Category: Baseball

The best stats are the stats that work for hitters and pitchers. They are mirror images of each other. On Monday, we looked at offensive efficiency to see how the Astros offense was holding up. The numbers obviously cut in a number of directions, but the main components are to see how many base runners the Astros get in comparison with the other AL teams and what percentage of those runners score. We can and should do the same thing with the pitching staff.

We do this for two main reasons. The first is that simply watching the Astros does not give us a clear picture of where they stand with the rest of the league. We could say that the Astros pitching staff has been awful at times this season, but that only makes sense as a comparison with everyone else. So, we look at total base runners and hits in general. Secondly, the efficiency rating tells us if the Astros have been particularly unlucky or if they are where they are supposed to be.

Why is this important? Simply put, as we approach the deadline it becomes dreadfully important to identify the real holes on the team. If the Astros are unlucky then a positive regression could solve a number of problems. If they aren’t unlucky then we know there is a significant hole that needs to be filled. A simple accounting would show that the Astros were 13th out of 15 teams in runs allowed through the weekend. Obviously, the opener of the Washington series makes that look worse. However, is positive regression likely? Let’s take a look at the numbers across the board through the weekend’s games.

	Runs	Hits	Walks	HBP	TBR	EFF
Red Sox	347	702	259	35	996	.348
Guardians	364	710	292	29	1031	.353
Yankees	343	664	268	34	966	.355
Mariners	345	707	224	40	971	.355
White Sox	396	697	340	50	1087	.364
Tigers	365	698	267	34	999	.365
Rangers	394	709	254	35	998	.370
Blue Jays	394	717	316	25	1058	.372
Rays	359	672	235	30	937	.383
Angels	450	711	401	48	1160	.388
Astros	457	726	395	55	1176	.389
Royals	452	792	339	29	1160	.390
Orioles	444	780	320	24	1124	.392
Athletics	479	818	343	38	1199	.399
Twins	464	779	328	49	1156	.401
Average	402	725	305	37	1067	.377

Statistics is a fascinating field all by itself. Means and medians can tell us a lot, but there is a whole lot here going on that averages can’t tell us. Six teams have allowed fewer than 1000 base runners. Six teams have allowed more than 1100 base runners. So, the league average tells us something, but the data is a pretty stratified. In others words, teams in the AL tend to be either really good or really bad on the mound.

The other thing we notice is that the efficiency ratings for the offense and pitching staff do not match up. This is because there is a significant amount of interleague play here and the National League is clearly better than the American League this season. The Blue Jays are officially the median in efficiency which sits at .372. That is significantly lower than the league average, so the high scores are skewing the results considerably. That makes the Astros look considerably worse than simply comparing them to the numerical mean.

Voros McCracken is one of the pioneers in evaluating pitching numbers and he developed something he called defensive independent pitching statistics (DIPS). His working theory was that pitchers could not control balls in play. They could control strikeouts, walks, hit by pitches, and home runs allowed. Since then, we have learned that pitchers can influence contact to a greater degree than he surmised. However, looking at this so-called DIPS tells us a lot about the Astros pitching staff.

The current Astros staff is 14th in home runs allowed, 14th in walks allowed, and 15th in hit batters. That ain’t a pretty sight. They are 11th in hits allowed which is slightly better. In other words, their fortunes will improve considerably if they just throw more strikes. However, if we are to believe that regression to the mean is a general rule then the Astros pitching staff is due for some positive regression.

However, it is important that we are precise here. If the Astros had a league median efficiency rating then they would surrender only 437 runs. That’s a difference of 20 runs from where they are now. In the stats world, 20 runs would be equivalent to two wins. Obviously, two wins and two fewer losses in the standings would put the Astros within a game of first place in the AL West. It’s not nothing.

Still, the fact is that the Astros are 14th in base runners allowed. Considering that Sacramento is a ban box, you could credibly claim that the Astros have had the worst pitching staff in the American League up to this point. Even with positive regression, you are probably only lapping the Athletics, Twins, Royals, and Orioles. That’s still not a good pitching staff.

This is where the question gets harder. It seems rather obvious that the Astros could most use another pitcher or two. However, the biggest culprits on the staff are Mike Burrows, Tatsuya Imai, Bryan Abreu, and Cristian Javier. You already have two better relief pitchers languishing in Sugar Land because you feel compelled to keep around two of those guys. You have the likes of Hayden Wesneski and Ronel Blanco due to come back in August. Even if they are merely below average, that would be a vast improvement over what Imai and Burrows have given you so far.

Roster decisions are never easy. We haven’t even brought up Lance McCullers Jr. who would fit comfortably in that quartet of pitchers currently sitting like an anvil on the pitching staff. Calling up an Alimber Santa or Miguel Ullola would mean cutting ties with someone. It would mean that two pitchers would need to be DFAed. I get the reluctance to do that with guys that have been productive in the past. However, you are not going to make it to the postseason and beyond with THIS pitching staff. You might with one better starter and one or two better relievers. Some of those guys are in house. At a certain point, you might need to cut a guy or two you like in favor of people that will actually perform.

Meet the Mets

The Mets lost a long, painful slugfest to the Royals 16-12. Matt Seelinger had a rough major league debut, giving up seven runs and getting the loss. 

Choose your recap: Amazin’ Avenue, Faith and Fear in Flushing, MLB.com, New York Daily News, New York Post

While 2026 might be hard to stomach, there are indications this season is more of an outlier than the start of a downturn.

Mike Tauchman began a rehab assignment in the Florida Complex League yesterday, going 0-for-2 with a walk as the designated hitter.

Over the last month, Bo Bichette has looked more like himself—and he’s felt it, too. 

The Mets designated Guillo Zuñiga for assignment a day after his debut, making room for Matt Seelinger to make his major league debut.

Seelinger waited nearly a decade since being drafted for his moment in the major leagues. 

Jorge Polanco returned from the injured list, with Ronny Mauricio getting optioned and Alex Carillo getting designated for assignment. 

Starling Marte was given a tribute video last night in his return to Citi Field. 

Around the National League East

The Marlins, much to everyone’s surprise, are beginning to look like the real deal, being one of the best teams in baseball for over a month.

Jesús Luzardo was named as an All-Star for the first time, being chosen as a replacement after a few starting pitchers withdrew from participation.

The Braves were walloped by the Pirates, losing 12-4. Ryan O’Hearn became the first player in Pirates history in drive in ten runs in a game, clubbing three home runs during the game.

The Marlins squeaked out a 6-5 win against the Mariners in extra innings. Jakob Marsee hit an RBI single to drive in Xavier Edwards and end the game. 

The Washington Nationals were bested by the Astros 6-3. Andrew Alvarez gave up five runs in 5.2 innings, walking five batters as well.

The Phillies beat the Reds 4-1. Zack Wheeler, fresh off an All-Star snub, struck out 14 batters in seven innings while allowing just one run.

Around Major League Baseball

ESPN updated their list of the top 100 trade candidates, with a little less than a month before the deadline. 

ESPN also doled out midseason grades for each team. 

The Brewers called up their outfield prospect Luis Lara a month after signing a seven year contract extension.

Ben Rice announced he will be participating in the Home Run Derby, with his dad pitching to him. 

Chris Bassitt is eyeing a return in the second half after undergoing back surgery. 

Konnor Griffon tore a tendon in his left ring finger and could miss some serious time rehabbing it. 

Buster Olney spoke to a bunch of big leaguers about their memories of the day they were drafted. 

Joey Cora is out as the Tigers third base coach, with “philosophical differences” being cited. 

Shohei Ohtani celebrated a milestone 300th home run last night, but his eyes are focused on loftier ambitions.

Royals outfielder Tyler Tolbert tied a major league record against the Mets, getting a hit in twelve consecutive plate appearances.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

A Pod of Their Own returned with a new episode.

Steve Sypa gave an introduction to the upcoming amateur draft, and what exactly Mets fans need to know.

Steve Sypa also delivered the fifteenth group of Mets Minor League Players of the Week.

This Date in Mets History

John Stearns and Bobby Jones each made their All-Star debuts on this day, 17 years apart.

Following a second-half collapse for the ages, the New York Mets spent this past winter reinventing their team. They said let franchise legend Pete Alonso leave for Baltimore in free agency, dealt fellow longtime Met Brandon Nimmo to the Texas Rangers for Marcus Semien, saw their two-time NL Reliever of the Year Edwin Díaz leave for the Dodgers, signed former Toronto Blue Jays shortstop Bo Bichette to play third base, came to terms with former Mariners second baseman Jorge Polanco to play first base, traded for former Brewers starter Freddy Peralta to be their ace, and signed Luke Weaver and Devin Williams away from the Yankees to reinforce their bullpen.

The end result? A 38-53 record heading into last night’s chaotic 16-12 loss. Manager Carlos Mendoza was kicked to the curb late last month, putting them firmly in the seller’s camp as the Trade Deadline approaches.

For a team playing as badly as they are — the Mets’ Pythagorean record of 39-52 shows that their performance has been no fluke — the Mets actually have a sizeable group of players who could draw quite a bit of value on the market, a testament to the fact that their roster really has been worse than the sum of its parts. While I do think Anthony DiComo’s statement that “the Mets would do well to consider trades for anything not nailed to the floor” is a bit overstated — he names only Nolan McLean, A.J. Ewing and Carson Benge as safe, and places Juan Soto in the “too expensive to be easily dealt,” ignoring the fact that teams don’t generally trade players on 15-year deals — the reality is, there’s reasons to discuss, well, pretty much everybody.

Despite high-profile meltdowns from Williams, the Mets have quietly put together one of the game’s better bullpen units this year, as their 3.6 fWAR and 3.69 ERA rank sixth, and their 15.8 K-BB% third. After a rough start to the season, old friend Weaver has looked like the 2024 version of himself that helped the Yankees to the World Series, as he has not given up an earned run since April 30th; in that span he has racked up 34 strikeouts in 26 innings, allowing just 18 baserunners. Veteran Huascar Brazobán has been excellent at limiting soft contact this year, and can both provide length out of the ‘pen and pitch in high leverage situations. Furthermore, both players are under team control for next season. Southpaws A.J. Minter (0.56 ERA in 16 innings) and Brooks Raley (2.23 ERA in 32 innings) are both impending free agents, so they’d be pure rentals, but they’d also be cheaper because of that.

The Mets rotation has not been nearly as effective as the bullpen, but still may attract interest. Clay Holmes is currently on the 60-day injured list with a broken leg after being hit by a comebacker off the bat of Spencer Jones on May 15th, and looks to start a rehab assignment after the break. The former Yankees closer has taken to starting much better than anyone could have expected, and represents the closest thing to an ace that the Mets have to trade; his bullpen experience may even make him more valuable, as teams with rotation depth (e.g., the Yankees) could bring him in knowing that he would be comfortable coming on in relief during the postseason. Other than him, the Mets don’t really have any sure bets. Peralta, Kodai Senga, and Sean Manaea have all put together mixed performances, at best, and while a dearth of pitching may inspire a contending team to roll the dice that a change of scenery will help — they have pitched like aces in the not-too-distant past — question marks abound.

Given the team’s 89 OPS+, it should come as no surprise that the lineup isn’t exactly filled with players that most teams would be interested in. If it becomes clear that Bichette plans to opt out despite his lackluster performance (.260/.305/.385 slash line, good for a 92 wRC+), then expect to see him traded — though he does have a no-trade clause and a move would need approval.

Bichette’s relatively solid Statcast data might make him an interesting add for a team in need of infield help, and he did hit .311/.357/.483 just last year while playing in the same division. But said opt-out does complicate matters, as otherwise, Bichette will make $42 million next year and potentially another $42 million in 2028. Ownership would have to approve the expense risk, and it never really sounded like the Yankees were in play for Bo this past offseason.

Reports have suggested that the Soto/Lindor relationship has deteriorated significantly since becoming teammates, leading to vague rumors that the Mets may trade Lindor. Now, I don’t think that’ll happen this year: Lindor is under contract through 2031, and despite Steve Cohen’s attempts to place Soto at the front and center of the Mets’ marketing, the longtime shortstop remains the face of the franchise among many Mets fans. But if the relationship, which strikes me as somewhat akin to the Derek Jeter/Alex Rodriguez relationship of the mid-2000s, deteriorates any further … well, let’s just say, a future trade seems a very real possibility. If that happens, the Yankees should at least check in (even though it’s unlikely the Mets would send him across town), because Lindor was worth 6.3 fWAR last season, and players like that don’t grow on trees.

To my surprise, there has been reports that the Mets may dangle catcher/designated hitter Francisco Alvarez. About to hit arbitration this winter after his age-24 season, Alvarez has not quite lived up to his potential as the third overall prospect. He has struggled to put together a complete season, having been limited to 100 games or fewer in three of his four full seasons, and his pitch framing has rapidly gone in the wrong direction. But power-hitting catchers are hard to find, and he did have a .950 OPS against left-handed pitchers last season. While I expect the Yankees to be more interested in Minnesota’s Ryan Jeffers, if Alvarez is made available, he might be the Mets position player most of interest to the Yankees.

Had they not existed in the same city, the Yankees and Mets look like ideal trade partners, especially if the Mets opt to trade their young catcher. But trades between crosstown rivals aren’t exactly common, and while I do think the Cohen Mets are less likely than the Wilpon Mets to have serious trade discussions, the two teams have only made 16 deals in their history, of which five were simple player purchases. If the Yankees want to match up, they may have to pay an extra New York City tax.

The Mets continue a three-game series against the Royals on Wednesday night at 7:10 on SNY.

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Mets Notes

• Carson Benge has reached base safely in 18 of his last 19 games, and is hitting .296/.352/.506 (.858 OPS) with four homers during that span
• A.J. Ewing is hitting .311/.400/.568 (.968 OPS) with five homers, four doubles, 12 runs scored, and 16 RBI in 85 plate appearances over his last 22 games
• Juan Soto is leading the National League in OBP (.410), slugging percentage (.575), and OPS+ (173)
• Luke Weaver hasn't allowed an earned run since April 30. In 26.0 innings over 24 appearances since then, he has given up just 11 hits while walking seven and striking out 3

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Today's Lineups

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While Tuesday’s contest against the Colorado Rockies produced a more disappointing outcome compared to Monday’s walk-off, Shohei Ohtani started off the game with a historic blast.

Ohtani smacked a leadoff home run against Michael Lorenzen on Tuesday, which was not only his 25th leadoff home run as a Dodger, but the 300th home run of his big league career. Ohtani stands alone as the only Japanese-born player with at least 300 home runs in MLB history— let alone 200.

Ohtani is now 60 percent of the way to his ideal goal of 500 career home runs, as Sonja Chen of MLB.com notes that Dave Roberts and the coaching staff are looking forward to experience that special day.

“It was quite the homer,” manager Dave Roberts said. “It was squared up, got out in a hurry, and 300, he got there pretty quickly for us. I just marvel at him every day…” Even before Ohtani joined the 300 club, the Dodgers were already envisioning him reaching far loftier heights, with Roberts saying they’re “always talking about the 500 club.” ”I mean, he just had a birthday,” Roberts said. “Still young, still strong. So I definitely think 500 is in his future.”

With that 300th career home run, Ohtani now becomes the first Dodger this season to reach the 20-home run plateau, a feat he has achieved in six consecutive seasons. When taking a gander at the Home Run Derby, there have been just two participants announced; Junior Caminero and Ben Rice.

Ohtani is no stranger to competing in the derby, as he did so with the Angels during the 2021 festivities at Coors Field in Denver. As far as Ohtani doing the same again for the Dodgers this year, that dream was shot down by Dave Roberts, reports Jack Harris of the California Post.

“When you’re Shohei, he understands the responsibility he has,” Roberts said. “So I do think that there’s a middle for what’s best for him [during the All-Star Game], with what potentially could be downside, but also what’s best for the game. So don’t see him in the Home Run Derby. Don’t see him pitching. But I do see him taking an at-bat or two, yes.”

The Dodgers bullpen ultimately overshadowed another dominant start from Justin Wrobleski on Tuesday, as the left-hander carved up Colorado’s offense for nine strikeouts over seven innings and allowing just one run.

Wrobleski spoke with Kirsten Watson of SportsNet LA following Tuesday’s loss, getting his personal assessment on what has been a breakout first half.

“I think I’ve thrown the ball pretty well. I think there’s always stuff you can nitpick and try to improve on, but for the most part, in the categories that I try to be good at, I’ve done a pretty good job. It’s just a matter of continuing to hammer those and to do what I need to do to be myself and hammer my strengths.”

MLB.com’s Anne Rogers provided some insight into the Kansas City Royals’ draft approach for later this week, including speaking with scouting director Brian Bridges.

The Royals have been linked to shortstop Jacob Lombard out of Gulliver Prep (Fla.) — if he makes it that far — left-hander Gio Rojas out of Stoneman Douglas (Fla.) HS, outfielder Eric Booth Jr. out of Oak Grove (Fla.) HS, UC Santa Barbara right-hander Jackson Flora and Georgia Tech outfielder Drew Burress, among others. Maybe they shake up the board and go with Huntington Beach (Calif.) HS left-hander/outfielder Jacob Grindlinger, who is just 17 years old after reclassifying for this year’s Draft and has legitimate upside as a two-way player. Grindlinger is No. 16 on MLB Pipeline’s Top 250 Draft prospects list and is rising on boards as Draft day nears.

Prep players usually mean a lot of upside but with more risk, while college players bring a higher floor and more experience — often with a chance to move quickly. Over the full Draft, the Royals are going to value both.

“There’s a good mix of high school and college,” Bridges said. “To tell you the truth, our range is pretty broad. There’s a clear-cut four players, five players in this Draft, and then believe it or not, where we’re picking, you can go a number of different directions. So we have a pretty good balance of what we’re looking at, both high school and college.”

Baseball America had a less-than-clear picture of Kansas City’s strategy for the upcoming draft, with a reported divide between ownership and the scouting department. Fast forward to the 44:00 mark.

Royals Keep’s Yirsandy Rodríguez concludes that Noah Cameron’s curveball “isn’t enough anymore”.

The pitch itself has barely changed. Its velocity, vertical movement, and spin profile have remained almost identical. What changed was the hitters’ response. They’re no longer chasing it at the same rate. One plausible explanation is that the rest of Cameron’s arsenal no longer poses enough of a threat to force hitters to protect the zone early in the count.

The rest of his arsenal supports that theory. None of his other pitches has complemented the curveball with any consistency. His four-seam fastball has allowed a 49.3% HardHit rate and a .280 batting average. The cutter hasn’t provided a reliable alternative either, surrendering a .338 average, while both the slider and sinker have been hit even harder. Combined, those four pitches account for 61.5% of Cameron’s repertoire, compared to just 16.8% for his curveball. The results suggest hitters can afford to wait for something more hittable instead of protecting against his best pitch.

The Royals fall to dead last in The Athletic’s latest power rankings, with Cole Ragans being the personification of the 2026 struggles.

Chad wasn’t wrong in the intro. Bobby Witt Jr. has been very good, which is not an accurate representation of the Royals as a whole. Instead, we’re going with Ragans.

Why? Because Ragans was an All-Star in 2024, and a huge reason Kansas City surprised the sport and made it to the playoffs. Since then, he has pitched in just 21 games — 13 last year and eight this year — as he battles one injury or another. Even when he was on the mound this year, he was just 1-4 with a 4.84 ERA.

At the end of 2024, the Royals seemed to be a team on the brink of a glow-up. But after a disappointing 2025, this season seems to be more of the same

Keith Law’s latest MLB mock draft sends USC left-handed pitcher Mason Edwards to Kansas City at sixth overall.

The Royals could very well go for Jacob Lombard or Eric Booth Jr., but there’s been a rumor for about two months now that they would love to get a college pitcher here, perhaps on a discount (Edwards would certainly come in well under slot), so they can grab several higher-upside high school picks later on, especially since scouting director Brian Bridges appears to have hit already on recent high school picks Josh Hammond and David Shields. If it’s not Edwards, it could be Logan Reddemann or Liam Peterson, and I believe this would be Jackson Flora’s absolute floor.

Kings of Kauffman’s Caleb Moody reacts to Eric Cerantola landing with the San Francisco Giants after the Royals DFA’d the righty.

The Royals may not have liked the results Cerantola was providing, but it seemed wiser to give him the same merciful treatment they did with Mitch Spence after his historically bad outing a few weeks ago and kept him an option. They should’ve been content with what they’d developed with him and allowed for some patience.

It’s not a move that shoots them in the foot per se, but it certainly puts them in a precarious spot should the injury bug look to the bullpen for it’s next victim.

ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel has a draft question and some Royals intel ahead of this weekend’s draft.

One big question: Do the Royals throw a curveball at pick six or play it straight?

Most teams agree on a group of six-plus players in the top tier (Roch Cholowsky, Vahn Lackey, Grady Emerson, Jackson Flora, Jacob Lombard, Eric Booth Jr.), so you’d think picking at No. 6 means the Royals just take the best player left on the board. They tend to have opinions about players who are more pointed than other teams, so the odds are a little higher that the one or two players in that group that Kansas City is less excited about will be the one who gets to their selection. Could this be another Frank Mozzicato moment where they go way down the consensus board to save money and spread it around high school players later? Those rumors are swirling around a few picks in this range, including the Royals’ pick.

Kings of Kauffman’s Matthew Swigonski grades the Royals’ last five first-round picks.

A company linked to the Royals bought the former headquarters of Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Kansas City, near the proposed ballpark district.

England’s Declan Rice wore a Royals cap following his team’s 3-2 victory over Mexico in the World Cup this past weekend.

Pittsburgh Pirates rookie Konnor Griffin will miss 8-10 weeks “due to an issue with the knuckle on the ring finger on his left hand”.

Detroit Tigers third base coach Joey Cora leaves the club over “philosophical differences”.

The Houston Astros demoted offseason acquisition Mike Burrows to Triple-A after a horrendous outing.

The Milwaukee Brewers called up outfield prospect Luis Lara in a bevvy of roster moves.

Ben Rice will represent the New York Yankees in the 2026 Home Run Derby, joining divisional rival Junior Caminero.

FOX reports that 30 million people tuned in for The World Cup’s U.S. versus Belgium, the most-watched soccer telecast in U.S. history.

In Pittsburg, Kansas, Chicken Mary’s and Chicken Annie’s have similar stories and similarly high standards in an overhyped rivalry.

Could Kansas City’s vacant office buildings be turned into affordable housing?

Joe Posnanski announces final submission of new book, FIFTY SEASONS, set to release in February 2027.

Today’s song of the day is Walk a Straight Line by Mack Geiger.

Good morning, baseball fans!

The baseball world seems to believe that the San Francisco Giants will be sellers at the trade deadline, with everyone on the team receiving speculation in some form or another.

Personally, I don’t know if I think that they will actually do that, even if they probably should. This organization rarely tends to make what would be agreed upon as “smart” decisions these days. But maybe this year they will prove me wrong on that.

I’ve seen articles floating trade scenarios about everyone from Logan Webb down to the ball boys, and at this point I think the team should be willing to hear everyone out on everything. But there are always going to be guys that you just don’t want to see go.

I think for me, that would be Jung Hoo Lee. He’s been the most fun thing about watching Giants baseball for me since they traded my last favorite player, Mike Yastrzemski. Which means that it’s almost a lock that they will now trade him too. But I really hope they don’t.

Who is your “hands off!” player as we approach the deadline?

What time do the Giants play today?

The Giants wrap up this series against the Toronto Blue Jays this afternoon at 12:45 p.m. PT.

Good morning.

• Royals outfielder Tyler Tolbert went 5 for 5 against the Mets last night, which tied him for the major league record of hits in 12-straight at-bats. Tolbert did fly out in the ninth inning to end the streak.
• The Pirates’ Ryan O’Hearn had three home runs and ten RBI last night against the Braves. Those ten RBI is a new Pirates team record.
• Gabe Lacques notices that the Pirates started spending money on players like O’Hearn and now they’re starting to win.
• Sticking with the Pirates for just a second, Kiri Oler tried to figure out what’s wrong with Paul Skenes lately. Although Skenes did pitch well last night.
• And more bad news in Pittsburgh as rookie shortstop Konnor Griffith will miss eight-to-ten weeks with a torn tendon in his left ring finger.
• Another remarkable feat accomplished last night was Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani hitting his 300th career home run. He’s the seventh-fastest player to reach 300. Alden Gonzalez reports.
• Jake Mintz writes this is just the first of several amazing milestones that Ohtani is likely to reach, and he reminds us that Ohtani’s success in the majors was not guaranteed when he came over from Japan.
• Seven umpires are expected to take a buyout and retire at the end of this year. This includes the much-maligned CB Bucknor. Bob Nightengale and Kevin Skiver report. Nightengale also notes that this likely opens the door for Jen Pawol to become the first woman full-time MLB umpire.
• David Schoenfield hands out midseason grades to all 30 teams.
• Brett Maguire has ten players who didn’t make the All-Star Team who could have a huge second half.
• Matt Snyder explains how the Rays’ 22-year-old third baseman Junior Caminero is forcing his way into the American League MVP conversation.
• Josh Jacobs has three stats that demonstrate how good Cardinals rookie second baseman JJ Wetherholt has been in the first half.
• Mike Petriello thinks that the Marlins strong start is no illusion.
• Looks like Miami may be buying instead of selling at the Trade Deadline. But what is each team’s biggest need at the Trade Deadline?
• Mike Axisa ranks the top 25 players likely to be traded at the Deadline and what their best fit is.
• Will Sammon thinks struggling Mets right-hander Freddy Peralta is close to getting back his old form (The Athletic sub. req.) Just in time for the Trade Deadline and the no-doubt rumors of him coming to the Cubs.
• There was one minor deal as the Tigers sent right-hander Matt Seelinger to the Mets for cash.
• Matt Snyder argues that everyone wants to see Mike Trout get traded except for the Angels and Trout. He also admits that those are the only two parties that get a vote, even if he’s bummed about it.
• Kiley McDaniel has one thought for all 30 teams heading into the MLB Draft on Saturday.
• Jonathan Mayo looks at the three-way debate for who the White Sox should take with the first pick. I saw so many White Sox fans making up fake Roch Cholowsky jerseys after the team won the draft lottery. Now Cholowosky probably has a less-than 50/50 chance of being the South Side pick.
• Jim Callis redrafts the 2016 Draft, ten years later. It was a good year for the Cubs to not have a first- or second-round pick, if you ask me.
• High school southpaw Brody Bumila has a damaged ulnar collateral ligament. Bumila was expected to be a first-round pick before the injury.
• Anthony Castrovince has the story of high school catcher and draft prospect Alain Gomez-Gudiño, who fled Venezuela to seek asylum in the US.
• Jesse Rogers gets players to share the stories of their draft day. Pete Crow-Armstrong and Ben Brown are among those he spoke to.
• Davy Andrews looks at how the Mets are really missing their former baserunning coach Antoan Richardson.
• Ben Clemens loves to watch Mets outfielder Juan Soto on a hot streak.
• And finally, Katie Woo has more details on Eliezer Alonzo’s emotional major-league debut (The Athletic sub. req.) on Sunday, which was just hours after his sister and stepmother were confirmed dead in the Venezuelan earthquake.

One of the most exciting aspects of every Major League Baseball season is the influx of rookies across the game. We see top prospects fast-tracked to the big leagues, journeymen who have waited ages for their moment, and players from other professional leagues making their mark.

As MLB’s first half comes to a close, the Rookie of the Year race continues to heat up, and the Colorado Rockies find themselves with a player right in the thick of it for the National League thanks to rookie first baseman TJ Rumfield. Since joining the Rockies via trade with the New York Yankees before the season, Rumfield has proven to be a steady contributor in the lineup and on the field, and one of the most productive rookies in the game.

But in a crowded field, does Rumfield have a legitimate chance at becoming just the second Rockie to win the award, joining Jason Jennings in 2002?

A matter of numbers

Let us first consider Rumfield’s statistics in relation to his ranking among qualified rookies in the NL.

Entering Tuesday, this is where Rumfield’s stats rank:

• .297 AVG (1st)
• .375 OBP (1st)
• .486 SLG (1st)
• .861 OPS (1st)
• 94 hits (1st)
• 20 doubles (2nd)
• 2 triples (T-1st)
• 12 home runs (3rd)
• 47 RBI (3rd)
• 34 walks (3rd)
• 51 strikeouts (7th-fewest)
• 2.1 bWAR (2nd)

The numbers speak for themselves. Rumfield is one of the most productive players among NL rookies across the board. His ability to consistently take good at-bats and make contact is one of the main reasons that he was named the Rookie of the Month in back-to-back months. His batting average is 20 points higher than the next qualified hitter, and his OPS is 30 points higher. He doesn’t rely on his power as much as some other players, but he has plenty of power he can tap into as needed.

What truly stands out is that Rumfield’s 14.2% strikeout rate is the lowest among NL rookies while he sports a very respectable 9.4% walk rate. He gets on base better than any rookie in the NL, and that should carry a lot of weight among voters at the end of the season because of the consistency of his performances. Rookies tend to ebb and flow through a season, but Rumfield has hardly had a rough patch this season. His longest streak of games without a hit is four, and he has only struck out more than once in just seven of his 89 games played.

And before the naysayers claim that it’s only because he plays at Coors Field, well, do I have some news for you. Yes, Rumfield plays well at home, where he is batting .299/.383/.494 with seven home runs, but he is also one of the best hitting rookies on the road. He is hitting .294/.366/.477 away from Coors Field, leading NL rookies in AVG while ranking in the top three in OBP and SLG, and has five home runs.

As for his defense, Rumfield leads all qualified first basemen in baseball with six defensive runs saved while being tied for second among first basemen in general. He has proven to be one of the steadiest gloves at the position despite a more limited range due to his speed.

He is offensively and defensively sound with very little to nothing to nitpick about his game. The most notable thing is that he isn’t very quick on the bases, but that’s just a drop in the bucket compared to all the good things he is doing, which are listed above.

Stiff competition

Despite all the incredible things Rumfield is doing, he is going to have a hard time winning the award over some of the other rookies in the NL. His main competition among position players at the moment appears to be JJ Wetherholt of the St. Louis Cardinals, Sal Stewart of the Cincinnati Reds, and Konnor Griffin of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Wetherholt has been fantastic for the Cardinals this season. The seventh-overall pick in 2024 is slashing .266/.360/.411 with 13 home runs for the Cardinals this season. He leads NL rookies in WAR thanks to his offensive production and ability to steal some bases, but he also has displayed Gold Glove-worthy defense at second base. Those factors are why he has 4.1 bWAR and has emerged as a leading candidate in the race.

As for Stewart, the 32nd overall pick in 2022, has burst onto the scene with the Reds with his 17 home runs. Slashing .254/.339/.466 with 61 RBI, Stewart is a run-producing machine for the Reds in the heart of their order. He has also proven quite capable of getting on base with his 44 walks, but can also swipe bags with 11 on the year. He, too, has proven reliable at both corner infield positions and was named an NL All-Star this season. He currently has 1.4 bWAR for the season.

Konnor Griffin has the hype of being the number one prospect entering the season and has shown off his spark in Pittsburgh. In 59 games, he is batting .276/.332/.404 with just five home runs but also 20 stolen bases. He has been susceptible to strikeouts, but he is adapting well to big league pitching. He also plays stellar defense at shortstop, which is partly why he has 1.6 bWAR on the season. However, injuries have hindered him this season, including the recent news that he has a torn tendon in his finger that could cause him to miss a month.

Of course, there are plenty of other names across the league that will garner votes, but it’s been apparent that Rumfield does not get as much attention from the media as these other players do. Part of it is that Rumfield plays in an ignored market for a team that has a reputation for not being very good. These other players are certainly deserving, but it’s difficult to trust that awards voters will do their due diligence in considering his case.

Build upon the case

There is no doubt that Rumfield will receive Rookie of the Year votes, but where he will place is up in the air. The Rockies have only had a couple of position players place second in voting, while the most recent finish was Nolan Jones in 2023, when he finished fourth.

An All-Star nod would have helped his case (I’ll hold out hope for a replacement opportunity), but Rumfield can take matters into his own hands with a replication of his first half. If he can get his home run swing a bit more consistently while doing everything else he already does, it can give the voters no choice but to pay attention to how much he has done to deserve it.

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On the farm

Triple-A:Sugar Land Space Cowboys 6, Albuquerque Isotopes 5 (F/7)

The Albuquerque Isotopes took an early 4-0 lead, but ended up losing 6-5 after the game was called with two outs in the seventh inning due to rain and lightning. The Isotopes only had three hits, with Jordan Beck driving in a run with a sacrifice fly and both Zac Veen and Adael Amador both driving in a run. Mason Green made the start and allowed two runs on three hits over his three innings of work. Domingo Acevedo followed in relief with 2.2 innings of work, during which he allowed three runs on three hits. Andrew Baker took the loss after allowing the winning run in the bottom of the seventh.

Double-A:Binghamton Rumble Ponies 10, Hartford Yard Goats 4

Despite matching the Binghamton Rumble Ponies with nine hits, the Hartford Yard Goats suffered a disastrous eighth inning, resulting in the 10-4 loss. After starting, Griffin Herring allowed four runs in 1.2 innings in his start. Cade Denton held down the fort with 4.1 scoreless innings of relief. Austin Smith eventually entered in the eighth inning and was hit hard, recording just one out as he was responsible for six runs, four earned, to take his third loss. Trailing early, the Yard Goats tied the game up with two runs in the fifth and one in both the sixth and seventh innings. Andy Perez led the night with three hits, including two doubles, and three RBI. Meanwhile, Cole Messina and GJ Hill each had two hits.

High-A:Spokane Indians 12, Eugene Emeralds 4

The Spokane Indians threw out 12 hits as they took the victory against the Eugene Emeralds. Jacob Humphrey led the charge with four hits, including two home runs, and drove in five runs. Roynier Hernandez and Ethan Hedges each had two hits while Robert Calaz drove in a pair of runs. Jordy Vargas made the start and went six innings, allowing just three runs on six hits with six strikeouts. Francis Rivera followed with three innings of one-run ball to secure his fifth save of the season.

Low-A:Stockton Ports 11, Fresno Grizzlies 5

The Fresno Grizzlies kept pace early but couldn’t keep up as they fell to the Stockton Ports. Easton Marks made the start for Fresno and allowed six runs over four innings while walking six and striking out three. Jhon Medina was then roughed up out of the bullpen as he allowed five runs on three hits over 2.2 innings with four walks and five strikeouts. Fresno’s defense didn’t help much as two errors resulted in four unearned runs. Roldy Brito led the offense with two hits, including a solo home run, and two RBI, while Derek Bernard hit his seventh home run of the season. Carlos Renzullo and Ashlu Andujar each had two hits as well.

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Rockies looking to find 1st-round success with No. 10 overall pick | MLB.com

Thomas Harding breaks down the Rockies’ approach to the draft this weekend with some insights from general manager Josh Byrnes.

Affected by Altitude Episode 217: The Big Pre-Break Roundup 2026 Edition | Rocky Mountain Rooftop

This week, Evan Lang and I chat about TJ Rumfield and Hunter Goodman’s recent accolades, preview the upcoming draft, and hand out our June Players of the Month.

Rockies learning one thing about energetic Carrigg: ‘He wants it’ | MLB.com

Since getting called up, Cole Carrigg has been electric for the Rockies. He has brought an edge that the team has sorely needed. After an incredible performance on Monday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Carrigg is embracing every moment with the big league club.

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I was already leaning towards writing about this before the Brewers series, but after last night’s game, it really hammered the point home. So, through the lens of my own bullpen rankings, I will compare which teams are really thriving with a light’s out, effective bullpen, and which teams are bleeding wins because of theirs. In 2026, baseball continues to evolve, and I have a feeling that bullpens are more important than ever. It could end up that I reveal teams wasting resources on amazing bullpens, or maybe all the best teams will have the best bullpens; we shall see…

I’m going to do this in an odd sort of way, using something I am going to call Correlation Points. I am looking at team reliever stats on fangraphs, with a variety of different stats, including rate stats and fWAR.

There are 12 teams with a bullpen ERA under 4, and those teams are actually 3.8 ERA or lower. The rest of MLB is over 4 ERA. There are 10 MLB bullpens with an ERA 4.0-4.5. Then, the worst, most neglected bullpens are over 4.50 ERA, with only a handful of MLB bullpens performing at 5.0 ERA or worse. I am using a three tier system, assigning 3 CP (correlation points, remember?) to tier 1 teams, 1.5 CP to the mid-tier teams, and .5 CP to the worst teams. But wait, what about the absolutely elite bullpens? Don’t they mean something? Only 4 MLB bullpens have an ERA under 3.5. I’ll go ahead and assign those teams 3.5 CP. It ended up convenient that by my ratings sytem, the 4 best bullpens weighed out the 4 worse bullpens as the outliers. Instead of half a CP, the 4 worst get absolutely no Correlation Points. And that’s how I’m doing ERA.

Including xERA is a way to include a balance to the flukiness of ERA. I’ll again be assigning 3 CP to teams with a rate under 4.0. No bonus points this time because the teams are more tightly packed. In this case, the middle teams with an xERA under 4.40 will get 2 CP, and the worst bullpens of MLB will get .5 CP.

And then of course, you should look at it from a Fielding Independent Pitching perspective, normalizing and leveling the playing field when it comes to fielding/defense masking the effectiveness of a bullpen. I’ll use the same system for xERA here. Under 4.0 FIP = 3 CP. Mid teams get 2 CP, and the worst bullpens only get .5 CP. I’m going to skip using xFIP because you don’t want your bullpen giving up a lot of home runs and then trying to normalize that.

And because it’s good if your bullpen can eat a bunch of innings while also performing well, I’ll simply be using fWAR totals as correlation points, so the most valuable bullpens by counting stat WAR will have quite an effect on my Correlation Points system. But not all winning bullpens are used frequently, so I want to level that playing field by not just using fWAR. I want to see what teams have good bullpens across the board.

After I totaled the Bullpen Correlation Points, I listed teams’ Winning Percentage and then assigned Record Correlation Points, mirroring the Bullpen CP totals but assigning according to record. I was then able to tell what percentage of teams records match up with the performance of their 2026 bullpen.

Tiering MLB Bullpens

Tiers by ERA

• Elite Tier: Braves, Yankees, Red Sox, Brewers
• Top Tier
  SEA
  NYM
  SDP
  MIA
  TEX
  CLE
  TOR
  LAD
• Mid Tier
  CHC
  DET
  ARI
  CHW
  STL
  BAL
  PHI
  HOU
  TBR
  PIT
• Bad Bullpens
  SFG
  LAA
  CIN
  COL
• Dumpster Fire
  ATH
  WSN
  KCR
  MIN

Tiers by xERA

• Top Tier
  NYY
  SDP
  PHI
  MIL
  ATL
  LAD
  NYM
  MIA
  TOR
  DET
  BAL
• Mid Tier
  HOU
  BOS
  CLE
  ARI
  TEX
  SEA
  LAA
  CHW
  ATH
  PIT
  SFG
• Bottom Tier
  TBR
  MIN
  COL
  CHC
  STL
  KCR
  WSN
  CIN

Tiering Bullpens by FIP

• Top Tier
  SEA
  ATL
  PHI
  NYY
  LAD
  MIL
  MIA
  NYM
  BOS
  SDP
  CLE
  TOR
  BAL
• Mid Tier
  ARI
  TEX
  DET
  STL
  CHW
  PIT
  COL
  SFG
• Bottom Tier
  HOU
  ATH
  LAA
  TBR
  MIN
  CHC
  WSN
  CIN
  KCR

Just to give you an idea on how these rankings can fluctuate depending on what stat we are using. Notice how the Cardinals bullpen is either mid-tier, or bottom tier by xERA. Compare and contrast teams, if you’d like.

Now, for the Bullpen Correlation Points! The more CP, the better the bullpen across all categories, also including bullpen fWAR.

Tiering MLB Bullpens with Bullpen Correlation Points

• Elite Tier: Atlanta, Milwaukee, San Diego! All are among the best across the board using all major stat categories. The cream of the bullpen crop.
• Top Tier: only a small step down. If your favorite thing in baseball is a very effective bullpen to shut things down for the starting pitcher or just keep you in the game, you might want to be a fan of the Dodgers, Blue Jays, Yankees, Mets, Marlins, or Phillies, if that’s your thing (a second favorite team, of course!)
• Mid Tier: The mid bullpens are ones like the Red Sox, Guardians, Mariners, Orioles, Rangers, White Sox, Diamondbacks, Tigers, Pirates, Rockies, or Astros. These ‘pens get the job done well enough. You might have noticed, none of these teams are among the very best in Winning %. The best you can hope for in this mid tier is a team like the Mariners, or Guardians, two teams who have the same record just above .500. Which is good enough in their divisions, strangely enough.
• Bottom Tier: The Cardinals bullpen is the best of the bottom tier, but what has weighed them down a bit is their low fWAR total. They are probably a more mid tier team, hopefully, but for now I’ll just have to rank them as among the bottom of the bullpens. The Giants, Angels, first place Rays, Athletics, Cubs, Twins, and Reds join them. The Reds of course have a much worse bullpen than the Cardinals, but let this be a cautionary tale that the Cardinals deserve some bullpen help!
• Dumpster Fires: The Nationals and Royals bullpens are just dumpsters filled with napalm on a hot summer day. Fans of these teams must turn off the TV once the starter is out, unless they are up by 7+ runs or something.

And now for the fun part! Do bullpens really matter a lot? How much do bullpens correlate with a team’s winning percentage? Bullpens after all are almost like bench players, in many ways. The pitchers don’t play as much overall, and are a bit of a hodge podge motley crew of journeymen and prospects. What I found may surprise!

• I was surprised to find SEVEN teams had a DIRECT correlation between their record and bullpen. By that I mean their bullpen correlation points exactly matched their ranking according to their winning percentage.
• 11 teams had either a direct or a very strong correlation between bullpen effectiveness and wins and losses.
• Over half the teams had a close correlation between bullpen and winning. That’s sort of impressive, all things considered.
• 21 teams had some correlation between their bullpen’s goodness and their record. I think that says a bullpen is pretty important.
• Only three teams appeared to have really no correlation between their bullpen and their win/loss record. Can you guess who they are? The Mets really damn good bullpen cannot save them from whatever is happening in NY… while the Cubs and especially the Rays cannot be dragged down by a bad bullpen. I don’t want to see how good the Cubs would be with a bullpen.
• The Cardinals are another team that is outplaying its bullpen, saved by defense and some hitting. There is only a weak correlation between the team’s bullpen and its record. The flip side of the coin is the Padres having an absolute top tier bullpen, while playing under .500 baseball. One of the best bullpens cannot save them. Same with over half of the AL East: Blue Jays, Red Sox, Orioles are floundering despite effective bullpens.
• Teams with a direct correlation between bullpen effectiveness and record: Brewers elite ‘pen means a top tier team (while they do everything well), Marlins bullpen making them a contender, Rangers and Diamondbacks midrange bullpens making them around .500, and the Athletics bottom tier bullpen keeping them towards the lower reaches of MLB.
• I don’t think the Braves would be as good as they are without a top tier bullpen. Playoff ready teams the Dodgers and Yankees have bullpens that are not preventing them from winning many games.
• The Mets should probably trade away most of their bullpen to make their team better but I have no idea how they could do that.

Given how tough a bullpen can be to pin down, I think 21 teams having some kind of correlation between their record and their bullpen is interesting enough to draw a conclusion that maybe teams shouldn’t skimp on their reliever corps. A good to elite bullpen is very difficult to assemble, but there is some evidence that you shouldn’t blow off the assembly of it. Sure, you will have freak teams like the Rays that can win a lot despite an ineffective bullpen (and to a much lesser extent, the Cardinals), but overall bullpens might be a little underrated.

1992 Music Part 2

So last week I ran out of time and only got through 15 of the 30 (non heavy metal) albums I had selected for review. I am nearly out of time this week, but I will howl at the moon a bit tonight and reveal 15 more! Night owl here…

• Medicine – ‘Shot Forth Self Living’ I would describe Medicine as USA’s answer to the UK’s My Bloody Valentine, even more distorted and over the top but different, in some ways also more mellow. A shoegaze genre classic from the band that would later appear on the Crow soundtrack and gain many more fans.
• Boredoms – ‘Wow2’ the Boredoms (perhaps one of the most uniquely captivating bands of all time, or at least from Japan) also released the more well known ‘Pop Tatari’ in 1992, but I have enjoyed Wow2 even more! You cannot go wrong either way if you love avant garde rock, experimental music, and weirdo punk.
• Lush – ‘Spooky’ another album of shoegazer goodness, but also a bit dreampop and even goth or punk at times, the UK’s Lush made a splash in 1992 with Spooky, a really fun but dark album. Top song picks: Tiny Smiles, Superblast!, Laura, and Starlust.
• Gang Starr – ‘Daily Operation’ all time hiphop classic, file somewhere between conscientious rap and gangster rap, with strong hiphop production elements. Guru and Premier at their best!
• Thinking Plague – ‘In This Life’ totally mental, super advanced prog rock of the highest order. Only a few preview tracks on their bandcamp, so you’re just going to have to buy this one. I did years ago, and trust me, it’s worth it!
• Pete Rock & CL Smooth – ‘Mecca and the Soul Brother’ stumbled across this excellent early 90s hiphop album and I think you should listen to it. It’s certainly going into my hiphop collection!
• Ruins – ‘Burning Stone’ another highly original band from Japan, the contrast between Ruins and the Boredoms being that Ruins was a duo on this album, and are much more tightly controlled and focused on the music genre known to humans as Zeuhl. A band like no other. I have had the fortune of seeing them multiple times in Chicago. Flat out astounding!
• Stone Temple Pilots – ‘Core’ I had this tape before they blew up, and before anyone else I knew. They were being promoted at some mall record store, on an end cap. They were opening for Megadeth so I gave it a try, and loved it! And they were even better live. That didn’t matter to the Megadeth fans though, they booed at the end. I thought it was funny, and it was my first concert. STP’s debut album!
• Meat Beat Manifesto – ‘Satyricon’ Jack Dangers and MBM began to move away from noisy industrial hiphop party music to something a bit more nuanced… However, this album still retains much of that early Meat Beat Manifesto energy and is perhaps their most signature release, bridging the band into new sonic territories.
• Frontline Assembly – ‘Tactical Neural Implant’ similar to MBM, Frontline Assembly delivered an all time industrial dance classic in 1992, all the while being more futuristic sounding than just about anyone else at the time outside of NIN and Skinny Puppy.
• Showbiz and A.G. – ‘Runaway Slave’ and another classic hiphop release from 1992! Definitely adding this one to my hiphop collection as well.
• Thinking Fellers Union Local 282 – ‘Mother Of All Saints’ I may end up moving this up the list further some day *same goes for Showbiz and AG* but for now, let me just say I’m intrigued and I want to hear more! Bandcamp link, go buy a lesser known bands tunes! Good stuff.
• High Rise – ‘Dispersion’ Japan really exploded onto the scene in 1992 at least in my mind, with releases by the Boredoms and Ruins, but High Rise may have been the most impressive in the intensity department, taking psyche rock to new levels and loudness, soloing all over the place with no fucks given. One of the louder live shows I have scene, incredible. The most in-your-face stoner rock possible. (bandcamp)
• Naked City – ‘Grand Guignol’ and ‘Leng Tch’e’ bandcamp and youtube links, respectively. I couldn’t choose just one album from 1992 Naked City by John Zorn. Grand Guignol includes covers of 20th century avant classical composers while Leng Tch’e is a longform sludge metal/drone release. Neither sound alike or like the previous Naked City album. All three albums completely necessary.
• Steven Jesse Bernstein – ‘Prison’ little known “rapper” Bernstein reminds us of one of the roots of hiphop here, spoken word and beat poetry to a sampler collage. A piece of art melding a uniquely crafted vision, and one of the hidden gems I’ve unearthed doing this project. You won’t even remotely understand what I’m talking about until you hear this masterpiece.
• Ween – ‘Pure Guava’ part of Ween’s early evolution into what they would later become, I’d describe this as one of my favorite Ween albums but I pretty like all of them, so I’m not sure what to say other than that Ween occupy their own corner of the music world and this is them becoming who they are.
• Screaming Trees – ‘Sweet Oblivion’ and to round out my 1992 picks for music listening, I don’t think any list about 1992 is complete without Sweet Oblivion. Stacked with classic songs that conjure up that time period rather effectively. Music as time machine, no need to invent one. I could listen to the song “Nearly Lost You There” every day of the week. “Dollar Bill” is another classic track. The whole album is stacked, really.

And last but not least I actually have the complete 1992 (non heavy metal) playlist ready! Link here

1992 Heavy Metal Playlist next week! At some point I’ll just list a bunch of years youtube playlists.

Thanks for reading all that, if you did! You rock. Special all star break edition next week… stay tuned.

The Pittsburgh Pirates had a huge 11-4 win in their series opener against the Atlanta Braves, with Ryan O’Hearn leading the charge from the very first inning.

Hurston Waldrep was on the bump for the Braves and did not start off his night great as in the first inning the Pirates had quickly loaded the bases. With one out and bases loaded O’Hearn came to the plate. With a 1-1 count Waldrep gave up a regrettable looking curveball that O’Hearn turned on and smashed into the right field stands. With that grand slam the Pirates were quickly up 4-1.

In the bottom of the third, O’Hearn was back at the plate with two runners on and no outs. Waldrep again gave O’Hearn an off-speed pitch in the lower part of the zone that ended up being crushed off the back drop in center field. Bryan Reynolds and Esmerlyn Valdez were driven in and the Pirates went up 7-2 with 7 RBIs and two homers on the night from O’Hearn.

Connor Thomas would relieve Waldrep but the momentum that the Pirates offense had started with at the beginning of the night had no end in sight. In the bottom of the sixth inning there was two outs with Jake Mangum and Brandon Lowe on the base pads. With a 3-1 count O’Hearn took advantage of yet another off-speed pitch and armed the cannon with another cannonball into the right field stands. The Pirates went up 10-2 at that point in the game and O’Hearn had officially set a new record for most RBIs in a game by a Bucco, breaking Johnny Rizzo’s record that he set back in 1939 when he had nine in a game against St. Louis. With his 10th RBI he set the mark for most by any player in a game this season, and became the 17th player to have 10 RBIs in a game in the modern era.

3 HOMER 10 RBI NIGHT FOR RYAN O'HEARN 🤯

He's the first Pirates player with 10 RBIs in a game‼️ pic.twitter.com/j0MucKI7oE

— ESPN Insights (@ESPNInsights) July 8, 2026

O’Hearn would take a crack at getting a fourth homer on the night in the bottom of the eighth. He didn’t drive one home, but he did hit a line drive single into right field before exiting for a pinch runner and receiving a huge standing ovation from the fans at PNC Park. He would finish the night with four hits, 10 RBIs, three homers, upped his batting average to .293 and increased his season total of home runs to 16 which is just one shy of his career high of 17 that he had last season.

Although he was snubbed of a spot on the All-Star team, O’Hearn is having what could end up being the best season of his career. At 32-years-old it would be reasonable to see him start to decline, but he has enjoyed a career year with the Buccos so far and we’re only halfway through the season.

Good morning Birdland,

It’s tough to win a game in which you have zero extra base hits and go just 1-for-9 with runners in scoring position. The Orioles proved that on Tuesday night as they lost 5-2 to the visiting Cubs. Andrea SK recapped the action for us, in case you missed it.

If you’ve seen one Orioles game this season, you have pretty much seen them all. The Tuesday night loss was boiler plate for this squad. Shane Baz was…fine. He provided a quality start and gave his team a chance to win. The bullpen, which is falling apart with injuries, did not hold up their end. Anthony Nunez coughed up a pair of runs in his two innings. And then the lineup, outside of Adley Rutschman, who drove in both of the team’s runs, failed to come through when the pressure was high.

The bottom of the fourth inning saw the O’s get the first two hitters on base. That was followed by three consecutive strikeouts. The seventh inning is where Rutschman came through with his two-out, two-run single. But then Gunnar Henderson went down on three straight strikes at the bottom of the zone to end the threat.

The loss (paired with another Red Sox win) sunk the O’s further down the standings. They are now at the bottom of the AL East, 12.5 games back of the division-leading Rays and 4.5 games back of the final wild card spot. It’s getting more difficult to make a case for the Orioles to truly “go for it” in 2026.

There could be a lane for the team to both buy and sell. That is, move players due to hit free agency this year or that you don’t see a role for in 2027, while also seeking out talent that is under team control beyond this season that would be an upgrade for a turnaround next summer. That can be a tricky proposition, but the Orioles are one of the rare teams where it might make sense.

That’s a problem to figure out in a few weeks. Right now, the focus has to be on winning games. They need to do something they haven’t done yet this year, which is to go on an extended winning streak. Bouncing back and going into next week’s all-star break on a heater would be pretty neat. Fingers crossed.

Links

Orioles Notes: Akin, Helsley, Selby, Detwiler | MLB Trade Rumors
The Orioles bullpen has had some moments of brilliance, but in general the unit has fallen apart this season. Injuries have been killer, and that has only gotten worse recently. Mike Elias made some comments recently that indicated the club was intrigued by Félix Bautista’s progress, but any possible return there is still a ways off. And by the time he could be ready, it may not make too much sense to force him back into action.

This, that and the other | Roch Kubatko
Lots of little nuggets in this one, including the fact that Pete Alonso and Taylor Ward have combined for the third-highest hit total for a duo that is in its first season with the Orioles. It’s a very specific stat, but still interesting given some of the great hitters the O’s have had. Miguel Tejada and Javy Lopez are first with 213 hits. Alonso and Ward are at 172.

Bassitt ‘writing the script’ for second-half return after unique back surgery | Orioles.com
It’s great that Chris Bassitt is feeling better. It doesn’t sound like he is particularly close to getting back on the field though. Right now he is talking about pitching at some point before the season is over. So, don’t get too excited.

Orioles birthdays

Is it your birthday? Happy birthday!

• Danny Ardoin turns 52 today. He played in five games for the 2006 Orioles.
• Jerome Walton is 61 years old. The outfielder spent 26 games with the O’s in 1997.
• The late John Powers (b. 1929, d. 2001) was born on this day. He made his way into 10 games for the Orioles in 1960.

This day in O’s history

1969 – The Orioles beat the Yankees 4-1 as Mike Cuellar throws a complete game three-hitter. All three hits come off the bat of Yankees centerfielder Ron Woods, who singles twice and hits a home run.

1970 – Using a ninth-inning rally that includes a home run from Frank Robinson and a two-out single from Don Buford, the Orioles come back from an 8-6 deficit to beat the Yankees 9-8.

2011 – The Orioles lose 10-3 to the Red Sox, sunk by a disastrous first inning. But that didn’t prevent some fireworks late. In the eighth inning, David Ortiz charges the mound after O’s reliever Kevin Gregg brushes him back twice and then yells at him as he fails to run out a pop out. Benches empty. Ortiz, Gregg, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, and Jim Johnson are all ejected.

Free of charge for the discerning reader.

Happy birthday to Jerome Walton, and a mighty host of others.

Today in baseball history, in 1962 – With home runs in his first three at bats, 41-year-old Stan Musial of the Cardinals not only becomes the oldest player to hit three in a game but also ties the major league record of four straight home runs, as the Cards whip the Mets, 15-1. His home run in the second game the day before won the game, 3-2, and other stories as well.

Today in baseball history:

• 1907 – Bombarded by pop bottles in Brooklyn, irate Cubs manager Frank Chance throws one back into the stands where it cuts a boy’s leg. Chance is mobbed and leaves the park in an armored car with a police escort after the Cubs’ 5-0 victory. Three-Finger Brown emerges with the shutout win.
• 1918 – Although Babe Ruth‘s blast over the fence in Fenway Park scores Amos Strunk, as the Red Sox win 1-0 over Cleveland, prevailing rules reduce Babe’s home run to a triple. He will tie for the American League title with 11 homers, even though he plays just 95 games.
• 1927 – In a matchup of the NL’s top two teams, the Cubs extend their slim lead to one and a half games by edging the Pirates, 1-0, behind Charlie Root‘s one-hitter.
• 1945 – The Cubs take the National League lead by winning two from the Phillies, 12-6 and 9-2. They never relinquish first place, despite losing 16 of 22 games to the Cards.
• 1950 – Red Schoendienst of the Cards goes 5 for 5 against Pittsburgh, but the Cards lose, 7-6, to drop the Birds into second place, a game behind the Phillies. 
• 1951 – Red Schoendienst hits a home run from each side of the plate in the second game, as the Cards beat Pittsburgh, 9-8, after losing, 6-2.
• 1962 – The Dodgers take first place as Don Drysdale saves Sandy Koufax‘s 13th win, 2-0, against San Francisco. Los Angeles will remain in first until the final day of the season, but will lose a three-game playoff to the Giants.
• 1990 Looking for his 279th win, Bert Blyleven starts for the Angels but never makes it out of the 4th. He’ll win only once more the rest of the year.
• 2008 – Ryan Dempster improves to 10-0 at home, the best start by a Cubs hurler at Wrigley Field since Rick Reuschel in 1977. Chicago beats the Reds, 7-3.
• 2009 – Andruw Jones hits three home runs to lead Texas to an 8-1 win over Los Angeles, breaking a tie between the two teams in the AL West race. Jones is now hitting .250 with 14 homers, putting his career back on track after a disastrous last season with the Dodgers almost forced him into retirement.

Cubs Birthdays:Owen Caissie, Jaime García, Bobby Ayala, Jerome Walton*, Ken Patterson, Al Spangler, Charlie Gilbert, Rowdy Elliott, Buttons Briggs. Also notable: Hank O’Day HOF.

Today in history:

• 1693 – New York City authorizes the first police uniforms in the American colonies.
• 1776 – Colonel John Nixon gives the first public reading of the Declaration of Independence to an assemblage of citizens in Philadelphia.
• 1889 – John L. Sullivan successfully defends the last officially sanctioned bare-knuckle world heavyweight prizefighting championship when Jake Kilrain’s trainer throws in the towel after 75 one-minute rounds near Hattiesburg, Mississippi.
• 1913 – Alfred Carlton Gilbert‘s patent for the Erector Set is issued, one of the most popular toys of all time.
• 1947 – Reports are broadcast that a UFO has crash landed in Roswell, New Mexico.
• 2014 – FIFA World Cup: Germany defeats Brazil by a record 7-1 in the semi-finals to make it to the final; Miroslav Klose of Germany breaks the World Cup career goal scoring record with 16 goals (surpassed by Lionel Messi in 2026)

*pictured.