Dynasty Baseball Stock Watch: Franklin Arias, Joseph Dzierwa, Theo Gillen rising quickly

It’s still extremely early, and the sample sizes we’re analyzing and dissecting in the lower minors barely qualify as meaningful. However, that doesn’t mean everything should be dismissed as noise. A handful of early-season performances have stood out, not just for the on-field results, but for the broader developmental changes they may be signaling.

This week’s Rotoworld Dynasty Stock Watch examines 12 prospects on the rise with varying trajectories and timelines to the big leagues that fantasy managers should be prioritizing in trade discussions and on waiver wires.

Baseball is back! MLB returns to NBC and Peacock in 2026! In addition to becoming the exclusive home of Sunday Night Baseball, NBC Sports will broadcast MLB Sunday Leadoff, “Opening Day” and Labor Day primetime games, the first round of the MLB Draft, the entire Wild Card round of the postseason, and much more.

RELATED: Check out this week’s MLB Power Rankings!

Franklin Arias, SS, Red Sox

There are hot starts, then there's the heater Arias is on as the fourth-youngest position player at the Double-A level this season behind only Jesús Made, Leo De Vries and Ethan Salas. The 20-year-old shortstop has been a known commodity in dynasty formats for a couple of years, but he’s opened the 2026 campaign as arguably the hottest hitters in the entire minors, batting .588 (10-for-17) with two doubles, two walks and just two strikeouts through six games for Double-A Portland.

He boasts some of the best bat-to-ball skills in the minors, evidenced by a minuscule 10.1 percent strikeout rate across 110 games over three levels last year, which was the fifth-lowest mark among all minor leaguers with at least 500 plate appearances. There’s still some physical projection remaining, as Arias figures to add strength as he matures, making it easy to envision a leap into the upper echelon of fantasy prospects given his already elite contact ability. It’s possible this is merely the starting point, with Arias positioning himself to be one of the top prospects in the entire fantasy landscape by the end of the year.

Joseph Dzierwa, SP, Orioles

Dzierwa recorded nine strikeouts over six shutout innings with an eye-popping 17 swinging strikes in his professional debut earlier this month, which he followed up by allowing two runs over seven innings last week. The early returns include a sparkling 1.38 ERA and a 12/1 K/BB ratio across 13 innings for High-A Frederick. The towering six-foot-eight left-hander was Baltimore’s second-round selection in last year’s MLB Draft and appears to be on a trajectory towards becoming one of the more intriguing pitching prospects in the fantasy landscape.

The 21-year-old has continued to add fastball velocity, touching 96.2 mph on his sinker during last month’s Spring Breakout game. He pairs it with an above-average changeup and a developing slider that remains a work in progress. The sinker/changeup combination alone gives him a chance to succeed at the highest level, provided he can throw strikes consistently. His dynasty stock should continue to rise as he racks up strikeouts in the lower minors, making this an ideal window to acquire Dzierwa before he potentially becomes untouchable as one of the game’s top pitching prospects.

Theo Gillen, OF, Rays

It’s hard to find a more intriguing early-season dynasty storyline than Gillen’s unexpected power surge. The 20-year-old former first-round pick from the 2024 MLB Draft recorded consecutive two-homer games over the weekend and is hitting .333 (9-for-27) with four homers and three steals in eight games for High-A Bowling Green. It’s important to not overreact to extremely small sample sizes, but Gillen is clearly making much more consistent hard contact this season after managing just five round-trippers in 324 plate appearances at Low-A Charleston last year when he missed time with calf and finger injuries.

What’s even more impressive is that Bowling Green grades out as one of the more pitcher-friendly venues in the entire Midwest League, according to Baseball America’s park factors. Gillen’s early-season metamorphosis from more of a hit tool and speed profile to more of a well-rounded offensive threat is a development worth monitoring in the coming weeks because it would make him an upper-echelon dynasty prospect in short order.

Luis Peña, 2B/SS, Brewers

Peña blossomed into an upper-echelon prospect from a fantasy standpoint last year when he batted .270/.335/.422 with nine homers and 44 steals between Low-A Carolina and High-A Wisconsin at just 18 years old during a highly impressive stateside debut. He’ll continue to understandably be overshadowed by Jesús Made, who looks like a future franchise cornerstone hitting .359 (14-for-39) as the youngest everyday player in Double-A this season, but he possesses a plethora of fantasy-relevant skills including an above-average hit tool and massive stolen base upside.

He’s off to a fast start back at High-A Wisconsin, hitting .500 (10-for-20) with a pair of extra-base hits and five steals through six games. There’s a chance he becomes an elite fantasy contributor down the road if he continues to fill out physically and grows into some additional over-the-fence pop.

Gage Wood, SP, Phillies

The biggest question facing Wood coming out of last year’s MLB Draft, when he was selected 26th overall following a standout collegiate career at Arkansas that included the third no-hitter in College World Series history, was whether he would ultimately stick as a starter.

The 22-year-old right-hander is beginning to answer those concerns, posting a 1.23 ERA with a 15/2 K/BB ratio across 7 1/3 innings in his professional debut at Low-A Clearwater. While it’s not uncommon for polished collegiate arms to dominate at the lower levels, Wood appears on track to reach the upper minors quickly thanks to an upper-90s fastball and a strong curveball. He carries more risk than some of his lower-minors pitching peers, but the strikeout potential is undeniable, and the fantasy upside is significant if he can put everything together and stay healthy long-term.

Jhonny Level, SS, Giants

Level has gotten off to a sizzling-hot start with multiple hits in five of six games and is batting an astronomical .519 (14-for-27) with two homers and three steals at Low-A San Jose this season. The 19-year-old switch-hitting shortstop was one of last year's biggest risers as he rocketed through a couple levels in San Francisco's system to finish at Low-A. He manages to hit for a ton of power considering his smaller frame and his hit tool is one of the strongest of any teenage prospect in the minors. He’s hit wherever the Giants have sent him over the last three seasons and his fantasy stock will reach stratospheric levels if he’s producing in the upper minors by the end of the year.

Anthony Eyanson, SP, Red Sox

Eyanson paired with Mariners top pitching prospect Kade Anderson to form a one-two punch for eventual national champion LSU last spring and has looked like a potential breakout arm through his first two starts at High-A Greenville in his professional debut, compiling a microscopic 1.23 ERA, 0.41 WHIP and 13/0 K/BB ratio across 7 1/3 innings. Those early performances are enough to put him firmly on dynasty radars, but the buzz began earlier this spring when he flashed increased velocity on the backfields.

The Boston Globe’s Alex Speier wrote for Baseball America earlier this month that Eyanson, a third-round pick in last year’s MLB Draft, touched triple digits for the first time in his career during Boston’s spring breakout game against the Orioles and is now routinely sitting in the upper-90s with his fastball. He fits the mold of a fast-moving pitching prospect and should be rostered in all dynasty formats.

Caleb Bonemer, SS, White Sox

Bonemer drew rave reviews during his professional debut last year when he hit .281/.400/.458 with 10 homers and 27 steals for Low-A Kannapolis before going deep twice in 11 games at High-A Winston-Salem to close out the year. The 20-year-old shortstop, who was Chicago’s second-round pick in the 2024 MLB Draft, has picked up right where he left off in the low minors, slashing .303/.385/.667 with two homers and seven RBI through nine contests at High-A this season. It’s early, but with all of the graduations at the top of dynasty prospect lists, Bonemer has a chance to be near the top when the dust settles in a couple weeks.

Kayson Cunningham, SS, Diamondbacks

Cunningham was widely regarded as the top pure hitter in last year’s MLB Draft when he was gobbled up by Arizona with the 18th overall selection, and he’s done nothing to dispel that notion, hitting .385 (10-for-26) with more walks (nine) than strikeouts (four) through eight games at Low-A Visalia this season. The 19-year-old’s advanced hit tool should make him an on-base machine and enable him to move quickly through the hitter-friendly environments in the Diamondbacks’ system.

He’s basically a complete zero in the power department at this early stage of his development, but it’s easy to forecast some growth there as he matures physically. He projects as a high-floor contact-oriented prospect with the upside to develop into a complete five-category fantasy contributor if he reaches his ceiling. His dynasty stock is going to skyrocket over the next few months if he keeps tearing the cover off the ball and reaches High-A by midseason.

Cam Caminiti, SP, Braves

Caminiti has been somewhat overlooked with Didier Fuentes and JR Ritchie making noise on the doorstep of the majors, but he has a chance to emerge as the most impactful arm in Atlanta’s system over the long term. The 19-year-old left-hander was selected 24th overall in the 2024 MLB Draft as one of the top prep arms in his class and has already shown an ability to consistently miss bats in the lower minors.

He’s still a long way from the big leagues, but his dynasty stock could soar over the next few months if he continues to deliver strong performances and reaches Double-A Mississippi before his 20th birthday in early August.

Marek Houston, SS, Twins

Houston, the 16th-overall selection in last year's MLB Draft, has gotten off to a nice start in the lower minors after a 15-homer effort during his final collegiate season at Wake Forrest. The fact that he’s adding some additional pop isn’t a surprise given his six-foot-three frame, but two homers in eight games is a noticeable uptick considering the Midwest League isn’t exactly a hitter’s paradise.

The 21-year-old is a phenomenal defensive shortstop, so any additional gains in the power department without sacrificing his athleticism will make him extremely interesting from a fantasy standpoint over the next few years. He's a name to watch in all dynasty formats.

Santiago Suarez, SP, Rays

Suarez has been a known quantity for dynasty managers in recent years, but a shoulder injury sidelined him for three months last season and likely pushed him off some radar screens. The 21-year-old right-hander has looked sharp through a pair of early-season starts at Double-A Montgomery, compiling a pristine 15/2 K/BB ratio across 11 innings.

The strong performances are even more notable considering he’s the fourth-youngest player in the entire Southern League this season. While he may not project as a prototypical front-of-the-rotation arm, Suarez features a deep arsenal built around a mid-90s fastball and solid secondary offerings. Perhaps most importantly, he’s shown the ability to command his entire repertoire and consistently fill the strike zone, which tends to be a key ingredient for sustained success at the highest level.

Bonus: Bryce Rainer, SS, Tigers

Rainer has been ice-cold, hitting .120 (3-for-25) through seven games this season at Low-A Lakeland, but he connected for a gargantuan 477-foot home run last Friday, showcasing the type of elite raw power that made him one of the fastest-rising prospects in the dynasty landscape before undergoing shoulder surgery last July. It’s going to take the 20-year-old power-hitting shortstop some time to knock off the rust, which is why this is the perfect time to target him in dynasty leagues. He could join Kevin McGonigle and Max Clark as core building blocks for Detroit at some point in the next few years.

Where to watch New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: Live stream, start time, TV channel, odds for Tuesday, April 14

The New York Mets (7-10) will try to stop a six-game losing streak when they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (12-4) on Tuesday. The Dodgers shut out the Mets 4-0 in the series’ opener on Monday. The Dodgers are scheduled to start Yoshinobu Yamamoto (ERA: 2.50) against the Mets’ Nolan McLean (ERA: 2.70).

  • Date: Tuesday, April 14

  • Time: 10:10 p.m. ET / 7:10 p.m. PT

  • Where: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

  • TV Channels: SportsNet LA, SNY

  • Live Stream:ESPN+, MLB.TV | Follow on Yahoo Sports

  • New York Mets: 7-10 (No. 5 in NL East)

  • Los Angeles Dodgers: 12-4 (No. 1 in NL West)

  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles Dodgers -190 (62.6%) / New York Mets +155 (37.4%)

  • Over/Under: 7.5

New York Mets: Nolan McLean (1-1, ERA: 2.70, K: 20, WHIP: 0.84)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2-1, ERA: 2.50, K: 14, WHIP: 0.89)

Weather: 65°F at first pitch

Ballpark: Capacity: 56,000 | Roof: Open | Surface: Grass

Yankees Birthday of the Day: David Justice

4 Jul 2000: David Justice #28 of the New York Yankees swings at the pitch during a game against the Baltimore Orioles at the Yankees Stadium in New York. The Orioles defeated the Yankees 7-6.Mandatory Credit: Jamie Squire /Allsport | Getty Images

The 2000 New York Yankees were not a team of destiny like in 1998, or the well-oiled machine that dropped but a single playoff game en route to a title in 1999. They were a squad that needed help. Jockeying for position with the Red Sox and Blue Jays in a crowded AL East, the Bombers sat only three games above .500 on June 28th when they executed a trade which would prove to be among the most impactful midseason deals in team history.

David Justice arrived in the Bronx and immediately became one of their most fearsome bats. After the Yankees limped into the playoffs, the man who had been a postseason hero for the Atlanta Braves added to his sparkling playoff resumé by leading the way against the Mariners in the ALCS. The Yankees took down the crosstown rival Mets in the World Series to win their third consecutive title, and Justice earned his second championship ring.

David Christopher Justice
Born: April 14, 1966 (Cincinnati, OH)
Yankees Tenure: 2000-01

Justice did not come up through the ranks in a traditional baseball powerhouse. His high school, while proficient in athletics, lacked a baseball team—and as such he had to catch on through the travel circuit. Justice attended Thomas More College in Kentucky on a basketball scholarship, but became to this day the only attendee of the school to be selected by an MLB team when the Braves took him in the fourth round of the 1985 draft. He made his MLB debut for Atlanta four seasons later.

It wouldn’t take long for the lefty slugger to hit his stride. Justice’s brief 1989 cup of coffee was followed by a breakout campaign in 1990 in which he slugged 28 home runs and posted a .908 OPS (143 OPS+) en route to the National League Rookie of the Year award, albeit for a last-place club. The next season though, the Braves would find themselves in the Fall Classic. Atlanta fell to the Minnesota Twins in the seven-game World Series, a memorable matchup of worst-to-first teams widely considered to be among the greatest ever played. They returned in 1992, but lost again to Dave Winfield and the Toronto Blue Jays.

One of the dynastic baseball forces of the 1990s finally broke through in the strike-shortened 1995 season. Justice, who had made headlines for a marriage to Halle Berry and most recently criticizing Braves fans during their playoff run, etched himself into history with a home run in Game 6 of the World Series against Cleveland. Thanks to a masterclass of pitching from Tom Glavine, that solo shot proved to be the only run in a championship-clinching victory for the Braves, bringing the city of Atlanta their first MLB title.

Justice’s final year with the Braves was marred by a shoulder injury in May that ended his season early, meaning that he missed the World Series loss to the Yankees that October.

A trade just ahead of the 1997 campaign sent Justice to Cleveland, the team he had defeated with that homer. He returned to the World Series that year (helping dispatch the ’97 Yanks along the way in the ALDS), but the Florida Marlins took them down in another legendary seven-game Fall Classic. Cleveland lost to the Yankees and Red Sox the next two years before the 2000 season at last brought him to the Bronx.

Now in his age-34 season, Justice was still producing at the dish, with 21 home runs at the time of the trade on June 28th. The Yankees dangled a pair of young pitchers in Jake Westbrook and Zach Day, as well as the inimitable Ricky Ledée—and with that, the Bombers had a new weapon in their arsenal. Justice hit his first Yankee home run on July 6 in a 13-9 win over the Orioles. After stumbling to a 10-15 record in June, the Yankees caught fire with Justice in the mix, winning 18 of 26 in July.

The Yankees eked out another AL East title despite their pitching taking a nosedive in the final weeks of the year. Justice finished out the campaign with a .305/.391/.584 slashline in pinstripes, launching 20 more homes—including a walk-off shot against Oakland on August 8th—to give him a career-best 41 on the year. The Bombers went on to battle the A’s in a tightly-contested five-game ALDS. Justice had a rather quiet series, but did homer in Game 5 as the Yanks advanced to take on the Mariners.

Justice was mostly held in check for the first two games of the ALCS, but contributed a pair of run-scoring hits in a 8-2 Game 3 victory at Safeco Field. The following night New York took a commanding 3-1 series lead over the M’s with a 5-0 shutout victory in which Justice clubbed a two-run homer in the eighth inning to put the contest to bed. Seattle took Game 5 to force the series back to the Bronx, where Justice provided the coup de grace in Game 6. With the Yankees trailing 4-3 in the seventh, Justice belted an Arthur Rhodes fastball off the face of the upper deck to bestow New York a lead they would not relinquish. Justice was named ALCS MVP as the Yankees prepared to host the Mets in the World Series.

Justice’s hot hitting did not continue into the Fall Classic—he went just 3-for-19 with no homers and three RBI—but by that point, the Yankees’ playoff steamroller was fully operational. Every game of the tilt was decided by two runs or fewer, but the Bombers held off their crosstown rivals to complete the three-peat and raise championship banner number 26.

After winning his second title in his fifth World Series, Justice regressed with the Yankees in 2001 and a series of groin injuries limited him to just 49 games from July onward. There were occasional highlights, like a walk-off homer against the Red Sox in April and a crowning blow in Game 5 of the ALDS comeback against the A’s. But for the most part, it seemed like the end was getting closer for the veteran as he fell to a .712 OPS that postseason, which featured a heartbreaking loss to the Diamondbacks.

Justice was dealt to the Mets at season’s end for Robin Ventura, marking the second time a champion had traded Justice to a team he had defeated in a World Series. However, Justice’s Met tenure lasted one week in December, as they then flipped him to Oakland where he finished his career as a veteran presence for the Moneyball A’s. (Justice was played by Stephen Bishop in the eventual 2011 movie.) He retired at the end of the season after Oakland bowed out to the Twins, who fell to the Angels in the next round.

Without Justice’s arrival in New York, it’s hard to imagine the Bombers would have returned to the postseason, let alone three-peated as world champions. His stupendous half-season is a reminder that the baseball calendar is long. Nothing is set in stone, and narratives can change quickly. Maybe the Yankees have a David Justice-style reinforcement coming in 2026—maybe they don’t. But even the possibility is part of what makes baseball so exciting.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here

Mets Minor League Players of the Week: Week Three

A.J. Ewing

Week: 5 G, 17 AB, .353/.522/.529, 6 H, 3 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 6 BB, 4 K, 2/3 SB (Double-A)

2026 Season: 7 G, 26 AB, .385/.529/.538, 10 H, 4 2B, 0 3B, 0 HR, 8 BB, 5 K, 4/5 SB, .476 BABIP (Double-A)

A.J. Ewing has picked up right where he left off last season, adding six more hits to his season ledger, three of which were doubles. Combine that with Binghamton’s first season of the year, where Ewing appeared in two games and logged 4 hits- one double- and he is currently hitting .385/.529/.538 on the young season. He currently has a seven-game hitting streak going, getting on base at least twice in six of those seven games thanks to either multiple hits or a combination of hits and walks.

Ewing has arguably been the Mets’ highest-rising hitting prospect over the past calendar year; whereas Carson Benge has been just as good, if not better, he came with a bit more draft pedigree than Ewing and more was expected of him. Ewing was not exactly a nobody coming into the 2025 season- Lukas had him ranked 30 on his portion of the Amazin’ Avenue 2024 Mets Top 25 Prospect List, and on the Amazin’ Avenue 2025 Mets Top 25 Prospect List, I had him ranked 23 on my portion of the, Ken had him ranked 27, and Thomas had him ranked 29- but only the truly prescient could have seen him developing into one of the top prospects in all of baseball.

As Carson Benge’s performance so far this season, and Jonah Tong’s last year, highlights, the major leagues are a very different beast from the minors, and truly only the best of the best can hang. As such, I think it is important that we pump the breaks on Ewing a little bit; it’s not that I don’t think he will eventually crack a major league roster, whether it be with the Mets or elsewhere, but there is still some work to be done and he is just 21-years-old. Hopefully Ewing is allowed to maturate and develop at his own pace and get his time in the sun when he is ready, not because the team needs a Hail Mary to stem the bleeding of a floundering team or want to potentially cash in on organizational bonuses from letting the kids play.

Christian Scott

Week: 1 G (1 GS), 5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 7 K (Triple-A)

2026 Season: 2 G (2 GS), 8.1 IP, 11 H, 7 R, 6 ER (6.48 ERA), 1 BB, 12 K, .429 BABIP (Double-A)

After missing all of 2025 due to undergo a combined Tommy John surgery and internal brace procedure, Christian Scott finally returned to the mound (albeit in Toledo, while pitching for Syracuse) on April 3rd and proceeded to put up a stinker, arguably the worst game he ever pitched since turning pro after being drafted out of the University of Florida back in 2021. Obviously, there were plenty of extenuating circumstances to not really be bummed out about his performance, from his lengthy absence to the weather, but the right-hander recovered nicely this past week, blanking the Buffalo Bison for five innings, scattering a pair of hits, walking one, and striking out seven.

Prior to his surgery, Scott relied on a four-pitch mix consisting of a four-seam fastball, a change-up-like splitter, slider, and sweeper. He used his fastball a little over 50% of the time, gyro slider and sweeping slider at roughly 20% apiece, and his splitter about 10%. In his two starts in 2026 so far, he has recorded almost identical ratios, throwing his four-seam fastball a bit over 50%, his two sliders at roughly 20%, and his splitter a bit over 10%.

Scott’s fastball has averaged 95.3 MPH so far this season, in line with the 94.2 MPH it averaged in his 47.1 MLB innings in 2024. It has shown a similar amount of movement, and still thrown from the slingy, deceptive low-three-quarters arm slot that Scott throws from, giving it a flat vertical approach angle.

His splitter is still sitting in the mid-80s and still has miniscule rotation, averaging 1,130 RPM so far this season. The pitch still has the sudden vertical drop and armside run that made it so effective in 2024.

His gyro slider is still sitting in the upper-80s and still has minimal spin for a slider, averaging 2,370 RPM so far this year, roughly the same as the 2,390 RPM it averaged in 2024. The 30 inches of vertical drop and 3 inches of horizontal movement are virtually identical to the 32 inches of vertical drop and 3 inches of horizontal movement is featured in 2024.

His sweeping slider is still sitting in the low-80s, averaging roughly 2,500 RPM. The pitch has featured a bit more vertical drop than it did in 2024, 36 inches to 33, and just as much sweep, with 12 inches of horizontal movement as compared to 13.

Tying his arsenal together, as it did back in 2024, Scott so far has showed excellent command of all of his pitches and pinpoint control of the strike zone, walking just one batter in 8.1 innings to 12 strikeouts.

It’s not often that I’m looking at the pitch metrics of players who have returned from injury, but I’m struck by just how similar most if all of them are given Scott’s layover in 2025 as he recovered from Tommy John surgery. The sample size here is extremely small to be sure, and there is still risk for regression and/or exposure, as Scott had all of 47.1 major league innings under his belt, but it is extremely encouraging given that the right-hander was emerging as a more-than-solid option in 2024.

Players of the Week 2025

Week One/Two (March 27-April 5): Hayden Senger/Cam Tilly

2026 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Game 16

Reminder: I’m on vacation all this week and will be a little briefer than usual this week. Thanks for your patience.

At least once in every season, a baseball fan’s faith will be tested. Losing nine of 16 games is not particularly a sky-is-falling stretch. The easiest example that hits close to home is the 2016 Cubs losing 15 of 20 in one stretch. That isn’t to say that an early season stretch like this can’t be damaging. It certainly can be.

Losing Cade Horton for the season is a trajectory-altering occurrence. The seasons of Jameson Taillon, Shōta Imanaga, Javier Assad, Colin Rea, Justin Steele and Ben Brown now have all taken on added significance. Imanaga and Rea look to be on the right track. Will they stay there? How many of the others will get on track? That group has to somehow patch together enough innings to pair with a very good Cubs defense to get them on track as a team. This organization should have the financial and prospect capital to grab an impact player or two this summer. But, the guys in the clubhouse have to position them into the race if that’s going to happen.

Monday night, Javier Assad was just not the pitcher we saw in his season debut a week ago. This looked more like the numbers he put up in two starts for Iowa. Frustratingly, had the Cubs cut bait on him earlier, maybe the game wasn’t out of reach. If the game had sequenced differently, no doubt Philadelphia would have approached their side of the equation differently. But, this one got a heck of a lot closer at the end.

It isn’t often that you lose by six and can say also that the game wasn’t as close as the final score.

Three Positives:

  • Dansby Swanson had a homer, drew a walk, scored twice and drove in two.
  • Moises Ballesteros had two hits in two at bats, one a double. He scored one and drove one in.
  • Miguel Amaya had a pair of hits. He was also hit by pitch and had one run scored.

Game 16, April 13: Phillies 13, Cubs 7 (7-9)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero: Carson Kelly (.087). 1-2, BB, R
  • Hero: Alex Bregman (.079). 1-4, BB
  • Sidekick: Dansby Swanson (.057). 1-3, HR, BB, 2 RBI, 2 R

THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat: Javier Assad (-.362). 4.1 IP , 26 BF, 11 H, 2 BB, 9 ER, 3 K (L 1-1)
  • Goat: Ian Happ (-.103). 2-5, 2B, R, DP
  • Kid: Pete Crow-Armstrong (-.097). 1-5, RBI, R

WPA Play of the Game: Dansby Swanson’s two-run homer in the fourth cut it to 4-2. (.117)

*Phillies Play of the Game: In the top of the fifth, Ian Happ batted with runners on first and second and one out, the Cubs down two. He grounded into an inning ending double play. (.113)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Up Next: Game two of the series Tuesday night. Colin Rea (1-0, 3.18, 11.1 IP) should get the bulk of the innings, following Riley Martin (0-0, 0.00, 3.1 IP) as an opener. Aaron Nola (1-1, 3.63, 17.1 IP) gets the start for the Phillies.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today: Best HR Prop Bets, Picks, Parlay & Odds for Tuesday, April 14

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The dingers were finally flying yesterday, and I hit a monster +1040 homer to help my crawl out of the early-season basement.

The weather is turning, and the balls are flying. It's time to hit the MLB player props and back the bats on Dinger Tuesday.

I'm leaning on some familiar names today, but at prices I like in these settings and matchups.

Very few people are hitting the ball on the screws with a harder swing than Oneil Cruz, Pete Alonso has found his power and is the bat to back in Baltimore today, and Hunter Goodman and the Rockies could be trotting around the bags tonight vs. Houston's lousy pitching.

These are my favorite home run props for Tuesday, April 14.

  • UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.

Best MLB home run props today

Player to hit a HROdds
Pirates Oneil Cruz +330
Orioles Pete Alonso+390
Rockies Hunter Goodman+410
💲Today's HR parlay+10395

Oneil Cruz (+330)

When I go square, I want all the checkmarks, and I’m getting them in this Pittsburgh Pirates spot.

Oneil Cruz is a Top-5 hitter in baseball in swing speed and leads all batters in Blast Contact%, a stat that combines fast swings with barrels. Swing hard and square it up — simple.

Cruz gets a heavenly matchup vs. Miles Mikolas, who might be looking for a new job soon. Mikolas has been getting lit up, allowing 19 runs in just over 12 innings with five home runs surrendered.

He’s unlikely to go deep, and Pittsburgh should also get cracks at a taxed Nationals bullpen after hanging 16 runs on them last night. There might be four arms unavailable today from that Washington pen.

Elite form, double-digit winds blowing out, a great matchup, and a depleted bullpen all point to upside. I’m willing to go a bit shorter here at +330 and would still play it down to +300.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: SportsNet Pittsburgh, Nationals.TV

Pete Alonso (+390)

There were seven homers hit at Camden Yards yesterday, with one coming off the bat of Pete Alonso, who is +EV for a dinger today at +390 with a fair price around +340, per THE BAT.

It’s another great setting with double-digit winds blowing out and Merrill Kelly making his first start of the season before handing it over to a bullpen that got tagged for seven runs over just nine outs yesterday.

Alonso is the bat to target in this lineup, boasting the best Blast Contact% numbers in the clubhouse — roughly double that of Gunnar Henderson.

The final piece is familiarity. Alonso has seen Kelly 19 times, which leans in the hitter’s favor, and the Polar Bear has gone deep three times in those matchups.

  • Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MASN, Dbacks.TV

Hunter Goodman (+410)

The Colorado Rockies are checking some home run boxes in tonight’s matchup with the Houston Astros. Houston is dealing with injuries to its rotation, which brings in Triple-A lefty Colton Gordon.

That also opens the door to a vulnerable bullpen, as the Astros are one of just two teams with a HR/9 north of 2.00.

Hunter Goodman is the target in this solid indoor matchup. He’s one of the few hitters with familiarity against Gordon and has already taken him deep in just two plate appearances. He also hits lefties much better.

Goodman brings legit power metrics, with one of the fastest swings in baseball at 79 mph, ranking 19th this season. The fair price sits in the +340 to +350 range, giving this +410 number clear value.

  • Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rockies.TV, SCHN
Jinglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • HR picks: 3-24, -1.1 units

Today’s HR parlay

Pirates Oneil CruzBet Now
+10395
Orioles Pete Alonso
Rockies Hunter Goodman

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Elephant Rumblings: Time To Start A New Winning Streak

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - APRIL 08: Max Muncy #3 of the Athletics gets set against the New York Yankees during the game at Yankee Stadium on April 08, 2026 in New York City. (Photo by Caean Couto/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Welcome to Tuesday everyone!

Yesterday saw the Athletics’ five-game winning streak come to an end in their first game back home in a week. They didn’t look all that ready for the Texas Rangers last night as Luis Severino’s home struggles continued again. Last night’s game was his first start back in Sacramento since last year, when he pitched to a 6.01 ERA in front of the home crowd across 16 starts. The hope was that last year was a severe anomaly but it seems that Sevy genuinely does not like pitching in a minor league ballpark. Everyone’s on the same playing field but the veteran right-hander is going from pitching in New York, with two brand-new stadiums, to a Triple-A field. That would make any of us frustrated and it seems like that trend might continue in 2026.

What should the A’s do? Do they really have any other options other than to continue trotting him out there and hoping for the best? The team can’t seriously consider skipping home starts for the expensive right-hander, but that is starting to feel like the only option at this point. Obviously can’t hide him from Sutter Health Park all season long but it doesn’t feel out of the question to maybe skip a couple of his home starts. For reference he was fantastic on the road last season with a 3.02 ERA in 14 starts last year. That’s the pitcher the A’s were hoping they were getting when they shelled out that record-breaking contract.

Anyway, it’s now it’s time for the guys to brush themselves off and get back in the win column tonight. The team is still within striking distance of first place, just one game behind the Rangers. If the team can pull out the W this evening that would put us back into a tie for first place in the AL West, something the team hasn’t been able to claim this late in a season in a long, long time. The Rangers currently sit atop the standings so it’s a perfect opportunity to knock our rivals down, retake a tie for the division lead, and start a brand new winning streak. It’ll be left-hander Jeffrey Springs on the bump for the home team tonight while the Rangers will counter with their own lefty in MacKenzie Gore.

It makes sense that the A’s were a bit tired. The MLB schedule makers didn’t do the A’s any favors in the early going, giving us 12 road games out of 15 to start the season. The A’s will like those extra home games they’ll have saved up later in the season but these early couple of weeks couldn’t have been much fun for the guys, who have to live out of suitcases when heading to other cities. And the teams they have been visiting aren’t slouches. They’ve done well to stay above water during these early couple weeks of the long season.

The loss that snapped our winning streak wasn’t the only bad news that came out of yesterday’s contest. Third baseman Max Muncy was hit on his hand by a pitch in the bottom of the fifth inning, and soon after departed:

That immediately put A’s fans on edge since the A’s don’t have much depth at the hot corner behind the 23-year-old. The former 1st-round pick is quietly off to a fine start this season, slashing .317/.349/.533 with two home runs and five RBI’s. That’s been a major boost for the offense in these early games, though he is sporting a concerning 22/2 K/BB ratio that leads cause for concern of a drop off down the line.

It seems that the club dodged a bullet however as Muncy’s injury is only being called a hand contusion. He’s likely going to be out of the lineup tonight in favor of Darell Hernaiz, but the hope is that Muncy only misses a game or two. The club should be thankful that Muncy is only dealing with a contusion and not a full-on fracture. It’s been fun getting to watch Muncy finding success in the early going but they’ll have to hit the pause button until they’re sure he’s healthy and ready to go.

That’s all we got this morning guys. Have a good one A’s fans.

A’s Coverage:

MLB News and Interest:

Best of X:

Jesus:

Can Gelof be a legitimate option up the middle on the grass?

Every man knows the pain. Owch:

Cubs at Phillies Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for April 14

The Chicago Cubs (7-9) travel to Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (8-8) in the second matchup of a three-game series. The Phillies won yesterday, 13-7.

In yesterday's win, the Phillies offense was cooking led by Kyle Schwarber's two home runs and three RBI. The 13 runs scored was the most by Philadelphia this season and more than they scored combined over the past five games.

Chicago is now 1-3 over the last four games and surrendered 13 runs in the past two outings. The Cubs are now 3-4 on the road this season and own a 4.73 ERA as a team (21st), while the offense has a .226 batting average (17th) away from Wrigley Field.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Cubs at Phillies

  • Date: Tuesday, April 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM EST
  • Site: Citizens Bank Park 
  • City: Philadelphia, PA
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV / TBS

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Cubs at the Phillies

The latest odds as of Tuesday:

  • Moneyline: Chicago Cubs (+119), Philadelphia Phillies (-143)
  • Spread: Cubs +1.5 (-168), Phillies -1.5 (+139)
  • Total: 9.5

Probable starting pitchers for Cubs at Phillies

  • Monday’s pitching matchup (April 13): Riley Martin vs. Aaron Nola
  • Cubs: Riley Martin  

2026 stats: 3.1 IP, 0-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.60 WHIP, 3 Ks, 0 BB

  • Phillies: Aaron Nola 

2026 Stats: 17.1 IP, 1-1, 3.63 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 19 Ks, 4 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not!

  • The Phillies’ Bryce Harper is hitting .276 with 16 hits and 30 total bases over 58 at-bats
  • The Phillies’ Alec Bohm is hitting .155 with nine hits and 11 strikeouts over 58 at-bats
  • The Cubs’ Nico Hoerner is hitting .300 with 18 hits and 28 total bases over 60 at-bats
  • The Cubs’ Michael Busch is hitting .135 with seven hits, 12 strikeouts, and seven walks over 52 at-bats

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Cubs at Phillies

  • The Cubs are 5-11 ATS this season
  • The Phillies are an MLB-worst 4-12 ATS this season
  • The Cubs are 9-6-1 to the Over this season
  • The Phillies are 8-7-1 to the Over this season

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Cubs and the Phillies

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday's game between the Cubs and the Phillies.

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Cubs on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Cubs at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Over on the Game Total of 9.5

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The Washington Nationals need Cade Cavalli to step up

PITTSBURGH, PA - APRIL 13: Cade Cavalli #24 of the Washington Nationals is relieved after giving up four runs on three hits in the second inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on April 13, 2026 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin K. Aller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

This was supposed to be the year for Cade Cavalli, but so far things are off to a rocky start. After a dominant Spring Training, Cavalli was rewarded with an Opening Day start. However, things have not gone according to plan since then, with strike-throwing becoming a serious issue for the 27 year old.

The situation reached a boiling point last night, when Cavalli was unable to get out of the second inning against the Pirates. He looked sharp in the first, but he totally lost the zone in the second. Cavalli was all over the place, walking three batters in the inning, including walking in a run. There were too many uncompetitive misses, which you can see by looking at his pitch chart.

This is a problem for the Nats because Cavalli is the one guy in the rotation with premium stuff. As a starting pitcher though, you have to locate even if you do have a nasty arsenal. Right now, Cavalli is walking 6.89 batters per 9 innings, which is just untenable.  

Last season, Cavalli’s command within the strike zone left something to be desired, but his pure control was solid. He only walked 6.8% of batters, which is part of what made me bullish entering the season. It seemed like that control was heading in the right direction, and with further refinement, he had the ceiling of a number two starter.

My optimism only grew during Spring Training as well. Cavalli’s command and stuff looked sharper than ever. He only walked two batters in 14 spring innings. Cavalli was also deepening his pitch mix by adding a sweeper and was getting rave reviews from his coaches. It really seemed like we had a breakout candidate on our hands and that Cavalli would soften the blow of the MacKenzie Gore trade.

So far, that has not happened, which is a bit worrisome. At 27 years old, Cavalli needed this to be the year where he broke out. He was finally healthy for a full offseason and we know what his stuff looks like at his best. Last season was supposed to be the sneak peak, while this year was the true coming out party.

The Nationals were clearly relying on Cavalli to do this as well. There is a reason he got the Opening Day nod and had been pumped up publicly. This starting rotation was a question mark entering the season, but Cavalli was meant to be the guy to answer a lot of those questions.

With a mid to upper 90’s heater, a wipeout curveball, a new sweeper, and an underrated changeup, Cavalli has all the weaponry. However, he has been less than the sum of his parts so far in his career. He still does not really know how to sequence his pitches or get his way out of jams. That is part of the process of growing up as a pitcher, and Cavalli needs to grow up quickly.

His stuff will give him plenty of chances, but at a certain point, you have to wonder about Cavalli’s future as a starting pitcher. To be a starter in the big leagues, you need polish and command. Cavalli has not shown those attributes in his career so far. A move to the bullpen should not be on the table this season, but if these struggles continue, it should be a topic to consider in the future.

Cavalli has the stuff, but he does not have the feel. Last night, he just was not throwing strikes, but even when he is in the zone things can be problematic. His lack of precision is a big reason why Cavalli gets way fewer strikeouts than he should with his stuff. Even last year, he only struck out 18.3% of hitters. Maybe the best path for him long term is to just let his fastball and curve rip in the bullpen where command does not matter as much.

I really hope it does not come to that though, and I still think he has a chance to turn it around. His stuff is just too good to quit. However, at a certain point, the results need to come for the right hander. 

Even last night, he will tease you with what he can be. In that first inning, I thought his stuff was the sharpest it has been all season. His fastball consistently touched 98 MPH and his curveball had crazy bite. That sinker he struck out Nick Yorke with was just such a ridiculous pitch, and why he is so tantalizing. If only he could put his fastball in that spot on a consistent basis.

Then you see the second inning, and you begin to wonder about this guy. He walked the speedy Konnor Griffin on four pitches, and then clearly got in his own head. Cavalli became more focused on Griffin than the batter at the plate. Once he fell behind hitters, he either served up something down the middle that they handled, or he just walked them.

Seeing a pitcher of Cavalli’s talent level just drowning out there was frustrating to watch. The Nats are relying on Cavalli to be good. If he is not good, this staff is in real trouble. Foster Griffin and Zack Littell can be dependable arms, but they do not have the stuff to be high end starters. They can be solid, but you want your best pitchers to be better than solid.

However, we are at the point where being a league average arm makes you one of the Nats better pitchers. Spring Training truly seems to be a mirage that was driven by the pitcher friendly environment in West Palm Beach. Both the Nats and Astros, who they share a stadium with,  pitched well, but struggled with the bats this spring. Once the season started, the opposite has been the case for both teams.

We are really seeing how far away this Nats pitching staff is from being competent. They just lack the talent to be successful. Things get even worse when a talented arm like Cavalli is struggling to figure it out. The Nats need Cavalli to figure it out, or their pitching staff will be even worse than the awful unit they put out last season.

Cade Cavalli has the stuff, but we can’t wait forever to see if that light will turn on. He turns 28 later this year, so he can’t be a developmental player much longer. We need to see the development take place, and we need to see it soon.

Dodgers notes: Kyle Tucker, Roki Sasaki, Ontario prospects

LOS ANGELES, CA - APRIL 13: Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder Kyle Tucker (23) and New York Mets second baseman Marcus Semien (10) look on during the MLB game between the New York Mets and the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 13, 2026 at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA. (Photo by Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Kyle Tucker is off to a slow start in his first season with the Dodgers, hitting just .237/.352/.305 in the early going after walking twice in four plate appearances on Monday.

Fabian Ardaya at The Athletic earlier Monday talked to Tucker and hitting coach Aaron Bates about the outfielder’s early struggles:

“I think he’s probably trying a little bit hard,” hitting coach Aaron Bates told The Athletic. “He’s just getting settled in a little bit. Everyone’s always trying hard, so I don’t want to say it that way, but it’s more so (that he’s) trying to force it, maybe force hits.”


Roki Sasaki hasn’t been effective in his three starts so far this season, including Sunday’s loss, but the Dodgers plan to keep starting him in the major league rotation for the time being.

Dylan Hernández at the California Post surmised that Sasaki’s leash might only extend until Blake Snell can return from the injured list, which is expected at some point in late May.

Maddie Lee at the Los Angeles Times wrote about Sunday’s start, with Sasaki still trying to find a way to pitch deeper into games.


With the 79th anniversary of Jackie Robinson’s Dodgers debut coming Wednesday, Anthony Castrovince at MLB.com wrote about Robinson’s activism.


Shortstop Emil Morales, who was named to several top-100 prospect lists before the season, is hitting .367/.444/.500 in the early going for Class-A Ontario, which earned high praise at Baseball Prospectus.

He’s starting the year back in California, likely to spare him the brutal Michigan spring, but Morales will soon be making his debut at Great Lakes, and I look forward to seeing him compete against the advanced pitching that the Midwest League will offer,“ Nathan Graham wrote of the 19-year-old. ”The Dodgers are loaded with high-upside positional prospects, but with Morales a potential power-hitting shortstop, he might have the highest ceiling of them all.

Brendan Tunink is hitting .257/.406/.786 with three home runs and three doubles in seven games for Ontario, which landed the 20-year-old outfielder on MLB Pipeline’s prospect team of the week.

Braves option Rolddy Muñoz and call up Hayden Harris

NORTH PORT, FL - MARCH 09: Atlanta Braves pitcher Hayden Harris (79) throws a pitch against the Minnesota Twins on March 9, 2026, at CoolToday Park at North Port, Florida. (Photo by Brian Spurlock/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Atlanta Braves are officially doing the bullpen shuffle. It’s not nearly as glamorous as the Super Bowl Shuffle (kids, YouTube is free) but it’s the type of thing that has to happen in order to keep a season going sometimes. This time, the focus is on two pitchers: Rolddy Muñoz is going down and now Hayden Harris is coming up.

Muñoz’s return to the big leagues went about as well as his initial stint did, which is to say that it didn’t exactly go well. Muñoz got two innings under his belt and struck out three batters but gave up three runs in the process — his very first pitch got absolutely crushed right after the Braves had cut their deficit to two runs, which was the ultimate sign that the pitching staff probably didn’t have it on this particular night.

Now, it’ll be Hayden Harris’ turn to see if he can improve upon his initial stint in the big leagues. Harris made three appearances last season and while his ERA numbers looked perfectly fine during that stint, he had a wild xERA of 11.21 and a FIP of 5.39. He’ll be coming up with an ERA of 4.76 and a FIP of 4.63 through 5.2 innings of work at the Triple-A level so far. He had an instance where he walked four batters against the Round Rock Express back on April 1 and three of those runners scored. As long as he can stay out of trouble on the basepaths then things’ll be fine. Hopefully Harris will be able to make the best out of this opportunity going forward.

We also got word that Sean Murphy’s rehab assignment is officially official. He’s going to Rome, y’all. Grab your tickets if you’re up there.

Red Sox News & Links: Garrett Crochet says he’s healthy after disastrous start

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - APRIL 13: Garrett Crochet #35 of the Boston Red Sox walks back to the dugout prior to the game between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Monday, April 13, 2026 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Andrew Ritter/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

How many pitches into the game last night did you start worrying about Garrett Crochet’s health? Such is life as a baseball fan in the 21st century. But, for now at least, Crochet says there’s nothing to worry about. He and the Sox brass all confirmed he felt healthy last night, and Crochet downplayed the dip in velocity. “In the second inning, I felt like I was throwing the ball better and the results were worse. I don’t really have one thing to point to. I just feel like they had a good approach. It was all pitch types that I felt like they were absolutely smothering — and laying off the sweeper. (Christopher Smith, MassLive)

Unfortunately, the worst start of Crochet’s career came at a bad time for the Red Sox. Not only had they won two series in a row, but the entire rotation was pretty solid in the third time through. Sox starters posted a 1.52 ERA over 29 2/3 innings and were finally looking like the elite rotation we thought we were getting heading into the season. (Thomas Harrigan, MLB.com)

Elite is probably too strong a word to use for Masataka Yoshida’s start, but he has been very good, particularly at controlling the strike zone, as he’s started the season with an .868 OPS. But due to the Red Sox poor roster construction, the Sox are struggling to find a spot for him in the lineup. “In these situations, you have to be realistic. He wants to play,” Alex Cora said. “He’s in a good spot, physically, mentally obviously, communication. We have to talk. And everybody knew coming into the situation that somebody was going to have to sit.” (Tim Healey, Boston Globe)

The awkward roster and poor start has some writers wondering whether the Red Sox goal in the offseason was to merely build a team that was a little better than last year, rather than a team that can chase a championship. (Peter Abraham, Boston Globe)

But no one can complain much about the offseason addition of Willson Contreras. “He brings an intensity and some leadership, too,” Trevor Story said. “We love that, and that’s what we need. We do have a younger group. He has done a great job of blending and making it all work. He has been a great addition and he’s playing well.” (Chris Cotillo, MassLive)

Nevertheless, the Sox slow start already has some people thinking about a possible in-season trade for Isaac Parades, Brady House, or Royce Lewis to bolster the lineup. (Jim Bowden, The Athletic)

Mariners News: George Kirby, Josh Naylor, and Bryce Miller

SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - APRIL 13: George Kirby #68 of the Seattle Mariners pitches during the first inning against the Houston Astros at T-Mobile Park on April 13, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Maddy Grassy/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Happy Tuesday! The Mariners secured an emphatic four-game sweep of the Houston Astros behind another vintage George Kirby outing of 7 2/3 innings with two runs allowed and six strikeouts. Five of the Mariners’ six runs in their 6-2 win were brought home by Josh Naylor, who hit two home runs in back-to-back at-bats to break out of his hitting slump. Bryan Woo will take the mound in San Diego tonight against the Padres at 6:40 PM.

If you’re looking for a place to watch the last game of the Padres series on April 16th, join us at The Rebel in Wallingford for our first Lookout Landing watch party of the year! Don’t miss out on food and drink specials, exciting raffle prizes, and more.

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

Becca’s picks…

Arizona Diamondbacks News 4/14: Return of Merrill the Mainstay

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - JULY 08: Merrill Kelly #29 of the Arizona Diamondbacks pitches in the first inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on July 08, 2025 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Joe Scarnici/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Game Recaps

Marte, Arenado drill 2 HRs each at cozy Camden in opener against Orioles by Ian Nicholas Quillen [DBacks.com]

The Diamondbacks took the field at Oriole Park at Camden Yards for only the 13th time in club history on Monday night. Ketel Marte and Nolan Arenadoprobably wish they’d visit a lot more often.

Marte and Arenado each homered twice against the Orioles in the opener of the third and final series of Arizona’s nine-game East Coast swing, one that eventually ended in a 9-7 loss after the D-backs’ bullpen yielded a big lead.

The pair has now connected on 12 combined Camden Yards home runs, in only 27 career games between them.

Diamondbacks blow big lead in Baltimore, move one starter to bullpen by José M. Romero and Nick Piecoro [AZ Central]

In Monday’s game, the Diamondbacks built a six-run lead, only to lose it on an Orioles rally capped by one mighty swing from slugger Pete Alonso.

Another home run, a grand slam, was the big blow in the Orioles’ comeback, as Baltimore scored five runs in the sixth inning, two in the seventh and another in the eighth against the Diamondbacks’ bullpen to turn a 7-1 deficit into a frustrating Diamondbacks loss.

“We’ve got to be better, that’s really what it comes down to,” Lovullo said.

Diamondbacks News

Ketel Marte, the Diamondbacks lead-off home run leader, hits Baltimore’s famous Eutaw Street by Alex Weiner [Arizona Sports]

Ketel Marte will be etched into Oriole Park at Camden Yards lore by smashing a home run onto Baltimore’s famed Eutaw Street during the Diamondbacks’ game against the Orioles on Monday.

Marte crushed the first pitch of the game 443 feet to right field off Baltimore right-hander Dean Kremer, clearing the seats in right field for his 15th lead-off home run.

D-backs Make Tough Rotation Decision As Merrill Kelly Returns by Alex D’Agostino [SI]

The decision was a tough one, but the D-backs appear to have made the right one, barring ugly results. Pfaadt had been struggling with single-instance blowup innings in the middle of his start, furthering the trend of struggles as he faced opposing orders the second and third times through.

Soroka had been the more obvious candidate to leave for the bullpen when Kelly was activated, but he allowed just one run in his first 10 innings. He was hit for four runs in the first inning of his third start, but settled in to throw 5.2 scoreless frames with 10 punchouts.

Former Diamondback Blaze Alexander opens up on facing former club by Wendy Lopez [Burn City Sports]

Blaze Alexander, who spent parts of his development within the Diamondbacks system and at the major league level before his trade to Baltimore in the offseason, acknowledged the emotional weight of competing against teammates and coaches. The former D-Backs infielder expects a mix of familiarity and competitiveness facing those he once shared a locker room with.

“Those are my best friends,” he said pregame, according to Arizona Central Sports’ José M. Romero. “I came up with a lot of those guys, and even the coaching staff… It’s my guys. I’m always going to root for them except for today, but I’m a fan of all of them.”

Around the League

6 MVP awards, 4 HRs: Trout, Judge do battle in epic dinger duel by Rhett Bollinger [MLB]

The battle it turned out to be was a bit more fun for Yankees fans than Angels fans, as seven-time All-Star Aaron Judge and 11-time All-Star Mike Trout both homered twice but it was New York that came out with a thrilling 11-10 walk-off win on a wild pitch. Trent Grisham also went deep twice, including hitting a game-tying two-run blast in the ninth inning off closer Jordan Romano.

It was a wild one, as it was just the second time in MLB history where two three-time MVPs each hit multiple home runs in the same game. The first was way back on June 21, 1956, when Hall of Famers Stan Musial and Roy Campanella each hit two homers.

Orioles manager Craig Albernaz OK after line drive to face [ESPN]

Orioles manager Craig Albernaz was struck in the face by a line drive, then returned after receiving treatment to embrace the guy who sent the baseball whistling into the dugout.

That’s because Orioles second baseman Jeremiah Jackson did more than just injure his manager. He also hit a grand slam that helped Baltimore erase a six-run deficit in a 9-7 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday night.

Turns out, Albernaz wasn’t seriously hurt by the liner that struck him in the left cheek. But he was immediately taken into the tunnel and treated by the team’s medical staff.

“He’s doing good. Just as a precaution, he’s going to get it scanned,” said bench coach Donnie Ecker, who pinch hit for Albernaz at the postgame news conference.

Mason Miller Is Unbelievable by Ben Clemens [FanGraphs]

LMy puny mortal brain is having trouble making sense of the numbers coming out of San Diego right now. It’s an uncanny valley thing. Mason Miller’s statistics just don’t quite seem like they’re numbers that you can put up in the majors. Oh, they’re all in the right columns. They’re not impossible or anything. It’s just that no one else has numbers that look quite like this, and even more so than that, if you think about what they all mean together, it doesn’t seem like the performance they describe can possibly be real.

Let’s start with the most striking statistic: 19 strikeouts in 24 batters faced. That 79.2% strikeout rate is obviously technically feasible, but I keep saying it in my head and it keeps not making sense. I look at strikeout rates a lot, particularly early in the season. But even for very good pitchers, they tend to top out around 40%, maybe 50% if they’re performing especially well. I can fit those numbers into my head. That means that about half the batters they face are going to strike out – easy enough. Face four batters in an inning? Two punchouts.

Poll: Which Team Has Been Most Impacted By Injuries This Year byNick Deeds [MLB Trade Rumors]

Every year, teams that are widely expected to succeed at the outset of the season stumble due to injury woes. Teams that look strong on paper can often perform much less impressively if even one or two key players are removed from the mix, and even the very best teams can look vulnerable with a long enough string of tough-luck injuries. 2026 has been no exception to this so far, with several teams facing substantially tougher roads in the months ahead thanks to an early injury or three putting them on the back foot. Which team has it worst when it comes to the injury bug?

{Ed. Note: The options in the poll are the Braves, Orioles, Cubs, Astros, Blue Jays, Mets, Yankees, Dodgers, Brewers, Reds}

This Week in the Minors: Kendry Chourio has a fantastic start

SURPRISE, AZ - MARCH 20: Kendry Chourio #33 of the Kansas City Royals pitches during the game between the Kansas City Royals and the Texas Rangers at Surprise Stadium on Friday, March 20, 2026 in Surprise, Arizona. (Photo by Rob Leiter/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

This Week in the Minors is our weekly look at notable performances from all over the system, from big-name prospects and less-heralded guys alike. The mission is to answer this simple question: “Who had a good week?”

Triple-A Omaha Storm Chasers (7-7, 3.5 games back)

The Storm Chasers took 3 of 5 from the Iowa Cubs, with the Sunday finale being rained out. In the first game of the series, Ryan Bergert went 2.1 innings, giving up just a solo homer before exiting the game with an injury. He was placed on the injured list, with right elbow discomfort, the Royals #10 prospect, Ben Kudrna is on the AAA IL with the same injury. Right-handed pitcher Ben Sears got called up from AA to replace Bergert.

John Rave and Kameron Misner each had a good week, both mashing a couple of homers. Eric Cerantola, who was the spotlight in last week’s report, was great again. He threw two innings, in game one of a Friday doubleheader, striking out five batters. Cerantola is on the 40-man roster, and with some guys in the Royals bullpen struggling currently, looking at you Alex Lange and John Schreiber, he could get the call to help out.

Stephen Kolek was supposed to make his first rehab start on Sunday, so that was unfortunately wiped away due to the rain out. I assume that he’ll now start on Tuesday against the Indianapolis Indians at Werner Park. The Storm Chasers play them Tuesday through Sunday in Omaha.

Northwest Arkansas Naturals (6-3, 1 game back)

The Naturals took 4 of 6 from the Amarillo Sod Poodles this past week. Drew Beam started the first game of the series, after getting promoted from Quad Cities, where I mentioned he was someone to keep an eye on. He went 5 innings, allowing 4 hits, 1 run, and walking 1 while striking out 2. He also started the last game of the series, and the Sod Poodles saw him better this time around. Beam only went 3.1 innings, allowing 3 hits, 4 runs, walking 3 and striking out 2. He allowed 3 homers in the game as well.

Henry Williams went 5.2 innings, allowing 7 hits, 1 run and striking out 4 in a Naturals 4-1 victory. At the plate, outfielder Carson Roccaforte had a good series. The 24-year-old was 8-for-22 with three doubles, three homers, while walking six times and striking out eight times.

Dustin Dickerson hit a walk off single as well. The Naturals hit the road and will take on the Corpus Christi Hooks this week. The series runs Tuesday through Sunday.

Quad Cities River Bandits (2-4, 2 games back)

After having their whole opening weekend rained out, the River Bandits lost 4 of 6 at home to the Wisconsin Timber Rattlers. 19-year-old lefty David Shields struggled in both his starts. The Royals second-round pick in 2024 gave up 10 hits and 6 runs in the 6 innings he pitched. He did strike out seven batters though. In general, it was a tough series for the pitching staff overall.

At the plate, catcher Blake Mitchell was 4-for-19 with a pair of homers. Other fellow catcher, Ramon Ramirez went 5-for-19 with a homer. Ramirez did get the walk-off single to win the final game of the series as well. But overall, it was a tough series at the plate as well for the River Bandit hitters.

Quad Cities hits the road for a Tuesday-Sunday sereis against the Cedar Rapids Kernels.

Columbia Fireflies (5-4, 2 games back)

The Columbia Fireflies took 4 of 6 from the Myrtle Beach Pelicans at home this past week. 18-year-old Kendry Chourio has been a hot prospect name, in his start this week, he went 4.2 perfect innings, striking out six batters. A game the Fireflies threw a combined one-hitter, winning 1-0. Josh Hammond went 4-for-4 in Friday’s contest, with two doubles, a triple and a home run.

Outfielder Roni Cabrera also smashed a grand slam during the series. Sean Gamble was 3-19 in the series against the Pelicans. The Royals first overall pick last draft is off to a rough start in A ball.

The Fireflies are back in action, traveling to take on the Charleston RiverDogs, Tuesday through Sunday.