Category: MLB

These teams meet for the first time since the Cubs defeated the Padres in last year’s tightly-fought Wild Card Series. Both teams are off to good starts in 2026; perhaps they will meet again in October.

For more on the Padres, here’s Matt DeWalt, manager of our SB Nation Padres site Gaslamp Ball.

The San Diego Padres got off to a rough start to the season dropping the first two series at home against the Detroit Tigers and San Francisco Giants, leaving them with a 2-4 record. Since that time, the Padres have won six consecutive series heading into a road matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks in Mexico City. Tons of runs were scored in that two-game set, which the teams split.

The story of the season has been the San Diego bullpen, which is anchored by Mason Miller. The right-hander has been dominant to this point and has thrown 34.2 consecutive innings (including the end of the 2025 season) without allowing a run, while giving up just seven hits with 69 strikeouts. Miller has converted all of his 10 save opportunities on the year.

The starting rotation has taken some hits with Yu Darvish out for the season, Joe Musgrove still not back after Tommy John surgery in 2024, and Nick Pivetta being placed on the IL with a flexor strain. Michael King leads the staff and is joined by Randy Vasquez, Walker Buehler and German Marquez. Matt Waldron was called up from Triple-A, but did not look good in his first two starts against the Los Angeles Angels and Colorado Rockies.

The San Diego offense has shown signs of life and appears to have discovered some of the slug that was missing during the 2025 season. The most surprising player without a home run for the Padres is Fernando Tatis Jr. He is still contributing with hits and driving in and scoring runs, but the goose egg in the HR column is a bit alarming to the Friar Faithful. Ramon Laureano has solidified the leadoff spot and has been one of the best offensive players for San Diego along with Xander Bogaerts.

New Padres manager Craig Stammen has shown a willingness to shakeup the lineup and has stressed his desire to make rest days a priority for players like Manny Machado, Jake Cronenworth and Bogaerts. He uses his bench depth to achieve that goal. Stammen seems to be pulling all the right levers as his team sits at 18-9 and is tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for the NL West lead. We will have to see if Stammen and the San Diego roster can maintain this level of play as the season progresses.

Fun facts

San Diego is the only current National League city other than Chicago at which the Cubs have a winning record. They are 133-129, .508.

But they lost two of three each of the past two years, after having split four games in 2023. From 2018-22, the Cubs had gone 9-4 in San Diego.

(Courtesy BCB’s JohnW53)

Probable pitching matchups

Monday: Matthew Boyd, LHP (1-1, 5.79 ERA, 1.143 WHIP, 1.56 FIP) vs. Randy Vasquez, RHP (2-0, 1.88 ERA, 1.081 WHIP, 2.53 FIP)

Tuesday: Edward Cabrera, RHP (2-0, 2.73 ERA, 1.180 WHIP, 3.63 FIP) vs. Walker Buehler, RHP (1-2, 5.75 ERA, 1.623 WHIP, 3.27 FIP)

Wednesday: Jameson Taillon, RHP (1-1, 4.55 ERA, 1.301 WHIP, 6.02 FIP) vs. Matt Waldron, RHP (0-1, 12.46 ERA, 2.308 WHIP, 6.24 FIP)

Times & TV channels

Monday: 8:40 p.m. CT, Marquee Sports Network, streaming on Peacock (Padres broadcast)

Tuesday: 8:40 p.m. CT, Marquee Sports Network, MLB Network (outside the Cubs and Padres market territories)

Wednesday: 3:10 p.m. CT, Marquee Sports Network

Prediction

This will not be an easy series. The Padres are a very good team and are 9-4 at home this year. They’ve had to travel from Denver to Mexico City to San Diego over the last week, though. Maybe they’ll be tired from playing at altitude for a week. (Yes, I’m reaching.) I’m going to say the Cubs will get good outings from Boyd and Cabrera and win two of three.

Up next

The Cubs have Thursday off, then return to Wrigley Field for a three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks beginning Friday afternoon.

A recent report from The New York Post’s Jon Heyman suggested that the San Diego Padres might return to their former Seidler-spending ways this offseason, even getting into the bidding war for the services of Detroit Tigers ace Tarik Skubal.

Skubal has long been sought after by other clubs, and teams like the Los Angeles Dodgers and the New York Mets will factor in as well in the bidding. He’s likely to receive the largest free agent contract ever for a pitcher, with most analysts estimating his value to be somewhere around $50 million annually.

That number blows the previous record of $43.33 million (Max Scherzer, Mets), though that was only for three years. Skubal would likely be locked up for much longer than that, and under a no-trade clause.

The war for Skubal

Skubal will, without a doubt, break that record. The only question is by how much.

The sole way that number could be dampened is by injury. He’s never not dominating on the mound, it seems like a certainty in life: death, taxes, and Tarik Skubal going six quality innings. But if he were to require surgery, there would be a major question mark entering free agency. He would likely still garner a large salary, but it could cause the AAV to dip.

Here’s the thing, though. Of the three teams mentioned thus far in the bidding (Dodgers, Mets, Padres), San Diego has the best reason to sign Skubal.

The Dodgers are hardly short on starting pitching, with a rotation headlined by Tyler Glasnow, Blake Snell, Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Even with their injuries they still manage to piece it together every year.

They don’t need the southpaw’s services nearly as much as others, but they’ll be bidders simply because they like to spend. They’ve now picked up a top free agent in three consecutive offseasons, and four of the last five (Freddie Freeman, 2022; Shohei Ohtani, 2023; Roki Sasaki, 2025; Kyle Tucker, 2026).

On the other hand, the Mets desperately need consistent starters. They have a rotation with huge upside, but they’ve largely missed the mark. The only one producing right now is Nolan McLean (who could win NL Rookie of the Year this season).

But — if GM David Stearns manages to keep his job amidst New York’s torrid start to the year — he’s shown a hesitancy to extend pitchers contracts longer than a couple years. Skubal will be looking to attain a bit more length than that.

San Diego has the most compelling case for a true ace like Skubal. Both Michael King and Nick Pivetta have opt-outs in their contracts after this season, and they each seem likely to test free agency. Bob Nightengale of USA Today even wrote that “As long as he’s breathing at the end of the season, [Pivetta will] opt out.”

The Friars, like they do every year, need certainty on the pitching front. They’ve got Vásquez for 2027, but that’s about it. It’s possible they retain Pivetta given the flexor strain that’s kept him off the mound for the foreseeable future. But King will likely walk given he’s pitched like an ace again after an injury-plagued 2025.

A return to the Seidler way

If San Diego is actually in on Skubal this upcoming offseason, it would mark a return to the spending ways of former owner Peter Seidler. He shelled out just about everything he had in order to field a winning team for the Padres. And, although Seidler accomplished his vision, he never got to see the club win a World Series before he passed away in 2023.

José E. Feliciano and Kwanza Jones would like to see it happen. The two purchased the club for a $3.9 billion valuation with their stake in the club being up to 40%, according to Dennis Lin and Mike Vorkunov of the Athletic.

Other investors will join as minority owners. It seems likely that the Seidler family will retain some level of ownership. Drew Brees and Vuori’s Joe Kudla had been reported to desire joining ownership so they could be in on the club as well. Alfredo Harp Hélu also stated that he will retain his 15% stake in the organization.

But regardless of that, there’s a question of the Feliciano-Jones ownership’s commitment to spending. Feliciano, through his private equity firm Clearlake Capital, has owned Chelsea F.C. of the Premier League. Chelsea has had problems with their ownership in recent years, but they have been the biggest-spending club in the league.

Is Feliciano’s move to the Padres a desire to step out and create something of his own away from the ownership drama with Chelsea? Or was he the cause of Chelsea’s problems and ousted by the other owners to pursue something else?

It’s difficult to say until more is revealed about the two. San Diego has yet to formally announce the sale of the club, as the minority ownership still has to be sorted out. Once it is, the owners of MLB will convene and vote in Feliciano and Jones, though that process is mostly a formality.

But for the Friar Faithful the team being sold is great news. Each offseason, the Padres have felt like they were simply treading water instead of actually competing with other teams. They’ve managed to hold up until now, coming off of consecutive postseason appearances and 90-win seasons, but the Seidler family has pulled back the reins on Peter Seidler’s bodacious spending of the past.

If Feliciano and Jones return to that spending, the Friars might be unstoppable. With rockstar GM A.J. Preller in the manager’s chair for the club (with a bigger wallet to boot), San Diego could be even more of a championship-caliber team than they already are. That makes it easy to dream of Skubal in brown and gold.

Here are five things to watch and predictions as the Mets and Nationals play a three-game series at Citi Field starting on Tuesday night on SNY...

5 things to watch

How much worse can it get?

By getting swept by the Rockies in a three-game series over the weekend at Citi Field, the Mets fell to 9-19 and are tied with the Phillies for the worst record in MLB.  

The main problem for the Mets right now is that there seemingly isn't much they can do but hope things turn around.

A team dismissing a manager this early in the season can certainly happen if the results relative to expectations are bad enough -- see Alex Cora and the Red Sox. And it's fair to wonder if Carlos Mendoza's job will be safe if the Mets don't win this series against Washington.

Beyond that, there is no magic elixir for the MLB-worst offense, no one coming to save the undermanned rotation right now, and no impact relievers in Triple-A Syracuse who are on the cusp of reaching the majors. 

If the Mets win two or three of these games against Washington, perhaps things will start to normalize. If not, watch out. 

Rotation shakeup coming?

The Kodai Senga situation is untenable, and it's close to impossible to envision him remaining in the rotation.

Complicating matters is that Christian Scott couldn't locate during his start last week, and is now back in Triple-A. Scott will very likely be back sooner rather than later, but he can't return until May 4 unless he replaces an injured player.

Against the Nats, the Mets can go with Clay Holmes and Freddy Peralta in the first two games, but they'll need a starter for the final game on Thursday (or a starter for Wednesday if they pitch Peralta on an extra day of rest). That's because Nolan McLean pitched Sunday and won't pitch again until this Friday at the earliest. 

The Mets could theoretically use one of their four bulk relievers (David Peterson, Sean Manaea, Tobias Myers, or Carl Edwards Jr.) to start on Wednesday or Thursday and/or piggyback a few of them.

Still, a more permanent solution is necessary, which could mean Peterson or Manaea returning to the rotation in a regular capacity. 

Carson Benge is starting to look comfortable

Since Benge was hitting .091 with a .392 OPS entering play on April 8, it's going to take a while for him to get his numbers to a respectable level.

But he's starting to look a lot more relaxed at the plate.

Benge has five hits in his last 12 at-bats and has struck out just once over his last six games -- a span of 15 plate appearances.

He's also above average when it comes to six of 13 advanced stats tracked by Baseball Savant (average exit velocity, hard hit percentage, sweet-spot percentage, squared-up percentage, chase percentage, and whiff percentage).

Meanwhile, Benge is in the 94th percentile when it comes to OAA and 91st percentile in sprint speed. 

Washington's putrid pitching

If there's any pitching staff that could help the Mets' offense wake up, it's the Nats' group.

Washington has surrendered a whopping 171 runs this season, which is the most in the NL and fewer than only the Astros, who have allowed 174.

Against the Mets, the Nats are set to trot out these three starting pitchers:

Zack Littell: 7.56 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 25.0 IP this season. He has allowed 16 runs (14 earned) on 18 hits in 10.0 innings over his last two starts.

Cade Cavalli: 4.01 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 24.2 IP. Cavalli has given up more hits (29) than innings.

Miles Mikolas: 8.49 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 23.1 IP. Mikolas has surrendered seven home runs. 

Beware of James Wood

Wood has been a force.

He has still been bedeviled by strikeouts (his 44 are the most in the majors after his 221 were the most in the sport last season).

But Wood is leading the NL in home runs (10) and walks (28) while posting a career-best .972 OPS.

Predictions

Who will the MVP of the series be?

Bo Bichette

Bichette is hitting .292 over his last six games.

Which Mets pitcher will have the best start?

Freddy Peralta 

Peralta's average fastball velocity has been ticking up. It was 93.5 mph on April 12 against the Athletics, 94.0 on April 18 against the Cubs, and 94.5 this past Friday against the Rockies. Peralta averaged 94.8 mph with the offering last season. 

Which Nationals player will be a thorn in the Mets' side?

CJ Abrams

Abrams is having a big year, with seven homers and an .896 OPS. 

Last season, Seaver King swung at 53.1% of pitches in the minors. That is much more than the average big league rate, which hovers around 46%. This over aggression is part of what contributed to a rough first pro season for King. Now, the former first round pick is only swinging at 39.8% of pitches, but is doing much more damage.

In over 500 at bats last season, Seaver King hit just six home runs. Armed with a new approach, King already has four homers, a feat he did not accomplish until the middle of June last year. It is clear that King is hunting for his pitch and driving it when it comes. If he does not get his pitch, he is perfectly content to take it.

Seaver King has gone from an ultra-aggressive hitter to a patient one seemingly overnight. Plate discipline is usually one of those skills that is harder to teach. Guys like Juan Soto are just born with an ability to know the zone, while it is tougher for hitters like Javier Baez. King seemed to fall into that latter category, but so far the Leopard is changing its spots.

By swinging less, King is also inevitably walking more. After walking at a 5.8% clip last season, he is taking free passes over 17% of the time this year. While King is the most extreme example of this, we are seeing less swinging throughout the Nats organization. 

Right now, the Nats have 11 minor league hitters who are walking over 15% of the time. Last season, they only had three, and all of them were either in the Dominican Summer League or the complex, where pitchers don’t throw many strikes. Even if that number drops to 7 or 8, it would be much higher than any season in recent memory.

You can search just about any prospect in the Nats system on Fangraphs, and almost all of them are swinging less. Yeremy Cabrera has cut his swing rate from 45% to 41%. Eli Willits has gone from 46.4% to 44.1%, while Luke Dickerson has gone from 46% to 40%. Devin Fitz-Gerald and Abimelec Ortiz are two other notable players who cut their swing rates down.

There are still some aggressive hitters thriving in the organization right now like Ronny Cruz and Cayden Wallace. However, it is clear that the new front office wants players to swing less and do more when they do swing. After years of watching the Nats ground ball heavy and free swinging offenses, this approach is a breath of fresh air.

The roots of this rebuild are developing at the minor league level, but you can see this philosophy taking hold at the big league level. Plate discipline and contact skills are a big reason why the Nats targeted Jorbit Vivas and Curtis Mead. We are also seeing players like CJ Abrams and Brady House walking more often.

Surprisingly, it feels like the hitting development improvements are having a quicker impact than the pitching development stuff. I figured it would be the other way around, but I am very happy to see Nats hitters having success at all levels of the organization. We are seeing plenty of breakout hitters in the minors like King, Ronny Cruz and Yeremy Cabrera.

I think the new front office is a big part of this success. They are not going to magically turn everyone around, but you want to see consistent success stories. We are seeing those success stories early in the season, and it helps you buy into the front office’s vision.

The Nats walking more often at all levels is no accident. Between the messaging and the new tools at players disposal, this is part of a master plan. Down in Fredericksburg, batters hit off a machine that throws harder and produces nastier stuff than any Low-A arm they will see. 

That should get them ready for the game and make those at bats easier. I remember going to a batting cage and hitting against the hardest level, then going back to a slower one. It was so much easier to hit, and the ball felt so big. That must be what it feels like for these guys during the games.

Nothing beats having a plan and seeing it come to fruition. That is what we are seeing from Paul Toboni and the Nationals. They wanted their guys to swing less, and they have. It has been something that has caused positive change as well. The newly patient Seaver King now has a .944 OPS in AA, far better than the .600 OPS he mustered last year. 

We knew some prospects would benefit from the regime change, we just were not sure who. Now, we have a better idea of who the biggest beneficiaries are. The hyper athletes who needed refinement like Seaver King and Ronny Cruz are coming into their own now that they are being developed by this new regime. Sometimes less is more, and that is what Seaver King and other Nats prospects have learned this season.

Max Scherzer may have to consider another home remedy for his arm woes.

Scherzer, the Blue Jays' 41-year-old right-hander, was placed on the 15-day injured list by Toronto Monday, April 27 due to right forearm tendinitis and left ankle inflammation.

Scherzer, who credited playing the piano with an extended run of good health heading into the 2025 playoffs, was rocked for seven earned runs in 2⅔ innings of his April 24 start. He entered the outing needing one strikeout to become just the second pitcher in the past 24 years to reach 3,500 strikeouts.

But Scherzer failed to register a strikeout in the start, leaving him one shy of the milestone. He has posted a 9.64 ERA in five starts in his 19th major league season.

For the first time this year, the White Sox have had a week that did not end with a losing record. And the first half of the week brought the first back-to-back series wins of the season. Unfortunately, however, the second half saw a return to a lack of power and run support.

Going into this week, there were home run streaks abound. Munetaka Murakami entered Tuesday with three straight games with a home run, Colson Montgomery had two games, and Miguel Vargas was on the precipice of a streak with one home run. On Tuesday, Sam Antonacci hit his first MLB home run: After a rules check, the inside-the-park home run was confirmed, making for a unique first “long” ball:

By Wednesday, Mune tied the franchise record with five straight games with a home run, Montgomery recorded his fourth, and Vargas hit the trifecta. But even though Thursday brought a cool-down for the trio. Andrew Benintendi picked up the slack with a go-ahead blast in the Phoenix finale.

That win meant for first time since 2021, the White Sox won 10 games before May 1.

When the Pale Hose arrived home on Friday to begin a series with the Nationals, Murakami homered again, moving into a tie for the MLB home-run lead with his 11th of the season:

Then, the home runs stopped, and frankly so did the fun. The power outage resulted in back-to-back extra-innings losses to the Nationals to drop a weekend series in Chicago.

As the hitting peaked for the week, the pitching found a groove.

• Davis Martin added another quality start to his season, pitching 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball on Thursday in Arizona. He walked only one batter and struck out seven. Martin is dominating the race for the title of ace for the 2026 season. If he continues like this for another month or two, he will find himself in Philadelphia for the All-Star Game.
• In Friday’s win against Washington, Erik Fedde came in after Bryan Hudson’s open and threw 5 2/3 innings of three-run baseball. Even though only one of those would be an earned run, he would leave the game in a position to lose. That became a moot point when Antonacci hit a go-ahead sacrifice fly in the bottom of the eighth. Fedde’s ERA is less than 3.50 for the first time since April 11.
• Noah Schultz continued to endear South Side fans, with a six-inning outing on Saturday that resulted in two runs for the Nationals against eight strikeouts. He ended up banking the first no-decision of his career.
• On Sunday, Sean Burke was not only efficient but dominant, after Hudson received the honor of opening a second game of the weekend. Burke came on in the second inning and shut Washington down. He only struck out four in 7 1/3 innings, but he gave up no runs during that time to keep the game tied into the bottom of the ninth. He too would not get a decision in the game, as Seranthony Domínguez earned his third loss of the season after giving up two runs in the 10th.

This brings us to the not-so-great pitching moments of the week:

• Jordan Leasure is first on this list. On Friday, the reliever gave up a game-tying home in the top of the eighth to Brady House. He would vulture the win in the game, thanks to Antonacci’s sac fly in the bottom of the inning. However, on Saturday Leasure allowed the Nationals to score four runs in the top of the 10th inning; had he held the inning scoreless, the South Siders could have won, 3-2.
• Domínguez also gets a special shout-out for his poor performance this week due to Sunday’s game. He entered the closing game of the series with three consecutive saves; however, he entered this game with a tied score. Rather than shut the offense down to keep the home offense in the game, the “closer” gave up two runs, including a homer, to earn the loss.
• Honorable mention goes to Anthony Kay, who balked in a run during Wednesday’s 11-7 loss.

Other random news and highlights from the week included:

• A stellar diving play by Everson Pereira in Tuesday’s 11-5 win against the Diamondbacks. The catch saved at least one, if not two runs from scoring:

• Murakami flashed some leather of his own in Thursday’s win to get the second out of the fourth inning:

• Speaking of Murakami, he and Montgomery became the first pair of teammates in MLB history to each hit homers in four consecutive team games. The first baseman is also the only player in baseball history to have 10+ home runs and 20+ walks in their first 25 career games. He may still be batting .232, but he is quickly becoming a fan favorite.

• Reese McGuire was designated for assignment, making way for Drew Romo to make his White Sox debut. The White Sox are not out of all $1.2 million, as the veteran was released early enough in the season that he was owed nothing beyond what he has already been paid. Chris Getz sometimes does work smart.

The Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim are making their way to Chicago to begin the week with a three-game set, and from there the White Sox will head to San Diego for the first weekend of May.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers look for their fourth win in five games as they open a three-game set at home against the Miami Marlins.

My Marlins vs. Dodgers predictions and free MLB picks have the home team continuing its recent dominance of the visitors.

Who will win Marlins vs Dodgers today: Dodgers -1.5 (-140)

There’s been nowhere to hide for the Miami Marlins’ pitching staff against one of the best lineups in baseball.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have won seven of the last eight against Miami, and plenty of those have been blowouts. L.A. has scored at least seven runs in each of their wins on this run, cracking double digits four times.

That’s not a good sign for Marlins’ starter Chris Paddack, who’s 0-4 with an inflated 6.38 ERA.

The Dodgers' offense is second in the bigs, averaging 5.68 runs per game, so it’s all setting up for another beating on Monday.

COVERS INTEL: Max Muncy has picked up hits in eight of his last 11 games. He’s hit Paddack hard in 15 at-bats, with two doubles and two home runs.

Marlins vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-104)

The Dodgers and Marlins have combined to go Over the total in eight of the last nine meetings, and none of them have been cheapies. 

In fact, the lowest total set between these teams during this stretch has been 8 runs, and it's gone as high as 10 runs twice, with both cashing the Over.

The only concern might be that the Dodgers will trot out ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto, but he wasn’t even that sharp last time out, surrendering a season-high three earned runs while taking the loss against the Giants.

Still, L.A. can do much of the heavy lifting on its own.

Marlins vs Dodgers odds

• Moneyline: Marlins +245 | Dodgers -300
• Run line: Marlins +1.5 | Dodgers -1.5
• Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5

Marlins vs Dodgers trend

Each of the Marlins' last 11 road games vs the NL West opponents have cashed the Over. Find more MLB betting trends for Marlins vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Marlins vs Dodgers and game info

Marlins vs Dodgers latest injuries

Marlins vs Dodgers weather

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The Milwaukee Brewers are set to host the Arizona Diamondbacks for a three-game set beginning Tuesday evening to wrap up their homestand. Milwaukee is coming off a series loss to the Pirates to begin the homestand, though they did pick up their first shutout win on Sunday, taking that one 5-0 behind a strong 12-strikeout showing from Kyle Harrison.

On the other side, Arizona is returning from their series split with the Padres in Mexico City, as they dropped Saturday’s game 6-4 before a comeback win on Sunday. They sit at 15-12 on the season, one game better than the 14-13 Brewers.

Milwaukee’s injured list (luckily) hasn’t grown much, but it also hasn’t shrunk. First baseman Andrew Vaughn and outfielder Jackson Chourio are both on the verge of rehab assignments as they recover from hand injuries, while Quinn Priester made his second rehab outing with Nashville over the weekend. He’s hoping for an early to mid-May return. Relievers Jared Koenig and Rob Zastryzny are both hoping to return in May, too, while outfielder/DH Christian Yelich is still shelved with a groin strain.

The Diamondbacks are missing a whole bunch of players, so let’s split them up into pitchers and position players. For the pitching staff, Blake Walston (midseason), Andrew Saalfrank (out for the season), Justin Martinez (second half), old friend Corbin Burnes (midseason), A.J. Puk (midseason), and Cristian Mena (TBD) are all out. Offensively, Arizona is without Pavin Smith (TBD), fellow former friend Carlos Santana (TBD), Jordan Lawlar (June), Tyler Locklear (mid-May/early June), and Gabriel Moreno, who is expected to rejoin the team for this series after missing the last couple of weeks with an oblique strain. Right-hander Zac Gallen and shortstop Geraldo Perdomo are also considered day to day with minor injuries, though Gallen is not lined up to pitch in this series.

Offensively, the Brewers haven’t homered in the last week, and they’ve struggled with inconsistency throughout the early going of the season. Brice Turang had a rough week but still led the team with four RBIs, as he’s now hitting .258/.391/.462 with four homers, 18 RBIs, 20 runs, and seven steals this season. Gary Sánchez and Jake Bauers lead the team with five homers. Garrett Mitchell has also shown flashes of his potential, and William Contreras remains a team leader. Beyond that, there isn’t much to say about the Brewer offense. As a team, Milwaukee is hitting .231/.329/.349 (.678 OPS ranks 26th), with 19 homers (tied for last), 132 runs (tied for ninth), and 36 steals (first).

Much as Perdomo did a season ago, Ildemaro Vargas has quietly turned into one of the best hitters in baseball this year with Arizona. Over 20 games, he’s hitting .367/.383/.722 with a team-high six homers, 20 RBIs, and 18 runs scored. Nolan Arenado and Ketel Marte each have four homers, while Corbin Carroll has three homers, four triples, and four steals. Jose Fernandez also has three homers and a .342 batting average thus far. Adrian Del Castillo, Aramis Garcia, James McCann, Tim Tawa, Jorge Barrosa, Lourdes Gurriel Jr., and Alek Thomas round out the roster (note: the team also added Jesus Valdez as the 27th man for the Mexico City Series). As a team, Arizona is hitting .255/.310/.426 (.736 OPS ranks seventh), with 27 homers (tied for 20th), 132 runs (tied for ninth), and 16 steals (tied for 21st).

Aaron Ashby and Grant Anderson still lead Milwaukee’s bullpen in appearances, with DL Hall turning in a solid 2.31 ERA over 11 outings. Abner Uribe has had some bumps this season, but he looked good over the weekend against Pittsburgh. After a hot start, Angel Zerpa has struggled in recent weeks, while Trevor Megill has had a reverse trajectory. Jake Woodford and Shane Drohan round out the current bullpen depth chart. As a staff, the Brewers have a 3.82 team ERA (eighth), including a 3.59 starter ERA (fifth) and a 4.09 bullpen ERA (15th). They’ve struck out 250 batters (ninth) over 240 1/3 innings.

The Arizona bullpen is led by Juan Morillo, who has a 1.98 ERA with 16 strikeouts over 13 2/3 innings. Closer Paul Sewald is a perfect 7-for-7 in save opportunities, but he has a 4.50 ERA and three losses. Former Brewer minor leaguer Taylor Clarke and Jonathan Loáisiga have matching 3.29 ERAs over 13 2/3 innings. Ryan Thompson, Kevin Ginkel, Andrew Hoffman, and swingman Brandon Pfaadt (five appearances, three starts) round out the bullpen. As a staff, the D-backs have a 4.53 team ERA (24th), including a 4.62 starter ERA (25th) and a 4.67 bullpen ERA (22nd). They’ve struck out 204 batters (29th) over 240 1/3 innings.

Probable Pitchers

Tuesday, April 28 @ 6:40 p.m.: RHP Chad Patrick (1-1, 2.35 ERA, 4.37 FIP) vs. RHP Merrill Kelly (1-1, 9.31 ERA, 9.02 FIP)

Patrick has had a solid season thus far, even if the underlying numbers don’t back that up. He has a 2.35 ERA, with six earned runs on 21 hits and eight walks over 23 innings, striking out just 11. After DL Hall opened for him on Wednesday night in Detroit, he went four innings, getting roughed up for four runs on six hits and a walk, striking out two. A fourth-round pick by these D-backs back in 2021, he made one start against them last season, spanning 4 1/3 innings with no runs allowed on five hits and two walks, striking out three in a no-decision.

Kelly, 37, is in his eighth MLB season. A former three-time draft pick (in 2007, 2009, and 2010), Kelly spent four seasons in Korea before breaking through with Arizona in 2019. He spent his first six full seasons with the D-backs before being traded at last year’s deadline to the Rangers. He returned to Arizona this offseason and, after starting the season on the IL, has made two starts this year. His first start against the Orioles resulted in a win as he allowed two runs over 5 1/3 innings with three strikeouts, but his last time out, he got roughed up by the White Sox, allowing eight runs and striking out five over 4 1/3 innings. For the season, he’s totaled 9 2/3 innings with 10 runs allowed on 15 hits (four homers) and seven walks with eight strikeouts. Kelly has made 10 career appearances against the Brewers, with a 5-2 record, a 2.95 ERA, and 60 strikeouts over 61 innings. His only start last season came while with Texas, when he picked up the win despite allowing three runs on 10 hits, striking out six over 5 2/3 innings.

Wednesday, April 29 @ 6:40 p.m.: RHP Brandon Sproat (0-1, 6.45 ERA, 6.02 FIP) vs. LHP Eduardo Rodríguez (2-0, 2.89 ERA, 4.98 FIP)

Sproat, who got out to a horrid start in his first two outings, has looked much better in his last three appearances. He took a no-decision on Thursday in Detroit, as he went 5 1/3 innings with three runs allowed on four hits and two walks, striking out four on 76 pitches. The former second-round pick has never faced the D-backs before.

Rodríguez, 33, is in his third season with the D-backs after signing a four-year, $80 million contract that runs through 2027. While his ERA hovered just over 5.00 in each of his first two seasons in the desert, he’s had more statistical success this season. Even though his 4.98 FIP is near that 5.00 mark, he has a 2.89 ERA with 10 runs allowed (nine earned) and 18 strikeouts over 28 innings through five starts. He’s allowed four runs in each of his last two starts (against the Orioles and White Sox), spanning 10 innings with seven strikeouts. Rodríguez has made four career starts against Milwaukee, with an 0-3 record, a 4.58 ERA, and 16 strikeouts over 19 2/3 innings. That includes a pair of starts last season — both losses — in which he totaled 8 2/3 innings with eight runs allowed (seven earned) and four strikeouts.

Thursday, April 30 @ 12:40 p.m.: RHP Brandon Woodruff (2-1, 3.77 ERA, 4.09 FIP) vs. RHP Michael Soroka (4-0, 2.60 ERA, 2.69 FIP)

Woodruff just took his first loss of the season on Friday night against Pittsburgh, as he had the tall task of going head-to-head with Paul Skenes, who has his A-plus-plus stuff in a 6-0 Pirate win. Woodruff allowed three runs in that one, giving up five hits and two walks while striking out three. For the season, he’s totaled 28 2/3 innings with a 3.77 ERA, 4.09 FIP, and 23 strikeouts. Woodruff has made eight career appearances (seven starts) against Arizona, with a 3-1 record, a 4.81 ERA, and 49 strikeouts over 39 1/3 innings. One of those wins came in his lone appearance against them last August, when he allowed five runs over 5 2/3 innings but picked up eight strikeouts in a 7-5 Brewer win.

Soroka, 28, is in his seventh MLB season and with his fifth team. After agreeing to a one-year, $7.5 million deal this offseason, he’s been a bright spot for Arizona early this season. Through five starts, he’s a perfect 4-0 with a 2.60 ERA, 2.69 FIP, and 34 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings. His last start was his lone no-decision of the year, though he still went five innings with one run allowed and six strikeouts in a game the D-backs ultimately lost late. Soroka has made two career appearances against Milwaukee, one with the Braves (2023) and one with the White Sox (2024). In those two appearances, he went 1-1 with seven runs allowed over seven innings, striking out six.

How to Watch & Listen

Tuesday, April 28: Brewers TV; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Wednesday, April 29: Brewers TV; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Thursday, April 30: Brewers TV; listen via radio on the Brewers Radio Network (620 WTMJ in Milwaukee)

Prediction

I think I’m going to start writing these predictions with the caveat that it really just depends on which Brewer offense shows up. I’ll bet on the Crew, though, and predict they take two of three this week.

While Tyler Glasnow, Justin Wrobleski, Emmet Sheehan, and Shohei Ohtani combine for an 11-0 record, Yoshinobu Yamamoto sits at 2-2 heading into his sixth start of the season. The trend of Yamamoto not receiving adequate run support, particularly in contrast with the regular numbers that this offense puts up, was a major theme of his efforts last season. Early on in 2026, the outlook feels eerily similar, with the Dodgers failing to score more than two runs in the majority of Yamamoto’s outings—he last pitched against the Giants at Oracle Park, taking the loss while covering seven innings of three-run ball as the offense went 0 for 5 with runners in scoring position.

This matchup versus the surprisingly solid Miami Marlins will provide the ideal opportunity for the Dodgers to break this sequence of underwhelming performances for their ace. That’s the case since they’ll face Chris Paddack, who has lost every single one of his four starts in 2026, allowing an outrageous 31 hits in 24 innings of work.

It’s too early to simply assume that this trend when Yamamoto is on the mound, will follow the same path as last season, especially when the offense has been as productive as it has up to this point—as a whole, the Dodgers have an OPS of .828 entering this series against Miami. Now they must go out and prove it in about as favorable a matchup as you’re going to get this whole year.

Monday’s game info

• Teams: Dodgers vs. Marlins
• Ballpark: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
• Start time: 7:10 p.m. PT
• TV: SportsNet LA
• Radio: AM 570 (English), KTNQ 1020 AM (Spanish)

For a few days last week, the Dodgers almost couldn’t believe what they were seeing.

Because, for the first time in his three years with the team, Shohei Ohtani looked like a mere mortal at the plate.

From April 20-25, the four-time MVP had the worst six-game stretch of his Dodgers career, batting 3-for-23 with no extra-base hits and nine strikeouts. Dating back to April 12, he had gone 59 plate appearances without a home run, the longest such drought of his tenure with the club.

During his slump, he was struggling to lay off low pitches or keep from pulling the ball harmlessly to the right side of the infield.

For at least a little while, baseball’s two-way superhero seemed to be fighting some rarely-seen kryptonite, grinding through the kind of stretch to which he’s typically immune.

“You don’t hear the word ‘slump’ correlated with Shohei on the hitting side ever,” Dodgers manager Dave Roberts quipped over the weekend.

“We’re all human, we all have our stretches,” added first baseman Freddie Freeman. “But (to see it from Ohtani), it’s definitely weird.”

Indeed, while it’s easy to forget when he’s mashing 450-foot home runs, or blowing 100 mph fastballs past hitters from the mound, or accomplishing statistical feats once thought impossible in baseball’s modern era, even Ohtani has his physical limitations. 

And this year, in his return to full-time pitching following a second career Tommy John surgery, he’s getting a renewed –– and potentially telling –– early-season test.

Last week, both Roberts and several teammates noted an inevitable shift in the 31-year-old superstar so far this season. He’s had to put more focus on pitching. He’s had to factor in more between-starts recovery. He’s had to manage his overwhelming workload more delicately than ever before.

“You always feel like it’s gonna be sustainable with him, because he’s a great player, he knows how to prepare,” veteran infielder Miguel Rojas said. “But these kind of moments make you realize that baseball is hard. Especially when he does it the way that he’s doing it.”

“When he’s pitching in the normal rotation every week,” Freeman echoed, “it’s a whole different dynamic.”

Different, of course, does not necessarily equate to worse.

On Saturday, Freeman predicted that Ohtani’s recent skid “just means the hot streak (that will follow it) is going to be something we’ve never seen before.” 

Right on cue, the slugger collected three hits a day later, belting a 109 mph double and a 110 mph opposite-field home run on Sunday after making a tweak to his batting stance that got him better aligned with his swing.

“Starting yesterday, it started feeling a little better,” Ohtani said in Japanese during a postgame television interview. “I think my stance is the most important thing. Everything starts from there, and if I fix that, I think I can take better at-bats.”

Still, even Ohtani seemed to caution about immediately bouncing back to his typical production levels.

While he’s been known as a somewhat slow opening-month performer (at least relative to his atmospheric norms), his current .262 batting average and .876 OPS would still be the second-worst March/April marks of his nine-year MLB career.

“I just have to be patient a little longer,” he said, “and continue to make improvements.”

It’s a battle that figures to rage on for the duration of this year.

Exactly how much Ohtani himself feels like his pitching is complicating his hitting process remains an unknown (he declined to speak to any other reporters after Sunday’s game).

But over the weekend, Roberts identified that dynamic as a “common sense” factor in Ohtani’s sluggish start.

“There’s gotta be some cuts into some of the bandwidth, the production on the offensive side,” Roberts said Saturday. “What it translates to (regarding) how he’s been swinging the bat the last week, how much of that is the pitching? I don’t have an answer for that. But that’s to be understood, that there’s some kind of cut into production given how much he’s pitching.”

So far, that plan has paid dividends in each of his turns through the rotation. Entering his Tuesday night outing against the Marlins, Ohtani has a 0.38 ERA in four starts, having racked up 25 strikeouts in 24 total innings.

“He is a horse on that mound right now,” Freeman said.

The challenge moving forward will be maintaining such pitching dominance while rediscovering more consistent hitting form.

It’s not a task Freeman envies, noting how even he experiences “some days you walk into that box and you’re just like, ‘Whoa, it feels like I haven’t been in this thing in a while.’” 

And that’s without the added burden of making 100-pitch outings on a regular basis.

“When you throw 100 pitches and you throw with that kind of effort,” Roberts said of Ohtani,
“there needs to be more recovery (time behind the scenes).”

None of this means Ohtani is lowering his personal goals. During his scuffle last week, Roberts noticed his frustration through his more stoic facial expressions.

“He has high expectations for himself and his performance,” Roberts said. “So (this is) certainly not up to his standard.”

And while Sunday might’ve marked the start to a widely-expected turnaround, simply one week of mortality was a reminder of the hurdles he’ll face this year.

“He’s gotta navigate a whole ‘nother thing, where the last two years all he had to do was hit,” Freeman said. “Baseball is hard, very hard. Even the greatest players, they can it make it look easy a lot of the time. But there’s a lot of time that it’s not.”

The Jays have placed Max Scherzer on the IL with forearm tendinitis and left ankle inflammation, backdated to his last start.

Chase Lee has been called up and will be available tonight. Lee has been, well, interesting for the Bisons. A 1.32 ERA in 9 appearances, 13.2 innings (maybe we can use him for more than an inning at a go?), 11 hits, 2 earned (3 more unearned), 9 walks and 12 strikeouts. 9 walks in 13.2 innings is a lot.

Scherzer, you know, hasn’t been good. They aren’t saying if the arm and ankle were bothering him before last start, or if it has been going on all season, or if it is new. The way he has been pitching, they couldn’t keep sending him out there every five days. At 41, Max would have to be 100% to be effective and even then I have my doubts, but let’s see what happens when he is healthy.

This will mean that Eric Lauer will likely make another start. After that José Berríos could be back.

Welcome to the team Lee. I am very interested in seeing you pitch.

Former Jay first baseman Willie Upshaw turns 69 today.

Willie Upshaw was a rarity, a successful Rule 5 draft pick. We took him from the Yankees in 1978, who had drafted him in the 5th round in 1975. He quickly moved up through the minor leagues, but the Yankees had Chris Chambliss, who left after 1979 for the Braves. The Yankees cycled through first basemen until Don Mattingly took over in 1983.

Willie spent nine seasons with the Jays, establishing himself in 1983 when he hit .306/.373/.515 with 27 home runs and 104 RBI—his standout year. The following season saw his power slip to 19 home runs and a .278/.345/.464 line, marking the start of a decline in his performance. After 1987, Willie left the Jays and signed as a free agent with Cleveland.

He finished his career with 123 home runs, 528 RBI, and a .262/.335/.419 line. After his playing days, Willie managed the Bridgeport Bluefish, an independent league team, and he was the Giants’ first-base coach for a couple of seasons.

I often thought Upshaw was the start of a good run for the Jays at the position. Upshaw offered steady defence and reliable hitting. After him, Fred McGriff brought strong power, John Olerud contributed with remarkable on-base ability, and Carlos Delgado delivered impressive slugging. There was a little gap, and then came Edwin Encarnacion (at least part-time at first), and now Vladimir Guerrero.

Turning to other Jays birthdays today, Frank Catalanotto turns 52.

Frank was a 10th-round draft pick for the Tigers. He played three seasons with the Tigers before being included in a major trade to the Texas Rangers. In the trade, Frank moved to the Rangers alongside Alan Webb, Francisco Cordero, Bill Haselman, Gabe Kapler, and Justin Thompson, whileJuan Gonzalez, Danny Patterson, and Gregg Zaun were sent to the Tigers. After three seasons with the Rangers, Frank signed with the Jays as a free agent.

For us, he platooned with Reed Johnson in the outfield, forming a great pairing. From 2004 to 2007 with the Jays, Frank hit .299/.361/.445 with 29 home runs and 200 RBI, mainly facing right-handed pitchers. Both he and Johnson became fan favourites. After the 2007 season, Frank signed with the Rangers for 2008, then later played for the Brewers and the Mets. He also represented Italy in the World Baseball Classic.

• Chris Carpenter (51) pitched six seasons for the Blue Jays, going 49-50 with a 4.83 ERA in 152 games (135 starts) before blowing out his shoulder. The Jays then wanted to take him off the 40-man roster. Carpenter found a new path with the Cardinals, who were willing to pay him as a major leaguer during his rehab. This move paid off for St. Louis: he won the Cy Young in 2005 and finished 2nd and 3rd in subsequent voting. Carpenter’s last major league appearance was in 2012, when he made three regular-season starts and pitched twice in the playoffs, taking losses in both games. He closed his career with a 144-94 record and a 3.76 ERA. Carpenter later gave a lovely eulogy for Roy Halladay at his funeral.
• Bob MacDonald (61) was a lefty reliever for the Jays in 1991 and 1992. In 1991, he pitched 45 games with a 2.85 ERA. He earned a World Series ring in 1992, then signed with the Astros and later played for the Mariners, White Sox, Yankees, and Mets. Over 197 major league games, he posted a 4.34 ERA.
• Pat Lennon (58) was a first-round draft pick by the Mariners in 1986. He played for our Triple-A team in 1998 and 1999 and spent parts of six major league seasons, though he totalled only 189 at-bats. I wanted to see Pat get a real chance in the majors. In the minors, he hit .291/.374/.480 with 187 home runs, including a standout season in Calgary, where he posted .329/.400/.531 for the Cannons while I had season tickets. Unfortunately, with Ken Griffey and Jay Buhner occupying the Mariners’ outfield, Pat’s opportunities were limited. Timing kept him from a bigger role.

Well that sure was a weekend.

Back-to-back wins. Scoring 17 in 1 game. A Caleb Durbin home run. The coaching shuffle. Alex Cora out, Chad Tracy in.

And now the Red Sox are off to Toronto to play the Blue Jays in a Battle of AL East Disappointments.

The Jays realized their rotation wasn’t quite up to snuff in the World Series and added the best starter available, Dylan Cease, as a free agent. Through five starts all he’s done is is impress. He has two 12 strikeouts games already (44 total Ks), 14 walks, 19 hits, and has given up zero home runs in 25.2 innings. The bright side is he’s walking 12.6% of batters. But he’s striking out almost 40% of batters so, good luck out there. It’s almost a waste to send Ranger Suárez out to the mound against him. The Sox free agent pitching acquisition had a rough outing against the Yankees in a series that everyone hopes is the bottoming out point of the season. Suárez was excellent against Detroit, so hopefully he bounces right back.

Trea Yesavage burst onto the scene just before the playoffs started with a September 15th MLB debut. He then turned a lot of heads on a national scale. And then, as pitchers do, he got hurt. As the Jays have slumped, his rehab outings left something to be desired. In one start at Single A and one at Triple A he allowed 12 runs (10 earned) in 12 innings for an ERA of 9.00. He allowed 3 home runs and walked 7. But also struck out 16. So maybe he’s tuned up. But hopefully he needs a little time to get used to MLB again. Payton Tolle aka Mass Pike, is back for his second start of the year. In what may have been the deciding game for Alex Cora’s stay with the Red Sox, Tolle pitched brilliantly. Over 6.0 he struck out 11 Yankees. Let’s see what he can do as a next step.

The finale is a strange matchup: Max Scherzer and Brayan Bello are both entering this game with ERAs of at least 9.00. Scherzer has tossed 18.2 innings while allowing 20 runs. Bello 22 innings and 22 runs. Max has allowed 7 homers to Bello’s 8. Is this going to be a slugfest or a pitchers’ duel? Neither has gotten to face the under-performing lineups of the teams they are on. Entering the series the Sox and Jays are 4th and 5th, respectively, in runs scored in the AL East with 117 and 110. The Jays have allowed 133 runs to Boston’s 128 (or 93, 95, sometimes 1).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .340/.426/.460 with 2 home runs and 2 steals.

New third baseman Kazuma Okamoto has 5 homers and is slashing .229/.315/.406.

Postseason hero Ernie Clement is at .324/.330/.435 with no homers.

George Springer is on the IL as is catcher Alejandro Kirk.

Probable Pitching Matchups

Monday, April 27: Ranger Suárez (4.00 ERA / 4.08 FIP) vs. Dylan Cease (2.10 ERA / 1.47 FIP)

Tuesday, April 28: Payton Tolle (1.50 ERA / 2.15 FIP) vs. Trey Yesavage (— ERA / — FIP)

Wednesday, April 29: Brayan Bello (9.00 ERA / 8.29 FIP) vs. Max Scherzer (9.64 ERA / 8.40 FIP)

Well, looks like Mad Max won’t be pitching after all. Right now it’s listed as TBD but Bluebird Banter has a few thoughts on who might pitch.

When/Where to Watch

Monday, April 27: 7:07 PM on NESN

Saturday, April 25: 7:07 PM ET on NESN

Sunday, April 26: 3:07 PM ET on NESN