It’s been about a week since the Brewers hoisted the Commissioner’s Trophy at Tropicana Field, and some bettors are already sprinting to bet on the 2027 World Series winner as free agency gets started.
Personally? I’m in no rush to let a sportsbook hold onto my money for a year, especially with free agency and trades set to reshape rosters and a potential lockout hanging over everything.. But lines are live, so let’s break down the top favorites on the board and see where things stand heading into the winter.
2027 World Series Lookahead
Bullpen
Nobody should be surprised to see the Dodgers at the top of the odds board once again. They won 100 games in 2026 despite their rotation racking up injuries. Shohei Ohtani battled through shoulder/arm and knee injuries as his three-year MVP run was snapped. LA’s lineup began showing its age. Andy Pages and Kyle Tucker were their only lineup regulars under the age of 30. It didn’t help that Tucker didn’t begin hitting until the postseason. Top prospect Josue De Paula did make his debut. The 21-year-old should inject speed and pop, while looking at an everyday role in 2027.
It’s safe to expect the Dodgers to spend in free agency or at least be a part of the Skubal suitors. Even without the two-time Cy Young award winner, the Dodgers will have the best rotation in baseball once again.
With a fully healthy Ohtani, it’s tough to talk you out of betting LAD at any point, given this might be the best number we get. However, you’re not going to be profitable often betting the chalk a year in advance and having your money sit there in hopes of a little CLV.
Milwaukee Brewers (+650)
2026 Record: 103-59
Notable Free Agents
Jake Bauers, Dustin May, JoJo Romero
Biggest Needs
Replacing Jake Bauers
The defending World Series champs should return with most of their roster intact. They won’t be big free agent spenders, as it’s unlikely they will join the bidding on their former first baseman Jake Bauers. 19-year-old Jesús Made is the top prospect in baseball and is likely to join the Show in 2027. 3B Andrew Fischer should also make his MLB debut, as he hit 48 home runs in AA for Milwaukee. The Brewers will continue down the path of developing their own talent.
While their pitching staff should lead the way again, upgrading the backend of the rotation would give them a boost. Aaron Ashby anchored the pen, dominating for 107 innings including the postseason. I’m curious if they give him another shot at the rotation and maybe have DL Hall take over his fireman role.
It will also be interesting to see if their offense can stay near the top of the BABIP leaderboard next season. I have a hard time betting on Milwaukee’s offense to lead the majors in runs per game again in 2027, making a repeat bet tough to justify at the current number.
New York Yankees (+800)
2026 Record: 93-68
Notable Free Agents
David Bednar, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Paul Goldschmidt, Trent Grisham
Biggest Needs
Bullpen, Lineup Depth
Do the Yankees deserve the third-shortest odds on the board? Maybe, but their starting rotation is doing all the heavy lifting. The current lineup looks nothing like a true contender. Outside of 27-year-old breakout Ben Rice pacing the offense, New York found few answers in a year where Aaron Judge was limited to just 66 games in his age-34 season.
Their pitching will clearly remain their calling card, they have a number of bullpen arms to replace but that’s never been a challenge. New York can’t afford to enter next season with another top-heavy lineup. Unless Brian Cashman signs a big bat, they’ll be gambling on year-two leaps from Spencer Jones and George Lombard Jr.
Boston Red Sox (+1600)
2026 Record: 87-75
Notable Free Agents
Sonny Gray
Biggest Needs
Bats
I’m not entirely sold on this run of AL East teams sitting near the top of the board, especially one that hasn’t shown success in luring high-end free agents. Boston finished 23rd in runs per game at 4.21 and desperately needs offensive punch at several spots across the diamond. Promising 20-year-old shortstop Franklin Arias, who slashed .331/.388/.506 in AAA, should get the call at some point in 2027.
Their rotation will clearly be their anchor with Payton Tolle and Garrett Crochet leading the way, but the bullpen shouldn’t be far behind. Boston’s relief corps led the majors in ERA and FIP while ranking top five in both SIERA and K-BB% in 2026. A dominant run that was boosted by Brayan Bello’s bulk-inning efforts out of the pen.
We’ll see if the Red Sox end up regretting buying high as they extended Craig Breslow and Chad Tracy thanks in large part to a 30-5 run. I’m not sold on the duo.
Tampa Bay Rays (+2000)
2026 Record: 98-64
Notable Free Agents
Nick Martinez, Freddy Peralta
Biggest Needs
Bats, Bullpen Depth
Tampa Bay’s 98-win campaign led a weak American League, standing as one of only two AL clubs to cross the 90-win mark. However, Kevin Cash’s lack of trust in his relievers was glaring in the postseason; expect them to patch up the bullpen via trades and bargain signings. Getting Ryan Pepiot back healthy should soften the blow when Nick Martinez, who led them in innings thrown, walks, but the offense still desperately needs real pop in the bottom half of the order.
I don’t hate the Rays at 20/1, but you’re paying a premium tax on their 2026 pennant run. Tampa should bring back a similar roster but not many teams entered last season with longer World Series odds than the Rays, as they were around 50/1.
Starting Pitching, High-Leverage Bullpen arm
Atlanta is once again projected to field one of the most explosive lineups in baseball. I’d bite on 20/1 in a heartbeat if you guaranteed Ronald Acuña Jr. plays 130-plus games, but the 28-year-old superstar has been limited to just 251 games over the last three seasons.
They had a deal in place at the deadline to acquire Jacob deGrom, but the righty used his no-trade clause to nix the deal. Which makes me think they could make a run at Tarik Skubal, but either way they desperately need arms to lead the rotation with Chris Sale. I’m not sure how many innings they can pencil Spencer Strider in for. They certainly can’t keep Grant Holmes in the rotation, who features a career FIP over six when facing a lineup for a second time. I could see Atlanta bringing back Mahle and maybe a back end of the rotation arm to eat some innings, like a Martín Pérez. It’s probably safe to expect Didier Fuentes to take the closer’s role and sure-up the back end of the bullpen But the Braves could try him in the rotation if they’re able to bring back Iglesias.
Alex Anthopoulos’ top priority has to be adding a top-of-the-rotation arm. I assume teams that miss out on Tarik Skubal will shift their attention to Trevor Rogers; maybe Atlanta is where Rogers ends up?
2027 World Series Best Bet
I don’t bet many futures, however my editor threatened me into making a bet here. I’m not running to bet on flawed teams or an early long-shot with limited information we have. The Braves are probably the team that I would bet on if I had to. However, shop around if you’re going to fire.
Bet the Braves if you’re itching to have a position in this market. I’m saving my click until free agency reshapes the board.
ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 28: The Milwaukee Brewers celebrate with Trevor Megill #29 after defeating the Tampa Bay Rays in the 2026 World Series at Tropicana Field on October 28, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Alright, now I get to write the fun version of Monday’s article. Let’s reflect on some of the best games of a magical season.
The other four entries on this list are all playoff games, which is to be expected in a season that ended with the first World Series championship in franchise history. Still, this blowout earns its spot because it matched the modern-era MLB record (since 1901) for the largest margin of victory in a shutout. The only other 22-0 wins were by Pittsburgh (against the Cubs on Sept. 16, 1975) and Cleveland (against the Yankees on Aug. 31, 2004).
A three-run homer from Christian Yelich made it 6-0 in the fifth, but the Brewers were far from done. In the sixth, David Hamilton hit a three-run shot of his own to make it 9-0, and Jake Bauers followed with a homer to make it 11-0. Milwaukee added two runs in the seventh, then nine more in the eighth off Mariners’ infielder Leo Rivas, for a final score of 22-0. The highlight of the game was probably Luis Lara hitting the first home run of his career off Rivas, then looking mildly disappointed as he rounded the bases.
After two straight one-run victories, this game was expected to be a dogfight. Up 2-0, Milwaukee was in good shape, but the series was far from over.
Ultimately, the Brewers wouldn’t let Tampa Bay claw its way back into the series. With Milwaukee up 2-0 and two outs in the fifth, William Contreras grounded a ball to Rays third baseman Junior Caminero, who threw to second for the force out on Yelich. It initially looked like starter Freddy Peralta and the Rays had escaped the inning, but Brewers manager Pat Murphy successfully challenged the call, loading the bases and forcing Peralta out of the game.
Milwaukee then hung eight straight runs on relievers Cam Booser and Cole Sulser, all with two outs, and never looked back en route to a 10-1 win and a commanding 3-0 series lead.
After being swept by the Dodgers in the NLCS the year before, the Brewers expected a tough series. In many ways, it was, but Milwaukee eked out come-from-behind wins in the first two games and took a 2-0 lead to Dodger Stadium.
Milwaukee once again fell behind early, entering the seventh inning down 2-1. Aside from a leadoff home run by Jackson Chourio, the offense couldn’t get much going against Dodgers starter Blake Snell, who came back out for the seventh. Andrew Vaughn started the inning with a walk, Yelich pinch-ran for him, then Bauers battled through an incredible 11-pitch at-bat that ended with a deep drive over the right-field fence for a go-ahead home run. The next batter, Garrett Mitchell, homered too, and Milwaukee was on its way to a 6-2 win and a 3-0 series lead.
Every pitch from Jake Bauers’ masterful 11 pitch at-bat vs. Blake Snell…
Milwaukee won the first game of the series, but San Diego carried a one-run lead into the ninth inning of Game 2. With flamethrowing closer Mason Miller in for a six-out save, things looked dire for Milwaukee, but with one out in the ninth, Miller lost the zone. Christian Yelich and Sal Frelick both walked to put runners on first and second. Murphy went to his bench for Andrew Vaughn, who flew out to center, then Gary Sánchez, who worked a third walk to load the bases for Jackson Chourio. Chourio capped an incredible at-bat with a two-run single up the middle for a walk-off win, sending the series to San Diego with the Brewers up 2-0.
I can’t pick any other game. On its own, this game wasn’t quite as exciting as a couple of the others on this list, but it ended with Milwaukee winning the first World Series championship in franchise history.
Despite not racking up the strikeouts like he usually does, ace Jacob Misiorowski put together his best outing of the playoffs, throwing 5 2/3 scoreless innings before calf cramps cut his night short. Meanwhile, the Brewers scored a run in the second (a Cooper Pratt RBI single), a run in the fifth (a David Hamilton RBI single), and two in the sixth on a William Contreras double and a Pratt sacrifice fly. That was all the run support Misiorowski and the bullpen would need.
Although the Rays managed a run in the ninth, Trevor Megill recorded the final out, setting off a celebration 57 years in the making, and Contreras was named World Series MVP.
September 11, 2026: Milwaukee clinched a postseason berth with a 20-0 rout of the Reds.
October 7, 2026 (NLDS Game 4): Garrett Mitchell robbed Manny Machado of a potential game-tying home run in the eighth as the Brewers moved on to face the Dodgers in the NLCS.
October 15, 2026 (NLCS Game 4): The Brewers came back from a 4-0 deficit to win 6-4, becoming the first team ever to sweep an opponent that had swept them the previous postseason, and the first to sweep a best-of-seven postseason series while trailing in every game. Jake Bauers was named NLCS MVP.
So, what do you think? Were there any games I missed? Let me know in the comments.
YOKOHAMA, JAPAN - JULY 31: Relief pitcher Kaima Taira #61 of Team Japan pitches in the eighth inning against Team Mexico during the baseball opening round Group A game on day eight of the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games at Yokohama Baseball Stadium on July 31, 2021 in Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan. (Photo by Koji Watanabe/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Kaima Taira was born on November 15, 1999 in Ishigaki, a city in Okinawa. In high school, he attended Okinawa Prefectural Yaeyama Commercial and Technical High School, a public vocational high school located in Ishigaki. A catcher in elementary school and a pitcher in junior high school, Taira joined his school’s baseball team but almost quit, balking at how hard the team’s manager was pushing players during practice, but he remained, first as an outfielder and then as a pitcher. The school failed to make summer Koshien in any of the three years he attended, but scouts and evaluators began making the trip to Okinawa anyway because word was slowly getting out about a third-year senior who was setting school velocity records, hitting the mid-90s with his fastball.
When Taira entered high school, the hardest he had ever been recorded throwing was roughly 80 MPH, which is why his coach had him play in the outfield. He added a new weight training regimen to his normal workout routine that strengthened his hips and lower body during his second year of high school, and the results became noticeable as his fastball velocity began creeping up higher and higher and higher.
The right-hander graduated in 2017, and a few months later, when the 2017 NPB Draft took place, he was selected by the Saitama Seibu Lions with their 4th draft selection. He made his professional debut in 2018, appearing in 10 games for the Lions’ ni-gun minor league squad in the Eastern League and posting a 5.40 ERA in 16.2 innings, allowing 11 hits, walking 17, and striking out 21. He remained in the Eastern League when the 2019 season began, posting a 1.13 ERA in 16.0 innings over 7 appearances with 9 hits allowed, 7 walks, and 22 strikeouts, and in late July, the 19-year-old was promoted to the main club. He ended up pitching in 26 games for the Lions and posted a 3.38 ERA in 24.0 innings at Japan’s highest level, allowing 29 hits, walking 9, and striking out 23.
Coming into the 2020 season, Taira wanted to transition from pitching in relief to starting, and altered his workout regimen to focus on increasing muscle mass, giving the 5’8” right-hander the strength and endurance to compete as a starter. He was let down during spring training and was told that he would continue to be used as a reliever, so after the start of the season was postponed because of the COVID-19 pandemic, he switched his focus from endurance to pure strength, looking to hit 99 MPH and beyond with his fastball. On July 19, he achieved that goal and became one of six Japanese players in NPB history to throw an official pitch that was recorded at 99 MPH or higher. All in all, Taira ended up appearing in 54 games and posting a 1.87 ERA in 53.0 innings, allowing 22 hits, walking 29, striking out 62, and recording 33 holds. Despite pitching 40.0 innings in 2019, the right-hander retained rookie eligibility, and at the end of the season, was voted Pacific League Rookie of the Year, receiving 144 votes to the Rakuten Golden Eagles’ Hiroto Kobukata, who received 125.
In 2021, the reigning Rookie of the Year was given a more prominent role in the Seibu bullpen, serving as set-up man for closer Tatsushi Masuda. When Masuda was in effective early in the season and eventually placed on the disabled list because of lower back problems, Taira stepped up in a big way. Game after game after game, save opportunity or not, the right-hander put up zero after zero after zero. By the end of June, he logged 38 consecutive appearances without allowing a run, tying the NPB record held by Kyuji Fujikawa. A day later, Taira surpassed Fujikawa with a 39th consecutive scoreless inning, setting a new NPB record. The right-hander would go on to be named to his first NPB All-Star Game and posted a 0.90 ERA in 60.0 innings, allowing 36 hits, walking 28, striking out 70, recording 21 holds and saving 20 games.
Taira began the 2022 season on the disabled list, infected by coronavirus, and his absence, combined with Tatsushi Masuda being fully healthy and effective, led to the veteran regaining his role as closer. Masuda would end up contracting COVID-19 over the summer, and Taira took over closing duties. Overall, the right-hander was elected to his second All-Star team and posted a 1.56 ERA in 57.2 innings, allowing 36 hits, walking 18, striking out 75, logging 34 holds, and saving 9 games. That off-season, the 22-year-old argued with Seibu management during salary negotiations that he would be best used by the team as a starting pitcher. The right-hander made his case and was used as a starting pitcher in 2023. Making 23 games, he posted a 2.40 ERA in 150.0 innings, allowing 115 hits, walking 55, and striking out 153, getting nominated to his third consecutive All-Star Game, this time as a starting pitcher.
Taira’s season began similarly in 2024, but in early May, he was placed on the disabled list with right forearm tightness. He missed roughly two months, and shortly after he returned, was used as a reliever to limit the stress put on his forearm for the remainder of the season. In 22 games, he posted a 1.66 ERA in 48.2 innings, allowing 44 hits, walking 21, striking out 43, and logging 9 holds. Over the off-season, Seibu manager Fumiya Nishiguchi informed Taira that he intended to use him as the team’s closer following the impending departure of incumbent closer, Albert Abreu, who was in contract negotiations with the Cincinnati Reds. The 25-year-old returned to the bullpen without argument, and when the season began, was almost immediately involved in history, combining with Tatsuya Imai to throw a combined no-hitter on April 18 against the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. Taira would go on to make his fourth All-Star Game and posted a 1.71 ERA in 52.2 innings in 2025, allowing 43 hits, walking 21, striking out 53, logging 8 holds, and saving a league-leading 31 games.
In 2026, the right-hander was set to participate in the 2026 World Baseball Classic, but a left calf injury forced him to give up his spot on the team. The Lions had him return to their starting rotation due to the departure of Tatsuya Imai, and the 26-year-old appeared in 23 games, posting a 1.36 ERA in 146.0 innings, allowing 95 hits, walking 45, and striking out 141. His ERA led the league, and the right-hander made history by becoming the first player in NPB history to have won Relief Pitcher of the Year (2022), led the league in saves (2025), and led the league in ERA.
The right-hander stands 5’8” and weighs 210-pounds, which would tie him with fellow countryman Yuki Matsui for being the shortest pitcher playing for a Major League Baseball club. Despite his short stature, Taira has a squat, solid frame and eclipsed 150 innings in both years that he was healthy and used exclusively as a starting pitcher.
The right-hander throws from a three-quarter arm slot with a long arm action through the back. He drops and drives off the mound with a slide step, getting an extreme amount of extension, which is partially what allows him to hit the upper-90s with his fastball. With the almost 7-feet of extension that he averages, Taira throws from a much lower release point and flatter vertical approach angle. There is a definite amount of controlled violence and effort in his mechanics, which forgo some common NPB pitching traits, such as a hitch or a wrist wrap.
Taira throws a four-seam fastball, two-seam fastball, cutter, slider, curveball, changeup, and splitter. In 2026, he threw his four-seam fastball 32% of the time, his slider 19.9% of the time, his cutter 17.8% of the time, his changeup 11% of the time, his splitter 9% of the time, his two-seam fastball 8.4% of the time, and his curveball 1.9% of the time. These trends more or less match his 2023 trends, when he was last a full-time starter. In 2024 and 2025, when he was a reliever, he used his four-seam fastball about 10% more and his cutter and splitter less. He has good command of all of his pitches.
The right-hander has one of the best fastballs in Japan, sitting 95-97 MPH as a starter, one of the highest average fastball velocities since 2014, when the NPB began tracking velocity data. When pitching out of the bullpen, he was able to eek out a few extra MPH and hit 99 MPH, and as a starter, he has been able to hold his velocity deep into games. The pitch does not have a particularly high spin rate, with fringe average induced vertical break, but Taira makes up for it with pure velocity, his long extension, and his flat vertical approach angle. His two-seam fastball similarly sits in the mid-90s, possessing a bit more arm-side movement at the expense of a little velocity.
Taira’s cutter is his best pitch. It averaged 91 MPH in 2026, sitting in the high-80s-to-low-90s. Working it away to right-handers and to both sides of the plate against left-handers, he pounds the zone with the pitch, challenging batters to hit it, which they generally have been unable to do with authority. The pitch has averaged an almost 50% groundball rate, and while its swinging strike rate was just pedestrian against right-handed hitters, it produced an above-average swinging strike rate against left-handed hitters.
The right-hander throws a gyro slider and a sweeping slider. The two pitches averaged 82 MPH last season, his sweeping slider sitting in the high-70s-to-low-80s and his gyro slider sitting in the mid-80s. His sweeping slider was thrown in the zone more often than his gyro slider, with the former resulting in a higher called strike percentage inside of the zone and the latter resulting in the higher swinging strike percentage outside of the zone. The two pitches combined resulted in a lot of poor contact, with a combined groundball rate around 50% and combined slugging percentage around .250.
Taira’s changeup sits in the mid-to-high-80s, averaging 87 MPH last season, and was used almost exclusively against left-handers to negate their platoon advantage. A circle changeup, the pitch the pitch induces more bad contact than it does whiffs because of its high velocity, relying more on his ability to fool batters by maintaining his arm speed and disguising the pitch as his fastball than its actual horizontal and vertical movement.
His splitter sits in the mid-80s, averaging 86 MPH last season. As a starter, he has used the splitter less in lieu of his changeup, and like his changeup, mainly uses the pitch against left-handed hitters. The pitch rarely stays in the zone, but results in a high number of swings-and-misses. When batters do make contact, it is extremely poor contact, evidenced by an 82% groundball rate and a .057 slugging percentage.
His curveball sits in the low-70s, averaging 73 MPH last season, and regularly exceeds 3,000 RPM. It features 30-35 inches of vertical break, which is on the lower end of the spectrum for a curveball, but because of its tight break and Taira’s ability to command it, it has become a very effective strike stealer. He landed it in the zone roughly 50% of the time last season, and the pitch had a 48% CSW%. Problematically, because of the lack of velocity and the fact that it was in the strike zone half the time, batters slugged .800 against it when they were able to make solid contact.
He is nicknamed “Sea Demon” due to his Okinawan heritage, his love of fishing, and the fact that the historical Taira clan is highly associated with seafaring culture and fantastically associated with onryō and funayūrei sea demons. Taira describes himself as a data-driven player, often critical of members of the Japanese media who are more likely to push narratives than actually conduct scientific and statistical analysis. He ascribes to modern-day pitch optimization philosophy, going as far as to purchase a Rapsodo baseball monitoring device in 2020 and utilize the data that he gleaned from it to help him in his quest to achieve a 99 MPH fastball. He understands how to pitch, sequencing his arsenal and pitching strategically with a plan, as opposed to just throwing pitches.
GLENDALE, AZ - NOVEMBER 03: Chase Harlan #11 of the Desert Dogs hits a home run in the seventh inning during the game between the Solar Sox and the Desert Dogs at Camelback Ranch on Tuesday, November 3, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Minor League Baseball via Getty Images)
The most dangerous hitter for the Desert Dogs in the Arizona Fall League, it is no surprise that Chase Harlan was right in the middle of the action, making the most of his one hit in a 10-5 win. As the Desert Dogs led 4-1 in the seventh inning, Harlan helped put the game out of reach with a three-run bomb, his fifth home run. Harlan leads the team in several key offensive categories, including but not limited to runs (15) and RBI (17).
Harlan’s getting warmed up for Saturday!
The @Dodgers No. 9 prospect climbs into a tie for the second most homers this Fall with his fifth. Harlan is now batting .281 with a 1.004 OPS. pic.twitter.com/PkaWpV9Xq9
Besides Harlan, the only other Dodger to feature in the Desert Dogs starting lineup was Eduardo Quintero, who managed to record an RBI despite going hitless in three at-bats. Struggling heavily with the bat in the AFL, Quintero at least still leads his team in stolen bases, successful in all six tries.
Lastly, Brooks Auger was the first reliever out of the bullpen as the Desert Dogs needed five innings to complete this one after starter Briggs McKenie tossed four scoreless. Auger allowed four baserunners in just two frames, but a key out with the bases loaded in the top of the sixth prevented the Solar Sox from doing major damage against the left-hander.
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JUNE 23: Major League Baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred (L) and principal owner John Fisher of the Athletics shake hands after participating in a ceremonial groundbreaking for the USD 1.75 billion, 33,000-seat domed stadium for MLB's Athletics on June 23, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The ballpark is being built on nine acres of the 35-acre former site of the Tropicana Las Vegas, which was imploded in October 2024. The A's expect to have the ballpark ready for Opening Day in 2028. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Happy Wednesday A’s fans!
It’s been six days since the end of the World Series. You know what that means. Free agency is officially open!
Players and their agents can begin negotiating with teams, deciding whether to stay with their current clubs or embark on a new adventure with a different franchise.
Next week’s MLB General Manager Meetings in Las Vegas will set the stage for what’s to come. All 30 teams will conduct preliminary trade talks and initiate discussions with free agent representatives as they look to improve their roster for next season. This meetings will provide the first opportunity for the Athletics’ new president of baseball operations, Taylor Smith, to network with his counterparts as he looks to mold the Green and Gold into a perennial American League contender.
While Smith will aim to improve the A’s league-worst pitching staff through offseason additions, the team’s owner, John Fisher, will have other responsibilities this winter. He is among a group of owners pushing for a salary cap and floor system, something the MLB Players Association adamantly opposes.
If no deal is reached before the current labor agreement expires Dec. 1, the owners will lockout the players until both parties reach a compromise on a new collective bargaining agreement. Given how divided the two sides currently are over the league’s economic structure, a worst case scenario would involve the lockout delaying the start of the 2027 season or cancelling it entirely.
Knowing how brutal the 1994-1995 strike was for the players and the sport’s popularity, another extended work stoppage could be the nail in the coffin, potentially ruining all the good vibes generated by the Milwaukee Brewers proving that small-market teams can win championships. Additionally, it would be a shame if a lockout deprived A’s fans of the opportunity to watch the historic franchise play its final season in California before moving to Las Vegas in 2028.
The rebuilding Athletics need to be smart in navigating this offseason’s free-agent and trade markets. Which players are the best fits for the team? Also, how long do you think a potential lockout will last?
This is a cool simulator tool. Check it out and post your final roster in the comments.
A HUGE thank you to everyone who used our GM Simulator tool on day 1! We are blown away by the support for the site, and we can't wait to keep it going throughout the offseason and the lockout!
What do you think about MLB’s new labor proposals to the MLBPA? If approved, they could be beneficial for the Athletics, as they would require owner John Fisher to invest more resources into the team, potentially increasing the likelihood that the Green and Gold will be annual contenders in the American League.
MLB’s new proposals to the MLBPA:
– Salary Cap of $258.2M (Would start 2028) – Salary Floor of $180.2M – Min salary of $1M – Players enter free agency after 5 years (instead of 6)
In response to the league's revised salary cap proposal, the MLBPA says "MLB owners continue to propose blowing up the current system and replacing it with one designed to line their pockets and increase their franchise values." pic.twitter.com/D8sIgMuFcR
Of all the available free-agent pitchers, whom should the Athletics pursue most aggressively to strengthen their rotation?
A’s have loads of young LHP talent. Really hope they try to add some impact RHPs before the move to Vegas in 2028…maybe a Casey Mize signing? If possible, Michael King?
CLEVELAND, OHIO - AUGUST 30: Shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. #7 of the Kansas City Royals throws to first during the sixth inning after forcing out Jo Adell #7 of the Cleveland Guardians at second at Progressive Field on August 30, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Bobby Witt Jr. is the best defensive shortstop in baseball. Last year’s Platinum Glove Award winner, Witt has the speed, arm strength, and refined technique to make the unthinkable plays and send everyone’s jaws dropping to the floor. Everyone expected Witt to pick up another Gold Glove this year, and maybe a second consecutive Platinum Glove. He’s that good.
But Witt did not win. This year, the winner of the American League Gold Glove Award at shortstop was Tampa Bay Rays defensive whiz Taylor Walls. Now, Walls is a good defender; otherwise, he probably wouldn’t have a big league job because he doesn’t hit at all. Fortunately for Walls, you shouldn’t have to be able to hit to win a Gold Glove. It’s not the 90s anymore.
Unfortunately for Witt, Walls winning wasn’t a case of the better player winning. Witt was robbed.
Defense is famously one of the more difficult things to measure in baseball. Still, the industry has gotten better at it, and there are two widely-respected publicly available metrics that attempt to measure overall defensive contributions. One is Defensive Runs Saved, which is calculated by Sports Info Solutions. The other is Fielding Run Value, which is a Statcast-based statistic calculated by league itself. Both stats are presented as runs saved above or below average.
Sometimes, the two metrics grade players very differently because, again, measuring defense is hard. That’s true for Walls, who is a DRS darling but not seen particularly well by FRV. Which should you value, though? I think players should get credit if a stat thinks they are doing well. And so if you’ve read some of my writing about defensive stats, you know that I like to use a little house stat of mine; I call it AVGDEF. This simply averages DRS and FRV. I also like to prorate it over 1,000 innings—not unlike ERA—which I call AVGDEF/1000.
Overall, there were a dozen players with at least 600 innings. And lo and behold, Witt ranks the highest at AVGDEF and AVGDEF/1000. He was also the only player who had at least +8 DRS and FRV.
Name
Team
Inn
DRS
FRV
AVGDEF
AVGDEF/1000
Bobby Witt Jr.
KCR
1209
8
17
12.5
10.3
Taylor Walls
TBR
1036.2
21
-2
9.5
9.2
Andrés Giménez
TOR
1179
2
16
9
7.6
Corey Seager
TEX
827.2
6
-1
2.5
3.0
Colson Montgomery
CHW
979
-4
9
2.5
2.6
Brayan Rocchio
CLE
1253.2
-4
10
3
2.4
Zach Neto
LAA
1340.1
9
-4
2.5
1.9
Jacob Wilson
ATH
637.1
-6
8
1
1.6
Kevin McGonigle
DET
675.2
2
0
1
1.5
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
1311.1
-2
0
-1
-0.8
Jeremy Peña
HOU
904.1
-5
-5
-5
-5.5
J.P. Crawford
SEA
720
-12
-10
-11
-15.3
Walls had a great year. But Walls didn’t play as much as Witt did at short, and it’s at least a yellow flag that FRV thought that Walls was a below average fielder. Witt is consistently great by any metric, and by these metrics he was the best, because of course he is.
But Witt’s defensive stats only go so far. Per Rawlings themselves, defensive stats only account for a quarter of the overall vote. The other 75% of the vote comes from 210 total voters—the manager and six coaches from every team. You can’t win the Gold Glove if those voters don’t think that you’re better.
So how on earth did Walls draw so much of that vote? I think part of it is simply that the Rays were great and the Royals stunk. I know that team success isn’t supposed to be a part of votes like this, but I just can’t help that it was a contributing factor in a situation like this when you have two good candidates. Royals pitching gave up so many runs and the team itself lost so many games, and when you compare that to a Rays team that won their division (and then the pennant) while allowing fewer runs than Kansas City, well, maybe some biases creep in.
In any case, a Witt win would not have changed anything about the Royals’ 2026 fortunes or 2027 fortunes. But it would have helped Royals fans to feel a little better.
CLEVELAND, OH - OCTOBER 17: Foster Griffin #22 of the Cleveland Guardians pitches during Game Four of the American League Championship Series between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on Saturday, October 17, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Mary DeCicco/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Welcome to the offseason!
Tuesday marked the day that free agency is officially open after teams became 40-man roster compliant. Now, teams begin the process of wheeling and dealing because the collective bargaining agreement expires in less than a month, and a lockout is looming, freezing the market.
The hope is that the Colorado Rockies are going to be busy shaping the roster and trying to plug holes through trades and free agency. The obvious area of need is starting pitching. After a league-worst 5.59 ERA as a team last season and a 6.28 ERA in the rotation, the Rockies are clearly in need of some pitching help. Due to injuries, shifting of roles, and free agency, the Rockies really only have two presumed locks in the rotation to start the year: Mason Adams and Gabriel Hughes. Even then, those aren’t necessarily the headliners of a rotation at this point in their careers.
The job of the front office and new pitching coach Ethan Katz is to fortify the starting rotation with experience and talent, as they tried to do last offseason. While a superstar like Tarik Skubal is well out of the question, there could still be some intriguing free agents that could be helpful for the coming season.
Today, let’s take a look at a couple of arms that I find could be helpful.
Foster Griffin
With the departures of José Quintana and Kyle Freeland in free agency, the Rockies are lacking left-handed starting pitching options. So, why not take a shot at a southpaw who had a fantastic 2026 season?
After a lack of opportunity and success at the big-league level, Foster Griffin headed to Japan, where he spent three seasons with the Yomiuri Giants. While in the NPB, Griffin posted a 2.57 ERA with 318 strikeouts against 70 walks in 315.2 innings of work. That success finally landed him another MLB opportunity, and he signed with the Washington Nationals on a one-year $5.5 million contract.
Over 22 starts with the Nationals, the 31-year-old logged a 3.06 ERA with 116 strikeouts and 30 walks over 129.1 innings and was named an All-Star. The Nationals then traded him to the Cleveland Guardians for a four-player package, where he struggled a little bit more down the stretch, posting a 5.19 ERA in 43.1 innings across nine starts with 42 strikeouts against 15 walks. His ERA was a little skewed, however, because of one bad start in which he allowed eight runs in only 2.1 innings. He was effective in the postseason, where he pitched 10.1 innings and gave up four runs on 11 hits with no walks and 15 punchouts.
By the end of the season, Griffin pitched 183 innings (playoffs included) with a 3.59 ERA, a 22.6% strikeout rate, a 5.9% walk rate, a 44% ground-ball rate and 1.13 HR/9.
Those numbers are enough to make the Rockies interested, but it’s also the fact that Griffin has a deep arsenal of pitches. Statcast recorded seven different pitches used in 2026, with heavy emphasis on the use of his cutter (32.5%).
Griffin lacks a power arsenal, averaging 91-92 mph on his fastball, but he has a deep arsenal, can throw strikes and pitch to contact for groundballs, and has a league-average strikeout rate. Those traits are worth exploring if the Rockies want to help stabilize the rotation. The hard part is figuring out a contract, as sites like MLB Trade Rumors predict a three-year, $39 million deal for Griffin. If the Rockies want better pitching, they are going to have to pay for it, but is one great year worth that kind of commitment to pitch in one of the hardest venues in baseball?
Colin Rea
The Rockies are going to likely add some experienced starters to the roster, much like they did last offseason. One name that immediately stuck out to me was 36-year-old right-hander Colin Rea.
A former 12th-round pick by the San Diego Padres in 2011, Rea was an okay backend starter across two MLB seasons in 2015-16. He then had to get Tommy John Surgery and missed the entire 2017 season and wouldn’t make a return to the big leagues until a nine-game stint with the Chicago Cubs during the 2020 season. He spent most of the 2021 season in Japan before returning to the big leagues, where he made one appearance with the Milwaukee Brewers.
He then returned to Japan for the 2022 season, where he fared much better this time around and secured a deal with the Brewers again for the 2023 season. He proved to be a decent depth piece over two seasons with the Brewers in the rotation, which led him to sign with the Chicago Cubs in 2025 and again in 2026.
Rea was originally slated to serve as a long reliever for the Cubs this season, but the role was short-lived as injuries ravaged the Cubs’ rotation. He returned to the bullpen after the Cubs made reinforcement trades later in the season, and he ended up compiling a 4.34 ERA across 137 innings, making 19 starts and 15 relief appearances.
In those 19 starts, Rea posted a 4.47 ERA in 100.2 innings with 75 strikeouts against 37 walks. He generally falls in line with other starting pitchers the Rockies have had over the years. He doesn’t strike out many batters (17.2% in 2026) but also doesn’t walk a ton (7.3% in his career) and had a 42.8% groundball rate in 2026.
Much like Griffin, he has a deep arsenal that includes seven pitches. He primarily workes off a 94 mph fastball, but compliments that with a heavy mix of sliders, sweepers, and changeups. Overall, he has shown both command and control of his arsenal. Plus, the added advantage of his swing role capabilities would give the Rockies some flexibility in game planning and how they want to attack Coors Field with the pitching staff.
Rea could be had on a deal close to Tomoyuki Sugano. A one-year deal in the $5-6 million range is well within the realm of possibility for his services, something the Rockies could easily afford. The main area of concern would be limiting how much damage is done from the abundance of contact he can tend to give up.
More to come
We’ll have plenty of time to revisit this topic with other arms, but it’s quite clear that the free agent market is quite as robust as in year’s past. There are definitely pieces worth the Rockies time, but won’t exactly tip the scales towards contention. Once again, it’s a lot of filling holes until a better path forward is established for success.
I like the idea of Griffin and Rea, but there are a lot of unknown risks with both when it comes to Coors Field like any other pitcher. Are the Rockies willing to take those risks or will they look in other, cheaper directions?
Former Ranger Mark Teixeira has been elected to the US House of Representatives in Texas’ 21st Congressional District.
I’m not seeing anything else Rangers-related out there. So let’s talk about Star Trek.
If you were a Star Trek fan in the ’90s, you probably remember the Ferengi, an alien species whose defining cultural characteristic was an overwhelming obsession with commerce and accumulating wealth. Their appearance and characterization have drawn criticism for echoing antisemitic caricatures, which probably wasn’t helped by the fact that the most notable Ferengi were all played by Jewish actors. Deep Space Nine, the series that did the most with the Ferengi, gave them considerably more depth.
The Ferengi were originally introduced in The Next Generation as recurring antagonists for the Federation. The way they were written didn’t really lend itself to that, though, so the apocalyptic cyborg zombies ended up being the bigger threat. That worked out fine, because the Ferengi eventually got an extended look in the best series, Deep Space Nine, where they reflected both humanity’s inherent greed and our ability to overcome it and accomplish great things.
Some of the series’ best episodes put a Ferengi at the center of the story. In particular, “The Siege of AR-558” and “It’s Only a Paper Moon” follow Nog, a young Ferengi serving in Starfleet, through a devastating combat injury and its aftermath. In the latter, he retreats into a holographic fantasy world to escape his PTSD.
There’s a baseball tie-in here, I promise.
Captain Sisko, being an anachronistic nerd, is a huge baseball fan. In “Take Me Out to the Holosuite,” a considerably more lighthearted episode, a Vulcan captain challenges Sisko and his crew to a game. This is wildly unfair: Vulcans are much stronger than humans, Bajorans, Trill, and Ferengi, and Sisko’s crew has almost no baseball experience. Their preferred recreational activities tend toward racquetball and banging holographic hookers in the holosuites at Quark’s bar.
Rom, a lovable Ferengi doofus, is particularly terrible at baseball, and Sisko boots him from the squad. Eventually, Sisko remembers that playing a game with your friends is supposed to be fun after Rom’s nookie-girl wife convinces Sisko he’s being a tool and gets Rom back on the team. We get a little Sandlot in space, except the Vulcans still win in a blowout because they are perfectly logical superhumans. Rom does, however, accidentally lay down a bunt that brings home the crew’s only run.
The actor who played Rom, Max Grodénchik, was actually an accomplished baseball player—and reportedly the best player in the cast. Which created a problem: he had trouble making himself look as hopeless as Rom was supposed to be.
Apparently, there are limits to acting. To achieve the necessary level of baseball incompetence, Grodénchik ended up throwing and batting left-handed.
So that’s all I’ve got today: Mark Teixeira and a possibly offensive Jewish caricature who’s laughably bad at baseball but comes up big in the clutch anyway.
The MLB offseason may officially be underway, but Ronny Mauricio continues to mash.
Mauricio wasted no time making his presence felt with the Tigres del Lacey in his Winter League debut Tuesday night, crushing a second pitch two-run homer in the top of the sixth.
According to Sarah Langs of MLB.com, the monstrous no-doubt blast left the bat at a whopping 112 mph and traveled 441 feet into the right field bleachers.
Mauricio finished 1-for-4, but appears to be picking up right where he left off in the power department.
The young infielder, of course, homered three times over the final two games of the Mets' season finally receiving another opportunity called back up with the team.
Prior to that, he spent the majority of the year battling injury or down in Triple-A.
Though he still has plenty to refine with his offensive game, this is certainly encouraging momentum in what is a big offseason for Mauricio's Mets future.
The 25-year-old no longer has any minor league options, but the organization made it clear upon season's end that he'll be among those competing for a spot during spring training.
¡RONNY SE FUE PARA LA CALLE! 🚀
Mauricio estrena su cuenta de cuadrangulares con los @TigresdelLicey 🐯
#LIDOM #CopaBanreservas https://t.co/pKH0Q3N8E0
SAN DIEGO, CA - OCTOBER 06: Owners José E. Feliciano and Kwanza Jones of the San Diego Padres pose for a photo after Game Three of the National League Division Series presented by Booking.com between the Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Rob Tringali/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
The San Diego Padres as well as the rest of the teams in Major League Baseball are on the clock. With the current Collective Bargaining Agreement set to expire Dec. 1, there is a limited window in which MLB clubs can work to improve their teams before owners and players cease to communicate. There have been offers and responses volleyed back and forth from both sides, but the communication between MLB and the MLB Players Association seemed more performative than actually working to get something done. These communications have led many fans and baseball writers to assume a lockout will occur as soon as the current CBA expires, which puts a halt to the normal offseason work that must be done.
Understanding this to be the case, new Padres owners Jose E. Feliciano and Kwanza Jones can and should work to accomplish some moves address their roster before the deadline. San Diego is in desperate need of starting pitching as Randy Vasquez is the only starter from the 2026 season remaining in the rotation. Yes, Joe Musgrove is there too but what he can and will be is an unknown. Yu Darvish could return, but the expectation is the veteran right-hander will retire. The Padres did not pick up the club option on Nick Pivetta and declined mutual options on Griffin Canning and Lucas Giolito. Those three joined Casey Mize, Robbie Ray and Walker Buehler as free agents. And of course, Michael King, the ace of the staff, opted out of his contract, which means he too is a free agent.
With multiple rotation holes to address, Feliciano and Jones may not want to wait until after a new CBA is signed to make moves. Many fans would love to see King re-signed and since he has stated he wants to remain in San Diego, that may be the easiest deal to get done. Tarik Skubal is the top free agent pitcher on the market and he is one of the best arms in the game. The left-hander is reportedly looking to sign with a team prior to the CBA expiring and the Padres have been one of the teams mentioned as a potential suitor because of Feliciano and Jones wanting to make a big move. There are several other options on the market when it comes to starting pitching such as Freddy Peralta, Sonny Gray, Shota Imanaga and Nick Martinez to name a few.
However, Feliciano and Jones are the unknown. This is their first offseason since becoming owners and although they have stated they want to invest in the team what that looks like has never been seen. Do they want to spend big and make several additions, which is what the team needs, or do they want to make one big signing and then add on the margins to cobble together a pitching staff much like general manager A.J. Preller was forced to do in 2026? The addition of Skubal would certainly illustrate a commitment to spending, but so would an addition of King and another top free agent arm or two before then adding some lower-level options further down the pitching tier.
What is known at this time is Dec. 1 is rapidly approaching and the Friar Faithful will be watching closely to see if the new owners will put their words into action to address their many lineup needs before the 2027 season… whenever that might be.
Padres News:
Austin Hays made a big splash when he was added to the Padres’ roster late in the 2026 season, but fizzled out as the season came to a close. Lincoln Zdunich of Gaslamp Ballgave Hays his grade for his limited efforts in San Diego.
AJ Cassavell of Padres.com says the Padres’ offseason goals are clear after all of the club, player and mutual options have processed.
OAKLAND, CA - JUNE 19: Executive Vice President and General Manager J.J. Picollo of the Kansas City Royals in the dugout before the game against the Oakland Athletics at the Oakland Coliseum on June 19, 2024 in Oakland, California. The Athletics defeated the Royals 5-1. (Photo by Michael Zagaris/Oakland Athletics/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Nick Loftin also provides additional flexibility after spending time at second base, third base and right field this season. The Royals relied on him heavily at third while Maikel Garcia dealt with injuries, and Loftin earned his own Gold Glove finalist selection for his work at the hot corner.
Kansas City could still explore ways to add offensive production this winter, particularly with the team also looking for another bat to complement its established core. The club’s biggest priorities, however, remain rebuilding its bullpen and adding starting pitching.
That doesn’t necessarily rule out an addition at second base if the right opportunity arises.
You can see that I have the Royals signing Ian Happ. It’s not what I’d do, but their outfield defense wasn’t great last year, and Happ is a great defensive fit. I have concerns about his bat and whether he’ll be enough to help the lineup, but he was really good against righties last year, hitting .241/.358/.458. It does not help with their issues against lefties. He hit .145/.217/.267 in 144 plate appearances against them last season. It wasn’t quite so bad in 2025, so it could’ve been a fluke. He hit .305/.350/.438 against lefties in 2023, so he has the ability, but that was a long time ago. So no, I don’t love the idea, but I get it.
7. Carter Jensen, C, Royals (age 22) Jensen is just the fifth rookie catcher to combine at least 27 homers and a 120 OPS+, following Rudy York (1937), Earl Williams (1971), Matt Nokes (1987) and Mike Piazza (1993). Jensen is a better defender behind the plate than all of them and younger than all but Williams, who edged him by 11 days.
HOUSTON, TX - SEPTEMBER 30: Jose Altuve #27 of the Houston Astros rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run in the fourth inning during Game Two of the American League Wild Card Series presented by AbbVie between the Chicago White Sox and the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Logan Riely/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
This will be the last of the series on Jose Altuve and the Hall of Fame index. Congratulations to everyone that went through the journey with me. I know parts have been tedious, but I firmly believe that performing every test is the only way to make a complete and informed judgment on a player. In this edition we will taje a look at the counting numbers. This is what casual fans do when they try to decide whether someone should be in the Hall of Fame. Unfortunately, some Hall of Fame voters that should know better use the same test.
Doing so enters us into what I would lovingly call the Harold Baines problem. Baines may be among the bottom five in terms of qualified Hall of Fame players. He certainly might be the least qualified right fielder. Veterans Committe voters put him in because he had a lot of hits and RBI. All that is true, but when you play regularly for more than 20 years, you are going to compile some numbers. The question is how often he was actually good.
That is what totals don’t tell us. They don’t tell us the era that the player played in. They don’t tell us the home ballpark he played in. They don’t tell us the number of years it took him to compile those numbers. So, the other tests are so much more valuable in telling us whether someone should be in. We can assume that certain numbers like 3000 hits and 500 home runs automatically get you in, but we have players with 500 home runs that are not in and maybe shouldn’t be.
However, it would be irresponsible not to include these numbers in our analysis. At the end of the day, it is just another test. The more tests you pass the more likely you should be in the Hall of Fame. We will look at the middle group of eleven Hall of Famers first and then look at Altuve and the other currently active second basemen in terms of career numbers.
Hall of Fame Counting Numbers
AVG
Hits
HR
Runs
RBI
SB
BB
Rod Carew
.328
3053
92
1429
1015
353
1018
Frankie Frisch
.316
2880
105
1532
1244
419
728
Jackie Robinson
.313
1563
141
972
761
200
757
Craig Biggio
.281
3060
291
1844
1175
414
1160
Ryne Sandberg
.285
2386
282
1318
1061
344
761
Roberto Alomar
.300
2724
210
1508
1134
474
1032
Joe Gordon
.268
1530
253
914
975
89
759
Bobby Doerr
.288
2042
223
1094
1247
54
809
Billy Herman
.304
2345
47
1163
839
67
737
Bid McPhee
.272
2258
53
1684
1072
568
568
Jeff Kent
.290
2461
377
1320
1518
94
801
HOF Mean
.295
2391
189
1343
1095
280
830
Outs are the blood currency of the sport. It is the one thing that stays constant throughout baseball history, so a player’s ability to get on base is a huge part of their value. It should be noted that Biggio’s combined hits and walks are far and above everyone here and put him in the top five all time at the position. Throw in the obscene about of hit by pitches and he is elevated even higher. Eddie Collins is the only second base in history to get on base more often than Biggio.
Of course, critics would point out that this doesn’t make him a top five overall second baseman and it fails the first portion of my supposition above. Biggio played a long time and was able to accrue a ton of numbers. Being a compiler and being great are not necessarily one in the same thing. Furthermore, players like Robinson, Gordon, and Doerr saw their careers cut short by World War II and racism. However, we can consider them to be outliers in this regard and we can begin to see some some commonalities across the board.
For instance, it looks like most Hall of Famers have at least 2000 hits. As we move forward, that will become tied to their walks as well as a player with more walks may have fewer hits. Six of the eleven players had 200 or more home runs. They also tended to have more than 1300 runs and 1000 RBIs and that is particularly true when we remove those players that saw missed seasons mentioned above. Most also had more than 100 steals.
Current Counting numbers
AVG
Hits
HR
Runs
RBI
SB
BB
Jose Altuve
.300
2519
271
1306
931
330
696
Marcus Semien
.251
1719
268
1023
850
149
676
Ketel Marte
.277
1413
193
766
663
69
523
HOF Mean
.295
2391
189
1343
1095
280
830
Obviously, we can point out some obvious problems with counting numbers. Runs and RBI are opportunity stats. By sheer definition, someone has to drive you in and someone has to be on base to drive in. The biggest factor are where these guys hit in the order. Altuve spent most of his career hitting first or second, so he will get plenty of opportunities to score runs, but won’t get as many RBI opportunities. So, it is hard to ding him for having relatively few RBI opportunities.
However, if we suspend disbelief for a second we can project him out over the next three seasons. That assumes he finishes his contract and it assumes we will not have a labor stoppage this winter. If he averages 150 hits a season he will end up at 2969 hits. If we assume he averages 15 home runs a season he will end up with 316 which would put him second to Jeff Kent. If we assume 70 runs a season that would end up being 1516 and would put him fourth in the list above. If he averages 50 RBI a season he will get close to mythical Hall of Fame mean.
In other words, Altuve is either there or within reasonable distance of getting there in every single metric. Obviously, the next three seasons will almost certainly lower his career averages in the offensive and defensive value categories. That is the trade off of continuing his career from this point forward. Everything we have seen from Semien and Marte indicate they need three to five more solid seasons to get into the conversation. They may or may not get there.
NEW YORK, NY - JULY 20: Angel Chivilli #57 of the New York Yankees during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Yankee Stadium on July 20, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Every winter, the front office scours the free agent and trade markets, looking to add a couple of relatively unknown and underperforming arms to send to the Matt Blake Relief Pitcher Factory, in the hopes of developing the next Luke Weaver or Paul Blackburn. Last winter, that pitcher was Angel Chivilli. Acquired from the Colorado Rockies in exchange for minor league first baseman T.J. Rumfield — a superfluous bat who was blocked at the Major League level by Ben Rice — Chivilli boasted a less-than-stellar Major League stat line, with a 6.18 ERA in 73 games across two seasons. However, his young age (he debuted at 21, and 2026 was his age-23 season) and lively fastball supplied optimism that he would be the next Matt Blake success story.
Alas, injuries derailed any chances of Chivilli making a true impact at the Major League level this past season. Even so, during his stints in the Bronx, he flashed enough to understand why the Yankees sought him last winter, and for fans to hope that he could be major part of the big league bullpen over the next couple of years.
2027 Contract Status: Entering third year of pre-arbitration eligibility
Following an inconsistent showing in spring training, Chivilli began the 2026 season with the Scranton RailRiders. He immediately began to dominate, and after 8.1 scoreless innings in Triple-A, earned himself a trip to the Bronx when the Yankees needed some extra bullpen arms in the middle of April. Unfortunately for him, after just two appearances, he found himself on the injured list with right shoulder discomfort. The injury kept him off the mound for more than six weeks, as he would not return to the mound until June 10th.
For the second time that season, though, Chivilli did not remain in Scranton for long. After a dominant stretch in which he allowed just two runs in 8.1 innings, he received the call back to the Bronx on July 5th. Over the next month, he became an integral part of the Yankees bullpen, tossing 12 consecutive innings without allowing an earned run, during which time he limited opposing batters to a .146/.196/.167 slash line and struck out a batter per inning. He slowly climbed the bullpen’s circle of trust, and with the Yankees trying to find some reliable setup arms behind Paul Blackburn and Brent Headrick, the Yankees sent him in to protect a one-run lead with a runner on third following the Yankees’ six-run inning on August 4th against the Cardinals.
It would turn out to be Chivilli’s worst appearance of the season. He walked the first batter he faced, then a three-run homer, then a single, then another homer, then a single, then (mercifully) a flyout, and then another homer. Just like that, a 7-6 lead become a 13-7 deficit — and, unfortunately, Chivilli’s Yankees season would be over. In need of an extra arm after the trade deadline, the Yankees optioned him back to Scranton; two days later, he found himself on the Triple-A injury list with a posterior elbow injury, and although he did get a clean bill of health on September 21st, by that point, neither the RailRiders nor the Yankees opted to use him.
All in all, it wasn’t exactly a lost season for Chivilli: he was absolutely dominant in the Triple-A bullpen, and outside the six-run inning in which he was left out to dry, he allowed just three runs (only one earned) in 15.2 innings — good for a 0.57 ERA. Furthermore, his 32.6 whiff percentage would have ranked in the 93rd percentile, ahead of Tarik Skubal, Mason Montgomery, Zack Wheeler, and Luke Weaver. There’s reason for optimism here. Unfortunately, given the injuries, it’s hard to justify anything other than an incomplete grade at this time.
See more of the Yankees Roster Report Card series here.
Los Angeles, - October 15: Tarik Skubal #29 of the Los Angeles Dodgers looks on after the Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-4 to win Game 4 of a NLCS playoff baseball game and advance to the World Series at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles on Thursday, October 15, 2026. (Photo by Keith Birmingham/MediaNews Group/Pasadena Star-News via Getty Images) | MediaNews Group via Getty Images
Happy Wednesday, everyone! The hot stove has started to warm, all while discussions between MLB and MLBPA have cooled, likely making a labor stoppage more and more likely this coming year. But in the meantime, we’ll get to keep an eye on a lot of transactions and debate where the big names like Tarik Skubal will be heading over the offseason. With that in mind, we have some free agent lists and projections to dive into, plus some minor moves the Tigers have made to their coaching staff and also a new pitcher.
So let’s just jump right into today’s news.
Detroit Tigers News
A new face for the Tigers’ coaching staff.
Per sources, former Red Sox third base coach Kyle Hudson will be the Tigers new first base coach
Tigers are getting RHP RJ Petit back from Rockies, per sources. The big reliever, a former Tigers draft pick, went to Colorado last winter in Rule 5 Draft, but missed the season due to Tommy John surgery.
The Detroit Tigers today made the following transactions:
– Exercised their 2027 club option for RHP Drew Anderson. – Declined their 2027 club option for RHP Kenley Jansen. – Signed RHP Jacob Waguespack to a one-year, $1.3 million guaranteed major league contract for the 2027…
With free agency already underway, and recognizing that Clubs will need a full offseason to operate within the cap and floor system, MLB is proposing to phase in the salary cap and floor in 2028
The projected cap and floor payrolls for 2028 would make 12 clubs increase payroll… pic.twitter.com/EfMErTa1Jo
In response to the league's revised salary cap proposal, the MLBPA says "MLB owners continue to propose blowing up the current system and replacing it with one designed to line their pockets and increase their franchise values." pic.twitter.com/D8sIgMuFcR
ATLANTA, GA - SEPTEMBER 30: Philadelphia pitcher Cristopher Sanchez (61) pitches during the Philadelphia Phillies versus the Atlanta Braves in game 2 of the National League Wild Card Series on September 29th, 2026 at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Yesterday, we received the cheering news that three Phillies were named finalists for major awards: Cristopher Sánchez for the Cy Young, Jhoan Duran for Reliever of the Year, and Don Mattingly for Manager of the Year. But when the winners are announced, we are likely to receive less cheering news. Those three awards are expected to head to trophy cases outside of our fair city.
But while Phillies might not bring home the bacon this year, they won’t be shut out forever (a Phillie hurler has to win the Cy one of these years, right?). So today’s question is: Who will be the next Phillie to win a major award?
