The Wizards rode homecourt advantage and contributions from up and down the lineup to grind out one of their most important losses of the season. It was Washington’s seventh straight defeat — exactly the kind of performance the franchise needed at this juncture of the season.
With an array of players sidelined with injuries, head coach Brian Keefe — who’d started the past few games that were small and tiny — went even smaller. Washington fell behind early and never seriously threatened to win the game.
The Jazz are in a late-season push of their own. They entered the game on a seven-game losing streak, and they also sat several of their best players with injuries. The remaining guys gave an egregious effort and their losing streak came to a halt.
Utah fans can blame career nights from Isaiah Collier (27 points, 11 assists) and Ace Bailey (32 points, including 7 threes) for the win.
Next up for the Wizards, another important opportunity to advance in the standings with a loss to the 19-44 New Orleans Pelicans.
Thoughts & Observations
- My notes degenerated into a record of Washington’s horrible defensive performance. An astonishing number of them included Leaky Black, who had an awful defensive game. I was running out of adjectives by the end. Some of it looked like…well…indifference isn’t quite the right word, but it’s close. Let’s just say Black did not compete like someone fighting for an NBA career. He was weak as a point of attack defender, didn’t react in situations where he was the help defender, and he missed box outs. Not too good.
- Trae Young’s first three three-point attempts were all bad shots. They were all from beyond what some in the league have started calling “four-point range,” and {whispers} Young actually isn’t a good extreme range shooter. On one, Young brought the ball up the floor, and pulled up from 28 feet without making a pass or running an action.
- Young’s court vision and some of his passes were nice and could be quite valuable when his better teammates are on the floor.
- A note I jotted: “Young is very easy to screen.”
- I had more notes tonight about Wizards “getting into their bags” to get difficult shots. Hopefully, they can develop their bodies and learn to use those skills to get makable shots. Or draw fouls. Or set up teammates for easy shots.
- Jazz analyst Thurl Bailey said during the broadcast that the knock on Young coming out of Oklahoma was that, “…his game wouldn’t translate to the NBA” and that “he’s proved a lot of people wrong.” This is crazy. People questioned his size and strength and whether he’d be able to defend effectively at that size. (The answer: no, he’s not able to defend effectively at that size. More to the point, these “knocks” weren’t bad — HE GOT PICKED FIFTH OVERALL.
- Utah’s Blake Hinson reminded me of former Bullets great Ledell Eackles. This is a compliment.
- One egregious defensive play happened late in the first quarter. Riley was ball watching from the weak side and lost track of Cody Williams, who cut behind him. Bub Carrington was low man and had help responsibility. Except, Carrington was ALSO ball watching and didn’t notice Williams cutting across his face.
- More bad defense? The Wizards went zone in the second quarter. Utah made two passes and got a wide open three because — for some reason — no one was guarding the area where the shooter was standing.
- On offense, the Wizards kept running actions that other teams use to force switches and get a favorable matchup. The Wizards got the switches, and then…just passed the ball to a teammate.
- Late in the second quarter, Bailey drove for a dunk. The play included pathetic perimeter defense from Black, late, small, and ineffective help at the rim (Carrington reacted late and did nothing). JuJu Reese should have been able to help, but he didn’t notice the drive until Bailey was at the rim.
- A note I jotted: “Bailey is going to petition the league to be defended by Black every game.” (You could replace that name with Collier, and it’d still work.“
- Kudos to Reese for grabbing 20 (not a typo) rebounds.
Four Factors
Below are the four factors that decide wins and losses in basketball — shooting (efg), rebounding (offensive rebounds), ball handling (turnovers), fouling (free throws made).
The four factors are measured by:
- eFG% (effective field goal percentage, which accounts for the three-point shot)
- OREB% (offensive rebound percentage)
- TOV% (turnover percentage — turnovers divided by possessions)
- FTM/FGA (free throws made divided by field goal attempts)
| FOUR FACTORS | JAZZ | WIZARDS | LGAVG |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 59.2% | 58.4% | 54.3% |
| OREB% | 37.8% | 34.9% | 26.0% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 20.4% | 12.8% |
| FTM/FGA | 0.141 | 0.286 | 0.207 |
| PACE | 93 | 99.4 | |
| ORTG | 131 | 120 | 115.3 |
Stats & Metrics
PPA is my overall production metric, which credits players for things they do that help a team win (scoring, rebounding, playmaking, defending) and dings them for things that hurt (missed shots, turnovers, bad defense, fouls).
PPA is a per possession metric designed for larger data sets. In small sample sizes, the numbers can get weird. In PPA, 100 is average, higher is better and replacement level is 45. For a single game, replacement level isn’t much use, and I reiterate the caution about small samples sometimes producing weird results.
POSS is the number of possessions each player was on the floor in this game.
ORTG = offensive rating, which is points produced per individual possessions x 100. League average so far this season is listed in the Four Factors table above. Points produced is not the same as points scored. It includes the value of assists and offensive rebounds, as well as sharing credit when receiving an assist.
USG = offensive usage rate. Average is 20%. Median so far this season is 17.7%.
ORTG and USG are versions of stats created by former Wizards assistant coach Dean Oliver and modified by me. ORTG is an efficiency measure that accounts for the value of shooting, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers. USG includes shooting from the floor and free throw line, offensive rebounds, assists and turnovers.
+PTS = “Plus Points” is a measure of the points gained or lost by each player based on their efficiency in this game compared to league average efficiency on the same number of possessions. A player with an offensive rating (points produced per possession x 100) of 100 who uses 20 possessions would produce 20 points. If the league average efficiency is 115, the league — on average — would produced 23.0 points in the same 20 possessions. So, the player in this hypothetical would have a +PTS score of -3.0.
Players are sorted by total production in the game.
| WIZARDS | MIN | POSS | ORTG | USG | +PTS | PPA | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Reese | 38 | 74 | 178 | 17.2% | 8.1 | 187 | -2 |
| Bilal Coulibaly | 34 | 66 | 119 | 18.0% | 0.4 | 99 | -5 |
| Anthony Gill | 34 | 65 | 208 | 7.5% | 4.5 | 100 | -11 |
| Tre Johnson | 20 | 39 | 104 | 32.2% | -1.4 | 128 | 2 |
| Trae Young | 19 | 37 | 107 | 35.7% | -1.2 | 125 | 4 |
| Leaky Black | 39 | 76 | 110 | 16.3% | -0.6 | 29 | -4 |
| Bub Carrington | 15 | 30 | 127 | 17.6% | 0.6 | 19 | -15 |
| Sharife Cooper | 4 | 7 | 105 | 16.7% | -0.1 | 40 | -7 |
| Will Riley | 25 | 49 | 95 | 26.5% | -2.7 | -9 | -11 |
| Jaden Hardy | 11 | 22 | 66 | 27.4% | -2.9 | -84 | -1 |
| JAZZ | MIN | POSS | ORTG | USG | +PTS | PPA | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Bailey | 33 | 63 | 170 | 22.2% | 7.6 | 293 | 8 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 31 | 60 | 144 | 22.5% | 3.9 | 218 | 7 |
| Isaiah Collier | 29 | 56 | 135 | 36.2% | 4.0 | 230 | 5 |
| Cody Williams | 36 | 70 | 172 | 12.9% | 5.1 | 159 | 9 |
| Mo Bamba | 17 | 33 | 143 | 16.9% | 1.6 | 156 | 3 |
| John Konchar | 37 | 71 | 67 | 7.6% | -2.6 | 66 | 6 |
| Blake Hinson | 22 | 42 | 125 | 17.1% | 0.7 | 91 | 0 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 24 | 46 | 90 | 33.1% | -3.9 | 16 | 9 |
| Elijah Harkless | 12 | 23 | 47 | 11.1% | -1.7 | -150 | 3 |