Evaluating Brian Cashman’s 2026 season

The 2026 Yankees won 93 games in a year in which superstar Aaron Judge played just 66 games. That’s not a bad total, but it feels like it could, and should, have been more. General manager and Senior VP Brian Cashman routinely builds contending teams, and he should get credit for that, but he and his staff should be aiming higher and doing more to bring the title back to the Bronx.

A Wild Card Series win against the Boston Red Sox was a nice way to start the postseason, but the sweep at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays exposed many harsh realities that are directly tied to Cashman and his decisions.

For the Yankees, 93 wins is not enough. They need to be the best team in the division, because that would bring them additional benefits in postseason play, such as home-field advantage and a ticket straight to the AL Division Series. Everybody in the organization is responsible for how the season plays out, but the spotlight will always point to the head of baseball operations.

Offseason moves and decisions

Cashman didn’t have a particularly bad offseason, but there were some notable holes when the season started. He didn’t find proper replacements for the rehabbing Anthony Volpe and the underwhelming Ryan McMahon: the former ended up being demoted in early August when the organization promoted George Lombard Jr., and the latter posted a 78 wRC+ and just 0.5 fWAR in 124 games. Volpe eventually returned and played an important role in the stretch run and during the postseason.

Extending Trent Grisham a qualifying offer was seen as a moderate risk when it happened, but it was a reasonable one since the outfielder had hit a career-high 34 homers in 2025. The outfielder declined this year, particularly on defense, but at least it wasn’t a long-term commitment.

The trade for Ryan Weathers was universally acclaimed, and it was a good piece of business on Cashman’s part. He ended up posting career-bests in ERA (3.60), fWAR (2.5), and innings pitched (137.1). The executive also brought back Paul Blackburn, Ryan Yarbrough, Amed Rosario, Paul Goldschmidt, and Cody Bellinger.

Some of them were nice additions, particularly the 2019 NL MVP, but Cashman left the roster exposed to injuries and underperformance in many spots, and that’s on him, too. The bullpen was a bit thin, as some of his past trade experiments, such as Jake Bird, Ángel Chivilli, and Camilo Doval, just didn’t work. The same can be said about Rule 5 pick Cade Winquest. We are more than willing to give Cashman a pass in the bullpen, since the unit finished with the second-best ERA in MLB, though.

Trade Deadline activity (or lack thereof)

The Bombers entered the deadline with a few notable needs, which Cashman was very much aware of. They could have used a catcher given Austin Wells’ season-long slump up to that date, a reliever or two, a starter, and a right-handed outfielder.

They flirted with several backstops, but ended up empty-handed on that front to the frustration of fans. They did bring in Luis García Jr., who had been enjoying an amazing year in Washington with 23 homers and a 133 wRC+.

Heliot Ramos’ arrival was met with mixed reviews, and he posted a disappointing 93 wRC+ in pinstripes. He did have a 184 wRC+ vs. lefties during his time in the Bronx, which was one of the main reasons behind his acquisition. Giving up left-handed pitching prospect Henry Lalane to get him hurt, though. Speaking of…

Prospects and young core

Yes, you could say that the Yankees’ deadline was a disappointment, although some might disagree. However, they managed to keep most of their top prospects, including Lombard, Dax Kilby, Carlos Lagrange, Elmer Rodríguez, and Ben Hess. The promising Lalane was the lone exception.

They represent, together with Cam Schlittler, Ben Rice, Spencer Jones, Weathers, and Will Warren, the next wave of young talent that will, theoretically at least, keep the team highly competitive for the next 3-7 years. Keeping them all, particularly Lombard when half the league was asking for him in trade conversations, was a win for Cashman.

The rest of the farm, however, needs work. A lot of work. The Yankees will need to draft well and be active in the international market in the next couple of years to revamp their depleted system. At least Cashman took a step towards solving the situation, dismissing longtime international scouting director Donny Rowland and replacing him with Mario Garza in January.

Player development wins and losses

As every general manager, Cashman had some player development wins and losses when looking at the final picture of the 2026 campaign. He and his staff managed to turn Blackburn into a very useful reliever with his 1.59 ERA in 85 innings, and he got a nice season from Weathers, too.

Schlittler took a step forward into stardom, and Brent Headrick and Warren also improved in 2026. On the other hand, they couldn’t fix Doval, Luis Gil, McMahon, or Volpe, and Jasson Domínguez remains a fringe player. Grisham and Wells were also subpar for their standard.

The offense, generally speaking, had a mediocre year with a 101 wRC+ that ranked 14th in MLB. Yes, injuries to Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and other key hitters certainly hurt, but the feeling is that Cashman could have done better, or more.

Bottom line

We have said it multiple times in this space: the Yankees need new voices. They need to listen to more prepared people. They can’t keep doing the same things in personnel decisions, player analysis, research and development, and scouting and expect different results. Unless the ownership decides to part ways with their longtime executive, it will be on Cashman to push that change within the organization: does he have that in him, though? It’s at least a fair question.

The Washington Nationals Were Dangerous On The Base Paths In 2026

CLEVELAND, OH - MAY 27: Travis Bazzana (37) of the Cleveland Guardians tries to hold onto the ball as James Wood (29) of the Washington Nationals steals second base during an MLB game on May 27, 2026 at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

For Nationals fans accustomed to watching promising innings disappear on the basepaths, 2026 offered a welcome change. The Nats played aggressive baseball, but with better results. Stealing bases and taking the extra bag became meaningful strengths, giving them another way to generate offense.

The improvement also deserves to be counted among the successes of manager Blake Butera’s coaching staff, particularly first-base and baserunning coach Corey Ray.

The Nats finished with 178 stolen bases and 40 caught stealings, succeeding on 81.7% of their attempts. In 2025, the Nationals stole 132 bases and were caught 48 times, a 73.3% success rate. That means they added 46 steals while making eight fewer outs trying to steal. More attempts produced substantially better efficiency.

The comparison with 2024 is revealing, too. That team piled up 223 steals but was caught 73 times, converting 75.3% of its attempts. The Nats 2026 club finished with fewer steals, but its success rate was more than six percentage points higher. There is value in putting pressure on the defense. There is also value in keeping a runner available for the next hitter.

The progress extended beyond stealing. Baseball-Reference’s extra-base-taken percentage measures how frequently runners advance more than one base on a single or more than two on a double when opportunities arise. The Nats rate climbed from 40% in 2025 to 47% in 2026, exceeding its 45% mark from 2024 as well. Those advances can turn an ordinary single into a first-and-third situation or bring a runner home without requiring another hit.

Advanced metrics reinforce the picture. Baseball-Reference credited the Nationals with nine baserunning runs above average in 2026, with another six runs credited separately for avoiding double plays. These measures put a run value on contributions that batting average and home run totals miss. The Nats were creating advantages between contact and the next plate appearance.

FanGraphs’ BsR, which expresses baserunning value in runs above average, also shows how widely those contributions were distributed. CJ Abrams finished at +4.7, Dylan Crews at +3.6, Jacob Young at +3.5, Daylen Lile at +2.0, and James Wood at +1.6, as the Nationals finished first in baseball in total BsR at +15.7, all the way up from -0.6 in 2025.

That is where the coaching deserves attention. In February, Mark Zuckerman reported in Nats Journal that Ray was physically positioning himself near first base during drills, requiring runners to make tighter turns around the bag. Butera emphasized foot placement, efficient routes, and the difference even an unnecessary extra foot could make. The staff was teaching specific, repeatable details from the beginning of camp.

No statistic can assign an exact share of the improvement to Ray, Butera, or third-base coach Víctor Estévez. The players deserve the largest share of the credit for executing. Still, the connection between the staff’s documented emphasis and the season’s results is a reasonable one. Better baserunning was an explicit priority, and the Nats delivered it.

There were rough edges. The Nats recorded 59 non-steal outs on the bases, up from 47 in 2025, so this was hardly a mistake-free team. But the broader gains were substantial: more successful steals, fewer failed attempts, and more extra bases taken. For a young club trying to establish better habits, that represents tangible progress—and something worth carrying into 2027.

Why impending free agent Tarik Skubal doesn't believe it's end of an era for the Dodgers

Dodgers pitcher Tarik Skubal walks in from outfield during a workout at American Family Field before the start of the NLCS.
Left-hander Tarik Skubal, who joined the Dodgers at the trade deadline and fortified the team's starting rotation, is set to hit free agency. (Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times)

Dodgers left-hander Blake Snell, sitting next to soon-to-be free agent Tarik Skubal at their lockers in the aftermath of their team’s elimination from the National League Championship Series elimination, made a promise:

“I’ll be recruiting,” he interjected with a smile, as Skubal declined to comment on free agency, saying it was too soon to try to predict what the future would hold for him.

That would be Snell’s side project between rounds of video games — 2K specifically. (Skubal admittedly “sucks” at the game, but Snell says his teammate “has heart, though.” The rest can be taught.)

Read more:It wasn't just Brewers dominance. There's a simpler explanation for the Dodgers' demise

The Dodgers, after falling short of a three-peat, will look a little different next year. Skubal, whom they acquired at the trade deadline to boost their chances at a World Series title, is set to hit free agency. So are perennial postseason performer Kiké Hernández and high-leverage relievers Alex Vesia, Evan Phillips and Blake Treinen. On Thursday, clubhouse leader and 2025 World Series hero Miguel Rojas announced his retirement.

The expected lockout, and MLB’s insistence on a salary cap in their CBA proposals have also cast doubt on what the system will look like next year — whenever the season begins.

Not to mention, the stars in the Dodgers lineup, already the oldest in the majors (weighted by at-bats and games played), will be another year older.

Could this be the end of an era?

“I don’t feel that at all,” Skubal said. “It’s hard to win the World Series, and this group has done it the last two seasons. Obviously, not this year, but … I think that this group is incredibly talented. And the preparation and the work ethic that this group has — I don’t buy into that narrative.”

Said Snell: “We’re only getting better.”

Plenty of people outside of the Dodgers’ downcast clubhouse Thursday evening saw the Brewers’ four-game sweep of the defending back-to-back champions as the fall of a dynasty. But the players inside fervently disagreed.

Read more:Plaschke: The Dodgers had everything needed to three-peat. This is why they failed

“When you have Shohei Ohtani on your team, Yoshinbou Yamamoto, Freddie Freeman, Mookie Betts and the years ahead of these guys, you can never think that it’s going to be the end,” Rojas said. “And I know this organization so well, they’re not going to be satisfied with this loss. I think they’re going to move forward and continue to improve the team in any capacity, and I believe that we’re going to be even better next year.”

Said Hernández: “I don’t know what’s going to happen with me personally, moving forward for next year. But this team is well-positioned to keep winning and keep competing deep into October. So not only is this locker room very talented, but there’s a lot of guys knocking on the door in the minor-league system that can be really impactful players. So the organization is in good hands.”

Rookie Josue De Paula showed down the stretch, and with his plate discipline even in high-octane moments in the postseason, just how impactful the young players in the Dodgers’ system could be. And there are more behind him.

This offseason, the Dodgers front office will try to strike a balance between continuity and fresh faces. For some of their impending free agents, who spoke highly of the organization, that meant uncertainty in the immediate aftermath.

“I love this place,” Hernández said. “I’ve played for three other teams, but every time I look at my career, I obviously go back to this place. I’ve been here the longest. I hope I get back. I feel like I have a lot left. … I would love to have one more try, trying to win another one. But I don’t really know what’s going to happen.”

Vesia, too, said he’d love to return.

Read more:Shaikin: Questions about Shohei Ohtani's health, a salary cap and Mark Walter loom for Dodgers

“From the coaching staff, to the front office, to the players that have taken me under their wing, have helped mold and shape me into who I am and how I carry myself, how I go about my business,” Vesia said of his six years in the organization. “And if it wasn’t for the people in the room in this room, I would not be where I’m at today. So, very thankful. This whole experience has been life-changing.”

Skubal is in a unique situation. In line to be the top free agent pitcher in this year’s class, he held his cards closer to the vest. But he gave a glowing review of his time with the Dodgers.

“It was an honor and a privilege to be here and compete with these guys, and to wear LA across your hat and across your chest,” he said. “It’s something that I took a lot of pride in. And, obviously, didn’t end the way that I wanted it to. But that’s life. That’s baseball. I had a ton of fun here, and I loved competing with these guys.”

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This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

The power of the 3-inning save

LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 15: Aaron Ashby #26 of the Milwaukee Brewers celebrates after sweeping the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game Four of the National League Championship Series at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, October 15, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Katelyn Mulcahy/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

LOS ANGELES — The Dodgers did not have a save of at least three innings in 2026, their first full season without one since 2016. They also did not win or reach the World Series this year.

Coincidence? Yes, of course. Let’s not be daft.

But three-inning saves are still cool as hell, as I’ve explainedmany a time here and in audio form elsewhere.

We nearly saw a four-inning save at Dodger Stadium in the National League Division Series, when Braves right-hander Didier Fuentes retired 11 in a row before allowing a two-out home run in the ninth inning. That pulled the Dodgers to within a run, and Atlanta manager Walt Weiss went with his closer Raisel Iglesias for the final out.

The Braves won that night, but never again this season.

The back end of the Brewers bullpen — Trevor Megill, Aaron Ashby, and Abner Uribe — is one of Milwaukee’s great strengths, with that trio this postseason having allowed three runs (two earned) in 24 1/3 innings, with 23 strikeouts. Ashby has pitched in six of Milwaukee’s eight games, totaling 12 1/3 scoreless innings, with 11 strikeouts.

In the NLCS, Ashby pitched two scoreless frames in Game 1, then got a five-out save to close out Game 2. Even before Game 4, Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman extolled the virtues of the Brewers bullpen, and specifically mentioned the left-hander.

“Ashby — I don’t understand that. It’s 98 to 100 from up here and sinking and curving,” Freeman said. “They’ve just got a lot of weapons.”

In Game 4 on Thursday, Ashby allowed doubles in the seventh and eighth inning, each of which represented the potential tying run. But he stranded them both.

“I was just praying for a little peace in the chaos, because with this crowd and this team, things can happen fast,” Ashby told Ken Rosenthal of Fox Sports on the field after the game. “I was just trying to be calm out there, that’s pretty much it.

Then Ashby got the ninth inning as well, his 31st relief appearance involving multiple innings this season, tied for most in the majors. He retired the Dodgers in order in the ninth, with Jackson Chourio making a nice running catch in left field to clinch the Brewers first pennant since 1982.

Ashby recorded just the fifth save of three innings or longer in a postseason clinching game since saves became an official statistic in 1969, and the first since Lance McCullers Jr. with a four-inning save for the 2017 Astros in Game 7 of the American League Championship Series.

Working backward retroactively, two other postseason clinchers before 1969 had long saves as well.

PitcherSeriesTeamOpponentInnings
Herb Pennock1932 World Series G4YankeesCubs3
Ted Wilks1944 World Series G6CardinalsBrowns3 2/3
Vida Blue1972 ALCS G5A’sTigers4
Steve Howe1981 World Series G6DodgersYankees3 2/3
Madison Bumgarner2014 World Series G7GiantsRoyals5
Lance McCullers Jr.2017 ALCS G7AstrosYankees4
Aaron Ashby2026 NLCS G4BrewersDodgers3

In 2025, there were 49 saves of at least three innings in MLB, 15 more than the previous season and the most in any year since 1999. In 2026, there were 50 saves of at least three innings. This is a new golden age of extended saves, but the Dodgers did not take part this year.

The Dodgers for much of the season didn’t really have a long man in the bullpen, like at times in recent years. Eric Lauer seemed destined for this role, but he kept sticking around in the rotation as various other starters were either injured or optioned.

Jonathan Hernández pitched in a lot of mop-up roles but mostly topped out at two innings. Plus after June, the Dodgers mostly stopped collecting blowout wins, which tends to pave the road toward a three-inning save.

Landon Knack has recorded one save in each of his three major league seasons to date, including an 11-out save on the final day of the regular season in 2025. He had the best shot on the Dodgers for a three-inning save in 2026, as he was warming in the bullpen on August 12 after Lauer pitched six innings at 107 pitches, eight more than his second-most this season.

But Lauer instead got one more batter to open the seventh inning, and struck out Josh Rojas. Then, Knack entered and got a save of 2 2/3 innings, protecting a 4-2 lead. It was the Dodgers’ first eight-out save since Brian Holton in 1987, so that was something, at least.

But it was no three-inning save. At least Dodger Stadium, in seeing its third consecutive National League pennant clinched on Thursday, got to go out with a very cool pitching outing to put a cap on 2026.

We’ll always have the six-inning save by Jackson Ferris on September 9 for Tripe-A Oklahoma City though to tide us over through the winter.

The Dodgers, the Brewers and the CBA Negotiations, oh my!

Last night the Brewers swept the Dodgers in Los Angeles. It was the perfect answer to the Brewers’ 2025 playoff exit, when they were swept by the Dodgers. This year, everything came up Brewers. It didn’t matter that likely Cy Young Award winner Jacob Misiorowski only went 4.1 innings in his start, because Aaron Ashby threw 6.2 scoreless innings of high leverage relief across three games. Even when they were down four runs in Game 4, you could almost feel that they were going to come back. Of course NLCS MVP Jake Bauers got the comeback started [VIDEO].

But there’s another battle looming in baseball, one with even higher stakes than which teams will play in the 2026 World Series: this year’s renegotiation of baseball’s Collective Bargaining Agreement. The terms of that fight have been coming into focus for over a year now, with MLB commissioner Rob Manfred and company laying the groundwork to make their case for a salary cap with fan focus groups, citing survey results showing fans want a cap, trips around the league to try and break union solidarity and a relentless barrage of content on the disparities between the big and small market teams.

The Dodgers All-Star team that costs $339 million in 2026 (with more than a billion dollars in contract deferrals) being summarily swept out of the playoffs by MLB’s smallest market Milwaukee Brewers was clearly not part of the plan.

Meanwhile, the American League Championship Series is a battle royale between the team with the smallest payroll in MLB, the Guardians, and the team with the 28th smallest payroll in the league, the Rays. That’s right, one of the analytics darlings who don’t spend enough and are supposedly hamstrung by the massive salary differences in the league that make competitive balance impossible is guaranteed to win the 2026 World Series. It undermines the very core of the argument MLB and billionaire owners have been making for more than a year.

The question is, does it matter?

It certainly weakens the fan rationale for a salary cap. Manfred has been front and center for the better part of a year building his case for a cap around fans in Cleveland, Tampa Bay, and Milwaukee who deserve a shot at a championship. Those poor fans in Milwaukee who might have seen their team extend the Freddy Peraltas of the world rather than trade them if only baseball’s economic system mirrored the other big sports in America. Take for example, Manfred’s remarks during a media availability at the All Star Game:

MLB commissioner Rob Manfred says the gap between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the lowest-spending clubs in baseball is the reason he’s pushing for a salary cap.

“The gap is $441 million,” Manfred said, per ESPN’s Jesse Rogers. “It defies human experience to ask a fan to think that the bottom end of that gap has the same opportunity to win as the top end.”

Manfred added, per USA Today’s Bob Nightengale: “I have an ownership group that is more united than any group in my entire time in baseball.”

However, the degree to which fan sentiment has always just been a useful canard for billionaires who are really looking for labor cost certainty in their investment cannot be overstated. Evan Drellich made this point emphatically when he reported on the real motivations behind the league’s salary cap push in May for The Athletic:

Why, at a time when MLB has otherwise built positive momentum, would the league pursue such an acrimonious change, and risk alienating fans with a work stoppage? Many issues are at play, but none supersede the long game owners are playing. Their mission is to maximize the worth of their teams.

Baseball has always been a business, yes — but not like this. Private equity has flowed into the sport for the better part of a decade, and someday, those investors will want a return. And even though every team continues to grow in value, many owners believe that their clubs should command still-higher prices.

The average baseball team is worth $2.9 billion, more than double MLB’s $1.3 billion average from a decade ago, per Forbes’ annual estimates. But some franchises are appreciating at a much slower rate than others. When they put their teams up for sale in recent years, the owners of the Los Angeles Angels, Washington Nationals and Minnesota Twins were disappointed by the bids that came in.

Admittedly, that piece of reporting predates Angels owner Arte Moreno selling LA’s second most valuable MLB franchise for $4 billion. It’s quite the return on a $182.5 million purchase in 2003. If only all of our retirement accounts could produce a profit of 22 times the original investment. To be clear, Moreno was one of the four holdouts who voted against ratifying the 2022 CBA, citing, amongst other things, concerns about the luxury tax levels:

Four Major League Baseball owners — Bob Castellini of the Reds, Chris Ilitch of the Tigers, Ken Kendrick of the Diamondbacks and Arte Moreno of the Angels — objected to raising the competitive balance tax to the levels the league ultimately proposed most recently, three people briefed on an owner-wide call held this week told The Athletic. MLB moved forward with the proposal anyway, moving its offer on the first threshold to $220 million — up $10 million from where it was in 2021, and $6 million from its previous offer, but still far below the players’ ask of $238 million.

The luxury tax’s rate of growth has not kept pace with the overall revenues growth in the sport, making it one of the main concerns for the players.

The resistance of the four owners reveals at least some of the hard-liners who are likely influencing perhaps the single-most contentious issue in negotiations that have already cost the sport games. One person briefed on the call noted that White Sox owner Jerry Reinsdorf, a hawk in the 1994-95 dispute, was not among those to stand in the way. Not all small-market owners — owners who theoretically would be most disadvantaged by an increase in the luxury tax, which curtails high-end spending — were opposed to the raise, either. Rather, at least some of the four owners took stances based on their personal feelings toward costs and baseball’s economic system, sources said.

Apparently, an original investment appreciating from $182.5 million to $4 billion in 23 years just isn’t enough for the wealthiest people among us. They want more, they always want more. You don’t become a billionaire who owns one of only 30 MLB franchises without demanding even more for yourself, your investments and your interests.

And frankly, with that type of money, billionaires have a tendency to build their own reality. Which gets to the core of the real reason it probably doesn’t matter that the last three teams standing eviscerates the case MLB and the owners have made for the better part of a year for a salary cap. They’ll just abandon that specious argument and pivot to some other justification for a salary cap. Afterall, it’s all about maximizing profits for their investors at the end of the day.

Meanwhile, the Brewers might have to face their former ace Freddy Peralta if Tampa Bay beats Cleveland. It’s quite the turn of events after the team with the highest payroll in baseball, the New York Mets, couldn’t win enough to justify holding onto the flamethrower at the trade deadline. Yet another player who keeps thriving in smaller markets with robust analytics departments staffed by humans, jobs that apparently aren’t quite ready to be turned over to yet another billionaire dream of reducing labor costs, AI.

Amidst all of the gamesmanship around the future of the sport, I can’t help but return to this year’s NLCS MVP, Jake Bauers. While the titans of industry argue about who should reap the riches of America’s multi-billion national pastime that saw franchise valuations rise more than 50 percent to $87 billion from 2021 to 2026, his heroics at the plate weren’t the only reason Bauers was front and center throughout the Brewers v. Dodgers series. MLB on Fox just couldn’t resist the sharing the anecdote that Bauers thought about retiring, but then his wife got pregnant, and, well, like a lot of us, he needed his job to make sure he had healthcare:

A small market World Series is probably not going to save us from an offseason of billionaires risking chopping off the head of their golden gooses in the interest of making even more money. But seeing our own financial precarity, and the types of decisions we all make about jobs and healthcare, in the face of the NLCS MVP might be enough to move more fans into the Major League Baseball Player’s Association side of this fight. Who among us hasn’t stayed at a job longer than we probably should have to make sure we have healthcare?

2026 Dbacks Postmortem Part 2: What Went Wrong?

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - SEPTEMBER 27: Ketel Marte #4 of the Arizona Diamondbacks reacts after fouling a ball off his foot during the seventh inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on September 27, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Every season has the good and the bad, and 2026 was no different. The worst thing obviously was missing the playoffs despite winning 86 games. Goes without saying. But why did this team miss the playoffs? We as fans of the Arizona Diamondbacks are no strangers to missing the playoffs and having a whole laundry list of items to stew over for the offseason. However, I wanted to limit this list just like in my previous article to just the top 5 things. In order to do this in the most fair and balanced way, I chose an analytical approach. I ranked the list of things that went wrong and tried to quantify each by WAR against preseason projections (Steamer and ZIPS average), or in other words what went wrong relative to expectations. So ladies and gentlemen, without further ado, here is stack ranked what went most wrong for the Dbacks in 2026:

1. The Projected Rotation Collapsed: 7.8 wins lost

This one is ugly. 4 of the 5 starters they planned around combined for about -0.6 WAR against 7.2 projected. This aspect of the team far and away takes the crown for the biggest thing that went wrong for the Arizona Diamondbacks in 2026. Merrill Kelly had the worst underlying numbers of any regular starter in baseball with an xERA and a K-BB% that both ranked dead last amongst qualified starters. And he took the ball every 5th day for 162 IP so those innings did real damage to this team.

Zac Gallen went from having an elite 4 seamer in 2023 (98th percentile by run value) to 8th percentile in 2026 at the same velocity. Hitters simply stopped chasing as the league adjusted to Gallen in a big way and Gallen has simply failed to make an adjustment back. Because he signed the big contract in the offseason, he got waaaay to much leash this season pitching 105 innings of 6.07 ERA baseball. Ouch.

Corbin Burnes was sold to the fanbase since spring training as someone who was going to come back and provide this team a real shot in the arm. The actual results? He basically didn’t even pitch logging just 10.1 innings and looking like he was most certainly rushed back too fast.

As a team, the starters allowed the 3rd hardest contact in MLB (xwOBA .341) and ranked 28th in K-BB% despite throwing the 5th most innings. Put plainly, if it wasn’t for Eduardo Rodriguez and Michael Soroka (+3.5 WAR over projection combined) this season would’ve been an absolute disaster. And to add even more doom and gloom, ERod’s 2.89 ERA came with a 4.27xERA (41 st percentile) so the Dbacks need to really do something this offseason with Soroka becoming a free agent to drastically sure up this rotation.

2. Dead AB’s at 1B, LF, and DH for half the season: about 5 wins lost

Lourdes Gurriel Jr, Max Kepler, Pavin Smith, and Carlos Santana were combined -5.4 WAR against projection. Gurriel alone was -1 WAR and add Adrian Del Castillo to the mix and that group took 665 PA below a 60 wRC+. Ouch. This group drug the team down so much that the offense went from 19th in runs per game before the break to 4th after the break and about 85% of that rise came from changing who batted. This was a massive miscalculation by Hazen and co. in the offseason when they built this team. Several people such as our good friend Jack Sommers called out in the offseason that this team badly needed an impact left handed bat this offseason.

However Hazen shrugged those concerns off when asked about them before the season started and it really came back to hurt this team. To make matters worse, the coaching staff was still trying to coach this group as if they were the thumpers from seasons before having them sell out for pulled fly balls and the result? Production on pulled fly balls and line drives ranked 30th or dead last in the league. Put another way, Hazen and co. constructed a lineup full of guys who lacked the pure bat speed to make the pull fly ball approach work, and the coaching staff continued to coach to it despite disastrous results. Yuck.

3. Marte’s Lost second half and the ‘big 3’s’ step back: about 2 wins vs expectations (about 7 vs 2025)

The chart below says it all. At least where Carroll and Perdomo fell flat with the bat they were able to add value on the bases and the field, however Ketel Marte was the real miss here (-1.9 WAR vs expectations). Marte’s chase rate jumped from 25% to 32% before any injury. After the all star break his xwOBA fell from .364 to .307 and his hard hit rate went from 45% to 36%. And that was aside from all of the extra negative attention he brought this team after the break which if I was in charge I’d add another -1 WAR for that alone! Carroll was close to his projection, although his swing got longer and loftier as the season went on and the pitchers just attacked it with more fastballs. His whiffs per swing on fastballs rose 3 straight years to 25.5% in 2026. He did begin to adjust in the second half as the fastball whiffs dropped down to 21.9% but his results simply didn’t follow. There is something to be optimistic about there at least.

4. Injuries Especially to the Arms

Now, I know what people will say, every team has injuries. And that is certainly true. The Dbacks actually had some good injury luck in 2026 relatively. However I have stuck to the plan this long taking an analytical approach and so I need to stay with it. If we look at the injuries from the standpoint of total IL days, the Dbacks actually ranked 6th most in MLB with 2,107 IL days. MLB median was about 1,660. Here is the list:

Not really that much to say here except for another year it seems like this team’s replacement depth got tested with guys like Mitch Bratt and Jose Cabrera pitching meaningful innings. Hazen and co need to anticipate these injuries rather than point to them as an excuse and build more depth into the organization so that when they happen, its more of a minor drop in production not production falling off a cliff. Expect injuries.

5. The Left Handed Core Stopped Hitting RHP and they Didn’t Acquire a Bat TWICE

You guys lnew this was coming. And it partly underlies #2 on this list. However, it was so bad, it definitely deserves its own spot. The overall read: This team went from being one of the best hitting teams against right handed pitching in the league to being one of the worst and finishing about 4 wins below average against righties. This matters so much because righties pitched against the Dbacks in 73% of their plate appearances. Against lefties, they were 2nd in MLB at +44 runs. The root cause of their offensive struggles is pretty simple.

What’s strange however is that the ‘big 3’ all bat left handed against righties and usually perform pretty well. The collapse of the ‘big 3’ against RHP is something that I don’t think anyone really saw coming in all fairness. So what happened to them? Here is the frustrating part: mostly bad luck. As a group, the lefties had a wOBA of .300 against an expected of .313. Marte and Carroll account for much of this bad luck however which is good news for 2027.

In addition to the core not producing against RHP, Hazen also whiffed on acquiring a left handed impact bat not once but twice. Before the season it felt more like hubris, at the trade deadline it came down to just more bad luck with multiple reported deals falling apart at the last minute due to medicals. Unfortunately it just seemed like destiny that this team was going to struggle against righties in 2026. Fortunately it appears as to most of that being due to bad luck so although this team definitely needs to acquire an impact left handed bat this offseason, they already have 3 who seemed to just get really unlucky all at once.

And so with that, let’s end this terrible exercise of doom and gloom with that little bit of optimism towards 2027!

The three biggest surprises of the 2026 Yankees season

BRONX, NY - OCTOBER 02: Cam Schlittler #31 of the New York Yankees walks in from the bullpen with Austin Wells #28 prior to the American League Wild Card Game 3 against the Boston Red Sox October 2, 2025 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, New York. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

A wise man once said you can’t predict baseball. That doesn’t stop us from trying. Ahead of every season, just about every baseball-related publication tries to glimpse the future and predict the outcome of the year ahead. And at the end of the year, we realize again and again how futile the exercise can truly be. Even for a season that develops according to expectations, there will always be contours to the road that you didn’t have mapped out.

The 2026 Yankees washed out to an AL East rival in the Division Series for the second straight year; not an unforeseen fate for a team that was largely running it back with a nearly identical roster. As such, as we mark off the biggest surprises of the season, that end result isn’t all you’ll find similar with the last time we did this exercise.

So, let’s get started. Who could’ve predicted…

…that Cam Schlittler would be this good, this quickly?

We all saw glimpses of the ace starter Cam Schlittler could be when he carved up the Red Sox in the winner-take-all Game 3 of last season’s Wild Card Series, but I don’t imagine anyone anticipated the 25-year old would become the top pitcher in the American League the following year. Cam’s 14 start-run in 2025 showed a pitcher with tantalizing talent but plenty of room for refinement—namely a 10.2 percent walk rate which is the calling card of volatile and inconsistent pitchers from sea to shining sea.

That makes it all the more incredible that Cam was not only incredibly dominant, but consistently so. Schlittler didn’t really have his first bad start until June, and lest you thought that would be the moment the other shoe dropped, he didn’t let his ERA climb above 2.26 from midsummer onward. The 1.95 mark he finished with was good for a bronze medal in all-time Yankee lore. And the command troubles he flashed as a rookie vanished—he struck out 239 batters and walked only 49, a nearly 5-to-1 ratio. As of this writing, Schlittler has not yet been given the Cy Young award, but it’s a foregone conclusion. Even my most bullish preseason prediction for him probably would not have ended with him accepting that hallowed honor, but he electrified everyone and surpassed every test in 2026.

…that the Yankees would not grab a catcher at the deadline?

The vibes around this team were going sour with the June rib injury to Aaron Judge—which kept him out until September, when a quad strain would sideline him for the all-too-short remainder of the season. Brian Cashman had to act to shore up a roster which was suddenly emitting about seven distress signals. He added more offense where he could, bringing aboard Luis Garcia Jr. and Heliot Ramos while calling up reinforcements from the minors—more on them later.

Not included on his shopping receipt, however, was a catcher, which was seen as the Yankees’ biggest need. That, of course, was because of the abysmal year Austin Wells had been enduring to that point. Wells had managed just a .504 OPS through the first half—unplayably bad even if it accompanied his generally solid defense. But the task of adding a new backstop was quickly complicated by their own closest rivals, who added two of the best catchers on the market. The Red Sox made a splash by trading for Adley Rutschman from the Orioles, and the Rays dealt with the Marlins for Liam Hicks.

As the hours toward the deadline ticked down, the Yankees were stuck with a bunch of poor options. The Twins’ Ryan Jeffers was coming off a recent injury and would be expensive; so would Colorado’s Hunter Goodman. The other remaining names were lateral moves at best. So, the Yankee braintrust ultimately chose to stick with Wells.

Thankfully, this was a problem that ultimately sorted itself out, as Wells found his swing at long last in the second half. He actually became one of the more consistent bats for the Yankees in the final two months and played to a second-half .787 OPS, more than doubling his home run and RBI total in the process. Unfortunately, Wells’ season would conclude with one more surprise, and a deeply unpleasant one: getting thrown out at third trying to leg out a triple in ALDS Game 1.

…that calling up the rookies actually worked?

If you told me that Spencer Jones and George Lombard Jr. would be key planks in the Yankees’ second half lineup, I would have assumed their season had completely gone down the tubes. Jones, the powerful but whiff-prone outfielder, had not made waves in his first little Major League stint, hitting .167 in May before being sent back down to Triple-A. Lombard, the precocious shortstop, was a known commodity in the field, but a mystery at the plate—and awfully young to be thrown into the most pressure-packed spot in the league: the little patch of dirt between second and third in the Bronx.

The aforementioned injury to Judge—and later an injury to Trent Grisham—quickly brought Jones back into the fold, and the lefty picked up three hits in his first game back in the Show. Jones raised his level in June, hitting to an .808 OPS before a second brief demotion; then Cody Bellinger got hurt and he came back again, this time for good. He didn’t set the world on fire at any point in his rookie year, but Jones proved he could be a productive Major Leaguer, for at least the few months they needed him to be one. Another surprise with Jones was the somewhat ridiculous reverse splits he put up: a 1.107 OPS against lefties as opposed to just .647 off righties.

Lombard received the call to the Majors directly after the Trade Deadline, as the Yankees searched for more talent to ignite their slumbering offense. In a memorable MLB debut, Lombard made a handful of stellar plays at short, then homered in his second Major League at-bat—the same night his brother Jacob went yard in the low minors. Lombard turned a great first game into a great first week, showing composure beyond his years and an advanced approach at the plate.

The 21-year old’s offensive numbers soon dipped to pedestrian levels, and he had his defensive hiccups as well. But he never relinquished the starting shortstop position, even when Anthony Volpe—whom the Yankees had surprisingly optioned to make room from Lombard—returned to the roster. He acquitted himself well in the playoffs as well, going 6-for-18 overall. While neither he nor Jones are looking like perennial All-Stars, they may yet become mainstays on a roster in need of retooling this offseason.

Astros manager Joe Espada officially leaving Houston, heightening Mariners interview intrigue

HOUSTON, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 21: Manager Joe Espada #19 of the Houston Astros looks on during batting practice before a game against the Seattle Mariners at Daikin Park on September 21, 2025 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Houston Astros/Getty Images) | Getty Images

On Wednesday, the Houston Astros officially announced they would not be renewing the contract of manager Joe Espada, one day after the Seattle Mariners were granted permission to interview him for their vacant managerial role.

The move follows three seasons and two AL West titles for Espada in orange and blue. Espada had a strong lineup, but big shoes to fill in taking over for the retiring Dusty Baker after serving as Houston’s bench coach since 2018. Inheriting a strong roster with some glaring flaws, he led the club to a 256-229 record in his tenure. Previously, Espada spent time on the coaching staffs of the New York Yankees and Florida/Miami Marlins stretching back to 2010 in the role of third base and/or infield coach. Houston had already fired general manager Dana Brown in August, leaving the future for Espada murky at the end of his contract this year.

The 51 year old Puerto Rican was selected 45th overall in the 1996 draft by the Oakland Athletics, an impressive feat as he’d starred at the University of Mobile in Alabama, competing at the NAIA level of college athletics. Espada spent a decade playing in the minors, including stints with the now-defunct Low-A Southern Oregon Timberjacks in Medford, OR and later in then-Triple-A Vancouver with the Canadians as an A’s prospect. Espada bounced around to the Rockies, Marlins, Royals, Cardinals, Rangers, and Rays before returning to his alma mater to coach and play indy ball. His coaching path took him up through the minors when he was hired as a hitting coach in the Marlins system, eventually joining the Marlins big league staff in 2010. Espada has been a coach on the staff for the Puerto Rican national team in the World Baseball Classic since 2013.

The case for Seattle to pursue and hire Espada is straightforward. The Mariners have made it clear they are seeking a manager with outside perspectives, experience, and the ability to augment the existing programs in place. Espada has worked across several successful organizations, spent the past three years as an active manager with undeniable success, and is already quite familiar with the American League West. Espada would also be Seattle’s first Spanish-speaking manager since Lou Piniella, and the first full-time manager born outside of the contiguous United States (Cuban Marty Martinez, known for signing Edgar Martinez and Omar Vizquel as a scout, managed one game for Seattle in 1986 in the absence of full-time skipper Chuck Cottier). It goes without saying that the capacity to communicate fluently to the majority of the players on the roster is an extremely valuable skill, particularly when trying to communicate and deliver educational and instructive concepts while building buy-in and trust.

Houston choosing to not renew Espada could be seen as a red flag, but the decision appears most concentrated with their owner, Jim Crane, whose decision-making with personnel is more pockmark than not at this point. Espada has spoken about how the impacts of being steeped in two organizations (New York and Houston) highly inclined towards incorporating analytics and advanced data-tracking into their philosophies has helped him learn to be a better communicator and teacher, as well as his experience raising his children, including a daughter, Viviana, with an autism diagnosis. Astros beat reporter for The Athletic, Chandler Rome, described Espada as “[a manager with a reputation as a players’ manager who allowed Houston’s veteran clubhouse to function how it saw fit.” That may strike a workable balance for Seattle, who has valued player agency in Jerry Dipoto’s decade and change of tenure, but is in need of greater balance.

They’ll also need to navigate the elephant in the video room that comes with any former Astros hiree of a certain era.

After serving on the Yankees staff through the 2017 season, Espada joined the Astros in 2018, in the middle of their sign-stealing cheating scandal that helped accelerate their decade of success. It is not clear what involvement Espada had in the cheating scheme, which began prior to his arrival in 2017 per MLB’s investigation and continued through the 2018 season. Much blame was levied on his predecessor as Houston’s bench coach, Alex Cora, as well as veteran player Carlos Beltrán, but given Cora departed, it seems likely Espada was aware at a minimum. Nonetheless, he was named the interim manager in Houston upon the year-long suspension of manager A.J. Hinch.

MLB is not an organization nor a culture that values consequences if they impede what they want, however. Hinch was hired immediately after his suspension by the Detroit Tigers. Cora’s suspension led to him being immediately rehired, extended, and as recently as this month having the Phillies publicly pursue him doggedly to the point he chose to turn them down. Espada, like the rest of the Astros coaching staff, players, and organization save general manager Jeff Luhnow, saw little or no consequence for their decision to cheat to win. While this has long drawn frustration within the sport and outside of it, there is a genuine uncertainty that MLB’s investigation struggled to identify: who actually did what, and how do you determine responsibility?

Can Espada be the right fit for Seattle? We’ll know soon if the Mariners think so.

Ranking the Rockies, 2026: No. 41, Zac Veen

DENVER, CO - SEPTEMBER 22: Colorado Rockies left fielder Zac Veen (13) looks on from the dugout during a game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on September 22, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Welcome to the 2026 edition of Ranking the Rockies, where we take a look back at every player to log playing time for the Rockies in 2026. The purpose of this list is to provide a snapshot of the player in context. The “Ranking” is an organizing principle that’s drawn from Baseball Reference’s WAR (rWAR). It’s not something the staff debated. We’ll begin with the player with the lowest rWAR and end up with the player with the highest.


No. 41, Zac Veen (-0.3 rWAR)

Zac Veen (No. 6 PuRP) has had a lot of ups and downs in his tenure with the Rockies.

There was a lot of excitement when the outfielder was drafted ninth overall in 2020 out of Spruce Creek High School in Port Orange, FL and he ended up making his MLB debut on April 8, 2025 after nearly breaking camp with the team.

It didn’t go very well.

Veen played 12 games with the Rockies in 2025, slashing just .118/.189/.235 with eight total bases and 14 strikeouts. He fared a little better in Triple-A Albuquerque — slashing .289/.354/.468 through 90 games — but it was revealed in spring training 2026 that Veen was dealing with substance abuse off the field.

When he arrived at Salt River Fields to start 2026, Veen was a different player.

He’d put on about 43 pounds from the end of last season, and was a new player both physically and mentally. Veen played in 11 spring games, hitting .250/.375/.550 with two homers.

He was optioned to Albuquerque to start the year, and absolutely tore through the Pacific Coast League. Ahead of his call-up on August 11th, Veen was hitting a scorching .327/.402/.635 with 24 home runs and 18 stolen bases. He was named PCL Player of the Month for June — where he hit .366/.385/.782 with 24 extra-base hits — as well as back-to-back PCL Player of the Week for the weeks of August 2nd and August 9th.

Veen was recalled on August 11th and made his MLB re-debut on August 12th against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He immediately made his presence known by hitting a home run into the pool at Chase Field in his first game back:

He doubled down by hitting a splash home run into McCovey Cove in San Francisco in the very next game:

He also had that wild play at home on August 16th:

Veen came back with a vengeance, but it didn’t last.

After about a week, he began to cool off both at the plate and in the field. He was primarily used as a late-inning pinch hitter, or he would be pinch-hit for late in games. He didn’t make much of a case for himself, though, as he also committed numerous blunders in the field (though only two were scored as errors).

The most egregious ones were on September 17th against the San Diego Padres, where Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts hit back-to-back triples, though they could’ve been scored as errors.

He also bobbled a few during the season-closing Diamondbacks series.

As shown by his -4 OAA and -5 DRS, Veen’s defense left much to be desired, especially late in the season.

Offensively, Veen slashed just .232/.312/.435 in 36 games. It’s not a terrible line, but it’s nothing to write home about either. The 39.2% strikeout rate is, though, as it was second only to Braxton Fulford (40.0%) and nearly double his strikeout rate in Albuquerque (20.4%).

Skyler Timmins wrote about Veen’s performance in early September, and not much has changed since then.

Veen’s torrid Triple-A season was rewarded, though, as he finished the year as Baseball America’s Triple-A Player of the Year, PCL MVP — the first Rockies prospect to win the award since Nolan Arenado’s cousin Joshua Fuentes in 2018 — and a postseason All-Star.

As the Rockies continue their rebuild, there will be some tough decisions to make.

Zac Veen’s future is one of them.


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Pirates Brandon Lowe named Gold Glove finalist

Mar 21, 2026; Bradenton, Florida, USA; Pittsburgh Pirates second baseman Brandon Lowe (5) throws the ball to first base for an out during the fourth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at LECOM Park. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

Rawlings has announced the Gold Glove finalists for the 2026 season at each position group in both the American and National Leagues. Pittsburgh Pirates star second baseman Brando Lowe is up for the award which would be his first gold glove of his career.  

The finalists are coming from The National League Central. Lowe, alongside a pair of division rivals in Brice Turang of the Milwaukee Brewers and rookie JJ Wetherholt of the St. Louis Cardinals, is one of three players up for those honors at second base in the NL.

The 32-year-old was Acquired in a three-team trade from the Tampa Bay Rays last offseason alongside Mason Montgomery and Jake Mangum that saw Mike Burrows head to the Houston Astros. The star second basemen did not disappoint this season for the Buccos. 

He slashed .260/.331/.493 with 35 home runs and 96 RBIs over a career-high 656 plate appearances for the Pirates. Lowe controversially was not an All-Star this year, but he did finish with 5.4 bWAR, which is the highest mark of his career.

It might be a tough award to win this year for Lowe because of how good Turang and Wetherholt have been defensively for their respective teams. Lowe finished the season with 13 defensive runs saved which is 10 behind Turang who had 23. 

The veteran had 15 outs above average which was one more above Turang but was well under wetherholt who had 25. 

Lowe was so important to the Pirates winning season this year. He finished the year leading the team in home runs and RBIs and he was the best defender on the team. It would be amazing to see a Pirate win this award. Third baseman Jared Triolo was also announced as a gold glove finalist as well for Pittsburgh. 

The winners will be announced on November 1st. 

Even a four-run lead wasn’t good enough against the Brewers

LOS ANGELES, CA - OCTOBER 15: Garrett Mitchell #5 of the Milwaukee Brewers rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run to take the lead in the sixth inning during Game Four of the National League Championship Series between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Los Angeles Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Thursday, October 15, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The quest for a three peat is over. The Commissioner’s Trophy will find a new home.

A year after the Dodgers swept the Milwaukee Brewers in the 2025 NLCS, Milwaukee returned the favor with a four-game sweep over the defending two-time champions, marking their first World Series appearance since 1982. The best team in the 2026 regular season will try to secure their first championship in franchise history.

Game 4 did not look promising in the early goings for the Brewers, as Andy Pages collected his third hit with runners in scoring position of the postseason to start the scoring against old friend Dustin May in the bottom of the second inning. Shohei Ohtani had his breakout moment, smashing a three-run home run to give the Dodgers their biggest lead of the series. Little by little, Milwaukee went from being hitless over their first three innings to chipping away at Tyler Glasnow and the bullpen, scoring six unanswered runs and breaking the hearts of Dodger fans in attendance.

Glasnow was in total command over his first 10 batters faced, striking out six while working with a four-run cushion. A walk to Brice Turang spelled the Dodgers’ inevitable doom, as William Contreras and eventual NLCS MVP Jake Bauers roped ground-rule doubles to cut the Dodger lead in half. Glasnow managed to complete four full innings, but Milwaukee kept the blood pouring as David Hamilton brought the lead to one run with a base hit up the middle in the top of the fifth.

Evan Phillips came in relief of Glasnow to keep the lead alive, but after two consecutive two-out walks to Turang and Contreras, Dave Roberts decided to bring in Alex Vesia to face Bauers with the bases loaded. Vesia couldn’t locate the zone and allowed Milwaukee to tie the game on four pitches without a swing of the bat from Bauers. Garrett Mitchell had only hit one home run against a left-handed pitcher in the regular season. He hit his second home run off a southpaw in as many days with a go-ahead home run against Tanner Scott in the top of the sixth inning, completing the comeback for a hungry Brewers team.

The Dodgers managed to grab a lead in every game against Milwaukee, but the Brewers kept finding ways to turn things around. A team that scored a combined four runs in last year’s NLCS, Milwaukee turned things around by scoring a combined 21 runs in the four-game sweep. Four runs for the Dodgers in both Games 2 and 4 were the most they could muster against Milwaukee, and the team averaged less than three runs scored per game.

The last time the Dodgers were eliminated in the postseason before Thursday, Kiké Hernández lined out to Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to help the Arizona Diamondbacks finish a three-game sweep in the 2023 NLDS. Hernández once again represented the final hope for the Dodgers, lining out to Jackson Chourio in left field and sending the city of Milwaukee into an unforgettable frenzy.

The Season That Was: Kevin Gausman

TORONTO, ON - AUGUST 01: Kevin Gausman (34) of the Toronto Blue Jays looks on in the dugout during the MLB game against the St. Louis Cardinals on August 01, 2026 at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

2026 was the final season of Kevin Gausman’s five-year, $110 million free-agent contract. In the first four seasons, Kevin posted a 48-41 record, a 3.48 ERA, and an 11.5 bWAR. A good return on a big free-agent contract. Not all that many of those go as well as this one did.

But 2026 was his age-35 season, and sometimes pitchers don’t do well in their mid-30s.

Standard Pitching Table
AgeTeamWARWLERAGGSIPHRERHRBBIBBSOHBPBKWPBFERA+FIP
352TM1.19124.513232177.2179968926471184132750973.74
35TOR1.05104.382323127.11286862153611271315401013.51
35CHC0.1424.839950.15128271111057001210884.33
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 10/15/2026.

Baseball Reference has him at a 1.1 WAR (down from 4.0). FanGraphs 3.1 (down from 4.1), giving him a value of $25.1 million to the Jays and Cubs.

He had a 3.3.74 FIP and a 3.58 xFIP, which is why the FanGraphs WAR is so much better than the Baseball Reference one.

Kevin’s BABIP was .311 (up from.262 last year). 68.7% of his base runner were stranded (down from 72.2%).

His line drive rate was down a little bit (19.6% from 21.3 last year), ground ball rate up (40.3% down from 36.7), and fly ball rate much the same (40.3% from 42.0). 12.7% of fly balls hit off him left the park, up from 9.5.

His strikeout rate about the same (24.5% from 24.4), and his walk rate was down a bit (6.3% from 6.5).

Kevin’s soft contact was up (17.4% from 15.1 last year) and hard contact about the same (35.9% from 36.2).

He was better against LHB (.251/.304/.389) than RHB (.269/.307/.459). He’s been slightly better against LHB for his career.

He was better at home (3.83 ERA, batters hit .264/.299/.439) than on the road (5.40, .253/.313/.394).

Kevin was better in the first half of the season (4.33, .244/.296/.405) than the second half (4.82, .284/.320/.444).

Gausman by month:

  • April: 7 starts, 2-2, 3.10. Batters hit .204/.244/.349, 5 home runs, 8 walks and 40 strikeouts.
  • May: 5 starts, 2-1, 3.18. Batters hit .291/.316/.364, 1 home run, 4 walks and 26 strikeouts.
  • June: 6 starts, 0-4, 6.47. Batters hit .262/.324/.556, 9 home runs, 12 walks and 34 strikeouts.
  • July: 4 starts, 0-3, 6.10. Batters hit .280/.366/.317, 3 home runs, 11 walks and 23 strikeouts.
  • August: 6 starts, 4-1, 4.54. Batters hit .275/.312/.443, 5 home runs, 8 walks and 33 strikeouts.
  • September: 4 starts, 1-1, 4.43. Batters hit .267/.298/.478, 6 home runs, 4 walks and 28 strikeouts.

The Jays were 9-14 in his starts. The Cubs were 5-4 in his starts. Between the two teams, they averaged 4.05 runs scored in games he started. They scored 2 or less runs in 13 of his starts.

Days of rest:

  • 4 days, 12 games: 3.54, .246/.288/.404.
  • 5 days, 16 games: 5.26, .265/.313/.433.
  • 6 or more days, 4 games: 4.50, .275/.326/.413

I love guys who are best on normal rest. I think we are all creatures of habit, you get in a routine and things go well, you leave that routine and they don’t got as well. He was also best on normal rest last year.

Times through the order:

  • 1st: Batters hit .233/.276/.346.
  • 2nd: Batters hit .270/.318/.460.
  • 3rd: Batters hit .286/.333/.478.
  • And he faced 1 batter a fourth time, getting the out.

I wonder if he would consider being a reliever next year? That might be reading too much into one season, in 2025 he was pretty much the same for each of the first three times through the order.

By Catcher:

  • Brandon Valenzuela: 4.46, .254/.298/.396 in 308 PA.
  • Alejandro Kirk: 4.81, .263/.324/.419 in 185 PA.
  • Carson Kelly: 4.20, .226/.268/.426 in 123 PA.
  • Miguel Amaya: 5.75, .305/.333/.500 in 87 PA.
  • Tyler Heineman: 2.31, .273/.319/.409 in 47 PA.

Kevin’s best start, by GameScore, was a 78 on April 1st, at home against the Rockies. He went 6 innings, 2 hits, 0 earned runs, 0 walks, and 10 strikeouts. He also had a 77 and two 76s.

Worst start? A 13 in Chicago against the Cubs, on June 19th. You likely remember it: 2 innings, 7 hits, 7 earned runs, 1 home run, 4 walks and 3 strikeouts. We used six relievers, two days after a bullpen day, and the next day Patrick Corbin was pulled after 3.2 innings.

Kevin averaged 5.5 innings per start in his 23 starts with us. And about the same in his 9 starts with the Cubs. His one playoff start didn’t go all that well: 3.1 innings, 3 earned.


He threw, for the most part, three pitches:

  • Four Seamer: 93.8 mph (last year it averaged 94.5). Batters hit .289 against it (.230 last year).
  • Split finger: 84 mph (last year it averaged 94.9). Batters hit .207 against it (.191 last year).
  • Slider: 84.1 mph (last year it averaged 83.2). Batters hit .324 against it (.333 last year).

Random Baseball Savant numbers:

  • Fastball Run Value: 87th percentile.
  • Breaking Ball Run Value: 7th percentile.
  • Chase Rate: 88th percentile.
  • Strikeout %: 70th percentile.
  • Walk %: 86th percentile.
  • Barrell %: 46th percentile.
  • Hard Hit %: 34th percentile.
  • Expected ERA: 53rd percentile.

With the Jays, he posted a 53-51 record and a 3.63 ERA, with a 12.5 bWAR (and a 21 fWAR). FanGraphs says he was worth $167.6 million over his five-year contract, and he was paid $110 million, so we got more than our money’s worth.

On the Jays career leaderboard:

  • 11th in pitcher bWAR: 12.5.
  • 7th in ERA: 3.62
  • 11th in wins: 53 (tied with Jose Berrios)
  • 11th in innings pitched: 861.0.
  • 7th in strikeouts: 920.
  • 9th in games started: 148.

He also started 7 playoff games (and pitched once in relief) for the Jays. He had a 3.79 ERA and a 2-4 record.

The last I saw, Gausman was talking about retirement, but he has said that he would consider coming back to the Jays. As I mentioned above, he was terrific the first time through the order, and far less good the second and third times. But I’m not sure that he would want to come back to pitch out of the pen.

The trade looks very good for the Jays, Brett Bateman was terrific for us, in his 41 games. Ty Southisene played well for 11 games with Vancouver, hitting .262/.380/.429. It will be interesting to watch how he does. FanGraphs had him listed as the Cubs 27th best prospect. He’s fast and plays good defense in the middle of the infield.

It was great getting to watch Gausman pitch. The last five seasons wouldn’t have been nearly as much fun without him.

New York Yankees Important 2026-2027 Offseason Dates

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - OCTOBER 07: Manager Aaron Boone #17 of the New York Yankees shakes hands with his players before game three of the American League Division Series against the Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium on October 07, 2026 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images) | Getty Images

We are quickly approaching the start of the official MLB offseason, and there are several dates that will reveal information you won’t want to miss.

With the lockout becoming more likely to begin in December, expect to witness a lot of cancellations, alterations, or postponements of important events such as the Winter Meetings, owner meetings, and the draft lottery. If the MLBPA and the owners’ dispute lasts deep into 2027, there’s at least a chance we may not see any baseball at all in the majors in 2027. The best-case may be something like what happened last time around, when an agreement was reached in early March and no games were ultimately lost outside of spring training; the 2022 campaign just began and ended a week later than originally planned.

Regardless, the list below tracks all the important dates that you’ll need to keep track of as we make our way through the offseason, with modifications to be anticipated from the impending lockout.

Day after the World Series ends: Free agents will automatically file at 9 a.m. EST. They won’t be allowed to sign for five days.

November 1: Gold Glove Award winners will be announced at 9 p.m. EST on ESPN. Cody Bellinger, Austin Wells, and José Caballero were all named finalists this season.

November 2: The Hall of Fame eight-person Contemporary Baseball Era ballot for post-1980 managers, executives, and umpires will be released. Silver Slugger Award finalists will be announced at 2 p.m. EST, followed by the BBWAA Award finalists on MLB Network from 6 – 8 p.m. EST.

Five days after the World Series ends: Free agents are now free to sign with any team and will need to make a decision by the time night falls. This also marks the last day to reinstate players from the 60-day injured list and issue qualifying offers to free agents who are eligible. Jazz Chisholm Jr. and David Bednar are among the Yankees who could potentially receive the QO, which has been set at $23.15 million.

November 6: Hear & Hustle Awards will be announced, and the Platinum Glove Award winners will be revealed at the Gold Glove Awards dinner in New York City.

November 9: Rookie of the Year will be announced at 7 p.m. EST on MLB Network.

November 9-12: The GM Meetings will begin on November 9th and continue through the 13th.

November 10: Manager of the Year will be announced at 7 p.m. EST on MLB Network.

November 11: The Cy Young Awards and the new BBWAA Relievers of the Year honors will be announced at 7 p.m. EST on MLB Network. Yankees’ ace Cam Schlittler is a frontrunner for the Cy Young after a stellar second season in pinstripes; he would be New York’s first winner since his teammate Gerrit Cole in 2023.

The MLB Awards Show, premiering on MLB Network at 9 p.m. EST, will reveal the All-MLB first and second teams, the Hank Aaron Award winners, Comeback Players of the Year, Mariano Rivera & Trevor Hoffman Relievers of the Year, and the Edgar Martinez Designated Hitter Award winner.

November 12: This year’s MVP Award winners will be announced at 7 p.m. EST on MLB Network.

November 16: The 2027 Hall of Fame ballot will be released at 12 p.m. EST. Andy Pettitte and Alex Rodriguez are among the candidates from last year’s cycle who earned enough votes to carry over into 2027. Retirees from 2021 will be under consideration, with Giants great Buster Posey leading a group that also includes career Yankee Brett Gardner.

November 17-19: The owners meetings will take place in New York City.

November 17: The Silver Slugger Awards will be announced.

This date also marks the Rule 5 protection deadline, which means that teams have to add any eligible players to their 40-man roster in order to make sure that they aren’t available for the draft.

The deadline for players to accept qualifying offers will also be at 4 p.m. EST.

November 20: This marks the deadline for decisions on tendering or non-tendering contracts for eligible players.

December 1: The Collective Bargaining Agreement expires at 11:59 p.m. EST, and barring a surprise in the current negotiations, the lockout will officially begin. As a reminder, minor-league players who are not already on a team’s 40-man roster have their own separate CBA that ends in December 2027, and no matter how long the MLB lockout lasts, the minor-league season will begin on time.

December 6: The Hall of Fame announces the Contemporary Baseball Era inductees. As mentioned in the November 2nd note, only managers, executives, and umpires are under consideration by that commitee for 2027. The more familiar BBWAA results come later on.

December 7-9: The Winter Meetings are scheduled be held in San Diego, but the major-league parts of it will likely be cancelled due to the lockout.

December 8: The Draft Lottery will take place, but will likely be postponed due to the lockout.

December 9: The Rule 5 Draft is scheduled take place, but will likely be affected in some way due to the lockout. The MLBPA did propose moving it up to late November so that there isn’t a repeat of what happened during the 2021 lockout, when the major-league portion of the Rule 5 was cancelled and only the minor-league phase was held. (There have not been any updates on the proposal’s acceptance.)

January 8: This is the official deadline for arbitration numbers to be exchanged between players and teams, but it will likely be postponed due to the lockout.

January 15: International Free Agent market for 2027 opens.

January 19: The results of the 2026 BBWAA Hall of Fame ballot and the 2027 inductees will be revealed, and we’ll find out who will be cementing their names in Cooperstown. 

February 19: Yankees spring training opener, on the road in Dunedin against the Blue Jays (subject to change due to the lockout).

March 25: Yankees Opening Day, at home against the Blue Jays (subject to change due to the lockout).

Brewers sweep Dodgers as petty SF Giants fans rejoice

Los Angeles, - October 15: Manager Dave Roberts of the Los Angeles Dodgerslook on in the ninth inning as the Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Dodgers 6-4 to win Game 4 of a NLCS playoff baseball game and advance to the World Series at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles on Thursday, October 15, 2026. (Photo by Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images) | MediaNews Group via Getty Images

In my glorious middle school prime, the be-all and end-all of t-shirt-based playground bravado was centered around the output of the No Fear T-Shirt Corporation. On the mean streets boulevards of Pleasant Hill, California, I learned valuable life lessons from reading my classmates’ aggressive clothing. I learned that if you died with the most toys, you still died. I learned that if you can’t win, don’t play. And I learned that second place is the first loser.

In the end, the San Francisco Giants and Los Angeles Dodgers were both losers. The Giants, because they lost 97 games, traded 25% of their team at the deadline, embarrassed themselves on the field with errors and homophobia, and employed the Jim Tomsula of major league managers. The Dodgers because they paid $616 million dollars to be the first loser. Actually, they’re tied for the second loser!

The Los Angeles Dodgers were swept in the National League Championship Series, something that has never happened to the San Francisco Giants. They’ve been swept in the World Series, in 1989. They’ve been swept in the Division Series, by the Marlins in 1997. But they’ve never suffered the ultimate in baseball humiliation: An NLCS sweep.

The Milwaukee Brewers were so confident in Game 4 that they spotted the Dodgers four runs, with Dustin May intentionally serving up a gopher ball to a hobbled Shohei Ohtani for a three-run home run.

Aww, he punched with both fists!

It’s not clear whether May’s pitch was a mistake, a selfless gift like you’d grant to a Make-A-Wish child, or a cruel gambit designed to make the Dodgers and their fans enjoy a few innings of false hope before the Brewers destroyed their dreams. Nevertheless, Ohtani celebrated, Chavez Ravine went wild, and the Dodgers did not score another run, finishing the series with just 11 runs in four games.

For the record, Ohtani, Mookie Betts, Kyle Tucker, and Freddie Freeman made $160M combined this season, though I believe through deferrals and delayed signing bonuses it somehow counts for Negative-Eleventy Million for competitive balance tax purposes.

The Brewers climbed back in the game by hitting back-to-back ground-rule doubles off Tyler Glasnow ($95M through 2028), which bounced off LA’s child-sized fences in both left and right field. Some say the correct term is “automatic double” and you will pry the laptop out of my cold, dead hands before I ever type that.

Then they came the rest of the way back by stealing bases, drawing walks, and generally remaining unintimidated by the team who swept them last year. It could also be the facial hair. Milwaukee hadn’t been to the World Series since 1982 and more than one Brewer has a mustache that would fit in just fine in the early 80’s.

The Dodgers’ two biggest free-agent splashes of the offseason were Tucker (four years, $240M) and reliever Edwin Diaz (three years, $69M [nice]), who actually played great against the Brewers after having wildly disappointing regular seasons. This winter, they’re hoping to bring back trade deadline acquisition Tarik Skubal, and then fill out their pitching staff with Robbie Ray, Michael King, and Kevin Gausman, while adding Seiya Suzuki for their outfield. Hell, why not let him try to pitch, too?

The early exit does give Ohtani a chance to spread his wings even further, and take over as the placekicker for the Los Angeles Rams. Catcher Will Smith plans to patch things up with Chris Rock now that he has some time off and Max Muncy plans to squint at a lot of things and then yell at them. And ownership plans to bulldoze the Hall of fame in Cooperstown and build a giant data center on the land.

Given his recent legal troubles and his sale of the Los Angeles Lakers, Dodgers owner Mark Walter may be facing financial uncertainty. So much that he’s reportedly considering selling his interest in his private prison corporation, or Palantir.

The Dodgers are going on vacation. Because they got swept. Say hi to JT Brubaker in Cancun, Max!

Notes from Game 4

  • The Brewers’ hitting coach is Daniel Vogelbach, a 33-year-old who made the All-Star team as a DH in 2019. Vogelbach was listed at six feet tall and 270 pounds, Perhaps unsurprisingly, Vogelbach was not known for his foot speed or his defense. He played first about 30% of the time and the rest was all DH.
  • It feels like teams often choose a hitting coach who is multi-skilled, with a wide range of reasons why they were professional baseball players. Vogelbach is a one-tool athlete. He managed to have a nine-year MLB career with the build of Chris Farley. OF COURSE he knows how to hit!
  • The moment I knew the Dodgers were truly in trouble was just after they’d walked in the tying run in the 5th inning. FS1 went to a crowd shot, and landed on actor Chris Klein, from “American Pie” and “Rollerball.” That was the best celebrity fan they could zoom in on? Was Jason Bateman busy recording a podcast or something? You know the series had gotten hopeless because even Kevin Hart wouldn’t show up for guaranteed camera time.
  • There was a Tanner Scott-Garrett Mitchell matchup in the 6th inning where both players would have better names if the first and last were reversed. Anyway, Mitchell crushed a home run to give the Brewers an insurmountable lead.
  • Related: “Cooper Pratt” is a wildly unlikeable name.
  • Not only did the Brewers end our national nightmare by sweeping the boys in blue, they limited the number of times baseball fans had to listen to John Smoltz talk. We only have to hear him seven more times, max, thanks to Milwaukee.
  • If you happen to be watching the baseball playoffs with your five-year-old nephew, angrily shouting “Kyle Tucker!” is a great way to feel like you’re swearing without corrupting a minor.
  • The biggest loser is Pat Riley, who registered the trademark for “Three-Peat” back in 1989. His Lakers let him down by losing to the Detroit Pistons in their attempt to win three straight titles, as did his own Miami Heat by losing to the San Antonio Spurs in 2014. That’s the real reason Riley has a bad relationship with LeBron James now. Since the Lakers in 2002, none of the Big Four sports teams have three-peated, with this year’s Dodgers being perhaps the biggest threat in two decades. Riley also owns the rights to “Four-Ward,” which hasn’t yet come up.
  • Byron Scott invented the term and then Riley trademarked it. Maybe that’s why Riles bailed after 1990 — he was worried Scott was coming after his royalties.

Dodger Stadium, the place for pennants of late

Los Angeles, - October 15: Principal owner of the Milwaukee Brewers, Mark Attanasio hoists up the championship trophy after defeating the Dodgers 6-4 to win Game 4 of a NLCS playoff baseball game and advance to the World Series at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles on Thursday, October 15, 2026. (Photo by Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images) | MediaNews Group via Getty Images

LOS ANGELES — Dodger Stadium joined a select group of baseball stadiums on Thursday, when the Milwaukee Brewers swept the Dodgers to earn a trip to the World Series for the first time since 1982. The stadium at Chavez Ravine is only the fourth MLB ballpark since the start of divisional play to have three consecutive pennants clinched on its field.

In 2024, the Dodgers closed out the New York Mets in Game 6 of the NLCS for their fourth pennant under manager Dave Roberts, but it was the first time the team clinched at Dodger Stadium since 1988. Last year, they followed that up with a sweep of the Brewers, culminating with Shohei Ohtani striking out 10 in six scoreless innings while also hitting three home runs in the finale in Los Angeles.

Since 1969, with the introduction of divisions and thusly another round of the postseason before the World Series, only three other ballparks have seen three consecutive pennants clinched.

Turner Field, Atlanta (1995-97)

Everyone remembers the Eric Gregg Game, when the home plate umpire had a broad definition of the strike zone during Livan Hernández’s 15-strikeout game, but that was Game 5 in Miami. The Marlins clinched the pennant in Game 6, beating the Braves in Atlanta in the first year they played in Turner Field.

In 1998, the Braves stayed alive by winning two games in San Diego, one of only four of 43 teams down 3-0 in a best-of-7 series to force at least a Game 6. But the Padres recovered to win Game 6 in Atlanta to win their second pennant.

After seeing other teams celebrate a pennant on their field, the Braves did so themselves by closing out the Mets at home. But even that was tough, as the Braves were up 3-0 and the Mets won the next two games, forcing the series back to Atlanta.

The 1990s were a fertile time for the Braves, and only a new stadium prevented this from being an even longer run. The Braves swept the Reds in the 1995 NLCS then beat the Cardinals in seven games in 1996. Both were clinched at their old ballpark, Atlanta-Fulton County Stadium, so this was really a five-year streak of the National League pennant won in Atlanta.

Wrigley Field, Chicago (2015-2017)

The Mets in 2015 beat the Dodgers in a five-game Division Series, then swept the Cubs in the NLCS, finishing off the series in Chicago. One year later, the Cubs beat the Dodgers in six games to claim their first pennant in 81 years.

In 2017, the Dodgers turned the tables, winning the first three games before the Cubs staved off an NLCS sweep by winning Game 4. Kiké Hernández homered three times in a blowout win in Game 5, clinching the Dodgers’ first pennant in 29 years, and the third straight celebrated at Wrigley Field.

Minute Maid Park, Houston (2017-19)

Everyone’s sweethearts, the bang-bang 2017 Astros finished off the American League Championship in Game 7 over the Yankees. Lance McCullers Jr. pitched the final four innings, which was the last save of at least three innings in a postseason clinching game before Aaron Ashby for the Brewers on Thursday night in Los Angeles.

In 2018, Alex Cora — the bench coach for the Astros in 2017 who would later serve a one-year suspension for his role in the sign-stealing scheme — was now managing the Red Sox and closed out the Astros in five games, the finale in Houston.

The Astros battle the Yankees again in 2019 and won the ALCS in six games, finishing things off at Minute Maid Park.