Category: Baseball

Here are the lineups, let’s discuss!

For the Phillies:

Luzardo takes the mound pic.twitter.com/KSg3yNCiQA

— Philadelphia Phillies (@Phillies) March 12, 2026

For the Blue Jays:

Leo and RJ return from the WBC! #SpringTrainingpic.twitter.com/XQbTADmCgw

— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) March 12, 2026

Is it on TV?

Yes, thank Pedro. In a week when there has barely been any televised Red Sox baseball, this one is on NESN at 1:05 PM. That’s especially fortuitous since there’s no World Baseball Classic action today.

What’s the lineup?

What should we watch for?

It’s all about Connelly Early today. With exactly two weeks until Opening Day, this will be one of his final chances to force himself into the Red Sox rotation.

With the World Baseball Classic beginning quarterfinal play on Friday, let’s look back to see how all the Dodgers did during pool play in the tournament. Five Dodgers on the 40-man roster played during the opening round, as well as two minor leaguers. In all, nine Dodgers were active in the WBC, representing seven countries.

Star power

Shohei Ohtani reached base nine times in 13 trips to the plate in Pool C, with two home runs, a double, four walks, six runs batted in, and four runs scored, and did not strike out, helping Japan to a 4-0 start to the tournament.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto walked more (three) than he struck out (two) on March 6 in Japan’s opening game against Chinese Taipei, but got through 2 2/3 innings without permitting a run, throwing 55 pitches.

Edwin Díaz faced seven batters in Pool A for Puerto Rico, and struck out five of them, tossing two scoreless innings with one hit allowed.

Will Smith started two of four games in pool play for the United States, and had a double and single in six at-bats, with two walks, and one RBI on a sacrifice fly.

Hyeseong Kim hit a two-run home run for Korea against Japan, but that was his only hit in 10 at-bats during Pool C. Kim drove in three, walked twice, and stole a base in his three games. He injured his left hand in stealing that base in the 10th inning on March 8 against Chinese Taipei, and did not play in Korea’s final game of the pool.

Clayton Kershaw warmed up late in Team USA’s loss to Italy, but did not pitch in Pool B.

Minor leaguers

Jake Gelof played all four games for Israel, starting three at third base. He had two hits, including a double, and three RBI in Tuesday night’s win over The Netherlands. But in the other three games he was hitless in a combined seven at-bats. Before leaving for the WBC, the second-round draft pick from 2023 got into two Cactus League games for the Dodgers, up from minor league camp, playing third base both times.

Christian Suarez, who pitched for Double-A Tulsa last year, got one out for Venezuela in his one appearance. Venezuela already has a berth in the quarterfinals, but first will play one more game against the Dominican Republic on Wednesday night to decide the winner of Pool D.

Shawndrick Oduber, who pitched in 29 games for Class-A Rancho Cucamonga last year as a 20-year-old, was in the pitching pool for The Netherlands, but did not pitch in their four games.

JUPITER, Fla. – Clay Holmes will forgo the remainder of the World Baseball Classic to prepare for the Mets’ season.

The right-hander was headed back to spring training Thursday, according to manager Carlos Mendoza, after conversations with Team USA officials determined he was unlikely to receive the innings buildup needed for his first start this season.

Team USA has advanced to the WBC quarterfinals against Canada on Friday.

Holmes pitched three scoreless innings for Team USA against Great Britain last week.

“It was hard for Team USA to guarantee him (innings) – especially where they are at, where every game is pretty much an elimination game,” Mendoza said before the Mets faced the Cardinals in the Grapefruit League. “It’s hard, especially as a piggyback, to guarantee the number of pitches we are asking him to get.

“It’s not an easy spot for managers now in the WBC. It’s easy to second guess and I have been in those tournaments and people have no idea how hard it is to please every organization, so Clay had a good talk with the coaching staff and they understand.”

Mendoza indicated the plan was “fluid” for Holmes when he departed for the WBC.

“They are facing an elimination game and the starter needs to go 60-65 pitches and we’re getting there, so they understood,” Mendoza said.

Holmes will pitch in a piggyback, behind Kodai Senga, on Friday, according to Mendoza.

Sticking with No. 26 worked out pretty well for Phillies great Chase Utley originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

CLEARWATER, Fla. – Every Little Leaguer in the Philadelphia area from 2005 to 2015 wanted the number.

Even today, a decade after it was informally retired, it remains popular in the stands back home at Citizens Bank Park and down here in spring training.

26.

For Phillies fans, the number is synonymous with Chase Utley.

The great former Phillies second baseman was back in Clearwater on Thursday as the team announced he would become its 51st Wall of Famer in an August 7 ceremony at Citizens Bank Park. 

Dan Baker, no doubt, is already loosening up his vocal cords …

Number 26, Chase Utley!

But how different it might be if Utley had gotten his wish 20 years ago.

In high school and later at UCLA, he wore No. 7. 

“It was always my lucky-ish number,” he said.

As a minor-leaguer attending big-league spring training camp, Utley first wore a football number – 78. When he graduated to the majors, he was assigned No. 26, which wasn’t a bad thing because he got to sit next to Jim Thome in the spring-training clubhouse.

Wearing 26 on his back, Utley became the Phillies’ regular second baseman in the second half of the 2004 season and began a rise to stardom in 2005. 

But he still longed to wear his old favorite, No. 7.

After that season, Utley approached Frank Coppenbarger, the team’s longtime clubhouse and equipment man about possibly changing numbers.

“I’d begun to establish myself a little bit so I figured I’d ask,” Utley said.

Coppenbarger was OK with the switch and started to get the ball rolling. He ran it by the front office. The number was open so there were no major objections. The next step was alerting Majestic, then the uniform manufacturer for Major League Baseball.

That’s where there were objections.

“A couple of weeks later, Majestic got back to me,” the now-retired Coppenbarger recalled Thursday. “They were really concerned. They had several thousand ‘Utley 26’ jerseys in stores all over the region and they didn’t want to eat all those jerseys.”

Coppenbarger explained the situation to Utley.

“Oh, wow,” Utley said at the time. “Forget it. Let’s keep 26.”

Two decades later, Utley recalled that conversation on Thursday.

“From that day on, I felt like 26 was my number,” he said. “It worked out pretty good.”

Sure did.

In 13 seasons with the Phillies, Utley played in 1,551 games, made six National League All-Star teams and won four Silver Slugger awards. He was part of a homegrown core of players (along with Jimmy Rollins, Ryan Howard, Cole Hamels, Pat Burrell and others) that won five NL East titles, two NL pennants and a World Series from 2007 to 2011. He played in 46 postseason games for the Phillies and hit seven home runs, five in the 2009 World Series. He ranks in the franchise’s top 10 in a slew of categories, including runs, hits, RBIs, doubles, homers, total bases and extra bases.

You can add standing ovations to that list. Dubbed “The Man” by legendary broadcaster Harry Kalas, Utley was a huge fan favorite not only for his talent and production but also his heads-up, gritty style of play.

On the night the Phillies won the World Series in 2008, Utley made an instinctive defensive gem to cut down Tampa Bay’s Jason Bartlett at the plate. It ranks with Brandon Graham’s strip-sack of Tom Brady in Super Bowl LII as one of the most iconic defensive plays in Philadelphia sports history.

Phillies owner John Middleton praised Utley as “one of the greatest players in franchise history.” Middleton sees the Wall of Fame as a place to honor “Phillies history and its great players, great personnel and great moments.”

“When Chase’s plaque goes up on the Wall of Fame in August, he will deservedly live permanently and visibly forever in Phillies history,” Middleton said.

Utley is the third player from the 2008 World Series championship team to be honored on the Wall of Fame, joining Burrell and Rollins. Manager Charlie Manuel and general manager Pat Gillick have also been honored. In the coming years, more 2008 Phillies will surely be feted. Howard’s time will come soon. Hamels’, as well. Both were in Clearwater for the Utley announcement Thursday.

“For me, being able to hit behind Chase all those years and getting to see it first-hand, watching him work to do his thing day in and day out, was amazing,” Howard said. “Now, for him to be enshrined on the Wall of Fame, it’s awesome. It’s awesome to see a player and leader like that be recognized. 

“As a player, you don’t set out for this type of stuff. It just happens when you do great things, and what Chase did was great. For me, answering these questions now — I’m standing here, but mentally, I’m in the on-deck circle watching his greatness. He’s a special player and a special individual.”

The Wall of Fame likely will not be the last great honor for Utley. In January, he received 59.1 percent (of a necessary 75 percent) of the vote in his third year on the Hall of Fame ballot. With seven years of eligibility remaining, he seems like a shoo-in. When that day comes, Phillies fans will flock to Cooperstown with No. 26 on their backs and the team will officially retire the number that no one has worn since him.

And to think, it could have been No. 7.

“I’m glad Chase didn’t change his number,” Frank Coppenbarger said. “Now, 26 is iconic. He’s 26 and he’ll be 26 forever.”

Texas Rangers lineup for March 12, 2026 against the Athletics of the West Coast.

Two weeks from Opening Day, and we have a spring training game this afternoon. It is against the Athletics. Jack Leiter is starting.

The lineup:

Nimmo — RF

Langford — LF

Seager — SS

Burger — 1B

Pederson — DH

Carter — CF

Smith — 2B

Duran — 3B

MacIver — C

3:05 p.m. Central start time.

There are only two weeks and a day left until the regular season starts and the prospective Atlanta Braves Opening Day roster is coming into focus — for better and for worse.

Less than two weeks after the last roster projection, two more shoes dropped, adding more consternation to Opening Day roster. First, it was outfielder/designated hitter Jurickson Profar getting suspended for 162 games for a second PED positive test in less than 12 months. Then, last weekend, possible starting pitcher/long-reliever Joey Wentz tore his ACL and will miss the 2026 season.

Now it is time to take another look what the projected Opening Day roster.

As a reminder, this projection is based on who is on the Braves’ 40-man roster or in camp with the team at this moment in time and assumes that everyone is “healthy” when Opening Day rolls around. All the usual caveats apply related to injuries, acquisitions and the like.

This is the third projection this Spring and for additional thoughts and details on the below players, read the prior projections as those comments won’t be duplicated below.

Position Players

Catcher: Drake Baldwin

First base: Matt Olson

Second base: Ozzie Albies

Shortstop: Mauricio Dubón

Third base: Austin Riley

Right field: Ronald Acuña, Jr.

Center field: Micheal Harris II

Left field: Mike Yastrzemski

Designated hitter:

Bench: Jonah Heim, Eli White, Jorge Mateo, Kyle Farmer, Dominic Smith

With Jurickson Profar out of the equation, the designated hitter spot gets hits with a strike-through for this projection. Atlanta could possibly bring in someone at the end of camp for the last bench spot, but for now, veteran Dominic Smith gets the nod. The Braves would probably be better served with a right-handed hitting option, but at this point Smith and outfielder Ben Gamel, both veteran lefty-swinging bats, seem the two most likely options.

Wild Cards: Nacho Alvarez, Jr., Ben Gamel, Jose Azucar, Brett Wisely

Luke Williams has struggled mightily with the bat, and at this point, seems an unlikely option to make the team. It is fair to question if he is able to stick in Triple-A, either. Utilityman Brett Wisely, who played briefly with the Braves last season before an off-season detour to the Tampa Bay Rays before returning to Atlanta, could be an option given he can play on the infield or outfield.

Another name to keep an eye on is player who had the quick cup of coffee with Atlanta last season before moving on and coming back – outfielder Jose Azucar. Azucar is likely a Triple-A outfield option only but should the Braves need an reserve outfielder to open the season, he might get the nod over Gamel. Infielder Nacho Alvarez, Jr. has been playing in the WBC and was optioned when he left camp, but he can’t be ruled out completely, although is likely to be ticketed to Triple-A to get full-time at-bats.

Pitchers

Starting pitchers: Chris Sale, Spencer Strider, Reynaldo Lopez, Grant Holmes, Bryce Elder, JR Ritchie

Bullpen: Raisel Iglesias, Robert Suarez, Dylan Lee, Tyler Kinley, Aaron Bummer, Joel Payamps, Jose Suaréz

The starting rotation has lost most of its depth since Spring Training started with Hurston Waldrop, Joey Wentz and Spencer Schwellenbach all succumbing to injuries. JR Ritchie makes the jump to the starting rotation – even if only for the first two weeks. Theoretically, Atlanta could opt to give Ritchie a start after Strider or Lopez, allowing Holmes to be the designated long-man for a couple of games and slot in as the sixth starter.

With Hayden Harris and James Karinchak seeming to not be in the plan to start the year, the final slot goes to left-hander Jose Suaréz given his ability to cover multiple innings. He pitched in seven games, including one start, for the Braves last season.

Wild Cards: Martín Peréz, Hayden Harris, Dylan Dodd, James Karinchak

A lot can happen in two weeks, and a couple more clean outings by Harris or even a minor injury to an expected reliever could see the rookie force his way on the roster. The same can be said for Karinchak. Should Atlanta opt to have a sixth start, but not want Ritchie to start the year in Atlanta, then the veteran Martín Peréz could get the call. Dodd’s ability to be optioned does not play in his favor, but he could be an option over Suaréz.

The majority of the core that won the 2023 World Series is still present on the Rangers roster three years later. The unrelenting passage of time and the fragile nature of the human body has meant that, even though many of the names are the same, the talent level on this roster is much less than what it was when they won a championship. Maybe that’s why it feels like this year is the last hurrah for this version of the Rangers. Corey Seager hasn’t been able to stay healthy for a full season since 2022, Jacob deGrom and Nathan Eovaldi are on the wrong side of 35, and it doesn’t look like there’s much near-future help coming through the farm system.

The pitching staff should be pretty good; they were elite last year but probably won’t rise to that level again. The lineup should be pretty good too, even though they weren’t very good last year. The roster seems like it’s going to get hit hard by regression — upwards for the bats, downwards for the arms — which makes projecting the team particularly difficult.

Position	Rangers Projected WAR	Mariners Projected WAR	Edge
Catcher	2.5	6.1	Mariners
First Base	1.3	2.9	Mariners
Second Base	1.6	2.7	Mariners
Shortstop	4.5	2.8	Rangers
Third Base	2.0	3.0	Mariners
Left Field	3.4	2.2	Rangers
Center Field	3.4	6.0	Mariners
Right Field	2.4	2.0	Rangers
Designated Hitter	1.8	1.6	Rangers
Starting Pitching	14.6	14.2	Rangers
Relief Pitching	1.9	3.4	Mariners
Total	39.5	46.8	Mariners

The Rangers outpace the Mariners at shortstop, in the outfield corners, and barely edge them out in the starting rotation. The biggest potential for growth comes from their two young outfielders, Wyatt Langford and Evan Carter. The former is already projected to be one of the better left fielders in the game while the latter has battled injuries the last few years but is still only 23. On the pitching side of things, deGrom, Eovaldi, and newcomer MacKenzie Gore form a very potent one through three atop the rotation. Even if the pitching depth isn’t as good as it was last year, the ceiling provided by that trio is very high.

Bringing in Brandon Nimmo and Gore should help delay the team’s inevitable decline; both are still very good players right now and are under team control for at least the next two years. It’s very easy to imagine a scenario in 2026 where Seager stays healthy, the two aces atop the rotation stave off Father Time for one more year, and young guys like Langford and Carter take a big step forward. It’s just as easy to imagine the complete opposite scenario where everything falls apart. That huge variation in potential outcomes makes this team extremely difficult to pin down. They could be really good! They could be really bad! The most likely outcome is somewhere in the mediocre middle, neither good enough to compete nor bad enough to push them to tear everything down.

2026 FanGraphs Depth Charts projections: 80.7-81.3, 2nd in AL West, 35.5% playoff odds

2026 PECOTA projections: 83.6-78.4, 3rd in AL West, 43.2% playoff odds

If It All Goes Right

Sure, it’s a flattened and idealized version of history, but who doesn’t love a lone cowboy? One man set against the multifaceted forces of the world, his only weapon a six-shooter and his own rugged indifference. It’s the man in the arena, but on a horse. That’s how Skip wanted them to think of themselves, at least. One man. Simple tools. One mission.

Of course, it’s not really like that. They are nothing without each other, and this year, finally, all those disparate pieces gelled into one unstoppable offensive machine. A new training program kept the most fragile among them on the field all year, led by Corey Seager, fully healthy and now fully a power hitter – so what if his defense had lost a step when he’s smacking 36 homers? And for once not everything rested on Seager’s shoulders, flanked by a trio of powerful young All-Stars in Evan Carter, Wyatt Langford, and Josh Jung, who finally solved his own injury issues, with Carter’s long-awaited breakout year finally coming to fruition.

With that combination of speed, power, and on-base ability at the top half, the rest of the lineup could have taken at-bats off, but they never did, led by the veteran Brandon Nimmo, who fit in immediately like a pair of broken-in boots. Any time a younger player wandered too far afield Nimmo was right there to lasso him back to reality, offering pep talks and gentle correction. The top of the lineup did most of the heavy lifting, of course, but the rest of the lineup was happy to play Tonto to everyone else’s Lone Ranger.

Could they pitch? Not even a little bit, but who cares, when you’re averaging – averaging – five runs a game. Forget about defense; the most powerful guns win the wars.

They lived the motto that year – one riot, one Ranger – acting as a unified, unstoppable force, a riot of offense and damn all the rest. Who cared about a statue, or a Pride Night, or paid maternity leave? They had two pennants in five years. Anyone would be happy to ride off into the sunset with that. —KP

If It All Goes Wrong

This is an easy one. 

About one-third of the Rangers projected value is tied up in three players: Corey Seager, Jacob deGrom and Nathan Eovaldi. All three are great, and all three will be on a Hall of Fame ballot some day. All three are also highly likely to spend time on the injured list this year. Seager (32) made three trips to the IL in 2025; he missed time in six of the last seven non-COVID seasons. deGrom (38) was healthy last year for the first time since missing most of four consecutive seasons. Eovaldi (36) has his own poor track record of health and finished 2025 on the IL.

So while I acknowledge the tradition of this series is creative writing and imagery, this just… it’s obvious. The Rangers need everything to go right. They are old. They are fragile. They are top heavy. It’s like watching Nolan Ryan attempt the milk crate challenge.

The Rangers are already on the long-arch towards, “It All Goes Wrong.” Between 2022 and 2023, they had the largest influx of high-priced talent in recent baseball history, elevating from one of the worst teams in the league to a bit above average. And hey, that’s all they needed in 2023, winning 90 games, finishing second in the AL West, and defeating the mighty Diamondbacks in the World Series. Good for them.

But such an improbable title run obscured a more fundamental issue with the depth of the organization. There was no plan in place to sustain highly competitive rosters.  They’d already locked up the “Big Free Agent” chunk of their budget. They didn’t have much of a farm system to supplement their core, or even to trade from. They were largely content to stare at the reflection in their trophy. 

They entered 2024 needing it all to go right. They were the most injured team in the American League and missed the playoffs.  

They entered 2025 needing it all to go right. They underperformed their pythagorean record by nine wins and missed the playoffs. 

And now the Rangers enter 2026, needing it all to go right again,  the odds growing longer. Their championship core has started to break up, with plenty of hard feelings to go around. The rest is filled out with not-quite-failed prospects and not-quite-retired veterans. The greatest splurge in the history of the sport, all for a lone winning season, and a Texas-sized white flag to hang in the rafters, forever. —RB

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across the MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Royals fans and fans across the country. Sign up here to participate in the weekly emailed surveys.

Spring Training is rapidly drawing to a close, and while the Royals have a variety of much more interesting options for their outfield than they had at this time last year, they don’t appear to have any clear frontrunners.

Lane Thomas was the first offseason addition, but he profiles as more of a weak-side platoon hitter and pinch hitter than a starting outfielder. Additionally, he was hurt most of last year, and he has not had a particularly good Spring Training, striking out in more than half of his plate appearances so far.

Isaac Collins was acquired next, via trade with the Milwaukee Brewers, and immediately assumed the de facto starting left field role after finishing fourth in NL Rookie of the Year voting last year. Unfortunately, his batted ball metrics were subpar last year, which already gave cause for concern about his ability to replicate his rookie season, but now he has gotten a late start to Spring Training and has struck out more than 40% of the time since he started playing. Neither he nor Thomas are chasing all that much, but they’re both only swinging at about half the pitches they see in the strike zone, far below the league average.

The Royals signed Starling Marte to fill out the bench last week, but he might be the most interesting option they have in left field, considering we at least haven’t seen him fail yet. But there’s a little more than a week of Spring Training left, and we haven’t seen him take the field yet. It’s hard to imagine he’s going to be 100% up to speed when the season starts at this pace.

Michael Massey could be an option, but he’s battling another leg injury. Jonathan India is only playing at second this year. Other potential candidates would seem to include Kameron Misner, John Rave, Drew Waters, Tyler Tolbert, and Nick Loftin. Who you got?

Batting Average on Balls in Play is a stat that’s about as objective mathematically as can be. The fine folks at FanGraphs provide this concise explanation of the metric.

The basics are this: when a batter puts a bat on the ball and it ends up in the field of play, how often does said batter not get retired? Home runs go over the fence and therefore aren’t ‘in the field of play,’ while sacrifices are pulled out the equation due to the batter giving themselves up for the good of the team. What you’re left with at the end, mathematically, is a data set of millions of plate appearances that ended up with batters putting pitches into play, with roughly 30% of those ending up as hits.

If a player posts a season with a .351 BABIP – like, for example, Gavin Lux did in 2025 – odds are there was some good luck, or good fortune propping that up. If a player posts a season with a .255 BABIP – like one of the players I’ll mention immediately below – odds are there was some bad luck, or bad fortune at play.

There’s some obvious noise in there, though, as not all batted balls are created the same. Fly balls (that don’t go over the wall) are a lot easier to turn into outs than line drives and even grounders, so players who show extreme fly-ball heavy approaches will typically have lower BABIP numbers than those who don’t. Speedy guys that race down the 1B line can more easily leg out infield hits than lumbering sluggers, so you don’t see a lot of catchers with high BABIP numbers, for instance.

All of this, of course, is relative to pitchers, too. Extreme fly-ball pitchers might surrender more homers, but they typically have lower BABIP against them than their grounder brethren. Inducing weak contact from hitters typically leads to a lower BABIP against, too, all factors that help determine whether a pitcher’s expected BABIP based on their pitching profile should actually be closer to .290 or .310 than just .300.

Anyway, here are a handful of Cincinnati Reds who – based on BABIP and their respective approaches – should probably be due for some better fortune in 2026 than they were last season.

Will Benson, OF

2025 BABIP: .255

Career BABIP prior to 2025: .331

I have hammered this point home about Benson already this offseason, so I will try not to belabor it while highlighting some of his peers who likely will see better luck in 2026, too.

To summarize, Benson hit just .226/.273/.435 in 2025 with a .255 BABIP despite his batting percentile rankings (had he had enough PA to qualify) all landing in the top 15% of all hitters in xSLG, average exit velocity, barrel rate, hard-hit rate, and launch angle sweet-spot percentage. He’s not an extreme fly-ball hitter, either, and he refined his approach well in 2025 to swing at better pitches in-zone (and make a lot better contact when he did).

He’s fast, too – 94th percentile last year, per Statcast. Guys that fast should never end up with just a .255 BABIP.

I think Benson’s in for a big, big regression in 2026 in a good way. He just needs the playing time.

Graham Ashcraft, RHP

2025 BABIP: .342

Career BABIP prior to 2025: .305

Ashcraft leans on his 97+ mph cutter out of the bullpen, a completely filthy pitch that both limits hard contact and induces a ton of grounders. Yes, ground-ball heavy pitchers typically have higher BABIP allowed than fly-ball pitchers, but the weak contact nuance with Ashcraft should mitigate a lot of that. For instance, he allowed just a 24.6% hard-hit % (per FanGraphs) last year – tied for the 10th best among the 287 pitchers who threw at least 60 IP – while his 55.9% grounder rate was tied for 17th on that same list.

Nobody ranked higher than him in either category allowed a BABIP anywhere close to his. Eight of the pitchers who ranked ahead of him on that hard-hit list posted BABIP numbers of .275 or below.

His xERA (3.46) and FIP (2.72) think Graham got royally screwed last year, as they were both significantly better than his 3.99 ERA. I think 2026 is a year where those all begin to tell the same story, and the Reds are going to be better off because of it.

Ke’Bryan Hayes, 3B

2025 BABIP: .289 (.270 with Reds after being acquired)

Career BABIP prior to 2025: .312

Look, there’s not really going to be anything about Hayes’ offensive profile that jumps off the page. He’s just not a very good hitter, and of late has been one of the worst in the entire sport. There’s a lot of small sample noise in Hayes’ initial foray into playing for the Cincinnati Reds, but even his entire body of work between the Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates last season suggests he was a bit unluckier than he should of been.

Perhaps the biggest question right now is just how much his back issues have haunted him, and how much they’ll continue to do so. As recently as 2023, he ranked in the 85th percentile in hard-hit rate and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity, but last year those nose-dived to the 46th percentile and 39th percentile, respectively. He ranked in just the 13th percentile in barrel rate and 9th in xSLG, meaning he really, really wasn’t making very good contact at all.

Still, there’s evidence that he’s been able to hit the ball decently hard before, and last year his 49.0% grounder rate ranked 11th highest in the sport among qualified hitters. With a healthy-enough back and an average sprint speed that’s close enough to league average, I’d expect his BABIP to shoot back up above .300 again in 2026.

Chase Burns, RHP

2025 BABIP: .360

Burns allowed a .316 BABIP during his electric season with Wake Forest in 2024 before being the #2 overall draft pick. When he debuted as a pro in 2025, he posted a .258 BABIP in 42.0 IP with AA Chattanooga and a .244 BABIP in 66.0 IP in the minors across all stops before his call-up to the big leagues.

Without getting too numbers-heavy on a pitcher with such a small sample of results, I’ll simply point out that a) nobody with his filthy arsenal of pitches is going to post a .360 BABIP allowed again and b) that one disastrous start against Boston last year where he was tipping pitches featured a .667 BABIP against him in-game.

Chase Burns stock to the moon!

You won’t be hearing “See ya!” on Yankees Opening Day, and Michael Kay isn’t happy about it.

When the Yankees face the Giants in San Francisco on March 25, it will be streamed exclusively on Netflix in a standalone primetime season opener, and Kay expressed his displeasure Wednesday.

“To be blunt, it sucks,” Kay said in an interview with Newsday. “It really does.”

Netflix signed a multi-year streaming rights deal with MLB, which includes exclusive live broadcasts of select events, including the Opening Day primetime game – which just so happens to include the Yankees.

The Yankees will play Wednesday, have an off day Thursday and then play again Friday in a game that will be broadcast on YES, though the network won’t have Saturday’s series finale.

“It doubly sucks because we just have the middle game,” Kay added. “And the third game is a Fox game. So, essentially, I’m flying to San Francisco for one game, and then we go to Seattle after that.”

Netflix is planning a big splash for the Opening Day primetime special.

“It’s not ideal because Opening Day, there’s a special pageantry to it, pomp and circumstance,” Kay continued. “People look forward to pitchers and catchers, that’s number one, and then number two is Opening Day. I guess if I’m Netflix, I’d want the Yankees and the Giants, too, but I know that all of us at YES would rather have it.”

Last year’s Yankees-Brewers game on Opening Day aired on ESPN and was called by Joe Buck, who showed love to Kay during the broadcast.

“That was really, really fun and nice,” Kay said. “The good part about it was I was there with my family, which I never get a chance to do. So if I could sit with my son on Opening Day, I’m going to look at that as a plus and that’s what we’re going to do. The kids have never been to California. So we’re going to fly out to San Francisco, I’ll do the pregame, and then I’ll just go in the stands and watch the game.”

The Yankees are the favorites in the American League coming into the season, and most of the games are broadcast on YES Network and the My9 channel with usually over 120 games broadcast locally between those two hosts. Amazon carries a small package of YES-produced Yankees games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. rose to the occasion — and delivered a bat flip as epic as the home run he hit.

The Padres star crushed a three-run home run in the fourth inning Wednesday for the Dominican Republic that put them ahead by four runs over Venezuela, and right after he sent the ball flying over the left field fence, he flipped his bat at the end of his follow through in one smooth motion that matched the energy of the raucous crowd in Miami.

The Dominican Republic went on to win, 7-5, to finish group play 4-0, and they will play Korea in the quarterfinals Friday in Miami.

FERNANDO TATIS JR. THREE-RUN HOMER!!! pic.twitter.com/6exLuQpTbk

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) March 12, 2026

Tatis, 27, went 6-for-13 with two homers, nine RBIs, six runs, five walks and three strikeouts across the four pool-play games, all while playing with a flair that has been infectious throughout the Dominican roster.

Mets star Juan Soto delivered a bat flip of his own after hitting a two-run home run in the first inning Wednesday.

Soto and Tatis Jr. are part of a stacked Dominican lineup that also includes Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Ketel Marte, Manny Machado, Junior Caminero, Julio Rodriguez and Austin Wells.

Should the Dominican Republic defeat Korea Friday in Miami, they could face the United States on Sunday night in the semifinals if Team USA defeats Canada Friday in Houston.

Victory cannot be assumed for the U.S. after their disastrous loss to Italy on Tuesday left their fate hanging in the balance during Wednesday’s Italy-Mexico clash.

Italy’s win put the Americans through to the quarters.

The quarterfinals on the other side of the bracket, Japan vs. Venezuela and Italy vs. Puerto Rico, will take place Saturday.

The first semifinal will be Sunday, the second on Monday and the WBC championship game will take place Tuesday.

Let’s just get this right out of the way right out of the gate: As long as all five Opening Day starters don’t hit the 60-Day IL at some point during this season like they did during the 2025 season, this rotation should be fine and will be improved over what we saw last season. Assuming there isn’t another catastrophic rash of injuries, that fact alone should help the Braves improve upon the disappointment of 2025.

With that being said, there’s a very open question on what the ceiling looks like for this rotation. They’re already missing three potential candidates to start, as Spencer Schwellenbach and Hurston Waldrep both had to undergo elbow surgery that’ll keep them out for a significant period of time and Joey Wentz will miss the entire season due to a torn right ACL. So right out of the gate, the organizational depth is already being challenged and Schwellenbach will surely be missed from the primary group of starters as this season progresses.

While there are questions concerning this starting rotation, there’s still reason to believe that this rotation could be a solid and reliable one heading into the upcoming season.

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Chris Sale

Sale will be entering his age-37 season and as usual for Atlanta’s current head of the rotation (and for the rest of the team, really) the key will be health. As long as Sale stays on the mound, he should be effective. Assuming he doesn’t have a complete capitulation to Father Time, Sale should be good for something in the neighborhood of 11 strikeouts per nine innings, something around two walks per nine innings while also making sure to keep the vast majority of any fly balls inside of the ballpark as well.

As of right now over at the FanGraphs Depth Chart for the Braves, Sale is currently projected to finish with a 3.15 ERA and a 3.06 FIP for 4.0 WAR. If that’s the case then the Braves should be very happy with what he’ll be delivering to them in terms of production. They also seem to be pretty confident that he’s got it in him as well, as he’ll be entering this season fresh off of signing a big contract extension that’ll keep him around through 2027 and possibly even 2028 if he keeps it up since the Braves added a club option onto his contract extension like they’re wont to do.

I’d feel pretty confident in that as well. The velocity on his pitches have been pretty steady, as his heater has been sitting near 95-mph for the past two seasons and his slider has also been in the realm of the high-70s and low-80s for some time as well. Those are the two pitchers he relies on the most and they’ve been very reliable for him in that regard. As long as that holds up and he avoids a freak accident on the field then Sale should provide another season of steadying performances at the top of this rotation.

Spencer Strider

Questions surrounding Strider’s velocity have been the talk of the town for what feels like the entirety of spring training. I’ll say that in Strider’s case, this is a double-edged sword. The good news is that he won’t be out there throwing 92 or 93-mph during the regular season like he was to start out spring training so anybody panicking over that particular bit of information can calm down. The bad news is that if you’re anticipating the version of Spencer Strider who was throwing 98-99 and even reaching triple digits on the radar gun, then you may as well let those dreams go because it appears that the one whose fastball was at 95-96 and whose slider was at 84-85 is the one who’s here to stay.

That’s not necessarily a bad thing because it’s not as if Strider appears to be lost in the lurch without that high level of velocity. Instead, Strider is trying to adjust to this new reality in order to find an effective mix of pitches that can work for him going forward. He’s clearly been working on mixing things up since he can no longer rely upon simply blowing his four-seamer and slider past any batters. If 2025 was about simply getting back on the mound and working things out, this past offseason and spring training is about making sure that whatever he figured out in the past will translate into something that can bring him back to a level that justifies his current position near the top of the rotation.

A lot of the struggles that he dealt with in 2025 had to do with that adjustment period, in my opinion. Assuming he can work things out when it comes to his location and command, it’s very easy to see Strider becoming a an effective pitcher for the Braves going forward. Will he be as electric as he was in the past? Probably not but if he can at least get his strikeout rate back up to a “respectable” number for his standards then that’ll be a fine result. The FanGraphs depth chart currently figures that Strider could deliver a 10.6 K/9 rate alongside a 3.1 BB/9 rate, which would work out just fine for him and the Braves.

Reynaldo López

The question for López is the same question that he had heading into what ended up being a doomed 2025 season for him: Can he be effective and productive over the course of a full season once again? López’s 2024 was exciting to see but it was also the first time he’d cleared 100 innings in a season since 2019. While his unfortunate shoulder issues robbed him of having a chance to answer those questions, it’s still fair to be concerned about what López can deliver heading into this coming season.

López’s velocity was certainly a concern when you consider that he’s coming off of a shoulder injury but it’s at least encouraging that his four-seamer velocity appears to be back to where it was back in 2024. He’s been ramping up and in his last start (that we’ve seen — López took part in simulated game at the Braves facility in North Port on Wednesday), his velocity on that fastball was at 93 and 94-mph and he even reached back and hit 96-mph with it at one point. With that being said, he’s been focusing on his breaking ball usage and that appears to be what he’s been spending most of his time working on so far in spring training.

That stuff appears to be in the same neighborhood of what he was throwing back in 2024 when he was healthy, so that’s an encouraging sign. In fact, it’s been mostly good news coming from Braves camp as far as López is concerned as he does appear to be pain-free and simply preparing for the upcoming season rather than nursing an injury or working his way through some struggles like he was during spring training last season. Hopefully that good news flows into the regular season as well — an effective trio of Sale, Strider and López could certainly help keep the Braves plenty competitive and in the mix of the NL East race.

Grant Holmes

Holmes is coming off of a season where his role expanded significantly. Unfortunately, this didn’t translate to better results as his walk rate skyrocketed and his ability to avoid giving up the long ball also declined as well. Maybe part of that was due to the elbow issues that he was dealing with that eventually ended his season and that also may explain why there’s optimism that Holmes may be able to return to the form that made him so reliable during his rookie campaign.

For what it’s worth, most of the projection models over at FanGraphs are suggesting that his issues with giving up long balls might be here to stay — he had a 1.25 HR/9 rate in 2025 and ZiPS is projecting that that’ll stay at 1.17 for 2026. However, he might be able to get one over on hitters coming into this season now that he’s apparently added a sinker to his arsenal of pitches. Holmes also has yet to allow a run during spring training so far — though as I’ll talk about later on with Bryce Elder, you should always take spring training results with a grain of salt.

Still, Holmes has it in him to be a perfectly fine and reliable starter on the back end of this rotation. We can’t forget that stretch he had from May of last season right up until his elbow started acting up on him. Holmes delivered a 2.73 ERA (65 ERA-) with a 3.63 FIP (90 FIP-) over the course of 62.2 innings pitched during that span. If that version of Holmes returns to be the fourth starter for the Braves then things should be going pretty well for Atlanta in the near future.

Bryce Elder

As of right now, it’s looking like Bryce Elder is going to be back in the rotation for the Opening Day roster here in 2026. He’s got the experience and he’s out of minor league options as well so the Braves are essentially going to exhaust all of the possibilities they have with him before eventually figuring out a way to let him go elsewhere. It also (sadly) helps his case that three different starting pitchers have suffered long-term injuries already. If any of those starters were in the mix then this might be a different conversation for Elder but for now, he’s right in the thick of the conversation.

With that being said, Elder hasn’t exactly had an encouraging performance during spring training. Now granted — Elder got shelled during camp in 2023 and ended up making the All-Star Game that year so this is to say that you should always try to take spring stats with a grain of salt. It’s also playing in his favor that he won’t be expected to shoulder as much of the load as he did last season. This is your reminder that Elder led the Braves in innings pitched last season and did so by just over 30 innings over Chris Sale. As I said to start this post, as long as that doesn’t repeat itself then the Braves should be fine and the Braves should be okay with Elder being a fifth starter for however long this may take.

Still, he will absolutely need to be on top of things if he wants to stick around in the rotation on a long-term basis. Elder may not be the most exciting pitcher in the world and it will never cease to be maddening watching him throw at least one hanger a game that’s just begging to get sent to the moon. However, the Braves would absolutely take him going out there and eating five-to-six innings a start while keeping the lineup within reach of making something happen. He’s had his moments where he looks like a very solid pitcher and if those moments turn into long stretches then he will stay around. He’ll just need to make it happen.

Organizational Depth

The Braves do have some veteran options for starting pitching in their organization but also there’s a reason why they’re projected to miss out on an Opening Day roster spot at the moment. Martín Pérez is with the organization now and if he does end up usurping Bryce Elder and making the Opening Day roster, the thing to watch out for with him would be his ability to avoid getting hit really hard in terms of exit velocity. He finished in the 78th percentile of all pitchers last season when it came to Average Exit Velocity and maybe that could help him along the way if he does end up making appearances for the Braves this season.

Meanwhile, José Suarez is also available as well. While he’s pretty good at racking up whiffs, there wasn’t much else to get excited about as far as Suarez is concerned and he’s also out of minor league options as well, so there’s that. Carlos Carrasco is here as well but if we’re being completely honest, the Braves would be in a serious boondoggle if Carrasco had to pitch innings with the big league club again.

As far as prospects go, the two obvious guys who could end up making some appearances at the big league level would be Didier Fuentes (again) and JR Ritchie. Both are projected by MLB Pipeline to have an ETA of 2026 and as I mentioned for Fuentes, this wouldn’t even be his first go-around in the bigs. With that being said, I do imagine that they’re going to give him more time to cook within the farm system and the same goes for Ritchie as well. It’s been exciting to see him compete against big league talent so far in spring but based on the fact that he’s not even on the 40-man roster, it’s also feasible to imagine the Braves giving him plenty more time to hone his craft before they bring him up. Lucas Braun and Hayden Harris are also candidates to potentially get some time in the bigs if needed in a spot start situation.

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If I didn’t answer any questions for you with this preview, that’s probably because the questions may outnumber the answers. Is this rotation perfectly capable of being one that could help push the Braves into a return to the Postseason? Absolutely. Could this all blow up in the face of the Braves and we’ll be forced to ask serious questions of Alex Anthopoulos’s decision not to add to this rotation? Once again, absolutely.

This is the position group with the highest amount of variance and volatility and it’s easy to see this going well or going completely sideways. Pitching coach Jeremy Hefner’s going to have a big task on his hands when it comes to guiding this group and new manager Walt Weiss would sure like it if his first season back in the managerial seat coincides with a strong performance from the rotation.

With the 2025 Texas Rangers season having come to an end, we shall be, over the course of the offseason, taking a look at every player who appeared in a major league game for the Texas Rangers in 2025.

Today we are looking at shortstop Corey Seager.

Corey Seager had a great season for the Texas Rangers in 2025. He raked. He played really good defense. I did a post late in the 2025 season about Corey Seager and how good he had been in 2025 because I was so mad that someone called him “mid.” The only issue one can really take with Corey Seager’s 2025 season is that he was missed too much time due to injury. He had a pair of stints on the i.l. due to a hamstring strain early in the season, then missed the final month due to an appendectomy. As a result, he played in just 102 games in 2025.

At this point, I think we recognize that Corey Seager is going to miss some time in any given season due to physical issues. And Corey Seager is good enough that we can live with that. We can just assume he’ll miss two-three dozen games each season due to a hamstring issue or something similar.

Its part of what makes him having appendicitis so frustrating, though. Corey Seager is not an iron man. He’s cracked the 135 game mark three times in his career. The Baseball Gods shouldn’t punish us — shouldn’t punish him — by having him have to undergo an appendectomy during he season. The Baseball Gods should have had appendicitis strike once the season is over.

Especially given that Seager had been on a heater prior to then. Seager finished the season with a .271/.373/.487 slash line, good for a 151 OPS+ and 138 wRC+. From July 1 until his season was cut short, though, he slashed .301/.405/.552. Another month of hitting like that doesn’t just boost the Rangers offense and possibly alter their fortunes in September, it also potentially puts him in the MVP race.

When you look at Corey Seager’s 2025 Statcast page, you see a bunch of dark red. 98th percentile xwOBA, 95th percentile hard hit rate, 93rd percentile average exit velocity, 92nd percentile barrel rate. Seager’s walk rate of 13% was a career high, and placed him in the 93rd percentile. In regards to his batting profile on Statcast, the only areas where he is below 50% are launch angle sweet spot (46th percentile) and whiff percentage (27th percentile).

Corey Seager has been a Ranger for four years. He’s 14th in team history in bWAR, at 22.1. A 4 bWAR season in 2026 would move him up to 10th, passing Rusty Greer, Josh Hamilton, Alex Rodriguez and Michael Young. Most of the players ahead of him on the list currently played at least 1000 games for the Rangers — Seager is at 495 games played for Texas, just 10 more than ARod.

At the end of 2026, Corey Seager will be halfway through the 10 year, $325 million deal he signed after the 2021 season. So far, that deal doesn’t just look like a bargain — it rivals the Adrian Beltre deal as the best free agent signing the Rangers have ever made.

I am not going to pretend I don’t have concerns about Seager going forward. The problem with injury-prone players is that they tend to get injured a lot, and that doesn’t generally get better as a player ages. Maybe Seager can follow the path of Paul Molitor, another guy with a great bat who struggled to stay on the field in his 20s. Molitor managed to put that behind him for the most part in his 30s, ultimately earning a plaque in the Hall of Fame.

I believe that Corey Seager will end up in the Hall of Fame. He’s crossed the 40 WAR mark in both the f and b flavors, and will still just be 32 this season. He’s coming off a three year stretch where he’s averaged over 6 bWAR per season despite playing in just 70% of the regular season games. He has a pair of legendary World Series performances under his belt.

Corey Seager had a great 2025 season. I’m hoping for several more of those from him before it is all said and done.

Previously:

Gerson Garabito

Tyler Mahle

Kyle Higashioka

Adolis Garcia

Luis Curvelo

Alejandro Osuna

Blaine Crim

Jake Burger

Jacob Webb

Nick Ahmed

Jon Gray

Carl Edwards Jr.

Josh Jung

Leody Taveras

Dustin Harris

Marc Church

Luke Jackson

Danny Coulombe

Wyatt Langford

Dylan Moore

Michael Helman

Evan Carter

Cole Winn

Rowdy Tellez

Dane Dunning

Marcus Semien

Billy McKinney

Jose Corniell

Jonah Heim

Cody Freeman

Sam Haggerty

Jacob deGrom

Merrill Kelly

Caleb Boushley

Justin Foscue

Nathan Eovaldi

Chris Martin

Patrick Corbin

Joc Pederson

Phil Maton

You certainly won’t complain about two World Championships since 2017, but it feels like for the villain status the Houston Astros have accrued since that time that they would have more. The Dodgers may have eclipsed the Astros in 2025 as the chief bad guys of MLB, but I’ll always appreciate that Houston seemed to lean so easily into playing the heel. Not only are the no longer the top evildoers, they may not even be the top in their own division — the Mariners eventually ran them down last season after the ‘Stros finished first in the AL West every year since ‘17, save that strange 2020 campaign. Indeed, it was the first time since 2016 that a postseason occurred without the pesky Astros.

2025 record: 87-75 (2nd, AL West)
2026 FanGraphs projection: 81-81 (3rd, AL West)

Yes, that’s an 81-81 projected record, something that would be borderline unthinkable given the specter Houston has cast over the American League—and particularly the Yankees—over the last near-decade. They’ve moved from the unstoppable force to a club that needs quite a few things to go right in order to challenge the Mariners, at least on paper. Hunter Brown is as good a starter as you’ll find in baseball, following up his breakout ‘24 with a Cy Young-finalist season last year, worth nearly five wins and now expected to lead the rotation.

Following Brown is a guy I’ve always liked, but is one of the ur-examples of “boy this has to go right.” Cristian Javier has thrown just 71 innings since 2023, undergoing Tommy John surgery midway through the 2024 season. He wasn’t terrible in limited action upon his return last year, but his fastball’s down a full tick from his pre-surgery self and if a few more fly balls — which he gives up a lot of — leave the park, you can see his statline starting to get pretty ugly. Tatsuya Imai, an NPB import that I wanted the Yankees to sign, will fill out the potential top three of the rotation, and while I do think he will adjust well to MLB, there will have to be an adjustment.

Offensively, the team starts to look a little old. Cam Smith, the org’s top prospect last year, is currently projected to spend the full year in right field, and Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Peña is still just 28. On the other hand, both Jose Altuve and Christian Walker are on the scary side of 34 and both seemed to take major, age-related steps back last year, while Carlos Correa will turn 32 this season and was barely above league average at the plate last year. They also have an odd infield logjam that is only somewhat “remedied” by Peña beginning the year on the IL with a broken finger; Isaac Paredes is still on the team and still tailor-made for the Crawford Boxes. But owner Jim Crane’s inability — or perhaps unwillingness — to delve into the big pool of free agency has meant that the once-great core of this team is starting to slow down.

Over the last decade, I’ll absolutely have taken the Astros’ success over the Yankees’ lack thereof, but the cracks are finally starting to show. There may be one more run left in this roster as currently constructed, but they’re very clearly not as good as Seattle on paper, and FanGraphs projects them to be slightly worse than the Rangers. Houston also ended 2025 with the second-worst-ranked prospect system, so if this roster is going to get any better midseason, Crane has to find some way to open up the pockets.

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More Pinstripe Alley MLB team season previews can be found here.