Three under the radar free agent pitchers I like for the Washington Nationals

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 30: David Peterson #19 of the Chicago Cubs pitches in the National League Wild Card game against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on September 30, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Matt Dirksen/Chicago Cubs/Getty Images) | Getty Images

So far this offseason, we have talked about some of the bigger names on the free agent market. That includes the likes of Michael King, Adrian Morejon and Brandon Lowe. Today I want to discuss some under the radar targets that have surprising upside. David Peterson, Kris Bubic and Kyle Hart all have risk, but they also have the ability to outperform their contracts.

For fans of the NL East, Peterson is the biggest name here, so let’s start with him. The lefty spent parts of 7 seasons with the Mets before being traded to the Cubs in June. Since 2022, Peterson has had his ups and downs, but has been largely reliable. He has thrown at least 105 innings every year and has posted a WAR of at least 1. 

After a dreadful start to 2026, the trade reinvigorated Peterson. He posted a 3.70 ERA with the Cubs and was arguably their best pitcher after the All-Star break. Following the midsummer classic, Peterson posted a 2.73 ERA with 67 strikeouts in 66 innings. 

The 31 year old southpaw is not a flashy pitcher by any means. He throws his two low-90’s fastballs over 50% of the time. However, those offerings play up due to Peterson’s elite extension. His slider, changeup and curveball give him a trio of solid secondary pitches. Peterson relies heavily on ground balls, which makes his ERA heavily reliant on BABIP, but his FIP has generally been in the mid to high 3’s throughout his 5 year run. 

Peterson will be more expensive than the free agents the Nats have signed over the past few years, but compared to a King or Peralta, he will be cheaper. Something in the ballpark of 3-years $33 million should get it done. One potential issue I would have is that Peterson is fairly reliant on a good defense, but I like his steadiness. He is a solid arm, who can make playoff starts when he is at his best.

Kris Bubic is also a soft tossing lefty, but he is very different from Peterson. The 29 year old lefty has a very high ceiling but his injury prone nature makes him a big risk. However, that risk is also a potential opportunity for the Nats. If Bubic hits, he can be a true middle of the rotation starter while not being paid like one.

Over his last 217.2 innings, Bubic has a 2.98 ERA with a 2.91 FIP and 227 strikeouts. The problem here is that he has only thrown 217.2 innings since 2023. This season, Bubic suffered from forearm and shoulder issues, which is obviously terrifying. However, he got back on the mound at the end of the year and threw in the playoffs for the Dodgers.

In 2025, the one season where Bubic was relatively healthy, he had a 2.55 ERA in 116.1 innings and made the All-Star game. Bubic’s fastball only averages 92, but it has elite ride from a lower slot which makes it a very good pitch. He also has a filthy changeup which plays beautifully off the fastball. His sweeper and slider cap off a very complete arsenal.

With his injury issues, Bubic will likely have to take a one-year deal, maybe with a club option. If Paul Toboni is hunting for upside on the free agent market, this would be a great opportunity. We have seen injury prone pitchers suddenly stay healthy before, with Shane Baz and Jacob Degrom being recent examples. 

If the Nats can somehow keep Bubic healthy, he would be a great signing. He might not be able to be a full time starter, but I think he could provide value as a reliever if that is how you keep him healthy. Bubic is the type of high upside, lower cost move I could see the Nats making.

One of the Nats biggest needs this offseason is a matchup lefty. Paul Toboni tried so hard to find a left handed reliever who could consistently get left handed hitters out. He never really got his guy though. Thankfully, there are plenty of lefty relievers on the market.

There are top tier guys such as Alex Vesia and Adrian Morejon. This class also has a nice second tier consisting of JoJo Romero, Brock Burke, Sean Newcomb, Gregory Soto and more. However, I have a third tier option that could outproduce that second tier in 2027.

We will see if the Padres pick up Kyle Hart’s $2.5 million club option, but if they don’t I like the lefty. On the surface, this sounds weird. He posted a 4.92 ERA this year and the 33 year old has a 6.25 ERA in his career. However, his peripherals and stuff tell a different story.

Despite that 4.92 ERA, Hart had a 3.63 FIP and xERA. Hart did a fantastic job of limiting hard contact and getting ground balls. His velocity also went up by over 2 MPH after being moved to a full time bullpen role. If you are looking for a stuff demon, Hart is a sneaky option.

In addition to the harder fastball, Hart also introduced a splitter, which got very good results. Batters hit just .163 against the pitch with a 39.4% whiff rate. That helped him a lot against right handed hitters. Hart’s sweeper is also a very strong weapon against lefties.

He has never fully turned that stuff into results, which is why the Padres might not pick up his option. After all, he is out of minor league options and was left off the playoff roster. However, I think he could be primed for a late career breakout entering his age 34 season. Hart will be quite cheap and I think he could outperform better known options such as JoJo Romero or Brock Burke.

None of these three arms are perfect, but they would not be sleeper options if they were. However, I think Peterson, Bubic and Hart all have the ability to outperform their contracts by quite a bit. You would be taking a risk, but the reward could be huge and the price won’t be massive.

Yankees Birthday of the Day: Patsy Dougherty

Chicago White Sox outfielder Patsy Dougherty, circa 1910. (Photo by FPG/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Patrick “Patsy” Dougherty undoubtedly had his most success elsewhere as a big leaguer. In his sophomore season in Boston, he hit two home runs in a World Series game (one of them an inside-the-parker) to help secure a title in the very first Fall Classic. A few years later, he won another championship with the White Sox, in one of baseball’s most famous World Series.

In between those two stops, he spent some time in New York, manning the outfield. And getting in a fistfight with his manager. But let one who has never wanted to fight their boss cast the first stone. (And he isn’t the last man in franchise history to get into it with his manager, obviously.) Finally, in an historical quirk, he’s specifically linked to the name “Yankees,” and might be the first player ever officially referred to by that famed moniker.

Patrick Henry “Patsy” Dougherty
Born: October 27, 1876 (Andover, NY)
Died: April 30, 1940 (Bolivar, NY)
Yankees Tenure: 1904-06

The son of an Irish immigrant, Dougherty grew up in southwestern New York, with his family settling in Bolivar. He drew attention on his high school team and gradually made the climb from the prep ranks to town ball to the minors and then to California late in 1901. They had a winter league back then, and his manager in LA happened to also be the skipper of Boston’s new American League club. So Patsy broke in with Boston in 1902 and hit the cover off the ball. He hit .342 as a rookie (a career-best) with a .407 OBP (ditto) and .805 OPS (likewise). He followed that up with a sensational sophomore season in 1903 that saw him pace the Junior Circuit in at-bats, runs, and hits, while hitting .331. Not a bad first two years.

That year, he also starred in a game against the New York Highlanders that one would expect to be a pitcher’s duel. Cy Young versus Jack Chesbro. That’s supposed to be a battle of the titans. Instead, it was more like a sustained exchange of artillery fire. The Highlanders outlasted the Americans 15-14 and Dougherty hit for the cycle.

Come playoff time, Dougherty etched his name in baseball history. With a pair of round-trippers in Game 2 of the World Series against Pittsburgh, he became the first player to homer twice in a World Series game. It was all part of an .827 OPS series as Boston won the first Fall Classic, five games to three ina best-of-nine.

In 1904, his bat fell off and, perhaps due to that, Boston was willing to move him. It might also have had something to do with Dougherty pushing to be paid more, after two pretty darn good first seasons in the big leagues. Either way, Boston moved him. In June 1904, the Americans sent him to New York for the somewhat-infamous Bob Unglaub.

The Boston Herald trumpeted “DOUGHERTY AS A YANKEE,” the first time on record the club was referred to by the name that has become ubiquitous. Meanwhile, Boston fans were furious, seeing through the club’s justifications of Dougherty’s defensive lapses being reason to send him packing. Le plus ca change, as they say.

Patsy quickly adjusted to life in New York. Though his bat never rebounded to its peak in Boston, he was still comfortably above-average with the stick for New York (120 OPS+ in 1904 after the trade). The Highlanders, unfortunately, missed the playoffs. Boston beat them out by 1.5 games to take home the American League pennant, with his new teammate and ace Chesbro uncorking a wild one to doom them in the penultimate game of the season.

Dougherty may not have been the greatest defender though, in fairness to Boston’s front office. On August 15th, 1905, Dougherty dropped two fly balls in left field, costing New York against Detroit and prompting The New York Times to declare “DOUGHERTY’S MISTAKES DEFEAT NEW YORK.” He also went through the worst offensive season of his career, coinciding with the Highlanders slipping to sixth place in the Junior Circuit.

1906 saw another contract dispute between Dougherty and his club. Worse, he got in a fistfight with New York skipper Clark Griffith. Unsurprisingly, he was gone from New York shortly after. Dougherty abandoned the team for the Tri-State League and found himself banned from the American League by president Ban Johnson.

Eventually, in July, the Chicago White Sox managed to massage things with Johnson and purchased his contract. He struggled down the stretch and was putrid in the World Series (2-for-20) but won his second World Series title nonetheless, as the “Hitless Wonder” White Sox pulled off an all-time upset against the crosstown rival 116-win Cubs of “Tinker to Evers to Chance” fame.

Dougherty spent the rest of his career in the Windy City and rediscovered his stroke, remaining a productive big-league hitter through his final season in 1911. Reputedly wealthy due to investments during his playing days, Dougherty began working at a bank shortly after his retirement, where he remained for almost three decades.

Patsy Dougherty died of a heart attack on April 30, 1940. He would have been 150 years old today. Happy birthday to a man nearly as old as the National League itself.


See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.

A few thoughts about the Cubs and Aaron Civale

Cubs President of Baseball Operations Jed Hoyer must like Aaron Civale a lot, because he’s acquired him not once, but twice.

The White Sox waived him at the end of August 2025 and the Cubs claimed him. He pitched just five times in September, but very well: 2.08 ERA, 0.538 WHIP and one save in 13 innings, with 14 strikeouts. That was good enough for 0.3 bWAR — in just five appearances, that’s pretty impressive.

(Incidentally, as well as the White Sox have done in trades lately, their acquisition of Civale in June 2025 was a terrible deal on their part — they got him for Andrew Vaughn, who’s done quite well in Milwaukee, while Civale posted a 5.37 ERA in 13 starts for the Sox.)

Anyway, the Cubs let Civale walk in free agency last offseason and he signed a one-year, $6 million deal with the A’s, who put him in their rotation. He wasn’t any good there, either, posting a 5.42 ERA and 1.621 WHIP, with 16 home runs allowed in 74.2 innings. (In fairness, part of that was due to the A’s minor league home park, Sutter Health Park, where 238 home runs were hit in 2026. That led MLB… tied with Wrigley Field.)

On July 18, the Cubs traded a minor league prospect named Aiden Moffett to the A’s for Civale. Trust me when I say I don’t think the Cubs will miss Moffett. In 17 relief appearances combined between the Cubs’ Arizona Complex League team and Low-A Myrtle Beach, Moffett walked 42 batters in 22.1 innings and no, that is not a typo, that’s a 34.1 percent walk rate, which is just awful.

Civale, meanwhile, turned into an impressive reliever for the Cubs. In 18 appearances covering 36.2 innings, he posted a 1.77 ERA and 1.064 WHIP, allowing just two home runs and striking out 33. He posted his first save of 2026 July 30 against the Cardinals, striking out Lars Nootbaar to end the game. Just look at this nasty curveball! [VIDEO]

This hints that maybe, just maybe, late-career Civale (he turns 32 in June) could be a useful relief piece in 2027. Now, relievers are fungible, as we all know, but over 24 career relief appearances (52 innings) Civale has a 2.52 ERA and 1.019 WHIP and 51 strikeouts and only 13 walks.

Keep that up and that’s a really good setup type guy.

If I were the Cubs I’d offer him a one-year deal at $4 million with a $6 million team option for 2028 and a $1 million buyout, to be a bullpen piece.

Who says no?

2026 Phillies report card: Steward Berroa

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - JUNE 5: Steward Berroa #39 of the Philadelphia Phillies during a game against the Chicago White Sox at Citizens Bank Park on June 5, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Phillies won 8-6. (Photo by Hunter Martin/Getty Images) | Getty Images

A fact that may interest you about Steward Berroa: His name is Steward, not Stewart as most people probably assumed when they heard it for the first time. (I tried to find a way to work in a Denethor joke.) Sadly, there wasn’t all that much else interesting about Berroa or his contributions to the 2026 Phillies.

This was his third major league season, spending the previous two with the Blue Jays and Brewers. The Phillies purchased him from Milwaukee in early June and stashed him in AAA for most of the year. He was called up at the end of May and appeared in six games before returning to the minors for the remainder of the season.

Oh, he also pitched a game for Lehigh Valley, so that’s slightly interesting!

The stats: 6 games, .143/.143/.143, 0 HR, 0 RBI, -0.1 WAR

What went right

He got an RBI single in his Phillies debut, but that was about it as far as major league accomplishments go.

In the minors, he had a good on-base percentage (.363) along with 15 stolen bases.

He also had a child in June, so good for him!

What went wrong

He only batted .251 with five home runs in 242 plate appearances with Lehigh Valley.

The future

He’s a switch hitter with good speed and defensive ability, so it might be worth keeping him around as a “Quad-A” outfielder next season. Maybe he’ll be a late bloomer, but it doesn’t seem like he’ll ever hit well enough to stick for long on a major league roster.

Grade: D

He had an RBI and he wasn’t the worst reserve outfielder the Phillies trotted out there this season, but that was a low bar to clear.

How to watch Rays vs. Brewers Game 4 of 2026 MLB World Series: TV channel/streaming info, schedule, preview

It's been all Brewers so far in this year's World Series, with Milwaukee up 3-0 over the Tampa Bay Rays as it looks to finish the four-game sweep tonight in St. Petersburg. After tallying 10 runs in Game 3, the Brew Crew have outscored the Rays 18-7 through three games.

Ahead of Game 4, get everything you need to know below, including TV/streaming information, the full World Series schedule and more.

How to watch Rays vs. Brewers 2026 World Series Game 4

  • When: Tuesday, Oct. 27
  • Where: Tropicana Field - St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • TV: FOX, FOX Deportes
  • Streaming: FOX One

Rays vs. Brewers 2026 World Series schedule and results

  • Game 1: Brewers 3, Rays 2 | Recap
  • Game 2: Brewers 5, Rays 4 | Recap
  • Game 3: Brewers 10, Rays 1 | Recap
  • Game 4: Tuesday, Oct. 27 - 8:00 p.m. ET - at Rays
  • *Game 5: Wednesday, Oct. 28 - 8:00 p.m. ET - at Rays
  • *Game 6: Friday, Oct. 30 - 8:00 p.m. ET - at Brewers
  • *Game 7: Saturday, Oct. 31 - 8:00 p.m. ET - at Brewers

* = if necessary

Rays vs. Brewers Game 4 2026 World Series projected lineups

Game 4 lineups are TBD.

Rays vs. Brewers Game 4 2026 MLB World Series probable pitchers

Brewers: TBD

Rays: Griffin Jax

Rays vs. Brewers Game 4 2026 World Series betting odds

Milwaukee Brewers: -125

Tampa Bay Rays: +104

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook

Have the Milwaukee Brewers ever won a World Series?

The Brewers have never won a World Series, having lost their only prior appearance in 1982 (defeated by the St. Louis Cardinals in seven games).

Have the Tampa Bay Rays ever won a World Series?

The Rays are 0-2 across their two World Series appearances, with losses to the Dodgers in 2020 (4-2) and Phillies in 2008 (4-1).

How many games are in the World Series?

The World Series is a best-of-seven series. The first team to win four games wins the series.

Astros Farm System: Top Pitching Performers of 2026

NORTH LITTLE ROCK, AR - APRIL 22: Bryce Mayer #6 of the Corpus Christi Hooks pitches during the game between the Corpus Christi Hooks and the Arkansas Travelers at Dickey-Stephens Park on Wednesday, April 22, 2026 in North Little Rock, Arkansas. (Photo by Braeden Botts/Minor League Baseball via Getty Images)

The 2026 season had some big time performances and breakout prospects. I narrowed down the top four offensive performers in the Astros system for the 2026 season and put them on a list below. Check them out!

Bryce Mayer

Mayer, the Astros Minor League Pitcher of the Year in both 2025 and 2026, put together an even better season in 2026. The right-hander started a bit slow but quickly turned things around, posting a 2.61 ERA with 100 strikeouts over 69 innings in Double-A. Mayer earned a promotion to Triple-A, where he posted a 5.45 ERA but still showed his ability to miss bats, striking out 40 over 33 innings. He finished the season with a system-leading 140 strikeouts, further establishing himself as one of the top pitching prospects in the Astros system. Read more here.

2026 Stats: 24 G, 3.53 ERA, 102.0 IP, 73 H, 40 ER, 51 BB, 140 K, 12.4 K/9

Jagger Beck

Beck was signed as an undrafted free agent following the 2024 draft. The 19-year-old had a breakout season for the Woodpeckers. In pitched in 22 games and posted a 2.80 ERA with 102 strikeouts over 86.2 innings. He also pitched once in the post-season allowing 1 run over 4.2 innings. Beck went from a potential afterthought to a top 20 prospect in the system with a dominant performance in 2026. Read more here.

2026 Stats: 22 G, 2.80 ERA, 86.2 IP, 68 H, 27 ER, 39 BB, 102 K, 10.6 K/9

Jackson Nezuh

After a breakout 2024 season, Nezuh struggled some in 2025 but he re found his form in 2026. The rtight-hander started the season in Double-A and had a 3.97 ERA with 80 strikeouts in 65.2 innings. He was promoted to Triple-A where he was even better posting. 3.58 ERA with 44 K over 37.2 innings. He totaled 124 strikeouts over 103.1 innings and put himself in contention for a big league spot next season. More on him here.

2026 Stats: 26 G, 3.83 ERA, 103.1 IP, 84 H, 44 ER, 50 BB, 124 K, 10.8 K/9

Cole Hertzler

Hertzler dealt with a few injuries early in his career but finally had a healthy season and was able to show what he could do on the mound. The right-hander started in Asheville dominating with a 2.72 ERA over 10 starts. He was promoted to Double-A where he posted a 4.20 ERA over the final 40.2 innings of his season. He was nearly unhittable this season holding opponents to just a .183 BAA.

2026 Stats: 22 G, 3.44 ERA, 83.2 IP, 53 H, 32 ER, 46 BB, 103 K, 11.1 K/9

Javier Perez

Perez had a mini breakout in 2025 but had a really strong season in 2026. The right-hander started in Fayetteville and had a 4.23 ERA with 103 strikeouts over 89.1 innings. He was promoted to Asheville where he posted a strong 4.35 ERA, in a hitter’s paradise, with 29 K over 20.2 innings. He finished the year third in innings pitched and second in strikeouts in the Astros system.

2026 Stats: 23 G, 4.25 ERA, 110.0 IP, 93 H, 52 ER, 26 BB, 132 K, 10.8 K/9

Nick Potter

Potter was a fifth-round pick by the Astros in 2025, and while he worked as a closer in college, Houston transitioned him into a starting role as a professional. The right-hander opened the season with Single-A Fayetteville and pitched extremely well, posting a 2.11 ERA with 70 strikeouts over 59.2 innings. He earned a promotion to High-A Asheville, where the results were a little more uneven with a 6.75 ERA, though he still struck out 16 batters over 9.1 innings. Read more here.

2026 Stats: 22 G, 2.74 ERA, 69.0 IP, 48 H, 21 ER, 36 BB, 86 K, 11.2 K/9

Alex Santos II

Santos was drafted by the Astros in the second round of the 2020 draft and has taken a long road through the system, spending multiple seasons in rookie ball before eventually reaching Double-A. After moving to the bullpen this season, Santos has posted a 2.91 ERA with 100 strikeouts over 65.0 innings. He finished the season on a tear posting a 1.09 ERA with 65 strikeouts over 41.1 innings including a 0.77 ERA over 11.2 innings in Triple-A. He probably did enough to earn a good look next Spring Training. Read more here.

2026 Stats: 49 G, 2.91 ERA, 65.0 IP, 48 H, 21 ER, 39 BB, 100 K, 13.8 K/9

Elephant Rumblings: A’s Max Muncy Undergoes Knee Surgery

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 29: Max Muncy #3 of the Athletics takes a lead off first base in the third inning during a game against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Sutter Health Park on June 29, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Brandon Sloter/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning A’s fans!

We got our first bit of after-season Athletics news yesterday morning. Infielder Max Muncy has undergone surgery on his left knee, but he should be ready for Spring Training:

If we’re being exact, it was a debridement to fix some damaged cartilage in that knee, which usually comes with a 6-8 week recovery timeline. It’s a relatively small surgery so Muncy should have plenty of time to rehab and get ready for next season.

The former 1st-round pick hasn’t quite figured it out in the big leagues yet. He made his major league debut in mid-2025 but struggled on both sides of the ball in his first taste. Not the best rookie debut but considering he was just 22 in his first year and getting sporadic playing time there was plenty of reason to believe he just needed more at bats in his second season.

That’s what he got in 2026. After a strong spring training won him the starting third base job, Muncy failed to deliver for the second consecutive year. Injuries and ineffectiveness were the calling cards for the right-handed hitter. Overall he hit .230/.296/.387 with nine home runs. A bit better than the previous year but still not great. Add in the hugely negative reviews he got on defense and he was worth -1.2 WAR in 2026. Not what the A’s were hoping for from a former high draft pick.

Entering next year, the pressure is going to increase for the now-24-year-old. Muncy has crushed Triple-A pitching but needs to figure out how to adjust to major leaguers. Even if Muncy does make the improvements needed in the batter’s box, he’ll also need to work on his defense. He was one of the worst defensive third basemen in the league last year so it’s unlikely the A’s are going to try that experiment again unless he arrives in February a different person in the field.

He got some very brief outfield work in the corners last year but the A’s will presumably have everyday players at those spots, and there’s just better backup options for those positions before Muncy anyway. There doesn’t really seem to be an obvious clear role for him on next year’s team if the A’s are trying to improve.

He’s entering his final option year so this coming season could be the final chance he gets with this organization. Hopefully the injury he suffered early in the year just threw him off for the whole season, and he can come back and start living up to his draft pedigree next year. The A’s could use a boost like that.

Meanwhile the World Series continues tonight as the Brewers are just one win away from hoisting the Commissioner’s Trophy. By the looks of things this series is all but sewn up. Even if they weren’t up 3-0, the Brewers just look like the better team. The only question now is will the Brew Crew end it tonight, tomorrow, or in Game 6 in front of their home fans back in Milwaukee?

And remember, with the end of the World Series comes the beginning of the offseason. Luis Severino will have five days to decide on his club option for next year while the A’s have to decide whether to bring Jeff McNeil and Jeffrey Springs back on expensive contracts. McNeil and Springs are seemingly easy calls to reject, and for a while it seemed Severino would obviously accept his option. But there’s word going around that he may decline it simply because he hates Sutter Health Park that much. He’s not getting any younger and this team still could be a year or two away from contention. We’ll be finding out the answers soon enough.

First pitch is at 5:00 PST. Until then! Have a good Tuesday everyone.

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Still think he should have gotten some recognition for ROTY…

If I had to guess, it ends today:

Arizona Diamondbacks News 10/27: One Big Inning, One Big Series Lead

ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 26: Garrett Mitchell #5 of the Milwaukee Brewers celebrates with Brice Turang #2, William Contreras #24, and David Hamilton #6 of the Milwaukee Brewers celebrate after scoring a run during the fifth inning against the Tampa Bay Rays in game three of the 2026 World Series at Tropicana Field on October 26, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Diamondbacks News

Gabriel Moreno wins award for best Venezuelan player in MLB this season by Alex Weiner [Arizona Sports]

Arizona Diamondbacks catcher Gabriel Moreno was named the 2026 recipient of the Luis Aparicio Award, given out annually to the best Venezuelan player in Major League Baseball. 

The award is voted on by sports journalists in Venezuela, and Moreno received 65 out of 100 first-place votes. Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Jesus Luzardo came in second, and D-backs pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez finished third.

“It is an honor to receive this award,” Moreno said in a press release. “Luis Aparicio is our legend, the first Hall of Famer we Venezuelans have in Cooperstown, and he means a lot to us.”

These D-backs have their eyes out for awards come November by Steve Gilbert [DBacks.com]

ALL-MLB TEAM
The Diamondbacks have six finalists for the All-MLB Team, including Moreno (catcher), Carroll (outfield), Perdomo (shortstop), Ketel Marte (second base), Nolan Arenado (third base) and Eduardo Rodriguez (starting pitcher).

Of that group, the only ones who have been named to the All-MLB Team as Diamondbacks in the past are Carroll (2023) and Marte (’24, ’25). 

Carroll was named as second team All-MLB in 2025. 

Of all the candidates, Moreno seems to have the strongest case, as he finished second in OPS (.906) among MLB backstops with at least 400 plate appearances as a catcher, while finishing first among big league catchers with 6.7 bWAR. 

The All-MLB Team, which was established in 2019, will be announced Nov. 11 during the fourth annual MLB Awards from The Chelsea at The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas. 

Why Brandon Pfaadt’s 2027 Could Be His Most Important Season Yet by Alex D’Agostino [SI]

2026 is the first time Pfaadt has extended his positive contributions into a lengthy stretch of dominance. His shift away from a strikeout-focused approach fell in line with Arizona’s overall pitching output, and it led to more sustainable success.

But now, Pfaadt is an important cog in a concerningly depth-lacking rotation. Eduardo Rodriguez’s ace-like 2026 season could regress. Nelson is a question mark due to health and underperformance in 2026. Merrill Kelly struggled in 2026 and Corbin Burnes looked brutal in his three post-injury appearances.

Kohl Drake, Mitch Bratt and Jose Cabrera all struggled in their debut seasons. There aren’t many arms in the system worthy of stepping into a major league role if needed.

Around the League

With historic romp, unrelenting Crew just 1 win from 1st World Series title by Anthony Castrovince [MLB]

When the World Series shifted to St. Pete for Game 3 on Monday night, the Rays had faith that they had been beaten but not creamed in the Cream City, had belief that Freddy Peralta could shut down his old squad, had hope that they were one win away from reshaping the narrative of this Fall Classic.

Then came the eight-spot in a fifth inning that Peralta could not finish. Not just any eight-run outburst, but one that came entirely with two out.

The big inning that cemented the Brewers’ epic 10-1 victory and the one hit allowed in six scoreless innings from Milwaukee starter Robert Gasser made for the most extreme encapsulation yet of the way this team has demoralized opponents and made the postseason its personal playground on the increasingly likely path to a franchise-first title. Every Brewers starter reached base, eight of the nine drove in a run, and Jackson Chourio had four hits – one shy of tying the World Series single-game record – by the end of the fifth inning.

MLB tests out restricted OF shifts in effort to up offense [ESPN]

The Arizona Fall League has long been a testing ground for the next generation of MLB players, and lately, it’s also been a venue for testing potential rules changes.

This year, Major League Baseball’s newest experiment is to restrict the positioning of outfielders on every at-bat.

The goal is to boost the game’s sluggish offense by making outfielders play straight up — instead of adjusting for individual hitters’ tendencies — which will in theory lead to more doubles and triples.

The outfield positioning experiment is limited to just games that are played at Salt River Fields, since it has similar technology to MLB parks.

Arizona Fall League Midseason Check-In by Eric Longenhagen [FanGraphs]

The Best of the New Names

Joey Dixon, RHP, Houston Astros
Sam Horn, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
Maddox Long, RHP, Detroit Tigers
Joe Ariola, LHP, Arizona Diamondbacks

Dixon missed multiple years recovering from Tommy John surgery and then most of 2026 dealing with a shoulder issue, and even when he pitched he wasn’t 100%. His velo is back and I’ve seen him parked at 94-97 while flashing bat-missing sliders and changeups. He’s smaller than most starters and his injury history points to the bullpen, but potentially as a multi-inning, platoon-neutral weapon. He’s getting added to The Board with a 40+ FV, the grade of a good bullpen’s third- or fourth-best guy. Sam Horn was a college quarterback at Missouri who missed time because of an elbow surgery and a fractured tibia. He rehabbed throughout 2026 and was active during Bridge League/Instructs, but I didn’t see him then because on the one day I knew he’d be pitching, Jackson Flora was making his uniformed debut for the Giants. In the AFL, Horn has been 93-96 with a plus slider and changeup. It’s a great starting point for someone who hasn’t pitched consistently since high school.

Long and Ariola look like standard middle relievers who could be ready fast. Long was at three different colleges across five seasons, then Indy ball. He’s 6-foot-5, 290 pounds, has a really loose delivery, a heavy low-90s sinker, and a plus slider that he commands with uncommon consistency. Ariola has a riding 93-94 mph fastball and hammer curveball, pretty standard lefty fare in the Caleb Thielbar mold.

Did Anyone Win The Caleb Durbin Trade? by Charlie Wright [MLB Trade Rumors]

The deal that sent infielder Caleb Durbin from the Brewers to the Red Sox seemed like a disaster for two months. By the end of the year, it looked like a season-saving maneuver.

Boston and Milwaukee executed the six-player swap in early February. Durbin joined the Red Sox after the club came up short in an attempt to replace third baseman Alex Bregman in free agency. Fellow infielders Andruw Monasterio and Anthony Seigler, plus a draft pick, also came over in the deal. The Brewers received infielder David Hamilton and lefties Kyle Harrison and Shane Drohan.



Ronny Mauricio has terrible luck AND terrible timing

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 26: Ronny Mauricio #0 of the New York Mets rounds the bases after hitting a home run during a baseball game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on September 26, 2026 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

This was not the year for Ronny Mauricio (again). In 2026, he once again was up and down and only showed flashes of potential during his time at the plate. His offense was usually lackluster, and his defense often reminded you of the players you were missing.

Mauricio was first recalled from Triple-A on April 6, when Juan Soto went on the Injured List. He was optioned to Triple-A on April 13. He was recalled from Triple-A on April 23, when Francisco Lindor found himself on the IL for two months. It should have been an opportunity for Mauricio to prove himself, but on May 3, he fractured his left thumb sliding into first base and landed on the IL himself.

After completing his rehab assignment on June 24, he was optioned to Triple-A. He was recalled the next day when Marcus Semien was placed on the IL. On July 7, he was optioned to Triple-A, where he remained until September 18. Mauricio was recalled for the final time when Jared Young was placed on the 7-day concussion IL. In 2026, he played in 25 games and had 62 plate appearances. He hit .220/.258/.441 with a wRC+ of 91 and fWAR of -0.2.

There were some nice moments in Mauricio’s cameos this season. In April, he had his first walk-off hit, in extra innings, no less. At the beginning of May, he bludgeoned a 421-foot go-ahead home run that sealed the Mets’ win against the Angels. When he returned in September, he looked like a different hitter: more patient, better plate discipline. During his last seven games, he hit .294/.400/.824. He capped it off with three homers in his last two games. The totality just wasn’t quite enough, especially given the timing of his turnaround.

This Week in the Minors: Omaha Storm Chasers season in review

COLUMBUS, OHIO - JUNE 04, 2026: Connor Kaiser #16 of the Omaha Storm Chasers hits a single during the sixth inning against the Columbus Clippers at Huntington Park on June 04, 2026 in Columbus, Ohio. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

The Kansas City Royals Triple-A affiliate, the Omaha Storm Chasers finished the year with a record of 65-81. It was a balanced season of sorts for the team, as they finished both halves of the season 8 games under .500. However, which players were able to produce a good season?

The good from the position players:

Brett Squires was someone that most Royals fans probably hadn’t heard of before the season started. Then, the 26-year-old first baseman just kept hitting. Squires was an undrafted guy that the Royals signed. He has slowly worked his way through the system. He was very good in Quad Cities in 2024 and had a middling year in Northwest Arkansas in 2025. But 2026 was all good for Squires. Between 32 games in Double-A and 100 games in Omaha, Squires slashed .277/.351/.549. He smacked 34 doubles, 3 triples and 31 homers, driving in 103 runs. He walked 56 times, striking out 141. He mainly played 1st base, with a little bit of left field sprinkled in. I would love to see him get a chance in Kansas City next season.

Carson Roccaforte had a phenomenal season. The 24-year-old centerfielder, who the Royals took as a Comp B pick in 2023, out of Louisiana-Lafayette looked the part. It’s been somewhat of a slow grind to get to Omaha, but Roc finally did. This season, he played 110 games in Double-A and the final 28 in Omaha. Between the two stops, Roc slashed .257/.338/.519. He hit 26 doubles, 5 triples and 35 homers, while driving in 96 runs. He stole 32 bases. The issue with Roc is he struck out 181 times. The primary centerfielder is unbelievable defensively as well. As much as I’d like him to be the Opening Day centerfielder next season, I think he starts in Omaha for the first month or two. Not because he’s not worthy, but because the Royals probably want him to get more time in Triple-A first.

Jack Pineda is a late bloomer type of guy. The 27-year-old infielder put together a good season. The Royals took Pineda in the 12th round in 2022 out of Baylor. Between Double-A and Triple-A, Pineda slashed .351/.413/.530 in 81 games. He hit 20 doubles, 3 triples and 9 homers. He walked 23 times, striking out 46. He stole 18 bases. Defensively, he played shortstop, third and second base, all very well.

Peyton Wilson had a nice season, slashing .276/.358/.433 in 94 games this season. He hit 29 doubles and 8 homers, walking 41 times, stealing 17 bases. Wilson is a 26-year-old infielder, who the Royals took as a Comp B pick in 2021 out of Alabama. Defensively, he played second, third and left, very solid infield numbers.

Gavin Cross got off to a rough start, but finished nicely, finishing the season with a .247/.306/.434 slash line. He hit 20 doubles, 5 triples and 17 homers. He stole 25 bases, walked 32 times and struck out 149 times. The Royals took Cross 9th overall in 2022 out of Virginia Tech, he is now 25 years old. He can play all three outfield spots well.

The good from the pitching staff:

If I am going to be completely honest with you, the Omaha Storm Chasers pitching staff is somewhat bleak. Mainly because it was a lot of older guys, some of them might be considered “washed”. So, this list isn’t that long. Most of the guys aren’t even with the team anymore or won’t be next season. They aren’t pieces for the future.

Ryan Ramsey is a 25-year-old lefty, who the Royals drafted in the 13th round in 2022 out of Maryland. He has grinded his way through the organization and finally got his first full year in Omaha. Ramsey made 28 appearances and 21 starts, throwing 115.2 innings. He walked 65, striking out 110. Opponents hit .275 off him. It wasn’t the most encouraging season, but a guy that could be in Kansas City next year.

Henry Williams is a 25-year-old right hander, who the Royals got from the Padres in the Scott Barlow trade. Williams made 28 appearances, 26 starts this season. Between Double and Triple-A, Williams threw 132 innings, striking out 120 hitters, walking 63. Opponents hit .277 off him. I think he could also get a shot in Kansas City next season.

Ethan Bosacker is another 25-year-old right hander. The Royals took him in the 13th round in 2023 out of Xavier. Between Double and Triple-A, Bosacker threw 62.2 innings. He struck out 48 hitters, walking 34, with opponents hitting .254 off him. This could be a bullpen option next season.

The final one who could be a Royal next season came over late in a trade. Lucas Braun is a 25-year-old right hander. He came over from Atlanta in the Lane Thomas and Bailey Falter trade. In his 8 starts with Omaha, Braun threw 37.2 innings, striking out 38 batters, while walking 13. Opponents hit .282 off him. He provides starting depth for the Royals next season.

Next year will be an interesting year for the Royals Triple-A affiliate. I hope they can get some more youth in there, especially pitching wise. Thank you for following along all year with Royals minor league coverage!

Arizona Fall League: Eduardo Quintero shines on the basepaths

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - OCTOBER 13: Eduardo Quintero #16 of the Los Angeles Dodgers jogs to the dugout during a game between the Salt River Rafters and the Glendale Desert Dogs at Camelback Ranch on October 13, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Brandon Sloter/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Out of the 10 Dodgers currently on the Desert Dogs roster, seven made an appearance in what was a 25-run thriller as Mesa defeated Glendale 13-12. The visiting Solar Sox overcame what was at one point a six-run deficit, handing the Desert Dogs their 13th loss in 18 games.

Three of the first four pitchers for Glendale were members of the Dodgers organization, including starter Brooks Auger, who was pulled an out shy of finishing the third inning, having allowed three earned runs—all of them in the opening frame. Mesa scored 13 runs with just a single home run, one that came in the first inning with a runner on base, as Antonio Anderson took Auger deep.

Dodgers’ Sam Horn and Cody Morse each pitched in with a clean inning, striking out two—it wasn’t until Samuel Carpio of the Marlins came on in the sixth that the wheels came off with an eight-run rally for the visiting side, losing this one despite out-hitting their opponent 16-to-9.

Productive one through nine offensively, the Desert Dogs saw eight of their nine starting hitters reach base multiple times, including all four Dodgers. Charles Davalan and Chase Harlan each secured two hits in six at-bats and drove in a run, while Eduardo Quintero walked twice and singled once in five opportunities up at the plate. Reaching base so often, Quintero made the most of it, responsible for three of Glendale’s six stolen bases in seven attempts. Lastly, down in the ninth spot, Anson Aroz had an RBI, going 1 for 4 with a walk.

Monday score

Mesa 13, Glendale 12

Tuesday schedule

The Glendale Desert Dogs look for their sixth win as they welcome the Mesa Solar Sox for an afternoon matchup, with first pitch scheduled for 1:30 p.m.(PT).

Mariners News: Robert Gasser, Francisco Lindor, and Daniel Vogelbach

ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 26: Robert Gasser #54 of the Milwaukee Brewers throws a pitch during the first inning against the Tampa Bay Rays in game three of the 2026 World Series at Tropicana Field on October 26, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning! The Milwaukee Brewers took a commanding 3-0 World Series lead over the Tampa Bay Rays last night with a dominant 10-1 win. What are your predictions for Game 4? Will the Brewers sweep, or will the Rays get one back at home?

MLB Postseason scores…

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

Player review: Patrick Bailey

May 1, 2026; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; San Francisco Giants catcher Patrick Bailey (14) reacts to a strike during the third inning against Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Pablo Robles-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

2026 stats:.146/ .213/ .183, 15 wRC+, -0.1 fWAR over 30 G, 89 PA w/ Giants

In game 4 of the division series against the White Sox, the Guardians turned a 2-0 deficit into a 9-4 lead, helping them claim the series in a winner-take-all game 5. You’d be forgiven if you did a double-take watching that game as a distantly familiar face launched a pinch-hit solo homer then later delivered a tie-breaking RBI single that sparked a game-defining rally.

Hey…wasn’t that the guy who was the worst offensive player in the league when he was on the Giants?

Yeah — that was Patrick Bailey. Same dude who played just 30 games for San Francisco before being traded on May 9th to the Guardians. The move surprised many. It was aggressive. It wasn’t universally panned either. The catcher was a man of extremes: a number-one glove and dead-last bat. His 89 plate appearances through April were excruciating to watch. He hit .146 with a .183 slugging percentage. A .396 OPS. A 15 wRC+. He had somehow accrued a -11 batting run value in a month. Those numbers are bad, and somehow they still don’t really do justice to how bad he was. Watching his at-bats was the sensory equivalent of  blowing hot air into your eyeballs with a hair dryer. Trying to hit a baseball was a desperate, feckless act for Bailey, like an accountant, recently stranded on a desert island, rubbing two pencils together to start a fire. He’d leave the batter’s box as cold as it was when he arrived. 

Was he really that bad? I mean I’m having fun tooting the hyperbole horn, but that 15 wRC+ ain’t a lie. Perhaps the better question is was he going to stay that bad? No he wasn’t, and no, he didn’t. Looking at the batted-ball metrics and expected stats, it was pretty clear Bailey wasn’t getting a fair shake (his BABIP with the Giants was .186). Things evened-out in Cleveland. Bailey batted .228 for the rest of the year as a Guardian with a .292 OBP (256 PA) and a respectable .390 slugging percentage — 30 points higher than his previous career best mark he posted as a rookie in 2023. His 90 wRC+, while still below average, is good for the highest of his young career. Over 33 at-bats in the postseason, Bailey slashed .273/ .333/ .455 with two homers and four runs batted-in — one less rib-eye than he had as a Giant. 

Sift around in the muck and the mire of early 2026, and it’s pretty easy to track the logic of the trade. Everyone else was doing bad, and Bailey was the worst of the bunch. The catcher’s plate-appearances were a black hole that Buster Posey and pretty much everyone else was tired of getting sucked into. Something needed to be done, and Bailey gave Buster a decent-sized head to roll without causing mass clubhouse panic. It served as a hopeful wake-up call without looking completely rash or reactionary in the moment. While the move sacrificed defense, it was defensible. Back-up catcher Daniel Susac was off to a hot start, and Posey wanted to find ways to get players like Jesus Rodriguez and Eric Haase more at-bats. Bailey was relatively young, under team control, and had some serious value as a two-time Gold Glove winner. This was a person with elite skills in a particular area who knew how to shepherd a flock of pitchers over the hills and through the valleys of an at-bat, an inning, a game, and a season. While the institution of the ABS system limited some of his stand-out talents as a pitch-framer, there was still some room for the artistry with selling balls-and-strikes.

Bailey had value, and Posey turned him into a draft pick, a pitching prospect with a Major League nickname (who would end the year allowing just one earned run over 8 innings against LA, as well as a Shohei strikeout), and an immediate (though not sustained) offensive boost from catching reinforcements. Three days after Bailey’s trade, Eric Haase homered twice off Yoshinobu Yamamoto — a shellacking that heralded Yamamoto’s meltdown against Milwaukee in the National League pennant. You could see the shadows of past demons passing across his glazed over eyes in that 3rd inning. Brice Turang, Jake Bauers, and Christian Yelich were just descendents of one man: Haase. 

Posey and Tony Vitello replaced Bailey with an aggregate of five names. Daniel Susac boasted the most staying power. He’s 6’ 4’’ with a cannon for an arm, but after a hot start, Susac produced nominally better (94 wRC+) at the plate than Bailey did for Cleveland and was limited by injuries to his elbow and back before being shut down by a season-ending knee cap fracture in early August. 

Trading Bailey sacrificed clarity. Plans A, B, and C had to be scrapped due to injuries. The position became a Guess Who? Game. Andrew Knizner? Sounds familiar…  Drew Cavanaugh, who started the year in Double-A Richmond, Virginia, ended up making the most appearances at catcher for San Francisco. Offensively, he ended up ranking about the same as Bailey. Defensively, he was nowhere close.

It’s hard to argue that the Giants “won” the trade based on how the year panned out. Bailey found level at the plate. He moved out, moved on, and served up postseason dramatics for Guardian fans while the Giants’ cohort watched from their couches wringing their hands about a move made in May.

Yankees 2026 Roster Report Cards: Amed Rosario

NEW YORK, NY - SEPTEMBER 29: Amed Rosario #14 of the New York Yankees takes the field prior to Game One of the American League Wild Card Series presented by AbbVie between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Before the 2026 season, the Yankees re-signed utilityman Amed Rosario to a one-year, $2.5 million contract. Long rumored to be a trade target for the Bombers, Rosario spent the latter half of 2025 with the team after being acquired from the Nationals at the Trade Deadline. The move was low-risk and really seemed like a fit that was too good to be true.

The organization brought Rosario back to balance the lineup against left-handed pitching, and he earned solid marks from PSA last year for doing just that. His ability to play multiple positions also made him a useful bench piece, allowing him to slide around the infield and outfield as needed. Still, I think we all know the vision was for him to serve as the other half of a platoon at third base alongside Ryan McMahon. To say that dream fell short would be an understatement.

Grade: F

2026 Stats: 87 G, 244 PA, 10 HR, 28 R, 34 RBI, 3 SB, .238/.279/.405, 88 wRC+, -0.2 fWAR, -0.2 bWAR

2027 Contract Status: Free agent

After participating in the World Baseball Classic for the Dominican Republic, Rosario got off to a strong start to the season. During April and May, he looked much like the player he had been for most of his career, batting around .270 and occasionally getting a hold of a pitch or two. His bat and versatility were useful as he moved around the infield, plugging holes as they arose due to injury. However, his production plummeted after he returned from the paternity list in early June.

In June and July, Rosario slashed .195/.241/.366. His strikeout rate climbed to 34.5 percent over that stretch, and it felt like he was swinging at flies in every at-bat. By this point, it was also becoming apparent that Rosario wasn’t hitting lefties remotely as well as he was righties, making the daily chess match that much harder.

Over the last third of the season, Rosario’s numbers settled in the middle of his previous two segments as he batted .258 in August and .231 in September. In another strange twist, after hitting a big blast at the end of July, Rosario’s power dried up, and he failed to hit another home run in either month. In a lot of ways, Rosario’s season was a microcosm of the Yankees’ year. What looked like a low-risk move that was too good to be true got off to a promising start before ultimately falling short of expectations in ways that were almost impressive.

Rosario made the Wild Card roster and went 0-for-1 with a strikeout and a walk in his lone postseason appearance against Boston. He was then left off the ALDS roster against the Rays as the coaching staff opted to carry another pitcher in his place. I assume Rosario’s baseball future will be somewhere other than the Bronx next season after his year and a half run with the Yankees.

Defensively, Rosario’s versatility was somewhat useful with the injuries the club faced, but the results were ugly as his Outs Above Average came in at -9. He appeared in 55 games at third base, seven at second base and designated hitter, five games in right field, and four in left field. Rosario’s defensive numbers at the infield spots were as rough as the eye test, as he posted a .911 fielding percentage at third and .882 at second. He was perfect in the limited action in both outfield spots, but overall he wasn’t a very reliable defender at any position making his versatility less valuable.

Rosario’s biggest highlight came on July 31, when he launched a 450-foot home run against the Cubs at Wrigley Field. It was the second-longest home run hit by a Yankee all season. Another noteworthy performance came in April against the Athletics, when Rosario hit two home runs, including the go-ahead three-run blast in the bottom of the eighth inning off former Yankee reliever Mark Leiter Jr.

In 2026, Rosario, the man meant to mash lefties, ended the season batting .208 against southpaws, well below his .287 career average. His .606 OPS against left-handed pitching was a far cry from what the Yankees needed. The splits against righties made the situation even more head-scratching: he hit .295 with an .833 OPS, compared to a .265 career average against right-handers.

The final Statcast numbers showed a 39.3-percent hard-hit rate and an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph. His average bat speed reached 74.0 mph, a career high, and he set a new career high with a 112.1 mph exit velocity. Additionally, Rosario might have suffered from some poor luck, as his expected batting average (xBA) was .250, 12 points higher than his actual average.

Rosario finished the season with negative WAR, posting a -0.2 mark. When you literally have one job and you fail to do it, a failing grade is fair and is what the group consensus here at PSA concluded. I personally gave Rosario a D- due to the fact he hit righties well this year, if nothing else. What grade would you place on his report card? 


See more of the Yankees Roster Report Card series here.

What 2026 baseball thing were you hopelessly wrong about?

ATLANTA, GA - OCTOBER 07: Michael Harris II #23 of the Atlanta Braves hits a double during the eighth inning of Game Four of the Division Series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on October 7, 2026 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Jack Casey/Atlanta Braves/Getty Images) | Getty Images

A companion piece to yesterday’s, if you will. Some people already shared the reverse of what yesterday’s question was about, but we’ll do it in earnest now. And since Joel Payamps was my to-little-avail I told you so, I’ll share something I was (happily) wrong about.

The 2026 Braves June experience was pretty crazy. I looked it up, and no team in as far as I bothered looking (2001 or so) that ultimately made the playoffs had an aberrantly bad month like that. In other words, either having that bad of a month knocked the team out of the playoffs, or it was more normal than abnormal for that team, and as such it wasn’t going to make the playoffs anyway.

So, after June, and amid some rumblings from the team that I heard about a few weeks later, I figured that the Braves basically had met a fork in the road: either they improved their offense a lot post-June, or they’d collapse. To be more specific, I figured that the Braves had to be a top-ten offense by something from some specific stretch like July-on, the “second half,” etc., or else they’d fail to make the playoffs.

Well, that didn’t happen. They did make the playoffs.

  • From July 1-on, they were 20th in xwOBA and 18th in wOBA
  • From the All-Star Break on, they were 18th and 19th, respectively
  • From August 1-on, they were 26th and 21, respectively
  • From September 1-on, they were 19th and 21st, respectively

None of those are even close to top ten, and they’re all pretty much the same, too. This was not a good offense after June. And, yet, the Braves kept playing .580ish ball either way. Amazing.