Orioles vs. Tigers prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets on July 27

The Baltimore Orioles (51-55, 4th in the AL East) open a three-game series tonight at Comerica Park against the Detroit Tigers (50-56, 4th in the AL Central). Both clubs enter the matchup below .500 and in search of a winning streak to help propel them to a postseason berth. Baltimore sits 11.5 games behind Tampa Bay in the AL East, while Detroit trails the White Sox by six games in the AL Central. The O’s are 2.5 games out of a Wild Card spot with the Tigers sitting a game further behind.

 

The Orioles lost their weekend series against the Braves dropping a tough 3-2 decision in 11 innings yesterday. Baltimore's pitching staff was special the last two games of the series, but yesterday that was not enough as the O’s managed a mere six hits. Pete Alonso had two of the six including his 22nd home run of the season. The loss left Baltimore 2-3 over its last five games. Detroit also takes the field tonight looking to bounce back after a loss. Michael Massey’s two-run, two out home run in the top of the eighth was the difference in a 5-4 win for the Kansas City Royals. Kevin McGonigle and Dillon Dingler each has a pair of hits for the Tigers in the losing effort. The Tigers did win two of the three games in the series and are 6-4 in their last ten games.

 

Baltimore hands the ball tonight to right-hander Kyle Bradish (7-9, 3.49 ERA). His most recent start came on July 22 at Boston, where he led the O’s to a 5-1 victory allowing just one run on four hits over six innings while striking out four. Bradish has had a strong July, posting a 2.21 ERA across three starts while surrendering only five earned runs in 20.1 innings. Detroit counters with right-hander Keider Montero (7-5, 3.14 ERA), who has quietly put together an excellent season. Last Wednesday, Montero allowed but one run on three hits over 5.1 innings as the Tigers took out the Cubs, 5-1. Like Bradish, Montero has had a strong July in which he has posted a 1.96 ERA across 18.1 innings.

 

Lets dive into the game and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

 

Game Details and How to Watch: Orioles vs. Tigers

 

  • Date: Monday, July 27, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM EST
  • Site: Comerica Park
  • City: Detroit, MI
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, MASN, Tigers.TV

 

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

 

The Latest Odds: Orioles vs. Tigers

The latest odds as of Monday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Baltimore Orioles (-101), Detroit Tigers (-120),
  • Spread: Orioles -1.5 (+161), Tigers +1.5 (-197)
  • Total: 8.5 runs

 

Probable Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Orioles vs. Tigers for July 27

  • Orioles: Kyle Bradish
    Season Totals: 113.1 IP, 7-9, 3.49 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 110K, 51 BB
  • Tigers: Keider Montero
    Season Totals: 106.0 IP, 7-5, 3.14 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 78K, 22 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Orioles vs. Tigers

  • Colton Cowser is 4-5 in his career with 2HRs against Keider Montero
  • Jackson Holliday has struck out 3 times in 4 ABs against Montero
  • Gleyber Torres is 4-8 and has walked 3 times in his career against Kyle Bradish
  • Pete Alonso was 4-13 over the weekend against the Braves
  • Gunnar Henderson was 1-13 against the Braves
  • Gleyber Torres is 4-21 (.190) since being activated off the disabled list6 games ago
  • Riley Greene was 3-15 against the Royals over the weekend
  • Spencer Torkelson is hitting .157 in July (11-70)

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

 

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Orioles vs. Tigers

  • The Orioles are 54-52 on the Run Line this season
  • The Tigers are 53-53 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 54 times in Baltimore’s 106 games this season (54-49-3)
  • The OVER has cashed 43 times in Detroit’s 106 games this season (43-58-5)

Expert picks & predictions: Orioles vs. Tigers

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

 

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model for tonight’s game between the Orioles and the Tigers:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Tigers on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 8.5.

 

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Texas Rangers lineup for July 27, 2026

ARLINGTON, TX - JULY 21: Wyatt Langford #36 of the Texas Rangers hits a home run during a game against the Chicago White Sox at Globe Life Field on July 21, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Kai Kanzer/Texas Rangers/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Texas Rangers lineup for July 27, 2026 against the Seattle Mariners: starting pitchers are Kumar Rocker for the Rangers and George Kirby for the Mariners.

The Rangers play the finale of both the series against the Mariners and their seven game homestand in a rare Monday matinee game today. If the Rangers win, they go to 2.5 up on Seattle in the division, and will have won the series and have a winning homestand. If the Rangers lose, they will be just 0.5 up on Seattle in the division, and will have split the series and have a losing homestand.

So let’s try to win this one.

The lineup:

Pederson — DH

Langford — LF

Duran — SS

Nimmo — RF

Carter — CF

Burger — 1B

Lopez — 2B

Smith — 3B

Diaz — C

1:35 p.m. Central start time. Rangers are +111 underdogs.

How the Tigers can keep Tarik Skubal without ruining their 2027 draft

Syndication: Detroit Free Press

Should the Detroit Tigers decide to keep Tarik Skubal through the August 3 trade deadline without signing him to a contract extension, they will still face one of the most complicated roster decisions of the Scott Harris era. As discussed previously, should Skubal decline a qualifying offer and sign elsewhere this winter, the Tigers would receive very different compensation depending upon one critical factor: whether they finish the 2026 season above or below the first Competitive Balance Tax threshold.

For a revenue-sharing recipient like Detroit, remaining below the threshold means receiving a supplemental first-round draft pick. Finishing above it drops that compensation all the way to a pick after the fourth round. That makes every dollar matter.

Based on the best publicly available payroll tracking, the Tigers currently project to finish the season with a Competitive Balance Tax payroll between approximately $245.6 million and $246 million. That puts them roughly $2 million above the $244 million threshold. This is according to Cot’s contracts, and MLBR’s payroll tracker. (Note: Roster Resource and Spotrac do not exactly track each roster move during the season).

The luxury tax itself is almost insignificant. The Tigers would owe only about $300,000.

The real penalty is losing one of the most valuable draft picks available under the current Collective Bargaining Agreement.

With only 58 days remaining in the regular season, Detroit doesn’t need to eliminate $2 million in annual salary. It needs to remove approximately $6.3 million in annual salary from its books for the remainder of the season to net the prorated salary of $2 million. Any salary acquired before the deadline increases that number.

That’s where the problem begins.

Only eight players besides Skubal earn enough this season to accomplish the task by themselves:

  • Javier Baez
  • Gleyber Torres
  • Framber Valdez
  • Jack Flaherty
  • Kenley Jansen
  • Kyle Finnegan
  • Justin Verlander
  • Drew Anderson

Even trading Casey Mize would fall just short, despite his $6.15 million salary, because they’d only be clearing his salary over the final 54 days of the season. Trading Anderson who receives $7 million for the season, would clear enough salary, as long as they don’t add any salary back for the rest of the season. As erratic as he’s been, the Tigers do not have any notable relief options in Toledo other than possibly Beau Brieske if he can get it going.

Unfortunately for Scott Harris, identifying contracts isn’t the difficult part.

Finding one he can move without damaging the team and taking them completely out of the wild card and divisional hunts is the problem.

No one is trading for Justin Verlander and he’s currently still injured. Javier Baez is not worth his contract much less any surplus value. Jack Flaherty is really the ideal candidate for a move like this and trading him could both clear enough payroll and return a decent prospect as well. Unfortunately, he too is currently on the injured list. Kenley Jansen and Kyle Finnegan have both experienced uneven stretches this season, but the Tigers also need reliable late-inning relief if they hope to make a deep October run.

That leaves Gleyber Torres.

From a payroll standpoint, Torres is the cleanest solution. His $6.8 million salary would move Detroit comfortably below the CBT threshold, assuming little salary comes back in return. As an impending free agent, he also represents one of the club’s few veterans with meaningful trade value.

The baseball decision is much more difficult.

Torres has been one of Detroit’s best hitters this season, posting a 128 wRC+, one of only four Tigers above league average offensively. The Tigers could replace him internally with a combination of Javier Baez, Colt Keith and Zack McKinstry, but the numbers suggest that would be a downgrade in the lineup during a pennant race.

That’s the Catch-22.

If the Tigers keep Tarik Skubal, they are signaling that 2026 is about winning a championship, not maximizing long-term assets. Yet preserving the supplemental first-round compensation pick for a potential Skubal departure may require subtracting from the very roster they believe can win that championship.

The irony is that Scott Harris may have to act as both buyer and seller.

The ideal trade wouldn’t simply reduce payroll. It would reduce payroll while returning a player capable of helping Detroit win now. Every dollar of salary taken back, however, chips away at the payroll savings, making the balancing act even more difficult.

A supplemental first-round draft pick is hardly insignificant. Kevin McGonigle and Nick Castellanos both entered the organization through compensation selections. If both Skubal and Casey Mize ultimately declined qualifying offers and signed contracts exceeding $50 million elsewhere, Detroit could receive two supplemental first-round picks—but only if it finishes below the CBT threshold.

Payroll calculations themselves remain an inexact science. Cot’s Contracts attempts to track individual player obligations throughout the season and currently places Detroit around $246 million. MLB Trade Rumors maintains a tracker that estimates approximately $245.6 million. Major League Baseball’s official CBT accounting won’t be finalized until after the season and includes estimates for player benefits, bonuses, and other adjustments that aren’t publicly available. That uncertainty alone gives Detroit every reason to create a cushion rather than trying to finish a few thousand dollars below the line.

Payroll for CBT purposes differs from current MLB payroll in three main respects:

CBT payroll uses average annual value of multi year contracts, as well as all the salaries of players on the 40 man roster and those who were on the roster but have since been removed, and the calculation includes an estimated $18 million for the club’s share of player benefits plus their $1.6 million share of the pre arbitration bonus pool.

In case you’re wondering about the impact of the pending lockout of the players as MLB owners or sue a salary cap, don’t expect any changes to this year’s free agent class in the new Collective Bargaining Agreement. Even the proposals that both sides have made thus far would leave the current system in place for this winter.

For that reason, don’t be surprised if the Tigers make a move that seems puzzling at first glance. A trade motivated in part by payroll management may not bring back a headline prospect or even equal on-field value. The goal may simply be to thread the needle: stay below the Competitive Balance Tax threshold, preserve a supplemental first-round draft pick, and still field the strongest possible team for what they hope will be a long October. Or, they could make the obvious move and trade Tarik Skubal for pitching help, opening enough payroll space in order to make a trade to fill other needs and try to sneak into the playoffs anyway without their ace.

Cubs trade target: Robbie Ray

Robbie Ray pitches against the Angels on Saturday | | Getty Images

As many of you know, my dad lives in San Francisco and I visit him often.

Thus I was in San Francisco this past weekend while the Cubs were in Pittsburgh, and I took the opportunity to go to the Giants/Angels game Saturday at Oracle Park. Mainly just because I love baseball — and I must love it a lot to go see two of the worst teams in baseball play — but also to check out Robbie Ray, who started for the Giants on Saturday and who is almost certainly on the trade market.

Ray is 34 and has had an up-and-down career. He threw pretty well for the Diamondbacks for a number of years, then was traded to the Blue Jays during the pandemic season in 2020. Staying in Toronto in 2021, he had a breakout season and won the AL Cy Young Award.

That got him a multi-year deal with the Mariners, where he had one decent year and then got hurt. He had Tommy John surgery and made only one start in 2023, then was traded to the Giants where he made just seven starts in 2024.

Returned to health, Ray had a good year in 2025 and is doing that again this year. And he’s been really good over his last six starts: 1.06 ERA, 1.177 WHIP, only one home run in 43.1 innings.

Ray threw six shutout innings against the Angels Saturday and it looked effortless. Okay, so Angels, they’re not very good. Mike Trout was the only Angel who did anything much against Ray, two singles and a walk.

Ray’s ERA away from Oracle Park is 4.35, which is a bit scary until you notice that it’s skewed by one really bad start at Chase Field (nine earned runs in 4.1 innings). In his nine other road starts he has a 3.07 ERA, so I think he’d be just fine pitching for the Cubs.

Ray is a pending free agent who is making $25 million this year. That would leave somewhere around $8 million or so remaining on his deal. The Cubs can afford to take that on, and if they did they’d likely not have to send much of a prospect to the Giants in return.

I asked Josh to help me out here because I have no idea what the Giants would ask for, or could get, for two months of Robbie Ray. He suggested Will Sanders and Angel Cepeda, and sure, I’d do that.

What would you send to the Giants for Robbie Ray?

Colorado Rockies 2026 MLB Trade Deadline Tracker, July 27

Jul 24, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Colorado Rockies starting pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano (11) waits for a pitching change in the sixth inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Benny Sieu-Imagn Images | Benny Sieu-Imagn Images

The MLB 2026 trade deadline of Monday, August 3 at 4:00 p.m. MDT is fast approaching.

Rumors suggest that in addition to trading Seth Halvorsen to the Los Angeles Dodgers, the Colorado Rockies plan to be very active this year. Here’s what Bob Nightengale wrote yesterday:

The Colorado Rockies will be popular at the trade deadline. They are letting teams know that pitchers Antonio Senzatela, Kyle Freeland, Michael Lorenzen and Tomoyuki Sugano are available, as well as position players Mickey Moniak, Jake McCarthy and Willi Castro.

Historically, we’ve limited trade-deadline discussion threads to just prior to the deadline, but this is a new front office that appears to be in the mood to deal, so we thought we’d try a daily thread this year in the week leading up to the deadline.

As the day progresses, we’ll keep this tracker updated with the most pertinent rumors and the biggest deals that come to fruition. We’ll also post a new thread daily through Monday.

The Colorado Rockies have an off-day, but there will (hopefully!) be plenty of action off the field.

Rumors of the day


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Monday Stat Party: A Week of Whiffs

Jul 26, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets center fielder Tyrone Taylor (28) is doused with water by left fielder Juan Soto (22) after the game against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: John Jones-Imagn Images | John Jones-Imagn Images

Welcome back to Monday Stat Party, a weekly series showcasing some of the most curious and nostalgia-inducing statistical developments from the past week of Mets baseball. What unites each entry is the sense of intrigue which they aim to spark, and the unbridled love of the game’s anomalies from which they arise. Without further ado, let the stat party begin.

MONDAY

Freddy Peralta made his 85th start at American Family Field in Milwaukee, marking the third-most all-time at the ballpark behind Ben Sheets (113) and Yovani Gallardo (108).

The homecoming didn’t quite go as planned, as Peralta surrendered five or more earned runs for the fourth time this season. That’s already the most such games Peralta has had in any season of his career.

Jacob Misiorowski fired 26 pitches at 100+ mph against the Mets. That’s the second-most 100+ mph pitches the Mets have seen from a single pitcher in a single game in the Statcast era (since 2015), trailing only Hunter Greene’s 30 in Cincinnati on September 7, 2025.

TUESDAY

Zac Thornton has now thrown 18 consecutive scoreless innings, the most by a Mets rookie since Steven Matz’s 19 from May 20-May 31, 2016, a streak that began against the Brewers. (credit: Jolly Olive)

After returning from the IL on Monday, Luis Robert Jr. wasted no time showing off his talents, crushing a homer with an exit velocity of 112.2 mph and a Statcast-projected distance of 451 feet. That’s the Mets’ hardest-hit homer of the season, and tied for their longest with Brett Baty’s homer off Jake Irvin in Washington on May 18.

The Mets earned just their second regular-season win at American Family Field since September 21, 2022, having gone through a 1-10 stretch at the ballpark. Their other win also came via a shutout started by a left-handed pitcher, when David Peterson went seven scoreless to save the bullpen during Game 160 on September 29, 2024.

WEDNESDAY

Logan Henderson generated nine whiffs against the Mets via his changeup. That’s the most whiffs the Mets have had on an opposing pitcher’s changeup since whiffing nine times facing Cristopher Sánchez’s changeup on September 15, 2024.

FRIDAY

Francisco Alvarez hit his 60th career home run, tying John Milner for the fourth-most by a Met before their 25th birthday behind Darryl Strawberry (108), David Wright (97), and Ed Kranepool (62).

Roki Sasaki racked up 21 whiffs against the Mets. Only three other pitchers have recorded 21+ whiffs in a game against the Mets this season. Two of them are fellow Dodgers, Yoshinobu Yamamoto (23 on April 14) and Shohei Ohtani (22 on April 15), while the other is Logan Gilbert (21 on June 2).

SATURDAY

Nolan McLean posted his fifth consecutive quality start, the most by a Met since David Peterson (5) from July 3-August 1, 2025, and the most by a Met right-hander since Kodai Senga (8) from August 7-September 20, 2023. It was also McLean’s seventh consecutive start in which he completed at least six innings, the longest such streak by a Met since Sean Manaea (8) from August 16-September 21, 2024.

McLean registered eight whiffs via his curveball. No Met right-hander has recorded that many whiffs on pitches classified as curveballs since Noah Syndergaard on August 19, 2015, in Baltimore.

Freddie Freeman seventh-inning single marked his 250th career hit vs. the Mets, ranking ninth all-time behind Pete Rose (396), Lou Brock (289), Jimmy Rollins (281), Chipper Jones (265), Tony Gwynn (263), Willie Davis (256), Andre Dawson (256), and Larry Bowa (254). Freeman would record his 251st and 252nd hits against the Mets on Sunday.

Freeman also recorded his 75th career multi-hit game against the Mets, the sixth-most all-time behind Pete Rose (113), Jimmy Rollins (84), Tony Gwynn (81), Chipper Jones (81), and Lou Brock (78). Freeman would record his 76th multi-hit performance against the Mets the next day.

SUNDAY

Tyrone Taylor hit a three-run homer in the sixth, while Marcus Semien hit a three-run homer in the seventh. It’s the first time the Mets hit multiple three-run homers or grand slams in the same game since August 29, 2025, when Brandon Nimmo and Luis Torrens each hit three-run shots in a 19-9 rout over the Marlins at Citi Field. It was the first time the Mets hit a three-run homer or grand slam in back-to-back innings since April 28, 2025 in Washington, when Brandon Nimmo hit a three-run homer in the sixth and a grand slam in the seventh.

Only two Mets have hit multiple three-run homers this season. One is Juan Soto, who has two three-run shots out of 21 homers overall. The other is Tyrone Taylor, who has three three-run shots out of just eight homers overall.

Miscellaneous Mets stat of the week:

Zac Thornton ranks second on the Mets’ all-time strikeout leaderboard among pitchers with his homophonic first name:

Zack Wheeler (726)
Zac Thornton (17)
Zach Muckenhirn (3)

Honorable mentions to Pat Zachry (391) and Anthony Swarzak (31).

First-place Braves activate Ronald Acuña Jr. after 38-game absence

The Atlanta Braves' grip on the National League East loosened as they weathered the absence of Ronald Acuña Jr. Now, the former NL MVP is back, just as they started to flourish without him.

The Braves activated Acuña from the injured list ahead of their Monday, July 27 game at the New York Mets, ending his 38-game absence from the lineup while he recovered from a left hamstring strain.

Acuña was hurt June 9, and the Braves held a nine-game lead over the Philadelphia Phillies in the East. The Braves dropped 12 of their first 16 games without their leadoff hitter, and the Phillies cut the lead down to two games on multiple occasions.

But Atlanta has won 13 of its past 22 and steadily built its East margin back up to 5 1/2 games. The club is expected to pursue pitching upgrades and perhaps explore shortstop options as the Aug. 3 trade deadline approaches.

Acuña, 28, is batting .251 with seven homers and a .793 OPS in 53 games. The club can juggle personnel in several manners with Acuña's return, running Mike Yastrzemski, Eli White, Mauricio Dubón and Dominic Smith through left field, shortstop and DH duties. Acuña also figures to get at-bats at DH as he ramps back up.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: First-place Braves activate Ronald Acuña Jr. after 38-game absence

Today In Jays History: Jays Trade For Colby Rasmus

Sep 4, 2014; St. Petersburg, FL, USA; Toronto Blue Jays center fielder Colby Rasmus (28) is congratulated by teammates in the dugout after he hit the game winning solo home run during the tenth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Toronto Blue Jays defeated the Tampa Bay Rays 1-0 in ten innings. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-Imagn Images

Twelve years ago today:

The Blue Jays acquired Colby Rasmus in a multi-player deal.

The transaction unfolded in two distinct acts.

Act One:

Toronto sent veteran reliever Jason Frasor and prospect Zach Stewart to the White Sox in exchange for pitcher Edwin Jackson and Mark Teahen—who was nearly Canadian, given his father’s Ontario roots and his stint with Team Canada in the 2009 World Baseball Classic.

Teahen finished the season with the Blue Jays, posting a .190/.261/.286 line over 27 games, which marked the end of his MLB career.

Frasor returned to Toronto for the 2012 season, then played for the Rangers, Royals, and Braves before retiring after 2015. He still holds the franchise record for most games pitched, with 505 appearances—a mark unlikely to be challenged soon (Yimi Garcia is our active leader at 185 game).

Stewart struggled in the majors, pitching 103 innings with a 6.82 ERA.

Act Two:

A few hours later, Jackson, Octavio Dotel, Corey Patterson, and Marc Rzepczynski were traded to St. Louis in exchange for Colby Rasmus, Trever Miller,Brian Tallet, and P.J. Walters.

The Cardinals wanted to strengthen their bullpen, and manager Tony La Russa had grown weary of Rasmus. Colby was, for lack of a better word, unique. His personality couldn’t have been more different from La Russa’s. La Russa was outspoken about Colby, and Colby wasn’t one to ignore criticism.

For GM Alex Anthopoulos, the trade was an opportunity to buy low on a talented player.

Jackson went 5-2 with a 3.58 ERA in 12 starts for the Cardinals post-trade. In the playoffs, he started four games, posting a 1-1 record and a 5.60 ERA over 17.2 innings. After the season, Edwin signed with the Nationals as a free agent and went on to pitch for numerous teams—including the Cubs, Braves, Marlins, Padres, Orioles, Nationals (again), Blue Jays (briefly), and Tigers—before concluding his 17-year MLB career.

Dotel posted a 3.28 ERA in 29 games with the Cardinals. He signed with the Tigers for 2012, had a strong season, but was out of baseball after struggling early in 2013.

Rzepczynski—or ‘Scrabble’—had a 3.97 ERA in 28 appearances for the Cardinals in 2011. He stayed with them through 2012 but was traded to Cleveland after a rocky start in 2013. Marc later pitched for the Padres, A’s, Nationals, Mariners, and returned to Cleveland, last appearing in the majors in 2018.

Patterson wasn’t among my favourite Blue Jays. He struggled offensively (.287 OBP at the time), had questionable defense in left field, and wasn’t a strong base runner (13 steals, caught 8 times). He often swung at pitches over his head—occasionally connecting—but, surprisingly, many preferred him to Edwin Encarnacion at the time. After the trade, Corey hit .157/.189/.235 in 44 games for the Cardinals, marking the end of his MLB career.

As for Colby, he never became a star, but he was a solid contributor. Over four seasons, he played 408 games for Toronto, hitting .234/.295/.433 with 66 home runs. His best year came in 2013, when he hit .276/.338/.501 with 22 homers.

I was a fan, perhaps because I appreciate players who don’t quite fit the mold. I’ll always have a soft spot for him. He sometimes struggled with the pressures and relentless criticism of MLB life, but he was a good person.

After the trade, DanUpBaby, from Viva El Birdos, sent us an operating manual for Colby. I found this to be true:

Your COLBY RASMUS comes equipped with HOME RUN ACTION, INTERMITTENTLY IMPRESSIVE DEFENSE ACTION, and DEBATABLY USEFUL SPEED ACTION. Please do not expose your COLBY RASMUS to direct sunlight, fans of MAKING THINGS HAPPEN on offense or TONY LA RUSSA.

Over time, we got small glimpses into his personality, which I found entertaining. His changing hairstyles, however, I enjoyed less.

After leaving Toronto following the 2014 season, Colby spent two years with the Astros, started 2017 with the Rays but left mid-season, then began 2018 with the Orioles before retiring in July. This retirement appears final, and I hope he’s happy now.

He finished his career with a .241/.310/.436 slash line, 166 home runs, and a 20.2 bWAR across 1,092 games.


It is also Max Scherzer’s 42 birthday.

And he’s also starting tonight. Generally I say, if you are a gambler, bet on the team with a pitcher having a birthday. But, Scherzer has had a rough time of it, and he’s just back from the IL. Add in that he’s 42, and I don’t think he’d be a great bet.

He is also Shea Hillenbrand’s birthday. He’s 51.

He’s mostly famous for writing ‘sinking ship’ on the clubhouse chalk board and getting in a fight with John Gibbons. As a Jay he hit .294/.342/.460 with 30 home runs in 233 games. Not bad, not good enough for the headache he was for each organization that he played for.

Career he played in 943 games, hit .284/.321/.440 with 108 home runs across six teams.


Two years ago:

The Jays traded Nate Pearson to the Cubs for Josh Rivera and Yohendrick Piñango. Piñango, you know about. Rivera is playing in Buffalo this year, hitting .216/.289/.385 as an utility infielder.

Pearson has bounced from team to team, Cubs, Royals, Astros and back to the Royals now. He’s basically the pitcher we traded, throws hard, but walks too many.

And we traded Danny Jansen to the Red Sox for Gilberto Batista, Cutter Coffey and Eddinson Paulino

Batista is a pitcher who is having a rough time in Vancouver (8.22 ERA). Coffey is an infielder who is hitting .223/.307/.335 for the Fisher Cats. Paulino is in the Mets organization now, playing in the low minors.

Jansen? He’s gone from the Red Sox to the Rays, to the Brewers and now he’s with the Rangers. He’s hitting .171/.277/.309 in 41 games for Texas.

Guardians vs Reds Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Cincinnati Reds head into tonight's series opener against the Cleveland Guardians as a deserving -150 moneyline favorite behind their ace, Chase Burns. 

With Slade Cecconi in poor form, my Guardians vs Reds predictions are eyeing Cincy to grab a victory here. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Monday, July 27. 

Who will win Guardians vs Reds today: Reds moneyline (-155)

Slade Cecconi is struggling lately for the Cleveland Guardians. The righty owns a 5.48 xERA across his last four appearances, allowing 1.40 HR/9 and an alarming 47.8% hard-hit rate. 

As for Chase Burns, he continues to shove. The Cincinnati Reds stud has a 3.66 FIP over the last month, limiting opponents to a 37.7% hard-hit rate.

Also, more than half of Cleveland's lineuphas a run value of one or fewer against the four-seam fastball, which Burns throws over 57% of the time. 

I'll play this pick up to -160. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Guardians have produced just a 28.7% hard-hit rate over their last seven games, well below their 34.4% season average. That gives Burns a strong path to control contact with his four-seamer-heavy approach.

Guardians vs Reds Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-112)

The Under is the better angle here. While Cecconi is vulnerable, Cincinnati’s offense has not shown enough recent form to suggest they'll explode offensively. The Reds have posted a 59 wRC+ and .131 ISO over the last week.

Cleveland has been better but still not elite, carrying a 96 wRC+ and .169 ISO over its last seven games. Burns also has a strong matchup against a Guardians lineup that has not made much loud contact lately.

The bullpens support a lower-scoring script, too. Cincinnati’s relief corps owns a 3.65 xERA over the last week, while Cleveland’s bullpen has posted a 3.16 FIP during that span.

I'll play this pick up to -130. 

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 36-46, -14.34 units
  • Over/Under bets: 45-35, +3.63 units

Guardians vs Reds weather

Conditions should be warm and humid in Cincinnati tonight, with partly cloudy skies and temperatures falling from 89°F at first pitch into the low 80s later in the game. Winds look light around 5–7 mph, and rain chances stay low. Weather should have minimal impact on scoring or ball carry.

Guardians vs Reds odds

  • Moneyline: Guardians +144 | Reds -150
  • Run line: Guardians +1.5 (-144) | Reds -1.5 (+133)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-100) | Under 8.5 (-108)

Guardians vs Reds trend

The Under is 7-0 in the last seven meetings in Cincinnati. Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Reds.

How to watch Guardians vs Reds and game info

LocationGreat American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
DateMonday, July 27, 2026
First pitch7:10 p.m. ET
TVESPN
Guardians starting pitcherSlade Cecconi
(4-7, 4.60 ERA)
Reds starting pitcherChase Burns
(12-1, 2.42 ERA)

Guardians vs Reds latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions July 27

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It's a fairly full MLB slate this Monday, July 27, featuring some of the best teams in baseball.

Before you dig in and make your predictions, be sure to consult our MLB expert picks, featuring the New York Yankees moneyline vs. the Chicago White Sox.

MLB expert picks for today

PickOdds
Jon Metler Jon Metler: NYY ML-138
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: ARI ML+101
Jason Wilson Jason Wilson: CHC/STL o9.5-103

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Jon Metler's expert pick: Yankees moneyline (-138)

Price: 58¢ (-138) at Polymarket

Noah Schultz may be a towering 6-foot-10 left-handed starter for the Chicago White Sox who throws from an uncomfortable three-quarter arm slot, but I think his size and delivery could actually work against him on Monday.

The New York Yankees will likely stack the lineup with right-handed bats like Jose Caballero, Anthony Volpe, and Jasson Dominguez, all of whom can create problems on the basepaths. They're also far from the only speed threats in the lineup, as Jazz Chisholm Jr. has already swiped 27 bases this season. 

Pitchers who stand 6-foot-10 don't always get the ball to home plate quickly, and I think this version of the Yankees' offense is built to take advantage. If New York can get runners on base early, it has the speed to pressure Schultz, force mistakes, and ignite the running game.

The Yankees are trading as a 58-cent favorite on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 63-cent favorite in this matchup.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: YES, CHSN

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Diamondbacks moneyline (+101)

Price: 49.8¢ (+101) at Polymarket

The Arizona Diamondbacks are in a great spot to open the week with a win as a small underdog in Pittsburgh.

Merrill Kelly has looked like a top-line starter in July, allowing two earned runs or fewer in each of his four starts this month. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Pirates' offense has gone ice-cold, ranking 29th in OPS over the past week.

Arizona's bats are trending in the opposite direction, sitting second in OPS in that same span, and they should capitalize on Mitch Keller, who owns a bloated 5.68 ERA at home.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: DBacks.TV, SNP

Jason Wilson's expert pick: Cubs vs Cardinals Over 9.5 (-103)

Price: 50.7¢ (-103) at Polymarket

Despite the St. Louis Cardinals' recent team-wide slump, Chicago Cubs left-hander David Peterson and his 5.97 ERA (5.23 xERA) is the perfect cure for what ails them. 

Jordan Walker and Ivan Herrera have both excelled against left-handed pitching all season, and outfielder Nelson Velazquez has shown off his power stroke with four longballs off southpaws in 59 plate appearances. 

The Cardinals haven't announced an official starter, but it's Matthew Liberatore's turn in the rotation, and that could go poorly. The lefty has had a disappointing 2026, ranking in the 12th percentile in expected ERA and in the 24th or lower in barrel rate and hard-hit rate. He doesn't miss a lot of bats and is getting walloped when opposing hitters make contact.

The Cubs boast the second-best team wRC+ against lefties (119) this season, with Seiya Suzuki (.321/.416/.571, six home runs) leading the charge, and Pete Crow-Armstrong bucking traditional lefty-lefty splits by hitting .285 with five homers of his own in these matchups. 

Double-digit scoring is on tap at Busch Stadium tonight.

  • Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: MARQ, Cardinals.TV

More MLB best bets for today

PickOdds
SEA ML-131
Read analysis in our Mariners vs. Rangers predictions.
ATL ML-120
Read analysis in our Braves vs. Mets predictions.
STL ML+100
Read analysis in our Cubs vs. Cardinals predictions.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Yankees Birthday of the Day: Alex Rodriguez

Three times over the past 25 years, the New York Yankees have spun a trade for one of the best young hitters on the planet, made available by his former team in order to dump his salary, despite the fact that their team captain played the same position. Most recently, it was Juan Soto, acquired for one magical season from the San Diego Padres prior to the 2024 season. Before that, it was Giancarlo Stanton, brought in to give the Yankees arguably the two best power hitters in the game in 2018. But the original version of this story took place 22 years ago this past February, when the Bronx Bombers — in desperate need of a third baseman after the incumbent, Aaron Boone, was injured playing basketball in the offseason — reeled in arguably the best player in the game of baseball, Alex Rodriguez.

Now nearly a decade since he last stepped in the batter’s box at Yankee Stadium, the legacy of A-Rod continues to spark debate, as fans question whether the otherworldly performance in his prime was worth the controversy of his decline.

Alexander Emmanuel Rodriguez
Born: July 27, 1975 (New York, NY)
Yankees Tenure: 2004-16

Born in Washington Heights and raised in the Dominican Republic and Miami, Rodriguez put himself on the map at Christopher Columbus High School (freshman year) and Westminster Christian School (sophomore, junior, and senior years), playing shortstop for the baseball team and both wide receiver and quarterback for the football team. While it was his prowess on the diamond that would earn him international acclaim and numerous accolades — he played for Team USA in the 1992 World Junior Championship — his performance on the gridiron was so impressive that, when the University of Miami offered A-Rod a baseball scholarship, the football team stepped in with the goal of turning him into a two-sport athlete.

Unfortunately for Miami, however, the Seattle Mariners had other ideas, selecting A-Rod as the first overall pick of the 1993 MLB Draft. That would prove to be the right decision, as just thirteen months later, Rodriguez made his Major League debut against the Boston Red Sox — the first player to debut at the age of 18 in fifteen years. While he was unspectacular in his first cup of coffee that year, or in his limited time on the roster during the strike-shortened 1995 season, he had done just enough to be penciled in as the starting shortstop to start the 1996 season. And that year, he began to craft the legend of A-Rod. In a lineup that featured future Hall of Famers Ken Griffey Jr. and Edgar Martinez, the 20-year-old Rodriguez was arguably the best player on the team, posting an absurd .358/.414/.631 slash line to become the third youngest player to win the batting title in AL history (and on top of that, he hit 36 home runs, too!).

Rodriguez spent the next four seasons on the Mariners, over which span he posted a .304/.372/.560 slash line, hit 148 home runs, won three silver sluggers, went to three Midsummer Classics, and joined the 40/40 club. Despite his performance, and despite having a stacked lineup, Seattle failed to even reach .500 in two of those seasons, and would lose to the Yankees in the 2000 ALCS.

During the 2000-2001 offseason, everyone assumed that Rodriguez would return to New York and sign with his childhood team, the Mets. But a host of demands from agent Scott Boras spooked Mets general manager Steve Phillips, who feared that Rodriguez’s presence would turn the club into a 24-player team, that also had A-Rod. And so, instead, the superstar shortstop inked a record-breaking, 10-year, $252 million contract with the Texas Rangers, a deal that doubled the previous record for the largest contract in American sports, Kevin Garnett’s $126 million deal with the Minnesota Timberwolves.

To this day the contract ranks 19th in Major League history according to Baseball-Reference (and that’s without adjusting for inflation!).

For his part, Rodriguez certainly held up his end of the bargain for Texas. From 2001 to 2003, he slashed .305/.396/.615, hit 156 home runs, went to three All-Star Games, received two Gold Gloves and three Silver Sluggers, and won the 2003 AL MVP despite playing on a last-place team. Even so, the Rangers struggled to put a team around him, and after three seasons, decided that investing a full quarter of the payroll in one player wasn’t good roster-building. Immediately after the 2003 World Series, they put him on the trade block, spinning a deal with the Red Sox that the MLBPA ultimately vetoed because it would set the precedent that players could return guaranteed money. Once that deal fell through, the Yankees — suddenly in need of a third baseman, and upon learning that A-Rod was willing to switch positions — swooped in and acquired him, sending a package headlined by Alfonso Soriano the other way.

The baseball world, to say the least, was shocked.

Despite a 2004 postseason that we will ignore in all aspects, Rodriguez proved immediately why the Yankees made the right decision trading for him. Over his first four seasons in the Bronx, he posted a .303/.403/.573 slash line, blasted 173 home runs, went to four All-Star games, won two AL MVPs, and accrued an absurd 30.9 rWAR. He piled on highlight after highlight, hitting three homers and driving in ten runs in one night, recording his 2000th career hit and 500th career homer (becoming the youngest player to do the latter), and walking it off twice early in 2007. Nonetheless, cracks began to appear in the foundation, as the player whose contract was so famous that Night at the Museum would make a joke about it, earned himself a reputation as a postseason choker, as he had just seven hits in 54 plate appearances across 13 postseason games after 2004.

All of that would pale, however, in comparison to the two major controversies about to hit A-Rod, both of his own creation. On October 28, 2007, during Game 4 of the World Series, Boras announced that Rodriguez had opted out of his deal and would become a free agent. The announcement angered literally everyone, from the league that felt A-Rod was trying to upstage the World Series, to the Yankees who felt betrayed after Rodriguez had spent the year telling them he intended not to opt out, to (allegedly) A-Rod himself, who to this day blames Boras for acting contrary to his wishes (for what it’s worth, the Rodriguez/Boras relationship fell apart after this — perhaps some evidence that he’s telling the truth). At the end of the day, though, Mariano Rivera patched things up between Rodriguez and the Yankees, helping bring the two sides together on a new 10-year, $275 million deal that would keep him in pinstripes for the rest of his career.

Had that been the end of the controversy, we would look back at it as just a weird quirk in a career full of them. In February 2009, however, Sports Illustrated released a report identifying A-Rod as one of the 104 players who tested positive for performance-enhancing drugs in 2003, news that shook the baseball world and, indeed, even the nation — recently-elected President Obama even commented on it! For his part, Rodriguez owned up to the mistake, acknowledging that, although it was a different era, he was “stupid” and “naïve.” Perhaps, again, if this was the end of the controversy, he could have rehabilitated his reputation, gotten his number retired by the Yankees, and ended up in Cooperstown — especially since the 2009 season saw Rodriguez finally shake the “postseason choker” reputation, as he went 19-for-52 with six home runs and 12 walks, including a massive two-run homer in Game 3 of the World Series and a game-winning double in Game 4.

Things began to crumble around Rodriguez following the 2009 season, even as he passed the 600-homer threshold. While he was still a good hitter, injuries began to sap his power at the plate and his range at the hot corner, and limited him to just 137 games in 2010, 99 in 2011, and 122 in 2012. Joe Girardi famously benched him in favor of Raúl Ibáñez and Eric Chavez at critical moments in the intense ALDS matchup with the Baltimore Orioles. Then, as the Yankees were swept by the Detroit Tigers in the ALCS, he was spotted flirting with fans during the game.

Somehow, it got even worse. That December, it was revealed that Rodriguez needed hip surgery that would sideline him for the first half of the 2013 season — prompting the Yankees to acquire former Red Sox first baseman/third baseman Kevin Youkilis, which to this day feels like a crime against The Rivalry. Days afterwards, the Biogenesis scandal broke, and Rodriguez began to pick fights with literally everybody, including the players’ union and the Yankees organization.

Despite the threat of legal action against his own ballclub, though, and appealing a 211-game suspension, A-Rod returned to the Yankees lineup on August 5, 2013, giving a sluggish Yankees lineup a jolt and crafting some memorable moments — such as the time Girardi melted down at the umpire for refusing to eject Ryan Dempster, only to see Rodriguez get his vengeance later in the game.

Following the 2013 season, Rodriguez went off onto his year-long sabbatical, during which time Rodriguez went and enrolled in classes at Miami, and for most of us, that was that. I mean, how often does a 39-year-old infielder with a bad hip return to the Majors after missing an entire season? The answer, as it turns out, is exactly once. Rodriguez turned back the clock a little bit in 2015, blasting 33 homers, joining the 3,000 Hit Club, and putting together his best season since 2009 as the Yankees’ full-time designated hitter.

Unfortunately, Father Time came for Rodriguez the following season. The team worked with the struggling 41-year-old on as soft a midseason departure as one could’ve likely hoped given the circumstances. They announced his forthcoming departure a week in advance, honored him in a pregame ceremony before his final game on August 12th, and he got a double against the Rays for his final career hit. He played third base in the ninth one last time, and walked off the field to a very nice hand. The Yankees then designated him for assignment and promoted one of their prospects, outfielder Aaron Judge. Good move.

Since his retirement, Rodriguez has stayed in the game of baseball, most often serving as an analyst for ESPN and Fox — mixing in the occasional nugget with some bizarresoundbites. While his No. 13 remains in circulation, and he has yet to receive even a plaque in Monument Park, A-Rod’s apology tour has arguably been his greatest achievement: in fact, I know multiple Red Sox fans who have told me that they hate how much they enjoy A-Rod these days. And that is, itself, a pretty cool legacy.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

CJ Abrams has become too good for the Washington Nationals to trade

WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 26: CJ Abrams #5 of the Washington Nationals waits to bat in the sixth inning against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Nationals Park on July 26, 2026 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The plan entering the season may have been to trade CJ Abrams at this deadline. However, I just don’t think that is a move you can do at this point. Abrams has become too important for this ballclub to ship off. The Nats need to keep Abrams, at least through this season and make a major push towards an extension.

Abrams has been a nice player over the last three seasons prior to this year. He has taken things to another level in 2026. With the help of the Nats new hitting coaches, Abrams has become the best offensive shortstop in all of baseball. He is on pace for 42 home runs, 127 RBI and 26 steals. That is historic production from the shortstop position.

This is not something you can trade unless you get a package that rivals the Soto haul. Unless I see a Kade Anderson, Ryan Sloan or Seth Hernandez type of arm headlining a package, I am honestly not that interested. Sure, Abrams is getting closer to free agency, but the Nats are also getting closer to winning.

When the Nats traded Juan Soto with 2.5 years of control, it was clear that this team was years away from relevancy. Right now, the Nats are on the cusp of being a relevant force in the National League. Heck, they have a chance to make the playoffs this year, being a game out of the third Wild Card spot. An Abrams trade would just kill all of the momentum from this season.

Right now, I am seeing Anthony Volpe and George Lombard Jr. packages. I am sorry, that just does not get the job done for me. Despite all the hate he gets, I actually think there is a decent player in there with Volpe. He seems like a prime change of scenery candidate. Lombard is a very good prospect, who should be a quality starting shortstop for a long time. However, neither of those guys have the superstar upside Toboni should be looking for.

If the Nats don’t get a package headlined by a top 10 prospect in baseball, it is not worth considering. I know the Yankees are interested, but Abrams has played his way out of their price range in my opinion. He is already a 4 win player with a wRC+ over 150. That is rarified air, and the type of player you need to build around.

An extension for Abrams will not be easy, but it is not impossible either. Without the Scott Boras factor, the window is open. It will take a lot of money, and I doubt ownership will be comfortable with it. However, at a certain point, ownership needs to get out of their comfort zone and prove their commitment. Nats fans need to see one of their star players actually stick around in DC for the long haul.

Right now, the Nats have a great thing going. Abrams and Wood are probably the best duo in all of baseball at the moment. They have grown up together and now they are just hitting their stride. Breaking up this duo right as they enter their prime will take an insane offer.

Given Abrams’ proximity to free agency and the Nats pitching woes, he should not be truly untouchable. However, the bar should be at a place where most teams simply won’t go. If a team does meet the bar, you can trade him, but it has to be for a godfather offer.

Getting “fair value” for Abrams is not good enough for Nats fans. We have to be getting 125 cents on the dollar here. Nats fans are getting tired of rebuilding. Making another move for 3 to 5 years from now would be a tough pill to swallow. It feels like the window is finally starting to open up.

That window should include CJ Abrams. Whether it is the deadline or the offseason, the Nats need to be aggressive in the pitching market, both in trades and free agency. Picking up Connelly Early is a good start, but the Nats still need a couple more starters and a rebuilt bullpen heading into 2027.

The Nats have a truly special offense that can carry this team for years to come. Wood and Abrams are the pillars of the attack, and they need to stick together. The Nationals finally have an identity after years in the wilderness. Paul Toboni would have a lot of explaining to do if he broke up that identity after just a few months. 

Unless someone truly overpays you like the Padres did for Soto, Abrams needs to stay. If the Nats were 15 games under .500 or if Abrams was just having a good year, things would be different. However, the window is opening for the Nationals and CJ Abrams is too dang good to trade.

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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David Peterson's results have improved with the Chicago Cubs, but his underlying numbers remain poor.

I don't think the Chicago Cubs deserve to be -120 favorites with Peterson on the mound, and my Cubs vs. Cardinals predictions and MLB picks on Monday, July 27, reflect that.

Who will win Cubs vs Cardinals today: St. Louis Cardinals (+100)

David Peterson owns a 5.57 ERA, 5.60 SIERA, and 12.6 K% over the last 30 days. He is in horrendous form.

The St. Louis Cardinals have not hit lefties consistently of late, but I’m not sure it matters. They faced Peterson twice recently and combined for 16 runs while knocking him out before completing four innings on both occasions.

Matthew Liberatore has started pitching a little better, conceding three runs or fewer in three of his past four starts — including against the Chicago Cubs.

Back the Cardinals to -110.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Peterson sits at the 19th percentile in K%, playing into the hands of a Cardinals lineup with the second-lowest K% vs. lefties.

Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-110)

Opponents are hammering Peterson to the tune of a 44.1% hard-hit rate over the last month, which is the second-highest output among today’s starting pitchers.

Peterson is having a miserable time striking batters out, and the Cardinals excel in avoiding punchouts, making a perfect storm for plenty of good contact.

Liberatore’s 30.2% line-drive rate the past 30 days is alarmingly bad, and doesn’t bode well for his chances of slowing down a Cubs offense sitting in the Top 10 vs. lefties during that stretch.

Bet the Over to -120.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 63-55, -4.15 units
  • Over/Under bets: 64-49-5, +6.79 units

Cubs vs Cardinals weather

Temperatures are expected to approach 100 with slight winds blowing out.

Cubs vs Cardinals odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs -120 | Cardinals +100
  • Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+130) | Cardinals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-110) | Under 9.5 (-110)

Cubs vs Cardinals trend

Chicago has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of the last 30 games (+4.85 units, 15% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Cardinals.

How to watch Cubs vs Cardinals and game info

LocationBusch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
DateMonday, July 27, 2026
First pitch7:35 p.m. ET
TVMarquee Sports Network, Cardinals.TV
Cubs starting pitcherDavid Peterson
(5-7, 5.97 ERA)
Cardinals starting pitcherMatthew Liberatore
(5-7, 5.18 ERA)

Cubs vs Cardinals latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Monday, July 27

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Happy Monday, everyone!

A new week brings a ton of opportunities, and tonight's MLB moneyline predictions are no exception. 

Let's dive into the full slate with my MLB picks on Monday, July 27!

MLB moneyline picks for July 27

MatchupPick
MarinersMariners
vs
RangersRangers
Rangers
+122
OriolesOrioles
vs
TigersTigers
Orioles
+108
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks
vs
PiratesPirates
Diamondbacks
+111
PhilliesPhillies
vs
MarlinsMarlins
Marlins
+170
Blue JaysBlue Jays
vs
NationalsNationals
Nationals
-115
GuardiansGuardians
vs
RedsReds
Reds
-153
BravesBraves
vs
MetsMets
Mets
+106
YankeesYankees
vs
White SoxWhite Sox
Yankees
-135
CubsCubs
vs
CardinalsCardinals
Cardinals
+106
AstrosAstros
vs
AngelsAngels
Astros
-106
Red SoxRed Sox
vs
AthleticsAthletics
Athletics
+160
BrewersBrewers
vs
GiantsGiants
Brewers
-125

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 7-27.

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Expert MLB moneyline picks for July 27

Mariners vs Rangers: Rangers (+125)

Rangers win probability: 44%

I get to back an offense with a 135 wRC+, .365 wOBA, and .837 OPS over its last six games against one with a 93 wRC+, .108 ISO, and .674 OPS, all at plus money? Yeah, give me the Rangers in this spot.

The Mariners have posted a wRC+ below 100 for more than a month now, while the Rangers have been on an absolute tear offensively.

Kumar Rocker has shown flashes throughout the season, and he'll do enough to keep Seattle's lineup in check. With the way Texas is swinging the bats right now, plus money is too good to pass up.

Orioles vs Tigers: Orioles (-111)

Orioles win probability: 52%

Keider Montero has been solid for the Tigers over his last few outings, but so has Kyle Bradish. I think this one comes down to which offense I trust more, and that's Baltimore's.

Over their last 12 games, the Orioles own a 113 wRC+, .334 wOBA, and .745 OPS, while continuing to swing the bats at a much more consistent level.

As for the Tigers, they've been one of baseball's most inconsistent offenses all season. I want no part of trying to time when that lineup is going to break out, especially against a pitcher like Bradish. Give me the better offense in what I expect to be a tightly contested game.

Diamondbacks vs Pirates: Diamondbacks (+111)

Diamondbacks win probability: 48%

It's a battle of mid-tier starters as Merrill Kelly and Mitch Keller square off this evening. Similar to the rest of the teams I'm backing today, I want the hotter offense, and that's Arizona. The Diamondbacks have completely flipped the switch over the last few weeks, swinging the bats with confidence.

Meanwhile, the Pirates have gone ice cold over their last six games, posting a 68 wRC+, .262 wOBA, and .092 ISO.

I'll gladly take the plus money underdog in a matchup where I trust the hotter lineup to make the difference.

Phillies vs Marlins: Marlins (+170)

Marlins win probability: 37%

The Phillies are coming off an 11-run outburst against the Yankees last night, and I have a rule to fade teams immediately after massive offensive performances. Sure, the Marlins haven't been the sexiest team to back since June, but I have no interest in laying money with a team that just scored nearly two touchdowns worth of runs.

I'll take my chances fading the offensive regression in this spot.

Blue Jays vs Nationals: Nationals (-115)

Nationals win probability: 54%

The old man is on the mound against one of the hottest lineups in baseball, and I want the Nationals in this spot.

Not only have the Blue Jays' bats gone ice cold, but they're also sending Max Scherzer to the mound to stop the bleeding. That hasn't gone well this season. Scherzer owns a 10.23 ERA, 5.58 xERA, and 1.73 WHIP, and he hasn't looked like the pitcher he once was.

Andrew Alvarez hasn't exactly been lights out for Washington either, but the Nationals offense has been swinging it well, while Toronto's lineup has looked lifeless. I'll gladly back the hotter offense at plus money in this matchup.

Guardians vs Reds: Reds (-156)

Reds win probability: 61%

Not a fan of laying this much juice with a team like the Reds, but when Slade Cecconi is on the mound, it's tough not to fade him.

The Guardians right-hander owns a 7.43 ERA and 2.02 WHIP over his last three starts, while allowing a 55% hard-hit rate and 12% barrel rate. That's a recipe for disaster, especially in a hitter-friendly park like Great American Ball Park.

On the other side, Chase Burns has done an excellent job protecting his home field this season, posting a 2.32 ERA and 1.15 WHIP at Great American Ball Park. I don't love the price, but this is a matchup where I'll happily side with Cincinnati.

Braves vs Mets: Mets (+104)

Mets win probability: 49%

With Martin Perez posting a 5.40 ERA, 6.46 xERA, and 1.57 WHIP over his last three outings, I was already leaning toward the Mets. Then I looked at how sustainable Zac Thornton has been, and it only strengthened my confidence in backing New York at home tonight.

Neither offense has been setting the world on fire lately, but the Mets have been generating much more hard contact while also drawing significantly more walks. I think those extra baserunners, combined with the pitching edge, make the Mets the right side in Queens tonight.

Yankees vs White Sox: Yankees (-135)

Yankees win probability: 57%

The White Sox exploded for 12 runs on Sunday afternoon against the Astros to avoid the series sweep. Now they welcome the New York Yankees to town.

Chicago will send Noah Schultz to the mound, and he has been hit hard all season. Over his last three starts, Schultz owns a 6.59 ERA, 6.89 xERA, and 1.83 WHIP.

Neither offense has been lighting it up, especially if you take away Chicago's 12-run outburst. Max Fried should give the Yankees a significant edge on the mound, and I also like fading the White Sox after such a massive offensive performance. That's enough for me to lean with New York in this spot.

Cubs vs Cardinals: Cardinals (+106)

Cardinals win probability: 48%

David Peterson is not a pitcher I'm willing to back as a favorite, especially while posting a 6.46 ERA, 6.29 xERA, and 1.44 WHIP over his last three outings. This isn't me saying Matthew Liberatore is some elite arm, because he isn't, but I do think he's the better pitcher in this matchup.

The Cubs offense has been humming over the last month, but I'm not willing to trust Peterson to keep any lineup in check for five innings right now. At this price, I'll gladly take my chances fading him. 

Astros vs Angels: Astros (-106)

Astros win probability: 52%

I am aware that Astros right-hander Tatsuya Imai has been a bit rocky, but he's still a strikeout machine, and we all know the Angels love to swing and miss.

On top of that, Houston's offense has started to heat up over the last few weeks. After getting embarrassed by the White Sox, who hung two touchdowns on them Sunday, I expect the Astros to bounce back in a big way.

I like Houston to respond with a much better performance tonight.

Red Sox vs Athletics: Athletics (+160)

Athletics win probability: 38%

Price-wise and straight up, I want the Athletics. Sure, the Red Sox have been one of the best stories in baseball over the last month, but they simply have not been scoring runs consistently. If the Athletics can jump on left-hander Payton Tolle early, they have a great chance to come away with the win.

On top of that, I have no interest in laying -163 with an offense that owns an 80 wRC+, .291 wOBA, and .138 ISO over its last week. At this price, I'll gladly take the value with the A's.

Brewers vs Giants: Brewers (-125)

Brewers win probability: 56%

Brewers right-hander Brandon Sproat hasn't been particularly sharp over his last three outings, posting a 5.60 xERA and 1.71 WHIP. On the other side, Tyler Mahle has been solid enough, but nothing that really moves the needle.

Tonight in the Bay, I want to back the far better offense, and that's Milwaukee. The Brewers have been seeing the ball much better lately, while the Giants have posted a wRC+ below 100 with a strikeout rate north of 26% over their last six games.

Getting the Brewers at -125 feels like a steal in my book.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Red Sox News & Links: What’s next after the Curtis Mead trade?

DENVER, COLORADO - JULY 20: Curtis Mead #45 of the Washington Nationals prepares to bat in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on July 20, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Baseball is a cruel business. Tsung-Che Cheng will always be remembered as one of the spark plugs of the Sox’ historic 15-game win streak. Cheng appeared in 9 of the 15 wins and started 8 of them, putting up an OBP of .407 during the stretch and stabilizing the middle infield defense. But with the arrival of Curtis Mead, the Red Sox needed a roster spot and it was Cheng who was sent to Worcester… on his birthday. (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

The demotion of Cheng is a reminder that every time a team adds someone new and exciting, there’s always going to be someone else who is disappointed about the old players who are sent packing. Those mixed emotions were prevalent throughout the clubhouse with respect to the departure of Connelly Early. “There’s a lot of guys in there that are very close with Connelly, and he’s been a huge part of this,” said Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy. “I think at the same time, it sends a message like, ‘Hey, we’re trying to do some things to fill some gaps, with the run scoring and things like that, and we added a power bat.” (Matty Wasserman, Boston Globe)

Craig Breslow himself also described the trade as “incredibly uncomfortable,” but felt he had to do it anyway. “A lot of front offices are looking at very similar information, so trying to find an opportunity to win a trade is not nearly as easy as it maybe it would have been at another point,” Breslow said. “Instead, in this position, I’ve tried to shift to our goal not (being) to win the trade. Our goal is to make our major league team better. Sometimes, the most straightforward way to do that is a need-for-need-type trade.” (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

And by all accounts, the Sox aren’t done with the trade market. So who could be heading out the door next? Here’s a breakdown of the minor leaguers who are most in demand. “The Sox were willing to discuss Arias last year in deals for Twin hurler Joe Ryan or Arizona slugger Ketel Marte. His value has gone up since those conversations, but if the Sox want one of the potential jewels of the trade market such as Angels shortstop Zach Neto, Arias would be a necessary price.” (Alex Speier, Boston Globe)

The fact that Arias is just about untouchable is a big reason why the Red Sox don’t land all that high on this ranking of teams most likely to land Tigers ace Tarik Skubal. (The Athletic)

And with the return of Ranger Suárez, the Red Sox rotation may not need much of an upgrade. (Scott McLaughlin, WEEI)

Hunter Goodman is also being viewed as a potential big game price, with the Sox, Yankees, and Rays amongst other teams all being mentioned as looking for a catcher. (Ken Rosenthal, Will Sammon, The Athletic)