With their season having gone off the rails long ago, David Stearns and the Mets did what they had to do at Monday's MLB trade deadline -- dealing nearly all of their pending free agents with value.
They even took it a step further, sending dominant setup man Luke Weaver (under contract through 2027) and versatile right-handed reliever Huascar Brazoban (under team control through 2029) to the Pirates and White Sox, respectively.
When it comes to assessing the players the Mets got back in their deadline sell-off, doing an instant analysis of it requires nuance -- especially when using prospect rankings as part of your determination of how good a return is.
Farm systems aren't apples to apples. For example, Tampa Bay's No. 15 prospect could be San Diego's No. 6. So blindly citing those rankings without additional context is pointless.
Beyond that, most of the prospect lists people are referencing haven't been updated since before the season.
In any event, without the benefit of Doc Brown's DeLorean, we can only work with the information we have right now. And using that info, it's fair to say that the process Stearns and the Mets used while making their most important trades -- getting infielder Sammy Stafura from the Pirates for Weaver and infielder Jefferson Rojas from the Cubs for Clay Holmes and Tyrone Taylor -- was sound.
They clearly valued Stafura enough to zero in on him and pay down Weaver's salary. And getting Rojas, who is widely viewed as a top 100 prospect in baseball, felt like a big win.
Some of the other deals (Brazoban, Brooks Raley) felt a bit light when it came to the return, and another (Freddy Peralta) felt like the return was appropriate. But again, this is all a crapshoot. And the process was deliberate and sound.
In the aftermath of all the wheeling and dealing on Monday night, Stearns fielded some questions about whether the team considered seeking immediate help in these deals. His answer, unsurprisingly, was that they simply went after the best talent -- an answer that, like it or not, was the right one.
Now comes the hard part.
With the Mets attempting to rebound right away and contend in 2027, they're going to have to assemble a team from the bones of a roster whose locks for next season might be in the single digits, with the core of the club possibly looking like this:
Nolan McLean
Christian Scott
Devin Williams
Juan Soto
Carson Benge
A.J. Ewing
Francisco Lindor
Francisco Alvarez
Luis Torrens
A wild card here is Bo Bichette, who has a player opt-out after this season. If he exercises it, the Mets will have to find a new third baseman.
There's also the presence of Jorge Polanco (under contract through 2027) and Marcus Semien (under contract through 2028), which could create serious issues. Polanco, who has missed significant time due to an Achilles injury and can't play the field in his current state, has a .388 OPS and 9 OPS+ in 29 games this year. Even an OPS .250 points higher would be borderline unplayable. Semien has been better lately, but his offensive decline that started a few years ago has continued.
When it comes to the pitching staff, Stearns said the obvious before the deadline, which is that it would have to be strengthened this winter with external additions. McLean will help anchor it, and Scott appears likely to be a member. Sean Manaea and Zac Thornton could also factor in. But serious reinforcements will be needed to address a rotation whose struggles have been the root cause of the Mets' failures for two straight seasons.
The bullpen, now without Weaver and Brazoban, is a different story altogether.
Looking ahead to 2027, the relief corps is basically Williams and seven shrug emojis. It's possible Dedniel Núñez, back from Tommy John surgery, becomes part of the solution. Reed Garrett (another TJS recipient) could be back and help provide depth. Perhaps hard-throwing prospect Dylan Ross gets a chance down the stretch and puts his name in the mix. The same goes for Nate Lavender, who will get a shot in the final months of this season. But the back end of the 'pen will have to be rebuilt.
With all of this as a backdrop comes the added element that Stearns could be fighting for his job.
While giving Stearns a vote of confidence earlier this season and saying that the Mets were going to "live that contract out," Steve Cohen added that there were "no guarantees." And it's difficult to see Stearns getting another chance to right the ship if New York stumbles again in 2027.
Given that scenario, it seems fair to conclude that Stearns has to (and will be) more aggressive this offseason than he's been in the past. Being measured and surgical aren't bad traits to have, but it can also mean missing out on impact players -- especially when it comes to free agency.
That doesn't mean Stearns should turn his philosophy on its head and start acting like A.J. Preller. But more forcefulness is needed.
One way to do that would be to make an exception when it comes to long contracts for older players, throwing caution to the wind while launching an all-out pursuit of Tarik Skubal. There are exceptions to every rule, and Skubal -- a true ace who will be entering his age-30 season next year -- feels like one, as long as his medicals check out.
The Mets should also have their cake and eat it too, by signing Clay Holmes -- a damn good pitcher, New York-tested, and one of their clubhouse leaders -- back via free agency.
Beyond Skubal and Holmes, the list of free agent starters leaves a lot to be desired. So the Mets should act decisively here.
New York also needs a first baseman who is average or better at the position, a designated hitter, and -- depending on how Semien looks over the last two months of the season -- a second baseman.
That's where it might get tricky, since it's hard to envision the Mets entering next season with both Polanco and Semien viewed as non-factors. Maybe they try to thread the needle when it comes to Semien, with Rojas a potential option to replace him at some point during the year.
Then there's the aforementioned bullpen, which needs a lot of help via free agency and/or trade. Stearns might have to get creative via trade here, since -- as is the case with the free agent starters -- not many of the free agent relievers stand out.
Oh, and Stearns needs to hire a new manager. And possibly a new coaching staff.
While the remainder of the regular season will serve as a tryout of sorts for some of the players trying to stake a claim for next season, this offseason could be a final audition for Stearns as he attempts to prove he has what it takes to turn this thing around and stabilize it.