The Milwaukee Brewers are the World Series champions, and the MLB offseason has begun. But it’s unclear when the next game will be played.
The league’s collective bargaining agreement is set to expire at 11:59 p.m. on Dec. 1, and MLB owners are expected to initiate a lockout the very next day. The last labor stoppage in 2022 minimally disrupted the schedule, merely pushing back Opening Day a week and keeping all games intact. The 1994 strike, on the other hand, cost baseball 1,200 games across two seasons and resulted in the cancellation of the World Series.
The cavernous divide between MLB and its union signals there’s a long road ahead, and Opening Night on March 24, 2027, will come quickly. Here are the key dates to follow on baseball’s calendar.
Oct. 29
Free agency began the day after the World Series, and trading resumed. After a five-day exclusivity window, players can talk to and sign with other clubs.
Teams’ moves this stretch may indicate what they’re anticipating in the next CBA. For example, if a salary floor was to be implemented in tandem with a cap, that would leave a bevy of low-spending teams scrambling to bring their payrolls up. Doing so before the lockout would, in theory, allow them to spend that money with more optionality. MLB’s proposal does call for a phased-in approach, though, so clubs may have some leeway in sorting their rosters.
A similar phenomenon could play out on the other side as well, as players could rush to lock in the best possible deal while salaries are still uncapped. Existing contracts are expected to be honored under the next labor agreement.
Nov. 1
The posting window for players from Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball league begins. The annual window runs through Dec. 5, and MLB teams have 45 days after a player is posted to negotiate a contract. A lockout-induced free agency freeze would apply to NPB signings as well. The biggest name expected to be posted this offseason is infield slugger Teruaki Sato.
Nov. 10-12
The clubs’ general managers will meet in Las Vegas to discuss league matters and lay the groundwork for future deals. With just a few weeks to get anything done, that could either kickstart or slow down the process.
Nov. 17-19
MLB owners will get together in New York City the following week. The expectation is that gathering would focus on strategies for the labor fight and protocols for the lockout once it’s officially in place.
Dec. 1
The CBA officially expires. Clubs can no longer talk to players. Players can no longer use team facilities. Transactions cannot occur. Of course, this only applies to the major leaguers. The minor leaguers are governed by their own CBA.
Dec. 7-9
Winter Meetings, held this year in San Diego, tend to build on the previous get-together of executives and yield significant offseason moves. Also, the draft lottery is slated for Dec. 8 and the Rule 5 Draft on Dec. 9. A lockout could postpone, or cancel, all three.
January
The new year brings procedural tasks. Arbitration figures are exchanged and settled. The international amateur signing period opens. MLB clubs can still make moves not tied to their 40-man rosters. But anything governing those players will likely get put off until after the labor dispute is resolved.
February
No specific date has been announced for pitchers and catchers to report, but traditionally, it happens around early-to-mid-February. The official start of Spring Training comes shortly after.
Players generally need around four to six weeks to ramp up for the season, so if a deal hasn’t been reached by this point, canceling games comes closer to reality.
March 24-25
The 2027 MLB season is scheduled to begin with a Wednesday night game on Netflix on March 24, followed by a full slate of games on Opening Day on Thursday, March 25. This is the earliest date MLB has ever picked to start its season, short of international accommodations. The previous record for the start was March 26. If the lockout bleeds into March, Opening Day will almost certainly be pushed back or games would be canceled.
May
If MLB loses about 60 games, which means a season wouldn’t start until around late May or later, it could reportedly have major broadcast implications. In that scenario, many of the league’s broadcast contracts would extend another season, according to anonymous sources cited by The Athletic.
July 13
Chicago’s Wrigley Field is set to host the All-Star game in July, but if a significant number of games are lost, it would not be unprecedented for MLB to cut the exhibition. There is reportedly a contingency in place where the Cubs would host the game in 2029 if it is, in fact, canceled, according to USA Today.
Sept. 26
The postseason is set to pick up after the end of the regular season on Sept. 26. Any changes at this point could be a doomsday scenario for the sport, conjuring memories of what baseball lost in 1994.
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