Pistons vs Magic Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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The Detroit Pistons hit the road for an NBA Eastern Conference clash with the Orlando Magic.

Detroit is a huge road favorite, but my Pistons vs. Magic predictions expect Orlando to battle hard and to cover the spread tonight at Kia Center. 

Read on for my NBA picks for Sunday, March 1. 

Pistons vs Magic prediction

Pistons vs Magic best bet: Magic +5.5 (-109)

The Orlando Magic have won the last five home meetings against the Detroit Pistons and are 17–10 SU at Kia Center this season. 

Both teams rank bottom 10 in pace over their last 10 games, which means fewer possessions and fewer chances to build a large lead. 

Detroit remains elite defensively, but Orlando ranks 12th in defensive efficiency over that same span and has the size to compete inside. 

In a slower-paced game, getting five points at home carries real weight, and I am in on the Magic covering the still-inflated spread.  

Pistons vs Magic same-game parlay

Desmond Bane is averaging nearly 29 points per game over his last five outings. With Franz Wagener out, expect the versatile-scoring Bane to once again take the offensive lead and clear his prop.

Cade Cunningham has dished 56 assists in his past five games. The slower pace and the Magic defense will thwart any chance of him dropping 11 or more dimes tonight. 

Pistons vs Magic SGP

  • Magic +5.5
  • Bane Over 19.5 points
  • Cunningham Under 10.5 assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: A magical Under

Tonight’s matchup projects as a slow, physical grind. Both defenses have been effective, and with each team ranking in the bottom 10 in pace over the last 10 games, possessions should be limited. 

In a half-court battle where clean looks are harder to find, scoring opportunities will be at a premium. That sets up well for the Under to be part of the card.

Pistons vs Magic SGP

  • Magic +5.5
  • Bane Over 19.5 points
  • Cunningham Under 10.5 assists
  • Under 221.5

Pistons vs Magic odds

  • Spread: Pistons -6.5 | Magic +5.5
  • Moneyline: Pistons -240 | Magic +195
  • Over/Under: Over 220.5 | Under 220.5

Pistons vs Magic betting trend to know

Orlando is 7-3 ATS across their previous 10 meetings with Detroit. Find more NBA betting trends for Pistons vs. Magic.

How to watch Pistons vs Magic

LocationKia Center, Orlando, FL
DateSunday, March 1, 2026
Tip-off6:00 p.m. ET
TVFDSN Detroit, FDSN Florida

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AC Milan needs 2 late goals for a 2-0 win at Cremonese in Serie A

ROME (AP) — AC Milan needed two late goals to secure a 2-0 win at Cremonese in Serie A on Sunday and bounce back from its second loss of the season.

Strahinja Pavlovic scored in the 90th and Rafael Leão added another five minutes into stoppage time for Milan, which had wasted a series of chances earlier on.

Second-place Milan moved back within 10 points of Italian league leader Inter Milan entering next weekend’s derby.

Milan’s only losses this season came against Cremonese in its opener in August and at home against Parma last weekend.

Pavlovic’s goal came following a corner, and a VAR review that confirmed the ball went in off his shoulder instead of his arm.

Then Leão finished off a counterattack.

Later, fourth-place Roma was hosting sixth-place Juventus in a key matchup for the Champions League places.

___

AP soccer: https://apnews.com/hub/soccer

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NBA Game

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The Minnesota Timberwolves look to complete a perfect three-game road trip in Denver – but they’ll have to do it against a team seeking a 4-game series sweep against them this season.
 
Offense won’t be a problem in this one, so my Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction and top NBA picks are targeting the Over Sunday, March 1. 

Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction

Timberwolves vs Nuggets best bet: Over 237.5 (-110)

The Denver Nuggets enter this one as the NBA’s highest-scoring team, putting up 120.5 points per game, and they’ll be a little surly after getting dumped by the OKC Thunder in OT last time out.
 
The Minnesota Timberwolves — the fifth-highest scoring team in the league — haven’t played since dumping the Clippers on Thursday, giving them a few days off to prepare for that mile-high altitude.
 
These teams have cashed the Over in three of the last four games they’ve played each other. 
 
The Nuggets have hit the Over in four of their last five, while the T-Wolves have topped it in four of six.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets same-game parlay

Anthony Edwards is averaging 33.3 points in four games out of the all-star break, cracking the 30-point plateau three times. He’s also averaging 35 points in two meetings against the Nuggets this year.
 
Nikola Jokic has been a stat stuffer, and his work on the glass is getting plus odds Sunday. The line is a hefty 13.5 rebounds, a number he’s topped eight times in his last 10 games.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets SGP

  • Over 237.5 points
  • Edwards Over 29.5 points
  • Jokic Over 13.5 rebounds

Our "from downtown" SGP: No joking around

Let’s stick with the Nuggets’ big man to round out the SGP. He’s the team leader in assists at 10.5 per game, and he’s doled out at least 11 four of the last seven against Minny, missing the Over by a single assist in two other contests.
 
Jokic has gone for 29+ points in three of his last four, and has topped this total in six of his last 10 against the T-Wolves.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets SGP

  • Over 237.5 points
  • Edwards Over 29.5 points
  • Jokic Over 13.5 rebounds
  • Jokic Over 10.5 assists
  • Jokic Over 28.5 points

Timberwolves vs Nuggets odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves +3 | Nuggets -3
  • Moneyline: Timberwolves +125 | Nuggets -150
  • Over/Under: Over 237.5 | Under 237.5

Timberwolves vs Nuggets betting trend to know

Minnesota is 0-4-0 ATS in its last four games, all as the betting favorite. Find more NBA betting trends for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets.

How to watch Timberwolves vs Nuggets

LocationBall Arena, Denver, CO
DateSunday, March 1, 2026
Tip-off3:30 p.m. ET
TVABC

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Spurs vs Knicks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s NBA Game

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Conference heavyweights collide on Sunday afternoon as the New York Knicks host the San Antonio Spurs at Madison Square Garden.

San Antonio has won 11 straight, but my Spurs vs Knicks predictions expect the home team to snap that win streak behind a strong performance from Jalen Brunson.

Here are my best free NBA picks for this powerhouse showdown on Sunday, March 1.

Spurs vs Knicks prediction

Spurs vs Knicks best bet: Knicks moneyline (+100)

The San Antonio Spurs’ 11-game, fool’s gold win streak will be snapped today as they face their toughest matchup of the last month. San Antonio delivered a big win over the Detroit Pistons, but otherwise, their recent wins have come against shorthanded squads and lottery-bound teams. 

The New York Knicks are healthy aside from Miles McBride’s absence, and they get home-court advantage after three games on the road.

The Knicks are 22-8 straight up and a league-best 19-11 ATS at home. New York has won and covered in its only game as the home underdog.

Spurs vs Knicks same-game parlay

The San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks hit the Over in both head-to-head matchups this season, and with both squads mostly healthy, I expect plenty of points once again. The Spurs have hit the Over in seven of their last 10 games overall, and the team is 9-8 to the Over as the road favorite.

Jalen Brunson has averaged 27.8 points per game at home, and he's scored 27+ in 14 of 28 at Madison Square Garden. He's scored 20, 33, 40, and 42 in his last four home games, and he delivered a 29-point performance in his last matchup with the Spurs. He'll have no issues clearing this scoring line in a primetime matchup at home.

Spurs vs Knicks SGP

  • Knicks moneyline
  • Over 227.5
  • Brunson Over 26.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Knicks come up big

Mitchell Robinson has grabbed 8+ rebounds in 25 of 43 games overall, including 13 of 23 at home. He's corralled 9.1 boards per game at MSG, and he should see additional run in this one to counter the size of Victor Wembanyama and Luke Kornet.

Spurs vs Knicks SGP

  • Knicks moneyline
  • Over 227.5
  • Brunson Over 26.5 points
  • Robinson Over 7.5 rebounds

Spurs vs Knicks odds

  • Spread: Spurs -1.5 | Knicks +1.5
  • Moneyline: Spurs -120 | Knicks +100
  • Over/Under: Over 227.5 | Under 227.5

Spurs vs Knicks betting trend to know

The New York Knicks have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Knicks.

How to watch Spurs vs Knicks

LocationMadison Square Garden, New York, NY
DateSunday, March 1, 2026
Tip-off1:00 p.m. ET
TVABC

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Best NBA Player Props Today for March 1: A Dime a Dozen

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The NBA offers a robust 11-game Sunday slate, with exciting NBA matchups to target throughout the day.

I’ve scoured the NBA odds board and found three solid NBA player assist props that would make Jon Metler proud. 

Read on for my NBA picks for Sunday, March 1.

Best NBA player props today

PlayerPickbet365
Hornets Julian StrawtherOver 1.5 assists+102
Hornets Taylor HendricksOver 1.5 assists+180
Hornets Lu DortOver 1.5 assists+140

Prop #1: Julian Strawther Over 1.5 assists

+102 at bet365

Denver Nuggets guard Julian Strawther offers value on his plus-money assist prop when he and the Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves. 

Strawther recorded two assists in limited minutes against Oklahoma City and has finished with at least two assists in seven of his 11 February games. 

With a high game total and an up-tempo projected pace, extra possessions should create more secondary playmaking chances that I expect Strawther to take full advantage of. 

  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABC

Prop #2: Taylor Hendricks Over 1.5 assists

+180 at bet365

Taylor Hendricks has made an immediate impact since joining the Memphis Grizzlies. 

The former UCF standout is averaging more than 25 minutes per game and contributing across the stat sheet, including at least two assists in six of his last eight outings. 

Memphis prefers to push the pace, and the Indiana Pacers play even faster, which should increase possession volume. In a fast-paced matchup with expanded minutes, Hendricks should clear his modest assist total.

  • Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network Indiana, FanDuel Sports Network 

Prop #3: Luguentz Dort Over 1.5 assists

+140 at bet365

We’ll close the night in Dallas with Luguentz Dort at plus money on his assist prop. 

Dort consistently logs 25+ minutes and has quietly become a capable secondary playmaker. He is surrounded by high-efficiency scorers, and the Oklahoma City Thunder face a Dallas Mavericks defense allowing 30 assists per game over its last 10 contests. 

Dallas also plays at an above-average pace, increasing the amount of game possessions. With opportunity and matchup aligned, Dort offers strong value to clear his assist total for the fifth time in six games.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FanDuel Sports Network, Oklahoma KFAA-TV

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Tyus Jones Waived By Dallas

DALLAS, TEXAS - FEBRUARY 27: Tyus Jones #1 of the Dallas Mavericks is defended by Cam Spencer #24 of the Memphis Grizzlies during the fourth quarter at American Airlines Center on February 27, 2026 in Dallas, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In what was apparently a joint decision, the Dallas Mavericks have waived former Duke point guard Tyus Jones.

For the Mavericks, it opens up a path to sign rookie Ryan Nembhard. The Gonzaga product was on a two-way and has exceeded expectations.

As for Jones, he would like to be on a playoff team. If things go well, he’ll end up on a solid team with reasonable postseason prospects. He’s a very reliable point guard and was a superb backup earlier in his career.

He’s been in the NBA for 11 years now and at some point, everyone ages out. When he does, he’s someone who you’d think would have a future in coaching. His basketball IQ is off the charts.

Can the Suns’ bounce back after a rough February?

SAN ANTONIO, TX - FEBRUARY 19: Devin Booker #1 of the Phoenix Suns passes the ball during the game against the San Antonio Spurs on February 19, 2026 at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photos by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

It was a rocky February for the Phoenix Suns. Going 4-7 in February, the team had their worst month of the season, with their most losses in a month all year. They never lost more than two games in a row, but lost two-straight three different times. With a win against the Los Angeles Lakers during their last game of February, the team has kept itself in solid shape to be a top-six seed.

With their second and final six-game road trip of the season, Phoenix will be spending a lot of time away from the Mortgage Matchup Center in March, but look to have an easier schedule than they did in February.

Here’s a look at the team’s schedule for the next month:


Staying Out West

  • Tuesday, March 3rd @ Sacramento Kings (On NBC/Peacock)
  • Thursday, March 5th vs Chicago Bulls
  • Friday, March 6th vs New Orleans Pelicans
  • Sunday, March 8th vs Charlotte Hornets (On Peacock)

Phoenix will stay mostly at home to start March. Before they play three-straight in Phoenix, they’ll finish up their season series against the Sacramento Kings, whom they’ve beaten three times already. According to reports, Devin Booker could be back for the contest.

The Suns will get their first looks at the Bulls and Hornets. After a strong start, Chicago has simmered down and is looking towards getting a high lottery pick in this upcoming draft, while Charlotte has been one of the most surprising teams of the season. Rookie Kon Kneuppel is putting up historic numbers for a first-year player.

The last time the Suns and Pelicans played in Phoenix, Grayson Allen had a career game, scoring 42 and hitting a franchise 10-threes.

A Mostly Midwest Road Trip

  • Tuesday, March 10th @ Milwaukee Bucks
  • Thursday, March 12th @ Indiana Pacers
  • Friday, March 13th @ Toronto Raptors
  • Monday, March 16th @ Boston Celtics
  • Tuesday, March 17th @ Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Thursday, March 19th @ San Antonio Spurs

Phoenix’s six-game road trip is its second and final six-game road trip of the season. During the first one, the Suns went 3-3. They’ll get their first look at Toronto and Milwaukee, but all other opponents will be their final time playing them this year.

Milwaukee and Indiana look to be the easiest games, and the schedule looks to get tougher as the trip goes on. Phoenix struggled mightily against the Celtics earlier this week, scoring just 81 points, and the Spurs beat them 121-94 last week.

Look for Jordan Goodwin and Haywood Highsmith to return from injury around this time. Highsmith has not played yet for the Suns as he’s been recovering from meniscus surgery, while Goodwin has been sidelined for about a week now with a calf strain.

Phoenix has already won the season series with Minnesota, but another win against them could prove to be huge for the end of season standings, with the teams a few games apart.

Returning Home

  • Saturday, March 21 vs Milwaukee Bucks(NBA TV)
  • Sunday, March 22nd vs Toronto Raptors
  • Tuesday, March 24th vs Denver Nuggets(NBC Peacock)
  • Saturday, March 28th vs Utah Jazz(NBA TV)
  • Monday, March 30th @ Memphis Grizzlies
  • Tuesday, March 31st @ Orlando Magic

After a long road trip, the Suns will end the month with four of six games at home, all finishing up their season series against their opponents. Less than two weeks after playing the Bucks and Raptors on the road, Phoenix will host them, including in a matchup that will be nationally televised on NBA TV against Milwaukee.

Phoenix’s matchup against Denver will be its last chance to beat the Nuggets this season. In their two games against each other, Denver dominated Phoenix. The two could very well end up playing against each other in the first round of the playoffs.

When the Suns head east to end the month, it will be the start of a four-game road trip for some of their final road games of the season.

Expect an update on Dillon Brooks and his left hand around this time. The timeline was 4-6 weeks, and these games are around the middle of the timeline.


Definitely a busy schedule. 16 games in 31 days. But it is a manageable one for the Phoenix in March, with opportunities to play new opponents, get revenge on some, and finish some season series.

Of the 136 votes cast last month to predict the Suns’ record, only one voter selected the correct answer of 4-7. 16 games in March. Where do the Suns land?

Sam Kerr's header helps Australia edge Philippines in the Women’s Asian Cup opener

PERTH, Australia (AP) — The scene was set for a hometown star and Sam Kerr delivered for Australia — again — with the only goal in a 1-0 win over Philippines in the Women’s Asian Cup tournament opener on Sunday.

The Chelsea striker scored with a header from the edge of the box in the 14th minute following a cross from Clare Wheeler on the right and a header back across goal from Caitlin Foord.

It was the 32-year-old Kerr's 70th goal for Australia and a welcome return from a long-term knee injury that has prevented her from playing for the Matildas since the 2023 World Cup.

The crowd of 44,379 was a record for the tournament and something of a tribute to Kerr, who was raised in Perth.

The Australians went into the tournament hoping to relive the atmosphere generated during the Women's World Cup on home soil almost three years ago, when the Matildas shattered audience records on the way to the semifinals.

It wasn't all one-way, though. Australia had 85% of possession, had 15 shots on goal and completed 674 passes to 118 for Philippines, but wasn't able to break down the defense.

Hayley Raso appeared to give Australia a 2-0 lead when she found the back of the net on the half-hour but it was disallowed for offside following a VAR review.

Goalkeeper Olivia McDaniel was heavily involved for Philippines, helping limit the margin against the team considered a strong favorite to top a group also containing 2022 runner-up South Korea and Iran.

Kerr played the full game and Australia also had a positive return from Mary Fowler, who went on in the 68th minute in a long-awaited return from injury for the Matildas.

“I think I’m just finding my confidence again,” Kerr said in a post-game TV interview. "I guess that’s for other people to judge, but I feel like I’m still my normal self.

“I’ve just got to get more touches in, around the box.”

Australia hasn't won the continental title since 2010, losing the finals to Japan in 2014 and ‘18 and eliminated in the semifinals four years ago. This is Kerr’s fifth Asian Cup campaign and she's determined to win it again.

“Today was a good start and there’s lots of belief within the team,” Kerr said. “But, as you see today, there’s a lot of quality teams in the Asian Cup.”

Iran's involvement

Iran opens Monday against South Korea. At a scheduled pregame news conference Sunday on the Gold Coast in Queensland state, Iran head coach Marziyeh Jafari declined to comment on the military strikes or death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

“I don’t think we should talk about these matters at all right now,” Jafari said in comments translated to English. “There’s a team here for a very important competition that matters to these women and I think those should be the questions.”

Iran captain Zahra Ghanbari said her squad was in Australia with the target of qualifying for next year’s Women’s World Cup in Brazil.

“The mindset of all our players and our team is that, God willing, we can get out of our group," she said. "Our entire focus is on getting to the World Cup and achieving great success there.”

___

AP soccer: https://apnews.com/hub/soccer

Italian skier Sofia Goggia wins super-G to regain commanding lead in World Cup discipline standings

SOLDEU, Andorra (AP) — Sofia Goggia won her second super-G of the season Sunday and regained a commanding lead in the race to the World Cup discipline title.

The Olympic downhill bronze medallist extended her advantage in the super-G standings to 84 points over Alice Robinson of New Zealand and 116 over Emma Aicher of Germany in third, with two events left.

A race win is worth 100 points.

“I'm still not thinking about it,” said Goggia, who bounced back in impressive style, a day after the Italian had her lead reduced to just 20 points following a sixth-place finish in another super-G.

“I’m really thinking day by day, race by race. It was a solid run today, I got back the points I lost yesterday," she added.

With a trademark gutsy run, Goggia beat Saturday’s winner Aicher by 0.24 seconds and third-placed Kajsa Vickhoff Lie of Norway by 0.31.

Robinson finished 0.94 seconds behind in seventh.

“It was a really similar race to yesterday. But we decided to adopt a different strategy to get into the central pitch, and it paid off,” Goggia said.

Goggia and Robinson set up their duel for the super-G title early in the season when they won the first two races, but neither added another win until the Italian's victory Sunday.

Goggia now has nine career wins in super-G but is chasing her first season title in the discipline, having won the crystal globe in downhill four times, most recently in 2023.

“I still haven’t won in downhill yet (this season), and this is maybe a bit strange for everyone, because I have been doing so many podiums in downhill in my career,” said Goggia, who was the 2018 Olympic downhill champion.

“I have a really solid feeling with the super-G, so I’m happy with it. Now it’s important to stay really focused for the next ones in which we play for everything.”

Olympic super-G champion Federica Brignone came nearly a second behind her Italian teammate in eighth, improving from her 15th-place finish in Saturday’s race when she was more than two seconds off the pace.

Brignone returned from a broken left leg just before the Milan Cortina Games and then won gold in super-G and giant slalom.

Mary Bocock earned her career-best result leading the U.S. ski team in 11th, one position ahead of her teammate Keely Cashman.

Olympic downhill champion Breezy Johnson was nearly three seconds off the pace in 30th.

Aicher’s seventh podium result of the season saw the German close in on second-ranked Camille Rast in the overall standings. The Swiss skier has 963 points while Aicher is on 914.

Mikaela Shiffrin leads with 1,133 points as the American aims for her sixth overall title. She hasn’t competed in speed races this season except for one super-G start last December.

Shiffrin is expected back in action for a GS and slalom in Sweden on March 14-15.

The World Cup continues with two downhills and a super-G in Italy next weekend.

___

AP skiing: https://apnews.com/hub/alpine-skiing

Wizards Can’t Outshoot Their Laughable Defense in Loss to Raptors

WASHINGTON, DC -  FEBRUARY 28: Bilal Coulibaly #0 of the Washington Wizards drives to the basket during the game against the Toronto Raptors on February 28, 2026 at Capital One Arena in Washington, DC. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Stephen Gosling/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

The Wizards keep doing the improbable this season. Last night, for example, they shot 47.1% from three, were +15 on the scoreboard from deep (16 made threes to Toronto’s 9), and lost by nine. Once again, it wasn’t that close.

Bright side: the Wizards need to keep on losing, and at least they made the Raptors work for the victory.

Kyshawn George dunks in the Wizards loss to the Toronto Raptors. | Getty Images

The Wizards were committed to securing the important loss. Kyshawn George and Bilal Coulibaly — both of whom played pretty well — sat for the entire fourth quarter. No one played particularly badly. The least productive was Tre Johnson, though I thought he was okay. If he’d played his usual full set of minutes, I suspect he’d have picked up a few assists, and the impact of the turnovers would have moderated.

This is not to say the Wizards played well. Their defense was a joke (and not a funny one, except perhaps to the Raptors), and their offensive production seemed more a case of Toronto “not respecting the game plan,” as an assistant coach told the Toronto sideline reporter at halftime.

Here are the current standings in The 2026 NBA Race to the Bottom:

  1. Sacramento Kings | 14-47 | .230
  2. Indiana Pacers | 15-45 | .250
  3. Brooklyn Nets | 15-44 | .254
  4. Washington Wizards | 16-43 | .271
  5. New Orleans Pelicans | 18-42 | .300
  6. Utah Jazz | 18-41 | .305

It’s going to be a tight race.

Thoughts & Observations

  • The Wizards were awful defensively, but Tristan Vukcevic had one defensive possession in the first quarter I thought was excellent. Brandon Ingram drove from the wing, and Vukcevic made a great rotation, got there early and forced a kickout pass. Naturally, the Raptors scored on the play anyway, but hey…that rotation!
  • Another nice defensive moment: Toronto secured the ball off a Wizards miss and made a good outlet pass that seemed to set up a transition opportunity. Sharife Cooper picked up the ball handler and forced him to turn, shutting down the fast break and turning it into a halfcourt possession. Naturally, the Raptors scored on the possession.
  • #SoWizards moment on Washington’s first offensive possession: Coulibaly spotted Bub Carrington come open on a baseline cut and made an excellent pass. The problem? Carrington was just clearing the side and wasn’t looking. The pass sailed out of bounds.
  • #SoWizards defensive moment: Washington had four players involved in defending a two-man pick-and-roll. Somehow, the play ended in an easy layup AND an and-one for roll man Sandro Mamukelashvili.
  • Tidbit from the Toronto broadcast: Washington’s loss to Atlanta was their ninth of the season by 30 or more points. That’s the most in the NBA this season, and the most in Washington’s franchise history.
  • For some reason, the Wizards started the second half once again by running a postup for Carrington. Once again, it failed. I guess maybe they think this is some kind of player development thing. Maybe? I don’t really see the point — Carrington plays small, doesn’t play with the toughness and physicality to be successful on this sort of play.
  • If you want to see a well-run fastbreak, check out the Toronto possession that ended at 5:36 of the third quarter. Immanuel Quickley pushed to the middle, forced defenders to commit, and hit a trailer for a dunk. Excellent bsasketball.
  • Toronto burned a few possessions late that (barely) got their offensive rating below 140 for the game. Their 139 offensive rating is the best against the Wizards this season — topping the 133 posted by…the Toronto Raptors the day after Christmas.

Four Factors

Below are the four factors that decide wins and losses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).

The four factors are measured by:

  • eFG% (effective field goal percentage, which accounts for the three-point shot)
  • OREB% (offensive rebound percentage)
  • TOV% (turnover percentage — turnovers divided by possessions)
  • FTM/FGA (free throws made divided by field goal attempts)
FOUR FACTORSRAPTORSWIZARDSLGAVG
eFG%65.3%62.5%54.3%
OREB%25.8%30.8%26.1%
TOV%9.3%13.5%12.8%
FTM/FGA0.2710.1700.207
PACE9699.5
ORTG139130115.4

Stats & Metrics

PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).

PPA is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small sample sizes, the numbers can get weird. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45. For a single game, replacement level isn’t much use, and I reiterate the caution about small samples sometimes producing weird results.

POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.

ORTG = offensive rating, which is points produced per individual possessions x 100. League average so far this season is listed in the Four Factors table above. Points produced is not the same as points scored. It includes the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing credit when receiving an assist.

USG = offensive usage rate. Average is 20%. Median so far this season is 17.7%.

ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by former Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and modified by me. ORTG is an efficiency measure that accounts for the value of shooting, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.

+PTS = “Plus Points” is a measure of the points gained or lost by each player based on their efficiency in this game compared to league average efficiency on the same number of possessions. A player with an offensive rating (points produced per possession x 100) of 100 who uses 20 possessions would produce 20 points. If the league average efficiency is 115, the league — on average — would produced 23.0 points in the same 20 possessions. So, the player in this hypothetical would have a +PTS score of -3.0.

Players are sorted by total production in the game.

WIZARDSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+/-
Kyshawn George153016024.5%3.32432
Bilal Coulibaly234612426.1%1.0150-4
Justin Champagnie224313522.7%1.9149-13
Tristan Vukcevic193717920.0%4.81653
Bub Carrington214213323.9%1.7136-4
Jamir Watkins21431869.9%3.01250
Will Riley356912820.9%1.874-16
Sharife Cooper183612113.0%0.2794
Jaden Hardy204012318.2%0.646-5
Anthony Gill28579319.1%-2.48-5
Tre Johnson19399319.9%-1.7-12-7
RAPTORSMINPOSSORTGUSG+PTSPPA+/-
Immanuel Quickley377516623.4%8.92237
Jakob Poeltl265318519.2%7.023418
Brandon Ingram346813824.6%3.715411
Scottie Barnes295913124.1%2.31303
RJ Barrett336612224.6%1.110112
Jamison Battle17341609.8%1.589-11
Ja’Kobe Walter24481379.0%0.9580
Sandro Mamukdlashvili163111317.6%-0.1663
Jamal Shead22448918.3%-2.1209
Trayce Jackson-Davis350.0%0.00-7

Fantasy Basketball Week 19 Schedule Primer: Will Darius Garland make his Clippers debut?

With the calendar flipping to March, even more fantasy managers have to plan for their leagues' playoff weeks. While some teams are competing for draft lottery odds, most are fighting for playoff positioning, leaving a lot to figure out regarding player availability. One of those players is Clippers point guard Darius Garland, who has yet to make his debut for the team due to a toe injury suffered while with the Cavaliers.

According to Law Murray of The Athletic, Garland could make his debut on Monday, the first of four games the Clippers play during Week 19. If he can play, how much time will Garland receive? And what will his availability for the week, which concludes with a back-to-back, look like? Garland certainly isn't the only player with injury questions going into Week 19, but he could potentially affect fantasy basketball in a major way during the playoff weeks. Let's look at the Week 19 schedule and some of its key storylines.

Week 19 Games Played

4 Games: BOS, CHA, DAL, DET, HOU, LAC, LAL, MIA, MIL, NOR, NYK, ORL, PHX, SAS, UTA, WAS

3 Games: BKN, CHI, DEN, GSW, IND, MEM, MIN, OKC, PHI, POR, SAC, TOR

2 Games: ATL, CLE

Week 19 Back-to-backs

Sunday (Week 18)-Monday: BOS, DEN, LAC, MIL

Monday-Tuesday: WAS

Tuesday-Wednesday: CHA, MEM, NYK, OKC, PHI

Wednesday-Thursday: UTA

Thursday-Friday: DAL, DEN, HOU, LAL, MIA, NOR, PHX, SAS

Friday-Saturday: LAC

Saturday-Sunday: DET, MIL, ORL

Sunday-Monday (Week 20): CLE, NYK

Week 19 Storylines of Note

- Avoid fringe Hawks and Cavaliers, as they have two-game schedules.

Atlanta and Cleveland are the teams to avoid for managers competing in leagues that lock lineups for the week on Monday, as they'll only play two games. However, while the Hawks play their games on two of the lighter days, Wednesday and Saturday, the Cavaliers' games are on the busiest days of Week 19, Tuesday and Sunday. The question for Cleveland: Will the four-day break in between games be enough to get some of their key players back on the court?

James Harden (thumb) and Donovan Mitchell (groin) have missed Cleveland's last two games, while Dean Wade (ankle) was held out of Friday's loss to the Pistons. Atlanta's most significant injury concern is star forward Jalen Johnson (hip), who at the time of publishing was considered questionable for the team's final game of Week 18.

- Denver has a bad schedule to end the week, as they're off Saturday and Sunday.

Not only are the Nuggets limited to three games during Week 19, but their schedule concludes with a back-to-back on Thursday and Friday against the Lakers and Knicks. While this won't be an issue for Nikola Jokić or Jamal Murray, fantasy managers relying on some of Denver's players who aren't elite options will have decisions to make for the weekend.

Many managers have held onto Cameron Johnson and Christian Braun despite their underwhelming fantasy value, but does that stand with the fantasy playoffs in many leagues on the horizon? Also worth watching are Aaron Gordon (hamstring) and Peyton Watson (hamstring), who should be up for re-evaluation soon.

- Indiana and Portland won't play their first games of Week 19 until Wednesday.

The Pacers and Trail Blazers have three-game weeks, and they'll play on Wednesday, Friday and Sunday. However, the two teams are in vastly different positions going into Week 19. While the Trail Blazers are fighting for postseason positioning in the West, the Pacers are headed for the draft lottery while also needing to avoid losing their pick (it's protected from 1-4 and 10-30; the Clippers get the pick if it falls between 5 and 9).

Obi Toppin made his return from foot surgery during Week 18 but only played eight minutes in his first game back. Even without a back-to-back, how much will he play during Week 19, and is he even worth the risk in most fantasy leagues? There are also availability concerns for Andrew Nembhard (back), Aaron Nesmith (ankle) and T.J. McConnell (hamstring), and not much reason for any of them to log heavy minutes.

As for Portland, Deni Avdija (back) has missed the last three games, and it could be four going into Week 19 as the Trail Blazers play Atlanta on the final day of Week 18. With Shaedon Sharpe (calf, fibula) also out, Scoot Henderson and Kris Murray have moved into the starting lineup recently. Neither has done enough to be worth the risk in most leagues, but who's to say that can't change during Week 19?

- Detroit and Houston are among the teams with the best schedules to finish Week 19.

Nine teams, including the Pistons and Rockets, play three games over the final four days of Week 19. Also on that list are teams like the Lakers, Pelicans and Spurs, with New Orleans being an interesting team due to its' road back-to-back against San Antonio and Phoenix on Thursday and Friday. Dejounte Murray (Achilles) is someone who's a prime target for an injury management game; would that result in Derik Queen moving back into the starting lineup, or will Jeremiah Fears receive the nod? The former has struggled mightily recently, especially defensively, which factored into DeAndre Jordan moving into the starting lineup.

- The Nuggets, Clippers, Knicks and Bucks have two back-to-backs to navigate.

For the Nuggets, Clippers and Bucks, their first back-to-back will begin with the final game day of Week 18. The Clippers are still awaiting the returns of Kawhi Leonard (ankle) and John Collins (head, neck), leaving Tyronn Lue's team short on offensive options. Garland may be able to make his Clippers' debut during Week 19, which would give the team a much-needed boost. Bennedict Mathurin, who's already rostered in most leagues, is well-positioned to step up if Leonard remains sidelined.

The question for Milwaukee is simple: when will Giannis Antetokounmpo be able to return from his strained calf? Obviously, his availability has a significant impact on the Bucks' rotation and fantasy basketball. New York's availability question mark for their back-to-backs is which games will Mitchell Robinson be available for? However, the injury management done throughout the season has made him a non-factor in most fantasy leagues.

Jayson Tatum, Not the 40/20 Rule, Will Decide the Celtics’ Championship Fate

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - FEBRUARY 22: Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics looks on during the second half of their game against the Los Angeles Lakers at Crypto.com Arena on February 22, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Luiza Moraes/Getty Images) | Getty Images

After the Boston Celtics’ recent loss to the Denver Nuggets, this year’s Celtics team no longer qualifies for Phil Jackson’s benchmark for true championship contenders. According to Jackson, hitting the magical mark of securing 40 wins before 20 losses ensures you are among the league’s elite. The 2025-2026 Celtics are 39-20 after their win against the Brooklyn Nets, so the question becomes: does missing Jackson’s mythical contender benchmark signal the end of the Celtics’ championship hopes?

The 40/20 rule has held up remarkably well over the years. Since the NBA added the three-point line in the 1979-80 season, only four teams have won an NBA championship without meeting this benchmark. We will examine if there was anything special or unique about those teams a bit later.

I’m not afraid to admit that I don’t believe there is anything magical or especially insightful about the rule Jackson came up with. Having a record of 40/19 or better means that a team is on pace for at least 56 wins. NBA teams that win at least 55 games are incredibly good. It’s essentially another way of saying that unless a team is a top-3 seed, they are incredibly unlikely to win a championship. A top-3 seed has won 77 of the last 79 NBA championships. That’s not because the top-3 seeds are given special powers; it’s because the best teams are almost always top-3 seeds. The same goes for winning 40 games before 19 losses. 

Next, it’s time to address the ridiculous flaw in thinking that winning 40 games before 20 losses is any different from winning 40 games before 21 losses. Logically there is no difference between winning 39 games before 19 losses, or winning 41 games before 22 losses. A one or two game difference in a 60-game sample does not, or at least should not, spell the end of a team’s season. That’s the logical, rational argument when discussing the 40/20 rule. On the other hand, there are those who believe in the Basketball Gods, and reaching 40/20 is a rock-solid prerequisite for winning the title. 

I like to think of myself as Basketball God agnostic. I believe in a higher power; for example, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown needed to experience Steph Curry levitating to a higher plane in the 2022 NBA Finals to unlock more powerful versions of themselves. But I can’t believe something as small as a single win or loss in February determines who wins the NBA championship.

There have been plenty of teams that have missed the 40/20 mark and made it to the NBA Finals. In fact, all four past NBA Finals losers have failed to reach 40 wins before 20 losses. The ’25 Indiana Pacers, the ’24 Dallas Mavericks, the ’23 Miami Heat, and the ’22 Boston Celtics. There are countless more examples over the past 45 years. Drilling down to these recent examples, did these teams lose because of a mystical 40/20 rule, or because they simply weren’t good enough? The ’25 Indiana Pacers made it to Game 7 of the NBA Finals and were tied with the Oklahoma City Thunder 16-16 when Tyrese Haliburton ruptured his Achilles tendon. The Pacers, in my opinion, could have easily won that game if Haliburton had not gone down. The ’24 Dallas Mavericks never stood a chance and were a good example of a team going on a late run, and not quite being a bulletproof title contender. The ’23 Miami Heat are a good example of the Basketball Gods not being real. If they were, they would never have allowed Caleb Martin to shoot 50% from three for an entire Eastern Conference series against the Boston Celtics. That Miami Heat team is another example that supports the 40/20 rule. The ’22 Boston Celtics provide another interesting case. Another team that got hot late in the season and missed 40/20 because it didn’t build its championship profile from the start of the season. However, that Celtics team was up 2-1 in the NBA Finals, with a lead in the 4th quarter of Game 4. I firmly believe that if Robert Williams hadn’t torn his meniscus in March of that season, the Celtics would have won the title. The team was never the same after Rob’s injury. Did the Celtics lose because they didn’t hit 40/20? Or because Robert Williams’ knees couldn’t hold up? The answer is in the eye of the beholder. 

History says the best the 2025-2026 Boston Celtics can do this season is win the Eastern Conference. This feels like a good moment to take a second to appreciate the season the 2025-2026 Celtics have given their fans. Many analysts (myself included) expected the Celtics to be a sub-.500 team. Fast forward to 59 games through the regular season, and the Celtics are the second seed in the Eastern Conference, are on pace for 54 wins, and currently hold the third best point differential in the entire league. Even the most optimistic predictions did not anticipate this season. 

There have been four teams that have been exceptions to the 40/20 rule since 1980. The 95’ Houston Rockets, the 04’ Detroit Pistons, the 06’ Miami Heat, the 21’ Milwaukee Bucks. Taking a closer look at these four teams, a common thread emerges that could also apply to this year’s Celtics. The 95’ Rockets traded for Clyde Drexler at the trade deadline. The 04’ Pistons traded for Rasheed Wallace at the trade deadline. The 06’ Heat traded for Derek Anderson at the trade deadline. If you just asked yourself who Derek Anderson is, that makes sense, as he didn’t play a second in the 2006 NBA Finals. The 21’ Bucks traded for PJ Tucker at the trade deadline, who played 29.6 minutes per game for the Bucks in the playoffs on the way to the championship. Three of the four teams made significant acquisitions halfway through the season to bolster their title chances. Two of the teams traded for All-Star-level talents. If the 2025-2026 Boston Celtics get Jayson Tatum back, they will be getting back an All-Star-level talent. 

As currently constructed, I don’t believe the Boston Celtics can win a championship this season. It has nothing to do with the 40/20 rule and more to do with them not having a gear necessary to take down several high level opponents in the playoffs. While this year’s Celtics team has been objectively awesome, they have struggled against the league’s elite. The Celtics are currently 5-10 against the top 10 teams in point differential. If Jayson Tatum can return, even in a diminished form, to the player we saw in the 2025 NBA Playoffs, then winning the championship is very much on the table for this year’s Celtics team. They have already proven they are in the fringe contender range. Adding a player who can elevate every aspect of their team’s profile would thrust them into true contender status. 

Lastly — and most importantly — if Red Auerbach heard someone say the 2025–26 Celtics can’t win the title because of something Phil Jackson came up with more than a decade ago, we all know exactly what Red would say to that.

South Africa beats Zimbabwe to top Group 1 at T20 World Cup. India opts to field vs West Indies

DELHI, India (AP) — George Linde put in an all-round show as South Africa beat Zimbabwe by five wickets in their final Super 8 clash at the 2026 T20 World Cup.

All-rounder Linde – brought in for today’s game to rest Keshav Maharaj – picked up 1-22 in three overs and then scored a crucial 30 not out off 21 balls batting at No. 7 as South Africa topped Group 1 and continued its unbeaten run to the semifinals.

Dewald Brevis hit 42 off 18 balls with four sixes, while Tristan Stubbs anchored the innings home with 21 not out off 24 balls, as South Africa finished with 154-5 in 17.5 overs.

Earlier, Zimbabwe opted to bat and put up 153-7 (20 overs) thanks to skipper Sikandar Raza scoring 73 off 43 balls.

The Proteas, the 2024 runners-up, have now reached the semis after winning all three Super 8 games. They beat India, West Indies and now Zimbabwe, after finishing unbeaten in the so-called group of death — Group D — in round one, also featuring New Zealand and Afghanistan.

Zimbabwe has been eliminated with three losses after making its first appearance in round two at the T20 World Cups.

England and New Zealand qualified for the semis from Group 2, with Pakistan and co-hosts Sri Lanka eliminated.

South Africa unbeaten as Zimbabwe impresses in final game

Raza rescued his side after the top-order stumbled to leave Zimbabwe down to 28-2 in 4.3 overs. He put on 38 off 23 balls with Dion Myers, even as the Proteas struck back in the middle overs.

Linde got the breakthrough, with Myers caught for 11. Raza, though, scored 50 off 29 balls, hitting five fours and three sixes.

Lungi Ngidi and Corbin Bosch (2-40) hit the middle order to reduce Zimbabwe to 87-5 but Raza found an able partner in Clive Madande. They put on 39 off 29 balls, before Kwena Maphaka finally accounted for Raza.

Madande’s 26 not out helped Zimbabwe cross 150.

South Africa too started poorly as Raza struck twice with his off-spin bowling counterpart Aiden Markram out for four, while Quinton de Kock was out caught for a two-ball duck.

Ryan Burl held a terrific catch in the deep to dismiss Ryan Rickelton (31) who put on 29 off 18 balls with Brevis.

The crucial partnership was 50 off 25 balls for the fourth wicket – Brevis and David Miller (22) did the job again for the Proteas.

But Zimbabwe just wouldn’t relent as Raza struck a third time to remove Brevis, while Blessing Muzarabani sent back Miller as South Africa was down to 101-5 in 10.4 overs.

Stubbs-Linde resisted with an unbeaten 53 off 43 balls to see their side home with 13 balls to spare.

India wins toss, fields vs West Indies

Co-host and defending champion India takes on West Indies in Kolkata on Sunday evening to decide the other semifinalist from this group – a virtual quarterfinal in the final Super 8 game of the tournament.

India opted to field after winning the toss at the Eden Gardens.

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AP cricket: https://apnews.com/hub/cricket

A March Madness prelude: Men's basketball conference tournament schedule

Before the Madness begins, we need to crown conference champions and NCAA Tournament automatic bids are up for grabs.

Here's a list of the men's basketball conference tournament schedules:

Men's college basketball conference tournament dates, schedule

Listed by start date.

  • Horizon: March 2-10 (Indianapolis)
  • Sun Belt: March 3-9 (Pensacola, Fla.)
  • Patriot: March 3-11 (on campus)
  • OVC: March 4-7 (Evansville, Ind.)
  • ASUN: March 4-8 (Jacksonville, Fla.)
  • Big South: March 4-8 (Johnson City, Tenn.)
  • Summit: March 4-8 (Sioux Falls, SD)
  • NEC: March 4-10 (on campus)
  • MVC: March 5-8 (St. Louis)
  • MAAC: March 5-10 (Atlantic City, NJ)
  • WCC: March 5-10 (Las Vegas)
  • SoCon: March 6-9 (Asheville, NC)
  • CAA: March 6-10 (Washington DC)
  • Big Sky: March 7-11 (Boise)
  • America East: March 7-14 (on campus)
  • Mountain West: March 7-14 (Las Vegas)
  • Southland: March 8-12 (Lake Charles, La.)
  • SWAC: March 9-14 (Atlanta)
  • ACC: March 10-14 (Charlotte)
  • Big 12: March 10-14 (Kansas City)
  • Conference USA: March 10-14 (Huntsville, Ala.)
  • Big Ten: March 10-15 (Chicago)
  • Big East: March 11-14 (New York City)
  • Big West: March 11-14 (Henderson, NV)
  • MAC: March 11-14 (Cleveland)
  • MEAC: March 11-14 (Norfolk, Va.)
  • WAC: March 11-14 (Las Vegas)
  • American: March 11-15 (Birmingham)
  • Atlantic 10: March 11-15 (Pittsburgh)
  • SEC: March 11-15 (Nashville)
  • Ivy: March 14-15 (Ithaca, NY)

When is Selection Sunday 2026?

The 68-team bracket for the 2026 NCAA men’s basketball tournament will be unveiled on 6 p.m. ET, Sunday, March 15.

When does March Madness start? 

The first men’s game of the 2026 NCAA tournament will be on March 17 with the start of the First Four in Dayton, Ohio.

March Madness 2026 schedule 

The 2026 NCAA men’s basketball tournament will transpire over the next three weeks, which will end with the Final Four and the national championship game in Indianapolis.

Here’s a rundown of the schedule for the 2026 NCAA Tournament:

  • First Four: March 17-18
  • First round: March 19-20
  • Second round: March 21-22
  • Sweet 16: March 26-27
  • Elite Eight: March 28-29
  • Final Four: April 4 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis
  • National championship game: April 6 at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: NCAA men's basketball conference tournament schedule, dates, locations

Avalanche visit the Kings after Makar's 2-goal game

Colorado Avalanche (39-10-9, in the Central Division) vs. Los Angeles Kings (24-21-14, in the Pacific Division)

Los Angeles; Monday, 10:30 p.m. EST

BOTTOM LINE: The Colorado Avalanche visit the Los Angeles Kings after Cale Makar's two-goal game against the Chicago Blackhawks in the Avalanche's 3-1 win.

Los Angeles has a 24-21-14 record overall and a 9-13-7 record on its home ice. The Kings are 18-2-7 in games they score three or more goals.

Colorado is 39-10-9 overall and 17-6-5 on the road. The Avalanche have scored 220 total goals (3.8 per game) to rank first in the NHL.

The teams play Monday for the third time this season. The Avalanche won the previous meeting 5-2.

TOP PERFORMERS: Artemi Panarin has scored 19 goals with 41 assists for the Kings. Adrian Kempe has five goals and six assists over the last 10 games.

Martin Necas has 25 goals and 42 assists for the Avalanche. Nathan MacKinnon has two goals and 10 assists over the past 10 games.

LAST 10 GAMES: Kings: 4-5-1, averaging 2.3 goals, 3.9 assists, 4.2 penalties and 11.9 penalty minutes while giving up 3.4 goals per game.

Avalanche: 5-5-0, averaging three goals, 5.2 assists, 3.7 penalties and 8.2 penalty minutes while giving up 2.6 goals per game.

INJURIES: Kings: None listed.

Avalanche: None listed.

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The Associated Press created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.