If Giants fans could change one moment in franchise history, what would it be?

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 06: A general view of the San Francisco Giants playing agains the Atlanta Braves at Oracle Park on June 06, 2025 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning baseball fans!

As we approach the beginning of the season, we’re going to be doing some questions for y’all about your thoughts about the San Francisco Giants and baseball in general!

Today’s question: If you could change one moment in franchise history, what would it be?

My brain instantly thinks of the 2002 World Series, but as painful as that was, it made 2010 that much more special.

So I’m going to go ahead and pretend like I can use this power to magically cure baseball players of what is ailing them, and poof! The Giants get 10 more years of quality Tim Lincecum starts.

I don’t care if that doesn’t change the trajectory of those seasons, I don’t have the brainpower to manage the monkey paw on that one. But I do think I’d trade one of the World Series championships of the 2010s to have gotten to see Lincecum at his prime pitching for the Giants for another decade.

If you could change one moment in franchise history, what would it be?

Kansas City Royals news: (Spring Training) BASEBALL GAMES START TODAY!

SURPRISE, ARIZONA - FEBRUARY 19: Stephen Kolek #32 of the Kansas City Royals poses for a portrait during photo day at Surprise Stadium on February 19, 2026 in Surprise, Arizona. (Photo by Jeremy Chen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Spring Training games start today! Like, real baseball games (that don’t count in the standings)!

In yesterday’s Rumblings, Max posted that Stephen Kolek would start today’s game against the Rangers. Jaylon Thompson wrote an entire story about it for The Star:

“I’m excited for it,” Kolek said. “It’s a great honor to be the first one out for us and (I am) just ready for the opportunity to kind of continue what I was doing last year at the end of the season. I’m excited to get out there and get the team rolling on a good note.”

He also collected Mike Moustakas’s thoughts about the late Terrance Gore:

“It’s sad,” Moustakas said Thursday at the Royals’ spring training camp in Surprise. “You know, losing a member of our family and the Royals family, it’s really sad…”

“As great as a baseball player as he was — you guys saw what he was able to do on the field with all the speed — he was such a better person,” Moustakas said. “Just a great human, a great friend, father and husband.

“And, you know, we miss him a lot. We love him and his family. This organization is so great, we are going to do everything to help (his family) out.”

He also wrote about Jac Caglianone:

“When I went to see him in January, he’s completely open to what he learned from last year and how he wants to make corrections and move forward from last season,” Royals hitting coach Alec Zumwalt said. “And he’s come in here and is in a great spot mentally and physically.”

And, finally, he listed “three things” he was hearing:

This season, the Royals have a few NRIs who can earn a spot. MLB veterans Jose Cuas, Hector Neris and Eli Morgan have an opportunity. Each has experience pitching in the bullpen and could be welcome additions for organizational depth…

The offensive side features Brandon Drury, Abraham Toro, Kevin Newman and Josh Rojas, among others. There is expected to be a competition for the final bench spots, and these players could impress with a strong spring.

One of his other “things” was about Jonathan India, whom Anne Rogers wrote about:

Calling it a “family-involved offseason,” India trained at a local youth park near his house so his wife, daughter and parents could come with him. He trained in the gym with his dad. On the field, he reunited with the coach he trained with in high school, Bruce Charlebois, who runs a baseball school in Florida and is someone India has known since he was 7 years old.

“It was like bringing it back to my roots,” India said.

Looping back around to The Star (and because I don’t want stadium stuff harshing my Spring Training buzz), Michael Collins suggests Truman and Troost for the new Royals stadium. I don’t hate the idea.

A stadium near Truman and Troost would be served by an 18th Street streetcar expansion, linking it to the Riverfront, City Market, the Central Business District, the Crossroads, the West Side, Union Station and Crown Center, Midtown, the Country Club Plaza and 18th and Vine., Kansas City’s major cultural and entertainment districts would be connected by a single transit line, allowing people to move easily between neighborhoods and share in the city’s energy — connectivity we have not seen since the 1950s.

Listicles?

At the Athletic ($), Jim Bowden gives us his “MLB rookies to watch this spring: 20 players poised to make an impact in 2026”:

5. Carter Jensen, C, Kansas City Royals

Scouting grades: Hit: 60 Pwr: 60 Run: 45 Arm: 60 Fld: 50

When last season began, Blake Mitchell was considered the Royals’ top catching prospect. During spring training, however, manager Matt Quatraro kept raving about Jensen, 22, and his ascension as a prospect. That conversation continued throughout the year until Jensen was promoted to the major leagues on Sept. 1. He lived up to Quatraro’s expectations and beyond as he slashed .300/.391/.550 with three homers and 13 RBIs in 60 MLB at-bats, good enough for a 161 OPS+.

Jensen profiles as a middle-of-the-order hitter and his power will benefit from the new, smaller dimensions at Kauffman Stadium this year. The most improved part of his game is his defense and it certainly helps that he has future Hall of Famer Salvador Perez as a mentor as he continues to develop as a big-league catcher.

J.J. Piccolo, Royals GM: “Carter is a gifted hitter who makes great decisions at the plate. Great combination of on-base (skills) and power. He’s also done an incredible job working on his defense and has become a well-rounded defensive player.”

At ESPN, Buster Olney is doing position rankings. Yesterday was 1B:

10. Vinnie Pasquantino, Kansas City Royals

After a string of injuries, Pasquantino stayed on the field in 2025 and finished with 66 extra-base hits, 113 RBIs and a career-high 120 OPS+. He played 126 of his 160 games at first base last season but could have more time at DH in ’26, as the Royals rely more on Carter Jensen behind home plate and Salvador Perez plays more games at first.

Blogs?

At Inside the Crown ($), David Lesky looks at players with a lot to gain in Spring Training:

Daniel Lynch IV

I don’t think Lynch is a lock for the Opening Day roster, and if he goes to AAA, he may never see the big leagues again. That’s probably hyperbolic because lefties get chance after chance after chance after chance af…fine, I’ll stop. But this is the first camp that Lynch isn’t doing any starting in. Once a starter gets moved to the bullpen because he’s not good enough to start, there isn’t really anywhere to go if he’s not good enough to relieve either. Last season, he put up a great ERA. The underlying numbers, though, were anything but great. He struck out just 15.6 percent of hitters while walking 9.0 percent. He gave up a hit per inning.

He looked nothing like the pitcher he was down the stretch in 2024 when he was starting to look like a legitimate weapon. He has an edge over a lot of guys because the only other lefty in the bullpen who isn’t guaranteed a spot is Bailey Falter. The non-roster lefties are Chazz Martinez, Frank Mozzicato, Hector Olivares and Hunter Patteson. Knowing the Royals would like multiple lefties in their bullpen, Lynch has a huge edge, but if he looks as hittable as he did last season, he might not lose his job for Opening Day, but he’s going to be on thin ice. And, truly, if he’s on thin ice now, his career will start looking like a lot of non-roster spring training invites.

Over at his new Into the Fountain digs (update your URL), Craig Brown asks “Did the Royals do enough this winter to contend in the AL Central?

So from this list, I’m left to wonder how the Royals missed out on Harrison Bader? When the offseason started, I didn’t rate Bader as a good free agent bet. The industry consensus projected something like a two year contract at close to $30 million. I just kind of saw that as an overpay if that was the deal he was truly able to sign. He inked with the San Francisco Giants for two years at $20.5 million. That seems more than fair. Again, I did not see Yaz getting a bigger contract than Bader.

We can mark it down as a miss, but it’s not a huge whiff. The larger point is, there just weren’t many good options that fit the Royals needs on the free agent market. We see where the Royals spent the majority of their money: signing Lane Thomas. Maybe he will have that bounce-back season and impress.

Despite the less than appealing optics on how much they spent in the free agent market, their roster and the players available always made a Royals-sized splash something of a long shot. Doesn’t make it any less disappointing, though.

At Royals Keep, Kevin O’Brien picks out one pitch from three different pitchers to watch in Spring Training:

Bergert threw six pitches and produced an overall TJ Stuff+ of 105, which is impressive. He also sported five pitches with grades of 52 or higher and a 51.7% zone rate overall. Unfortunately, his chase rate was 25.1%, his whiff rate was 23.9%, and his xwOBACON was .373. Those are all mediocre marks, to put it nicely, and Bergert should produce better results with that kind of TJ Stuff+ profile. 

One thing Bergert seems to be working on this spring to help him overcome this issue is adding a new breaking ball. 

Blog Roundup:


Since we’re about to start a new season, let’s continue on with our nuts and bolts from last week. This week, I’m going to look at the state of Royals media. Back in 2023, when I changed over my OT format from video games to… everything, one of my first topics was “How to Write a Rumblings”. As mentioned:

I have an incomplete, unpublished story called “Future Royals Rumblings Notes” which is a giant scratch pad of story ideas and lists of content I’ve already used (to avoid duplicates)… I organize my Rumblings into 5 main sections: “Official Royals news”, “Royals blogs”, “MLB news”, “Off Topic”, and “Song of the Day”. I often combine a couple, especially in the slow offseason.

Let’s check in on those sources and see how they’ve changed.

BIG REQUEST: If you know of any Royals site that I’m missing, please post them in the comments!

* * * * *

For the first section, here’s what I consider “official” sources. Some writers have come and gone but the sites are all still there. Bluesky has also added another avenue for social media.

KCRoyals.comhttps://www.mlb.com/royals – And associated Twitter/BlueSky accounts like the Royals official account (https://twitter.com/Royals ; https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:3rkgpi6qhb4p6ne4jk2kspzw), Royals Player Development account (https://twitter.com/KCRoyalsPD; https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:x6tn4x7vcrgtxmzzuxjzj4lz), Royals PR account (https://twitter.com/royals_pr), beat writer Anne Rogers (https://twitter.com/anne__rogers ; https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:i4yq27mpdcvjy7brupe3kaee), broadcaster Joel Goldberg (https://x.com/goldbergkc), and communications VP Sam Mellinger (https://twitter.com/mellinger/).

KCStarhttp://www.kansascity.com/sports/mlb/kansas-city-royals – The local newspaper of record needs no introduction. Its writers can be found on social media. Since this list was last created, Lynn Worthy went on to St. Louis and Jaylon Thompson has taken over at the primary Royals beat writer (https://twitter.com/jaylonthompson). Other writers at The Star who cover the Royals include Pete Grathoff (https://twitter.com/pgrathoff) and Blair Kerkhoff (https://twitter.com/BlairKerkhoff).

The Athletichttps://theathletic.com/royals/ – They don’t have a “beat writer” for the Royals after Alec Lewis moved to cover the Minnesota Vikings a couple of year ago. I have a number of former Royals writers who also occasionally write for this or similar outlets. I think these names are all recognizable to longtime Royals fans: Joe Posnanski (https://x.com/JPosnanski ; https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:3fip3tf6aqianjsuq7qqdwop), Rany Jazayerli (https://x.com/jazayerli ; https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:yckd7jrcohsawasws2zdqilf), and Rustin Dodd (https://www.twitter.com/rustindodd)

Royals MLBTRhttps://www.mlbtraderumors.com/kansas-city-royals – Not “official”, per se, but if any little transactions fall through the cracks, the Royals page for MLB Trade Rumors might have them

Google Newshttps://news.google.com/search?q=kansas%20city%20royals – Finally, for anything I might have missed earlier, this is a bit of a catch all. It’s a random aggregator and sometimes has stuff days or weeks old. It’s also a good place to pick up oddball stories from non-standard outlets.

* * * * *

Next up is my first checks for the “MLB” section. I have links to major sports outlets as well as their Royals-specific pages to try and grab even more stories to share.

MLB.com

Fangraphshttp://www.fangraphs.com/http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/category/royals/

ESPNhttp://www.espn.com/mlb/team/_/name/kc/kansas-city-royalshttp://www.espn.com/mlb/

CBS Sportshttps://www.cbssports.com/mlb/
https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/teams/page/KC/kansas-city-royals

Yahoo Sportshttps://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/
https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/teams/kan/

Associated Presshttps://apnews.com/hub/mlb (Their Royals-specific site is gone, but their MLB hub remains)

* * * * *

Blogs have had the most turnover.

Reddit (not really a blog, but you know what Reddit is) https://www.reddit.com/r/KCRoyals/

*

Inside the Crown (David Lesky) The first of two OGs. Many of David’s stuff is behind a paywall, but he still has free posts. (https://insidethecrown.substack.com) (Twit: https://twitter.com/DBLesky)

Into the Fountains (Craig Brown) In the last couple of months, Craig moved from Substack to Ghost. https://intothefountains.ghost.io/ (old site: https://intothefountains.substack.com/) (https://bsky.app/profile/craigbrownkc.bsky.social)

Royals Keephttps://royalskeep.com/ Kevin O’Brien continues to write at the #3 Royals blog after he moved here from Royals Reporter (https://royalsreporter.com/); social media: (https://bsky.app/profile/royalskeep.com, https://x.com/royalskeep)

Kings of Kauffmanhttps://kingsofkauffman.com/ Maybe I was too hasty. We’re lumping the venerable Fansided KOK in with Royals Keep at #3. Keep has longer posts, KOK has more plentiful posts. Both are frequently cited in this space like today.

UL’s Toothpickhttps://ulstoothpick.substack.com/ Darin Watson (https://twitter.com/Darin_Watson) is doing something wholly unique. His site is fairly old. But what he’s been doing the last few seasons is a “This Date in Royals History”. Last year, he was looking back at 1985. So, on July 6th, his entry would be about what the Royals were doing on July 6th, 1985.

*

In the last couple of years, we’ve lost a couple of major Royals minor league sites. Pour one out for these two.

Royals Farm Report: hxxps://royalsfarmreport.com/ (Alex Duvall’s farewell)

Farm to Fountains: hxxps://farmtofountains.com/ (Preston Farr’s note about the site)

EightOneSixhttps://royalsminors.substack.com/p/roster-preview-10-royals-sign-john Looks like Preston has a new gig that I just learned about today (https://x.com/royalsminors)

*

Below are sites that post infrequently but you never know who will wake up for a new baseball season

Royals Data Dugouthttps://royalsdatadugout.substack.com/

Diamond Chronicleshttps://diamondchronicles.substack.com/

Powder Blue Nostalgiahttps://powderbluenostalgia.substack.com/

Kansas City Royals on SI (formerly Inside the Royals, now mostly a junk news aggregator) https://www.si.com/mlb/royals/

Fansided KC Kingdomhttps://kckingdom.com/kansas-city-royals/

Swinging Buntshttps://swingingbunts.substack.com/

Bleeding Royal Bluehttps://bleedingroyalblue.com/

* * * * *

And there’s my full list of links. Again, if you know of any others, please post them in the comments. I’m happy to link to Royals sites, particularly blogs that could use the extra hits.


If you’ve been reading me for a while, you know what clip is coming today:

Another look at St. Louis Cardinals Draft-and-Development

Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal throws at live batting practice during spring training at TigerTown in Lakeland, Fla. on Wednesday, Feb. 18, 2026. | Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Spring Training is underway!  There is new stuff coming out of camps everyday now, a respite from the off-season doldrums where we hashed and re-hashed the same few unresolved debates.  Who knew that they were running a special on hamate bone repair this month?

As is my want, I tend to zig on writing topics when everyone else zags.  New and fresh spring training camp content is hard to come by, so I’m going sojourn off to previously plowed fields on drafting (and signing IFAs) and developing minor league players.  As discussed in other venues, I have been working on some methodological changes to my series on draft-and-development.  A lot of focus has been in the arena of trying to better discriminate the draft from the development part (difficult to do!).  I have some preliminary results.  Needs more work, which will be greatly improved by your contributions in the comments sections.

In pondering how to discriminate development from drafting, I decided the most intuitive way would be to evaluate how players improved (or not) from their first (draft) ranking (in FV terms) to where they have ended up.  To be certain, one can’t actually determine if a single player improving from a 40+ to a 50 outcome is because of development or because the rating was artificially low.  My sense was that although individual outcomes would be difficult to tease apart, I could look at organization-wide outcomes and see if there were trends that transcend individual rating misses.

For example, I might (in theory) see a team like the Cardinals consistently turn a higher percentage of 45 FV prospects into average (50 FV) MLB players.  A single under-rated player is probably not uncommon.  A repeating theme of same could suggest the fine hand of player development, no?

So, I endeavored to acquire prospect ranking data.  I got as far back as 2017 from Fangraphs Prospect Board, so that defined my population (and timeline).  This dataset contains nearly 19,000 prospect evaluations, so it is a deep set, albeit error riddled.  Ugh! Lots of data wrangling with this set.  More to come, too.

You’ve heard me say that it is difficult to evaluate a draft before 7-10 years have passed, and yet I only have a nine year data set to analyze.  So, I also endeavored to try to shorten that window a bit, borrowing an idea from Ben Clemens of FG here, who proposed it is rational to take Zips 3-year forward projections and append them to young players short history to develop a more comprehensive view of said player/prospect.  So, I joined 5,700 Zips projections that came out a few weeks ago with the 19,000 prospect ratings, covering some 4,300 different prospects.  No easy feat. Been working on this all winter, and not done yet.

In essence, as I describe players/prospects, I am describing what Zip+DC thinks this player is today and will be 3 years hence.  If you accept projections as a reasonable source of analysis, then I’ve shortened my window to 4-7 years, which gets me inside that 2017 cut-off (I can find no reliable electronic data source of prospect grades prior to that year).

I had to make a couple other methodological choices which I invite you to comment on.  One is, I’ve calculated each player/prospects’ actual+projected WAR value and divided that value by that player’s MLB seasons – 1 ti create an “average WAR”.  Zips appears to forecast everyone 3 years out, including young-ish prospects such as Raniel Rodriguez, which I found handy.  Thus, every player has a minimum of 3 seasons of data, more if they’ve made their MLB debut.   I used that AverageWAR to assign an FV value of what that player is today and expected to be in the future, as compared to his prospect peers (not all players).   This value is completely driven by Zips projections plus actual production and stands in contrast to the scouting grades I compared them with. 

Then, I distributed that players Average WAR along the 20-80 scale, using the guidance that each 10 places is one standard deviation.  Ergo, 68% of all prospects will have what I term “Adjusted FV” between 40 and 60 and 98% will fall between FV 30 and FV 70 and the remaining 5% will occupy the nether regions 20 and 80 FV.  In practice, I ended up with more 20’s and 30’s because many prospects don’t make an MLB debut, don’t achieve and 35 or higher FV and have no actual production nor any Zips ratings, so they go into the waste bin.

My first test was to evaluate the prospect/players who grade out 80 from their performance and projection.  A total of 5.  The rarest of the rare, top .3%. You can see the list below.  Definitely performances that are outlier (beyond 2 standard deviations from average).  The list passes the eye test, no?

PlayerNameprimary_position_namepitcher.typecareerWARprojectedWARfirstFVlastFVAdjusted.FV
Shohei OhtaniTwo-Way PlayerStarter49.677918.82581707080
Shohei OhtaniTwo-Way PlayerStarter49.677918.82581707080
Tarik SkubalPitcherStarter19.269417.80266456080
Bobby Witt Jr.ShortstopStarter26.732817.60179556580
Garrett CrochetPitcherReliever11.892415.56059455080
Paul SkenesPitcherStarter10.7715.51154606580

 I scaled the AdjustedFV value by starters, relievers, and position players.  In the list above, you are seeing the top .3% of each group.  No relievers performed at 80 FV, FG tends to scale all pitchers to WAR per 200 IP for comparison purposes, but I found the 200 IP limit a bit anachronistic (and this is a modern data set and who pitches 200 IP anymore?) and leverage varies a lot between starters and reliever, so I chose to scale within a like cohort.  Tell me if you agree with a list that shows Devin Williams as more valuable since he broke in than say, Dakota Hudson. 

If this passes the eye test, then the whole data produces some MLB-wide averages we can begin to compare.

GroupTotalMultipleRankingsTrendDownTrendDownPctTrendUpTrendUpPctTradedTradedPctNoChgPctBeatProjectionBeatProjectionPctUndershotProjectionUndershotPctHitProjectionHitProjectionPct
4297371092025%91025%71319%51%115927%284666%2927%

Here we see the total of 4,297 players.  Most (3,710) of the players have more than one ranking, so for most prospects we can see how they evolved a bit in the minor leagues. Note that as prospects are re-evaluated (annually or semi-annually), roughly 25% go up and roughly 25% go down.  A nice even distribution.  I find myself surprised that 50% of original rankings remain unchanged through a minor leaguer’s career.  Realize that 3,700 players get 18,500 rankings, so that tells me initial FV grades remain pretty static across MiLB.  Interesting.  I expected more volatility.

Another tidbit to observe.  About 15% of prospects get traded during their MiLB career.   This number is undoubtedly a bit higher, but in the data I only see prospects who 1) change teams, 2) have a high enough ranking that they are ranked in both organizations.  Is 15% a surprisingly high or low number to you? 

Here is the fun one.  In spite of the somewhat sticky nature of initial FV grades given, actual output + current projection, when converted to the AdjustedFV, results in a 6% hit rate.  Said another way, 94% of prospects who go on to accumulate enough juice to collect actual fWAR or gain a 3-year projection come in at least ½ of a standard deviation off their initial FV grade (which half the time is their final FV grade, too).

That is a league wide look across all prospects.  To get closer to how the Cardinals are doing, I wanted to break it down by each FV grade.

firstFVGroupTotalMultipleRankingsTrendDownTrendDownPctTrendUpTrendUpPctTradedTradedPctNoChgPctBeatProjectionBeatProjectionPctUndershotProjectionUndershotPctHitProjectionHitProjectionPct
352200%2100%00%0%150%150%00%
37.51369119420%36030%19516%70%33825%103175%00%
401722144739828%28219%30221%53%44126%102960%25215%
42.542138817244%9123%7319%32%9723%31775%72%
4547240921352%10726%8922%22%17537%28761%102%
47.577702536%2739%69%26%2229%5268%34%
501401256350%2722%3226%28%6043%7554%54%
5565553869%1018%1324%13%2234%4062%35%
602219842%421%316%37%15%1150%1045%
65311100%00%00%0%00%3100%00%
70400NA0NA0NANA250%00%250%

Here, you see the same interesting tidbits, broken down by FV.  We can safely ignore the extreme ends of the spectrum (20,30, 70, 80) as small sample size, but in the middle seems to be a story. 

For instance, we can see in this view that most players traded (~500 of the total ~700) fall in the FV 40 or FV 40+ ranks.  Very few teams trade 45+ and up players, partially because they don’t have many to trade.  When evaluating trades for prospects, take note.  Remember this when we get to the Cardinals. 

Also note that FV groups that tend to trend up the most are 35+, 45 and 45+.   Almost universally, the trend downs tend to cluster in the upper-echelons of initial rankings.  When evaluating draft picks, take note.  FV 45 is an odd group.  By far and away the group of players most likely to move off an initial 45 rating, going down 50% of the time. 

Take a look at the “undershoot” column.  These are the prospects who have performed (or are projected to perform) lower than their initial FV at draft/signing time.  A rule of thumb would something like 70% of prospects undershoot.  The percentages improve a bit with the FV 55 and up group, but those numbers are so small that a large SSS stamp is posted on them.

So, this is a Cardinals blog after all, so we should talk about them, no?

Here is  the Cardinal prospect-only breakdown, following the same pattern. 

firstFVGroupTotalMultipleRankingsTrendDownTrendDownPctTrendUpTrendUpPctTradedTradedPctNoChgPctBeatProjectionBeatProjectionPctUndershotProjectionUndershotPctHitProjectionHitProjectionPct
37.5474100%1434%1024%66%1123%3677%00%
405552917%1223%2140%60%1731%3258%611%
42.51312325%542%325%33%431%969%00%
451413862%18%646%31%750%536%214%
47.51100%00%00%100%00%1100%00%
501211327%218%655%55%758%542%00%
55211100%00%1100%0%00%2100%00%

See anything?  First, the high floor, low ceiling draft approach jumps out.  Interesting, even now, they are, percentage wise, a little light in the 40+, 45 and 45+ ranges.  That is after all the trades and last year’s draft. 

One thing that stands out to me. The Cardinals have been involved in trades of their 45 and 50 FV prospects at double the rate of league average.  Remember when I wrote earlier that teams don’t appear to like to trade these prospects?  The Cardinals were involved in 6 of the 32 FV 50 trades over the period.  I gather that is mostly a reflection of this past off-season, but I have not proven that yet. I would hate to see how this data looked for the Cardinals before, say June, 2025.

Although the numbers are small, it is noteworthy that 11 of 15 players 45+ or higher have (or are) under their original draft projection.   That would be about 70%, or right on league average for undershoot in that range.  My takeaway on this?  Probably that the Cardinal’s development program, in falling back, fell back to league-average.  Not good enough to sustain their competitive model but not collapsed either. 

I could go a lot of ways with this data.  More clean-up is needed.  Would love to backcast a bit farther.  Thoughts?  Questions?  What made you wonder about that I can explore more?

I’m off to Florida early next week.  I will report back while I’m there and recap after I return.  If you have any questions for me to explore, put it in comments and I will try.  I have an extensive list.  I believe my press credentials are ready. 

Bernie’s Dugout Open Thread: 2/20-2/26

Sep 10, 2024; San Francisco, California, USA; General view of the helmet used by the Milwaukee Brewers before the start of the first inning against the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Stan Szeto-Imagn Images | Stan Szeto-Imagn Images

We’re trying something new to continue our goal of starting (and continuing) conversations within the Brew Crew Ball community. As part of this effort, we’re implementing “Bernie’s Dugout,” a weekly open thread that we’ll drop each Friday.

Feel free to use this thread to chat about (almost) anything you want: video games, food, movies, non-baseball sports, the Brewers, you name it. As long as it’s appropriate and is allowed by our moderators, it’s fair game here.

This is now an open thread:

Mets Morning News: The sun’ll come out tomorrow

Port St. Lucie, Fla.: New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor smiles during a spring training workout in Port St. Lucie, Florida, Feb. 16, 2026. (Photo by Alejandra Villa Loarca/Newsday RM via Getty Images) | Newsday via Getty Images

Meet the Mets

We’re 29 hours away from hearing Gary, Keith, and Ron on air for the first time in 2026, as the Mets’ spring training opener is set for a 1:10 PM EST first pitch tomorrow in Port St. Lucie. That’s a good excuse to take another look at the broadcast schedule for the Mets’ spring training games.

The Mets released their 2026 promotional schedule.

As several Mets infielders learn new positions, they’re playing a variation of HORSE during infield drills.

Speaking of infielders learning new positions, Brett Baty talked about the work he’s doing in right field as the Mets weigh their options for that position ahead of the 2026 season.

Francisco Lindor says he respects Steve Cohen’s decision to make the Mets captain-free for the remainder of the time that he owns the team.

Jonah Tong is adding a cutter to his repertoire this season.

This isn’t Mike Tauchman’s first time competing with a blue chip prospect for a spot on an Opening Day roster, as he started spring training in 2023 with the Cubs in a competition that included former Mets prospect Pete Crow-Armstrong.

Howie Rose will call fewer Mets games this season, as he will not travel for road games. Should the Mets make the postseason, though, he plans to call every one of those games.

Carlos Mendoza says the Mets’ approach to the major league implementation of the ABS strike zone challenge system is to let the players challenge as much as they want in spring training so the team can see who’s good enough at it to do it in real games.

The Mets signed right-handed pitcher Bryce Conley to a minor league deal.

Former Mets center fielder Juan Lagares announced his retirement from playing baseball.

The Mets released minor league player Jefry De Los Santos.

Around the National League East

Battery Power writes that a healthy Austin Riley could be the key that unlocks Atlanta’s lineup.

The Good Phight looks at the relatively uninspiring options if the Phillies were to carry a third left-handed pitcher in their bullpen.

Federal Baseball writes that Landon Harmon is one of several breakout candidates in the Nationals’ farm system.

Robby Snelling, a consensus top-100 prospect in baseball, will start the Marlins’ Grapefruit League opener against the Mets tomorrow.

Around Major League Baseball

The Brewers extended Pat Murphy’s contract as the team’s manager through the 2028 season with an option for 2029.

Owners have been pouring money into a reserve fund in anticipation of locking out the players when baseball’s current collective bargaining agreement expires.

Chris Bassitt, who serves on MLBPA’s executive subcommittee, spoke about owners’ desire to get a salary cap and said, “having suppressed salaries across the league so owners can make more money is not the answer.”

Speaking of the union, Ken Rosenthal writes that Bruce Meyer must expand his capacity to lead following his unanimous election as the organization’s interim executive director following the resignation of Tony Clark.

ESPN is launching Women’s Sports Sundays, which will feature games from the WNBA and NWSL airing in the Sunday night slot that was vacated by the network’s decision to move on from Sunday Night Baseball.

Guardians pitchers Emmanuel Clase and Luis Ortiz have pleaded not guilty to the accusations they’re facing in the fraud case that alleges they colluded with sports bettors to rig bets.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Our daily question asked you about a spring training story line that will age poorly.

Vas Drimalitis wrote about Nick Burdi in a season preview as we continue our attempt to cover every player in major league spring training.

This Date in Mets History

How’s this for timing? The Mets signed Tony Clark on this date in 2003.

Braves News: ABS challenge system, Austin Riley, and more

The Atlanta Braves got a taste of the future of umpiring this week, testing Major League Baseball’s new Automated Ball Strike Challenge System during Spring Training in North Port. The system gives teams two opportunities per game to challenge a called ball or strike and forced Braves players and coaches to begin adjusting to what feels like a new strike zone. 

MLB plans to implement the challenge system league wide in 2026, making this spring an important trial run. While the technology has been tested in the minor leagues, its arrival in big league games will add a new layer of strategy and decision making that could subtly shift the rhythm of every matchup.

More Braves News:

A healthy Austin Riley might be the key for Atlanta’s offense this year, and here’s why. 

Gabe Burns of the AJC discussed how prospect JR Ritchie can help the 2026 Braves.

MLB News:

Bob Melvin is returning to the A’s, this time as a special assistant to the baseball operations department. 

Yankees boost international scouting efforts, but patience is needed

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 30: A detailed photo of a New York Yankees cap before the game against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium on September 30, 2025 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Dermis García. Wilkerman García. Raimfer Salinas. Antonio Cabello. Alexander Vargas. Oswald Peraza. Hans Montero. Hoy Park. Have you heard of them recently? Do you remember them?

A few of of them reached the majors, yes, or had moderate success in the minors in 2025, but in all fairness, their careers haven’t developed the way they wanted. Some fans might even include Brando Mayea and Roderick Arias in that group, but they still have a chance to have an MLB career. It’s important to note, however, that the former hasn’t made it out of the Complex League, and the latter had an 88 wRC+ in 465 plate appearances in Low-A last year — his second in a row there.

Those are some of the highest-profile international free agency busts in recent memory, with some of them collecting bonuses as high as $4 million. The Yankees’ system, however, was also damaged by the signings that didn’t take place, or the ones they lost through the years: it seems that, except for Jasson Domínguez, they haven’t had an amateur free agent making a real impact since maybe Luis Severino, and he was signed in 2011. One could certainly pick nits at Domínguez’s level of impact as well.

It’s hard to point the finger at the players in this group: they were 16 or 17 at the time of signing their contracts, getting hefty bonuses that changed their lives for better or for worse. They often fell victim to huge and unfair expectations for prospects of that age. In the end, their failure to establish themselves as major leaguers was hardly their fault. Of course, maybe one or two of that group could have achieved more and didn’t have the fortitude to make it happen. That’s baseball, Suzyn. However, the Yankees’ employees making the decisions and paying the bonuses on the team might have misjudged their talent and failed to give them the tools to succeed.

Those misses likely led to the organization parting ways with Donny Rowland, their director of international scouting since 2010. To replace him, the Yanks recently appointed Mario Garza, whose experience didn’t come in scouting per se, but instead, in player development and coaching.

Garza hopes to leverage that knowledge and experience into a solid job in his new position. He speaks Spanish and, per Brendan Kuty of The Athletic, learned how to build lasting relationships with Latin American players. The Yankees have a lot of ground to make up on the race to dominate the Latin American market, but they feel Garza’s ability to communicate and generate trust can result in more quality signings.

Garza is also willing to lean on smart, prepared people to reclaim their place as a preferred landing spot for Asian players. The West Coast teams—mainly the Dodgers—have nabbed most of the elite Japanese and Korean talent in the last few years, including some players the Yankees pursued, such as 2025 World Series MVP Yoshinobu Yamamoto.

Reports that the Yankees added Matt Slater and Nao Masamoto to the mix are extremely positive. The former, who worked 18 seasons with the St. Louis Cardinals, is “very connected in Asia,” as Garza told Kuty. The latter became a key cog in the Cubs’ ability to recruit Asian players in recent seasons. Yu Darvish, Seiya Suzuki, and Shota Imanaga are some examples.

To make a long story short, the Yankees needed to implement some changes to their international scouting and player acquisition practices. And the moment they decided to take that step, everybody knew it was going to hurt for some time. Indeed, Rowland’s preexisting agreements with the latest IFA prospects, like Wandy Asigen, became unfortunate casualties.

It’s important to be patient, though, because changes of this magnitude often take time. We are talking about overhauling an entire system, modifying the way dozens of people work, and how they approach the young players, coaches, instructors, agents, and even their own scouts.

Right now, the Yankees are just starting to implement these changes, so expecting them to land top-notch talents immediately is not realistic. They did well to reach a pre-agreement with top international catcher Sebastián Pérez a few days ago, but they will have to actually get his signature on January 15, 2027, and it’s no longer just a formality with them. It has to happen before everyone can pop the champagne, with Pérez and other potential recruits for next year.

It’s also pertinent to point out that we are in the final year of the current collective bargaining agreement between MLB and the MLBPA. A contentious labor fight is on the horizon, and for all we know, the current controversial signing system could change (a draft was floated last time around). Nonetheless, the Yankees—and every MLB team—will still need quality scouting of Latin American and Asian talent anyway.

Changes needed to be made, and they finally happened. Now, patience is required.

A recap of 2026 post-arbitration deadline contracts

Milwaukee Brewers
MILWAUKEE, WI - OCTOBER 11: William Contreras #24 of the Milwaukee Brewers celebrates at home plate after hitting a solo home run in the first inning during Game Five of the National League Division Series presented by Booking.com between the Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on Saturday, October 11, 2025 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Back in January, arbitration-eligible players and teams who did not come to an agreement on a salary for the 2026 season at the deadline had to file for the salary they thought the player deserved. This year, 18 players exchanged figures with their clubs to head to arbitration. The Brewers had just one player among that 18, the same one they couldn’t agree with at the deadline last year, William Contreras.

Now that we’re into spring training, the hearings are all done and the verdicts delivered. Some of the 18 players were able to settle with their teams before going into a hearing, however.

The Brewers and William Contreras were one such example of that. Contreras filed for a $9.9 million salary while the Brewers filed at $8.55 million, but ultimately, just before heading into a hearing, the two settled on a $9.4 million salary with a club option for $14.5 million in 2027, Contreras’ last year of team control. That $9.4 million salary figure is a new record for a second-year arb-eligible catcher.

Here’s a quick rundown on the rest of the players who filed for salary figures after that January deadline:

  • Reid Detmers (filed at $2.925 million, Angels at $2.625 million) – Angels won hearing
  • Yainer Díaz (filed at $4.5 million, Astros at $3 million) – Díaz won hearing
  • Isaac Paredes (filed at $9.95 million, Astros at $8.75 million) – Agreed to $9.35 million contract with club option for 2027 at $13.35 million
  • Eric Lauer (filed at $5.75 million, Blue Jays at $4.4 million) – Blue Jays won hearing
  • Dylan Lee (filed at $2.2 million, Braves at $2 million) – Lee won hearing
  • Bryce Miller (filed at $2.625 million, Mariners at $2.25 million) – Agreed to a $2.4375 million contract with club option for 2027 at $6.075 million
  • Calvin Faucher (filed at $2.05 million, Marlins at $1.8 million) – Marlins won hearing
  • Cade Cavalli (filed at $900,000, Nationals at $825,000) – Agreed to a $870,000 contract with a club option for 2027 at $4 million
  • Kyle Bradish (filed at $3.55 million, Orioles at $2.875 million) – Bradish won hearing
  • Keegan Akin (filed at $3.375 million, Orioles at $2.975 million) – Orioles won hearing
  • Edwin Uceta (filed at $1.525 million, Rays at $1.2 million) – Uceta won hearing
  • Graham Ashcraft (filed at $1.75 million, Reds at $1.25 million) – Ashcraft won hearing
  • Tyler Stephenson (filed at $6.8 million, Reds at$6.55 million) – Stephenson won hearing
  • Vinnie Pasquantino (filed at $4.5 million, Royals at $4 million) – Agreed to a two-year, $11.1 million contract that pays $4.2 million in 2026
  • Kris Bubic (filed at $6.15 million, Royals at $5.15 million) – Bubic won hearing
  • Tarik Skubal (filed at $32 million, Tigers at $19 million) – Skubal won hearing
  • Joe Ryan (filed at $6.35 million, Twins at $5.85 million) – Agreed to $6.1 million contract with club option for 2027 at $13 million

Overall, 12 of the 18 players ended up going to hearings, with the players going 8-4 in those hearings. Six players, including William Contreras, were able to settle with the club prior to heading into the hearing. It was a good year for the players in 2026.

Phillies News: Bullpen, BayCare Ballpark, J.T. Realmuto

CLEARWATER, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 19: Adolis Garcia #53 of the Philadelphia Phillies poses for a portrait during photo day at BayCare Ballpark on February 19, 2026 in Clearwater, Florida. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Welcome to the last Friday without Phillies baseball for a while. Well, that’s not strictly true: there’ll be a Friday off after the home opener. But you know what I mean.

Onto the links.

Phillies news:

For those of us lucky enough to go to Clearwater, the Phillies announced the fan amenities you can expect at BayCare Ballpark.

The Phillies’ new-look bullpen is off to a good start.

For a while, J.T. Realmuto thought his 2026 would see him wearing different colors.

MLB news

Jazz Chisholm isn’t content with just having the coolest name in baseball: he also wants to join Shohei Ohtani in the 50-50 Club.

Uniform nerds, rejoice (to be clear, I count myself among your ranks): the Tigers have unveiled a pair of alternate uniforms.

Davy Andrews of FanGraphs has an unusual, but highly timely question: which ballplayers would be good at ice dancing? ($)

Chicao Cubs history unpacked — February 20

The end of the College of Coaches and other feel-good stories.

On Mondays, Wednesdays, and Fridays, Bleed Cubbie Blue is pleased to present a Cubs-centric look at baseball’s colorful past. Here’s a handy Cubs timeline, to help you follow the various narrative paths.

“Maybe I called it wrong, but it’s official.” — Tom Connolly, HoF Umpire.

Today in baseball history:

  • 1920 – The Chicago Cubs give an unconditional release to Lee Magee after having learned from him a week ago that he has been betting against his team. Magee will sue the Cubs for his salary of $4,500, charging that his livelihood as a ballplayer was destroyed through the sudden canceling of his contract. The Cubs will ask for a dismissal of the suit, saying that “previous to the making of the contract the plaintiff was guilty of betting against the team of which he was a member, and sought to win bets by intentional bad playing to defeat said team.” (2)
  • 1929 – The Boston Red Sox announce they will play Sunday games (allowed for the first time in Boston) at Braves Field, because Fenway Park is located too close to a church. (1,2)
  • 1943 – Chicago Cubs owner Philip Wrigley and Brooklyn Dodgers executive Branch Rickey draw up charter for the “All-American Girls Softball League”, which will eventually become the All-American Girls Professional Baseball League (AAGPBL). The league, originally conceived in the belief that the major leagues would suspend play because of World War II, will operate from 1943 to 1954 around the Chicago area. When the league changes its name and switches to hardball, the pitching distance is 40 feet and bases 68 feet apart. After struggling through poor attendance in its early seasons, the league will draw over one million fans in 1948. (1,2)
  • 1953 – August A. Busch buys the St. Louis Cardinals from Fred Saigh for $3.75 million and pledges not to move the team from St. Louis, Missouri. (1,2)
  • 1953 – The U.S. Court of Appeals rules that organized baseball is a sport and not a business, affirming the 25-year-old Supreme Court ruling. This effectively dismisses the antitrust suits of Jack Corbett and former Brooklyn Dodgers minor leaguer Walter Kowalski. The $300,000 suit of Corbett, the owner of the El Paso Texans, is based on his belief that he lost money when Major League Baseball prohibited him from signing several players suspended for participation in the Mexican League. Kowalski’s $150,000 suit is based on the general principles of the antitrust and restraint-of-trade laws. Their lawyer in these cases is Frederic Johnson, who also represents player Danny Gardella in his suit against Major League Baseball. (2)
  • 1963 – The Chicago Cubs put an end to their radical “College of Coaches” system and hire Bob Kennedy* as manager. Under Kennedy, the Cubs will sport a respectable record of 82-80. (2)
  • 1992 – The episode of the animated series The Simpsons entitled “Homer at the Bat” gets its first broadcast on FOX. In the episode, Springfield Nuclear Plant owner C. Montgomery Burns hires a team of major league ringers in order to win a bet he placed on a softball game against a rival businessman. In the end, though, it’s the hapless Homer Simpson who saves the day with a walk-off hit-by-pitch. A number of contemporary major league stars, many of them future Hall of Famers lend their voices and likeness to the show, which is considered one of the classic episodes of the series. (2)
  • 2015 – Major League Baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred announces a series of measures to quicken the pace of the game. Chief among them are that a batter will need to keep at least one foot in the batter’s box at all times during an at-bat, and that the intermission between half innings will be strictly timed. Pitchers will be required to complete their warm-up pitches before there are only 30 seconds left before resumption of play, or risk forfeiting any unmade pitches. More dramatic changes, such as adding a pitch clock, are not introduced at this time. Violation of the new guidelines will result in fines, and not in game-related penalties. (2)
  • 2025 – The first day of spring training games also marks the introduction of the ball and strike challenge system at the major league level, although there are no plans to use it in regular season games this year. There is a scary moment in the Cactus League game between the Dodgers and the Cubs as Dodgers P Bobby Miller is hit on the side of the head by a hard line drive off the bat of Michael Busch. Miller has to exit the game and is placed in the concussion protocol, but it seems that he has escaped serious injury.

Cubs Birthdays:Frankie GustineJesus FigueroaRyan SweeneyJulio BorbonSpencer Patton. Also notable: Sam Rice HOF.

Today in history:

  • 1472 – Orkney and Shetland are left by Norway to Scotland, due to a dowry payment.
  • 1792 – US postal service created, postage 6-12 cents depending on distance.
  • 1933 – US House of Representatives completes congressional action to repeal Prohibition.
  • 1942 – Lt E.H. “Butch” O’Hare single-handedly shoots down five Japanese heavy bombers, becomes America’s first World War II flying ace.
  • 1952 – Emmett Ashford is certified to be first black umpire in organized baseball; has to wait until 1966 for MLB debut.
  • 1959 – Jimi Hendrix (age 16), rock and roll guitarist, plays his first gig in the Temple De Hirsch synagogue basement, Seattle; fired from the band after the first set due to “wild” playing.
  • 1962 – John Glenn becomes the first American to orbit the Earth, aboard Friendship 7.

Common sources:

*pictured.

Some of these items spread from site to site without being fact-checked, and that is why we ask for verifiable sources, in order to help correct the record.

Orioles news: O’s baseball returns today

Orioles players get warmed up before starting drills. The Baltimore Orioles began full-squad workouts this week at Ed Smith Stadium in Sarasota as the 2026 spring training season gets started. The Grapefruit Leage features 15 Major League Baseball teams that hold spring training in Florida. Games start this weekend and run up to opening day on March 25, 2026. | Mike Lang / Sarasota Herald-Tribune / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Good morning, Camden Chatters.

I’ve got good news and bad news for you, Orioles fans. The good news is that baseball is happening today! The O’s will play the Yankees in their Grapefruit League opener in Sarasota at 1:05. The game will be broadcast on MASN and WBAL radio as the Orioles return to the field after nearly five long months.

The bad news is Jordan Westburg’s murky injury status, which is hanging like a dark cloud over the early days of camp. As reported by The Baltimore Banner, Westburg — who was already sidelined by a sore oblique — had imaging done on his elbow, which indicates the possibility of a much more serious injury. The O’s haven’t announced a diagnosis for Westburg, but in general, when a player has pain in his elbow such that it requires imaging, it’s hard not to assume the worst-case scenario. The initials T.J. jump to mind, and I don’t mean Thomas Jefferson.

Again, nothing is official yet. Maybe we’ll be pleasantly surprised and the imaging won’t reveal any serious damage to Westburg’s elbow. Even if that’s the case, though, he’s still got the oblique injury that will cost him some time, and he almost certainly won’t be ready for Opening Day, further weakening an O’s infield that will already have Jackson Holliday sidelined for a few weeks.

Newly acquired utility guy Blaze Alexander can’t fill both positions at once, which means the Orioles are either going to have to give Coby Mayo another shot at playing third base — something he’s struggled with throughout his minor and major league career — or they’ll need to make an emergency trade or free agent signing. I’ll note that former O’s Gold Glove third baseman Ramón Urías is available, having been non-tendered by the Astros in November, but there’s been no indication so far that the O’s are interested in a reunion.

The Orioles’ season isn’t over just because of Westburg’s injury, nor Holliday’s. There’s a full slate of spring training baseball and then 162 regular season games ahead of us. Still, after the 2025 Orioles were so badly ravaged by health problems that tanked their season, the fact that 2026 is starting with injuries to two key players is turning the spring vibes a little bit sour.

Links

Taking another look at possible position players, German impressed Alonso in live batting practice – School of Roch

I was racking my brain trying to think of what player the O’s had signed from Germany before I realized the headline was referring to Nestor German. I need more sleep.

Rogers will start Orioles’ Grapefruit League opener – BaltimoreBaseball.com

Don’t necessarily take this as a sign that Rogers will be starting on Opening Day for the Orioles. Case in point: the Yankees’ starting pitcher in this spring opener is Elmer Rodriguez.

Three reasons why – Kyle Bradish is vital for the 2026 Orioles – Steve Melewski

These all boil down to: Kyle Bradish is really good.

Jon Meoli: How did Jean Carlos Henriquez end up in Orioles camp after a decade out of baseball? His ‘brazo de goma’ – The Baltimore Banner

I had never heard of this particular non-roster invitee before Meoli’s article, but now I’m pulling for Henriquez all the way. What a baseball journey he’s been on.

Nelly, Vanilla Ice to perform at Camden Yards in Orioles’ concert series – The Baltimore Sun

Phew! What a lucky break that Vanilla Ice was available.

Orioles birthdays and history

Is today your birthday? Happy birthday! The two former Orioles with Feb. 20 birthdays are outfielder Julio Borbón (40) and the late right-hander Jim Wilson (b. 1922, d. 1986), an All-Star with the 1955-56 Birds.

On this day in 1990, the Orioles signed former Red Sox designated hitter Sam Horn. While Horn went on to put up decent numbers in three years in Baltimore, hitting 42 homers and posting a .797 OPS, he infamously struck out six times in one game on July 17, 1991, forever prompting a six-K game to be known as a “Horn.”

And on this day in 2017, the O’s signed free agent Craig Gentry. The veteran outfielder played 145 games in two seasons with the Birds, providing some defense but little in the way of offense, before calling it a career. The Orioles sure had some pointless signings near the end of the Dan Duquette era.

Who is your least favorite MLB team?

CLEVELAND, OHIO - JANUARY 29: Jose Ramirez (L) of the Cleveland Guardians attends a press conference announcing a new seven-year contract through 2032, which extends the contract by four additional seasons, at Progressive Field, on January 29, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Russell Lee Verlinger/Cleveland Guardians/Getty Images) | Getty Images

For me, there’s a clear answer here but it’s not the one you’re thinking. There’s division rivals and the historic, heated division races the Twins have had with the Tigers through the 2000s and White Sox in the late 2010s. 

There’s the Yankees, the source of Minnesota’s postseason misery for nearly two decades. The Dodgers and Mets have spent so much more money compared to other teams that we might lose the entire 2027 season over it. The Astros cheated their way to multiple championships and faced almost no repercussions for it. 

However…

Every time the Cleveland Guardians win a baseball game it feels me with incomparable rage. No one on that roster is good besides Jose Ramirez and Cade Smith. They’re the focal point for the biggest gambling scandal in modern professional sports, including Emmanuel Clase allegedly throwing playoff games. Their fans think they play baseball the “right way” when in reality they just are bad and lucky. I sincerely hope they win 50 games and become what we currently think the White Sox to be.

But enough about me. Who is your least favorite MLB team AND why? Rational or irrational, let me hear it!

Who will hit the Yankees’ first spring training homer?

SARASOTA, FL - MARCH 20: New York Yankees second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. (13) bats during an MLB Spring Training baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles on March 20, 2025 at Ed Smith Stadium in Sarasota, Florida. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Pitchers and catchers reported to Yankees spring training a little over a week ago, and now today, we check off another milestone on the way to Opening Day. It’s the Grapefruit League opener! Yes, it’s that special time of year when MLB players appear in games they don’t particularly care about, all with the explicit goal of not breaking something. But it beats “no baseball.”

The first game will be in Sarasota against the Orioles. Since it’s a spring road game, that means we’re not getting as many regulars, so that makes our question today a bit more tricky than one might think. So who’s hitting the first long ball of the spring?

Here’s who we know is making the trip:

As such, Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Austin Wells would be good guesses since they’re both power threats. And if Amed Rosario is facing a lefty, well, he did slug .491 against southpaws in 2025.

Maybe there’s a surprise in store though! We’ll update this post once we know the full lineup, but make your best guess! And hey, it’s not out of the realm of possibility that the Yankees go homerless today, too, so Aaron Judge and more are in play for tomorrow.


It’s more than just the spring opener today on the site! Andrés will begin our morning by musing on the Yankees’ ever-evolving international baseball operations overhaul, Jake will celebrate the 113th birthday of late-1940s/early-’50s standout Tommy Henrich (Old Reliable), and Michael will preview Trent Grisham’s 2026 season. Peter will have you covered on the exhibition game against the O’s.

Today’s Matchup:

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles

Time: 1:05 p.m. EST

Video: Gotham Sports, MLB Network, MASN

Venue: Ed Smith Stadium, Sarasota, FL

Alex Bregman is loving life with Cubs as Red Sox boss keeps chirping

MESA, AZ — Perhaps back in the day, when Alex Bregman burst into the big leagues as a brash rookie third baseman with the Houston Astros, it would be different.

It was a time when Bregman was a must-hear sound bite, a must-write interview, and had absolutely no filter.

Now, 10 years later, Bregman still is one of the most talented third basemen in the game, with a resume that includes four pennants, two World Series championships and nine consecutive postseason appearances. But he is much more mature and reserved in his thoughts.

He’ll be 32 years old in a month, is a family man with a wife and two young children, a businessman with his own training facility, Club Nemesis, in Scottsdale and has a father running for governor in the state of New Mexico.

Bregman is a bona fide clubhouse leader who is bilingual, studies hitting tapes and scouting reporters to help teammates and minor leaguers in the organization, and has become one of the game’s respected players with his professionalism and work ethic.

And, yes, he has learned the art of diplomacy.

Alex Bregman spent 2025 with the Boston Red Sox.

Bregman, sitting in the bleachers outside the Chicago Cubs’ clubhouse and speaking with USA TODAY Sports, hears the outside noise, particularly emanating from the Boston Red Sox camp, and this time in life refuses to stoke the flames.

If Red Sox president Sam Kennedy wants to say, “If Alex Bregman wanted to be here, ultimately, he’d be here," Bregman will let him talk.

If the Detroit Tigers were so upset Bregman shunned them after the 2024 season that they didn't even engage this winter when he hit free agency again, that’s their choice.

If the Houston Astros still insist they offered Bregman a six-year, $156 million contract when he left as a free agent two years ago, and instead traded for Isaac Paredes of the Cubs, it’s their money to spend it as they wish.

What Bregman will tell you is that he’s absolutely ecstatic to be with the Cubs, and, oh, how the Cubs already love him.

This is where Bregman believes he belongs, but if he wanted to be perfectly candid, he could offer his own retort to the Red Sox by saying, “If he Red Sox really wanted me back, I’d be in Boston."

Alex Bregman contract takes him to Wrigley

It’s not worth his time to go down that rabbit hole and will simply let the facts speak for itself.

The Red Sox offered Bregman a five-year, $165 million contract, with deferred money, and did not include a no-trade clause. The Cubs offered a five-year, $175 million contract, also with deferred money, and included a no-trade clause.

So, if the Red Sox had simply offered a no-trade clause, would Bregman be wearing a Red Sox uniform today?

“It was more than just that," Bregman says.

Did he think he’d be returning to Boston, where he was their clubhouse leader and hit .262 with 18 homers and 62 RBIs with an .821 OPS in 114 games?

“I didn’t know, I really didn’t know," Bregman says. “I obviously loved my time there. Love all of the guys there. Love AC [manager Alex Cora]. I’ll always cherish it."

The memories playing for the Red Sox, even if it was just for one year, will never be forgotten.

“Playing at Fenway is unbelievable," Bregman says. “The fans in Boston are unbelievable. My teammates were incredible. I’ll be a fan of their for life. I loved playing for AC and the coaching staff there. They mean a lot to me."

Bregman hails Cubs 'tradition'

So, considering all of the great memories, if the Red Sox had just given him a no-trade clause, and at least matched the Cubs’ offer, would he still have chosen the Cubs?

“I just really don’t want to get into it,’’ he says. “It’s not worth it."

While Bregman declined to provide details of the talks, a person with direct knowledge of the negotiations believes that the Red Sox were convinced Bregman and agent Scott Boras were bluffing. The Red Sox were confident they had the highest bid, and thought they’d bidding against themselves.

So, basically, it was take-it-or-leave it offer.

Bregman left it.

It was similar circumstances to two years ago when Bregman became a free agent for the first time. The Tigers made the highest offer at six years, $171.5 million, and refused to bid. It was more than the Astros’ offer at $156 million, but included an opt-out only after the second year.

Bregman still thought he was heading to Detroit to join his former manager A.J. Hinch until the Red Sox jumped in with a three-year, $120 million deal. It was not only paying him $40 million a year compared to the Tigers’ annual salary of $28.8 million, but it also included opt-outs after the 2025 and 2026 seasons.

Teams made their choices, and Bregman certainly made his, and isn’t about to look back.

Bregman purchased a home in the Scottsdale area, a 20-minute drive to the Cubs’ spring-training complex, and living in a city filled with Cubs’ fans, with one of every six residents are from Chicago, according to studies.

No need for opt-outs

He is home.

And even with his third different uniform in three years, he hopes to continue his streak of playing in the postseason every year of his career, leading the Cubs back to another World Series championship without having to wait another 108 years.

“It feels good, I’m so excited to be here,’’ Bregman said. “There’s just so much tradition. Great fanbase. So much history. Great energy in the ballpark. Everything.

“I just hope to do my part in helping this team win. Obviously, they already had a really good team, and made a postseason run last year. Now, I hope to help them any way I can."

'You can feel the energy'

Certainly, the hype in Chicago is in full force with Bregman’s arrival. They are no longer dreaming of the playoffs, but a World Series, with Bregman already pouring his heart and soul into the organization.

“He really wants to help guys get better,” said Jed Hoyer, Cubs president of baseball operations. “He’s passionate about it. … It’s rare to have a player that’s invested in helping make young guys better. And you’ll see it in various ways, but it’s a wonderful quality that he has. It’s something people with the Astros talk about and people with the Red Sox talk about, and it’s something he’s earned."

It’s why fans at their Cubs convention screamed just at the sight of Bregman, and after spending the week in Chicago attending a Bulls game, Blackhawks game and Bears game, it’s as if they already adopted him as a native son.

“It’s crazy, it was so much fun," Bregman said. “The energy is crazy, especially with it being 10 degrees outside and just seeing how excited everybody was. You can feel the energy in the city and they love their sports teams, and they love their city.

“There’s so much energy in those buildings and everyone has welcomed me with open arms. I’m so grateful for that. My wife and I are super excited to get out in the community and raise our kids there."

Bregman, a three-time All-Star and Gold Glove winner, realizes there will be ups and downs like any year. He was off to one of the finest starts of his career last year until missing 1½ months with an injury. He hasn’t had that spectacular of season since 2019 when he slashed .297/.423/.592 with 41 homers and 112 RBIs, finishing runner-up in the MVP race.

And, of course, he’s now playing for the first time in the National League. Fans still viciously boo players from the 2017 Astros, who were embroiled in the sign-stealing scandal.

Perhaps in time there will be forgiveness for those Astros hitters still in the game, just as the Hall of Fame voters ended their punishment towards Carlos Beltran, electing him into this year’s Hall of Fame class.

“It was super cool to see Carlos get in," Bregman says. “He was a superstar player, and one of the best clubhouse guys I’ve ever been around.’’

He was also thrilled to see former Astros teammate Justin Verlander return to the Tigers where his career started, giving the Tigers one of the most dynamic rotations in baseball with two-time Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, former Astros teammate Framber Valdez, Jack Flaherty and Verlander.

““I’m so excited for him ... That’s a good team," Bregman said. They got a lot of pitching. That rotation is really, really good."

World Baseball Classic for Bregman. Olympics next?

Bregman was invited by Mark DeRosa, manager of Team USA, to be his third baseman last summer. He was in the 2017 squad that won a gold medal, but as the youngest player on the team (22), only got eight plate appearances. He would have played in 2023, but he broke his finger in Game 7 of the 2022 World Series.

Now, he’s back, representing Team USA.

“I had so much fun that first time playing in it, I really missed out last time,’’ Bregman said. “I always loved representing our country, and take so much pride representing the red, white and blue.’’

He says he looks forward to being around infielders Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson for two weeks, and particularly Yankees MVP Aaron Judge, while getting to know his own Cubs teammates with Pete Crow-Armstrong and Matthew Boyd. The bonus is that Team USA will be playing their pool round games at Daikin Park in Houston, where Bregman played the first nine years of his career, and where his in-laws and plenty of friends still reside.

And if MLB permits their major-league players to play in the 2028 Olympics in Los Angeles, as expected, count Bregman in. He wouldn’t miss for the world.

“That would be the ultimate," Bregman said. “It would be crazy. It would really be incredible."

But for now, well, he’s got a championship to win, this time in Chicago, with baseball already scheduled for October on the Bregman calendar. He is four years shy of tying the MLB record of 13 consecutive postseason appearances, set by Derek Jeter, Mariano Rivera, Jorge Posada and Clayton Kershaw.

“I don't take it for granted at all," Bregman says. “I know how hard it is to get there. How many things have to go right, how many things your team has to do well to get there. So, believe me, I never take it for granted.

“I mean, I just love playing meaningful baseball games in October every single year.

“I sure look forward to doing that again here.’’

Follow Nightengale on X: @Bnightengale

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Alex Bregman loving Cubs life as Red Sox keep talking about contract

Play ball! 30 things to watch as MLB spring training schedule begins

It’s not often that a Major League Baseball team veers significantly from its intended path based on anything achieved under the skies of Florida or Arizona while pitchers get their extra running in on the warning track.

Still, there’s plenty worth watching as spring training exhibitions get underway in the Cactus and Grapefruit leagues.

From position changes to emerging prospects to depth concerns, a great deal of business will get settled – or unsettled – in the 33 days before clubs pack up their trucks and head north – or west, or east – away from the languid pace of spring training.

With that, USA TODAY Sports looks at 30 storylines to monitor as games get underway:

Houston Astros: How nasty is Tatsuya Imai?

Clearly, there are a few teams harboring doubts about Imai, the latest pitching sensation to jump from Japan. He received a three-year, $54 million deal, far shy of Yoshinobu Yamato’s record-setting (and clearly warranted) $325 million guarantee.

Yet Imai can opt out of his contract after each season, a reflection of his confidence that he’s undervalued.

The right-hander does bring an advanced five-pitch mix, including a potentially devastating slider and a fastball that plays up in the zone, the way they like ‘em these days. And there’s always the mystery of how shifting from Japan’s baseball to the Rawlings product stateside affects a pitcher’s stuff.

The Astros have fallen behind Seattle in the AL West arms race. Clawing back to the top will be a lot easier if Imai has a better idea how great he is than the clubs who passed on him.

Kansas City Royals: Is Bobby Witt Jr. cuing up an MVP season?

We’re gonna cheat a little bit and loop the World Baseball Classic into this exercise. Witt will be the undisputed starting shortstop for Team USA, batting atop the lineup and likely around Aaron Judge.

Lest we forget, it was Judge who kept Witt from the 2024 AL MVP award.

Witt has played four full seasons and in the past three, he’s finished seventh, second and fourth in MVP voting. He doesn’t turn 26 until June and already he has a pair of 30-30 seasons and a batting title under his belt.

It feels like his time. And the spring run-up before, during and after the WBC may offer a glimpse of what’s in store.

New York Yankees: Can Spencer Jones get closer to the Bronx?

One thing about Yankee prospects: They’re almost always overhyped, but if they can survive multiple trade deadlines and hot stove seasons and remain in their system, the club probably like them a lot.

Jones, the 6-foot-7, lefty-swinging 24-year-old who clubbed 35 homers between Classes AA and AAA last season, is still around. And while there’s no path to playing time right now, he’s as close as ever to Yankee Stadium.

Oh, the winter was bookended by moves that blocked any viable path to a job: Center fielder Trent Grisham accepted the club’s qualifying offer, and left fielder Cody Bellinger re-signed with the club after testing free agent waters.

So it’s Bellinger-Grisham-Aaron Judge once again, with Giancarlo Stanton slotted to DH. Yet with Grisham a regression candidate after a 34-homer outlier season, injury histories for the starting outfielders and no true backup outfielder on the projected roster, a path isn’t far from clearing.

The question could be whether the Yankees would prefer giving Jasson Dominguez another extended run. But should their run-it-back lineup fizzle, Jones’ prodigious power may inspire them to opt for a jolt of energy.

Especially if Jones can hit a few light towers across the Grapefruit League.

New York Mets: How’s Bo Bichette looking at third base?

Bo Bichette will play third base with the Mets.

Look, there’s probably nothing to see here. We feel shame simply by bringing up the “moderate position change” spring trope. And Bichette is shifting from the more demanding shortstop to the hot corner.

Yet it will be fascinating to see how he looks there and most of all, how a new-look Mets infield may coalesce, with Marcus Semien at second and Jorge Polanco getting reps at first. All this while Francisco Lindor stands on the dirt, his right hand wrapped after hamate surgery, helpless to lend a tangible hand until, hopefully, Opening Day.

Bichette remains in his offensive prime, and after a strong World Series turn at second base – on one leg, essentially – adding a solid third base to his portfolio will only enhance his marketability should he opt out of Queens after one year.

In the meantime, every misplayed short hop will be scrutinized as if Bichette’s never played on the dirt before.

Cincinnati Reds: Is Chase Burns ready to stick?

“Cactus League opening-day starter” is typically not apropos of anything. Yet when Chase Burns throws the first pitch of the Cincinnati Reds’ fake baseball schedule Feb. 21 in Goodyear, it’s absolutely reason to watch.

The fifth starter role in Cincy appears to be Burns’ to lose – unless Rhett Lowder or Brandon Williamson somehow float your boat. And Burns seems poised to build on an eight-start 2025 debut that was at times electric.

He struck out 13.9 batters per nine innings, notched three consecutive 10-strikeout games – the last coming against the Dodgers – and famously struck out the side against Aaron Judge and the Yankees in his debut.

All that thunder came with a fastball-slider combo. But Burns has insisted this spring his changeup is now ready for prime time, a pitch that would play quite nicely off his slider. And if Burns is polished enough to nab the last rotation spot following Hunter Greene, Andrew Abbott, Nick Lodolo and Brady Singer, the Reds’ 83-win playoff campaign last year would look merely like the floor for 2026.

White Sox/Blue Jays: Will Munetaka Murakami and Kazuma Okamoto hit the ball hard and often?

Apologies for the paired entry, but both grads of NPB came to the majors on relatively modest contracts: A two-year, $34 million deal from the White Sox for Murakami, who hit 56 homers one year in Japan; and four years, $60 million for Okamoto, whose stakes are more immediately higher.

The open-ended question: Can they handle big league pitching?

It’s harder and nastier and deeper than what those gents consistently saw in Japan, which is not to say they can’t or won’t succeed. It’s just that for every Ohtani there might be a Tsutsugo or an Akiyama.

The answer to the question matters much more in Toronto.

Okamoto isn’t exactly replacing Bichette, as the Blue Jays will bounce a handful of folks through various positions, but that’s kind of how their offseason worked out. For a team once again harboring World Series expectations, Okamoto’s production will matter.

And while facing spring repertoires isn’t exactly what they’ll see when the big lights come on, every plate appearance is at least a small data point toward whether they’re undervalued gems or potentially overmatched.

Baltimore Orioles: Who is the opening-day starter?

OK, this is the last one of these Dumb Spring Questions we’re gonna do. That Game 1 nod is always good fodder to kill time in February, but it’s legitimately interesting to see how the Orioles’ staff breaks out of Sarasota.

They all but promised a high-priced arm this winter – then came home with Chris Bassitt and, via trade, Shane Baz. That leaves the O’s with a trio of potential aces – the revived Trevor Rogers, the back-at-full-strength Kyle Bradish and the still-seeking-his-ceiling Baz.

The overall group can be formidable, but there’s also enough volatility that they’ll rue failing to land a Framber Valdez type. Rogers and Bradish figure to be the top candidates to open up Camden Yards next month, though Bassitt -already emerging as a key voice in the clubhouse – shouldn’t be ruled out.

Either way, they could sure use a bell cow to emerge in Grapefruit League play.

Detroit Tigers: Can Kevin McGonigle insert himself into the mix?

With each passing week this winter, the Tigers looked more and more like shoo-ins to win the AL Central. Should they reach a third consecutive postseason, they’ll be in need of a difference-maker to finally vault them past ALDS Game 5.

Can McGonigle be that guy?

The consensus No. 2 prospect in all the game likely does not have a home on the Tigers’ opening-day infield, and nothing this spring can change that. Yet given the manner in which teams integrate dynamic young talent onto playoff rosters these days, it seems extremely likely he’ll be around by then.

And quite possibly much sooner.

What a 2025: As a 20-year-old, McGonigle posted a .305/.408/.583 line at three levels, the majority coming at Class AA. He followed that with 25 hits – 12 for extra bases - in 69 at-bats in the Arizona Fall League.

All that makes his at-bats this spring appointment viewing, even if he’s not likely to dislodge Zack McKinstry or Colt Keith from their spots on the infield anytime soon.

Boston Red Sox: Will ABS be a boon for short king Caleb Durbin?

There’s a good chance you’ll be seeing some shrinkage across big league rosters this year.

With ABS paving the way for the inaugural season for a ball-strike challenge system, a player’s height suddenly mattered. And Durbin, the Boston Globe reported, shrank just a smidge when the measuring tape came out to get his ABS dimensions.

Somewhere between Milwaukee and Boston, Durbin tumbled from 5-7 to 5-6 ¼, or 168.3 centimeters. Hey, no need to break out boots: Smaller is better when an automatic ball or strike is on the line.

The Red Sox will be looking for a lot more than borderline calls from Durbin. With Alex Bregman gone, he’s likely their second baseman. Durbin was a league-average hitter in Milwaukee, though worth 2.8 WAR in 136 games.

Peppering the Fort Myers Monster at JetBlue Park could get Durbin ready to impersonate another diminutive star at the keystone in Fenway.

Los Angeles Angels: Can veterans actually improve in Anaheim?

A handful of franchises have proven they can take a veteran ballplayer and unlock the best version of himself, gleaning value where the previous squad failed.

The Angels are not one of those franchises.

Yet if this increasingly cursed club is bound to have any success, they better get started. A pair of off-season trades guaranteed that: Taylor Ward, the 36-homer left fielder, was shipped out for oft-injured but high-ceiling starter Grayson Rodriguez.

And Josh Lowe, a star in the making in 2023, was imported from Tampa Bay and handed the right field job.

It would be a wild turnabout if Lowe – who amassed 3.7 WAR and an .835 OPS in 2023 – found consistent success in Anaheim and not Tampa Bay. Injuries have kept him from playing more than 108 games since; perhaps the waters of the Newport Coast will prove rejuvenating.

Rodriguez, meanwhile, saw several body parts break down the past two years and hasn’t pitched since July 31, 2024. Yet he has a crackling fastball and four years of control. Perhaps he can find it in Anaheim.

Pittsburgh Pirates: How loud are Konnor Griffin’s skills?

The legend is already building in Pirate City. Konnor Griffin, launching a ball over the batter’s eye in dead center field during live BP. Griffin, getting into his pull side power and nearly hitting a set of dormitories behind the left field fence.

Griffin… seizing the shortstop job in Pittsburgh?

Whoa, whoa, whoa. Grainy cell phone footage of tape-measure blasts does not win a man a job. Yet the “if” is written in almost invisible ink and the “when” might as well be in 100-point type: Griffin will own the position in Pittsburgh for years, and pair with Paul Skenes for at least four seasons.

For now, the “when” is fairly immaterial. This Grapefruit League stint is more about building remember-when moments – can he reach the Manatee River? - for a guy whose stardom seems imminent.

Los Angeles Dodgers: Time for the rookies* to make a splash?

For all the boo-hoos over Kyle Tucker’s $60 million deal and Edwin Diaz’s defection west, the Dodgers’ threepeat will almost certainly hinge on other factors. And for all the attention their superstars rightly get, the youngsters among them will certainly factor into this.

Enter Dalton Rushing, Hyseong Kim and Alex Freeland.

Sure, Dodger Stadium is typically no country for young men. Yet the Dodgers’ golden oldies aren’t getting any spryer. And while Freeland is the last of the trio that’s technically a rookie, these heretofore bit players should take this spring as a chance to grab more of the glory in L.A.

Kim already projects to be at least the part-time starting second baseman as Tommy Edman recovers from ankle surgery. Rushing is technically the backup catcher – but Will Smith is coming off an October in which he caught 148 additional innings. And Freeland – at 24, an absolute cherub within this group – should vie for at-bats at both second and third base.

These are no schlubs: Rushing and Freeland were both top-100 prospects and Kim was guaranteed $12.5 million signing out of Korea. No, the great transition has not yet begun at Chavez Ravine. But it can’t hurt to get to know the next wave a little better.

Minnesota Twins: Will the bullpen deepen their disaster?

Reliable relief might be the most elusive element for a playoff team. The 2025 Twins did their very best to solve the crisis for as many teams as possible – yet may have left even more of a debacle for 2026.

Jhoan Duran (Phillies), Griffin Jax (Rays), Brock Stewart (Dodgers), Louis Varland (Blue Jays), Danny Coulombe (Rangers) – they all found greener pastures. The Twins? Their franchise freefall hasn’t stopped – and their deadline sell-off left virtually nothing in relief.

The closer? The less-heralded Rogers twin (Taylor). Anthony Banda was peeled off the Dodgers’ DFA line for lefty relief. Andrew Chafin was summoned from his deer stand. Justin Topa, Kody Funderburk, Cole Sands….it’s, shall we say, not the group it was from a year ago.

An entire unit, essentially, must be re-formed under the Fort Myers sunshine. With Pablo López already out for the year, the misadventures may have only just begun.

San Francisco Giants: Time for Bryce Eldridge to win a job?

The visuals from Scottsdale have been stirring: Towering rookie Bryce Eldridge working out at first base alongside Rafael Devers, and under the tutelage of infield wizard Ron Washington. And then Eldridge borrows an outfielder’s glove and shags balls out there, a testament to the Giants’ determination to get his massive power somewhere, anywhere in their lineup.

And now Eldridge has to hit his way to that gig.

The 6-foot-7 lefty swinger received 28 at-bats last September and still awaits his first home run after striking out 13 times. Giants officials are also patiently waiting on a strikeout rate that hit 27.2% in his first two full pro seasons to diminish.

It’s not a stretch to say this is the most significant position-player prospect the club has had since Buster Posey. Yeah, it’s been a bit of a dry run on that side of the ball for a minute. That’s certainly a lot to put on a 21-year-old who may yet get on the China Basin-Yolo County shuttle a few more times.

For now, they’ll settle for that power that produced 25 homers in 102 games last year to pop in the Cactus League.

Tampa Bay Rays: Can Sugar Shane make Opening Day sweet?

They say the game is at its best when its stars are healthy. Shane McClanahan started the 2022 All-Star Game as a 25-year-old, made a return appearance the next year – and essentially hasn’t pitched since. Tommy John surgery followed by a nerve problem in his left biceps one year ago cost him the past two seasons. It’s been an odd and frustrating period for Sugar Shane.

“I learned how important this game is, and to be honest with you, too, I learned how to find happiness in everyday life,” he said last week, per MLB.com.

While most of the league opens its exhibition schedule Feb. 20, McClanahan is slated to face live hitters in camp for the first time. His Grapefruit League debut won’t come until next month, and the Rays expect him to align for their first run through the rotation when the games count.

He was that close to making it back last year when the nerve issue arose during his final Grapefruit League start before getting the opening-day nod. Perhaps a new year will get him over that last hurdle.

Arizona Diamondbacks: Can Jordan Lawlar play center field?

And hit consistently? And hold down a semi-regular gig in the big leagues?

The Diamondbacks are hoping for all of that out of the sixth overall pick in the 2021 draft, a shortstop who has been limited to 42 major league games due to injury and lackluster performance.

Call this the reinvention: Geraldo Perdomo emerged as one of the game’s most valuable shortstops and Ketel Marte remains an All-Star second baseman. So to unblock Lawlar, Arizona hopes he can be a part-time center fielder.

He played a dozen games there for Licey in the Dominican Winter League and is spending ample time under the tutelage of veteran coach Dave McKay this spring. More outfield at-bats could initially open up if hamate victim Corbin Carroll isn’t ready for Opening Day.

His career .910 minor league OPS could conceivably help the D-backs if he can make the leap. And handle those high Arizona skies this spring.

Athletics: Just how close is Leo De Vries?

There’s nothing quite so intriguing as a 19-year-old in big league camp.

And when you’re a consensus top 10 overall prospect and the headliner of one of the biggest deadline deals last year, it’s tough to hide. So just how will Leo De Vries handle his spring with the A’s?

The shortstop has an absurd array of tools and also an advanced approach at the plate, all the signs you like to see in a quick mover. Certainly, the A’s already have an All-Star shortstop in Jacob Wilson, so it’s iffy whether De Vries can get to Yolo County before the A’s depart Sacramento for Las Vegas in, conceivably, 2028.

Yet for as long as he’s in A’s camp this year, it’s a look at the future.

Philadelphia Phillies: Will Justin Crawford get deep into his bag?

Justin Crawford wants to do it all, including bunt. And like his old man Carl, he may yet have the tools to pull it off.

A lefty-swinging outfielder with burgeoning power and elite on-base and stolen-base ability? The younger Crawford has that, too.

And the Phillies would certainly love to see him seize the primary center fielder job.

It was a weird winter in Philly, with the dismissal of Nick Castellanos and rescuing Adolis Garcia off the non-tendered pile. Not much else was in the offing. Yet the profligate Phils are suddenly ripe for a youthful infusion: Crawford, elite infielder Aiden Miller somehow working into the mix, Andrew Painter holding down the fort for Zack Wheeler.

Yet nothing might be as exciting as Crawford unleashing his skills and jump-starting a power-heavy offense.

Cleveland Guardians: Can Travis Bazzana join class of ’24 in the bigs?

Nick Kurtz is already a superstar. Trey Yesavage took a hero’s turn in the 2025 postseason. Chase Burns should crack the Reds rotation.

So, what of the No. 1 pick in the class of 2024?

Bazzana will get a crash course in international competition representing Australia in the WBC, hoping to escape a group populated by Japan and Korea. Yet before and after he departs for the Tokyo Dome and Pool C, there’s an impression to be left in the Cactus League.

It probably won’t be enough runway to break with the Guardians, as Bazzana was limited to 84 games by an oblique injury in 2025. Yet still, with Brayan Rocchio and Gabriel Arias as likely starters up the middle, opportunity – good health willing - shouldn’t be far away.

“I haven't sensed anything other than Travis is excited to be in camp. He's excited to get into a season healthy and play a full six months,” says Guardians manager Stephen Vogt. “So we're really, really pumped to watch him play this spring."

Seattle Mariners: Is Cole Young the lone missing puzzle piece?

Every single Seattle Mariner regular is either an All-Star, a Gold Glover or a World Series champion.

And then there is Cole Young, full of promise and for now, seemingly the final puzzle piece to a championship squad.

The club bid farewell to Eugenio Suárez, punted on Alex Bregman, traded for Brendan Donovan and then left second base, most likely, to Young. He was just 21 when he made his big league debut last season, posting a .211/.302/.305 line that belied his tools and was deep enough (77 games) to exhaust his rookie status.

And now, the next generation is already breathing down his neck.

Colt Emerson, 20, is also in big league camp, and while Young was a consensus top 50 prospect the previous two years, Emerson is a top 10 guy and, the Mariners believe, a potential star.

“Colt Emerson will play a part in our season. I’m sure of that,” club president Jerry Dipoto told the Seattle Times.

A big enough part to steal an opening-day gig from Young? That might be rushing it. Either way, Young has a window to show he can play with a star-studded roster with World Series aspirations.

Texas Rangers: Is Jake Burger ready to eat?

Speaking of the AL West, the Rangers may be reloaded to contend three years after winning it all, what with a powerful starting rotation, better outfield depth with Brandon Nimmo aboard and burgeoning stars like Wyatt Langford.

Yet is Burger ready to resume banging in the AL?

His adjusted OPS dropped from 125 to 107 to 99 last season, his first after a trade from Miami. Now, they badly need his right-handed pop in a fairly lefty-dominated lineup.

Atlanta Braves: Time to speed dial some arms?

Alex Anthopoulos can only hope this isn’t an avert-your-eyes kind of spring. The Braves have already lost starters Spencer Schwellenbach and Hurston Waldrep to elbow injuries that may knock them out a while.

The club president insists there may not be external pitching adds. We wonder if that will hold true should Reynaldo Lopez or Bryce Elder or Grant Holmes get cuffed around a bit down in North Port.

Chicago Cubs: Can James Triantos take another leap toward Wrigley Field?

Interesting situation in Chicago: The Cubs are loaded for a title run, have Alex Bregman secured for the long haul, but are slated to lose second baseman Nico Hoerner and left fielder Ian Happ to free agency next season.

And it’s never too early to ponder some reinforcements.

Enter Triantos, an infielder by trade who’s now billed as a multi-positional guy. A lifetime .282/.341/.405 minor league hitter recently added to the 40-man roster, who can handle several positions the club may soon need to fill?

Yeah, an interesting spring looming for the kid.

Colorado Rockies: The spring they turned sentient?

Paul DePodesta isn’t revolutionizing the game this time around. Instead, he is simply acquiring position players like Jake McCarthy and Edouard Julien, and pitchers like Michael Lorenzen, Jose Quintana and Tomo Sugano and, you know, seeing what happens?

It’s just a workshopping year for the new club president. And the club won’t even threaten fourth place in the NL West. But they probably won’t threaten 119 losses, either – and perhaps trot out a product that’s watchable.

Miami Marlins: Will Owen Caissie and Kyle Stowers be big hits?

It's a potentially daunting corner outfield combo: Kyle Stowers, fresh off a 25-homer season in 117 games, opposite Owen Caissie, who once hit 20 homers as a 20-year-old in Class AA.

It's also a potential swing and a miss: Stowers punched out 27.4% of the time last year, and is at 30% over a career stretching across three seasons. Caissie, meanwhile, had a career 29.1% strikeout rate in his minor league career, and whiffed 11 times in 27 plate appearances in a 12-game Cubs cameo last year.

Tough level to work those woes out, to be sure. That just makes the sound of ball striking bat all the more important in South Florida.

Milwaukee Brewers: Is Garrett Mitchell ready to roll?

At one point Mitchell was the fastest man in the major leagues, by one metric, and a young building block for a typically youth-heavy Milwaukee Brewers team. And then the injuries kept coming and coming, culminating in a miserable 2025 when he aggravated an oblique injury – and then aggravated a shoulder injury on a rehab assignment, resulting in season-ending surgery.

Without him, the Brewers won 95 games and reached the NLCS. Yet nothing’s permanent in Dairyland, save for the cow pies. Isaac Collins was dealt to Kansas City, taking 441 plate appearances with him.

Now, wunderkind Jackson Chourio is slated to slide over to left field, leaving the majority of center field at-bats in Mitchell’s hands. The 20th overall pick in 2020, Mitchell has a 112 adjusted OPS in 141 career games and elite defensive potential. Heck, he hasn’t even stayed upright to truly exploit the liberal stolen base rules introduced in his second season.

A spry and healthy Mitchell roaming Maryvale, and then Milwaukee, is long overdue.

San Diego Padres: Will the last-minute shopping spree pay off?

A.J. Preller’s mad scientist shtick usually involves trading top 10 overall prospects for immediate help, or throwing nine-figure contracts out with little hesitation.

This spring was something else, though: Grab Nick Castellanos off the scrap heap, add Ty France on a minor league deal, give Miguel Andujar a one-year guarantee oh, and add German Marquez, Griffin Canning and Walker Buehler to the pitching derby.

That’s a busier February than most groundhogs.

And it also makes the Padres’ Cactus League games….interesting? How much does Castellanos have left, and will his 305 pal Manny Machado keep his spirits up? Does France’s past contributions matter at all? Can Buehler make the team on a minor league deal?

A fair amount of drama to play out in Peoria.

St. Louis Cardinals: Does the Winn-Wetherholt era begin now?

Amid the significant restructuring in St. Louis, it’s a little hard to find both current and future excitement on the roster.

Except in the middle of the diamond.

That’s where Gold Glove shortstop Masyn Winn could be joined by rookie JJ Wetherholt, the seventh overall pick in 2024 who has zoomed to the minor leagues with an urgency that suggests, “What rebuild?”

Wetherholt nearly broke down the door to St. Louis a year ago, when he posted a .931 OPS at Class AA and AAA while stealing 23 bags in 28 attempts and ripping 47 extra-base hits.

It is a potentially electric combo. And while their spring digs of Roger Dean Stadium are still under construction, a significant portion of the rebuild may come together even as their spring digs in Jupiter need some spit-shining.

Washington Nationals: Can Harry Ford seize opportunity?

Big Dumper was more like “Big Bummer” for Ford’s career prospects.

Yet an offseason trade sent Ford away from the long shadow cast by Cal Raleigh in Seattle to Washington, where opportunity abounds on the youngest and perhaps rawest team in the game.

Youngest, in terms of both players and management, with 33-year-old manager Blake Butera helming the youth movement. In short, youthful mistakes won’t be tolerated but will be understood.

It’s not a bad place to try and grow, especially when the incumbent catcher, Keibert Ruiz, has posted a .284 OBP over his past three seasons. Hey, Ford may not crack the squad right away. But the dude with the .405 career minor league OBP can certainly give the rebuilding squad a little something to think about

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: MLB spring training schedule begins: 30 things to watch in 2026