Jun 21, 2026; Miami, Florida, USA; San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Logan Webb (62) throws against the Miami Marlins during the first inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Rhona Wise-Imagn Images | Rhona Wise-Imagn Images
Major League Baseball’s press release also cites these meaningful stats:
– The two-time All-Star dealt at least 7.0 innings in all five of his starts, becoming the first Giants pitcher to make five consecutive starts of at least 7.0 innings since Ty Blach did so twice in 2017. Webb permitted two-or-fewer runs in all five starts, becoming the first Giants pitcher since Madison Bumgarner in 2013 (6 GS) to make at least five consecutive starts of 7.0 innings and two-or-fewer runs permitted. Overall, his eight starts of at least 7.0 innings this season are tied with Nathan Eovaldi, Sánchez and Michael Wacha for the most in the Majors.
– The 2025 Rawlings Gold Glover became the third Giants pitcher in the Divisional Era (since 1969) to throw at least 35.0 innings in a single month and maintain an ERA under 0.75, joining Kevin Gausman (37.0 IP, 0.73 ERA in May 2021) and Noah Lowry (39.1 IP, 0.69 ERA in August 2005). Of the group, Webb’s four walks were the fewest.“
But Webb has looked like the best version of himself since returning from the injured list and it has been a rare respite from the hellacious viewing experience that has often been the San Francisco Giants here in 2026. His starts make it feel as though anything is possible.
Remarkably, his rotation mate Robbie Ray also received votes (4-0, 1.36 ERA). His resurgence has timed out nicely with the trade deadline, too…
But anyway, Logan Webb returning to out-pitch the likes of Jacob Misiorowski, Max Meyer, and Chris Sale is a great story, whether you’re just rooting for the Giants or rooting for the Giants to make some big deadline deals. Well, okay, there’s also the conversation about Logan Webb becoming an All-Star now, and either serving as the team’s lone representative or as a travel partner for somebody else (Luis Arraez, Casey Schmitt)?
Congratulations to Logan Webb on another career achievement. He’s sort of building a ground-up case to someday win a Cy Young Award, creating a reputational aura that might push him to be top of mind come that award in the future. But here in the present, it’s good enough to know that he was never really gone but now he’s incredibly back and, as the players say, shoving.
SEATTLE, WASHINGTON - JUNE 23: A general exterior view of Seattle Stadium, home of the Seahawks & Sounders and T-Mobile Park, home of Seattle Mariners, seen from Pike Place at Seattle Waterfront on June 23, 2026 in Seattle, United States. (Photo by Robbie Jay Barratt - AMA/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Shi Davidi tells us that Kazuma Okamoto was named AL Rookie of the Month. Only slightly unfair, as he’s not a 30-year-old rookie who played several seasons in the majors in Japan. But we aren’t going have many guy get awards, this year, so lets enjoy.
Okamoto had 7 home runs, 20 RBI, 4 doubles and 8 walks with a .286/.353/.560 batting line in 25 games. And played very nice defense, which I wasn’t expecting. I don’t think he’s going to be a Gold Glover, or anything (though if Vlad can be, who knows) but he seem serviceable to me.
The pitching matchings:
Today: Dylan Cease (4-4, 3.02) vs. Luis Castillo (3-6, 4.93). That’s a 10:00 Eastern start.
Then the Jays are off to San Francisco for three games, with Thursday off after.
And Max Scherzer starts Friday for the Vancouver Canadians. They are saying that he’ll need a few rehab starts.
June was not a great month: 11-15. Our pitchers had their worst month by ERA at 4.56. There were a few starters who had some disappointing starts. The starters had a 5.73 ERA on the month and averaged just 4.6 innings per start. The relievers had a better time, 3.33 ERA, their best month, but they threw a ton of innings.
The batters had their best OPS by month of the season. .710. But they averaged 3.9 runs per game. In May they averaged 4.2 runs and in April 3.9.
Rowdy gets DFAed. He’s only had 11 PA with the Braves, but hit will in AAA, .259/.367/.483 with 8 home runs in 49 games.
During his most recent stint with the Cubs, left-hander Jordan Wicks threw pretty well: Four innings of relief, one run allowed, a pair of strikeouts. He also picked up two saves.
Wicks threw 40 pitches in Wednesday’s win over the Padres, and so the Cubs optioned him to Triple-A Iowa on the off day Thursday, per the team’s transactions page.
To replace Wicks on the 26-man active roster, the Cubs added left-hander Drew Pomeranz, who they signed to a minor-league deal June 22 after he was released by the Angels June 18. Pomeranz has thrown two scoreless innings at Iowa, with three strikeouts. He last pitched Wednesday, throwing 18 pitches. There was an open spot on the 40-man roster to add Pomeranz, so the 40-man is now full.
Pomeranz had a really good year for the Cubs in 2025, posting a 2.17 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in 57 appearances covering 49.2 innings. He walked 15 and struck out 57 in those innings. The Cubs declined to re-sign him and he signed a one-year deal with the Angels for $4 million.
He got off to a rough start in Anaheim (though he did throw 1.1 scoreless innings against the Cubs March 31 at Wrigley Field), but over his last 12 appearances for them he posted an ERA of 0.77 and a 1.286 WHIP, suggesting he could possibly get back to last year’s level. The Angels got rid of him anyway, and since he was released, the Cubs are only on the hook for a pro-rated portion of the MLB minimum salary for Pomeranz for the rest of this season.
Pomeranz and Caleb Thielbar were a pretty good 1-2 combo out of the pen last year. Granted, both are a year older and both have struggled at times in 2026, but perhaps this “putting the band back together” move can help a beleaguered Cubs bullpen.
TORONTO, ON - JUNE 29: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #27 of the Toronto Blue Jays reacts after lining out in the third inning of a game against the New York Mets at Rogers Centre on June 29, 2026 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Thank goodness for the Angels. The Mariners climbed back over .500 with a sweep of their division rival after a brief dip below that mark following their series in Cleveland last weekend. The three wins against Los Angeles allowed Seattle to keep pace with the Rangers in the division and pull ahead of the faltering Athletics and Astros. They’ll wrap up this homestand with a jam packed weekend series against the Blue Jays.
This rematch of last year’s ALCS isn’t nearly as exciting as it could have been. Like the Mariners, the Blue Jays have largely scuffled to start this year following their deep postseason run last fall. Injuries have played a huge role in those struggles; Toronto currently has 10 players on the IL and has lost the second most total WARP of any team this season according to the Baseball Prospectus Injured List Ledger. The starting rotation has been hit particularly hard but the lineup has suffered plenty of impactful injuries as well. Combined with a pretty sizable playoff hangover from some of their stars, the Blue Jays are stuck in the morass of mediocre teams in the middle of the AL.
Player
Position
Bats
PA
K%
BB%
ISO
wRC+
George Springer
DH
R
279
20.1%
10.0%
0.152
93
Nathan Lukes
RF
L
183
15.8%
4.9%
0.120
117
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1B
R
348
11.2%
10.3%
0.083
96
Kazuma Okamoto
3B
R
344
32.0%
9.6%
0.224
119
Daulton Varsho
CF
L
275
21.1%
8.7%
0.165
108
Alejandro Kirk
C
R
73
15.1%
8.2%
0.121
69
Ernie Clement
2B
R
335
10.1%
3.6%
0.140
111
Yohendrick Piñango
LF
L
151
22.5%
6.0%
0.155
105
Andrés Giménez
SS
L
289
19.7%
3.5%
0.135
81
That’s not a typo: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s isolated power currently starts with a zero. He’s hit just four home runs this year and is limping through the worst season of his career. His groundball rate is up slightly, though not outside the range he’s posted throughout his career, but his hard hit rate is down more than five points and his barrel rate has been cut in half. For whatever reason, his contact quality has taken a steep dive this year. George Springer, Alejandro Kirk, and Daulton Varsho have all taken pretty significant steps backwards this season as well. The good news is that Kazuma Okamoto has made a strong transition over from Japan; he’s blasted 19 home runs already and is running a 119 wRC+ even after a rough April when he was getting acclimated to MLB pitching.
Dylan Cease was the Blue Jays’ headlining acquisition this past offseason when he signed a seven-year, $210 million free agent contract just before Thanksgiving. He’s long been one of baseball’s best strikeout artists, though all those punchouts come with some spotty command. He’s usually able to make it work because he can just work out of any trouble he gets into by avoiding contact altogether, but he can also be prone to big blowups from time to time if his command really slips. He primarily relies on a hard fastball and a nasty slider as his out pitches. He’s increased the usage of his changeup this year and it’s been nearly unhittable; the whiff rate on his offspeed pitch is over 66%!
Pitcher
IP
K%
BB%
HR/FB%
GB%
ERA
FIP
Shane Bieber (2025)
40.1
23.3%
4.4%
21.1%
48.2%
3.57
4.47
Logan Gilbert
100
27.0%
5.6%
12.1%
35.0%
3.42
3.60
Emerson Hancock
90.2
24.2%
6.1%
11.9%
41.5%
3.47
3.77
Pitch
Usage vRHB
Usage vLHB
Velocity
Stuff+
Whiff+
BIP+
xwOBA
Four-seam
33.9%
37.4%
92.6
94
101
87
0.364
Cutter
10.4%
14.9%
87.4
84
Changeup
8.2%
17.3%
89.1
101
Curveball
11.4%
25.5%
82.6
89
72
101
0.329
Slider
36.1%
4.9%
85.4
90
111
60
0.263
Shane Bieber missed nearly all of 2024 and most of ‘25 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. Traded to the Blue Jays at the trade deadline last year, he was solid enough down the stretch, though Toronto’s deep run in the playoffs likely contributed to the forearm fatigue he was diagnosed with this spring. He wound up missing the first three months of the season and only made his return from the IL a few weeks ago. At his peak, he utilized pinpoint command of a pair of breaking balls to make up for a pretty mediocre fastball. His command has mostly eluded him after his elbow injury and his fastball quality has further deteriorated. That doesn’t bode well for his ability to stay productive until he can find a way to adjust.
Pitcher
IP
K%
BB%
HR/FB%
GB%
ERA
FIP
Trey Yesavage
67.1
22.3%
10.9%
6.6%
33.3%
3.34
3.88
George Kirby
104
21.1%
5.6%
9.5%
49.0%
3.81
3.70
Pitch
Usage vRHB
Usage vLHB
Velocity
Stuff+
Whiff+
BIP+
xwOBA
Four-seam
45.0%
46.7%
94.4
94
80
112
0.296
Splitter
16.3%
42.2%
82.9
137
119
117
0.247
Slider
38.6%
11.0%
88.0
104
111
117
0.280
In his first professional season, Trey Yesavage rose from Single-A all the way to the big leagues last year and ultimately helped lead the Blue Jays to their World Series appearance. It was a tremendous debut. A minor shoulder injury delayed his start to this season, but once he returned healthy, he picked up right where he left off. Everything is vertical with Yesavage’s profile. His extreme over-the-top delivery helps him produce a ton of carry on his fastball, and his two secondary pitches have very little horizontal break on them. His splitter continues to be a devastating pitch and he’s been able to improve the command of his slider this year.
The Big Picture:
Team
W-L
W%
Games Behind
Run Diff
Recent Form
Rangers
45-43
0.511
—
-2
W-W-W-L-W
Mariners
45-43
0.511
—
+14
L-L-W-W-W
Astros
43-46
0.483
2.5
-46
W-W-L-W-L
Athletics
41-46
0.471
3.5
-59
L-L-L-L-W
Angels
36-52
0.409
9.0
-46
W-W-L-L-L
Team
W-L
W%
Games Behind
Run Diff
Recent Form
Yankees
48-38
0.558
+4.0
+87
L-L-L-L-L
Guardians
46-42
0.523
+1.0
-7
W-L-L-W-W
Mariners
45-43
0.511
—
+14
L-L-W-W-W
Astros
43-46
0.483
2.5
-46
W-W-L-W-L
Twins
42-46
0.477
3.0
-26
L-W-W-L-W
The Rangers lost on Wednesday to allow the idle Mariners to slip into a tie atop the AL West, but won the first game of a three-game set against the Tigers yesterday. Texas and Detroit are off on Friday to accommodate a World Cup game in Arlington but will resume their series on Saturday. The Astros lost their series to the Twins this week and will play host to the hottest team in the AL this weekend, the Rays, winners of eight straight. The Athletics couldn’t keep up with the Dodgers, though they managed to salvage a win on Wednesday. They host the red hot Marlins this weekend, the team with the best record in baseball in June.
The Anaheim Ducks entered the 2026 offseason with a projected $38.8 million in cap space, holes throughout their depth chart (most notably on the right side of their blueline), and six NHL RFAs (Leo Carlsson, Cutter Gauthier, Olen Zellweger, Pavel Mintyukov, Tyson Hinds, Ian Moore) in need of new contracts, with two of them projected to be sizable extensions: Leo Carlsson (21) and Cutter Gauthier (22).
After signing Moore to a two-year contract extension, trading Mason McTavish to the St. Louis Blues, and trading Olen Zellweger to the Buffalo Sabres, the Ducks entered the July 1 free agency period with a projected $44.6 million in cap space, and the number of NHL RFAs in need of contract extensions decreased to four (Carlsson, Gauthier, Mintyukov, Hinds).
Offer sheets are an intriguing aspect of every NHL offseason, but notoriously, they’re rarely extended and signed. NHL clubs may sign opposing RFAs to offer sheets between July 1 and Dec. 1, and once signed, the player’s original team has seven days to either match the offer or send the player to the team they signed with in exchange for predetermined compensation.
Of the Ducks’ four current RFAs, only Carlsson, Mintyukov, and Hinds are eligible to sign offer sheets with opposing teams, as Gauthier does not meet the experience criteria. Typically, offer sheets have only been successful when extended to second-tier RFAs. When offered to top-tier players, they’re immediately matched.
The Ducks were relatively quiet to open the NHL free agency period despite losing a trio of veteran RHDs, as well as some depth forwards from their 2025-26 roster. Their only NHL acquisitions to date have been forward AJ Greer, forward Jeff Malott, defenseman Nick Jensen, and goaltender Laurent Brossoit.
They currently have a projected $35.2 million in cap space, the most in the NHL by over $5 million.
A combination of a seeming lack of reverence for the 2026 NHL Draft, an ever-increasing salary cap, and a thin unrestricted free agent market has led to the most eventful NHL offseason in recent memory.
Which brings us back to offer sheets. The New Jersey Devils have already signed Utah Mammoth center Barrett Hayton to a one-year, $4.78 million offer sheet, of which Utah has until July 8 to match or lose the player for a second-round pick as compensation.
With high-profile RFAs such as Jason Robertson, Connor Bedard, Leo Carlsson, Adam Fantilli, Simon Edvinsson, etc., currently eligible for offer sheets, some have speculated whether this may be the offseason where these prolific players sign offer sheets.
Premier NHL insider Elliotte Friedman reported on Twitter that if teams were to attempt to acquire Carlsson from the Ducks via offer sheet, it would be immediately matched, and the reason for their lack of activity to this point in the offseason is to maintain cap flexibility.
John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
“Saw one offer sheet yesterday, Barrett Hayton (with) New Jersey, and are wondering about more,” Friedman wrote. “Heard over the past few hours Anaheim guaranteed it will match any attempt on Leo Carlsson, and the reason the Ducks haven’t made many moves is to make sure to be in a safe cap position.”
Ducks general manager Pat Verbeek has established a reputation as one of the tougher GMs in the NHL to negotiate with, especially for RFAs, and especially more when they’re coming off their ELCs. Since he’s taken over in the Ducks’ front office, he’s taken negotiations with Troy Terry to the minutes before entering his scheduled arbitration hearing, and he’s taken negotiations with Trevor Zegras, Jamie Drysdale, and Mason McTavish well into training camp without a deal in place.
The two significant RFA contracts Verbeek “got ahead of” in terms of negotiations were Lukas Dostal in the summer of 2025, where a five-year contract extension was signed several days before arbitration hearings were set to commence, and Jackson LaCombe in Oct. 2025, where an eight-year deal was signed nine months before his current one was scheduled to expire.
Author’s opinion: By not having Carlsson under contract by July 1 and this report coming out a day after, it appears, from the outside, as though Carlsson and his representation have been given all leverage in negotiations with the Ducks.
It’s become more fashionable over the last 5-10 years in the NHL for GMs to sign their young star players well before their ELCs expire so as to have them committed to their teams for as long as possible, to as low an AAV as possible, before they truly break out and acquire more leverage.
“We reached a point, maybe late October/early November, that we decided to table talks with any of our young players and just focus on playing hockey,” Verbeek said when asked about contract negotiations with pending RFAs at the trade deadline. “And if they play hockey well, then all the contract stuff will take care of itself. I just wanted their mindset to be worried on playing good hockey and helping this team win and get into the playoffs.”
During Verbeek’s exit interview, Verbeek expressed his desire to get his high-profile RFAs (Carlsson and Gauthier) signed before training camp.
“In a perfect situation, I’d like to get them done in a week here,” Verbeek said on May 15. “I’m hoping for the best to try and make sure that everybody’s excited for training camp and all of us are happy. I don’t have a crystal ball to say how it’s going to go, but we’re going to do our best to make sure that we get everybody excited and there for camp.”
“I’d like to get it done as soon as possible, but we all have to cooperate with one another, right? That’s the goal,” Verbeek continued when asked about the motivation to get contracts signed before July 1.
Carlsson reiterated Verbeek’s sentiments at his own exit interview, on May 15, to get a contract agreed upon before training camp and relayed that negotiations hadn’t taken place to that point.
“No, not really. We’ll just take it into summer, see what happens,” Carlsson said when asked about any preliminary contract talks between him, his representation, and Verbeek.
When asked about a preferential timeline for a deal, Carlsson said, “I want to get it done before training camp so I can be here with the team as early as possible.”
At of the end of the first round of the recent NHL Draft, the last time the media spoke with Verbeek, when asked about the status of RFA contract negotiations, he said, “They’re ongoing. That’s all I can say. We’re talking, and we’ll see where it goes.”
This remains an important offseason in the growth of the Anaheim Ducks franchise, on the heels of their first playoff appearance since 2018 and with the goal to “keep pushing this football down the field,” as Verbeek stated at the Draft on June 26.
The landscape of the Ducks roster and depth chart, along with projections regarding the upcoming season, is still very much in question after recently losing McTavish, Zellweger, John Carlson, Jacob Trouba, Radko Gudas, Ross Johnston, and Jeffrey Viel, and acquiring Greer, Mallot, Jensen, and Brossoit.
Author’s opinion: It seems as though by not having contracts agreed upon with Carlsson and Gauthier, the Ducks were and remain unable to significantly add to and improve their roster due to uncertainty regarding the amount of cap space they’d have to work with.
PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 21: Jhoan Duran #59 of the Philadelphia Phillies pitches during the game between the New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, June 21, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Phebe Grosser/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
It was an interesting poll this week, me asking you which player should get a contract extension first were the Phillies to offer someone one. Here are the results:
That’s about as close to a 50/50 split as you can get.
If we’re focusing in on Jhoan Duran, I see why the team would want to make sure he is locked up for the foreseeable future. His dominance on the mound means some team is going to eventually pay for his services, his age also a factor in discussion as he’s still relatively young enough that good years are likely still ahead of him. At this point, a deal similar to the first one the Mets gave Edwin Diaz is probably the starting point for any kind of extension offer the Phillies would give to him in order to keep him off of the open market.
The looming issue in that is the CBA discussions happening right now. What if somehow there is a salary cap put into place? Would the Phillies even be able to extend Duran to a figure that would be commensurate with his ability and past comps to his profile? He still has another year of arbitration left, so nothing is particularly pressing, plus the team probably wants to see what the endgame of the negotiations looks like between the league and the player’s association before committing to anything substantial with Duran or Brandon Marsh for that matter. But if it were up to you, Duran would be the first choice to get a deal done.
NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 30: Yovanny Cruz #96 of the New York Yankees pitches during the game against the Detroit Tigers at Yankee Stadium on June 30, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images
There’s really no way to sugarcoat the way the Yankees are playing right now. The offense is impotent, the starting pitching has been suspect, and the defense unacceptable. It’s all added up to a season-high seven-game losing streak and a plummeting from 3.5 games up in the standings to four games behind the Rays for first in a two-week span. There have been very few moments worthy of praise during this barren spell, but one that absolutely stands out was Yovanny Cruz’s two scoreless innings with three strikeouts against the Tigers on Tuesday in his first appearance since being called up from Triple-A for the second time this season.
We join Cruz to open the seventh inning with the Yankees already trailing, 9-2. It’s as much a mop-up role as it is an audition to see if he merits sticking in the big league bullpen for longer than the two games of his initial cup of coffee back in May. Stepping into the box to lead off the inning is Kerry Carpenter, a lefty presenting an immediate extra challenge for the righty Cruz. Carpenter has already homered in the first off a Cam Schlittler cutter, hinting at the danger of throwing a pitch that breaks toward him.
One of the most important things for Cruz — and indeed any reliever — is to get ahead in the count with the first pitch. The difference between 0-1 and 1-0, especially late in games, is enormous. As such, there’s no messing about here, Cruz hoofing his fastball in the zone.
Um, what did I just see? My attention immediately snapped to the TV when I saw 101 on the corner inside and at the knees for called strike one. That’s almost an un-hittable pitch. For the rest of this AB, and frankly the rest of Cruz’s outing, my antenna was up. I knew he had high octane stuff from his initial cup of coffee but this is another level entirely. It’s such a crucial pitch to garner the strike one call in that spot, opening up bountiful opportunities for chases on the back-foot slider.
That’s exactly what is on the mind of Cruz and Ali Sánchez, the backstop immediately calling for a slider below the zone.
Cruz misses his spot, but earns the strike two call by back-dooring the mislocated slider to the corner up and away. While he certainly did not intend that location, it reminds me of an interesting point that David Cone has brought up on recent broadcasts. He talked about how effective a weapon the high slider can be for called strikes — despite the age-old prescription that an elevated slider is a dangerous pitch to throw. Because the pitch looks like a ball high out of the hand, it is common for the hitter to give up on it early. And because a slider has later movement than other breaking balls like the curveball or sweeper, hitters often don’t have time to react upon seeing the downward break that brings the pitch into the zone. Again, I’m not sure this was the intention from Cruz here, but it worked exactly how Coney described.
With the count quickly 0-2, I expected Cruz to stick with his wipeout slider and focus on better execution down and in.
Wait a second, Cruz throws a splitter now?!?! Not only that, but it’s a totally disgusting pitch?!?! This looks like one of those classic Fernando Cruz splitters that just nosedives off the table about halfway to home, except this one is thrown at 90 mph. Carpenter somehow catches the slightest nick foul to stay alive, though Sánchez is convinced that it was a clean whiff.
When you can throw a splitter with that much late diving movement and command it to your spot, you just have to stick with that pitch and let the hitter get himself out, as we have seen from Fernando Cruz in some of his highest leverage spots.
This one isn’t executed quite as well as the first one, catching a fat part of the plate down and in. However, Carpenter is again fooled as I suspect the scouting report said nothing about Cruz throwing a splitter. He swings as if it’s a four-seamer at the belt, meaning he is way early and over the top and can only pound it foul into the ground around home plate.
Carpenter has shown zero indication that he is able to adjust to this splitter, so all Cruz needs to do is command one a bit lower than the last one and he should get the strikeout swinging.
That is exactly what Cruz is able to achieve, unleashing a filthy splitter on the corner low and away. Carpenter still hasn’t made the adjustment and he is made to look foolish whiffing way out in front of this pitch that would have been called strike three even if he had left the bat on his shoulder. You can’t get much closer to a perfect pitch than this.
Here’s the full sequence:
Is it possible Fernando Cruz helped teach his new bullpen mate his disappearing splitter? Cruz threw seven splitters on Tuesday, the pitch averaging 90.2 mph and 32 inches of drop. That would place his splitter immediately into the elite tier when it comes to movement, the nearest comp for the pitch being Roki Sasaki’s splitter, which exhibits the 13th-most vertical drop vs. average of any splitter in MLB. It’s the type of overwhelming movement that can make the pitch a platoon-neutral offering, nasty enough to elicit whiffs from both right-handed and left-handed batters.
Yovanny Cruz has been pretty much untouchable in his first three MLB appearances. He has faced 15 batters and allowed one hit and no walks while striking out six. The question for him has always been his strike-throwing ability, and it certainly appears he has started to iron out those issues. After getting sent back down following his two appearances in May, Cruz slashed his walk rate from 12.2-percent to 7.1-percent with Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, and the fact that he has yet to issue a walk at the big league level lends further credence to these improvements.
Although the Yankees’ bullpen has been crying out for better swing-and-miss stuff, they curiously made the decision to demote Cruz after the matinee on Wednesday. David Bednar needed to be activated off the paternity list, but one can’t help but wonder if perhaps they might have been better off dropping someone else instead.
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - JULY 1: Pete Crow-Armstrong #4 of the Chicago Cubs hits a home run during the fifth inning against the San Diego Padres at Wrigley Field on July 1, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Geoff Stellfox/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The St. Louis Cardinals will celebrate the 4th of July weekend against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field this weekend. The Cardinals archrivals are nearly as hot as the weather the past two weeks and it will present a challenging weekend for St. Louis to be successful.
The last 10 games tell a completely opposite story for the St. Louis Cardinals and the Chicago Cubs. A couple weeks ago, the Cardinals were ahead of the Cubs in the National League Central standings, but the streaking Cubs have leapfrogged the Cardinals and are now within a handful of games of the front-running Milwaukee Brewers. The Chicago Cubs are 9-1 in their last 10 games while the St. Louis Cardinals are 4-6. That amazing come-from-behind win Thursday night gives them great momentum, though. According to MLB.com, here are the pitching matchups for St. Louis and Chicago this weekend:
David Peterson won his most recent start against the Milwaukee Brewers going 5 2/3 innings allowing 2 earned runs and just 5 hits. Shota Imanaga earned a no-decision against the San Diego Padres on June 29 tossing 6 1/3 innings allowing 9 hits, but just 2 earned runs. Javier Assad only lasted 2 2/3 innings against the Padres on June 30 as he gave up 4 earned runs on 5 hits.
The Chicago Cubs offense has been on fire the past couple of weeks. Dansby Swanson hit 5 home runs over a 19-hour span driving in 11 runs during his outburst. Over his last 10 games, Chicago Cubs center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong hit .289, recording 11 hits (including 3 home runs), 9 RBIs, 9 runs scored, and 2 stolen bases. Ian Happ has been red-hot also over his last 10 games, batting .341 with 14 hits, 4 home runs, 14 RBIs, and 7 runs scored. Seiya Suzuki has been on a tear, batting .317 with 13 hits, 2 home runs, 11 RBIs, and 7 runs scored in his past 10 games. One Cub who hasn’t been hot is Alex Bregman. Over his past 10 games, Alex Bregman has batted .222 (7 for 32) with 1 home run, 4 RBIs, and 5 runs scored. He also drew 7 walks, boosting his on-base percentage to .368.
Based on recent trends, it would appear that the St. Louis Cardinals will have their hands full over the 4th of July weekend, but that’s why we play baseball games instead of just study their numbers. You never know what will happen between the bases especially when it’s the Cardinals and Cubs at Wrigley Field.
Crack open a cold one because the long holiday weekend has finally arrived. To kick off the festivities, we're bypassing the heavy favorites and hunting for pure value on Friday's baseball board.
I'm backing multiple live dogs tonight, including the Twins and Padres, to cash some high-yielding tickets before the fireworks even start in my MLB moneyline predictions.
Here is my deep dive into Friday’s MLB picks for July 3.
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Expert MLB moneyline picks for July 3
Cardinals vs. Cubs: Cubs (-120)
Cubs win probability: 55%
Does anyone want to get in front of the red hot Chicago Cubs right now? The Cardinals in their last six games own a 40 wRC+, .494 OPS and .092 ISO. Meanwhile, the Cubs have a 156 wRC+, .399 wOBA and .923 OPS during that span.
Take the Cubs on the eve of this holiday weekend.
Pirates vs. Nationals: Nationals (-133)
Nationals win probability: 57%
Nationals right hander Foster Griffin has been on a tear over his last five outings, owning a 1.15 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 27.50% strikeout rate. The Pirates have been very swing happy this past week, owning a 29.3% strikeout rate, while the Nationals have been no better, they have still one of the most lethal offenses in baseball. James Wood has gone cold as of late, but he is still producing a 92% hard hit rate. Insane.
I like the Nationals here.
Twins vs. Yankees: Twins (+167)
Twins win probability: 38%
I am going to keep this super short.
The New York Yankees own a 1 wRC+ in their last six games. One. They are frozen solid.
Take the value in the Twins.
Orioles vs. Reds: Orioles (-113)
Orioles win probability: 53%
Despite having a horrific start to the year, Trevor Rogers has turned this around as of late. The Orioles southpaw owns a 1.40 ERA, 2.07 xERA and 0.78 WHIP in his last three starts. I think his recent dominance continues and he leads the Orioles to a win this evening.
White Sox vs. Guardians: White Sox (+122)
White Sox win probability: 45%
This feels like a clear bounce back spot after last night’s heartbreaking loss. Snagging the White Sox at +122 looks like the right angle, leaning into the power of friendship and a get right spot. Anthony Kay has also been steady lately, posting a 3.65 xERA over his last three starts. If he can deliver six solid innings, Chicago should be in a strong position to close it out and cash.
Mets vs. Braves: Mets (+106)
Mets win probability: 48%
I am already backing Juan Soto this evening, so why not take the entire Mets team? Christian Scott has been on a tear on the road, while Grant Holmes has been getting lit up by left handed hitters. I like the Mets as an underdog here, especially with how inconsistent both teams have been. Feels like the price is right, give me the value.
Giants vs. Rockies: Rockies (+138)
Rockies win probability: 42%
Sure, Logan Webb is on the mound for the Giants, and he has been nails, but so has the Rockies offense lately. Ryan Feltner for Colorado has also been solid in his recent starts, posting a 2.70 ERA over his last three outings.
I like the value on the Rockies.
Rays vs. Astros: Astros (+102)
Astros win probability: 50%
Rays starter Nick Martinez has slowly been regressing over his last five starts, as he owns a 5.14 ERA in that span. Spencer Arrighetti has not been much better overall, but at home he has been solid, posting a 3.56 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.
I think after a massive week at home, hitting the road could cool down a Rays offense that has been on fire lately. I am willing to take the risk here.
Red Sox vs. Angels: Angels (-102)
Angels win probability: 50%
Both offenses have been ice cold as of late, so we are going to have to back the better pitcher. Red Sox left hander Jake Bennett has been nails in his last three outings, but Reid Detmers has been consistent all season long, owning a 2.88 xERA on the year with a 1.06 WHIP as well.
Give me the hometown team to come through.
Marlins vs. Athletics: Athletics (-122)
Athletics win probability: 55%
The Athletics offense has been pretty cold this past week, but they draw Marlins right hander Tyler Phillips, who has a 5.00 ERA, 5.02 xERA, and 1.37 WHIP in his last five starts. Phillips allows a ton of hard contact, and this should be a good spot for the Athletics to get back on track.
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks: Brewers (-141)
Brewers win probability: 58%
The lone winner of the Rafael Devers trade, Kyle Harrison and man has he had himself a season! The left hander owns a 2.57 ERA and 1.03 WHIP on the year. He draws a very cold Diamondbacks offense, while having one of the hottest offenses backing him this evening.
Brewers. Pay the juice.
Padres vs. Dodgers: Padres (+228)
Padres win probability: 30%
It is either the Padres come out with a chip on their shoulder after blowing an early 6-0 lead last night, or they tuck their tail. Either way, I think taking the Padres at +228 is worth the sprinkle. The offense has been hitting the ball very well this past week, and they could get their revenge this evening.
Take the value!
Blue Jays vs. Mariners: Blue Jays (-117)
Blue Jays win probability: 54%
Another game featuring two ice cold offenses, and I have to take the better pitcher, which means backing Blue Jays right hander Dylan Cease. On the season he owns a 3.02 ERA, 2.79 xERA, and a 1.24 WHIP. These numbers have been consistent all season long.
Luis Castillo on the other end has been a literal punching bag, and the Blue Jays offense should be able to break out against the heavy fastball pitcher.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
The Philadelphia Flyers have finally expanded on the ailment that has chronically been plaguing top center prospect Jett Luchanko for the last few years.
Luchanko, 19, was held off the ice for back-to-back development camps due to injury, though no procedures were ever officially announced... until now.
Despite playing each of the last two seasons mostly as normal, Flyers assistant general manager Brent Flahr revealed after the conclusion of development camp Friday that Luchanko had a procedure done on his core to address a "lingering" injury.
"He had a proceudre done on his core. It's been lingering for about a year and a half. I don't even know the timeline. He's been working out lots down there, should be skating over the week and be ready to go," Flahr said. "He doesn't like to make excuses, but at the same time, his speed, skillset, there's hopefully a full summer to train and train properly."
While there typically isn't a silver lining we can take from a prospect's injury, Luchanko hasn't produced a ton of offense in the two years since being drafted, and now there's a good chance that Luchanko just hasn't been fully healthy for much of that time.
The Flyers' 2024 first-round pick is expected to compete for an NHL roster spot out of training camp when healthy, and so long as Luchanko indeed remains healthy, there is a good chance he can do it.
Regardless of he makes the NHL or not, the 2026-27 season will be Luchanko's first as a full-time professional player.
The speedster has played nine NHL games with the Flyers, including one in the Stanley Cup playoffs this past postseason, as well as 16 AHL games with the Lehigh Valley Phantoms between the regular season and Calder Cup playoffs.
Of note, Flyers general manager Danny Briere told The Hockey News in a recent Q&A that Luchanko would not make the Flyers' NHL roster as a reserve player, and would only be kept up if he was one of the top-12 regular forwards.
Considering how much hockey Luchanko has missed, and how much hockey he's played at less than 100%, this is the smartest and safest move by the Flyers.
Flyers rookie camp opens on Sept. 11, leaving Luchanko with two more months to rehab, recover, and train.
When Zakhar Bardakov's time with the Colorado Avalanche came to an end, it never felt like a permanent goodbye.
Just weeks after returning to Russia, the 25-year-old forward has officially signed a one-year contract with KHL powerhouse SKA St. Petersburg, taking the next step in a move that had been building since his arrival in North America. While the signing closes one chapter of his career, the Avalanche have quietly ensured another could still be written by extending Bardakov a qualifying offer, allowing the organization to retain his NHL rights.
Bardakov's departure from Colorado was never a surprise behind the scenes. When the Avalanche signed him from the KHL, his contract included a clause allowing him to return to Russia if he was assigned to the American Hockey League. It was a unique provision that reflected his status as an established professional rather than a traditional prospect expected to spend years developing in the minors.
Although Bardakov earned a roster spot out of training camp and steadily adjusted to the North American game, his opportunity remained limited throughout the season. He finished with one goal and nine assists in 60 games while averaging just 7:12 of ice time, spending much of the year on Colorado's fourth line. His lone assignment to the AHL with the Colorado Eagles, where he scored in his only appearance, ultimately reinforced the reality that a larger role wasn't likely to come in Colorado.
That reality became even clearer in the playoffs, when Bardakov was a healthy scratch for the entire postseason despite appearing in 60 regular-season games.
Rather than remain in limbo, Bardakov chose the more familiar path. His one-year deal with SKA St. Petersburg gives him an opportunity to play significant minutes for one of the KHL's premier organizations while continuing his development against high-level competition.
For the Avalanche, however, the story doesn't necessarily end there.
By issuing Bardakov a qualifying offer before his departure, Colorado retained his NHL rights, meaning any future return to North America would still go through the Avalanche. If Bardakov thrives with SKA and decides another NHL opportunity is worth pursuing, Colorado—not another club—would control that next chapter.
The Senators have had an extremely quiet start to free agency, at least in terms of adding impactful NHL players to their roster.
But GM Steve Staios was able to address another important area, and that's adding prospects and depth to a farm system that badly needs it.
Steve Staios says he's in a holding pattern in free agency as he waits on Claude Giroux.
On Wednesday, Staios signed five free agent players who are all expected to begin the year in Belleville. But some of them are also players capable of helping in Ottawa right now when the inevitable injuries strike.
The Sens signed forwards Sammy Blais, Philippe Daoust, Ryan Suzuki and Philip Tomasino, along with defenceman Christian Kyrou, to two-way contracts.
That followed the late June acquisition of winger Kasper Halttunen from the San Jose Sharks and the drafting of Jonas Lagerberg Hoen and Jaxon Cover in the first round of the 2026 NHL Draft.
None of the Canada Day signings generated headlines around the NHL, but collectively, they tidily improved the Sens' organizational depth.
Among the new signees who might play in Ottawa this season, the headliner is undoubtedly Sammy Blais, who helped the St. Louis Blues win the Cup in 2019.
The 30-year-old has appeared in 278 NHL games and has some bite to his game, something the Senators suddenly have a little less of following Brady Tkachuk's departure.
Blais plays an abrasive style, finishes checks, and makes life uncomfortable around the opponent's crease. In many ways, his style resembles Nick Cousins, a player the Sens valued enough to bring back this summer on a two-year deal.
Blais gives the Senators another veteran capable of stepping into a fourth-line NHL role if injuries create an opening.
Philip Tomasino has the highest offensive ceiling of the new signings.
The season after Nashville made him a first-round pick in 2019, Tomasino returned to the OHL and had 100 points in 62 games. As an NHL rookie, he then had 32 points in 76 games for the Predators, but it's been a slow fade in productivity ever since.
He's played in 218 NHL games and is still just 24 years old.
Although he spent much of last season in the American Hockey League, he produced 41 points in 52 games while splitting time between the Pittsburgh and Philadelphia organizations. His last meaningful NHL season was two years ago with 23 points in 50 games for Pittsburgh.
If Tomasino rediscovers some of the offensive game that made him a first-round selection in 2019, he could force his way back into NHL consideration.
As a sidebar, we could have turned this article into a smooth piece of clickbait by announcing that the Sens had acquired Kyrou and Suzuki. They did do that, but the players are, in fact, the younger brothers of Jordan and Nick.
Christian Kyrou brings intriguing upside.
Kyrou is coming off his best pro season in pretty much all categories after recording 34 points in 59 games with Lehigh Valley in the American Hockey League. Ottawa's NHL blue line appears settled, but offensively skilled, right-shot defencemen are always valuable organizational assets.
Ryan Suzuki arrives after helping lead the Chicago Wolves to the Calder Cup Final, where he led the club in playoff scoring with 18 points in 21 games. Like Tomasino, Suzuki is a former first-round pick who gives Belleville another skilled offensive player.
The signing of Philippe Daoust is a Belleville success story. The Senators' 2020 Draft pick was on an AHL deal last season and went off with a 50-point season. It was his best pro season in all categories by a country mile, more than doubling his previous personal bests in goals, assists, and points.
The question he'll need to answer is how much of his production came from playing on a line with Arthur Kaliyev and Xavier Bourgault. Kaliyev is a UFA and won't be back, while Bourgault is an RFA, waiting on a new deal.
Beyond the signings, there's also Kasper Halttunen, who could be a beast in Belleville this year. He was acquired in the William Eklund trade, a spinoff of the Brady Tkachuk deal.
Halttunen provides organizational depth, but he's more than that. He's immediately become one of the Senators' best prospects.
In 2024 and 2025, the big Finnish winger (6-foot-3, 205 lbs) helped the London Knights win back-to-back OHL titles with an outrageous 32 goals in 35 playoff games.
His rookie AHL season with the San Jose Barracudas this year was a learning experience, but at age 20, he still managed 35 points in 69 games.
On their own, none of these additions is likely to change the current roster. But combined with Lagerberg-Hoen and Cover, they do provide important new depth and paint a clear picture of a GM keeping a better eye on the future.
By Steve Warne The Hockey News
This article was first published on The Hockey News Ottawa Senators site. For full coverage of the Senators, check out one of the latest headlines below:
FORT MYERS, FLORIDA - MARCH 12, 2026: Nathan Hickey #82 of the Boston Red Sox warms up prior to a spring training game against the Minnesota Twins at Lee Health Sports Complex on March 12, 2026 in Fort Myers, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
It was bombs away for the Woo Sox on Thursday, hitting four home runs on the day, two of which came off the bat of Nathan Hickey. Hickey’s first home run, as well as Mickey Gasper’s, were off of Mets prospect Jonah Tong. Tong (5.90 ERA) has taken a major step back in Triple-A this season.
Balls in the air in Syracuse! Gasper drills a dinger to give the Sox the lead! pic.twitter.com/3H4YmNs7Cw
Braiden Ward also had two hits and added an insurance run with a homer of his own in the ninth inning. Devin Sweet was the opener ahead of Tyler Uberstine, who threw three perfect innings, striking out five. Eduardo Rivers got the win, as he was also perfect in 2 1/3 innings, with four strikeouts. Wyatt Olds threw two hitless innings for his second save.
Jack Anderson (2-4, 5.26) will be on the hill for the Woo Sox Friday at 6:35.
A six-run sixth inning for the Curve (PIT) off reliever Dalton Rogers did the Sea Dogs in on Thursday night. Rogers relieved starter Gage Ziehl, who struck out eight over five innings, allowing just one run. Ziehl has been excellent in his last seven starts, not allowing more than two runs in any of them. He is 3-0 with a 2.04 ERA and a 9:41 walk-to-strikeout ratio during that time.
Home runs from Jack Winnay (2) and Brooks Brannon (11) were the highlights for Portland offensively. Winnay was 2-for-4. Franklin Arias had the day off. One can only hope that it was to give him some time to pack his things to get to Triple-A. A rehabbing Nick Sogard went 1-for-2 with a walk and a run scored before being replaced.
John Holobetz (3-3, 4.67) is on the bump, Friday at 6:20.
Another mediocre outing from Kyson Witherspoon put the Dash (CWS) ahead early in this one. Witherspoon allowed six hits and four runs over four innings. While the strikeouts are there (65 in 61 innings), Witherspoon has walked 30 batters and has a 5.02 ERA.
Two-RBI days from both Antonio Anderson and Stanley Tucker helped the Drive tie the game up at 4-4. A walk-off single by the Dash’s George Wolkow won the game, saddling reliever Matt McShane with the loss.
Greenville’s Alex Bouchard (1-2, 5.65) will get the ball on Friday at 6:30.
It must be really heating up around Hotlanta, as the RidgeYaks and GreenJackets (ATL) combined for 26 runs on Thursday. Salem had home runs from Skylar King, Adonys Guzman, and Louis Andujar, with King leading the way with three hits and four RBI as well. King, Guzman, Andujar, Andrews Opata, and Andruw Mussett all had multiple RBI for the RidgeYaks.
Naturally, the pitching wasn’t pretty on either side. Starter Jacob Meyers couldn’t throw strikes and was pulled after 1 1/3 innings, allowing five runs (four earned), on … zero hits? Brady Tygart was credited with the win, despite allowing three runs.
On Friday at 6:35, Salem will send Christian Foutch (0-5, 6.75) to the mound.
On this day 51 years ago, Tony Muser didn’t get to swing the bat very often. | (Topps)
1901 With a 4-3 win in 11 innings at Cleveland, the White Sox won their 10th straight game, which remains one of only 15 double-figure win streaks in franchise history. The club was swept in an Independence Day doubleheader the next day. In this, their first year in the major leagues, the White Sox won the AL pennant with an 83-53-1 record.
1922 White Sox pitcher Ted Blankenship made his big-league debut in a big way. Blankenshiprelieved starter Ferdie Schupp in the second inning of a game against Detroit, then gave up nine hits over the next 12 innings before losing the game in the 14th, 7-6. The game took place at Comiskey Park and was the opener of a doubleheader. The Sox won the second game, 4-3.
1940 It was a wild ninth inning punctuated by a franchise first.
The White Sox came up with a seven-run final frame to put away the Tigers, 12-7, in a game in Detroit. The highlight of the rally was a pinch-hit grand slam off the bat of Taffy Wright.
It was the first time the Sox had ever recorded a pinch-hit grand slam.
Wright was batting for Eric McNair when he sent a Lynn Nelson pitch over the fence scoring Joe Kuhel, Moose Solters and Larry Rosenthal ahead of him.
For the year Wright would only hit five home runs!
1973 In a 15-1 thrashing of Texas in the opener of a doubleheader Tony Muser tied a franchise record with five walks. The first baseman scored four times and added a single, meaning he reached base safely in all six of his trips to the plate from the 2-spot in the batting order.
As is the case often in such blowouts, the White Sox struggled to score in the nightcap, losing, 2-1. Muser did his part, however, going 2-for-4 with a double that gave him a 3-for-5 twinbill that saw him get on base eight times in 10 PAs.
Muser joined Dick Allen, who was walked five times in a game nearly a year earlier, along with Sammy Strang, Minnie Miñoso, Frank Thomas and Jim Thome in franchise annals.
1976 It was the first morning start for a game in the history of Comiskey Park, as the White Sox hosted Texas with the first pitch delivered at 10:30 a.m. The Sox didn’t care much for the novelty, as they lost, 3-0, to Nellie Briles, getting only three hits.
The White Sox would play another morning game the following season, in connection with McDonalds Egg McMuffin sandwiches, and hammer Cleveland, 18-2.
1984 The frequency of rooftop home runs dramatically increased after home plate was forward up eight feet after the 1982 season, and in no game was that as evident as in this 9-5 win over the Tigers.
In the fifth inning, Greg Luzinski sent a ball onto the roof in left field, the three-run blast off of Jack Morris extending the White Sox lead to 8-3. It was Bull’s fourth and final career rooftop home run.
The very next inning, Detroit’s Ruppert Jones trimmed the lead by one with a leadoff blast onto the right-field roof off of Tom Seaver.
It was one of only two Comiskey Park games with two rooftop homers, and also represented roof shots in back-to-back games for the White Sox, as Ron Kittle had put one out on July 2.
This was also the only game in which two roof shots were hit off of two different future Hall-of-Famers!
1993 Former White Sox announcer and Hall of Fame pitcher Don Drysdale was found dead in his hotel room in Montreal, due to a heart condition. Drysdale, then a Dodgers announcer, worked for the White Sox mostly on television from 1982-87. His broadcast partner, Ken Harrelson, broke down on air while making the announcement during a 9-6 White Sox loss to the Orioles at Comiskey Park that evening.
2012 Chris Sale earned his 10th win of the season as the White Sox ran out to a 19-0 lead and ended up crushing Texas, 19-2. That tied the franchise mark for the third-largest difference in a win, 17 runs. An Ian Kinsler error at second base helped propel Chicago to a nine-run fifth inning (seven unearned), capped by an A.J. Pierzynski three-run blast. Roy Oswalt started for the Rangers and surrendered 11 runs (nine earned) in 4 2⁄3 innings, for a game score of 1. Pierzynski, Alex Ríos, Kevin Youkilis, and Alexei Ramírez all collected three hits apiece in the game.
Also on that day, Will Ohman was released by the White Sox. The southpaw reliever was adequate in his first season out of the pen for the club (2011), but had given up six homers in just 26 2⁄3 innings and hadn’t pitched since three earned over two innings on June 27. The southpaw never pitched another game in the majors.
The New York Yankees are heavy home favorites against the Minnesota Twins tonight, but I’m not laying a taxed price during a seven-game losing streak.
Although Gerrit Cole's name still commands respect, Minnesota’s offense is hot enough to test a pitcher coming off two shaky starts. The total also points Over with Mike Paredes bringing major contact-quality risk.
Here are my Twins vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks for Friday, July 3.
Who will win Twins vs Yankees today: Twins +1.5 (-125)
I’m taking the Minnesota Twins at +1.5 and would play it down to -140.
Gerrit Cole still carries name value, but this New York Yankees team is hard to trust by margin. New York is hitting .137 during its seven-game losing streak and has been outscored 43-17 during that span.
Cole remains the better starter, but his 21.3% strikeout rate is well below peak form, while Minnesota has scored 96 runs with 25 homers over its last 16 games.
Mike Paredes is shaky (to put it kindly), but current form makes this run line playable.
COVERS INTEL: Gerrit Cole's Whiff% ranks in just the fourth percentile of baseball in 2026, which is one of the league's worst numbers among starting pitchers.
Twins vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-122)
Paredes’ contact profile is hard to trust against any lineup with a pulse. He has allowed a 51.8% hard-hit rate this season while striking out only 11.8% of batters.
The Yankees are ice cold, but this is the right matchup to create traffic and end the drought. While the Twins will hang around, it won't come without simultaneously giving up runs.
Playable to 10 O/U.
Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 33-30, +5.60 units
Over/Under bets: 39-26, +17.62 units
Twins vs Yankees weather
Expect extreme heat conditions at Yankee Stadium, with temperatures hovering around 95F at game time. We could see the ball flying in the Bronx tonight.
Twins vs Yankees odds
Moneyline: Twins +158 | Yankees -186
Run line: Twins +1.5 (-125) | Yankees -1.5 (+105)
Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-122) | Under 9.5 (+100)
Twins vs Yankees trend
Minnesota has hit the game total Over in 28 of its last 40 road games (+17.10 Units / 39% ROI).
How to watch Twins vs Yankees and game info
Location
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date
Friday, July 3, 2026
First pitch
7:05 p.m. ET
TV
Twins.TV, YES
Twins starting pitcher
Mike Paredes (0-1, 4.26 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher
Gerrit Cole (2-3, 4.06 ERA)
Twins vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.