SCOTTSDALE, AZ - FEBRUARY 23: A general view during the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick on Friday, February 23, 2018 in Scottsdale, Arizona. (Photo by Alex Trautwig/MLB via Getty Images) | MLB via Getty Images
Record 8-11. Change on 2025: -0.5. 5-inning record: 4-13-2.
A new record-holder for the worst margin of defeat this spring, the Arizona pitching staff giving up 14 hits and two walks. To be fair, there were four unearned runs, resulting from errors by Pavin Smith and Kevin Ginkel. But even nine earned runs… is not good. Philip Abner was the only pitcher to go an inning without allowing an earned run. Elsewhere, it was more or less rough outings all over the place. Thomas Hatch allowed five runs over two innings, while both Ryan Thompson and Ginkel gave up two. Ryne Nelson ended up – with the help of some up/downs – going 3.1 innings, and was charged with three runs on two hits (both homers) and a walk. He did strike out four.
The Diamondbacks actually took the lead, on Ildemaro Vargas’s debut home-run of spring in the first inning, and added a second in the second, after loading the bases with no outs. Junior Franco’s groundout scored Aramis Garcia with the second run. But a messy double-play – first baseman to second baseman to catcher to pitcher to second baseman to shortstop Jacob Wilson to first baseman, Óscar Mercado out at home – summed up the day. Arizona managed only five hits and two walks, with a pair of knocks for Vargas. Corbin Carroll, in his hamate-less return, went 0-for-3 with a strikeout. But he’s back, and that’s the main thing.
Tomorrow, it’s the Rockies at Salt River Fields, though it is theoretically a “road” game for the Diamondbacks. Taylor Clarke is the scheduled starting pitcher.
HOUSTON, TEXAS - MARCH 06: Jonathan Aranda #8 of the Mexico celebrates with teammates after a three run home run in the eighth inning during the 2026 World Baseball Classic Pool B game between Mexico and Great Britain at Daikin Park on March 06, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Kenneth Richmond/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Jays @ Yankees is starting now.
Lineups:
Today’s Lineups
BLUE JAYS
YANKEES
Myles Straw – CF
Trent Grisham – CF
Nathan Lukes – DH
Randal Grichuk – LF
Jesus Sanchez – RF
Cody Bellinger – 1B
Eloy Jimenez – LF
Giancarlo Stanton – DH
Brandon Valenzuela – C
Jazz Chisholm – 2B
Rafael Lantigua – 2B
Jose Caballero – SS
Sean Keys – 1B
Ryan McMahon – 3B
Arjun Nimmala – SS
Oswaldo Cabrera – RF
Charles McAdoo – 3B
Ali Sanchez – C
Eric Lauer – LHP
Cam Schlittler – RHP
So, if Mexico wins and scores 4 or fewer runs, the US is out. So ummm, Go Mexico Go…but don’t go too much. Just go enough. 1-0 wins are great.
Italy has Aaron Nola starting. He had a rough year for the Phillies last year.
Javier Assad for Mexico, he made 7 starts for the Cubs last year.
WEST PALM BEACH, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 22: Tatsuya Imai #45 of the Houston Astros looks on prior to a spring training game against the St. Louis Cardinals at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches on February 22, 2026 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Tatsuya Imai said a small adjustment has helped him find more velocity this spring:
The Astros' Tatsuya Imai explained a small change he made that helped him find more velocity (fastball hit 98.5 mph) in another impressive spring start https://t.co/I7yap0zkYR via @houstonchron
SP Cristian Javier will be away from the team for a few days due to a personal matter:
Pitcher Cristian Javier, expected to be part of starting rotation, will be out of spring training for a few days because of a personal matter. https://t.co/Bc97Ep6KiB
Good stuff from Lance McCullers Jr. breaking down his outing and where he stands with Opening Day a little more than two weeks away pic.twitter.com/1DUAMzDDCe
TAMPA, FL - MARCH 6: Cam Schlittler #31 of the New York Yankees warms up before the game against the Tampa Bay Rays at George M. Steinbrenner Field on March 6, 2026 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Spring training rolls on tonight as the Yankees host the Blue Jays at George M. Steinbrenner Field.
The Yankees send Cam Schlittler to the bump for his second appearance of the spring. Schlittler was brilliant in his first outing after being delayed by back inflammation and a lat issue, striking out four batters in 2.1 innings of work. Rust, injury, or caution aside, Schlittler still hit 99 mph with his four-seamer while throwing 39 pitches. Predict Cam’s final pitch count tonight in the comments for a shoutout in the recap.
Toronto is scheduled to send left-hander Eric Lauer to the mound. Lauer went 9–2 for the Blue Jays last season, making 15 starts and appearing in 28 games. He enters tonight looking to improve his early spring numbers, which have been rough in the early going.
On the offensive side, let’s pay special attention to how Jasson Randal Grichuk handles the lefty. With so many regulars scattered across World Baseball Classic rosters, the Yankees have been able to give extended looks to younger and fringe players this spring. Those extra opportunities are starting to disappear, though, as Jazz Chisholm Jr. and José Caballero have returned to camp from their respective national teams and find themselves in the lineup tonight.
How to Watch
Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field — Tampa, FL
First pitch: 6:35 p.m. EDT
TV broadcast: YES Network, Sportsnet 360, MLB Network (out-of-market)
Peoria, AZ - February 23: Freddy Fermin #54 of the San Diego Padres runs to home plate during a spring training game against the Milwaukee Brewers on February 23, 2026 in Peoria, AZ. (Photo by K.C. Alfred / The San Diego Union-Tribune via Getty Images) | K.C. Alfred
It wasn’t noticeable at the start of spring games but as the first couple weeks went on, the at-bats were adding up to a change in the hitting approach for the Friars. There has been a lot less chasing outside the zone for many of the regulars. Even the minor league depth players have had more quality at-bats.
It might surprise many to hear that catcher Freddy Fermin has more loud contact than any other regular currently on the San Diego Padres roster. Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. left too early to be a significant part of this discussion, but they have both distinguished themselves with the Dominican Republic World Baseball Classic team, making frequent loud contact while away.
Not only are these guys hitting the ball and hitting it hard, but they are also barreling up the ball much earlier than in previous spring progressions. Fermin is hitting .421/.421/.684 with a 1.105 OPS. He’s a bit of an outlier in that he has not walked at all in his 19 at-bats, but he has only struck out twice and has eight RBI.
Jake Cronenworth, in his 21 at-bats, is hitting .375/.444/.625 with a 1.069 OPS. He has one strikeout and three walks while hitting his homer to the opposite field for the first time in his career. The numbers aren’t reliable in the spring; we all know of players that killed it in Spring Training and were never heard from again. But the thing that stands out as you look at the regular lineup players, as well as most of the bench competitors, is that there are quality at-bats all over the team.
On base skills
1B/DH Gavin Sheets has struggled so far and is only hitting .200 but his OBP is .429 with eight walks in his 20 at-bats. Of all the regulars, the lowest OBP on the team is OF Ramon Laureano, who is hitting .386 but with a .318 OBP due to only having one walk and 10 strikeouts in his 21 at-bats. The other free swinger on the team, Jackson Merrill, is hitting .296 with a .345 OBP.
If you are curious, new Padre 1B/DH/OF Nick Castellanos has more walks than strikeouts (5/4) and is hitting .280 with a .419 OBP.
Bench competition
For those competing for bench/depth positions, the lowest OBP is Mason McCoy at .241 and he is followed by Bryce Johnson at .303. The best all-around performance so far belongs to Ty France with 27 at-bats and a .370/.433/.519 line with four doubles and five RBI. He has walked twice and struck out four times.
France is closely followed by Jose Miranda, who has tattooed the ball all spring. His batting average is slightly less at .367 with a .441 OBP and .600 slug. His OPS is the best of those in competition for a bench spot with 1.041 which is second on the team to, wait for it, Cronenworth at 1.069.
The eye test
I haven’t gone deep diving into strike zone analysis for the spring at-bats, but my eyes tell me the Padres, throughout the line up, have been much more disciplined this spring in sticking to the pitches in the zone. That might not be as true for the free-swingers like Merrill, Tatis Jr. and Laureano. But even they have shown more ability to lay off pitches out of the zone.
Driving the pitches that they are swinging at is also a highlight of the spring so far. Everyone except Sheets has at least one double, Cronenworth and Laureano have a triple each. Some of the long-ball numbers can be accounted for due to conditions in Arizona, especially when the wind is blowing out, but the exit velocities show the players are hitting the ball hard and with frequency.
Exit Velocity trends
Machado and Tatis Jr. frequently have the highest EV numbers on the team, Tatis had a 110.2 mph drive before he left for the WBC. In their absence, Campusano has a 108.4 mph hit, Sheets has one at 109 mph and Fermin has a 107.6 mph missile. Lots of outs and hits register mid to high 90s and low 100s consistently.
Offensive approach is the key
The sample size is small, and it is Arizona, but I like what I am seeing with this offense in the spring. The ballparks will be bigger with different conditions once the season begins in earnest. The cold early spring air through much of the country will definitely affect the end result.
While I hate to mention it, the Padres would do well to follow the example of the evil empire to the North. They don’t chase out of the zone often. They make solid, barrel on the ball contact in the zone. If new hitting coach Steven Souza Jr. has achieved anything in this young baseball season, it seems to be that the Padres are spitting on more pitches outside the zone and concentrating on driving the ball all over the field.
The K-rates are down, and extra-base hits are up. The frequency of working at-bats into long ordeals for the pitcher, often seeing eight to 12 pitch at-bats, is really noticeable. Being pesky, fouling off borderline pitches, taking walks and barreling up pitches in the zone is the offense I have been hoping to see for this team. They have been pretty successful at it this spring. Time will tell if they can carry that over into the regular season.
Dec 21, 2025; Glendale, Arizona, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Tyler Allgeier (25) carries the ball as Arizona Cardinals cornerback Jaden Davis (26) defends during the first half at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images | Joe Camporeale-Imagn Images
Happy opening day of free agency one and all.
The Arizona Cardinals heading into the 2026 Free Agency period have the following that should become official today when allowed:
OT Matt Pryor one-year deal
QB Gardner Minshew one-year deal
WR Kendrick Bourne two-year deal
G Isaac Seumalo three-year deal
RB Tyler Allgeier two-year deal
DL Roy Lopez two-year deal
Along with the moves that we know are official because they were re-signings for the team:
DT L.J. Collier one-year deal
P Blake Gillikin one-year deal
K Chad Ryland one-year deal
All of that and we are looking at the Cardinals still needing help at linebacker, offensive line, defensive line and probably the quarterback position.
However, the last one will probably not be addressed until 2027, which is fun to know that the team is looking at another tank job, the third in four seasons with Monti Ossenfort at the helm.
Let’s hope for some exciting movement today.
Arizona Cardinals bring back Bam Knight on one-year deal
Tarik Skubal’s plan was always to leave Team USA after one World Baseball Classic start. He wavered but ultimately never changed course. His responsibility to the Tigers meant more to him.
What wasn’t in the blueprint were social media comparisons to Benedict Arnold, the infamous military officer that swapped from the Americans to the British during the Revolutionary War.
Skubal doesn’t think the comparison is fair — he didn’t defect to another team, he was simply prioritizing his other duties.
Tarik Skubal allowed just one run in his only start with Team USA. Getty Images
“It’s just not fair,” Skubal said of the claims, per The Athletic. “But that’s part of the business. It’s part of the game. If they know me, though, on a personal level, and they know what my peers think of me, I don’t think it’s fair to say those things.
“This was always the plan, and as emotional or how much I wanted to (stay), it just didn’t make sense, given the timing,” he added about the reasoning behind his decision.
Skubal added that the criticism he received online didn’t affect his choice, citing they’re “created by people that don’t know me.”
His teammates, though, made a major impact. He mentioned that he talked to many of them to help make his decision, though he ultimately realized it wasn’t feasible to return.
“I was just trying to navigate all that information and then trying to create a plan,” Skubal said. “I just felt like I was trying to do too much. So I just kind of was, like, ‘OK, as bad as I want to do this, as bad as I want to get there and play, this was the plan from the jump.’”
Tarik Skubal has posted an ERA under 2.40 in both of the last two seasons. Troy Taormina-Imagn Images
In his lone WBC start versus Great Britain, Skubal pitched three innings and allowed just one run, which came on a Nate Eaton leadoff homer. He struck out five and allowed just one more hit, paving the way for an easy 9-1 U.S. win.
But his ultimate responsibility is to the Tigers, who are vying to make a deep playoff run with one of the best rotations in baseball.
Besides Skubal, who’s won the last two American League Cy Young Awards, Detroit added Framber Valdez and Justin Verlander in the offseason and retained Casey Mize and Jack Flaherty.
If Skubal had decided to stay with Team USA through the WBC final — if it makes it — he would’ve only had nine days between then and his Opening Day start. He did say, however, that if the U.S. does advance that far, he’d try to come back to cheer on his teammates from the bench.
Does that really make him Benedict Arnold? Skubal sure doesn’t think so.
WEST PALM BEACH, FLORIDA - MARCH 11: Cade Cavalli #24 of the Washington Nationals throws a pitch against the St. Louis Cardinals during the first inning of a spring training game at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches on March 11, 2026 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (Photo by Rich Storry/Getty Images) | Getty Images
After being named the Opening Day starter this morning, Cade Cavalli took the ball for the Nats in their Grapefruit League showdown with the Cardinals. He only went three innings in this one, but he looked impressive. Cavalli did not allow a hit and struck out two Cardinals, setting the tone for a strong afternoon for Nats pitchers.
Opening day starter Cade Cavalli getting ready to go for his start against the Cardinals this afternoon pic.twitter.com/8sS0uRooSq
Following his start, I actually got the chance to talk to Cade in the clubhouse. Cavalli said he was “Super honored” to be named the Opening Day starter. After missing two seasons due to injury, this was clearly a big moment for the 27 year old right hander. He told Jessica Camerato of MLB.com that the first person he called was his wife, before quickly texting the rest of his family.
Finding out he was the Opening Day starter was probably the highlight of Cavalli’s day, but he still had to go out and execute in the game. A big part of the success he had today was the sweeper, which he used 25% of the time, and half the time against right handed hitters.
Cavalli told me that he thinks the pitch will be “really good to righties and we can sprinkle it in to lefties to show them a different shape off of the curveball”. Last season, right handed hitters batted over .380 against Cavalli, and he is looking to change that. He said that, “Most hitters know I have a north to south curveball. If I can show something horizontal to them, I think it can help”.
Overall, it was a great day for Cavalli, who has faced a lot of trials and tribulations over the past few years. Now he is on the other side of that, and ready to be the high end starting pitcher the Nats envisioned when they drafted him in the first round.
Another pitcher who threw the ball well today was Brad Lord. He went three innings, allowing only one run. Lord was getting a ton of ground balls with his sinker. His changeup also looked great against left handed pitchers. Yesterday, he mentioned that he tweaked his grip on that pitch, and it looked nasty, particularly against Nolan Gorman, who swung through two of them.
Brad Lord was telling me about how he tweaked his changeup grip when he talked yesterday. He made Nolan Gorman look silly on back to back changeups to get a strikeout
Despite the solid outing, Lord was still not satisfied with himself. Manager Blake Butera said Lord was “Frustrated because in that last inning he has two outs with nobody on, and then he walks a guy who ends up scoring”. Lord is typically an even-keeled guy, who Butera described as quiet, but he could tell that the end to his outing bothered him.
On the offensive side of things, the Nats did not light up the score board, but did enough to win. One guy who is starting to heat up is Daylen Lile. At the beginning of the spring, he looked a bit rusty, but he has been finding his swing over the past week.
Daylen Lile started this spring slow but he is heating up as we close in on Opening Day
Butera figured this is what would happen, adding that “sometimes we get too caught up in stats during Spring Training”. Given the fact that the games do not count, and the whole point of this process is to get ready for the season, this is a take I agree with, though I can be guilty of falling into that trap at times. One thing that Butera does value is hitters finding their timing. He told me that, “sometimes it takes hitters a couple weeks to get their timing down. I think Daylen is just getting going now and he looks like Daylen”.
I think his point about timing is something to really consider. These guys can train as much as they want in the offseason, but there is no substitute for in-game reps. Sometimes pure hitters like Lile just need time to find that perfect swing. It seems like Lile has found it, and that is great for the Nats. He was such a spark for them in the second half.
The Nats got a lot of production from their first basemen as well in this game. Andres Chaparro got a hit, and hit the ball hard a couple times. Also, Abimelec Ortiz ripped a 110 MPH RBI double to give the Nats the lead. Ortiz started the spring slowly, but looks like he may be finding his footing.
Manager Blake Butera admitted the club has not settled on a starter at first base. He said that “At first base in general, we are pretty open minded on how this is going to work”. It also sounds like the Nats will experiment with a few different options throughout the season. He made sure to emphasize that the situation will be fluid and just because a guy starts the season at first base, it does not mean he will be the guy for all 162.
Overall, it was a nice and clean performance for the Nats. It has also been awesome to get all this access and get thoughts from the players and coaches. The Nats have been winning a lot this spring, but as we know, these games do not count. However, it seems like there is a good vibe to this group and we are seeing that manifest on the field.
CLEVELAND, OHIO - JUNE 27: A view of an Apple TV microphone during the ninth inning between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on June 27, 2025 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
Earlier today, we received some massive news regarding the Atlanta Braves and the new Braves.TV platform. Shortly after that news broke, we got some more important news on where to watch the Braves during the upcoming season. While the lion’s share of games will be on BravesVision, they also have to make room for nationally televised contests — and nationally streamed contests as well.
Apple TV is doing Friday Night Baseball for another season and they’ve announced their schedule through the month of June and the Braves are now set for three games that will be streaming-exclusive for that particular platform. We won’t have to wait long for the first game, as Atlanta’s road game against the Diamondbacks on April 3at 9:45 p.m. ET will be on Apple TV. Their only scheduled home game on Apple TV (as of right now) will take place on April 24 at 7:15 p.m. ET against the Phillies. After that, it’ll be a long wait between that game and the next Apple TV appearance for the Braves, as they’ll be playing a road game against the Mets on June 12at 7:15 p.m. ET.
Friday Night Baseball returns to @AppleTV this season!
Again as a reminder, you’ll have to sign up for Apple TV in order to have access to these games. To sum up the state of watching the Braves during the 2026 season, you’ll have to make sure you have access to the following platforms if you want to make sure you’ll have the ability to catch all 162 games:
BravesVision (or Braves.TV)
Fox Sports 1
TBS
ESPN (solely for the Little League Classic on August 23)
Peacock
Apple TV
I didn’t list NBC or FOX since technically you can have access to those broadcast networks for free. Good luck keeping up with all of that!
SCOTTSDALE, ARIZONA - FEBRUARY 18: Pitcher Zac Gallen #23 of the Arizona Diamondbacks poses for a portrait during photo day at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick on February 18, 2026 in Scottsdale, Arizona. (Photo by Chris Coduto/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Insert GIF of The Rock yelling, “It doesn’t matter who you want to start Opening Day!”. Because, despite fans on the SnakePit being behind Ryne Nelson, by almost a 3-1 margin, we will instead be getting Zac Gallen on Opening Day, against the Dodgers in Los Angeles on March 26. This will be the fourth time in a row for Gallen, albeit this year, only because Merrill Kelly is unable to accept the honor initially given to him by Torey Lovullo. That ties Gallen with Brandon Webb for second on the franchise list of Opening Day starts by a pitcher, behind the six times Randy Johnson took the mound.
Though the results for Zac previously have been less than whelming: Gallen is 1-2, with a 6.59 ERA on previous Opening Days. That includes taking the loss in Dodger Stadium on Opening Day 2023: he allowed five runs over 4.2 innings, in an 8-2 loss. Mind you, Opening Days against the Dodgers have not historically gone very well for the D-backs. They have only one win in six attempts, and that came 25 years ago in 2001. Randy Johnson tossed seven innings of two-run ball in Los Angeles, and a two-run homer in the seventh by Luis Gonzalez proved the margin of victory in a 3-2 win for Arizona.
The Big Unit was actually only 3-2 on Opening Day, but he gave the team a quality start each and every one of the six games. The best record probably belongs to Ian Kennedy, who never started an Opening Day game the D-backs didn’t win. He got the W in two of his three, with the third going to extras before Arizona prevailed 7-6 in Denver. Webb was just 1-0 over his four starts, but the team ended up winning three of them. That included his final major-league outing in 2009, where he allowed six runs over four innings, but the D-backs still won, 9-8. In the end, I’d take that for Gallen in a couple of weeks: the team win is the thing.
Should auld acquaintance be forget and something something the Cardinals have released quarterback Kyler Murray.
At precisely 4:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday — the official start of the 2026 league year to the minute — the Cardinals announced that they have parted ways with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2019 draft.
"With today's start of the new league year and transactions now official, we want to thank Kyler for everything he has done for this organization over the last seven years," Cardinals G.M. Monti Ossenfort said in a statement. "We are extremely grateful for his contributions both on the field and off and we wish him nothing but the absolute best moving forward."
The Cardinals owe Murray $36.8 million for 2026. This allows him to sign a one-year deal for $1.3 million, with the Cardinals paying the $35.5 million balance.
As explained earlier, the Vikings making the most sense. Most of the other teams that were looking for a starter have addressed their needs.
Barring a major upset, the Vikings will add Murray to the depth chart, at a very low cost.
SCOTTSDALE, AZ - OCTOBER 20: A general view of Salt River Fields prior to the game between the Surprise Saguaros and the Salt River Rafters at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick on Wednesday, October 20, 2021 in Scottsdale, Arizona. (Photo by Jill Weisleder/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
The big news in today’s line-up sits right at the top, where Corbin Carroll is back in the line-up. It’s an amazingly quick return, just one month and a day after he suffered the injury on a swing during live batting practice on February 10. Given that when we looked at previous hamate-afflicted players, the average amount of time missed was almost twice as much, at 61 days, this is remarkably quick. In fact, it’s quicker than any of the players in our (admittedly fairly small) sample from the past five years. It being spring training may be a factor: this could be the equivalent of a rehab assignment. It’s good to see him, regardless; let’s just hope he is not being rushed back.
Ryne Nelson gets the start, and after him we can expect to see RHP Thomas Hatch, RHP Kevin Ginkel, RHP Ryan Thompson and LHP Philip Abner. It will be Nelson’s third start of spring: the other two lasted for a total of 4.2 innings, allowing two runs on three hits, with an impressive 6:0 K:BB ratio so far. With the news that Zac Gallen is going to be the Opening Day starter (I’ll be writing that up next), the next question is where Nelson is going to slot into the rotation. My instinct is it’ll be just behind Gallen, but we’ll see. Out of the bullpen, Ginkel and Thompson are the names to watch, as they look to establish dominance among our relief corps.
GLENDALE, ARIZONA - MARCH 05: A detail view of a Cleveland Guardians batting helmet during a spring training game against the Chicago White Sox at Camelback Ranch on March 05, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Despite fielding one of the worst offenses in baseball last season, the Cleveland Guardians still finished atop the American League Central when the dust settled. How an organization that was almost anemic offensively managed to win its division can be puzzling at first glance.
The ballclub by the lake does one thing as well as anyone in baseball. They manufacture the one thing every team needs and no team ever has enough of: pitching. For more than a decade, Cleveland has been one of baseball’s most reliable pitching development pipelines, consistently turning highly ranked prospects, mid-round draft picks, and overlooked arms into major league contributors. That model has kept the Guardians competitive despite operating with a payroll far smaller than many American League rivals.
Last season that formula paid off again. Cleveland stormed back late to claim its second straight AL Central title. Whether it holds again in 2026 will depend on two familiar questions: whether the pitching machine keeps humming and whether the offense around José Ramírez can provide enough support.
2025 record: 88-74 (1st, AL Central) 2026 FanGraphs projection: 76–86 (4th, AL Central)
Cleveland’s identity begins on the mound. Even as recognizable names cycle off the roster, the Guardians continue to produce quality pitchers at a rate few organizations can match. Tanner Bibee and Gavin Williams represent the latest examples of Cleveland turning young arms into frontline starters.
The numbers explain why the organization is viewed as one of baseball’s most effective pitching development systems. Over the past three seasons, Guardians pitchers have ranked near the top of the American League in run prevention metrics. Cleveland finished 2025 among league leaders in ERA, fourth overall with a 3.70 team ERA while also ranking near the top in strikeout-to-walk ratio. The staff’s ability to limit free passes has been particularly impressive, as Cleveland routinely posts one of the lowest walk rates in baseball.
Underlying pitch metrics tell the same story. Statcast and FanGraphs data regularly show Cleveland pitchers near the top of the league in chase rate and weak contact allowed, two indicators strongly tied to sustainable run prevention. Pitching coach Carl Willis has emphasized pitch design, mechanical adjustments, and a clear organizational philosophy that helps the Guardians extract value from arms throughout their system.
Yankees pitching coach Matt Blake spent time in Cleveland’s organization earlier in his career, and since his arrival in New York it’s easy to see similarities between the two teams’ pitching philosophies. Both organizations emphasize data-driven adjustments and maximizing the strengths of each arm.
While Cleveland’s identity remains tied to the mound, the offense revolves around one of the most quietly dominant players of this generation. José Ramírez remains the centerpiece of the lineup and one of baseball’s most complete players, combining power, plate discipline, baserunning, and good defensive. Last season J-Ram posted 5.8 WAR with 30 home runs and 44 stolen bases, good for an .863 OPS and a third-place finish in the MVP race behind the first loser Cal Raleigh and, of course, The Captain himself, Aaron Judge.
He must also really believe Cleveland rocks. Ramírez signed a seven-year, $175 million extension that will keep him with the Guardians through his age-39 season, a rare commitment between a star player and a small-market franchise.
Alongside Ramírez, Steven Kwan provides a completely different but valuable offensive profile. His contact ability and disciplined approach make him one of the hardest hitters in the league to strike out and a natural table-setter at the top of the lineup. Cleveland needs that skill set, because offense has often been hard to come by. The Guardians scored more runs than only the Pirates and Rockies in all of baseball last season.
Beyond those two anchors, Cleveland once again hopes several young hitters can take the next step. Bo Naylor and Kyle Manzardo represent the next wave of offensive hope, while top prospects Chase DeLauter and George Valera should also factor into the lineup this season.
That reliance on internal development reflects Cleveland’s long-standing roster philosophy. This offseason, their most notable addition was first baseman/designated hitter Rhys Hoskins on a minor league deal. Hoskins is expected to make the big league club and projects as a regular splitting time between first base and designated hitter with Manzardo. Even after losing their star closer and a starting pitcher to betting allegations last July, the Guardians made no real additions to reinforce the bullpen or the rotation.
Rather than chasing free agents, Cleveland continues trusting its development pipeline to supply the next wave of contributors. In some seasons that approach works beautifully. In others, it leaves the lineup searching for consistent production behind Ramírez. That volatility is why Cleveland remains one of the harder teams in baseball to project. Their pitching depth keeps them competitive most seasons, but the offense often determines whether they hover around .500 or push toward the top of the division.
A team built on development rarely views its roster as static. If Cleveland struggles early this summer, the front office could again explore selling pieces for additional young talent.
That flexibility is part of why the Guardians feel like a team that simply refuses to go away. Some seasons they’re the belle of the trade deadline ball, making just enough moves to stay competitive without committing to a full rebuild. Then later that same year, they’re a team you see in October with grown men dancing to the SpongeBob theme song.
For the Yankees, Cleveland remains one of the more intriguing matchups on the schedule. The Guardians may not always feature the most intimidating lineup, but their pitching development consistently produces staffs capable of neutralizing even elite offenses. Games between these two clubs often turn into battles of pitching depth, discipline at the plate, and occasionally get a little chippy.
As long as Cleveland continues producing pitchers the way it has for the last decade — and as long as José Ramírez stays healthy — the Guardians will remain one of baseball’s quietest but most persistent threats.
More Pinstripe Alley MLB team season previews can be found here.
VENICE, FLORIDA - MARCH 23: Spencer Strider #99 of the Atlanta Braves delivers a pitch in the first inning against the Baltimore Orioles during a Grapefruit League spring training game at CoolToday Park on March 23, 2025 in Venice, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images
At the top line, Spencer Strider looked really good on Wednesday afternoon: four innings, one walk, five strikeouts. When you consider that it was a visiting Rays team, maybe that’s more akin to something expected, but… I thought that this was a nice outing for him.
When Strider returned from injury last year, my amateur take on his struggles early was that he was struggling to stay mechanically consistent after taking a break between innings. Then, when things fell apart for him later in the year after his really nice run of starts, it was the slider mechanics (and resulting command) that did him in. So, I wasn’t surprised at all to see that in his first two Spring Training outings, the things he was struggling with were these same two: getting feel back after “going up and down” and having any semblance of consistency on his slider release.
So, the good news, if you care at all about my divinations into a guy’s mechanics in Spring Training, is that Strider looked much better for big chunks of this outing. There seemed to be a concerted effort to “slow down,” which I saw both in that he was “pulling” his four-seamer a lot (later release) and that everything was definitely not max effort.
The end result seemed to work out fairly well, especially towards the latter half of the outing. Strider worked the fastball early and didn’t get creamed for it (again, a quarter-strength Rays lineup at best here) and then really started carving up the set of Spring Training randos in his latter two frames. When he struck out the side in the third, it was very vintage Strider — Logan Davidson went down on a 1-2 well-located slider below the zone, Chandler Simpson swung through a zone curveball, and Gavin Lux got eaten alive on an above-the-zone fastball. Again, not the stiffest of competition, but still. Strider did issue his only walk in the fourth, but ended his outing with a nice (and Drake Baldwin/ABS-assisted) strikeout where he got Ben Williamson to look daft on two waste-type sliders.
Oh, and there was a game separate from Strider’s outing, too. Who knew. Matt Olson popped his third Spring Training 2026 homer, and the Braves drew some walks against Nick Martinez, but this was a low-scoring game for a while. Martinez actually struck out the side in the third before walking Austin Riley to start the fourth and departing. The Braves had a bit of a rally against Bryan Baker in the fifth: Brett Wisely homered to start the half-inning, Mauricio Dubon was robbed by a diving catch on a 100 mph screamer in center, Baldwin struck out (again), and then Olson, Riley, and Mike Yastrzemski proceeded to dunk balls onto grass to give Atlanta a 4-0 lead. There was a late tack-on run, too, with Luis Guanipa bouncing one up the middle to score a runner from second.
On the pitching end, Raisel Iglesias came in after Strider and had a few scary fly balls, but survived. Martin Perez worked the rest of the slate — all four innings — and was kind of mean to the random Rays’ hangers-on and minor leaguers, given his arsenal. Williamson did pop him for a three-run homer after a barely-there roller and a walk put two on with two out, but the rest was easy pickin’ for the veteran, as he struck out six of the 17 batters he faced.
The Braves will play a night game tomorrow as they head to Bradenton to hang with the Pirates. Will they return with Charlie Morton? Who knows. (Probably not.) Stay tuned.
