Category: Baseball

One of the major goals for the Kansas City Royals this offseason was to acquire an impact bat, particularly one that could play corner outfield. It seemed logical that the Royals should be able to sell from their starting pitching depth, and possibly tap into their minor league catching depth as well, to find a team that had excess outfielders but needed starting pitching.

The Boston Red Sox were an obvious fit, and there have been a lot of rumors surrounding the Red Sox and the Royals making a trade. Those rumors centered on the Royals acquiring outfielder Jarren Duran, but what the Royals would send back in return didn’t seem to align with what the Red Sox would want. Boston GM Craig Breslow was allegedly looking for Cole Ragans in return, while the Royals were offering Kris Bubic (presumably plus some minor leaguers). The rumors have been quiet for a while, and with the Red Sox’s recent signing of Ranger Suárez to a five-year, $130 million deal, it seems extremely unlikely that Boston will be looking for any more pitching. In fact, they are rumored to be interested in selling pitching themselves. Ken Rosenthal at The Athletic also reporte that the Royals no longer expect to add either Duran or Brendan Donovan.

The Royals haven’t been idle themselves, signing Lane Thomas and trading for Isaac Collins in an effort to improve their roster. While I wouldn’t describe either as an “impact bat,” they both should be floor-raisers and help improve the literally worst outfield in baseball next season. The Royals also did not need to trade from their starting pitching depth to acquire Thomas or Collins. Thomas signed as a free agent, and Collins was traded by the Milwaukee Brewers to the Royals for Angel Zerpa.

J.J. Piccolo is now in an interesting position with the roster. He’s improved the team from the outside without spending the “currency of baseball” that it was anticipated he would need to spend to improve the roster. Simply raising the floor on an outfield that was worth -1.1 fWAR should help the team dramatically. While we can’t predict the future, it’s reasonable to project that the Royals will be better in the outfield this year. It’s also reasonable to hope that one of Carter Jensen or Jac Caglianone steps up and becomes the impact bat the Royals were looking for this offseason, but have not acquired. The team still has a lot of eggs in the “young guys step up and succeed” basket, but that may be the best option if they can’t find a pitcher-for–major league outfielder trade that makes sense.

How the offseason has played out still leaves the Royals with enviable depth at starting pitching. There are still teams looking for starting pitching and presumably will be into spring training. Inevitably, some pitchers will get hurt during spring training or at the World Baseball Classic, which could make some teams even more desperate for pitching. While it doesn’t seem like there is a perfect pitcher-for–position player swap sitting out there, some team would presumably be willing to trade for a pitcher if the price is prospects, particularly prospects that aren’t expected to help the major league team. The Royals’ farm system, as noted by Matthew LaMar, is still lacking depth. That leads to the question: If you were in charge of the Royals, would you try shopping a pitcher for prospects?

Mackenzie Gore and Freddy Peralta both commanded strong prospect packages for the Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers, showing that high-quality starting pitching – albeit with multiple years of control – is still commanding a premium on the trade market. I don’t think the Royals would ever make him available like this, but even with his injury history, I assume Cole Ragans could fetch a similar prospect package, if not better. Kris Bubic, with his injury history and just one year of control left, wouldn’t do as well, but the prospect(s) you could theoretically acquire for him might be a better quality of player than what teams were offering. Maybe there is a team that covets the years of control attached to Noah Cameron or Ryan Bergert, allowing the Royals to acquire multiple players who could help down the road.

Making a trade like this would be a very Rays- or Brewers-like move. You would be moving something from the major league roster that you expect to help this year in order to feed the prospect promotion machine and help the organization in the future. You would have to be very confident that the rest of the major league roster could pick up the slack this season—or not be overly concerned with winning this specific year—while trying to raise the floor of the organization one small move at a time.

Right now, having a projected #5 starter in Noah Cameron, with both Ryan Bergert and Stephen Kolek not expected to make the Opening Day rotation, feels like an overabundance of quality starting pitching. The Royals’ farm system is improving slowly, but “slowly” is the key word. It makes some rational sense to take from an area where the depth might not help you much this year and turn that into players who could help in the future, either on the roster or in future trades. Of course, pitcher injuries are very real, and what feels like an overabundance of pitching right now could quickly feel like not enough if Royals starters start going down at the rate they did last year. It would be a risk—one that could hurt the 2026 Royals’ chances—but it’s also the kind of transactional move I’m fairly confident other GMs would make.

I think it’s fairly unlikely that the Royals would move one of their starters strictly for prospects. I don’t think they have had enough major league success to make a move that could backfire and hurt the team this year, even if we can envision a scenario where they trade a pitcher, add prospect help, and still make the playoffs. Unless a team overwhelmed me with prospects, I wouldn’t want to make a trade like this if I were Piccolo.

The fact that I’m fairly certain the Brewers would make a move like this, however, makes me want to at least consider the idea rather than dismiss it out of hand. They have remained successful at the major league level while reloading their farm system for future years, and I would like the Royals to reach that level at some point. What do you all think? Should the Royals carry their starting pitching depth into the season, or should they trade a starter for future help?

Good morning! MLB Network is conducting its annual exercise in ranking the best players at each position. Yesterday, they tackled left field, and the top of the list is quite interesting:

Yes, the man that many Red Sox fans have been shipping out the door in imaginary trade scenarios all offseason is, according to MLB Network, the best left fielder in the game. Of course, the reason why so many fans are keen to ship him out is because of the guy that MLB has at number two on the list — not to mention a couple other guys who will end up on the center and right field lists to be published in a few days.

Is Duran really that good and does it still make sense to move him if so?

Talk about what you want, keep imagining trades that aren’t happening, and be good to one another.

Diamondbacks News

Nolan Arenado to Play for Puerto Rico in WBC
Somehow, I don’t think anyone will have an issue with this particular decision to play.

Examining the Potential Return of Gallen
What does it look like and what would it mean?

Marte, the Diamondbacks, and the Offseason
Has there been a bigger nothing-burger story propping up the offseason rumour mill?

Other MLB News

The Mets are Having a Swell Offseason
While there were a lot of eyebrows raised early in the winter, the Mets are shaping into a serious threat and are starting to resemble a big-money version of the Milwaukee Brewers.

2026 top MLB Prospect Rankings: Superlatives for 101-200
If even remotely accurate, this list does not bode well for the Diamondbacks, though Tommy Troy could change much of that, especially with a bit of help from Kohl Drake and Kayson Cunningham. It shouldn’t take long at all to see if pundits are sleeping on David Hagaman or have him pegged right.

Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa to Miss WBC Due to Insurance Issues
Houston’s Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa were expecting to represent Venezuela and Puerto Rico respectively in the WBC. Neither player was able to land insurance for their 2026 contracts though, so both are being prohibited from participating in the event. Stuff like this is what keeps the WBC from growing in stature faster. Hopefully, this won’t become a widespread problem for the rest of the stars.

Is MLB Parity Possible Without a Salary Cap?
Probably, though it seems highly unlikely as there would need to be too many things restructured. It is certainly the easiest and most straight-forward approach to finding parity of opportunity.

Jake Cronenworth has been a mainstay in the San Diego Padres organization since 2020 when he came to San Diego in a trade with the Tampa Bay Rays. Cronenworth has proven himself to be a versatile defender who can play multiple positions at a high level. His offense has been an area of inconsistency during his time with the Padres and he has been unable to recreate the success he had at the plate in 2021. Thomas Conroy of Gaslamp Ball looks at the value Cronenworth brings to the major league roster and how he can be a key to the team’s success in 2026.

Padres News:

• Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune wrote a story about Padres pitcher Yu Darvish walking away from baseball and his contract, but the report was deemed premature. Acee himself stated the wording used in the report could have been better. No matter when Darvish decides to call it a career, Cheri Bell of Gaslamp Ball says fans should appreciate Darvish for the player he has been with the Padres and the man he has shown himself to be.
• The Padres announced their 2026 promotional schedule and some of the hottest items each year are the bobbleheads. There are nine bobblehead giveaways this year with six regular season ticket items and three theme game ticket items. Gaslamp Ball asked readers which bobblehead would get them to Petco Park.
• Shaun O’Neill of Padres.com says that if Joe Musgrove can return to the pitcher he was from 2021 to 2024 following Tommy John surgery that kept him out all of 2025, he might be the most important player on the current Padres roster.
• 2025 was a breakout year for reliever Adrian Morejon. He established himself not only as the top left-hander in the Padres’ bullpen, but he might well be the best left-handed reliever in MLB. Jeff Sanders of the San Diego Union-Tribune looks at how Morejon can be more dominant in 2026 in his latest Padres roster review.

Baseball News:

• New Arizona Diamondbacks third baseman Nolan Arenado waived his no-trade clause to be shipped from the St. Louis Cardinals to Arizona this offseason. He had the opportunity to change teams in 2024 with a trade to the Houston Astros but blocked the deal with his no-trade clause. Arenado sheds light on what went into his decision making then and now.
• Aaron Judge will return to the cover of MLB The Show 26 after being the cover athlete in 2018. Judge is just the second player in the game’s history to make the cover more than once.
• Willi Castro was announced as the latest player to be added to the Puerto Rico World Baseball Classic Team.
• The trade deadline for the 2026 MLB season has been set for Aug. 3 according to MLB Trade Rumors.

In the dead of winter, when I’m not refreshing MLB Trade Rumors or yelling at Siri to ask if my Jeff Passan Twitter alerts are broken, I like to look at player projections on Fangraphs. Despite the fact that they are a complete fantasy land, they provide a good baseline for our expectations for the upcoming season. Drawing from past performances of players, the various systems weigh more heavily towards the most recent seasons, while also using historical data of career trends of previous players with similar age, experience, and skill level.

Today, we’re kicking off a series that digs into 2026 projections by taking a look at what they say about the Red Sox starting staff. I looked at three systems:

• Steamer: Created and maintained by Jared Cross, these are always the first projections released, usually not long after the World Series wraps up. They’ve been around for a long time and are widely considered to be among the best systems for projections. 
• The BAT: Derek Carty’s projection system, which is very popular in fantasy baseball and DFS circles.
• OOPSY: Created by Jordan Rosenblum over the last couple of years. While I cannot approve of the name of this system, Jordan and I wrote together at a fantasy baseball site called The Dynasty Guru for several years, and he was the first person to try to convince me to trust projection models, so I’m going to give him a pass on the name. 

This comes with the obvious caveat that it still feels likely that there is still a trade to come. Moreever, with so many starting candidates, it’s hard to predict innings totals, so looking at the rate stats is probably a more worthwhile task than playing time at this point. 

1. Garrett Crochet

These may not look like the dominant numbers that you’re expecting from Garrett Crochet in 2026, but it’s important to remember that projection systems rely on “regression,” and try to predict 50th percentile outcomes. If you sort any of these three projection models by ERA, the list goes: Tarik Skubal, Paul Skenes, Garrett Crochet, (big gap), everyone else. Skubal’s projection of 2.63 on OOPSY is the best on any list, even though it’s very likely that the eventual ERA league leader will beat that number. The only pitchers, including relievers, who best Crochet in K-BB% are Skubal, Mason Miller, and Edwin Diaz. Expectations are high and there’s no reason to think that Crochet can’t deliver again, if healthy. 

2. Ranger Suarez

The hope for Suarez is that he will keep his walk rate closer to the past two seasons (6.2%) than in his first six seasons (8.4%, which was still a solid number) as the projections split the difference on that walk percentage. OOPSY is most bearish on the Suarez projection, adding three more home runs allowed than the others. With a 3.38 career ERA, we would hope for an output close to that, but The BAT’s projection of 3.78 is actually 12th-best among AL starting pitchers, and Steamer’s projection of 3.73 is 16th in the AL. That would be the “number two starter” outcome that we were looking for. 

3. Sonny Gray

Slightly ahead of Suarez on Steamer’s list is Sonny Gray, whose 3.68 ERA projection would be 14th in the AL and would round out a strong top three in Boston’s rotation. Those top three pitchers can match up with any team in the American League in a short playoff series, although Seattle’s rotation one-through-five likely has an edge. Gray has a 1.20 WHIP over 13 career seasons, and much like Suarez, his walk rate over the past two seasons (5.4% combined) has been the best of his career.

4. Brayan Bello

Bello’s career K-BB rate of 11.5% is closer to Steamer and OOPSY, where The BAT seems to think that his paltry rate of 9.3% in 2025 is a sign of what’s to come. Bello has started 28+ games in all three of his full seasons in the big leagues, and there is something to be said for that. With a .234 batting average allowed, thanks to a .268 BABIP in 2025, Bello needs to have a strong infield defense behind him to repeat a 3.35 ERA output. Projections expect closer to a .260 BA allowed in 2026, which would bring his ERA back up into the mid-4’s, closer to his xFIP and xERA a year ago. 

The #5 (through #10) Candidates:

A little conditional formatting never hurt anybody. 

When Steamer was released back in November, one of the most eye-opening projections in all of baseball was Connelly Early’s. Perhaps it’s the five pitches that all had a 20% Whiff Rate or better in his four regular-season starts a year ago. There are very few rookies who pop in projections before they’ve had much of a chance to show it on the field. Moreover, The BAT is notoriously harsh on rookie projections, with the great Derek Carty needing to fight off the Twitter prospect trolls on a weekly basis. 

Early’s 16% K-BB, and near-3.50 ERA in both projections, is startling. Of course, thanks to the logjam of pitchers on this team, he’s projected for only 50-60 innings at the moment. That being said, there are only six starting pitchers on The BAT, and seven starting pitchers on Steamer who are projected to have a better ERA than Connelly Early in the American League. I don’t know what to make of this, but as Rick James once said, “Now, THAT is ABSURD.”

OOPSY is more partial to the other starting pitcher who made his debut in the final month of last season, Payton Tolle. Its projected 27.2 K% for Tolle is bested in the American League by only Skubal, Crochet, Cole Ragans, Trey Yesavage, Dylan Cease, and Joe Boyle (arguably a Quad-A guy) among starting pitchers. The BAT didn’t have time for Payton Tolle, apparently, nor Kutter Crawford. 

Johan Oviedo was enough of an attraction for Craig Breslow to move Jhostynxon Garcia, even though Oviedo has just two years of control left. For that reason, I wouldn’t be surprised if Oviedo made more starts for the Red Sox in 2026 than both Early and Tolle, and he does have a higher projected innings total than the rest of the bunch. However, the projections are fairly low on Oviedo, with the highest ERA and highest walk rate across all of the candidates. 

Both Kutter Crawford and Kyle Harrison have a decent output on Steamer. Crawford’s 17.6 K-BB% is very impressive, and not all that shocking for someone with a 16.6 career rate, which topped out at 18.8 in 2023. Harrison’s 3.91 ERA with a 16.6% K-BB projection would be more than serviceable. The other systems are not as kind to either of them. 

Lastly, there’s Patrick Sandoval. It should be mentioned daily that Sandoval was signed by the Red Sox to an $18.25 million contract over “two years”. You should mention it daily in your work meetings, if necessary, regardless of your line of work. Would the front office acknowledge that the team has nine better starting pitchers this season and take the L, selling Sandoval for half of his salary to help with payroll flexibility this year? Regardless, Sandoval has not pitched well since 2022 and hasn’t thrown a pitch in a game since early 2024, so it’s not surprising to see the projections be as low as they are on him, even though he is only 29 years old. The WHIP projections are ugly, but to be fair, OOPSY and Steamer both have Sandoval a shade under 4 in the ERA column. 

The last time that I did this exercise was heading into the 2024 season. After reviewing the hitters in Part One, my concluding sentence was, “Next week, we’ll take a look at the pitching projections and then all collectively vomit into a bucket.” Amazing what a difference two years makes. 

In Part Two we’ll examine the Red Sox lineup. And with the “ZIPS” projections coming out this week, there’s another robot we can be add to the mix!

The Phillies have announced Truck Day— and as sure as Punxsutawney Phil not seeing his shadow, that means spring is coming. For those who don’t know, Truck Day involves the Philadelphia Phaithful seeing off the equipment trucks, laden with bat, ball, and glove, as they begin their long, happy journey to Clearwater. There’s photo opportunities and the chance to chat with your fellow fans. This year, Truck Day is February 3rd.

Just as the Phillies mark the first portent of spring with Truck Day, each baseball fan marks their own path to warmer weather with a tradition. Perhaps it’s giving that favorite jersey a wash, or giving that favorite game a watch. Maybe it’s playing out a simulated season in a video game, or sending a few good natured jabs to that Braves fan in the family. Maybe your personal Truck Day is, well, going to Truck Day. It’s for the fans, after all.

Today’s question is: What’s your personal Truck Day?

With spring training only a few weeks away, it’s possible that the Orioles are done adding to the roster. Framber Valdez remains available, and the Birds could strike for a number of players at any point, but the team could also decide to stand pat.

The majority of free agents have already found new homes. The front office made significant additions by signing Pete Alonso, acquiring Shane Baz, inking Ryan Helsley, bringing back Zach Eflin, and trading for Taylor Ward.

On paper, this roster looks far more competitive than the team that finished at the bottom of the AL East in 2025. But the Orioles didn’t bring in a $155 million first baseman just to not finish last. This team wants a division crown and a real run at the World Series. Do they have the talent for that?

The lineup looks set aside from a potential hole in center field. On the other hand, you can never have enough pitching. Baz will immediately join Trevor Rogers and Kyle Bradish in the rotation. Eflin figures to join the bunch when healthy, and Dean Kremer remains a dependable—yet unspectacular—arm. Tyler Wells has the talent to make the rotation if healthy, while guys like Cade Povich and Brandon Young hope to receive another chance.

Helsley will anchor the bullpen with Félix Bautista set to miss at least the first half. The Birds brought back Andrew Kittredge, and Keegan Akin will return as a sold left-handed option. After that, the picture gets slightly less clear.

There’s room for improvement in both units, and the Orioles should leave no stone unturned when it comes to adding pitchers. With that being said, which group needs more help?

The case for the rotation

The Orioles went into the offseason with a clear need at the top of the rotation, and they have yet to address that need. The team views Baz as a player that could fill that role down the road, but nobody should expect the 26-year-old to pitch like an ace this season. Trevor Rogers looked like a Cy Young pitcher last year over 18 starts, but he missed out on the award because he only made 18 starts. Kyle Bradish finished fourth in Cy Young voting back in 2023, but he has only 14 starts over the least two seasons.

The Birds have a rotation that can get them to the playoffs, but can this staff help them advance? Baltimore watched Dylan Cease go off the board early, but a guy like Valdez can take the ball in Game 1. Zac Gallen isn’t a true ace, but his presence could prevent a guy like Kremer from starting the third or fourth game of a playoff series.

In the same vein, adding a top arm would allow a talented pitcher to fall to the bullpen. Wells would bring credibility to a bunch lacking in experience. Povich, Young, and Chayce McDermott all profile as guys that could thrive in shorter stints. If the Birds fail to add, they’ll only be a few injuries from depending on these guys every fifth day.

The case for the bullpen

The current rotation features a pretty clear pecking order. Bradish and Rogers stand a level above the rest. Eflin and Baz fit into the middle of the rotation with the potential to over perform. Kremer and Wells are known commodities, and the other guys have some potential.

The bullpen hierarchy is less clear. Helsley is the closer until Bautista comes back. Kittredge and Akin can be trusted in high-leverage situations. Then what?

Kade Strowd posted a 1.71 ERA over 25 games last season, but the 28-year-old still carries rookie status. Rico Garcia out performed his career 5.27 ERA last season, but the 32-year-old hardly qualifies as a sure thing. The same can be said for Colin Selby, Grant Wolfram, and Yaramil Hiraldo.

The Birds would love to see Yennier Cano get back on track after he posted a 5.12 ERA last season. Anthony Nunez will likely make his major league debut after arriving in the Cedric Mullins deal last July. Dietrich Enns and Albert Suárez are both talented swingmen that could turn into a pumpkin at any point.

The case against the rotation

The Orioles added two legitimate starters in Eflin and Baz. Eflin literally took the ball on Opening Day last season, and new skipper Craig Albernaz recently described Baz to the Baltimore Banner podcast as someone with “all the potential in the world to be an ace and to go out there and be in the conversation for a Cy Young” down the road.

While looking to the future, it’s crucial to think about the money an aging Valdez or Gallen would make in their mid 30s. Baltimore paid for the best years of Alonso while taking on some risk for the later years. Can they afford to do the same with a starting pitcher?

Veterans like Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer wouldn’t require multi-year deals, but it’s fair to wonder if they actually represent an improvement over the five guys in the rotation at this point in their career

The case against the bullpen

It’s not uncommon for competitive teams to piece together an unheralded bullpen. Relievers are volatile from year to year, and it’s never a guarantee that a free agent signing will meet expectations. Helsley, Kittredge and Akin should blend nicely with the raw talent from guys like Strowd and Nunez, and a bounceback from Cano is still in the cards.

While guys like Valdez and Gallen remain available, there are very few relievers still on the open market. A reunion with Danny Coulombe would play, and reclamation projects like Liam Hendriks are still a possibility.

Any significant addition would likely come via trade. Baltimore was linked to Jojo Romero last month, and the Rockies have multiple relievers that could be available for the right price. But if a trade is required, the Orioles might prefer to wait and see who is hot at the trade deadline.

Happy Wednesday, everyone! It’s a day that ends in Y, which means we’ve got some Tarik Skubal trade speculation to talk about, though all signs seem to point to Skubal sticking around through at least the start of the year, if not right up to his free agency. Still, we love an offseason rumor, so we’re sharing it with you.

We also take a look at some World Baseball Classic drama (Carlos Correa will miss it, Bo Bichette has backed out of Team Brazil), and Aaron Judge is a repeat cover star.

Let’s just get right into the highlights of the day.

Detroit Tigers News

• Kevin McGonigle ranks number two on ESPN’s top 100 prospects list, where Kiley McDaniel sums him up as, “[An] incredible hitter with real baserunning/defensive value.”
• Jim Bowden still thinks there’s a chance Tarik Skubal could be traded before Opening Day, saying:

Detroit would still like to sign him to a long-term contract but it’s difficult to see that happening with how far apart both sides are on a deal. The Tigers have listened to trade offers and at least talked about the “ballpark” parameters it would take to trade him. According to club sources, the asking price is so significant that it is unlikely a trade happens unless Detroit lowers its sights significantly.

So, where do the Tigers go from here? They could continue to try to extend him, keeping in mind what this year’s free-agent class has done to the market. If Kyle Tucker is worth $60 million per year, what would Skubal get on a comparable four-year deal? $70 million per year?

I’ve also been told by some rival executives that they think it makes more sense to wait until Skubal is a free agent rather than emptying their farm system for just one year of his services. At this point, Detroit could trade him now, or wait until the trade deadline when the return would be less, or do what the Angels did with Shohei Ohtani and wait until he leaves in free agency and get just draft pick compensation for him.

• It’s rumor mill season!!

Tigers are one of many teams showing interest in free agent starter Lucas Giolito. If he goes there, he’d join his HS teammate Jack Flaherty on a strong staff

— Jon Heyman (@JonHeyman) January 25, 2026

AL Central News

• The Guardians have locked down the face of their franchise and Jose Ramirez will be in Cleveland for the long haul.
• The White Sox have signed Seranthony Dominguez.
• The Twins have avoided arbitration with Joe Ryan, coming to terms on a deal.

MLB News

• Rick Rizzs, the long-time voice of the Mariners, has announced his retirement following the 2026 season.
• Carlos Correa won’t be participating in the World Baseball Classic after he failed to receive insurance. ($)
• Is this the most baseball town in America?
• The Mets are having an incredible offseason.
• Jay Jaffe tries to predict the next five years of Hall of Fame elections.
• Some players who could be poised to become breakout stars in 2026.
• Which teams won the offseason?
• What would a team made entirely of underrated players look like?
• Could Max Scherzer potentially wait until after Opening Day to sign with a new club?
• The nine best signings of the offseason.
• Did Yu Darvish announce his retirement? No, but if you’re confused, you’re not alone.
• Mookie Betts will be coaching the Celebrity All-Star Game.
• A bit disappointing for Team Brazil.

After previously committing, Bo Bichette will not play for Brazil in the World Baseball Classic, per @ubiraleal. pic.twitter.com/Di27kzWDJW

— Shawn Spradling (@Shawn_Spradling) January 27, 2026

• Well this isn’t ideal…

mini scoop:
After MLB's seized control of the player tracking tech biz, the league missed its Jan 15 deadline for approving vendors. Teams don't know long they can use their tech to scout players. Some firms don't know if they'll have a baseball business once contracts expire.

— Bradford William Davis (@BWDBWDBWD) January 27, 2026

• Aaron Judge can add “repeat cover star” to his growing resume. Funny, though, because just one day before this, they announced there would be no cover star.

3X AL MVP ✅ ️2X #MLBTheShow cover athlete ✅
Welcome back, Aaron Judge! @TheJudge44@Yankees@Yankees_Beisbolpic.twitter.com/2l0kOAt7Nu

— MLB The Show (@MLBTheShow) January 27, 2026

• Nolan Arenado is officially on Team Puerto Rico.

Nolan Arenado has been added to Team Puerto Rico 🇵🇷

The 6-time Platinum Glove winner will take part in his third #WorldBaseballClassic! pic.twitter.com/7UOqqbkjFD

— MLB (@MLB) January 27, 2026

It often is hard to separate analysis and fandom. If you ask most Astros fan to name the best player in franchise history, most of them will name Jose Altuve. It makes perfect sense. He has an MVP award like Jeff Bagwell. Unlike Bagwell, he has two rings and perhaps one of the best postseason resumes in baseball history. He certainly has a better postseason resume than anyone in Astros history.

He isn’t there yet, but he seems to be on pace to eclipse many of Craig Biggio’s records for career numbers. Assuming an uninterrupted schedule (we will get to more on that later), he has a decent chance of getting to 3000 hits. Naturally, he will see a bump in all of the other relevant numbers as well. Nostalgia and positive vibes don’t go well with cold, hard analysis. We have to find a way to separate our own personal feelings about a player with the numbers.

The Hall of Fame Index aims to do that. It was never meant to rank order players. It is not necessarily a precise instrument. The idea is to put players into groups of players they are similar to. When a player is similar to Hall of Famers then he is likely a Hall of Famer. If he similar to guys that aren’t quite there then he is also likely not quite there. The index includes career value and peak value. Peak value is the total of the top ten WAR seasons for the player.

The Hall of Fame Index

	BWAR	FWAR	BWAR10	FWAR10	Index
Joe Gordon	55.6	60.4	54.1	58.4	228.5
Willie Randolph	65.9	62.1	48.5	46.7	223.2
Jose Altuve	52.3	56.8	47.8	51.7	208.6
Bobby Doerr	58.4	53.0	45.9	46.7	204.0
Billy Herman	57.2	55.1	44.2	46.1	202.6

The good news for Altuve is that three of these four players are Hall of Famers. The other irony is that all of those Hall of Famers missed seasons serving their country in World War II. Obviously, it had a greater impact on some of them than others. Altuve likely will have more to do with them then simple numbers. 2020 was a wash due to Covid. He also had the worst numbers of his career. It was hardly a coincidence. If you gave him a full complement of at bats then it is much more likely that he would be on his way to 3000 hits.

It hasn’t happened yet, but all indications are that there will be a major work stoppage in 2027. Obviously, it is just guess work as to how much time he will miss. The index does a lot of things, but it does not allow for situations like this or the color barrier for African American players. This is just one of many reasons why we move onto our other tests. Based on career norms and recent trends, Altuve is not likely to change his place in the second base pecking order this season, but the other numbers will change.

Offensive Numbers

	OPS+	ROV	OW%	BPO
Joe Gordon	120	.302	.593	.796
Willie Randolph	104	.265	.537	.695
Jose Altuve	129	.289	.635	.804
Bobby Doerr	115	.287	.606	.765
Billy Herman	112	.251	.589	.684

We’ve talked about these numbers in previous articles, but there is some added context that needs to be added. OPS+ and offensive winning percentage are tied to the league norms. The other two metrics are not. In case anyone is coming in for the first time, real offensive value (ROV) is the midpoint between batting average and secondary average. Secondary average is calculated by adding total bases, walks, stolen bases, and hit by pitches and subtracting hits. That sum is divided by at bats.

Offensive winning percentage assumes that a team has nine hitters like that hitter and an average pitching staff. From there, the numbers speak for themselves. If a 100 win baseball team is a championship level team then a .600 offensive winning percentage is pretty darn good. Finally, we get bases per out. The league average tends to range between .650 and .700 depending on the era.

What we should note is that three of these players played during the Live Ball Era of the 1930s and 1940s. That obviously was a more robust offensive era than Randolph or Altuve played in. That can explain the differences between offensive winning percentage, OPS+, and the other two metrics. Unfortunately, Altuve is at the part of his career where he is likely to detract from these numbers and not add to them. That is part of the push and pull factors all players get to late in their careers.

Fielding Numbers

	Rfield	DWAR	FG	2B
Joe Gordon	150	22.4	14.1	150
Willie Randolph	114	16.8	20.2	115
Jose Altuve	-69	0.0	-1.6	-86
Bobby Doerr	48	13.5	17.1	43
Billy Herman	55	12.4	15.4	58

This is the biggest reason why I use a second source for WAR and why the index is superior to JAWS. Different sources look at fielding value differently. FWAR does not use defensive runs saved. DRS is the current basis behind Rfield. FWAR uses other metrics (notably Statcast’s Outs Above Average) as a part of its formula. OAA is much more kind to Altuve than DRS.

If we are to believe Rfield then Altuve will likely go down as the least valuable fielding second baseman in the Hall of Fame. He will surpass fellow former Astro Craig Biggio with those numbers. This is yet another push and pull factor that happens when players continue to play. Pound for pound, Gordon might be the best fielding second baseman in history. He did not reach the numbers that Bill Mazeroski did, but he only had 11 seasons. If you give him those two seasons he lost serving his country and another here or there it could have turned out differently.

Total Runs

	RC	Rfield	Rbaser	Rpos	TR
Joe Gordon	936	150	4	66	1156
Willie Randolph	1138	114	41	73	1366
Jose Altuve	1208	-69	15	45	1199
Bobby Doerr	1169	48	-2	82	1297
Billy Herman	1137	55	8	68	1268

Thus. we get to major push factor on continuing to play. With each passing season, Altuve will continue to build on these numbers. Runs created, Rfield, and Rbaser are simple enough. Rpos is a positional adjustment based on the fielding and hitting difficulty relative to the rest of the positions. Altuve’s numbers are obviously lower because they include some time in left field. That might or might not continue to be the case moving forward.

If a typical regular has between 70 and 90 total runs a season, then we can foresee Altuve surpassing all of these players with three more seasons. Obviously, those numbers will be included with the requisite counting numbers everyone is familiar with. That would include perhaps getting to 300 home runs, 1200 runs and RBI, and well over 2500 hits. As it stands, he already has created more runs than all of these players.

Our last test looks at factors related to peak value. How the players accumulated their value matters. Fans are more captivated by greatness even if it is short-lived. In the books I looked at the MVP test. This is a variation of it. We are looking at 5 WAR, 4 WAR, and 3 WAR seasons. Players with five or more WAR tend to be among the best three or four at their position in baseball. Four WAR players are likely borderline all-star performers. Three WAR seasons are solid above average performers. Additionally, we will note if a player led the league in WAR.

Dominance

	5 WAR	4 WAR	3 WAR	Top
Joe Gordon	7	0	2	0
Willie Randolph	4	6	1	0
Jose Altuve	5	2	2	1
Bobby Doerr	6	0	2	0
Billy Herman	3	4	7	0

Based on these numbers, Herman and Randolph end up looking pretty similar. Altuve’s 2017 season will end up being a feather in his cap. He won the MVP that season and based on the BWAR score, that honor was deserved. This isn’t to say that a player has to be an MVP winner to get into the Hall of Fame, but it certainly does help when everything else was equal.

The numbers also explain why Gordon deserved the love he got from the Veterans Committee. I hate to assume facts not in evidence, but if he had not taken off two seasons serving his country he likely would have been considerably higher up the index food chain. He had come off of two six win seasons and another ten BWAR and FWAR would have boosted both his career and peak value.

Obviously, Altuve can still add to his overall career value, but he is unlikely to get to three WAR again if recent seasons are any indication. Sure, he could have a rebound season or two, but most players in his situation start to see the numbers taper off. Still, if we consider Joe Gordon, Billy Herman, and Bobby Doerr to be credible Hall of Famers then Altuve likely qualifies as one already. That doesn’t even include his ample postseason production.

With a big winter storm blanketing much of the continental United States over this past weekend, we’re at a bit of a lull, at least until all the social media truck day posts begin their trickle-turned-deluge in short order. That same storm continues to have “does my house have power” implications for folks around the country, and that’s why I’m doing News and Links this morning (well, actually, last night). Hello.

Anyway, onto Braves news. In that lull, we had ESPN’s top prospect list come out yesterday, compiled by onetime Braves staffer Kiley McDaniel. That list featured Cam Caminiti and JR Ritchie, both of whom have appeared on other publication lists, but also gave some love to Didier Fuentes. I have no real skin in the prospect ranking game, but I have thought it interesting in retrospect that Eric Longenhagen at FanGraphs was generally higher on Fuentes than other publications, and that’s continued to bear itself out as Fuentes hasn’t appeared on these various offseason Top 100 lists, but Caminiti has.

More Braves-related-ish news:

Without a lot of actual Braves stuff going on, I thought it amusing that there were a bunch of briefly-if-at-all Braves arms that have been aflutter on the waiver wire.

• The Mariners DFAed Jackson Kowar. You may remember Kowar as the guy the Braves got in exchange for Kyle Wright. He then went to the Mariners that same offseason in the Jarred Kelenic deal, but hit the shelf with Tommy John Surgery. He made it back to the majors with Seattle in 2025 and pitched 17 innings, but had some pretty bad peripherals and finished with -0.2 fWAR.
• Patrick Weigel signed a minor league deal with the Rockies. Once an exciting prospect, the Braves sent him to the Brewers in the Orlando Arcia deal. Weigel only has a handful of MLB appearances for his career, and none since 2021, but is still toiling away in the minors and has a better chance of seeing an MLB mound with Colorado than with any other club, probably.
• The Angels made a waiver claim on Osvaldo Bido. Bido is now on his fifth team of the offseason; the Braves claimed him from the Athletics but then DFAed him when they needed a roster spot for Ha-Seong Kim following the latter signing.

Separately, San Diego Studio revealed the cover art for the next MLB: The Show game, featuring Aaron Judge (again). I won’t mince words: this might be the worst box art I’ve ever seen. Not necessarily from an aesthetic standpoint, though yes, that too. It’s more that the design and content is, to put it lightly, abhorrent. Not only does it look clipped together like it was made in the PowerPoint that came with Microsoft Office 95, but if you actually look at the cover, it doesn’t make any sense. “Team USA” and “WBC” are somehow both “features” along with “high school” and “college,” which blows up the idea of progression. And then you have the progression going from left to right on the top, yet the middle “row” features “MVP” before “MLB.” I guess no one really cares about covers any more due to digital delivery of games these days, but yeesh.

And, with the World Baseball Classic looming, it’s time once again for “MLB wants you to care about the WBC, but not that much, so don’t get any silly ideas.“ Turns out that for some reason (read: MLB), whether a player plays in the WBC is somewhat related to interfacing with everyone’s favorite domestic institution: the insurance market. Read for yourself:

All World Baseball Classic participants on MLB 40-man rosters are evaluated by an insurer who was agreed upon by MLB and the players union. As the Los Angeles Times noted in 2023, if the insurer finds a player to be uninsurable due to their injury history, the player’s contract would not be guaranteed for any missed time due to injuries sustained during the WBC unless a team specifically agrees to do so.

Hey kids, get excited about your favorite players representing their homelands in a baseball tournament that’s more fun than Spring Training… but wait, not you, fans of [insert player here] that an insurer has deemed “uninsurable.” Double yeesh. How hard would it be for MLB to just guarantee the contracts? Does MLB even want the WBC to be a thing? (Also, if you didn’t read the article, a lot of the hold up on roster announcements is players waiting for clearance from the insurer that they’re indeed insurable and good to play. So. Much. Fun.)

Anyway, I hope you enjoyed me complaining at you for multiple paragraphs at 8:30 am ET. I won’t do it again, unless someone else’s power goes out.

Meet the Mets

Ben Clemens at FanGraphs wrote about the Mets fantastic offseason to this point.

MLB.com writer Mark Feinsand listed seven teams that won the offseason, and one of them is the new-look Mets.

David Adler put together a list of 10 players who could be this year’s versions of last year’s breakout stars, and there’s a budding young star of the Mets on the list.

Freddy Peralta had his introductory press conference yesterday, and made it known he’s ready to play under the bright lights of New York.

The Mets and infielder Grae Kessinger have agreed to a minor league contract with an invite to spring training.

Around the National League East

As always the Marlins have a host of new players this season and as such have to give them all new numbers (along with changing some current players’ numbers).

Around Major League Baseball

The Colorado Rockies have signed pitcher Patrick Weigel to a minor league contract.

It’s the season of prospect lists, and Kiley McDaniel of ESPN put out his own top 100 list.

MLB teams and technology firms are staring down the barrel of a potential disaster after the league failed to approve tracking technology vendors by the January 15th deadline.

Carlos Correa will not be participating in the World Baseball Classic this year, as he was unable to recieve insurance on his contract.

The Royals have narrowed their focus in their search for a location for a potential new stadium.

Aaron Judge will be returning for his second stint as the MLB The Show cover athlete, after first appearing on the cover in 2018.

There are still some major free agents available on the market, including some with the potential to turn teams into contenders.

Dodgers manager Dave Roberts has thrown his hat in the ring to manage Team USA at the 2028 Olympics.

Yesterday at Amazin’ Avenue

Lukas Vlahos graded the Mets trade for Freddy Peralta.

Steve Sypa is now in the midst of the top ten in his series of the top 25 prospects in the Mets’ system, and the latest installment focuses on an offense-first infielder.

Linus Lawrence returned with another Tuesday Top Ten, this time ranking the greatest Mets rookies.

This Date in Mets History

The Mets selected Ken Singleton third overall in the January draft on this day in 1967.

From Corey Seager, to Trea Turner, to Mookie Betts, the Dodgers had a carousel of options at shortstop from 2021 to the beginning of last season. It was Betts who stepped up in 2025 and ensured that the team had to look no further than inward as to which player would be their primary shortstop.

After putting in a full offseason of work to prepare for the position, Betts, in his first full season at the position, was one of the best defensive shortstops in all of baseball, with his 17 defensive runs saved leading all qualified shortstops last year. While he proved to be the team’s firm option for the foreseeable future, his offense on the other hand steeply declined.

2025 was undoubtedly the worst season at the plate for Betts, as he posted career-lows in batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage, finishing the year four percent better than the league average hitter in terms of wRC+. Entering his second season as the Dodgers’ starting shortstop, the goal for Betts is to equate the amount of offseason work he puts in defensively and offensively rather than lean heavily into one facet, per Sonja Chen of MLB.com.

As general manager Brandon Gomes said at the Winter Meetings, he has “a little more bandwidth” to strike a more regular balance between his offensive and defensive work. The Dodgers have already seen how an offseason’s work can transform Betts in one aspect of his game. They’re counting on his hard work paying off this year as well.

Before Betts heads off to Camelback Ranch, he will be a coach at the NBA All-Star Celebrity game on Feb. 13 at Intuit Dome.

Links

Heading into spring training, the Dodgers have two catchers on their active roster, with Will Smith continuing to assume starting duties and Dalton Rushing serving as the replacement. Bill Plunkett of the Orange County Register previews the Dodgers’ catching depth as pitchers and catchers report in two weeks.

Third base coach Dino Ebel spoke with David Vassegh of AM 570 about getting a front row experience for Miguel Rojas’ dramatic game-tying home run with one out in the top of the ninth of Game 7 of the World Series.

“I’ve been in some big moments and big games, where last year, Freddie Freeman in Game 1 hits the grand slam which we’ll never forget,” said Ebel. “When [Rojas] hit it, my hand went straight up. I knew it was gone.. When that ball went over the fence, it was just pure chills in my body… Him coming around third base was probably the best feeling I had just because he tied the game, giving us a chance to go into extra innings.”

Happy Wednesday, everyone! We’re inching ever closer to Truck Day, which means we’re closer than ever to pitchers and catchers reporting. Baseball is almost back! We’re turning our attention to the World Baseball Classic today, as reports are out that Carlos Correa and Jose Altuve will both miss the WBC due to insurance issues. Bo Bichette has pulled out of Team Brazil, while Nolan Arenado joins Team Puerto Rico.

We’ve also got some offseason report cards, and some free agent speculation.

Let’s just jump right into it!

• Rick Rizzs, the longtime voice of the Mariners, has announced that he will retire after more than 50 years calling professional ball. The 2026 season will be his last. (MLB/Mariners)
• Ben Clemens thinks the Mets are having one heck of an offseason.
• Jay Jaffe does his best to predict the next five years of Hall of Fame elections.
• Michael McDaniel explains why Max Scherzer might hold out to sign with a team until after Opening Day.
• Jim Bowden looks at some big names who could still be traded before Opening Day. (The Athletic subscription required.)
• This is a bummer for Team Brazil.

After previously committing, Bo Bichette will not play for Brazil in the World Baseball Classic, per @ubiraleal. pic.twitter.com/Di27kzWDJW

— Shawn Spradling (@Shawn_Spradling) January 27, 2026

• Chandler Rome reports that Carlos Correa won’t be playing in the World Baseball Classic as he failed ot receive insurance. (The Athletic subscription required)
• Michael Baumann assesses the move of Harrison Bader to the Giants.
• David Adler looks at some players who could be poised to be the breakout stars of 2026.
• An all-underrated players team to spotlight some undervalued talent. Story by Anthony Castrovince.
• Tim Capurso looks at the nine best signings of the offseason.
• Ken Rosenthal spotlights Brady Anderson, who has been teaching players for years, but only just got his first coaching job at age 62. (The Athletic subscription required.)
• Well, this isn’t ideal.

mini scoop:
After MLB's seized control of the player tracking tech biz, the league missed its Jan 15 deadline for approving vendors. Teams don't know long they can use their tech to scout players. Some firms don't know if they'll have a baseball business once contracts expire.

— Bradford William Davis (@BWDBWDBWD) January 27, 2026

• Amanda Vogt looks at the most baseball town in America.
• Jose Ramirez will be a Guardian for life as Cleveland locks him down for the long haul. Story by Davy Andrews.
• Ben Clemens reports that the White Sox have signed Seranthony Dominguez.
• Mark Feinsand reports on which teams have won the offseason.
• Karl Rasmussen shares that Mookie Betts will coach the Celebrity All-Star Game.
• Freddy Peralta says he would consider a multi-year deal with the Mets. (AP)
• Yasiel Puig used to be the most exciting player in baseball, and now he’s in legal hot water. Story by Sam Blum. (The Athletic subscription required.)
• Aaron Judge is a repeat cover star. (Funny that this came just one day after they said there would be no cover star this year, though…)

3X AL MVP ✅ ️2X #MLBTheShow cover athlete ✅
Welcome back, Aaron Judge! @TheJudge44@Yankees@Yankees_Beisbolpic.twitter.com/2l0kOAt7Nu

— MLB The Show (@MLBTheShow) January 27, 2026

And tomorrow will be a better day than today, Buster. Make it so.

If you arrived from the future to tell Yankees fans after the team’s embarrassing elimination in the ALDS last October that the only major external acquisition the team made was Ryan Weathers, you’d probably be burned at the stake.

It seemed inconceivable after the team regressed from a more competitive-than-it-appeared World Series defeat to getting decimated in the ALDS by the rival Blue Jays that they would have a quiet offseason. But aside from retaining several free agents, there has been almost nothing during this slow offseason that, frankly, revolved around the free agency of Cody Bellinger, who didn’t re-sign until after Scott Boras ran out of potential suitors to continue asking for seven years.

There is still time remaining for moves on the margins, but barring a surprising blockbuster trade, this is most of the roster we will have going forward. It’s disappointing and frustrating that a team that will yield a near-$400 million total payroll and luxury tax will have sat on its hands in this way, but how bad is it?

How bad is running it back? The 2025 Yankees were an inherently flawed bunch, but they weren’t lacking in talent. Aaron Boone said he believed this was the best team he had managed, and frankly, he might’ve had a point.

The total of 94 wins was less than the 2018, 2019, and 2022 teams achieved. However, those teams got to feast on dreadful teams in the basement of the AL East, or—in the case of 2022—rode a red-hot start and limped into the playoffs. The first two teams lacked a bona fide ace, although Luis Severino and James Paxton tried to masquerade as one at their best.

The 2025 Yankees had Max Fried, who finished fourth in Cy Young voting in an excellent, consistent season. They had a second All-Star hurler in Carlos Rodón and, by playoff time, unveiled a highly promising flamethrowing rookie.

When you compare the 2025 team to the 2024 team that won the pennant, you may find that the 2025 club was superior and just faced a tougher path. Juan Soto was irreplaceable for the Yankees, but the 2025 Bombers had Cam Schlittler pitching their Game 3s compared to Clarke Schmidt, who had not fully rounded into form after a midseason lat injury.

The 2024 bullpen was probably better thanks to the likes of Tommy Kahnle and Jake Cousins, but when you look at the lineup depth, it’s night and day. Alex Verdugo and Anthony Rizzo were so bad that they were out of a job on Opening Day of the following year, while their spots in the lineup were filled by Trent Grisham and Ben Rice.

Regardless of all of this, the results don’t lie. The Blue Jays embarrassed the Yankees in the ALDS, made some additions (although left fans wanting more), and the Yankees stood pat. How can that be acceptable?

Well, in re-signing Bellinger, Grisham, and steady platoon bat Amed Rosario, the Yankees will completely return the best offense in baseball in 2025. While the Dodgers’ addition of Kyle Tucker probably makes them the top lineup in baseball, the Yankees have the depth and high-end talent to replicate what they did last season.

According to FanGraphs’ Depth Chart projections, the Yankees are second in projected offensive WAR, slightly ahead of Toronto and behind the Dodgers. Here’s how the individual projections stack up:

Aaron Judge: 172 wRC+
Ben Rice: 125 wRC+ (107 games)
Cody Bellinger: 118 wRC+
Giancarlo Stanton: 115 wRC+ (89 games)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 113 wRC+
Trent Grisham: 110 wRC+
Jasson Domínguez: 108 wRC+ (46 games)
Austin Wells: 102 wRC+
Anthony Volpe: 95 wRC+
Ryan McMahon: 92 wRC+

Note that projections are inherently pessimistic due to all the things that can go wrong for a player. Ever since Judge ascended into another realm of hitting dominance, he’s easily cleared 200 on an annual basis. If he falls that far down, it would be a sign of Father Time catching up to the 34-year-old. There’s also reason to believe Rice will play more, Chisholm will produce more, and Grisham will produce similar to his 2025 levels due to his promising peripherals.

The holes in the lineup are on the left side of the infield, but neither is catastrophically bad on offense. There’s considerable upside in this lineup and a decent floor, even if some players regress.

At least offensively, running it back isn’t a bad thing. Sure, the team could’ve attempted to fill the remaining holes by pursuing the likes of Bo Bichette or Alex Bregman, but the two have awkward fits, whether it’s their hitting profile (Bregman) or declining athleticism and defense (Bichette).

One big feature that the offense will have on Opening Day that hasn’t been as much of a feature in the past, however, is a deep bench. While the last few seasons have seen the team give way too many at-bats to the likes of Oswald Peraza and DJ LeMahieu, everyone on the Yankees’ bench will have a true purpose in 2026. Rosario is a lefty killer, Domínguez brings speed as a pinch-runner and can reliably hit righties, the speedy, versatile José Caballero will already be in there to fill in for the injured Volpe, Oswaldo Cabrera should be back from injury and can play everywhere on the diamond, and J.C. Escarra is a superb defensive catcher.

The pitching side is where we can be more squeamish. Still, there’s upside in the rotation if the team can get better injury luck on that front. Rodón will miss Opening Day, but he’s stated that he plans on being ready to start building up in March, and that should put his timeline around May 1. Gerrit Cole may not be far behind.

With Cole and Rodón on the mend, the team will lean heavily on Fried and Schlittler while requiring decent length and reliability from Luis Gil, Will Warren, Ryan Weathers, and, in case of injury, Ryan Yarbrough. By the time summer roles around, the team could have the best problem imaginable in sports: too many quality starters.

Now, the biggest risk remaining is the bullpen, and there’s no sugarcoating that. David Bednar and Tim Hill will be reliable, but the team will be hoping for more consistent performance from the likes of Fernando Cruz and Camilo Doval and will be depending on Matt Blake’s annual “diamond in the rough” sweepstakes in spring. Could Rule 5 pick Cade Winquest be a candidate? Or will a non-roster invitee emerge like Lucas Luetge in 2021 and Ian Hamilton in 2023?

The Yankees will be entering 2026 with a higher luxury tax payroll than they did in 2025, despite not meaningfully improving the roster. As an old skipper often said, it’s not what you want, but the team the Yanks are running back has a real chance to perform better than they did last year.

As the Colorado Rockies prepare for spring training in a few weeks, there are still plenty of questions across the board for most positions. When it comes to the starting catcher, however, we know Hunter Goodman is going to be geared up behind the dish come Opening Day and deservedly so. Goodman’s All-Star season, which resulted in a Silver Slugger, while also being slightly above average behind the dish, has brought some stability and optimism for the foreseeable future. However, I can’t help but wonder: what’s the depth plan beyond Goodman for 2026?

Entering the year, the Rockies seem primed to just roll with Braxton Fulford as the backup catcher. In 38 total games with the big league team last season, Fulford slashed .213/.267/.324 with a home run and 16 RBI. After a strong showing in Triple-A Albuquerque, Fulford struggled to find a consistent footing in the big leagues. Understandably, not playing every day makes it tough for any hitter to find a rhythm at the plate, especially a backup catcher playing behind the 30-home run output of a player like Goodman. Still, he has plenty of potential, so there is time he can settle into his role from the get-go in 2026 as an average defensive catcher with some offensive upside if he can get things going.

But what comes after that?

After dropping former top catching prospect Drew Romo from the 40-man roster earlier this offseason, who is now with the Chicago White Sox amid his waiver-wire journey, the Rockies have no other catchers on the roster. Thus far, the only big league-experienced depth piece that has been added to the organization is Brett Sullivan.

Signed to a minor league deal in December, Sullivan has played a total of 43 games at the big league level, with the majority coming in 2023 when he played 33 games with the San Diego Padres. The 31-year-old (32 in February) has hit .204 with a .250 on-base percentage and two home runs in 112 career plate appearances. Last season, he played three games with the Pittsburgh Pirates while spending the rest of the year in Triple-A. He’s been solid through his Triple-A career, slashing .261/.332/.432. As a left-handed bat, it gives the Rockies a much-needed alternative bat, and defensively, he’s been a generally average catcher behind the dish.

The Rockies don’t have an otherwise big league-ready catcher in the system, at least none that seemed primed to crack the Opening Day roster out of spring training. This leaves them to perhaps take a look at the free agent market and increase their depth and competition in camp, or afford them more time to develop their catchers.

Christian Vázquez

If the Rockies want a glove-first backup, then Christian Vázquez could be worth a look. Through his career, Vázquez has been a serviceable bat while rating as an above-average defensive catcher. His offensive numbers cratered during his three-year stint with Minnesota, but the glove remained elite behind the plate.

There could still be a way for his bat to pick up a little bit from the .189/.271/.274 slash in 214 plate appearances as he still has a keen eye at the plate, just not much oomph behind the bat, but the glove experience could be beneficial to help Goodman and the others progress. He wouldn’t have to play every day, since he is 35, and Spotrac projects his market value a little over $1 million, which is more than affordable for the Rockies for a cheap big league contract, or a split contract type deal.

Elias Díaz

How about a reunion with the Rockies’ starting catcher from 2021-2024? After strong offensive campaigns in 2023 and 2024 for Colorado, Díaz was released in August 2024 after injuries had sapped his trade value, and the Rockies needed to make space for other players. He signed on with the Padres for the rest of that season and re-upped for 2025 but the bat continued to regress.

However, the more that Díaz played in Colorado, the better his work behind the plate got and he continued that with the Padres. He ranked above average in blocking, caught-stealing average, and framing while ranking in the 87th percentile in pop-time. Adding Díaz once more could bring back some veteran experience behind the dish that could help answer the questions the new front office has with pitching at altitude. He’s also projected for a $2 million contract with is plenty affordable.

Austin Barnes

Back in November 2014, current Rockies general manager Josh Byrnes joined the Los Angeles Dodgers as the right-hand man of Andrew Friedman. One of the first trades the Dodgers made was sending a trio of players to Miami for four players, including a young catcher named Austin Barnes.

Over 11 years with the Dodgers, Barnes was a staple in the catching tandem, often serving as the personal catcher of future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw. His bat has never been his calling card, aside from a handful of solid seasons. Still, his elite plate discipline with a career walk rate of 11% has been a useful tool. Perhaps with Byrnes in the Rockies front office, the team could lure Barnes to the organization on a minor league deal. A career of working with high-profile pitchers, with his great reputation as a teammate and game caller, Barnes could be a useful addition to boost the Rockies.

Conclusion

The team has made it clear they don’t want to hand out positions to younger players out of necessity. If something should happen to Goodman or Fulford, even during spring training, what is the contingency plan? Perhaps Fulford could be better served playing every day in Triple-A while a veteran backstop helps at the big league level. They tried to do this with Austin Nola last season, but aside from a decent offensive showing in Triple-A, didn’t do much on either side of the ball to warrant an extended look.

The free agent market has plenty of players who could join as depth pieces in big league camp on minor league deals or cheap major league contracts, or perhaps the Rockies could look to trade for more catching. The point of talking about this is to bring up the fact that the Rockies need to strengthen their depth behind the plate.

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Rockies plan to be aggressive with roster depth | MLB.com

Warren Schaeffer hopes to be more flexible with his lineup usage in 2026, giving him the ability to mix and match more. Despite new additions like Willi Castro and Jake McCarthy being repeats of players, Schaeffer doesn’t want to be confined to playing strictly by depth chart, even if there are players who are worthy of playing every day. It’s an interesting read and gives plenty of insight. Additionally, the Rockies want a left-handed hitter at first base.

Two Players the A’s Can Steal From the Colorado Rockies After Schmidt Hire | Athletics on SI

If you weren’t aware, former Rockies GM Bill Schmidt landed with the Athletics in a scouting role. The writer believes the two sides could come together for a deal thanks to Schmidt’s knowledge of the Rockies’ system. Zach Agnos and Jaden Hill are mentioned as the two targets the A’s could look at with Schmidt’s influence.

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