With six games remaining in the San Diego Padres spring schedule, and a roster deadline coming quickly, tough decisions are around the corner.
The announcement by manager Craig Stammen that Joe Musgrove will start the season on the IL should have come as no surprise to anyone who has noticed his absence since his first start on March 4. His following bullpen resulted in being placed on a “hold” and he hasn’t pitched since.
Walker Buehler, in camp on a minor league deal, made a strong start on March 10 where he featured his off-speed pitches and only threw eight fastballs among his 68 pitches and 3.2 innings in a win versus the Los Angeles Angels.
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Although results are not to be trusted in spring, his improvement over the past weeks shows that learning to pitch using all his pitches is progressing well. With the loss of Musgrove for the start of the season, Buehler should have a job. The deadline for adding him to the roster is March 21, his first opt-out opportunity.
The rest of the competitors
Germán Márquez has had very inconsistent results since he joined the Padres on a major league contract. If his struggles continue (12.15 ERA in 6.2 IP) there could be a different pitcher filling the fifth rotation spot. No matter how they start the season, the Padres will have to name a fifth starter within the first couple of weeks. Using an opener or a bullpen start is a short-term fix. They have two off-days within the first eight games so they can take a little time to figure out their approach, possibly using a four-man rotation and carrying nine pitchers in the bullpen.
It seems obvious that neither Tristan McKenzie nor Marco Gonzales have been effective enough to seriously contend for that spot. Lefty JP Sears has had moments during his appearances but has also shown command issues and has not been consistent. His velocity is up on his fastball, but he appears to need more time to master the strike zone.
Matt Waldron is ready to pitch again after recovering from his surgery but will need time to build up to a starter length and perform well. His velocity has also increased on his fastball in his limited look before his surgery, but he is out of options and will have to make the team or be put on waivers before he could be sent to the minors after the IL.
Handling the injured
Besides Musgrove and Waldron, several other Padres are dealing with injury issues, and their status complicates the final roster decisions.
Super-utility Sung-Mun Song has not appeared in a game since aggravating his oblique but has been hitting off a tee and is on a progression toward a slow return.
Yuki Matsui has also not appeared in a game and threw a bullpen on March 14. Jason Adam has had field drills and sim games, next is his Cactus League debut and there will be an assessment after that. He is still aiming for Opening Day.
Bryan Hoeing is having flexor tendon surgery and will be on the 60-day IL for the season. He will join Griffin Canning and Jhony Brito, who will miss at least a couple months.
Infielder Will Wagner has an oblique strain and catcher Blake Hunt is also sidelined with an oblique injury.
If Song isn’t available, both Ty France and Jose Miranda have had great spring performances and could be named to the roster. France has a March 21 opt-out as his first opportunity to have a job here or elsewhere.
Yu Darvish visit
Yu Darvish flew from Tokyo to Miami with a stop in Peoria, Ariz. to visit the Peoria Sports Complex last week. With the elimination of Japan from the WBC, Darvish should be back in Arizona with the Padres soon.
Bullpen decisions
At this point the performances of David Morgan, Bradgley Rodriguez, Adrian Morejon, Jeremiah Estrada and Kyle Hart would dictate that they are all on the roster for the start of the season. Hart, Estrada and Morgan haven’t allowed a run and the others all have low ERAs. Adding Wandy Peralta, who should be back from the WBC in a day or so, allows for one or two more pitchers for the bullpen.
Assuming Matsui is not ready, the last spot(s) will belong to Mason Miller and maybe one other pitcher. If there are eight to start, then that is the bullpen and Logan Gillaspie does not make the roster despite an impressive performance and no minor league options.
Luis Campusano
The backup catcher, who has not had a good offensive spring showing, got a vote of confidence from manager Craig Stammen when asked about the catcher’s status.
“What we’re most concerned about with Campy is what he’s doing behind the plate, and he’s done really well behind the plate,” Stammen said. “… There’s always competition for everything. Every time you take an at-bat, every time you step behind the dish, anytime you’re on base, you’re competing. With Campy, we’re very satisfied with who he is and what he’s done this spring with our pitching staff, and he’s got a pretty strong hold on that second spot.”
Campusano will have more time to improve his offensive performance as he has been concentrating on his defense and working with the pitchers. His Triple-A performance from last season will buy him time with his manager.
Opening Day
It still looks like Nick Pivetta will be the starter on March 26 against the Detroit Tigers at Petco Park. Stammen is not willing to discuss it, but Pivetta should have another start on March 19 and then could throw limited innings, a sim game or live BP on the March 22 or March 23 to get ready for Opening Day.
Should they decide to go with Michael King instead, he is due to start March 18, and they could maneuver him in the same way to get ready for the big day. Either would be a good choice and one would likely follow the other with Randy Vasquez pitching the third game of the season.
Minor League camp in full swing
The Padres have reassigned many of their non-roster invitees and non-competitive roster players to the minor league training camp. Last week, outfielder Tirso Ornelas, catcher Blake Hunt (oblique injury), pitcher Garrett Hawkins and catcher Anthony Vilar were all sent down. There are 54 players in major league camp.