Thursday Rockpile: What is fueling the Rockies offensive improvements?

DENVER, CO - AUGUST 05: TJ Rumfield #7 of the Colorado Rockies bats during the game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Casey Paul/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

It’s not controversial to say that the past few seasons of Colorado Rockies baseball have not featured a good offense. A team doesn’t lose more than 100 games based purely on an inability to pitch. It has also failed to score runs.

Watching the 2026 team, however, the offense has seemed different.

At this point in mid-August, the sample size is large enough to make meaningful comparisons between seasons and determine if that anecdotal understanding is backed up by the data.

To start, the obvious number to consider is runs scored. At the very fundamental level, the only thing that really matters for the offense is if it scored runs. Everything beyond this is just a building block describing how a team is trying to score runs.

Earlier this season, I wrote about the gap between Rockies run scoring at home vs. on the road and how it was smaller than it had ever been in franchise history. What I failed to mention in that piece is the simple fact that the 2026 Rockies are scoring more runs overall than their recent counterparts, a point illustrated by considering the Rockies runs per game.

Chart 1 — Rockies Runs per Game

The 2026 Rockies are scoring 4.81 runs per game, which is a full run more than they did in 2025 (3.69). What’s more, this jump in runs needn’t be caveated by a shift in the overall league offensive environment. The league-average runs per game last year was 4.45 and has slightly increased this year to 4.48 (so far).

The bottom line is this: The Rockies have made undeniable improvement in their ability to score runs this season. If you wanted to stop reading now and just move on with your day, secure in your knowledge that the Rox lineup is actually improved, you’d be fine to do so.

The more interesting question, though, is what parts of the Rockies profile are fueling this improvement?

That answer isn’t easily encapsulated in one graphic. Rather, it is encompassed by a variety of positive trends.

Consider first the Rockies offensive events per game.

Chart 2 — Rockies Offensive Events Per Game

The most notable thing about the chart above is the steep decline in the orange line as it reaches 2026. That orange line represents Rockies hitters’ strikeouts per game.

That’s right, Rockies hitters are striking out much less this year.

For all three of the club’s previous 100-loss seasons, their hitters’ strikeout numbers had been hovering somewhere between nine and ten per game, while the league average had hovered around eight and a half. Addressing this strikeout issue has been the stated goal of seemingly every Rockies hitting coach this decade. We have written about it many, many times here at Purple Row.

At long last, Brett Pill and the Rockies lineup appear to have made a tangible dent in the problem. This year, Rockies hitters are striking out 8.57 times per game on average, which is only a smidge above the league rate of 8.35.

Hallelujah!

Less stark than the reduction of strikeouts, is the uptick in all of walks, hits, extra base hits, and even stolen bases per game.

Where the league as a whole has seen slight decreases in all of those categories, other than walks, the Rockies have seen slight increases in all of them.

You read that correctly.

The Rockies went from below league average in every category in 2025 to either at or above league average in all of them this season — again, other than walk rate, which is just below league average.

The caveat to every conversation about Rockies offense, however, is Coors Field.

Raw totals of events like hits and runs are obviously inflated by playing at Coors. The Rockies being roughly league average in raw totals indicates that they are still below average in terms of true talent if one were to adjust for their home ballpark.

wRC+ is an attempt to take the full offensive package of a player or team, including park adjustments, and compare that to an anchored league average figure (100). If we take a look at Fangraphs team stats, we can filter by just the Rockies and compare their past few seasons. Consider, then, the Rockies’ wRC+ over the last decade.

All of the improvements to component parts have added up to a Rockies offense that is much improved over last season. In just one year, they’ve gone from an unthinkable 26% below league average to just nine percent below average.

What’s more, the league run environment adjustments accounted for in wRC+ indicate that this could be the best Rockies offense since 2016. That’s not to say that their lineup has been more valuable in total — the defensive prowess of those late-teens Rox is hard to understate — but at the plate, the 2026 Rockies may be roughly in the same range as the last playoff teams this franchise fielded.

The main takeaway from all of this is just that the numbers back up what we’ve been seeing: Practically every facet of the team’s offensive profile has improved a little bit. Taken as a whole, the Rockies lineup is significantly improved over from where it was a year ago.

Now let’s all ponder what this front office and coaching staff can do with another full offseason to have their developmental changes really sink in. The Rockies aren’t likely to continue improving at this rate, but they only have a small hole to dig themselves out of instead of the gaping crater that they did just last year.


On the Farm

Triple-A:Las Vegas Aviators 12, Albuquerque Isotopes 8

Pacific Coast League baseball at it’s finest was on display in this slugfest.

Four pitchers took the mound for the Isotopes and none of them went unscathed. Valente Bellozo started the game and had the best performance of the night having allowed only three runs in his three innings of work. He was relieved by Mason Green, Jeff Criswell, and Evan Shawver each of whom allowed two runs or more in fewer than three innings each.

The Isotopes hitters had much more fun as they collected 14 hits among them and walked nine times. All told each of Ryan Ritter, Edouard Julien, Sterlin Thompson (No. 16 PuRP), Chad Stevens, and Drew Avans reached base at least three times. Oh, and Roc Riggio (No. 13 PuRP) hit his first Triple-A home run after his promotion last week. The lineup accomplished all of that and still the Isotopes were outscored by four runs. That’s just how the PCL works.

Double-A:Somerset Patriots 10, Hartford Yard Goats 4

When Hartford starting pitcher Stu Flesland III exited the game before the eighth inning the Yard Goats were winning this game.

Flesland III only allowed two runs on five hits and two walks in his seven innings pitched but saw the lead evaporate with eight Patriot runs scoring in the final two innings. The first three of those were allowed by Nathan Blasick in the eighth and the final five by Victor Juarez in the top of the ninth to put it out of reach.

All the way back in the first inning a three run homer by center fielder GJ Hill had put the Yard Goats ahead. From that point forward the only other run they were able to scrape by came from a sacrifice fly from Cole Messina in the bottom of the sixth. All the while the Patriots were chipping away at the lead until that eventual late inning outburst that sealed the Yard Goats loss.

High-A:Hillsboro Hops 5, Spokane Indians 2

Spokane lost this game due to the combination of Everett Catlett struggling to find the strike zone in his four innings of work and the Indians lineup failing to record a hit with runners in scoring position.

By the time Catlett was relieved by Case Williams the damage had already been done. Catlett allowed four runs on five hits and five walks on 93 pitches in his four innings. The Spokane bullpen did it’s best to keep the game close with the only other run coming on a ninth inning double allowed by Ismael Luciano but the lineup was not able to mount a comeback.

In terms of the offense, the obvious standout was second baseman Wilder Dalis (Pre-season No. 24 PuRP) who reached base four times but was never able to come around to score. Spokane managed to load the bases with two outs in both the bottom of the sixth and the bottom of the ninth and failed to cash in any of the baserunners. In the sixth, Robert Calaz (No. 26 PuRP) grounded out to end the inning and strand all three runners and then in the bottom of the ninth Ethan Hedges did the same.

Low-A:Fresno Grizzlies 10, Stockton Ports 2

Fresno took an early lead in the bottom of the first when Ports pitcher Corey Braun walked Juan Martinez with the bases loaded and then allowed Daniel Jackson to score on a wild pitch. Even after the Ports were able to stop escape the first without any more runs crossing the plate, the Grizzlies held onto the lead for the remainder of the game.

Fresno pitchers combined to allow only six hits and three walks while striking out eight over nine innings. No Grizzlie pitched more innings than starter Sandy Ozuna who managed to get through four with a solo home run to Alex Sosa being his only substantial blemish. Ethan Cole got finished the final three frames of the game for Fresno and only allowed a single hit.

At the plate almost everyone had a pretty good day, partially due to Ports pitchers failing to find the strike zone. Martinez walked a total of three times, Jack Natili (No. 20 PuRP) and Daniel Jackson (No. 12 PuRP) both walked twice themselves alongside collecting two hits, Landyn Vidourek and Cristian Arguelles each had a couple hits and stole a base, and Sebastian Blanco hit his first Low-A home run.

All told, a good day for the Grizzlies.



All-Star catcher Goodman (shoulder strain) placed on IL | MLB.com

In case you missed the news on Tuesday, Hunter Goodman was officially placed on the injured list after having missed the past several games. The shoulder strain was originally thought of as something that would just need a couple days of rest but as those days started to add up Warren Schaeffer could no longer wait to have a second catcher on the roster. Thomas Harding doesn’t indicate that the diagnosis has changed substantially so ideally Goodman can return after the requisite 15 day period.

Rockies’ Zac Veen, Cole Carrigg bring fire to Colorado rebuild as versatile spark plugs | The Denver Post ($)

I know you can’t get enough of Cole Carrigg and Zac Veen so here’s another piece on the pair of Rockies rookies from Kyle Newman. It compares the excitement and talent both bring to the field with the contrasting paths they’ve taken to reach this point as well as their mindset going into games. Especially interesting is Carrigg’s quotes on attempting to harness his emotions a bit more without losing the competitive fire that comes with them and Veen’s efforts to not take this opportunity for granted given the challenges he’s overcome to get here.

Romano revives career with help of old friend | MLB.com

While it was surprising to see the Rockies give Jordan Romano a dedicated closer entrance so soon after he joined the team, this isn’t the first time he has been an effective late inning reliever. This piece from Thomas Harding takes a look back through Romano’s whirlwind past twelve months that has seen him pitch for three different organizations.


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Kansas City Royals news: A late inning surge brings joy

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - AUGUST 19: John Rave of the Kansas City Royals has ice water dumped on him after they defeated the Athletics at Kauffman Stadium on August 19, 2026 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Reed Hoffmann/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Before the comeback last night, Jac Caglianone left the game with a sore ankle.

That hot streak continued in the first inning of the Royals’ 9-7 win over the Athletics, as Caglianone collected an infield single. Two innings later, Caglianone was hit by a pitch. But in the fifth inning, John Rave unexpectedly pinch-hit for Caglianone, who the Royals later announced had right ankle soreness. Manager Matt Quatraro said the issue first bubbled up over the weekend when the Royals played the Angels.

With new stadium renderings out, there is an interesting thing going on with Crown Vision in the new ballpark.

Eric Hosmer shared a rather cool story about his final game as a Royal.

The Royals scored 7 in the bottom of the 8th inning last night to collect win 9-7 over the Athletics.

The 108.9 mph single Vinnie Pasquantino hit off the top of the right-field fence was hit so hard that it literally made a dent in the padding, a physical reminder of the mark the Royals’ first baseman left on Wednesday’s game.

Inches shy of his second homer of the night, the single still represented one of the three hits Pasquantino logged in the Royals’ 9-7 win over the A’s at Kauffman Stadium, their second consecutive late-game comeback win following Tuesday’s walk-off victory. The Royals have now won four straight dating back to Sunday — one vs. the Angels and three against the A’s — ahead of Thursday’s series finale.

Preston Farr looks into what happened to recently demoted Royals reliever Lucas Erceg.

Philip Ruo of Royals Keep argues why the Royals won’t compete in 2027.

On the other hand, Cory Moen of Royals Keep argues WHY the Royals will compete in 2027.

Pete Alonso hit a go-ahead homer last night, but that’s not what replay said. You be the judge.

Aaron Nola dominated the Marlins last night, continuing his recent resurgence.

The Minnesota Twins move into WC spot after sweeping Braves. WHAT?

Matt “Tugboat” Wilkinson (awesome nickname) threw two scoreless innings in his debut yesterday in Cleveland.

Brewers’ prospect’s father catches first pro homer after saying it would happen.

Here is your song of the day Upside Down by Jack Johnson

Orioles minor league recap 8/20: Dzierwa impresses again, Azocar homers

GREENVILLE, SC - JULY 26: Greenville Drive outfielder Enddy Azocar (44) during a High A Minor League baseball game between the Hub City Spartanburgers and the Greenville Drive on July 26, 2026 at Fluor Field in Greenville, S.C. (Photo by John Byrum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Triple-A: Norfolk Tides 7, Nashville Sounds (Brewers) 5

Trey Gibson gave up a lead off homer to rehabbing big leaguer Sal Frelick to begin the game, but then sailed through the first four innings with no other damage. He ran into more trouble in the fifth, where he allowed another run, and then served up three more in the fifth. His final line (six innings, five runs, 10 hits, one walk, seven strikeouts) isn’t great, but it was enough for the win. Luis De Léon made his first relief appearance of the year and managed to toss a scoreless inning despite issuing three walks. Codi Heuer took the save after tossing two shuout innings.

Brandon Butterworth gave the Tides an early lead with his three-run homer in the bottom of the second inning, his first long ball at Triple-A. Their other four runs all came in the third inning, when they sent all nine baters to the plate and benefitted from three errors by the Sounds. Jud Fabian and Payton Eeles had two hits each. Fabian’s night included a double, an RBI, and two runs scored. Rece Hinds also doubled and scored a run. Enrique Bradfield Jr., Creed Willems, and Heston Kjerstad each went hitless and walked once.

Double-A: Richmond Flying Squirrels (Giants) 7, Chesapeake Baysox 4

Have you heard of Joseph Dzeriwa? He’s pretty good! Tossed five innings here and allowed just one run on two hits, a walk, and three strikeouts. His Double-A ERA is down to 1.89 across 76.1 innings. Gerald Ogando may have been even more impressive in relief, striking out five in his two shutout innings. Tyson Neighbors, on the other hand, had a tough night, giving up three runs without recording an out. Jeisson Cabrera came on as a fireman and allowed two of the inherited runners to score before ending the inning. Alex Pham was called on to keep things tied in the ninth inning, but was unable to do so. He gave up three runs on two hits (including a home run) and a walk.

Fernando Peguero led the Chesapeake offense with a 3-for-4 night that included a two-RBI single in the eighth inning, plus a stolen base. Vance Honeycutt, playing in his second game at Double-A, went 1-for-3 with a double, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and a stolen base as the DH in the game. Griff O’Ferrall added two hits and an RBI. Tavian Josenberger doubled, walked, stole two bases, and scored twice. Wehiwa Aloy went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts.

High-A: Frederick Keys 12, Wilmington Blue Rocks (Nationals) 9 – Game 1 – F/7

The Keys scored 12 runs on 18 hits and four walks in just seven innings of baseball. Enddy Azocar outpaced everyone with four hits, including a home run, and three runs scored. Jordan Sanchez had two hits, two RBI, and three runs scored. Leando Arias led the team with four RBI, three of which came in on his second-inning home run. DJ Layton doubled, walked three times, and scored twice. Ethan Anderson, on a rehab assignment, had two hits. Braylin Tavera had three hits. Both Colin Yeaman and Yasmil Bucce hit two doubles. Bucce also drove in four runs.

There was less good news on the pitching side of things. Christian Rodriguez allowed four runs across his five innings of work. Brendan Parks worked one inning and allowed one run, but also struck out three. Chandler Marsh took the ninth inning and gave up four runs before wrapping up the game.

High-A: Wilmington Blue Rocks (Nationals) 8, Frederick Keys 4, – Game 2 – F/7

Randal Diaz, who didn’t play in the first game of the day, was Frederick’s most productive hitter in the night cap. He had two hits, a home run and a double, drove in two runs, and took a walk. Azocar singled, walked, stole two bases, and scored a run. Arias had an almost identical line, but stole just one base. Braylon Whitaker went 1-for-2 with a double and a walk. Layton walked and stole a base.

Evan Yates started on the mound. He went five innings but also allowed six runs (five earned) on six hits, two walks, and four strikeouts. His ERA jumped up to 4.30 on the year. Ben Vespi worked the final two innings in which he gave up two runs but neither was earned.

Low-A: Delmarva Shorebirds 9, Hickory Crawdads (Rangers) 5

Delmarva had plenty of runners on base in this one. As a team they collected 11 hits and six walks, which presented them with 14 at-bats with runners in scoring position. Jaiden Lo Re led the team with three RBI as part of his 2-for-5 performance that included a double. Stiven Martinez left the park with his 11th home run of the year, a solo shot in the fourth inning. He also walked twice and scored twice. Ty Head had two hits, a stolen base, a run scored. Eric Booth Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and two strikeouts.

The Shorebirds starter, Holden deJong, severed up four runs on five hits, three walks, and six strikeouts over 4.1 innings during his up-and-down start. Jake Dykhoff took the win by giving up just one run (unearned) on four hits, a walk, and one strikeout over 4.2 innings.

Box Scores

Thursday’s Schedule

Norfolk: vs Nashville, 12:05. Starter: Juaron Watts-Brown (1-0, 5.14 ERA)

Chesapeake: vs Richmond, 6:35 pm. Starter: Anthony Eyanson (6-0, 2.01 ERA)

Frederick: at Wilmington, 6:35 pm. Starter: Stephen Still (0-1, 3.45 ERA)

Delmarva: at Hickory, 7:00 pm. Starter: Harrison Kreiling (0-2, 14.73 ERA)

Guardians News – At Least Parker Messick Showed Up

CLEVELAND, OH - AUGUST 19: Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Parker Messick (77) delivers a pitch to the plate during the sixth inning of the Major League Baseball interleague game between the San Francisco Giants and Cleveland Guardians on August 19, 2026, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

On paper last night’s loss to the Giants wasn’t the worst loss of the season. Emotionally, morally, and spiritually it certainly felt like one of the worst. The Guardians offense decided to take the day off again, going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position. Messick got the loss after pitching a 6.2 inning gem. Messick gave up one run on six hits and struck out ten batters without a walk. Jake has the well written recap of this unfortunate loss here.

It is hard to have optimism for the remainder of this season, and I applaud any one who is able to see a route to the playoffs in this teams future. Unfortunately I cannot bring myself to give up on the team until they are statistically eliminated, but it is becoming hard to believe in their post season chances. The Guardians currently sit in third place in the AL Central, 5.5 games back from the first place Chicago White Sox. The Minnesota Twins are 4.0 games back in second place and the Detroit Tigers are staying neck and neck with the Guardians. The Wild Card race is not going in Cleveland’s favor with the Guardians sitting 3 spots and 1.5 games back from the Twins for the final Wild Card spot.

David Fry was recalled from Triple-A Columbus. Rhys Hoskins was placed on the 10-Day Injured List due to low back inflammation. Since being sent down, Fry has been hitting .294 with a 1.169 OPS. In 34 ABs he has 6 home runs and 18 RBIs.

Quincy had a nice write up about Angel Genao and his major contributions in his short time in the league.

Around the League

The Chicago Cubs picked up Gabriel Arias off of waivers after he was DFA’d by the Mets earlier this week.

The Tigers gave up two runs in the bottom of the ninth, losing to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Dodgers notes – Edwin Diaz, Tanner Scott

DENVER, CO - AUGUST 18: Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Tanner Scott (66) reacts after a defensive play to end the game in the ninth inning during a game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on August 18, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Edwin Diaz’s time with the Los Angeles Dodgers has not been what any of the parties had hoped for. Diaz on Tuesday went on the IL for neck inflammation, his second stint on the IL with his new team so far this season.

On Wednesday, Diaz went for neck imaging, and the MRI showed the “best case scenario”, according to manager Dave Roberts. He went on to say that the injury seems to be more muscular than nerve related.

“I think he’d been feeling the tightness in his neck,” Roberts said. “But I think where it went to the other night, he hadn’t felt that sensation. So that’s what really checked him up.”

Roberts surmised that the closer would not be shut down very long for throwing, that it could only be a couple of days.

Maddie Lee of the L.A. Times has more information on the injury here.

Patrick Saunders of MLB.com also covers the Diaz injury, as well as who will be the closer while he is out. That man is Tanner Scott.

“His stuff, right now, today, is as good as it’s been all year,” manager Dave Roberts said Wednesday before the finale of a three-game series against the Rockies at Coors Field. “Right now, it’s easy to say that he’s our best reliever and most consistent reliever. I certainly see him as our closer.”

Scott already has the team-high saves for the season with 17, in 19 opportunities.

“Man, Tanner doesn’t complain,” the skipper said. “He’s always ready, wants to pitch, wants to help his teammates, his team, and certainly, given how last year went, for him to come back and right the ship.”

Hunter Feduccia was out of the Dodgers lineup on Wednesday, after he left Tuesday’s game early feeling ill.

“We’re just trying to hydrate him,” Roberts said after Tuesday’s game. “He’s got this stomach bug or food poisoning, something like that. He was scuffling all game, and he went as long as he could go. Obviously, he’ll be down (Wednesday). But he gave us a great effort.”

With Feduccia out and a lefty on the mound, the Dodgers did a little lineup shuffling. Freddie Freeman was moved down to the four slot, and Max Muncy and Tommy Edman were both given the day off, although both were available off the bench.

Owen Perkins of the OC Register covers some more details on Diaz as well as other updates to the lineup here.

Pete Crow-Armstrong vs. Shohei Ohtani for NL MVP has an obvious answer

The National League Most Valuable Player award race is going stupid hard right now. It is the definition of a dead heat, with Pete Crow-Armstrong and Shohei Ohtani vying for every inch of territory for an award that most (myself included) had already declared for Ohtani in early June. We have walk-off home runs, questions about how much half a season of pitching matters and ESPN features interviewing MLB players about what they think. It’s an NL MVP industrial complex, and I’m here to add my two cents. Maybe three, and (spoiler alert) I don’t think this race is as close as people are making it out to be.

Buckle up, because this will be a distillation of a number of personal passion points in baseball analytics and discourse. Frankly, I think Ohtani is obviously the MVP, and I reject the arguments being made in PCA’s favor. And I’m going to convince you I’m right with the fire of 1000 suns.  

If I wanted to bet my two cents instead of putting them in writing, Crow-Armstrong (-165) and Ohtani (+140) are essentially tied on FanDuel, with only a narrow edge for PCA because of a recent, visible surge (all these stats are current as of Wednesday morning). Ohtani’s odds have tailed off because he hasn’t been pitching lately, but he did rack up 3.0 pitching WAR with a 1.79 ERA before his injury in early July and has thrown down a .949 OPS just for fun; because, ya know, he’s Shohei Ohtani. 

The fact that Crow-Armstrong is even in this race is astounding, given that a player who is essentially Yordan Alvarez and Paul Skenes rolled into one should really never not win the MVP award. But Ohtani not even pitching 90 innings this year has apparently flipped things in favor of PCA, whose centerfield defense has captured the imagination of millions and whose chase for 40 home runs and 40 stolen bases has vaulted him narrowly above Ohtani. So has voter fatigue, given Ohtani has won the last three NL MVP awards, and PCA giving him a challenge is bound to give him bonus points.

You could argue that a 40-40 season, of which there have only been six in MLB history, should automatically grant you the MVP award, but you’d be surprised. Ohtani won it with his 50-50 2024, Ronald Acuña Jr. did too in 2023 with his 40-70 campaign and Jose Canseco won it in 1988 with the first ever such season. But the middle three: 1996 Barry Bonds (fifth in MVP voting), 1998 Alex Rodriguez (ninth in MVP voting) and 2006 Alfonso Soriano (sixth in MVP voting) all didn’t even come close. A-Rod and Bonds led their leagues in WAR those seasons too, but it didn’t matter at the time.

This might just be me, but I don’t think a 40-40 season (which PCA does not have yet, mind you) is more impressive than half a season of Cy Young pitching and a 155 wRC+ Silver Slugger-tier masterclass. Stolen bases are a supremely overrated statistic in baseball, and PCA’s 30+ stolen bases have only added about TWO runs for the Cubs all year. Ohtani added 21 runs as a pitcher in 82 ⅔ innings. 

Now, you will retort, PCA plays some of the best centerfield defense we’ve ever seen, and you’d throw my run value crap right back at me and say “PCA has racked up 24 fielding runs above average!” You will also say that, because of this fielding prowess and because Ohtani does not play in the field, PCA’s WAR (we’re using fWAR for all of this because I like it better) blows Ohtani out of the water, with PCA’s 8.4 beating Ohtani’s 7.1 and running away fast — Ohtani is not accumulating any pitching WAR while PCA continues to farm fielding stats.

Here’s the thing about fielding stats, though: PCA is obviously a generational centerfielder, all you have to do is watch one single Chicago Cubs game to know that, but these metrics leave a lot to be desired. I need you to trust me through this next part and not fall asleep: 

fWAR, which we’re using (and which the recent ESPN article about this debate used, weirdly, since ESPN’s own leaderboards use bWAR) is based on Outs Above Average (OAA, which PCA leads the league by far in). bWAR, the other flavor, has Ohtani closer to PCA because it is based on Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), which PCA is 10th in the majors in, behind two other centerfielders: Ceddanne Rafaela and Andy Pages. 

OAA really just measures how a defensive player turns batted-balls into outs. DRS, calculated by the Fielding Bible, supposedly measures a whole lot more than that, but they also do not make it easy to check their work given we have an idea of how their formula works … but it also isn’t actually published anywhere. Still with me? Okay. What that all means is that PCA is maybe the best defensive player in the league. But it’s definitely not a slam dunk, and I think pro-PCA arguments cherry-pick fielding data that fits their agenda. 

Ohtani, meanwhile, has no such fielding data to cherry-pick. He is disadvantaged by his position, given that you have to be a better hitter as a DH than you do as a CF to accumulate WAR, and these metrics aren’t built to parse that Ohtani is literally a pitcher as well. That reality is flying completely under the radar in this discussion.

PCA and Ohtani are both having roughly equal hitting seasons. Crow-Armstrong is indeed a much more impactful baserunner and fielder, and Ohtani (again) is a pitcher who just hasn’t pitched in a while. This whole debate boils down to your opinion about which thing is more valuable: half a season of godlike pitching or elite centerfield defense and baserunning? Even ignoring underlying contact-quality stuff that suggests Ohtani is actually a much better hitter and would lead me to believe he will have a better final month-and-a-half, I will take half a season of godlike pitching, please and thank you.

Finally, there’s the conceptual argument, which I will briefly make because I think it hammers the Ohtani case home. Is it humanly possible to disagree more about the definition of a word than sports fans disagree about what “valuable” means, specifically as it pertains to “most valuable player” awards? 

Some smart alecks will tell you that “valuable” just means “the player with the most value to their team,” but that is probably best defined by trade value, or the guy who would command the largest return in a trade. That is not how MVP awards have ever been doled out, and a far better title would be “Best Player” or, if you want to be needlessly verbose (I usually do), “player who had the best season.” 

Put simply: I don’t think it’s possible to be prime Jacob deGrom for half a season and peak Paul Goldschmidt for a full season AS ONE SINGULAR PERSON and not have “the best season.” I mean that with all due respect to PCA, but 82 ⅔ innings of that pitching just knocks everything else out of the picture for me. Ohtani is, for all the stats, the most unique, the most impressive, the most completely ridiculously impossibly stupidly good. The most, say it with me now, valuable.

Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 20

The Rays (76-50) and the Blue Jays (62-66) wrap up their three-game series this afternoon in St. Petersburg.

The teams have split the first two games of this series with Tampa winning last night, 7-6. Yandy Diaz cracked a two-run homer in the first to pace the attack and Drew Rasmussen was good enough to earn his sixth straight win as the Rays won for the ninth time in twelve games against the Jays this season. Alejandro Kirk continues to swing a hot bat for the Jays. The backstop went yard for the second straight game and extended his hitting streak to eight games in the process (14-33). Even with the loss yesterday, the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten games and just a game back of the final Wild Card spot. The Rays continue to set the pace in the AL East and the entire American League. They own the best record in the AL and lead the division by five games over the Yankees.

 

This afternoon, Toronto is expected to hand the ball to veteran Shane Bieber (4-2, 4.99 ERA) and Ian Seymour (9-3, 4.11 ERA) gets the start for Tampa Bay. Bieber’s season has been a roller coaster. The former AL Cy Young winner has shown flashes of the pitcher who dominated hitters earlier in his career, but consistency has been elusive. Specifically over his last four starts, Bieber has allowed one earned run twice but four and five runs respectively in the other two starts. The optimists in the crowd will put more faith in his most recent start. Last Friday, Bieber allowed just four hits and one run over six innings against the Yankees. Seymour has been dependable for the Rays this season. He has finished six innings over four of his last five starts. Seymour has allowed eight earned runs in 28.2 innings across those five starts. He has struck out 36 over those last five appearances.

 

Lets dive further into tonight’s game and find a sweat or two.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

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Game Details and How to Watch: Blue Jays vs. Rays

 

  • Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
  • Time: 1:10PM EST
  • Site: Tropicana Field
  • City: St. Petersburg, FL
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Sportsnet, Rays.TV

 
 

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The Latest Odds: Blue Jays vs. Rays

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Toronto Blue Jays (+152), Tampa Bay Rays (-163)
  • Spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-152), Rays -1.5 (+125)
  • Total: 7.5 runs

 

Probable Starting Pitchers – Blue Jays vs. Rays for August 20

  • Blue Jays: Shane Bieber
    Season Totals: 48.2 IP, 4-2, 4.99 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 37K, 24 BB
  • Rays: Ian Seymour
    Season Totals: 96.1 IP, 9-3, 4.11 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 115K, 31 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Blue Jays vs. Rays

 

  • Jonathan Aranda, Junior Caminero, and Cedric Mullins have each gone yard once in their careers against Shane Bieber
  • Ernie Clement is 4-11 in his career against Ian Seymour
  • Andres Gimenez and Alejandro Kirk have each homered against Seymour in their respective careers
  • Yandy Diaz has hit in 10 straight games (19-43)
  • Chandler Simpson has also hit in 10 straight games (19-44)
  • Andres Gimenez saw his four-game hitting streak snapped last night (0-4)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit safely in 8 straight games (14-33) including 3 HRs and 9 RBIs
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit in 5 straight games (5-19)

 

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

 

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Blue Jays vs. Rays

  • The Jays are 62-66 on the Run Line this season
  • The Rays are 71-55 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 64 times in Toronto’s 128 games this season (64-60-4)
  • The OVER has cashed 58 times in Tampa’s 126 games this season (58-63-5)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Blue Jays vs. Rays

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s game between the Jays and the Rays:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Rays on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 7.5

 

 

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Willson Contreras is wrong about running out grounders, but not for the reason the Red Sox fans who booed him think

BOSTON, MA - AUGUST 19: Willson Contreras #40 of the Boston Red Sox bats during the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Rob Tringali/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Willson Contreras had some interesting comments following yesterday’s 7-6 loss to the D-Backs in which an angry contingent of Fenway fans booed him for not running hard up the first base line during his tenth inning groundout. But before we get to the quotes, here’s a look at the play just to make sure everybody’s up to speed:

Immediately after he arrived back in the dugout, the fuming first baseman engaged with one of the more aggressive fans and had them removed from the ballpark.

After the game, Chris Cotillo of MassLive got the follow quotes from Contreras regarding the incident:

“If you’re a smart fan, you know what’s going on,”

“I’m not gonna get hurt running on a ground ball. If you’re a real fan and you know baseball, there’s no case for me to hustle out of the box.”

“I’m not 100%. We never are, but I’m taking care of my leg. If I have to run, I push it a little bit. If I don’t, my manager has my back. I talked to him and he gave me permission to do whatever it takes to take care of my legs.”

“I was feeling better until last night when I full-stretched my leg and it grabbed me a little bit. My manager knows that.”

On one hand, Contreras is absolutely right. No single groundout is worth hustling over if it means risking blowing out your leg, particularly if you’re unlikely to beat it out anyway. It’s far more prudent to nurse it where he can and save the more taxing efforts for high leverage moments. In this larger context, it all makes sense.

Or, at least it would make sense if the Red Sox were in a slightly different place in the standings. Because while the philosophy holds water while zooming out from an individual play to an entire game, it all gets flipped on its head once you zoom out further from the perspective of an individual game to the remaining season as a whole.

Right now, thanks largely to the gluttonous owners and their absurdly bloated playoff structure, the Red Sox find themselves in the rather ridiculous position of being both far enough behind Tampa for the division lead that they’re extremely unlikely to catch them, but also far enough ahead of the third Wild Card cutoff that they’re extremely unlikely to fall out of a postseason spot. They’re so far removed from a meaningful tension point, Fangraphs gives them a 95.1 percent chance to make the playoffs, but just a 2.7 percent chance to win the division. In other words, there’s a 92.4 percent chance they’re going to end up in that best-of-three Wild Card round.

Circling back to Contreras and his leg, if we’re going to apply the principle of giving up on certain plays with a low likelihood of mattering in favor of long-term health, shouldn’t we apply that same concept to the season as a whole? More to the point: If Willson Contreras can only run some of the time, why isn’t he on the IL?

If his leg is bothering him enough that he needs to (rightfully) manage it on certain low leverage, low probability plays within a game, why aren’t the Red Sox demanding he do the same on certain low leverage, low probability games within a season?

Unfortunately, the single most important thing Contreras can do to help the team right now is be as ready to go as possible for a best-of-three series starting on September 29th. I detest that MLB has come to this, but it’s the reality of being in an oversaturated playoff field. If this was 20 years ago, with just one Wild Card available, the Red Sox and Yankees would be locked in a highly captivating duel for the last crumb on the table. Every game would matter, animosity would be building, and we’d be scoreboard watching like a hawk for six weeks.

In that world, Contreras’ approach of playing through injury in this manner would be on the money. But we don’t live in that world anymore. Instead, we’re basically sitting around seeing how healthy everybody can get for a best-of-three series at the end of September. (I can’t tell you how angry this makes me as a baseball fan!)

In any case, the Red Sox are already playing the “get ready for September 29th” game with Justin Slaten and Garrett Whitlock, who are both on the IL. And the funny thing is, not having either of them around to pitch in the top of the tenth yesterday was a whole hell of a lot more impactful in terms of why they lost that game than Contreras not running out his grounder. So if we’re going to swim in those waters, why be inconsistent about it?

Oh, and if your concern here has anything to do with the bottom falling out in a potential Contreras absence, don’t worry about it. This group has already proven they can handle the ship in short bursts without their stars. Since July 1st, Contreras has missed or left 11 games from either suspension, sickness, injury or rest, and the Sox are 10-1 in those contests.

Ultimately, the bottom line is this: Contreras is either healthy enough to run down the first base line consistently or he’s not, and if he’s not, he shouldn’t be in these games. They’re not important enough. (Thanks MLB!)

Lastly, the Red Sox medical staff has already had a disastrous year in terms of diagnosing the initial severity of injuries, and if this season ends up crashing and burning in part because Willson Contreras ends up out for the year on an injury that could have healed with rest, I’m going to be a whole lot angrier than the fans who were booing Contreras at Fenway Park yesterday.

Cox customers can finally watch the Dodgers on SportsNet LA

Orel Hershiser and John Hartung speak during the launch of SportsNet LA on Feb. 25, 2014, in El Segundo.
Orel Hershiser and John Hartung speak during the launch of SportsNet LA on Feb. 25, 2014, in El Segundo. (Jerod Harris / Getty Images)

Thirteen years ago, on the final Sunday in September, Skip Schumaker struck out. It was the last out in the last game of the regular season.

For the Dodgers, no big deal: They had won the National League West, and the playoffs were four days away.

For Dodgers fans that subscribed to Cox Communications, it turned out to be the start of a bizarre and protracted blackout that cost viewers the final years of Vin Scully and the golden years of three World Series championships.

After 4,560 days, the blackout is over.

Read more:California regulators approve $34.5-billion Charter-Cox merger

On Friday, for the first time in 13 years, Cox subscribers within the Dodgers’ broadcast territory will be able to watch the team on their local television home. Fans can find SportsNet LA on Channel 63 in Orange County, Channel 54 in Palos Verdes, Channel 36 in Santa Barbara and Channel 50 in Las Vegas.

How did this finally come to pass? Those channels no longer belong to Cox.

Charter Communications, the company responsible for getting SportsNet LA on as many cable, satellite and streaming options as possible, on Thursday closed its $34.5-billion purchase of Cox.

For Dodgers fans, the takeaway is this: It no longer matters that Cox did not want to pay Charter for the rights to air SportsNet LA. Charter made the 13 years of that moot by buying Cox.

Charter offers broadcast service under the Spectrum brand.

In 2013, with the team in the final year of its local television agreement with Fox Sports, the Dodgers announced it would launch a team-owned channel the following year.

Read more:Shaikin: MLB’s wild pitch: Using fan-despised TV blackouts as leverage against players

In exchange for the rights to market and distribute that SportsNet LA channel, Time Warner Cable agreed to pay the Dodgers $8.35 billion over 25 years. It was the last great regional sports network deal, with traditional broadcast audiences about to fragment amid the rise of streaming and cord-cutting.

The guaranteed rights fees are as sure of a revenue stream as anything in baseball, and the Dodgers’ success amid all that cash is one of the triggers for major league owners in their push for a salary cap.

However, the great regional sports network deals relied on cable and satellite subscribers paying for every channel in a bundle, most of which viewers never watched.

With DirecTV leading the resistance, cable and satellite providers balked at signing up for SportsNet LA: a few dimes per month per subscriber for a news or entertainment channel was fine, but they drew the line at $5 per month subscriber for a baseball channel.

No major Los Angeles outlet besides Time Warner Cable carried SportsNet LA until 2016, and then only because Charter bought Time Warner Cable. Even then, less than half the households in the Los Angeles market could get SportsNet LA.

In 2020, DirecTV and AT&T struck a deal with Charter, not so much to liberate Dodgers fans as to help the parties maintain a shrinking base of subscribers amid a proliferation of video options.

“I think I can speak for a lot of people who will say this is, maybe, long overdue,” Dodgers star Justin Turner said then.

Six years later, as a longtime Cox subscriber excited to see SportsNet LA for the first time, your humble correspondent can say this: I think I can speak for a lot of people who will say this is definitely long overdue.

Sign up for more Dodgers news with Dodgers Dugout. Delivered at the start of each series.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Little League World Series pitch count rules explained

Every pitcher in the Little League World Series works under a hard limit. Once a 12-year-old reaches 85 pitches in a game, he or she comes off the mound, and how many pitches they threw determines how many days they have to sit before they can pitch again.

The rules come from the Little League rulebook. They apply the same way in Williamsport as they do on any field in the country. Managers plan around them from the first day of the tournament, because a double-elimination bracket rewards teams with a third and fourth pitcher more than teams with one good arm.

Little League moved to pitch counts in 2007, replacing a system that limited pitchers by innings. Under the old rules a 12-year-old could throw well past 100 pitches in a six-inning game, a number big league starters rarely reach. A 2011 University of North Carolina study commissioned by Little League found the program cut shoulder injury risk among pitchers ages 8 to 13 by half.

Here is how the limits, the rest chart and the catcher restrictions work:

How many pitches can a Little League pitcher throw?

Limits go by league age, not calendar age.

  • Ages 13 through 16: 95
  • Ages 11 and 12, the World Series division: 85 pitches
  • Ages 9 and 10: 75
  • Ages 7 and 8: 50

When a pitcher hits the number they're done. The one wrinkle is that they can finish the batter they're facing, staying in until that hitter reaches base or is retired or the third out ends the inning. So you'll occasionally see a kid finish with 89 in a game that caps at 85, and nothing is wrong.

Warm-up pitches don't count. Only what a pitcher throws to a hitter counts.

How many days of rest does a pitcher need?

Rest runs on calendar days and starts the day after the game.

  • 66 to 85 pitches: four days
  • 51 to 65: three days
  • 36 to 50: two days
  • 21 to 35: one day

Stretch that across a 12-day tournament and the problem shows up fast. Throw 70 on a Wednesday and you're not available again until Monday. An ace can win a team one game and leave it thin for the next three.

Nobody pitches on three calendar days in a row, whatever the counts say. And once a pitcher leaves the mound, they can't come back to it later in the same game.

The catcher rules

The pitching limits don't stop at the mound. Little League recognizes the catchers throwing as heavy arm work as well. The two positions are regulated together.

Three rules govern it.

A pitcher who throws 41 or more pitches can't catch that day. A player who catches four innings or more can't pitch that day. And a player who catches three innings or fewer and then moves to the mound and throws 21 or more pitches, can't go back behind the plate.

Catch more than three innings and you cannot pitch that day. The cutoff is strict. Three innings plus a single pitch in the fourth is enough to trigger the rule.

What happens if a team breaks the rule?

If a manager leaves a pitcher in past their limit, or brings them back without the required rest, the other team can protest.

Every game has an official pitch count recorder. That person has to give the current count to either manager or any umpire on request, and has to tell the umpire-in-chief the moment a pitcher reaches their limit. Whatever the recorder has is the count. What a coach has, or a parent has, doesn't matter.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Little League World Series pitch count rules explained

Jake Bauers, ascending

Jul 3, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Milwaukee Brewers first baseman Jake Bauers against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

I’m writing on August 19, and Jake Bauers has a 146 OPS+ in 452 plate appearances. The last time a Milwaukee Brewer had a 146 wRC+ in a season in which they had even 350 plate appearances was in 2019, when Christian Yelich was in the second of his back-to-back MVP-caliber seasons.

Of course, there’s a good chunk of season left, so we don’t know how things will end up. But Jake Bauers, right now, is as good an offensive weapon as the Brewers have had in the past seven years — a span in which the Brewers have made the playoffs in all but one season and in which they’ve won four, perhaps soon to be five, division titles. On top of his on-field play, Bauers has also turned into a team leader; it was he who spoke out after the Brewers’ tough series in San Diego last week, and he who sparked their turnaround in Los Angeles, where they took three of four to salvage a solid road trip at the end of a 17-games-in-17-days stretch.

How did we get here?

If you told someone in 2017 that 10 years later Bauers would be one of the league’s best hitters (Bauers is eighth in the league in OPS+ at the start of play on Wednesday), that wouldn’t have surprised anyone. Bauers was a seventh-round pick of the Padres out of high school all the way back in 2013, but he was included in a massive trade after the 2014 season (one which included such highly regarded prospects and young players as Wil Myers, Trea Turner, and Joe Ross) that sent him to Tampa Bay. In the Rays system, Bauers thrived; in 2016, when he was just 20, he hit .274/.370/.420 with 14 home runs and 28 doubles at Double-A Montgomery, and he started appearing on top 100 prospect lists heading into 2017. Another strong season in 2017 (.263/.368/.412 as a 21-year-old at Triple-A Durham) put him on the major league doorstep. He was 22, and Baseball America had him as a top 50 prospect.

After that, things got rocky. He debuted with the Rays in 2018 and slugged a bit with 11 homers and drew a bunch of walks in 388 plate appearances, but he hit just .201. After the season, he was sent to Cleveland in a big trade that ended up with Carlos Santana in Cleveland and Yandy Díaz in Tampa (the Mariners took back some cash, a pick, and the shell of Edwin Encarnación). Bauers played 117 games for Cleveland in 2019 but hit just .226/.312/.371 (a 78 OPS+). He didn’t make Cleveland’s roster in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season and thus didn’t play baseball; in 2021, he got off to a poor start and was traded yet again, to Seattle, but the names in the trades that Bauers was included in at this point were losing some shine; Seattle sent a pitcher named Damon Casetta-Stubbs who never got above High-A.

The struggles continued in Seattle, and Bauers could only manage a minor league deal as a free agent in 2022. He played 29 games in Cincinnati’s system and hit .135/.276/.271. The Yankees brought him on and he hit .226/.352/.406 for Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. Things finally turned around a bit for the now 27-year-old Bauers in 2023; it was just a 24-game sample, but Bauers hit .359/.485/.897 (!) with 11 home runs in 97 plate appearances before he earned another chance in the big leagues with New York. The batting average was still poor, but Bauers did flash some power; 12 homers in 272 plate appearances for the Yankees in 84 games in 2023.

The Brewers traded for him after the season, sending a couple of lottery tickets, Jace Avina and Brian Sanchez, for him. As we all know here, the struggles continued for Bauers: in 117 games and 346 PA in 2024, he hit only .199. He did walk a lot, and he hit 12 homers, and Pat Murphy seemed to like him. He stuck around in 2025. Through 60 games played, Bauers was hitting .197 with five home runs in 151 plate appearances. On July 18, he went on the injured list with shoulder inflammation.

What changed?

It’s not entirely clear what happened in the four-ish weeks that Bauers spent on the injured list, but something happened. Bauers has talked about simplifying his approach, and in interviews these days you’ll hear him talk often about mental things like remaining even-keeled, not letting himself get too high or too low, valuing his family, and keeping a long view of things.

Whatever happened, Bauers was a different hitter. After a few games shaking the rust off, Bauers hit .360/.458/.560 in 22 games in September. In six postseason games, he hit .308 with a double and a homer in 14 plate appearances. This season, he has shown that whatever happened in that small sample at the end of the 2025 season has endured.

So what actually happened?

The fact is, Bauers always had some good indicators. Look at his Statcast pages going back to 2023; Bauers was always good at finding the barrel and hitting the ball hard. He didn’t chase much. He always swung the bat hard — he’s a strong guy. But the thing that really sticks out is strikeouts. Check out his strikeout percentages:

  • 2023: 34.9% (unqualified on Statcast, but bottom five-percent-ish)
  • 2024: 34.1%, 2nd percentile
  • 2025: 27.1% (unqualified, but 15th percentile-ish)
  • 2026: 24.8% (27th percentile)

Bauers still strikes out a lot, but he is vastly improved from four years ago, and the change that has made to his other indicators is enormous. While he was always getting his barrel on the ball and hitting it hard, he wasn’t putting the ball in play enough to be a major factor. But now look at the effect the increased balls in play have had on his expected batting average and slugging percentages:

  • 2023: .221 xBA, .475 xSLG
  • 2024: .199 xBA, .389 xSLG
  • 2025: .234 xBA, .457 xSLG
  • 2026: .260 xBA, .484 xSLG

Bauers has also always been an elite walk-taker; I mentioned the chase percentage as a major strength earlier, and to illustrate the point he was in the 88th percentile in walk percentage even when he was badly struggling in 2024. Bauers has sported walk percentages of 14.7 and 14.6% in the last two seasons; he’s in the top 10 in walk percentage this year and would’ve been last year if he’d qualified.

Bauers is a poor fielder. His reputation as a good defensive first baseman is merely a reputation at this point — his numbers don’t back it up. He does offer the Brewers value by being able to play in the outfield, and it has enabled them to opt for some offense-heavy lineups during times when they’ve really needed a boost. But let’s not pretend that Bauers is by any means a good, or even decent, defensive outfielder.

That does not diminish his value to the team, though. With Christian Yelich and William Contreras struggling badly for huge swaths of the 2026 season, with Jackson Chourio still in the “young and streaky” phase of his career (and absent for the first six weeks of the season), the Brewers needed someone to step up and lead the offense. Brice Turang has done his part, but Bauers is the guy who has been there all year, steadily. Bauers has five more homers than any other Brewer, he’s walked more than every Brewer except Turang (who has two more walks in 75 more plate appearances), his OPS+ is 12 points higher than the next highest (Andrew Vaughn) and 25 points higher than another player with 300 plate appearances (Turang).

Where do we go from here?

It’s certainly a question as to whether Bauers will be back to ply his trade with the Brewers beyond this season. He is a free agent, and he’s played well enough this season that he’s very possibly going to be the best free agent first baseman on the market. The Brewers very well may offer Bauers the qualifying offer (a decision that would be made before the looming lockout); would Bauers take it?

My guess is no — he’ll be 31 before the postseason is over, and according to Spotrac, Bauers’ career earnings are currently less than $10 million. I mean, I’d be happy to take that for my own career earnings, but we’re talking relatives here; this will be Bauers’ best chance to lock in generational wealth for his family. The roughly $22 million qualifying offer is a lot (and the Brewers should offer it, with Brandon Woodruff coming off the books), but at his age and with his limited track record of success beyond this season, I strongly suspect Bauers would be more likely to take a longer-term, higher-value deal even if the average annual value was lower.

Could the Brewers still be in on that deal? I’m looking at something like Christian Walker’s three-year, $60 million deal signed with the Astros before the 2025 season. Walker definitely had a longer record of success at that point — he’d averaged over three WAR per 162 games over the previous six seasons — but he was also entering his age-34 season, three years older than Bauers. Three years and $60 million would be a lot for the Brewers. Would Bauers settle for something like three years and $45 million? Or two years and $40 million? It’s hard to say, and it’s kind of difficult for me to believe that, given the offensive struggles of some of the league’s wealthiest teams this season, there wouldn’t be a team out there that would beat an offer like that. Plus, we’re all working in hypotheticals here, anyway — we do not know exactly what sort of limits on free agent contracts may or may not exist after the lockout.

(One other quick note that could apply here: if the Brewers do offer Bauers the qualifying offer and he declines it and signs elsewhere, Milwaukee does recoup a draft pick. But where that pick ends up could be a question; under current rules, if he signed for less than $50 million, it would be after the second round; if more than $50 million, it’s after the first round.)

For now, let’s worry about next year next year. Bauers has been immense for the Brewers this season, and given how long it took him to get to his place, it’s a good story, too. He’s probably going to end up with some down-ballot MVP votes this year, a nearly unthinkable outcome after the first couple years of Bauers’ Brewers tenure. Great teams often need a player like this to step up unexpectedly, and Bauers, at a bargain price, is doing that for the 2026 Brewers as they march toward the league’s best record.

Orioles news: Alexander nears rehab, De León switches to relief

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - AUGUST 19: Pete Alonso #25 of the Baltimore Orioles reacts during a review in the seventh inning against the New York Yankees at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on August 19, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. The review resulted in the play being a foul ball. (Photo by Greg Fiume/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Hello, friends.

Pete Alonso hit a fair ball into the left field seats last night that should have been a go-ahead home run. Let’s just get that one out of the way right off the top. It’s unbelievable that the umpire did not call a fair ball live and it’s even more unbelievable that the replay center did not accept the decisive angle that would have given the Orioles a 4-3 lead. I don’t subscribe to any conspiracy theories. I think those people are just bad at their jobs.

It is one of those times I would have liked to see some fire from the manager. The figurative shadow of Earl Weaver looms over any major league field involving the Orioles. Craig Albernaz doesn’t have to do it Earl’s way, but he does need to do it some way. Just get caught being mad at the umpires when the process has screwed over your team. Point, yell, gesticulate, whatever, let the team know you’re not going to take it sitting down. Go around yelling at people until they eject you, then yell a little more.

Albernaz doesn’t seem to do this; he didn’t do it last night anyway. I don’t think it’s why the Orioles lost the game. They lost because they have an insufficient number of relievers to rely upon, and also because they went 0-6 with runners in scoring position. I just think it’s something that Albernaz should have done.

After this mishap, in classic 2026 Orioles fashion, a variety of stupid things occurred and the result was a 5-3 loss at the hands of the Yankees. Check out John Beers’s recap of the game for more of the not-so-lovely totals.

The Orioles bullpen being what it is lately, maybe Alonso getting the home run that he deserved would have only set up an even more tragic way of blowing the freshly-earned lead. Two runs were charged to Cam Sanders in an eighth inning outing where he hit two batters and walked another one. It’s not good to have to rely on guys of this ilk. You might get a few pleasant surprises out of them initially but guys like this are relatively cheaply available for a reason and the longer you give them, the more likely they’ll show you.

It’s a bad way to build a bullpen and these weaknesses have been exposed even more since Mike Elias decided to trade Tyler Wells ahead of the deadline. Grant Wolfram has fallen apart. Rico Garcia had his problems recently. Yennier Cano has hit a rough patch since being called into higher-leverage later-game situations. And those are just the ones you might have liked at one time. There are other, rougher names involved.

Perhaps there’s going to be at least one new face coming soon to the bullpen. Orioles beat writers, including The Baltimore Banner’s Andy Kostka, put this one out last night:

Is De León going to be anything? I don’t know. He was only promoted to Triple-A Norfolk recently and he’s got a 5.28 ERA and 1.83 WHIP through his first four games. Just last night, he walked three batters over the course of a scoreless inning of relief. He is the #7 prospect on MLB Pipeline’s recently-updated top Orioles prospect list. He becomes Rule 5 draft eligible this offseason. Perhaps they think he can be an extra weapon out of the bullpen. Perhaps they’ll even be right.

The 2026 American League playoff situation being what it is, the Orioles did not lose any ground in the wild card chase. The Blue Jays lost. The Guardians lost. The Tigers lost. The Rangers lost. Only the Twins were winners, so they now stand in the third wild card spot, half a game ahead of Texas and a touch farther ahead of others. Minnesota is off today. The Orioles only have to win to peel back the half game.

They need the win also to avoid being swept by the Yankees. I’ve gotta say, folks, it is entirely in character for the 2026 team to really rope people in with winning the first three games of that Rays series only to fall apart after that. They lost the next three games, each in fairly agonizing fashion. They try to avoid a fourth straight loss as the series concludes starting at 6:35 tonight. It won’t be easy: Gerrit Cole is pitching for New York. Kyle Bradish makes the start for the O’s.

Orioles stuff you might have missed

Which teams have suffered the most due to injuries? (FanGraphs)
You probably won’t be surprised to know that the Orioles are in the top 5 of this ZiPS-projected WAR lost to injury.

To try and get his bat going, Gunnar Henderson needed more than batting tweaks (Baltimore Baseball)
There are some encouraging signs for Henderson recently. Hopefully we continue to see encouraging signs.

Albernaz must trust starters when they earn it (The Baltimore Sun)
The Sun was taking Albernaz to task yesterday for pulling Shane Baz in Tuesday’s game. Many people took the opposite view, that Baz wasn’t pulled soon enough.

Alexander nearing rehab assignment and return (School of Roch)
Samuel Basallo is back, Blaze Alexander is close to a rehab assignment, is there enough time for things to come back together? On that question, make sure you vote in our poll that’s running this week.

Birthdays and Orioles anniversaries

The most recent Orioles victory on today’s date came two years ago, when they knocked off the Mets by a 9-5 margin to pull into first place in the AL East by a half-game margin. Anthony Santander and James McCann each homered in the game. Dean Kremer was pretty good. Just four of the fifteen players who appeared in that box score for the team are on the 40-man roster right now.

There are a pair of former Orioles who were born on this day. They are: 1996-2001 outfielder Gene Kingsale, and 1955-59 pitcher George Zuverink.

Is today your birthday? Happy birthday to you! Your birthday buddies for today include: Chilean Supreme Director Bernardo O’Higgins (1778), 23rd president Benjamin Harrison (1833), horror author H.P. Lovecraft (1890), baseball Hall of Famer Al López (1908), musician/actor Isaac Hayes (1942), TV weatherman Al Roker (1954), actor Ke Huy Quan (1971), and singer-songwriter Demi Lovato (1992).

On this day in history…

In 636, the expanding Rashidun Caliphate defeated the Byzantine Empire in the Battle of the Yarmuk, seizing control of the area of modern-day Syria from the Byzantines.

In 1648, France defeated a Spanish-Lorraine force in the Battle of Lens, a decisive victory that paved the way for the Peace of Westphalia and the end of the Thirty Years War later in the year.

In 1858, the theory of evolution developed by Charles Darwin was first published in a journal titled The Journal of the Proceedings of the Linnean Society of London.

In 1882, the 1812 Overture by Tchaikovsky had its premiere performance in Moscow.

In 1977, the Voyager 2 probe launched, actually launching before Voyager 1 even though it’s numbered second. The probe passed by Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune over the next 12 years and is now over 13.3 billion miles from Earth.

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And that’s the way it is in Birdland on August 20. Have a safe Thursday. Go O’s!

Phillies News: Nestor Cortes, Zack Wheeler, Derek Hill

MINNEAPOLIS, MINNESOTA - AUGUST 16: Alec Bohm #28 of the Philadelphia Phillies (R) celebrates his three-run home run with Brandon Marsh #16 during the sixth inning against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on August 16, 2026 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Matt Krohn/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Phillies have the day off today before they will look to continue their recent streak of good play against the Cardinals this weekend at Citizens Bank Park. It’s probably for the best the off day is today, as it looks like it would have been incredibly difficult to play a ballgame with tonight’s forecasted weather.

On to the links.

Phillies news:

MLB news:

When Yankees call, lefty reliever Brent Headrick answers every time: 'Attack the day'

BALTIMORE – There’s nothing quite so bottomless as a 162-game Major League Baseball season. Brent Headrick is discovering that three excruciating outs at a time.

After pitching a scoreless seventh inning and getting a favorable ruling on a questionable foul ball call, Headrick has pitched in 65 of the New York Yankees’ 126 games this season. That is an 84-game pace, which would rank second in franchise history, one game ahead of Scott Proctor and two games behind Paul Quantrill, who were used, shall we say, liberally by manager Joe Torre in the mid-2000s.

Back then, usage and load management and the long-term effects of a heavy season on an arm weren’t so copiously tracked. Nearly three decades into this century, arm care and the desire to avoid three appearances in three days, or four in five, are canon on most pitching staffs.

But these are the 2026 Yankees, wracked by injuries to the lineup and short in the rotation with aces Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón and Max Fried all recovering from elbow maladies at various points.

Close and late is the Yankee way right now. And so more nights than not, the bullpen phone rings and summons Headrick.

Answering that call night after night after night is as much a mental challenge as a physical one. And Headrick, a 6-foot-6, 235-pound left-hander, leans heavily on the words imparted by the Yankees’ mental skills staff.

“I’ve said this since early in the season: Attack the day,” Headrick tells USA TODAY Sports. “Each day can lead to the next. You can look two weeks in advance, but it’s not going to do any good. For me, with every aspect of the game, I try to live in today. Take care of what today needs.

“And worry about tomorrow when it gets here. That mentality has allowed me to be more present and take care of my body and do things the right way so I’m prepped for a longer season.”

And oh, what a season.

Headrick has posted a 1.55 ERA in his 65 games, striking out 79 in 64 innings. His 20 holds are eighth in the American League, and he’s holding opponents to a .224 average, with just three homers surrendered.

Yet any number of statistics don’t illustrate Headrick’s value as much as any phrase that exemplifies reliability.

The man posts, as they say.

“We’re always trying to take inventory with guys on a daily basis,” says Yankees pitching coach Matt Blake. “Are they emotionally up for it? Are they mentally or physically exhausted? He’s done a good job communicating when he needs a day. We typically avoid three in a row and four out of five. There have been a couple instances this year we’ve had to push a guy because of the schedule or where the starters were at.

“He’s always been up for it. It’s a testament to how he’s taken care of his body, how he’s managing his throwing program and how efficient he is out there.”

He’d better be efficient. Running your fastball up to 95 mph, mixing in a slider, a sinker and a splitter isn’t necessarily easy on the arm.

Proctor remains one of the game’s cautionary tales. He pitched in 83 games in both 2006 and 2007 but by 2009 his right elbow had, in the words of orthopedist James Andrews, “turned to mush.”

In fact, nine of the top 10 games pitched totals in Yankees history came under Torre’s watch between 1997 and 2007. Safe to say the Yankees are warier of the season’s odometer in this era.

“Definitely something we’ve got to be mindful of, especially as we head down the stretch,” says Blake. “You gotta be smart.”

But the way these Yankees are built makes this challenging. At 71-55, they have a firm grasp on the No. 1 wild card in the AL, and are five games behind Tampa Bay in the East. Minus reigning MVP Aaron Judge, though, and with Cody Bellinger starting a rehab assignment Thursday, it has been a grind.

The value is reflected in the team’s WAR totals. Cy Young Award favorite Cam Schlittler is No. 1, followed by Bellinger and Fried. No. 4, with 2.6 WAR? That’d be Headrick, selected off waivers from the Twins in February 2025.

Righty set-up man Paul Blackburn (2.3) is tied with 34-homer All-Star Ben Rice for fourth. Weird year.

Brent Headrick of the New York Yankees pitches in the seventh inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Yet Headrick and Co. keep answering. They’ve taken two games off the Orioles here by 3-1 and 5-3 scores, with four of their relievers – Fernando Cruz, Headrick, Blackburn and closer David Bednar – all pitching back-to-back.

While Cruz gave up a game-tying home run Wednesday, all got their jobs done, with the other lefty, Tim Hill, retiring all four batters after starter Will Warren went just four innings.

The Yankees are 41-24 when Headrick pitches, perhaps the best proof of his high-leverage lifestyle.

“They’ve been awesome,” says manager Aaron Boone. “It’s why we’re in this position playing where we are now, is the strength of our starting rotation, anchored by Bus at the end.”

Headrick calls the bullpen’s success “contagious,” and it is evident. The unit ranks second in the majors with a 3.02 ERA and seventh in strikeouts per nine innings, buttressed by a precision that comes with a 2.49 strikeout-walk ratio that ranks ninth in MLB.

He’s pitched three times in four days on a half-dozen occasions, though the Yankees have avoided throwing him three days in a row, for now.

Still, showing up, in a sense, is half the battle.

“I take a ton of pride. I love being able to help this team win games any day I can,” says Headrick. “Whenever that opportunity comes and they call my name, it’s my job to be ready and I’m going to go out there and give it everything I have.”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: When Yankees call, lefty reliever Brent Headrick answers every time: 'Attack the day'

Pirates acquire catcher from Yankees

Feb 21, 2025; Dunedin, FL, USA; Toronto Blue Jays catcher Christian Bethancourt (60) participates in media day at the Blue Jays Player Development Complex. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images | USA TODAY Sports via Reuters Con

The Pittsburgh Pirates made a minor move yesterday, acquiring catcher Christian Bethancourt from the New York Yankees for the ever nebulous cash considerations.

The 34-year-old Bethancourt was playing in the Minors for the Yankees organization, and while he will be a Minor League player for the Bucs, officially to be assigned to Triple-A Indianpolis, he will be part of the taxi squad for the Bucs for their extended road trip on Friday.

Bethancourt has bounced around the league quite a bit, spending time with the Atlanta Braves, Tampa Rays, San Diego Padres, Oakland A’s, Chicago Cubs, Miami Marlins, and even did a stint with the Bucs back in 2021.

He hit 11 homers in 2022 and again in 2023, but he’s just a career .225 hitter, and his high water mark for RBIs was 34.

Nonetheless, with Endy Rodriguez once again dealing with injury issues, the Bucs are shorthanded at catcher, and having another backstop in the mix, especially for the upcoming road trip, was a priority for the team.

So a minor move for the Bucs, but one that appears neccessary. Welcome back to the ‘Burgh, Christian.