D-backs @ Royals discussion

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - APRIL 13: A general view of Union Station as Kansas City Prepares to Host the FIFA World Cup 2026 on April 13, 2026 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Today’s Lineups

DIAMONDBACKSROYALS
Lars Nootbaar – DHCarter Jensen – C
Ketel Marte – 2BBobby Witt – SS
Gabriel Moreno – CVinnie Pasquantino – 1B
Geraldo Perdomo – SSSalvador Perez – DH
Corbin Carroll – RFMichael Massey – 2B
Nolan Arenado – 3BNick Loftin – 3B
Tommy Troy – CFIsaac Collins – LF
Tim Tawa – 1BMatthew Lugo – RF
Ryan Waldschmidt – LFKyle Isbel – CF
Corbin Burnes – RHPMichael Wacha – RHP

Roster moves

The Arizona Diamondbacks made the following roster moves. The D-backs’ active roster is at 28 and the 40-man roster is at 39.

  • Reinstated from the 60-day injured list: RHP Corbin Burnes (recovery from right ulnar collateral ligament surgery)
  • Recalled from Triple-A Reno: RHP Kade Strowd
  • Optioned to Triple-A Reno following yesterday’s game: RHP Gerardo Carrillo
  • Optioned to Triple-A Reno today: RHP José Cabrera

There we go. After a little over fifteen months, Corbin Burnes has finally returned to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Obviously, we are not expecting much in the way of length from him today. Probably around four innings. I’d expect the team to lean on Blake Walston for a couple, and then cobble together the final three frames from Strowd, Derek Law and Justin Martinez, with Dennis Santana potentially in the mix as well. It’s certainly going to be a case today of very much threading the needle. If, for whatever reason, Burnes is not able to go four, then there’s going to be a most unwelcome domino effect over the rest of the game.

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Game Thread: Time for the final playoff push

ST. PETERSBURG, FL - SEPTEMBER 01: Yandy Díaz #2 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates as he rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run in the sixth inning during the game between the New York Mets and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on Tuesday, September 1, 2026 in St. Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Alex Zadorozny/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Go Rays!

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New York Yankees vs. Colorado Rockies: Cam Schlittler vs. Gabriel Hughes

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 08: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees takes the field for batting practice before the game against the Colorado Rockies at Yankee Stadium on September 08, 2026 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) | Getty Images

At long last, the Captain is back.

Aaron Judge has returned to the Yankee lineup, just in time for the lowly Colorado Rockies to come to the Bronx for a three-game series. Better yet, Cam Schlittler will be making the start on the mound to begin this homestand. It’s got all the makings of a joyous night at the Stadium—but you’ve gotta win the games in front of you.

The Rockies enter this series owners of a 55-88 record, dead last in the National League, and second worst in baseball. Their lineup—while below average—is honestly not awful, but their pitching has been characteristically poor: a 5.47 staff ERA and 4.77 FIP. It’s the kind of staff the Yankees, who have been dying to find some offensive consistency, could definitely use as a warm-up for the final push with Judge back in the fold.

Tonight, they’ll be starting Gabriel Hughes, a 25-year-old rookie who has pitched to a 6.19 ERA in his first 11 MLB games. Those numbers are distended by two consecutive seven-run clunkers from a few weeks back—the 4.05 FIP is one of many figures that indicate he’s gotten a bit of a raw deal. Yankee Stadium will be a tough environment for the young man to handle, though.

Schlittler continues to cruise in the second half as he tries to win the Cy Young race with Dylan Cease. His last time out was yet another showstopper: eight innings of one-run ball against the Angels. It’s true that his numbers in Yankee Stadium have been slightly less stellar, but I don’t think he would have preferred to deal with the Coors Field run environment. He’s perfectly content defending home field tonight.

Make sure you’re back home in time for the bottom of the first inning: Aaron Judge will be batting third behind Ben Rice and Cody Bellinger. He’s utterly surrounded by lefties, unsurprisingly: Luis García Jr., Spencer Jones, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. make up the middle of the order after Judge. George Lombard Jr. bats seventh, Ryan McMahon hits eighth, and Austin Wells brings up the caboose.

How to watch

Location: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, NY

First pitch: 7:05 pm ET

TV/Streaming: YES, Rockies.TV

Radio broadcast: WFAN 660/101.9 FM, WADO 1280 – NYY | KWFN 97.3, XEMO 860 – SD

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Mets' Reed Garrett takes step in recovery from elbow surgery

Reed Garrett has taken another step in his recovery following last year's elbow injury. 

Garrett caught up with the Mets in Miami for their three-game set, and he was able to throw his first bullpen session as scheduled, on Tuesday afternoon. 

“It’s been a long-while," interim manager Andy Green said. "His stuff looked good out there, threw a lot of strikes, and walked off the mound feeling good about himself.”

Garrett was initially diagnosed with elbow inflammation last August. 

He required just a minimum stay on the injured list, but lasted only four appearances before having to shut things down after feeling renewed discomfort.

The 33-year-old underwent UCL reconstruction surgery in October. 

Garrett has been rehabbing at the team facility in Port St. Lucie throughout the season, and he was able to show his progress in front of team officials for the first time. 

"It was fun seeing Reed back out there today," Green said.

The veteran was never expected to be back healthy with the Mets this season, but checking off these boxes certainly bodes well for his status heading into next year. 

Garrett remained a relatively steady piece for New York’s bullpen before being forced to the sidelines, and he is under club control through the 2029 season. 

GameThread: Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins, 6:40 p.m.

Sep 6, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Detroit Tigers second baseman Hao-Yu Lee (50) rounds third base en route to scoring during the first inning against the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Detroit Tigers (66-78) vs. Minnesota Twins (68-76)

Time/Place: 6:40 p.m., Comerica Park
SB Nation Site:Twinkie Town
Media:
Detroit SportsNet, MLB.TV, Tigers Radio Network
Pitching Matchup: RHP Drew Anderson (4-5, 3.73 ERA) vs. RHP Dean Kremer (2-5, 5.81 ERA)

PlayerGIPK%BB%GB%FIPfWAR
Anderson4691.225.79.448.44.140.6
Kremer1366.223.68.636.75.120.1

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Braves vs. Rays chat and discussion: AJ Smith-Shawver vs. Freddy Peralta

PHILADELPHIA, PA - SEPTEMBER 06: Ronald Acuna Jr. #13 of the Atlanta Braves during the game against the Philadelphia Phillies on September 6, 2026 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Braves kick off the second matchup in a streak of five straight series against teams currently in playoff position Tuesday night (7:15 p.m. ET) when the Tampa Bay Rays descend upon Truist Park.

AJ Smith-Shawver gets the start in the opener for Atlanta, looking for better control and a better result after taking his first loss of the season last time out against Washington.

Tampa counters with former Brewers and Mets pitcher Freddy Peralta on the mound.

Follow along and share your thoughts as the Braves get a brief respite from facing the Phillies before Philadelphia heads to Atlanta this weekend for another critical series for playoff seeding.

Game Info

Preview

Lineups

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GUARDIANS AT ORIOLES: Young vs. Bibee, discussion

CLEVELAND, OHIO - AUGUST 28: Starting pitcher Tanner Bibee #28 of the Cleveland Guardians walks back to the dugout after the top of the first inning against the Kansas City Royals at Progressive Field on August 28, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Here’s the Guardians’ lineup:

Here’s the Orioles’ lineup:

Let’s go, Guardians!

Bryce Elder has knee scope, out three to four weeks

ATLANTA, GA - AUGUST 31: Bryce Elder #55 of the Atlanta Braves pitches in the third inning against the San Francisco Giants at Truist Park on August 31, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Matthew Grimes Jr./Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Walt Weiss had some bad news for the Braves starting pitching rotation in this afternoon’s press conference.

Oy. Per the manager himself, Bryce Elder had a minor knee surgery today. Apparently, he has been dealing with it for some time. He hopes to pitch in the postseason. I do as well, but yeech. Would that mean the Braves made the NLCS or World Series? Because that might be optimistic.

Our man Demetrius Bell is on the scene and have more later.

Michael Harris II returns to leadoff spot for Braves’ opener vs. Rays

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - SEPTEMBER 6: Michael Harris II #23 of the Atlanta Braves bats against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on September 6, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Braves defeated the Phillies 5-4. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) | Getty Images

As the Atlanta Braves begin their series against the Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday evening, they’re switching things up in the lineup a bit to again attempt to find an offensive spark.

Michael Harris II will hit in the leadoff spot for the first time since Aug. 23 in the series opener. Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson follow, dropping Drake Baldwin, who will DH this game with Sean Murphy back behind the plate, to the fourth spot.

Mauricio Dubón is also back at shortstop and hitting fifth, and Mike Yastrzemski will play left field and hit eighth against a right-handed starter.

The Rays have catcher Liam Hicks back in the cleanup spot after he was out of the lineup in their last game on Sunday.

Also of note, Jorge Mateo, who started the season in Atlanta, is now with Tampa and will start at short and hit ninth for the series opener.

Seeing as he’s made just one career start against the team, only five current Rays have taken a major league at-bat against Braves starter AJ Smith-Shawver.

Mind you, that collective production has been pretty good as this quintet is a combined 5-for-10 against the right-hander. Hicks (2-for-2) leads that charge, which includes a homer, a double, three RBIs, three strikeouts and two walks.

The Braves’ hitters have much more of a track record against Rays starter Freddy Peralta, albeit it’s not nearly as successful. They’re a combined 31-for-140 (.221) against the right-hander with eight doubles, four homers, 12 RBIs, 40 strikeouts and 12 walks.

Michael Harris II (4-for-9) is a standout of the bunch against Peralta, and Matt Olson and Austin Riley are each hitting over .300 against him with a pair of homers apiece and a combined eight RBIs.

Interestingly considering Peralta isn’t a reverse-splits guy, the right-handed platoon outfielder, Lane Thomas, has a much better history against him (3-for-9, two doubles, two RBIs) than the left-handed half of the platoon, Yastrzemski, who is 1-for-13 (.077) lifetime against Peralta.

VOTE: Will Judge’s return affect how the Yankees finish the 2026 season?

SAN DIEGO, CA - SEPTEMBER 06: Aaron Judge #99 of the New York Yankees looks on prior to the game between the New York Yankees and the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on Sunday, September 6, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Ryan Levy/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Yankees fans and fans across the country.

We’re heading down to the final stretch of the regular season, and the Yankees are preparing to make a deep run into the playoffs.

Judge returns to the lineup on Tuesday to face the Rockies after being reinstated from the injured list on Monday night. He’ll play a crucial role in the Yankees’ offense as they strive to clinch a playoff spot.

The next couple of weeks will determine whether the Pinstripes will rise or fall in the American League East. The pennant race is coming down to the wire as the Yankees remain four games behind the Rays as of Tuesday. They will head to the Bronx to face the Yankees in a critical four-game series beginning with a doubleheader on September 22. The Red Sox are merely two games behind the Yankees, which could mean some trouble if they win their upcoming series against the Rays and the Guardians.

All things considered, Judge is expected to bring a huge boost to this team at all levels. He’ll be playing the field in the Bronx to start the series against Colorado, and there is no doubt that Yankees fans will erupt in applause and give a standing ovation as No. 99 makes his return debut. With his energy back in the lineup, we’ll hopefully see more offensive production that fans have been eagerly awaiting since the end of May.

With the return of the captain, how far will the Yankees go in 2026?


Dreiling, Morales lead August minor league award winners

MIDLAND, TX - AUGUST 08: Dylan Dreiling #8 of the Frisco RoughRiders looks on during the game between the Frisco RoughRiders and the Midland RockHounds at Momentum Bank Ballpark on Saturday, August 8, 2026 in Midland, Texas. (Photo by Conor Lacefield/Minor League Baseball via Getty Images)

The Texas Rangers have announced their minor league award winners for the month of August. Dylan Dreiling has been named the Rangers’ Minor League Player of the Month, Moises Morales the Minor League Starting Pitcher of the Month, Yolfran Castillo the Minor League Defender of the Month, and Kay Wynyard the Minor League Reliever of the Month.

Dreiling slashed .429/.448/.667 in 95 plate appearances over 20 games for AA Frisco in the month of August, recording at least one hit in all 20 games, hitting four homers, and walking 10 times against 15 Ks. The Rangers’ second round pick in 2024, Dreiling had a middling 2025 season at high-A Hub City, but has impressed in the Texas League this season, slashing .314/.384/.527 on the year. The 23 year old lefthanded hitter has played almost exclusively center field this season, and seems likely to be bumped to AAA for the end of the Pacific Coast League season once the Texas League playoffs are over.

Morales, a 22 year old righthanded pitcher, is someone who has not been on my radar until recently. Signed out of Venezuela in July of 2023 as a 19 year old, Morales pitched in the Dominican Summer League in 2023 and 2024, then came over to the Arizona Complex League in 2025. Making his full season debut this year, Morales got off to a difficult start to the season, allowing 10 runs in 13.1 innings in his first three appearances, and putting up a 5.04 ERA in his first nine games.

Since then, however, Morales has been outstanding, as he has struck out 56 and walked 15 in 56 innings over his last 13 appearances — 12 for Hickory and one for Hub City — while posting a 1.77 ERA. He made four appearances for Hickory in August, earning Carolina League Pitcher of the Month honors, and also made his one appearance for Hub City in August. In those five appearances he struck out 20 and walked four in 25 innings, allowing a .224/.275/.259 slash line and a 1.44 ERA. Morales has also started September strong, allowing one run on one hit and one walk in five innings last Friday, striking out seven.

Castillo is a 19 year old shortstop out of Venezuela who was part of the Rangers’ 2024 J-2 class, signing for $647,500. After a strong debut that year in the Dominican Summer League, Castillo came stateside in 2025, spending most of the year in the Arizona Complex League before moving to low-A Hickory once the complex league season ended. Castillo is described by Baseball America as being the organization’s best defensive infielder, and the Rangers noted in their announcement that he had a perfect 1.000 fielding percentage in the month. For the season, Castillo is slashing .288/.390/.416 in 542 plate appearances over 119 games with Hickory and one game with Hub City, with 70 walks, 74 Ks and 55 steals in 65 attempts.

Wynyard is a 24 year old righthander signed by the Rangers out of Australia in October, 2020. Other than five starts in the ACL in 2021, Wynyard has worked exclusively in relief as a pro, and has gotten to learn the highways and byways of the Carolinas quite well, having spent most of the past five seasons in either the Carolina League or the South Atlantic League. Wynyard had six scoreless appearances for Hub City in August, striking out 13 and allowing 4 walks in 10.2 IP.

Wynyard’s season line is kind of ugly due to a gruesome start to the season, when he allowed 16 runs in 6.1 innings in his first five appearances. Since then, he has a 3.77 ERA in 45.1 IP in 30 games for Hub City and one game for Frisco, where he is now, with 59 Ks, 23 walks and seven homers allowed. In his last 12 games he has allowed just two runs in 17 innings, striking out 23 and walking 8.

MLB Home Run Props & Predictions Today: Best HR Picks & Parlay for September 8

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Let's keep the good vibes rolling with three of my favorite home run props and predictions for today's MLB slate.

Find out why I am backing Junior Caminero, Heriberto Hernandez, and Teoscar Hernandez. 

These are my favorite MLB picks for Tuesday, Sept. 8.

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

MLB home run props for today

For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.

Player to hit a HRChance
Rays Junior Caminero 26%
Marlins Heriberto Hernandez23%
Dodgers Teoscar Hernandez26%
💲Today's HR parlay94.40x

Home run prediction: Junior Caminero (26%)

Despite the small sample size, Atlanta Braves right hander AJ Smith-Shawver has been horrendous against right-handed hitters this season, allowing a .346 BA, .538 SLG, and 1.023 OPS across 33 batters.

Tampa Bay Rays slugger Junior Caminero has the highest matchup rating in this game over at Batters-Box, where he leaves the yard 32.26% of the time with an elite road rating. Caminero also covers nearly 97% of Smith-Shawver’s pitch mix.

Over his last 10 games, Caminero owns a .525 SLG and .250 ISO with a 51.6% hard-hit rate and nearly 13% barrel rate.

Caminero should be just fine against a guy still trying to find his footing against righties. 

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: RAYS, BravesVsn

Home run prediction: Heriberto Hernandez (23%)

Big day to back a Hernandez, as we’re backing Miami Marlins slugger Heriberto Hernandez this evening against New York Mets southpaw Sean Manaea.

The young Marlins slugger has been all over left-handed pitching this season, owning a .543 SLG and .879 OPS. On top of that, Hernandez has been mashing over his last 10 games, posting a .289 ISO and 17.4% ground-ball rate while barreling the ball more than 17% of the time.

Manaea has been progressively getting worse as the games go by. Over his last five outings, he owns a 5.87 ERA while allowing a 15.46% barrel rate. Over his last three starts, he has a 7.79 ERA and a near 18% barrel rate.

The last 60 right-handed hitters the veteran has faced have generated a barrel rate of nearly 20%, along with a .363 xBA and .744 xSLG.

If Manaea is going to continue getting worse as the season progresses, let’s fade the daylights out of him.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MIAM, SNY

Home run prediction: Teoscar Hernandez (26%)

“But bu- he homered last night.”

Cool.

Anywho, tonight we are backing Los Angeles Dodgers slugger Teoscar Hernandez, who has not only been teeing off against southpaws, but has also been on fire over his last 10 games. During that stretch, he owns a .649 SLG, .719 xSLG, and .244 ISO, while generating a 64%+ hard-hit rate and 18% barrel rate.

This evening, Hernandez draws Cincinnati Reds left-hander Nick Lodolo, who's been getting tormented by right-handed hitters lately. The last 60 he's faced sport a .350 xBA, .640 xSLG, and .400 xwOBA, while Lodolo is allowing a 53.5% hard-hit rate, 16.3% barrel rate, and 27.9% ground-ball rate.

Some may shy away from this prop because Hernandez left the yard last night. Has nobody ever gone back-to-back days with a home run?

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SNLA, CINR
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 122-417, +26.2 units

Best home run combo for September 8

Rays Junior CamineroTrade Now
94.40x
Marlins Heriberto Hernandez
Dodgers Teoscar Hernandez

Want more baseball parlays? Check out our MLB parlay picks page!

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Milwaukee Brewers are huge home favorites over the Chicago Cubs ahead of the 7:40 p.m. ET first pitch at American Family Field on Tuesday, Sept. 8.

My top Cubs vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks point to a comfortable Brewers win, along with the total going Over tonight.

Who will win Cubs vs Brewers today: Brewers -1.5 (47.8%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

This run line isn’t factoring in Milwaukee Brewers ace Jacob Misiorowski allowing five runs across four innings to the Chicago Cubs last time out, and I fully agree. In fact, I’d back the Brewers to 52.4% on the run line tonight.

After all, Misiorowski has held opposing hitters to a pedestrian.244 wOBA and .127 ISO while spinning an elite 2.25 xERA and 2.28 xFIP across 22 starts at American Family Field over the past two years.

Better yet, he’ll be followed by a bullpen with the sixth-lowest xERA and eighth-lowest xFIP in the second half.

So, with Chicago starter David Peterson allowing six runs across just 3 2/3 innings to the Brewers last week, I expect Milwaukee to win comfortably tonight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Chicago Cubs starter David Peterson’s 4.96 xERA is the 13th-highest mark among pitchers with at least 120 innings.

Cubs vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (48.8%)

Both of these offenses continue to roll, so I do expect there to be enough runs to send this total Over the 7.5 number tonight.

Chicago paces the majors in wOBA and xwOBA over the past 30 days, and Milwaukee has also been dangerous with respective second- and seventh-ranked marks.

Additionally, the Cubs rank fifth in wOBA against righties for the season, and Milwaukee is also above average against lefties.

I’d play this Over to 51.2%.

Cubs vs Brewers home run prediction: Jackson Chourio (16.7%)

Brewers star Jackson Chourio has already taken Peterson deep twice across 12 career plate appearances, and the Milwaukee outfielder also sports a high-end .211 ISO against lefties for the year.

I also value Chourio’s current form at the dish. He boasts a monster .259 ISO and 42.1 squared-up contact rate across his past 12 games.

Neil Parker's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 54-26, +30.45 units
  • Over/Under bets: 27-24, +1.62 units

Cubs vs Brewers market report

Here is how traders are handling tonight's Cubs vs. Brewers matchup at Polymarket, with a strong lean to Milwaukee to win.

Cubs vs Brewers weather

The roof is expected to be open at American Family Field tonight, with the forecast calling for 83 F, clear skies, and the wind blowing at 8-10 mph.

Cubs vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Cubs 35.7% | Brewers 68.8%
  • Run line: Cubs +1.5 (54.5%) | Brewers -1.5 (50%)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (50%) | Under 7.5 (54.5%)

Cubs vs Brewers trend

The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the run line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+7.10 Units / 13% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Brewers.

How to watch Cubs vs Brewers and game info

LocationAmerican Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
DateTuesday, Sept. 8, 2026
First pitch7:40 p.m. ET
TVMARQ, Brewers.TV
Cubs starting pitcherDavid Peterson
(7-8, 5.39 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcherJacob Misiorowski
(14-5, 1.97 ERA)

Cubs vs Brewers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Guardians vs Orioles Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Baltimore Orioles are priced as a 54% favorite against the Cleveland Guardians tonight, with first pitch set for 6:35 p.m. ET at Camden Yards. 

But my Guardians vs Orioles predictions are eyeing Cleveland to take the second game of this series against O's starter Brandon Young, who has shown vulnerability lately. 

Find out more in my MLB picks for Tuesday, Sept. 8. 

Who will win Guardians vs Orioles today: Guardians (47%)

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

The Cleveland Guardians send Tanner Bibee to the hill tonight, and the right-hander has held his own in past weeks. He owns a 3.69 FIP across his last two starts with zero homers allowed.

Bibee has had some command issues during that span, but he has limited hard contact and now faces a Baltimore Orioles lineup with a 77 wRC+ over the last week.

Cleveland isn’t exactly thriving at the plate either, but Brandon Young owns a 5.22 FIP over his previous 13 2/3 innings while surrendering 1.98 HR/9.

The edge isn’t massive, but the Guards are the cleaner look here against Young, who has been running into trouble lately.

Play this pick up to 50%.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Young has struggled with the long ball at home, allowing 1.54 HR/9. On the road, he's surrendered just 0.89. 

Guardians vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (49%)

I like the Under here. Baltimore is struggling to produce runs, and Cleveland’s 83 wRC+ over its last eight contests isn’t much better. Neither team is showing much home run power, either.

I don’t expect either starter to get lit up, and both bullpens are dealing. The Guardians’ relief corps owns a 2.84 xERA over its previous 34 frames with just 0.79 HR/9 allowed.

Baltimore’s bullpen is also in good form, posting a 3.06 xERA over the last week with very strong command.

Play this pick up to 55%.

Guardians vs Orioles home run prediction: Pete Alonso (22%)

The underlying numbers suggest Pete Alonso presents some value. While the slugger has just one home run over the last week, he owns a 61.1% hard-hit rate and 16.7% barrel rate during that span.

Alonso is squaring up the baseball, even if he has not fully been rewarded yet. Although Bibee has limited homers lately, he has allowed a 40.2% fly-ball rate on the road this season, and the Guardians’ bullpen has also allowed plenty of contact through the air in recent games.

Play this pick up to 25%.

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 65-76, -20.19 units
  • Over/Under bets:  78-59, +7.51 units

Guardians vs Orioles market report

Here is how the smart money is coming in on tonight's Guardians vs. Orioles matchup at Polymarket, with a strong lean to Cleveland.

Guardians vs Orioles weather

Weather should be clean at Camden Yards tonight, with partly cloudy to mostly clear skies and temperatures falling from the low 80s into the mid-70s. Winds are light around 5–7 mph, humidity rises later, and rain chances sit at 0%, so there’s no delay concern and only mild carry impact.

Guardians vs Orioles odds

  • Moneyline: Guardians 47% | Orioles 54%
  • Run line: Guardians +1.5 (64%) | Orioles -1.5 (37%)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (52%) | Under 8.5 (49%)

Guardians vs Orioles trend

The Baltimore Orioles have hit the game total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+7.90 Units / 48% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Guardians vs. Orioles.

How to watch Guardians vs Orioles and game info

LocationCamden Yards, Baltimore, MD
DateTuesday, Sept. 8, 2026
First pitch6:35 p.m. ET
TVCleGuardians.TV, MASN
Guardians starting pitcherTanner Bibee
(5-15, 4.06 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcherBrandon Young
(9-3, 3.42 ERA)

Guardians vs Orioles latest injuries

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Which is the team to see in the playoffs?

Sep 2, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks base runner Corbin Carroll (7) steals second base ahead of the tag by Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Luis Arraez in the first inning at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Is it ok to talk about the playoffs?

I think it’s ok to talk about the playoffs. Choose from any of the major people that make projections and you’ll find that most, if not all, have the Phillies at something close to 99% positive that they will make the playoffs. That’s pretty rare with this many games to go for a nondivision leading team, but here we are.

So, we can start to look forward a little bit.


These are the four main contenders for the Phillies to see when they open a playoff series. Sure, the Brewers and one of the Dodgers and Braves will be waiting in the NLDS should the Phillies make it that far, but one can dream.

Which team would you rather the Phillies see to open a wild card round?

Welcome to SB Nation Reacts, a survey of fans across MLB. Throughout the year we ask questions of the most plugged-in Phillies fans and fans across the country.