Five Orioles on Keith Law’s top 100 prospects list for 2026

Prospect list season continued on Monday with the release of Keith Law’s top 100 list at The Athletic. His list joins recently-published ones by Baseball America and MLB Pipeline. Five Orioles minor leaguers made the cut for Law’s list this year, headlined by Samuel Basallo at #8. Basallo has been a top ten prospect in the game on all of this year’s list that have been released by now.

The other Orioles prospects ranked on Law’s list: shortstop Wehiwa Aloy at #73, outfielder Nate George at #78, catcher/outfielder/? Ike Irish at #85, and outfielder Enrique Bradfield Jr. at #97. Dylan Beavers ranked pretty highly on the BA list at #21 but is absent from Law’s list entirely.

By the same token, Law has rated a few of these players who weren’t on either of the other two top 100s so far: Aloy, Irish, and Bradfield are, so far, only top 100 guys for Law. He liked the Orioles use of their high draft pick capital in the 2025 draft. The Orioles traded two more high picks from that draft to the Rays for Shane Baz. At this juncture, Caden Bodine and Slater de Brun have not cracked any top 100s.

There’s a good amount to be exciting about this group of players, with Basallo at the top:

(Basallo is) easily the best catching prospect in the minors right now, who hits and has significant power, and reached the majors just four days after his 21st birthday … Heʼs got power to all fields, peaking at 116 mph and hitting a third of his Triple-A homers the other way, and his Barrel rate was 21 percent. Only two MLB hitters last year topped that, and each won his respective leagueʼs MVP award.

When I copied that last sentence into this article, I made a “Whoa!” sound. That’s just incredible company for such a young player. The profile also includes praise for Basallo’s arm strength, though Law does note that Basallo is going to need to do some work on improving his swing decisions particularly once he falls behind in the count, and that he has more development to do to be able to handle a full-time catching workload. The Orioles are in a position where they don’t need Basallo to shoulder that load as long as Adley Rutschman is around.

It’s a ways down the list before Aloy comes up at #73. I was excited when the Orioles were able to draft him because he’s a player with some high upside even if he also comes with strikeout risk. Law on Aloy:

Aloy is a true shortstop with power, showing plus defense as an amateur with good lateral range and plenty of arm for the left side of the infield … He has 20-plus homer upside in a shortstop who should be at least a 55 defender — or a 60-plus if he ends up at third base — with his ultimate value coming down to whether he can pick up spin and cut down on the chase.

If this was the first player the Orioles chose in the draft, it would have felt like another possible Vance Honeycutt kind of “too many strikeouts” risk. They took Irish before going back around to Aloy, though, so all the eggs are not in this basket. Speaking of Irish, here’s what Law writes:

(Irish’s) upside is all about the bat: He makes very hard contact, works the count well and uses the entire field, with the potential for 20-25 homers if he trades some contact to try to pull the ball more. … Heʼs about a 40 defender in right, but if that even gets a 45 he should hit enough to be an above-average regular.

Also in this scouting capsule, Law included a note acknowledging that Irish has fallen below some other players from the 2025 draft who Law had ranked lower in his pre-draft rankings. There were some teams before the draft and some pro scouts after the draft whose opinions on Irish were lower than others, and that information has been incorporated into Law’s analysis now that Irish is in the pro ranks.

Last year’s out-of-nowhere surprise Nate George also cracks this ranking along with the other two that have been released. Law took note of George in a scouting report last summer with George getting the memorable description “plays like his hair is on fire,” which reappeared in this writeup. On George’s potential:

George plays like his hairʼs on fire, and while that phrase gets thrown around a lot, in his case it seems to make him a better player in every aspect of the game. Heʼs a twitchy athlete with quick hands at the plate and he shoots line drives to both gaps, with fringy power right now. Then he runs like a madman out of the box and doesnʼt stop until he reaches third base. Heʼs the kind of runner whoʼll throw his helmet off because itʼs slowing him down.

Sounds awesome. Law goes on to say about George that this is a player with “All-Star upside,” though he notes that mostly would involve George being able to develop above-average home run power that he doesn’t have yet.

Lowest on this list but still included in the top 100 is Bradfield, a player who has not gotten as much attention from other outlets because many evaluators aren’t convinced he’ll hit enough to make the most of his other tools. Those concerns remain somewhat even for Law, but he really likes what Bradfield can do:

Bradfield is still an 80 runner and a 70 or 80 defender in center field … with enough command of the strike zone to see a high floor for him as a second-division regular who generates 2 WAR in many seasons just on defense, speed and contact. … Heʼs going to save a ton of runs with his glove, as he combines good instincts with elite speed to cover a huge amount of ground.

A player who could do all that and didn’t have any hit questions would be consensus on every top prospect list and much higher-ranked than this. Law’s writeup includes the note that Bradfield’s “swing is still a work in progress,” not really the best phrase to hear about a first round pick from 2.5 years ago.

Other big rankings still to come include Baseball Prospectus, FanGraphs, and ESPN. It seems like a safe guess that Basallo will remain highly-ranked on all lists. I’m curious to see where the consensus starts to come together on some other Orioles prospects, and particularly whether any list other than Baseball America is putting top 100 rankings on any O’s pitching prospects.

Abimelec Ortiz has a chance to make an immediate impact for the Washington Nationals

While most of the players the Nationals received in the MacKenzie Gore trade are years away from the big leagues, Abimelec Ortiz is an exception. He may not possess the upside or athleticism of other players in the deal, but Ortiz has proven he can mash. At some point in 2026, we are likely to see Ortiz’s bat in the Nats lineup.

When talking about the trade, Toboni echoed that sentiment. He said that we could see Ortiz at either first base or DH in the big leagues this year. Ortiz did play some outfield last season, but Toboni seems to view him as a 1B or DH type. Given his squatty 5’10 230 pound frame, it makes sense why Toboni sees him that way.

Scouts actually thought he looked surprisingly decent in the outfield in the Arizona Fall League, but the range is always going to be a limiting factor. He is a decent defender at first base, but is not elite by any means. The idea of a 5’10 first baseman is a little bit scary to me. He just is not able to get the high throws a prototypical 6’4 first baseman could get.

All of this means that Ortiz will have to absolutely mash to be an impactful big leaguer. He has done just that at the minor league level. In 2023, Ortiz hit 33 home runs across both A ball levels, putting his name on the map. Ortiz’s 2024 was an up and down year in a more pitcher friendly Double-A environment. 

However, Ortiz returned to form in 2025, especially after a mid-season promotion to Triple-A. The big slugger hit 16 homers and posted a .787 OPS in 89 Double-A games before he got promoted to Triple-A. In a more hitter friendly environment, Ortiz exploded, with 9 homers and a .953 OPS in 41 games. For the season, Ortiz hammered 25 home runs.

His batted ball data was also excellent at the AAA level. Ortiz absolutely crushed baseballs, with a hard hit rate near 55%. He also had a knack for pulling the ball in the air, which allowed him to do damage. Ortiz’s batted ball profile is exactly what you want from a slugger.

Ortiz turns 24 in late February, so this is not the case of a mid-20’s bopper abusing Triple-A. However, there is a sizable chance that Ortiz is one of those Quad-A sluggers along the lines of Andres Chaparro. 

He will be given the chance to prove himself in the big leagues though. If Ortiz has a strong camp, he could make the MLB roster. There is not a lot of competition for reps at 1B or DH right now. That could change if the Nats sign somebody like Rhys Hoskins, but that has not happened yet.

In my view, Ortiz has a chance to be a strong side platoon player at first base or DH. Since hitting the upper levels, Ortiz has had his struggles against left handed pitching. He has hit below .200 against them each of the last two seasons. However, he has not had problems mashing right handed pitching. 

Ortiz has a lot of similarities to fellow rotund first baseman Rowdy Tellez. While Tellez has never been a star, he has been in the league for nearly a decade and managed a 35 home run season back in 2022. For a fourth piece in a trade, that is not too bad.

There is a chance that Ortiz is a little bit better than that as well. For Ortiz to be better than Tellez, he will need to be more selective at the plate. In Triple-A, his chase rate was 29% which is a bit higher than you would like. His walk rate last year was 11.7%, but he could still refine his approach some more. 

The round slugger who hits bombs may never compile the most WAR, but they can be a solid piece to your team. These types of players can also be fan favorites. I mean who doesn’t love a big man that can mash. He will never be a .300 hitter, but Ortiz whiffs less than your average big man masher. 

Abimelec Ortiz may never be anything more than a Quad-A slugger. The mediocre plate discipline and lack of a true position might end up costing him. However, I would not count him out. The former undrafted free agent has already beaten the odds to get this far. I am really rooting for Ortiz because he could be a very fun player if everything comes together.

Ex-Yankee, Met Harrison Bader signs multi-year with Giants after strong Phillies stint

An image collage containing 1 images, Image 1 shows Philadelphia Phillies player Harrison Bader celebrates hitting a double

Harrison Bader is heading to the Bay Area.

The former Yankees and Mets outfielder agreed to a two-year, $20.5 million deal with the Giants, The Post’s Jon Heyman confirmed.

The contract contains incentives that could make it worth $21 million.

Bader, 31, had signed one-year deals in free agency the past two offseasons, but a strong finish to the 2025 campaign powered him to a multi-year pact.

Bader posted career-bests in every major offensive category last season, which he split between the Twins and Phillies. Corey Sipkin for the NY POST

The Gold Glove-winning center fielder started the year with the Twins before being shipped to the Phillies at the trade deadline.

He helped the Mets’ National League East rivals down the stretch, hitting an outstanding .305/.361/.463 with five home runs and 16 RBIs in 50 games.

In 143 total games last year, the Bronxville, New York, native slashed a solid .277/.347/.449 with 17 homers and 54 RBIs (122 wRC+) – all career-highs.

There were some reports that Bader’s former Big Apple clubs could explore reunions this offseason, but the Yankees’ re-signing of Cody Bellinger and the Mets’ trade for Luis Robert Jr. made that unlikely.

Acquired from the Cardinals in exchange for Jordan Montgomery at the 2022 trade deadline, Bader appeared in 98 total games with the Yankees, hitting a below-average .237 with seven home runs and 46 RBIs.

While he enjoyed a powerful postseason in 2022, a series of injuries hampered Bader during his Bronx tenure.

The Reds claimed Bader off waivers in August 2023.

“It just means so much to me to be a New York City kid, playing in the Bronx for the Yankees,” Bader told reporters after being claimed by Cincinnati, leaving the door open for a reunion down the line. “It’s just really special for a lot of reasons. There’s a lot of good moments and I’m just really excited because regardless of the situation, no one can ever take the fact that I put that uniform on, growing up in that city. It means a lot to me.”

After an underwhelming September with the Reds, Bader joined the Mets in free agency for the 2024 season, posting 12 homers and 51 RBIs alongside his trademark standout defense in the team’s run to the NLCS.

The Athletic first reported the deal.

Atlanta Braves land two prospects in MLB Pipeline’s updated Top 100 list

As reported last week with the Baseball America news, end of January means updated prospect list and just like that we saw MLB Pipeline drop their updated Top 100.

Last week we saw JR Ritchie come in at No. 84 overall, while Cam Caminiti rose all the way up to No. 53 for Baseball America. Those two were the lone representatives for the Braves once again — this time for MLB Pipeline as JR Ritchie comes in at No. 90 overall, while Cam Caminiti sits at No. 68.

Whether you believe in the rankings or not, it’s clear that Cam and JR Ritchie have set themselves apart from the rest of the Braves minor league system. It’s a system that, while currently ranked quite low amongst all teams, is starting to rebound nicely after a couple of strong drafts and adding talent like Diego Tornes and Raudy Reyes who both made a name for themselves last season. With progression from the positional prospects in the first half of the season, these lists may see an injection of Braves talent throughout.

Harrison Bader explains why Giants were ‘perfect fit' for him in MLB free agency

Harrison Bader explains why Giants were ‘perfect fit' for him in MLB free agency originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

The Giants upgraded their outfield when they agreed to a two-year, $20.5 million contract with Harrison Bader on Monday, and the nine-year MLB veteran is excited about his new home.

After a long wait in MLB free agency, Bader explained to the New York Post’s “The Show” podcast why joining the Giants made perfect sense.

“Well, first and foremost, the opportunity. There’s no doubt about it,” Bader told Jon Heyman and Joel Sherman in the episode posted Monday. “All you can do in this game is just work to set yourself up for the best opportunity possible. I’ve always wanted to play as many games, have as many at-bats as possible, be on a winning team. The Giants could not be a more perfect fit for me. So, I’m just I’m just very excited.”

Bader expressed how eager he is to join a “talented” Giants roster, specifically naming third baseman Matt Chapman, whom he came up with in the Texas League and minor leagues; shortstop Willy Adames, a familiar face from their time playing each other in the NL Central; and slugger Rafael Devers.

“I love playing with superstars. [The Giants] got a lot of really, really talented players,” Bader said. “… It’s a fresh front office, it’s obviously a fresh coaching staff. Have some SEC ties in Tony Vitello, some familiarity with, [Giants bench coach Jayce Tingler] when I was with the [Minnesota] Twins last year. So, it’s always good to be in a new place, but have familiar faces. So, opportunity, the personnel, the players, it just was a perfect fit, and I’m just really, really happy it worked out because it’s very rare in this game when things work out pretty perfectly.”

The Giants are Bader’s seventh MLB team since he made his big league debut with the St. Louis Cardinals in 2017. This offseason wasn’t his first foray into free agency, and that helped him stay the course this winter as he waited to find a landing spot.

He couldn’t be happier to have ended up in San Francisco, he said, which is a city he always looked forward to visiting as an opposing player.

“It’s a process,” Bader said of free agency. “I think you have to put your faith in your team behind the scenes … Everybody did a great job of kind of distracting me and keeping me on a really positive path throughout this entire process. Because listen, teams have trades to go through, they have other signings, they have a certain amount of money that they need to allocate. So, as they’re building a roster, it’s really important for us as players to just remain calm, trust your representation, trust your support system and hopefully know that with the work and the season you put up that things are ultimately going to work out.

“Keeping that faith, I think, allowed me to kind of just get through it. And I ended up in a great place, a great city, like I mentioned, a great coaching staff, a great locker room.”

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Giants sign Harrison Bader to 2-year deal

Harrison Bader diving to make a catch.

The San Francisco Giants once again entered an offseason saying they intended to get better defensively. And, with Spring Training right around the corner, they’ve finally made good on that promise. According to a report from Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, on Monday morning the Giants agreed to a two-year deal with free agent outfielder Harrison Bader. According to multiple reports, the deal will pay Bader $20.5 million.

Bader, a 31-year old who bats and throws right-handed, is widely considered one of the best defensive outfielders in baseball, and won a Gold Glove in 2021 with the St. Louis Cardinals. Last year, which he spent on the Minnesota Twins and Philadelphia Phillies, Bader finished 18th among all outfielders with seven Outs Above Average, and 22nd in Fielding Run Value.

That defense is desperately needed for a team that plans on playing Heliot Ramos and Jung Hoo Lee in the grass every day. Bader instantly makes the outfield defense significantly better.

The offense is more of a question mark, and it’s been a roller-coaster recently. Bader was comfortably below average in the batter’s box from 2022 through 2024, posting wRC+ marks of 84, 69, and 85, respectively. But he caught fire in 2025, ending the year with a slash line of .277/.347/.449 with a career-high 17 home runs, good for a .796 OPS and a 122 wRC+. If the Giants get the Bader of last year, they’re getting an All-Star; if they get the Bader of the previous years, they’re getting an excellent fourth outfielder.

Bader has, historically, been a bit of a platoon hitter. For his career, he’s hit left-handed pitching comfortably better than average (106 wRC+) and right-handed pitching comfortably below average (92 wRC+). That, too, was flipped on its head in 2025, when he demolished same-handed pitching (136 wRC+) but struggled when he had the advantage against southpaws (92 wRC+).

Anything he provides on offense is gravy, though — the Giants are bringing him in for the defense. We’ll have to wait and see what Buster Posey and Tony Vitello have to say, but for now, the expectation is that Bader will become the starting center fielder, and Lee will slide over to right field.

Community Prospect Rankings: #11 prospect in the Cincinnati Reds system

Arnaldo Lantigua rocketed to spot #10 after adding his name to the list of existing top prospects. Maybe that’ll be the case again with spot #11 in this year’s Community Prospect Rankings!

Per usual, here’s a link to the Google Form where you can vote, though it should be embedded at the end of the list if you’d rater read first and then vote on-page after digesting all the glorious information on these up and coming future Cincinnati Reds.

Here’s how the list has materialized so far:

  1. Sal Stewart
  2. Alfredo Duno
  3. Rhett Lowder
  4. Hector Rodriguez
  5. Edwin Arroyo
  6. Cam Collier
  7. Steele Hall
  8. Tyson Lewis
  9. Chase Petty
  10. Arnaldo Lantigua

A large list of talented names exists below for spot #11. Have at it with the votes!

Adolfo Sanchez, OF (19 years old)

2025 at a glance: .339/.474/.504 with 2 HR, 10 SB in 154 PA with DSL Reds (Dominican Summer League)

Pros: Left-handed hitter who profiles to have a plus hit tool and potentially plus power; arm good enough to play RF if he doesn’t stick in CF; shaved 20% off his K% year over year; plus runner

Cons: Questions whether he’s already physically matured to the point where projecting him to be much better exist

The Reds signed Sanchez for $2.7 million out of the Dominican Republic in 2024 and kept him there to ply his trade professionally in the Dominican Summer League. Things went quite poorly for him there during his age 17 season, and he subsequently stuck around there to repeat in 2025 – though this time, things went swimmingly.

He’ll undoubtedly play in the States in 2026, but the question now is just how quickly the Reds might try to move him up if he hits the ground running. At 6’3” and 200 lbs already, he’s not the kind of prospect where you say he’s X now, but when he gets bigger and stronger he’ll be Y in two years. In other words, if he looks the part now, he needs to be challenged immediately, and my hope is that he gets time with Daytona right off the bat.

He’s got a hit tool that comes with all-fields power, excellent patience at the plate, and I really do think his swing will continue to play. Still, it’s likely he ends up in a corner spot in the OF, which means the power’s going to need to continue to show up for him to project as an everyday regular – at least vs. RHP.

Leo Balcazar, SS/2B (22 years old)

2025 at a glance: .263/.339/.381 with 12 HR, 8 SB in 560 PA split between A+ Dayton Dragons (Midwest League) and AA Chattanooga Lookouts (AA Southern League); .277/.340/.340 in 103 PA with Peoria Javelinas (Arizona Fall League)

Pros: Good strike zone judgement and plate discipline (52/75 BB/K in 2025); well-rounded tools, continuing to improve off ACL surgery

Cons: Not a ton of power yet; some question whether he’ll be able to stick at SS long term

It’s easy to forget just how good of a start Balcazar had to his pro career after signing with the Reds for $100,000 out of Venezuela. He posted an .882 OPS in 2021 in Dominican Summer League play, an .886 OPS in 2022 with the Arizona Complex League Reds, and was off to a wicked start (.897 OPS) across the first 18 games of his 2023 season with Class-A Daytona before he tore his ACL.

2024 was a bit of a rough year for him, however, as the layoff and working back from the surgery clearly impacted his performance (.264/.295/.354 in 410 PA). However, 2025 saw him look a lot more like his former explosive self – both at the plate and in the field – and he clearly was healthy enough once again as he logged a combined 663 PA across all leagues.

He’s still just 21 years of age (22 in June of 2026), and if he’s shaken the rust off completely and enters this season after a normal winter, there’s a chance we see a whole lot more from him, too.

Aaron Watson, RHP (19 years old)

2025 at a glance: Drafted by the Cincinnati Reds in the 2nd round of the 2025 MLB Draft out of Trinity Christian Academy (FL); signed overslot $2.7 million bonus to forego commitment to the University of Florida

Pros: 6’5” frame; potential 60-grade slider; fastball that runs up to 96 mph from a three-quarter arm slot and already has a solid three-pitch mix with his change rotated in

Cons: Did not pitch professionally after being drafted, so he’s a complete unknown

One glimpse of Watson on the mound and you immediately think yep, I bet that guy can turn into a pretty dang good pitcher. He’s got an ideal frame to produce downhill offerings, and his fastball/slider mix is already something on which he can hang his hat.

However, command of all three of his pitches – specifically a very developmental changeup – will be what he needs to work on to begin to move quickly through the ranks. He possesses a good ‘feel’ at the moment in terms of what pitches to throw, which part of the zone to attack vs. which hitters, etc., but how well he can build in more deception with his offerings will be vital.

Jose Franco, RHP (25 years old)

2025 at a glance: 3.11 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 118/54 K/BB in 110.0 IP split between AA Chattanooga Lookouts (Southern League) and AAA Louisville Bats (International League)

Pros: Fastball that flirts with triple digits with ease

Cons: Secondary pitches need work, and that’s impacting his overall command (and ability to limit walks)

Franco turned 25 years old in November and earned a promotion to the 40-man roster of the Reds shortly thereafter due to his consistent performance across the upper levels of their farm system.

The Reds have a few hulks they’ve put on the mound in recent years, and Franco thoroughly qualifies. He’s listed at 6’2” and an oddly specific 257 lbs, and his size and frame allows him to tap into his excellent fastball velocity with ease. It’s the pitch he misses bats with the most, but how well he can differentiate his breaking pitches (and improve his changeup command) will determine whether or not he can a) get left-handed hitter out with aplomb and b) avoid ending up in the bullpen.

He’s been a late bloomer, in part due to injuries that cost him his entire 2023 season, and if he continues the path he’s been on since getting healthy there could be a whole lot more from him as early as 2026 for Cincinnati.

Carlos Jorge, OF (22 years old)

2025 at a glance: .251/.342/.355 with 6 HR, 40 SB in 469 PA with High-A Dayton Dragons (Midwest League)

Pros: Plus speed; former infielder moved to CF in 2023 and in 2025 looked like a natural there; plus speed; shaved 12.5% off K-rate from down 2024 season; 60-grade arm strength a weapon in CF

Cons: ISO declined for third straight year, this time precipitously; prone to extreme streakiness

If you threw out every other stop of Carlos Jorge’s pro career and just focused on the good ones, he’d already be ranked by now. The good parts of the best of his years have been quite tremendous, all told. He’s flashed great speed (40 steals in 2025), good pop for a small-ish CF (12 HR in 2023 and 2024; .483 SLG in the cavernous Florida State League in 2023), and the ability to play pretty elite CF defense (as recently as 2025).

However, he’s added some real clunkers in there, too. He hit just .220/.291/.394 with a K-rate over 31% at Dayton in 2024, and that came on the heels of hitting just .239/.277/.398 in 23 games once he reached Dayton at the end of 2023.

Maybe it’s just Dayton, where he was again in 2025 in a much better all-around year, even though his power dried up again. He’ll surely begin with AA Chattanooga of the Southern League in 2026, and at 22 (with his position in CF now settled) the former 2B might finally have a one-track shot to focus on his all around game in a new locale. After acing his move on defense, shaving off a ton of strikeouts, and bumping his walk rate back up over 11.1% (where it’s been for most of his career), perhaps 2026 will have a lot more in store for him.

Zach Maxwell, RHP (25 years old)

2025 at a glance: 4.50 ERA, 5.64 FIP, 13/4 K/BB in 10.0 IP with Cincinnati Reds; 4.17 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 59/32 K/BB in 49.2 IP with AAA Louisville Bats (International League)

Pros: Huge. Literally gigantic (6’6”, 275-ish lbs). Throws gas (100 mph+) with a devastating slider (70-grade). And he’s titanic.

Cons: Struggles with control (6.1 BB/9 across 172.1 IP in his minors career)

Maxwell, a former 6th round pick out of Georgia Tech, throws the ball up to 102 mph with his heater, and it’s clear that hitters have just about as little idea where it’s actually going to be as Maxwell himself. That’s the rub here, really, in that Big Sugar has the pure stuff to turn even the best hitters into guessers, and it comes down to whether they’ll guess wrong more often than Maxwell misses the zone in each and every PA.

If they swing, though, they’re likely going to miss, and that’s why he’s right in the mix for a spot in Cincinnati’s bullpen again in 2026 after making his debut there in 2025. He can be a bit wild if it’s effectively wild, and that’s a tightrope he’s been walking since his days back at North Paulding HS in Dallas, Georgia. When he’s locked in, though, the heater is backed up by an absolutely devastating slide piece, and that two-pitch mix – again, when he’s locked in – is good enough to be closer material. He’s just got to continue to refine his delivery.

Liberts Aponte, SS (18 years old)

2025 at a glance: .247/.368/.461 with 7 HR, 9 SB in 193 PA for DSL Rojos (Dominican Summer League)

Pros: 29/35 K/BB showed greatly improving strike zone awareness; already a plus defender at short where he projects to be excellent both with range and arm long-term

Cons: Still not viewed as a potential plus with the bat, though early returns are already better than original scouting reports; has a long way to go in terms of physically maturing

The Reds doled out $1.9 million to sign Aponte last January, and that marked the single largest contract they doled out in that particular international signing window. MLB Pipeline ranked him as the #18 player overall in that class, noting he was ‘one of the most skilled defenders in his class’ and ‘offers solid wheels’ with ‘magic in his hands’ while doling out a 65 grade on his fielding ability.

The rest, we knew, would take time, as he was just liked at 6’0” and 160 lbs, and that even felt like a slight exaggeration. To his credit, though, he mashed 7 homers as a 17 year old in DSL play while showing more power than anticipated, and if that aspect of his game grows to match what’s already known the Reds have found themselves a gem.

It will be interesting to see if the Reds push him up to Arizona Complex League play at all in 2026 or give him another year in the DSL seeing as he just turned 18 years old in November.

Unearthing a lost Red Sox classic

It’s been a hard year and we’re still in January.

I’ve been working on some stuff. Researching. Hitting the archives. Looking for lost media. The digital world is an interesting place. The saying was, at one point, “the internet is forever” but now we know linkrot is a plague for the internet as websites shut down. Having a link to a site that doesn’t exist anymore is, aside from a few things like the Wayback Machine, useless.

We’re past the 20th anniversary of the 2004 World Series, but one of the moments I will always remember was from a game on June 13th. The Dodgers were in town. Dave Roberts (still a Dodger, remember) is at the plate. He hits a line drive. Surely extra bases. But no! Pokey Reese leaps into the air to snag the ball out of the sky.

It was an amazing catch.

Go look for it. I’ll wait.

ESPN had a game write-up that is now blank.

MLB Film Room? They have just one highlight from 2004 and it’s not that.

But after some extensive searching I struck gold. Practically found footage.

I clipped the frames from the grainy video myself. Apologies for the poor quality of a game someone surely taped and uploaded to a corner of the internet.

And now we have a highlight.

And that was good. I was happy. But there was something more. Something else. Something commemorative for this year.

“It’s like a baby New York” maybe? Already uploaded. Although this too was lost media for a while. I actually wrote to Southwest in the early 2010s asking about the commercial. They have a YouTube channel and it had their latest ads…why not a classic? Anyway, here’s that one.

But I wanted to shoot higher.

As I mentioned in the 2006-2016-2026 article last week, those ‘06 Sox traded for a new centerfielder to replace the departed Johnny Damon. The lucky guy? Coco Crisp. While there was a lot of talk about Jeremy Reed as a “Johnny Damon starter kit,” Coco was established. Francona was ready to unleash his speed in the outfield and on the bases.

Everyone was excited.

Unfortunately an injury put Crisp on the IL just five games into the season. It was a minor disaster on the field.

It was a major disaster in the media relations department! Coco Crisp was a centerpiece of the NESN ad campaign for the season. They’d already shot the film and produced the commercials.

If you were around in 2006 this isn’t a surprise.

And you know what’s coming.

So I give you a treat. NESN’s big ad campaign: One Nation, One Network.

Or as you remember it: Did you see that catch Coco made?

ESPN tabs Braves as top breakout team for 2026

We’ve definitely hit a lull here in the offseason — one where no news is good news as you hope that players and coaches are continuing to make personal preparations for the season while hopefully avoiding pratfalls such as, oh, I don’t know, slipping on ice or something like that.

As such, this is a good time for articles such as the one that ESPN put out here on Monday morning. Bradford Doolittle of ESPN has once again tried to figure out who will be the breakout teams of baseball for this upcoming season and as it turns out, Doolittle has placed the Braves in this list of breakout clubs.

In fact, Doolittle has tabbed the Braves as his top breakout candidate. Based on his own algorithms and simulations that he’s run over the course of the offseason, he’s given the Braves a 59 percent chances of picking up 90 wins during this upcoming season — compared to a baseline of 80 wins for 2026. For comparison’s sake, the Orioles were the No. 2 team in Doolittle’s eyes and he only gave them a 35 percent breakout probability, so he appears to be somewhat confident in Atlanta’s chances to return to form after two-straight disappointing seasons.

Here’s part of Doolittle’s reasoning for Atlanta being primed to bounce back this season (and I highly recommend you go over there and give the entire article a read as well):

Injuries were the primary culprit, though there were certainly some underperformances as well. Ronald Acuna Jr. and Spencer Strider both missed time, as they did in 2024, and when they played they were still working their way back into form. Getting those stars and others, such as Austin Riley and Matt Olson, back to full capacity and/or productivity is the Braves’ best hope for a quick bounce-back. The projections think they have a good chance of getting that. My simulations have the Braves winning 11 more games than their baseline win estimate of 80. In other words, their average projection qualifies them as a breakout team, the only team for which that is the case.

Doolittle mentioned Strider in there but also, my own personal belief is that health among the entire starting rotation should help boost the Braves in 2026. He’s absolutely right about Austin Riley hopefully returning to form after two injury-plagued and other stars like Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson continuing to be stars as well but the rotation is key. It’s been mentioned multiple times but Bryce Elder ended up leading the Braves in innings pitched last season. With all due credit to Bryce Elder and his contributions to the team over the past few seasons, having Elder lead your team in innings pitched doesn’t appear conducive to the overall success of a baseball club.

As long as Chris Sale stays healthy and the rest of the rotation follows suit, that alone should give the Braves more of a fighting chance to stay relevant and return to the Postseason conversation during this upcoming season. The team’s depth has been fortified over the course of this offseason as Alex Anthopoulos did a pretty solid job of addressing the team’s needs in the infield, outfield and bullpen as well. Now granted, the team will already start of shorthanded due to Ha-Seong Kim’s icy mishap and I will admit that that doesn’t engender a lot of confidence about this team finally evading the injury bug for the first time since 2023.

However, if Ha-Seong Kim’s injury is simply the injury bug’s last hurrah before a healthy season on the field for the Braves, then things should be better based off that alone. It’s January — why not be a little optimistic? This projection from ESPN is optimistic for Atlanta’s chances in 2026 and as always, all we ca do is hope for the best in order to see those projections play out as planned so that the Braves can finally bounce back after a couple of years in the wilderness. We’ll see what happens.

Shohei Ohtani, Yoshinobu Yamamoto among those named to Team Japan's WBC roster

MIAMI, FLORIDA - MARCH 21: Shohei Ohtani #16 of Team Japan reacts after the final out of the World Baseball Classic Championship defeating Team USA 3-2 at loanDepot park on March 21, 2023 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Eric Espada/Getty Images)
Shohei Ohtani reacts after recording the final out of the World Baseball Classic in 2023 on a strikeout of then-Angels teammate Mike Trout. (Eric Espada / Getty Images)

Japan's roster for the World Baseball Classic features familiar names, but one question lingers.

The Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto were among those named to Team Japan by manager Hirokazu Ibata on Monday at a news conference in Tokyo. Ohtani previously announced his intention to participate in the WBC in November, and Yamamoto was expected to take part despite a heavy workload in the Dodgers' run to a second straight World Series championship.

Dodgers right-hander Roki Sasaki, who will be returning to the starting rotation after missing most of last year’s regular season because of a shoulder injury, was not selected. Sasaki was on Team Japan in 2023, starting two games — including a dramatic semifinal win over Mexico.

In his earlier announcement, Ohtani did not indicate whether he would pitch in the WBC and on Monday Ibata told reporters that the team will get a better sense once Ohtani reports to spring training next month.

Read more:Q&A: What’s the deal with the Dodgers’ TV deal? Is MLB giving them special treatment?

In the 2023 WBC, Ohtani won tournament most valuable player with a .435 batting average and 1.86 ERA, helping Japan to the title. He punctuated the event with his memorable strikeout of Mike Trout for the final out in the championship game.

Eight major leaguers were named to Team Japan's WBC roster, including Angels left-hander Yusei Kukuchi, Padres left-hander Yuki Matsui, Blue Jays infielder Kazuma Okamoto, White Sox infielder Munetaka Murakami, Cubs outfielder Seiya Suzuki and right-hander Tomoyuki Sugano, currently a free agent who pitched for the Baltimore Orioles last year.

MLB players are expected to join Team Japan for exhibition games on March 2. Japan will open WBC play on March 6 against Taiwan.

Sign up for more Dodgers news with Dodgers Dugout. Delivered at the start of each series.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Three Blue Jays On Keith Law’s Top 100 Prospect List

There are three Blue Jays on Keith Law’s Top 100 Prospect list. You can likely guess who they are:

  • #25: Trey Yesavage

Among the things Law said:

….throwing both from a very high slot that gives the fastball more riding life and more generally makes it harder for hitters to pick the ball up out of his hand. The Blue Jays have leaned into this, raising his arm slot a little more and giving him the highest release point of any current MLB starter, while also helping him improve his slider by throwing it much harder, over 2 mph faster than it was in college. That meant that in one playoff start against Seattle where he didn’t have his splitter, he had another weapon as a fallback option rather than just throwing fastball after fastball. The separating factor for Yesavage will be his command; he’s succeeding much more with stuff than location or even control right now, and that arm slot generally (but not always) makes it hard to repeat a delivery. If he’s healthy, he should be at least a solid No. 3/above-average starter, with further upside a function of whether and how he improves his command.

  • #60: JoJo Parker

Law said:

The No. 8 pick in the 2025 draft, Parker is an outstanding hitter for contact who barely swung and missed on the showcase circuit in 2024, when he was facing some of the best prep arms in the country. He controls the strike zone well, has excellent hand-eye coordination, and takes a short path to the ball that ensures he’ll put it in play at a high rate. He can drift over his front side through contact, losing some potential power there, although that’s a correctable issue and also doesn’t have to happen right away. He’s a shortstop now and has very good hands for the infield, but he’s not going to have plus range and probably gets pushed to third base. I’d be shocked if he doesn’t at least hit for high averages right out of the gate in pro ball; if you were looking for someone to be the next Kevin McGonigle from the 2025 draft class, it would be Parker.

  • #89: Arjun Nimmala

Nimmala tore out of the gate to start 2025, hitting .289/.372/.528 when the sun rose on June 1 with just an 18 percent strikeout rate, but it didn’t last, leading to a very mixed second full year in pro ball. A combination of some nagging injuries he played through, some fatigue and pitchers adjusting to him without him adjusting back in turn led to a collapse in his production. He hit just .184/.277/.290 the rest of the year, with a 24 percent strikeout rate that was still a huge reduction from the prior year. Toronto’s 2024 first-round pick, Nimmala was only 17 on draft day, and spent all of 2025 in High A at age 19, making him the fourth-youngest regular at that level — and two of the younger players ahead of him are on this list (Leo De Vries and Franklin Arias). He still has plus power, improved his contact rate while moving up a level and still projects to stick at shortstop. He’ll play all of 2026 at age 20, probably in Double A, and I expect him to continue to progress after an offseason of recovery. If he hits enough to get to his power, his profile is 25-plus homers with plus defense at short.

Konnor Griffin CF in the Pirates system is number one, and Kevin McGonigle SS from the Tigers is number two (last year he was #23 explaining the comment in the Parker section).

The Dodgers and the Mariners lead the way with 7 players on the list each. In the AL East, the Orioles had 5, Red Sox and Rays 4, and the Yankees have 2.

Yesavage will drop off the list next year, but Parker and Nimmala each have a good chance to move up the list next year.

2026 Chicago Cubs player profiles: Moisés Ballesteros

Third in the series.Today we look at the Cubs’ young DH/C/1B.

In previous episodes, we looked at the Cubs’ two catchers, Miguel Amaya and Carson Kelly, indulged in a little speculation, and had video of some of their exploits.

As we move on to the rest of the roster, it seems reasonable to look next at the Cubs’ left-handed DH, Moisés Ballesteros, who isn’t ready for prime time (and perhaps never will be) as a catcher, though the Cubs still continue to float the idea that he’s just a few reps away from competence.

A lot can be said about Ballesteros’ defensive deficiencies, but that tale has been told, and so we’re only saying this little bit — he has a career .985 fielding percentage. Baseball consensus also has it that he’s probably too short to make the scoop at first base, but I’m not really concerned about him playing defense for extended periods.

Because the real tale is about his bat, which is ready for prime time, and is why he’s in The Show. His bio has it that he’s 5’8”, 215, and he looks every bit of 215. He’s husky but he does tend to a bit of avoirdupois weight — however, he has shown a good bat path and quick hips which enable him to get around on any pitch with facility. He was clearly not overwhelmed at the plate in his rookie season, with a slash line of .298/.394/.474 lending credence to the idea that he could be a full-time or LH/Platoon Designated Hitter. Most predictives have him somewhere around .260/.330/.410, with 7-10 HR and 40-45 RBI. The SLG and power numbers look a little low to me but ‘ballpark’.

I’m sure we’d all like it if he exceeded those numbers, and I’d give him a good chance. He’ll probably log a few innings at catcher in the spring. If he doesn’t, then we can probably abandon that part of the narrative. Likewise first base, where Tyler Austin and Jonathon Long offer preferable RH alternatives if the left-handed Busch isn’t going.

Austin is penciled in to back up both Ballesteros and Michael Busch, and will be the subject of our next profile.

Next CBA could end high school draft pick eligibility

Since the start of the baseball’s amateur draft, high school players have always been eligible. Selecting a young player out of high school and offering him enough money to forego college was just one of the ways to ensure an organization secured top-notch talent.

If that player agreed to a deal, which included a signing bonus, then he would report to the minors and start at the lowest rung of the minor league system. Even if it didn’t work out, he’d hopefully have money left over from that signing bonus.

If the player didn’t sign and instead went to college, he’d have to play a varied amount of time in the college system before he could re-enter the draft. The team that originally signed him would no longer hold his draft rights, making him available to the rest of the league—including, of course, that original team.

Sometimes going to college paid off. There have been numerous instances of players heading to college and improving their draft stock. However, the inverse was more likely to occur—college baseball didn’t go as well, injuries occurred, the player didn’t improve all that much, etc., and then his draft stock plummeted.

Before the days of NIL, that player would be out of luck when it came to money.

Now, in the days of NIL and revenue sharing, I wonder how much that has changed. How much do college baseball players make? Does that NIL money that wreaks havoc in college football and college basketball trickle down enough to convince a player from Broken Arrow, Oklahoma, to choose the Sooners over the Astros?

I have such doubts.

Now, it seems that such a decision may soon become a moot point for high school baseball players.

At OverSlotBaseball.com on Wednesday, Joe Doyle wrote an article free for all to read about how the league’s next Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) could end high school draft pick eligibility.

Part of the reason why is making further changes to the minor league system and length of the draft. In 2021, as Doyle notes, the draft shrunk by half, going from 40 rounds to 20 rounds. At the same time, the minor league system contracted as a chunk of the lower levels were extinguished.

In the next CBA, the draft could become even smaller, perhaps even down to 15 or 10 rounds as soon as the 2028 Draft while the minor leagues could further shrink, this time with the elimination of what is now referred to as Class A ball in 2030.

As logic would indicate—and Doyle spells out—fewer rounds of the draft + no Class A ball = less draft eligibility, specifically for high schoolers.

As Pete Campbell once said, “Not great, Bob!

Not only would this eliminate more jobs at the lower levels of the organization, it would also force high school players to forego a potential guaranteed payday to attend college. And for how long? Would the college eligibility rules change, too, so that a player could enter the draft after his freshman year? Or would the player have to stay on campus longer?

It’s clear why this is on the table—the owners want to save as much money as possible. You may not become a billionaire by being a cheapskate, but evidently that’s how you stay a billionaire.

This not only hurts players, but it also hurts clubs like the Kansas City Royals, organizations that depend on drafting younger players and developing them over the years. It takes potentially great players off the board. If this rule currently existed, there would be no Bobby Witt Jr. in Kansas City.

I’ll note something Doyle makes clear in his column—this isn’t guaranteed. “To be sure, none of this is set in stone or agreed upon in any way yet,” Doyle writes.

For baseball fans, there are more pressing issues than this with upcoming labor talks. If the owners truly push for a salary cap, and it sounds like they will, it could be a long, ugly fight between the owners and the players that will certainly void games and perhaps the entire season.

Ending high school draft pick eligibility isn’t high on the list of fans’ concerns, but it will almost certainly affect how the Royals mold their future.

And not in a positive way.

Athletics Community Prospect List: Jump Takes Third Spot

Our CPL continues on this bright and beautiful morning and the third spot in our community’s rankings goes to another left-hander in Gage Jump. The Athletics’ second round pick last year had an amazing first season in the professional ranks, starting the year in High-A before getting promoted to Double-A, where he spent the majority of the season. Jump is much closer to the big leagues than his fellow left-hander Arnold and could legitimately become an option for the Athletics this summer if things continue on the path that they’re on right now. It shouldn’t be much longer before we see him donning the Green & Gold.

Taking Jump’s spot in the nominations list will be shortstop Edgar Montero. The young shortstop out of the Dominican Republic had a tough start to his pro career but elevated his game in his second full season. There’s lots to like in his approach at the plate as he’s able to draw walks without sacrificing much power in the batter’s box. Like other current nominees on our list he’s a bit farther away from truly impacting the big league squad but Montero has the chance to become a quality prospect given enough time. Does he rank above his fellow prospects on this list though?

The process for this public vote is explained below. Please take a moment to read this before participating:

  • Please only vote for one. The player with the most votes at the end of voting will win the ranked spot. The remaining four players move on to the next ballot where they are joined by a new nominee.
  • In the comments, below the official voting, the community will nominate players to be put onto the ballot for the next round. The format for your comment should be “Nomination: Player Name”.
  • If a prospect is traded, his name will be crossed out, and all other players will be moved up a space. If a prospect is acquired, a special vote will be put up to determine where that player should rank.

Click on the link here to vote!

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A’s fans top prospects, ranked:

  1. Leo De Vries
  2. Jamie Arnold
  3. Gage Jump

The voting continues! Who will take the fourth spot? The voting should get much more interesting from here on out. Here’s a quick rundown on each nominee— the scouting grades (on a 20-to-80 scale) and scouting reports come from MLB Pipeline.

Nominees on the current ballot:

Henry Bolte, OF

Expected level: Triple-A | Age 22

2025 stats (AA/AAA): 488 PA, .284/.385/.427, 20 doubles, 6 triples, 9 HR, 56 RBI, 57 BB, 141 K, 44 SB

MLB Pipeline grades and scouting report:

Scouting grades: Hit: 45 | Power: 55 | Run: 65 | Arm: 50 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45

Bolte is a tooled-up athlete who continues to fill out his big 6-foot-3 frame. His impressive raw power continues to show up in the Minors, though there is still a real concern over his swing-and-miss and high strikeout rate as he continues to struggle with offspeed stuff out of the zone. The A’s have worked with him to revamp his swing in order to improve his bat path and cover more of the zone, which has produced slight improvements in those areas, though there is still plenty of work to be done.

Another shining tool for Bolte is his near-elite speed, which was on display last season as he swiped 46 bags. That speed also comes in handy on defense, combining that with a strong arm that makes him a solid outfielder at all three spots. Further refining is required, but he remains an exciting talent with a very high ceiling who continues to steadily advance through the system.

Braden Nett, RHP

Expected level: Triple-A | Age 23

2025 stats (AA): 3.75 ERA, 24 starts, 105 2/3 IP, 116 K, 48 BB, 8 HR, 3.77 FIP

MLB Pipeline grades and scouting report:

Scouting grades: Fastball: 55 | Curveball: 55 | Slider: 60 | Changeup: 50 | Control: 55 | Overall: 55

While working around the injuries, Nett has continued to show stellar velocity, touching as high as 99 mph in the Minor Leagues last season. He typically sits 95-97 mph and gets swing-and-miss up in the zone thanks to ample carry. He also throws a tight 81-84 mph slider that ran a 38 percent whiff rate in ’24 and a sharper 90-92 mph cutter that can catch hitters off guard. He’ll mix in an upper-70s curveball with more vertical drop and he’s scrapped a low-80s splitter in favor of a much more effective 88 mph kick-change that really neutralizes lefties.

Nett has some effort in his delivery, and the 2025 season (pre-trade) was the first time he’d posted a walk rate below 13 percent at any Minor League stop. Combine that with the early injury concerns, and it’s easy to think he could be a reliever eventually. But his arsenal is deep enough, and his stuff is promising enough — when combined with strides taken this season — to keep landing him in a starting role in the upper Minors.

Johenssy Colome, SS

Expected level: Dominican Summer League | Age 17

2025 stats: None

MLB Pipeline grades and scouting report:

Scouting grades: Hit: 55 | Power: 65 | Run: 50 | Arm: 60 | Field: 55 | Overall: 60

It’s not often that teenage prospects launch home runs. But Colome has a tendency to get to that jumpy pop with frequency, consistently leveraging his swing well – so well in fact, that one evaluator mentioned the most recent occasion on which he saw an international prospect continually get to their launch point in such a manner was Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Colome is a right-handed hitter with explosive hands and a solid contact rate, although he has been known to be a tad aggressive in the box as a means of getting to said power.

Something of an athletic marvel at 6-foot-2 and 190 pounds at age 16, Colome is an agile athlete who shows a lot of lateral quickness. The fluidity of his movements and strong arm led to a Manny Machado comparison being hung on him defensively. Much like the seven-time All-Star, Colome may move off short as his frame fills out, but he’s a tremendously dedicated worker and has the feet, soft hands and instincts to stick at the premium position.

Wei-En Lin, LHP

Expected level: Double-A | Age 20

2025 stats (A, A+, AA): 3.72 ERA, 13 starts (26 appearances), 87 IP, 117 K, 22 BB, 9 HR, 3.77 FIP

MLB Pipeline grades and scouting report:

Scouting grades: Fastball: 50| Curveball: 50 | Slider: 45: 50 | Changeup: 50 | Field: 55 | Overall: 40

A 6-foot-2 left-hander, Lin has a combination of feel for as many as five pitches and projection to his frame. Right now his fastball averages just 91 mph, but it tops out at 95, and it’s easy to see that his frame has tremendous room to add good strength, with more consistent velocity to come. It already had the makings of a quality heater, thrown from around a 5.9-feet release height and with more than 18 inches of carry to it, helping it to miss a good amount of bats. His changeup has been his best secondary offering to date, with huge whiff rates during his debut. His short curve is his go-to breaking ball thus far, though he has a harder, shorter slider. He’ll also employ a splitter for another offspeed possibility.

It’s been a small sample size so far in his first full season, but Lin looks like he has the makings of being an extreme strike-thrower, showing particularly good command of his fastball and curve. If the teenaged southpaw is able to fill out and throw harder, the A’s could have a very interesting left-handed starting pitcher prospect on their hands.

Edgar Montero, SS

Expected level: Low-A | Age 19

2025 stats (DSL): 244 PA, .313/.484/.580, 14 doubles, 3 triples, 9 HR, 50 RBI, 60 BB, 54 K, 11 SB

MLB Pipeline grades and scouting report:

Scouting grades: Hit: 50 | Power: 50 | Run: 50 | Arm: 50 | Field: 50 | Overall: 45

A switch-hitting shortstop, Montero has shown the ability to impact the ball from both sides of the plate, with his natural right-handed swing more direct to the ball, though his left-handed swing is more picturesque and he obviously gets more plate appearances from that side. He has the chance to hit for average and power, with a solid approach that has allowed him to walk more than he strikes out for much of the summer.

Last year, Montero was slower and less athletic, but attention to conditioning and nutrition has helped him get leaner and stronger. An average runner, Montero has the instincts and actions to stick at shortstop for a long time, with a solid and accurate arm. If his body gets bigger as he matures — he played all of 2025 at age 18 — he could move to the hot corner, but the A’s don’t see that in his future. What they are hoping for is that he comes to instructs this year and stays in the United States as one of the better prospects to come out of their Dominican academy in some time.

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Programming Note: Each CPL vote will run for around 48 hours, so don’t delay making your selections!

Better Know Your Blue Jays 40-Man: Jake Bloss

Jake Bloss is a 24-year-old (25 in June), right-handed pitcher. We picked him up (with Joey Loperfido and Will Wagner) from the Astros, at the trade deadlin in 2024, for Yusei Kikuchi.

Kikuchi made 10 starts for the Astros and had a 2.70 ERA with a 5-1 record, helping them get the Wild Card spot that year (they lost to the Tigers in two games). He played for the Angels last year.

Bloss was #7 on our Prospect List last year. Tom M wrote:

Bloss uses an aggressive drop and drive deliver that gets him great extension and also a flat plane to the plate. That pairs well with his fastball, a four-seamer that sits 93-95 and occasionally touches 98 with above average carry. He throws three breaking balls: a cutter in the 87mph range, a sweeping slider around 82, and a solid two plane curve at 79. His change-up is his weakest pitch, a little too firm at 90mph and with some arm side fade but fringe movement overall. None of the pitches are plus (except the fastball when it’s at the top of its range), but at least three look above average and the sheer variety helps everything play. Bloss has good feel most of the time, but he needs to find more consistency and refine his approach to cut down on his walks.

Bloss is undoubtedly advanced for a player just a season and a third into his pro career, but his advancement to Houston last year had more to do with desperation than him actually forcing the issue. He has work to do to refine his command and approach, and I don’t think it would be a surprise or a problem if he spent most or all of the season in Buffalo before making his Blue Jays debut. His upside is as #3/4 starter once he makes those refinements, and I think there’s a good chance he’ll be pencilled into that role going into 2026.

Unfortunately, for Jake, he ended up needing UCL surgery in May of last year and ended up missing the rest of the season.

Baseball America has him listed as the Jays ninth best prospect coming into spring training this year, but he likely won’t be back on the mound until mid-season and then will have to show that he is still the same pitcher as before the surgery. Between that, and the number of pitchers we have at the major league level and the ones in the minors who seem major league ready, it is tough to see a path for Bloss to pitch in the majors. But he does have a fastball that can reach 98 mph so if a spot in the pen opens up, who knows.

Stream thinks that is the most likely outcome, figuring him to pitch in 12 games of the pen, with a 7.96 ERA in 12 innings.