As most of you know, I was lucky enough to be invited to attend Winter Warmup as a reporter. Last year, I used that experience to write several season previews. Due to the late start of the top 20 prospect series (caused by waiting for Brendan Donovan to be traded), my Winter Warmup stories have been pushed to now instead of at the beginning of spring training. Thus technically, these could also be called season previews, but there’s a good chance I write a couple of these after the season has already started. I’ll try to pick stories that are not outdated for the ones during the season.
If you’re dissatisfied with Victor Scott’s offense, I have some good news. Victor Scott agrees with you.
“I do a lot of reflecting and a lot of looking at myself in the mirror so I like to see where there are areas I can grow, but I told them I wanted to come back a totally different player,” Victor Scott said. “I know I have two calling cards: the defense and the speed aspect, but I’m not complete without my offense.”
And yes, from a performance standpoint, Scott’s spring training has not gone well, but we all understand how important spring training stats are: they’re not. Especially if a player is working on a new swing. Because he wanted his offense to get better, he looked at why his swing was not working the way he wanted it to.
“What I didn’t realize is what a lot of what my swing was doing before, I was loading the ball of my foot which was basically cheating my rotation, so with that my knee would drive the rotation which then spins my upper half off the ball,” Scott said. “I had no idea I was doing that. That’s why you kind of get that pull-across swing and you start to pull groundballs to second base. For me, groundballs aren’t necessarily a bad thing, they are when they are at 2nd base because I can’t run that out.”
He and the coaches, as he describes it, knew he had to crawl before he walked. He went to West Virginia for motion capture and force plate testing to see how his body was moving. In other words, he was trying to see if he was doing something wrong and if there was something he could do.
“We found out that some of my movements were kind of inefficient and didn’t really help me with being adjustable which I thought they did, but they got exposed,” Scott said.
He did movement prep to get his hips to rotate the right way and to create better shin angles. These would give him a firmer front ankle so that he could better use his energy.
“We’re to the point where we are hitting lives, the swing is much shorter, much more compact and I’m able to be more adjustable and more athletic, so that’s fun for me.”
His slow decline as the season went along means that he was not doing a good job adjusting once pitchers figured out how to pitch to him. There are reasons for optimism on how he should be better positioned to make adjustments due to a couple factors. The Cardinals have made a serious investment in tech and coaching.
“That speeds up development and a lot of things can be done in-house instead of going outside and having to get that information. That’s kind of how I viewed this offseason working with Casey (Chenoweth) and working with Brownie (Brant Brown), so when I need help or when I need to make an adjustment or something is a smidgen off, I can correct it faster.”
Chenoweth in particular is a new addition to the MLB staff. He will be an assistant hitting coach, but Scott worked with him before back in 2023 when Chenowith was the hitting coach for the Peoria Chiefs. That year, Scott had a 117 wRC+ and got promoted midseason to Springfield.
“He’s a guy who understands what he’s talking about, he understands the swing, he understands kind of how to talk to the player and present that information, so that’s a guy I like to use for assistance for help.”
One person who does not need to be sold about Victor Scott is his manager. Oliver Marmol brought up Victor Scott twice during his Winter Warmup interview and Scott’s named was not brought up in any question by a reporter. He went out of his way to talk about Scott. He was asked a question about the rotation and after sharing how he was excited about that group, he then specifically called out Victor Scott.
“When I’m going into spring training, that’s one of the things I’m most excited about, in addition to our centerfielder,” Marmol said. “I’m excited to see Victor Scott and see what he’s capable of this year. Those two things excite me daily.”
Nobody asked a follow-up about Scott, but clearly Marmol wanted to talk about Victor Scott, because later on in the interview, he was asked a question about Masyn Winn and how he wanted to become a more well-rounded player and not just a “defense” guy. And in the process of answering the question about Winn, he decided to give another shout-out to Victor Scott.
“Like Vic, the ceiling is so high for both those guys offensively, I don’t think we’re close to seeing what they’re capable of doing, but I do think because of the way they’re going about it, they’ll close that gap sooner or later,” Marmol said.
These comments were made towards the end of the interview and I think he was genuinely disappointed nobody asked about Victor Scott. So instead of waiting for a question that never came, he wanted to make sure we knew that he believed in Scott. The reason I am emphasizing this is because this is bad news for anyone who thinks Nathan Church should play CF over Scott. I don’t think you’re going to get your wish.
Old school fans should love what Victor Scott wants to be this upcoming season. One of his personal goals this season, with the logic that he plans to get on base more, is to steal twice as many bases as last season. His personal goal is 70 bases. The last time a Cardinal stole 70 bases, it was Vince Coleman in 1988 when he stole 81 bases. To put it another way: I’ve never personally seen a Cardinal steal 70 bases, so that would be cool to experience.
“When this works this year, I’ll be on base more, stealing bases,” Scott said. “That’s what I like to do. I like to put myself into scoring positions in order to score more runs. Driving the ball in the gap more; homers is not in my cards, that’s not me. I can do it every now and then, but I’m a guy who is a line drive guy; gets on base, hits the ball the other way. That’s my brand of baseball.”
And this will annoy some of you, I am sure, but still he plans to bunt. I think the difference between the average fan’s thinking and Victor Scott’s thinking is that fans see how successful Scott was at bunting last season (not very) and think “this is his true talent success rate at bunting” while Scott thinks he is capable of getting bunt hits more often.
“This shorter and more compact swing is going to help me utilize those abilities and I don’t want to miss the fact that I’ve been bunting like crazy this offseason,” Scott said.
If you want a little insight into why he was still bunting in spring training, I believe that is why. And for now, I am personally okay with it for two reasons. First, this is the season to do it. This is a season of experimenting to some extent and honestly he was a very good at bunt hits in the minors. I am willing to accept the possibility that he underperformed last year in his bunt attempts.
Secondly, at least for now, he’s pretty much a singles hitter anyway so I don’t see some huge missed opportunity that he’s not actually swinging the bat. He needs to improve on his bunt attempts no question, but it’s not a terribly high bar he has to reach for a bunt to make sense. He batted .216 last season with not much power. Obviously if his changes to his swing work like he hopes, this argument will not apply and I would honestly love to face that reality.
Masyn Winn
Another player who hopes to steal more bases is Masyn Winn, who is under no illusions that he has no shot at stealing as many bases as Scott.
“Vic is track speed,” Winn said. There’s a difference between track speed and baseball speed. Now if I could be within five, I would love that.”
Sadly, we can not interpret that as Winn saying he’d love to steal 65 bases. There’s a very good chance he did not know Scott’s personal goal was to steal 70 bases or that Scott would say that to the media later. Since Scott stole 35 bases last season however, I do think something like 30 bases is what Winn is hoping for.
“I need to take my shots – in the right situation of course – but I didn’t even give myself a chance last year,” Winn said. “This year, with a healthy knee, I’ve been working a lot on running in PT, getting it back for a reason, I want to be able to use that speed.”
Winn is also redirecting his offensive goals for this upcoming season. Last season, he wanted more homers. This year he just wants to get on base more.
“I wanted to hit a bomb every time and that’s just not gonna happen,” Winn said. “That’s something I need to take pride in, is just being annoying at the plate, a guy pitchers don’t want to throw to, just cause they’re going to waste pitches.”
One cannot also underestimate what a healthy knee can do for Winn’s offense. He played through a slight meniscus tear and it required arthroscopic surgery. Only after the surgery was Winn able to realize how much it hampered his game.
“I walked out of surgery and it was almost like a week after, I was like “this is what it’s supposed to feel like to walk” and I had just gotten so used to the pain of playing through it that I was like this is my normal,“ Winn said. ”I do think last year, looking back on it, probably affected me more than I thought it did.”
After Nolan Arenado got traded and Arenado said his goodbyes to the Cardinals group chat, Winn joked to Arenado that if Arenado robbed him of a hit, he would slide in cleats first. Arenado told him that he’d try to rob Winn like he robbed Andrew Knizner.
“I’m sure he’s gonna hit one over to me,” Winn said. “I’m going to rob it, take my time, let him get down to first base, make him think he’s got a hit. I’m sure he’ll do the same.”
(Winn was the most effusive in last year’s Winter Warmup about wanting to play next to Arenado, so in case it wasn’t clear, this is joking with your friends, not any kind of dig at Arenado. Well except his speed. I do think it’s clear, but I know how easy it is for people to misinterpret these kind of things.)