Yankees’ Cody Bellinger nears rehab games and Aaron Boone hopes Max Fried setback is minor

BALTIMORE — New York Yankees outfielder Cody Bellinger could begin a rehab assignment with Triple-A Scranton.

Meanwhile, Yankees manager Aaron Boone hopes left-handed starter Max Fried’s second stint on the injured list will be brief.

Bellinger has been on the 10-day injured list with a left hamstring strain since July 26. He said he’s felt “about as 100% as I can give in a non-game setting” in the last few days. He believes he’ll play in multiple rehab games.

“I think so,” Bellinger said.

A three-time All-Star — including this season — Bellinger is batting .259 with 11 homers in 103 games.

Fried landed on the 15-day injured list with lingering inflammation from the same left elbow bone bruise that forced him to miss more than two months earlier this season.

Boone said Fried shouldn’t need as much time to recover this time. Fried has pitched to a 2.81 ERA in 15 starts (86 1/3 innings).

“We just kind of collectively decided it’s probably best to make sure we get this calmed down and hopefully keep it a smaller issue, which is the hope,” Boone said.

Brewers vs Mariners Prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 19

The Milwaukee Brewers (78-48) demolished the Seattle Mariners (59-67), 22-0, tying an MLB record for largest win while holding a shutout — which dated all the way back to 1888!

Milwaukee received run support from everywhere in the 22-run win over Seattle. The Brewers had three different hitters knock in a three-run shot and another crank a two-run homer for 11 runs off home runs alone. The 22 runs scored tied a franchise record and the largest win in the modern era. Only two teams since 1901 have won 22-0, and they happened in 1976 and 2004.

Seattle has its two-game winning streak snapped along with their pride. How will the Mariners respond after a 22-0 loss? Seattle has been shut out 11 times this season and are 4-6 in the following game. In August, Seattle is hitting .229 (23rd) with the second-fewest runs scored (46) over 15 games to go along with the third-worst ERA (5.56).

Let’s dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Mariners at Brewers

  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 7:40 PM EST
  • Site: American Family Field
  • City: Milwaukee, WI
  • Network/Streaming: MLB TV

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Odds for the Mariners at the Brewers

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Milwaukee Brewers (-118), Seattle Mariners (+119)
  • Spread: Brewers -1.5 (+176), Mariners +1.5 (-216)
  • Total: 7.0

Probable starting pitchers for Mariners at Brewers 

  • Wednesday's pitching matchup (August 19): Dustin May vs Logan Gilbert
  • Brewers: Dustin May

2026 stats: 122.0 IP, 6-7, 4.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 117 K, 40 BB

  • Mariners: Logan Gilbert 

2026 Stats: 145.1 IP, 9-7, 3.28 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, 152 K, 33 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not

  • Cal Raleigh is hitting .111 in August (5/45) with two home runs and 17 strikeouts
  • Julio Rodriguez is hitting .286 in August (16/56) with three home runs and 17 strikeouts
  • Randy Arozarena is hitting .233 in August (14/60) with four home runs and five RBI
  • Christian Yelich is hitting .160 in August (8/50) with seven RBI and 16 strikeouts
  • Jake Bauers is hitting .340 in August (16/47) with 13 walks and 11 strikeouts
  • Brice Turang is hitting .216 in August (11/51) with 19 strikeouts to seven walks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mariners at Brewers

  • Seattle is an MLB-worst 47-79 ATS
  • Milwaukee is 66-60 ATS
  • Seattle is 62-57-7 to the Over, ranking ninth-best
  • Milwaukee is 69-54-3 to the Under, ranking fourth-best
  • Seattle is an MLB-worst 24-40 ATS on the road
  • Milwaukee is 36-28 ATS at home, ranking third-best

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Mariners and the Brewers

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

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Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday's game between the Mariners and the Brewers:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Mariners on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Mariners at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 7.0

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Wednesday morning Rangers things

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - AUGUST 18: Jarred Kelenic #25 is congratulated by Brandon Nimmo #24 of the Texas Rangers following a victory over the Washington Nationals at Globe Life Field on August 18, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Good morning, folks…it appears I’m doing the links today…

The Texas Rangers beat the Washington Nationals last night by a score of 5-0.

Evan Grant’s game story talks about the Rangers being more aggressive on the basepaths in an effort to kickstart a somnolent offense.

Taylor Sheridan, creator of “Yellowstone,” threw out the first pitch before yesterday’s game.

Prior to the game, the Rangers activated catcher Danny Jansen from the injured list.

The Rangers also had positive updates on Jacob deGrom, Jack Leiter and Josh Jung.

Kennedi Landry writes that it is crunchtime for the Rangers after their unpleasant road trip.

Evan Grant looks at why the recent skid has the Rangers in a difficult spot.

Sebastian Walcott is expected to play in the field this season, not just DH, with the question being whether that will be in AA, AAA or the majors, and someone owes Jared Sandler an apology.

MLB Pipeline runs down some prospects who could be called up to the majors in the near future, with Walcott being included on the list.

The Texas Rangers Baseball Foundation participated in a ribbon-cutting ceremony for Mansfield’s Miracle League Field.

Oswaldo Pirela, former Ranger minor leaguer and current San Diego Padres minor league catching instructor, was detained by ICE in El Paso as part of the federal government’s crackdown on the scourge of minor league baseball coaches.

Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Jackson Jobe vs. Paul Skenes

MIAMI, FLORIDA - AUGUST 11: Paul Skenes #30 of the Pittsburgh Pirates delivers during the first inning against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on August 11, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, August 19, 2026, 12:35 p.m. ET

The Pittsburgh Pirates are finishing off their home stand with a Wednesday matinee contest against the Detroit Tigers at PNC Park.

Paul Skenes is getting the ball for the Pirates after the team scratched him from his start on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox. The Pirates opted to run a bullpen game to give Skenes more rest in hopes of fixing his recent struggles. Skenes has been winless in each of his last four starts and only pitched five innings, giving up five hits and one earned run in his last appearance on August 11 against the Miami Marlins on the road. Perhaps a return to PNC Park will help his chances at getting back on track.

The Tigers are handing the ball to Jaxson Jobe, who, like Skenes, was a former top prospect. Jobe has only made two starts for the Tigers this season, replacing Tarik Skubal in the rotation after he was traded to the Los Angeles Dodgers at the beginning of the month.

Jobe underwent Tommy John surgery and missed most of the 2025 campaign and 2026, but he is healthy and ready to go. It’s been a slow start for Jobe, who gave up nine hits, six runs, and 3.20 ERA in his last start on August 14 against the Chicago White Sox. He also pitched five innings of one-hit, scoreless baseball in his 2026 debut on August 8 against the San Francisco Giants.

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Broadcast: KDKA AM/FM, Sportsnet Pittsburgh

Pitching Matchup: Jackson Jobe (1-1, 6.23 ERA) vs. Paul Skenes (9-11, 3.88 ERA)

BD community, chime off in the comments section below.

Angel Genao Has Been Heaven Sent

CLEVELAND, OH - AUGUST 16: Angel Genao #17 of the Cleveland Guardians looks on during the game between the San Diego Padres and the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on Sunday, August 16, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Grace Hoppel/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The Guardians desperately needed an offensive spark, so they sent a request for an Angel in their infield who has worked out incredibly well so far.

Angel Genao, coming back a year removed from a shoulder injury, put up a 133 wRC+ with a .300/.401/.474 slashline and 16.2/14.3 K/BB% playing short, third and second base in the minors before getting the call-up. He had a 45.2% hard-hit rate, a 7.3% swinging-strike rate, a 25.6% chase rate, a 92% zone contact rate (82% contact rate overall) and a 22%/56%/22% line drive/ground ball/fly ball rate.

In the small sample size of 11 games, Genao’s skills as a hitter have translated well. He has a 150 wRC+ with a .324/.405/.459 slashline, and a 7.1/9.5% K/BB%. His metrics match up well, also, with a 50% hard-hit rate, a 6.9% swinging strike rate, a 30.4% chase rate, a 91% zone contact rate (85% contact rate overall) and a 18%/58%/24% line drive/groundball/flyball rate. He’s also looked solid in the field mostly at second and third base in limited opportunities.

This is an exciting start, but, of course, we have seen Travis Bazzana start his first month with a 148 wRC+, Bo Naylor put up a 199 wRC+ during his third month, Angel Martinez a 111 wRC+ during his first six weeks, and Kyle Manzardo a 147 wRC+ in his second month. While plenty of hope remains for all three to find their way as big league hitters (especially Bazzana) all have struggled as the league began to adjust their pitching attack with further information from analyzing their limited success periods. The big question for any hitter is how they will adapt and adjust to the league “getting a book on them.” What should we believe about Genao’s ability to make these adjustments?

First, one big deal for Genao is his age. Bazzana, Manzardo and Naylor were each 23 for their first stints, and Martinez was 22. Genao is also 22 but 4 months younger than Martinez was during his first stint, and, obviously, outperforming his Angel counterpart so far. It’s a really big deal to be this young and demonstrating a mature approach at the plate. Genao’s .333 BABIP doesn’t seem at all unusual given his speed (fastest sprint speed on the team with Petey Halpin), and his .343 xwOBA so far is under his .384 wOBA but still excellent. His chase rate is elevated, but not alarmingly so, and he will have a chance to lower it as he gets used to the shapes and velocities of major league quality pitches, while, so far, his ability to avoid strikeouts and take walks have shown a promising ability to translate.

Soon, we will see major league pitchers begin to test how much they can get Genao to expand the zone and see what he will do with a steady diet of pitches on the outer half of the zone (as they have done in pounding Bazzana). Genao will have to be willing to chase less and to poke some pitches outside to the opposite field in order to earn himself pitches middle-in where his exit velocities will be best. Teams will also get a good sense of where to position their infielders optimally to make plays on the tremendous amount of groundballs Genao hits, and he will need to start elevating at least a small percentage of those into line drives to compensate. But, again, nothing in his profile indicates he isn’t capable of making these kind of adjustments. Instead, he looks like the kind of young hitter every team dreams of finding and giving run.

Where Genao eventually plays is certainly an open question. Does he bump Travis Bazzana to left field? Or first base? Does he supplant Brayan Rocchio and move the fielding savant to a utility role (and would Rocchio take better to that challenging role than Gabriel Arias did)? Would the team consider testing Genao’s elite speed and cannon arm in a centerfield role? All open questions, but if Genao can continue to develop and sustain what he is doing as a hitter, a starting role will be found somewhere and the Guardians may have finally found their next star switch-hitting infielder.

One of the most exciting things about the remainder of the 2026 season will be seeing what our newest Guardian Angel does with the opportunities afforded him with the big league club. Here’s to hoping we have the answer to our prayers in this latest rookie to descend on our baseball team.

Fernando Tatis Jr. robbed a grand slam, hit a pose, and found a perfect GIF

Fernando Tatis Jr. hit one of the more majestic home runs of the season for the San Diego Padres in the first inning of their Tuesday night showdown with the New York Mets. The mammoth 452-foot shot to left center put San Diego up 1-0, but it won’t be the play anyone remembers most from the game. That’s because Tatis Jr. made a web gem for the ages one inning later that saved so many more runs.

The New York Mets loaded the bases for star shortstop Francisco Lindor in the second inning, and he mashed a pitch on the outer edge of the plate down the right field line for a deep fly ball. It looked like it was going to be a grand slam, but Tatis had other plans. He jumped, reached over the wall, and came away with the third out of the inning in his glove.

Tatis’ reaction after the catch was even better. Watch the play here:

When Tatis landed with the ball in his glove, he hit an absolutely perfect pose that looked like a pro wrestler after a finisher. No notes.

The Padres beat the Mets, 5-2, to keep their wild card hopes alive. San Diego is two up on the Arizona Diamondbacks for the final spot in the NL playoff picture entering Wednesday’s action.

Tatis seemed quite proud of his catch. He posted this GIF on Twitter after the game.

Honestly, he looked exactly like that. The baseball playoffs are better when the Padres are involved, because Tatis is a must-see star even if this hasn’t been his best season by the numbers. His flair for the dramatic is always there, and San Diego can hope he’s just started to peak at the right time.

MLB Strikeout Props & Pitcher Best Bets for Today, Aug. 19

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It was a clean sweep here yesterday as the pitching board was as clear as glass. I'm looking to keep that heater rolling into an all-day slate loaded with pitcher predictions and MLB player props.

Chris Bassitt's strikeout market is moving to the Over for a reason. Sandy Alcantara's 100-pitch leash is perfect for his plus-money Over, and Drew Rasmussen's short leash has me reaching for a plus-money Under prop.

These are my favorite MLB pitcher props for Wednesday, Aug. 19.

Best MLB strikeout props and starting pitcher picks today

Player PickOdds
Orioles Chris BassittOver 4.5 strikeouts+105
Marlins Sany AlcantaraOver 4.5 strikeouts+127
Rays Drew RasmussenUnder 17.5 outs+150

Strikeout prop: Chris Bassitt Over 4.5 strikeouts (+105)

The market is moving on Chris Bassitt’s Over Ks prop, and deservedly so. Bassitt rejoined the rotation off the IL in his last start and went 88 pitches against the Rays, so he is fully stretched out and ready for one of the best strikeout matchups in baseball.

The Yankees are the highest K% team in baseball this summer. In August, their 27.2% K% paces the league, and Bassitt has a solid track record against this lineup from his time with the Blue Jays.

Last season, Bassitt faced the Yankees four times and struck out 25 over 23-plus innings with a solid 1.141 WHIP. His strikeout stuff has dropped this year, but he was a K-per-inning pitcher during his rehab and can get to five Ks in 18 outs today with a 90-plus-pitch leash.

The K% matchup is what gets this across the line, and the 5.23 Ks projected on 91 pitches puts the fair price all the way at -150.

  • Time: 6:35 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: MLB Network

Strikeout prop: Sandy Alcantara Over 4.5 strikeouts (+127)

Sandy Alcantara is averaging 100.3 pitches per start over his last 10 games and has gone beyond 18 outs in 70% of those. His projections show value on the Under today, but that's based on a 92-pitch projection that could be short by 10 pitches.

The Miami starter's strikeout stuff is the same on the road as at home and better against lefties than righties. Since the start of June, Alcantara is 10-4 to the Over on this prop, but the real chase here is that plus money. He's also faced Philadelphia twice this year and gone Over in both games, allowing just two earned runs over 13 innings.

There aren't a ton of angles here other than the longest-leashed pitcher in baseball with a great price and a profitable record.

This is a bet to +105.

  • Time: 6:05 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: NBCSP, Marlins.TV

Pitcher out prop: Drew Rasmussen Under 17.5 outs (+150)

Drew Rasmussen is a great pitcher, but he's a great pitcher with an 88-pitch leash over his last 10 games and has seen the Blue Jays three times this season. He's hit the Over at a 61% clip over the last three months but is priced at 66% probable today in a matchup that should be tougher than average.

The Jays don't strike out a lot and can run up pitch counts. Yesterday, I faded Nick Martinez in a similar spot at plus money for a winner, and I'm going back to the well today. The Rays also used just two bullpen arms yesterday, so there are plenty of fresh arms available to cover the fifth and sixth innings.

I'd play this down to +120. Rasmussen has thrown more than 90 pitches just four times over his last 10 starts, and this lineup is very familiar with him.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Rays.TV, Sportsnet
Josh Inglis' 2026 Transparency Record
  • Prop picks: 17-15, +3.37 units

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Dominic Smith and Jim Jarvis return to lineup as Braves face Twins

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - JULY 25: Dominic Smith #8 of the Atlanta Braves prepares for a pitch during a baseball game against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 25, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The lineups are out for Wednesday afternoon’s getaway day game between the Atlanta Braves and the Minnesota Twins. If the Braves are going to get out of this mini-funk that they’re currently in, then they’re planning on doing it with most of the familiar faces.

Here’s today’s lineup for Atlanta:

Dominic Smith is making his first start of the series in the series finale and he’ll be the third different player to serve as DH during this series, as Ronald Acuña Jr. took on the role in the series opener and Drake Baldwin got the nod in the middle matchup. Meanwhile, Jim Jarvis returns to the lineup at shortstop, which means that Mauricio Dubón will be starting this game on the bench. Outside of that, everybody’s in their usual spots both in the field and in the lineup.

We’ll update this post once the Twins reveal their lineup but for now, how are we feeling about the lineup today? Let’s see some runs this afternoon, please.

Yankees vs. Orioles prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 19

The Yankees (70-55) and the Orioles (61-65) continue their three-game AL East series tonight at Camden Yards with New York looking to build on last night's 3-1 victory and continue its push in the AL East.

Last night New York rode another night of exceptionally strong pitching and just enough offense to victory. A tightly contested game turned in the third inning when Trent Grisham broke a scoreless tie with a solo home run off Orioles’ starter Shane Baz. Baltimore answered later in the inning when Coby Mayo connected for a solo homer of his own against Yankees left-hander Carlos Rodón, evening the score at 1-1. The Orioles loaded the bases in the second inning, but were unable to capitalize. That missed chance proved costly as the pitchers in pinstripes settled in and rolled from there. The Yankees ultimately broke the tie later in the game and leaned on their bullpen to secure the victory.

 

New York sends right-hander Will Warren (8-6, 4.42 ERA) to the mound for the second game of the series tonight. Warren was most assuredly headed to the bullpen following the activation of Rodon from the disabled list, but the injury to Max Fried (bone bruise) offers him another opportunity. Last Wednesday, Warren was shelled by Seattle allowing five runs on six hits over just four innings. Baltimore counters with veteran right-hander Chris Bassitt (4-4, 5.11 ERA), who enters with a 4-4 record and 5.11 ERA. Bassitt has appeared in just two games since the end of May pitching a total of 8.1 innings and allowing five earned runs.

 

Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

 

Game Details and How to Watch: Yankees vs. Orioles

 

  • Date: Wednesday, August 19, 2026
  • Time: 6:35PM EST
  • Site: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
  • City: Baltimore, MD
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Prime Video, MASN

 

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

 

The Latest Odds: Yankees vs. Orioles – August 19

The latest odds as of Wednesday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: New York Yankees (-116), Baltimore Orioles (+108)  
  • Spread: Yankees -1.5 (+130), Orioles +1.5 (-157)
  • Total: 9.0 runs

 

Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Yankees vs. Orioles for August 19

  • Orioles: Chris Bassitt
    Season Totals: 61.2 IP, 4-4, 5.11 ERA, 1.62 WHIP, 40K, 25 BB
  • Yankees: Will Warren
    Season Totals: 118.0 IP, 8-6, 4.42 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 117K, 41 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Yankees vs. Orioles

  • Trent Grisham has homered at least once in 3 of his last 6 games
  • Grisham has 2 HRs in 20 ABS against Chris Bassitt
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. is 6-45 (.133) in August
  • Colton Cowser is 3-9 in his career against Will Warren
  • Pete Alonso has 1 HR in 5 ABs against Warren
  • Paul Goldschmidt is 4-9 with 1 HR in his career against Chris Bassitt
  • Jackson Holliday’s modest 4-game hitting streak was snapped last night
  • Pete Alonso is riding a 10-game hitting streak (19-38)
  • Alonso is 1-5 in his career against Will Warren but the 1 hit was a HR

 

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

 

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Yankees vs. Orioles

 

  • The Orioles are 66-60 on the Run Line this season
  • The Yankees are 59-66 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 64 times in games involving Baltimore this season (64-58-4)
  • The OVER has cashed 52 times in games involving the Yankees this season (52-69-4)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Yankees vs. Orioles for August 19

 

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

 

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Orioles and the Yankees:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Yankees on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 9.0

 

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Diamondbacks' Torey Lovullo: Ketel Marte returned to Phoenix for knee testing, hopeful he can play again in 2026

BOSTON — Arizona Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said he was told Ketel Marte traveled back to Phoenix for tests on his left knee and was a bit surprised at the lack of communication with the All-Star second baseman.

Asked if he thought Marte would play for Arizona again this year, Lovullo said he hoped so. A three-time All-Star, Marte is hitting .249 with 21 home runs and 67 RBIs over 118 games this season.

“We need him,” Lovullo said before a game against the Red Sox. “He’s one of the best players in the National League as far as I’m concerned.”

Arizona placed the 32-year-old Marte on the restricted list, the second time in as many seasons the D-backs have done so.

Marte failed to show up for Arizona’s 11-1 loss at Boston in what Lovullo said was a crazy day as Marte deals with a personal issue. Lovullo said he spoke to Marte trying to find out what was going on without getting any answers.

The second baseman traveled with the team to Boston and Lovullo wasn’t certain after the loss if Marte still was there.

This wasn’t the first time Marte had a strange disappearance.

Last season, he went on the restricted list when his home in Arizona was broken into during the All-Star break. He missed three games after flying back to his native Dominican Republic and later apologized for his absence.

2026 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Alex Bregman is the Superhero vs. the White Sox

It just keeps on going. The Cubs complete another walk-off win. Consecutive walk-off wins, consecutive PCA lead-off homers. I could get used to this. That’s 13 of them and that ties 1932 and 2015 for the second most in franchise history (14 in 1930). I keep seeing echoes of that 2015 season. That’s a really special season for what it was and what it led to. I’d be over the moon if this season is either part of or a bridge to the next Cub championship. But it won’t tarnish the fun that this summer has been. The walk-offs. The further ascendency of Pete to baseball royalty. A really gutsy trade deadline. So much to love this season. (Even if those trade deadline moves have so far produced uneven, at best, results.)

Before we dissect another fun win, let’s rewind a bit. There is a lag now between the WPA numbers I see at the time I’m writing and what is there when Al edits and posts what I write. So it is hard for me to put in perspective the season long implications of a WPA score. That is doubly true with extra-inning games. When the ghost runner became a thing, it broke the standard WPA calculators. I’m not a coder, so I don’t understand why there isn’t some “easy” fix for that runner. But the initial numbers always get confused as to how that baserunner is there. I’m imagining some casual fans are too, right? Trying to understand why baseball changes its rules at the end. I mean hockey and football also have different rules in their overtime. So it’s not insane. But still. It’ll always be weird to me.

Nico Hoerner’s .797 WPA for the Monday night game was indeed the highest WPA score of the season. Noting back to the prior paragraph, it originally posted over the .800 mark. As we get into that rare air, when was the last higher score by a Cub? In 2018, the Cubs produced two scores higher. One is essentially impossible in the modern game. Who remembers Eddie Butler? I remember him throwing a ball to my daughter in spring training of 2017. On March 30, 2018 Butler threw seven innings of one run ball. In relief. That one run? It lost the Cubs the game 2-1.

But that wasn’t even the highest WPA score of that season. That belongs to the ultimate WPA event. On August 12, 2018 David Bote batted with the bases loaded and two outs, the Cubs down three. He hit an ultimate grand slam, flipping a 3-0 loss to a 4-3 win. As it was pinch hitting, his WPA game score was the whole .901 event. That nudged out Butler’s .898.

One other fun WPA note. They tweak it. All of the time. I assume between seasons, but I’m not really sure. While the Butler game was .898 at the time I recorded it, it’s a mere .850 now. As they tweak it, it effects what you’ll see on a site like baseball reference. David Bote’s now shows as .904. So even a little more remarkable with time. That’s the ultimate event score. In theory, you could register a game score over 1.000. If you kept getting clutch hits and your pitching kept giving it up, you could amass a lot of WPA. An easy example for Cub fans is the “Sandberg game.” Homer to tie it in the ninth, homer to tie it in the 10th, five hits and seven RBI in total. That was a 1.088 WPA game.

So needless to say, Nico’s game was an almost once in a decade WPA score. If you said that PCA absolutely HAD to be the Player of the Game, I think you probably are underselling Nico’s game. I always hesitate to tell someone their opinion is wrong. But if you don’t see the two of those as 1 and 1a for the game, you are probably under valuing Nico a bit.

For this game, Tuesday night, Alex Bregman appears to have checked in with the fourth highest WPA score of the year. Alex isn’t what he once was as a player. We’re talking about a guy who was a real decisive offensive force in the game for a while. He’s not that anymore. But his defense is exceptional, guys who are often credited as leaders on this team look to him for leadership and the bat is slowly coming around to be pretty darn productive. I tend to like hitters who were first round picks and have been All-Stars before. Even when you get them in the twilight of their career. To be fair, I don’t think Alex (or Dansby Swanson) have reached their twilight. But, I love guys like them, because they don’t shy from the big moment. To use basketball language, they used to be the guy who hit the shot. Granted almost all of these guys were THAT guy in high school. But I think it is something different when you’ve done it on the biggest stage. I’ve seen Dansby be in a horrid slump, stand in with the game on the line and have a super high quality plate appearance. And now I’m seeing Bregman do it. Obviously, if you could get an army of this year’s Pete Crow-Armstrongs, you’d do that. I mean, how fun would it be to see him playing all over the diamond. But seriously, you grab in their prime stars when you can. But guys who have well rounded skillsets and aren’t one foot into retirement yet are pretty darn valuable too.

My last narrative of the game is going to be about Javier Assad. Can a player both be overrated and underrated? I think Cub fans tend to over rate Javier. The Cubs know he’s a valuable piece but also one that can be overexposed if he’s given a very long leash. Non Cub fans probably significantly under rate Javy. That guy has accepted every role they’ve given to him and he’s clearly pouring his heart out with every appearance. There aren’t many guys on the team that I want to see succeed more than him. I can’t think of too many guys in recent years who have gotten more of a percentage of their possible production than him. The last one I can think of was the run Albert Almora Jr. got on for a while until he was ultimately overexposed. And he didn’t do it for as long as Assad has. I truly don’t believe you could hand him a major role and have it work. But he’s really excelled in two long stretches over different seasons for this organization. I love that he’s under control for at least one more year. He’s so valuable in that utility role.

One last, last note. Jacob Webb. He threw a scoreless ninth to set up the heroics. There he is collecting both wins in this series. Between Webb and Michael Conforto, they’ve really carried last off-season’s acquisition class. Oh heck, why don’t I give everyone a hat tip. This is a good handful of huge runs I can remember Kevin Alcántara scoring for this team. The bat hasn’t worked yet, but the wheels play.

Three Positives:

  • Sure, why not sneak in another one here. One at bat for Carson Kelly, he doubles and scores the winning run off of the bench. I was a little scared with a catcher running on a line drive single with the outfielder charging it.
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong, just the one hit. But leading off the game with a homer is a big deal. He did draw two walks, though one was intentional. He had to start picking up intentional walks eventually.
  • I’m going to give a little love to Michael Busch here too. He had a solo homer in the first off of a lefty. He added a walk. He missed two homers by maybe 10 total feet on Monday. Feels like he’s getting the power stroke going for the stretch run. Sure would love to see him get on a heater.

As is always the case in a one-run win, there are a number of guys who played a key role in the win. I think I hit most of them somewhere along the way.

Game127, August 18: Cubs 4, White Sox 3 (74-53)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero: Alex Bregman (.537). 2-5, 2 RBI
  • Hero: Javier Assad (.214). 3 IP, 10 BF, 2 H, 2 K
  • Sidekick: Carson Kelly (.173). 1-1, 2B, R

THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat: Seiya Suzuki (-.289). 0-5
  • Goat: Kevin Gausman (-.129). 4.1 IP, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 R, 5 K
  • Kid: Pedro Ramirez (-.112). 1-4

WPA Play of the Game: Alex Bregman’s walk-off single in the ninth inning. (.390) For the second straight night, the same Cub was responsible for the two biggest plays of the game. His game-tying single in the seventh was the second. (.233)

White Sox Play of the Game: Tristran Peters doubled with a runner on second and one out in the fourth, giving the Sox the lead. (.125)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 126 Winner: Pete Crow-Armstrong received 84 of 115 votes.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

  • Pete Crow-Armstrong +30
  • Alex Bregman +22
  • Shōta Imanaga +14
  • Trent Thornton/Carson Kelly +13.5
  • Phil Maton -10
  • Edward Cabrera -12.5
  • Jameson Taillon -13
  • Dansby Swanson -17
  • Caleb Thielbar -19.5

Notes: Javier Assad is now sixth at +12 and Seiya Suzuki is next on the negative at -9.

Scoreboard Watching: Phillies win (five back). Diamondbacks lose (eight back). Padres win (six back). Braves lose (even). Brewers win (4.5 up). Dodgers win (two up). So, at least for one day, there are only three teams in baseball with better records than the Cubs and one of those is the Rays in the AL, just one ahead. Regardless of what you think of them, this Cub team isn’t going away. They are on a 94-win pace. 94 probably doesn’t win the division.

Up Next: An afternoon game Wednesday as the Cubs go for a sweep. It was fortunate catching the White Sox at the back of their rotation while the Cubs were in good position. We’ll take it. Clay Holmes (5-5, 2.56) starts for the Cubs. His last Wrigley start was awesome. One hit, one walk over 6.2 innings against the Cardinals. It’ll be interesting to see how he bounces back from that. Sean Newcomb will be the opener for the Sox, followed by José Urquidy as the “bulk guy.” Urquidy is 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA and was the bulk pitcher behind an opener last time through. He threw 3.2 innings against the Tigers and picked up a win in doing so. He hadn’t actually started games at the major league level since 2023 with the Astros. There’s no way he’s fully stretched. The Sox bullpen isn’t crazy taxed out of these first two games though, getting good work from the main pitcher in each game.

Get greedy and finish the sweep. Deliver the bitter pill to a pesky young team and worry about them in a year or two as they develop.

DSL Braves 2026 Season Recap

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - AUGUST 17: A detail shot of an Atlanta Braves equipment bag prior to the game between the Atlanta Braves and the Minnesota Twins at Target Field on Monday, August 17, 2026 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Michael Turner/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The DSL Braves season has come to a close. On paper it wasn’t a good year at just 16-39, but this was the strongest DSL Braves roster we have seen in at least a decade – particularly on the hitter side of things. This article will highlight some of the successes and failures of the team’s season, as well as picking the team’s hitter and pitcher of the year.

DSL Hitter of the Year: Sherrintely Da Costa Gomez, OF

This ended up being a pretty easy choice after Sherrintely Da Costa Gomez slashed .248/.409/.440 with five homers and seven steals over 44 games played in his age-17 season. The main competitors for this were Jorwin Pulido (promoted after 22 games), Starlyn De La Cruz (injured after 16 games), and Edelson Cabral (his stat line fell off a bit towards the end of his first professional season). SDCG filled the box score all year, recording five doubles, two triples, 30 RBI, and 33 walks, which helped him be selected to the All Star Game. Really the only area of question was the fact he struck out 56 times over 164 plate appearances. He led the Braves in homers, RBI, and slugging percentage among qualified players. Sherrintely is looking like a possible steal, signing for just $250k this year – making him the 8th most expensive signing in this year’s Braves class.

DSL Pitcher of the Year: Martires Polanco, RHP

While the DSL pitching staff struggled this year, to put it mildly, Martires Polanco was a revelation. Sure he is already 19-years-old and pitching in the DSL, but this kid has potentially plus grades on both his fastball and slider, and he is only in his first professional season – so I wouldn’t look at him in the same lens as an older player who puts up big DSL stats while repeating the league. Polanco posted a 2.89 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 14.0 K/9, and 4.3 H/9 over 37.1 innings in his 10 starts and made the All Star Game. The only red flag with him is he also walked 6.8 per nine innings, suggesting that the control is going to need to be worked on as he moves up. Polanco did have some competition for this spot, as 17-year-old Cesar Navarro posted a slightly better ERA (2.47) and WHIP (1.20) over more innings (47.1) – though he only struck out 6.8 per nine. Polanco technically signed last year, but not until mid-December, for an undisclosed amount – which usually means a smaller sized bonus, while Navarro cost $80k.

Hitting

This was one of the most fun DSL lineups we have seen in a long time, though the lineup looked very different at the end of the season as injuries started to add up and a promotion occurred. Still it was a positive year for most of the Braves top international signees. We already got into Sherrintely Da Costa Gomez, but the top three signings this year were shortstop Jose Manon ($1.5M), outfielder Starlyn De La Cruz ($1.2M), and infielder Edelson Cabral ($600k). Manon slashed .302/.400/.396 with one homer, seven doubles, and 19 steals as he walked 14 times to 22 strikeouts over 125 plate appearances – but his season ended on July 16th due to injury.

Starlyn was off to an insane start, slashing .300/.500/.560 with two doubles, a triple, two homers, and nine steals to go with his 14 walks and 14 strikeouts in 64 plate appearances – but his season ended due to injury on June 23rd. Cabral made it the whole season and hit .236/.397/.344 with three doubles, four triples, two homers, 13 steals, and 39 walks to 41 strikeouts over 204 plate appearances.

Though Cabral actually saw his numbers dip from an .849 OPS on July 27th after slashing just .036/.333/.107 over his last 42 plate appearances. It’s less of a concern and probably more of a 17-year-old in hitting a wall in his first professional season, especially considering he didn’t even turn 17 until July.

Beyond the big three signees and the emergence of Sherrintely, a couple more first year guys stood out. Catcher Jorwin Pulido hit .324/.402/.437 with six doubles and a triple with 10 walks to only five strikeouts in 87 plate appearances. His time here was cut short because he earned a promotion to the FCL, something the Braves almost never do for a player in his first pro season, let alone for a 17-year-old. Then there was catcher Jose Nelo, who came on late and slashed .296/.392/.428 with 12 doubles and three homers to go with 25 walks and 37 strikeouts in his 189 plate appearances. Pulido was signed for $350k, while Nelo was a $50k signing this year.

Among the other six-figure bonus players were Osmar Torrealba ($400k), Durban Arnedo ($275k), Elioberto Mondesir ($197.5k), and Luis Fortunato ($150k). Fortunato had the best year of this group, slashing .265/.392/.302 with four extra base hits, followed by Mondesir’s .221/.345/.287 with seven extra base hits. Torrealba (.449 OPS) and Arnedo (.468 OPS) both struggled in their pro debuts, but Arnedo did reportedly have some flashes of his talent.

In terms of guys repeating the league the Braves third, fourth, and fifth most expensive signings from the 2025 class were all back. Angel Carmona, who received $447.5k last year, was the most anticipated, but he didn’t see game action as he spent the entire season on the restricted list after a .827 OPS in 20 games here last year. Outfielder Elias Reyno, a $297.5k signing, went from slashing .178/.397/.271 here last year to posting a line of .208/.406/.292 in 10 games before being promoted to the FCL. The former Yassel Garcia, now Yassel Pena, who signed for $247.5k and posted a .686 OPS here a year ago would slash .246/.424/.336 with a homer among his eight extra base hits. It is worth noting that Pena played exclusively at third last year, and this year he played mostly first base with five games at third and one in left field – though he still had the speed to steal 13 bags in 17 attempts.

Among other players who flashed something were 17-year-old outfielder Luis Consoro (.665 OPS), and 18-year-old outfielder Elisandro Ramirez, who was repeating the league. Ramirez saw his OPS jump from .663 to .836 this year, posting an OPS mark above .915 in both July and August, though he played only 20 combined games in those months. Consoro didn’t sign and make his debut until mid-July, but did show some speed and on base ability in the 19 games he spent here.

Pitching

It’s safe to say that things were a mess here, as the 23 pitchers and three position players used this year combined to pitch to an 7.41 ERA and 1.90 WHIP. Out of the 13 guys who pitched 10+ innings, only five had an ERA below 5.04 – a number that includes one 21-year-old in a league that is filled with 16-18 year-olds. Things are usually bleak in terms of the quality of DSL pitching, but this staff struggled more than most. Polanco and Navarro were the two most productive arms, but two more first year pitchers also had good seasons. Jesus Cova, an 18-year-old, pitched to a 3.07 ERA and 0.96 WHIP with 7.7 K/9 over 29.1 innings, while 17-year-old Geowin Gomez had a 3.09 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, and 7.9 K/9 over 32 innings.

Gomez was actually a reliever who only made two starts among his 11 appearances, but based on his innings total might get a shot at starting in the future. The fifth guy with a strong year was Charlis Medina, who while also in his first year is a 21-year-old. Medina put up a 3.76 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 10.6 K/9 over 40.2 innings.

Among the other players who posted a strikeout rate of better than 9.0 per nine were three relievers in 17-year-old Giovanni Medina (6.08 ERA, 1.61 WHIP, 10.6 K/9), 17-year-old Diego Ramirez (9.49 ERA, 2.51 WHIP, 9.5 K/9), and 18-year-old league repeater Ernesto Meza (5.04 ERA, 1.76 WHIP, 9.4 K/9).

The only two pitchers who signed for $100K+ this year were Jonathan Hechavarria and Efrailin Caminero, and neither was able to do much. Hechavarria, who signed for $340k, didn’t pitch at all this year due to injury, while Caminero, who got $150k, went 0.2 innings over three relief appearances and walked eight guys.

Dodgers vs Rockies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Los Angeles Dodgers picked up high-scoring victories in each of their first two games against the Colorado Rockies, and I'm expecting a similar formula from the -200 favorites tonight.

Their offense is well-positioned to score early and often against Kyle Freeland, which is why I'm targeting the road team to win by a margin with my Dodgers vs. Rockies predictions and MLB picks on Wednesday, Aug. 19.

Who will win Dodgers vs Rockies today: Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

Roki Sasaki has posted a 3.5 xERA or better in six of his last seven starts, with the lone exception coming against the league-leading Milwaukee Brewers.

His strikeouts are up, his hard-hit rate is down, and he’s held opponents to a 28.6% fly-ball rate over the last month. That will play well at Coors, where keeping the ball on the ground is crucial.

The Los Angeles Dodgers scored 18 runs over the first two games of this series, and should provide Sasaki with all the support needed against Kyle Freeland and a bad Colorado Rockies bullpen.

Play the RL to -135.

Covers COVERS INTEL:Freeland sits in the ninth percentile in barrel rate, which is a recipe for disaster in favorable hitting conditions at Coors.

Dodgers vs Rockies Over/Under pick: Over 11.5 (+105)

The Dodgers have averaged nine runs over the first two games of the series, and I trust them to do some serious lifting for the total in this one.

Freeland has gotten crushed by quality offenses all season long. He has posted an abysmal 10.85 ERA and allowed 2.91 HR/9 over seven starts vs. Top-10 offenses in ISO against left-handed pitching.

The Colorado Rockies are a very good offense at home — it’s hard not to be — and they won’t need to score much to push this total Over.

Play to -115.

Dodgers vs Rockies home run prediction: Andy Pages (+365)

Andy Pages is a beast against left-handed pitching, hitting .288 with a .252 ISO and eye-popping .911 OPS in the split.

He not only draws a lefty tonight, but a poor one at that. Freeland has bled power to righties, ranking in the fifth percentile in xSLG and 11th percentile in HR/9. The matchup is about as good as it gets.

When you factor in that this game will be played at Coors, with the environment projected to provide a 26% boost to homers, and it’s hard not to get excited about Pages in this spot.

I’d back him to +340.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 83-76, -10.40 units
  • Over/Under bets: 84-69-6, +4.52 units

Dodgers vs Rockies weather

With temperatures comfortably in the 80s, the hitting conditions will be very favorable at Coors.

Dodgers vs Rockies odds

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -200 | Rockies +165
  • Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (-125) | Rockies +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: Over 11 (-120) | Under 11 (+100)

Dodgers vs Rockies trend

Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of the last 21 games (+6.10 units, 26% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Rockies.

How to watch Dodgers vs Rockies and game info

LocationCoors Field, Denver, CO
DateWednesday, Aug. 19, 2026
First pitch8:40 p.m. ET
TVRockies.TV, SportsNet LA
Dodgers starting pitcherRoki Sasaki
(5-5, 4.46 ERA)
Rockies starting pitcherKyle Freeland
(4-10, 6.27 ERA)

Dodgers vs Rockies latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mariners’ 22-0 loss made even worse by star forgetting how many outs there were

The Seattle Mariners were one game away from a trip to the World Series last season. This year, everything has fallen apart. Catcher Cal Raleigh went from baseball’s best power hitter with 60 home runs to someone with a .570 OPS this year. Raleigh’s struggles are emblematic of an entire team that just can’t seem to get right. Seattle is dead-last in baseball in runs per game (3.88), and no amount of pitching skill is going to save a team when the offense is that bad.

The Mariners were already out of the playoff race when they came to Milwaukee for a three-game series this week, but Tuesday night will be remembered as the low-point in their lost season. The mighty Brewers pounded Seattle, 22-0, in a game that was actually more embarrassing than the final score.

Seattle was only down 13-0 when third baseman Leo Rivas came on to pitch the eighth inning. He gave up nine runs in his one inning of work, but only seven of them were earned. Star outfielder Julio Rodriguez contributed the most humiliating error possible in baseball when he caught a long fly ball for the second out of the inning, and tossed it in the stands like it was the third out. Watch the video here:

If that doesn’t sum up the Mariners’ season from hell perfectly, I don’t know what does.

This is the worst mistake you can make on a baseball field, I think. There’s no excuse for not knowing how many outs there are. Obviously, Seattle was already getting blown out when this happened, and maybe it’s understandable in this situation for Rodriguez to let his mind wander. It immediately went viral, and made an awful game even worse. This is no way to be a professional, and someone as good as Rodriguez simply can’t make this error.

Larry Walker did this in 1994, and it’s still talked about.

This season has reached “sim to end” status for the Mariners. When fans think back to the disappointment of the 2026 campaign, Rodriguez throwing the ball into the stands with two outs, down 19-0 in Milwaukee, will be one of their first and worst flashbacks.

MLB Predictions and Moneyline Picks for Wednesday, Aug. 19

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Here are my MLB moneyline predictions for tonight's slate, which include the Tigers at plus money on the road against Paul Skenes

Before we dive in, be sure to check out all of our MLB picks for Wednesday, Aug. 19.

MLB moneyline picks for Aug. 19

MatchupPick
TigersTigers
vs
PiratesPirates
Tigers
+147
PadresPadres
vs
MetsMets
Padres
-127
BravesBraves
vs
TwinsTwins
Braves
-104
White SoxWhite Sox
vs
CubsCubs
Cubs
-141
DiamondbacksDiamondbacks
vs
Red SoxRed Sox
Diamondbacks
+153
MarlinsMarlins
vs
PhilliesPhillies
Marlins
+117
YankeesYankees
vs
OriolesOrioles
Orioles
+113
GiantsGiants
vs
GuardiansGuardians
Guardians
-208
CardinalsCardinals
vs
RedsReds
Cardinals
+133
Blue JaysBlue Jays
vs
RaysRays
Rays
-194
AthleticsAthletics
vs
RoyalsRoyals
Royals
-135
MarinersMariners
vs
BrewersBrewers
Mariners
+117
NationalsNationals
vs
RangersRangers
Nationals
+122
AngelsAngels
vs
AstrosAstros
Angels
+144
DodgersDodgers
vs
RockiesRockies
Dodgers
-186

Prices courtesy of Polymarket as of 8-19.

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Expert MLB moneyline picks for Aug. 19

Tigers vs Pirates: Tigers (+147)

Tigers win probability: 60%

With how terrible right-hander Paul Skenes has been over his last five starts, and with the books continuing to give us the "Skenes Tax," the Tigers are the play.

The Tigers' offense has been fantastic across the last few weeks, sporting a 130 wRC+, .354 wOBA and .804 OPS over their last 21 games. Meanwhile, the Pirates' bats have gone cold, just like their star pitcher.

Padres vs Mets: Padres (-127)

Padres win probability: 56%

Michael King takes the mound for the Padres this evening, owning a 3.72 ERA over his last five outings while limiting opposing hitters to just a 29% hard-hit rate. The Padres' offense has been scorching hot over the last month, posting a 122 wRC+, .340 wOBA, and .767 OPS.

The Mets' bats have gone cold across their last six games, with just a 96 wRC+, .303 wOBA, and .682 OPS. Additionally, Robert Stock is on the mound for them, and he's posted a 6.57 ERA through three outings this season.

At -127, taking the Padres is a great price.

Braves vs Twins: Braves (-104)

Braves win probability: 51%

Minnesota Twins starter Taj Bradley has been great this season at Target Field. But he's fallen off a cliff over his last three starts. The right-hander owns a 6.60 ERA and 1.93 WHIP during that stretch while walking hitters at a 13.33% clip. Bradley looked like he was turning a new leaf, until he wasn't.

Atlanta's bats are still cold, but taking on a pitcher who relies heavily on his fastball could be exactly what the lineup needs to get back on track.

White Sox vs Cubs: Cubs (-141)

Cubs win probability: 58%

The Cubs just have the White Sox's number in this series. It's clear the Cubs are looking to get their revenge after losing the initial series a few months back.

The White Sox send out Jose Urquidy, who owns an 8.10 ERA this season. He owns a 14.40 ERA and a 3.00 WHIP over his last three appearances. His arm won't instill much confidence in this White Sox team.

The only way the White Sox have a chance is if they pounce on Clay Holmes early and get to the Cubs' bullpen. That seems like an unlikely scenario given how well Holmes has been pitching.

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox: Diamondbacks (+153)

Diamondbacks win probability: 40%

The Red Sox at $1.50 doesn't feel like an attractive price to pay when the Diamondbacks have been just as good. Arizona sends out Brandon Pfaadt, who looks as good as he did during the 2023 postseason. The young right-hander has posted a 0.00 ERA over his last three starts while limiting hard contact and barrels.

The Diamondbacks have been maintaining a 117 wRC+, .779 OPS, and .190 ISO over their last 12 games.

On the other side, Boston left-hander Payton Tolle is on the mound, and he's been unbelievable. The club's bats look great as well, but with how well both sides have been performing, the dog carries more value.

Marlins vs Phillies: Marlins (+117)

Marlins win probability: 46%

Aaron Nola has looked better in his last few starts, but Sandy Alcantara has been lights out. The Marlins' right-hander owns a 1.59 ERA and 0.94 WHIP over his last five outings while allowing minimal hard contact and barrels.

The bats have been hot for the Fightin' Fish, and they're well worth trusting against a skittish arm.

Yankees vs Orioles: Orioles (+113)

Orioles win probability: 47%

The Yankees own a 73 wRC+ over their last six games, while the Orioles have posted a 139 wRC+ during that same stretch. It's extremely hard to overlook how poorly the Yankees' offense has been, and getting a team this hot at the dish as an underdog is a gift.

Will Warren has been struggling too, producing a 6.41 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP over his last three starts. Orioles right-hander Chris Bassitt at least has a 3.77 ERA in the same span.

Take the dog!

Giants vs Guardians: Guardians (-208)

Giants win probability: 68%

No chance we try to back the Giants against a left-handed arm, especially one as good as Parker Messick. San Francisco against left-handed arms owns just a 91 wRC+, .294 wOBA and .661 OPS.

Of course, the price is horrible, but Messick has been nearly untouchable, posting a 2.82 ERA and 1.12 WHIP at home this season. Meanwhile, Adrian Houser has an expected road ERA of 5.06.

Guardians or nothing here.

Cardinals vs Reds: Cardinals (+133)

Cardinals win probability: 43%

Snagging the Cardinals as a +133 underdog with how poorly the Reds' bats have been is a gift. Sure, right-hander Chase Burns has been unhittable, but the Reds still have to manage to score runs. Matthew Liberatore has been very solid in his most recent outings, owning a 2.80 xERA and 0.98 ERA over his last three.

The Cardinals have a 116 wRC+, .182 ISO and .334 wOBA over their last six games, while the Reds have an 88 wRC+, .678 OPS and a 25% strikeout rate.

Give me the dog!

Blue Jays vs Reds: Rays (-194)

Rays win probability: 66%

This is written every day here: HOW CAN WE TRUST THE BLUE JAYS? You can't!

The Blue Jays are ice-cold offensively, while the Rays have posted a .807 OPS, .174 ISO, and 132 wRC+ over their last 12 games. Max Scherzer has looked solid in his last few outings, but Father Time is on his tail. Plus, Drew Rasmussen has been nails, owning a 1.20 ERA across his last five starts while allowing little to no hard contact.

Rays or nothing.

Athletics vs Royals: Royals (-135)

Royals win probability: 57%

Death. Taxes. Fading Jeffrey Springs on the mound.

Even after the walk-off win last night, the Royals are the play here. Springs has posted a 9.00 ERA, 6.09 xERA, and 2.15 WHIP over his last five outings. Royals right-hander Seth Lugo hasn't been much better, but he owns a 3.70 xERA over his last five.

Kansas City's bats have been slightly cold, but Springs can bring that offense to life.

Mariners vs Brewers: Mariners (+117)

Mariners win probability: 46%

With how weak the Brewers' bats have become over their last 12 games and how hot the Mariners have been over the last week, snagging Seattle at +117 feels like the move.

The Mariners have a 121 wRC+, .338 wOBA, and .766 OPS over the last week, while owning a walk rate of almost 11%. On the other hand, the Brewers have a wRC+ under 80, .282 wOBA, and .082 ISO over their last six games.

Logan Gilbert has been great on the road this season, with just a 2.25 ERA and 0.98 WHIP. Dustin May has been solid as well, but with how cold Milwaukee has been at the dish, the Mariners offer some value as road underdogs.

Nationals vs Rangers: Nationals (+122)

Nationals win probability: 45%

Are the Nationals as an underdog one of the biggest mispriced teams of the day? Kumar Rocker has gone back to his old ways, posting an 8.10 ERA, 2.25 WHIP, and 12.86% walk rate over his last three starts.

On top of that, Cade Cavalli has been soaring over his last five starts, owning a 1.97 ERA and 1.03 WHIP while allowing just an 8% barrel rate.

At +122, trust the Nationals.

Angels vs Astros: Angels (+144)

Angels win probability: 41%

The Los Angeles Angels offer a lot of value tonight against the Astros, especially with how well Walbert Urena has been pitching over his last few starts. He's put up a 2.05 ERA and 1.06 WHIP across his last five outings. The right-hander is allowing just a 2.9% barrel rate.

Sadly, neither offense has been instilling much confidence, so we'll lean heavily into Urena to get the job done at +144.

Dodgers vs Rockies: Dodgers (-186)

Dodgers win probability: 65%

Kyle Freeland has been reliable recently, but the Dodgers will surely turn it up once the Rockies go to the bullpen. Additionally, the Rockies' offense has been lifeless, posting just a 78 wRC+, .299 wOBA, and .670 OPS over their last six games. The Dodgers own a 107 wRC+, .319 wOBA, and .214 ISO during the same stretch.

It's the Dodgers or nothing here with how cold the Rockies have been.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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