Mariners prospects Kade Anderson and Ryan Sloan use friendly competition to push towards MLB debuts

The journey of a minor leaguer can oftentimes be a contentious one. Every time you step on the field is an audition for a dream job that dozens of other players, your teammates and friends, are also trying to get. You're constantly on the go in small towns and tinier accommodations. A promotion means uprooting everything you've become familiar with and moving to a brand new small town to join a new clubhouse full of new teammates with whom you are ultimately competing for a job. All while Major League Baseball continues to trim the number of minor league roster spots available.

For some, the intensity of that competition can prove to be too much. They'll put too much pressure on themselves or isolate themselves too often. For others, like Mariners minor league teammates Kade Anderson and Ryan Sloan, the competition will only push them harder.

"I think it's like a healthy competition where, every start we have, we're trying to one-up each other," said Anderson, the Mariners' top pitching prospect and the top pitching prospect in all of baseball, according to MLB Pipeline. "Not in a way to outcompete each other, but to push each other to that next step."

Anderson and Sloan have only been teammates for a year, but it's been a fast friendship.

Sloan joined the Mariners' organization first, drafted in the 2nd round of the 2024 MLB Draft out of high school in Illinois. In his first minor league season, in 2025, Sloan quickly worked through two levels, pitching to a 3.73 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, and 90/15 K/BB ratio in 82 innings and establishing himself not only as perhaps the top pitching prospect in the Mariners' organization, but one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball, ranking 8th overall, according to MLB Pipeline, coming into the 2026 season.

In the first round of the 2025 MLB Draft, with the third overall pick, the Mariners selected Anderson out of LSU, and without even throwing a professional pitch in 2025, he vaulted to the top of the system. This spring, the Mariners decided to fast-track him right to Double-A, where he joined Sloan in the rotation. Despite the tension that pop culture has led us to expect from two elite athletes put in the same clubhouse, the two pitchers clicked fairly quickly.

"I think we built a really good bond since he got drafted and in spring training," recalled Sloan. "Just to be able to be around someone so consistently who shares the same mindset and mentality that I do, and the love of the game of baseball as I do, is really cool."

Their shared mindset is not only a major part of their success but also a key reason they are such great fits for the Mariners' organization. An organization that has had a strong reputation for developing talented and aggressive starting pitchers, the Mariners have cultivated the same approach in their two top prospects.

"The Mariners just do a really good job of simplifying everything," said Anderson. "They give you that instilled confidence of going at hitters the same way, no matter who it is." Similarly, Sloan mentioned that the organization continuously tells them to trust their stuff: "They just keep the main thing the main thing...You have really good stuff. Just throw it in the zone and have the confidence to throw it in the zone."

While a similar aggression and confidence have fueled their initial success, both pitchers admitted that learning from one another has helped take their games to another level.

"Kade does a lot of things really well that I can work on and vice versa," reflected Sloan, "so to be able to have someone who's really strong in areas I'm not super strong in, or I wouldn't consider my strengths, is really good... Something that I just want to emulate or kind of steal from him is just the fact that, when he gets out there, it doesn't matter what he has that day, he's gonna go compete. I just think that's why he's been able to be so consistent day in and day out. You know what you're gonna get with him every single day, and just to be able to learn from that and kind of take that into my own."

For Anderson's part, he's been learning from Sloan's attention to routine and detail, which are advanced beyond his years at just 20 years old.

"I think he goes about his business really professionally," said Anderson. "His routines are dialed in, so it's been really fun to just watch that type of stuff."

This season, they've both watched each other put together stellar performances that have landed both of them inside the top 10 overall prospects in baseball, according to MLB Pipeline. Sloan added a sinker, which has been a nice pitch for him to deepen his mix, and has a 4.04 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and 77/12 K/BB ratio in 62.1 innings at Double-A. Meanwhile, Anderson has been one of the more impressive starting pitchers in the entire minor leagues, posting a 1.36 ERA, 0.69 WHIP, and 108/10 K/BB ratio in 72.2 innings at Double-A. What's more impressive is that the left-hander is doing it without a triple-digit fastball or a breaking pitch that goes viral on social media for its otherworldly movement. He just has a deep arsenal of pitches and an advanced understanding of how to attack hitters.

"I would argue that I don't have a specific outlier per se," admitted Anderson before Sunday's MLB Futures Game. "I just feel like having four pitches for strikes has given me a lot of help, and my changeup has come a long way from last year, so I just feel like I'm just keeping hitters off balance. It's not necessarily like one pitch that someone can't hit. [The changeup] has added another pitch to my arsenal, and it just helps me navigate a lineup easier."

Normally, when you have a starting pitcher putting up those kinds of numbers, an MLB promotion seems inevitable. However, in addition to battling each other, both Anderson and Sloan have to contend with their big league club having one of the deepest and healthiest rotations in baseball.

On the season, Seattle's starters rank 1st in innings pitched, 1st in WAR, 3rd in WHIP, 3rd in K-BB%, and 6th in ERA. When Bryce Miller started the season on the injured list, Emerson Hancock pitched so well that the team was forced to use a six-man rotation when Miller finally did return. Despite a few of the Mariners' starting pitchers having previous injury concerns, they have remained healthy for the entirety of the first half, which not only means their MLB rotation is overcrowded, but it also means that both Anderson and Sloan are seemingly stuck in the minor leagues, regardless of how well they pitch in 2026.

"I think everyone tries to make it this big deal where, you know, we may be stuck or whatever it is, but honestly, when you take it day by day, when you just put in good days of work, everything's gonna work itself out," said Sloan. "Everyone has their own path, and I truly believe in that, so I just think, most importantly, I'm in a great org and an org that instills confidence in me, and you know, has gotten me to where I am now."

Anderson is similarly unmoved by the logjam in front of him.

"Obviously, who doesn't want to be in the big leagues? But I've gained the perspective that I understand that there is patience that comes along with it," he reflected. "I feel like, when my time comes, it'll come. You try not to look ahead too much about that kind of stuff. I'm not worried about playing in two days. I want to play for a long time, so having that perspective of this [year] doesn't matter as much as me playing for the next 10 years."

However, the Mariners may not be as comfortable with waiting for their young pitchers as the pitchers themselves are. USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reported during MLB All-Star weekend that the team has let it be known that they would be open to trading one of their starting pitchers, most likely veteran Luis Castillo, to add an impact bat and free up some of the logjam. While that would still give Seattle five starting pitchers in their rotation, moving a starter would position either Sloan or Anderson to be the next man up, should the team need a starting pitcher.

Whichever one of them gets that call doesn't seem to matter much to either Anderson or Sloan.

"I think if you start worrying about that, you're worried about the wrong things," declared Sloan. "You start losing focus in other areas. So I think, as much as you can block that out, and it's really hard to block that stuff out, but the most you can, the better."

"Obviously, we both want to be in that role. Who doesn't?" added Anderson. "But I feel like we're gonna be in those roles sooner rather than later, anyway, so whoever comes first, it doesn't really matter to me."

For now, the teammates are content to share a clubhouse and "lean on each other for support," as Anderson put it. Their hard work has propelled them to top prospect status, a place in the MLB Futures Game, and a position on the doorstep of an MLB promotion and a dream realized. But until that time comes, they're just going to focus on the things that they can control and the mentality that has pushed them to be great.

"I just have to continue to throw the ball well, continue to be healthy, continue to throw innings, and everything's going to take care of itself," said Sloan. The rest is up to the Mariners.

"Whatever they tell me to do, I'm going to be there," said Anderson.

Whether it's this year or next, Sloan will likely be right there alongside him. It doesn't matter which one of them gets there first; the other one will be waiting.

Astros’ Brice Matthews leaves game against Rangers with left knee injury

ARLINGTON, Texas — Houston Astros center fielder Brice Matthews left the game against Texas with a left knee injury after crashing back into the wall while pulling back a ball hit by Josh Jung.

The ball fell from Matthews’ glove and went for a triple. Matthews crouched on his right knee for a period of minutes and was attended to by trainer Eric Velazquez with manager Joe Espada looking on. Matthews finished the inning, one more batter, but was pinch hit for in the second inning by Taylor Trammell.

Matthews, 24, is a Houston native and a graduate of Atascocita High School in nearby Humble. He’s hitting .197 through 81 games after making his major league debut last summer and playing 13 games.

Happy Birthday Bill Caudill

CANADA - FEBRUARY 20: A celebratory toast: After the protracted negotiations and 11th-hour agreement hammered out between the Toronto Blue Jays and reliever Bill Caudill, it was time to break out the champagne for a toast or two. From left, Blue Jays vice-president Paul Beeston, Caudill and Blue Jays' other vice-president, Pat Gillick. Caudill's contract is expected to be worth between $7 million and $8.3 million. It's hoped he will provide the bullpen tonic the Blue Jays need. (Photo by Jim Wilkes/Toronto Star via Getty Images) | Toronto Star via Getty Images

Bill Caudill celebrates his 70th birthday today.

For those unfamiliar, Caudill was the Blue Jays’ answer to B.J. Ryan back in the 1980s. He broke into the majors with the Cubs, then found his stride as one of baseball’s elite closers in Seattle, before moving to Oakland, where he racked up 36 saves in a season.

After the 1984 season, the Jays traded Dave Collins and Alfredo Griffin for Caudill. Collins spent one not-great season with the A’s. Griffin spent three seasons in Oakland. Surprisingly, the A’s used him as a leadoff hitter. Considering he had a .307 OBP with him, it was a curious choice.

After a decent first season with the Jays (2.99 ERA and 14 saves), the Jays wanted to lock up Caudill for the future.

Caudill became agent Scott Boras’s first client, landing a five-year, $7 million contract. Fortunately for the Jays, only the first three years were guaranteed at $4.5 million, with vesting options for the remaining two. At the time, that was a significant sum. As we know, long-term contracts for closers rarely work out in the team’s favor.

The following season was a disappointment. Caudill ended with a 6.19 ERA and just two saves. He and manager Jimy Williams clashed, as Caudill believed he deserved the closer role, while Williams preferred the powerful arm of Tom Henke. With rookie Mark Eichhorn frequently pitching multiple innings in 89 games, there were few high-leverage spots left for Caudill.

During the off-season, the Jays released him.

He signed with the A’s but struggled with ongoing shoulder issues and soon left baseball. After retiring, he went on to work with Boras.

Caudill finished his career with 106 saves, a 3.68 ERA over 445 games, and 24 starts.

Happy birthday, Bill.


It is also outfielder Joe Cannon’s 73rd birthday.

Cannon played two seasons with the Jays (1979 and 1980) after arriving in a trade from the Astros, along with Mark Lemongello and Pete Hernandez, in exchange for Alan Ashby.

The trade ultimately didn’t work out for the Jays:

  • Lemongello pitched in 18 games during 1979, recording a 1-9 record and a 6.29 ERA.

There’s an unusual note on Lemongello’s Wikipedia page:

In 1982, a few years after leaving baseball, Lemongello and his former Wichita teammate, Manuel Seoane, were arrested for kidnapping and robbing Lemongello’s cousins—Mike Lemongello, a former professional bowler, and Peter Lemongello. Lemongello received seven years’ probation after pleading no contest to the charges.

  • Hernandez appeared in 11 games across the 1979 and 1982 seasons.

Cannon played in 131 games over his two seasons with the Jays, serving as a fourth outfielder, designated hitter, and pinch-hitter. He posted a .177/.186/.208 batting line.

Ashby went on to play 11 seasons with the Astros, proving to be a solid catcher both defensively and offensively. The Jays had three promising young catchers—Rick Cerone, Ernie Whitt, and Ashby—but Pat Gillick arguably should have secured a better return for Ashby. Not all of Pat’s trades were winners.

Happy birthday, Joe.


It is also Ty France’s 32nd birthday.

Ty is a glove-first first baseman. I’m not a fan of a glove-first first baseman. But he’s having a decent year with the bat for the Padres this year.

He’s had eight seasons in the majors, 910 games, a .263/.334/.406 with 92 home runs.

American League vs National League Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB All-Star Game

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The National League All-Stars are favored tonight at Citizens Bank Park in Philly, but I like the visiting American League All-Stars at the better price.

This is, obviously, not a normal starter handicap because both teams will cycle through elite arms, but Dylan Cease gives the AL a strong opening counter to Cristopher Sanchez, and that's enough for me to take back the value. 

Here are my American League vs. National League predictions and MLB picks for Tuesday, July 14 at 8 p.m. ET on FOX.

Who will win the All-Star Game today: American League moneyline

Odds: +127 at Polymarket

I’m taking the American League All-Stars and would play them down to +110.

Calling any All-Star Game a massive edge is a stretch, but +127 is too long in a short-burst pitching format. My analysis could simply be: "Both teams are very good, so why such a large gap?" but I also think there may be an early edge for the AL.

Dylan Cease opens with a 36% whiff rate and AL-best 148 strikeouts, while the American League can still layer Drew Rasmussen’s steady command and Joe Ryan's overall reliability behind him.

The National League has bigger names, but Cristopher Sanchez enters with a 9.58 ERA across two July starts, giving the AL at least a chance to strike in the first inning. That ultimately may be all it takes in an environment where runs should be hard to come by.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Christopher Sanchez is dominant overall, but his sinker has allowed a .371 xwOBA and 56.0% hard-hit rate, giving the AL one early pitch to attack.

All-Star Game Over/Under pick: Under 7.5

Odds: +113 at Polymarket

I’m taking the Under because this game’s structure naturally works against the offense. The Under has cashed in 14 of the last 19 All-Star Games for a reason: hitters get one or two plate appearances, rarely see the same pitcher twice, and face arms throwing max effort in short stints.

That does not mean the Over cannot win. It means even if the AL gets the better early swing, sustained rallies are tougher to build in this format. I expect scattered damage, not a full slugfest. Both teams have incredible pitching depth behind the starters, with names like Paul Skenes, Jhoan Duran, Mason Miller, and Cade Smith available.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 38-34, +6.15 units
  • Over/Under bets: 42-32, +12.96 units

All-Star Game odds

  • Moneyline: AL +120 | NL -142
  • Run line: AL +1.5 (-172) | NL -1.5 (+142)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

All-Star Game trend

Three of the previous four Midsummer Classics have been decided by just one or two runs.

How to watch All-Star Game and info

LocationCitizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
DateTuesday, July 14, 2026
First pitch8 p.m. ET
TVFOX
AL starting pitcherDylan Cease
(6-4, 2.56 ERA)
NL starting pitcherCristopher Sanchez
(11-4, 2.62 ERA)

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

The Washington Nationals had a good first half but it could have been so much better

WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 11: Clayton Beeter #39 of the Washington Nationals hands the ball to Blake Butera #10 as he is removed from a game against the New York Yankees during the eighth inning at Nationals Park on July 11, 2026 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Jess Rapfogel/Getty Images) | Getty Images

If you told me at the beginning of the season that the Nationals would be 48-49 at the All-Star break, I would have been thrilled. Don’t get it twisted, this has been a successful first half given the expectations. There have been so many standout performers in the lineup and even in the rotation. However, it could have been so much better with a real bullpen.

This Nationals bullpen has just been the ultimate vibe killer this season. On the broadcast yesterday, Kevin Frandsen was talking about how the fans needed to get up and support their team in the 8th. This is nothing against Frandsen, but I think the reason Nats fans did not do that is because they knew what was coming. All their fears were right, as the bullpen blew yet another game.

Right now the MLB record for blown saves in a season is 37. However, I do not think that record will last for long. The Nats are already at 27 blown saves, and we are only at the All-Star Break. I have seen a lot of bad bullpen’s over the years, but I’ve never seen one blow games in the 9th inning quite like this bunch.

The Nats have scored the most runs in all of baseball, and they are below .500. That is just a mind blowing indictment on this pitching staff. Really, it is mostly just an indictment on the bullpen. The rotation has not been elite by any means, but it has been solid, especially the past couple months. 

Foster Griffin and Cade Cavalli have been a good 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation. Even Zack Littell has a 3.52 ERA since May 1st and Miles Mikolas has a 4.43, which isn’t great, but is not terrible for a 5 starter. At this moment in time, the bullpen is truly the only reason they are not a playoff team.

There are just so many individual games you can look back on and say what if they got that one. If the Nats won that Giants game and even three of the six games they blew against the Phillies and Yankees, the conversation would be so different right now. There are about 10-12 truly awful meltdowns, and even if you could get six of those back, this team would be squarely in the wild card hunt.

Whether it is the deadline or the offseason, it is obvious that Paul Toboni needs to throw resources at the bullpen. Those resources can be money or prospect capital, but this unit needs to be addressed in a real way for 2027. Toboni tried to build a bullpen without using many resources. The idea was that you could build a decent bullpen on the cheap and there are always undervalued talents to find.

Well, Toboni has shown that he is not able to find those hidden gems. He cannot moneyball a bullpen the way the Rays have been able to. With that in mind, he needs to self-evaluate and realize that the bullpen is a spot where he needs to make big moves.

The Nats have blown 27 saves now, and the average is around 13 or 14. Imagine if they had only blown 13 saves. Yes, not every blown save results in a loss, but their record would be so much different. It is truly wild how much of a buzzkill the bullpen has been to what could have been a truly magical season.

You cannot say that this season has been a disappointment or a failure at all. It has been a big success. However, it could have been one of the most magical seasons in Nats history. It is still a good season, just with a massive vibe killer mixed in.

It is like the bullpen’s job is to tell us that we really shouldn’t get that excited. You can never get too happy watching this team until the game is over because truly no game is out of reach. I really think that this bullpen is so bad it gives other teams extra confidence that makes things even worse. No team ever rolls over against the Nats because they know there is always a chance to win the game against this punch. You can be down 8-1 in the 8th inning and still win.

I know that they love playing the matchups, but there has to be a real closer next year. The 9th inning is different, and this season has shown that. Whether it is going out and signing Adrian Morejon or making a big trade, something has to be done to address this.

Insanity is trying the same thing over and over and expecting different results. This is only year one of this regime, so they are not insane by any means. There is not a whole lot they can do to fix this bullpen right now. However, they are going to have to prove to fans that they are willing to try something different next season. The priority for this deadline and offseason should be pitching, pitching and more pitching, especially relief pitching.

Two if by sea

MIAMI, FLORIDA - JULY 08: Cal Raleigh #29 of the Seattle Mariners breaks his bat after a hit against the Miami Marlins in the first inning of the game at loanDepot park on July 08, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Cal Raleigh and Julio Rodríguez haven’t been good this year. Neither have the Seattle Mariners.

The Mariners were favorites in the American League on Opening Day, according to FanGraphs. They enter the All-Star break a game under .500. What happened? Well, the Mariners, as a team, have played worse than they were expected to play. Here’s a timeline of the projected and actual WAR, with 2026 prorated through the end of the season:

Where have they played worse? I broke the roster into four components: Cal and Julio (the stars), the rest of the position player group, the rotation, and the pen. For each group, I added up 2025 WAR, 2026 projected WAR, and 2026 actual WAR (prorated).

We can see most of the underperformance comes from Cal and Julio. They posted 15 WAR last year and were projected by Steamer for 12 WAR this year. They’re on pace for 4 WAR.

Obviously nobody expected Cal to repeat his semi-historic 2025 season. Steamer certainly didn’t. But not only has Cal been worse, he’s not even been good. In fact, he’s not even been average — he’s been really quite bad.

Why? As we recently learned, Cal began the year hurt. Manny Acta said Cal didn’t get enough reps with Team USA at the World Baseball Classic, tried to make up for it afterwards, over exerted, and strained his oblique. Cal tried to ‘tough guy’ his way through the first part of the season, before landing on the injured list after a long 0-for. He’s either still hurt or hasn’t found his timing, because he’s not been great since joining the team again in mid-June. He posted a 62 wRC+ before the injury; he has an 88 wRC+ since.

It’s not fair to lump Julio in the same tier of disappointment as Cal, though I wouldn’t call his season a success, either. Julio got off to his best start ever at the plate, but he slumped in the outfield. He turned it around defensively in June, but then his bat slumped. He started to get hot at the plate at the end of the month, finally putting everything together, but Nolan Schanuel drilled him in the back of the head while running the bases. Julio is on the injured list with a concussion.

This missing production is a big deal. Cal and Julio entered the year as the top batter duo in the majors, each projected in the top five. I found the two best projected batters by Steamer for each team, and compared to actual WAR (prorated). No team has gotten less relative to expectations from their top two hitters than the Mariners.

TeamPlayer 1Player 2ProjActualDiff
SEACal RaleighJulio Rodríguez11.54.0-7.5
TORVladimir Guerrero Jr.Alejandro Kirk8.91.9-7.0
SDFernando Tatis JrJackson Merrill9.14.5-4.6
NYMJuan SotoFrancisco Lindor10.46.0-4.4
PHITrea TurnerBryce Harper7.53.2-4.3

The teams just below on the list — the Blue Jays, Padres, Mets, and Phillies — have fared much worse on offense overall. The Mariners have an even 100 wRC+ because the rest of their lineup, collectively, has been fine. They’ve been about as good as they were last year, when Cal and Julio led them to a second place finish by wRC+ (and a ninth place finish by WAR).

There’s been a few good performances, from Randy Arozarena, Dominic Canzone, and Cole Young. There’s been a few bad performances, from Josh Naylor, Victor Robles, and Leo Rivas. J.P. Crawford has been hot and cold and can’t play defense. They’ve largely assembled themselves into something close to 2025. This isn’t Dodgers-level depth, of course, but it’s a reasonably competitive group, so long as they don’t have to go it alone.

The issue was this part of the roster was meant to take a step forward this year. The addition of Brendan Donovan is what pushed the Mariners into the “AL favorites” tier of the projections this spring. He simply hasn’t been on the field. Rob Refsnyder was meant to help with the roster’s general lopsidedness. He is now the worst player ever acquired by Jerry Dipoto by WAR. Both players are on the IL.

Still, it’s pretty clear what’s changed from last year to this year.

There’s been plenty said about what’s gone wrong in the first half of the season, and what needs to change in the second. Sometimes the truth is simple.

Tigers' Kevin McGonigle will be a hometown kid at All-Star Game in Philadelphia

DETROIT — Detroit Tigers rookie Kevin McGonigle can’t wait to go home for the All-Star Game in Philadelphia.

“I’m super pumped,” McGonigle said before facing his hometown Phillies.

Even though McGonigle just is 21, he has had a lot of travel bags for baseball.

None, though, was like the white one sitting on the carpeted floor next to his chair in the Tigers’ clubhouse. The duffel bag was adorned with the All-Star Game logo and there was an Old English D on each end.

“I’d say this is the best one I’ve ever had,” McGonigle said.

He earned it.

Since the first All-Star Game in 1933, Los Angeles Angels star Mike Trout and Hall of Famer Al Kaline are the two players who have reached base safely more often than McGonigle at the break.

The Tigers thought McGonigle would be good, but no one could have projected this much production so early in his career.

Detroit drafted McGonigle with the No. 37 pick in 2023 and he spent two-plus years in the minor leagues, skipping a stop at Triple-A Toledo, as a promising prospect.

Shortly after McGonigle made the major league roster during spring training and had four hits in his debut, the franchise saw enough to give him an eight-year, $150 million contract.

So far, it certainly looks like a wise investment.

“It’s so impressive how mature he is in the box,” Tigers All-Star outfielder Riley Greene said. “You don’t see many people at 21 having at-bats as good as him.”

Since 1947, he is the fifth rookie 21 or younger to have at least 99 hits before the All-Star Game.

“He’s a good-looking, young player,” said Phillies manager Don Mattingly, who was quite a player himself. “Young guys seem to be coming up a lot more often, and doing well right away.

“Seeing him in the spring, he swung the bat. In spring you kind of go, ‘OK, we’ll see,’ with young guys and then obviously, he has taken it into the season and he’s still rolling.”

McGonigle, who was born in Media, Pennsylvania, and attended high school in nearby Drexel Hill, shared his picks for the best cheesesteaks in the Philadelphia area ahead of the Home Run Derby and the All-Star Game.

“Delco’s Steaks in Delaware County, which is where I’m from, is my favorite,” he said. “In the city, Philip’s is a sleeper. There’s a different way they cut the meat, and it’s really good.”

MLB Home Run Derby 2026 Predictions & Picks Tonight: Walker Makes His Mark

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The best Monday on the sports calendar is finally here! The Home Run Derby brings out the kid in all of us, and hopefully it will bring out the beast in Jordan Walker tonight.

My Home Run Derby predictions have extracted the best value possible in the Home Run Derby odds, including some intriguing props.

Let's dive into my top MLB picks for July 13.

Best MLB Home Run Derby predictions

PickOdds
Cardinals Jordan Walker to win+733
Red Sox Willson Contreras to win+1900
Royals Jac Caglianone to reach the final round+285
⚾ Longest Home Run: 500+ feet +122

Our top MLB Home Run Derby picks for Monday, July 13

Jordan Walker to win

+733 at Polymarket

I kind of have a type when it comes to the Home Run Derby. DO NOT SHAME ME! I like the big boys.

I want guys who have raw, natural power, and Jordan Walker has all of that and more. The younger stars are always a draw for me because I want to see them leave their mark and make a bigger name for themselves.

The St. Louis Cardinals' 6-foot-6, 250-pound outfielder, who is sitting on a career-high 22 homers and counting, is easily one of my favorite looks in this event. 

Willson Contreras to win

+1900 at Polymarket

I always sprinkle on a long shot winner that has a ton of upside, which Willson Contreras definitely has.

Typically, the long shot is a smaller guy, your Jazz Chisholm or Mookie Betts types. Guys who can absolutely crush home runs, but honestly probably aren't built for the Home Run Derby.

Personally, I think Ben Rice should be dead-last on the odds board, but unfortunately, I don't make the odds.

I was a little too eager to jump on Contreras and missed out on a great number. Near 20-to-1 odds is insane. I ended up grabbing 13-to-1 thinking I was being slick.

Contreras has all the raw power in the world to make a deep run, and is on pace to reach his career-high in dingers with 20 already at the unofficial halfway point of the season. So why take the chalk when there is a big body with legitimate power sitting at the bottom of the odds board?

Our best 2026 MLB Home Run Derby props

Jac Caglianone to reach the final round

+285 at Polymarket

I am already on Jac Caglianone to have the furthest hit home run in this event. All this guy does is generate hard-hit balls, and he is an absolute monster.

A part of me is concerned with some of these younger guys participating in this event. Will Walker or Caglianone be too eager to try and kill the ball instead of staying relaxed and taking their normal hacks?

However, there is no way I'm taking Kyle Schwarber, Junior Caminero, or Bryce Harper just because they have been here before. I think there is a ton of value in the Kansas City Royals' future star, as long as he stays calm and relaxed, and lets his natural power take over.

Longest home run: 500+ feet 

+122 at Polymarket

Who doesn't want to see a 500-foot nuke missile? Losers, that's who.

Last season in Atlanta, we watched Pirates slugger Oneil Cruz launch a 513-foot home run. Back in 2017 in Miami, Aaron Judge matched that mark with a 513-footer of his own.

If you take out the 2021 Derby in Colorado, it's a much rarer feat. But with temperatures expected to be in the mid 80s tonight in Philadelphia, the conditions are there. This year's field is loaded with guys who generate ridiculous power and have the ability to send one 500+ feet, even without seeing 100 mph fastballs.

This is supposed to be fun. Enjoy it, root for moonshots, and let yourself feel like you're 10 years old again.

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2026 LSB Midseason Community Prospect Rankings — #6

SURPRISE, ARIZONA - MARCH 20, 2026: Yolfran Castillo #49 of the Texas Rangers fields a ground ball during the third inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the Kansas City Royals at Surprise Stadium on March 20, 2026 in Surprise, Arizona. (Photo by David Durochik/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

Congratulations to Yolfran Castillo, who has been named the #5 prospect in the 2026 LSB Midseason Community Prospect Rankings, receiving less than half of the vote.

Our list so far:

1 — Sebastian Walcott

2 — Caden Scarborough

3 — Malcolm Moore

4 — A.J. Russell

5 — Yolfran Castillo

Moving on…

Because there has been a history of vote-spamming shenanigans in the rankings, I used Google Forms for the last several of community rankings, and it worked out well, so we will use it again. You will need to include your LSB user name when you vote. If you don’t have an LSB user name, you need to use some sort of identifier. While this won’t eliminate the possibility of vote spamming, it will make it harder.

So who is the #6 prospect in the Rangers system right now?

Cast your vote below…

Three up, three down: week of July 6-12

DETROIT, MI - JULY 12: Zack Wheeler #45 of the Philadelphia Phillies pitches against the Detroit Tigers during the second inning at Comerica Park on July 12, 2026 in Detroit, Michigan. (Photo by Duane Burleson/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Home Run Derby is tonight, featuring Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. My guess is that neither makes it to the second round on the evening. Had I a thought on who would win, give me Junior Caminero, who I believe is the most underrated hitter in the game today.

Three up

Zack Wheeler – What more can you say? Thirteen innings over two starts, striking out 24, walking only two? That’s Ace level quality from Wheeler. Considering that he had a surgery this year many believed he wouldn’t be able to fully recover from and it’s remarkable what the Phillies have on their hands. Teams would kill to have two pitchers as good and consistent at Cristopher Sanchez and Wheeler. The Phillies should consider not wasting it.

J.T. Realmuto – The Phillies are pretty desperate for any kind of offense outside of what Harper, Schwarber and Brandon Marsh have provided this year. That means, when players are successful, even for a week, it becomes noteworthy. It’s particularly noteworthy with Realmuto since he has been so bad at the plate this year. His having a home run and six RBI on the week helps boost an offense that seemed to sag a bit in the middle of the road trip.

Derek Hill – Another incredible catch, a game in which he was basically the lone source of offense and just general good vibes, Hill has been on a heater lately. This week, his .368/.400/.579 line in 20 plate appearances shows that he can serve a useful purpose for this version of the 2026 Phillies. One wonders what his playing time looks like if/when the team acquires another outfield bat to supplement what they have, but he has certainly earned more playing time.

Three down

Left handed relief – Tanner Banks, Jose Alvarado and Tim Mayza? They all stunk this week, one of them (Banks) getting sent out as a result. The team truly needs to make some kind of upgrade if they want to make noise this postseason.

Brandon Marsh – I believe that Marsh needs to take this whole week off since he looks like he’s running out of steam a bit. Unfortunately for him, he’s the starter for the National League in the All-Star Game and will be playing baseball, or doing baseball related things, all week. Might be time, especially with Derek Hill and Justin Crawford playing well, for Don Mattingly to schedule a few more regular rest days for Marsh as the season wears on until he gets his second wind.

Alec Bohm – Speaking of needing some time off. Bohm’s week (.111/.226/.148 in 31 PA) shows he desperately needs to get away from the game for a bit. He has hit the ball hard quite often, but he just looks like a guy who needs a break.

Royals’ Last-Place First Half, SURPRISING Top Pick Turn into All-Star Week

The MLB Draft is in the books, the first half is officially over, and the Kansas City Royals made a selection at sixth overall that has generated strong opinions on both sides. Jacob Milham and Jeremy Greco do not hold back in this episode of the Royals Rundown Podcast, breaking down the Zion Rose pick, the organizational philosophy behind it, and whether the front office outsmarted itself on draft night.

The Zion Rose selection is examined from every angle: his tools, his evaluations from analysts like Keith Law, his character and work ethic as revealed in interviews, and the broader question of whether the Royals reached for upside when other options were available. The under-slot strategy and the additional picks it enabled, including Rabe and Slightom, each get their own evaluation, with Jacob and Jeremy debating whether the overall package of selections justifies the approach or represents the kind of organizational overthinking that has become a pattern.

Front office accountability is a thread that runs throughout. Payroll decisions, team-building philosophy, and comparisons to how organizations like the Mets, Rays, and Brewers allocate resources add useful context to the conversation about what small and mid-market teams can realistically accomplish when the decision-making is sharp.

The hosts also close the book on the first half of the season, taking stock of where things went wrong and what, if anything, can be salvaged in the months ahead. The trade deadline looms, and the case for moving established arms like Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha continues to build as the losses have piled up. Relief pitcher Matt Strahm’s performance and injury status also factor into the bullpen evaluation after yet another blow-up appearance.

The episode wraps with All-Star week predictions, including Home Run Derby picks and the Zack Wheeler ego, before closing with MLB The Show updates and a recommendation for Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves.

Need your Royals fix? Head to royalsreview.com for news, analysis, and to engage with Royals fans around the world! Follow us online:

BlueSky
– Jeremy Greco: @hokius.fromthehawkseye.com
– Jacob Milham: @jacobmilhkc.bsky.social

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– Podcast: @RoyalRundownPod

A Closer Look at Braves 7th Round Pick Jack Brenner

PHOENIX, AZ - JUNE 24: Jack Brenner #2 talks with Tervell Johnson #89 in the dugout during the 2026 Draft Combine at Chase Field on Wednesday, June 24, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Jill Weisleder/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

With their 7th round pick in the 2026 MLB Draft the Atlanta Braves have selected Wisconsin prep catcher Jack Brenner. Brenner is a sleeper catcher with a promising bat for the position and a chance to develop further as a cold weather prep.

Bio

Name: Jack Brenner

Position: Catcher

Hometown: Fond du Lac, WI (Fond du Lac HS)

School: Oklahoma

Height: 6’0

Weight: 180

Bats/Throws: R/R

Rankings

Baseball America: 209

Perfect Game: 169

Pipeline: NR

ESPN: 158

Overslot: 144

My Own: 222

Consensus: 199

Hit 55

Brenner is most known for his feel for contact. He’s the type of player who will take plenty of walks and not swing and miss often. It’s definitely an advanced approach for a player this young. Brenner was in the 98th percentile of contact rate last summer on the showcase circuit over 53 plate appearances where he slashed .439/.516/.707.

Power 45

Brenner will need to both grow into a little bit more power, and potentially make some adjustments with his approach in order to incorporate more power in his game. He has a chance to grow into average raw power, but it would likely play down without some changes to the contact oriented approach.

Speed 50

The speed is presently above average, though figures to slow down a bit as he fills out – especially if he sticks behind the plate. Still this is a very athletic player for a catcher.

Glove 50

He’s still a work in progress as a catcher, but that is in part due to the fact he hasn’t played a ton of catcher yet. He’s played all over, including a significant amount of time at shortstop. The feel for his receiving and blocking skills are a positive starting point for him, but it will take refinement to be a solid big league catcher. If catcher doesn’t work out he’s got a chance to be a versatile utility player with the athleticism and arm to handle a number of different positions.

Arm 55

It’s a strong arm that has produced sub-2.0 second pop times and would also be more than enough for other positions.

Overall Thoughts

This is a strong pick. Brenner has excellent contact ability, room to add some power, athleticism, and a real chance to stick at catcher. He is likely years away, especially if his future is behind the dish, but he will have the ceiling of being a big league starter. It’s tough to say where he would start his pro career, as he has the advanced bat to handle Augusta – but there is a chance he gets sent to the FCL in order to continue refining the defense as well.

Texas Rangers place Chris Martin on 15-day IL with shoulder injury

ARLINGTON, Texas — The Texas Rangers placed veteran reliever Chris Martin on the 15-day injured list with a right shoulder injury.

Martin, 40, has allowed five runs in 3 2/3 innings in making four appearances after being activated on July 4 from the IL following the same shoulder issue. He has pitched in 16 games this season, going 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA and giving up 25 hits in 14 innings.

The Arlington High grad made 49 appearances last season beginning his second stint with his hometown ballclub, earning two of his 16 career saves over parts of 11 major league seasons.

In the corresponding roster move, Texas recalled right-hander Emiliano Teodo from Triple-A Round Rock. Teodo, 25, was 3-3 at Round Rock with a 3.76 ERA in 35 relief appearances.

Elephant Rumblings: Break Time

SALT LAKE CITY, UT - SEPTEMBER 19: A detail shot of baseballs in a cart during the MLB Home Run Derby X quarter finals at The Ballpark at America First Square on Friday, September 19, 2025 in Salt Lake City, Utah. (Photo by Tyler McFarland/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Welcome to another week A’s fans!

The first half is officially in the books. The Athletics’ season began well enough as the club was in first place as late as May. Unfortunately a rough June and July has seemingly sunk the A’s playoff hopes as the club’s nine-game losing streak has dropped them to 41-55, good for fourth place and eight games back in the AL West. They’re a closer 6 1/2 games out in the Wild Card hunt but with seven teams ahead of them. With the third-worst record in the American League its seeming that the squad will be sellers this deadline.

On the bright side of things the A’s added lots of talent this weekend through the MLB Draft. The club added a high-ceiling outfielder and a couple interesting college arms to a farm system that needs all the talent they can get. There’s plenty more intriguing players that have joined the system and it’s likely that one of those late-round picks ends up being the best player in the class. That randomness is just how the game works sometimes.

Anyway, there’s no baseball games today but there is some evening entertainment for us tonight. The Home Run Derby is set and the field is wide open. There’s no clear-cut favorite this year but it’s going to be a star-studded lineup for us fans to watch. In Philadelphia it’d be fun to see one of the two Phillies in Bryce Harper or Kyle Schwarber take the crown and win it in front of the home town team. Who do you all got taking it tonight?

The Derby begins at 5 p.m. Pacific time. Have a great day everyone.

A’s Coverage:

MLB News and Interest:

Best of X:

Newest Athletic:

The full draft class:

Agreed:

Astros Prospect Report: July 12th

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - MAY 17: Ronel Blanco #56 of the Houston Astros sits in the dugout during a game agaisnt the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field on May 17, 2025 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Another day of minor league baseball is in the books. See the results below. Check out the previous day’s recap here.

AAA: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (45-47) won 3-1 (BOX SCORE)

Blanco started for Sugar Land and tossed 4.1 scoreless innings. Sugar Land got on the board in the third inning on a Biggio RBI double. The pen was solid allowing just one unearned run as the Isotopes tied it in the 7th. In the bottom of the 9th, Sugar Land walked it off on a Meyers 2 run home run as they won 3-1.

Note: Ferreras is hitting.366 in Triple-A.


AA: Corpus Christi Hooks (40-47) lost 11-3 (BOX SCORE)

The Hooks got on the board in the first inning on an Encarnacion steal of home. Hertzler got the start and went 2 innings allowing 3 runs. Gillis pitched in relief but had his first rough outing in a while allowing 7 tuns over 5 innings. The offense got one in the third on a Sisneros groundout and another in the 5th on an Austin sac fly but that was it as the Hooks fell 11-3.

Note: Encarnacion has 40 SB this season.


A+: Asheville Tourists (30-56lost 10-4 (BOX SCORE)

Howard started for Asheville but struggled allowing 4 runs over 3.2 innings of work. The offense got on the board in the bottom of the inning on a Powell sac fly and a run on a passed ball. The pen struggled for Asheville allowing another 6 runs as they found themselves down 10-2. The offense got 2 runs back in on Daudet and Batista RBI singles but that was it as they fell 10-4.

Note: Nigh is hitting .316 in High-A.


A: Fayetteville Woodpeckers (42-42) lost 18-1 (BOX SCORE)

The Woodpeckers got on the board in the first inning on a Cauro RBI single. Things went downhill fast after that. The pitching staff had a rough game allowing 18 runs over 8 innings. The offense was quiet the rest of the way collecting just six hits as they fell 18-1.

Note: This was Newman’s first game in Fayetteville since June 3rd.


Today’s minor league starters:

SL: OFF

CC: OFF

AV: OFF

FV: OFF