Colorado Rockies game no. 40 thread: Kyle Freeland vs. Aaron Nola

DENVER, CO - MAY 3: Starting pitcher Kyle Freeland #21 of the Colorado Rockies delivers a pitch in the fifth inning against the Atlanta Braves at Coors Field on May 3, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Well, that was quite the way to open the series.

The Colorado Rockies survived another blown lead to manage an exciting extra-inning win against the Philadelphia Phillies last night. Colorado carries a two-game winning streak into the matchup, as the teams meet for the second time this weekend and the fifth time already in this young season.

Tonight, Kyle Freeland takes on Aaron Nola.

Freeland enters with a 1-3 record in five games started, with a 5.04 ERA, 1.360 WHIP, eight walks, and 24 strikeouts. He’s had an equal mix of very good games and pretty shaky games. In two of his earlier starts, he gave up eight hits and two earned runs in both games combined. On the other side of things, he gave up eight hits and six earned runs in his last game, the 11-6 loss to the Atlanta Braves last Sunday. He’ll aim to bounce back today.

Colorado already got a look at Nola in the 10-1 home opener loss. As the score might suggest, he dominated the Rockies in that one. While he did give up the lone run, he surrendered just five hits alongside nine strikeouts, controlling the game with a lead in his 6.1 innings pitched.

Since then, Nola’s production has fluctuated. He picked up one more win and three losses across five starts since his early season appearance at Coors. His last start (on Monday against the Miami Marlins) was his best of the season. He pitched a scoreless six innings, notching five hits and five strikeouts in a 1-0 win. In his two starts before that, Nola gave up five earned runs in a loss to the Chicago Cubs and six earned runs on two homers in a loss to the Braves. He currently sits at 2-3 across seven starts, with a 5.06 ERA, 1.446 WHIP, 13 walks, and 40 strikeouts.

The Saturday night showdown gives us two pitchers (and honestly, two offenses) that have had a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde season. The two starters boast essentially identical ERAs and a similar mix of ups and downs. If last night is any indication, we’re in for another fun one!

First Pitch: 4:05 p.m. MDT

TV: Rockies.TV

Radio: KOA 850 AM/94.1 FM; KNRV 1150 (Spanish)

Phillies SB Nation Site:The Good Phight

Lineups:

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Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers preview, Saturday 5/9, 6:05 CT

Saturday notes…

  • STREAKING: The current season is only the fourth since 1901 in which the Cubs have enjoyed multiple double-digit winning streaks — and the first in 91 years. They won 14, 12, 10 and 10 in a row in 1906. They won 11 and 10 in 1910. They won 21 and 11 in 1935. The Cubs had one streak of at least 10 wins in six seasons before 1935 and have had one in 10 seasons since then. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • STEALING: The Cubs stole three bases last night. They had swiped three in only two earlier games this season: a 10-2 win at home over Nationals on March 28, second game of season, and a 9-2 win at Tampa on April 8 — 27 games before yesterday. They have stolen two bases twice, March 30 and April 15, and one base in 13 games, for a total of 18 with a steal and 21 with none. Last season, the Cubs stole at least three bases in 19 games, stole two in 23 and stole one in 40, for a total of 82 with a steal and 78 with none. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • BEST IN THE BIZ: This season is just the fifth since 1901 in which the Cubs have had the best record in baseball after their 39th game. The last time, as you might have guessed, was in 2016,. They were 28-11 and the Orioles were second, at 24-15. The Nationals were second among National League teams, at 25-16. The three earlier times came in a span of five seasons in the first decade of the 1900s. In 1903, the Cubs were 28-11 and the Giants were 26-11. In 1904, the Cubs were 26-11, to 27-12 by the Red Sox and 26-12 by the Giants. In 1907, the Cubs were 30-9; the Giants, 28-11; and the White Sox, 27-12. A year earlier, the Cubs had been the best in the NL, at 26-13, but the Athletics of the AL, at 22-10, had a higher winning percentage, .688 to .667. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • THE SEIYA FILES: Seiya Suzuki, last 20 games since April 15: .329/.432/.658 (24-for-73) with three doubles, seven home runs, 12 walks, 15 RBI and 17 runs scored.

Cubs lineup:

Rangers lineup:

Edward Cabrera, RHP vs. Jack Leiter, RHP

Edward Cabrera has been remarkably consistent this year. After starting with two scoreless outings, he has allowed exactly three earned runs in each of his last five starts. So you pretty much know what you’re getting with a Cabrera start.

This will be Cabrera’s first-ever start against the Rangers. So, most of the Rangers have not faced him. One who has, from their common time in the NL East, is Brandon Nimmo (6-for-16, a double, seven walks).

Jack Leiter is the son of former MLB pitcher Al Leiter, and so the first cousin of former Cub Mark Leiter Jr.

Highly touted, he was picked in the first round in 2021 (second overall) by the Rangers.

He had a pretty good year in 2025 (29 starts, 3.86 ERA) but this year has been a bit rough, with a 5.45 ERA and seven home runs allowed in 38 innings.

This will be Leiter’s first-ever start against the Cubs. Only three Cubs (Alex Bregman, Carson Kelly and Nicky Lopez) have ever faced him, and have gone a small sample size 0-for-9.

Today’s game is on Marquee Sports Network.

Here is the complete MLB.com live streaming page for today.

MLB.com Gameday

Baseball-reference.com game preview

Please visit our SB Nation Rangers site Lone Star Ball. If you do go there to interact with Rangers fans, please be respectful, abide by their individual site rules and serve as a good representation of Cub fans in general and BCB in particular.

The 2026 game discussion procedure has been changed, so please take note.

You’ll find the game preview, like this one, posted separately on the front page two hours before game time (90 minutes for some early day games following night games).

At the same time, a StoryStream containing the preview will also post on the front page, titled “Cubs vs. (Team) (Day of week/date) game threads.” It will contain every post related to that particular game.

The Live! (formerly “First Pitch”) thread will still post at five minutes to game time. It will also post to the front page. That will be the only live game discussion thread. After the game, the recap and Heroes and Goats will also live on the front page as separate posts.

You will also be able to find the preview, Live! thread, recap and Heroes and Goats in this section link. The StoryStream for each game can also be found in that section.

Discuss amongst yourselves.

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Game 40: Twins at Guardians

May 8, 2026; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Guardians second baseman Travis Bazzana (37) celebrates after hitting a home run during the first inning against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-Imagn Images | Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

First Pitch: 1:10 pm CDT
TV: Twins.TV
Radio: TIBN / WCCO 830 / The Wolf 102.9 FM / Audacy

Forty games of baseball is probably “enough” games of baseball to feel like you have a sense of the team you’re watching. After 40 games, my sense is roughly the same as it was after 34 games, when I remarked that the team was, in no uncertain terms, “ass.”

Since we last left off, the Twins had salvaged a split against the Blue Jays, then handed the Washington Nationals their first home series win (a la last season’s Colorado Rockies), and got jumped by the Cleveland Guardians on Apple TV. For all the chatter about the relative weakness of the division, Minnesota remains dead last in the American League Central with a 16-23 record, and are dangerously close to being the worst outright team in the league.

That one Detroit/Boston week notwithstanding, the Twins are starting to look like the bits-and-pieces roster that preseason assessments identified.

FUN STUFF, GANG!

Today, Joe Ryan makes one of his last starts on the team. Maybe, at the very least, we can be excited for his future and what it holds. He’s got forty strikeouts so far — one for every game the Twins have played! He didn’t get one per game, though. He doesn’t pitch that often, you silly billy.

Meanwhile, Tanner Bibee is looking to get his first win of the year after an 0-5 record in eight starts to begin 2026. It’s as good an opportunity as any!

GO TWINS GO!

Mets pitching prospect Zach Thornton goes six innings in Triple-A debut

After getting promoted from Double-A to Triple-A earlier in the week, Mets pitching prospect left-hander Zach Thornton made his Syracuse debut on Saturday afternoon.

In his first start for Triple-A, Thornton pitched six innings and allowed three earned runs on five hits, including a home run, and two walks while striking out four. The lefty threw 84 pitches (60 strikes) and was pulled with his team down 3-2.

Rochester, the Triple-A affiliate of the Washington Nationals, got to Thornton in the first inning after two doubles sandwiching a walk scored a run. After a strikeout, Thornton made a nice play on a ball hit to him, throwing home to nab the runner trying to score.

The left-hander allowed two more runs in the third on a two-run shot by Yohandy Morales on a 1-2 sinker to put Syracuse down 3-0. From there, though, Thornton locked in and retired 11 of the final 12 batters he faced.

Thornton took the loss as the Mets’ offense was mostly quiet, although No. 9 hitter Jackson Cluff homered to lead off the bottom of the sixth to get Syracuse closer, 3-2. The Mets went on to lose, 7-4, but it was a solid start for Thornton who now has a 3.77 ERA in six starts between Double-A and Triple-A.

Guardians Analysis: Welcoming Patrick Bailey to Cleveland

SAN FRANCISCO, CA - MAY 06: Patrick Bailey #14 of the San Francisco Giants leaves the field prior to the game between the San Diego Padres and the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on Wednesday, May 6, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Emma Bronsteader/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

It’s not every day that you see the Guardians making a notable trade before the calendar flips to July. (In fact, I can’t remember the last time the Guardians made a move like this this far in advance of the deadline).

If you missed it (somehow), the Guardians traded for 2-time Gold Glover Patrick Bailey from the Giants. They sent LHP Matt Wilkinson and their 2026 CB-A pick (#29) in return. In a corresponding move, the Guardians optioned Bo Naylor to AAA.

Patrick Bailey is a very interesting player. He is, arguably, the best defender in baseball (among all players, not just catchers). He is, by far, the best defensive catcher (although, on a rate basis, Hedges is close). His bat is underwhelming, but then again so are most of our catchers’. Before we get to the defense, let’s talk about his offense. This trade has been relatively polarizing because of his offensive numbers, and because people are (in my opinion) perhaps overrating what we gave up to get Bailey.

Bailey is a switch-hitter, and has been around a 70 wRC+ over his career. However, despite that, he’s put up over 10 fWAR in his first 3 seasons. He has three more years of control (FA in 2030). His chase and whiff rates are around league-average, but his strikeout and walk rates are far below league average. He showed flashes in 2024 of perhaps being a league-average bat, but hasn’t gotten back to that since. In 2024 he sported the highest pull air rate of his career. We all know that’s something the Guardians specialize in with their hitting development, so perhaps there is some more offense to unlock with Bailey. Even if there isn’t, he’s a 3 WAR player on his defense alone. For reference, he’d be 3rd among all Guardians since 2023 in fWAR. That is an incredibly valuable player.

I do wonder if the Guardians think there’s an approach adjustment to be made with Bailey, especially one that prioritizes him pulling the ball in the air. Oracle Park is, pretty much across the board, disadvantageous for hitters, so hopefully the transition to Progressive Field will help. His bat speed has slowly crept up since 2023 (70.1 -> 72.8 this year).

To his defense! Bailey is the best defensive catcher of the 2020s and, with time, could very well become the best defensive catcher of the pitch-tracking era. He ranks first in framing runs, defensive runs saved, and fielding run value among catchers. He’s so good at framing that that becomes almost the entire conversation around him. You can read more in-depth about his framing here. He also excels at something that Guardians catchers have been, well, not great at: throwing out runners.

Apart from the fact that he is elite at framing, throwing out runners and, frankly, all aspects of catcher defense, pitchers rave about his game-calling and leadership, citing him as a big part of the reason they’ve succeeded in MLB. Bo Naylor has really struggled in that aspect. From what I’ve gathered, there are more than just a few Guardians pitchers who do not trust Naylor behind the plate. His ability to manage a game from start to finish has been a problem throughout his career, something that Hedges, for one, is among the best at. Bailey has frequently been able to get the best out of his pitchers. For example, he’s caught Logan Webb 78 times throughout his major league career. Three other catchers have caught Webb >10 times: Joey Bart (30), Curt Casali (26), Buster Posey (19). Webb has performed better with Bailey than with any of the other catchers, including with a future HOFer in Posey. Webb sports a 3.10 ERA across nearly 500 innings with Bailey, over a tenth of a run lower than with any of those catchers. (Vogt caught him 5 times, and Webb had an ERA well north of 7 with him behind the plate).

The Guardians, essentially, traded for a younger, cheaper version of Hedges. This move clearly signals that they are comfortable with where the lineup is right now, and that they are fine with a black hole at catcher with the rest of the lineup producing. I know a lot of people are clamoring about Ingle, but I just don’t think the Guardians are 100% believers in his defense. Catcher defense is, obviously, incredibly important to the Guardians. It’s what they prioritize above all else in catchers. Ingle, they think, clearly isn’t ready to handle calling a game start to finish.

Regardless, Bailey should be extremely fun to watch behind the plate, and the Guardians didn’t have to give up anything that overwhelming for a 3 WAR player.

Game Thread: Can we all agree that this has been a weird start to the season?

ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - MAY 01: Yandy Díaz #2 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates with teammates in the dugout after hitting a home run in the second inning against the San Francisco Giants at Tropicana Field on May 01, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Go Rays!

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Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Game Thread

MIAMI, FLORIDA - MAY 8: James Wood #29 of the Washington Nationals celebrates with teammates after winning the game against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on May 8, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Leonardo Fernandez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Nats did not score after the first inning last night, but the three runs they put up were enough to win the game. Foster Griffin was fabulous and the bullpen secured the win. They are now only one game under .500, with a chance to be 20-20 if they win today. 

With a righty on the mound, there will be a few changes. Luis Garcia Jr. will be making his first start in almost a week. The Nats first baseman was dealing with a minor injury, and Curtis Mead was hitting well in his absence. Jose Tena and Drew Millas will also be back in the lineup. Blake Butera will be deploying Richard Lovelady as an opener and using Zack Littell in a bulk relief role.

The Marlins are also making some changes to their lineup with Littell being the bulk man. Liam Hicks has been one of the Marlins most productive hitters, and he will be in the lineup today. We will also see Jakob Marsee and Owen Caissie in the outfield today. Both are young talents who have gotten off to slower starts. Janson Junk is far from the biggest name in the Marlins rotation, but he has arguably been their best pitcher this year. 

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Game Info:

Stadium: loanDepot Park

Time: 4:10 PM EST

TV: Nationals.TV

Radio: 106.7 The Fan

Getting to .500 would be a huge boost for the players and the fans. Zack Littell has struggled this year, but looked better in that bulk role he is pitching in today. Hopefully he can step up and help this team get a win today. I am fired up to watch the boys play ball! Follow along in the comments down below and let’s go Nats.

Orioles Saturday afternoon game thread, 4:05pm ET

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - MAY 3: Aaron Civale #45 of the Athletics pitches the ball against the Cleveland Guardians during the second inning at Sutter Health Park on May 3, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Kelley L Cox/Getty Images) | Getty Images

OK, so that was lackluster. The Orioles did it again on Friday night, taking a pedestrian starter in Jacob Lopez (err, that’s generous, even for someone with a 6.60 ERA entering last night) and making him look like an ace. They managed just two runs off of Lopez, both on solo home runs.

So does that mean that today, by the transitive property, facing a competent right-handed starter in Aaron Civale (3-1, 2.95 ERA) they’ll him look like a bum? I have my doubts.

Now in his eighth season, the 30-year-old has bounced around between six teams since 2023, including Tampa Bay, where some of this team remembers facing him. As John Beers’ series preview noted, Civale been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this season, with a 2.95 ERA comparing quite favorably to an xERA of 4.19. His hard-hit rate is flirting with 50% and his strikeout rate, 6.60 per game. Neither number is good. Maybe the O’s can take advantage.

Gunnar Henderson likes hitting off the righty, with a .427 BA and one HR in 7 AB’s. But the rest of the team hasn’t done much against him: Adley Rutschman is 1-for-9, Pete Alonso 1-for-5 and Taylor Ward 0-for-10 facing Civale.

As for the Orioles’ champion, Shane Baz (1-3, 4.99 ERA, 33 K) is showing flashes of his potential interspersed with stretches of murkiness. On April 28 against Houston, Baz was excellent, going 5 2/3 innings with just one run and strikeouts. But his last time out in the Bronx, the reception was much more unfriendly, as the righty allowed five runs in 5 2/3 while also walking five.

The Athletics, first place though they are, are not the Yankees at the dish. Baz has faced a few of these hitters before: Shane Langeliers has the best track record, at 4-for-10 with a one home run. Lawrence Butler is 2-for-10. And Nick Kurtz is 0-for-7.

Conceivably, this could be a good matchup for the O’s. Will they cash in?

Orioles lineup

1. Gunnar Henderson SS
2. Tyler Ward LF
3. Adley Rutschman C
4. Pete Alonso 1B
5. Samuel Basallo DH
6. Leody Taveras CF
7. Dylan Beavers RF
8. Coby Mayo 3B
9. Jeremiah Jackson 2B

Athletics lineup

1. Nick Kurtz 1B
2. Shane Langeliers C
3. Tyler Soderstrom LF
4. Brent Rooker DH
5. Carlos Cortes RF
6. Jacob Wilson SS
7. Lawrence Butler CF
8. Zack Gelof 3B
9. Jeff McNeil 2B

Is Bobby Cox the most beloved MLB manager ever? Atlanta lost its 'heart and soul'

I loved Bobby Cox.

So did every soul who ever met the man.

Those close to Cox knew this day was coming, and really were preparing since he suffered a massive stroke in 2019.

Still, when the news hit Saturday that he passed away at the age of 84, it still hit hard, bringing tears and memories

“He’s in a better place," said former Atlanta manager Brian Snitker, who visited Cox at least once a homestand when he managed, and told USA TODAY Sports he was the greatest influence in his baseball career. “I loved the man. Bobby had a way of making everybody feel as if they’re the most important person in the world.”

It was a sentiment shared among anyone that knew Cox, the Hall of Fame manager, who led Atlanta to 14 consecutive division titles, five pennants and a World Series championship during his 21-year career with Atlanta.

In the words of Hall of Fame GM John Schuerholz, who worked alongside Cox as the architect of their dynasty: “He’s the heart and soul of the Braves."

Bobby Cox in 2016.

There may not have been more of a beloved manager in the history of the game than Cox. When his team struggled, or a player would struggle, they would feel awful, not for themselves, but knowing they let Cox down.

“Bobby is one of the best human beings any of us have ever met," former Atlanta catcher Brian McCann said. “He’s touched so many lives in here. … He’s an icon. He is the Atlanta Braves.”

Hall of Fame center fielder Andruw Jones, who once was yanked from a game after failing to hustle in his rookie season, said he owes his career to Cox where he became a 10-time Gold Glove outfielder who hit 434 home runs.

“To be honest with you, Bobby’s always been a second dad to me from the beginning of my career," Jones told USA TODAY Sports last summer. “He wanted you to do the right things and grow up the way he’d want. Obviously, we’re not perfect, but we wanted to carry ourselves the way he’d want on and off the field.

“I wouldn’t have been the player I became without Bobby Cox."

Really, Cox had an impact on virtually every single person who walked through the doors of the organization, with Bryan Duffy, who once worked as a team bat boy, recalling Saturday that Cox, “Made me feel as valued as any player."

“He was the best, the absolute best," Hall of Fame first baseman Fred McGriff told USA TODAY Sports. “Every player who played for Bobby, to this day, has never said a bad word about Bobby Cox.

“He wasn’t like these other managers in today’s game when everyone is trying to be nicey-nicey, and take care of players. There was no need for us to have a team captain to tell someone in the clubhouse to do something right. Bobby would do it himself.

“Even when I played on all of those great Braves teams, there were times Bobby would close the door, and just wear us out. But no one would know about it. You knew exactly how he felt without reading about it or hearing about it somewhere else."

If you played for Cox, you looked and acted like a professional, on and off the field. You didn’t wear shorts or have your shirt untucked during batting practice. You didn’t wear sunglasses that covered the “A" on your ballcap. When traveling, sports jackets, collared shirts and dress pants were required. There was no music in the clubhouse. If you wanted to listen to your own music, put on headsets. If you wanted to see your kids, they had to wait outside. The way Cox figured it, not everyone liked the same genre of music, so why irritate even one person? Not everyone had the best-behaved children, so why let someone’s kids run around annoying players or staff members?

“Bobby had very few rules," Hall of Fame third baseman Chipper Jones said. “Just basically show up on time, wear the uniform correctly, and play your ass off."

Said Atlanta World Series hero David Justice: “He’s one of those guys that you just love and you respect. He was one of those lovable guys, man, that allowed you to go out there and play the game, and if you play hard, you’re going to be in his good graces. That’s why everybody wanted to play for Bobby Cox."

There were plenty of times in recent years that family and friends thought Cox wouldn’t make it through the night. There was congestive heart failure. There were bouts with pneumonia. There was COVID. There were blood clots.

“He’s the toughest, strongest guy I’ve ever been around,’’ Snitker said. “It’s amazing.’’

Cox, who had eight children and 23 grandchildren, made a surprise visit in 2024 to players and the staff, with the entire team surrounding him for a picture. He was in a wheelchair, and had trouble communicating, but acknowledged each player, while they fought back tears. He was last at Truist Park on Aug. 22, 2025, for the 30th anniversary celebration of the 1995 World Series team.

Snitker, former manager Fredi Gonzalez and former pitching coach Leo Mazzone were regular visitors to see Cox over the years, but it became more difficult. Cox’s right side was paralyzed, and he had more trouble communicating. He could understand everyone, and religiously watched their games, but his condition just slowly kept deteriorating.

“It’s just so tough," Hall of Fame third baseman Chipper Jones told USA TODAY Sports last summer. “I went over to his house a couple of years ago, and he couldn’t talk. It was just awkward being there. I haven’t gone back since that day.

“It’s just that I want to remember Bobby the way he was, not the way he is now."

Cox may be gone now, but never, ever will be forgotten by those blessed to know him.

“Bobby is the most important person in franchise history, right there with Hank Aaron," Mazzone said.  “The Braves aren’t who they are without Bobby Cox. He has meant everything to them.’’

And always will.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Did Bobby Cox die? Atlanta legend was MLB's most beloved manager

Spencer Strider looks to bounce back for Braves against the Dodgers

DENVER, CO - MAY 03: Spencer Strider #99 of the Atlanta Braves pitches during the game between the Atlanta Braves and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Sunday, May 3, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Ray Bahner/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The Braves face the Los Angeles Deathstars in game 2 of their weekend 3-game series and this is the game with the biggest name value in the pitching matchup, as Spencer Strider faces off with Blake Snell.

Strider’s first outing of the season last week went pretty poorly in Colorado, but it was also in Colorado, a notoriously abnormal environment unfriendly to pitching. That said, his control was clearly not there, which isn’t something you would expect to be altitude-driven. The promising part of his outing was the 6 strikeouts and 14 whiffs he got through 3.1 innings and 87 pitches. Let’s hope that Spencer can pitch much longer into the game today, as his abbreviated last start somewhat wrecked the pitching staff for a few days. He’ll also need to find much better command against this terrifying Dodgers lineup.

The Dodgers will have their own star pitcher returning from injury, as Blake Snell will make his season debut for them. He replaced another star pitcher for LA, Tyler Glasnow, who hits the IL. Snell is a former Cy Young winner, but it’s never a certainty how a pitcher will fair in their return from an injury, particularly after missing a normal Spring Training. Snell is a tough lefty, which is not a great matchup for an Atlanta lineup, which has three star-level lefty bats, is missing Ronald Acuna, and has a struggling Austin Riley, though righty-Ozzie is always a plus. Snell’s curveball and changeup are nasty, though his fastball is more variable. He is also notoriously “effectively wild”, so the Braves can and should take some walks against him, which also contributes to his relatively short outings for a starter of his quality.

I’d give this matchup a solid advantage to LA on paper, given the platoon splits and how long it’s been since we saw a dominant Spencer Strider at the major league level, but with fairly large error bars, since both pitchers are just getting back from injury.

Game Info

Game Time: Saturday, May 9th, 9:10 pm EDT

Location: UNIGLO Field at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA.

Watch: BravesVision

Radio/Audio: 680 AM / 93.7 FM The Fan

Astros vs. Reds Game Thread: Game 40, 5/9/2026

BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - MAY 02: Starting pitcher Spencer Arrighetti #41 of the Houston Astros throws in the first inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on May 02, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jaiden Tripi/Getty Images) | Getty Images

TODAY’S GAME: The Houston Astros (16-23) and Cincinnati Reds (20-19) play their second game of a three-game series this afternoon at Great American Ball Park with first pitch scheduled for 3:10 p.m. CT.

RHP Spencer Arrighetti (4-0, 1.96 ERA) is on the mound for the Astros looking for his fifth consecutive winning decision, while the Reds will have RHP Chase Burns (3-1, 2.20 ERA) on the mound today.

MOM’S SPAGHETTI: After starting the season at Triple A Sugar Land, RHP Spencer Arrighetti has been strong in his four starts for the Astros this season. He is 4-0 with a 1.96 ERA (5ER/23IP) with 25 strikeouts, 14 walks and a .195 opponent batting average.

In his last start on Saturday May 2 at BOS, he allowed one run on five hits and five walks with four strikeouts in five innings.

RECENT SUCCESS: RHP Spencer Arrighetti was recalled from Triple A Sugar Land on April 15. Since making his season debut, he ranks first in the AL in wins (4), eighth in ERA (1.96), 10th in opponent batting average (.195) and T-12th in strikeouts (25).

VS. THE REDS: The Astros have faced the Reds 858 times in their history, their most games played against any other Major League franchise, going 404-453-1 in the all-time series.

The Astros went 2-1 against the Reds in 2025 at Daikin Park. Last night, the Astros secured the first win at Great American Ball Park since Sept. 9, 2012.

TODAY’S ROSTER MOVE: The Astros placed LHP Bennett Sousa (retro 5/6) on the 15-day IL due to left elbow inflammation. To take his place on the active roster, the Astros have recalled RHP Jayden Murray from Triple A Sugar Land.

NO. 600:IF Isaac Paredes played in his 600th career game last night at CIN. He became the 14th Mexican-born player to reach this milestone, joining players like IF Vinny Castilla, IF Hector Torres and C Alex Treviño.

OHIO NATIVES:RHP AJ Blubaugh and IF/OF Zach Dezenzo are both from the state of Ohio.

Blubaugh attended Clear Fork High School in Bellville, OH. Dezenzo attended Marlington High School in Alliance, OH and also played college baseball at Ohio State University.

ON THE MEND: LHP Josh Hader is scheduled to make a rehab appearance with Triple A Sugar Land today.

AIR YORDAN: LF Yordan Alvarez is off to a hot start this season, batting .324 (47×145) with nine doubles, 13 HR, 29 RBI, 22 walks and a 1.080 OPS (.424 OBP/.655 SLG).

In the AL, he ranks first in extra-base hits (22), second in OPS, second in SLG, third in OBP, third in batting average and third in home runs.

CLIMBING THE CHARTS: With 238 career homers as a second baseman, Jose Altuve needs one more to tie Lou Whitaker for seventh place all-time in MLB history among second basemen. Altuve also needs two RBI to become the fifth player in franchise history to reach 900.

HIT PAREDES:IF Isaac Paredes has hit safely in 14 of his last 17 games dating back to April 19, a span in which he’s hitting .339 (21×62) with three doubles, three homers, 10 RBI and a .947 OPS.

Additionally, he’s reached base safely in 12 straight games, posting a .440 OBP in that span.

ROAD WARRIOR: In 15 road games (12 starts) this season, IF/OF Brice Matthews is batting .333 (15×45) with eight runs, three doubles, two home runs, 11 RBI, seven walks and a .993 OPS.

In his young career on the road, Matthews is hitting .304 (21×69) with six home runs, 20 RBI and a 1.025 OPS.

HISTORIC HOMERS: Yordan Alvarez is off to one of the most prolific starts in franchise history. His 13 HR through the club’s first 39 games of the season are the tied for the second-most in franchise history, behind only 1B Lance Berkman’s 14 home runs in 2002.

BACK-TO-BACK:LF Zach Cole and C Christian Vázquez smacked back-to-back home runs last night in the ninth inning at CIN. This marked the first time this season the Astros have smacked back-to-back home runs, with the last time being Sept. 28, 2025 at LAA by IF Ramón Urías and IF/OF Brice Matthews.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY!: The Astros would like to wish RHP Tatsuya Imai a happy 28th birthday.

TODAY IN ASTROS HISTORY: 2000 – 3B Ken Caminiti hits the first grand slam by an Astro at Daikin Park in a 13-8 comeback victory over the visiting Rockies. He hits the homer off Rockies starter LHP Scott Karl.

The slam marked Caminiti’s only career grand slam at the venue. OF Carlos Lee owns the stadium record with four career grand slams at Daikin Park.

Game Info

Game Date/Time: Saturday, May 9, 3:10 p.m. CT

Location: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH

TV: Space City Home Network

Streaming: SCHN+

Radio: KBME 790 AM & 94.5 FM HD2; TUDN 102.9 FM HD2 (Spanish)

Rays at Red Sox: Postponed

UPDATE: The game has been postponed and will be made up as part of a split doubleheader on July 17.

This may be stating the obvious, but weather will be a factor in this game, folks. (It’s sunny here in Seattle!) The Sox and Rays will either play through some serious bouts of rain this afternoon and into the evening, or deal with a postponement.

Outside of that, we have Mickey Gasper at catcher, and Masa at DH. Let’s hope the only drama today is the forecast. Go Sox.

How to Watch and Listen

First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET on NESN and WEEI.

Lineups

Tampa Bay Rays Lineup

  1. Chandler Simpson (L) LF
  2. Junior Caminero (R) 3B
  3. Ben Williamson (R) 2B
  4. Yandy Díaz (R) DH
  5. Ryan Vilade (R) 1B
  6. Cedric Mullins (L) CF
  7. Jonny DeLuca (R) RF
  8. Nick Fortes (R) C
  9. Taylor Walls (S) SS

RHP Nick Martinez (3-1, 1.71 ERA, 28 SO) takes the mound for the Rays.

Game #39: Athletics at Orioles Game Thread

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - APRIL 28: Aaron Civale #45 of the Athletics pitches in the top of the third inning against the Kansas City Royals at Sutter Health Park on April 28, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Justine Willard/Athletics/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Close one yesterday. Time to make it two in a row, right?

The series continues this afternoon with right-hander Aaron Civale on the mound for the good guys. He’s been a revelation of a pickup for the club so far and is on a roll so far for his new team. Let’s jope he can keep that up!

The A’s lineup today shakes out like this:

Today’s lineup will be seeing Baltimore’s staff leader Shane Baz. A big offseason acquisition for the Orioles this offseason, Baz has been a slight disappointment as he brings a 4.99 ERA into tonight’s contest. Hopefully the A’s can take advantage of a pitcher with killer stuff but is going through a rough patch right now.

And Baltimore’s lineup:

Let’s go A’s!

Follow the Game:

Watch:
Athletics – NBCSCA

Listen:
Athletics – Talk 650 KSTE, A’s Cast

What’s the matter with Ketel Marte?

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - APRIL 26: Ketel Marte #4 of the Arizona Diamondbacks looks on from the on-deck circle during a 2026 Mexico City Series game between the San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu on Sunday, April 26, 2026 in Mexico City, Mexico. (Photo by Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

There’s no arguing that the Diamondbacks offense has taken a step back this season. Last year, they ranked sixth overall in runs per game at 4.88. This season, after last night’s extra-innings loss, they are below league average (4.38 vs. 4.47). And if you break it down further, to the individual level, perhaps the biggest concern is with Ketel Marte. The All-Star and Silver Slugger winner last year, was on the bench yesterday, but has seen his performance at the plate crater, going from an OPS+ of 145 to just 70. I’ve already seen comments wishing the team had traded Marte this winter. But how much of this concern is justified.

Certainly, looking at the basic numbers, Marte is having a very poor season: by purely offensive WAR, he is actually slightly below replacement level, at -0.1 oWAR. He is batting just .209, with an OPS of .614. His K-rate is a career high 19.5%, while his walk rate has dropped to 6.7%, Ketel’s lowest since the pandemic-shortened season in 2020. However, it is true to say that the significance is magnified because it being the start of the season. Here are two streaks from Marte’s career, both covering a period of 35 games.
Streak A: .207/.265/.386, 5 HR, 10 BB, 35 SO
Streak B: .209/.262/.353, 5 HR, 10 BB, 29 SO

Streak B is, obviously enough, his current one. But Streak A comes from 2024 – when he was also an All-Star, won the Silver Slugger and came third in MVP balloting. The difference? Streak A didn’t come at the start of the season. When the slump started on April 21, Marte was batting .344 with .985. That provided a cushion: even at the end of the streak on June 1, his season OPS was still .781. Also, while both streaks had the same number of hits (29), Ketel somehow managed to have a 21-game hitting streak during the slump, and was only hitless in nine of the 35 games. This year, the ohfers have been considerably more common: 15 of 35 games.

What’s also significant is the underlying numbers suggest Ketel has been unlucky. It is generally accepted that the majority of what hitters can control is to make hard contact. Wee Willie Keeler’s maxim of “Hit ’em where they ain’t,” might sound nice. But when you’re facing a procession of hurlers with 98 mph fastballs, you will have very little control over where the pitch goes. Some balls will be hit at fielders, other will not. Over the course of a season, these should even out, and a player’s BABIP – batting average on balls in play, excluding home-runs, strikeouts and walks – tends to be relatively consistent.

We see this with Marte. From 2023-25, his BABIP was in the .290-.300 range: that’s right around MLB average of .295. But this season, it has cratered to .229. That’s ranked 164th of the 179 qualified batters this year. Now there are reasons why BABIP can drop for a batter. If his batting profile changes from line-drives to fly-balls, BABIP will drop, because fly-balls are much less likely to become hits. So let’s split up what has happened to Marte’s balls in play, into ground balls, fly balls and line drives. Below is what has happened to the pitches in each category, both last year and this:

The split hasn’t changed dramatically from last year, at least not away from line drives. In 2025, it was GB 41%; FB 37%; LD 22%. In 2026, it is GB 49%; FB 25%; LD: 25%. He is hitting a lot more ground balls rather than fly balls. But that should actually mean an increase in batting average, because ground balls are more likely to become hits than fly balls. Across all baseball last year, GB had a BABIP of .245; FB were at .091; and LD at .616. That’s why line drives are so key. But Marte’s GB and LD both have a below-average BABIP. If we give him an average BABIP in each category, we’re talking 9-10 extra hits. That’d get his average up to .277, and I am not writing this article.

If we look at the Statcast data for last year and this we see something similar. There’s not a lot which would explain the decline in batting average. Here are the charts for Marte in 2025 and 2026.

There’s still an awful lot of red (= good) on Marte’s chart. His average exit velocity is actually up on last year, and the expected batting average is higher too. Bat speed is basically unchanged too. One thing I do note is the sharp increase in chase percentage, the percent of pitches outside of the zone at which a hitter swings. Last year, Ketel was considerably better than average in this category, but he is now in the bottom twenty percent for the metric. This does fit with the eye test, where we have all seen Marte, quite possibly, trying to slug his way out of the current situation. I’m sure Torey Lovullo has had the conversation. Whether Marte listens is another matter.

Because this apparent struggle with pitch recognition is actually a team-wide issue. For the Diamondbacks have the second-worst chase percentage (or, as Fangraphs calls it, O-Swing%) in the majors. When you’re fighting with the Rockies for #1, it’s rarely a good thing… Conversely, Arizona are 28th for percentage of the time they swing at pitches in the zone. While the latter hasn’t actually changed on last year, they were 14th in O-Swing% in 2025. It’s an issue, which I’d hope hitting coach Joe Mather is working diligently to address. Because right now, it appear the D-backs hitters appear to have take the name of their ballpark as an instruction…

[All blame credit to shoewizard for that last sentence!]

Dodgers claim Charlie Barnes off waivers from Cubs

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 13: Charlie Barnes #58 of the Chicago Cubs throws a pitch against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on April 13, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies defeated the Cubs 13-7. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) | Getty Images

LOS ANGELES — The Dodgers claimed pitcher Charlie Barnes off waivers from the Chicago Cubs on Saturday, adding to their potential starting pitcher depth.

Barnes pitched once for the Cubs this season, allowing four runs (three earned) in three innings of bulk relief on April 13. Most of the left-hander’s work this season has been at Triple-A Iowa, where he had a 3.04 ERA in seven games, including four starts, with 27 strikeouts and 12 walks in 26 2/3 innings.

The 30-year-old pitcher pitched in the majors in 2021 with the Minnesota Twins before heading to Korea to pitch four seasons for the Lotte Giants in the KBO. He put up a combined 3.58 ERA in 94 starts overseas, with 516 strikeouts and 166 walks in 553 innings. Barnes signed a minor league contract with Chicago in January.

Barnes entered the season with 37 days of major league service time, and is using his second option year, along with 2021. He was optioned twice by Chicago after opening day, and was in the minors when he was designated for assignment on Wednesday by the Cubs.

Though the Dodgers don’t expect Tyler Glasnow to miss much time on the injured list with back spasms, their depth is a bit tested after Blake Snell returns on Saturday. They have no other healthy starting pitchers on the 40-man roster other than Jake Eder, who was used solely in short relief during his three-week stint in the majors. Eder is starting on Saturday for Triple-A Oklahoma City after getting optioned on Wednesday, so presumably he’ll build back up.

To make room for Barnes on the 40-man roster, Tommy Edman was moved to the 60-day injured list. That means the earliest Edman could return is May 21, but he won’t be ready by then anyway. He’s behind fellow 60-day IL-er Kiké Hernández, who has already started his rehab assignment in Triple-A. Edman went through workouts at Dodger Stadium on Friday but has had a slow recovery from right ankle surgery in November.