Bo Diddly: Phillies vs. Mets series preview

May 23, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; New York Mets shortstop Bo Bichette (19) reacts after his at bat against the Miami Marlins during the sixth inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images | Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

It seems odd that we’re in mid-June and the Phillies and Mets haven’t played each other yet in 2026. While I’m a fan of schedule diversity and having every team play each other throughout the season, it also seems wrong that you can go almost three months into the season without seeing one of your division rivals.

Like the Phillies, the Mets spent most of April finding new ways to lose baseball games. While they’ve been better since then, playoff contention feels like a longshot at this point. They’re still mired in last place, and while one of their ballyhooed offseason pickups has seemingly turned his season around, it hasn’t been enough to get the Mets out of last place.

Opposition research: Bo Bichette

There has been much frustration about the Phillies not adding to their lineup, specifically, an impact righthanded bat. But it should be considered that the player most people wanted to fill that role was Bo Bichette.

Back in January, Bichette and the Phillies seemed like a good match. The two-time All-Star would have likely slotted in the Phillies’ lineup behind Bryce Harper and presumably provided 20+ HR power out of the cleanup spot. But as we know, the Mets swooped in to give Bichette a contract that he couldn’t pass up.

For most of the season, it appeared as if the Mets saved the Phillies from adding another long-term albatross contract to the pile. Bichette struggled badly out of the gate and became somewhat emblematic of the Mets’ struggles as a whole. At the end of May, he had an OPS of .583 and seemed miserable.

Perhaps he wouldn’t have performed as poorly in Philadelphia, but if he had signed here and similarly bombed, it would have felt demoralizing to have replaced Alec Bohm with a somehow worse and more expensive player.

Surprisingly, while he was hitting poorly, he graded out well on defense. He was a bad defensive shortstop, and most expected him to continue to be bad after moving to third base, but he seems to have taken a liking to the hot corner.

It seemed doubtful that Bichette would continue to hit so poorly, and sure enough, he’s been one of the best hitters in baseball in June. (One of the reasons why I wish the Phillies could have played the Mets earlier in the season.)

It looks like Bichette is planning to opt-out of his contract after the season. Considering Bohm is a pending free agent, and Aidan Miller might never swing a bat again, the Phillies will likely have a gaping hole at the hot corner for 2027. It’s very possible that come the offseason, the Phillies may offer Bichette another long-term contract, and this time, he might take them up on it.

Remembering a guy who played for both teams

Todd Zeile was a top ten prospect for the St. Louis Cardinals in the early 1990s, but he never reached stardom in the major leagues. In his 16-year career, he never made an All-Star team or received as much as a down-ballot MVP vote. A career OPS of .769 combined with subpar defense paints the picture of one of the most average players to ever take the field. You could win with him, but you were never afraid to find an upgrade either.

The 1996 Phillies were not expected to be good, but they didn’t think that their touted prospect Scott Rolen was quite ready for the majors. So, they signed Zeile as a free agent and had him keep third base warm for Rolen.

Zeile did so with his trademark level of adequacy. He had a .789 OPS and poor defense, and when Rolen was called up in August, he dutifully moved to first base before being sent to the Orioles in an August trade.

Heading into the 2000 season, the Mets were set at third base with Robin Ventura, but they needed a first baseman, so they chose adequacy to fill the need and signed Zeile as a free agent. He had one of the best seasons of his career, helping the Mets make it all the way to the World Series.

Trivia

Last week’s answer: The Phillies won their first game at Miller Park by a score of 10-4. Three hits were delivered by Pat Burrell. Nobody answered correctly.

This week’s question: When the Phillies swept the Mets in a key three-game series in September 2007, a different reliever earned the win in all three games. Name one of them.

Additional thought about the series

Because Lincoln Financial Field is hosting a World Cup game on Friday, we’re getting a Thursday-Saturday-Sunday series which you don’t usually see apart from Opening Day weekend.

There has been much written about the Phillies’ troubles at Citi Field, but the Mets have had their share of trouble in Philadelphia. If you recall, the Mets came into Citizens Bank Park in September 2025 with hopes of making a late playoff push. But a 1-0 loss in the series opener seemed to demoralize them, and they went on to lose the next three games as well.

The Mets were expected to be contenders this season after they had the offseason that a lot of Phillies fans wanted their team to have. But the acquisitions of Bichette and Luis Robert, Jr. have been duds, while Freddy Peralta looks more like his career norm of a mid-rotation starter rather than the All-Star he was in 2025. Combined with injuries and/or underperformance by veteran holdovers Francisco Lindor, Kodai Senga, and David Peterson, it’s been a rough year in New York.

I for one, absolutely hate to see it.

Brewers right-hander Quinn Priester to have season-ending surgery for thoracic outlet syndrome

Milwaukee Brewers right-hander Quinn Priester will undergo season-ending surgery for thoracic outlet syndrome and is expected to be sidelined for eight to 10 months.

Thoracic outlet syndrome is a disorder that occurs when blood vessels or nerves in the space between the collarbone and first rib are compressed. That can lead to neck and shoulder pain, numbness or tingling in the fingers, and arm weakness.

Priester’s thoracic outlet decompression surgery will be performed on Monday in Dallas by surgeon Dr. Gregory Pearl and will involve the removal of the first upper rib on the right side.

Priester said he hopes to compete for a rotation spot next spring.

“After doing all the things that we had gone through to try and fix this problem without surgery, we’ve just kind of gotten to a point where these things aren’t working, so we’re going to get surgery and make sure we clean this up and so that for the rest of my career this isn’t an issue,” Priester said before the Brewers game against Cleveland on Thursday.

The Brewers called Priester back from his minor league rehabilitation assignment on June 12 to evaluate the next steps in his recovery.

“I feel really confident that (I’m) going to come back even better,” Priester said.

Priester was a key cog in the team’s rotation a season ago when he went 13-3 with a 3.32 ERA in 29 appearances, including 24 starts, for a team that made it to the National League Championship Series before losing to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Priester was expected to play a major role again this season in a rotation that so far has been led by hard-throwing Jacob Misiorowski and newcomer Kyle Harrison. Priester has not pitched in the majors this season.

Priester said he wanted “to check every box” before deciding on surgery.

The condition caused considerable control issues during the rehab stints, Priester said.

In five rehab games at Triple-A Nashville, two in Arizona and one at High-A Wisconsin, Priester had a 15.75 ERA and 2.88 WHIP in 16 innings, with 24 walks, 18 strikeouts, four hit batters and six wild pitches.

“When the brain and arm are communicating the right way because of the nerves that are pinching in there, it makes it nearly impossible to actually create a result that’s repeatable,” he said. “It was great that we had gotten the pain to go away with the nerve blocks, but essentially, we couldn’t alleviate all the symptoms.”

Priester said the full recovery time for the surgery is expected to be eight to 10 months, but the 25-year-old is confident he can beat the timeline.

“I’m still a pretty young guy that may be able to make that a little bit quicker, be diligent with the work and be ready to compete for a spot in spring training next year,” Priester said.

Philadelphia Phillies ace Zack Wheeler underwent a successful thoracic outlet decompression surgery in September 2025 and made an earlier-than-expected return. Wheeler made his debut this season on April 25 and has a 6-1 record with a 2.01 ERA.

MLB Same-Game Parlay Predictions: Our Best SGP Picks for Thursday, June 18

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It's getaway day with an abbreviated nine-game slate with plenty of afternoon action.

We're focusing on the evening schedule with our MLB same-game parlay predictions, including an offensive uptick in Kansas City, and an A's team that can take care of business against the visiting Los Angeles Angels.

Let's dive in with my MLB picks for Thursday, June 18

Today's best MLB SGP picks

Angels vs A's SGP: A's make the grade

I'm a Gage Jump believer. The 23-year-old A's rookie has looked very good through his first four MLB starts, boasting a 3.09 ERA and a 2.50 FIP. He hasn't allowed a home run in 23 innings despite starting a game at Las Vegas Stadium and another at Sutter Health Park. If he can navigate those confines without getting brutalized, the A's will be extremely happy.

He picked up six strikeouts in five innings in his last start, and the Las Angeles Angels have a 24.7% strikeout rate against left-handed hurlers this season (seventh-highest in MLB)

  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABTV, NBC Sports California

See full analysis of this game in our Angels vs. A's predictions.

Cardinals vs Royals SGP: Lefty-mashers unite!

Kansas City Royals left-hander Noah Cameron and St. Louis Cardinals southpaw Matthew Liberatore get knocked around the park. Cameron's 4.11 ERA isn't terrible, but he isn't missing bats. His one elite area of production is his 87th-percentile walk rate, which only further underlines that he's been too hittable for that decent ERA to be sustainable.

Liberatore's been worse. He gives up hard contact and issues free passes on top of it. I'm avoiding the moneyline on either side because I expect both teams to do enough damage to clear the total.

I'm going chalky with Jordan Walker and Bobby Witt Jr. to clear 1.5 total bases. Walker remains a bat-speed All-Star, which will make life miserable for Cameron, while Witt is simply relentless with his contact, and his .309 expected batting average ranks in the 99th percentile.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Cardinals.TV, Royals.TV

Mets vs Phillies SGP: Veteran hurlers stumble

Similar to the above handicap, I like the offenses to tee off at Citizens Bank Park tonight against New York Mets lefty Sean Manaea and Philadelphia Phillies veteran Aaron Nola.

Juan Soto has the best matchup score on the night's slate, and Kyle Schwarber isn't far off, per Batter's Box. With wind blowing to right field on a humid night in Philadelphia, according to BallparkPal, both left-handed sluggers are poised to go off. 

I'm focusing on total bases, but both hitters could easily clear the fences based on the matchup-weather combo. I don't love their odds to hit home runs at +203 for Schwarber and +253 for Soto (which makes this SGP +1100 for what it's worth), so I'm taking the safer route with their total bases.

  • Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBC Sports Bay Area, BravesVsn

See full analysis of this game in our Mets vs. Phillies predictions.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Dansby Swanson, George Springer, and more hitters it's time to move on from in fantasy baseball

When it comes to fantasy baseball, we're always scouring the waiver wire to see what hitters or pitchers may help our team climb up the standings. We spend less time doing research on who's spot they're going to fill. Today, we change that.

Now that we're in the middle of June, it's time to start having hard conversations about what "safe" players we can drop or try to trade away. Sometimes it's just not a player's year, and we're coming to that point with a few batters, so I created a leaderboard to see which ones it's time to part ways with. Searching from May 1st on (to avoid hot starts and get a sense of recent form), I created a leaderboard with barrel rate, zone contact rate, chase rate, and heart swing rate (swing rate on pitches in the heart of the plate). Then I removed all hitters who were above league average in each category. In my eyes, this gives us a leaderboard of hitters who, over the last six weeks, are not making enough contact in the zone, chasing outside of the zone more than they should, are being too passive on good pitches, and also not making hard contact. If you break it down like that, those are not hitters you want to roster.

I did allow some hitters to qualify in one category, so that we could have a few more earnest discussions about hitters who have been disappointing us so far, and I think we have a pretty solid list, so let's just dive in.

League average marks: Barrel Rate (7.9%), Zone Contact Rate (86.9%), Chase Rate (32.9%), Heart Swing Rate (71.4%)

Hitters to Cut or Trade in Fantasy Baseball

All stats are from May 1st to June 16th to account for recent production

NameRoster%TeamwRC+Barrel%Z-Contact%O-Swing%
Dansby Swanson60%CHC25.709090460.0215050.7928990.304075
Trea Turner98%PHI38.314226280.049180.8984770.416
Chandler Simpson55%TBR47.4301910900.9430890.321705
Nico Hoerner94%CHC48.7289009900.9638550.312
Salvador Perez81%KCR50.275404370.0619470.870130.482385
Carter Jensen38%KCR51.740241390.0744680.8579880.307927
Xander Bogaerts41%SDP56.473323670.06250.8767120.311765
Ezequiel Tovar39%COL63.628646290.0879120.8427670.47557
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.99%TOR69.000867320.0163930.9142860.370879
Steven Kwan49%CLE72.417078400.9752070.21118
Jackson Merrill91%SDP75.001373150.0934580.8768470.33871
Maikel Garcia94%KCR77.356006010.0241940.9411760.264095
George Springer74%TOR82.610256940.0733950.8670210.303621
Brooks Lee34%MIN90.547060790.0468750.9020620.356495
Gunnar Henderson99%BAL91.844497060.0681820.8855720.349246
Mauricio Dubón38%ATL92.804684660.0512820.9108280.425474
Vinnie Pasquantino69%KCR93.779462240.0725810.9308180.317585
Alex Bregman92%CHC94.065954610.0300750.9067360.29064
Ezequiel Duran46%TEX108.80380.0648150.8555560.381215
Brayan Rocchio40%CLE109.55389230.0380950.8451610.345679
Willi Castro35%COL116.1142450.0377360.8681320.382429
Fernando Tatis Jr.99%SDP117.1399430.0793650.8678160.324176
Randy Arozarena98%SEA140.63526720.0810810.7821780.338889

As I mentioned above, some of these hitters are players I would outright cut, and others are ones I would be looking to trade away. There is also a section of players on this list who are likely going to be more valuable in fantasy leagues despite a flawed approach because of their stolen base contributions. Guys like Randy Arozarena, Brayan Rocchio, and Fernando Tatis Jr. have all stolen at least nine bases since May 1st, and all have a wRC+ over 100. You don't need to move on from them in fantasy leagues, but you should be aware that there are some flaws in their profiles (this is even before Arozarena's hamstring injury). For example, Arozarena has a slightly above average 8.1% barrel rate since May 1st, but is making far less contact in the zone than average and chasing outside of the zone more than average. He also has a .358 BABIP (league average is .287) and a 16.7% HR/FB rate (11.7% is league average. Yes, he's hitting .292 since May 1st, but that's likely a fluke given his extreme BABIP luck. You don't HAVE to trade him away, but if you can get good value in a deal, his recent production is likely to decline.

We know the concerns around Fernando Tatis Jr. all season, and his 7.9% barrel rate since May 1st is just league average. He's also been league-average in zone contact and chase rate, so the approach is average. He's sporting a .299 average over this span, but also has an inflated .363 BABIP. He has a .322 career mark, so this isn't egregious, but it's higher than we'd expect. He also has just two home runs in this 40-game span, so I still don't know that you're getting tons in a trade for him, and I doubt anybody is trading for Brayan Rocchio, but he has just a 3.8% barrel rate in this 38-game sample. That also comes with a below-average zone contact rate and a higher-than-average chase rate, while also sporting just a 68% swing rate at pitches in the heart of the zone, below the 71.4% league average mark. You can hold Rocchio for now because he's stealing bases and providing counting stats, but if you're OK in steals, he's certainly a player you can move on from.

A couple of other players you're probably holding onto because you expect to get speed are Chandler Simpson and Nico Hoerner. However, Simpson has three steals in this 37-game sample, and Hoerner has five in his 40 games, so you're not getting the type of production there that you'd hoped for. We know that both players are going to make loads of contact, and their zone contact rates are higher than anybody on this list. They are also two of the only hitters who don't have a single barrel all season. They're both slightly better than league average in chase rate, and both of them are more passive on pitches in the heart of the zone than you'd like to see. If you really need steals, you're not going to drop them, but they are both hitting under .225 in this stretch and not producing many RBIs, given where they hit in the order, so you're not getting anywhere near the production you drafted them for.

A few players are on here because they're rostered in over 35% of leagues, but I don't think they need to be held outside of the deepest formats. Ezequiel Tover, Xander Bogaerts, Brooks Lee, Willi Castro, and Carter Jensen. Jensen may be a surprise because he's an exciting young hitter who just had a five-hit game on Wednesday, but before that game, he was hitting just .197 since May 1st. That comes with a 7.4% barrel rate but a below-average zone contact rate. He's not chasing outside of the zone, and he is attacking pitches over the heart of the plate, so we like to see that, but it almost makes his struggles more concerning because he's still not producing. He's just a two-catcher league option right now, and I might rather have a guy like Endy Rodriguez.

Jensen's teammate, Vinnie Pasquantino, is now injured, but he qualified for this list, and I don't believe he's somebody you need to hold onto as he recovers from his hamate bone fracture.

Lastly, I don't have time to do full deep dives on Trea Turner, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Gunnar Henderson, but they're on this list, so I wanted to address them. You're obviously not cutting any of them; these are players you'd be looking to trade away, and I'm open to exploring deals for all of them. A month ago, I recorded a video on Vlad Jr.'s power outage, and much of that remains the same. He has just three home runs all season and a career-low 6.3% barrel rate and 44.4% hard-hit rate. He's chasing more outside of the zone than he ever has and swinging far more often on pitches in the fringes of the strike zone. Pitchers just aren't challenging him, and there's a really good chance that he doesn't hit 20 home runs this season. On the other hand, Henderson is giving you power but not much else. His launch angle is the highest it's ever been, his fly ball rate is the highest it's ever been, and he's pulling the ball 10% more often than last year. Pair that with the fact that he's chasing more than he has, and I think you have a guy who is too focused on power. I'm also shocked he's already been caught stealing four times after being caught just five times all of last season. I think his fixes are a little easier to make in-season than Vlad Jr.'s.

Lastly, Father Time may be coming for Trea Turner. The 33-year-old hasn't hit a ball 110 mph all season, and the last time that was true was his brief cup of coffee in 2015. His bat speed is the same, but his swing has always been long, and he's now posting the lowest barrel rate and hard-hit rate of his career. Much like the other struggling stars, he's chasing more than he ever has and making less contact than he has in years. Like Hoerner and Simpson, he can still run and could push 30 steals this season, so don't give him away, but I think he winds up with 15 home runs and maybe hits .260 the rest of the way, so that could be production you could replace if you're good in steals and wanted to trade Turner for pitching or power.

Salvador Perez - C/1B, Royals

I have Perez on a few teams this season and, trust me, it feels about as bad as it's looked. Since May 1st, he's hitting .199/.251/.305 with four home runs and 15 RBI. That comes with just a 6.2% barrel rate and 50.3 wRC+. He's making a league-average amount of contact in the zone, but is also chasing out of the zone 48% of the time since May 1st; that's wild. Perez's bat speed is down 1.5 mph, and his average exit velocities are down 1.5 mph on the season as well, giving him the lowest marks of his career. Overall, his barrel rate and hard-hit rate are right around league average, and he's very likely to hit more than 20 home runs again, but maybe he's back down to a 23 home run hitter who will also bat .220 and doesn't draw any walks. With the lineup also struggling around him, there is no way he's getting 100 RBI again and may struggle to even finish with 80. In a one-catcher league, it may actually be OK to move on for somebody like Gabriel Moreno or Francisco Alvarez.

Maikel Garcia - 3B, Royals

Perez's teammate, Maikel Garcia, has also struggled this year and is now battling a hand injury. Over his last 30 games, he’s slashing .263/.317/.333 with no home runs, 15 RBI, and just one steal. He has a nearly 40 percent hard-hit rate over that span, but just an 80 wRC+. He's been dinged up for much of the year, so you'd almost hope he gets sent to the IL so he can get a reset. He's not pulling the ball as much as last year and has taken his passive approach and made it even more passive, with just a 38.9% swing rate, the lowest of his career. That has led to a 23.4% called strike rate, which is one of the highest in the league. I still think Garcia can be a .270-.280 hitter, but he may finish with 10 home runs and is not running like he did the last three seasons. Given those same lineup concerns around him, I think Garcia is a drop in 10-team leagues and really only a fringe roster player in 12-team leagues if you can find 10-15 stolen bases elsewhere, like maybe Bryson Stott, Sam Antonacci, or Luke Keaschall

Dansby Swanson - SS, Cubs

Every projection system, especially the ones that use Statcast data, will tell you that Swanson is a top 10 shortstop, but, at some point, we have to believe what we're seeing. He has the lowest wRC+ since May 1st of any player on this list at 25.7. He's hitting .147/.225/.209 over that span with one home run, five RBI, and 16 runs scored. That comes with a 2.1% barrel rate and 79.3% zone contact rate. He's not swinging outside of the zone too much, and he is attacking pitches in the heart of the strike zone, but he's just doing nothing with them. I also don't think this is about age for the 32-year-old. His bat speed is up. He's hit a ball 110.3 mph this season, which is the hardest of his career, and he's squaring up the ball as much as he did last year. His swing is a bit longer, and he's seeing far more pitches outside of the heart of the strike zone. His zone contact has always been below average, and his swinging strike rate has always been high for a player without elite power, so maybe this was just a matter of time. What we have now is a 32-year-old shortstop who makes less contact in the zone than we want, swings and misses more than we want, does not get good pitches to hit, and does not make solid contact on the good pitches he does get. That seems like a player I'd rather not have on my fantasy team.

Alex Bregman - 3B, Cubs

Swanson's teammate has only been marginally better. Bregman does have a .250/.329/.348 slash line since May 1st, but that comes with three home runs, 23 runs scored, and 11 RBI. It's not great from a fantasy perspective. Since May 1st, he also has just a 3% barrel rate and has been really passive in the zone. He's still making an above-average amount of contact in the zone and not chasing outside of it, but it's his lowest barrel rate since 2020 and his lowest hard-hit rate since 2022. Perhaps we should have seen this as a profile that might not age well. Bregman is a career .270 hitter, but a 6% barrel rate and 38.4% hard-hit rate tell us that he's never made really damaging contact. He just makes a lot of contact. Well, his bat speed is now down over one mph, and he's not getting the ball up in the air as much as before. However, another part of that his ballpark is a terrible fit. Bregman is 64th in baseball with a 23.1% Pull Air rate. In his career, the majority of his home runs have been pulled in the air because he lacks elite exit velocity. Wrigley Field is a bad place for righties to try to hit pulled home runs because of the winds that swirl off Lake Michigan. So Bregman may now be a .250-.260 hitter who's going to hit 15 home runs and not steal many bases while putting up maybe 150 combined HR+RBI. That's probably a profile that fits best in 15-team leagues.

Jackson Merrill - OF, Padres

Merrill is a tough one because I believe in the talent, but, since May 1st, he has just a 75 wRC+ and is hitting .208/.333/.235 with four home runs, 12 runs scored, 12 RBI, and six steals. Now, the home runs and steals aren't bad over a 38-game sample size, and he could easily finish with a 20/20 season, which is obviously valuable. He also has a 9.3% barrel rate since May 1st and a 10.2% one on the year. So why are the results not there? He's making slightly more contact in the zone than league average, chasing basically around the league average rate, and being more aggressive in the heart of the strike zone than average. His exit velocities are up. His bat speed is up. His pull rates and flyball/groundball rates are almost identical to last year. This one doesn't make sense. This feels like a .260-.270 hitter who would go 20/20. Yes, the counting stats aren't what we'd like to see because the Padres are struggling overall, but I think this may be a situation where I'm buying the dip.

Steven Kwan - OF, Guardians

Sometimes we have to remind ourselves that baseball players are human beings who deal with the normal ups and downs of life. Kwan was placed on the Bereavement/Family Medical Emergency List at the end of May, and we still don't know why, as he and the team have kept that issue personal. You get the sense that whatever it is is weighing on Kwan, who has not been the same player this year. He still has an exceptionally short swing and makes tons of contact. He still has basically the same pull rates as before, but is hitting fewer line drives and more ground balls. He's also being far more passive than usual, with his swing rate down to 36%, and he's also swinging at pitches in the heart of the zone 6% less often. Pitchers have also been challenging him with more fastballs, and he's seen 4% more fastballs than he did last year. On top of that, he's attempted just four stolen bases after stealing at least 19 in three of the last four years. Considering he was on your team for batting average and steals, Kwan, sadly, doesn't feel like a player you need to roster right now.

George Springer - OF, Blue Jays

I know Springer seems to be slowly heating up, but he's also hitting just .215/.310/.370 since May 1st. That has come with a 7.3% barrel rate, 86.7% zone contact rate, and 30.3% chase rate, so basically league average in all those areas. Yet, his bat speed is down, his exit velocities are down, and he's squaring the ball up less often than before. He seems to have flattened his bat head a bit more through the strike zone, which could be leading to more groundballs, and he's being more aggressive than he has been since 2022. Even though his chase rate is below league average, it's still the highest mark he's ever had. He's also swinging at pitches on the edge of the strike zone more than he ever has, which seems to paint a picture of a hitter who is pressing. When you factor in that Springer is 36 years old and was on a decline before last year came out of nowhere, his step backwards this year makes more sense.

For people who believe in his hot stretch, we can narrow his sample size. Over his last 13 games (since June 1st), he's hitting .214/.370/.405 with two home runs, six runs scored, five RBI, and three steals. He has just a 30.6% hard-hit rate over that stretch, but is doing a better job of elevating the ball, and obviously showing good plate discipline with an 8/10 K/BB ratio. Still, the bat speed is down, and the hard contact isn't there. I believe we could be looking at a .240 hitter the rest of the way with 10-12 home runs and 5-6 steals while hitting in a decent lineup. That's fine for 15-team leagues, but I don't think this player needs to be rostered in many shallower formats. Now could be the best time to float some trade offers.

MLB Strikeout Props & Pitcher Best Bets for Today, June 18

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If you are not a fan of sweaty MLB player props, this might not be your article. But if you are here for fun and a little chaos, welcome!

Here are my three favorite MLB pitcher props for this evening’s slate. We are fading all three starters while rooting for consistent contact and some good eyes at the dish.

Let's have a day on Thursday, June 18.

Best MLB strikeout props and starting pitcher picks today

Player PickOdds
White Sox Sean BurkeOver 2.5 Walks Allowed+135
Cardinals Matthew LiberatoreUnder 4.5 Strikeouts-139
Royals Noah CameronUnder 4.5 Strikeouts-134

Sean Burke Over 2.5 walks allowed (+135)

I am already fading Chicago White Sox starter Sean Burke in another play today, so let's double down on an issue that has plagued him lately — giving up walks.

Over his last five starts, Burke owns a walk rate hovering around 15%. That number sits just above 10% on the road this season, and it climbs to 12.2% against right-handed hitters away from home.

More recently, left-handed hitters have given him serious trouble, as he's posted an 18.3% walk rate over the last 60 lefties he has faced.

Now he draws a New York Yankees lineup loaded with disciplined hitters who are more than willing to take a free pass.

Over their last 30 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, six Yankees hitters own at least a 10% walk rate, while two sit north of 20%. Expand the sample to the last 60 plate appearances, and five hitters carry at least an 8.3% walk rate, with four checking in at 11.1% or higher. 

Getting this at better than +130 feels well worth a dabble. With the number set at 2.5, I would still be interested down to the +120 range.

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: YES, CHSN

Matthew Liberatore Under 4.5 strikeouts (-139)

One of the toughest teams in baseball to strike out over the last few years has been the Kansas City Royals, and that profile has held steady this season with a strikeout rate hovering around 20% at home.

They draw St. Louis Cardinals left-hander Matthew Liberatore, and he enters today with a poorly rated average hitter matchup strikeout profile in both Batters-Box datasets. He owns the lowest K% among Thursday starters over the last three seasons, and the second-lowest overall this season.

In 28 games with a poorly rated K% matchup, he has gone under this prop 57.14% of the time. In 14 games graded as average overall, he has stayed Under five strikeouts at a 57% clip as well.

The Royals have posted just a 10% strikeout rate at home against left-handed pitching this season. Over their last 30 plate appearances against southpaws, they have five hitters sitting at a 14.3% strikeout rate or lower, with only three above 23.3%.

This is a contact-heavy group, and I have no issue backing an Under 4.5 strikeouts for Liberatore. If you want to chase plus money, the Under 3.5 is live, but the broader trends point more strongly toward the Under 4.5.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ROYL, CARD

Noah Cameron Under 4.5 strikeouts (-134)

Yup, we're on both starters' Under strikeouts in the Cardinals vs. Royals matchup this evening. It's hard to ignore two of the lowest strikeout profiles on the slate.

Royals lefty Noah Cameron owns the lowest K% in Batters-Box’s current season dataset. The sample size is still small, so I'm not putting too much weight into the fact he has gone Under this line in 83% of outings.

That said, Cameron has posted a 20.9% strikeout rate at home this season, along with an 11.3% swinging strike rate and a 23.6% whiff rate.

On the other side, the Cardinals have been extremely tough to miss on against lefties on the road. As a group, they carry an 11.1% strikeout rate, an 83.3% contact rate, and just a 7.9% swinging strike rate.

The lineup also features six hitters with a 16.7% or lower strikeout rate over their last 30 at bats against lefties, with four of those bats sitting at 10% or lower. Zooming out to the last 60 at bats, seven hitters are at 20% or lower, with four still at 16.7% or below.

This sets up for two offenses putting the ball in play a ton, with strikeouts at a premium. I would not take this prop any higher than where it sits, so if you want plus money, pairing it with Liberatore is the way I would look.

  • Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ROYL, CARD
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 228-394-35, +7.14 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Mariners outfielder Julio Rodríguez leaves game against Orioles with hamstring spasm

SEATTLE — Seattle Mariners outfielder Julio Rodríguez left the game against the Baltimore Orioles with a hamstring injury after striking out to end the sixth inning.

The three-time All-Star spoke to a team athletic trainer before exiting the dugout.

Mariners manager Dan Wilson told reporters after his team’s 5-3 loss that Rodríguez had a spasm in his hamstring.

Rodríguez was 1 for 3 with a double, giving him 125 doubles to go along with 125 homers and 125 stolen bases in his career.

He reached those totals in 665 major league games, making the 25-year-old Rodríguez the third-fastest player to do it.

Atlanta Braves star Ronald Acuña Jr. was the fastest at 591 games and former big leaguer Alfonso Soriano, a seven-time All-Star, pulled off the feat in 643 games, according to Sportradar.

Brewers’ Brandon Sproat leaves game with hamstring cramp. He doesn’t expect to miss any more time

MILWAUKEE — The Milwaukee Brewers believe the right hamstring cramp that caused pitcher Brandon Sproat to leave his start in the fourth inning won’t have any long-term consequences.

“It’s just a cramp,” manager Pat Murphy said after the Brewers’ 9-4 victory over the Cleveland Guardians. “He was fine. He’ll be able to make his next start.”

After Sproat threw an 0-1 pitch for a ball to Steven Kwan, Brewers head athletic trainer Brad Epstein went to the pitcher’s mound to check on the right-hander. Sproat then left the game, as Chad Patrick came out of the bullpen to replace him.

Sproat said he was dealing with the cramp for much of the fourth inning. After retiring nine straight battters through the first three innings, Sproat allowed a grand slam to Daniel Schneemann in the fourth.

“The whole fourth inning, whenever my back leg would swing around, that hamstring wanted to cramp up on me,” Sproat said. “Trying to push through it, and it just kind of got worse as I kept going on. Obviously the long inning didn’t help. But we went and got it checked out with the trainers and stuff like that, and I’m not going to miss any time.”

Sproat allowed two walks and a single to the first three hitters he faced in the fourth. After Rhys Hoskins struck out, Schneemann sent a 2-2 pitch over the right-field wall.

Sproat then retired David Fry on a pop fly before leaving during Kwan’s plate appearance.

After the game, Sproat was asked how much the cramp might have contributed to his struggles in the fourth inning.

“It’s one of those things where you know it’s there,” Sproat said. “It’s really just one of those things that’s annoying, I guess, is the best way to put it.”

The Brewers acquired Sproat in a January trade that sent two-time All-Star pitcher Freddy Peralta to the New York Mets. Sproat is 1-4 with a 5.94 ERA in his first full season in the major leagues.

Texas Rangers lineup for June 18, 2026

May 30, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers left fielder Alejandro Osuna (19) makes a running catch on a fly ball during the third inning against the Kansas City Royals at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Andrew Dieb-Imagn Images | Andrew Dieb-Imagn Images

Texas Rangers lineup for June 18, 2026 against the Minnesota Twins: starting pitchers are Jack Leiter for the Rangers and Joe Ryan for the Twins.

In an afternoon game on this fine Thursday, the Rangers look to avoid the sweep.

The lineup:

Pederson — DH

Jung — 3B

Langford — LF

Nimmo — RF

Duran — SS

Smith — 2B

Burger — 1B

Osuna — CF

Higashioka — C

1:35 p.m. Central start time. Rangers are +105 underdogs.

Tigers’ Wenceel Perez injured in freak accident in training room, team puts Gleyber Torres on IL

HOUSTON — The Detroit Tigers were without two players in a 4-2 loss to the Houston Astros, missing outfielder Wenceel Perez due to a freak accident and second baseman Gleyber Torres with an oblique strain.

Tigers manager A.J. Hinch told reporters Perez was hit in the the face by a resistance band in the training room.

The team put Torres on the 10-day IL, retroactive to June 15. The three-time All-Star also went on the IL in May with an oblique strain and missed time last year with the same injury.

Torres is hitting .280 with four homers and 18 RBIs this season.

Detroit also reinstated right-hander Casey Mize from the injured list and put him on the mound at Houston. Mize (4-2) gave up three runs and six hits over 4 2/3 innings to took the loss against the Astros.

Blue Jays at Red Sox; Sonny Gray looks to avoid sweep

May 24, 2026; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Sonny Gray (54) pitches during the third inning against the Minnesota Twins at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images | Bob DeChiara-Imagn Images

TV: NESN

First Pitch: 1:35 p.m. ET

The Red Sox and Blue Jays will wrap up what has been an astonishingly consistent series on Thursday at Fenway Park.

Boston puts tons of guys on base, none of them score, they lose. Toronto barely scrapes together a few hits, somehow gets its baserunners to score, they win. It’s like clockwork, though that needs to change in order for the former to keep itself from falling 14 games below .500.

Sonny Gray will toe the rubber hoping to turn his club’s fortunes around, which has proven to be a fairly decent formula as he’s 4-0 with a 2.86 ERA and 30 Ks in his last five outing stretching back to May 18. Red Sox manager Chad Tracy is rolling with a similar lineup to that of the middle game, with Caleb Durbin and Connor Wong subbing in for Marcelo Mayer and Masataka Yoshida.

Trey Yesavage will look to complete the series sweep for the Blue Jays, having already picked up a victory over this opponent earlier this season.

Yohendrick Piñango and Brandon Valenzuela will slot into the road team’s lineup for the first time this series. Nathan Lukes, on the other hand, will get his second start. Alejandro Kirk, Davis Schneider, and Myles Straw will slot out after getting the start on Wednesday.

The Red Sox will hit the road for a six-game road trip against the Seattle Mariners and Colorado Rockies.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Thursday, June 18

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I came up empty yesterday on the home run trio despite some decent offensive output from Brian Reynolds and Alec Bohm. There are some great hitting spots today on the small slate that are worthy of some dinger bets and MLB player props.

Right-handed bats in Fenway have a big edge with 20-mph winds blowing out to left, and Bryce Harper gets a reverse-splits lefty, which means lefty-on-lefty value with winds blowing out to right field.

Plus, I'm taking another trip to Sacramento for the day's best hitting conditions.

These are my favorite home run props for Thursday, June 18.

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Blue Jays Kazuma Okamoto+476
Phillies Bryce Harper+437
A's Tyler Soderstrom+501
💲Today's HR parlay+19102

Home run pick: Kazuma Okamoto (+476)

There are some great hitting conditions for right-handed bats at Fenway today, with 21-mph winds blowing out toward the Monster in left field. Sonny Gray has been fortunate when it comes to home runs at home this season, allowing just one over 31+ innings, but he owned the fifth-worst HR/FB rate in baseball among qualified starters last year. Regression is coming.

Kazuma Okamoto isn't hitting for average right now, but he leads the team with 15 home runs, owns a low groundball rate (35% over the last 14 days), and paces the club in hard-hit rate. He doesn't have the fastest bat on the team, but when he makes contact, he's squaring the ball up at a 34% clip, which ranks among the top 50 hitters in baseball.

This is one of the best +EV home run props on the board today, alongside George Springer at +490, with a fair price closer to +410.

  • Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NESN, Sportsnet

Home run pick: Bryce Harper (+437)

Today, we're getting a lefty-on-lefty price on a Bryce Harper home run, but it isn't a typical LvL matchup. Sean Manaea gives up HRs to lefties at the same rate as right-handed hitters, and left-handed bats are hitting for a better average vs. him since 2024. Harper has tagged him once in the 15 at-bats between the two, where the All-Star hitter is sporting a .400 AVG.

Harper broke a five-game hitless streak yesterday but had been tearing up June with a 1.060 OPS before that with two homers. His 42.6% hard-hit rate leads the Phillies this year and ranks 18th in baseball. The 14-mph winds will only help the lefty swinger with a 40% pull rate.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCSP, SNY

Home run pick: Tyler Soderstrom (+501)

I'll happily add a +500 homer in Sacramento today with, by far, the best hitting conditions on the slate.

Tyler Soderstrom is slugging .719 during the Athletics' current nine-game homestand, where he has also launched four home runs. His .395 ISO ranks inside the Top 25 in baseball over the last two weeks, and his 75.4-mph bat speed places him among the upper tier of hitters over that same stretch.

The Halos are rolling with a bullpen day, and that group of relievers ranks in the bottom third of the league in HR/9. Four of the seven most-used Angels' relievers also carry ERAs north of 4.00.

I love runs in this game.

  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABTV, NBCSCA
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 16-116, -34.26 units

Today’s HR parlay

Blue Jays Kazuma OkamotoBet Now
+19102
Phillies Bryce Harper
A's Tyler Soderstrom

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Scottish quartet win £8k in Boston Red Sox raffle

Scotland supporters with Boston Red Sox cheque
Peter, Ross, John and Paul enjoyed a weekend to remember stateside [BBC]

Four Scotland supporters enjoyed an even more memorable weekend than most in Boston as they became what the Red Sox believe to be the first UK winners of the club's 50/50 raffle.

Two father and son duos, Peter and Paul Innes and John and Ross Henderson - from Bonnyrigg, Midlothian - attended the Scotland Celebration night at the iconic Fenway Park the night after Steve Clarke's side defeated Haiti in their opening World Cup match.

They bought a $40 raffle ticket between them on Sunday as the Red Sox faced the Texas Rangers and "after checking the number 250 times" discovered they have won the $21,353.80 (£16,132.90) prize.

"It's just surreal," Paul, who has followed Scotland home and away with his dad for over a decade said. "It's not really sunk in."

Half of the winnings goes to support the Red Sox Foundation, meaning the men from Bonnyrigg were presented with a cheque of $10, 676.90 (£8,066.45) before the Red Sox' match against the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday.

Staff at the Red Sox can't recall a winner from the United Kingdom, and are struggling to find records of any international winners of late.

The Tartan Army marched to the home of the Boston Red Sox before taking in their defeat to the Texas Rangers on a night which hit headlines globally.

"My best pal, his son, my son, amazing," John added. "What a trip we've had!"

Guardians place Chase DeLauter on injured list and recall Kahlil Watson

MILWAUKEE — Cleveland outfielder Chase DeLauter has become the latest Guardians position player to go on the injured list.

The team announced the move before a night game against the Milwaukee Brewers. The rookie fractured a rib on his right side when he collided with the outfield wall.

Guardians manager Stephen Vogt expressed optimism that DeLauter could return after the required 10 days on the IL.

“We just felt it was best with where he is injury-wise, let’s give it 10 days so he can be 100% on the other end of the 10 days and be ready to go,” Vogt said.

To fill DeLauter’s spot on the roster, outfielder Kahlil Watson was recalled from Triple-A Columbus.

DeLauter’s injury came during a 3-1 victory over the Detroit Tigers in which seven-time All-Star third baseman José Ramírez and outfielder Angel Martínez also were hurt.

Ramírez underwent surgery to remove the hook of the broken hamate bone in his left hand, an injury that occurred when he hit a foul pop to Tigers catcher Dillon Dingler. The normal recovery time after surgery is five to seven weeks.

Martínez got hurt while fouling off a pitch. He went on the injured list with a nondisplaced fracture in his left foot, and Vogt said the 24-year-old could miss four to six weeks.

DeLauter is batting .263 with a .337 on-base percentage, seven homers and 34 RBIs in 66 games. Four of his homers came in Cleveland’s first three games of the season.

Ramírez is batting .239 with a .339 on-base percentage, 10 homers and 33 RBIs in 72 games. Martínez has a team-high 11 homers to go with a .239 batting average, .276 on-base percentage and 33 RBIs in 66 games.

Watson was batting .255 with a .370 on-base percentage, 12 homers, 35 RBIs and 15 steals in 56 games at Columbus. He entered the pro ranks as a Miami Marlins first-round draft pick in 2021, but he has no major league experience.

“It’s been a long journey,” Watson said. “It’s not done. It’s just the beginning. I’ll say I’ve done a lot to get to where I’m at, and the work is not done.”

Vogt said Watson primarily will spend time in right field but added the 23-year-old has the ability to play all three outfield positions.

Thursday Jays Notes

Apr 1, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Tyler Rogers (71) pitches to the Colorado Rockies during the seventh inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images | John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

We have an early start today, 1:30 Eastern.

Using seven pitcher on day two of 16 games in a row is less than optimal.

It puts a fair bit of pressure on Trey Yesavage today. He really needs to go deep into the game. Deep into the game has a different meaning now than it did a few years back. I remember when calling a pitcher a ‘seven-inning pitcher’ was an insult. Now seven inning pitchers don’t exist.

The good news is that Louis Varland made it out of his inning on just ten pitches. He’s thrown two days in a row but only 29 pitches across those two days. I don’t know how Pete Walker will think about this, but I’d imagine he could go a few pitches today, if needed. Jeff Hoffman has also pitched two days in a row, 34 pitches total. Tyler Rogers also pitched two days in a row, 28 pitches. With the sidearm thing, I’d guess that he could go again.

The other issue is that we used both SWR and Spencer Miles, leaving us short of long men. Chad Dallas would be the one guy we could expect to have go multiple innings (baring a very last minute roster move). He threw 3.2 innings for us back on June 4th. If Trey has to leave early, I would think Dallas would be asked to throw until his arm falls off.

But, if Trey wanted to throw a complete game, that would be best. No pressure. There has only been four complete games this season.


Tyler Heineman said a very nice goodbye to Toronto:

Today’s Lineups

BLUE JAYSRED SOX
George Springer – DHMickey Gasper – DH
Vladimir Guerrero – 1BCeddanne Rafaela – CF
Jesus Sanchez – RFWilyer Abreu – RF
Yohendrick Pinango – LFWillson Contreras – 1B
Ernie Clement – 2BJarren Duran – LF
Nathan Lukes – CFIsiah Kiner-Falefa – SS
Kazuma Okamoto – 3BCaleb Durbin – 3B
Brandon Valenzuela – CConnor Wong – C
Andres Gimenez – SSAndruw Monasterio – 2B
Trey Yesavage – RHPSonny Gray – RHP

More Proof That “You Can Never Have Enough Pitching”

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JUNE 9: J.T. Ginn #35 of the Athletics reacts after striking out William Contreras #24 of the Milwaukee Brewers in the top of the fifth inning at Las Vegas Ballpark on June 9, 2026 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Justine Willard/Athletics/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Every off-season the rotation looks crowded whether it appears to be excellent, terrible, or somewhere in between. Then the A’s go out and add a SP or two even though it’s unclear where everyone will fit. Coming up from behind are exciting arms but you wonder where they will fit if they keep rising.

Then the calendar turns to June and you’re scrambling just to fill a rotation while the minors are looking downright barren. 2026 is no exception. How did we get there?

Injuries

At the big league level, the A’s have lost their supposed #1 SP, Luis Severino, and he won’t be back any time soon. In the minors, highly touted 20 year old Wei-En Lin, who was one of the few pitching prospects having sustained success, has hit the IL with an ominous “elbow injury” that will be elaborated on when his MRI comes back. Tommy John surgery would put him out of the commission, realistically, until the 2028 season.

Braden Nett and Henry Baez, both quality prospects from the Mason Miller deal, spent time on the IL and while both are back pitching it’s hard to say how either one is feeling given the fact that last night they combined for 1.2 IP, threw a combined 79 pitches, and issued a combined 4 hits, 9 ER, and 6 BB.

Ineffectiveness

The A’s entered the 2026 season with high hopes pinned on two younger SPs: Luis Morales and Jacob Lopez. Both were absolute busts, with Morales posting a 14.46 ERA in 9.1 IP woeful innings in which he surrendered 17 hits and walked 12. Lopez couldn’t get anything going, lasting for 10 starts/12 appearances and compiling a ghastly 6.75 ERA in 50.2 IP that included 33 walks.

Meanwhile, down on the farm Jamie Arnold has not lived up to his 1st round, “fast mover” pedigree. Slotted at AA which, granted, was aggressive, Arnold has just not been good. He has been touched for 71 hits in his 58 IP, and he has walked 29 (one every other inning), leading to a 4.66 ERA.

Also ineffective have been the aforementioned Nett and Baez, leaving the A’s 0 for 4 with their top 4 arms still in the minors (Arnold, Lin, Nett, Baez).

Veterans Scuffling

Two veteran arms counted on to stabilize the staff, Jeffrey Springs and Aaron Civale, got off to terrific starts but were last seen pitching well in April. Springs has not won a game since April, while Civale posted a 5.40 ERA in May, went on the IL, and returned last night to throw batting practice until we were relieved of his duties after 3 IP, 9 hits, 6 ER.

2 SPs who were excellent out of the gate have become guys you cringe when you see their turn is coming around. They are at best, right now, your #4 and #5 SPs but they are hardly anchors until further notice.

In Sum

That’s 9, count ‘em, 9 pitchers who have seen their stock fall greatly since the season began: Severino, Springs, Civale, Morales, Lopez, Arnold, Lin, Nett, Baez.

Silver Linings

Luckily there has been some good to counter the bad. Gage Jump has been as advertised, looking like a potential front of the rotation arm who is more than ready for the big leagues. JT Ginn has been exceptional, his breakout season showing him currently 6th in the league with a 2.91 ERA — and that’s with pitching half his games in Sacramento with a Summerlin chaser. Jack Perkins flashed his SP upside in 5 sparkling innings Tuesday before running out of gas in the 6th.

But before we get too jazzed about the “next big 3” we only need to look back a couple months to see how fickle pitching success is — pitchers get hurt constantly and when they’re healthy their progress is anything but linear. The A’s entered spring training with more pitching than they had spots for, and now they’re scrambling to get through games at every level. Stay tuned…