Biggest series of the season? What awaits for Phillies-Mets matchup originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia
The optimistic Phillies fan will look at this upcoming three-game series with the New York Mets at Citi Field and see that the lead in the National League East could grow to as much to 10 games over the Mets with a sweep.
The pessimist, of course, will point out that a sweep by the Mets would knock the difference between the two to just four games with 29 games to play. Either way, the truth is the truth and the Phillies’ current seven-game lead over New York is the biggest it’s been all season.
The Mets are coming off a series in Atlanta in which they won two of three, after having lost 16 of their previous 21 games. Sunday’s loss was a stinger, as Gregory Soto gave up two runs in the eighth to break a tie game and denied the Mets a sweep over the host Braves.
The Mets currently hold a 1.5 game lead over the Cincinnati Reds for the final Wild Card spot.
The Phillies have won seven of their last nine games and have been playing some of their best baseball of the season over the last few weeks. But this is the Mets and this may be a series that defines how the East is going to play out.
“They’re all big. I mean every game’s big from here on out,” said Phillies manager Rob Thomson of the upcoming series. “The Mets have a good club. And we have to go in and pay attention to every detail and play hard. It can go the other way, too. We have to pay attention.”
Monday’s series opener will feature strong Cy Young candidate Christopher Sanchez for the Phillies against Mets right-hander Kodai Senga.
Sanchez (11-4, 2.46 ERA) has allowed more than two earned runs in just five of his 25 starts and is coming off a start against Seattle in which he went 6 1/3 innings, allowing six hits, two runs, while striking out 12. It was the seventh double-digit strikeout performance of his career and his fourth this season. He has pitched six or more innings in each of his last 14 outings.
Senga (7-5, 2.58 ERA) has allowed 18 earned runs over his last six outings which spans 27 innings for a 6.00 ERA. He hasn’t gotten out of the sixth inning in any of his last eight starts. It will be the first time he’ will’ll pitch on four day’s rest this season.
Thomson will most likely go with his lefty-heavy lineup, though he has been juggling his outfield since the trade deadline. Sunday, left-handed hitter Max Kepler sat against Washington right-handed starter Jake Irvin because Harrison Bader has posted good career numbers against Irvin. Right fielder Nick Castellanos has recently had a few days off, which hasn’t been the norm this season. Thomson appears to be playing the “who’s hot” card when it comes to the outfielders. And it’s worked, so no need to think it’s going to change in these three games.
Tuesday the Mets will throw left-hander Sean Manaea (1-2, 5.15) against the Phillies, who will counter with lefty Jesus Luzardo (12-6, 4.10).
Manaea will be making just his ninth start of the season after a battle with injuries in spring training and in the early season. He was sidelined before the season with a right oblique strain and then pain in his elbow. He made his season debut on July 13 and has gone into the sixth inning in just one of his starts. He has given up 17 earned runs over his last 19 1/3 innings (four starts) for an ERA of 7.92 during that time.
Luzardo struggled during July but has seemingly righted himself in his last five starts. During that time, he struck out 34 over his last 31 innings and has posted an ERA of just 2.32. He struck out 12 in six innings in his last start against Seattle.
In the series finale Wednesday, Mets’ hot rookie Nolan McLean (2-0, 1.46) will make his third-career start and will oppose Phillies veteran right-hander Taijuan Walker (4-6, 3.44).
McLean has struck out 15 in his 12 1/3 innings so far and went seven innings for the win last Friday against the Atlanta Braves when he was backed by a 21-hit performance by the Mets. McLean boasts a really good sweeper and curve ball.
Walker just continues to give the Phillies strong outings as their fifth starter. He has pitched five or more innings in each of his last six starts and has given up three or fewer runs in each of them.
The Mets have won four of the six games between the two teams this season, including all three at Citi Field. After this series, they will have four more matchups at Citizens Bank Park in September.
After this series the Phillies will have 29 games remaining in the season. Things can change quickly. But a good showing at Citi Field over these three games probably will push that talk aside a little bit.