Despite this and being the 18th overall pick, Wilson wasn’t viewed as the Tigers biggest prospect acquisition at the time. That title would go to Eduardo Cajuso, the first Cuban refugee to be signed by a Major League club after commissioner Bowie Kuhn lifted the ban on such signings.

Unlike Cajuso, who only played 23 career games, all of which at A-ball, Wilson quickly rose through the Tigers system and made his MLB debut on April 15th, 1982. Wilson, now playing right field, pinch-hit in the eighth inning of a 4-2 game with the Tigers leading. Wilson struck out looking against the Blue Jays’ Jerry Garvin, but that inauspicious first impression didn’t last too long. Wilson went on to hit .292 with a .778 OPS and 12 home runs across 84 games in his rookie season, winning the Tigers Rookie of the Year honors.

Wilson posted another steady season in 1983, hitting .268 with 11 home runs. Spring training 1984 started with swirling trade rumors for the Tigers, but a potential trade of John Wockenfuss to the Philadelphia Phillies for Gregg Gross fell through due to Gross exercising his 10 and 5 no-trade rights after neither team offered him financial incentives to waive them. Wilson meanwhile was the victim of a prank in the Tigers clubhouse on March 23rd when he arrived to see a shirt with the Tigers old English “D” on the front and “Trade Bait” written on the back. It turned out that prank was prophetic though, as Wilson was traded the next day to the Phillies along with Wockenfuss in exchange for reliever Willie Hernandez and Dave Bergman. To clear room for Wilson, the Phillies traded 1983 NLCS MVP Gary Matthews to the Cubs in a trade that landed Philadelphia reliever Bill Campbell and catcher Mike Diaz. Team president Bill Giles put the reasoning bluntly by saying “We feel Glenn Wilson will be better than Gary Matthews, but that’s yet to be seen.”

That statement didn’t age too well at least in 1984, as Wilson had the worst year of his career to that point when he hit a pedestrian .240 with a career-low 6 home runs in 132 games. The Phillies reportedly tried to trade Wilson at the winter meetings in 1984 as part of a package to acquire Luis Salazar, Luis DeLeon, and shortstop prospect Ozzie Guillen from the San Diego Padres but the talks never advanced.

It turned out the Phillies were lucky that trade never materialized, as Wilson had one of the best years of his career in 1985. He was hitting .266 with 8 home runs and jockeying for the league lead in RBIs with 61 while leading all outfielders with 12 assists by the time of the All-Star break. Despite this, Wilson was originally not named to the NL All-Star team because the 37-49 Phillies already had their representative in catcher Ozzie Virgil. However, Wilson was eventually added to the roster as an injury replacement for the Dodgers’ Pedro Guerrero, sending him to the game to be played at the Metrodome in Minnesota.

Despite being one of the last men named to the squad, Wilson did actually appear in the game when he pinch hit for pitcher Jeff Reardon in the 9th inning with the bases loaded and the NL leading 4-1. The man Wilson would face was of course Willie Hernandez, the exact player he was traded for. Vin Scully, who was calling the game for NBC, realized the moment and remarked “Here’s the trade. Here you have it.” Wilson flailed at a screwball in the dirt for strike three.

Wilson continued to have solid offensive seasons in 1986, hitting a career best 15 home runs with a .275 AVG, and 1987 while continuing his exceptional defense, leading all NL outfielders in assists in both seasons. He made his pitching debut on August 5th, 1987, when he pitched a perfect ninth inning against the Mets in a 13-3 blowout loss. Wilson’s Phillies tenure ended on December 9th, 1987, when he was traded along with Dave Brundage to the Mariners in exchange for Phil Bradley and Tim Fortugno. He went on to play four more seasons in the Majors for the Mariners, Pirates, and Astros. Wilson was a free agent following the 1990 season but was not offered an MLB contract after a pedestrian season in Houston where he hit .245 with 10 home runs in 118 games as a 31-year-old. He played in Triple-A for the Braves organization in 1991 before retiring. But the Pirates brought him out of retirement in 1993 for his second stint with the team, signing the 34-year-old Wilson to a minor league deal in January. He appeared in just 10 MLB games that season and hit .143 before retiring again for good.

Shane Rawley, 1986

An impressive year at Indian Hills Community College in Iowa was enough for Shane Rawley to get on the radar of MLB teams. It was there as an 18-year-old that Rawley went 7-2 on the mound and racked up 63 strikeouts. The Dodgers first selected the Racine, Wisconsin native in the fourth round of the January draft in 1974 but he did not sign, rather waiting until he was selected by the Montreal Expos in the second round in the June draft. It’s likely a no hitter he threw in between the selections on May 27th helped bump up his draft positioning.

Rawley pitched well in rookie ball for the Expos and quickly earned a promotion to Class-A Kinston where he struggled as a still 18-year-old pitcher. 1975 was kinder to Rawley, as he finished the year good enough to earn a promotion to Double-A for 1976 where he went 11-7 with a 2.69 ERA in 25 starts. Despite the 20-year-old lefty progressing well, the Expos elected to trade him along with Angel Torres to the Reds in exchange for 24-year-old MLB hurler Santo Alcala on May 27th, 1977. Alcala would appear in only 31 games with the Reds with a 4.69 ERA and never appeared in the Majors again after 1977. Rawley meanwhile was traded again following the 1977 season, this time being shipped to the Mariners in a deal for outfielder Dave Collins. The then farm director for Seattle, Mel Diddier, was who originally signed Rawley to the Expos in 1974. Rawley welcomed the move, later saying to his hometown newspaper that he “didn’t like Cincinatti too well” and that they “didn’t treat their minor league players with any respect.”

Rawley made the MLB roster for the Mariners to begin 1978 and made his debut in the second game of the season on April 6th. The youngest player on the Mariners at just 22-years-old, Rawley entered his first game in the second inning with the Mariners down 4-0. He got future Hall of Famer Rod Carew to ground out to end a scoring threat and then continued to throw four scoreless innings in relief with three hits, a walk, and three strikeouts. Rawley’s efforts allowed the Mariners to rally back to within one run but were ultimately doomed by baserunning mistakes in a 5-4 loss. Rawley though went on to appear in 52 games his rookie year with two starts and logged a 4.12 ERA in 111.1 innings pitched.

1979 started off well for Rawley, as by the end of June he was emerging as an ace in the Mariners’ bullpen. But that all changed after collecting his tenth save the night of June 29th, as he and teammates Rick Honeycutt and Mike Parrott got involved in a bar fight in Caledonia, Milwaukee after the game. Rawley ended up suffering a fracture in his left pitching hand after trying to break up the altercation, forcing him to undergo immediate surgery and keeping him out of MLB action until August 21st. Rawley finished the year with a 3.84 ERA and 11 saves in 84.1 IP across 48 appearances.

Rawley had his best year to date in 1980, totaling a 3.31 ERA in 113.2 IP with 13 saves. But the Mariners finished with the worst record in baseball, and he saw his name dangled in trades talks all winter as the team was in the process of being sold to new ownership. Rawley wasn’t traded that winter of 1981, but he did suffer a broken foot playing in a basketball game in January that required surgery and for the foot to be in a cast for six weeks. He only missed about two weeks of the regular season, but Rawley struggled to get going when he did come back. He had a 4.41 ERA in 32.2 IP by the time the 1981 player’s strike halted the season. Rawley pitched better when the season resumed and finished the year with a 3.95 ERA.

The next winter brought more trade rumors but this time, they came to fruition, albeit in spring. Rawley was traded on April 1st to the Yankees in exchange for three players and cash. The 26-year-old didn’t really lament the trade, telling the media that “it really gets old, losing” and that he didn’t believe Mariners new owner George Argyros “cared about the players as people,” adding that Argyros “doesn’t know the game as well as he thinks he does.”

Unfortunately for Rawley, more losing was in his future, as the Yankees finished 1982 in fifth place at 79-83, just three wins better than his old team in Seattle. 1983 was better for the Yankees and Rawley, as he was moved into the rotation and pitched a career-high 238.1 innings with 13 complete games while sporting a 3.78 ERA. One of those came on June 24th where Rawley went 5.1 innings and allowed 3 runs on 10 hits. That game is notable because it was the infamous “pine tar game” where George Brett’s g0-ahead two-run homer was disallowed due to “excessive” pine tar on his bat, giving the Yankees a 4-3 win. American League president Lee MacPhail later ruled that the game had to be resumed on August 18th with Brett’s home run counting, leading to the real final score to be a 5-4 Royals win.

Rawley started the 1984 season in the rotation again but this time it didn’t go as well as before. He dealt with injuries and had a 6.21 ERA across 10 starts by June 30th. That’s when he was then traded to the Phillies in exchange for Marty Bystrom and Keith Hughes. The 28-year-old turned his season around in Philadelphia, making 18 starts and going 10-6 with a 3.81 ERA, but the Phillies could not keep up a strong first half and finished 81-81. The lefty was even better in his first full season in Philadelphia in 1985 when he went 13-8 with a 3.31 ERA and threw 198.2 innings, proving to have been a shrewd trade for the Phillies at a time when such moves were almost non-existent.

Rawley appeared to be growing into the ace the Phillies desperately needed to start 1986, as he was 11-5 with a 2.96 ERA across 146.1 IP by the time of the All-Star break. The young lefty couldn’t shake the constant comparisons to another famous lefty who was recently the ace of the Phillies staff. “You can’t replace a Steve Carlton,” Rawley told the Daily News, adding “The very idea of that is ridiculous.” What wasn’t ridiculous was that Rawley was named an All-Star for the game to be played at the Houston Astrodome. However, unlike his teammate Mike Schmidt who started at third base, Rawley did not appear in the game that was a 3-2 AL win. Dwight Gooden started for the NL and was relieved by Fernando Valenzuela, Mike Scott, Sid Fernandez, and Mike Krukow.

The good times soon ended for the Phillies’ new ace, as he struggled mightily to begin the second half, allowing 12 runs in just 8.2 total innings in his first two starts after the All-Star break. Then he suffered a strained muscle in the upper part of his back that sent pain down his pitching shoulder and forced him to leave his third start on July 29th in the fourth inning. The injury was severe enough that Rawley missed the rest of the season as injuries dampened the Phillies chances of winning the division.

Rawley took a step backwards in 1987, going 17-11 but with a 4.39 ERA in 229.2 IP. He logged another ERA over 4 in 1988, but this time had a losing record of 8-16 and allowed a career-worst 250 hits as the Phillies’ rotation finished as the worst in the league. Rawley also got into a physical altercation with teammate Juan Samuel during a game on September 25th. Samuel had reportedly gone to the mound after a walk and suggested to Rawley, who was never shy about airing his grievances about his teammate’s play, to start throwing strikes. Rawley reportedly answered that Samuel was welcome to do the pitching if he liked. The second baseman didn’t like that and slugged his pitcher in the dugout tunnel before the fight was broken up by John Vukovich.

Rawley’s Phillies tenure ended on October 24th when he was traded to the Minnesota Twins in exchange for second baseman Tommy Herr. Rawley made sure to get a parting shot in on Samuel in his reaction to the trade though, telling the Daily News “They got Tommy Herr and that frees up Juan Samuel to go play the outfield. That makes the pitching better, because I just don’t think Juan Samuel can play second base at the major league level.”

It turns out, Rawley couldn’t pitch at the major league level much longer either, as he lasted only one season with the Twins and went 5-12 with a 5.21 ERA. The 33-year-old was a free agent following the disappointing season and signed a one-year deal with the Red Sox on January 10th, 1990. But he did not make it through spring training with Boston, as they elected to release him during cut downs on April 2nd, effectively ending his career.

Sources

Baseball-Reference.com

Andy Sturgill, Society for American Baseball Research (SABR) Biography for Al Holland

The Park City Daily News, June 29th, 1979

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Frank Dolson, The Philadelphia Inquirer, December 15th, 1982

Bill Conlin, Philadelphia Daily News, July 11th, 1984

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Peter Pascarelli, The Philadelphia Inquirer, December 10th, 1987

Intelligencer Journal, January 15th, 1993

Los Angeles Times, January 10th, 1974

The Journal Times, May 28th, 1974

Bob Dunn, The Montreal Star, June 7th, 1974

The Montreal Star, May 27th, 1977

John Lawrence, The Tacoma News Tribune, December 15th, 1977

Stephen Nover, The Journal Times, April 2nd, 1978

John Lawrence, The Tacoma News Tribune, April 7th, 1978

Stephen Nover, The Journal Times, July 1st, 1979

The Post-Crescent, July 1st, 1979

Mike Sturm, The Bay City Times, December 14th, 1980

The Spokesman-Review, January 30th, 1981

The Spokesman-Review, January 30th, 1981

The Bellingham Herald, April 2nd, 1982

The Boston Globe, December 25th, 1983

Moss Klein, Staten Island Advance, July 1st, 1984

Jayson Stark, The Philadelphia Inquirer, July 15th, 1986

Bernard Fernandez, Philadelphia Daily News, July 11th, 1986

Walt Burrows, Courier-Post, July 30th, 1986

Peter Pascarelli, The Philadelphia Inquirer, August 1st, 1986

Murray Chass, The Morning Call, December 26th, 1988

Paul Hagen, Philadelphia Daily News, October 25th, 1988

Paul Hagen, Philadelphia Daily News, September 26th, 1988

The Herald News, January 10th, 1990

Nick Cafardo, The Boston Globe, April 3rd, 1990

Scott Jackson, Ottumwa Courier, February 19th, 2014