If you told me at the beginning of the season that the Nationals would be 48-49 at the All-Star break, I would have been thrilled. Don’t get it twisted, this has been a successful first half given the expectations. There have been so many standout performers in the lineup and even in the rotation. However, it could have been so much better with a real bullpen.
This Nationals bullpen has just been the ultimate vibe killer this season. On the broadcast yesterday, Kevin Frandsen was talking about how the fans needed to get up and support their team in the 8th. This is nothing against Frandsen, but I think the reason Nats fans did not do that is because they knew what was coming. All their fears were right, as the bullpen blew yet another game.
Right now the MLB record for blown saves in a season is 37. However, I do not think that record will last for long. The Nats are already at 27 blown saves, and we are only at the All-Star Break. I have seen a lot of bad bullpen’s over the years, but I’ve never seen one blow games in the 9th inning quite like this bunch.
The Nats have scored the most runs in all of baseball, and they are below .500. That is just a mind blowing indictment on this pitching staff. Really, it is mostly just an indictment on the bullpen. The rotation has not been elite by any means, but it has been solid, especially the past couple months.
Foster Griffin and Cade Cavalli have been a good 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation. Even Zack Littell has a 3.52 ERA since May 1st and Miles Mikolas has a 4.43, which isn’t great, but is not terrible for a 5 starter. At this moment in time, the bullpen is truly the only reason they are not a playoff team.
There are just so many individual games you can look back on and say what if they got that one. If the Nats won that Giants game and even three of the six games they blew against the Phillies and Yankees, the conversation would be so different right now. There are about 10-12 truly awful meltdowns, and even if you could get six of those back, this team would be squarely in the wild card hunt.
Whether it is the deadline or the offseason, it is obvious that Paul Toboni needs to throw resources at the bullpen. Those resources can be money or prospect capital, but this unit needs to be addressed in a real way for 2027. Toboni tried to build a bullpen without using many resources. The idea was that you could build a decent bullpen on the cheap and there are always undervalued talents to find.
Well, Toboni has shown that he is not able to find those hidden gems. He cannot moneyball a bullpen the way the Rays have been able to. With that in mind, he needs to self-evaluate and realize that the bullpen is a spot where he needs to make big moves.
The Nats have blown 27 saves now, and the average is around 13 or 14. Imagine if they had only blown 13 saves. Yes, not every blown save results in a loss, but their record would be so much different. It is truly wild how much of a buzzkill the bullpen has been to what could have been a truly magical season.
You cannot say that this season has been a disappointment or a failure at all. It has been a big success. However, it could have been one of the most magical seasons in Nats history. It is still a good season, just with a massive vibe killer mixed in.
It is like the bullpen’s job is to tell us that we really shouldn’t get that excited. You can never get too happy watching this team until the game is over because truly no game is out of reach. I really think that this bullpen is so bad it gives other teams extra confidence that makes things even worse. No team ever rolls over against the Nats because they know there is always a chance to win the game against this punch. You can be down 8-1 in the 8th inning and still win.
I know that they love playing the matchups, but there has to be a real closer next year. The 9th inning is different, and this season has shown that. Whether it is going out and signing Adrian Morejon or making a big trade, something has to be done to address this.
Insanity is trying the same thing over and over and expecting different results. This is only year one of this regime, so they are not insane by any means. There is not a whole lot they can do to fix this bullpen right now. However, they are going to have to prove to fans that they are willing to try something different next season. The priority for this deadline and offseason should be pitching, pitching and more pitching, especially relief pitching.