Nationals at Braves prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for May 15

Its Thursday, May 15 and the Nationals (18-26) are in Atlanta to take on the Braves (21-22).

Trevor Williams is slated to take the mound for Washington against AJ Smith-Shawver for Atlanta.

The Nationals snapped a seven-game losing streak rallying for two in the seventh and two in the eighth to come from behind and defeat the Braves, 5-4. Cole Henry picked up the win combining with three other relievers to blank the Braves over the final 4.1 innings.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Nationals at Braves

  • Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
  • Time: 12:15PM EST
  • Site: Truist Park
  • City: Atlanta, GA
  • Network/Streaming: MASN, FDSNSO, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Nationals at the Braves

The latest odds as of Thursday:

  • Moneyline: Nationals (+186), Braves (-225)
  • Spread:  Braves -1.5
  • Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Nationals at Braves

  • Pitching matchup for May 15, 2025: Trevor Williams vs. AJ Smith-Shawver
    • Nationals: Trevor Williams (2-4, 5.88 ERA)
      Last outing: 5/10 vs. St. Louis - 6IP, 4ER, 7H, 1BB, 4Ks
    • Braves: AJ Smith-Shawver (2-2, 2.76 ERA)
      Last outing: 5/10 at Pittsburgh - 5.2IP, 1ER, 5H, 2BB, 7Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Nationals at Braves

  • Yesterday's 5-4 win was the first game in the Nationals' last 7 road games that did not cash to the UNDER the Total.
  • Austin Riley has at least one hit in 12 of 13 games in May (16-53)
  • Dylan Crews picked up 2 hits last night after totaling a mere 2 hits in his previous 7 games (2-23)

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for today’s game between the Nationals and the Braves

Rotoworld Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Nationals and the Braves:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Atlanta Braves on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Washington Nationals at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Twins at Orioles prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for May 15

Its Thursday, May 15 and the Twins (2-320) are in Baltimore to take on the Orioles (15-26).

Chris Paddack is slated to take the mound for Minnesota against Tomoyuki Sugano for Baltimore.

The Twins have now won 10 straight following a pair of wins over the Orioles yesterday. Christian Vazquez and Brooks Lee went deep in the opener to lead the Twins to a 6-3 win. Minnesota rallied for three in the eighth on Kody Clemens' home run to cap a comeback and complete the sweep with an 8-6 win.

Lets dive into this afternoon's matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Twins at Orioles

  • Date: Thursday, May 15, 2025
  • Time: 12:35PM EST
  • Site: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
  • City: Baltimore, MD
  • Network/Streaming: MNNT, MASN2, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Twins at the Orioles

The latest odds as of Thursday:

  • Moneyline: Twins (+114), Orioles (-134)
  • Spread:  Orioles -1.5
  • Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Twins at Orioles

  • Pitching matchup for May 15, 2025: Chris Paddack vs. Tomoyuki Sugano
    • Twins: Chris Paddack (1-3, 4.77 ERA)
      Last outing: 5/9 vs. San Francisco - 7.1IP, 1ER, 3H, 0BB, 6Ks
    • Orioles: Tomoyuki Sugano (4-2, 2.72 ERA)
      Last outing: 5/9 at Angels - 7.1IP, 1ER, 3H, 0BB, 5Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Twins at Orioles

  • The Twins are on an 10-game winning streak
  • The Twins have covered the Run Line in 9 of the last 10 games
  • Carlos Correa is 12-40 in May (.300)
  • Adley Rutschman is just 5-38 in May (.132)

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for today’s game between the Twins and the Orioles

Rotoworld Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Twins and the Orioles:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Minnesota Twins at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

How Giants' stable of young pitchers fit in during remainder of 2025 MLB season

How Giants' stable of young pitchers fit in during remainder of 2025 MLB season originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

SAN FRANCISCO — After about three weeks back in Triple-A, Giants left-hander Kyle Harrison felt he was back to feeling like himself. His shoulder was bouncing back well after every start and his velocity was ticking up. When it started to get back into the 96-98 mph range that Harrison showed as a rookie in 2023, he got the sneaking suspicion that he might soon be back in the big leagues — except as a reliever this time.

A few days later, Harrison found himself pitching out of the Giants’ bullpen for the first time as a professional. He has joined Hayden Birdsong in what is a bit of a unique alignment in today’s game. 

This spring, as the Giants tried to sort through the Birdsong-Landen Roupp fifth-starter competition, Bob Melvin noted that Jesus Luzardo had been eased in as a reliever when he came up with Melvin’s A’s in 2019. It’s not unusual to have one top prospect get his feet wet in the bullpen, but the Giants have had two for the last couple of weeks, and others are trying to enter the mix as well.

Even with Birdsong, Harrison and Roupp in San Francisco, the Triple-A rotation is loaded with young talent. Right-handers Carson Seymour, Trevor McDonald and Mason Black have all gotten off to solid starts in Sacramento, but the standout has been Carson Whisenhunt, the organization’s No. 2 prospect. 

Whisenhunt struck out nine over seven innings on Tuesday to lower his ERA to 3.48. The league is full of ballparks that rival Coors Field, but at home, in a more neutral environment, Whisenhunt has a 1.46 ERA. He’s the first River Cat in eight years to throw at least seven innings in three consecutive starts, and he has allowed just four runs and walked one in 21 innings in May.

Melvin watched part of Tuesday’s Triple-A game to see the at-bats of rehabbing infielders Tyler Fitzgerald and Casey Schmitt. He couldn’t help but notice what Whisenhunt was doing. 

“He’s been great. With the guys that we have here pitching out of the bullpen, we also need guys starting down there, too,” Melvin said. “I think he’s really emerged this year. Last year, I thought potentially there would be a time we might see him, but I think coming in this year, it’s a different look, it’s a different intensity to it. I think his focus is on trying to get here to the big leagues this year.”

Like all of the young pitchers in Triple-A, Whisenhunt is finding that there’s only so much he can control. The Giants have used the same five starters all season, although it’s possible that changes before the end of May. 

Jordan Hicks was roughed up Wednesday and Melvin was noncommittal afterward about the upcoming plans for the starter with a 6.55 ERA. It’s possible that Birdsong or Harrison slides into that spot soon, although if that doesn’t happen, the Giants might run into a slight complication with their two young options.

The staff believes that either Birdsong or Harrison could be stretched out to about four innings right now, but the longer they serve as relievers, the longer it will take for them to get their pitch counts back up. Given that there are two of them, that ultimately might not be a problem if a rotation change is made. They could piggyback initially to make sure there’s no extra stress on the bullpen. 

No matter what the Giants decide to do with the back end of their rotation, they know they’ll need their prospects at some point this season. They’ve been remarkably healthy, but teams generally plan to use double-digit starters over 162 games. 

There should, at some point, be a real opportunity for Birdsong, Harrison, Whisenhunt and others on the waiting list, although Harrison said nobody is viewing it that way in Triple-A or the big league bullpen.

“Control what you can, be where your feet are and just get outs,” Harrison said. “That’s still the name of the game, no matter where I’m at — I’m going to try and get outs and if the team has different plans for us, so be it, but for now this is what we’re going to do. We’re going to get outs wherever they need me.”

Harrison has allowed just one hit — a solo homer — in three relief appearances since returning, and in Triple-A, he had a 3.46 ERA. He said the young starters in Sacramento were competing with each other on a nightly basis, something that started on opening night, when Seymour struck out eight in four scoreless innings. Harrison followed with four strong innings the next day, and a day later, Whisenhunt struck out nine. 

The prospects will at some point make an impact at the big league level, and it doesn’t necessarily have to be in the Giants’ rotation or bullpen. There are few things more valuable than controllable young starters, and the Giants should have an arm or two to trade as they search for upgrades to the lineup at the trade deadline. 

There are flaws on the big league roster, as the Giants have shown in recent days, and they’re not exactly overflowing with position players who are ready to take the leap from Triple-A. But in Sacramento and the big league bullpen, the young pitchers have at least lived up to the hype thus far.

“That’s the sweet spot of the organization right now, is the young pitching we have,” Melvin said. “Coming out of spring we were talking about all the starting pitching we had and now we’re using a couple of guys out of the bullpen and they’ve been effective, too.”

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Pete Rose returns to the Hall conversation as baseball embraces his original sin

Pete Rose was one of the greatest players of his generation. Photograph: G Paul Burnett/AP

The not-so-bombshell decision on Tuesday by MLB commissioner Rob Manfred to reinstate Pete Rose, ‘Shoeless’ Joe Jackson and others to eligibility for the Hall of Fame, was actually months in the making. In January, representatives for Rose filed a petition in support of the former Reds star, who died last September, with MLB. Then in an April White House meeting, Manfred met with Donald Trump and discussed the Rose affair. Trump has made his opinions known about Rose for years. Though the wheels were already in motion, the meeting made Rose’s reinstatement feel inevitable.

Manfred was – and is – in a difficult position. Across American institutions – from law firms to media outlets to universities – the intense pressure from the White House to conform to Trump has been hard to ignore. And with immigration from countries that produce many of MLB’s players a major source of contention, it’s entirely understandable that Manfred would want to protect the interests of his sport.

Related: Major League Baseball ends lifetime bans for Pete Rose, ‘Shoeless’ Joe Jackson

On talent alone, Rose and Jackson would already be in Cooperstown. Rose is MLB’s all-time hits leader; Jackson’s career batting average ranks fourth in history. Both were banned for gambling and thus barred from Hall of Fame consideration. In his letter to Rose’s attorney, Manfred explained his decision. He effectively argued that because Jackson and Rose are now dead, they cannot threaten the game’s reputation. “Obviously, a person no longer with us cannot represent a threat to the integrity of the game,” Manfred wrote.

While Manfred was likely trying to traverse an exceedingly delicate middle ground with his decision, there is a faulty reasoning with the Commissioner’s stance when he states that once a player dies he is no longer a current threat to the integrity of the sport, but that doesn’t mean he didn’t damage it because of his deeds when he was alive.

To be clear, this isn’t the fault solely of MLB. The Hall of Fame and MLB were and are two separate entities. Then commissioner Bart Giamatti handed down Rose’s ban in 1989, but the Hall of Fame waited until 1991 to create a new rule stating that anyone on the MLB ineligible list cannot be enshrined in the Hall of Fame. Manfred made a point in his letter that Giamatti didn’t make any making public judgements about Rose’s Hall of Fame candidacy, with the then commissioner writing in 1989 that: “I need not point out to the Baseball Writers of America that it is their responsibility who decides who goes into the Hall of Fame. It is not mine. You have the authority, and you have the responsibility. And you will make your own individual judgments.”The Hall of Fame could have allowed Rose to be considered before their new rule and if so, Rose wouldn’t have likely gotten the votes. Perhaps this would have been a better and clearer way to adjudicate this matter in public.

It’s worth remembering that commissioners were once outsiders. Giamatti, a former Yale president, brought a degree of remove from the game. But after his sudden death and Fay Vincent’s tenure, MLB turned inward, appointing former Brewers owner Bud Selig. Since then, the commissioner’s office has functioned less as an independent arbiter and more as an extension of ownership.

Like the US and its former national pastime (for better or worse, football now holds that title), Rose was a highly complicated figure, full of contradictions – and that’s aside from his gambling on the sport while he was a manager. A player who gave 110% effort at all times, but sometimes bordered on dirty, Charlie Hustle was also a shameless self-promoter, a man of questionable attitudes and actions around women, a tax cheat and convict and also a defender and supporter of Black players.

And this is what his defenders have always argued, that Rose was just like the rest of us: capable of the divine and the diabolical. He never took PEDs. He never threw a game. He loved baseball. But he broke its most sacred rule: he bet on his own team while managing. Worse, he lied about it for 15 years. Americans can forgive almost anything – but not when remorse is absent.

Related: One woman’s fight against VIP schemes fueling the US sports betting boom: ‘You’re the biggest loser’

All that’s true. But he committed the ultimate cardinal sin of betting on baseball … on his own team … while he was the manager. And, worse, he never apologized when he should have. Then he continued lying about it for 15 years (he finally owned up to it in his 2004 book, My Prison Without Bars). Americans, both individuals and institutions, are generally forgiving. But forgiveness without accountability is a pointless gesture.

And it is this moral component to the story, the fact that Rose refused to display any remorse is what doomed him. One wonders whether, if Rose had immediately admitted his guilt and framed his gambling in the context of his addiction (which it was) and sought out treatment and advocated for those with the same disease and stayed away from those associated with gambling … whether there was a chance of reinstatement while he was alive. Perhaps an agreement would have been reached with the Hall of Fame that a full accounting of his career – including his banishment – would be on full display. But that never happened because Rose proved himself to be a pathological liar who didn’t show any concern for the integrity of the one thing he said he loved above all else – baseball.

And, finally, there is the “irony is dead” or shall we call it the “beyond parody” component to this whole sordid and sad affair. Rose committed the ultimate betrayal and was justifiably punished for it. But somehow, in this alternative universe we are currently inhabiting, legalized gambling has itself become inseparable from baseball. DraftKings is a major sponsor of MLB and gambling references are ever-present in media coverage of the sport. It’s widely documented that this sort of partnership is already causing serious concerns about a rise in gambling addiction. Even ignoring those effects gambling has compounded the data-centric focus on sports, robbing fans of greater and more enjoyable narratives in the games. This is by no means a baseball-only issue. The sport I cover most frequently, tennis, is awash in gambling, and viewers are bombarded during Tennis Channel broadcasts with in-match odds.

In MLB’s defense, the league has continued with its no-exceptions crackdown on gambling from those it employs. In February, umpire Pat Hoberg was fired for sharing legal sports betting accounts with a professional poker player, prompting a sharp and pointed statement from Manfred. It will undoubtedly continue to be a tricky practice, to both accept the fact that legalized gambling is a citizen’s right and a passion (unfortunately) for so many sports fans, while continuing to be utterly vigilant when it comes to policing betting whenever within baseball.

It’s possible that in July of 2028 (the first year in which Rose will be eligible to be accepted into the Hall) a member of his family will speak from the stage at the Hall of Fame ceremony celebrating the career of the most prolific hitter in the history of baseball. While it would give Rose’s family justifiable solace, it will only further remind us of how poorly this mess was handled and fill us with that cliched but apt notion: “For of all sad words of tongue or pen, The saddest are these: ‘It might have been.’”

Mookie Betts and Max Muncy power Dodgers' late surge in win over Athletics

Max Muncy runs the bases after hitting a three-run home run in the eighth inning of the Dodgers' 9-3 win.
Max Muncy runs the bases after hitting a three-run home run in the eighth inning of the Dodgers' 9-3 win over the Athletics at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday night. (Gina Ferazzi / Los Angeles Times)

Mookie Betts flexed his arms and began to shout. Max Muncy simply looked to the sky and strolled slowly out of the batter’s box.

In the eighth inning Wednesday night, both hitters erased some recent frustrations in the Dodgers’ 9-3 win over the Athletics, delivering the key hits in a five-run rally that turned a close game into a laugher.

With one out, and Kiké Hernández standing at second base after being bunted over by Miguel Rojas following his leadoff single, the Athletics decided to intentionally walk Shohei Ohtani. They wanted right-handed Tyler Ferguson to face Betts instead.

After showing some improvements with his slumping swing on last week’s road trip, Betts entered the at-bat back in another cold spell, stuck in a 0-for-7 rut to start this homestand that included a fly out that left two runners stranded in his previous at-bat in the sixth.

Read more:Dodgers call up catcher Dalton Rushing, designate Austin Barnes for assignment

This time, however, Betts crushed a double in the right-center gap. A 4-3 lead suddenly blossomed to a 6-3 cushion. And as Betts pulled into second, he turned toward the first-base stands (the same direction as the A’s dugout) and screamed with an animated celebration.

Three batters later, Muncy put the game away, clobbering a three-run homer that was a no-doubter off the bat. It was just Muncy’s second home run of the season, and snapped his own 0-for-8 skid to begin this homestand. As the ball sailed around the right-field foul pole, Muncy gave it a long look, admiring the kind of swing that has eluded him for much of the opening two months of the season.

In the bullpen, closer Tanner Scott took a seat. In a game that had been close for eight innings, his services wouldn’t be needed.

The Dodgers had broken a 3-3 tie in the sixth inning, when Miguel Rojas drove Michael Conforto home from first with a pinch-hit double.

Dodgers pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto delivers during the first inning Wednesday against the Athletics.
Dodgers pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto delivers during the first inning Wednesday against the Athletics. (Gina Ferazzi / Los Angeles Times)

Moments before that, Andy Pages had run into an out on the bases, getting overaggressive on a Conforto single by trying to go first-to-third. Thus, when Rojas hit his line drive the other way, it briefly seemed like the blunder would come back to cost the Dodgers a chance to go in front.

Instead, A’s center fielder JJ Bleday had trouble getting a grasp.

As Bleday booted his cut-off attempt, the ball bouncing off his glove as he slid along the outfield grass, Dino Ebel immediately put his arm in helicopter mode, the third base coach giving Conforto — chugging hard all the way from first — a green light to race to the plate.

Hyeseong Kim, right, celebrates with Shohei Ohtani after hitting his first career home run in the Dodgers' win Wednesday.
Hyeseong Kim, right, celebrates with Shohei Ohtani after hitting his first career home run in the Dodgers' win Wednesday. (Gina Ferazzi / Los Angeles Times)

Conforto beat the delayed relay. The Dodgers had their first lead since the third inning. And with their full stable of high-leverage relievers available (the ones currently not on the injured list, anyway), they never looked back again.

The Dodgers (28-15) did all of their early scoring the same way Wednesday, hitting three leadoff home runs in three innings against Athletics rookie starter Gunnar Hoglund.

Ohtani got things started in the first, belting his 13th homer of the season (and third to lead off a game) on a scorching line drive that carried over the right field wall.

The next inning, Pages walloped one the other direction, lifting his seventh blast of the season to the left-field bullpen.

In the fifth, Hyeseong Kim got his first MLB big fly, lofting a wallscraper to right for career home run No. 1.

The Athletics (22-21) got to Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto with their own long ball, Tyler Soderstrom hammering a two-run blast with two outs in the third when Yamamoto tried to steal a first-pitch strike with a curveball over the plate.

Outside that, however, Yamamoto was effective in a six-inning, three-run outing that left his ERA at 2.12 on the season. The only other score he allowed came in the fourth, when a leadoff walk to Shea Langeliers set up Miguel Andujar for an RBI double.

Sign up for more Dodgers news with Dodgers Dugout. Delivered at the start of each series.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Rockies fall 8-3 to Rangers, become first team to start season 7-36 in modern era

ARLINGTON, Texas — The Colorado Rockies lost 8-3 to the Texas Rangers on Wednesday night to become the first team in baseball’s modern era to lose 36 of their first 43 games.

Wyatt Langford and Adolis García hit opposite-field, two-run home runs and Patrick Corbin struck out six consecutive batters among a season-high nine for the Rangers.

The Rockies became the first team to start 7-36 in the modern era (since 1901). They were swept for the seventh time and are 0-3 under interim manager Warren Schaeffer, who replaced Bud Black on Sunday.

The Rangers (23-21) have won five consecutive games to match a season-best winning streak.

Langford homered in a four-run first inning. García homered in the sixth.

Texas’ other first-inning runs scored on Josh Jung’s bases-loaded walk and Evan Carter’s fielder’s choice.

Jake Burger doubled home two runs for the Rangers in the fifth inning.

Corbin (3-2) pitched six innings for his first win since April 22. He allowed Michael Toglia’s second-inning solo homer and Kyle Farmer’s two-run shot in the sixth.

Antonio Senzatela (1-7), tied for the major league lead in losses, gave up six runs in 4 2/3 innings. Opponents are hitting .381 against him.

It was Rangers manager Bruce Bochy’s 2,194th career win, tying him with Sparky Anderson for sixth place overall.

Mets Notes: Juan Soto ready for Bronx cheers, 'unfortunate' rain hurts Clay Holmes

For the first time since Game 5 of the World Series last fall, Juan Soto will play a game at Yankee Stadium.

During the weekend’s Subway Series, the ex-Yank will run out to right field in front of The Bronx’s Bleacher Creatures for the bottom of the first with the Mets. And he’s excited about making his return.

What excites him most? “The crowd,” he said after Wednesday’s game at Citi Field, via MLB.com’s Anthony DiComo.

Even if the Yankees fans boo? “I don’t mind,” Soto answered.

Manager Carlos Mendoza anticipates the slugger, who was given the finale against the Pittsburgh Pirates off ahead of Thursday’s off day, will experience “a lot of emotions.”

"He’s going back, he’s gonna go in there and [remember] good memories,” Mendoza said. “He had a really good year with them, went to the World Series with them, it'll be exciting."

As a team, Mendoza said they are “ready to go.”

“It will be an exciting series, two teams playing well, two really good teams, pretty sure it will be fun,” he said.

After a Yanks-Mets matchup during spring training, Soto let slip what he anticipates happening. “You know, Yankees fans, they can surprise you with anything, so I'm expecting the worst," he said with a laugh.

After signing with the Mets in December, Soto thanked Yankees fans for showing him “all the love” in his lone season in The Bronx during his introductory news conference at Citi Field.

“They were there day in, day out. They really have a spot in my heart at the end of the day,” he said. “Tough we couldn’t get it together and try to be back, and stuff like that, but always going to appreciate what they did for me in 2024.”

Blame it on the rain?

The rain was always going to play a factor on a wet Wednesday at Citi Field. Unfortunately for Clay Holmes, the biggest cloudburst of the game came at a critical moment.

After a nine-pitch first frame, Holmes got two quick outs to start the inning before Isiah Kiner-Falefa yanked a sweeper on the outside corner to left for a single. And that is when the rain went from falling lightly to a bit steadier. Back-to-back sweepers landed in the zone to get ahead of Matt Gorski, before the intensity of the rain increased again.

On the next two pitches, the rain was not the issue, but home plate umpire Carlos Torres called a slider that appeared to be entirely in the zone a ball, and a 1-2 sweeper that was a bit higher was called out of the zone, as well.

“Two calls that we didn’t get there,” Mendoza said. “A full ball in the strike zone and we didn’t get that one, and then another one that clipped the strike zone and we didn’t get that one.”

“Some tough hops here,” Holmes said. “Losing grip on the ball there, trying to make pitches.”

The heavens opened up before Holmes could throw his next pitch. And when he did, the righty uncorked a fastball that went over the batter’s head and hit the backstop on the fly, bouncing all the way back to him. 

“At that point, it’s in the umpire’s hands, it's nothing we could do there,” Mendoza said about getting the game stopped. “Other than create the awareness and get it to their attention, but… it's their call.”

And after fouling off a sweeper toward the corner, Holmes hung his second 3-2 slider and it was clocked for a 407-foot home run to left through the driving rain.

“I think I went to the slider too many times there, but I thought it was probably the best thing I could control. I ended up getting beat with it,” Holmes said.

“He lost the feel for the ball there,” the manager said. “I’m not trying to make excuses here for him.”

To add insult to injury, after Holmes got the final out, the field was in such a state that the grounds crew needed 10 minutes of work to fix the infield and mound before the home half of the second could begin. 

“It was one of those things where you gotta compete through and try to make pitches,” Holmes said. “Unfortunately, I couldn’t make one there.”

Clay Holmes allows pair of two-run homers, Mets' bats silenced in 4-0 loss to Pirates

Clay Holmes surrendered a pair of two-run home runs, and the Mets' bats got blanked by the Pirates in a 4-0 loss to Pittsburgh on Wednesday night at Citi Field.

On a dreary, rainy spring night, Holmes never really looked comfortable on the hill, and his teammates couldn’t pick him up in the batter’s box as New York went 0-for-4 with runners in scoring position and left eight on base.

The Mets (28-16) took two of three from the Pirates (15-29) and had chances to make the visitors sweat, but managed just six singles in their fifth home loss out of 22 games. This was the second time they had been shut out this year.

Here are the takeaways...

-Holmes, making his first start on four days' rest of the year, retired the first five he faced before allowing a bloop single to left in the second. And after getting ahead 0-2 to Matt Gorski, the rain went from falling lightly to a downpour. Holmes, who was leaving some offspeed pitches up in the inning, had a 3-2 sweeper hang right over the plate and Gorski cranked it 407 feet to left for a two-run homer.

In addition to the rough luck on pitching through a tremendous cloudburst of rain, Holmes may have gotten squeezed by home plate umpire Carlos Torres on two off-speed pitches at the top of the zone to Gorski. 

Holmes rebounded for a streak of six-straight retired before a pair of two-out singles in the fourth brought Gorski to the plate. But Luisangel Acuña was able to make a fine play at second on a slow roller up the middle to end the threat.

Pittsburgh doubled the lead in the fifth on Ji Hwan Bae's beautifully executed drag bunt (38.9 mph off the bat) and Jared Triolo smacking a sinker that was up in the zone to left for a two-run shot (104.7 mph). A bloop single and walk gave them two on with one away, but Holmes got Joey Bart to bounce into a 5-4-3 twin-killing to avoid further damage.  

Holmes saved his best inning for last, getting a pair of strikeouts in a perfect sixth. His final line: 6.0 innings, four runs, seven hits, one walk, four strikeouts on 90 pitches (60 strikes). His average velocity was down on his sinker by nearly a mph, and his spin rate was down on his slider and sweeper.

- The Mets had chances to get the starter a cushion early off Pirates starter Bailey Falter as Mark Vientos singled and Pete Alonso worked a 10-pitch walk with one out. Starling Marte worked an eight-pitch walk with two outs to load the bases, but on the left-hander’s 32nd pitch of the inning, Luis Torrens went down swinging on a high slider.

New York, down pair, had the chance to get back into it with singles by Brandon Nimmo and Torrens in the fourth. And after Acuña worked a two-out walk, the bases were loaded again. New Pirates skipper Don Kelly summoned right-hander Chase Shugart from the bullpen and Carlos Mendoza decided to stick with José Azócar rather than an early pinch-hitter. Azócar hit a first-pitch lazy fly to center to leave ‘em loaded again.

- Alonso yanked a ball to left with two down in the fifth and was smelling a double, but while he beat the throw, he slid off the bag and Adam Frazier maintained the tag to end the inning. He finished the day 1-for-3 with a walk and a strikeout.

- Génesis Cabrera notched two strikeouts in a 1-2-3 seventh, getting five whiffs on eight swings. The eighth inning was less easy as a leadoff walk and back-to-back one-out singles loaded the bases. But he blew a fastball past Isiah Kiner-Falefa and got Gorski to pop out to second. 

Dedniel Núñez needed 13 pitches (seven strikes) for a clean ninth with a strikeout.

- Brett Baty entered as a pinch-hitter for Tyrone Taylor, who is in a 0-for-9 funk, to start the seventh and lined a ball 106.1 mph directly into the glove of Pittsburgh reliever Tanner Rainey. It was that kinda night.

Jeff McNeil, pinch-hitting for Azócar with two down in the inning, rocketed the Mets’ fifth hit (all singles) through the right side of the infield, but moved no further. 

As a result of those moves, Acuña moved out to center for his first taste there in the majors after playing there 35 times in the minors. Of course, he did not get tested by anything hit his way. (Baty went to second, and McNeil to right.) 

- In the last of the ninth, Marte pulled a leadoff single to left, but after Torrens popped out in foul territory to first, Baty clobbed a ball two steps in front of the wall in center and Acuña hit one to the warning track to end the game with a pair of loud outs. 

Baty’s drive (401 feet, 105.9 mph) would have left seven ballparks. Acuña’s (391 feet, 104.8 mph) would have left just one.

- Vientos, the night after an adventure at third, was back on the horse and made a good play cutting across Lindor and making a running throw in the first, and dealt with the wet conditions very well, handling several balls hit to the hot corner.

He finished 1-for-4 with a strikeout at the plate.

- Juan Soto was given the day off to give him an added day of rest ahead of the Weekend’s Subway Series game in The Bronx. Azócar got the start for him in right, worked a walk his first time up, but got picked off by the lefty. He finished the day 0-for-1

- The start of the game was delayed 15 minutes by rain, and rain fell throughout the game. The bottom of the second was delayed by nearly 10 minutes as the grounds crew tried to remove numerous wet spots on the infield from a deluge during the top half of the inning.  

What's next

The Mets have Thursday off before they open up the first Subway Series of the season on Friday night in The Bronx.

Right-hander Tylor Megill (3.10 ERA, 1.254 WHIP in 40.2 innings) gets the ball for the visitors and left-hander Carlos Rodon (3.29 ERA, 0.970 WHIP in 54.2 innings) will start for the Yankees.

Aaron Judge, Paul Goldschmidt belt late home runs in Yankees' 3-2 comeback win over Mariners

Paul Goldschmidt hit a home run to lead off the seventh and Aaron Judge a homer to lead off the eighth as the Yankees completed a comeback win over the Mariners, 3-2, on Wednesday afternoon in Seattle. 

New York improved to 25-18 on the year and took two out of three in Seattle (23-19).

Here are the takeaways...

- The Yanks got traffic on Mariners starter Luis Castillo with a Judge single and Cody Bellinger double with two down in the first and a pair of singles in the third. But New York would strand all four runners as the Seattle starter got five big strikeouts, including Judge and Bellinger in the third. 

Castillo settled into a solid groove and kept the Yanks out of creating anything until there were two outs in the fifth when Anthony Volpe cracked a double off the wall in right on a 3-2 fastball up and over the plate. Jasson Dominguez put the Yanks on the board by blistering a first-pitch double just over first baseman Rowdy Tellez's glove for an RBI double. Batting as a lefty, he took the down and in slider and rocketed 112.1 mph off the bat.

- Goldschmidt came on as a pinch-hitter to start the seventh and launched the first pitch thrown by Mariners reliever Gabe Speier to tie the game. The lefty's 94 mph fastball was in the perfect spot for Goldschmidt to turn on and drive 377 feet down the line in left (107 mph off the bat). He added a single in the ninth to finish 1-for-2 off the bench, raising his average to .346 on the year.

- Judge singled on a line drive his first time up, but went down swinging the next two times against Castillo. Carlos Vargas wasn't so lucky as his 1-1 slider went right down the plite and Judge clobbered it: 444 feet and 117.7 mph off the bat for his 15th home run and 41st RBI of the year to put the Yankees ahead for the first time of the day. With the 2-for-4 day, Judge boosted his slash line to .412/.497/.782 for a 1.279 OPS.

- Will Warren, coming off his best start of the season, looked in fine form, retiring seven of the first eight batters he faced with six strikeouts. But an error and a one-out single to right led to a third-inning mound visit from pitching coach Matt Blake. The righty got a swinging bunt for the second out, but walked the bases loaded on four straight out of the zone to the dangerous Jorge Polanco

Unfortunately, Julio Rodriguez laced a first-pitch sinker on the outside corner down the right field line for a two-run double on a ball that just stayed fair. Cal Releigh hit the next pitch even harder, but it just hung up on center for Trent Grisham to end the inning.

Warren found the groove again, retiring five of the next six with three more strikeouts to give him a new career-high. A two-out single by Polanco led to another visit from Blake as Rodriguez dug in. The Mariners’ star put a charge into a 3-2 sweeper that hung over the plate, but Dominguez camped under the high fly to make the catch on the warning track for a 374-foot out.

His final line: 5 innings, two runs (both unearned), three hits, one walk, one HBP, and nine strikeouts on 92 pitches (53 strikes).

- Out of the bullpen, Tyler Matzek put himself in a spot of bother, allowing a leadoff walk and a one-out four-pitch walk in the sixth. But, after Blake paid a visit, the lefty got Leody Taveras swinging before Ian Hamilton closed the inning. The righty added a pair of strikeouts in a clean seventh.

Fernando Cruz, the first Yankee to pitch with a lead on the day, got the eighth, and allowed a one-out single that one-hopped the wall in right that Bellinger played well to hold Raleigh at first. And after getting ahead of Randy Arozarena 0-2, he hit him with a 2-2 sinker to put the go-ahead run on base. But, after another Blake mound visit, a first-pitch sinker to Dylan Moore resulted in a room service 6-4-3 inning-ender.

Luke Weaver, who threw 21 pitches over two innings on Tuesday night, needed just 15 to strike out the side and earn his fourth save of the season.

- DJ LeMahieu got the start at second and was charged with a throwing error in the third, but wasn’t really at fault. He threw right to the bag, but confusion between Ben Rice and Warren about who was covering led to neither catching the ball. 

He finished the day 1-for-3 with a walk.

- Grisham, who hit two homers in the first game of the series, made a bid for a leadoff shot and had it over the wall in center, but Rodriguez ranged back and, with a leap, pulled the ball back in play for a 397-foot out. (It would have been a homer in 13 ballparks, but not Yankee Stadium.) He finished the day 0-for-4 with a walk and three strikeouts.

Game MVP: Yankees pitchers

New York's quintet totaled 15 strikeouts and limited the hosts to just five hits as they went 1-for-7 with runners in scoring position and left seven on base.

Highlights

What's next

The Yankees have a day off on Thursday as they get ready for a Subway Series in The Bronx against the Mets starting on Friday night.

The Yanks are set to throw Carlos Rodon, Clarke Schmidt, and Max Fried.

The boys from Queens are set to start Tylor Megill, Griffin Canning, and David Peterson.

Start of Wednesday's Mets-Pirates game delayed due to inclement weather

The series finale between the Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field is delayed due to inclement weather.

Originally a 7:10 p.m. start time, the Mets announced a new tentative 7:25 p.m. first pitch.

Mets starter Clay Holmes has been great in his first season as a starter in Queens, pitching to a 2.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 42.2 innings over eight starts. Wednesday will be Holmes' first start on regular rest since he made the transition from closer to starter.

The Pirates are looking to salvage a game in this series, and they'll have Bailer Falter on the bump to try and do so. The left-hander has pitched to a 2-3 record and a 4.36 ERA across eight starts this season.

New York will look to sweep this series ahead of an off day on Thursday and before they start a highly-anticipated three-game set against the Yankees this weekend in The Bronx.

Mets' David Stearns expects to see defensive improvement, talks Brett Baty's resurgence

Prior to Thursday’s series final with the Pittsburgh Pirates (weather permitting), Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns held his usual once-a-homestand news conference.

With the Mets owning a 28-15 record and holding a 2.5-game lead in the NL East, Stearns touched on the state of the team, as well as some of the organization’s top prospects.

Here’s what Stearns had to say…

On the state of the team just past the quarter-mark of the season

“I think we’re a pretty balanced team,” said Stearns. “We can always get better. We’re far from a perfect team and there are absolutely ways we can improve. I think some of that improvement comes internally. I think we can play better defense, and that’s an area where we can get better, and I think the players that we have are capable of playing better defense.

“In terms of external acquisitions, we’re always monitoring, but sometimes it takes a little bit deeper into the season to find the right fit, and I don’t see any specific glaring spot on the team right now that maybe we had last year at this time that we feel like we need to be extremely proactive about. But if there are areas where we feel like we can get better and players available, we’re certainly going to make a deal.”

On improving the team defense

“I think we have a variety of different players who are good defenders – very good defenders in certain cases – who have made some mistakes this year,” Stearns said. “That’s going to happen, and it gets magnified in smaller samples like we’ve had in the first six weeks of the season, but I would expect us to be a better defensive team over the next 4.5 months of the season than we have over the first month and a half.”

On Brett Baty’s MLB resurgence

“If you go to catch a week of Brett Baty at Syracuse, you could very easily just run into a week like we’ve just seen here in the big leagues,” said Stearns. “So why are we seeing it now at the big league level? I don’t know that I have the definite answer for that. If I had the definitive answer, we probably would have implemented that a long time ago to help get him to this point. He’s clearly seeing the ball well, he’s gotten some pitches that he can handle and he hasn’t missed them.”

On the plan for Ronny Mauricio when he completes his rehab

“Ronny continues to progress. He’s still in Double-A. We’ll get him up to Triple-A here pretty soon, and then it’s just play all three [positions] on the infield, continue to build up volume,” Stearns said. “He’s still got, I think, a little ways to go to get – he’s a healthy player, but to get back into that true baseball shape, ready to compete art a high level at the big leagues, I think we’ve still got a little bit of a ways to go. So, it’s continue to get him at-bats, continue to get him reps in the minor leagues.

“He’s a player who has options, so he’s going to stay in the minor leagues until we have a need.”

On Nolan McLean’s rise through the system

“I think the first thing with Nolan is he’s done a tremendous job in pro ball so far, and now he’s got his next challenge ahead of him, and that challenge is Triple-A,” said Stearns. “So, I’m not gonna start getting into timelines to a major league arrival quite yet. I think we’re going to let him perform at Triple-A. His first start was great, that was great to see, and looking forward to watching him continue that.”

On Matt Allan’s progress

“This is a special arm, so I think as long as he stays healthy, he’s a prospect,” said Stearns. “That’s why he was thought of as an amateur the way that he was. That’s why his draft stock was so high. That’s why this organization was so excited about him before he got hurt. So I absolutely look at him as a prospect.”

Dodgers call up catcher Dalton Rushing, designate Austin Barnes for assignment

TEMPE, ARIZONA - MARCH 16, 2024: Dalton Rushing #75 of the Los Angeles Dodgers throws to the pitcher during the third inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the Los Angeles Angels at Tempe Diablo Stadium on March 16, 2024 in Tempe, Arizona. (Photo by Chris Bernacchi/Diamond Images via Getty Images)
Over four minor-league season, Dalton Rushing slugged his way through the Dodgers farm system by batting .277 with 54 home runs, 185 RBIs and a .931 OPS. (Diamond Images via Getty Images)

The Dodgers are making a major midseason shuffle to their roster.

On Wednesday, top prospect Dalton Rushing was called up from the minor leagues and longtime backup catcher Austin Barnes was designated for assignment, the team announced, closing the book on Barnes’ two-time title-winning tenure in Los Angeles while opening a new one on Rushing’s highly anticipated MLB career.

It’s no surprise that Rushing, a 2022 second-round pick out of Louisville, is getting a crack at the majors. Over four minor-league seasons, the catcher slugged his way through the farm system by batting .277 with 54 home runs, 185 RBIs and a .931 OPS. With triple-A Oklahoma City this season, he was hitting .308 in 31 games and ranked seventh in the Pacific Coast League with a .938 OPS. Even this spring, manager Dave Roberts said Rushing’s bat was big-league ready.

Read more:Dodgers prospect Dalton Rushing sowing seeds of trust as he awaits his MLB debut

But the Dodgers’ decision to effectively part ways with Barnes represents more of a surprise — albeit, understandable — decision.

Barnes, 35, was the longest-tenured position player on the roster, his time with the Dodgers going back further than everyone except friend and battery mate Clayton Kershaw. He was in his 11th season with the team, after they picked up his $3.5-million club option in the offseason. And he was a two-time World Series champion — behind the plate for their drought-snapping 2020 title — with veteran expertise at calling games, and above league-average metrics for framing pitches and blocking balls in the dirt.

However, Barnes was also batting just .214 this season, with a .514 OPS that ranked ahead of only Chris Taylor among Dodgers hitters with at least 20 at-bats. His arm had become a liability behind the plate, throwing out just one of the 14 runners who attempted a steal against him. And unlike the left-handed-hitting Rushing, he didn’t form an ideal platoon partner with starting catcher Will Smith, with both backstops batting from the right side.

Read more:Hernández: Roki Sasaki's shoulder issue leaves Dodgers in a familiar and problematic position

The 10-year, $140-million contract extension Smith signed with the Dodgers in March 2024, of course, left Rushing’s long-term future with the Dodgers in some question.

With the starting catcher’s job seemingly locked up for the next decade, the Dodgers experimented with Rushing at first base and left field last season.

But, while Rushing has continued to play those other two positions occasionally with Oklahoma City, the Dodgers’ front office made it clear they still saw his future foremost as a catcher — so much so, they had him lead catcher’s meetings during spring training, in what was a preview of what he’ll now experience with the Dodgers’ meticulous game-planning process.

Sign up for more Dodgers news with Dodgers Dugout. Delivered at the start of each series.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

What's next for Hicks after Giants pitcher's rough start?

What's next for Hicks after Giants pitcher's rough start? originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

SAN FRANCISCO — This is Jordan Hicks’ second season as a starting pitcher, but still, this is all new to him. 

When Hicks started to struggle last year, the Giants didn’t have any conversations about the big-picture implications. He had been a godsend for a banged-up rotation, and the Giants knew he would run out of gas at some point in his transition from bullpen life. When it happened, it was what they had planned for. 

But this, a 6.55 ERA through nine starts, is not what they expected. And as they head to an off day after their fifth loss in six games, it seems time for a serious conversation within the walls of Third and King.

After an 8-7 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks, manager Bob Melvin wasn’t ready to go there, at least not publicly. 

“The game is just over,” Melvin said when asked about Hicks. “I thought his stuff was pretty good again. It’s hard groundballs that find some holes. At some point in time you’d think they would be hit at somebody, and then [Hayden Birdsong] came in and he didn’t have his best stuff, either.”

If Wednesday’s game was the start of a shift, it wasn’t a clean one. Birdsong, the next man up, warmed up in the second as Hicks put himself in a bind, but the veteran limited the damage. When the first two runners reached in the third, Melvin came out with the hook.

Birdsong immediately gave up a three-run homer, with two of the runners belonging to Hicks, who was charged with five earned. Another homer put three runs on Birdsong’s line in his three innings of work.

For Hicks, it was the fourth time in nine starts that he allowed at least five runs. But he said he’s not worrying about his spot in the rotation. 

“At the end of the day I’m just going to go out there every time and put my best foot forward. That’s really all I can do,” Hicks said said. “Shut the page, shut the book on the bad outings and then grow from the good ones. I take the positive from the bad games. I feel like there was a high percentage of groundballs today and that is ideal for me as a groundball pitcher — it just didn’t find the guys. 

“You’ve just got to live with it and move on.”

That’s been the story of the season for Hicks, who is fourth in the majors in groundball rate. He has been hurt by a high .344 batting average on balls in play, and he’s not fully equipped to get more swing-and-miss to try and limit the damage. On Wednesday, there was just one whiff on 28 sinkers. That’s a pitch that’s meant to induce weak contact. 

“I got a lot of groundballs. There was a lot of finding holes, obviously that’s not ideal,” Hicks said. “That’s unfortunate. That’s how baseball goes sometimes.”

Hicks said he doesn’t dive into advanced stats, but if he did, he would find reasons for optimism. His expected ERA based on batted ball data is about three runs lower than his actual ERA. His FIP is 3.48. 

There are reasons for the Giants to believe much better days are ahead. But it was hard to focus on them when Melvin had to get his bullpen — which includes two starting pitchers — going with no outs in the top of the second. 

That led to a disappointing loss on a day when the lineup put up a late charge. The Giants trailed by six at one point, but Jung Hoo Lee’s homer got them within a pair and a bases-loaded walk put the winning run on second in the ninth. The comeback fell short, though. 

“We’re not getting our timing right,” Melvin said. “You think you score seven runs, you have a chance to win the game, but we gave it up early.”

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Fantasy Baseball Steals Report: Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, and Jackson Chourio turn on jets

As stolen bases continue to rise league wide, I will be here every Wednesday to help you track important stolen base trends so you can find more speed for your fantasy teams.

Stealing a base is as much about the opposing pitcher and catcher as it is the actual base runner themself. So, being able to spot which teams and pitchers specifically are being run on most frequently will help you to figure out who can swipe some bags over the next week.

Last week, I highlighted the Marlins as a team to target when searching for stolen bases and they continue to allow them at a breakneck pace.

Before we get to this week’s important trends, here is the stolen base leaderboard over the past seven days.

Player
SB
CS
Jackson Chourio
5
0
José Ramírez
4
1
Francisco Lindor
3
0
Mike Yastrzemski
3
0
Bobby Witt Jr.
3
0
Wyatt Langford
3
0
Xavier Edwards
2
2
Austin Riley
2
1
Evan Carter
2
0
14 Others Tied
3
0

It’s nice to see Jackson Chourio pick it up on the base paths after a slow start to the season there. Same with Francisco Lindor.

Evan Carter has returned to the majors and quickly stolen two bags, which bodes well for his fantasy value moving forward.

Austin Riley had stolen just three bases in his last 300 games played prior to this past week. Those two bags are completely shocking.

Now, here is the overall stolen base leaderboard on the season.

Player
SB
CS
Oneil Cruz
16
1
Luis Robert Jr.
16
5
Bobby Witt Jr.
14
4
Elly De La Cruz
14
4
Pete Crow-Armstrong
13
3
José Ramírez
12
3
Xavier Edwards
11
4
Jarren Duran
11
3
Victor Scott II
11
1

Luis Robert Jr. just went a full week without being caught stealing. They said it couldn’t be done and they were wrong.

Xavier Edwards jumping onto this list is great, he just needs to find a way to be more efficient.

Next, here are some players that we’d hoped would be more aggressive or efficient on the base paths.

Player
SB
CS
Jonathan India
0
2
Marcus Semien
1
1
Luis Rengifo
1
2
Seiya Suzuki
1
2
Caleb Durbin
1
1
Jo Adell
1
0
Brandon Nimmo
1
1
Kristian Campbell
2
1
Masyn Winn
2
2
Willy Adames
2
2
Jackson Holliday
2
3
Ian Happ
2
1
Jose Altuve
3
3
Bryan Reynolds
3
2
Nolan Jones
3
2

There are oddly a lot of second basemen on this list. Kristian Campbell was distinguishing himself before this recent cold spell. Jackson Holliday is pushing hard for 10-team viability and a bit more efficiency on the base paths could help get him there.

It’s hard to roster Caleb Durbin when he’s not hitting and not stealing any bases. There’s a chance he could be headed back down to the minors soon.

Now, let’s go over the most important stolen base trends over the past week.

Fantasy Baseball Stolen Base Targets

I’ve deservedly picked on the Marlins for a few weeks in a row, so they’ll get a break despite still being the easiest team to run on this season by far. Also the Rays, who have maintained their hold as the second-worst team against the run game.

Otherwise, the Braves, Athletics, and Astros are teams to target when seeking stolen bases.

Sean Murphy’s return from the injured list was meant to stabilize Atlanta’s weakness here, but base stealers are 24-for-28 against him in just 23 starts behind the plate so far this season. Coupled with them also being 20-for-23 in just 17 starts by Drake Baldwin, we’re not seeing much resistance by them to the run game.

Their problems are exacerbated by Chris Sale’s unwillingness to hold runners on. He’s tied with Sandy Alcantara for most stolen bases allowed by any pitcher and has four more than the next closest left-handed pitcher.

While he’s caught the fourth-most innings, the Athletics’ Shea Langeliers has allowed the most steals of any catcher with 36. Yet, he’s known for his strong arm and has one of the best pop times in the league according to Baseball Savant.

Rather, many of the A’s pitchers struggle to hold runners on. Jeffrey Springs has allowed the fourth-most steals for any pitcher this season and it allows base stealers to get the biggest jump on him compared to any other starter in baseball. Osvaldo Bido and the injured JT Ginn have also struggled in this department.

Langeliers, Carson Kelly, and Yainer Diaz are the only catchers that have thrown out fewer than 15% of would-be base stealers who have been behind the plate for more than 250 innings.

Diaz has taken more of a lionshare at catcher for the Astros this season with their intention of Yordan Alvarez playing the field less often. While Alvarez has been on the injured list, Diaz has been their designated hitter in three of nine games.

Yet, that may not matter when streaming steals against them because back-up catcher Victor Caratini has only thrown out 6% of would-be base stealers this season.

Perfect Week for Mets

The Mets didn’t run a whole lot out of that gate with just 19 total stolen bases in April. That was 19th-most among all teams. However, they went a perfect 10-for-10 over the last week.

Both their lack of steals and very recent uptick has come from Lindor finding his stride. He stole just two bases in April and already has four in May. We’re only about halfway through this month so far.

Otherwise, Luisangel Acuña’s regular playing time has added a level of dynamism that the Mets have lacked for some time. His 10 stolen bases are just a bit off the full-season leaderboard above and he’s only been caught once.

On the other side of the ball, Luis Torrens deserves his flowers again for what he’s doing at catcher. He threw out two more base stealers this week, which gives him seven on the year while only six have been successful. He is the only catcher who’s caught at least 150 innings this season to have a caught stealing rate better than 50%. He’s a revelation.

It’s worth noting that the tandem of catchers Torrens replaced on the Mets last season – Tomás Nido and Omar Narváez – haven’t caught a base stealer yet this season in 10 tries combined.

Guardians Sneak Attack

The Guardians have been middle of the pack this year in terms of stealing bases and the Milwaukee Brewers, led by William Contreras, have been one of the most difficult teams to run against.

So, naturally, Cleveland stole five bases against them in one game last week without being caught.

José Ramírez stole three himself off the battery of Contreras and Freddy Peralta including third base two separate times. Steven Kwan and Angel Martínez chipped in with one each as well off reliever Bryan Hudson.

This was not a close, tight game either where the Guardians were seeking the tying run. They had a 3-0 lead after the fourth inning and cruised to an easy 5-0 win. They simply saw an opportunity and took it.

It was reported last week that Contreras is playing through a fractured finger on his catching hand. Maybe that had something to do with this game, maybe it didn’t. Regardless, his caught stealing rate dropped from a league-best 59% to 35% after just one game.

Marlins at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for May 14

It's Wednesday, May 14, and the Marlins (15-26) are in Chicago to take on the Cubs (25-18). Ryan Weathers is slated to take the mound for Miami against Jameson Taillon for Chicago.

The NL Central-leading Cubs have won the first two games of the series. They won 5-2 in the first and 5-4 in the second. Justin Turner's walk-off double secured the win for the Cubs.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Marlins at Cubs

  • Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025
  • Time: 7:40PM EST
  • Site: Wrigley Field
  • City: Chicago, IL
  • Network/Streaming: Marquee Sports Network, FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Marlins at the Cubs

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Marlins (+181), Cubs (-220)
  • Spread:  Cubs -1.5
  • Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Marlins at Cubs

  • Pitching matchup for May 14, 2025: Ryan Weathers vs. Jameson Taillon
    • Cubs: Jameson Taillon, (2-2, 4.53 ERA)
      Last outing (New York Mets, 5/9): 4.0 Innings Pitched, 5 Earned Runs Allowed, 9 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Marlins at Cubs

  • The Cubs went 9-6 (.600) at home last season with Jameson Taillon starting
  • With Jameson Taillon as starting pitcher 5 of the Cubs' last 6 home games have gone under the Total

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Marlins and the Cubs

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday's game between the Marlins and the Cubs:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Miami Marlins at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

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