An updated look at the Cubs’ Opening Day 26-man roster

Sunday, as you know, the Cubs made their first Spring Training roster cuts. There are now 53 players remaining in camp, and that number’s likely to remain fairly large until the World Baseball Classic ends. There are still eight members of the Cubs’ 40-man roster off at the WBC, as well as several minor leaguers.

With the Cubs not playing Monday, one of two scheduled off days this spring, I thought it would be another good time to take a look at who will line up on the third-base line March 26 at Wrigley Field before the Cubs open the 2026 season against the Washington Nationals.

Catchers (2)

Miguel Amaya, Carson Kelly

There aren’t really any questions here.

Designated hitter (1)

Moisés Ballesteros

I’m listing Ballesteros as a DH because, well, that’s what he’s going to be most of the time. I would expect him to DH against all right-handed pitchers, some left-handers, and maybe catch once in a great while. He’s getting valuable time catching while Amaya is playing for Panama in the WBC, and as has been noted a couple of times, he’s pretty good at ABS challenges.

He can also hit. In a small sample size he’s batting .357/.400/.429 this spring, 5-for-14, with a double, a walk and six RBI.

Infielders (5)

Michael Busch, Nico Hoerner, Dansby Swanson, Alex Bregman, Matt Shaw

I’m listing Shaw as an infielder here even though he’s played mostly outfield this spring. The Cubs are trying to turn him into a super-sub, and it might just work.

Otherwise this infield could be one of the best defensive infields the Cubs have ever had.

Outfielders (5)

Ian Happ, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Seiya Suzuki, Dylan Carlson, Michael Conforto

Last week I asked you who you thought would make the team out of the three non-roster outfielders, Carlson, Conforto and Chas McCormick. A plurality said Carlson and Conforto and this is how I see it as well. Carlson is batting .400/.571/.500 (8-for-20) this spring with two doubles and six walks. The Cubs do need someone who can play center field occasionally to give PCA a rest and Carlson appears to be a guy who could do that. If he can recover even some of his rookie-year promise, this could be a great signing.

Same for Conforto, who was once a very good MLB hitter. There are plenty of guys who can go on the 60-day injured list to make room for those two NRIs.

Starting pitchers (5)

Cade Horton, Shōta Imanaga, Edward Cabrera, Matthew Boyd, Jameson Taillon

With the addition of Cabrera, this is a very good rotation, especially if the Cubs can get the 2024 version of Imanaga back.

Craig Counsell hasn’t announced an Opening Day starter yet, but I suspect it will be Horton. I’ve listed these five in the order I think Counsell will put them, though of course that could change.

Relief pitchers (8)

Daniel Palencia, Phil Maton, Hoby Milner, Jacob Webb, Caleb Thielbar, Colin Rea, Hunter Harvey, Gavin Hollowell

It was reported Sunday by Meghan Montemurro in the Tribune that Porter Hodge and Jordan Wicks would start the year on the injured list. Hodge, in particular, had a rough spring and hasn’t pitched since Feb. 27:

Hodge will start the season on the injured list because of a flexor tendon strain. He is shut down from throwing for a couple of weeks, is scheduled to be reevaluated in two weeks and then start plyos at the end of March.

Hodge has talent and I think could still become a good MLB reliever.

This opens a spot, and opportunity, for Hollowell, who’s looked really good this spring: Four innings, two hits, no walks, one run, has struck out eight of the 14 batters he’s faced. Yes, small sample size and some are minor-league hitters. Still, Jed Hoyer has had good luck getting good relievers off the scrap heap and Hollowell could be another one of those.

Ben Brown likely heads to Triple-A Iowa. Whether that’s to start or relieve is an open question. Javier Assad also likely starts at Iowa, stretched out to start. The Cubs have several other relievers on the 40-man roster with options: Ethan Roberts, Jack Neely, Luke Little, Ryan Rolison and Riley Martin. All of them are likely to see time in Chicago this year.

Rea is the swingman in the bullpen, as he was last year. He can go multiple innings in relief, or start when needed. He and Thielbar are the only ones of those eight who were in last year’s Opening Day bullpen, and of the eight, four were not even in the Cubs organization last year.

That’s how I see it with 17 days until the season opener. What do you think?

For Dodgers, ABS has been a challenge so far

Mar 2, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; An umpire looks at the Jumbotron during an automated ball-strike challenge aka ABS in the Los Angeles Dodgers game against the Chicago White Sox during spring training at Camelback Ranch-Glendale. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images | Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

We’re about two and a half weeks into the Dodgers’ Cactus League schedule, with another roughly two and a half weeks of exhibition games to go. It’s the first year that an automated ball-strike challenge system will be used in real, actual major league games, and thus far the Dodgers have been quite unsuccessful in using their challenges.

The latest example came in the eighth inning on Sunday against the A’s in Mesa. Eliézer Alfonzo while batting challenged a strike call, and the call was upheld upon review.

MLB teams are allowed two ABS challenges per game, and they exhaust those challenges only by losing them. If a team successfully challenges a call and it is overturned, the team retains the same number of challenges it had at that point.

Using challenges in a case study in strategy, with teams using spring training to figure out the best time to use their challenges.

In February, Maxfield Lane and Owen Riley at the Down on the Farm newsletter wrote about ABS challenge efficiency, with a few key points. Among them:

  • Deep counts are where it’s worth taking risks
  • Be cautious when runs seem a long way off, aggressive when they’re knocking on the door
  • Be willing to take risks in high-leverage situations, particularly late in games

In similar fashion, Tom Tango developed a statistical model based on the ideal times and situations to challenge pitch calls, which serves as the basis for metrics used by Baseball Savant to measure the efficiency of teams’ choices.

Through Sunday, the Dodgers have challenged 22 pitch calls this spring, and have only won five of those challenges (22.7 percent). MLB-wide this spring, 52.4 percent of all calls have been overturned.

Per Baseball Savant, the Dodgers have gotten 9.6 fewer overturned calls than expected based on the pitch calls they’ve challenged, second-worst in the majors

Here are all of their challenges to date.

DateInningChallengerPositionCallABSResult
Feb 214RushingcatcherBallStrikewin
Feb 219Lockwood-PowellcatcherBallBallloss
Feb 235RushingcatcherBallStrikewin
Feb 239AlfonzocatcherBallBallloss
Feb 243FreemanbatterStrikeStrikeloss
Feb 244SmithbatterStrikeStrikeloss
Feb 253RushingbatterStrikeStrikeloss
Feb 258AlfonzobatterStrikeStrikeloss
Feb 264SmithcatcherBallBallloss
Feb 271RushingcatcherBallBallloss
Feb 275RushingcatcherBallBallloss
Feb 281CallbatterStrikeBallwin
Feb 281PagesbatterStrikeStrikeloss
Feb 283RushingcatcherBallBallloss
Mar 34AlfonzocatcherBallBallloss
Mar 36EhrhardbatterStrikeStrikeloss
Mar 52AlfonzocatcherBallStrikewin
Mar 58ZavalabatterStrikeStrikeloss
Mar 65TibbsbatterStrikeStrikeloss
Mar 72RojasbatterStrikeBallwin
Mar 74AlfonzocatcherBallBallloss
Mar 88AlfonzobatterStrikeStrikeloss

One interesting trend thus far for the Dodgers is that, of their challenges while batting, five of the 11 have come from catchers, which I guess stands to reason given the position having such an intimate knowledge of the strike zone. To date, Dodgers position players to challenge calls at the plate are Freddie Freeman (unsuccessful), Alex Call (successful), Andy Pages (unsuccessful), Zach Ehrhard (unsuccessful), James Tibbs III (unsuccessful), and Miguel Rojas (successful).

Dodgers catchers have challenged 11 calls and gotten three overturned (27.2 percent), while Los Angeles batters have challenged 11 calls and gotten two overturned (18.2 percent). Through Sunday, MLB batters league-wide have been successful on 46.2 percent of challenges, with pitchers/catchers at 58.1 percent. To date, no Dodgers pitcher has initiated a challenge.

Spring training is for figuring things out for the regular season. And with a little more than two weeks left of practice games, the Dodgers need to get better at using their ABS challenges.

Four numbers that actually matter in Spring Training: Week Two

PORT CHARLOTTE, FL - MARCH 03: Richie Palacios (1) of the Tampa Bay Rays bats during a spring training game against the Philadelphia Phillies on March 03, 2026 at Charlotte Sports Park in Port Charlotte, Florida. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

This is the second installment in analyzing team trends as we move towards the regular season. It’s still early and the exact numbers matter less than the trends they point toward – especially when compared to the same measurements from the 2025 season. The underlying data from Rays outfielders has stood out the most so far in Spring Training, which isn’t surprising given the moves the front office made this offseason.

If these early trends hold, the Rays’ outfield could shift from a weakness in 2025 to a legitimate strength in 2026.

49.2%

is the line drive plus fly ball rate for Rays outfielders so far this spring. This is up significantly from the 42.1% mark during the 2025 regular season, when they were dead last in the league by a wide margin. They’re sitting closer to the middle of the pack this spring, and even a jump from worst to average should translate to significantly better run production, especially when coupled with the next data point.

104.6mph

is the 90th percentile exit velocity from Rays outfielders so far this spring. This is an increase from 102.7mph during the 2025 regular season. While it’s still slightly below average, the front office took clear steps to address the lack of impact from the Rays outfield last season – particularly adding Jacob Melton and Ryan Vilade. After being near the bottom of the league in 2025, the group now looks closer to 45-grade raw power rather than the 30-grade impact they showed last season.

-7.9%

is how much Rays outfielders have collectively decreased their chase rate compared to the 2025 offense. Disciplined hitters like Jake Fraley and Cedric Mullins were brought in to raise the floor of the group, while guys like Ryan Vilade and Richie Palacios are looking to settle into their offensive identities and be more selective. Going from a league-worst 33.9% to a better-than-average 26.0% is a major shift, and this improvement outpaces the roughly 3% reduction in overall swing rate so we know they’re being selective rather than just passive.

Three, maybe two

is the number of players we expect to begin the season on the Injured List. Relievers Steven Wilson and Manuel Rodriguez will begin the season on the 15-day and 60-day ILs respectively. Edwin Uceta may also begin the year on the IL, but he is progressing nicely after a slow start this spring due to shoulder inflammation.

Cedric Mullins and Richie Palacios are dealing with lower back tightness that may keep them out of game action for a little bit. Mullins worked out on Friday in Port Charlotte and felt better, so there doesn’t appear to be much concern about him being ready for Opening Day. Palacios is still a bit of a question mark given his injury history, but there’s plenty of time for him to rest – and he may be slated for AAA anyways. Chandler Simpson is dealing with some hamstring soreness, but the team is being overly cautious and he doesn’t appear to be in danger of beginning on the IL at the moment.

Good Morning San Diego: Gavin Sheets powers Padres to 14-3 win over Reds; Logan Gillaspie taking advantage of opportunity

PEORIA, ARIZONA - FEBRUARY 25: Gavin Sheets #30 of the San Diego Padres bats during the second inning of a spring training game against the Los Angeles Angels at Peoria Stadium on February 25, 2026 in Peoria, Arizona. (Photo by Mike Christy/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The San Diego Padres posted another football score against the Cincinnati Reds in their meeting at the Peoria Sports Complex on Sunday. Logan Gillaspie made the start in place of Nick Pivetta and he was able to do so without the pressure of a tight game. Gavin Sheets connected on a three-run home run in the bottom of the first inning to put the Padres in front and they never looked back. San Diego won the Cactus League matchup 14-3. Gillaspie completed four innings of shutout baseball and allowed just two hits over that span. He also walked two and had two strikeouts. Kyle Hart picked up where Gillaspie left off and threw 2.2 innings without allowing a run or a hit while striking out three.

Padres pitchers held the Reds off the board through 6.2 innings and in that span the offense posted four runs with the home run by sheets and an RBI-triple by Jake Cronenworth in the bottom of the second inning. The San Diego offense added a run in the seventh inning but erupted for nine runs in the eighth thanks to poor Cincinnati pitching and some timely hits.

The Padres will be back in action against the Texas Rangers at the Peoria Sports Complex at 1:10 p.m. today.

Padres News:

  • Sung-Mun Song was the player who the fans believed could benefit the most from Padres regulars playing in the World Baseball Classic. However, his health has been an issue early in his tenure in San Diego and without the additional reps and swings at the plate he may find himself competing for a roster spot and playing time like so many others.
  • Jake Cronenworth has had some success in his couple of opportunities to hit leadoff in spring. If he can continue to find success at the plate and can play solid in the field, he could be poised for a career season in 2026.
  • Dennis Lin of The Athletic provided his second roster projection for the 2026 Padres and his focus was on Fernando Tatis Jr. and where the best hitter on the team will bat in the lineup.

Baseball News:

WBC News:

In The Lab: Astros Right Field Offense

We finally get to the end of the positions on the hitting side of the equation. Keep in mind, we are trying to include all of the relevant candidates to be on the opening day roster. Fans and analysts alike sometimes forget the dimension of time. In other words, what the roster looks like on March 26th will not be what it looks like on June 26th and August 26th. It is a fair expectation that every profiled player will get a crack at the big league level at some point in 2026.

For our purposes, we will profile only two right fielders even though multiple players can fit in right field at some point. It would be inaccurate to call right field the most important position on the diamond for the Astros, but it may come with more question marks than any other position. Cam Smith got off to a promising start last start but faded horribly down the stretch. Maybe the peripheral numbers can give us a clue as to who the real Cam Smith is.

The Astros gambled a bit when they dealt Jesus Sanchez for Joey Loperfido. Loperfido has looked good in short bursts on the big league level, but has yet to play an entire season in the big leagues. He has an option left, so he still might spend time in Sugar Land. We are using the same numbers we have used for the other articles and we will use the same for pitchers as well.

  • Chase rate: This is the percentage of balls a player swings at outside of the zone. The league average normally lives around 30 percent, but we will be looking at three year intervals and we should notice trends more than where a player is in relationship to the league average.
  • Hard hit percentage: This is simply the percentage of balls that a player hits hard. Hard hit balls become hits and extra base hits more often than softer contact. Typically 35 percent is around the league average in this category.
  • BABIP: This is batting average on balls in play. Home runs are obviously excluded since they are not in play. The league average tends to hover around .300 but it will largely depend on hard hit percentages and breakdowns between groundballs, flyballs, and line drives.
  • Contact percentage: This is the percentage of swings that turn into contact. Typically 75 percent is around league average.
  • HR/FB percentage: This is the percentage of flyballs that result in home runs. Ten percent is typically around the league average.

Cam Smith

ChaseHardhitBABIPContactHR/FB
2023CollegeCollegeCollegeCollegeCollege
2024————.33778.521.9
202529.040.8.32073.89.6
Aggregate29.040.8.32976.215.7

If we take the 2025 numbers at face value then we would surmise that Smith should be pretty close to a league average hitter because he is essentially average in almost every indicator. He is slightly above average in hard contact and slightly below in contact. Everything else is drop dead average. He produced a 90 wRC+ last season and that is a similar stat to OPS+. but it includes a base running element. So, I would expect growth even if there is no improvement in the underlying numbers.

The question is how much growth. He demonstrated more power and more contact in the minors, so maybe he finds his way to the aggregate numbers. If that is the case then he would be an above average hitter. We would be looking at gains in contact rates and power production. That might bump him up to .250/.325/.400. Couple that with his strong defensive potential and you are looking at maybe a three win player in 2026.

If there is one player that could be a huge growth candidate it is Smith. He was a first round pick, so he showed impressive skills at some point and with the limited exposure in the minors, he never had the opportunity to develop those tools. So, we might be looking at those tools develop at the big league level, so he is the hardest player to predict.

Joey Loperfido

ChaseHardhitBABIPContactHR/FB
202333.341.3.33874.624.8
202433.734.7.33167.68.2
202531.038.6.32976.99.1
Aggregate32.738.2.33373.014.0

I know it is tempting to get excited over potential. I remember watching Loperfido in Spring Training of 2024 and thinking I liked the cut of gib. As an analyst I have to look at the total information available and make a dispassionate assessment. Most of these numbers are at the minor league level. They are virtually average across the board with some a little higher or little lower. Yet, all of them are pretty close to average.

When you are average across the board in all of the indicators then you are likely average overall. There is nothing wrong with average. Some of my favorite Astros were historically mediocre. Loperfido could end up being one of those guys. He can play a multitude of positions and that will help him stick at the big league level eventually.

Over at Battle Red Blog I write a feature called “The Value of Things.” The general idea is that every player has an appropriate value. Loperfido is probably best cast as a fourth outfielder and occasional first baseman. If you have a fourth outfielder that can play all three spots and produce a 100 OPS+ you are probably going to be pretty happy. If that is one of your starting corner outfielders you probably won’t be happy. So, the key to enjoying Loperfido is understanding who he is and who he is likely to be. Expect a star and you will be disappointed. Expect a useful bench guy and you will probably be pretty happy.

Red Sox’s Masataka Yoshida shines on international stage

TOKYO, JAPAN - MARCH 08: Masataka Yoshida #34 of Team Japan tosses his bat back to the dugout after hitting a two-run home run in the seventh inning during the 2026 World Baseball Classic Pool C game presented by dip between Team Australia and Team Japan at Tokyo Dome on Sunday, March 8, 2026 in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/WBCI/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The 2026 World Baseball Classic is well underway.

Early mornings, extra innings, slaughter rules, ludicrous dingers from Kyle Schwarber, and walkoffs—so far, this tourney has had it all. With pool play set to wrap up in a few days, I thought now would be a good time to take stock into how the Red Sox’s best representatives have been.

That’s a fool’s errand, though, isn’t it?

With all due respect to Nate Eaton and company, one man in particular has been setting the world (baseball classic) on fire, as you may know already.

His name is Masataka Yoshida.

In a trio of pool play games, the lefty outfielder/DH option for Boston has logged an OPS nearly reaching 1.800. He’s driven in six runs thanks to three extra base hits, most notably the clutch two-run home run he notched to put Japan on the board against Australia on Sunday. The go-ahead blast with two outs in the seventh gave the Japanese the lead, one that they didn’t surrender afterwards.

At this rate, Yoshida could break the record for the most RBI in a single World Baseball Classic. That high water mark of 13 was set by…well, Masataka Yoshida in 2023’s iteration of the tournament! Masa’s hot start in 2026 has added onto his impressive resume in this tournament; last time around, he went 9 for 22 at the dish en route to Japan’s third WBC title.

Now granted, I’ve still got some reservations about Yoshida heading into the new MLB season. His tenure in Boston hasn’t exactly been consistent, to put it charitably, and his spot in the everyday lineup isn’t clear. I can only tolerate so many grounders to second. To boot, there’s only so much we can deduce from his performance against—respectfully—teams like Australia. It’s not like he’s doing this against prime Pedro right now.

He doesn’t pick the opponents he faces, though, and the pair of teams he’s already faced aren’t exactly full of scrubs. Even if he were consistently playing against a bunch of slapdick prospects (to use a baseball quote), perhaps the most notable thing with Yoshida’s play so far is that there hasn’t been any sign of his shoulder bothering him—and if it is bothering him, he’s doing a damn good job of hiding that fact. The shoulder issue kept him on the injured list for a big part of 2025; if he’s put that trouble behind him, maybe he can turn a corner for the Red Sox in the final years of his contract.

But let’s just break down what we’ve seen in the (albeit limited) sample size this month into the most simple terms possible: Masataka Yoshida—a guy who literally has a ground ball rate over 50% over his major league career—is not not hitting into ground balls half of the time during the WBC after major issues with his shoulder. As a matter of fact, he’s hitting piss missiles into the power alley. Yoshida is at his best when he’s hitting piss missiles into the power alley.

Is this smoke and mirrors? I don’t think that’s an unfair a fair question to ask.

Is this a run that can set him up for some sort of success in 2026? Again, I think it’s very fair to ask that.

Keep on keepin’ on, Macho Man.

Cuba vs Puerto Rico Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's World Baseball Classic Game

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The top two teams in Pool A square off today as Cuba and Puerto Rico each look to move to 3-0.

Puerto Rico has been remarkably stingy thus far, and my Cuba vs. Puerto Rico predictions expect its run-prevention skills to play a big part in another winning effort.

Let’s take a closer look at my World Baseball Classic best bets for Monday, March 9.

Cuba vs Puerto Rico prediction

Cuba vs Puerto Rico best bet: Puerto Rico -2.5 (-115 at DraftKings)

It’s been feast or famine for Cuba in this tournament. The Cubans have struck out as many times as they’ve reached base through two games (18), with four homers helping mask a sub-.300 on-base percentage.

Puerto Rico has done a great job of keeping the ball in the park, giving up zero homers through two games. It's also allowed the lowest batting average and ranks first in team ERA.

The Puerto Ricans should neutralize Cuba’s lineup while generating enough offense to separate, capitalizing on Cuba’s high team WHIP.

Cuba vs Puerto Rico same-game parlay (SGP)

img src="https://images.covers.com/betting/sportsbooks/811/draft_kings.png" alt="DraftKings Logo" loading="lazy" width="194" height="62"

Puerto Rico -2.5

Under 10

Heliot Ramos 1+ hits

+410 at DraftKings

Puerto Rico has conceded three runs in this tournament. It's keeping the ball in the park and limiting walks, making it tough for opponents to score.

Cuba’s profile isn’t as spotless as Puerto Rico’s, but it's only allowed five runs over two games. We’re unlikely to see fireworks.

Heliot Ramos has yet to pick up a hit at the World Baseball Classic, but he is in a good spot. He has historically performed much better against left-handed pitching, and he’ll face a lefty starter in Julio Robaina.

Heliot Ramos star player prop

Heliot Ramos best bet: Hit a home run (+500 at DraftKings)

Robaina relies on location rather than overpowering batters with elite stuff. If he misses his spot, Ramos is certainly capable of taking him yard. He owns a career OPS of .849 against lefties and excels against the fastball, which he should see plenty of.

Cuba vs Puerto Rico opening odds

  • Moneyline: Cuba +285 | Puerto Rico -370
  • Run line: Cuba +2.5 (-105) | Puerto Rico -2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: Over 10 (-110) | Under 10 (-110)

How to watch Cuba vs Puerto Rico and game info

LocationHiram Bithorn Stadium, San Juan, Puerto Rico
DateMonday, March 9, 2026
First pitch8:00 p.m. ET
TVFS1
Cuba starting pitcherJulio Robaina
Puerto Rico starting pitcherElmer Rodriguez

Cuba vs Puerto Rico weather

81 degrees F, 14 mph winds, mostly cloudy. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Monday Morning Texas Rangers Update

SURPRISE, ARIZONA - MARCH 6: Joc Pederson #3 of the Texas Rangers stands on deck during a Spring Training game against the Seattle Mariners at Surprise Stadium on March 6, 2026 in Surprise, Arizona. (Photo by Brandon Sloter/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning.

Shawn McFarland has observations from camp for the Texas Rangers as manager Skip Schumaker has tough decisions to make.

Evan Grant checks out how the Rangers fared in a messy game against the Angels yesterday in Cactus League action.

Grant writes that Schumaker injected a dose of perspective into camp by bringing brain tumor survivor Cade Spinello in as a guest over the weekend.

Fred Zinkie offers up an AL West preview ahead of the 2026 season, as does Matt Snyder at CBS Sports.

Grant writes about roster hopeful Peyton Gray having a standout spring for Texas as the 31-year-old longshot hopes to grab a spot in the bullpen

Grant notes that the Rangers moved Jordan Montgomery to the 60-day IL and claimed the speedy Dairon Blanco from KC.

Kennedi Landry writes that the No. 5 spot in the rotation is still up for grabs in a battle that has been between Jacob Latz and Kumar Rocker this spring.

Grant writes that, after throwing live batting practice on Saturday, Marc Church is nearing the end of a long string of injuries.

And, McFarland names infield prospect Jack Wheeler as a powerful No. 16 on the DMN top 30 Rangers prospects list.

Have a nice day!

Orioles want to win now, but their future looks bright too

FORT MYERS, FL - FEBRUARY 24: Samuel Basallo #29 of the Baltimore Orioles looks on prior to the game between the Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins at Lee Health Sports Complex on Tuesday, February 24, 2026 in Fort Myers, Florida. (Photo by Natalie Reid/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

This offseason, the Orioles acted like a team focused on the present. They gave out a big contract to a slugger on the “wrong side” of thirty. They traded a pitcher with four years of control for an outfielder that will be gone in a year. And they swapped a package of four prospects and one pick for a pitcher they hope will work out. It was a lot of movement, and much of it was done with 2026 in mind.

But as the team’s president of baseball operations Mike Elias has explained throughout his tenure, he doesn’t make moves without considering the ripple effects. Trading away too many young players at once in pursuit of a short-term advantage will weaken the future. And Elias has told the fanbase that the full teardown and rebuild of the organization we experienced from 2019-21 was a one-time thing. Moving forward, he wants to win at the big league level while maintaining a “pipeline” of talent that constantly replenishes the roster in Baltimore.

The degree to which all of that has panned out to this point can be argued. The Orioles organization certainly feels stronger now than it was when Elias entered the fold. But the team’s lack of a playoff win and their steep dropoff in 2025 may have left a sour taste in the mouth of those that are tired of Elias’ theory of team building. A bounce back in the season ahead, including a deep-ish playoff run, could win him back some supporters.

On paper (which is all we have until games start), the Orioles are a solid major league squad entering the 2026 campaign. Most outlets project them for 85-87 wins, which would represent at least a 10-win improvement from 2025. If they are competitive, you would imagine Elias will supplement them with a few in-season additions that could add to that total. So in Elias’ mind, he has checked the box of building a competitive big league roster.

As the O’s have improved in the majors, the focus locally has understandably shifted away from the minors. But the talent level down on the farm is just as crucial to Elias’ philosophy. They don’t need to have the absolute top-ranked prospects, as they did when the likes of Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman were coming up, but the organization does need to churn out worthwhile youngsters in order to avoid any of those lengthy dips in form up in Baltimore.

So, how does the future look? Not bad!

Samuel Basallo and Dylan Beavers are widely considered Top 100 prospects. Basallo has already signed a long-term deal to be a slugger in the middle of the Orioles lineup for years to come. He’s got a solid .333/.455/444 line this spring. Beavers had a huge season in Triple-A last year, forcing those in the industry to take notice. Both of them are among the favorites to win Rookie of the Year, which would net the Orioles a draft pick in the process.

Don’t forget about Coby Mayo, a former top prospect in his own right, has plenty of years of team control remaining. Suddenly, the 24-year-old looks like one of the most important players on the team. He is going to get lots of playing time with Jordan Westburg on the shelf. So far this spring he is 8-for-19 with only one strikeout.

Outfielder Nate George and pitcher Trey Gibson won’t make as immediate of an impact, but they have both made it onto radars around the league in the last year. Some outlets have them listed among their “Top 100” prospects, or thereabouts. The Orioles have given each a taste of big league camp this year and they are viewed as future impact players for the club

Some newer faces are also flashing. Ike Irish, the O’s top pick in last year’s draft, is 4-for-4 in big league camp. Wehiwa Aloy, another high pick from 2025, is 2-for-3 with a walk and has gotten rave reviews out of camp. And there is, of course, the crazy line from Vance Honeycutt; 5-for-6 with four home runs.

On top of that, we are still waiting for the wave of talent to come from the Orioles, led by Elias, finally getting involved in Latin America. Basallo is the first major arrival, but more are coming. Lefty Luis De León could make it to Baltimore this summer. Infielder Aron Estrada could be here the year after. And big righty Esteban Mejia is one to watch with his big fastball. Oh, and the Orioles just signed one of the best classes of international free agents back in January.

Although it is an imperfect measure (and a few months out of date at this point), FanGraphs attempts to quantify the value of each minor league system. It is based on their perceived quality of each prospect. The Orioles have the most players that FG actually considers to be prospects, and they have the seventh-most valuable farm system in all of baseball. The average value of those prospects is below average, indicating that the Orioles are loaded up on fringier talents, but those sorts of players can be useful depth or packaged together for an impact player.

The main goal of Elias and the Orioles has to be to win games at the major league level. They didn’t do that enough in 2025, which forced them to adjust their approach to this past offseason. We saw a more aggressive version of the team’s front office. But they did it without abandoning the future. In fact, the players coming down the pike are pretty exciting. Hopefully they will be supplementing a contending team in the years to come.

OTM Question of the Day: Is Anybody Here a Doctor?

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - SEPTEMBER 30: (NEW YORK DAILIES OUT) Romy Gonzalez #23 of the Boston Red Sox in action against the New York Yankees during game one of the American League Wild Card Series at Yankee Stadium on September 30, 2025 in New York City. The Red Sox defeated the Yankees 3-1. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Hello and happy Monday, folks. It’s amazing that we can finally see grass again. I was going to make “How happy are you that the snow is melting?” my question of the day, but there are more pressing matters for the Boston Red Sox to attend to.

What in the world is up with Romy Gonzalez, man? As our fearless leader Dan Secatore wrote in his news and links story this weekend, the infielder is exploring the possibility of surgery to remedy the issue with his shoulder that’s been present since September. That sucks, man. Obviously we wish him nothing but good health, but is anybody here a doctor? Can someone clue me into what the hell is going on here? Fingers crossed, I suppose.

Talk about what you want, be good to each other, and go Sox.

Mets Morning News: World Baseball? Classic

Mar 7, 2026; Jupiter, Florida, USA; New York Mets left fielder Jose Rojas (81) does stretching exercises with a team Trainor at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images | Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

Meet the Mets

In the televised Spring Subway Series, Freddy Peralta and the Mets defeated Ryan Weathers and the Yankees by the score of 10-4.

Freddy Peralta isn’t just an incredibly good pitcher, he’s also a pretty solid hang in the clubhouse.

In International Met News, Juan Soto hit a mercy rule walk off home run for the Dominican Republic in the seventh inning of their win over the Netherlands.

Around the National League East

Coming off 186.2 innings of above average ball, starting pitcher Zack Littell and the Nationals came to terms on a one-year deal for a currently unknown amount of money.

Though serious enough to get him carted off the field, initial tests by the Braves on Joey Wentz haven’t showed any catastrophic injury to his leg.

For Justin Crawford and Don Mattingly, crossing paths on the Phillies is an encounter nearly 14 years in the making.

Around Major League Baseball

In the World Baseball Classic, Japan defeated Australia, undefeated Cuba took down Columbia, Italy moved to 2-0 with a win over Great Britain, Israel beat Nicaragua, Panama edged out Canada, and Mexico absolutely pummeled Brazil.

Tonight, Paul Skenes and the United States will face off against equally-undefeated Mexico at 8:00 PM eastern on Fox.

Not only is World Baseball Classic glory up for grabs for the Central American countries, but Olympic dreams hinge on these games too.

Presenting the ultimate National Anthem Standoff: Logan Allen vs. Logan Allen.

Now 44 years old and playing for the same Cuban team he represented in the inaugural WBC in 2006, Alexei Ramirez just can’t quit baseball.

It’s easy to say that you’re only going to make one start for Team USA, but for Tarik Skubal, actually committing to that is a bit harder.

The Texas Rangers moved Jordan Montgomery to the 60-day injured list and picked up Dairon Blanco off of waivers from the Royals.

This Date in Mets History

On this date in 2013, Captain America hit a go-ahead grand slam to put the United States ahead of Team Italy.

Better Know Your Blue Jays 40-Man: Louis Varland

Oct 31, 2025; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Louis Varland (77) pitches against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the seventh inning during game six of the 2025 MLB World Series at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images | John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images

Louis Varland is a 28-year-old, right-handed reliever. He was a 15th round draft pick by the Twins, in 2019.

Louis has one option year left. He will likely be arbitration eligible after this season (Super 2) and he would be free agent eligible after the 2030 season. He could be a Blue Jay for a long time

He made it to the majors with the Twins in 2022, making 5 starts, with a 3.81 ERA. In 2023, he pitched in 17 games, 10 starts with a 4.63 ERA. Then, in 2024, 16 more games, 7 starts, with a 7.61 ERA.

We traded Alan Roden and Kendry Rojas to the Twins to get Varland and Ty France. Roden played in 12 games for the Twins with a .158/.200/.263 average. Rojas finished last year in Triple-A St. Paul, with a 6.59 ERA in 8 games, 23 walks and 28 strikeouts in 27.1 innings.

Last year, he became a full-time reliever, pitching in 74 games, 1 start (as the opener). with a 2.97 ERA and 22 holds. Batters hit .244/.304/.383 against him. He doesn’t have much for left/right splits, against right-handed batters he had a .662 OPS, .716 vs left-handed batters.

And, of course, he pitched a lot in the playoffs. He threw in 15 of our 18 playoff games. I’m sure he warmed up at least once in the other three. Louis had a 3.94 ERA with 17 strikeouts, 3 walks and 4 home runs, in the 16 innings. Once you get your manager’s confidence, he’s going to use you until your arms falls off in the playoffs.

He throws a lot of pitches, for a reliever. A Four Seamer (45.3% of the time, averaging 98.1 mph), a Knuckle curve (37.4%), a Slider (7.1%) Sinker (5.5%) and Changeup (4.6%). If I could throw a ball 98 mph, I don’t think I’d do anything else. The slider got hit hard, .677 slugging average against.

Baseball Savant tells us that Varland was very good in:

  • Fastball Velocity: 95th percentile.
  • Chase %: 86th percentile.
  • Strikeout %: 65th percentile.
  • Groundball %: 90th percentile.
  • Extension: 92nd percentile.

But he wasn’t good at:

  • Hard Hit %: 23rd percentile.
  • Barrell %: 36th percentile.
  • Average Exit velocity: 26th percentile.

Steamer thinks he’ll pitch in 67 games, 67 innings, with a 3.38 ERA.

Dodgers notes: Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Roki Sasaki, Andrew Toles

TOKYO, JAPAN - MARCH 06: Yoshinobu Yamamoto #18 of Team Japan pitches in the first inning during the 2026 World Baseball Classic Pool C game presented by dip between Team Japan and Team Chinese Taipei at Tokyo Dome on Friday, March 6, 2026 in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/WBCI/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Japan winning Pool C puts them in the final eight of the World Baseball Classic, and locks them into a quarterfinal matchup on Saturday night in Miami against the Pool D runner-up, likely either the Venezuela or the Dominican Republic.

Though nothing has yet been announced regarding Japan’s pitching plans for the next round, Saturday would presumably be when Yoshinobu Yamamoto makes his next start, after throwing 55 pitches in 2 2/3 innings in Friday’s tournament opener.


In other potential Dodgers rotation forecasting, Roki Sasaki threw a bullpen session on Sunday at Camelback Ranch and will make his next start on the backfields rather than in a Cactus League game, per Fabian Ardaya at The Athletic.

Sasaki’s spring thus far has been a mixed bag, incorporating new pitches into his repertoire. He has as many walks (five) as strikeouts in his two games, during which he allowed seven runs in 3 1/3 innings. Sasaki last pitched last Tuesday, which would likely line him up for his next outing, wherever it is, to come on Monday or Tuesday.


Andrew Toles last played professional in 2018, his third season with the Dodgers. In the next seven seasons since then, the Dodgers renewed Toles’ contract and placed him on the restricted list. Toles did not earn a salary in those years nor did he count against the 40-man roster, but was able to receive health insurance, as he dealt with various mental health issues.

This year the Dodgers cannot similarly renew Toles’ contract and place him on the restricted list according to major league rules, per Ed Guzman at the Los Angeles Times, to whom the Dodgers released his statement:

“We’ve been in contact with the Toles family and have worked together on how to best move forward,” the Dodgers said in a statement to The Times. “Continuing with the previous setup was no longer possible due to eligibility. The Toles family has asked that Andrew’s privacy be respected. Out of respect to the Toles family, we will not comment any further.”


Walker Buehler, who pitched last season for the Boston Red Sox and Philadelphia Phillies, is in San Diego Padres camp this year as a non-roster invitee. I found this note from last week illuminating regarding the length of recovery time after Tommy John surgery, and the general taxing nature of pitching. From Dennis Lin at The Athletic:

MLB News Outside The Confines: Everyone has World Baseball Classic fever

Good morning. This is a little shorter edition than I normally do for this because the overwhelming amount of news over the weekend was about the WBC. I think we have that pretty well covered around here elsewhere. We do have some WBC stuff and some other stuff as well.

Monday Rockpile: Matt Buschmann brings a strong understanding of workload management to a young Rockies bullpen

Colorado Rockies bullpen coach Matt Buschmann stands on the mound and works with pitchers during spring training in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Colorado Rockies bullpen coach Matt Buschmann stands on the mound and works with pitchers during spring training in Scottsdale, Arizona. | Kyle Cooper | Colorado Rockies

Scottsdale, Ariz. — Matt Buschmann, like many coaches, is new to the Colorado Rockies in 2026. He came to the Rockies after working for both the Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants, and has been making his mark on the team right out of the gate.

“I learned a ton [in my previous positions],” he said.

“I think a lot of it is just making sure that the information you’re giving players is creating the right feedback loop for the change you want. So [we’re] being very intentional about constantly reinforcing the things we talk about every day, and not unintentionally undercutting that with something we’re saying or doing or information we’re giving.”

And that goes back to his coaching philosophy, which is all about “trying to get [players] to come to the conclusions themselves and creat[ing] the right environment to come up with the solution that works for them.

“Instead of telling them how or a technique, it’s just giving them the information and trying to make it as simple as possible and trying to get them to understand where they’re going” he continued, “If I give them where they’re trying to go, and then I can kind of help them along the road… if they own that solution, it’s going to be so much easier to repeat that and make the adjustment they need to make.”

One thing about Warren Schaeffer’s new coaching staff that we’ve written about ad nauseam are the open lines of communication they’ve been establishing between themselves and the players. And that’s something Buschmann has also embraced.

“It’s just creating an open environment,” he said. “I think sometimes when you force it, it can get kind of weird. But it’s giving the players the understanding that there will be constant touch points. It’s not set times. There’s constant communication every day, and it’s very organic. 

“And they know that at any given moment, [they] can come and talk to us and we want to make that so it’s like, ‘Come grab us.’ It’s not, ‘I’ll come talk to you’ because I don’t want to create an environment where the only times I’m talking to [them] are when things are going poorly,” he continued. “You don’t want to create that kind of feedback loop, either. I think it’s just constantly giving touch points and being conscious to reinforce the things you want.”

The open communication is especially important for this young Rockies team, and something that the coaching staff is looking to model.

“When a player’s young, to me, it’s just like, ‘Do they understand the day-to-day? Do they understand what it means to be good over 160 games and then playoffs, and what it takes in a calendar year?’ It’s not only in season and the constant routines, and it’s the mundane nature of baseball, but how important that boring stuff is,” he said. 

“So how do you do that on a daily basis? Are you consistent in your routines and then understanding how important the offseason is to prepare for another 160 games? Players that are young, that’s what they’re learning,” he continued.

“To me, we know guys have the stuff and the talent, and now it’s just like… I think the quote I like to go back to is, ‘Success is very boring.’ It is very boring day-to-day. And so it’s getting guys to understand that every day is not this ‘Aha!’ moment. The ‘Aha!’ moment comes because you were very consistent in your daily routing.”

And the collaboration permeates through the coaching staff, as well.

“I feel like the staff will offer input in roughly equal amounts throughout our pitchers meetings,” said RHP John Brebbia. 

“It might not all be on the same topic – one person could be more pitch sequencing, while the other person is more biomechanical or aerodynamic-oriented – but I feel like everyone has an area of pitching that they like or they’re interested in, or that they are maybe responsible for. They all provide input and you can tell they’ve done their research and they care about it. And Busch is one of those guys that is doing that exact same thing.”

“We’re all part of a pitching staff trying to prevent runs,” Buschmann said, “so there’s this team ethos of, ‘How do we prevent runs?’ And then what you have are just different routines, and therefore, that’s where they separate. Relievers are training for less more often, and starters are the long-distance runners. So sometimes you separate in that regard. But as far as attacking hitters and all that, it’s very collective. ‘How are we preventing runs against this team in this series?’”

But the biggest strength that Buschmann brings to this team is his emphasis on workload management.

“The in-depth nature of the way he thinks about arms and recovery and workload management is huge, and it’s game-changing for us, especially at altitude. I think that’s going to pay huge dividends throughout the season and for years to come,” said Schaeffer.

The players echoed that, as well.

“I think his big thing for us is just managing our workload because as a bullpen, it’s really hard to know when you’re going to throw next,” said Zach Agnos.

“He’s been really good on the workload end just by telling us, ‘Hey, don’t take it too heavy today.’ or ‘Hey, we’re gonna keep it light, but we’re gonna make a lot of throws today.’ He’s been really good at that, and it’s been keeping us fresh and allowing us to feel our best every time we go out on the mound. And I think that’s going to be huge come August and September this year.”

Learning to manage the pitching staff at Coors Field is a challenge for any coach, but Buschmann is up for it.

“I’m very excited. I think you come here because you like challenges, and we’d like to build something,” he said. “And I think the plan is that it’s a feature for us, not a bug. It’s not something we have to fight, it’s something we need to embrace, and it’ll be part of what helps us be better. 


Back from wrist injury, Doyle plays only way he knows how: ‘100 percent’ | MLB.com

After a challenging 2025 season, Brenton Doyle has been on the comeback trail this spring. However, things were derailed a bit by a wrist sprain and Doyle missed 11 days. He returned to the lineup on Saturday night against the Dodgers, going 1-for-3 with an RBI and a stolen base. With just 15 games left in spring training, Doyle will look to give ‘100 percent’ to the final weeks.

Tomoyuki Sugano talks his start against Australia | MLB.com

The Rockies signed Tomoyuki Sugano at the beginning of spring training, but he was only with the team for a few days before he left for the World Baseball Classic in Japan. He started Sunday’s game against Australia, pitching four scoreless innings with two strikeouts. Here’s his postgame presser.


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