The Chicago Blackhawks have some options with the 4th overall pick, but it will mostly depend on what the teams ahead of them do.
Chicago needs forwards more than they need defensemen at both the NHL level and within the pipeline, which begs the question about best player available vs organizational need.
The truth is, if Gavin McKenna, Ivar Stenberg, and Caleb Malhotra are the first three picks, that doesn't mean that the Blackhawks are forced into taking a defenseman.
If they don't think that one of Chase Reid, Keaton Verhoeff, or Carson Carels is going to be better than Artyom Levshunov or Sam Rinzel, and there is a fourth forward that they really like, they must not hesitate to take the risk.
Forwards like Viggo Bjorck, Tynan Lawrence, Ethan Belchetz, and Wyatt Cullen are projected to be NHL-caliber forwards in the future, and the Blackhawks need as many of those as they can.
If one of them is at the top of their board, even more than any of the defensemen, there is no shame in that. Kyle Davidson has to do what he feels will make the team better in the long term, even if it goes against popular opinion.
Of those forwards, Viggo Bjorck and Tynan Lawrence appear to have the highest ceiling. For Bjorck, he shone at the World Juniors and World Championships, which featured other young stars like Ivar Stenberg and Anton Frondell.
If the Blackhawks ended up with a forward like him, he has the mold of a player who could slot in on a line with his countryman Frondell. The success that they've had with Sweden on the national stage could translate to the NHL.
As for Lawrence, he had times when he was projected to be a top-three pick in the draft. His time at B.U. showed just how hard the transition to college hockey can be, and he wasn't the only one who dealt with that reality check in 2025-26.
Chicago also doesn't have to use the 4th overall pick. If those top-three forwards are gone, there is the option of trading the selection. Trading down could still land them one of the other forwards mentioned, plus another asset.
As with any other team that has selected 4th overall in the past, some decisions must be made depending on what the three teams ahead of them decide. For the Blackhawks this year, positional need could come into play.
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The Philadelphia Flyers and general manager Danny Briere got off to a blazing start to the offseason with their first trade, and the NHL draft and the start of free agency rapidly approach.
With Joseph Woll and Simon Benoit in the fold, the Flyers have already addressed a few immediate needs, and they have a number of prospects still on the way.
In a recent one-on-one with The Hockey News, I had the pleasure of picking Briere's brain, gleaning some insights into the Flyers' plans, how their prospects are coming along, and other odds and ends.
Here, we'll be covering topics like Egor Zavragin, David Jiricek, free agency, Jett Luchanko, former Flyers friends, and more.
Note that some questions and answers in this interview were edited for clarity and brevity.
Jonathan Bailey: "You have Simon Benoit now. You have talked a lot about Hunter McDonald, Ty Murchison, and those guys in the past. Do you think this changed anything for them? Benoit’s got one year on his deal, Seeler’s got a few more, but does that change anything for them now?"
Danny Briere: "You know, the way I see it is, those young guys, they both took a step forward last year. They're going to have to beat someone out of a job, like that's just the reality to make it in the NHL. You have to show that you can beat someone out of their job; that's going to be the challenge for them. So that's always the tough part, you know. Nothing is handed for free. You got to earn it.”
JB: "A few weeks ago, you re-signed Aleksei Kolosov for one year, but his goal was to play in the NHL. Now he’s the No. 3 goalie coming into the year. What's your confidence like in him, because he played pretty well last year?"
DB: "With Aleksei, two years ago, it was kind of a wasted year for him. So spending the year up as a third goalie with the Flyers, it wasn't ideal, and I think it was a little bit of a season that was lost for him last year. He had a good season, stepped back up, so we still see him as a young goalie that's still developing, but he needs more time. We feel it's a good spot for him to be in, as the No. 3. Most likely, there's going to be some injuries along the way, and sometimes he's going to have to play, he’s going to have the chance to play a few games. We don't know how many, and it's kind of the same thing that goes for McDonald and Murchison. You have to beat someone out of the job, so that's going to be the challenge for him."
JB: "Egor Zavragin is off to a new KHL team, maybe a tandem situation, but probably going to play. How optimistic does that make you now after the way this past year went?"
DB: "Yeah, I mean, it was a little disappointing to see, and there was a time where he, early in the year, had the best stats out of the group of three, and I think it almost felt like it was decided before that he was the youngest and he was going to be the one going to the VHL. So it's unfortunate, but we have no control over what they do now. There's a little bit of hope that he's going to be in the KHL the whole year and play some KHL games next year. I think it's going to be great for his development, and there's no rush, especially now knowing and seeing what we have here. We have a good group of four goalies that are under NHL contracts, and hopefully, we don't have to use all four, but we know it's there. And especially in Kolosov and Bjarnason’s cases, it's good to see them developing and playing some games. I think we're comfortable with where it's at, at the moment."
JB: "Jett Luchanko is turning pro this year. He made the team out of training camp both years he’s been here. Is that the expectation now, or do you want to leave that up to him and see where he's at?"
DB: "It’ll be up to him now. We’ll see. I mean, it's a big summer for Jett. Last year was a tough one, missed a lot of training, and he missed development camp. He came in, and he was still a little dinged up. So it's a big summer for him, but there's also no rush if we don't feel he's quite ready. We have Lehigh Valley that's down the road from here, and he's going to play a lot of minutes there, so I don't see us keeping Jett Luchanko as an extra player as a 13th or 14th forward on the team. If he doesn't fit into the top 12, he's most likely going to be in Lehigh so he can play lots of minutes and lots of responsibilities in every situation."
JB: "David Jiricek, I think he needs waivers. All things considered, pretty good in Lehigh, very productive. Where do you see him now that, especially because you have Benoit, is kind of like the insulator? If Juulsen isn’t coming back, that leaves a spot on the right for him… where do you see him right now?"
DB: “Yeah, like you said, he had a really good stint in Lehigh Valley. He proved that he's ready for the next level. For him, it's gonna be a battle for ice time. It's going to be up to him. Big summer for him. Yeah, he needs waivers. We're aware of that, and he's going to get a good look, and we hope that he's ready for it. We feel he's ready for it, but he's going to have to show it on the ice. We know the offense is there, the big shot is there, the size is there, and that's just for him to round out his game, where he becomes a player that the coaches trust every night."
JB: "Are there any players who definitely are, or definitely are not, coming back this summer?"
DB: "[Rodrigo Abols] will most likely not be back. [Luke Glendening] we still have in the mix. Yeah, there's so many moving parts still, right? We're looking at different things, we're exploring. That's our job, to explore what's out there. Look at trades, you know. Three weeks ago, I would be talking about [Emil Andrae] as a guy who has a chance to find his way into the top six, and it'll be up to him, and now today, he's out. Same thing with [Sam Ersson]. So things changed, things evolved. It's a little too early, right? I don't want to pigeonhole myself and say, ‘Oh, this guy's definitely not coming back’ yet. We're keeping the door open, but it's our duty to look at what's out there, and if there’s an improvement that we can make to help the team."
JB: “Coming into this, I had Sergei Bobrovsky and Claude Giroux written down, two of your old teammates who are now free agents.”
DB: Smiles. "Yeah, it's pretty safe to say that there's not much room for Bob. I still have the feeling that Bob will re-sign in Florida. I don't think they have a goalie signed, so, yeah, they're gonna need a goalie, at least one, maybe two. I mean, Bob's a fantastic teammate, and great work ethic. He would have been a really good example for our guys, but no, I don't know how realistic that would have been."
JB: "Giroux, I assume, the same thing? I'm thinking of Rick Tocchet talking about Luke Glendening, having that veteran right-hand center for matchups, making that connection. You never know?"
DB: "Yeah, you never know where it's at. G's had a really good stint in Ottawa. I'm sure they want to keep him there, so I'm not sure he's thinking about going anywhere else. But I think he's been invested in the Senators for a while now, and they have a pretty good team."
JB: "Nick Deslauriers, Stanley Cup champion. You guys gave him the chance to go play for a contender, got nothing back, but showed the young guys they’ll be rewarded for being good teammates and working hard. How nice is it to see him actually go do it from your perspective?"
DB: "Yeah, it was pretty cool. Nick, again, what he did for us, protecting some of our young guys the last few years, it's not an easy job, and you don't play a lot, and you sacrifice, and you do extra work. It's a really tough job to do. So, we're thankful for what he did, and I feel it was the right thing to do, to give him a chance to go somewhere and have a shot at the Cup at the time. If you remember, like, we weren't looking too, too good to have a chance to make the playoffs, so yeah, it was pretty cool to watch him lift when it happened a couple nights ago."
JB: "A bit of a personal one, but Matthew Schaefer has special place in the heart for you, and not to talk about other teams' players too much, but is there a personal sense of pride for you to see him win the Calder Trophy, and then on Good Morning America, where they brought it out to surprise him?"
DB: Smiles. "Yeah, I'm not supposed to talk about players on other teams, but there's a special connection there with the family, not just Matthew, but also his brother and his dad. So it was pretty cool to see that, and a surprise on the show. Yeah, there's a little special place for him, obviously. [New York Islanders GM] Mathieu Darche knows that as well, so it's not a secret. Very proud of him. The only thing I don't like about him is that he plays in our division. That makes it tough. But, otherwise, on most nights, I'm happy for the Schaefer family and Matthew, and he’s a special talent to watch play."
DB: "No, there's nothing still at this point that we can share. We're still in a holding pattern with him, so I don't have anything to share yet."
JB: "Is he still someone you see, like just the way he plays, his style, his traits, long-term, bottom-six, pushing for that role?
DB: “Yeah, that's what we are hoping for, believing that he can give us. He's just got to get healthy, but yeah, we love his spunk. We love the sandpaper that he brings, great personality, really well-loved, too, in the locker room. So we're just hoping that we can get him to a place where he can provide that feistiness for us every night.”
Hiller's introduction to the Maple Leafs caps an abundance of decisions with the purpose of reshaping the organization. And Raddysh joining Toronto's blueline is a big change to the team's D-core.
In other words, it's the beginning of a new era for the Maple Leafs.
The start of this new era in Toronto began last off-season when Mitch Marner departed from the Maple Leafs in that sign-and-trade with the Vegas Golden Knights. But as the year went along, there were plenty more changes on the cards, and maybe some were not anticipated at the conclusion of the 2024-25 campaign.
Here are some of those notable changes and decisions that led to this new era for the Maple Leafs organization.
Joe Bowen's Retirement
After being the voice of the Maple Leafs for over 3,800 games and over 40 years of broadcasting, Joe Bowen has just wrapped up his final year in the booth.
It won't be the same for Leafs fans with Bowen no longer behind the microphone. But the 75-year-old will be in retirement as a new era of Maple Leafs broadcasting begins, starting next season.
The Maple Leafs have been a perennial playoff team in the NHL. In fact, this past season was the first time Toronto missed the post-season in nine years.
Until last year, the Leafs have consistently made the playoffs since 2016-17. In other words, they've never missed out on the post-season in the Auston Matthews era.
That change last season when Toronto ended their campaign as the last-place team in the Atlantic Division and fifth from the bottom of the entire NHL standings.
With that, the organization finds themself in a situation that it hasn't experienced in a decade, marking a new timeline for the Leafs.
John Chayka And Mats Sundin Hiring
Following that disappointing 2025-26 campaign by the Maple Leafs, ownership believed it was time for a change in the front office.
Former GM Brad Treliving was fired in late March, and current GM John Chayka and senior executive advisor Mats Sundin were named the successors to the previous management.
It was an interesting and unpredictable decision for MLSE to hire Chayka as the GM when he hadn't been in the league since 2019-20. To add to that, they brought in Sundin, a former captain and icon of the Maple Leafs, but he never experienced a role in an NHL front office or in any league, for that matter.
This different approach and assignment of roles is something the Maple Leafs organization hasn't gone through in recent years, and certainly marks a new era for the hockey club.
2026 First Overall Pick
In the aftermath of misery from the end of a poor regular season and the initial backlash from MLSE's front office hires, Toronto's spirits were reborn when they surprisingly won the 2026 NHL draft lottery.
Toronto had the fifth-best odds and an 8.5 percent chance of winning the lottery, and with a little bit of fortune, that hope became a reality. It marks the first time the Leafs will get the first overall pick in a draft since they selected Matthews in the 2016 draft.
With the likelihood of taking left winger Gavin McKenna in this year's draft, or even left winger Ivar Stenberg, Toronto is sure to get a talented youngster to boost a franchise that was trending downward at the end of the last campaign.
Hiller was another surprise hire by the Maple Leafs, both because of the lack of reports that included his name and also his previous tenure with the Los Angeles Kings.
Nonetheless, Hiller returns to the Maple Leafs after four years as an assistant coach from 2015-16 to 2018-19. And the word is, Toronto's stars are a big fan of Hiller.
As an assistant, he ran the power play, and over the course of his Leafs tenure, he guided them to be a top-five power play. With someone like Matthews dropping in production over the years, maybe Hiller can bring the best out of him.
Additions To Blueline
The latest move Chayka has executed is a sign-and-trade with the Tampa Bay Lightning for Raddysh. They acquired him from the Bolts for a 2026 fifth-round pick, and then reportedly inked him to an eight-year extension worth $8.5 million per season.
Raddysh, a Toronto native, was one of the top players in the 2026 UFA class, making this a big grab by the Leafs and a boost to their back end.
With that, throw in the trade with the Philadelphia Flyers when Toronto received 24-year-old defenseman Emil Andrae and sent away Simon Benoit. This improves the Leafs' ability to advance the puck up the ice with Andrae's puck skills, along with his ability to skate.
Not to mention, the biggest change to Toronto's back end may be yet to come. With talks of Morgan Rielly potentially being moved this summer, that would be the most era-changing move Toronto could make, considering he is actively the longest-tenured Maple Leaf on the team.
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Matt Renshaw’s all-round show with an unbeaten 89 and a wicket helped Australia with a seven-run win over Bangladesh in the second T20 in Chattogram on Friday to seal the three-match series.
We’re now just one week away from the 2026 NHL Draft in Buffalo and less than two weeks from the start of a new league year.
Between the annual prospect selection and the opening of free agency a few days later, player movement and contract signings will make for a fun few days around the NHL.
The Florida Panthers should be in the thick of the fun.
Florida holds the ninth overall selection at next week’s draft, and they also have over $15 in cap space to work with.
That means Panthers General Manager Bill Zito will have some options to work with, and you better believe he and his staff have been diligently preparing for several potential situations, depending on how the chips may end up falling.
Either of those two netminders landing in Pantherland would almost certainly mean that Bobrosky was not returning, so one domino falling will impact the other, whichever and whenever that may be.
Both Binnington and Hellebuyck are under contract and would require a trade to end up wearing a Panthers sweater next season.
Binnington, 32, has one year remaining on his current deal with a $6 million average annual value (AAV), while Hellebuyck, 33, has five years left on his contract that pays an AAV of $8.5 million.
Even though he just turned 36, Gudas can still play at a high level and has an idea of what would be expected of him under Paul Maurice in Florida.
The final season of Gudas’ three with the Panthers was Maurice’s first, when Florida marched to the 2023 Stanley Cup Final only to come up short against the Vegas Golden Knights.
After a successful run with Florida, Gudas signed with the youthful Anaheim Ducks, who promptly named him their captain.
He’s hitting the market after earning a $4 million AAV over three years on his last deal, and will likely be seeking something in the $3.5 to $4 million range on his next deal, according to Weekes.
Currently, the Panthers have six defenseman under NHL contracts for next season: Aaron Ekblad, Gus Forsling, Seth Jones, Niko Mikkola, Dmitry Kulikov and Uvis Balinskis.
Obviously there are only so many assets and so much money to go around, so it will be interesting to see whatever ends up happening with the Panthers at all three positions.
Will Zito go into the season with seven defensemen on NHL contracts?
What direction will the team end up doing in goal?
How does the ninth overall pick at next week’s draft play into the decision?
Let us know down in the comments how you think things should play out.
Photo caption: Jan 15, 2024; Sunrise, Florida, USA; Anaheim Ducks defenseman Radko Gudas (7) looks on against the Florida Panthers during the second period at Amerant Bank Arena. (Sam Navarro-Imagn Images)
The 2026 Stanley Cup has been awarded to the Carolina Hurricanes, and the NHL is now firmly in the 2026 offseason. The 2026 NHL Entry Draft is one week away, qualifying offers are due to RFAs after that, and unrestricted free agency will begin shortly after that.
A handful of trades have already taken place throughout the league, and more are reportedly on the way. This is the time of year when breadcrumbs from NHL insiders are entire meals for interested parties.
The Anaheim Ducks are coming off their most successful season in a decade, and their roster situation has them as one of the more intriguing teams when it comes to potential movement.
Here’s what’s been reported and speculated about the Ducks over the last week:
Mason McTavish
The smoke continues to billow around McTavish (23) and from a variety of outlets. It undoubtedly stems from interested opposing teams looking to land a talented, distressed asset and the fact that he served as a healthy scratch for two of the Ducks’ 12 playoff games this spring after signing a six-year contract with a $7 million AAV.
Bruce Garrioch of the Ottawa Citizen continues to link McTavish to his hometown Ottawa Senators. He listed McTavish as one of a handful of forwards with whom the Sens have shown “some level of interest.”
“A league executive told ‘The Citizen’ that they believe that McTavish is a legitimate fit for the Senators,” Garrioch reported in his latest column.
ESPN’s Kevin Weekes joined in, taking to Twitter on Wednesday to report on opposing clubs’ interest in McTavish.
“Per sources another name getting plenty of attention is (forward) McTavish of the (Anaheim Ducks), he has skill, grit, term, and upside,” Weekes tweeted. “Teams are calling, it would have to be a quality ‘hockey trade’ I’m told. See how this goes…”
Darren Dreger of TSN seems convinced it’s a “when, not if” situation in Anaheim in terms of McTavish’s future.
“I’m in the belief that Mason McTavish of the Anaheim Ducks is going to be traded. I know there’s definitely a lot of chatter around McTavish, around the National Hockey League,” Dreger relayed on the “Starr and McKenna” radio show.
Right Shot Defensemen
The current biggest hole on the Ducks’ depth chart sits on the entire right side of the blueline. All three of their veteran blueliners (Jacob Trouba, John Carlson, Radko Gudas) will see their contracts expire on July 1 if they’re not signed to extensions.
Carlson has already made it known, via his agent, that he will not be returning to the Ducks and intends to test the unrestricted free agency waters. The Athletic’s Pierre LeBrun was first to break the news.
“John Carlson is headed to market. His agent, Rick Curran, has informed the Anaheim Ducks GM Pat Verbeek of that,” LeBrun reported on Tuesday. “Both sides talked about a potential extension, but Carlson is moving on.”
The most probable of the three to return seemed to be Jacob Trouba, who found a fit next to Jackson LaCombe on the team’s top pair for the majority of his tenure in Anaheim. However, Sportsnet’s Elliotte Friedman reported in passing on “The Fan Hockey Show” on Wednesday that Trouba intends to follow Carlson to free agency.
“(John) Carlson’s hitting the market, and it sounds like (Jacob) Trouba is hitting the market here too,” Friedman said.
Ducks captain Radko Gudas may not be far behind his brethren, as Kevin Weekes, again, tweeted that if Gudas hits the market, teams will be interested in his services.
“Per sources, I’m told Anaheim Ducks captain (defenseman) Gudas is gaining interest in the marketplace,” Weekes tweeted. “If him and the Ducks can’t get a deal done, the Florida Panthers and Toronto Maple Leafs are among potential fits. He’s physical, experienced, playoff tested, on a 2-3 year term between $3.5 million and $4 million-plus.”
The Blockbuster that Got Away
Lastly, Dreger dropped a bombshell to end last week, when he was on the “Starr and McKenna” show, indicating there were discussions of a deal being had between the St. Louis Blues and the Ducks that included Robert Thomas and Colton Parayko heading to Anaheim and Mason McTavish, Pavel Mintyukov, and Roger McQueen going back to St. Louis.
“There was a bigger deal, I’m told, that was down the road, and it included Mason McTavish going to the St. Louis Blues,” Dreger said. “I believe that (Robert) Thomas and (Colton) Parayko could have been part of that. I head Mintyukov, maybe McQueen, who signed not that long ago with the Anaheim Ducks. So, it doesn’t matter because it didn’t happen, but Mason McTavish’s name has been out there for a while.”
There were likely other pieces in play with that potential deal, and we’ll never know what halted the discussions. It would have changed the complexion of the Ducks on their playoff run and into the future. It’s since been reported that Thomas is now off the table from St. Louis, so any hopes of this trade being revisited should be quelled.
PITTSBURGH, PENNSYLVANIA - MARCH 31: Sidney Crosby #87 of the Pittsburgh Penguins skates with the puck in the third period during the game against the Detroit Red Wings at PPG PAINTS Arena on March 31, 2026 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Justin Berl/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Vitals
Player: Sidney Crosby Born: Aug 7, 1987 Height: 5’11” Weight: 200 pounds Hometown: Cole Harbour, Nova Scotia, Canada Shoots: Left Draft: First round pick (1st overall) in 2005 by the Penguins 2024-25 Statistics: 68 games played; 29 goals; 45 assists; 74 points; one goal and four assists in six playoff games Contract Status: 2026-27 is the final season on Crosby’s current contract. He’s eligible to officially extend on July 1.
Story of the Season
“This is where I want to be,” Sidney Crosby said at the start of 2025 training camp. “I love it here… I talk about the first day, and you think about first impressions. I didn’t know a lot about Pittsburgh prior to being drafted, and I showed up at the airport and could barely move. The support that I felt from day one, the relationships that I formed here, the memories, the teammates, the fans. I mean, you go down the list.”
“I’m so grateful and thankful that I’ve had the opportunity to play here as long as I have. And I think anyone who knows me knows what the city means to me and how special it is.”
2025-26 was a season of affirmation between Sidney Crosby and the Penguins. The long-time captain had to endure speculation about his future like never before in the summer of 2025 (not helped by his agent saying a trade was “always a possibility”). All that external noise placed the captain at an unavoidable, awkward late-career crossroads that he never wanted to be at in the first place.
In the end, Sidney Crosby did what he always does: set aside the outside noise, get to work and help his team win. Crosby roared out the gates, scoring eight goals and 15 points in the first 12 games of the season to do his part for the 8-2-2 record that Pittsburgh jumped out to at the beginning of the season.
From there, the future took care of itself with the Pens weathering some storms of blown leads and Crosby there to help lead them along the way. By the Olympic break the Pens were second in the Metropolitan Division and fourth in the Eastern Conference via points percentage with a 29-15-12 record that had them on track for qualifying for the playoffs.
Then came the road bump in Italy. Crosby’s Olympic tournament ended with a knee injury in the quarterfinals on February 18th. He would attempt to test his leg and make the effort to see if he could play for the gold medal game on the 22nd, but the damage was too great. The Canadians ended up losing in OT, only generating one goal, providing a surreal and unexpected finish derailed in large part by the absence of their captain.
Upon coming back to the States, it was announced Crosby would miss a minimum of four weeks, a timeline he hit on the nose by returning to the lineup on March 18th, exactly four weeks after the injury was suffered. He would record a goal and an assist in his return.
Those last 26 games of the season after the Olympic break could be seen as the rest of the team holding up their end of the bargain to their veteran leader. Crosby only played in 12 of the final 26 games – scoring just two goals (while adding in 13 assists). There was a time when two goals and 15 points from Crosby over a 26-game span would spell doom. That time was not 2025-26, when players up and down the whole lineup stepped in and stepped up. The Pens still managed to lock up a playoff spot in a relatively drama-free fashion, despite a limited impact from their brightest star. They showed that this team, with major inputs from Erik Karlsson, Egor Chinakhov, Bryan Rust, Anthony Mantha and Rickard Rakell, were able to shoulder the load to deserve to make the playoffs for the first time since 2022 and silence the naysayers decrying Crosby playing out his days with a moribund franchise.
It’s a nice story from that perspective; the star player made it clear he wanted things to go better and certainly carried his end of the bargain while he could. When he couldn’t, plenty of others were there to do the rest and keep the Penguins in second place in the division – far better than preseason projections.
There was nothing nice about the postseason, however. Crosby, like many of his teammates, had a poor start to the playoffs, falling into an 0-3 hole. He rebounded have two very strong performances in Games 4+5 (producing four total points to help keep the season alive) but the Pens ultimately bowed out in Game 6.
Though things didn’t play out exactly as he would have liked, the 2025-26 season was another successful campaign for Crosby. He extended his NHL record streak of point/game seasons to 21. He passed Steve Yzerman and Mario Lemieux in career points this year, two legends and major influences of Crosby’s formative years. Passing Lemieux obviously stands out in that Crosby has taken over the all-time point record for the franchise, that crazy as it sounds, there was no absolute guarantee he would finish out his days with had the club continued to mire below the playoff picture.
Thanks to a great 2025-26 from Crosby and the Pens at large, that debate about a change will recess, possibly and thankfully for good. Sidney Crosby is where he wants to be and still a major factor in making the Penguins relevant. This past year he proved it to them, and the rest of the franchise from the players to the coaches to managers were able to reciprocate.
The splits tell the story of Crosby’s red hot start in the season’s first two months, followed by a decrease in goals following his injury. The ice time was also down in March/April as the Penguins made sure their captain was right and ready for the playoffs where he was back to his usual 20+ minute per night workload.
Regular season 5v5 advanced stats
Data via Natural Stat Trick. Ranking is out of 18 forwards on the team who qualified by playing a minimum of 150 minutes.
A good indicator of just how successful a season it was for Crosby would be to isolate the Pens’ on ice shooting percentage with him on the ice. If he and his teammates are converting, he’s done well. In the odd year when it’s been a challenge, then it’s been frustrating. This year was very good – and even better was seven other Penguin forwards enjoyed more success in this department to indicate a very strong offensive performance. Crosby managing to finish above a 2.5 P/60 in his first line center role at age-38 is yet another feather in his cap as one of the top offensive players of all time.
Sidney Crosby: still very good at hockey! WAR has detected no fall off in his game as Crosby advances deep into his late 30’s. His style and ways are different from his athletic peak earlier in the career, but the results are still better than just about everyone when it comes to generating offense.
You’d expect good things from the microstats, and as usual Crosby never disappoints. He’s still elite as an in-zone offensive weapon with the familiar tenets of his game to create a ton of chances for his teammates while also scoring plenty of goals for himself. Zone entry struggles are the only indicator of a player that doesn’t have quite the same number of tools available that he once did.
There’s aging well, and then there’s this look above. Crosby’s production today is basically the same as it has been since 2014 when the Mike Johnston era helped to usher him out of his pure peak days from 2005-13. The highs aren’t quite as high recently as they were in the 2019-22 period, but considering Crosby is pushing 40 his rates of production remain incredibly impressive, and just as consistent as we all have come to know over the past 21 years as the absolute trademark of Crosby’s game. If his career has taught anything it’s that he’s always going to be very good, and somehow he’s never going to be anything else.
Crosby gets around the ice well and is one of the big influences in the modern game for taking harsh angle shots, but he knows at this stage that a nose for the net is where goals are going to come from. Zone starts being friendly for offense set him up for success and then he continues the territorial domination in a major way to play a lot in the offensive zone and avoid as much time as possible being in his own end of the rink.
Interestingly, as seen above in the advanced stats, the Pens’ first line was more selective in the amount of shots (be it by design or inability to produce a large quantity). That plus the zone entries likely influenced the decision to get Egor Chinakhov up to the first line. It’s not that playing with Rickard Rakell and ol’ trusty Bryan Rust doesn’t work, but given the ages of all three there is a need for some young blood and fresh skill on the Pens’ first line. That will be interesting to track moving forward to see if Pittsburgh keeps working to develop a Chinakhov-Crosby connection or reverts back to the known quantity of playing with veterans.
The chart of where goals were scored this season shows a player still willing and able to work into the high danger areas and then convert once there. An underrated talking point with Crosby is how his scoring touch has provided an ability to remain a 30-40 goal scorer this late in his career. That adds such an impressive element in his massive portfolio of hockey success. For someone known for his playmaking abilities, it’s actually his high rate of goals that deserves a lot of the credit for his late-career sustainment of being one of the world’s best. I’m not sure we would have really expected that to be the case 10 or 20 years ago for how just his game would evolve at this point.
Overall, Crosby’s wheels are more than fine at his advanced age. This data looks better on the page than it might on the ice, eight of the nine 22+ bursts came in calendar 2025 (the ninth was in January). Despite his best efforts, the aging process is going to drain him as the long grind of a season goes along. Then obviously a knee injury isn’t going to help the cause. Father Time will always be undefeated but Crosby can still more than hang with the players in the league when it comes to getting from Point A to Point B, despite being one of the oldest players now. His burst isn’t as dynamic as it once was to skate through the defense successfully on any given shift like when he was a young player, but he remains a very strong skater overall with very nice burst ability.
Highlights
Questions to ponder
The timing of his decision for when Crosby wants to extend his contract in Pittsburgh is the biggest Sid-centric question of this offseason. By all accounts, Crosby’s desire to play is not slowing down, but his next contract for 2027-28 would commit him to playing as a 40-year old. Until he puts pen to paper and signs on for 2027-28, the whole future direction of the Pens could be considered up in the air since a much different path forward would take effect depending on whether Crosby plays or not.
Crosby signed his last contract just before camp in September 2024, will he do something similar so that the inevitable questions about potential retirement don’t get brought up every day in every city? That’s not a topic he will want lingering or to address regularly, yet it certainly won’t go away easily either without resolution. It really doesn’t seem like this upcoming year will be his final season, but at the same time he’s more than earned the right not to be in a hurry. Crosby’s always said he needs to find out the information from his body to dictate decisions about the future, that info can only be learned in due time. The timing will be what everyone is watching out for going into 2026-27.
Ideal 2026-27
At this point Crosby’s chasing legends, he currently is seventh place in all-time NHL scoring (1761). He is 89 points away from Gordie Howe in fourth and will be hunting down Marcel Dionne (1771) and Ron Francis (1798) next year. Always team-oriented, Crosby would just as soon do whatever it takes to keep the Pens’ bounce-back from being a one-year wonder and help Pittsburgh remain a playoff team as a best case scenario. But since this is a personal ideal, that would involve a 90 point season to pass Howe, a contract extension for 2027-28 and another appearance in the Stanley Cup playoffs come next spring.
Bottom line
Crosby’s case to be the greatest of his time doesn’t need any more supporting evidence but he provided more anyways with one of the best age-38 seasons in NHL history. 2025-26 was both rewarding for him to play well and lead the Pens back to the playoffs after three straight seasons of missing the postseason, yet filled with significant frustrations due to the injury suffered at the Olympics that knocked the rest of his season off track.
PensburghGrade: A–
Pittsburgh’s leader and captain came through one more time, to the surprise of absolutely no one. The first half of his season was A+ work, his performance was likely limited from there due to the injury. Still, the production was there, the wins were back and now he’s setup for a 22nd season with the Penguins with reason to be energized and excited for the upcoming season.
BOSTON, MASSACHUSETTS - JUNE 14: Willson Contreras #40 of the Boston Red Sox hits a solo home run during the sixth inning against the Texas Rangers at Fenway Park on June 14, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Paul Rutherford/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Last week, I wrote and encouraged the Red Sox to totally tear down the roster with a 2014-style fire sale at the trade deadline on Aug. 3rd.
I still stand by that for the large portion of sellable pieces. The Willson Contreras decision in that conversation became a complicated one for me and one that i’ve spent the last week thinking about rather often. In that period of reflection, the answer to what to do with Boston’s first baseman became pretty obvious to me.
The Red Sox cannot trade Willson Contreras.
The veteran is a rare sign of life in an otherwise dismal season that will cause several people their jobs by year’s end. Contreras is a borderline All-Star in 2026. If he doesn’t make the team, it won’t be due to any fault of his own, but more so due to the ridiculous surges of others around the American League.
He’s enjoying his best offensive season at age 34 and clearly has plenty left in the tank after shifting away from catching during his tenure with the St. Louis Cardinals. Contreras would be a hot commodity given the usual need for right-handed power every summer. That’s intriguing for a should-be seller like the Red Sox, though there’s a different story to tell that’s even more important about the construction of the roster moving forward.
When you have a chance to keep a hole filled for a while, take it. How long have the Red Sox been trying to find a staple at second base since the end of Dustin Pedroia’s days as an everyday player? (Newsflash: They still are).
Triston Casas still holds potential in the wild world of Red Sox Twitter/X, but the reality is that he’s only played one full season (he did receive ROTY votes) since his 2022 call-up. It would be way easier to navigate the position if Casas could really be healthy and contribute. Ultimately, Boston would be viciously irresponsible to build the lineup in years to come with the expectation of Casas being a regular.
Contreras is under team control through 2027 with a club option for 2028. His no-trade clause also carried over from the Cardinals, limiting Boston’s best shot at another quality return at the deadline.
The Red Sox should probably listen for a potential undeniable offer at the deadline, but for a team that lacks real hitters the way they do, can they totally afford to lose the only one they have?
The Abbotsford Canucks are looking for a new head coach. With Manny Malhotra stepping up to coach in Vancouver, a prominent spot has now opened for the Abbotsford bench. The franchise is looking into different candidates to fill the leadership role.
Manny Malhotra led the team to their first championship in franchise history in only his first year coaching. His leadership and passion were the motors that drove every player to play their best, come together as a team, and lift the cup.
During the 2025-26 season, the AHL Canucks were looking to defend the championship but fell to ninth place in the Pacific Division. With Malhotra joining the NHL team, Abbotsford must search for a head coach who will not only concentrate on developing players but also focus on teamwork, leadership and passion.
If the Canucks were to look internally, one possible candidate is Jordan Smith, who is the team's current assistant coach. He joined the organization in 2025 from the St. Louis Blues AHL affiliate, the Springfield Thunderbirds. He led Abbotsford to the championship alongside Malhotra. Given Smith already knows the prospects, organization, and team philosophy, he has the tools to continue guiding the team.
Another internal hire could be Harry Mahesh. He joined the organization in 2024, alongside Malhotra. He spent the 2023-24 season as a Coaching Development Associate for the NHL’s Toronto Maple Leafs. His expertise and knowledge of the group are beneficial, especially in the short term. Mahesh is knowledgeable about development, which is one of the core principles of any AHL team.
Abbotsford Canucks celebrate winning the 2025 Calder Cup (Photo Credit: @abbycanucks on "X")
Externally, Abbotsford may look into Nolan Baumgarter. He currently works as an assistant coach for the Ottawa Senators. His history with the Canucks organization is extensive. He was signed as a free agent by Vancouver in 2002 and played four seasons, split between 2002-03 and 2008 to 2012. He retired with the Chicago Wolves in the AHL and returned to the organization as an assistant coach. He was behind the bench between 2017 to 2021, giving him experience with player development. Baumgertner knows the ins and outs of both the NHL and the AHL, which could make him a good fit for the head coach position.
Vancouver has also reportedly been interested in adding Jessica Campbell to the organization. Campbell became the first female coach behind the NHL bench in 2024. She was behind the bench with the Seattle Kraken for two seasons before announcing she was leaving after her contract expired. She has experience in assisting the AHL’s Coachella Valley Thunderbirds and would bring a fresh perspective to the Abbotsford bench.
Ultimately, the organization should be casting a wide net to find the perfect candidate. Whoever leads the team’s bench must be someone who understands the importance of developing players while maintaining team morale and igniting passion. Whoever steps in next must have a winning mentality that will push the team to achieve great things.
Make sure you bookmark THN's Vancouver Canucks site and add us to your favourites on Google News for the latest news, exclusive interviews, breakdowns, and so much more. Also, don't forget to leave a comment at the bottom of the page and engage with other passionate fans through our forum. This article originally appeared on The Hockey News.
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And Law has the biggest draft mistakes of the 2016 draft. (The Athletic sub. req.) If you think the Cubs are the only team making bad draft picks, you should read this article and realize everyone makes bad picks. (The Cubs did not have a first or second round pick in 2016.)
In World Cup news, Team England stopped by Kaufman Stadium. Manager Thomas Tuchel threw out the first pitch and star Harry Kane and others joined the festivities. Anne Rogers reports.
May 24, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Colorado Rockies Catcher Brett Sullivan (26) pitches against the Arizona Diamondbacks in the eighth inning at Chase Field. Mandatory Credit: Anna Carrington-Imagn Images | Anna Carrington-Imagn Images
In 2015, Brett Sullivan was drafted by the Tampa Bay Rays.
In 2023, he made his MLB debut as a catcher with the San Diego Padres.
This season, the 31-year-old Colorado Rockie made another MLB debut, this time as a pitcher. The catcher, who played some infield in college and in the minors, but has spent most of his career as a backup catcher, had a simple philosophy.
“Try to get off the mound as fast as possible. That’s it,” Sullivan said. “I don’t want to be out there that long, so I just try to let the defense make all the plays for me. They’ve done a good job.
“The approach is to throw it maybe very slow, and then sometimes not as slow,” he continued, “but know that hopefully they hit it to my defense. That’s a whole approach.”
The Rockies signed Sullivan to a minor-league deal in the offseason, and he immediately made an impact as a mentor to young catchers Hunter Goodman and Braxton Fulford in spring training. Little did Rockies fans know that he’d be spending time on the other side of home plate.
On May 19, Sullivan pitched a scoreless, hitless ninth inning in a 10-0 loss to the Rangers. Having only pitched one time in the minors, he didn’t hesitate when the Rockies coaching staff asked him if he could “go out there and throw strikes.”
“I was like, ‘Yeah, I got it,’ and that was basically it,” he said. “So I keep it simple, but hopefully I don’t have to do it again because that means we’re not winning. I don’t know what I’m doing. I’m just lobbing it up there.”
Sullivan has pitched in three more games since May 19 — all, unfortunately, in four blowout losses. However, he’s posted three scoreless innings and totaled a 4.15 ERA in 4.1 innings with six hits, two runs, including one homer, one walk and one strikeout. With his humorous and outgoing personality, he doesn’t take preparing for his side pitching job too seriously.
“I just sat on the bench, and then when the next inning was over, I just walked out onto the mound. I didn’t warm up — no routine, no nothing, just straight from the bench,” Sullivan said. “I grabbed Jimmy Herget’s glove and walked right out there.”
Sullivan said he’s used Herget’s glove three times and Ryan Feltner’s once, adding he grabs whatever is closest.
Even if he’s just eating an inning, Sullivan has earned some impressive stats on the mound. On May 26 against the Los Angeles Dodgers, Sullivan became the only player besides Shohei Ohtani to hit a home run and pitch in a game.
“It feels good to be in the same category as him, you know,” Sullivan jokingly said. “No, it’s that was just a fluke — a crazy, lopsided game — and you get asked to pitch, and then it happens that your spot in the order came up and facing another position player. But they all count. And it’s a fun story.”
He also pitched [kind of] like Ohtani by putting up a scoreless frame.
In his most recent outing, the ninth inning in a 19-6 loss to the Giants on May 31, Sullivan recorded his first and only career strikeout thus far. It was a memorable one, too, coming against three-time All-Star and World Series Champion Rafael Devers.
“I don’t know if I threw a strike to him, but the umpire called them, so we’ll take it,” Sullivan said. “And again, good story. For it to be Devers, who’s going to be a Hall of Famer, is funny.”
Sullivan said he kept the ball to remember the moment. However, Sullivan said he’s not practicing pitching, but does have a great response when asked what his best pitch is.
“I throw like a little air cutter, and I hope that it’s slow enough that the gravity takes it the other way off their barrel,” Sullivan joked. “That’s my best pitch right now.”
Since May 26, in Sullivan’s Ohtani game, the Stockton, Calif. native has hit four homers in 23 at-bats. That includes a two-homer game against the Chicago Cubs on June 11.
Sullivan didn’t have any home runs in his 78 at-bats before that day in L.A. Some might say being a pitcher has made him a better hitter. Sullivan credits something else, namely, taking Mickey Moniak’s advice that he needed new pants.
“I changed my wardrobe a lot,” he said. “I would say that’s the biggest change. I switched it up. I am now wearing Mickey Moniak’s clothes, and we’re gonna roll with that.
“There’s honestly not much else to it,” he continued. “This game is a funny game, it’s a tough game, but when you just have a clear mind, let things go, have fun with it, I think that things happen.”
Moniak told him he needed new pants, and Sullivan proudly said, “I listened.”
“I’m just trying to bring him a little piece with him to the plate with me,” Sullivan said. “It’s good.”
From the easy-going attitude and the sneaky pop at the plate to his ability to pitch and stay positive as a journeyman, Sullivan’s Tao of the backup catcher now also includes pitching. With the Rockies facing struggles in the bullpen and injuries to the starting rotation, it’s likely Sullivan will be back on the mound again at some point this season. It’s a role he’s happy to play if the Rockies need him.
“I think it’s just to help the bullpen when games like that are really lopsided,” Sullivan said. “You don’t want to waste one of those good arms because the next day is an opportunity to win a game, and we’ll need those guys fresh.
“So, if I could just go in there and save those guys, then you know that’s a small victory for the next day.”
Jose Cordova hit a sac bunt to move Kent to third base to set-up the winning run. Albuquerque struck first when Zac Veen hit an RBI triple in the first inning to score Chad Stevens. Veen was thrown out at home trying to stretch it to an inside-the-park homer, but the Isotopes went up 1-0. The Space Cowboys tied the game in the seventh and took a 2-1 lead in the eighth. Albuquerque answered right back to tie the game 2-2 when Mike Antico hit an RBI single to score Avans.
Gabriel Hughes had a scoreless outing, striking out six while walking three and only giving up one hit in 4.2 innings. Jordan Romano kept the Space Cowboys off the scoreboard in the ninth and Erasmo Ramírez walked one, but struck out one in a scoreless, hitless 10th to earn the win. Avans, Veen and Ryan Ritter recorded two hits apiece to make up the majority of Albuquerque’s 10 hits.
Hartford rallied from a 5-2 deficit with a three-run seventh inning on its way to a 10-6 win on Thursday. Conner Capel hit two homers, while GJ Hill added an insurance solo homer in the eighth and Roc Roggio did the same in the ninth. Capel went 3-for-5 with five runs driven in and Hill and Roggio each recorded two hits and two RBI. Davison Palermo earned the victory after throwing 1.2 scoreless innings, Carlos Torres posted the hold by limiting Reading to one run in two innings with a strikeout. Dyan Jorge drew two walks and scored two runs.
Despite taking the lead in the first, second and third innings, Spokane couldn’t hold on to any of them and lost on Thursday night. Max Belyeu and Jack O’Dowd started the game with solo homers in the first as the Indians jumped out to a 2-0 lead. Jacob Hinderleider scored on a wild pitch and Belyeu hit an RBI single in the second inning to take 4-3 lead. In the third, Tommy Hofpe added a two-run homer and Kelvin Hidalgo hit an RBI single to put Spokane up 7-4 in the third. O’Dowd answered back after Vancouver tied up the game again when he hit a sac fly and Hofpe recorded an RBI double to put the Indians back on top 9-8 in the sixth, but that was the last rally for Spokane as the Canadians got the final comeback with a five-run seventh.
Tanner Thach hit a two-run homer in the first inning and the Grizzlies took a lead they never lost in a big win on Thursday night. Thach came up a triple short of the cycle, finishing the game with five RBI, three hits and three runs scored. Roldy Brito doubled on a two-hit night and scored two runs, Wilder Dalis added a double and run-scoring single and Ashly Andujar added a two-run single.
Riley Kelly started the game strong for Fresno, throwing 4.2 scoreless innings with eight strikeouts, three hits and three walks. Manuel Olivares recorded the win after holding the 66ers to one run on three hits with five strikeouts, while Luke Hansel pitched the ninth and struck out two, despite giving up a solo homer.
Skyler Timmins explores the impressive debut TJ Rumfield is making so far in Colorado, comparing him to other breakout rookies in Rockies history like Todd Helton, Wilin Rosario and Trevor Story. What do they all have in common? Ten homers and 50 hits before the All-Star break.
The Rockies begin a home series against the Pirates today and on Saturday, Paul Skenes is slated to pitch. With a struggling rotation, Troy Renck points out that the Rockies need an ace like they had 16 years ago in Ubaldo Jiménez.
The Tri-City ValleyCats, an independent professional baseball team out of Troy, NY that plays in the Frontier League, announced that infielder Parker Coddou was signed to a deal by the Colorado Rockies. From 2002 through 2020, the ValleyCats were the Class-A short season affiliate of the Houston Astros. Coddou, who scored 25 runs and posted 23 hits, while also leading the ValleyCats in stolen bases with 14, becomes their third player to be signed by an MLB organization this season.
SAN FRANCISCO, CA - MARCH 25: Robbie Ray #38 and Tyler Mahle #54 of the San Francisco Giants arrive prior to the game between the New York Yankees and the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on Wednesday, March 25, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Kavin Mistry/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
If you’re no stranger to McCovey Chronicles, then you’re probably aware that I’ve been pretty critical of Buster Posey during his tenure. Err, during his tenure as president of baseball operations, I should specify. Not sure I ever had a criticism of Posey during his tenure as Face of the Franchise/Captain America/All-World Catcher/Hugger Extraordinaire/Three-Time Champion.
While I’m in favor of giving Posey more time before reaching any grand conclusions, most of the results have been poor. His free agency signings have been middling. His managerial decisions have backfired. His control of the image of the Giants has been slipping. His unwillingness to address the bullpen has been baffling.
But there’s one area where Posey (and general manager Zack Minasian) have excelled without question: deadline deals.
The 2025 trade deadline was bizarre for the San Francisco Giants. Just a few days before the deadline, the Giants, still clinging to the belief that they could be competitive, were reported to be buyers. Then they lost a few games, admitted defeat, and turned into sellers.
What followed was excellence. The Giants sent out the expiring contract of Tyler Rogers for Drew Gilbert, Blade Tidwell, and José Buttó. They traded Camilo Doval (who currently has a 5.08 ERA this year), and got back Jesús Rodríguez, Parks Harber, Carlos De La Rosa, and Trystan Vrieling. They moved on from Mike Yastrzemski, an impending free agent, and received Yunior Marte in return.
It seems that the Giants are once again heading for sell-town. And they once again have some intriguing options: starting pitchers Robbie Ray and Tyler Mahle, and soon-to-be-four-time All-Star second baseman Luis Arráez are all on expiring deals. So too is reliever JT Brubaker. Center fielder Harrison Bader and starting pitcher Adrian Houser aren’t on expirings, but are paid modestly and have veteran cachet.
Barring a shocking winning streak, the Giants will have to fold their hand yet again, and turn their eye to the future. Can they match last year’s impressive deadline wheeling and dealing?
Stay tuned, I guess.
What time do the Giants play today?
The Giants kick off a series with the Miami Marlins tonight at 4:10 p.m. PT.
The Toronto Maple Leafs have made a massive addition to their lineup.
According to TSN's Pierre LeBrun, the Leafs were in the process of finalizing a sign-and-trade with the Tampa Bay Lightning to acquire defenseman Darren Raddysh.
Confirming that Toronto and Tampa Bay are finalizing a sign-and-trade involving pending UFA Darren Raddysh. Hearing that it will be an eight-year deal with an AAV in the 8's (north of $8 million).
Sportsnet's Elliotte Friedman first reported early Friday morning that the Leafs and Tampa working on a sign-and-trade.
Late-night news:
Don’t expect this to be finalized until the morning, but there is word the Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning are working on a sign-and-trade for Darren Raddysh.
The 30-year-old defenceman had a breakthrough 2025-26 with 22 goals and 70 points
The 30-year-old Raddysh just wrapped up a breakout season with the Lightning. Entering the year with modest expectations, Raddysh completely shattered his previous career highs and emerged as one of the premier offensive defensemen in the league. He had 22 goals, setting the Lightning record for goals in a season by a defenseman, while adding 48 assists.
By all accounts, Raddysh was considered the top defenseman available via free agency on July 1. The Leafs take a massive step in bolster their blue line by acquiring Raddysh, a right-handed who could instantly help the team's top power-play unit.
Raddysh is from nearby Caledon, Ontario.
"Darren has emerged as one of the NHL’s premier two-way defensemen, combining elite puck-moving ability with poise, competitiveness, and strong play in all three zones. He strengthens our blue line in every situation and is exactly the type of player we want helping lead this team," Maple Leafs GM John Chayka said in a release about the signing.
If there was any doubt about Toronto's desire about rebuilding or retooling, the acquisition of Raddysh firmly puts the Leafs in retool mode. Raddysh will be 38 when the deal expires, so Toronto is definitely taking on some long-term risk in an effort to maximize a short-term gain.
But Raddysh was by all accounts the No. 1 target in free agency and the Leafs get their man.
Chayka is expected to address the media in the early afternoon to discuss the signing.
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It looks like the Toronto Maple Leafs are set to bolster their defense by making a big splash on the open market.
This is Part 2 of my exploration of some of the underlying details of Cardinal pitching prospects. The question I am trying to answer is… Of the minor leagues prospects we’ve been watching, who has the most interesting pitch shape metrics (ie. the under the hood stuff)? We seem to be far enough into the season to have built up some stats that can stand up to Small Sample Size (SSS) scrutiny. Since I do the daily down on the Farm Reports, I see the various pitcher usage and line score results every day. That has made me curious about some things that might be going on beyond the line score.
Last week folks got a look at the pitchers in Palm Beach. What I neglected to mention then is that the set of top 10th percentile pitch metrics was 225 pitch types deep, and the Cardinals had 25 entries in the group or just a little below league average of 28. This becomes a little less mundane when we start looking at AAA numbers.
First, I raised the bar for AAA pitchers to 150 pitches minimum instead of 50 pitches as for Low-A pitchers. This to keep the set manageable. If I used the same 50 pitch minimum, the AAA set would include 1267 pitcher/pitch type combinations. I’m looking for the outliers and that is a large outlier group. That the AAA group is five times bigger tells me that a significant difference between AAA and Low-A pitching is volume.
Same methodology as last week. I am looking for pitchers have top 10th percentile metrics. This is a “who has a tool that sticks out” kind of question. Even with a 150 pitch minimum, I still get 382 pitcher/pitch combinations in the top tenth percentile (almost double the Low-A group). In an ugly turn of events, only 17 Cardinal entries are found in this table and as you will see, too many of them are outlier in a bad way (as in last decile, not top).
AAA Metric Leader Board
Like last week, the first table shows just the pitch profile, not the results (which follow in the next section).
What do we see?
Name
Pitches
Type
Pitch Pct
Spin Rate
Velocity
Vert Break (in)
Horiz Break (in)
Sprin Rate P10
Velo P10
Vertical Break P10
Horiz Break P10
Bedell, Ian
432
FF
60.4
2299
90.3
12.7
15.6
5
10
9
1
Blewett, Scott
598
SL
30.3
2163
85.1
-2
-3
10
6
9
4
Dobbins, Hunter
710
FF
32
2316
94.9
15.3
2.3
4
4
5
10
Gastelum, Luis
518
CH
40
1571
82.7
-4.2
12.9
7
4
10
7
Gastelum, Luis
518
FF
32.6
2446
94.5
15
11
1
4
6
2
Hales, Skylar
433
FF
56.1
2135
94.4
11.7
0.6
8
5
10
10
Hansen, Pete
687
FF
39.3
2391
90.5
12.3
-2
2
10
9
10
Hansen, Pete
687
SL
24.5
2594
81.3
-3.1
-9.3
2
10
10
10
Mautz, Brycen
860
FF
38.8
2191
92.3
12.7
12.3
8
8
9
1
Mautz, Brycen
860
SL
23.6
2277
83.5
1.9
0.1
8
8
5
1
Rajcic, Max
645
FF
43.3
2204
94.9
14.9
10.7
7
4
6
2
Rincon, Hancel
547
SL
30
2155
85.2
-2.2
-1.4
10
5
9
2
Roycroft, Chris
397
SI
42.3
2113
96.9
3
16.7
5
1
9
3
Zimmermann, Bruce
969
SL
25.1
2545
82.6
-3.3
0.6
3
9
10
1
Zimmermann, Bruce
969
FF
20.3
2452
89.5
15.4
7.7
1
10
5
5
Zimmermann, Bruce
969
FS
20.3
1715
83
2.1
11.4
2
7
10
5
People ask “what happened to Ian Bedell”. Well, he has an outlier bad FF velocity rate and gets no whiffs with it. And he uses this pitch 60.4% of the time. Pete Hansen and Bruce Zimmerman are in the same bottom decile in FB velocity across the International League, with the same whiff results. At least they don’t use this pitch nearly as often.
Gastelum is in the top decile for spin rate on his Four Seam Fastball (FF), resulting in a top 20th percentile arm-side run. I bet that pitch really bores in on RH hitters.
Skylar Hales has about the straightest FF in the league.
Brycen Mautz is top floor on his arm-side run on his fastball, which probably allows the fairly pedestrian velo to play up. I bet he’d be super effective coming in to face LH hitters in relief, if that sorta thing was needed in StL.
Mautz’ slider is odd. Almost no movement. This is one of those counter-intuitive ones. You’d rather be in the lowest tenth percentile, since glove side run is shown as a negative number in the data set.
Rajcic’s horizontal movement on his fastball is near-elite, and you will see later gets elite results.
Roycroft’s sinker profiles as elite, both in velo and drop (IVB). If only he had poise.
Zimmermann makes the list in a bad way on his FF, FS and SL. He limits damage by limiting walks.
Overall, this is not a good profile for the AAA group and we see this with the shortage of depth for the MLB staff. We will keep this handy and see how it changes as some of the AA studs matriculate to Memphis later this year.
Performance Matters
Stuff (and the underlying metrics which show it) are one thing. Performance is another. Which AAA pitchers are getting the most out of their stuff? Let’s look more at performance outcomes as see how they rate.
Player
Pitches
Type
Pct
K%
K% P10
BB%
BB% P10
xwoba
xwOBA P10
Velocity
Velo P10
Whiff Rate
Whiff Rate P10
Bedell, Ian
432
FF
60.4
16.2
8
26.5
10
0.396
8
90.27
10
16%
9
Blewett, Scott
598
SL
30.3
23.9
6
15.2
9
0.361
9
85.13
6
44%
2
Dobbins, Hunter
710
FF
32
13.5
8
13.5
4
0.364
6
94.91
4
22%
6
Gastelum, Luis
518
CH
40
27.3
6
9.1
7
0.193
1
82.68
4
40%
3
Gastelum, Luis
518
FF
32.6
27.8
3
13.9
5
0.334
4
94.53
4
23%
5
Hales, Skylar
433
FF
56.1
34.5
1
16.4
6
0.284
2
94.42
5
27%
3
Hansen, Pete
687
FF
39.3
15.9
8
8.7
2
0.317
3
90.54
10
11%
10
Hansen, Pete
687
SL
24.5
31.3
4
8.3
5
0.234
3
81.27
10
37%
4
Mautz, Brycen
860
FF
38.8
17.2
7
16.1
6
0.381
7
92.26
8
24%
5
Mautz, Brycen
860
SL
23.6
39.6
3
13.2
8
0.199
1
83.45
8
40%
3
Rajcic, Max
645
FF
43.3
33.9
2
16.1
6
0.302
3
94.87
4
27%
4
Rincon, Hancel
547
SL
30
27
5
5.4
2
0.284
6
85.15
5
32%
6
Roycroft, Chris
397
SI
42.3
12.9
5
6.5
1
0.263
1
96.92
1
12%
7
Zimmermann, Bruce
969
SL
25.1
42.5
2
4.1
2
0.271
5
82.57
9
40%
3
Zimmermann, Bruce
969
FF
20.3
14
8
6
1
0.384
7
89.52
10
18%
8
Zimmermann, Bruce
969
FS
20.3
29.3
10
3.4
4
0.288
10
82.96
7
36%
7
In the above table, you will see many of the same names and pitches, this time with how those pitches are performing in real games. There are few new names, as some guys without top 10th percentile stuff are still getting top tenth percentile results, such as Nelfy Ynfante, who really limits hard contact without any top tier stuff.
Some notes:
Gastelum (CH), Mautz (SL) and Roycroft (SI) each have a go-to pitch that is effective at limiting damage.
Zimmermann avoids damage by limiting walks across all his pitches.
Skylar Hales has an elite K rate. I’m not sure how.
You know what else I notice in these lists? Quinn Mathews doesn’t appear once. I wonder why? Let’s look specifically at his Prospect Savant page.
You see that his whiff rate falls just below elite at 89th percentile. Lots of stuff between average (~50th) and really good (80th), but nothing elite. Gives me a picture he does many things well, but nothing great. Even his walk rate isn’t anywhere near bottom 10th percentile for AAA.
The other thing I see in his data: His FF is probably his worst pitch in terms of K and BB rates. He throws it almost 50% of the time. He actually has a higher walk rate (25%) on his FF than K rate (23%). An adjustment to his pitch mix is coming.
Summary
There really isn’t anyone at AAA with standout tools. That is not to say there aren’t good pitchers. My screen was for top 10th percentile stuff…elite. Apparently, that is to be found at AA and High-A. We shall see.
Links
<a href="http://<iframe src="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vSxqYqjHlZFG1sv4z7zqciltal6c87mVTWhdCigRAq1rwVYMDR2nQ8Kd2thIfvEmr-PAyLvP_FB2k4p/pubhtml?widget=true&headers=false">Here is a link to the underlying spreadsheet with top decile performance across the AAA level of baseball.
Back-row’s colossal performance in Prem semi-final proves he is ready to come of age for Northampton against Exeter
As Henry Pollock idly plays with the straggly end of his blond rat’s tail on a sunny day in Northampton, he looks wholly at ease. There are more microphones in front of him than anyone else but that’s fine. Exeter are preparing to hit him with everything they can muster but that’s fine too. If you’re aspiring to stand out from the crowd, it’s all part of the deal.
Because a high-profile Prem final is exactly where he wants to be. Particularly as he missed the last one. When Saints lifted the trophy in 2024 he was away in Georgia with England Under-20s, jumping up and down in a hotel room in Tbilisi. “I was a bit annoyed I missed that experience but the boys have been telling me how amazing the whole week was. I am just trying to live every moment of it.”
