Category: Baseball

The 2026 World Series begins on Friday, with the Milwaukee Brewers hosting the Tampa Bay Rays. But before we get back to baseball on the field, let’s take the temperature of the room regarding the looming labor fight.

The collective bargaining agreement expires on December 1 at 8:59 p.m. PT, after which MLB owners will lock out the players.

Three times previously a labor stoppage has caused the postponement of the start of an MLB season:

1972 strike

This moved opening day from April 5 to April 15. None of the lost games were made up, and one ancillary result gave the Detroit Tigers the American League East crown at 86-70, a half-game better than the 85-70 Boston Red Sox, who played one fewer contest. In fairness, these two teams played one another in the final series of the regular season. Boston went into the final game of the season up a half-game playing the Tigers at home, plus lost 4-1 in what was essentially a playoff game for the division.

1994-95 strike

After the previous season ended on August 12 and the World Series was cancelled for the first time in 91 years, it took an injunction from United States District Court to get a deal done on April 2, 1995. Opening day was moved to April 25, about three weeks later than previously planned. Teams in 1995 played 144 games instead of the normal 162. Even with the reduced schedule, a stacked Cleveland team still won 100 games.

2021-22 lockout

As soon as the previous collective bargaining agreement expired, MLB owners locked out the players, and it took until March 10 for a new CBA to be reached. MLB originally canceledthe first two weeks of games, but after the agreement was reached, opening day was pushed back one week, from March 31to April 7. To get in a full 162 games, teams made up the difference by adding a week to the back end of the regular season schedule and mixing in some doubleheaders throughout the season to reclaim the other lost week of games.

Opening day in 2027 for now is scheduled for Thursday, March 25. Today’s question is on what date do you think the next regular season Major League Baseball game will be played?

Let us know in the comments below. We’ll check back in about five weeks to see how we all feel closer to the lockout.

I saw this post come up on my Bluesky feed and shook my head.

Tim Kelly does a great job covering the team for On Pattison, so this is not a criticism of him. He’s merely echoing what the organization is telling the public, including this quote of Dave Dombrowski’s assessment of Bryson Stott’s 2026 season.

“…We like Stott, think he can be better than what he is, even,” Dombrowski said. “He had a really good June, July, August. I don’t know why he can’t be that player all the time.”

The article went on to note that…

Stott was really good during the summer months, hitting .286 between June and August. During that stretch, he shifted to third base to make room for Luis Arraez at second base and didn’t skip a beat at the plate. FanGraphs says that between June and August, Stott not only led Phillies position players in WAR, but his 2.8 mark was 13th among all qualified position players over that period.

However, Stott hit just .217 between March and May. He posted a .692 OPS in September, and then recorded only two hits in 13 at-bats in the NLWCS.

And there’s the rub. Stott has always had stretches where, for two months, he looks like one of the most productive all-around players in Major League Baseball, a star in the making. Then there are 2-3 months where he looks utterly lost at the plate, and he has posted a dreadful .515 OPS in 142 career plate appearances over 10 playoff series.

Bryson Stott is what he is. There is no “better version.” Baseball Reference’s WAR listed him at 1.8 on the season, 3rd-best on the roster among position players. His 3.8 Fangraphs WAR was the best, better than Bryce Harper’s 3.3 or Kyle Schwarber’s 2.9. Based on the eye test, I believe the 1.8 bWAR is more indicative of his true value to the team, but even if we met somewhere in the middle, we could say Stott is a 2.5-to-3-win player whose value comes mostly from defensive versatility.

He’s hit his ceiling, and if Bryson Stott is your 5th or 6th-best player, or one of about 5-6 guys on a team that can pile up 2-3 wins, it’s all good.

But this is as good as Bryson Stott is ever going to get.

He’s not going to be an All Star. He’s never made a Midsummer Classic roster and I don’t expect that to change. His OPS+ in his five years with the Phillies is remarkably consistent: 85, 103, 86, 96, 98. Over the last three years, his OPS has hovered between .671 and .736. His 36 doubles were a career high this season, so that’s great, but the inconsistency and his 2-3 month death spirals are a bit hard to take.

He’s not alone.

The players on the 2026 roster that finished with the lowest OPS+ of any team in baseball this season has a mountain to climb in order to be a top-10 unit. Even in a year in which offense was depressed, the Phillies were still among the most punchless in baseball. At his year-end presser, Dombrowski pointed to position player coaches seemingly not using the data sent to them by the analytics team to its fullest capacity.

“They supply good information that we are looking to improve upon,” he said. “I think they’re very good. They have a good foundation. For example, they work with [pitching coach] Caleb [Cotham] all the time. From the pitching perspective, we’re known as being very progressive.

“It’s not only how you get the information, but then how other people want to use it, too. That is information we need to do a better job at using. That’s not the analytic people’s fault. That’s something we need to do a better job and emphasize on ourselves.”

To be clear, I’m all for the move to replace Kevin Long as hitting coach, but his successor is going to need players with actual upside in order to turn things around.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber are a good place to start. The Phillies were the only team in baseball to have two players in the top-15 of OPS (Harper 13th, Schwarber 15th). Harper’s 2026 numbers are almost identical to his “non-elite” season of 2025. Schwarber’s brutal second half prevented him from matching his otherworldly power numbers from the season prior, but they were still very good. Both players turn 34 next year. The best we can hope for is that they maintain their current output.

Incredibly, only six players (Harper, Schwarber, Stott, Derek Hill, Edmundo Sosa and Brandon Marsh) finished with a WAR that was better than replacement level. Three of them were bench players, and Marsh was, statistically speaking, the worst player in baseball after the All Star Game. The following players all had WARs either at 0.o or were in negative territory:

J.T. Realmuto (0.0), Trea Turner (-0.1), Bryan De La Cruz (-0.1), Luis Arraez (-0.1), Justin Crawford (-0.2), Alec Bohm (-0.2), Garrett Stubbs (-0.5), Felix Reyes (-0.6), Gabriel Rincones, Jr. (-0.7), Rafael Marchan (-0.7), Otto Kemp (-0.7), Adolis Garcia (-0.8).

And only four players finished with an OPS better than .750: Harper (.865), Schwarber (.857), Hill (.783) and De La Cruz (.762). Again, only two of them were regulars.

The veterans on this team are what they are. Not a single one overachieved last year and the vast majority underachieved. Below is the OPS change from their 2023-25 numbers to what they generated in ‘26.

• Trea Turner (-.123)
• J.T. Realmuto (-.122)
• Brandon Marsh (-.074)
• Alec Bohm (-.065)
• Bryce Harper (-.016)
• Kyle Schwarber (-.009)

This lineup is a collection of free swingers. There is no patience, there is no plan at the plate, they just swing. Here is where they rank in terms of swing percentage since their first playoff berth in 2022:

• 2022: 48.3% (T-10th most)
• 2023: 48.4% (9th-most)
• 2024: 48.7% (8th-most)
• 2025: 48.7% (4th-most)
• 2026: 48.3% (6th-most)

In 2026, the best offenses in baseball were also the most patient.

The Brewers, who won 103 games and are playing in the World Series starting Friday night, swung at 43.7% of pitches this year, the lowest number in baseball. The NL’s best offensive team in the regular season, the Cubs, swung the second-least, 45.2%. The Guardians, one of baseball’s final four this year, swung 46.1% of the time, 5th-lowest, and the Dodgers’ 46.2% was 7th-lowest.

Milwaukee, as the 2025 No. 1 seed entering the playoffs, also finished with the lowest swing rate in baseball, 45.0%. The Dodgers were 4th-lowest, and they won it all. The AL-pennant winning Blue Jays had the 5th-highest swing rate, 48.6%, just below the Phillies’, and the Phils’ high swing rate didn’t prevent them from finishing the second-best record in the NL a season ago, so it’s not always a one-to-one correspondence.

But if you’re going to swing a lot, you better hit for a lot of power. In 2025, the Phils’ .431 team slugging was 4th-highest and they hit the 9th-most home runs, Toronto’s team .265 average was baseball’s best and their .427 slugging was 7th. This season, Toronto slugged .381, 26th in MLB, while the Phils’ .395 slugging was 24th. Toronto also swung a ton without much impact, 49.2% of the time, 5th-most in baseball.

In Philly and Toronto, you had two lineups who swung a lot and didn’t do much with all those swings. You can’t ask a lineup that is hard-wired to swing a lot to suddenly grow more patient and swing less.

Sure, it may work for a time. The three weeks in the beginning of August where the Phils suddenly morphed into a more patient lineup was bliss. Not coincidentally, the offense had its best stretch of the season, and the team had its most successful month overall. But it only lasted for those three weeks. Once teams adjusted and the calendar flipped to September/October, the hacking Phillies couldn’t resist their natural impulses.

Which brings us back to Dombrowski and his off-season plan. I am sure there will be attempts to bring new players onto the roster, but the degree to which he will make changes, at this point, feels slight. There’s a chance they bring Bohm back on a qualifying offer. They’ve already committed to Turner remaining at shortstop to start the season. They’re talking up Aidan Miller, who missed virtually the entire 2026 season with a back injury, and Bryan Rincon, who has never played above AA, as offensive contributors for 2027.

“We need to complement those guys with some other players,” Dombrowski said at his year-end presser. “So that will be our goal. Some of them may come internally. I’m not going to put it on his back, but we think a guy like [Philadelphia’s No. 2 and MLB’s No. 59 overall prospect] Aidan Miller is a really, really good player. You see all the young players that have jumped into playing this year and the years that they had. Aidan Miller, when he’s healthy, he’s as good as any of them.”

Everyone hopes Miller and Rincon will be ready to make an impact at the big league level, but it’s a strategy based more on hope than real conviction at this point.

Schwarber and Harper can be the front runners of a solid offense, but they need players around them who either see more pitches and swing less, or double down on power. Too often this team swung a lot with little power behind it.

Perhaps a new hitting coach that makes better use of data can do that. It’s more likely 2-3 parts of the batting order needs to be replaced by different players, with a stronger bench that will allow the regulars more days off to keep them fresh.

Every generation of Yankees has transcendent talent, and for the faithful fans, homegrown stars have always made their passion burn a little deeper. Robinson “Robbie” Canó was one of these stars. A homegrown wonder kid whose timing, big smile, and smooth left-handed swing made him seem destined to take the torch from Derek Jeter and continue the Yankees’ legacy. Oh, what should have been.

Robinson José Canó Mercedes
Born: October 22, 1982 (San Pedro de Macorís, Dominican Republic)
Yankees Tenure: 2005-13

Born on the eastern side of the island of Hispaniola in the Dominican Republic, Canó’s dad, a former big leaguer himself, named him after legendary second baseman Jackie Robinson. Canó grew up playing baseball and basketball on the island but also spent a few years in the States during junior high and high school before returning to graduate from San Pedro Apostol High School in San Pedro de Macorís.

Right after graduating, Canó started his journey with the Yankees. In 2001, at 18 years old, he signed as an international free agent. An unheralded signing at the time, Canó began his path to the show that summer, playing for both the Gulf Coast Yankees and Staten Island Yankees.

Canó slowly worked his way through the farm system and up prospect boards. A free swinger with some defensive lapses, Canó started to take off as he filled out his frame. In 2003, his performance earned him a selection to the All-Star Futures Game. His rising stock also made him a potential trade chip as the Yankees tried to cash in on the youngster.

The Yankees offered to include Canó in the Alex Rodriguez deal before the 2004 season, but Texas chose Joaquín Arias instead. Then, at the deadline, they tried to package Canó and catcher Dioner Navarro to the Royals for Carlos Beltrán. The following month, Canó was part of the Yankees’ efforts to acquire Randy Johnson from Arizona. Canó just kept raking, earning his second straight Futures Game selection in 2004 while reaching Triple-A.

After surviving so many potential trades, the stars aligned in 2005 when the Yankees called Canó up to the majors in early May to replace Tony Womack. The closest regular in age to the 22-year-old Canó was a 29-year-old Alex Rodriguez. Unfazed by the star power in the lineup, the rookie slashed .297/.320/.458 with 14 home runs in 132 games. His performance was good enough for second place in the Rookie of the Year voting, behind only Houston Street.

Canó was even more impressive in his sophomore campaign in 2006. During that season, he made his first All-Star team and finished the year slashing .342/.365/.525 with 15 home runs and 41 doubles. The .342 mark was third in the AL, with only his teammate Jeter and Joe Mauer surpassing him in a bid for the batting crown.

Then, the 2007 season started what would become an 11-year run of playing at least 150 games every season. If availability is the best ability, Canó was the best of this decade-long run. Prior to the 2008 season, Canó signed an extension to keep him in pinstripes through the 2013 season. It proved to be a brilliant move.

The 2008 season proved to be the first down year of Canó’s career, as his average dropped to .271. The whole team sputtered that season and finished third in the American League East. In the final season at the original Yankee Stadium, Canó recorded the final walk-off hit in the ballpark’s history.

The down year and new stadium prompted ownership to go all in before the 2009 season. With new stars aboard, the Yankees went on to have a historic season. Canó and Jeter became the first middle-infield duo in MLB history to record 200 hits in the same season. The team won 103 games while Canó hit 25 home runs and batted .320. The Yankees went on to win the pennant and take down the Phillies for the championship in six games.

It seemed like Canó had taken the torch and was ready to run the Bronx to another dynasty as he hit .319 with 41 doubles and 29 home runs in 2010. He posted a 143 OPS+ with 8.1 rWAR and finished a career-best third in AL MVP voting, trailing only Josh Hamilton and Miguel Cabrera (also winning his first Gold Glove at the keystone). After struggling in the postseason the previous year, Canó almost got the Yankees back to the World Series himself in 2010, hitting .348 with four home runs in the ALCS against the Rangers.

With the championship window still open, the Yankees and Canó kept rolling in 2011 and 2012. The team won the AL East both years before falling to the Tigers in the playoffs. Canó hit a combined 61 home runs over those two seasons while batting .307, plus a career-high 148 OPS+ in 2012. The biggest highlight would be when he won the Home Run Derby in 2011 with his dad pitching to him.

The 2013 season was a year of transition for the Yankees, as injuries ravaged the squad (most notably Jeter and Mark Teixeira) and there just wasn’t enough depth to get the team back to October in what turned out to be Mariano Rivera and Andy Pettitte’s swan song. Canó had another stellar season, hitting .314 with 27 home runs, but without much help, the Yankees struggled and finished third in the division. Canó reached free agency following the season and it seemed like a no-brainer that the star would be back in the Bronx. 

However, in a shocking situation, Canó and the Yankees couldn’t reach a deal. The club offered seven years and $175 million but would not come close to the 10-year, $240 million deal the Mariners offered. The heir to the throne signed on the dotted line, packed his bags, and headed off to the West Coast. From that moment on, the Yankees were on a different path. The once-Evil Empire, which chased championships no matter the cost, had a new direction. That new direction has yet to win another title.

For Canó, the post-Yankees years have been complicated. In Seattle, he made three more All-Star teams during the first five seasons of his mega-contract, but he was suspended for 80 games in 2018 after testing positive for a banned substance. The Mariners traded him that offseason, along with emerging closer Edwin Díaz, to the Mets.

Suiting up across town in the other borough, Canó, at 36 years old, was officially on the back nine of his career. He played for the Mets during the 2019 and COVID-shortened 2020 seasons. However, he missed all of 2021 after testing positive for a banned substance for a second time, this time resulting in a full-season suspension.

Returning in 2022, Canó struggled and was released by the Mets. He then played out the season journeyman-style, suiting up for the Padres and Braves for about a month each. Canó continued his professional career in Mexico, most recently playing for the Diablos Rojos del México in 2026 and hitting 15 homers with an .826 OPS at age 43.

Over his MLB career spanning 17 seasons, Canó finished with a .301 batting average, 2,639 hits, 335 home runs, and 1,306 RBIs. He was an eight-time All-Star, a five-time Silver Slugger winner, earned two Gold Gloves, and took home World Baseball Classic MVP honors with the Dominican Republic in 2013. In pinstripes, he recorded 1,649 hits, 375 doubles, 204 home runs, and 44.4 rWAR. All four marks rank among the top 16 in Yankees history.

If not for the suspensions, Canó would have a legitimate case for a call to Cooperstown. He is arguably one of the 10 best second basemen to ever play the game, but between the failed drug tests and his departure from the Yankees, Canó’s legacy is complicated. For Yankees fans, he will always be a reminder of what could have been.

All the same, I wish you would’ve never left. Happy birthday, Robbie!

See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

No, the Mariners aren’t playing in the World Series this year. No surprise there. But that doesn’t mean Mariner fans have to sit out the Fall Classic without any thought of their hometown nine. In fact, there are plenty of Seattle connections featured during this series between the Brewers and Rays.

1B/OF Jake Bauers

2021: .220/.297/.275, 2 HR, 67 wRC+, 0.0 fWAR

2026: .266/.389/.484, 26 HR, 143 wRC+, 3.7 fWAR

By now, you’ve probably heard all about Jake Bauers’s story. How went from considering leaving baseball entirely a few years ago to winning the NLCS MVP award last week. His story also briefly crosses paths with the Mariners — twice! Way back in 2018, Bauers was traded from the Rays to the Guardians as part of the three-way, Edwin Encarnacion/Yandy Díaz trade. (Weird that that trade included two key players during this postseason eight years later.) Bauers was later traded to Seattle in June 2021 and posted an ugly 67 wRC+ across 202 plate appearances during the second half of that season. He was outrighted off the 40-man roster at the end of the season and bounced between the Reds and Yankees before latching on with the Brewers in 2023.

INF Ben Williamson

2025: .253/.294/.310, 1 HR, 76 wRC+, 0.4 fWAR

2026: .238/.302/.318, 3 HR, 76 wRC+, 0.2 fWAR

Ben Williamson made his major league debut with the Mariners last year combining excellent defense at third base with a noodle bat at the plate. Recognizing a need for a more potent profile at a traditionally offense-focused position, the Mariners traded Williamson to the Rays during the offseason as part of the three-way, Brendan Donovan deal. With Junior Caminero manning the hot corner for Tampa Bay, Williamson spent most of the season as a utility infielder, splitting time between second base and shortstop. His defensive chops were stretched a little at those two up-the-middle positions and he matched his rookie campaign with a 76 wRC+ in 2026.

RHP Freddy Peralta

2015 (MiLB): 4.11 ERA, 2.32 FIP, 8.38 K/BB

2026: 4.42 ERA, 4.28 FIP, 2.48 K/BB, 1.9 fWAR

Both of the MVPs from this year’s LCS’s had ties to the Mariners, but you have to go all the way back to 2015 to find Freddy Peralta’s connection. He was dealt to the Brewers in the ill-fated Adam Lind trade as a 19-year-old prospect and made his major league debut just three years later. Peralta was traded to the Mets this past offseason and then dealt to the Rays at the trade deadline, so he’ll be facing his old ballclub in the World Series. His season started off pretty rough in New York — his ERA was just a hair under five in 22 starts before moving to Tampa Bay — but he got things back on track down the stretch and has allowed just two runs in 16.2 postseason innings so far.

RHP Brody Hopkins

2024 (MiLB): 2.90 ERA, 4.08 FIP, 2.38 K/BB

2026: 5.06 ERA, 6.29 FIP, 1.17 K/BB, -0.1 fWAR

Brody Hopkins was the headlining prospect sent to the Rays in the Randy Arozarena trade in 2024. He’s developed into a top 100 prospect and was ranked third in Tampa Bay’s preseason farm system rankings. His athleticism has helped him thrive on the mound even though he’s only truly focused on pitching for four years now — he was a two-way player in college. But that lack of experience has led to some developmental hurdles that have stalled his growth a bit. The biggest issue is his command; he was walking nearly a batter per inning in Triple-A, limiting his strikeout-to-walk ratio to just 1.3. His stuff is nasty, his velocity has played up in shorter stints out of the bullpen, but he simply can’t locate any of his pitches with any regularity.

Those four players are the most notable former Mariners playing in the World Series this year. A special mention goes to Casey Legumina who was a significant piece of the Rays bullpen since being traded to Tampa in April but wasn’t included on their ALDS or ALCS rosters. The Rays have the advantage with three players (four if you count Legumina), plus it seems like Arozarena will be cheering on his former club as loudly as he can this weekend.

Oh, and there’s the fact that the creator of Lookout Landing, Jeff Sullivan, is employed by the Rays. In a roundabout way, Tampa Bay’s success is also Lookout Landing’s success.

Even though the Brewers have only one former Mariner on their roster, the franchise started out as the Seattle Pilots in 1969. By the transitive property, a Milwaukee championship would also count as a Seattle championship, right?

If you’re looking for a team to bandwagon simply based on Mariners connections, you can’t go wrong with either team.

The good news for Connor Thomas is that he’s appeared to have figured it out as a reliever and he should be able to find somewhere to pitch once the smoke has cleared with the upcoming labor war that’s looming over all of baseball. The bad news is that he figured that out with the Kansas City Royals instead of the Atlanta Braves.

Connor Thomas didn’t make too many appearances for the Braves in 2026 but he did somehow manage to become the focus of a rival broadcast’s pity based on his final outing as a Brave this season. Just how badly did it go for Connor Thomas in Atlanta? Let’s get into it, shall we?

How Acquired

The Braves signed Connor Thomas to a minor league deal back in early November of 2025. This came after he elected free agency when the Brewers outrighted him off of their roster oncer their season came to a close. That came after he was selected in the Rule 5 Draft by the Brewers ahead of the 2025 season, so that tells you that something was certainly there for Thomas if a team was willing to pick him in that particular draft. With that being said, it mainly didn’t work out for Thomas in Milwaukee because bone spurs in his elbow wrecked his 2025 season, so Atlanta was certainly taking a bit of a flier on bringing in Thomas.

What were the expectations?

Well, Thomas ended up starting the season on the Injured List due to the surgery that he underwent in the previous year and while he did make a handful of appearances with the Rome Emperors in High-A, it wasn’t until May 22 when he was finally activated and sent to the Gwinnett Stripers. That’s where he stayed until he got called up in early-July, so the Braves really did kind of have Thomas tabbed as organizational depth during his time here.

Honestly, there wasn’t much of a reason to think differently. He was getting 35+ future value grades on FanGraphs, which is very definitionally a fringy prospect. He was a fifth-round draft pick with a modest signing bonus, hadn’t pitched well in all of two appearances with the Brewers in 2025, and had fairly unimpressive numbers from 2022-onward, after he ascended full-time to Triple-A. Largely the only thing he had going for him was running a low-ish ERA relative to his peripherals in some minor league stints, but that does not a pitcher above organizational depth make.

2026 Results

Connor Thomas finished with 19 1/3 innings pitched under his belt during this particular stint, as he proved to be a bit of a ground ball machine (finishing with a 64.4 percent ground ball rate) while also doing a good job of keeping runs at a premium. He ended up finishing with a 2.33 ERA (54 ERA-) and a 2.43 FIP (58 FIP-) across 19.1 innings pitched and 17 appearances — for the Kansas City Royals. When it came to his time with the Braves, well, it was disastrous.

Thomas only made two appearances totaling 6 1/3 innings while he was with the Braves. We all know about the second and final appearance that he made (which we will discuss later) but his first appearance still ended with some poor results. Thomas gave up the first of four homers that he’d somehow end up giving up in such a brief amount of time with Atlanta during his first appearance on July 7 against the Pirates. He wound up giving up four runs while he was out there, so this was certainly a rough experience for Thomas while he was here.

What went right?

The only good thing I can say about Connor Thomas’s time with Atlanta is that he ate some innings. The guy who entered the game after Thomas was done with both of his appearances was none other than Jorge Mateo, who is not a pitcher. Thomas’s job while he was here was to be on mop-up duty unless there were no other options available out of the ‘pen at any given moment.

Unfortunately for Thomas, that scenario came to fruition three weeks later.

I guess, one thing we can say went “right” for Thomas is that he pitched so much better in an extended stint for the Royals that he actually finished with positive fWAR for the year. Seriously: -0.4 fWAR across 40 batters faced for the Braves, and +0.5 fWAR across 78 batters faced for the Royals. Well done, sorta.

What went wrong?

Thomas’s second and final appearance for the Braves was memorable for all the wrong reasons. Walt Weiss brought him in for the sixth inning of a tie game against the New York Mets on July 27, which was a sign that the bullpen was definitely a bit gassed at this particular moment in time. Thomas gave up a single and a two-run homer to kick off his outing and at that point, it became clear that Thomas was going to have to wear one for the team.

Sure enough, he ended up facing 23 batters and getting charged with 10 hits (three of which were homers bashed off of him) and walking five batters in order to give up a grand total of 11 runs over 78 pitches. You know it was bad when the Mets’ TV commentary team was actually feeling bad for the guy instead of cheering on the onslaught.

Anyways, Thomas did indeed receive his ticket back to the minors after this and two days later, the Athletics claimed him off of waivers. Oof.

2027 Outlook

Considering that he did end up sticking around with the Royals through the end of the season and what the Royals were able to get out of him while he was there, it certainly wouldn’t be surprising to see him pitching somewhere once the 2027 season rolls around. He’s a left-hander, he’s under 30 and he’s shown an ability to induce ground balls at a pretty high rate and his stint with the Royals ended up going pretty well. He’s never going to blow anybody away with his velocity but maybe some organization will decide that it’s worth it to see if he can keep on getting opposing hitters to keep it on the ground instead of the air by relying on the varied movement of his pitches. It probably won’t be the Braves giving him another shot, though.

Of course, the Royals still control him, given his low service time, so all of this only matters if they decide to move on. Which, given how he pitched for them down the stretch, isn’t a certainty. Still, he looks like a replacement-level reliever on balance until he shows otherwise for more than a couple of months. But, maybe the Royals helped him figure something out that goes beyond serving as a sacrificial lamb to the long grind of an MLB season.

In 2023, just three years ago, the Atlanta Braves had just completed what is statistically recognized as the greatest single-season of team performance at the plate in a 162-game season. The Braves as a team hit .276/.344/.501 with a wOBA of .359, an astonishing xwOBA of .364, a mind-boggling 307 home runs and a team wRC+ of 126. There is no other offense in the history of baseball that was that consistent over the course of 162 games. If the Braves had gone deep into that year’s Postseason instead of falling flat on their face against the Phillies (for the second season in a row, mind you), that team would be a lot more fondly remembered by not just Braves fans and media but the baseball universe as a whole.

Instead, it feels like one of those things that’ll be left as a footnote to history — especially considering how Atlanta’s offense has looked since then. Despite the fact that six of the core players from that 2023 lineup (Ronald Acuña Jr., Ozzie Albies, Michael Harris II, Sean Murphy, Matt Olson and Austin Riley) are still around and only two of them are currently over 30, the Braves have largely been average in the three seasons since that historic 2023 performance.

Across the three seasons, he Braves have been a completely average ballclub at the plate — they’ve hit .245/.313/.408 with a .315 wOBA, a .321 xwOBA and a wRC+ of exactly 100, placing them in 15th place (exactly middle of the road) among big league ballclubs from the 2024 season through the 2026 season. 2024 saw the Braves go down to a 101 wRC+ (13th overall) before they somehow managed to repeat the trick in 2025 with the same number in that regard and then 2026 actually saw Atlanta’s offense fall down to a 20th-ranked offense in wRC+ with 97.

One thing that’s remained somewhat constant is the home run rate. In 2024, the Braves hit 213 homers (4th overall), hit for .172 in Isolated Power (5th overall) and slugged for .415 (9th overall). In 2025, their homers went down to 190 (14th overall), .155 in Isolated Power (15th overall) and slugged for .399 (14th overall). In 2026, the homers went back up to 204 (7th overall), their Isolated Power went up as well to .162 (9th overall) and they tied with the Yankees for sixth place overall in slugging at .409.

Since the NL Champion Milwaukee Brewers and the AL Champion Tampa Bay Rays are both the talk of the town right, let’s compare Atlanta’s offense in 2026 to theirs. The Braves hit more homers than either the Rays (169) or the Brewers (154, fewest in the NL), Atlanta slugged at a higher rate than either Milwaukee (.403) or Tampa Bay (.402), and the Braves had a higher number in Isolated Power than either the Brewers (.144) or the Rays (.143). So when it came for hitting for power and hitting the long ball, the Braves were clearly better at doing that than any of the two teams who will be playing for that nice gold trophy this Fall.

Despite that, the Brewers (.328) and Rays (.320) both easily cleared the Braves in terms of wOBA and the Brewers did the same in xWOBA (.321) as well. Milwaukee ended up finishing third in wRC+ (107) and Tampa Bay finished in sixth with 104 wRC+.

So what gives, here? I’d imagine that all of y’all who are over here at this particular website are smart enough to realize that there’s more ways to take bases than simply hitting for power and putting ‘em over the fence. Where the Brewers and Rays did a ton of damage this season was from wreaking havoc on the basepaths. According to Statcast, the Brewers finished with a Baserunning Runs Value of 9, which was tied for third in all of baseball. The Rays weren’t all that far behind, as they finished with a BRV of 4. The Braves wound up tied for 21st with a BRV of negative-4. The Brewers led baseball in Extra Bases Taken Run Value and the Rays placed in the Top-10 in that regard — the Braves finished in 23rd in that category.

This wasn’t just a case of Milwaukee and Tampa Bay picking their spots, either — the Brewers attempted to advance baserunners at a less-than-one-percent above average rate while the Rays were only one percent above average in their attempts. The Braves were one-percent above average in that regard and still put up worse numbers on the basepaths.

If you like to think that the Rays and Brewers are on the cutting edge of where the on-field aspect of baseball is heading in the future, then it could be safe to assume that figuring out a way to extract value on the basepaths is going to be the way forward. I’m not saying that the Braves should just forget to hit homers and start bunting everywhere — I am saying that it’s clear the the Brewers and Rays figured out by owner-caused necessity that home runs are expensive and you’ve got to figure out different ways to put runs on the board rather than simply swinging for the fences and putting runs on the board via the long ball.

It doesn’t just mean bunting or eschewing “analytics” or giving up on power hitting altogether, since both the Rays and Brewers have still been able to do that well during the Postseason — it means smart, efficient baserunning and putting pressure on not just the opposing pitcher to make their pitches but also on the defense to stay locked in and make plays in the field against your baserunners. Contact and speed may be the next frontier that we see teams try to maximize on going forward into the future, as both of these teams have proven that if you can put the ball in play and bust it around the basepaths, good things can happen. That appears to be the way forward for the more analytic-minded teams and it’s not going to take a long while for other teams to catch up.

The good news for the Braves is that they appear to be set up pretty well when it comes to the defense and pitching. The Braves have continued to figure out a way to keep their pitching staff afloat despite not having a full-strength starting rotation for a long time now, their bullpen is usually reliable and according to Fielding Run Value, the Braves were top-10 in that category and were better than the Brewers and the Rays. They’ve got the tools to do some good work at run prevention and I’d imagine that that could be the new way for the Braves to consistently win games going forward.

That’s because due to the fact that they’re currently locked in with their core set of batters, the Braves appear to be stuck in a 2023 philosophy due to their personnel limitations. While Walt Weiss, Antoan Richardson, Tommy Watkins and the rest of this staff have been trying their best to make baserunning a strength of this team, they may be limited by the fact that this squad just isn’t exactly adept when it comes to running the bases effectively.

Sprint Speed isn’t everything but it’s pretty tough to be very effective on the basepaths when you’re currently stuck with the 29th-fastest team in baseball according to Sprint Speed. The Braves averaged a Sprint Speed of 27.0 ft/sec in 2026 — the Rays came in 11th at 27.5 ft/sec and the Brewers led baseball at 28.1 ft/sec. In terms of competitive runs (according to Statcast), the Rays and Brewers were both in the Top 3 — the Braves came in at 18th.

This team just may not have the horses to run the track meet in this new era that baseball may be entering into. If that’s the case, then Alex Anthopoulos’s job of getting this offense up to speed (for lack of a better term) may be even trickier than we thought. A lineup that seemed locked in for greatness not even five years ago might find itself left in the dust if Milwaukee and Tampa Bay’s version of baseball turns out to be the way forward for baseball going into the near future.

I’m not going to turn into that guy who says “JUST BUNT IT” whenever there’s even a decent amount of space on the infield but at the same time, it’s fair to ask whether or not the Braves may have found themselves getting left behind at a very inopportune moment in time as far as the future of the sport goes. We’ll see what happens, though.

Does the Colorado Rockies lineup currently hold the foundation for a playoff-contending team if the pitching were much better, or would it need a major makeover before they would be able to contend?

All previous Rockies playoff teams have been anchored by an MVP candidate or two:

• Larry Walker in 1995
• Matt Holliday in 2007
• Troy Tulowitzki in 2009
• Nolan Arenado in 2017 & 2018

It’s possible that one of the Rockies current crop of core young players hits their 90th-percentile outcome and turns into a superstar, but looking at the data right now, there isn’t anyone the low minors that has that sort of ceiling.

But do they need an MVP candidate in order to field a competitive team?

First, we need to define what competitive means in the context of MLB.

Since the third Wild Card spot was introduced for the 2022 season, the bar for making the playoffs has ranged from 81 wins (2026 Houston Astros) to 89 (2024 Atlanta Braves). Based on that, let’s say that a team with a real shot at fighting for a playoff spot in late September needs to be aiming for around 85 wins.

A team of entirely major league “replacement level” true talent players is estimated as one that would win 48 games.

So, to be a true playoff contending team, the sum of all of your players’ value would need to add up to roughly 37 Wins Above Replacement (WAR).

The actual exercise of building a contending team would need to be much more nuanced and in-depth than this oversimplification, but for some quick back-of-napkin math, this will suffice.

With that goal in mind, let’s break down where on the Rockies roster those wins would need to come from

We need to take into account the fact that the pitching talent level in the organization is currently far behind that of the offense. We should not assume they will be able to go from one of the worst pitching teams in the league to that of an average playoff team anytime soon.

Instead, let’s be a bit more realistic and look at the lowest pitching fWAR totals of playoff bound teams in each season since the third Wild Card spot was implemented:

• 2022: 12.9 Seattle Mariners
• 2023: 12.9 Arizona Diamondbacks
• 2024: 12.3 Milwaukee Brewers
• 2025: 11.3 Toronto Blue Jays
• 2026: 7.5 Houston Astros

Other than being further proof that the American League West was truly dreadful this season, the list above gives a decent indication about where the minimum bar is for the pitching staff of a potential playoff team.

Until the Rockies can field a pitching staff around the 12-13 fWAR mark, it likely won’t matter how good the offense is. If they are able to achieve that mark, though, the lineup would need to reach 24-25 fWAR for the team as a whole to have a legitimate chance at the playoffs.

Continuing the oversimplifications: The line for what qualifies an MVP candidate most years starts at around six fWAR. All-Stars generally sit around four. Quality starters somewhere around two.

If the Rockies were able to fill all nine of their lineup spots with quality starters they would be sitting at 18 fWAR from the lineup… well short of the 24-25 we’ve established as the goal. Without finding an MVP-candidate type of player, they’d need to both fill the lineup with quality starters and get three of them up into that clear All-Star tier.

How far away from that were they this past season?

The 2026 Rockies only had five players reach anywhere near the quality starter benchmark:

• Jake McCarthy at 2.7
• TJ Rumfield at 2.5
• Hunter Goodman at 2.5
• Kyle Karros at 2.0
• Cole Carrigg at 1.7

There were, however, many reasons to believe better days could be ahead for this lineup core.

• Goodman was worth 3.5 fWAR just a season ago.
• Carrigg was on pace for roughly four wins before slumping near the end of the season.
• In short stints for the Major League team, both Adael Amador and Connor Norby were on pace for at least quality starter-worthy full seasons.
• Before he got hurt, Mickey Moniak was also on pace to be in that quality starter tier.
• Ezequiel Tovar appeared to break out of his extended slump in the final two months of the season.
• The Rockies still have some potentially impactful hitters at Triple-A including, most notably, Charlie Condon (No. 2 PuRP).

Without needing to wait for the core of the farm system (which currently resides in the low minors) to be Major-League ready, the Rockies could soon field a full lineup of two-ish win starters with a small handful of four-ish win All-Stars.

That is within the realm of possibility with the current core. However, it would require a lot of things to go right.

The best feature of the Rockies lineup is how many potentially decent options it now contains. The team doesn’t have all of its value concentrated in just one or two superstars. They have nearly a full starting nine of solid starter options.

That depth, however, means that there are fewer spots available to upgrade cheaply. It’s much harder to find an improvement on a two-win player than it is to find one for a “replacement level” one.

Tallying all of that up, if the Rockies upgraded their pitching sufficiently, and everything broke right on the offensive side, they could have a playoff caliber roster without finding or developing a superstar.

The margin for error on that path, however, is incredibly slim. They would need essentially every starter on the roster to perform up to expectations.

The more plausible route back to contention is to develop or acquire a star (or two) that can put up MVP worthy numbers and reduce pressure on every other portion of the roster.

That’s easier said then done.

Sadly, the players in the organization that most realistically have that sort of upside are all down in the lower levels of the minor leagues. The team will need wait to see if any of their high-ceiling prospects at Single-A hit the higher end of their projections in order to start planning a stable contention window around them.

In the meantime, a realistic goal at the Major League level is probably just to prove that they can continue to raise the floor and to ensure that when/if they are able to find their next MVP candidate, they have sufficient depth surrounding them on the roster to capitalize on the opportunity.

Please keep in mind our Purple Row Community Guidelines when you’re commenting. Thanks!

Dodgers pitcher Will Klein had surgery on Wednesday to remove bone chips and clean up a bone spur in his right elbow, the team announced. The right-hander is expected to be ready for spring training.

Klein was acquired by the Dodgers from the Seattle Mariners in June 2025 and pitched his way onto the World Series roster. The right-hander pitched five scoreless innings over two games against the Toronto Blue Jays, the highlight a career-best four-inning effort in the marathon Game 3, which needed 18 innings to survive. It was the kind of game that earned Klein recognition in and around Los Angeles, and even occasional free drinks.

Those good feelings continued into 2026, with Klein making the opening day roster, and he was a mainstay in the bullpen for the first four months of the season, fifth on the team with 36 appearances and fourth in the bullpen with 41 2/3 innings through July 31.

Klein on the season had a 3.67 ERA and 3.47 xERA with 49 strikeouts and 21 walks in his 41 2/3 innings, and recorded his first two major league saves. He was placed on the injured list on August 1 with right elbow discomfort and was moved to the 60-day injured list on September 2. The latter ended Klein’s regular season, though he continued to rehab through the last week of the regular season and into October, facing hitters in simulated games.

“With Will it’s more get healthy, show that you’re healthy, throw to some hitters,” manager Dave Roberts said on September 22. “He’ll throw during the week off, then we’ll kind of see if there’s an opportunity later on in the postseason, sort of like last year.”

That opportunity never came this postseason for Klein. He’ll begin next season with one year, 81 days of service time and one option year remaining, having used options in 2024 and 2025.

In the wake of the Dodgers’ elimination in the National League Championship Series last week, president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman said one of his first offseason phone calls was with team owner Mark Walter.

His takeaway from their chat?

“It’s been business as usual,” Friedman said this week.

Over the previous five months, of course, things had hardly been as usual in Walter’s larger business empire.

There was the ongoing federal investigation into the dealings of several insurance companies he owns. His sudden, and troubling, sale of the Lakers in June. Questions about whether he would have to sell the Dodgers next. Uncertainty about whether his Guggenheim Baseball Management group could continue to fund the team at the same historic levels it has in recent years.

However, Friedman said that when he spoke to the embattled billionaire businessman following the team’s sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers, Walter was “obviously really disappointed” but also already focusing on the future.

“What can we do? What are our plans? What are our thoughts for the offseason?” Walter said, as Friedman recounted.

“Our brains weren’t quite there yet,” Friedman added with a chuckle, while speaking at an end-of-season press conference on Wednesday. “But so much of his focus was, ‘How do we put ourselves in the best position to win in ‘27?’”

Friedman’s phone call was the latest indication that, for now at least, nothing about Walter’s ownership of one of MLB’s flagship franchises has tangibly changed.

Team president Stan Kasten made that point repeatedly during the season, downplaying concerns on multiple occasions about the investigation into Walter and any speculation that he might need to sell the Dodgers.

Walter’s holding company, TWG Global, insisted the same in a lengthy statement it put out in August, saying then that “the team is not being sold” while denying allegations of fraud related to so-called “affiliated” loans made from Walter-owned insurance companies to other entities in his business portfolio (including several connected to the Dodgers). 

Granted, only time will truly tell if the Dodgers will indeed be unaffected by Walter’s not-yet-resolved legal saga –– especially after setting MLB payroll records of $415.2 million and $432.8 million the last two years, respectively, according to Cot’s Baseball Contracts’ calculations for luxury tax purposes.

For now, though, “business as usual” remains the company line, going into an offseason in which the team will try to retool for a return to World Series contention.

Seattle baseball fans surely know it already — the Mariners are among five teams in baseball to have never won a World Series title. Heading into the 2026 season, there were plenty of people (including myself) that felt the M’s were in position to make a run at not only reaching their first World Series, but potentially even crossing their name off that short list of teams whom have never reached the sport’s highest pinnacle.

As it turned out, this was not the year for the Mariners. They did not make the playoffs — you, dear reader, surely do not need the reminder. However, with the Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays making it out of their respective leagues, 2026 is now guaranteed to produce a first-time World Series champion for the second time in four seasons. The list of teams to have never won the Fall Classic is about to dwindle even further, down to four.

Both teams have a host of connections to Seattle, including former Mariners players on each roster (Jake Mailhot has more on them right here). The franchise that would become the Brewers started out in Seattle as the Pilots for one season in 1969 before moving to Wisconsin. Their departure spurred the lawsuit that would eventually result in Major League Baseball awarding Seattle another team, the one we now call the Mariners. The Rays on the other hand, while never calling Seattle home, have made more trades with Jerry Dipoto’s Mariners than any other team during his tenure. They may as well be the Mariners’ younger, more successful sibling by the similar fashion in which they run their organizations. It also can’t go without mentioning that Jeff Sullivan, the founder of this very blog, is currently a senior analyst in the Rays baseball operations department.

All this is to say…somebody’s gotta win it all. It’s not going to be the Mariners in 2026. So, without further ado, I present the following discussion prompt:

Who are you rooting for, the Rays or Brewers, to win their first World Series title? And why?

Let me know your thoughts down in the comments!

With the offseason underway, we are taking a look at every player who appeared for the Texas Rangers in the 2026 season.

Today we are looking at outfielder Sam Haggerty.

That didn’t work out as we had hoped, did it?

Brought in to camp in 2025 on a minor league deal after having been released by the hated Mariners of Seattle, Haggerty was brought up in May of 2025 and filled a much needed role on the team, that of a righthanded outfield bat. It was anticipated that Haggerty would be able to provide value in that role in 2026, as well.

We maybe should have been clued in that the Rangers weren’t completely sold on Haggerty by how they handled his contract situation in the offseason. Haggerty was entering his final season of arbitration eligibility, and normally arb-eligible players are signed in early January, close to the deadline for the team and the player to submitted numbers for arbitration. Haggerty’s deal, for $1.25 million, was announced on the day of the deadline to non-tender players, which suggests the Rangers were going to bring him back at their number or else they’d cut him loose rather than risk paying him more in arbitration. Not exactly a vote of confidence in his ability to be a quality righthanded bat.

And, yes, if you want to be pedantic, Haggerty isn’t a righthanded bat, he’s a switch-hitter, but for his career he has a 765 OPS against lefthanded pitchers and a 548 OPS against righthanded pitchers, the kind of platoon split that makes you think maybe he should junk the switch hitting thing and just hit righthanded all the time.

In any case, I regret to inform you that Sam Haggerty did not provide value in that aforementioned role in 2026. He did not provide value in any role in 2026, in fact. Haggerty slashed .159/.213/.182 in 47 plate appearances in 35 games, which is pretty terrible.

I thought that a 395 OPS might be the worst the Rangers have gotten from a player in that many plate appearances in a season, at least recently, and of course I was wrong. Doing a search on Stathead for players with a sub-400 OPS in at least 45 plate appearances in a season for the Rangers, I discovered that the 2024 Rangers had two such players — Davis Wendzel and Andrew Knizner. Wendzel had a 397 OPS, so he at least edged out Haggerty, though Knizner’s 394 OPS put him just behind Haggerty. Knizner put up his putrid OPS in 93 plate appearances, which is pretty impressive, if you think about it.

Curtis Terry had a 279 OPS in 48 plate appearances in 2021, which is the lowest for any player with at least 45 plate appearances for the Rangers since 1973, at the second lowest for the Rangers if we exclude pitchers (Dick Bosman and Pete Broberg qualify in 1972 if we do include pitchers). Robinson Chirinos in 2020, Hanser Alberto in 2016, Mike Carp in 2014 and Cristian Guzman in 2010 are the other qualifiers in the 21st century.

I’m now reminded that the Rangers traded Tanner Roark to the Nationals for Guzman, and am irked.

The most memorable part of Haggerty’s 2026 season is probably the circumstances surrounding his release. Haggerty went on bereavement leave on June 1, and then was designated for assignment a few days later, when he returned from bereavement leave. Unfortunate timing, that.

Haggerty is also a bit noteworthy because he wore number 0. Only three other players in Rangers history have sported a 0 — Al Oliver, Oddibe McDowell, and Junior Ortiz.

I am not a big uniform number guy — I would be hard pressed, off the top of my head, to give you the uniform number of any Ranger — but I do have opinions on uniform numbers. One of them is that 0 is an acceptable number, but only for certain players. There should be some flava to you and your game if you are going to wear number 0.

Al Oliver and Oddibe McDowell? Good 0s.

Junior Ortiz? Anonymous backup catcher. If he were a mediocre starting catcher, I’d say no, but I think a backup catcher who doesn’t play much can be a number 0.

Sam Haggerty as a bench guy who plays a number of positions in the infield and the outfield is an acceptable 0. But in 2026, he was basically a platoon left fielder, and you can’t be a platoon left fielder and wear number 0 unless you’ve got a lot of spice in your game, unless you’re an energy guy.

Of current Rangers on the 40 man roster, Alejandro Osuna and Cody Freeman would be good number 0s. Someone tell one of them to change their number for 2027.

Previously:

Nolan Kingham

During the playoffs, teams that aren’t participating usually fade from the spotlight. MLB discourages any team from making headlines that might take attention away from postseason action. Of course, it’s also quite possible the Blue Jays wouldn’t provide us with much to discuss regardless.

Let’s try a question:

Which Blue Jays player did you have the highest hopes for, only to see them fall short of your expectations?

There are plenty of possible answers, but right now, mine is Travis Snider. Snider was the organization’s top prospect and made an encouraging debut. In 2008, at 20, he appeared in 24 games and and hit .301/.338/.466.

The next year, at 21, he played 77 games and hit .241/.328/.419—not bad for someone his age. In 2010, he posted a .255/.304/.463 line over 82 games.

Some decisions didn’t make sense to me. He was a top prospect on a team that finished 11 games out of first place—so why not let him play every day? At 22, he posted a .767 OPS. Why not give him a regular spot in the lineup?

In 2011, he played just 49 games for Toronto. On July 30, the Pirates traded him.

He spent three seasons in Pittsburgh, hitting .244/.314/.388 over 311 games, and later spent a year with the Orioles.

I always felt he was a bit mismanaged. If you call up a player at age 21, you need to commit to playing him regularly. But the Jays had their struggles with developing young talent at that time, often opting for veterans like Kevin Millar, Brad Wilkerson, and Kevin Mench instead. When a young player arrives at 20 or 21, you have to let him play.

Now it’s your turn. You don’t need to write 400 words—just share your pick and your reasoning.

The World Series starts tomorrow in Milwaukee at 8PM. First World Series against two teams who have never won a title since the 1980 title match.

Tim Stebbins wrote about offseason questions for the Guardians.

Zack Meisel wrote about the hitting and pitching issues that led to the Guardians losing three games straight in the ALCS. Of most note, Tanner Bibee said he is ready to make any changes needed to improve from his 2025-2026 performances.

The Angels fired manager Kurt Suzuki after one disastrous season.