2026 LSB Midseason Community Prospect Rankings — #11

SURPRISE, ARIZONA - MARCH 20, 2026: Dalton Pence #88 of the Texas Rangers throws a pitch during the third inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the Kansas City Royals at Surprise Stadium on March 20, 2026 in Surprise, Arizona. (Photo by David Durochik/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

Congratulations to Dalton Pence, who has been named the #10 prospect in the 2026 LSB Midseason Community Prospect Rankings, receiving a little under a quarter of the vote.

Our list so far:

1 — Sebastian Walcott

2 — Caden Scarborough

3 — Malcolm Moore

4 — A.J. Russell

5 — Yolfran Castillo

6 — Rafe Perich

7 — Dylan Dreiling

8 — Josh Owens

9 — Jose Corniell

10 — Dalton Pence

Moving on…

Because there has been a history of vote-spamming shenanigans in the rankings, I used Google Forms for the last several of community rankings, and it worked out well, so we will use it again. You will need to include your LSB user name when you vote. If you don’t have an LSB user name, you need to use some sort of identifier. While this won’t eliminate the possibility of vote spamming, it will make it harder.

So who is the #11 prospect in the Rangers system right now?

Cast your vote below…

What happened to Freddy Peralta this season?

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 11: Freddy Peralta #51 of the New York Mets pitches during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox at Citi Field on July 11, 2026 in the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Ishika Samant/Getty Images) | Getty Images

When the Mets traded for Freddy Peralta before the 2026 season, they sold the move to fans as a solution for the pitching collapse that had plagued them last year. The team would finally have an ace to bring it all together. With Peralta’s ERA at 4.66, FIP at 4.39, and WHIP at 1.44, that hasn’t been the case.

When Peralta first arrived at spring training, players weren’t the only Mets newcomers. Having overhauled their coaching staff, the Mets also had a new pitching coach in Justin Willard, and he had a very clear goal in mind for the entire pitching staff: throw the first pitch in the strike zone. His style was also very different from what Peralta had worked with in Brewers pitching coach Chris Hook. Where Hook has been described by his pitchers as more hands off, only stepping in once he thought it was needed, Willard has been described—in the same article as above—as “very direct” and almost militaristic in his programs. Both coaches describe a mentality of strong communication to relate to their pitchers, but with different outcomes in mind. Hook’s goal is to help the pitcher get to their individual goal, whereas Willard is trying to understand the pitcher’s mindset and hear their concerns, but his stated goal for them does not seem to change as a result of these conversations.

To emphasize, neither style is wrong, but they are different, and making a shift to a new organizational mentality and goal-setting methodology can require quite a bit of adjustment. Peralta spent his entire career before this season with one organization and its pitching coach’s philosophy. Stepping into a new system, under a new coach, with a pre-defined goal is a big change for a player to absorb mid-career. In addition, some of the mechanical differences that have been discussed all season started on Opening Day. His arm angle lowered meaningfully, his release point changed, and his pitch mix shifted, although he continues to rely on his fastball most of the time. His first-pitch strike rate in 2026 has dropped from 2025.

While the Mets organization has cited mechanical flaws for Peralta’s troubles, Peralta himself has stated in interviews that he feels physically fine and that his stuff is also fine. Looking at the Statcast information for each start in 2025 and 2026 tells its own story. While his arm angle has been drifting slightly downwards since late June 2025, it had dropped from averaging 36.67 degrees in his last start of 2025 to 33.14 degrees by Opening Day of this year. As a result, his average release height had also dropped from his last game of 2025, at 5.34 feet, to 5.23 feet on Opening Day 2026. Jay Jaffe of FanGraphs noted on June 23 that it could have actually helped Peralta’s fastball deceive hitters more, even as he struggled with his breaking pitches.

Peralta’s pitch mix might be the reason for his overall velocity decrease, but his pitch combinations are not doing him any favors. While he has incorporated more changeups, reduced his slider usage, and slightly increased the number of sweepers, he still throws his fastball the majority of the time (around 53%). His tunneling has not been as good as it was in 2025. The fastball-slider combination continues to work well for him, but the curveball, slider, and sweeper are increasingly ending up in similar locations, in the lower-middle part of the zone, more visible earlier out of his hand. They do not fool hitters like they once did. Despite all the changes, he has not made as many first-pitch strikes as he did in 2025. In 2025, his first-pitch strike rate was 63.3%. In 2026 so far, it is 59.7%. League-wide across pitchers, the average is 61.2%. 

After an incredibly rough start on June 20, Peralta started making some changes that are definitively his own. He started putting his hands over his head before throwing, a position he stated that he found more comfortable. He started calling some of his own pitches, incorporating more sweepers and sliders, according to Will Sammon at the Athletic. Beyond these changes, his average arm angle has started to increase again, from 31.57 degrees on June 20, to 34.61 degrees on July 1, to 37.55 degrees on July 11. His release height is moving with it. His fastball velocity is back up, from an average around 93.8 prior to his start on June 25, to about 95.1 MPH since June 25, higher even than in 2025. 

The results have been mixed so far, although some of it may be bad luck combined with some inept Mets defense. His command has not bounced back and actually has gotten worse. He has demonstrated visible frustration in games lately. While he still struggles to go deep into games, it’s really no different than last year, still averaging around 5.1 innings per start. However, he is mechanically starting to look more like Freddy Peralta of previous years, at least by the numbers. The Mets are pleased by what they see. It does call into question whether his stuff needed that much alteration to begin with, given such little return.

As the trade deadline approaches, it seems almost guaranteed that Peralta will be traded, barring a better outcome from a qualifying offer. That makes sense, as it seems like this has not been a good fit, whatever the underlying reason. Perhaps he will benefit more from an approach like the Brewers had, or from simply pursuing a different goal than the one Willard set for him. With that in mind, a more useful question for his next club might be not what’s wrong with Freddy Peralta, but rather, how can they help him succeed.

Phillies call up Alex McFarlane

Alex Mcfarlane of the Reading Fightin' Phils delivers a pitch during a Minor League Baseball game at TD Bank Ballpark in Bridgewater, United States, on July 11, 2026. (Photo by Dan Squicciarini/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Needing another arm for their beleaguered bullpen, the Phillies have recalled righthanded reliever Alex McFarlane to the majors.

McFarlane is on the older side for a rookie (25 years old) and has never pitched above the AA level (he was called up to the majors for one day in April but didn’t appear in a game), but there are reasons to be optimistic: He throws over 100 MPH and has performed well at Reading.

It seems like the Phillies will take advantage of the off day on Thursday to skip the problematic fifth starter spot the next time through their order. After that, if McFarlane looks better than the other relievers in the bullpen (not a high bar to clear), it’s possible that he may stick around.

Pirates vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's MLB Game

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The New York Yankees are -120 favorites against the Pittsburgh Pirates in tonight's series opener at Yankee Stadium. 

My Pirates vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks expect the road team to take advantage of Ryan Weathers and his struggles limiting power on Monday, July 20. 

Who will win Pirates vs Yankees today: Pirates (+100)

The Pittsburgh Pirates hammer baseballs. That’s what they’re built to do. 

They are tied for 10th in homers and slot third in hard-hit rate against lefties despite Esmerlyn Valdez being new to the scene. They were built in a lab to exploit Ryan Weathers, who sits in the 14th percentile in barrel rate and 29th in hard-hit rate. 

The New York Yankees have power but struggle with discipline, owning the fifth-highest K% vs. righties in July. Braxton Ashcraft’s 96th percentile chase rate should play well.

Pittsburgh shouldn’t be even money. Bet to -115.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Pirates have hit homers on 17.1% of their fly balls over the last month, ranking second in the majors.

Pirates vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 8 (+100)

Yankee Stadium is the third-most favorable park for home run hitters, and both of these teams possess the power to capitalize.

The Pirates rank second in OPS this month, and their power is unlikely to be hindered given the abundance of hard contact Weathers concedes.

While Ashcraft is more likely to hold up, he ranks in the 32nd percentile in hard-hit rate allowed. He’s not exactly immune to power, and the Yankees are tied for seventh in homers in July.

The long balls should help push this game Over. Bet to -115.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 60-48, +1.60 units
  • Over/Under bets: 59-44-5, +7.49 units

Pirates vs Yankees weather

Temperatures in the low 80s are expected. The warm weather should allow for balls to carry a little further in what is already a hitter-friendly ballpark.

Pirates vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Pittsburgh +100 | New York -120
  • Run line: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+165) | New York +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.0 (+100) | Under 8.0 (-120)

Pirates vs Yankees trend

Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 30 of the last 45 games (+14.95 units, 30% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Pirates vs. Yankees.

How to watch Pirates vs Yankees and game info

LocationYankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
DateMonday, July 20, 2026
First pitch7:05 p.m. ET
TVSNP, YES
Pirates starting pitcherBraxton Ashcraft
(9-3, 3.49 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcherRyan Weathers
(3-7, 4.15 ERA)

Pirates vs Yankees latest injuries

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Guardians News: So Many Baserunning Gaffes

CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - JUNE 23: Manager Stephen Vogt of the Cleveland Guardians looks on against the Chicago White Sox at Rate Field on June 23, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Daniel Bartel/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Guardians dropped the series finale in pathetic fashion to the Pittsburgh Pirates 7-1. I would estimate they made at least six obvious baserunning errors.

Stephen Vogt took responsibilty for this, placing the blame on the coaching staff:

Gabriel Arias was asked about his TOOTBLAN. He mumbled and so, apparently, his translator decided to do the same, because I can’t quite make out what either said. Maybe you can?

Things are especially dire for Kyle Manzardo right now. Overall, he has an 86 wRC+… which is bad enough. He has had one good month if we look deeper into things; from Opening Day to May 1st, he put up a 46 wRC+, from May 2nd to June 14th, he put up a 162 wRC+, and from June 16th to today, he has put up a 43 wRC+. Is that 162 wRC+ still in there? Or, is he more of this unplayable hitter? Are back issues having a big effect on his swing and his power disappearing? These are all questions to which we will never hear an answer, but the team desparately needs better production.

When Jose Ramirez returns… perhaps today… I will be very curious to see whom he replaces on the roster. I am ready for a Gabriel Arias DFA, but I think a Daniel Schneemann demotion is more likely. When Angel Martinez (who hit two doubles in Columbus yesterday) returns, I’d like to see him replace Petey Halpin and continue to allow Kahlil Watson try to work things out. But, either way on that is fine. I’d also like to see the team consider how best to promote Angel Genao. Is that to get him some outfield reps in Columbus? Is that to move Travis Bazzana to a more DH-only role while having him start to work on left field (Kwan to center) or even first base and getting Genao up to play second? I cannot tell you. But, I think Genao is starting to knock the door down.

Joe Ryan comes to town tonight for the Twins as the two teams begin a crucial four-game series! So, that’s fun. I’m sure the team that couldn’t hit Khristian Curtis will be able to hit Ryan.

AROUND MLB:
White Sox won, Twins and Tigers lost, and Red Sox won their 13th in a row.

Astros Prospect Report: July 19th

WEST PALM BEACH, FLORIDA - MARCH 19, 2026: James Hicks #21 of the Houston Astros throws a pitch during the second inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the Miami Marlins at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches on March 19, 2026 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images

Another day of minor league baseball is in the books. See the results below. Check out the previous day’s recap here.

AAA: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (47-48) lost 4-3 (BOX SCORE)

Pecko started for Sugar Land and went 4 innings allowing 2 runs while striking out 4. After Sugar Land fell behind 3-0, the offense rallied in the 7th scoring 3 runs on a Diaz solo home run, Biggio RBI triple and a Loperfido RBI single. The game was tied going into the 9th but El Paso walked it off as Sugar Land fell 4-3.

Note: Biggio has a .901 OPS this season.


AA: Corpus Christi Hooks (42-48) won 4-3 (BOX SCORE)

The Hooks got on the board in the first inning on an Austin groundout. They picked up another run in the 3rd on a double steal. In the 4th, Encarnacion connected on a 2 run single to extend the lead. Hicks got the start and was solid allowing 2 runs over 6 innings while striking out 7. The pen allowed a run late but was able to hold on as the Hooks won 4-3.

Note: Hicks has 73 K over 80.1 innings this season.


A+: Asheville Tourists (32-57won 6-3 (BOX SCORE)

Asheville got on the board in the 3rd inning on a Neyens RBI double. They got another run in the 4th inning on a wild pitch. Howard got the start and was solid tossing 4.2 scoreless innings with 3 strikeouts. The offense added 4 runs in the 7th inning on a Batista RBI single, a run on a wild pitch, a Frey RBI single and a Powell RBI double. Apker allowed a few runs in relief but the rest of the pen was solid as they closed out the 6-3 win.

Note: Huezo has 32 stolen bases this season.


A: Fayetteville Woodpeckers (44-44) lost 7-5 (BOX SCORE)

Smith started for the Woodpeckers but struggled allowing 4 runs over just one inning of work. Rosario allowed 2 runs and then Carrera pitched in relief but was solid allowing 1 run over 5 innings. The Woodpeckers rallied in the 9th scoring on a Vasquez RBI double, Wakefield RBI single, Ramirez RBI double and Alvarez 2 run double. Unfortunately the comeback fell short as the Woodpeckers fell 7-5.

Note: Alvarez has 21 doubles this season.


Today’s minor league starters:

SL: OFF

CC: OFF

AV: OFF

FV: OFF

The experiment is over, a change needs to be made

San Diego Padres manager Craig Stammen (Photo by Reed Hoffmann/Getty Images) | Getty Images

It is no secret that Craig Stammen has suffered through a rough first season as San Diego Padres manager. Yes, some of the obstacles associated with the job were expected. 

However, transitioning from the front office to the dugout without any minor or major league managerial experience has been an insurmountable leap. The hiring felt like a cost-saving move for the organization. The experiment with a novice field boss needs to end; the Padres have no other choice but to let Stammen go. 

More head-scratching decisions

Entering the first game of the second half against the Kansas City Royals, the Friars had 48 wins on the season, nine more than their opponents. 

But the Royals showed more passion after giving up three runs in the top of the 10th inning. In a nightmarish half-inning, the Royals went on to score four runs off Kyle Hart for an improbable victory. 

Why was your long man closing out the first game of the second half? The Padres were desperate to get back into the wild-card chase. In hindsight, the move made no sense. Stammen had set up relievers who were more familiar with closing out games if he did not want to use Mason Miller for two innings. Another wasted opportunity to gain ground on the leaderboard.

Padres lack energy and urgency

Baseball is an energy sport. Sometimes, a manager’s poor in-game decisions can sap all the energy from a team. No sense of urgency has plagued the Padres all season. Yes, you need talent to win, but if energy is missing in the clubhouse, then it will be tough to rally the team from a crushing defeat.

No question, team morale is low. Granted, the Friars exploded for 19 runs to salvage the final game of a weekend set against a team well below the .500 mark and sitting 13 games back in the AL Central. Stammen can be happy with Sunday’s results, but he cannot continue sabotaging his team’s momentum with baffling moves.

Stammen is a company man

Another troubling aspect is Stammen’s relationship with the media. He resorts to the “company line” when responding to questions. At times, Stammen robotically recites the front office’s talking points when discussing what took place in the game. Usually, he offers very little information for the fans to digest. 

Stammen rarely shares his feelings on what plagues the 2026 Padres. However, he needs to stop trying to convince the Friar Faithful that the lineup is not broken. Stammen’s coaching staff has failed to solve the puzzle of a stagnant offense, as the pieces lie everywhere. 

Currently, the Padres are ranked 29th in the majors, scoring 3.97 runs per game. The lineup has underperformed, but the talent gap is not that far from other major league clubs. 

Stammen cannot be blamed for all of the team’s struggles. He handled the implosion of the starting rotation as well as anyone could have expected. The lack of consistent pitching from the replacement starters has dragged the Friars into oblivion. 

A stagnant offense and inconsistent starting pitching have made for a long summer. Unfortunately, the Friars are riding out the remainder of the season to its miserable end. 

A managerial change is needed, just to put everyone in a better frame of mind.

Pack9 continues 2027 roster build with more transfers

NC State Wolfpack's Luke Hemric (22) pitches as Auburn Tigers take on NC State Wolfpack during the NCAA Regional Baseball tournament at Plainsman Park in Auburn, Ala. on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Auburn Tigers defeated NC State Wolfpack 17-13. | Jake Crandall/ Advertiser / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

After taking a sizeable hit by losing seven players to the MLB Draft and another (JR RHP Heath Andrews) to an undrafted free agent deal after the draft, NC State had an open spot on their 34-man limit for the 2027 roster. They filled that spot… with three players. Hey, spring roster limits sound like a 2027 problem to me.

Outfielder Connor Clark will be joining the Wolfpack as a senior after spending his first three years at DII University of Texas at Tyler. A three-year starter for the Patriots with 137 career starts under his belt, Clark helped lead the program to back-to-back DII College World Series appearances in 2025 and 2026. The 5’10, 180 lbs righty was a Lone Star Conference 3rd Team selection 2025 and a 2nd Team selection in 2026.

For his career, Clark his .336/.466/.490, 25 2B, 15 HR, 16.0 BB%, 12.1 K%, 56-69 SB, including a mark this past year of .356/.484/.516, 12 2B, 8 HR, 15.7 BB%, 8.9 K%, 36-43 SB. Interestingly, he had reverse splits in 2026, batting .380/.500/585 with a 15.1 BB% and 8.3 K% against right-handed pitchers while hitting .280/.438/.300 with a 15.4 BB% and 10.8 K% against left-handed pitchers. There’s some pull-side power coupled with an all-fields approach, and the Sherman, TX, native clearly has the eye and bat control which indicates he can successfully move up to the DI level.

Defensively, Clark played exclusively in centerfield over the last two years for the Patriots, while playing mostly left field as a freshman in 2024. In his summer league experiences he’s played almost evenly across all three outfield positions. He profiles more as a left field or center field defender, although the obvious hole in the Wolfpack outfield right now resides in right field. It will be interesting to see how the Wolfpack coaching staff decides to deploy him.

Auburn transfer RHP JusticeDe Jong is a 6’3, 220 lbs Brooklyn, NY, native who will be a sophomore for the Wolfpack in 2027. He appeared in just six games as a freshman for the Tigers in 2026, posting a line of 0-0, 10.12 ERA, 5.1 IP, 4.0 BB%, 20.0 K%. De Jong got rocked from late March to early April over three consecutive appearances against Alabama, Georgia Tech, and Jacksonville State. Obviously that’s a very small sample size against really good competition, but the walk and strikeout numbers are solid which is the best indicator there. Even better for De Jong has been his summer performance in the Cape Cod League where across six outings he’s posted a line of 1-0, 3.38 ERA, 13.1 IP, 6.0 BB%, 32.0 K% for the Chatham Anglers, a roster which also features future NC State teammates Rett Johnson, Collins Black, and Mikey Ragusa.

De Jong is on the younger side and won’t turn 20 until after the 2027 season. Despite that, he was a highly regarded prep player as a two-way prospect as a RHP and corner infielder who originally was committed to Duke before flipping to Auburn. He’s a high-3/4 slot guy with a heater that can run in the mid-90’s, while also throwing a changeup and curveball. It’s the latter pitch that’s his true out pitch. He was a Top 100 national prospect in his high school class and ranked last year by D1 Baseball as the 64th best high schooler to make it to a college campus. There is a lot of upside in De Jong, the most of all State’s incoming transfer arms.

Coming to Raleigh after two years at UNC-Pembroke, RHP Harrison Holbrook will be a junior next year for the Wolfpack. Holbrook is a Wilkesboro native with a huge 6’7, 245 lbs frame. He’s a project play for pitching coach Clint Chrysler, hoping to coax more from that frame than what he’s shown to date. Holbrook has appeared in 18 career games for the Braves, making 5 starts and posting an overall line of 1-0, 6.49 ERA, 26.1 IP, 15.9 BB%, 14.4 K%. In 2026, he posted a line of 0-0, 3.24 ERA, 16.2 IP, 17.1 BB%, 12.2 K% over 10 appearances (3 starts).

This summer for the Statesville Owls of the Southern Collegiate Baseball League, Holbrook has gone 3-0, 0.59 ERA, 15.1 IP, 8.1 BB%, 48.4 K%. Granted, competition in the SCBL isn’t on par with the ACC, but maybe Chris Hart and Chrysler are on to something here. With a frame that large and a mid-90’s fastball coupled with a mid-80’s breaking ball from a low 3/4 arm slot, Holbrook is a dart throw well worth taking.

Easton Shelton demolishing baseballs for fun

MIAMI, FL - SEPTEMBER 05: Los Angeles Dodgers cap and gloves rest on the dugout steps during the game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at LoanDepot Park, Miami, Fla. (Photo by Peter Joneleit/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

The Comets and Tower Buzzers emptied the tank with standout offensive displays while the Loons and Drillers found themselves on the losing end of close matchups.

Player of the day

Five hits, a pair of long balls: Easton Shelton was on fire in the Tower Buzzers’ win over the Storm. Shelton’s two long balls carried him to 28 in 2026. To demonstrate how dominant he’s been, Shelton is averaging slightly over one RBI per game with 87 of them in 81 appearances.

This was only the second time Shelton went yard multiple times in the same game this year, and his 12 total bases represented a career-high mark.

Triple-A Oklahoma City

It doesn’t get much more comprehensive than a shutout win, scoring 10 runs and outhitting your opponent 16 to 4. After not scoring for the first five innings, the Comets offense burst through with a five-run seventh inning in a game in which veterans shined on both sides of the ball. Cole Irvin held the Rainiers scoreless in six innings, while Ryan Fitzgerald secured a team-high five hits, driving in two and scoring another two runs.

The Comets hit three home runs, including Zach Ehrhard’s 15th on the year. The other two came from the bottom of the order in Chuckie Robinson and Austin Gauthier. Every hitter in the starting lineup and even pinch-hitter James Tibbs III recorded at least one hit.

Double-A Tulsa

Everything was going smoothly for the Drillers until the bullpen conceded four runs in the eighth in a 6-4 defeat. All three hitters who reliever Charlie Reubeck faced reached base safely, and Kelvin Ramírez couldn’t fix the mess, blowing his third save this year.

Mike Sirota and Zyhir Hope had good performances, the former recording three hits, but with next to nothing coming from the top of the order in Josue De Paula and Kendall George, the Drillers stopped at four. Recently called up to Double-A, catcher Hayden Gilliland hit his second homer there, one of two long balls in the game, the other belonging to Sebastian Walcott of the RoughRiders.

High-A Great Lakes

Four in the first and another four in the second. That was all the scoring the Whitecaps did to beat the Loons 8-6, pouncing on what ended up being Jakob Wright’s shortest outing of the year, recording only four outs thanks to five free passes.

Leadoff hitter Charles Davalan and the Loons bullpen not allowing a run after the second inning did their part to try and give them a fighting chance, but an 8-0 deficit was too big to climb out of. The Loons lacked power as Davalan’s double was their only extra-base hit.

Single-A Ontario

One of two hitters in the Dodgers minor league affiliates with a five-hit performance, first baseman Easton Shelton had his way in a blowout win for the Tower Buzzers over the Storm by a score of 11-5. Shelton went deep twice and recorded three of his team’s four extra-base hits, raising his season OPS to 1.070.

With starter Brady Smith coming one out short of five full innings, the win was left for Edwin Díaz, tossing a scoreless inning in a rehab appearance. Díaz allowed one hit and struck out one, covering the sixth inning.

Shelton might’ve had the most hits on the team, but Joendry Vargas was the one batter not retired at any point, recording three hits and a pair of walks in five plate appearances.

Transactions

The Dodgers called up Kyle Hurt from the Comets, while Cole Irvin was activated to start for Oklahoma City.

Sunday’s scores

  • Tacoma 0, Oklahoma City 10
  • Frisco 6, Tulsa 4
  • Great Lakes 6, West Michigan 8
  • Ontario 11, Lake Elsinore 5

Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Tonight's MLB Game

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Dylan Cease is the hottest strikeout arm in baseball, and a soft number makes his Over my top play.

The Toronto Blue Jays are -155 favorites as they open a four-game set tonight with the Tampa Bay Rays and Nick Martinez. Cease has been overpowering since before the break, and a Rays lineup that hasn’t done much damage against him headlines my card.

Read on for my Rays vs. Blue Jays predictions and MLB picks for this Monday, July 20 matchup.

Rays vs Blue Jays predictions

Rays vs Blue Jays best bet: Dylan Cease Over 7.5 strikeouts

Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Dylan Cease remains the AL strikeout king with 148 and a 13.5 K/9. Strikeouts are his game, and he’s rolling, dating back to the eight-inning shutout he tossed before the All-Star break. At the All-Star Game itself, he struck out the side as the starting pitcher.

He’s as hot as any pitcher in baseball, clearing 7.5 strikeouts in four straight starts. I love that we can grab this at plus money, and I’ll take it until +100.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Active Rays hitters are slugging just .323 in 62 career at-bats against Cease, limiting the chance for extra-base damage that could pull him early.

Rays vs Blue Jays same-game parlay (SGP)

For the same-game parlay, I’m building around Cease and Toronto’s steadiest bats.

I’ll double down on Over 7.5 strikeouts from my best bet, then add the Blue Jays moneyline, backing the home ace against a Tampa Bay Rays club skidding on the road. 

Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases rounds it out. He’s been Toronto’s most reliable hitter, with a knock in 10 of his 13 games this month.

Rays vs Blue Jays SGP

  • Dylan Cease Over 7.5 strikeouts
  • Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases
  • Blue Jays moneyline

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Rays vs Blue Jays home run pick: George Springer (+405)

Offense has been hard to find for Toronto this season, but George Springer has provided a few sparks. The Blue Jays designated hitter homered on Friday and cashed an RBI single on Saturday, and now he draws a great matchup against Rays starter Nick Martinez.

Springer is 6-for-17 with two home runs off Martinez, good for a massive 1.156 OPS, which gives me the confidence to fire a quarter-unit home run bet here. I’d make sure I’m getting +400 or longer on this one.

2026 Transparency Record
  • Best bets: 7-6, +0.63 units
  • SGPs: 2-12, -1.31 units
  • HR picks: 3-11, +0.25 units

Rays vs Blue Jays odds

  • Moneyline: Tampa Bay +135 | Toronto -155
  • Run line: Tampa Bay +1.5 (-155) | Toronto -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-120)

Rays vs Blue Jays trend

The Tampa Bay Rays come in riding a six-game road losing streak, a good spot for the Toronto Blue Jays and their ace at home. Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Blue Jays.

How to watch Rays vs Blue Jays and game info

LocationRogers Centre, Toronto, ON
DateMonday, 7-20-2026
First pitch7:07 p.m. ET
TVRays.TV, SportsNet
Rays starting pitcherNick Martinez
(8-2, 2.65 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcherDylan Cease
(6-4, 2.56 ERA)

Rays vs Blue Jays latest injuries

Rays vs Blue Jays weather

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Dodgers’ Yoshinobu Yamamoto starting second-half push for Cy Young Award

NEW YORK – Yoshinobu Yamamoto comes into this week with as many wins as Jacob Misiorowski

He has made as many starts as Misirowski and pitched more innings.

The statistic that explains the multiple degrees of separation between them in the competition for the National League Cy Young Award is earned-run average: Misiorowski is at 1.67, Yamamoto at 2.78.

But Yamamoto remains within striking distance of Misiorowski, the 24-year-old fireballer of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto could become the first-ever pitcher from Japan to win a Cy Young Award. JASON SZENES FOR THE NEW YORK POST

And by the end of the season, he will overtake Misiorowski, who didn’t pitch in the two weeks leading up his scheduled on Monday because of arm fatigue.

Yamamoto will become the first-ever pitcher from Japan to win a Cy Young Award.

Because Yamamoto remains pain-free. Because he has a track record of becoming sharper as the season progresses. And most importantly: Because the Dodgers need him to be a stabilizing force in their rotation.

The Dodgers emerged from their series win at Yankee Stadium not knowing when Shohei Ohtani would pitch next or if catcher Will Smith would even play again this season. In the middle of this uncertainty, they were able to confirm they can rely on at least one player they were counting on to deliver for them in October.

Dodgers pitcher Yoshinobu Yamamoto hugging catcher Dalton Rushing after a game. Brad Penner-Imagn Images

They can rely on Yamamoto.

With their scheduled game on Saturday night canceled because of an imaginary thunderstorm, the Dodgers and Yankees played a doubleheader on Sunday.

Original Saturday starter Emmet Sheehan was pushed back to the series-opener in Philadelphia on Monday, as Ohtani was scratched from his scheduled start against the Phillies on Wednesday.

With the Dodgers planning a bullpen game for the second game on Sunday, they asked Yamamoto to take down as many innings as possible in the first.

Did he ever.

Of the pitchers who started games for the Dodgers last postseason, Yamamoto was the only one pitching in the majors. Bill Kostroun/New York Post

The diminutive Japanese right-hander who pitched two complete games in the playoffs last year on the Dodgers’ World Series run pitched his first regular-season complete game in an 8–2 victory over the Yankees.

“That’s why he’s our ace,” manager Dave Roberts said.

As usual, Yamamoto downplayed what he did.

“Generally speaking, I don’t think about it being a doubleheader when I climb on the mound,” Yamamoto said. “I went in as if it was a normal game.”

Which isn’t to say Yamamoto wasn’t aware of the broader picture.

Of the four pitchers who started games for the Dodgers in the postseason last year, Yamamoto was the only one pitching in the major leagues.

Ohtani was shut down.

Yamamoto threw more cutters than usual and registered quick outs. Bill Kostroun/New York Post

Blake Snell had just started a minor-league rehabilitation assignment.

Tyler Glasnow hadn’t faced hitters in any capacity since he was placed on the injured list in early May with back spasms.

“By focusing on each and every game, I wouldn’t say I can provide cover [for them], but I think provide the team with something that is ultimately beneficial,” Yamamoto said.

Yamamoto threw more cutters than usual and registered quick outs.

He didn’t allow a hit until the fourth inning when he gave up a solo homer to Trent Grisham.

“No matter how you look at it, I threw it in a place where it was going to get hit for sure,” he said of the down-the-middle fastball he served up to Grisham.

The Yankees didn’t score again until the bottom of the eighth inning, by which time the Dodgers had already scored eight runs.

“His pitch count was so good the entire game,” Roberts said. “I felt he could get us through the seventh, and then he had a good seventh, and it just felt like he could finish the game.”

Yamamoto completed the game in 102 pitches.

Yamamoto pitched seven scoreless innings in this very ballpark as a first-year player in 2024. JASON SZENES FOR THE NEW YORK POST

Roberts guessed that Yamamoto was motivated by his final start before the All-Star break in which he was charged with six runs in six innings of a loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. 

The manager also pointed to how Yamamoto pitched seven scoreless innings in this very ballpark as a first-year player in 2024.

“You know he likes these big games,” Roberts said.

Yamamoto was especially pleased with how his efforts completely spared the bullpen.

“I think pitching nine innings is better than being credited with a win as a pitcher,” he said.

The Dodgers lost the night cap, 2–1, but they were able to stay in the game because of Yamamoto’s contributions. Deploying seven relievers, they were tied until the bottom of the eighth inning when Evan Phillips gave up a game-deciding solo shot to Ryan McMahon.

Roberts said of the game pitched by Yamamoto: “It’s one of those things that, in one game, it’s great. But I think that the exponential effect that it has on everyone else, it’s huge, and it’s hard to really nail down how valuable that is.”

He demonstrated that last October.

He looks ready to demonstrate that again over the remaining 2 ½ months of the regular season, as well as the playoffs.

Along the way, he will make history.


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Red Sox News & Links: Sox, Breslow still not committing to buying at trade deadline

Fort Myers, FL - February 11: Boston Red Sox chief baseball officer Craig Breslow watches batting practice. The Boston Red Sox held their second day of Spring Training at JetBlue Park on February 11, 2026. (Photo by Barry Chin/The Boston Globe via Getty Images) | Boston Globe via Getty Images

That the Red Sox have climbed out of the Grand Canyon-sized hold they dug themselves over the first three months of the season is remarkable enough, that they’ve done it without any contributions from the most talented hitter on their roster is shocking. Alas, they better hope they can keep it going without Roman Anthony because, somehow, he is still not anywhere close to returning. Anthony, who was sent to Fort Myers recently to continue to rehab, is still unable to swing a bat. “We’re not going to resume hitting if there’s still discomfort in the hand,” said Chad Tracy. “That’s a big piece of our lineup. It would be great to get him back. The whole point is we don’t want our player, that player, to play injured, especially when it comes to swinging the bat.” (Alex Speier, Boston Globe)

Of course, we all know the explanation for how they’ve been able to put this streak together without a bat like Anthony’s in the lineup: starting pitching. “Over the first 11 wins [of the streak], the team allowed just 17 runs — the fewest its allowed in any 11-game stretch in one season since Babe Ruth was part of the rotation in 1918.” (Alex Speier, Boston Globe)

So it’s arguably been the best run of pitching the Sox have had since Babe Ruth, whose name usually isn’t brought up in a positive way by Sox fans. Neither is the year 1948, which famously did not end well for the Sox, but that’s how long you have to go to match the 13-game win streak. (Steve Buckley, The Athletic)

Of course there have been plenty of contributions from the lineup as well, particularly from guys like Wilyer Abreu, Willson Contreras, and Caleb Durbin. Contreras, in particular is bringing the energy. “I don’t want them to start saying, like shouting, ‘Sell the team!’ I don’t like that,” Contreras said. “I take that personally, but they’re passionate about it. But I’m really proud of the team, of my team. Really proud of the work we’ve done. Really proud because of the way we started, how we are right now. And I know there’s a lot of games ahead, but they make me proud.” (Trevor Hass, Boston.com)

But, believe it nor not, the Red Sox reportedly have not yet decided to buy at the trade deadline: “For now, their plans are fluid. Boston isn’t discounting pursuing help before Aug. 3. The Red Sox also know that, for an entire half of the season, they personified mediocrity and that 15 games does not a season make. So, like many others, they’re weighing their options, knowing that if they stumble, they can pivot into dump mode and make a killing…” (Jeff Passan, ESPN)

Monday Morning Texas Rangers Update

Jul 19, 2026; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Texas Rangers manager Skip Schumaker (55) on the field to make a pitching change against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images | Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

Good morning.

Evan Grant writes that the Texas Rangers suffered through mental mistakes that led to a series loss in Atlanta yesterday.

Kennedi Landry has some takeaways from Texas’ series finale defeat, which in addition to defensive miscues, included pitching miscues and batting miscues.

Grant notes that the Rangers are still deciding what’s next for their two rehabbing former rotation members with Jordan Montgomery and Cody Bradford still working their way back.

Zach Crizer writes that Chris Young is again in an awkward spot trying to figure out how much to commit at the trade deadline with a flawed team leading a bad division.

Among his trade deadline desires, The Athletic’s Jim Bowden would like to see Young and the Rangers trade for Luis Arraez.

MLB dot com’s Rob Terranova notes that returning top prospect Sebastian Walcott smacked his first home run of the season for Double-A Frisco.

And, ESPN’s Bradford Doolittle checks out some of the most famous and notable trade trees which includes the franchise-altering Mark Teixeira trade.

Have a nice day!

Four stats from the Orioles’ current win streak worth examining

HOUSTON, TEXAS - JULY 19: Coby Mayo #16 of the Baltimore Orioles celebrates with third base coach Buck Britton #46 as he rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run in the sixth inning during a game against the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on July 19, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Houston Astros/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The Orioles have saved their season (for the time being) with this current seven-game winning streak. The wins haven’t all been pretty, but they’ve gotten the job done and climbed the team back into the thick of the AL playoff race. It has also set the stage for a massive midweek series in Boston that has the potential to put the O’s back above .500 for the first time since Opening Day and in sole possession of a wild card spot.

Throughout this streak there have been plenty of oddities that small sample baseball is known for. Are they sustainable? Almost certainly not. But they are fun to examine to help explain why the stars may have aligned and allowed this imperfect Orioles squad string together so many wins in a row.

1.80 team ERA

While the offense has been solid during this win streak, it’s the pitching staff that deserves most of the credit for making it happen. They haven’t allowed more than three runs in any one game, and have given up two or fewer runs in six of the seven wins.

Their 1.80 team ERA in that stretch is the third-best in baseball. Only the even hotter Red Sox (1.73 ERA) and the surprising White Sox (1.31 ERA) have been better since July 9. By the way, the Orioles 2.95 FIP is better than both of them, second in the league in that time.

Of course, you can dissect that ERA number a few different ways to find positives and negatives. For example, their 3.42 xERA in that same span is more pedestrian, though still good. Or how the starters seem to be legitimately good (2.38 ERA, 2.69 FIP, 3.12 xFIP), while the relievers are making it work with smoke and mirrors (0.77 ERA, 3.40 FIP, 4.49 xFIP).

But you can’t argue that the outcomes have been exactly what you want, and perhaps the Orioles were due a bit of good luck from the baseball gods after enduring a some undue struggles for much of the year.

Gunnar Henderson’s 61 wRC+

The struggles of the Orioles star this season are nothing new. He’s had a few nice moments here and there, but has failed to sustain any sort of positive momentum. The month of July has been his absolute low point.

Since the calendar flipped, Henderson is hitting .170/.237/.226 with one home run, 14 strikeouts, and three walks. Things haven’t been much better when you trim the timeline down to just the Orioles’ seven-game win streak. In that time he is slashing .207/.258/.310 with the one home run, 10 strikeouts, and zero walks.

It feels like the Orioles are banging their head against the wall with Henderson. Despite his struggles, he continues to occupy a prominent spot in the batting order and be given the MVP-type treatment. It’s understandable given his track record prior to this season. But the results haven’t improved, and it feels like something a bit more drastic could help.

That’s not to say Henderson should ride the bench. He’s played a nice defensive shortstop this season, and is an important base running threat for the team. He also has not been unplayable bad at the plate or anything, but his 91 wRC+ for the season does suggest he has been below average. Hitting a bit lower in the order doesn’t feel unreasonable at this point.

What’s relevant to this blog, however, is that despite their star mightily struggle with the stick, the Orioles are winning games. They’ve scored 34 runs in these seven games, which is just below the five runs per game threshold that good teams are aiming for. If they could get just a bit more from someone that is supposed to be leading them, the ceiling is there for this team to go on an even longer run of winning baseball.

Coby Mayo’s .714 slugging percentage

Maybe the Orioles don’t have a future all-star third baseman on their hands with Coby Mayo, but (for 2026, anyway) they have one of the league’s absolute best hitters against left-handed pitching. That’s something they can work with.

O’s manager Craig Albernaz has leaned more and more into using Mayo almost exclusively against southpaws. It’s working. Mayo’s 204 wRC+ against left-handed pitchers this year is the best mark in baseball. His 10 home runs off of them are second in MLB, behind just Kyle Schwarber, who has nearly double the plate appearances and only two more homers.

Mayo is 4-for-14 during the Orioles win streak with five strikeouts and no walks. Two of his four hits have left the park. His latest round-tripper came on Sunday, when he took the left-handed Bryan King deep for his 13th total homer of the year. The sort of all-or-nothing approach was en vogue a few seasons ago, but it can still work at times, as Mayo is proving.

Ideally, Mayo would be an everyday option that, despite some defensive concerns, you would be confident playing against any pitcher. But that isn’t the reality, at least not right now for the 24-year-old. For much of the season, the Orioles refused to acknowledge that, playing him at third base most days regardless of the matchup. But now, when they need as many wins as possible from the rest of their schedule, they have relented and moved him to a platoon role. The team is better for it.

Four different pitchers have recorded saves

The addition of Ryan Helsley at the back of the Orioles bullpen has not gone as anyone would have hoped. The hard-throwing righty is on his second IL stint of the season for elbow discomfort. That has limited him to just 15.1 innings this season and a 4.11 ERA. For now, the team is unclear on if he will pitch again this season. On Sunday, he was moved to the 60-day IL, which will keep him on the shelf through the end of August at least.

In his absence, it seems as though Albernaz won’t be naming a replacement closer. No one on the current roster really fits the role anyway. Andrew Kittredge is the veteran of the group, but his season has been a bit bumpy. Tyler Wells has closer experience, though it came several years ago. And a few other guys may have “closer stuff,” but it’s always a risk to put that kind of pressure on an unproven arm.

The Orioles have had five save situations during this seven-game win streak. Four different pitchers have been called on in those scenarios. Kittredge has two of them, and then Wells, Grant Wolfram, and Cam Sanders have one each. Sanders was optioned on Sunday anyway. That’s a good illustration of just how improvised the current ninth inning situation really is.

If the Orioles do decide to buy at the deadline, bullpen has to be at the top of their wishlist. What’s working right now probably won’t a few weeks from now. Maybe they don’t have to outbid everyone for the top closer on the market, but they will certainly have to be aggressive. Helsley’s return is no guarantee, and he can’t be relied upon anyway. Maybe Félix Bautista will make it back on a mound by season’s end, but the team would have to be careful with him. Adding an arm with ninth-inning chops will need to be a priority.

Can the Phillies survive the summer with their current fifth starter plan?

Jul 19, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Alan Rangel (57) with pitching coach Caleb Cotham (65) and catcher J.T. Realmuto (10) during the first inning against the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images | Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

It’s the topic of the day around the Phillies universe, considering we know how well the plan currently has been going. Alan Rangel currently is the fifth starter for the Phillies and has not performed well. His having to have been in the rotation was a result of Andrew Painter struggling so much this season in the major leagues and now the team is in a bind.

Can they survive a summer playoff push with their current pitching plan in place for the fifth starter’s job?

It’s starting to look more and more like Aaron Nola can give them serviceable starts out of the four spot. He’s been pretty good his last three starts, albeit against some anemic offenses. Still, it’s better than what he has given them, which felt like an automatic loss each time he toed the rubber. Maybe the team feels they are fine with whatever Rangel can give them until Painter is (maybe?) able to fix himself in Lehigh Valley? Maybe they have a deal lined up to get another LAIM for the backend of the rotation.

Who knows!