Braves vs. White Sox prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 20

Two first place clubs, the Chicago White Sox (66-60) and the Atlanta Braves (74-53) take the field in the Windy City this afternoon. The Sox lead the AL Central by four games over the Twins. The Braves lead the Phillies by 4.5 in the NL East. This game was originally scheduled for June 11 but was rained out.

 

The Braves arrive in Chicago after a difficult three-game series against the Minnesota Twins. Atlanta dropped all three games as they struggled to get the timely hit the entire series scoring just seven runs in the three games. Yesterday, they did plate four, but starter AJ Smith-Shawver was not good. The 23-year-old righthander allowed four runs in just 4.1 innings. For a team averaging just under 3.2 runs per game over their last 12 games, the results on the mound were simply not good enough.

 

Run production has rarely been a problem for the White Sox this season. Their issues have more often been on the mound. Yesterday, though, a trio of hurlers combined on a two-hit shutout of Pete Crow-Armstrong and the Cubs in a 3-0 win. It was a bullpen game for the ChiSox. Jose Urquidy came on in relief of Sean Newcomb to start the third and threw six shutout innings allowing just two hits while striking out eight. Grant Taylor pitched the ninth for his seventh save. Braden Montgomery drove in a pair with a double in the eighth to secure the win.

 

Anthony Kay (9-5, 4.01 ERA) takes the ball for Chicago while Grant Holmes (7-5, 3.82 ERA) is expected to start for Atlanta. In his most recent outing, Kay allowed three runs over 5.1 innings last Saturday in Motown. It continued a stretch in which the southpaw has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last ten starts and has allowed three runs just three times in those ten outings. Right-hander Grant Holmes was torched in his last start allowing six earned runs over just 3.2 innings last Saturday against the Diamondbacks. Prior to that start, however, Holmes had not allowed any runs in his previous two starts (12 innings) and had not allowed more than three earned runs in an appearance since May 1.

 

Lets dive into today’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

 

Game Details and How to Watch: Braves vs. White Sox

 

  • Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
  • Time: 2:10PM EST
  • Site: Rate Field
  • City: Chicago, IL
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, BravesVision, CSN

 

Peacock offers one of the most comprehensive live sports streaming lineups available today, bringing together the NFL, NBA, MLB, WNBA, Premier League, NCAA football, NCAA basketball, golf, motorsports, and major global sporting events in a single service.

 

The Latest Odds: Braves vs. White Sox – August 20

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Atlanta Braves (-108), Chicago White Sox (+101) 
  • Spread: Braves -1.5 (+149), White Sox +1.5 (-181)
  • Total: 8.5 runs

 

Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Braves vs. White Sox for August 20

  • White Sox: Anthony Kay
    Season Totals: 121.1 IP, 9-5, 4.01 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 98K, 44 BB
  • Braves: Grant Holmes
    Season Totals: 117.2 IP, 7-5, 3.82 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, 97K, 51 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Braves vs. White Sox

  • Lane Thomas is 4-9 in his career against Anthony Kay
  • Matt Olson is 2-10 over his last 3 games and has struck out once in each of the three
  • Drake Baldwin saw his 6-game hitting streak snapped last night (0-5)
  • Miguel Vargas is riding a 6-game hitting streak (10-24)
  • Munetaka Murakami last night snapped a string of 6 straight games in which he had struck out at least once
  • Braden Montgomery picked up a couple hits yesterday and has now hit safely in 5 of his last 6 games (8-25)
  • Anthony Kay has struck out 4+ batters in 4 of his last 5 starts
  • Grant Holmes has struck out 4+ batters in 4 of his last 7 starts

 

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

 

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Braves vs. White Sox

  • The White Sox are an MLB-best 76-50 on the Run Line this season
  • The Braves are 67-60 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 59 times in games involving Atlanta this season (59-62-6)
  • The OVER has cashed an MLB-best 71 times in games involving the White Sox this season (71-53-2)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Braves vs. White Sox for August 20

 

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s game between the Braves and the White Sox:

 

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the White Sox on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 8.5.

 

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Yankees need to take more chances on the bases as offense scuffles

NEW YORK, NEW YORK - JULY 01: Spencer Jones #78 of the New York Yankees slides into third base covered by Kevin McGonigle #7 of the Detroit Tigers during the eighth inning at Yankee Stadium on July 01, 2026 in New York City. (Photo by Caleb Bowlin/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Tuesday night’s series opener against the Orioles followed the exact same script that we’ve seen the last several weeks with the Yankees. A comatose offense, an elite pitching staff, a close game late, and a battle of the bullpens where every run matters. In the seventh inning, when the Yankees ultimately found the go-ahead runs with a two-run single by Trent Grisham, I thought about some things at the start of the rally.

Spencer Jones started it with a single off Shane Baz, representing the go-ahead run. With the team’s innate struggle to score runs of late, I immediately thought of the possibility of the guy who is regarded as the fastest player on the team being put in motion to give you three cracks at a runner in scoring position. Instead, over the next two at-bats, Jones stayed put, only advancing to second on George Lombard Jr.’s single.

This wound up not mattering due to Grisham’s heroics, but what if he didn’t come through against the lefty? While trying not to fall victim to Michael Kay’s fallacy of the predetermined outcome, if Jones ran on a relatively poor thrower in Carlos Narvaez and got to second, he would’ve scored easily on the slow grounder through the left side.

It’s not the first time I’ve felt something like this watching the Yankees (try to) hit. As much as the optics look bad when you mess up on the basepaths, the Yankees are just not good enough offensively to trust themselves to get runners over and hit them in right now. With the most athletic roster they’ve had in quite a long time, the Yankees need to lean into their speed and use it to push the envelope offensively, even if it means risking more outs on the bases.

For much of the season, it was part of the Yankees’ identity to leverage their speed. Through the Fourth of July, the Yankees were second in all of baseball in stolen bases with 92, leading all American League teams by at least 10. They had a teamwide Baserunning Runs (BsR) of 5.8, which was already their highest since 2017 while at the season’s halfway mark. It was a stark reversal from years past, when baserunning was perhaps the least important aspect of the game to them.

Fast forward six weeks, and things have changed. Since July 5, they’ve slowed their pace of stolen bases to eighth in baseball with 28, but the more stark decline is going from one of the best baserunning teams in baseball to the worst, recording -1.6 BsR in six weeks, a number that rivals the old, unathletic Yankees teams we saw a few years ago. This is coming with the most athletic roster the team has ever had, particularly with Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton on the shelf due to injury.

There have been times when the Yankees are not as willing to push the envelope on the basepaths, likely due to the game situation. With the offensive struggles, they don’t want to risk giving away outs, which might make them intuitively less aggressive in certain situations. This doesn’t stop the speedy guys who get great jumps from stealing, but it tries to eliminate risk. Despite this, the team’s success rate has declined from a rate of 77.9 percent to just 70 percent while attempting just 1.08 stolen bases a game, compared to 1.34 before. Declining both efficiency and quantity is a no-go.

The decrease in BsR may also be correlated with the flip side, being too aggressive to try and steal a run. Two recent examples include Ryan McMahon attempting to advance to third last week against Seattle on a botched relay to ensure Jazz Chisholm Jr. scored, and this near-perfectly executed play by José Caballero to stay in a rundown long enough to get Chisholm to score an insurance run.

Both of these plays symbolize a team that wants to ensure they can get a singular run, at the expense of a larger rally, due to their current capabilities, but the second one was significantly wiser than the first and is the sort of thing you want to see. Not only did Charles McAdoo get the tag on by only a millimeter, but if Caballero didn’t slip on the rundown, he would’ve been safe at second while simultaneously scoring Chisholm. These are the kind of plays and the kind of players that you want to do this with.

The Yankees don’t have baserunning savants that can make slower players threats on the bases like Antoan Richardson did with Juan Soto last year in Queens, but they do have speed. On any given night, they boast at least three plus-plus runners: Chisholm, Caballero, Jones, and Lombard. These guys have some problems getting on base, for sure, but there have been situations almost nightly where they can contribute.

Getting thrown out trying to steal a base is brutal, especially for an offense that is struggling to score, but the upside is tremendous. One of these fast players leading off an inning with a walk or single and immediately getting into scoring position gives you three opportunities with RISP. Chisholm leads MLB in steals of third base, where the Yankees as a team are the best in baseball at (24-for-27). Those are especially valuable with less than two outs.

There’s also a formula that shows it’s worth it to have some risk attached. Look at the AL East-leading Rays. They almost always lead the league in outs on the bases and currently sit fifth this year while also being picked off a league-high 16 times. They get thrown out at home more than anyone but the Nationals. For a team that’s seen as the beacon of fundamental baseball, they make these mistakes way more often than the Yankees, but they do it with a method of aggressiveness that overall makes them a net positive.

Baseball Savant has more complex baserunning stats that show another side to this. The most aggressive teams in the sport at taking the extra base are among the best in their version of Baserunning Runs, while teams that are more passive are towards the bottom. The only thing that really stands out here with the Yankees is that they have -4 BsR on steals of second, which tracks with their mediocre 73 percent rate of successful steals. Part of that is likely dragged down by Cody Bellinger’s struggles this year (9-for-15) and Caballero’s propensity to overslide and get picked off.

All of this is an exercise in measuring risk. Is the benefit of trying to take the extra base and maximize RISP opportunities for an offense that consistently strands them worth the downside of giving away outs in an already perilous situation? For at least the time being, it just might be.

Boston Bruins and Edmonton Oilers to play NHL games in Germany in 2027

NEW YORK (AP) — The Boston Bruins and Edmonton Oilers will each play two regular-season games in Germany next year as part of the NHL and NHLPA’s efforts to grow hockey in the country, the league announced Thursday.

The Bruins are to play two games in Munich, while the Oilers will play two matches in Leon Draisaitl’s native city of Cologne during the 2027-28 NHL season. The opponents have yet to be determined.

“These events represent an important step in our commitment to grow the game in Germany. By bringing more NHL games to one of Europe’s most dynamic hockey markets, we hope to continue to deepen engagement amongst our fans, partners and local communities, while at the same time creating a significant opportunity to grow the game throughout the country,” NHL Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly said.

The Chicago Blackhawks and Ottawa Senators were already slated to play two games in Düsseldorf in December. Those Global Series games are the second and third regular-season games the league has staged in Germany after the Buffalo Sabres and Los Angeles Kings played in Berlin in 2011.

More are to follow with the NHL and NHLPA committed to bringing regular-season games to Germany for at least the next three seasons.

___

See AP’s full NHL coverage here

PensBurgh Top-25 Under 25: No. 7 Liam Ruck

BUFFALO, NEW YORK - JUNE 26: NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman looks on as Liam Ruck of Canada is drafted by the Pittsburgh Penguins with the twenty-second overall pick during day one of the 2026 NHL Draft on June 26, 2026 in Buffalo, New York. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Making his debut on the Top 25 Under 25 lists this year, the Penguins’ 2026 first round pick Liam Ruck checks in at number seven with a lot of hype and excitement for what could be a very bright future.

Pensburgh Top 25 Under 25: Graduates and Departed players in 2025
Top 25 Under 25: The best of the rest
#25: Chase Pietila
#24: Ryan Miller
#23: Finn Harding
#22: Peyton Kettles
#21: Zam Plante

#21: Brady Peddle
#20: Melvin Fernstrom
#19: Tanner Howe
#18: Tomas Galvas
#17: Pierce Mbuyi
#16: Jake Livanavage
#15: Owen Pickering
#14: Tristan Broz
#13: Avery Hayes
#12: Ville Koivunen
#11: Hendrix Lapierre

#10: Markus Ruck
#9: Mikhail Ilyin
#8: Joel Blomqvist

#7: Liam Ruck, RW

2025 Ranking: n/a

Age: 18(February 21, 2008)

Acquired Via: 2026 NHL Draft, 1st round, 22nd overall

Height/Weight: 6’0”, 177 pounds

Elite Prospects resume:

The Penguins’ 2026 draft will likely be looked back on with a huge influence on what happens in the future with Liam and Markus Ruck. Liam, the right handed version of the ‘mirror’ twins, finished second in the WHL in scoring in 2025-26. Markus, a leftie, led the WHL in scoring. They mirrored in the NHL draft, Markus was drafted in the second round, Liam went 17 picks earlier in the first round, both getting their names called by the Penguins.

It pretty much goes without saying that the two brothers have other-worldly chemistry developed over their first 18 years spent together and it shows up often on the hockey rink. The amount of plays they can make between one another, feeding the puck and drawing their opponents away is something special.

There is, of course, a blueprint for success in the NHL with twin magic. Daniel and Henrik Sedin were staples in Vancouver from 2000-18. It’s a little too soon to compare the Rucks to the Sedins beyond the obvious, considering the Sedin boys were a notch above – drafted second and third overall in 1999 and then quickly into the NHL. That won’t be the case for the Rucks with the absolute elite pedigree (Liam lasted until the 39th pick in his draft) and their timeline will be different – the Rucks are planning on staying in the WHL in their draft+1 and then both are committed to the University of North Dakota in 2027-28. Both Sedin’s also won an NHL Art Ross scoring title, which clearly only a handful of the very best players ever do.

There is enough commonalties to tie them together. Liam, is more the Daniel version as more of the pure goal scorer between the two twins. Brother Markus is more of the Henrik of the equation as the natural setup player that racks up assists.

Although clearly obviously to split and isolate on just one twin at a time, today’s profile is on Liam, the first round pick. In addition to the twin chemistry bonus added along the way, Liam is known for his elite shot, overall gifted intelligence in the offensive zone for reading plays and creating them and a strong competitive drive. He’s a slick, dynamic player that has the shooting release to score frequently. There’s a certain clinical element to his game, as can be seen in the highlights. The puck often isn’t on his stick very long before he snaps it into the net and is no stranger from working his way close to generate great chances.

“I think I’m pretty good with kind of getting into those holes to get into a scoring area, and when you’re playing with good playmakers, they’re going to find you, and I think I found that,” Ruck said on draft night. “I don’t think my shot is the (hardest) yet, but I think it’s knowing that it’s something I can work on, and once it gets a little harder, I think it’ll be even more deadly.”

The metrics for what will need to improve and develop are standard for most freshly drafted 18 years old. Ruck is only 174 pounds, he’s not the best or swiftest skater on the ice. Adding strength and continuing to grow into a pro-level skater will be paramount items to work on, as it is for just about everyone in his peer class. It’s the slow growth of morphing into an adult body and becoming capable of competing at the top level against fully grown men that can’t be rushed.

The education has already begun at 2026 prospect development camp.

“I’m learning so much on and off the ice,” Ruck said in July. “Like eating habits, what to eat, supplements to take, how to put on good weight. But also learning little details on the ice from the skating and skills coaches. Everyone here, there’s a great support staff, and I’m trying to remember everything they give me, because it’s a lot [laughs], but it’s so helpful.”

The Penguins bolstered the change by splitting up Markus and Liam on different summer camp teams.

“It’s really neat. It’s interesting. I’m learning while getting to know them, but the whole organization is really excited. The way it played out in the draft was really cool to watch,” said Tom Kostopoulos, Penguins Director of Player Development. “But they are different individuals, so I think we also got to talk about them and understand that in camp here, we’re trying to separate them a little bit on different teams and stuff, just so they get to know some more of the players and staff and that.”

As to be expected for a player the Penguins selected in the first round, it’s all positive right now.

“It’s not just the talent,” GM Kyle Dubas said on draft night about Liam. “It’s the talent plus the enthusiasm and the intelligence and how much he loves playing and contributing to a contending team and playing well in the playoffs for them. So, it was a number of different things that just made him what we felt was a great fit as a Pittsburgh Penguin.”

“I want to be a little more explosive with my skating,” Ruck said. “For me, just the off-ice stuff is more important than the on-ice stuff right now. I think knowing that it’s important, and getting the chance to work with staff in Pittsburgh, I think it’s going to be a good fit.”

The Pens are counting on that for the future the Rucks will be a big part of it.

The Lakers won the breakup with LeBron James, and they will be better than the Sixers

HOUSTON, TEXAS - MARCH 18: Austin Reaves #15 of the Los Angeles Lakers celebrates with Luka Doncic #77 of the Los Angeles Lakers during the second half against the Houston Rockets at Toyota Center on March 18, 2026 in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In the first episode of Season 3 of How I Met Your Mother, the primary storyline revolves around breakups, and the idea that every time two people split there is a winner and loser. 

If the 2026 offseason was HIMYM, the big breakup that occurred this offseason would be the divorce that transpired between the most storied franchise in league history (the Los Angeles Lakers) and (probably) its greatest player (LeBron James) after eight years of being happily married. 

To most people, it seems like James won the breakup. After all, the Philadelphia 76ers, James’ new significant other, just assembled the league’s latest superteam in a conference that is much more manageable. Meanwhile, the Lakers are left to deal with the two behemoths (the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder) out West. 

However, I’m here to tell you that, by losing James, the Lakers got way better, and, in turn, won the breakup. 

How The Lakers Got Better Without James

Listen, this isn’t some Skip Bayless inspired anti-James propaganda. As I noted before, James is probably the best player to ever grace the hardwood, and he was certainly the most productive 41 year old of all-time last season. 

With that said, we have enough of a sample size now to say that James and Luka Doncic were an imperfect fit. According to PBP Stats, the Lakers were better when only one of the two jumbo ball handlers was on the floor than when they shared the court together. 

At the end of the day, both James and Doncic are better when a team is being molded in their likeness, rather than when they need to placate to others’ wants and needs. 

We saw a couple of years ago when the 2023-24 Dallas Mavericks went to the NBA Finals what the Platonic Ideal for a Doncic team would look like. A second fiddle who knows how to oscillate between playing on and off the ball (Kyrie Irving), wings/forwards who will do Doncic’s dirty work (Derrick Jones Jr., PJ Washington, Josh Green), shooters (Tim Hardaway Jr.), and centers who can protect the rim and catch lobs (Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively II).

The Lakers haven’t perfectly imitated this formula (more on this in a bit), but they have come pretty close. While not possessing quite the same resume, Austin Reaves does a pretty serviceable Irving impression. Quentin Grimes, Matisse Thybulle, Cameron Carr (an excellent choice by the Lakers with the 24th overall pick, by the way), and Jarred Vanderbilt are all excellent athletes with the desire to do Doncic’s bidding on defense. Grimes, Collin Sexton, and Sandro Mamukelashvili are all ready to let it rip from downtown (Sexton also gives you some nice regular season innings eating as a creator). And Walker Kessler, Los Angeles’ big ticket signing, is going to do his best to replicate the value of Doncic’s former twin tower pick-and-roll partners. 

Last season, the Lakers’ best lineup that played over 200 non-garbage time possessions featured Doncic, Reaves, Marcus Smart, Rui Hachimura, and Deandre Ayton. That group outscored opponents by 23.3 points per 100 possessions (92nd percentile, per Cleaning the Glass). 

Doncic and Reaves are still there, and it wouldn’t take much arguing to convince someone that a trio of Kessler/Grimes/Carr (or whoever you prefer in that fifth spot) wouldn’t be more potent than the triumvirate of Ayton/Hachimura/Smart. Plus, you no longer have to worry about laboring through minutes where Doncic is forced to share the floor with another uber-high-usage ball handler. The bottom line is that we already have proof of concept that the model the Lakers have built is conducive to winning. 

The Lakers Will Be Better Than The 76ers Next Season

According to FanDuel, the 76ers odds of winning 50 or more games this season are set at -115 (an implied probability of 53.5%), while the Lakers are set at +250 (28.6%). So, the consensus view seems to be that the 76ers are better than the Lakers. 

I will concede that the 76ers have more raw talent than the Lakers. But to win in this league, you need talent, depth, and fit. So many times over the last few years we’ve seen teams try to stack stars, only to crash and burn because their skillsets overlapped too much and they sacrificed so much of their salary cap to put them together that the players behind them aren’t good enough to fill the cracks. 

This iteration of the Lakers isn’t a super team, but they do have a top five-ish player, a borderline All-Star, and a cavalcade of versatile chess pieces to slot around them. Their roster certainly makes a lot more sense than the team that James left them for. Now, I’m not saying that they are a lock to be better than the 76ers, but where oddsmakers currently have these two teams does not paint the proper picture. 

Are The Lakers A True Inner Circle Title Contender?

The Lakers are going to be really, really good. They have a good blend of talent, depth, and fit. The issue is that a handful of other teams have a better mix of those three variables. 

As of right now, I’d say that the Spurs, Thunder, New York Knicks, and Toronto Raptors (if the Kawhi Leonard trade ends up going through) are all firmly better than them. I’ll also hear arguments for the Denver Nuggets, Houston Rockets, Boston Celtics, Minnesota Timberwolves, and Indiana Pacers. 

The big thing holding this group back is their lack of a true power forward. One who can hit open shots, attack closeouts, handle various wing assignments, and use their size and length to offer some secondary rim protection. They’ve managed to almost perfectly copy that Mavericks team that won the West in 2024 (Doncic, Reaves is Irving, Grimes is Jones Jr., Kessler is Gafford/Lively), but they need their own version of Washington. 

Vanderbilt can check those boxes defensively, but he’s a complete negative on the offensive side of the floor. Ditto with Thybulle. Mamukelashvili has size and skill, but lacks the lateral mobility to be trusted shadowing high-level forwards. Carr is too short and too unproven. 

Until this problem is addressed, either via trade or unexpected emergence, the Lakers will be a tier below the true inner circle of title contenders – meaning that they will need more than a couple of lucky bounces to reach, let alone win, the NBA Finals. Still, this team projects to be pretty darn scary, which should be enough for them to win their breakup with James. 

Chicago Cubs news — PCA, Bregman, Assad, Webb

Today’s Reflections

“Oh, what a (couple of) night(s)!” as Frankie Valli and the Four Seasons (almost) sang!

A historic lead-off and walk-off home-run Monday night by Pete Crow-Armstrong, followed by another lead-off HR by PCA and a pair of game-tying and game-winning RBI singles by Alex Bregman Tuesday definitely gave the two games a play-off feel.

I think it is normally is best for the Cubs if the hitting and scoring is scattered among the players, keeping everybody either hot, or at least really warm. And that causes a lot of stat-juggling over two games to determine the best performer over the period.

It’s cut-and-dry (and no surprise) in this article. Crow-Armstrong and Bregman combined to go 10-for-19 with four walks, three runs scored, six RBI, two doubles and three home runs.

PCA led the way, with the three home runs, going 5-for-8 with three walks, three runs scored, four RBI and a double. While PCA was the showman, Bregman was the workman, churning out five hits in nine AB with a walk, a double and the two huge RBI singles.

There were a few more key hitters over the two games. Seiya Suzuki and Michael Busch each joined PCA with a first-inning solo home run on Monday and Tuesday. Nico Hoerner went 4-for-5 with 2 RBI on Monday. And Carson Kelly, who entered the game late Tuesday for Miguel Amaya, hit a lead-off double in the bottom of the ninth and eventually scored the winning run.

On the pitching side it was a mixed bag, but overall a good pair of starts. Shota Imanaga pitched extremely well Monday, as he allowed just two hits and walked three over six innings while striking out 10. However, he had to give up his obligatory home run — unfortunately it was of the three-run variety, but the Cubs were able to overcome it. Kevin Gausman had to battle a painful-looking cramp on his glove hand, which shortened his outing to 4.1 innings. He allowed the Complimentary Starting Pitcher Solo Home Run (CSPSHR from now on), but otherwise scattered seven hits and two walks while striking out five.

But the two big pitching performances were Javier Assad’s emergency scoreless three innings in relief of Gausman. And Jacob Webb picking up his fifth and sixth wins of the year with a scoreless inning of work in each game.

Yeah, what a couple of nights, huh?


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Tuesday’s Game Stories:

Monday’s Game Stories:

  • Brett Taylor (Bleacher Nation): Jacob Webb Showed Off Some Serious Stones in the 10th Inning Last Night. “Getting through an extra-innings inning without allowing that free runner at second base to score is an ENORMOUS thing.”

The Return of PCA-Mania:

Injury and Bullpen Talk:

Assorted Stories:

Food For Thought:

Robert Calvin Bland (January 27, 1930 – June 23, 2013), known professionally as Bobby “Blue” Bland, was an American blues singer. Bland developed a sound that mixed gospel with the blues and R&B. He was described as “among the great storytellers of blues and soul music… [who] created tempestuous arias of love, betrayal and resignation, set against roiling, dramatic orchestrations, and left the listener drained but awed.” The inspiration behind his unique style was a Detroit Preacher, CL Franklin, because Bland studied his sermons. He was sometimes referred to as the “Lion of the Blues” and as the “Sinatra of the Blues”.

Bland was inducted into the Blues Hall of Fame in 1981, the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in 1992, and the Memphis Music Hall of Fame in 2012. He received the Grammy Lifetime Achievement Award in 1997. The Rock and Roll Hall of Fame described him as “second in stature only to B.B. King as a product of Memphis’s Beale Street blues scene”. In 2023, Rolling Stone ranked Bland at number 163 on its list of the 200 Greatest Singers of All Time.

Please be reminded that Cub Tracks and Bleed Cubbie Blue do not necessarily endorse the content of articles, podcasts, or videos that are linked to in this series.

How to watch San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians

CLEVELAND, OHIO - JUNE 14: A view of the field after the game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers was postponed due to pending severe weather at Progressive Field on June 14, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The San Francisco Giants conclude this three-game road series against the Cleveland Guardians this morning.

Taking the mound for the Giants will be right-hander Landen Roupp, who enters today’s game with a 4.31 ERA, 3.62 FIP, with 128 strikeouts to 60 walks in 129.1 innings pitched. His last start was in the Giants’ 5-2 loss to the Colorado Rockies on Friday, in which he allowed four runs on five hits with five strikeouts and three walks in five and two thirds innings.

He’ll be facing off against Guardians right-hander Gavin Williams, who enters today’s game with a 3.74 ERA, 3.59 FIP, with 190 strikeouts to 45 walks in 149 innings pitched. His last start was in the Guardians’ 7-5 loss to the San Diego Padres on Friday, in which he allowed five runs on seven hits with five strikeouts and four walks in four and a third innings.

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Game #127

Who: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians

Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

When: 10:10 a.m. PT

Regional broadcast: NBC Sports Bay Area

National broadcast: n/a

Radio: KNBR 680 AM/104.5 FM, KSFN 1510 AM

Thursday Rockpile: What is fueling the Rockies offensive improvements?

DENVER, CO - AUGUST 05: TJ Rumfield #7 of the Colorado Rockies bats during the game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Casey Paul/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

It’s not controversial to say that the past few seasons of Colorado Rockies baseball have not featured a good offense. A team doesn’t lose more than 100 games based purely on an inability to pitch. It has also failed to score runs.

Watching the 2026 team, however, the offense has seemed different.

At this point in mid-August, the sample size is large enough to make meaningful comparisons between seasons and determine if that anecdotal understanding is backed up by the data.

To start, the obvious number to consider is runs scored. At the very fundamental level, the only thing that really matters for the offense is if it scored runs. Everything beyond this is just a building block describing how a team is trying to score runs.

Earlier this season, I wrote about the gap between Rockies run scoring at home vs. on the road and how it was smaller than it had ever been in franchise history. What I failed to mention in that piece is the simple fact that the 2026 Rockies are scoring more runs overall than their recent counterparts, a point illustrated by considering the Rockies runs per game.

Chart 1 — Rockies Runs per Game

The 2026 Rockies are scoring 4.81 runs per game, which is a full run more than they did in 2025 (3.69). What’s more, this jump in runs needn’t be caveated by a shift in the overall league offensive environment. The league-average runs per game last year was 4.45 and has slightly increased this year to 4.48 (so far).

The bottom line is this: The Rockies have made undeniable improvement in their ability to score runs this season. If you wanted to stop reading now and just move on with your day, secure in your knowledge that the Rox lineup is actually improved, you’d be fine to do so.

The more interesting question, though, is what parts of the Rockies profile are fueling this improvement?

That answer isn’t easily encapsulated in one graphic. Rather, it is encompassed by a variety of positive trends.

Consider first the Rockies offensive events per game.

Chart 2 — Rockies Offensive Events Per Game

The most notable thing about the chart above is the steep decline in the orange line as it reaches 2026. That orange line represents Rockies hitters’ strikeouts per game.

That’s right, Rockies hitters are striking out much less this year.

For all three of the club’s previous 100-loss seasons, their hitters’ strikeout numbers had been hovering somewhere between nine and ten per game, while the league average had hovered around eight and a half. Addressing this strikeout issue has been the stated goal of seemingly every Rockies hitting coach this decade. We have written about it many, many times here at Purple Row.

At long last, Brett Pill and the Rockies lineup appear to have made a tangible dent in the problem. This year, Rockies hitters are striking out 8.57 times per game on average, which is only a smidge above the league rate of 8.35.

Hallelujah!

Less stark than the reduction of strikeouts, is the uptick in all of walks, hits, extra base hits, and even stolen bases per game.

Where the league as a whole has seen slight decreases in all of those categories, other than walks, the Rockies have seen slight increases in all of them.

You read that correctly.

The Rockies went from below league average in every category in 2025 to either at or above league average in all of them this season — again, other than walk rate, which is just below league average.

The caveat to every conversation about Rockies offense, however, is Coors Field.

Raw totals of events like hits and runs are obviously inflated by playing at Coors. The Rockies being roughly league average in raw totals indicates that they are still below average in terms of true talent if one were to adjust for their home ballpark.

wRC+ is an attempt to take the full offensive package of a player or team, including park adjustments, and compare that to an anchored league average figure (100). If we take a look at Fangraphs team stats, we can filter by just the Rockies and compare their past few seasons. Consider, then, the Rockies’ wRC+ over the last decade.

All of the improvements to component parts have added up to a Rockies offense that is much improved over last season. In just one year, they’ve gone from an unthinkable 26% below league average to just nine percent below average.

What’s more, the league run environment adjustments accounted for in wRC+ indicate that this could be the best Rockies offense since 2016. That’s not to say that their lineup has been more valuable in total — the defensive prowess of those late-teens Rox is hard to understate — but at the plate, the 2026 Rockies may be roughly in the same range as the last playoff teams this franchise fielded.

The main takeaway from all of this is just that the numbers back up what we’ve been seeing: Practically every facet of the team’s offensive profile has improved a little bit. Taken as a whole, the Rockies lineup is significantly improved over from where it was a year ago.

Now let’s all ponder what this front office and coaching staff can do with another full offseason to have their developmental changes really sink in. The Rockies aren’t likely to continue improving at this rate, but they only have a small hole to dig themselves out of instead of the gaping crater that they did just last year.


On the Farm

Triple-A:Las Vegas Aviators 12, Albuquerque Isotopes 8

Pacific Coast League baseball at it’s finest was on display in this slugfest.

Four pitchers took the mound for the Isotopes and none of them went unscathed. Valente Bellozo started the game and had the best performance of the night having allowed only three runs in his three innings of work. He was relieved by Mason Green, Jeff Criswell, and Evan Shawver each of whom allowed two runs or more in fewer than three innings each.

The Isotopes hitters had much more fun as they collected 14 hits among them and walked nine times. All told each of Ryan Ritter, Edouard Julien, Sterlin Thompson (No. 16 PuRP), Chad Stevens, and Drew Avans reached base at least three times. Oh, and Roc Riggio (No. 13 PuRP) hit his first Triple-A home run after his promotion last week. The lineup accomplished all of that and still the Isotopes were outscored by four runs. That’s just how the PCL works.

Double-A:Somerset Patriots 10, Hartford Yard Goats 4

When Hartford starting pitcher Stu Flesland III exited the game before the eighth inning the Yard Goats were winning this game.

Flesland III only allowed two runs on five hits and two walks in his seven innings pitched but saw the lead evaporate with eight Patriot runs scoring in the final two innings. The first three of those were allowed by Nathan Blasick in the eighth and the final five by Victor Juarez in the top of the ninth to put it out of reach.

All the way back in the first inning a three run homer by center fielder GJ Hill had put the Yard Goats ahead. From that point forward the only other run they were able to scrape by came from a sacrifice fly from Cole Messina in the bottom of the sixth. All the while the Patriots were chipping away at the lead until that eventual late inning outburst that sealed the Yard Goats loss.

High-A:Hillsboro Hops 5, Spokane Indians 2

Spokane lost this game due to the combination of Everett Catlett struggling to find the strike zone in his four innings of work and the Indians lineup failing to record a hit with runners in scoring position.

By the time Catlett was relieved by Case Williams the damage had already been done. Catlett allowed four runs on five hits and five walks on 93 pitches in his four innings. The Spokane bullpen did it’s best to keep the game close with the only other run coming on a ninth inning double allowed by Ismael Luciano but the lineup was not able to mount a comeback.

In terms of the offense, the obvious standout was second baseman Wilder Dalis (Pre-season No. 24 PuRP) who reached base four times but was never able to come around to score. Spokane managed to load the bases with two outs in both the bottom of the sixth and the bottom of the ninth and failed to cash in any of the baserunners. In the sixth, Robert Calaz (No. 26 PuRP) grounded out to end the inning and strand all three runners and then in the bottom of the ninth Ethan Hedges did the same.

Low-A:Fresno Grizzlies 10, Stockton Ports 2

Fresno took an early lead in the bottom of the first when Ports pitcher Corey Braun walked Juan Martinez with the bases loaded and then allowed Daniel Jackson to score on a wild pitch. Even after the Ports were able to stop escape the first without any more runs crossing the plate, the Grizzlies held onto the lead for the remainder of the game.

Fresno pitchers combined to allow only six hits and three walks while striking out eight over nine innings. No Grizzlie pitched more innings than starter Sandy Ozuna who managed to get through four with a solo home run to Alex Sosa being his only substantial blemish. Ethan Cole got finished the final three frames of the game for Fresno and only allowed a single hit.

At the plate almost everyone had a pretty good day, partially due to Ports pitchers failing to find the strike zone. Martinez walked a total of three times, Jack Natili (No. 20 PuRP) and Daniel Jackson (No. 12 PuRP) both walked twice themselves alongside collecting two hits, Landyn Vidourek and Cristian Arguelles each had a couple hits and stole a base, and Sebastian Blanco hit his first Low-A home run.

All told, a good day for the Grizzlies.



All-Star catcher Goodman (shoulder strain) placed on IL | MLB.com

In case you missed the news on Tuesday, Hunter Goodman was officially placed on the injured list after having missed the past several games. The shoulder strain was originally thought of as something that would just need a couple days of rest but as those days started to add up Warren Schaeffer could no longer wait to have a second catcher on the roster. Thomas Harding doesn’t indicate that the diagnosis has changed substantially so ideally Goodman can return after the requisite 15 day period.

Rockies’ Zac Veen, Cole Carrigg bring fire to Colorado rebuild as versatile spark plugs | The Denver Post ($)

I know you can’t get enough of Cole Carrigg and Zac Veen so here’s another piece on the pair of Rockies rookies from Kyle Newman. It compares the excitement and talent both bring to the field with the contrasting paths they’ve taken to reach this point as well as their mindset going into games. Especially interesting is Carrigg’s quotes on attempting to harness his emotions a bit more without losing the competitive fire that comes with them and Veen’s efforts to not take this opportunity for granted given the challenges he’s overcome to get here.

Romano revives career with help of old friend | MLB.com

While it was surprising to see the Rockies give Jordan Romano a dedicated closer entrance so soon after he joined the team, this isn’t the first time he has been an effective late inning reliever. This piece from Thomas Harding takes a look back through Romano’s whirlwind past twelve months that has seen him pitch for three different organizations.


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Please keep in mind our Purple Row Community Guidelines when you’re commenting. Thanks!

Kansas City Royals news: A late inning surge brings joy

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - AUGUST 19: John Rave of the Kansas City Royals has ice water dumped on him after they defeated the Athletics at Kauffman Stadium on August 19, 2026 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Reed Hoffmann/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Before the comeback last night, Jac Caglianone left the game with a sore ankle.

That hot streak continued in the first inning of the Royals’ 9-7 win over the Athletics, as Caglianone collected an infield single. Two innings later, Caglianone was hit by a pitch. But in the fifth inning, John Rave unexpectedly pinch-hit for Caglianone, who the Royals later announced had right ankle soreness. Manager Matt Quatraro said the issue first bubbled up over the weekend when the Royals played the Angels.

With new stadium renderings out, there is an interesting thing going on with Crown Vision in the new ballpark.

Eric Hosmer shared a rather cool story about his final game as a Royal.

The Royals scored 7 in the bottom of the 8th inning last night to collect win 9-7 over the Athletics.

The 108.9 mph single Vinnie Pasquantino hit off the top of the right-field fence was hit so hard that it literally made a dent in the padding, a physical reminder of the mark the Royals’ first baseman left on Wednesday’s game.

Inches shy of his second homer of the night, the single still represented one of the three hits Pasquantino logged in the Royals’ 9-7 win over the A’s at Kauffman Stadium, their second consecutive late-game comeback win following Tuesday’s walk-off victory. The Royals have now won four straight dating back to Sunday — one vs. the Angels and three against the A’s — ahead of Thursday’s series finale.

Preston Farr looks into what happened to recently demoted Royals reliever Lucas Erceg.

Philip Ruo of Royals Keep argues why the Royals won’t compete in 2027.

On the other hand, Cory Moen of Royals Keep argues WHY the Royals will compete in 2027.

Pete Alonso hit a go-ahead homer last night, but that’s not what replay said. You be the judge.

Aaron Nola dominated the Marlins last night, continuing his recent resurgence.

The Minnesota Twins move into WC spot after sweeping Braves. WHAT?

Matt “Tugboat” Wilkinson (awesome nickname) threw two scoreless innings in his debut yesterday in Cleveland.

Brewers’ prospect’s father catches first pro homer after saying it would happen.

Here is your song of the day Upside Down by Jack Johnson

Orioles minor league recap 8/20: Dzierwa impresses again, Azocar homers

GREENVILLE, SC - JULY 26: Greenville Drive outfielder Enddy Azocar (44) during a High A Minor League baseball game between the Hub City Spartanburgers and the Greenville Drive on July 26, 2026 at Fluor Field in Greenville, S.C. (Photo by John Byrum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Triple-A: Norfolk Tides 7, Nashville Sounds (Brewers) 5

Trey Gibson gave up a lead off homer to rehabbing big leaguer Sal Frelick to begin the game, but then sailed through the first four innings with no other damage. He ran into more trouble in the fifth, where he allowed another run, and then served up three more in the fifth. His final line (six innings, five runs, 10 hits, one walk, seven strikeouts) isn’t great, but it was enough for the win. Luis De Léon made his first relief appearance of the year and managed to toss a scoreless inning despite issuing three walks. Codi Heuer took the save after tossing two shuout innings.

Brandon Butterworth gave the Tides an early lead with his three-run homer in the bottom of the second inning, his first long ball at Triple-A. Their other four runs all came in the third inning, when they sent all nine baters to the plate and benefitted from three errors by the Sounds. Jud Fabian and Payton Eeles had two hits each. Fabian’s night included a double, an RBI, and two runs scored. Rece Hinds also doubled and scored a run. Enrique Bradfield Jr., Creed Willems, and Heston Kjerstad each went hitless and walked once.

Double-A: Richmond Flying Squirrels (Giants) 7, Chesapeake Baysox 4

Have you heard of Joseph Dzeriwa? He’s pretty good! Tossed five innings here and allowed just one run on two hits, a walk, and three strikeouts. His Double-A ERA is down to 1.89 across 76.1 innings. Gerald Ogando may have been even more impressive in relief, striking out five in his two shutout innings. Tyson Neighbors, on the other hand, had a tough night, giving up three runs without recording an out. Jeisson Cabrera came on as a fireman and allowed two of the inherited runners to score before ending the inning. Alex Pham was called on to keep things tied in the ninth inning, but was unable to do so. He gave up three runs on two hits (including a home run) and a walk.

Fernando Peguero led the Chesapeake offense with a 3-for-4 night that included a two-RBI single in the eighth inning, plus a stolen base. Vance Honeycutt, playing in his second game at Double-A, went 1-for-3 with a double, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and a stolen base as the DH in the game. Griff O’Ferrall added two hits and an RBI. Tavian Josenberger doubled, walked, stole two bases, and scored twice. Wehiwa Aloy went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts.

High-A: Frederick Keys 12, Wilmington Blue Rocks (Nationals) 9 – Game 1 – F/7

The Keys scored 12 runs on 18 hits and four walks in just seven innings of baseball. Enddy Azocar outpaced everyone with four hits, including a home run, and three runs scored. Jordan Sanchez had two hits, two RBI, and three runs scored. Leando Arias led the team with four RBI, three of which came in on his second-inning home run. DJ Layton doubled, walked three times, and scored twice. Ethan Anderson, on a rehab assignment, had two hits. Braylin Tavera had three hits. Both Colin Yeaman and Yasmil Bucce hit two doubles. Bucce also drove in four runs.

There was less good news on the pitching side of things. Christian Rodriguez allowed four runs across his five innings of work. Brendan Parks worked one inning and allowed one run, but also struck out three. Chandler Marsh took the ninth inning and gave up four runs before wrapping up the game.

High-A: Wilmington Blue Rocks (Nationals) 8, Frederick Keys 4, – Game 2 – F/7

Randal Diaz, who didn’t play in the first game of the day, was Frederick’s most productive hitter in the night cap. He had two hits, a home run and a double, drove in two runs, and took a walk. Azocar singled, walked, stole two bases, and scored a run. Arias had an almost identical line, but stole just one base. Braylon Whitaker went 1-for-2 with a double and a walk. Layton walked and stole a base.

Evan Yates started on the mound. He went five innings but also allowed six runs (five earned) on six hits, two walks, and four strikeouts. His ERA jumped up to 4.30 on the year. Ben Vespi worked the final two innings in which he gave up two runs but neither was earned.

Low-A: Delmarva Shorebirds 9, Hickory Crawdads (Rangers) 5

Delmarva had plenty of runners on base in this one. As a team they collected 11 hits and six walks, which presented them with 14 at-bats with runners in scoring position. Jaiden Lo Re led the team with three RBI as part of his 2-for-5 performance that included a double. Stiven Martinez left the park with his 11th home run of the year, a solo shot in the fourth inning. He also walked twice and scored twice. Ty Head had two hits, a stolen base, a run scored. Eric Booth Jr. went 1-for-4 with a single, a walk, an RBI, a run scored, and two strikeouts.

The Shorebirds starter, Holden deJong, severed up four runs on five hits, three walks, and six strikeouts over 4.1 innings during his up-and-down start. Jake Dykhoff took the win by giving up just one run (unearned) on four hits, a walk, and one strikeout over 4.2 innings.

Box Scores

Thursday’s Schedule

Norfolk: vs Nashville, 12:05. Starter: Juaron Watts-Brown (1-0, 5.14 ERA)

Chesapeake: vs Richmond, 6:35 pm. Starter: Anthony Eyanson (6-0, 2.01 ERA)

Frederick: at Wilmington, 6:35 pm. Starter: Stephen Still (0-1, 3.45 ERA)

Delmarva: at Hickory, 7:00 pm. Starter: Harrison Kreiling (0-2, 14.73 ERA)

Guardians News – At Least Parker Messick Showed Up

CLEVELAND, OH - AUGUST 19: Cleveland Guardians starting pitcher Parker Messick (77) delivers a pitch to the plate during the sixth inning of the Major League Baseball interleague game between the San Francisco Giants and Cleveland Guardians on August 19, 2026, at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH. (Photo by Frank Jansky/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

On paper last night’s loss to the Giants wasn’t the worst loss of the season. Emotionally, morally, and spiritually it certainly felt like one of the worst. The Guardians offense decided to take the day off again, going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position. Messick got the loss after pitching a 6.2 inning gem. Messick gave up one run on six hits and struck out ten batters without a walk. Jake has the well written recap of this unfortunate loss here.

It is hard to have optimism for the remainder of this season, and I applaud any one who is able to see a route to the playoffs in this teams future. Unfortunately I cannot bring myself to give up on the team until they are statistically eliminated, but it is becoming hard to believe in their post season chances. The Guardians currently sit in third place in the AL Central, 5.5 games back from the first place Chicago White Sox. The Minnesota Twins are 4.0 games back in second place and the Detroit Tigers are staying neck and neck with the Guardians. The Wild Card race is not going in Cleveland’s favor with the Guardians sitting 3 spots and 1.5 games back from the Twins for the final Wild Card spot.

David Fry was recalled from Triple-A Columbus. Rhys Hoskins was placed on the 10-Day Injured List due to low back inflammation. Since being sent down, Fry has been hitting .294 with a 1.169 OPS. In 34 ABs he has 6 home runs and 18 RBIs.

Quincy had a nice write up about Angel Genao and his major contributions in his short time in the league.

Around the League

The Chicago Cubs picked up Gabriel Arias off of waivers after he was DFA’d by the Mets earlier this week.

The Tigers gave up two runs in the bottom of the ninth, losing to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Dodgers notes – Edwin Diaz, Tanner Scott

DENVER, CO - AUGUST 18: Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Tanner Scott (66) reacts after a defensive play to end the game in the ninth inning during a game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on August 18, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Edwin Diaz’s time with the Los Angeles Dodgers has not been what any of the parties had hoped for. Diaz on Tuesday went on the IL for neck inflammation, his second stint on the IL with his new team so far this season.

On Wednesday, Diaz went for neck imaging, and the MRI showed the “best case scenario”, according to manager Dave Roberts. He went on to say that the injury seems to be more muscular than nerve related.

“I think he’d been feeling the tightness in his neck,” Roberts said. “But I think where it went to the other night, he hadn’t felt that sensation. So that’s what really checked him up.”

Roberts surmised that the closer would not be shut down very long for throwing, that it could only be a couple of days.

Maddie Lee of the L.A. Times has more information on the injury here.

Patrick Saunders of MLB.com also covers the Diaz injury, as well as who will be the closer while he is out. That man is Tanner Scott.

“His stuff, right now, today, is as good as it’s been all year,” manager Dave Roberts said Wednesday before the finale of a three-game series against the Rockies at Coors Field. “Right now, it’s easy to say that he’s our best reliever and most consistent reliever. I certainly see him as our closer.”

Scott already has the team-high saves for the season with 17, in 19 opportunities.

“Man, Tanner doesn’t complain,” the skipper said. “He’s always ready, wants to pitch, wants to help his teammates, his team, and certainly, given how last year went, for him to come back and right the ship.”

Hunter Feduccia was out of the Dodgers lineup on Wednesday, after he left Tuesday’s game early feeling ill.

“We’re just trying to hydrate him,” Roberts said after Tuesday’s game. “He’s got this stomach bug or food poisoning, something like that. He was scuffling all game, and he went as long as he could go. Obviously, he’ll be down (Wednesday). But he gave us a great effort.”

With Feduccia out and a lefty on the mound, the Dodgers did a little lineup shuffling. Freddie Freeman was moved down to the four slot, and Max Muncy and Tommy Edman were both given the day off, although both were available off the bench.

Owen Perkins of the OC Register covers some more details on Diaz as well as other updates to the lineup here.

Pete Crow-Armstrong vs. Shohei Ohtani for NL MVP has an obvious answer

The National League Most Valuable Player award race is going stupid hard right now. It is the definition of a dead heat, with Pete Crow-Armstrong and Shohei Ohtani vying for every inch of territory for an award that most (myself included) had already declared for Ohtani in early June. We have walk-off home runs, questions about how much half a season of pitching matters and ESPN features interviewing MLB players about what they think. It’s an NL MVP industrial complex, and I’m here to add my two cents. Maybe three, and (spoiler alert) I don’t think this race is as close as people are making it out to be.

Buckle up, because this will be a distillation of a number of personal passion points in baseball analytics and discourse. Frankly, I think Ohtani is obviously the MVP, and I reject the arguments being made in PCA’s favor. And I’m going to convince you I’m right with the fire of 1000 suns.  

If I wanted to bet my two cents instead of putting them in writing, Crow-Armstrong (-165) and Ohtani (+140) are essentially tied on FanDuel, with only a narrow edge for PCA because of a recent, visible surge (all these stats are current as of Wednesday morning). Ohtani’s odds have tailed off because he hasn’t been pitching lately, but he did rack up 3.0 pitching WAR with a 1.79 ERA before his injury in early July and has thrown down a .949 OPS just for fun; because, ya know, he’s Shohei Ohtani. 

The fact that Crow-Armstrong is even in this race is astounding, given that a player who is essentially Yordan Alvarez and Paul Skenes rolled into one should really never not win the MVP award. But Ohtani not even pitching 90 innings this year has apparently flipped things in favor of PCA, whose centerfield defense has captured the imagination of millions and whose chase for 40 home runs and 40 stolen bases has vaulted him narrowly above Ohtani. So has voter fatigue, given Ohtani has won the last three NL MVP awards, and PCA giving him a challenge is bound to give him bonus points.

You could argue that a 40-40 season, of which there have only been six in MLB history, should automatically grant you the MVP award, but you’d be surprised. Ohtani won it with his 50-50 2024, Ronald Acuña Jr. did too in 2023 with his 40-70 campaign and Jose Canseco won it in 1988 with the first ever such season. But the middle three: 1996 Barry Bonds (fifth in MVP voting), 1998 Alex Rodriguez (ninth in MVP voting) and 2006 Alfonso Soriano (sixth in MVP voting) all didn’t even come close. A-Rod and Bonds led their leagues in WAR those seasons too, but it didn’t matter at the time.

This might just be me, but I don’t think a 40-40 season (which PCA does not have yet, mind you) is more impressive than half a season of Cy Young pitching and a 155 wRC+ Silver Slugger-tier masterclass. Stolen bases are a supremely overrated statistic in baseball, and PCA’s 30+ stolen bases have only added about TWO runs for the Cubs all year. Ohtani added 21 runs as a pitcher in 82 ⅔ innings. 

Now, you will retort, PCA plays some of the best centerfield defense we’ve ever seen, and you’d throw my run value crap right back at me and say “PCA has racked up 24 fielding runs above average!” You will also say that, because of this fielding prowess and because Ohtani does not play in the field, PCA’s WAR (we’re using fWAR for all of this because I like it better) blows Ohtani out of the water, with PCA’s 8.4 beating Ohtani’s 7.1 and running away fast — Ohtani is not accumulating any pitching WAR while PCA continues to farm fielding stats.

Here’s the thing about fielding stats, though: PCA is obviously a generational centerfielder, all you have to do is watch one single Chicago Cubs game to know that, but these metrics leave a lot to be desired. I need you to trust me through this next part and not fall asleep: 

fWAR, which we’re using (and which the recent ESPN article about this debate used, weirdly, since ESPN’s own leaderboards use bWAR) is based on Outs Above Average (OAA, which PCA leads the league by far in). bWAR, the other flavor, has Ohtani closer to PCA because it is based on Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), which PCA is 10th in the majors in, behind two other centerfielders: Ceddanne Rafaela and Andy Pages. 

OAA really just measures how a defensive player turns batted-balls into outs. DRS, calculated by the Fielding Bible, supposedly measures a whole lot more than that, but they also do not make it easy to check their work given we have an idea of how their formula works … but it also isn’t actually published anywhere. Still with me? Okay. What that all means is that PCA is maybe the best defensive player in the league. But it’s definitely not a slam dunk, and I think pro-PCA arguments cherry-pick fielding data that fits their agenda. 

Ohtani, meanwhile, has no such fielding data to cherry-pick. He is disadvantaged by his position, given that you have to be a better hitter as a DH than you do as a CF to accumulate WAR, and these metrics aren’t built to parse that Ohtani is literally a pitcher as well. That reality is flying completely under the radar in this discussion.

PCA and Ohtani are both having roughly equal hitting seasons. Crow-Armstrong is indeed a much more impactful baserunner and fielder, and Ohtani (again) is a pitcher who just hasn’t pitched in a while. This whole debate boils down to your opinion about which thing is more valuable: half a season of godlike pitching or elite centerfield defense and baserunning? Even ignoring underlying contact-quality stuff that suggests Ohtani is actually a much better hitter and would lead me to believe he will have a better final month-and-a-half, I will take half a season of godlike pitching, please and thank you.

Finally, there’s the conceptual argument, which I will briefly make because I think it hammers the Ohtani case home. Is it humanly possible to disagree more about the definition of a word than sports fans disagree about what “valuable” means, specifically as it pertains to “most valuable player” awards? 

Some smart alecks will tell you that “valuable” just means “the player with the most value to their team,” but that is probably best defined by trade value, or the guy who would command the largest return in a trade. That is not how MVP awards have ever been doled out, and a far better title would be “Best Player” or, if you want to be needlessly verbose (I usually do), “player who had the best season.” 

Put simply: I don’t think it’s possible to be prime Jacob deGrom for half a season and peak Paul Goldschmidt for a full season AS ONE SINGULAR PERSON and not have “the best season.” I mean that with all due respect to PCA, but 82 ⅔ innings of that pitching just knocks everything else out of the picture for me. Ohtani is, for all the stats, the most unique, the most impressive, the most completely ridiculously impossibly stupidly good. The most, say it with me now, valuable.

Blue Jays vs. Rays prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for August 20

The Rays (76-50) and the Blue Jays (62-66) wrap up their three-game series this afternoon in St. Petersburg.

The teams have split the first two games of this series with Tampa winning last night, 7-6. Yandy Diaz cracked a two-run homer in the first to pace the attack and Drew Rasmussen was good enough to earn his sixth straight win as the Rays won for the ninth time in twelve games against the Jays this season. Alejandro Kirk continues to swing a hot bat for the Jays. The backstop went yard for the second straight game and extended his hitting streak to eight games in the process (14-33). Even with the loss yesterday, the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten games and just a game back of the final Wild Card spot. The Rays continue to set the pace in the AL East and the entire American League. They own the best record in the AL and lead the division by five games over the Yankees.

 

This afternoon, Toronto is expected to hand the ball to veteran Shane Bieber (4-2, 4.99 ERA) and Ian Seymour (9-3, 4.11 ERA) gets the start for Tampa Bay. Bieber’s season has been a roller coaster. The former AL Cy Young winner has shown flashes of the pitcher who dominated hitters earlier in his career, but consistency has been elusive. Specifically over his last four starts, Bieber has allowed one earned run twice but four and five runs respectively in the other two starts. The optimists in the crowd will put more faith in his most recent start. Last Friday, Bieber allowed just four hits and one run over six innings against the Yankees. Seymour has been dependable for the Rays this season. He has finished six innings over four of his last five starts. Seymour has allowed eight earned runs in 28.2 innings across those five starts. He has struck out 36 over those last five appearances.

 

Lets dive further into tonight’s game and find a sweat or two.

 

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

 

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Game Details and How to Watch: Blue Jays vs. Rays

 

  • Date: Thursday, August 20, 2026
  • Time: 1:10PM EST
  • Site: Tropicana Field
  • City: St. Petersburg, FL
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, Sportsnet, Rays.TV

 
 

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The Latest Odds: Blue Jays vs. Rays

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Toronto Blue Jays (+152), Tampa Bay Rays (-163)
  • Spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-152), Rays -1.5 (+125)
  • Total: 7.5 runs

 

Probable Starting Pitchers – Blue Jays vs. Rays for August 20

  • Blue Jays: Shane Bieber
    Season Totals: 48.2 IP, 4-2, 4.99 ERA, 1.56 WHIP, 37K, 24 BB
  • Rays: Ian Seymour
    Season Totals: 96.1 IP, 9-3, 4.11 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, 115K, 31 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Blue Jays vs. Rays

 

  • Jonathan Aranda, Junior Caminero, and Cedric Mullins have each gone yard once in their careers against Shane Bieber
  • Ernie Clement is 4-11 in his career against Ian Seymour
  • Andres Gimenez and Alejandro Kirk have each homered against Seymour in their respective careers
  • Yandy Diaz has hit in 10 straight games (19-43)
  • Chandler Simpson has also hit in 10 straight games (19-44)
  • Andres Gimenez saw his four-game hitting streak snapped last night (0-4)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit safely in 8 straight games (14-33) including 3 HRs and 9 RBIs
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit in 5 straight games (5-19)

 

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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Blue Jays vs. Rays

  • The Jays are 62-66 on the Run Line this season
  • The Rays are 71-55 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 64 times in Toronto’s 128 games this season (64-60-4)
  • The OVER has cashed 58 times in Tampa’s 126 games this season (58-63-5)

 

Expert picks & predictions: Blue Jays vs. Rays

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

 

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

 

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

 

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s game between the Jays and the Rays:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Rays on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total OVER 7.5

 

 

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Willson Contreras is wrong about running out grounders, but not for the reason the Red Sox fans who booed him think

BOSTON, MA - AUGUST 19: Willson Contreras #40 of the Boston Red Sox bats during the game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Wednesday, August 19, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Rob Tringali/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Willson Contreras had some interesting comments following yesterday’s 7-6 loss to the D-Backs in which an angry contingent of Fenway fans booed him for not running hard up the first base line during his tenth inning groundout. But before we get to the quotes, here’s a look at the play just to make sure everybody’s up to speed:

Immediately after he arrived back in the dugout, the fuming first baseman engaged with one of the more aggressive fans and had them removed from the ballpark.

After the game, Chris Cotillo of MassLive got the follow quotes from Contreras regarding the incident:

“If you’re a smart fan, you know what’s going on,”

“I’m not gonna get hurt running on a ground ball. If you’re a real fan and you know baseball, there’s no case for me to hustle out of the box.”

“I’m not 100%. We never are, but I’m taking care of my leg. If I have to run, I push it a little bit. If I don’t, my manager has my back. I talked to him and he gave me permission to do whatever it takes to take care of my legs.”

“I was feeling better until last night when I full-stretched my leg and it grabbed me a little bit. My manager knows that.”

On one hand, Contreras is absolutely right. No single groundout is worth hustling over if it means risking blowing out your leg, particularly if you’re unlikely to beat it out anyway. It’s far more prudent to nurse it where he can and save the more taxing efforts for high leverage moments. In this larger context, it all makes sense.

Or, at least it would make sense if the Red Sox were in a slightly different place in the standings. Because while the philosophy holds water while zooming out from an individual play to an entire game, it all gets flipped on its head once you zoom out further from the perspective of an individual game to the remaining season as a whole.

Right now, thanks largely to the gluttonous owners and their absurdly bloated playoff structure, the Red Sox find themselves in the rather ridiculous position of being both far enough behind Tampa for the division lead that they’re extremely unlikely to catch them, but also far enough ahead of the third Wild Card cutoff that they’re extremely unlikely to fall out of a postseason spot. They’re so far removed from a meaningful tension point, Fangraphs gives them a 95.1 percent chance to make the playoffs, but just a 2.7 percent chance to win the division. In other words, there’s a 92.4 percent chance they’re going to end up in that best-of-three Wild Card round.

Circling back to Contreras and his leg, if we’re going to apply the principle of giving up on certain plays with a low likelihood of mattering in favor of long-term health, shouldn’t we apply that same concept to the season as a whole? More to the point: If Willson Contreras can only run some of the time, why isn’t he on the IL?

If his leg is bothering him enough that he needs to (rightfully) manage it on certain low leverage, low probability plays within a game, why aren’t the Red Sox demanding he do the same on certain low leverage, low probability games within a season?

Unfortunately, the single most important thing Contreras can do to help the team right now is be as ready to go as possible for a best-of-three series starting on September 29th. I detest that MLB has come to this, but it’s the reality of being in an oversaturated playoff field. If this was 20 years ago, with just one Wild Card available, the Red Sox and Yankees would be locked in a highly captivating duel for the last crumb on the table. Every game would matter, animosity would be building, and we’d be scoreboard watching like a hawk for six weeks.

In that world, Contreras’ approach of playing through injury in this manner would be on the money. But we don’t live in that world anymore. Instead, we’re basically sitting around seeing how healthy everybody can get for a best-of-three series at the end of September. (I can’t tell you how angry this makes me as a baseball fan!)

In any case, the Red Sox are already playing the “get ready for September 29th” game with Justin Slaten and Garrett Whitlock, who are both on the IL. And the funny thing is, not having either of them around to pitch in the top of the tenth yesterday was a whole hell of a lot more impactful in terms of why they lost that game than Contreras not running out his grounder. So if we’re going to swim in those waters, why be inconsistent about it?

Oh, and if your concern here has anything to do with the bottom falling out in a potential Contreras absence, don’t worry about it. This group has already proven they can handle the ship in short bursts without their stars. Since July 1st, Contreras has missed or left 11 games from either suspension, sickness, injury or rest, and the Sox are 10-1 in those contests.

Ultimately, the bottom line is this: Contreras is either healthy enough to run down the first base line consistently or he’s not, and if he’s not, he shouldn’t be in these games. They’re not important enough. (Thanks MLB!)

Lastly, the Red Sox medical staff has already had a disastrous year in terms of diagnosing the initial severity of injuries, and if this season ends up crashing and burning in part because Willson Contreras ends up out for the year on an injury that could have healed with rest, I’m going to be a whole lot angrier than the fans who were booing Contreras at Fenway Park yesterday.