Game Thread #33: Milwaukee Brewers (18-14) @ Washington Nationals (15-19)

Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Logan Henderson (43) throws in the bullpen during spring training workouts Sunday, February 15, 2026, at American Family Fields of Phoenix in Phoenix, Arizona. | Dave Kallmann / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

After yesterday’s win over the Nationals, the Brewers have now won three straight games. Right-hander Logan Henderson, Milwaukee’s No. 6 prospect, is on the bump today to try and make it four.

Henderson, who has a 1.02 ERA in 17 2/3 innings with the Triple-A Nashville Sounds, was recalled earlier this morning. In a corresponding move, Easton McGee was optioned back down to Nashville.

Henderson has made just one major league appearance this season, tossing two innings in a loss to the Royals on April 4. He showed promise in limited time with Milwaukee last year, posting a 1.78 ERA across five starts. With Brandon Woodruff hitting the IL this weekend, Henderson could be in line for more than just a spot start.

Pitching for Washington is left-hander PJ Poulin, who sports a 4.11 ERA through 16 appearances for the Nationals. He’ll serve as today’s opener, with righty Zach Littell (7.85 ERA in 28 2/3 IP) likely to follow.

Brice Turang, who reached base three times in yesterday’s contest, will lead things off. He’s followed by catcher William Contreras, who now has nine hits over his last three games. Gary Sánchez, Jake Bauers, and Garrett Mitchell make up the heart of the order.

Brandon Lockridge, the only Brewer with a multi-hit performance yesterday, bats sixth. Rounding out the bottom of the lineup are Sal Frelick, David Hamilton (at third base), and Joey Ortiz.

Finally, some good news and bad news on the injury front. Rehabbing outfielder Jackson Chourio, who was expected to rejoin the Brewers tomorrow in St. Louis, left yesterday’s game in Nashville after fouling a ball off his foot. Luckily, he looks to have avoided a major setback. Per Todd Rosiak, X-rays came back negative, though it remains to be seen whether he’ll still be reinstated during the Cardinals series.

As for the bad news, Brewers manager Pat Murphy said today that reliever Angel Zerpa — who was placed on the IL earlier this week with forearm tightness — is “deciding whether or not to have Tommy John surgery.”

As usual, you can catch today’s game on Brewers.TV, WTMJ 620, and the Brewers radio network. First pitch is set for 12:35 p.m.

UPDATE: Turang is a late scratch due to illness. Luis Rengifo is now leading off and playing third base, with David Hamilton sliding over to second.

Reds option Rece Hinds to AAA Louisville

CINCINNATI, OHIO - JULY 08: Rece Hinds #77 of the Cincinnati Reds walks off the field after warming up before his MLB Debut game against the Colorado Rockies at Great American Ball Park on July 08, 2024 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Mowry/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Two things have proven true so far for the Cincinnati Reds in this weekend’s series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The first, of course, is that walks will haunt. Cincinnati pitchers walked seven straight batters in Saturday’s 17-7 drubbing by the Buccos, the strike zone simply as hard to find as ships in the Bermuda Triangle.

The second, though, is that JJ Bleday looks like the JJ Bleday of old. Rather, he looks like the former Top 5 pick and guy who once socked 20 dingers in the big leagues for Oakland, a guy on whom the Reds can lean regularly in the outfield (at least against right-handed pitching).

As a result, we’ve seen Rece Hinds slip to the bottom of the Reds roster. His strikeout proclivity returned immediately when he was recalled to the big leagues in April after Noelvi Marte’s struggles, and they simply haven’t gone away. And with Bleday looking the part of the strong-side of potential platoon in the outfield, regular playing time for Hinds has completely evaporated. Given that playing every day was paramount for his development, according to Terry Francona earlier in the year, it simply stopped making sense for him to ride pine with the Reds at the big league level anymore.

So, on Sunday they optioned Hinds back to AAA Louisville, recalling Blake Dunn to be the last bench bat on the roster for his turn.

Of note in those notes is that RHP Pierce Johnson was placed on the bereavement list, and the recently optioned Zach Maxwell was recalled to take his place in the bullpen.

It’s a shuffle that hopefully will give the Reds the best options for Sunday’s series finale in Pittsburgh as the Reds look to salvage a game out of this otherwise dismal series.

Today in White Sox History: May 3

ST LOUIS, MISSOURI - MAY 3: Jared Shuster #51 of the Chicago White Sox pitches against the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on May 3, 2024 in St Louis, Missouri.
On this day two years ago, the White Sox fell to 6-26. That was no fault of Jared Shuster, who was outstanding in his scoreless 3 ⅓ innings of relief work. | (Photo by Joe Puetz/Getty Images)

1918
The White Sox set their record for biggest win in team history, trouncing the Tigers by 16 runs, 19-3. With a 6-0 lead in the second inning, the visitors put the game away early.

The club also set their record for most hits in a game, with 25. Buck Weaver paced the Pale Hose with a 5-for-7 day, all singles; Weaver tied the team record for most hits in a game, which has since been broken with six hits but on just five occasions since.

In fact, just six of the team’s 25 hits were for extra bases, and none for home runs. All 11 White Sox batters in the game — even pinch-hitters Shano Collins and Byrd Lynn — had hits in the game. As a team, the White Sox held a .532 batting average in the contest, striking out just one time.

One interesting note, Lynn subbed for Ray Schalk in the sixth inning of the game, just one of four appearances for the White Sox on the season — and the Tigers ran wild on him, with two steals of second base and two of third; presumably, with the White Sox up, 17-1, at that point, Byrd wasn’t even making throws on the attempts.

Starting pitcher Lefty Williams had one hit in the game and scored two runs, going the distance to move to 4-0 for the 6-4 White Sox.

This 16-run win margin was tied in 1919 and eventually broken, in 1921. This win at Detroit remains tied for the eighth-biggest trouncing the club history.

This single-game hits record (tied in 1922) stood until 1936, when the Sox tapped out 26 hits. It remains tied for the fourth-most hits in a game in White Sox history.


1954
With a two-hitter in a 14-3 trouncing at Philadelphia in the first game of a twin bill, Sandy Consuegra extended South Side stinginess to three consecutive games that began with Virgil Trucks with a one-hitter on May 1 and continuing with Bob Johnson spinning a two-hitter on May 2. The White Sox out-hit the Athletics, 17-2, with all three runs against Consuegra being unearned due to two White Sox errors.

In the nightcap, the White Sox saw their winning and low-hit streak snapped, surrendering seven to Philly in a 2-1 loss.


1968
It’s a dubious record, one that Tommy McCraw wishes never was set.

In the third inning of a game at Comiskey Park, McCraw made three errors against the New York Yankees. Two of them occurred when he couldn’t field ground balls, and the third was on a throwing error. New York scored all of their runs in that frame, beating the Sox, 3-2. All the runs were unearned, of course.


2005
With a comeback win over Kansas City, 5-4, the White Sox established a major league record by holding a lead in their first 26 games of the season. That broke the old mark, set by the Brooklyn Dodgers

After trailing all game, the White Sox took the lead on a Carl Everett double to right-center, scoring Scott Podsednik and Tadahito Iguchi with the eventual deciding tallies. The win improved Chicago to an MLB-best 19-7 record.

The White Sox would extend this record to 37 before playing a game in which they failed to hold a lead, in a May 15 loss, 6-2, to the Orioles at U.S. Cellular Field.


2011
A moribund Minnesota club stumbled into 42° Chicago and saw its starter, Francisco Liriano, toss a no-hitter at the punchless White Sox in a 1-0 squeaker.

Lirano shook hands with danger all night, walking six White Sox and punching out two. Even after the shutout, Liriano’s ERA stood at 6.61. Only one White Sox batter, reached as far as second base — Juan Pierre, after a walk and stolen base in the fourth inning. Chicago’s Edwin Jackson pitched nearly as well as Minny’s southpaw, giving up six hits but just one walk.

Believe it or not, that gem was the first no-hitter thrown by an opposing pitcher in the history of New Sox Park, at the time in its 20th season. The next summer, Liriano was dealt to the White Sox in attempt to fortify Chicago’s ill-fated division lead.


2024
With a 3-0 loss at St. Louis, the White Sox fell 20 games worse than .500, at 6-26. The club mustered just three hits, and one — an Andrew Vaughn double — for extra bases. Brad Keller had a mediocre outing for the loss, although Jared Shuster kept the White Sox close in the second half of the game with 3 1/3 innings of one-hit, scoreless relief, lowering his ERA to 0.93.

4/3 Gamethread: Giants @ Rays

Tyler Mahle reaching back to throw a pitch.
PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 28: Tyler Mahle #54 of the San Francisco Giants pitches in the first inning during a game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on April 28, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images) | Getty Images

A miserable road trip is about to come to an end. The San Francisco Giants are in Florida taking on the Tampa Bay Rays for some breakfast baseball (for us watching from the west coast, that is … it’s the less appealing and less alliterative lunch baseball where the game is), and they’re hoping to salvage a win from an awful trip. To this point, the Giants are 0-5, have been shut out twice, have blown ninth inning leads twice, and have scored eight runs.

Tyler Mahle takes the mound for the Giants, as the righty makes his seventh start of the season. He’s 1-4 on the year, with a 5.87 ERA, a 5.47 FIP, and 29 strikeouts against 17 walks in 30.2 innings. He’s trying to bounce back from his last outing, when he opened the road trip by giving up five runs in as many innings to the Philadelphia Phillies.

On the other side is left-hander Steven Matz, who, like Mahle, is a veteran making his seventh start with his new team. Matz is 4-1 on the year, and has a 4.31 ERA, a 5.06 FIP, and 27 strikeouts to 11 walks in 31.1 innings. He’s coming off an excellent start, when he held the Cleveland Guardians to two runs in seven innings.

Enjoy the baseball, everyone. Go Giants!

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Lineups

Giants

  1. Heliot Ramos — LF
  2. Rafael Devers — 1B
  3. Casey Schmitt — DH
  4. Luis Arráez — 2B
  5. Matt Chapman — 3B
  6. Willy Adames — SS
  7. Jung Hoo Lee — CF
  8. Jerar Encarnación — RF
  9. Eric Haase — C

RHP. Tyler Mahle

Rays

  1. Chandler Simpson — LF
  2. Junior Caminero — 3B
  3. Jonathan Aranda — DH
  4. Ryan Vilade — 1B
  5. Jake Fraley — RF
  6. Ben Williamson — 2B
  7. Cedric Mullins — CF
  8. Nick Fortes — C
  9. Taylor Walls — SS

LHP. Steven Matz

Game #34

Who: San Francisco Giants (13-20) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (20-12)

Where: Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida

When: 10:40 a.m. PT

Regional broadcast: NBC Sports Bay Area

National broadcast: n/a

Radio: KNBR 680 AM/104.5 FM, KSFN 1510 AM

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: Max Fried vs. Trey Gibson

NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 16: Max Fried #54 of the New York Yankees warms up in the bullpen before the game against the Los Angeles Angels at Yankee Stadium on April 16, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The month of May has typically been kind to the Bronx Bombers in the Aaron Boone era. It’s early, but May 2026 has begun similarly. New York’s bats feasted on Orioles starting pitching the first two games of this series, grabbing five runs against both Cade Povich and Kyle Bradish. That’s typically a good formula for winning games, and win they have. Today they’ll get the benefit of their ace on their mound while facing a prospect making his MLB debut. On paper, they’re in good shape to win this unusual four-game wraparound series.

Fried was his typical excellent self on Monday in Arlington, throwing six scoreless innings against the Rangers, scattering four hits and two walks. Today’s game will mark his 40th start as a member of the Bronx Bombers—his first 39 have added up to a 2.71 ERA across 242.2 innings with 226 strikeouts to just 85 walks. I think he was a pretty good signing.

Max faced the Orioles twice last year, and the second start was among the finest of his career: a seven-inning scoreless masterpiece on September 18th in which he struck out 13 batters. Of course, the O’s now have Pete Alonso in the heart of their lineup; a player with plenty of experience facing Fried from their shared time in the NL East. Neither player really has the upper hand in the head-to-head matchup: Alonso’s hit to a .738 OPS in 42 at-bats.

Trey Gibson is the Orioles’ No. 3 overall prospect per MLB Pipeline, thrust into duty as usual starters Dean Kremer (nursing a quad strain) and Trevor Rogers (under the weather) can’t go. Gibson, a 2023 undrafted free agent from Yorktown, Virginia, has pitched to a 4.01 ERA in six starts at Triple-A Norfolk and has a similar 3.99 mark throughout his MiLB career. Considering that Gibson signed as a UDFA, he’s already been a big developmental success for Baltimore. He has a tough task ahead of him today, facing a Yankee lineup that has been in a groove, averaging just a hair under six runs per game over the past two weeks. Be on the lookout for Gibson’s trademark slider, known as the “death ball” for its tendency to break sharply downward.

There’s only one lineup change to report from Saturday’s game: Austin Wells draws back in at catcher for Escarra, who went 1-for-4 yesterday.

How to watch

Location: Yankee Stadium — Bronx, NY

First pitch: 1:35 pm ET

TV broadcast: YES | MASN

Radio broadcast: WFAN 660/101.9 FM, WADO 1280, 98 Rock 97.9 FM, WBAL 1090 AM

Online stream: MLB.tv

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Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers 5/3 Game Thread

May 2, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals second baseman José Tena (8) doubles against the Milwaukee Brewers during the seventh inning at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-Imagn Images | Brad Mills-Imagn Images

The Nationals hung around with the Brewers all afternoon yesterday, but in the end, just couldn’t get the bats going, losing game two of the series 4-1, with a Brady House first-inning fielding error, which led to 3 runs, being all the runs the Brew Crew needed. The Nats will now look to avoid a sweep this afternoon, with PJ Poulin to kick things off as an opener for Zack Littell.

There is a multitude of changes in the Nats lineup, as there often is when they go from facing a lefty to a righty, with Curtis Mead, Brady House, and Joey Wiemer all hitting the bench. In their places are Luis Garcia Jr. at first base and batting second, Jose Tena at designated hitter and batting 7th, and Jorbit Vivas at third base and batting 8th. The biggest development from today’s lineup card is Jacob Young batting 3rd, perhaps looking to put some speed on the bases for CJ Abrams to drive in.

The order of the Brewers lineup shakes up today against the opener PJ Poulin and bulk man Zack Littell, but the composition is roughly the same, with Luis Rengifo at third base instead of David Hamilton, and William Contreras and Gary Sanchez swapping catcher and designated hitter from yesterday. Turang, who homered twice off Littell back in April, leads off, so the opener Poulin will allow the Nats to dodge those two meeting again at least once. 24-year-old righty Logan Henderson gets the ball for the Brewers, likely looking to go twice through the order before handing things over to the bullpen.

Game Info:

Stadium: Nationals Park

Time: 1:35 PM EST

TV: Nationals.TV

Radio: 106.7 The Fan

The Nationals haven’t played terrible baseball overall in 2026, but they have at home, with a 3-12 home record, worst in baseball by a good margin. They’ll look to avoid the series sweep today, and hopefully put up a better effort than they’ve shown in their first 15 home games of the year. Follow along in the comments down below and let’s go Nats!

Mauricio Dubon moves to leadoff, Jose Azocar gets a start in Coors finale

DENVER, COLORADO - MAY 01: Mauricio Dubon #14 of the Atlanta Braves hits a 3 RBI triple against the Colorado Rockies in the eighth inning at Coors Field on May 01, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) | Getty Images

With Ronald Acuña Jr. now on the Injured List with a hamstring issue, the Braves are reshuffling their lineup. Notable change #1: Mauricio Dubon is now the leadoff hitter. Notable change #2: with a lefty on the hill, Jose Azocar gets the start in right field. The rest of the lineup is kind of as expected against a lefty, though Michael Harris II isn’t starting such that Drake Baldwin can DH while Jonah Heim catches again.

The Rockies have also reshuffled their lineup, with Hunter Goodman DHing while Brett Sullivan catches, which has pushed Tyler Freeman out of the starting nine for another day.

This is a fun batter-versus-pitcher day. Ozzie Albies and Dubon have both hit Kyle Freeland well in 20+ PAs. Matt Olson hasn’t in double-digit PAs, but Austin Riley has. Even Azocar has faced Freeland before, meaning that everyone in the starting nine has except Baldwin. Collectively, it’s a .389 wOBA and .333 xwOBA against Freeland in 92 career PAs.

On the flip side, everyone in the Colorado lineup except TJ Rumfield and Ezequiel Tovar have faced Spencer Strider, though not in very many PAs. Collectively, it’s 28 PAs with a .247 wOBA and .250 xwOBA, and 12 strikeouts in those 28 PAs. We’ll see if Strider can replicate that level of success.

Astros vs. Red Sox Game Thread: Game 35, 5/3/2026

BOSTON, MA - MAY 02: Brice Matthews #0 of the Houston Astros celebrates as he rounds the bases after hitting a three-run home run in the fourth inning during the game between the Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Saturday, May 2, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Natalie Reid/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

TODAY’S GAME: The Houston Astros (13-21) and Boston Red Sox (13-20) play the rubber match of this 3-game weekend series at Fenway Park this afternoon.

RHP Cody Bolton (0-1, 5.79 ERA) will start for the Astros vs. BOS LHP Ranger Suarez (2-2, 3.09 ERA). Today will be Bolton’s 1st career appearance at Fenway Park.

TODAY’S STARTER: RHP Cody Bolton is making his 3rd start and 5th app. overall this afternoon.

Bolton’s last appearance was in relief on Thursday in BAL (1 IP, 1 R).

Prior to his last appearance, Bolton had been on the IL due to mid-back inflammation, caused when he has struck by a line drive.

VS. BOS: Bolton earned his 1st career save on March 31 vs. the Red Sox, hurling the final 3.0 innings of the Astros 9-2 win (3.0 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 SO).

Today will be his 1st career appearance at Fenway Park and his 4th career appearance vs. the Red Sox overall (all had been in relief).

THAT’S A WRAP: Today is the finale of a 6-game road trip (2-3 thus far) for the Astros.

HOU was 1-2 in BAL on the first stop of the trip.

HOMEWARD BOUND: Following today’s game, the Astros will fly back to Houston for a brief, 3-game homestand vs. the LA Dodgers (Mon.-Wed.).

VS. LAD: In their last meeting, the Astros swept the Dodgers in a 3-game series at Dodger Stadium (July 4-6), outscoring LA, 29-6 in the three games.

LOTS OF LEFTIES: The Astros will have faced LH starters in all 3 games of this series.

The last time they faced a LH starter in all games of a 3-game series was April 30-May 2, 2021 vs. TB (almost exactly 5 years ago).

The last time that HOU has faced 3 consecutive LH starters overall was Sept. 19-21, 2024 vs. LAA (4-game series). Source: Elias.

VS THE SAWX: The Astros swept the Red Sox in a 3-game series at Daikin Park earlier this season, Mar. 30-April 1, and are 4-1 vs. them in 2026. Over the past 10 seasons (since 2017), HOU is 34-23 (.596) vs. BOS overall.

TODAY’S ROSTER MOVE: The Astros have activated RHP Ryan Weiss from the Paternity List.

In a corresponding move, RHP Jayden Murray was optioned to Triple A Sugar Land.  

SPENCER’S GIFTS: With yesterday’s win, RHP Spencer Arrighetti, who is 4-0 with a 1.96 ERA, is the first Astros’ starter to earn a winning decision in each of his 1st 4 starts of a season since RHP Zack Greinke in 2019 (also 4).

Other Astros pitchers with streaks of at least 4 straight starts with a win to begin a season are: RHP Justin Verlander (2017-5 wins), RHP Roger Clemens (2004-7 wins), and RHP Dave Guisti (1965-4 wins).

DAYTIMERS: As a result of Wednesday night’s rainout in BAL, 4 of the 6 games on the Astros current road trip will have been day games.

HOU ended their last homestand with a day game, so they will have played 5 of 7 games in the daytime once they complete this road trip.

HIT PARADE: The Astros, who lead the AL in batting (.269), have reached double-figures in hits in each of the last 5 games, going 61×191 (.319) in that span. It is their longest streak since another 5-game streak, July 19-23 of 2025.

The last time that the Astros reached double-figures in hits in 6 straight games was Aug. 6-12, 2024.

The club record is 8 straight games, done several times (last: June 10-18, 2018).

Last night marked the 16th game in which HOU reached double figures in hits in 2026. Source: Elias.

TODAY IN ASTROS HISTORY: 2022 – With a 4-0 win over the Mariners at home, Dusty Baker becomes the 12th manager in MLB history to reach 2,000 career wins.

In his 4 seasons as Astros manager (2020-23), Baker’s Astros advanced to the ALCS all 4 seasons, won 2 AL Pennants and a WS championship in 2022. His 2,183 wins as a manger overall rank 8th in MLB history.

Game Info

Game Date/Time: Sunday, May 3, 12:35 p.m. CT

Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

TV: Space City Home Network

Streaming: SCHN+

Radio: KBME 790 AM & 94.5 FM HD2; TUDN 102.9 FM HD2 (Spanish)

Sunday afternoon game thread: At Yankees, 1:35

SARASOTA, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 18: Trey Gibson #88 of the Baltimore Orioles poses for a photo during Spring Training photo day at Ed Smith Stadium on February 18, 2026 in Sarasota, Florida. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It is an understatement to say that things have not gone well for the Orioles in New York this weekend. They have been outplayed at every turn over the last two games and it’s hard to imagine things turning around today.

Top Orioles pitching prospect Trey Gibson is in New York to make his Major League debut, which is exciting. But this Yankees lineup has been relentless and he might be in for a rude welcome to the big leagues.

On top of that, Max Fried is scheduled to pitch for the Yankees. Not only is Fried an ace, he’s a lefty. He has a 2.09 ERA and 0.803 WHIP. He doesn’t give up many homers. Heck, he doesn’t give up many hits.

I try to remain optimistic on a game-by-game basis. Any given day yadda yadda. But it’s very tough to do in this instance. Here’s hoping they surprise us.

Orioles lineup

Taylor Ward – LF

Adley Rutschman – C

Pete Alonso – DH

Tyler O’Neill – RF

Coby Mayo – 1B

Leody Taveras – CF

Jeremiah Jackson – 2B

Weston Wilson – 3B

Blaze Alexander – SS

Yankees lineup

Trent Grisham – CF

Ben Rice – 1B

Aaron Judge – RF

Cody Bellinger – LF

Jazz Chisholm – 2B

Jasson Domínguez – DH

Austin Wells – C

Ryan McMahon – 3B

José Caballero – SS

Let’s go O’s!


Royals vs Mariners Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Kansas City Royals will look for a road series sweep on Sunday when they face the Seattle Mariners.

Cal Raleigh is day-to-day after being scratched before Saturday’s game, but MLB odds still have them favored regardless of his status. 

My Royals vs. Mariners predictions have MLB picks for the side and total for their game on Sunday, May 3.

Who will win Royals vs Mariners today: Royals moneyline (+105)

Seattle Mariners right-hander Luis Castillo has been getting rocked, ranking in the Bottom 10% in average exit velocity. 

That’s going to happen when your sinker loses 1.4 inches of both vertical break and drop. Add in command issues, and opponents posting an xBA of .299 and a .423 xwOBAcon, and it's been ugly for the veteran hurler.

The Kansas City Royals rank eighth in ISO and fourth in wRC+ over the past two weeks. I expect them to get some early runs against Castillo.

Kris Bubic is doing a good job of avoiding hard contact (75th percentile) and will help the Royals win their seventh game in nine outings.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Castillo is allowing a 30.5% line-drive rate, compared to an average of 22.6% over the past two seasons.

Royals vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (-128)

Both teams are swinging with power, each ranking in the Top 10 in ISO over the past two weeks, and in the Top 5 in wRC+.

While yesterday’s pitching matchup was conducive to a lower score, this one isn’t. 

Bubic isn’t immune to issues, given his 0.80 HR/9 rate and a barrel rate of 9.5%, which has led to a .408 xSLG.

As long as this number stays below a flat 8.0, I like the Over, which is 14-8 in Seattle’s last 22 home games.

Jason Ence's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 2-5, -3.5 units
  • Over/Under bets: 5-2, +2.91 units

Royals vs Mariners odds

  • Moneyline: Royals +108 | Mariners -113
  • Run line: Royals -1.5 (+186) | Mariners +1.5 (-194)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-117) | Under 7.5 (+108)

Royals vs Mariners trend

The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.35 Units / 50% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Royals vs. Mariners.

How to watch Royals vs Mariners and game info

LocationT-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
DateSunday, May 3, 2026
First pitch4:10 p.m. ET
TVMariners.TV, Royals.TV
Royals starting pitcherKris Bubic
(2-1, 3.74 ERA)
Mariners starting pitcherLuis Castillo
(0-2, 6.35 ERA)

Royals vs Mariners latest injuries

Royals vs Mariners weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Lack of timely hitting dooms No. 4 Texas in 7-4 loss to No. 10 Mississippi State

The No. 4 Texas Longhorns and No. 10 Mississippi State Bulldogs are heading for a decisive Sunday series finale at UFCU Disch-Falk Field after Brian O’Connor’s team took advantage of the Longhorns bullpen and Texas couldn’t come up with game-changing, two-out hits.

“We obviously left a ton of guys on base, but they were all with two outs — I don’t think we had a runner at third base with less than two outs, and so you’re counting on a timely hit. And the difference in the game was the swings they got with two outs,” Texas head coach Jim Schlossnagle said.

In an attempt to keep senior right-hander Ruger Riojas fresh for the postseason, Schlossnagle removed the UTSA transfer after five innings and 71 pitches even though Riojas was still throwing at a high level, allowing one run on three hits and commanding his pitches well enough to strike out seven batters without allowing a walk, hitting a batter, or throwing a wild pitch.

The move to freshman right-hander Brett Crossland worked well in the sixth inning when the 6’5, 255-pounder struck out the side. In the seventh, Crossland was able to work around hitting the leadoff batter by immediately inducing a double play, but hitting the next batter in an 0-2 count ultimately proved catastrophic for Texas when junior right-hander Thomas Burns came on and gave up an RBI single on a 1-2 pitch and then had a 1-1 fastball down and in to Drew Wyers launched over the left-field fence for a three-run home run.

The Bulldogs scored two more runs in the eighth inning, both credited to sophomore right-hander Jason Flores, who allowed a leadoff walk and a first-pitch single. After freshman right-hander Brody Walls entered the game, a wild pitch allowed both runners to advance, setting up an RBI groundout and a run-scoring double that put the Horns in a 7-1 hole.

Despite the struggles in the bullpen, Schlossnagle isn’t worried.

“If the bullpen has a bad day, does that make it a concern? I mean, it doesn’t to me, it may to you, but they’re not going to be perfect,” Schlossnagle said. “So, I mean, that’s our bullpen those guys. Burns has been awesome about four or five times in a row. I mean, yeah, it’s not a concern in any form, to me.”

When Texas threatened for the first time in the fourth, it was with two outs, so when junior designated hitter Ashton Larson grounded out to short on the first pitch he saw, it negated the two singles that preceded his at bat.

After a solo home run by junior first baseman Casey Borba in the fifth inning, Texas put runners on first and second in the sixth with one out, but Jayden Duplantier struck out pinch hitting for Larson and freshman center fielder Maddox Monsour grounded out to short after Borba drew a four-pitch walk to load the bases.

A similar situation unfolded in the seventh when the Longhorns loaded the bases with two outs with the help of an error and two full-count walks, but in a familiar trend, redshirt senior third baseman Temo Becerra hit a grounder to the shortstop that turned into a fielder’s choice.

In the eighth, Texas was unable to take advantage of three walks when freshman left fielder Anthony Pack Jr. took two strikes before flying out to left field.

The ninth inning saw the home team try to mount a furious comeback started by a solo home run by sophomore shortstop Adrian Rodriguez, who is still battling enough discomfort in his surgically-repaired left hand that he’s made the decision to only bat left handed for the remainder of the year.

It was only the second home run of the season for Rodriguez.

Texas was able to load the bases with one out after an infield single and two walks, but the momentum slowed when Monsour struck out swinging before junior catcher Aiden Robbins came through with a two-run single to narrow the deficit to 7-4.

When Tinney was hit by a pitch, the Horns loaded the bases once again, but Pack wasn’t able to take advantage, striking out swinging on a 2-2 pitch to end the game.

The seven baserunners left stranded by the freshman standout were among the 17 left on base by Texas on Saturday. But just like the bullpen, Schlossnagle didn’t come away concerned about the lack of timely hitting.

“As I always say, batters left on base never, ever, ever bother me, ever, unless they’re less than two outs with a runner on third. What bothers you is when you’re not getting on base. That’s really stinks, because then you have no chance to score,” Schlossnagle said.

So after making four Mississippi State relievers combine to throw 121 pitches on Saturday, Schlossnagle heads into Sunday’s matchup at 1 p.m. Central on ESPN with a high level of confidence in his team’s ability to win the series.

“Super confident. Super confident,” Schlossnagle said. “I mean, we’re facing a great team, but we’ve got Luke [Harrison] on the mound and they’ve got a good lefty going for their team, and I was glad to see us fight back.”

Game #35: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA - APRIL 28: Braxton Ashcraft #35 of the Pittsburgh Pirates pitches during the first inning against the St. Louis Cardinals at PNC Park on April 28, 2026 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, May 3, 2026, 1:35 p.m. ET

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Broadcast: KDKA AM/FM, Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Pitching Matchup: Chase Burns (3-1, 2.65 ERA) vs. Braxton Ashcraft (1-2, 3.71 ERA)


The Pittsburgh Pirates are at home hosting the Cincinnati Reds this afternoon at beautiful PNC Park looking for a win.


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Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks preview, Sunday 5/3, 1:20 CT

Today’s roster move: Here

Sunday notes…

  • STREAKING AT HOME: The Cubs have won 10 straight games at home. It is their 19th double-digit win streak of the Modern Era, which began in 1901, their 15th at Wrigley Field, their home since 1916. This is their first such streak since they won 14 in a row, May 18-June 22, 2008. A 13-game streak in 2001 and a 10-game streak in 1998 are their only others of the kind since 1970. Their record is 18 straight, Sept. 4-22, 1935, during a surge that lifted them to the pennant. The 2008 streak was one of five of 14 games. The 2001 streak was the only one of 13. They also had a lone streak of 12, in 1927, and of 11, in 1910. Eight of the streaks ended after 10 games. The most recent, May 29-June 15, 1998, was snapped when the Cubs were routed by the Brewers, 11-2. They then lost five of seven to wrap up a home stand. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • STREAKING EVERYWHERE: The Cubs had won 10 in a row everywhere last month. Yesterday’s win makes 2026 just the 13th of the 126 seasons starting in 1901 in which they have enjoyed double-digit streaks overall and at home. The previous season was 2001, when the Cubs won 12 in a row, the first seven at home, May 19-June 2. After a loss at Milwaukee, they won three at home, went 2-4 on the road and won three more at home. Then came a 2-2 road trip, followed by a return to Wrigley Field, where they lost to the Brewers, 2-1, snapping their home streak at 13 games. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • AGAINST ARIZONA: This is the Cubs’ 30th series at home against the Diamondbacks since Arizona began play in 1998. The Cubs have swept four of them, in 2005, 2008, 2012 and 2015. This is the 10th series at Wrigley Field since the last sweep. The Cubs won the first two games last year, then lost the third, as they had in 2011 and 2016. In 2014, they won the first two, then lost two. (Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)
  • TODAY IN CUBS HISTORY: The Cubs trailed 2-1 going to the bottom of the ninth, with just two hits off the Mets’ Paul Wilson. Scott Bullett led off the ninth with a single and stole second. After two strikeouts, Mark Grace was intentionally walked. Sammy Sosa then hit a three-run walk-off homer and the Cubs won 4-2. It happened 30 years ago today, Friday, May 3, 1996. Here are the last few minutes of that game:

Cubs lineup:

Diamondbacks lineup:

Matthew Boyd, LHP vs. Merrill Kelly, RHP

Matthew Boyd’s numbers aren’t good (7.00 ERA, 1.444 WHIP) but I can’t help thinking he’s pitched better than that record. For one thing, in his two bad starts a run scored in each after he left the game. If the bullpen had prevented those runs, that ERA drops by a full run.

Anyway.

Boyd has struck out a lot of hitters —26 in 18 innings — with only five walks. I can’t help thinking that eventually, he’ll break through with a really good outing. Hopefully, this afternoon.

Merrill Kelly was traded from the D-backs to the Rangers at last year’s deadline. He was one of the most in-demand pitchers at that deadline.

Kelly went to high school in the Phoenix area and attended Arizona State and makes his home there. He really wanted to come back to the D-backs in free agency and they wanted him back.

Maybe they were too hasty. Kelly’s return was delayed by a nerve injury. His first start this year was okay, the two since then have been terrible — 16 hits, 13 earned runs, four home runs in 9.1 innings (12.54 ERA). Oh, also, eight walks.

Kelly made two starts against the Cubs last year and posted a 1.64 ERA (two earned runs in 11 innings) with no home runs allowed.

But I’m wondering if he’s past his sell-by date.

Here is the weather forecast for the area around Wrigley Field.

Today’s game is on Marquee Sports Network.

Here is the complete MLB.com live streaming page for today.

MLB.com Gameday

Baseball-reference.com game preview

Please visit our SB Nation Diamondbacks site AZ Snakepit. If you do go there to interact with D-backs fans, please be respectful, abide by their individual site rules and serve as a good representation of Cub fans in general and BCB in particular.

The 2026 game discussion procedure has been changed, so please take note.

You’ll find the game preview, like this one, posted separately on the front page two hours before game time (90 minutes for some early day games following night games).

At the same time, a StoryStream containing the preview will also post on the front page, titled “Cubs vs. (Team) (Day of week/date) game threads.” It will contain every post related to that particular game.

The Live! (formerly “First Pitch”) thread will still post at five minutes to game time. It will also post to the front page. That will be the only live game discussion thread. After the game, the recap and Heroes and Goats will also live on the front page as separate posts.

You will also be able to find the preview, Live! thread, recap and Heroes and Goats in this section link. The StoryStream for each game can also be found in that section.

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Rangers vs Tigers Prop Picks for Sunday Night Baseball

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Sunday Night Baseball returns for the first time in May as the Texas Rangers face the Detroit Tigers on Peacock at 7:20 pm ET.

I’m focusing on three hitters in the player prop market with my favorite Rangers vs. Tigers MLB picks for Sunday, May 3.

Rangers vs Tigers props for May 3

PickOdds
Tigers Riley Greene Over 1.5 total bases+132
Rangers Josh Jung Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI-135
Tigers Kerry Carpenter Over 0.5 doubles+538

Rangers vs Tigers player prop picks

Riley Greene Over 1.5 total bases (+132)

Detroit Tigers star outfielder Riley Greene is swinging a hot stick, slashing .298/.397/.463 with a 143 wRC+. With very strong underlying metrics (91st percentile xSLG, 84th percentile barrel rate), he appears primed to continue doling out damage.

Throughout his career, he’s been particularly lethal against right-handed pitchers, sporting a .825 OPS and 130 wRC+ against them. That’s good news against starter Jack Leiter, who has a 5.80 FIP against left-handed bats while allowing them to hit .304.

Josh Jung Over 1.5 hits + runs + RBI (-165)

Texas Rangers third baseman Josh Jung was a man on fire in April with a 1.103 OPS while slashing .381/.448/.655. That hot streak has carried over to May, as he’s 4-for-9 through the first two games of this series. 

He carries an 11-game hitting streak into the series finale, and he’s reached base safely in 22 of his last 23 games. There aren’t many hitters in finer form, so here’s looking to take advantage in the prop market during Sunday Night Baseball. 

FanDuel lists his odds of recording Over 1.5 HRRBI at -165 against a Detroit team set up for a bullpen game. The former Texas Tech product has either plated a run or scored one himself in 16 of his last 20 contests. 

Kerry Carpenter Over 0.5 doubles (+538)

Kerry Carpenter is a well-known righty-masher who has a career 136 wRC+ against them while hitting for a ton of power (.261 ISO). 

Carpenter has had trouble hitting for average (.197 xBA, 33.3% K rate), but is dangerous when he does get a hold of something, ranking in the 93rd percentile for hard-hit rate and 88th percentile for average exit velocity. 

Leiter throws one of his three fastball varieties 59% of the time against lefties. Carpenter demolishes all three and likes to sit on heaters with a 161 wRC+ against four-seamers, 186 against sinkers, and 211 against cutters, making it a strong matchup.

How to watch Rangers vs Tigers and game info

LocationComerica Park, Detroit, MI
DateSunday, May 3, 2026
First pitch7:20 p.m. ET
TVPeacock

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Gamethread 5/3: Phillies at Marlins

After the Phillies delivered a one-hit offensive outburst on Saturday, they’ll try to get the bats going on Sunday in game three of their four-game series in Miami.

Jesus Luzardo gets the ball for the Phillies. The former Marlin hasn’t had a great season so far, but he’s coming off a strong start of seven shutout innings.

The Marlins counter with journeyman Chris Paddack. The righty is 0-4 with a 6.11 ERA in his first season in Miami.

Game time is 1:40 PM and will be televised locally by NBCSP.