Worst-To-First Retrospective: NLCS MVP Steve Avery reflects on the 1991 season

Baseball: 1991 NLCS Playoffs: Atlanta Braves pitcher Steve Avery (33) in action, pitching vs Pittsburgh Pirates. Game 2. Pittsburgh, PA 10/10/1991 CREDIT: John Iacono (Photo by John Iacono /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images) (Set Number: X42012 )

It’s been 35 years since the 1991 Atlanta Braves changed the trajectory of the franchise with an improbable run to the World Series and a classic encounter with the Minnesota Twins. 

Though Atlanta came up short in that seven-game showdown, that season launched a sustained run of success for the team and introduced a new generation of Braves that would star throughout the decade.

Steve Avery was anything but a household name when he entered the 1991 season but found himself throwing some of the most important games in franchise history by year’s end.

The third overall selection in the 1988 draft out of Taylor, Michigan, Avery made it to the big leagues in roughly two years. He took his lumps as a 20-year-old rookie in 1990, finishing 3-11 with a 5.64 ERA in 20 starts for Atlanta following his June promotion.

With the first full season of his major league career ahead of him in 1991, Avery’s spring training goals mirrored the Braves as a whole – just find ways to improve.

“I was just hoping to get better,” Avery said. “I was 3-11 as a rookie, but I was always confident. I wasn’t really questioning that I would get better, but if you haven’t felt the success at that level, then it makes you wonder a little bit. I just wanted to get off to a good start in spring training and kind of took that a little more serious.”

One of the major factors working in Avery’s favor was the unwavering support of manager Bobby Cox. Even though Avery struggled mightily as a rookie, Cox believed the young lefty was primed for a breakout season and insisted Avery be included on Atlanta’s opening day roster.

That opinion was not universal, however. Newly hired general manager John Schuerholz was not convinced. One look at the 1990 numbers certainly supports Schuerholz’s assessment, but Cox went to bat for Avery to break camp with the Braves and Schuerholz reconsidered.

“I’m sure there was talk about me not even making the team, going to Triple-A, and trying to get stronger or better,” Avery said. “Bobby fought for me to stay. He actually told me that after I retired and I came back to spring training a couple of times. He said Schuerholz was in favor of sending me back down and Bobby just told him, “No.” I mean, that’s just the kind of person he was, the kind of manager he was. He had confidence in you and wasn’t afraid to take chances, too.”

The gambit by Cox paid off and it did not take Avery long to prove his worth to the Braves as the 1991 season got underway.

Atlanta won eight of Avery’s first 10 starts as he compiled a 6-2 record with a 3.19 ERA in 59 1/3 innings. The Braves raced out to a 25-19 start and trailed the first-place Los Angeles Dodgers by just a half-game in the old National League West standings after two months.

Strong starting pitching was the foundation for the Atlanta’s new-found success.

Tom Glavine was putting together what would turn into a Cy Young Award campaign, while Avery and veteran Charlie Liebrandt were supplying quality innings. The biggest issue for the rotation was the early struggles of John Smoltz, who went 2-11 in the first half before rediscovering his form down the stretch.

While the Braves enjoyed their best start in nearly a decade, June tested their mettle in ways many of the younger players had yet to experience. It was with those challenges in mind that new Atlanta signed several veterans to strengthen the roster over the winter.

Longtime St. Louis Cardinals third baseman Terry Pendleton brought Gold Glove excellence to the hot corner while first baseman Sid Bream and slick-fielding shortstop Rafael Belliard were signed away from the Pittsburgh Pirates to help shore up the infield defense.

“The leadership was Sid and Terry,” Avery said. “Those guys came over and just changed the way our defense played. We weren’t nearly as strong defensively in 1990. Terry also had an MVP season at the plate. Just a bunch of perfect things came together – young guys that got better and then veterans that were hungry and came out and showed us how to take the field every day with the chance to win.”

The Braves weathered the storm during the summer months and found themselves back on sure footing as the second half began. Just as Atlanta won 9-of-11 coming out of the All-Star break, the Dodgers dropped 9-of-11 and the race was on for the division crown.

“Right after the All-Star break, we had a good stretch, they had a bad stretch, and we cut the lead,” Avery recalled. “From then on, it was close all the way to the last day. So, we felt like it was almost playoff baseball, even during the season for the last month. Then, when we got in the playoffs, it was like we were already ready and tested a little bit. We played well against Pittsburgh and played well against Minnesota. Just fell one run short.”

Over the final 38 games, Atlanta and Los Angeles traded the division lead back and forth eight times as they battled all the way down to the very last series of the regular season.

Tied with three games to go, the Braves took the first two games from the Houston Astros to complete an eight-game winning streak while the Dodgers dropped 2-of-3 to the Giants. Just like that, Atlanta celebrated its first division title since 1982.

The ride was just getting started, however.

Atlanta’s next challenge was a National League Championship Series battle against the Pirates, a team led by future Hall of Fame manager Jim Leyland and starring All-Star sluggers Barry Bonds, Bobby Bonilla, and former Cy Young winner Doug Drabek among others.

Pittsburgh was seeking redemption after losing the 1990 NLCS to the Cincinnati Reds and cruised to a 5-1 victory as Drabek bested Glavine to open the series.

The Braves had an answer, however. Avery was waiting in the wings to give the first of two electric pitching performances at a chilly Three Rivers Stadium in Game 2.

With the gametime temperature a brisk 51 degrees, Avery had no trouble heating up.

“I was really never a nervous person,” Avery said of his preparation for that Game 2 start. “I was always pretty confident. So, I treated it like another start. Obviously, I was used to the cold weather being from Michigan. I think that was a big factor for me, but I just felt good.”

Avery delivered 8 1/3 innings of shutout baseball before finally giving way to Alejandro Peña with the tying run in scoring position in a 1-0 game. The veteran righty recorded the final two outs and sent the series to Atlanta tied at a game apiece.

Unfortunately for the Braves, they went on to lose 2-of-3 at Atlanta–Fulton County Stadium. Back in Pittsburgh with their season on the brink, Avery once again took the ball for Atlanta in hopes of forcing a decisive Game 7.

Just like his postseason debut six days prior, he would not disappoint.

This time Avery tossed eight scoreless innings against Drabek as Atlanta won another 1-0 game with Peña slamming the door. The next day, Smoltz continued his redemption arc with a complete game shut-out in Game 7 to send the Braves to their first World Series since 1958.

Avery’s masterclass – 16 1/3 shutout innings and 17 strikeouts – earned him NLCS MVP honors and still stands as one of the greatest postseason pitching performances in franchise history. All of that from unproven young pitcher who almost didn’t make the opening day roster.

Cox’s insistence that Avery be a part of the rotation from Day 1 instilled a confidence that only grew as the lefty gained more and more valuable experience throughout the season. Avery finished the regular season 18-8 with a 3.39 ERA in 35 starts and 210 1/3 innings.

“I got better and better as it went on and then by the time the playoffs came, I was really confident,” Avery said.

Experience was one part of the equation, but youth also worked to Avery’s advantage against the Pirates. He was seemingly unphased by the October stage.

“I mean, I went out and I was 21 years old,” Avery said. “Sometimes, it’s good to be young enough to where you don’t really know what’s going on. I didn’t really know about being nervous yet. If it was later in my career, I probably would’ve realized it was a little more serious. But at the time, I just went out and treated it like another start.”

Braves pitching coach Leo Mazzone was one of the many who marveled at Avery’s calm demeanor in the biggest games the team had played to that point.

“We used to go over the lineup, but at no time did I ever say, ‘You can’t throw this guy this (pitch),’” Mazzone recalled of the Game 6 preparations. “After we do that, I’m walking down to the bullpen with Steve and I said, ‘Steve, you got this figured out?’ And he goes, ‘Yeah.’ So, I said, ‘Good, tell me.’ And says, ‘I’m going to warm up, find out what I’ve got, and then pitch accordingly.’ That’s the best scouting report I’ve ever heard.”

Even with Bonds, Bonilla and a host of other veteran hitters in the lineup, Avery remained cool, calm, and collected. And he stayed with his tried-and-true game plan.

“I always knew my strengths, so even if the hitter’s report is that he’s got the same strengths that I do, I’m going to take my chances,” Avery said. “If I felt good with a certain pitch, I was going to use it whether he was good against it or not. I just tried to put it in a spot that I couldn’t get hurt with it. I always had pretty good control and, when I was younger, I had good stuff. That combination is pretty good when it’s going right.”

After taking the Pirates to seven games and prevailing in the NLCS, the Braves headed to the World Series against Minnesota, another worst-to-first team. The Twins won the American League pennant in five games over the Toronto Blue Jays, a future World Series foe for Atlanta.

The Braves and Twins delivered an instant classic in which each team won all its home games. Minnesota went up 2-0 in the Fall Classic before Atlanta brought the series home and won three straight.

Avery started the first World Series home game ever played in Atlanta, delivering seven innings and allowing just two earned runs. The Braves won in dramatic fashion in extra innings as Mark Lemke singled home David Justice for a 5-4 victory in the bottom of the 12th inning.

Up three games to two, Atlanta had two chances to win the series back in Minnesota, but Kirby Puckett’s walk-off home run in Game 6 was followed by the epic Game 7 duel between future Hall of Famers Jack Morris and John Smoltz.

Smoltz pitched scoreless ball into the eighth, but Morris fired a 10-inning shutout and Gene Larkin’s pinch-hit single with the bases loaded gave Minnesota the series with a 1-0 victory.

Atlanta returned to the World Series in 1992 against Toronto, falling short in six games. The Braves’ next opportunity to win it all would not come for three more years, but the 1995 team finally broke through. Justice hit a solo home in Game 6 to back Glavine’s 8-inning masterpiece as the Braves beat the Cleveland Indians for their first world title since 1957.

Avery was among 10 remaining members of the 1991 team on Atlanta’s 1995 World Series roster. After four years of October battles, the Braves finally won it all.

“It’s the best,” Avery said of the celebration. “That’s why we play, to try and run on a field after the last out of the World Series and be able to tell everyone you’re the best team in the world. To go through the losses almost made 1995 even more sweet, you know? We came close an awful lot of times and you realized that it’s not easy no matter what. For us to be able to complete that season on top was pretty special.”

All of those Octobers and the memories those teams created still echo to this day.

Avery closed out an 11-year career in 2003, back in Michigan as a member of the Detroit Tigers. He finished 96-83 with a 4.09 ERA in 297 career appearances.

Yankees Sequence of the Week: David Bednar (8/21)

NEW YORK, NY - AUGUST 21: David Bednar #53 of the New York Yankees pitches during the game against the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium on August 21, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Yankees bullpen suffered a rare meltdown on Tuesday night, squandering multiple leads to fumble the series opener against the Astros, 9-7. That being said, the relief corps has been an unequivocal strength of the team during a summer light on offensive contributions, second in MLB in ERA (3.06) to help keep the team afloat in the absence of multiple star sluggers. Anchoring that bullpen is the steady presence of David Bednar, who earns Sequence of the Week honors for locking down the save against the Blue Jays in that series’ opener.

We join Bednar with two outs in the ninth inning last Friday against the Blue Jays. It’s a nail-biter of a game with the offense still sputtering, made all the more tense by Brandon Valenzuela’s double to lead off the frame. That brings Brett Bateman to the plate as the tying run, the pesky center fielder already 3-for-5 with a double and a triple.

Bateman collected two of his three hits against fastballs up in the zone, so Bednar tries to exploit that strength by throwing a splitter that looks like a strike out of the hand, relying on the downward movement to extract a chase from the hitter.

This pitch is a little too far away from the zone to get the chase that Bednar was after. Even though it’s a ball in the dirt, it isn’t a complete waste pitch. A ball like this can serve to set up pitches later in the AB, as we will see in a short time.

Austin Wells calls for another splitter, setting a firm target to indicate that he wants Bednar to land this one closer to the bottom edge of the zone.

In order to get the hitter to chase your secondary pitches, sometimes you have to show that you can land them in the zone for a called strike. It’s a dangerous proposition for a pitch like the splitter, particularly like this one that lands pretty much middle-middle. However, Bednar is able to fool Bateman, who gives up on this pitch early given it leaves Bednar’s hand looking like a ball above the zone.

Banking that the pair of splitters have slowed down Bateman’s bat, Bednar throws his first four-seamer of the encounter.

You might wonder why Bateman would watch this fastball down the middle go by for strike two. That is the effect of that first pitch splitter in the dirt.

While not perfectly tunneled with that first pitch splitter, this four-seamer looks similar enough out of Bednar’s hand to cause the hitter to pause. To me, this suggests that Bateman is sitting on the splitter, and after having observed the way the first pitch broke down out of the zone, he is likely eliminating any pitch that leaves Bednar’s hand aimed belt-high or lower.

Despite not throwing the three best pitches to open this AB, Bednar nonetheless has the count leverage in his favor, 1-2. Landing that four-seamer for a called strike reset the hitter’s eye level up and forces him to defend against another heater, which creates a perfect opportunity to go for a chase against the splitter below the zone.

This is by far the best pitch Bednar has thrown in this sequence and it deservedly gets the strikeout swinging to end the game. It looks like an inside strike out of Bednar’s hand before plummeting off the table and below Bateman’s bat.

Here’s the full sequence:

After a minor blip in mid-May, Bednar has reclaimed his rightful place among the game’s most reliable closers. He reaches 30 saves for the second time in his career and has been an anchoring presence late in games with a 0.74 ERA in his last 32 appearances and 36.1 innings pitched. Dominant pitching has been the primary driving force behind the Yankees remaining in touching distance of first in the AL East, Bednar leading the rest of the bullpen by example.

MLB Home Run Props & Predictions Today: Best HR Picks & Parlay for Aug. 27

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The home run heat is flickering heading into an important Thursday MLB player prop slate, and although there are fewer home run props to look into, there are a handful of spots today that have to be on the card.

Jackson Chourio has a great right-vs-lefty matchup vs. Sean Manaea — who is one of the hardest-hit pitchers over the last 30 days — and Bryce Eldridge has a price in the Bay Area that's too good to pass up.

These are my favorite home run props for Thursday, Aug. 27.

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

MLB home run props for today

Player to hit a HROdds
Rockies Cole Carrigg+680
Brewers Jackson Chourio+390
Giants Bryce Eldridge+710
💲Today's HR parlay+22219

Home run prediction: Cole Carrigg (+680)

The Rockies have a great home run matchup today against Jake Irvin in one of the best hitting parks on the slate, and I'm taking a No. 2 hitter with an OPS above .800 who went yard last night at nearly +700.

Cole Carrigg is a name lost on most — much like the entire Rockies lineup— but the switch-hitting 24-year-old is paying a big price. He has an OPS above .800 against both lefties and righties and took lefty reliever Will Dion 400 feet deep last night.

The entire Rockies lineup has a good chance to go deep today after putting up four homers yesterday. Hunter Goodman has gone yard in back-to-back games, but I struggle to play +250 to +270 odds on a home run.

Irvin is the best HR target on the board today. He has the fifth-worst HR/9 among all MLB starters over the last 30 days, the 20th-worst HR/FB rate, and the 25th-worst HardHit%. There could be a handful of dingers in this game.

  • Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Nationals.TV, Rockies.TV

Home run prediction: Jackson Chourio (+390)

I debated this pick with William Contreras at +450ish, but settled on the more probable home run after taking a long shot in the Rockies game.

Sean Manaea gets hit hard by right-handed bats, and Jackson Chourio could see five plate appearances today out of the leadoff spot. With Jake Bauers on the bench, Chourio is the best HR hitter in this lineup, head and shoulders above Brice Turang, who struggles against left-handed pitching.

The Mets starter has allowed 13 home runs across his last 54 innings and five long balls over his last three games, including a trio of homers in his last outing against the White Sox.

He ranks in the Bottom 20 among all MLB starters in HR/9 and HR/FB rate over the last 30 days, along with the third-worst hard-hit rate (HardHit%) at 49.4%.

I would bet this down to +350 and think the Brewers have a Top 3 dinger matchup on the slate today.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNY, Brewers.TV

Home run prediction: Bryce Eldridge (+710)

This is one of the few HRs today showing expected value in Covers' projections. Bryce Eldridge missed the last series to attend his grandfather's funeral, but before that, he was slugging .500 over his previous four series with three homers.

He gets a tasty matchup with Arizona calling up Triple-A starter Jose Cabrera, who has been hit hard in his limited MLB innings, allowing three home runs in 17+ innings while posting a 5.80 ERA at Triple-A this year. He also just gave up three homers and eight runs in his last start for the Reno Aces.

This is a great outlier price, with some books pricing Eldridge around +350 and a fair price closer to +500.

I don't love dingers at Oracle, but Eldridge has hit eight of his 14 homers there this year and is slugging at the same rate at home as he is on the road.

  • Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: One National or Two local
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 32-166, -13.7 units

Best home run combo for August 27

Rockies Cole CarriggTrade Now
+22219
Brewers Jackson Chourio
Giants Bryce Eldridge

Want more baseball parlays? Check out our MLB parlay picks page!

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies Game Thread

WASHINGTON, DC - AUGUST 26: Jake McCarthy #31 of the Colorado Rockies celebrates in front of Nasim Nuñez #26 of the Washington Nationals after hitting a double during the first inning at Nationals Park on August 26, 2026 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Last night was not the worst loss of the season, but it was the most humiliating. They got taken to the woodshed by a bad Rockies team. It will be a quick turnaround from that disaster, as they play a day game this afternoon. The boys will look to salvage a split.

The struggling CJ Abrams is still limited to DH duties. He is one of only a couple lefties in the lineup though. With Gabriel Hughes’ reverse splits, we will see a lot of righties. Andres Chaparro is at first base over Abimelec Ortiz in this one. Brady House, Jorbit Vivas and Keibert Ruiz are also back in the lineup. Jake Irvin will be on the mound.

The Rockies are making some changes at the bottom of the order. Superstar Hunter Goodman is out of the lineup, with Brett Sullivan catching instead. Zac Veen is also back in the lineup and is playing left. That moves Jake McCarthy to DH. As mentioned, Gabriel Hughes is on the mound.

Game Info:

Stadium: Nationals Park

Time: 1:05 PM EST

TV: Nationals.TV

Radio: 106.7 The Fan

After last night’s loss, this team has a lot of soul searching to do. Blake Butera rightly called out his team’s poor effort. Hopefully this lights a much needed spark under these players. Follow along in the comments down below and let’s go Nats.

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are sitting as a slim -107 moneyline favorite at Oracle Park tonight as they begin a four-game set with the San Francisco Giants.

However, my Diamondbacks vs. Giants predictions are targeting San Fran on the moneyline amid their impressive offensive form, and Landen Roupp's success in the Bay Area. 

Find out more in my MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 27 before first pitch at 9:45 p.m. ET.

Who will win Diamondbacks vs Giants today: Giants (-103)

The San Francisco Giants enter this contest swinging it well, carrying a 113 wRC+ across the last week. That profile plays against Jose Cabrera, who has allowed seven earned runs over his last two outings while struggling with command.

Cabrera has not pitched in the big leagues since July 8 and owns a 5.46 FIP across four appearances this season, making him tough to trust.

Landen Roupp is not in peak form either, but he has been more reliable at Oracle Park, posting a 3.50 FIP while allowing just 0.60 HR/9 at home.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are hovering around league average offensively, and Roupp’s home profile gives San Francisco the cleaner edge.

Play this pick up to -130.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Giants are consistently squaring up the baseball with a 47.9% hard-hit rate and 13% barrel rate in their last seven games. For the season, San Fran's hard-hit rate sits at 37.5%. 

Diamondbacks vs Giants Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (+109)

I’m targeting the Over 8.5 in the Bay Area.

Arizona has a 101 wRC+ over the last week, which is respectable enough to contribute here. Roupp has held his own at Oracle Park, but he is not untouchable, and San Francisco’s bullpen owns a 4.03 FIP over its last 31.2 frames.

The Diamondbacks’ relief corps has been even more vulnerable. Over the last week, Arizona’s pen owns a 5.95 FIP while surrendering 2.36 HR/9. The Giants should have a clear scoring path against both Cabrera and a struggling bullpen given their recent offensive form.

Arizona has enough offensive life to chip in, strengthening the Over case.

Play this pick down to +100.

Diamondbacks vs Giants home run prediction: Rafael Devers (+442)

Rafael Devers is one of the hottest power hitters in baseball at the moment. He has smacked four home runs over his previous seven games while carrying a ridiculous .500 ISO during that span.

The slugger owns a 48.5% fly-ball rate at home this season and a 55% fly-ball rate over the last week. Even better, he has turned 36.4% of those recent fly balls into home runs.

With Cabrera prone to the long ball at 1.53 HR/9 this season and Arizona’s bullpen also allowing too many homers lately, Devers has multiple paths to another bomb tonight.

Play this pick down to +400.

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 58-70, -20.33 units
  • Over/Under bets: 70-54, +5.77 units

Diamondbacks vs Giants weather

Weather at Oracle Park looks cool and clean tonight, with partly cloudy skies and temperatures falling from 66°F to 63°F. Winds start around 9 mph before easing to 3–5 mph, and rain chances sit at 0% throughout. No delay concern, though the cool air could slightly limit carry.

Diamondbacks vs Giants odds

  • Moneyline: Diamondbacks -107 | Giants -103
  • Run line: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+152) | Giants +1.5 (-168)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+109) | Under 8.5 (-126)

Diamondbacks vs Giants trend

The Over is 5-0-2 in Roupp's last 7 starts as an underdog. Find more MLB betting trends for Diamondbacks vs. Giants.

How to watch Diamondbacks vs Giants and game info

LocationOracle Park, San Francisco, CA
DateThursday, August 27, 2026
First pitch9:45 p.m. ET
TVPeacock
Diamondbacks starting pitcherJose Cabrera
(0-2, 5.60 ERA)
Giants starting pitcherLanden Roupp
(7-13, 4.34 ERA)

Diamondbacks vs Giants latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Dodgers vs. Braves prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 27

The Atlanta Braves (78-55) have announced themselves as World Series contenders this week with a pair of wins over the LA Dodgers (80-53). Tonight, they go for the sweep.

Last night's game had the feel of a playoff game. Atlanta struck first when Matt Olson launched his 37th home run of the season in the first, but Los Angeles answered quickly scoring once in the second and twice in the third thanks to a two-run blast from Tommy Edman that gave Los Angeles a 3-1 lead. The Braves rallied in the fourth. Austin Riley drove in a run with a sacrifice fly before rookie catcher Drake Baldwin ripped a two-run double, turning a deficit into a 4-3 Atlanta advantage. Baldwin finished with three hits and two RBIs. Atlanta added another run in the sixth when Sean Murphy connected for a solo homer to make it 5-3. The Dodgers battled back in the seventh. Mookie Betts singled home Shohei Ohtani, and Edman later drew a bases-loaded walk to tie the game at 5-5. The game ultimately was decided in the ninth. Lane Thomas doubled against Dodgers’ closer Tanner Scott before Riley was intentionally walked. Atlanta manager Brian Snitker countered with Ha-Seong Kim, who delivered a two-out walk-off single to left field, scoring Thomas and sending the Braves to a dramatic 6-5 victory.

 

The victory gave Atlanta consecutive one-run wins to open the series. It was their third win in a row and maintained their lead in the NL East at 4.5 games over the Phillies. The Dodgers are still comfortably ahead in the NL West but now its game on in the race for the top two seeds in the National League. Milwaukee has a two game lead over the Dodgers for the top seed and the Braves are now within two games of the Dodgers.

 

Los Angeles hands the ball to its ace, Yoshinobu Yamamoto (12-7, 2.61 ERA). The righthander takes the mound tonight in excellent form. Over his last five starts, he has compiled a 1.97 ERA and recorded quality starts in four of those five outings. The Dodgers have won his last three starts and five of his last six. Atlanta counters with veteran left-hander Chris Sale (12-9, 2.20 ERA). The southpaw has been nearly untouchable at Truist Park carrying a 1.65 home ERA. Sale has posted a 2.70 ERA over his last five starts overall and produced a quality start in each of the five.

 

The Game within the Game Tonight: Chris Sale has allowed just eight home runs in 135 innings. The Dodgers rank fifth in the National League with 168 home runs. Who blinks tonight?

 

Lets dive further into today’s game and find a sweat or two.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

 

Game Details and How to Watch: Dodgers vs. Braves

  • Date: Thursday, August 27, 2026
  • Time: 7:15PM EST
  • Site: Truist Park
  • City: Atlanta, GA
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, FS1, BravesVision, Spectrum SportsNet LA

  

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The Latest Odds: Dodgers vs. Braves

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: LA Dodgers (+111), Atlanta Braves (-119)
  • Spread: Dodgers +1.5 (-217), Braves -1.5 (+177)
  • Total: 6.5 runs

 

Probable Starting Pitchers – Dodgers vs. Braves for August 27

  • Dodgers: Yoshinobu Yamamoto
    Season Totals: 151.2 IP, 12-7, 2.61 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 145K, 35 BB
  • Braves: Chris Sale
    Season Totals: 135.0 IP, 12-9, 2.20 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 166K, 28 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Dodgers vs. Braves

  • Mookie Betts is 5-14 including 1 HR in his career against Chris Sale
  • Freddie Freeman is 4-12 including 2 HRs against Sale
  • Teoscar Hernandez has struck out 8 times in 20 ABs against Sale
  • Ha-Seong Kim is 2-5 including 1 HR in his career against Yoshinobu Yamamoto
  • Yoshinobu Yamamoto has struck out 9 batters in each of his last 2 starts
  • Chris Sale has struck out 6+ hitters in each of his last 6 starts and 8+ in 4 of the 6
  • Matt Olson’s HR last night was his 1st since August 16
  • Drake Baldwin is riding a modest 3-game hitting streak (6-12)

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Dodgers vs. Braves

  • The Dodgers are 54-79 on the Run Line this season
  • The Braves are 72-61 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 60 times in Atlanta’s 133 games this season (60-67-6)
  • The OVER has cashed 62 times in LA’s 133 games this season (62-70-1)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Dodgers vs. Braves for August 27

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Dodgers and the Braves:

 

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Dodgers on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 6.5

 

 

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  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
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MLB Strikeout Props & Pitcher Best Bets for Today, August 27

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It was back to winning ways yesterday with another 2-1 day to keep the August heat turned up on the pitcher and MLB player props.

It's about time the Brewers slow down Jacob Misiorowski with a big lead in the NL Central, bettors will see the best of Yoshinobu Yamamoto tonight vs. Chris Sale and the Dodgers wins dipping, and finally, I'll show you where you can find a better price when a pitcher's Over 2.5 earned run prop pops to the Over.

These are my favorite strikeout and pitcher props for Thursday, August 27.  

Best MLB strikeout props and starting pitcher picks today

Player/TeamPickOdds
Brewers Jacob MisiorowskiUnder 8.5 strikeouts-108
Dodgers Yoshinobu YamamotoOver 6.5 strikeouts +124
Giants Giants first-five team totalF5 TT Over 2.5+124

Strikeout prop: Jacob Misiorowski Under 8.5 strikeouts (-108)

Jacob Misiorowski can coast into his NL Cy Young win this year, but the innings are stacking up, and the Milwaukee Brewers are 6.5 games up on the Cubs for the top spot in the NL Central. This is a young arm with 145 innings already and a hopeful long playoff run ahead. He threw just 130 innings all of last year, so Milwaukee has plenty of reason to manage his workload. The projection today is 91 pitches and 7.55 strikeouts.

The righty has had a long leash in his last two starts, throwing 98 and 96 pitches while recording 18 outs in both, yet he failed to reach seven Ks in both outings. There are plenty of routes to this Under: he could be on a tighter leash, fail to reach nine Ks even with a full workload, or have his start shortened by the threat of rain.

Then there's the possibility of big winds blowing out today at Citi Field, which could make things even tougher. The projections think this is a full strikeout too long and one of my favorite bets on the MLB picks page.

  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNY, Brewers.TV

Strikeout prop: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 6.5 strikeouts (+124)

I'm betting on motivation and a long leash from Yoshinobu Yamamoto today. The Los Angeles Dodgers are in danger of being swept by the Atlanta Braves, something that's already happened three times since the start of July. L.A. needs the best of Yamamoto today, and the matchup against Chris Sale should bring out the best in an elite pitcher who has a track record of thriving in higher-leverage opportunities.

The L.A. starter has a 100-pitch leash and has hit this prop in 50% of his starts since the start of July, while coming off back-to-back nine-strikeout outings. Atlanta is a Top-15 K% matchup, and even if this is slightly below 50% probable, the price is still solid expected value.

I have this around 48% today, putting the fair price at just under even money after accounting for the margin.

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: BravesVision, SportsNet Los Angeles

Giants prop: First-five team total Over 2.5 (+124)

I understand this doesn't sound like a pitcher prop, but the Arizona Diamondbacks are starting Triple-A call-up Jose Cabrera, and I want to bet his Over 2.5 earned runs at +117. This is a pitcher with an outs market of 14.5 and isn't expected to sniff the 16th out. So why would I bet +117 and risk the heartbreak of giving up unearned outs when I can get +124 for just runs?

It makes no sense, and that's why you should bet the Giants' first five innings team total Over instead of a bad, short-leashed pitcher Over earned runs. THE BAT is projecting 2.46 earned runs from Cabrera but 2.63 runs for the Giants through the first five innings.

Today's lesson: If you like an Over 2.5 earned runs prop from a bad pitcher who likely isn't going more than five innings, the opposing first-five team total Over is almost always the better option and offers better value.

  • Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCS-Bay Area, Dbacks.TV
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 24-20, +6.37 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals game discussion: Gabriel Hughes vs. Jake Irvin

DENVER, CO - AUGUST 22: Colorado Rockies pitcher Gabriel Hughes (43) pitches in the first inning during a game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on August 22, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Colorado Rockies and Washington Nationals close out their four-game series this morning at Nationals Park. Colorado enters at 52-81, while Washington enters at 62-73.

Monday’s 13-3 loss extended the Rockies’ losing streak to a season-high seven games. During that stretch, Colorado was outscored 57-24, the rotation went 0-7 with a 9.64 ERA across 32.2 innings, and the offense averaged just 3.4 runs per game.

The Rockies have responded with two straight wins. They snapped the streak Tuesday behind an encouraging major-league debut from Mason Adams, who allowed one run over four-plus innings while striking out five. They followed it Wednesday with a 13-1 win powered by a loud offense and seven innings of one-run ball from Tanner Gordon.

Now they have a chance to leave Washington with three wins in four games.

Rookie right-hander Gabriel Hughes gets the ball for Colorado in his ninth major-league start, still looking for his first win.

Hughes enters at 0-5 with a 6.54 ERA, though the expected numbers are more encouraging. His 3.46 xERA, .230 xBA and 4.5% barrel rate suggest the quality of contact against him has been better than the surface results.

The pitch mix is still fastball-heavy. Hughes throws his four-seamer 55% of the time, and his fastball usage climbs over 60% when including the sinker. The four-seamer has not missed many bats, but it has limited damage, holding hitters to a .324 xSLG and a 28.2% hard-hit rate.

His hard-contact suppression is encouraging, but his low chase rate, low whiff rate and modest strikeout rate are working against him.

The curveball is the pitch to watch behind the fastball. Hughes has thrown it only 10.5% of the time, but hitters have a .326 xSLG against it with a 31.4% whiff rate and a 52.9% strikeout rate. It is still a small sample, but the numbers are interesting.

Washington counters with Jake Irvin, who gives the Rockies a unique look but is also a pitcher they should have a chance to hit.

The 29-year-old righty enters today with a 6.53 ERA in August. He has completed six innings in each of his last two starts, but the overall month has still been rough.

Standing 6-foot-6, Irvin gets excellent extension and works from a lower slot, with a 27-degree arm angle. He works with six pitches, anchored by three fastballs: a four-seamer, sinker and cutter. The four-seamer leads the arsenal at 28.2%, followed by his curveball at 23.4% and sinker at 19.7%. The cutter checks in at 15.8%, while the sweeper and changeup are used less often.

The curveball has been his best pitch by run value. It is not a big 12-6 shape. It is tighter, with more horizontal action, and the velocity gap is real: his fastballs sit in the low 90s, while the curveball averages around 78 mph.

After Wednesday night’s 13-run outburst, the Rockies have a decent chance to keep the offense moving if they force Irvin into the zone and avoid letting the curveball steal too many easy counts.

Connor Norby starts at second base after hitting his first career grand slam Wednesday night. Norby has hit .310/.408/.571 with two home runs and nine RBI in 14 games since joining the Rockies. Troy Johnston gets the start in right field after going deep last night and hitting .318/.444/.636 over his last seven games. Zac Veen is also back in the lineup, starting in left field.

And then there is the 63-win chase.

Colorado needs to finish 11-18 to reach 63 wins, and the schedule does not exactly open up after this series. Twelve of the Rockies’ remaining games come against sub-.500 teams: Baltimore, Detroit, St. Louis and Seattle. That sounds helpful until you put the group together. Those four teams are a combined 257-277, good for a .481 winning percentage.

A .481 winning percentage is exactly what the Rockies managed in April. They have not played at that level in any month since.

A 62-win team and a 63-win team are both bad teams. But after three straight seasons with 100 or more losses, including 119 losses in 2025, the Rockies need some kind of finish line worth tracking.

So, does getting to 63 wins matter? Maybe. Maybe not.

But beating Washington this morning would make the tough road to 63 feel a little more manageable.

The details…

First Pitch: 11:05 a.m. MDT

TV: Rockies.TV

Radio: KOA 850 AM/94.1 FM

Nationals SB Nation Site:Federal Baseball

Lineups:


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Volatile AL Wild-Card Picture Keeping Postseason Odds in Flux

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The frenetic fight to make the MLB postseason in the American League has left oddsmakers in a state of constant chaos.

Key Takeaways

  • The Guardians saw their playoff odds jump by 33.1 percentage points over the last week.

  • The Twins lost 28.5 percentage points in postseason probability over that same span.

  • Oddsmakers view the White Sox as the strongest World Series contenders among the teams in in the AL wild-card picture.

The race for the AL wild card is one of the closest in recent memory. Seven teams are within 5.5 games of earning the third and final spot, which the Guardians hold entering Thursday's slate. The Guardians are also just 2.5 games behind the AL Central-leading White Sox, meaning Cleveland could overtake Chicago for the division lead and push the White Sox into the wild-card places.

Data from baseball analytics platform FanGraphs shows noticeable changes for teams over the week ranging from Aug. 19 up to and including Aug. 26.

TeamAug. 26 ProbabilityAug. 19 ProbabilityChange
Chicago White Sox77.6%63.5%+14.1%
Cleveland Guardians62.5%29.4%+33.1%
Houston Astros44.4%57.5%-13.1%
Seattle Mariners41.9%32%+9.9%
Texas Rangers32.9%38%-5.1%
Baltimore Orioles15.8%9%+6.8%
Toronto Blue Jays13.4%22.1%-8.7%
Minnesota Twins10.5%39%-28.5%
Detroit Tigers2.3%14.2%-11.9%

These percentages are very similar to the implied probabilities of MLB betting odds listed at FanDuel. 

As of Thursday morning, these are the odds for teams in wild-card picture to make and miss the postseason

TeamMake PostseasonMiss postseason
Chicago White Sox-600+410
Cleveland Guardians-168+132
Houston Astros+118-148
Seattle Mariners+138-176
Texas Rangers+198-265
Baltimore Orioles+440-670
Toronto Blue Jays+470-700
Minnesota Twins+920-2,200
Detroit Tigers+1,600-10,000

Who is in the best position?

The regular season ends Sept. 27, leaving teams with exactly one month to make their final postseason pushes.

Although the White Sox are heavy favorites to make the postseason, they still have two series against the Twins and battles with the Astros, Guardians, and Tigers - all of whom are in the hunt for the wild card. 

The Guardians get the Blue Jays, Tigers, Orioles, Twins, and White Sox, among others. The remaining strength of schedule for the two top AL wild-card contenders rank 28th- and 26th-hardest, respectively, of 30 teams, according to Tankathon.

The Astros face a tough stretch with upcoming series against the Red Sox, White Sox, and Guardians, while their remaining schedule ranks 13th in difficulty. By contrast, the Mariners have the easiest remaining schedule, which features eight games against the Angels, seven against the Athletics, and three against the Rockies. 

The Rangers have the most difficult upcoming schedule among AL wild-card contenders, ranking 10th in the category. The Orioles are 17th; the Blue Jays are 29th; the Twins are 25th; and the Tigers are 21st.

The strength-of-schedule rankings for AL wild-card contenders are as follows:

  • White Sox: 28th
  • Guardians: 26th
  • Astros: 13th
  • Mariners: 30th
  • Rangers: 10th
  • Orioles: 17th
  • Blue Jays: 29th
  • Twins: 25th
  • Tigers: 21st

World Series odds

As the race to make the wild card continues, the Dodgers continue to have a comfortable lead in World Series odds. FanDuel lists the back-to-back champions at +160 (38.5% implied chance), well ahead of the closest challengers, the Brewers (+750) and Yankees (+800).

The Rays (+1,100), Red Sox (+1,300), and Cubs (+1,400) fill out the list of the next challengers. The team in the wild-card picture with the shortest World Series odds is the White Sox, at +2,500.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

A few thoughts on the two kerfuffles during the Cubs/Diamondbacks series

In the end, these incidents probably won’t matter much to the Cubs’ postseason chances.

But I think they’re both worth discussing, especially on an off day as we await the Cubs’ return to Wrigley Field for an important seven-game homestand.

The two things I’m talking about are:

  • The Diamondbacks getting upset Monday about Cubs third base coach Quintin Berry allegedly relaying signs to Cubs hitters
  • The missed balk call on D-backs pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez on Wednesday

Let’s begin with Monday’s events.

Here’s Diamondbacks starter Merrill Kelly on Berry on Monday’s incident [VIDEO].

That stemmed from this — and yes, there was a LOT of profanity!

The thing is, as long as the coach stays in the coach’s box — which is now a mandate from MLB after many coaches strayed way out of it before this year — signs are fair game. Kelly even acknowledged the gamesmanship in the clip above. And that led to an apology issued to the Cubs by D-backs manager Torey Lovullo:

Upon further review, Lovullo indicated he received a satisfactory explanation from Michael Hill, Major League Baseball’s senior vice president of on-field operations, which apparently absolved the Cubs.

“I stand corrected,” Lovullo told reporters ahead of Tuesday’s game. “I had a chance to call ‘Couns’ and apologize to him. I told him that we were wrong and they were doing everything right.

“It’s a very intense time of the year, and a lot goes on. It’s two teams trying to protect their turf. (Counsell) got it, hung up the phone and (we) went our ways and told them that I’d take care of our clubhouse, which I did.”

“Everything the Chicago Cubs were doing was perfectly legal and within the boundaries of the rules,” Lovullo said. “Yes, they were (relaying information), and good for them. They did a good coaching job; they took advantage of one of our vulnerabilities. Merrill was giving away a couple of his pitches, and the base coaches were relaying it to the hitter or the base runner.”

“Everybody’s paranoid,” Berry said. “It happens to us all the time. You’re always like, ‘Is there something? Can we clean up on our side? Do they have something?’ That’s the way the game is. Everybody’s thinking about it. Everybody’s trying to keep their house clean. You worry about that. You can’t control anything else.”

These two teams won’t face each other again this year, unless somehow they both make the postseason and wind up in an October series down the line. That’s very unlikely, but… it would probably be pretty intense after all of that.

The other incident during this series cost the Cubs a run on Wednesday.

Situation: The game is scoreless in the top of the sixth. Pete Crow-Armstrong led off with a double and went to third on a ground out. One out later, Michael Busch was at bat when this happened:

The umpires conferred and said “no balk.” PCA was livid and had to be restrained by Berry to avoid getting tossed (and contact with the umpires, which might have resulted in a suspension).

Turns out PCA was correct:

The umpires admitted their mistake… too late for it to make any difference. If the correct call had been made. the Cubs would have had a run and led 1-0. Would that have made a difference in the final score of the game? It’s possible. Instead of it being 1-0 in the eighth, when Ryan Zeferjahn entered and allowed Arizona a second run, it would have been 1-1 — assuming everything else went in sequence as it did in the actual game, which isn’t a sure thing either.

So my suggestion: Why not allow calls like this to be reviewable? That would have taken away any need for argument and risk of a player being ejected. In my view, there are a fair number of non-reviewable plays of this nature which really should be subject to review.

The Cubs didn’t lose this game because of this call, but it certainly would have made a difference if it had been made correctly.

All the Cubs can do is pick up and try to win the next game. They begin a stretch of 13 games in a row without an off day Friday at Wrigley Field, and seven of those games are against the division-leading Brewers. Go Cubs.

Waldy, Waldy, Waldy, Waldyyy. Please Walk It Off If You Can

Winning a series and still losing ground in the playoff race is not ideal for any ballclub, but the timing couldn’t be any more unfortunate as was for the Dbacks after taking 2 of 3 from the Cincinnati Reds and still dropping a game in the standings to the scorching hot Padres and Phillies, as the snakes would then welcome the #1 Wild Card team (at the moment at least) in the Chicago Cubs to town for a tough 3 game series. As we discussed on the last episode of Dbacks Dispatch, we all agreed that a series win would be the bare minimum requirement if the Diamondbacks want to stay afloat in this race, as dropping this series or even getting swept by the hands of the Cubs could potentially be a brutal blow to the D’Backs playoff chances.

Tipping Culture Is Out Of Hand!

The first topic of this episode came from Monday nights 7-0 clubbing from the Cubbies, as Merrill Kelly would continue his struggling ways in August (better this start than previous at least), as the most sign of life the Diamondbacks would show all night would be when D’Backs bench coach Jeff Bannister and pitching coach Brian Kaplan would be in a yelling match with Cubs 3rd-Base coach Quintin Berry and other members of Chicago’s bench over Berry reading Merrill’s pitch grips and relaying that information to the Cubs hitters which Kelly would later call “bush league”.

The fellas and I discussed whether or not we were in agreement with the mainstay, or if this was something that the Diamondbacks potentially overreacted to at the moment. We were all in agreement that while some things like what Quintin Berry did could be seen as “bush league” depending on ones point of view, the blame should mostly be on Merrill for tipping his pitches, as even Torey Lovullo looked into it and found that nothing the Cubs did was against the rules and this most likely was Merrill just finding an outlet to vent his frustrations for a very subpar month of August.

Waldy and the Walk-Off Factory

After getting blanked 7-0 in Monday night’s affair, the Cubs starter Clay Holmes was copying Kevin Gausman’s homework from the night before as he also kept the D’Backs offense on their toes and shut them out through his 7 innings of work. It looked like it would be another night where the Snakes offense appeared to forget to offer rum and cigars to Jobu before the game. Thankfully for the D’Backs (and all of our mental well being) the offense decided to show up fashionably late top the party and get 3 runs back in the 8th (1 off a Gabi check swing double and 2 more on a Perdomo single) and get the team right back into the fight by making it a 1 run deficit. It looked like the D’Backs comeback might fall just short as Jose Fernandez sat at 2nd base with 2 outs, Ryan Waldschmidt would once again come up big in the clutch and would launch a walk off 2-Run shot into the left field bleachers for his 3rd bomb on the year and 2nd walk off home run of his short career.

Gabe, Brandon and I discussed just what was going through our minds during that rally in both the 8th and 9th innings along with what emotions went through our heads during Waldys big moment in the 9th. Gabes frustration from watching Kepler and the struggling offense in person had him ready to chug a few more tall boys to drown his sorrows but the exciting comeback and walk off from Waldschmidt had him leaving the stadium with a happy buzz and happy that all the snowbird Cub fans left without the same feeling. Brandon mentioned that it was so nice to see the Snakes get what we call “MLB The Show’d” on the Gabriel Moreno check swing double, he also gave manager Torey Lovullo credit for the decisions he made with the bench that led to this crazy comeback.

Ace-uardo Rodriguez Flies The L

Trying to follow up an ending like Tuesday night’s walkoff excitement is always a tough task, but if there was anyone that would be able to answer the call and build off that win into a series victory over a strong wild card opponent that would be the Diamondbacks 2026 Ace Eduardo Rodriguez.

So far it has been the best year for Rodriguez in Sedona red and teal with his 2.50 ERA (lowest since 3.30 in 2023 and only time being below 3), 162 IP and 1.19 WHIP being his best marks by far and some of his best numbers since his days pitching in the American League, and that kind of performance is what the Snakes needed as their struggling offense would only be able to muster 2 runs of support for ERod but it was more than enough as Rodriguez would go 7 shutty (might have been helped by a no call on a potential balk with PCA at 3rd base in the 6th) with 9 strikeouts. This outing adds on to his resume of his impressive outings against some of the best teams in the NL this year.

Brandon, Gabe and I talked about how much of a blessing this kind of season has been from Rodriguez in a year where the Diamondbacks starting pitching depth has been pushed to its limits, while also asking each other if this season has made up for his rough 2 seasons to start his D’Backs career. Gabe believes that Rodriguez has almost single handedly saved this team from being well out of the wild card race with the performances we’ve gotten out of him and that his health has been a big factor to his success to his start this year. Brandon decided to steal Merrill’s nickname and dub Eduardo the “Mainstay” of the 2026 staff due to him making all his starts and being healthy when seemingly every other starter has had issues in that area, and in regards to his contract he believe4s that its turned the thought process on ERod’s deal from MadBum territory of “oh no how do we get rid of this guy” to “can we keep in for a few more years?”.

Giant(s) Series On The Horizon

After finishing the quick homestand with a record of 4-2 and leaving the same way they entered the desert, one game back of the Padres for that 3rd WIld Card, the Diamondbacks would be taking a trip to San Fran for a short 4 game road trip as they would matchup against the 2nd to last place Giants. The Diamondbacks have enjoyed their previous 9 meetings as they have lost just 1 game against San Francisco and have used them as their interdivisional punching bag throughout 2026. 

The fellas and I agreed that while we have had what Borat would call “Great Success!” against the Giants this year, we have struggled against San Fran in past years during previous wild card races (I still have nightmares about that late September series in 2024) and the Snakes winning 3 of 4 or even sweeping the 4 game set could set them up very nicely going into a huge 3 game series against the Phillies.

MLB Player Props & Best Bets for Today, August 27

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Very small slate today, but there are still a ton of MLB player props to sift through.

Join me as I break down three of my favorite MLB picks for Thursday, Aug. 27, including why Yordan Alvarez is going to mash in the Bronx.

Best MLB player props today

Player PickOdds
Blue Jays Spencer Arrighetti Over 1.5 Earned Runs-168
Astros Yordan AlvarezOver 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI-120
Rockies Colorado RockiesF5 Team Total Over 2.5 Runs+100

Spencer Arrighetti Over 1.5 Earned Runs (-168)

The Kansas City Royals find themselves in a mouthwatering matchup against Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Spencer Arrighetti. The starter has been tormented by left-handed hitters this season, and the Royals have four left-handers in strong spots against him.

Against the last60 left-handed hitters he has faced, Arrighetti sports a 13.50 ERA and 9.10 xERA, while allowing a 43% hard-hit rate, 14.3% barrel rate and 22.9% ground-ball rate. Those left-handed hitters own a .336 xBA, .811 xSLG and .462 xwOBA.

Over the last week, Kansas City has a 127 wRC+, .355 wOBA and .804 OPS. This team has hit another gear this past week as it takes on a guy appearing on his third team this season.

Yes, it is a juicy prop, and if you are not in the juice-paying business, take the Royals' first-five team total over 2.5 at plus money, or his 2.5 earned runs allowed.

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ROYL, Sportsnet

Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits, Runs, RBI (-120)

Houston Astros big fella is in a cinematic matchup against New York Yankees ace Gerrit Cole. Fingers crossed the right hander will not chicken out and actually pitch to the future 2026 AL MVP.

We are backing Yordan Alvarez for a few reasons, one being the price for a prop he has cashed almost 65% of the time when he has owned an elite rating on Batters-Box. Secondly, Cole is a very fastball-heavy pitcher. This season alone, Alvarez owns a .306 BA, .412 xBA and 1.096 OPS, while posting a 57% hard-hit rate against fastballs.

Over his last 10 batted balls, Alvarez has hit five balls above 102.2 MPH. He is in one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks. We just need him to catch a fastball.

Take this down to -130.

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: YES, SCHN

Rockies First Five Team Total Over 2.5 Runs (+100)

The Denver Pebbles have had a very productive offensive series against the Washington Nationals. This evening, they draw the worst-rated pitcher on Batters-Box while having five elite-rated hitters, with three having strong ratings.

That pitcher is right-hander Jake Irvin, who has struggled heavily this season, especially at home, where he sports a 7.52 ERA, 5.70 xERA and 1.67 WHIP.

Seven of those eight strongly rated bats will be hitting from the left side this afternoon. Over the last 60 left-handed hitters he has faced, Irvin has an 8.36 ERA, allowing a 50% hard-hit rate, 9.5% barrel rate and 2.57 HR/9. Those lefties have a .294 xBA, .636 xSLG and .304 ISO.

This past week, the Colorado Rockies own a .334 wOBA, 11.1% walk rate, .749 OPS and 42% hard-hit rate. With how poorly Irvin has been recently against left-handed hitters and overall this season at home, the Rockies have a strong chance to go up early.

Find plus money, do not pay juice.

  • Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: COLR, NATS
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 433-866, -19.4 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Series Preview: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Texas Rangers

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 10: Jackson Chourio #11 of the Milwaukee Brewers is congratulated in the dugout after hitting a solo home run against the Texas Rangers during the first inning at Globe Life Field on September 10, 2025 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Tim Heitman/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Milwaukee Brewers are headed back home for a quick three-game set with the Texas Rangers. The Brewers, at 82-51, are looking for their fourth consecutive series win in Thursday’s rubber match with the Mets. They currently sit 6.5 games ahead of the Cubs atop the NL Central and two games ahead of the Dodgers for the best record in baseball. The Rangers, who won the World Series in 2023, haven’t had much success since that run, as they’ve hovered right around .500 each of the last three seasons, including a 66-68 record in 2026. In a very bad AL West, though, they sit just a half game behind the Astros for the division lead.

Milwaukee’s lone position player on the injury report is first baseman/outfielder Jake Bauers, who is reportedly dealing with shin splints and is considered day to day as the team hopes to give him a few days off. On the mound, Dustin May is the latest injury, as he took a 106-mph liner off his right shoulder blade on the first pitch of Wednesday night’s game, though X-rays came back negative and May said after the game he hopes to make his next scheduled start. Relievers Abner Uribe and JoJo Romero are both on rehab assignments and hope to return soon, with Brandon Woodruff, Joel Kuhnel, and Rob Zastryzny also potentially in the mix for returns before the end of the season. Brian Fitzpatrick, Quinn Priester, and Angel Zerpa are all out for the season after undergoing season-ending surgery.

The Rangers are without third baseman Josh Jung, catcher Kyle Higashioka, and outfielder Michael Helman (who, if you’ll recall, crushed the Brewers in Texas last year, going 4-for-9 with two homers, a double, and seven RBIs in a three-game sweep). On the mound, Jack Leiter, Robert Garcia, Nathan Eovaldi, Jose Corneill, Jalen Beeks, and Carter Baumler are all shelved.

Milwaukee’s offense is anchored by Jake Bauers, Jackson Chourio, Brice Turang, and William Contreras. Garrett Mitchell, Andrew Vaughn, and Joey Ortiz have also been solid producers in recent weeks, and Christian Yelich has seemingly found a bit of a groove in New York. Gary Sánchez, Sal Frelick, David Hamilton, Cooper Pratt, and Luis Lara round things out. As a team, the Brewers are hitting .254/.337/.396 (.733 OPS ranks tied for fifth), with 121 homers (last), 660 runs scored (fourth), and 131 steals (third).

Jake Burger and Joc Pederson lead Texas with 23 homers each this season, while Brandon Nimmo and Ezequiel Duran lead the team with 127 and 119 hits, respectively. Old friend Danny Jansen shares backstop duties with Elias Díaz and deadline acquisition Logan O’Hoppe, who was just called up this week, while Corey Seager, Wyatt Langford, and Evan Carter are also key threats offensively. Justin Foscue, Nicky Lopez, and Cody Freeman round things out. As a team, the Rangers are hitting .243/.317/.396 (.713 OPS ranks tied for 21st), with 149 homers (tied for 18th), 543 runs scored (tied for 26th), and 63 steals (26th).

Aaron Ashby and Trevor Megill lead Milwaukee’s bullpen, as Ashby has a team-high 62 appearances and Megill has been one of the best closers in the league for the last few months, lowering his season ERA to 2.28 with 24 saves in 26 chances. Chad Patrick and DL Hall also sit in high-leverage roles with Uribe on the shelf, and Grant Anderson, Antonio Senzatela, and Bryse Wilson in low-leverage roles. As a staff, the Brewers have a 3.39 team ERA (second), including a 3.47 starter ERA (third) and a 3.29 bullpen ERA (third). They’ve struck out 1,284 batters (second) over 1,189 2/3 innings.

The Rangers have a few old friends in their bullpen, including Tyler Alexander (team-high 60 appearances with a 3.47 ERA over 57 IP), Jordan Montgomery (5.73 ERA over 11 IP), and Jakob Junis (2.84 ERA over 44 1/3 IP). Closer Jakob Latz has been one of the best relievers in baseball with a 1.68 ERA and 26 saves in 29 opportunities. Peyton Gray (3.83 ERA over 54 IP), Cole Winn (5.63 ERA over 48 IP), Robby Ahlstrom (6.03 ERA over 31 1/3 IP), and deadline acquisition Chase Silseth (3.18 ERA over 11 1/3 IP) round things out. As a staff, the Rangers have a 4.27 team ERA (21st), including a 4.24 starter ERA (15th) and a 4.36 bullpen ERA (23rd). They’ve struck out 1,131 batters (13th) over 1,173 1/3 innings.

Probable Pitchers

Friday, August 28 @ 6:40 p.m.: RHP Logan Henderson (8-2, 2.60 ERA, 3.33 FIP) vs. LHP Cody Bradford (0-2, 3.05 ERA, 3.18 FIP)

Henderson continues to be one of the best pitchers in Milwaukee’s rotation, with an 8-2 record, 2.60 ERA, 3.33 FIP, and 79 strikeouts across 69 1/3 innings this season. Milwaukee has won each of his last two games started, as he totaled 13 innings with two runs allowed and 10 strikeouts in victories over the Dodgers and Braves, the two teams alongside the Brewers vying for a first-round bye in the postseason. This marks Henderson’s first career appearance against Texas.

Bradford, 28, is a former sixth-round pick who, after scattering 34 appearances (21 starts) across 2023 and 2024, missed all of 2025 and the first four months of 2026 with an arm injury before returning to the team in early August. He’s made four starts this month, totaling 20 2/3 innings with a 3.05 ERA, 3.18 FIP, and 13 strikeouts, though the Rangers are just 1-3 in those games. Bradford has hovered right around 80 pitches in all four of his outings, including his last start against the Angels, when he went 5 1/3 innings with two runs allowed on seven hits and no walks, striking out three on 80 pitches in a 3-0 loss. Bradford has never appeared against the Brewers.

Saturday, August 29 @ 6:15 p.m.: LHP Shane Drohan (6-5, 3.84 ERA, 3.33 FIP) vs. RHP Cal Quantrill (6-4, 2.90 ERA, 4.02 FIP)

Drohan continues to be good, not great at the back of Milwaukee’s current six-man rotation. He took the loss in Sunday’s Little League Classic against the Braves, allowing two runs on eight hits and three walks, striking out five over five frames. For the year, he’s 6-5 with a 3.84 ERA, 3.33 FIP, and 104 strikeouts across 105 1/3 innings. Like Henderson, this marks his first career appearance against Texas.

Quantrill, 31, is a former No. 8 overall pick who has struggled mightily over the last few seasons, but he’s been much better in 2026 with Texas. He’s made 27 appearances (10 starts) this year, with a 6-4 record, 2.90 ERA, 4.02 FIP, and 60 strikeouts across 83 2/3 innings. He’s been really good in August, making five appearances (four starts) totaling 25 innings with an 0.72 ERA, 2.40 FIP, and 21 strikeouts. Quantrill has made four career appearances (three starts) against Milwaukee, with a 3.14 ERA and 13 strikeouts across 14 1/3 innings.

Sunday, August 30 @ 1:10 p.m.: LHP Robert Gasser (4-5, 4.59 ERA, 4.44 FIP) vs. RHP Kumar Rocker (5-10, 4.41 ERA, 4.39 FIP)

Gasser, who stepped in and basically started in Wednesday’s win over the Mets after May’s exit just one pitch into the game, seems unlikely to start on Sunday after throwing 82 pitches, but for now, we’ll keep him here as he’s still listed as the probable starter (if I was a betting man, I’d say this is more likely to be Coleman Crow or even May himself). Gasser has made 16 appearances (15 starts) this year, with a 4-5 record, 4.59 ERA, 4.44 FIP, and 78 strikeouts across 82 1/3 innings. He was solid in that win over the Mets, going 5 1/3 innings with one run allowed as he scatter six hits and a pair of walks, striking out six. This would also mark Gasser’s first career appearance against Texas.

Rocker, 26, is a former No. 3 overall pick by Texas in 2022. He made his debut with the Rangers in 2024 but hasn’t had much success across parts of three seasons in the majors, with -0.1 career bWAR across 42 appearances (40 starts). This has been his best season yet, though, as he’s made 25 appearances (23 starts) with a 5-10 record, 4.41 ERA, 4.39 FIP, and 117 strikeouts across 126 2/3 innings. Rocker has gone at least five innings in each of his last three starts, totaling 15 2/3 innings with seven runs allowed (4.02 ERA) and 14 strikeouts. This marks Rocker’s first career appearance against Milwaukee.

How to Watch & Listen

Friday, August 28: Brewers TV; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Saturday, August 29: Nationally televised on Fox/Fox One; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Sunday, August 30: Brewers TV; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Prediction

While the Brewers don’t have their top starters lined up this weekend (they’re saving them for next week’s Cubs series), they still have the advantage in just about every facet. I’ll take Milwaukee to win two of three.

Yankees Birthday of the Day: Ed Herrmann

CHICAGO - UNDATED 1978: Ed Herrmann of the Montreal Expos looks on before a MLB game at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Herrmann played for the Montreal Expos in 1978. (Photo by Ron Vesely/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Born in sunny San Diego, Ed Herrmann had an 11-year career as a Major League Baseball player. One of those years, 1975, was spent backing up the great Thurman Munson as a member of the New York Yankees. Herrmann was a wall behind the plate and loved when runners tried to take a bag on his watch.

Edward Martin Herrmann
Born: August 27, 1946 (San Diego, CA)
Died: December 22, 2013 (San Diego, CA)
Yankees Tenure: 1975

Herrmann attended Crawford High School in California. After graduation in 1964, he started his pro career by signing as an amateur free agent with the Milwaukee Braves, aspiring to become a big leaguer like his grandpa, Marty Herrmann, who played for Brooklyn in 1918. The following November, he was taken by the Chicago White Sox in a less restrictive phase of the Rule 5 Draft.

This would kick off a decade in Chicago’s organization. The journey started in A-ball in Iowa. As an 18-year-old, Herrmann hit .250 with five home runs across 54 games. The team would leave him in Single-A to start the 1966 season, but he would be promoted and play 42 games at the Double-A level, slashing .243/.316/.368.

Despite the modest results at the plate, Herrmann started to make a name for himself as a very good defensive catcher. Herrmann played in 117 games, hitting nine home runs in 1967 while seeing his average drop to .238. At the end of the season, though, an injury to backup catcher Jerry McNertney while on a road trip put the White Sox in a pinch. They called Herrmann up, and the kid appeared in two games. In his debut, he pinch-hit and doubled in a run before coming around to score himself.

Following that little bit of excitement at the end of 1967, Herrmann was back in Double-A to start the 1968 season. That stint would be short-lived, though, as he would get called up and spend most of the season in Triple-A, where he turned 22 years old that August.

The next spring, Herrmann earned a spot on the big-league roster. For that 1969 campaign, Herrmann split the catching duties with veteran Duane Josephson. Herrmann made 79 starts and posted a slash line of .231/.319/.341 with eight home runs.

Herrmann would spend five more seasons playing for the White Sox, steadily earning more and more of their starts behind the plate. 1970 was his best season at the plate as he batted .283 and hit his career-high 19 home runs. During this run, Herrmann caught legendary knuckleballer Wilbur Wood’s best seasons. Due to his fine work corralling the offering, Herrmann earned several awesome nicknames, including Fort Herrmann, SupHerrmann, and the Block of Granite.

In what would become one of his career highlights, Herrmann was selected to the 1974 All-Star team. That season would be his last in Chicago as an offseason contract dispute ultimately led to him getting traded. The Yankees swooped in and were able to get the catcher for minor leaguers Fred Anyzeski, Ken Bennett, John Narron, and Terry Quinn, none of whom made it to the show, along with some cash the club from the South Side allegedly needed to pay off bills from spring training.

Already rostering superstar Thurman Munson and future Orioles World Series MVP Rick Dempsey, Herrmann became a true luxury backup. In his lone season in pinstripes, he served as the third-string catcher. Herrmann started 53 games and appeared in 80 total, seeing time as a catcher and as the DH.

His final line for the 1975 season was a slash of .255/.309/.410 with six home runs. The Yankees finished the year with an 83-77 record, which slotted them third in the East and out of the playoffs. In the offseason, Herrmann was purchased from the Yankees by the California Angels. Herrmann would play part of a season for the Angels before they traded him in June of 1976 to the Houston Astros for Mike Barlow and Terry Humphrey.

Houston would be Herrmann’s home for the rest of 1976, all of the 1977 season, and until June of the 1978 season, when the Expos of Montreal would purchase Herrmann to back up future Hall of Famer Gary Carter for the rest of the season. The trip north of the border would conclude Herrmann’s time as a big leaguer after he clashed with manager Dick Williams and was released after the season. Herrmann went ahead and officially retired, ending his 11-year playing career at the big league level.

After retiring, Herrmann was hired to scout for the Royals. Additionally, he coached many youth travel teams back home in California and pursued his passion for motorcycles. In 2013, Herrmann passed away at 67 from prostate cancer.

Happy birthday, Ed! We wish your family well on this day.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

Thursday Jays Notes

TORONTO, CANADA - AUGUST 26: Tyler Rogers #71 of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches in the eighth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Rogers Centre on August 26, 2026 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Cole Burston/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Happy Thursday; we’ve almost made it to the end of another week. I’ve been trying to hold off on posting this until the expected roster move to send Chad Dallas back down to Buffalo.

A question I have: I’m not sure how you would go about studying this, but teams are surprisingly successful on ‘bullpen days’, and I wonder if there’s payback over the next three or four days? Do you think teams lose more games over the next few days after a bullpen day, because the pen is tired? Do you think there is a cost to the team over the season? The Jays have several relievers who have thrown way more innings than you would like them to.

There is likely a cost to having guys pitch so much. One would think they lost some effectiveness late in the season. Mason Fluharty has pitched in 71 games, most in baseball. He’s averaged less than an inning per outing, but there are still 71 games where he’s warmed up and put strain on that left arm and shoulder. Will he be as effective next year?

Louis Varland, Braydon Fisher and Tyler Rogers are all above 60 appearances.

Last year, Brendon Little led baseball with 79 appearances. This season didn’t start well for Brendon, but since coming back from the minors in July, he’s been much better. 2.81 ERA. Still walks more guys than you would like, but then he’s averaging 1.5 strikeouts per inning.

I’m sure someone has studied how teams do the week after a bullpen day. It would be hard to do for the Jays because there wouldn’t be enough times when there hasn’t been a bullpen day recently.

I find the bullpen games interesting to watch, because I’m always curious how the team plans to get through the nine innings. I’d imagine they would have a plan for ‘if things go well’ and one for ‘if they don’t’.


I think it is time to give up the tradition of soaking the ‘player of the day’ with ice water. More and more of the players seem to be upset when they do it. Nathan Lukes clearly didn’t want it last night. Louis Varland was very angry when it happened a few weeks ago. They should come up with something else. Something less wet.


This really is a great quote. I wonder if Ernie is re-thinking things:


Rob Longley, in the Sun, has a story about Buck Martinez’ broadcasting journey (in one sentence paragraphs).

It wasn’t exactly the extended career path the California native envisioned following the 1986 season, however, as Martinez stubbornly maintained his playing career wasn’t done.

“I went kicking and screaming,” Martinez said in an interview. “Pat Gillick (Jays GM) and Paul Beeston (team president) released me the first day after the ’86 season and suggested I take a TV job and I said ‘no, I’m going to play again.’ Then I went home and (wife) Arlene told me to call them back and tell them I can’t play any more.


Nate Tomlinson had a rough time of it last night.