Make it make sense: 9 questions to unlock MLB trade deadline uncertainty

COOPERSTOWN, N.Y. — The mass confusion was supposed to be gone by now.

The decisions to sell, buy or stand pat should have been finalized with everyone having a clear direction.

And yet, with just six shopping days left before the Aug. 3 MLB trade deadline, we have less clarity now than at the All-Star break.

The Miami Marlins produced their greatest June (20-6) in franchise history, lost a franchise-record 12 games in a row, staged a dramatic comeback against the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday, and are smack-dab in the NL wild-card race.

The Boston Red Sox, who had the American League’s worst record (32-46) a month ago, are cruising now at 55-50, and could be the AL favorites to reach the World Series.

The Seattle Mariners, who looked they were on the verge of taking off and leaving everyone in the dust in the AL West, suddenly are watching reruns of a living nightmare in what could become the most exasperating season in franchise history.

And there are the Detroit Tigers, who have been putting everyone on hold for weeks, but now may be forced to pick up the phone and face reality.

There are still 24 teams who are either sitting in first place or within five games of a wild-card berth.

Even the teams that have full intentions to sell, like the Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays, realize they’re only a five-game winning streak away from believing once again.

This is what happens when there are seven National League teams who are no better than three games above .500, or no worse than six games below .500, and all in the race.

The are six teams in the American League who have losing records but are within five games of a playoff berth.

The Chicago White Sox have a losing record (10-11) this month, but have not lost any ground in the standings, and still lead the AL Central by two games.

Please, make it make sense.

While teams are telling one another they still have no idea what they’ll do, and promise to get back to them this weekend, here are the top nine questions entering the final days of the trade deadline:

Detroit Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal celebrates during a game against the Kansas City Royals at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images

1. Will the Detroit Tigers trade Tarik Skubal?

The Tigers really don’t want to trade him, knowing the anger and frustration it will create among their players and fanbase, but the decision really is becoming clear. The Tigers, who just dropped three games in a row to sub-.500 teams, and are now seven games below .500 themselves, have no choice but to trade Skubal.

They will try to sell the trade as building for the future, while still not giving up the present. After all, they did it a couple years ago when they dumped starter Jack Flaherty to the Dodgers, and received shortstop prospect Trey Sweeney and catcher/first baseman Thayron Liranzo. The Tigers still made the postseason, and the Dodgers won the World Series.

Then again, it can backfire, too. Just ask the Milwaukee Brewers who traded All-Star closer Josh Hader to the San Diego Padres in 2022 for Taylor Rogers, Dinelson Lamet, Robert Gasser and Esteury Ruiz. It ripped the soul out of the Brewers clubhouse, and they never recovered, missing the postseason.

The decision: They trade him, and likely No. 2 starter Casey Mize, too, while trying to convince their fans it’s really the right thing to do.

2. Will the San Diego Padres trade All-Star closer Mason Miller? 

The Padres are holding onto Miller one day, and trading him the next. They plan to trade starter Michael King one day and keep Miller, only to flip-flop the next. No one has any idea what A.J. Preller, president of baseball operations, will do.

The Padres, who bought Juan Soto one trade deadline, and dumped him 1½ years later, are in the same predicament. They’d love to keep Miller, who’s under control through 2029, but his value is closing out games for a championship contender. This is why the Athletics traded him originally, knowing that he’d be rotting in the bullpen if there were no leads to hold down. Now, the Padres have to face reality and ask themselves if they’re a legitimate playoff team.

The decision: They decide to keep Miller for now, but then trade him during the winter, creating a fierce bidding war. They instead trade setup man, Adrian Morejon, who’s a free agent after the season.

3. Will the Milwaukee Brewers go for it and land biggest fish, Tarik Skubal?

The ownership and front office would love to let their fans and clubhouse know that they’re all in. They certainly have the prospects, and the financial flexibility to get it done. They also realize that unless they get another prized starter to go along with stud Jacob Misiorowski, they have no real chance to knock off the Dodgers and get to their first World Series since 1982. It will be the same ol’ story, get into the playoffs, and bow our early. So will they finally step out of their comfort zone?

The decision: Nope. They simply don’t believe that Skubal will be the magic elixir for all of their needs. They still need a power bat. They could use another late-inning reliever. They could use someone to step up and be that solid No. 3 starter. Simply, there’s too much risk for the Brewers to take on Skubal when they know they’re going to be in the postseason, anyway.

4. Will teams act differently at the deadline with the uncertainty of 2027?

General managers will tell you that they’re not even thinking about the upcoming lockout, saying it’s completely out of their control. They want to win now, and will worry about the future later. But their bosses may have more of a desire to remain cautious than trade prospects. If there’s a salary cap one day, the young prospects making minimum salary will be more valuable than ever.

The decision: Teams may actually be more aggressive because owners are now telling them to prepare for the possibility of a prolonged work stoppage, even canceling all of next season. If there’s not going to a season, why not go for the gusto, knowing you can be the defending champions for two years without playing a game next season?

5. Will the Chicago White Sox go all-in?

Can the White Sox lose a record 121 games two years ago, and 102 last season, and really pull this off and be in the postseason?

Sure, the White Sox can do it. The division completely stinks. If no one wants to take it, why not the White Sox? But they desperately need a veteran starter or two to stick around until October.

Decision: They’d love to be in the playoffs, but no, they are not going to be aggressive. They are not going to trade away top prospects and find themselves in the same situation they were in when they had to start another rebuild in 2022.

If a pitcher with team control like Reid Detmers falls into their laps, sure. If teams are wary about Robbie Ray’s $25 million contract, they’ll put their chips in. But they are not going to mortgage the future. They’re quite content to ride it out, believing this team will be built for sustained success.

6. Will the Mets trade Francisco Lindor?

He makes a ton of money with half of his 10-year, $341 million contract still remaining.

He is having a lousy season, just like the rest of his New York Mets teammates.

When David Stearns, president of baseball operations, reeled off his untouchable players at the trade deadline, he did not include Lindor.

Certainly, he showed off his talent to the rest of the world Monday night with his two homers, triple and six RBIs.

So why not trade him now, clearing payroll and building for the future?

The decision: The Mets will ultimately trade him, believing it’s best for the organization, but just not now. Teams need to get creative with their finances, and besides, if there is a lengthy lockout, teams may be hesitant to take on his massive contract.

7. Will the Yankees be able to fill all of their needs at the deadline?

The New York Yankees have the second-best record in the American League, 60-46, and perhaps the fiercest rotation in the game, but they have holes everywhere.

They have $120 million worth of stars currently sidelined with outfielders Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Cody Bellinger on the injured list.

They have the worst-producing catcher in baseball with Austin Wells slashing .165/.267/.277.

They don’t have any reliable late-inning relievers.

And, truthfully, they have no idea when or if Judge is even coming back.

The answer: Yankees don’t have enough prospects to fill all of their needs, but they will get a catcher and perhaps another outfielder, too. Yet, they won’t go too crazy, knowing that if Judge isn’t able to make it back in time, the season will be a lost cause, anyway.

8. Will the Dodgers really make a bold move for Tarik Skubal?

The Dodgers are making their big second-half moves in the next few days when they activate two-time Cy Young winner Blake Snell, All-Star closer Edwin Díaz and playoff hero Kiké Hernández.

So, they really don’t have to have Skubal.

They’ll still win 100 games and run away with the division and be well-rested for October.

The decision: The Dodgers are so loaded with prized minor-league outfielders they could hand them out for Halloween, and still be fine.

Yes, they may not need Skubal, they’d love just to keep him away from everyone else.

And once they have him, well, they might as well keep him.

9. Will Phillies boss Dave Dombrowski work his magic and come away with help?

The Phillies have been desperately looking for a right-handed bat. They badly need a veteran setup man. And they certainly could use another starter, going 5-21 in games not started by Cristopher Sánchez, Zack Wheeler, Jesús Luzardo and Aaron Nola.

Certainly, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski never has been shy trading away prospects to acquire stars. He did that with Miguel Cabrera when he was with the Tigers. He did that with Chris Sale when he was with the Boston Red Sox. And with age catching up to his stars, will he want to keep his prospects or go for the jugular?

The decision: Dombrowski will go all in and do what it takes no matter how many top prospects are needed. He badly wants another chance to return to the World Series.

Follow Nightengale on X: @Bnightengale

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Make it make sense: 9 questions to unlock MLB trade deadline uncertainty

Tuesday Morning Texas Rangers Update

Jul 27, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Texas Rangers pitcher Kumar Rocker (80) fist bumps catcher Elias Díaz (35) as he is taken out of the game in the seventh inning against the Seattle Mariners at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images | Raymond Carlin III-Imagn Images

Good morning.

Ryan Myers writes that Kumar Rocker followed a team loss with a win for a second consecutive outing after finding the right adjustments in yesterday’s finale victory.

Jeff Wilson writes that the Texas Rangers knew the stakes against Seattle and delivered a series win to wrest away a modest amount of control in the AL West.

Shawn McFarland writes that to earn the series win, the Rangers had to slay the George Kirby dragon which they emphatically accomplished.

Kennedi Landry writes that the Rangers smacked four home runs off of Kirby on their way to just a second ever win against the M’s hurler.

Evan Grant writes that, with the series win in otherwise convincing fashion, the Rangers made their best pitch to upgrade at the trade deadline.

Matt Snyder places the Rangers among the teams in the “likely buyers” tier with the trade deadline around a week away.

ESPN’s Buster Olney writes that, surprise, surprise, the Rangers are seeking some bullpen help at the deadline.

Kevin Sherrington ponders if a more miserly Ray Davis will even fund upgrades at the deadline.

McFarland notes that a potential upgrade might come via Corey Seager, who sets out to begin a rehab assignment starting today.

And, given a million guesses, I would not have been able to name who will become a prominent part owner of the eventual Vegas A’s.

Have a nice day!

Will Andrew Painter pitch in the majors again this year?

Andrew Painter of the Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs pitches during a Minor League Baseball game at Coca-Cola Park in Allentown, United States, on June 28, 2026. (Photo by Dan Squicciarini/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Phillies are in the market for a starting pitcher this trade deadline season primarily due to the failure of Andrew Painter to stick in the rotation. The team planned for their top prospect to occupy the fifth starter’s role this season, but after a 1-8 record and 7.06 ERA through 14 games by mid-June, it became clear that Painter was not close to capable of filling that role, at least for now. The Phillies have soldiered on without him but are still in dire need of a back of the rotation arm, something that will be discussed at length over the days leading up to the deadline.

However, Painter has started to improve while pitching for Lehigh Valley. His latest start came Sunday in which he delivered six innings and allowed one run on five hits with no walks and six strikeouts. Perhaps most noteworthy, Painter’s fastball velocity was up, averaging 97.9 MPH and touching 99, and he held it through 90 pitches. It was Painter’s second straight encouraging start, following a game on July 21st where he allowed two runs in five innings on seven hits with one walk and eight strikeouts.

Painter is very much still a work in progress, as he and the team are still trying to find ways to recapture some of what was lost on his fastball following Tommy John surgery. He is showing positive signs and results these last couple of starts, but he is also still working on things, as evidenced by the team having him almost exclusively throw his fastball and sweeper and not focusing too much on the rest of his arsenal at the moment.

Nevertheless, it’s been interesting to see how despite the continued struggles of the fifth starter role, Painter’s name has not really been mentioned again as a possibility. It’s likely that the team would prefer to have him string together a longer chain of encouraging performances before even entertaining the idea, perhaps rather preferring to have him spend the rest of the season improving in Triple-A. But, if the fifth starter spot continues to be a problem and the team either suffers an injury in the rotation or fails to sufficiently address it at the deadline, maybe Painter could be considered again.

So, will Andrew Painter pitch in the majors again this season? Should he?

The curious case of Christian Encarnacion-Strand

BALTIMORE, MD - JULY 24: Christian Encarnacion-Strand #32 of the Baltimore Orioles doubles in the second inning during the game between the Atlanta Braves and the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday, July 24, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Alyssa Piazza/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

When the Orioles purchased the contract of Reds’ corner infielder Christian Encarnacion-Strand back in April, it was just another one of those low-profile moves we see from Mike Elias and the front office all the time. It was the latest instance of the “buy low and hope something good happens” mentality that’s seen Elias take swings on Jhonkensy Noel, Rico Garcia, Jacob Webb, Danny Coulombe, Emmanuel Rivera and others.

Fast forward three months and the man they call CES is now in both the heart of the Orioles order and the heart of Birdland as we cling to playoff hopes that can’t decide whether to live or die. Encarnacion-Strand was called up to replace the injured Blaze Alexander with the thought that he’d be a bench option behind Coby Mayo at third. Instead, CES quickly overtook Mayo and started producing numbers we’ve never seen from an Oriole debutant.

Through his first five games with Baltimore, the 26-year-old infielder went 8-for-20 (.400) with three homers and eight RBIs, both of which were records for an Oriole in their first five games. He’s hit safely in six of the seven games he’s played, has a reasonable strikeout rate (22.2%) and has gone from a relative unknown quantity to one of the most productive bats in the Baltimore order.

The fact that CES is showing signs of being a truly productive MLB player isn’t completely surprising. He was a top prospect in the Reds organization, who once sat between former top rookies Matt McClain and Spencer Steer in the Reds’ top 30 prospects.

Encarnacion-Strand then burst onto the MLB scene looking like a player destined for stardom. After debuting just post the All-Star break in 2023, CES launched 13 homers in 63 games while posting an .805 OPS and displayed hard-hit rates that helped project him as a middle of the order mainstay in Cincinnati.

Instead of building on that success, however, CES largely became a forgotten commodity for the Reds. At 24 years old, he got off to a slow start to the 2024 campaign and saw his season end prematurely when he broke his wrist in early May. CES would return to Cincinnati to begin the 2025 season, but injured his back in mid-April, which caused him to go on the IL for eight weeks. Upon his return, he put up a respectable triple lash of .247/.273/.438, but was ultimately optioned to Triple-A for the last three months of the season.

He never made it back to the Reds, as he started this year in Triple-A Louisville before being DFA’d on April 8th. When the O’s sent cash considerations to Cincinnati to bring in the former top prospect, he seemed like natural insurance for Mayo. Both right-handed sluggers have prodigous power with 3B/1B flexibility, though Encarnacion-Strand had spent 81.5% of his defensive innings at first for the Reds.

The production CES showed throughout his stint at Triple-A Norfolk more than justified the front office’s decision to acquire him. After posting 33 home runs across in just over 500 ABs across three stints with Louisville, Encarnacion-Strand swatted 17 long balls while posting an .863 OPS in 61 games for the Tides.

Where the man with baseball’s longest last name goes from here is anyone’s guess. We’ve seen players come up to instant success without being able to sustain their high level of play. 2024 Heston Kjerstad prior to being bean in the head by the Yankees comes to mind. End of 2024 Emmanuel Rivera also had a good run. And who can forget some of the magic from late 2022 Kyle Stowers.

But if Encarnacion-Strand wants to be more than a fun foot note in Orioles history, he’ll need to stay hot while proving he can hit right-handed pitching better than Mayo. Through seven games with the O’s, CES is 7-for-10 against left-handed pitchers with all three of his home runs coming against southpaws. Against right-handers, he’s 3-for-17 with a double. Which is to say, he’s playing a lot like Coby Mayo across his small sample size.

Mayo undoubtedly has a higher ceiling, and not just because he’s two years younger than Encarnacion-Strand. Both of the infielders had power and arm strength as their best attributes when coming up as prospects. For CES, his power was graded as a 55 while his arm was a 60 on the 20-80 scale. For Mayo, both graded out as a 70. And while Encarnacion-Strand is currently a better defensive 3B, he’s still below average, and Mayo’s superior athleticism give him a better chance to become an at least average defender at the hot corner.

The arrival and quick success of CES came on the perfect time for the O’s. With Alexander likely out until September and both Aldey Rutschman and Samuel Basallo currenlty on the IL, the offense needed an infusion of talent and production from an unlikely source.

Now, they need CES and Mayo to continue to push each other and contiune give the O’s lineup length behind Pete Alonso, Taylor Ward and Gunnar Henderson. For now, both should be playing against left-handed pitchers, with one at 3B and the other DH’ing. Mayo got the start against Detroit right-hander Keider Montero yesterday; we’ll who Craig Albernaz turns to against right-hander Troy Melton later today.

Despite the natural tendency to think that Encarnacion-Strand’s recent success will ultimately just be a flash in the pan, there’s also enough reasons to believe that it is instead a talented player finally making the most of good health and an opportunity. At worst, he should be able to help bridge the gap until Blaze and the two catchers getting healthy. But at 26 with proven upside, he could also be the latest reclamation project that proves to have long-term upside.

Cubs 7, Cardinals 3: Alex Bregman and Nico Hoerner both have four-hit nights

Alex Bregman has had a rough year, as we all know, but we have seen signs recently that he’s coming out of it.

That happened big time Monday night in St. Louis. Bregman had his first four-hit game as a Cub, including a home run and two doubles, helping lead the team to a 7-3 win over the Cardinals in the opener of a four-game series, a game delayed nearly two hours by storms. Nico Hoerner also had four hits, including his first home run since April 21, 81 games ago.

After the rain was over, the Cubs scored right away in the first inning, though it could have been more than one run. Pete Crow-Armstrong led off with a walk — but then got picked off [VIDEO].

That was really too bad, because both Seiya Suzuki and Alex Bregman followed with doubles. That would have scored a pair if not for the pickoff. Bregman’s double scored Suzuki [VIDEO].

A note on Suzuki’s hit from BCB’s JohnW53:

Seiya Suzuki’s first-inning double gave the Cubs the National League record for consecutive road games with a hit: 4,789.

The Pirates did it in 4,788 straight road games between May 14, 1955, and June 19, 2015.

The Cubs’ streak began Sept. 10, 1965, at San Francisco, the night after they were the victims of a perfect game by Sandy Koufax at Dodger Stadium.

The Yankees hold the MLB record, 5,367 games through Monday, since Sept. 20, 1958.

In the second, the Cubs kept it going against Matthew Liberatore. Nico Hoerner led off with a single. After Ian Happ struck out, Dansby Swanson singled Nico to second.

Hoerner scored on this single by Miguel Amaya [VIDEO].

José Fermin homered off David Peterson in the second to make it 2-1. Before that home run, Happ made this catch on a ball that looked like it fooled him [VIDEO].

On the broadcast, JD speculated the ball might have got into the lights. Happ made a nice recovery for the catch.

In the top of the third, the Cubs got that run back very quickly on a leadoff homer by Bregman in the third, his 11th [VIDEO].

In the fifth, Bregman led off with a single, his third hit of the game — his first three-hit game in more than three months, since April 22. Carson Kelly followed with a single, advancing Bregman to second. Michael Busch’s ground out advanced both runners, and then a single by Nico scored both to make it 5-1 Cubs [VIDEO].

While all this was going on, David Peterson was throwing quite well, through five innings, at least. The only run he allowed in that time was Fermin’s homer.

He got in trouble in the sixth. Jordan Walker led off with a walk, and then Ivan Herrera struck out on a play I don’t think I’ve seen before. The umpires ruled that Herrera had called for a second timeout after Peterson’s 3-2 pitch and that’s a violation, ruled strike three. In case you’re wondering how that’s scored:

Peterson recorded the second out, a ground ball that allowed Walker to take second. Gavin Hollowell relieved Peterson and allowed an RBI single to Masyn Winn, threw a wild pitch, then gave up an automatic double that bounced into the seats. If not for the wild pitch, the third Cardinals run doesn’t score. So it wasn’t a really good day for Hollowell, but the Cubs still led by two after six.

And overall I thought Peterson threw well, recording nine of his 16 outs on ground balls. One of the runs charged to him scored after he left the game. Here’s more on Peterson’s evening [VIDEO].

Ryan Rolison entered to throw the seventh and issued a walk in between a pair of strikeouts. Trent Thornton was then summoned to face the right-handed hitting Jordan Walker. One pitch, one out, but it was a fly ball to very deep left-center caught by Ian Happ. Earlier in the broadcast it was mentioned that Busch Stadium is the toughest park this year for home runs, and maybe that hit shows why — it looked like it might have been gone off the bat, but just died, a 391-foot out.

In the bottom of the eighth, Thornton gave up another long hit leading off the inning to Ivan Herrera. That one fell in for a hit — but Happ turned it into an out [VIDEO].

That’s just an outstanding defensive play by Happ. I keep telling you — he’s going to win a fifth Gold Glove this year.

The Cubs put some key insurance runs on the board in the ninth. Bregman’s fourth hit, a double, led off the inning. Two outs later, Nico went deep [VIDEO].

Back to Bregman — that was not only his first four-hit game as a Cub, it was his first since April 15, 2025 with the Red Sox. And his season OPS moved over .700 (at .705) for the first time since May 31. Good stuff, and for Nico, it was his second four-hit game since the All-Star break. The Cubs pounded out 14 hits on the evening and have had at least 11 hits in seven of their last nine games. More on the four-hit games by Bregman and Hoerner from John:

As noted by Al, this was Alex Bregman’s first game as a Cub with four hits. He had nine with the Astros and one, plus a five-hit game, with the Red Sox.

Bregman had had four three-hit games this season. The first three were April 7, 14 and 22; the fourth, July 12. He had a single, double and homer on April 22, in a 7-2 win over the Phillies — the only one of the earlier games at home.

Nico Hoerner had had one four-hit game this year before last night, on July 18 at home vs. the Twins. He had four in 2022-24.

Hoerner is tied with PCA for the team lead in games with three or more: eight. Michael Busch and Seiya Suzuki both have six. The Cubs have had 46 such games, by 11 different batters.

Jacob Webb, warming up for a possible save opportunity, pitched instead with a four-run lead in the ninth. He allowed a two-out double but finished up with no runs scoring. Here’s the final out [VIDEO].

Here are Craig Counsell’s postgame comments [VIDEO].

The Phillies lost to the Marlins Monday, so the Cubs’ lead for the first wild card spot increased to 3.5 games. And the Giants did the Cubs a solid by shutting out the Brewers 3-0, so the Cubs creep to within six games of first place in the NL Central.

The Cubs and Cardinals will meet again Tuesday evening in St. Louis. Colin Rea will start for the Cubs and Michael McGreevy goes for the Cardinals. Game time is 6:45 p.m. CT and TV coverage will be via Marquee Sports Network. The game’s also on TBS nationally (outside the Cubs and Cardinals market territories).

Braves vs Mets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

Note: Tonight's game has been postponed due to inclement weather. The Braves and Mets will play a doubleheader on Wednesday, July 29 to make up the difference.

The Atlanta Braves are sitting as a heavy -150 moneyline favorite tonight against the New York Mets with left-hander Chris Sale on the mound. 

Despite getting blown out in the series opener, my Braves vs. Mets predictions are eyeing Atlanta to bounce back behind another stellar outing from their former Cy Young winner. 

Find out more in my MLB picks for Tuesday, July 28. 

Who will win Braves vs Mets today: Braves moneyline (-155)

Chris Sale takes the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he continues to be absolutely lights out. In two starts since the All-Star break, the southpaw owns a 0.96 FIP while walking just 0.69 hitters per nine innings. During that span, Sale has also limited opponents to a 3.4% barrel rate. 

It's worth noting that Sale has already faced the New York Mets this season, surrendering three earned runs across five frames. While that's not outstanding, the veteran has a 2.43 road FIP in 2026. 

The Braves won't have it easy against Christian Scott, either. He has a 1.55 xERA in his previous two outings. However, there's been some vulnerability for him at Citi Field, compiling a 4.51 FIP while allowing 1.55 HR/9. 

Sale will outduel Scott, and the Braves will do enough offensively against the Mets righty and their bullpen to win Game 2. 

I'll play this pick up to only -160. Otherwise, the Atlanta run line is a supporting play. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Braves have a 121 wRC+ over their last 11 games, well above their season-long road mark of 95 wRC+. 

Braves vs Mets Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 runs (+101)

The starters give a pathway to the Under tonight, but it's difficult to look past the recent offensive form of both ball clubs. Aside from Atlanta's brilliance at the dish since the break, it also has a .204 ISO over the last two weeks. 

As for the Mets, they own a 134 wRC+ in their last six contests while carrying a .217 ISO. There's no shortage of production coming from this lineup at the moment.

Even if Sale gives Atlanta quality innings, the Braves bullpen has struggled lately, posting a 5.06 xERA in its last 29 2/3 frames. Sale should give Atlanta enough of an advantage, but the vulnerability on the back end gives the Mets a path to contributing to the Over. 

I'll play this pick up to -120. 

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 36-47, -15.34 units
  • Over/Under bets: 46-35, +4.47 units

Braves vs Mets weather

Weather could be a real factor at Citi Field tonight, with rain and overcast conditions expected throughout the game window. Temperatures should sit in the low-to-mid 70s, but humidity will be very high, and winds could reach the mid-teens. There is legitimate delay risk, and the damp conditions may slightly suppress carry. It may also result in shorter outings for the starters, which would expose a pair of shaky bullpens earlier than anticipated.

Braves vs Mets odds

  • Moneyline: Braves -150 | Mets +144
  • Run line: Braves -1.5 (+117) | Mets +1.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+104) | Under 7.5 (-108)

Braves vs Mets trend

The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs. Mets.

How to watch Braves vs Mets and game info

LocationCiti Field, Flushing, NY
DateTuesday, July 28, 2026
First pitch7:10 p.m. ET
TVBravesVsn, SNY
Braves starting pitcherChris Sale
(11-6, 2.19 ERA)
Mets starting pitcherChristian Scott
(3-2, 3.13 ERA)

Braves vs Mets latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Thoughts on a 7-3 Rangers win

ARLINGTON, TEXAS - JULY 27: Ezequiel Duran #20 of the Texas Rangers celebrates after hitting a solo home run against the Seattle Mariners during the third inning at Globe Life Field on July 27, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Rangers 7, Mariners 3

  • That was a very nice way to end the series, and the homestand.
  • Having good Kumar Rocker on the mound certainly helped quite a bit.
  • I didn’t think we were going to have good Kumar Rocker in the early going. After a quick first, Randy Arozarena took Rocker deep to start the second inning, negating Joc Pederson’s leadoff home run in the bottom of the first.
  • Then, staked to a 4-1 lead when he took the mound to start the third inning, thanks to Pederson’s second homer of the day, Rocker gave up a flared single, a rocket single, and a line drive from Julio Rodriguez that resulted in a sacrifice fly, making it 4-2.
  • Dominic Canzone, he of the go-ahead three run homer against Cole Winn the day before, as well as the insurance run driving in double later in that same game, came up with one out as the tying run.
  • I could see it in front of my eyes…a sinker left too far up, Canzone crushing the ball, sending it on a majestic arc well into the right field seats, Brandon Nimmo turning and taking a couple of steps back before stopping, knowing that any chase is futile. In my mind, I felt sure the game was about to be tied, that the Pederson-fueled lead would be lost and we’d be dealing with a short Rocker outing, necessitating turning to feeble bullpen arms to try to get the team 5 innings or so.
  • Canzone did crush a Rocker pitch, though it was a slider, not a sinker. It also hit the ground and was turned into a 4-6-3 double play to end the inning.
  • Lead preserved.
  • And from that point on, Rocker had no problems. He faced 13 more batters the rest of the way, retired 11 of them, and left with two outs in the seventh to a hearty ovation from the folks who made it out to the Shed on a Monday afternoon.
  • Rocker is currently rocking a 4.03 ERA and 4.14 FIP after this start, which saw him fan seven Mariners and walk just two. In 20 appearances (18 starts and two pseudo-starts behind an opener), Rocker has allowed more than three runs just four times, something that surprised me when I looked it up because it has certainly felt like he’s gotten roughed up more than that. He’s allowed two or fewer runs in 13 of his 20 outings, and has seven quality starts on the season.
  • The inconsistency is frustrating, but Rocker has made strides this season, compared to last year’s disappointing up-and-down campaign. Maintaining that over his remaining 11 or so scheduled starts would make you feel pretty good about him heading into 2027.
  • After watching the soft underbelly of the bullpen cough up five runs and blow the game on Sunday, Skip Schumaker wasn’t taking any chances in this one. Robby Ahlstrom was summoned to face J.P. Crawford when Rocker was pulled with two outs in the seventh — the third day in a row Ahlstrom has pitched. I wouldn’t have expected Ahlstrom to be used for a third straight day with a five run lead.
  • Jakob Junis, who was being saved for the eighth inning on Sunday, but didn’t get used since the lead was gone by then, pitched a scoreless eighth on Monday, and Jacob Latz came in to close out the game. He allowed a couple of hits and a sac fly to make the end result 7-3, rather than 7-2.
  • You don’t usually use your top relief arms with a lead this big, but Schumaker clearly wanted to forestall any potential comeback, keep the Mariners from rallying and getting a second wind. You don’t normally treat a Monday game in July like a playoff game, but under the circumstances, with the trade deadline looming, the memory of the blown lead on Sunday, and the chance to put the Mariners 2.5 back meant using your biggest guns late game.
  • The offense scored all of its runs on homers, four in all — two by Pederson, one by Ezequiel Duran, and one by Jake Burger. All four came off of George Kirby, who has bedeviled the Rangers for as long as I can remember. I will leave it to you to determine whether that’s a commentary on Kirby’s success against the Rangers or my memory.
  • Joc Pederson is now slashing .254/.343/.513. This is the guy the Rangers thought they were getting when they signed him after the 2024 season. Everyone who wanted the Rangers to release him this offseason needs to say they are sorry.
  • Evan Carter was 2 for 4 with a double and a stolen base, raising his slash line on the season to .198/.314/.348. Since coming off the injured list, Carter is slashing .278/.391/,444.
  • Ezequiel Duran’s homer was, per Statcast, 436 feet, which is 8th farthest at the Shed this season. Pederson’s first inning homer went 418 feet, tied for 33rd longest this year. The 10 farthest balls hit in Arlington this year, and 29 of the 34 farthest, have come since since May 26.
  • They de-nerfed the Shed, y’all.
  • Kumar Rocker touched 96.0 mph with his fastball, averaging 94.5 mph, and hit 95.0 with his sinker, averaging 93.7 mph. Robbie Ahlstrom reached 94.5 mph with his fastball. Jakob Junis reached 93.5 mph with his fastball. Jacob Latz’s fastball topped out at 96.2 mph.
  • Evan Carter had a 107.8 mph double, a 104.4 mph single, and a 104.0 mph groundout. Brandon Nimmo had a 106.8 mph double. Joc Pederson had a 106.4 mph home run. Ezequiel Duran had a 106.3 mph home run and a 103.0 mph single. Jake Burger had a 105.1 mph home run. Wyatt Langford had a 102.0 mph groundout.
  • The Rangers are up in the West and now head out on the road. I’d like to see this continue.

Mets vs. Braves: How to watch on SNY on July 28, 2026

The Mets continue a three-game series against the Braves at Citi Field on Tuesday night at 7:10 on SNY.


Mets Notes

  • Bo Bichette is hitting .328/.358/.475 (.832 OPS) with five homers, nine doubles, one triple, 24 runs scored, and 25 RBI in 45 games since June 3
  • Francisco Lindor has an .852 OPS with six homers in 25 games since June 26 -- his second game back after being activated from the IL
  • Francisco Alvarez has a career-best .791 OPS in 71 games this season
  • Christian Scott has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 13 of his 14 starts this season
  • Luke Weaver has allowed one earned run since April 30 

Today's Lineups

BRAVES
METS
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--

What channel is SNY?

Check your TV or streaming provider's website or channel finder to find your local listings.

How can I stream the game?

The way to stream SNY games is via the MLB App or MLB.tv.

In order to stream games in SNY’s regional territory, you will need to have SNY as part of your TV package (cable or streaming), or you can now purchase an in-market SNY subscription package via MLB or Amazon. Both ways will allow fans to watch the Mets on their computer, tablet or mobile phone.

How can I watch the game on my computer via MLB?

To get started on your computer, click here and then follow these steps:

  • Log in using your provider credentials. If you are unsure of your provider credentials, please contact your provider.
  • Link your provider credentials with a new or existing MLB.com account.
  • Log in using your MLB.com credentials to watch Mets games on SNY.

How can I watch the game on the MLB App?

MLB App access is included for FREE with SNY. To access SNY on your favorite supported Apple or Android mobile device, please follow the steps below.

  • Open “MLB” and tap on “Subscriber Login” for Apple Devices or “Sign in with MLB.com” for Android Devices.
  • Type in your MLB.com credentials and tap “Log In.” 
  • To access live or on-demand content, tap on the "Watch" tab from the bottom navigation bar. Select the "Games" sub-tab to see a listing of available games. You can scroll to previous dates using the left and right arrows. Tap on a game to select from the game feeds available. 

For more information on how to stream Mets games on SNY, please click here.

Yankees potential trade target: Luke Weaver

PHILADELPHIA, PENNSYLVANIA - JUNE 18: Luke Weaver #30 of the New York Mets throws a pitch during a game against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on June 18, 2026 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Mets won 6-4. (Photo by Hunter Martin/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The New York Yankees are three games behind the Tampa Bay Rays for a lead in the American League East, and with a Boston Red Sox team hot on their heels following a tie of their franchise-best 15-game winning streak, there’s not much room for error. If the Bombers want to make their path to a 28th World Series championship a little easier in October, the run is going to take an all-hands-on-deck approach, and that begins with the same look at the trade deadline on Monday, August 3rd.

As there are every year, certain names will come up on the trade block for the Yankees to potentially make a move for. Some of them would fit areas of need more than others, but upgrading any key position is a huge help in their quest. And while the bullpen ranks as one of the best in certain statistics, it never hurts to upgrade late-game pitching before embarking on a postseason journey. As luck would have it, there’s a familiar face available across town who could be a viable option.

2026 Statistics (Thus Far): 40 games, 42.0 IP, 2-1 W-L, 1 save, 1.93 ERA (163 ERA+), 2.92 FIP, 3.60 xFIP, 26.4% K%, 6.7% BB%, 0.83 WHIP, 1.0 fWAR, 1.8 bWAR

2026 ZiPS Rest-of-Season Statistics: 18 games, 23.0 IP, 1-1 W-L, 3.90 ERA, 3.60 FIP, 26.3% K%, 7.8% BB%, 0.3 fWAR

When Luke Weaver chose to sign with the New York Mets last offseason, it felt like the correct choice for the Yankees front office to let him walk. After a fantastic 2024 season with the Yankees, where he pitched to an ERA of 2.89 across 84.0 innings, he was not the same. In 64.2 innings the following season, he finished with a 3.62 ERA, a fastball velocity that had dropped 0.7 MPH, and an xFIP over 4.00. He fell apart down the stretch in particular, allowing 10 runs in 9.1 innings to close out the regular season and collected just a single out in three appearances in the postseason, allowing five runs across the Wild Card Series and ALDS.

Suffice to say, it wasn’t in the Yankees’ best interest to bring him back, especially after their Trade Deadline last season had brought in a handful of new arms they were hoping would improve or stay the same as they had previously before acquiring them. And while some of them have done exactly that, it doesn’t hurt to look for upgrades wherever possible, and it’s likely Weaver could be a low-cost, low-risk, familiar face and lovable character that achieves that goal.

So far in 2026, Weaver has been one of the few bright spots on a Mets team that is down in the dumps and a Mets pitching staff that has faced myriad injuries. The 44-62 residents of Queens are looking for any value they can get from movable players, and with Weaver having another year on his two-year, $22 million contract, that may be a way for the Mets to nab an extra asset. Of course, the likelihood that anything in a deal for Weaver is revolutionary is low, but it is a chance for the Yankees to give up a smaller asset or two for a reliever who knows what to expect and is having an excellent season.

In 40 games pitched, Weaver has posted a 1.93 ERA in 42.0 innings. His strikeout numbers are down, and his walk numbers remain around where they were in previous seasons, but no one has been able to figure out how to get a hit off him. His 5.1 H/9 is the lowest of his career thus far, and an excellent mark for MLB relievers generally as well. Weaver uses a three-pitch arsenal of a four-seam fastball (49.8 percent), changeup (34.8 percent), and a cutter (15.2 percent). If you’ve done the math and noticed the missing 0.2 percent, it’s because he had a pitch register as a slider, but that was the only time he has thrown it this year. And since last season with the Yankees, his fastball usage has gone down almost 10 percent, while his changeup usage has moved up five percent, and his cutter usage has blown up almost seven percent.

The changes made in how he’s using his arsenal fall in line with his percentile rankings for this season. The fastball has been above average, as it was during his time with the Yankees (especially in 2024), but it’s his offspeed that continues to reign supreme. And the more he’s used it, the more Weaver has been able to control exit velocity and hard-hit rate, with his 80th percentile being the best of his career by a wide margin.

In addition to the help he could provide down the road for the Yankees this season, he would also be around for next season, giving the front office a bit more understanding of how to plan for next year. They know (and have known) the kind of pitcher Weaver can be and the arsenal he provides when running onto the diamond from the outfield. However, if things aren’t going well, it wouldn’t be out of the question for the Yankees to move on from him a second time and look to send him elsewhere.

But while Weaver likely won’t be a sub-2.00 ERA pitcher for a full season, he can still be more than serviceable in the right spots. He has succeeded in low- to medium-leverage situations this season with the Mets, and if that’s what he’s most comfortable with at 32 and 33-years-old, there are certainly ways to work with it. Of course, acquiring someone else at the deadline who has a proven track record of thriving in high-leverage situations would also be advantageous, but for a player who won’t cost much, is succeeding in the situations he’s been in, and is a familiar and lovable name to the Yankees fanbase, bringing Weaver back to The Bronx could be worth a move for Brian Cashman.

Atlanta Braves News: Ronald Acuna Jr. Returns, Bad Loss to Mets, More

Monday started off in a good way for Braves Country as Ronald Acuna Jr. returned from injury. However, it did not end well as the Braves lost in a big way to the Mets by the score of 14-3. While simply a loss to forget and move on from, the Braves need to get back to the business of winning with many games against the NL East this week.

Braves News

Here is prospects 25-30 on the Battery Power Top 30 prospects list.

Brewer Hicklen was sent to the minors as the corresponding move to Acuna Jr. being recalled.

MLB News

Marlins were able to end the 12-game losing streak with a win over the Phillies.

Kerry Carpenter was placed on IL due to a foot injury.

Cody Bellinger will miss 4-6 weeks.

Curtis Mead exits Red Sox debut after being hit by pitch

In his first game with the Boston Red Sox, infielder Curtis Mead was forced to exit early after being hit on the hand by a pitch.

Mead, who was just acquired from the Washington Nationals on July 26, took a 95 mph fastball from Athletics starting pitcher Jack Perkins off his left wrist in the top of the fourth inning Monday night and initially remained in the game. However, he was replaced at second base in the bottom of the fifth by Anthony Sigler.

Mead told reporters after the game that X-rays showed "everything looks OK" and he's hopeful he'll be able to play on Tuesday in Sacramento.

"Walking in the clubhouse (I was) just super disappointed. I wanted to come here and help the team and wanted to play, so yeah, it's frustrating," Mead said.

He said he tried to swing a bat after he was hit, but "it didn't really feel great."

Red Sox second baseman Curtis Mead gets hit on the wrist by Athletics pitcher Jack Perkins in the fourth inning of their July 27 game in West Sacramento, California.

Red Sox manager Chad Tracy admitted afterward that it "looks like we dodged a bullet, maybe." Mead will undergo more tests on Tuesday.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Curtis Mead exits Red Sox debut after being hit by pitch

Dodger notes – deadline rumors, injury updates

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MAY 26: Enrique Hernandez #8 of the Los Angeles Dodgers rounds the bases after hitting a solo home run in the third inning against the Colorado Rockies at Dodger Stadium on May 26, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images) | Getty Images

‘Tis the season. Just one week remains until the 2026 season’s trade deadline, which this year is August 3rd. The Dodgers are expected to be sellers as opposed to buyers, as this year there are more teams still involved in a playoff run.

The Dodgers also will have a little trade deadline action of their own, so to speak. Edwin Díaz, Kiké Hernández, and Blake Snell are all expected back soon, with Hernández slated to return to the team on Tuesday. As always, the Dodgers will be in on any big-name players, such as Tarik Skubal, should he become available. But for the most part, the team could be looking to part ways with some current players to bolster their farm system.

Eric Lauer and Alex Call are two names that could potentially be shopped, according to Katie Woo at The Athletic. Lauer came over in a trade in mid-May when Tyler Glasnow hit the IL. He has handled being an inning eater well- the team has yet to lose a game that he starts. While keeping him for depth would be the prudent thing to do, the Dodgers could flip him for some prospects like they did with Dustin May last season.

Call being traded makes a little more sense, now that both Hernández’s are back from the IL. His being another handed bat makes him redundant, and the Dodgers are looking to add to their farm system.

Shohei Ohtani is not currently pitching, and the front office and manager Dave Roberts insist that that will not affect their actions at the deadline. Meanwhile, he remains in the lineup.

“From his words, the hitting, the running, as he has done the last couple nights, doesn’t affect him,” Roberts said. “I can only go by what he and the training staff are telling me. So, unless I hear otherwise, that hitting compromises his health, then I’m going to keep putting him in the lineup.”

Edwin Díaz is slated to return to the team on Wednesday. Tyler Glasnow faced live hitters on Friday, and he is expected to make one rehab part before he returns to the rotation. Blake Snell is slated to make his third rehab start on Wednesday in Triple-A Oklahoma City. This outing will be about 60 pitches, and the team would prefer to have his get up to 75 pitches before he comes back. However, as Katie points out, the Dodgers do not have another off day until August 6th and might prefer to bring him back before he reaches that threshold.

2027 MLB Free Agent Odds and Next Team Predictions

Want to get more Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account here.

The 2026 MLB offseason reset the market in a way the sport hasn't seen before.

Kyle Tucker's four-year, $240 million deal with the Dodgers set a new AAV record at $57.1 million, while Dylan Cease's seven-year, $210 million pact with Toronto and Alex Bregman's opt-out-fueled move to the Cubs showed just how aggressively contenders were willing to spend to close roster gaps. Six months later, the ripple effects are still shaping how teams build around this year's trade deadline and next winter's market.

With the 2026 season now into its second half, attention is already shifting to the star power set to hit free agency after this year. It's a deep class headlined by reigning AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, who's extension-eligible in Detroit but could become the most coveted arm to reach the open market in years if a deal doesn't get done before October. George Springer, Trent Grisham and a rotation-heavy group of arms give bettors plenty to work with on next team and re-signing markets well before free agency officially opens.

Below, we break down the top names in the 2027 free agent class, track next-team odds for where they could land, and revisit the biggest signings from this past winter that reshaped the league. We'll also walk through how to actually bet these markets, from moneyline-style next-team props to over/under win total shifts tied to star player movement.

Notable 2027 MLB unrestricted free agents

(Previous average annual value courtesy Spotrac)

PlayerPositionTeamPrevious AAV
Anthony Rendon3BAngels Angels$35,000,000
Tarik SkubalSPTigers Tigers$32,000,000
George SpringerRFBlue Jays Blue Jays$25,000,000
Robbie RaySPGiants Giants$23,000,000
Trent GrishamCFYankees Yankees$22,025,000
Gleyber Torres2BTigers Tigers$22,025,000
Brandon WoodruffSPBrewers Brewers$22,025,000
Zac GallenSPDiamondbacks Diamondbacks$22,025,000
Shota ImanagaSPCubs Cubs$22,025,000
Kevin GausmanSPBlue Jays Blue Jays$22,000,000
Ian HappLFCubs Cubs$20,333,333
Ha-seong KimSSBraves Braves$20,000,000
Chris BassittSPOrioles Orioles$18,500,000
Jack FlahertySPTigers Tigers$17,500,000
Seiya SuzukiRFCubs Cubs$17,000,000
Rhys Hoskins1BGuardians Guardians$17,000,000
Lance McCullersSPAstros Astros$17,000,000
Jameson TaillonSPCubs Cubs$17,000,000
Randy ArozarenaLFMariners Mariners$16,000,000
Raisel IglesiasRPBraves Braves$16,000,000

Tarik Skubal headlines the class by a wide margin. The Detroit Tigers ace is coming off a $32 million AAV and has already established himself as one of the sport's premier arms; unless Detroit locks him up with an extension, he'll set a new benchmark for starting pitcher contracts.

He won't be the only frontline starter available: Robbie Ray, Zac Gallen, Shota Imanaga, Brandon Woodruff and Kevin Gausman all carry AAVs north of $22 million and give this class one of the deepest starting pitching pools in recent memory.

The position-player side is led (in terms of 2026 salary) by Anthony Rendon, whose $35 million AAV with the Angels makes him the highest-paid player entering the class, along with George Springer, who's spent his current deal as a middle-of-the-order fixture in Toronto. Trent Grisham and Gleyber Torres, both coming off age-27-or-younger platform seasons, represent two of the more team-friendly bets in the group, while Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki give the Cubs a pair of outfield decisions to make almost simultaneously.

Further down the board, names like Ha-seong Kim, Chris Bassitt, Jack Flahertyand Rhys Hoskins round out a class with real depth at multiple positions. Raisel Iglesias stands out as the top reliever available, a group that tends to see some of the sharpest line movement on next-team markets since bullpen needs shift quickly at the deadline and into the winter.

MLB next team odds

Next team odds for the 2027 free agent class haven't opened yet; books typically wait until closer to the trade deadline or the start of the offseason to post opening lines, once there's more clarity on which players will actually reach free agency versus get extended.

We'll update this section with live odds as soon as they're available, so check back as the season progresses.

Notable 2026 MLB free agent signings

Framber Valdez, Detroit Tigers (3 years, $115 million): The left-hander signed with the Tigers on a deal that includes an opt-out after the second year and deferred money. Valdez's $38.3 million AAV sets a record for left-handed pitchers, reuniting him with Tigers manager A.J. Hinch, who managed him during his first two seasons with the Astros. The 32-year-old posted a 3.66 ERA over 192 innings in 2025 and will pair with two-time Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal atop Detroit's rotation.

Eugenio Suarez, Cincinnati Reds (1 year, $15 million): The 34-year-old slugger returned to Cincinnati, where he spent 2015-21 and hit 189 home runs. Suarez comes off a monster 2025 season with 49 homers and 118 RBIs split between Arizona and Seattle. The deal includes a $16 million mutual option for 2027. Despite post-trade deadline struggles with the Mariners, Suarez provides significant right-handed power and will primarily DH for the Reds.

Kyle Tucker, Los Angeles Dodgers (4 years, $240 million): The top free agent of the class signed with the back-to-back World Series champions in a blockbuster deal. Tucker's contract includes opt-outs after the second and third seasons and carries the highest AAV in MLB history at $57.1 million after deferrals. The four-time All-Star joins a loaded Dodgers lineup featuring Shohei Ohtani, Mookie Betts, and Freddie Freeman.

Bo Bichette, New York Mets (3 years, $126 million): Bichette spurned the Phillies to sign with the Mets on a deal featuring opt-outs after the first and second years, a $40 million signing bonus, and a full no-trade clause. His $42 million AAV ties for sixth-highest in baseball history. The two-time All-Star will move to third base with Francisco Lindor at shortstop.

Cody Bellinger, New York Yankees (5 years, $162.5 million): The 2019 NL MVP returned to the Yankees after a lengthy standoff, securing a deal with opt-outs after the second and third years, a $20 million signing bonus, and a full no-trade clause. Bellinger hit .272 with 29 home runs and 98 RBIs in his first season with New York in 2025.

Pete Alonso, Baltimore Orioles (5 years, $155 million): The Polar Bear left the Mets after seven seasons, signing with Baltimore at the winter meetings. Alonso hit .272/.347/.524 with 38 homers and 126 RBIs in 2025, proving his 2024 struggles were an outlier. The Orioles added significant right-handed power to balance their lineup.

Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (5 years, $150 million): Schwarber returned to Philadelphia, turning down a similar offer from Baltimore to remain with the defending NL champions.

Dylan Cease, Toronto Blue Jays (7 years, $210 million): The Blue Jays bolstered their rotation by landing the ace starter of the 2026 free agent class.

Alex Bregman, Chicago Cubs (5 years, $175 million): The three-time All-Star opted out of his contract with Boston after one strong season and signed with the Cubs. The deal includes a full no-trade clause and represents the third-largest contract in Cubs history.

Ranger Suarez, Boston Red Sox (5 years, $130 million): The Red Sox addressed their rotation needs by signing Suarez after missing out on re-signing Bregman.


How to bet MLB free agent markets

Next team odds are the most common way sportsbooks let you bet on free agency, essentially a moneyline on which team a player signs with, including a "Field" or "Other" option covering every team not individually listed. These odds move constantly as reports and beat writer chatter surface, so line shopping across books matters more here than in almost any other MLB market; a player's odds to land with a specific contender can shift 100+ points within a single reporting cycle.

Futures and props tied to signings are the next layer. Once a player signs, sportsbooks often release updated win total futures for that player's new team, along with division and pennant odds shifts. Betting a team's win total before a marquee free agent signs (or fading it right after) is a common way sharp bettors try to get ahead of market overreaction in either direction.

Timing is the biggest variable. Next-team odds are most volatile in the weeks around the Winter Meetings, when the bulk of top-tier deals get done. Betting early can get you better value on a popular destination before the market catches up, but it also means betting with less information; a team's payroll flexibility, injury situations, and even ownership mandates can all shift a player's market in the final weeks.

For extension-eligible players like Skubal, keep an eye on in-season deadlines too, since a deal getting done in-season effectively settles the market before free agency even opens.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Chicago Cubs news — PCA, Busch, Ramirez, Swanson, Imanaga, Taillon

Today’s Reflections

Monday, 2:30 PM MST — Instead of my trashing Jameson Taillon after his latest meltdown as I’ve been doing for a few starts, I was glad to let several writers do that job for me for once. That allowed me to concentrate on all the good things from the past weekend.

I had basically finished this article, left for a couple of hours for an appointment and returned to see if there was any new news to add in. Now, with Taillon being DFA, part of my article has been rewritten/reorganized.

This was quite the move by the Cubs. There was no messing around, but it was definitely needed, and time to move on. And if Jed Hoyer thought the price for SP was high last year, the Cubs are going to be put through the wringer this year.

Back to regularly scheduled comments:


The Cubs’ offense had multiple strong performances, including six hitters with at least one multi-hit game.

Let’s start with PCA, who posted 5-for-10, three runs, four RBI with two doubles, a triple and a home run. His big day was Saturday, going 4-for-5 with two doubles and a HR. Within that line, he went 2-for-3 against Paul Skenes, including a 400+ foot line drive off the center-field wall for an RBI double. Skenes did give up five runs in 5.1 innings, but rang up 11 strikeouts, so it wasn’t like he was flailing. Pete was a triple short of a cycle with three runs scored and three RBI in the game. PCA only had one hit Sunday, but it was that missing RBI-triple from the game before.

A bit overshadowed by PCA was Michael Busch’s 5-for-10 weekend with a double and walk (something PCA didn’t do), three RBI and a run scored.

Pedro Ramirez and Dansby Swanson had a nearly-duplicate pair of games. They each went 4-for-8 with three runs scored and two RBI. The only difference was Swanson’s RBI-double.

Miguel Amaya made his one game on Saturday count, going 2-for-4 with two runs scored and two RBI.

Nico Hoerner went 3-for-8 in the pair of games with two runs scored and an RBI.

A big honorable mention goes to Seiya Suzuki. While he only managed going 1-for05 in each of the two games, he had four RBI, including his two-run home run in the ninth inning Sunday that cut the Pirates’ lead to 8-7.

On the mound Saturday, Shota Imanaga tossed six scoreless innings against Skenes, stranding four hits and a walk while striking out four. Imanaga has had one similar game in each April, May and June while having struggles in his other outings. But this is the first time he has had back-to-back scoreless outings this season.

It was almost a perfect three-game series. Almost.


*means autoplay on, (directions to remove for Firefox and Chrome). {$} means paywall. {$} means limited views. Italics are often used on this page as sarcasm font. The powers that be have enabled real sarcasm font in the comments.

Sunday’s Game Stories:

Saturday’s Game Stories:

Trade, Injury and Roster Talk:

Players’ Views/Development RE: Trade Deadline:

Assorted Stories:


Food For Thought:

The founder of the eponymous Betty Fox Band fills the stage with smoky notes and a sultry presence, energizing crowds with smooth, powerful vocals. Born into a musical family, the Tampa native discovered her passion at an early age. Fox’s grandparents traveled around to churches with their kids, singing gospel hymns. Later, the family gathered around the piano every Sunday to sing harmonies, a tradition they continue now on holidays.

Please be reminded that Cub Tracks and Bleed Cubbie Blue do not necessarily endorse the content of articles, podcasts, or videos that are linked to in this series.

Tuesday Rockpile: What is the Rockies “core” going forward?

DENVER, COLORADO - JULY 21: Cole Carrigg #16 (left) and Kyle Karros #12 of the Colorado Rockies look at a replay on a tablet in the dugout after the top of the sixth inning against the Washington Nationals at Coors Field on July 21, 2026 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Yesterday in The Athletic, Ken Rosenthal and Will Sammon wrote about Colorado Rockies catcher Hunter Goodman’s questionable defensive skills and how they might affect his trade value going forward.

We’ve talked about that quite a bit already, but I just have to say to those executives who want to move Goodman out of the catcher role, “Have you seen his positional splits?” And to those who would consider moving him to another position, “Good luck!”

Ultimately, the piece struck me as part of front office bargaining. Here’s a tell: “The Yankees have a coach who possibly could draw more out of Goodman — Tanner Swanson, their major-league field coordinator and director of catching. Within the industry, Swanson is regarded as a top catching instructor.”

What are we even doing here (besides trying to depress Goodman’s trade value)?

Actually, that’s not what interested me about Rosenthal and Sammon’s article. This did:

As previously reported, the Rockies are telling teams they spent the first part of the season trying to figure out which players can be part of their next 90-win team. Barring an extension for Goodman, they must decide whether they can get to 90 wins with him by 2029, his final year of club control, or whether a trade for multiple prospects might accelerate their timeline.

The first sentence — “which players can be part of their next 90-win team” — caught my attention, and I began to wonder who might be on that next contending team. So today, I’m going to try to begin teasing that out.

A couple of prefatory notes are in order.

First, I’m limiting myself to the current 40-man roster and mostly prospects at Triple-A Albuquerque. Second, I’m going to assume that in terms of hitters, Paul DePodesta and Josh Byrnes are mostly interested in players who can get on base because they see it as a way to mitigate the Coors Effect. Third, based on what we’ve seen, I’m going to assume that the Rockies are looking for pitchers with big arsenals and funky deliveries.

That’s simplifying things — I know — but look at this as a pre-writing exercise rather than the final product.

Catchers

Currently, the Rockies have three catchers on their 40-man roster:

  • Hunter Goodman
  • Brett Sullivan
  • Braxton Fulford

I’ll start with the easy part: I do not believe Sullivan and Fulford are part of the Rockies core. However, I do think Sullivan, the archetypal backup catcher, has a future in coaching. But those two players are not key pieces when considering the Rockies future.

Goodman, though, I think is up for debate.

If the Rockies can get a haul for him that accelerates the team’s timeline to get back into contention, they’ll make the deal — and that haul will have to include significant pitching. If they keep Goodman, that’s fine, too, because the Rockies have a keen sense of his skill set (unlike some teams).

Looking forward, I think probably the Rockies have just drafted their catcher of the future in either Daniel Jackson or Jack Natili. And — file this one away — Jack O’Dowd, in addition to pounding baseballs, is also a catcher.

Infielders

Now things get more challenging. Here’s who’s currently on the 40-man roster:

I do not see Castro, Julien, and Stevens as part of the Rockies core. Castro, I think, will be traded while Julien and Stevens are released to continue the baseball journeys waiting for them.

Ritter and Tovar, I would argue, are placeholders. Despite Tovar’s struggles at the plate, he is the Rockies best option at shortstop in the near term. I suspect the Rockies hope to address his offensive issues and trade him. But Tyler Bell looks to be the future here though he has expressed a willingness to move to second.

Amador, I think, will get his second MLB audition in August. After the front office sees how he does, they’ll will decide his place in the lineup going forward.

Roldy Brito (No. 11 PuRP) and Ethan Holliday (No. 2 PuRP) fit in here somewhere. For Holliday, I am not sure where because I do not believe he’ll stick at short, but given that his season was cut short, we know less about his progress. (Frankly, I expect him to be moved to the outfield.)

So here’s my infield core: Rumfield and Karros with Charlie Condon (No 1 PuRP) providing a RH platoon for first base. Tyler Bell is the future shortstop with second base being up for grabs, and Amador having the first shot — but maybe that’s where they’re hoping for Landyn Vidourek.

Outfielders

Here’s the current 40-man selection:

And on the ‘Topes:

For me, there are two for-sure names on this list: Cole Carrigg and Charlie Condon.

Veen and Thompson will be given an opportunity to show what they can do after the trade deadline.

And the other players will be used to fill out a roster, as trade chips, or DFA’d when the season ends.

One note on McCarthy. Yes, he’s a model of what the Rockies want to do, but I see him more as an experiment than as part of the future. DePodesta and Byrnes had an idea of what they wanted to see work at Coors Field, and McCarthy showed it can. (Plus, check out his even- and 0dd-year splits.) At this point, McCarthy becomes more valuable as a trade piece.

Starting rotation

This one is fairly straightforward. Here’s the current 40-man:

Of this list, only two are players to build around: Chase Dollander and Gabriel Hughes.

Other starters I expect to be traded or used to finish the season. This is a part of the roster that DePodesta and Byrnes will focus on improving during the trade deadline and offseason.

Feltner, I would argue, is not consistent enough, and Sullivan seems better as a bullpen fit.

Bullpen

Here, things get weird, and I’m hesitant to say much of anything given the volatility of bullpen arms. And there are so many that I’m not going to list them all.

There is one that stands out: Nick Frasso. He may illustrate what the Rockies have in mind going forward. The other bullpen arms I think will either be traded or used as needed. (Hey, you can never have too many arms.) But Frasso and perhaps Juan Mejia strike me as the only two with staying power.

Here’s the thing about Seth Halvorsen: Whatever his talents, the Rockies front office did not see him as part of their core going forward.

We should see more of those kinds of moves before the trade deadline.

Closing thoughts

So that’s where I am in terms of looking to the future. I think DePodesta and Byrnes are eager to get this team in contention, and they will take whatever steps are needed to make that happen.

But with that, I turn the discussion over to the Purple Rowers, who, I’m sure, will have their own strong opinions.

Who do you see the Rockies building around going forward?


What I’m hearing about the Yankees’ trade deadline pursuit of a catcher | The Athletic ($ — gift link)

Of course, Hunter Goodman receives attention in this one with Chris Kirschner questioning Goodman’s defense skills. Then there’s this line: “During daily meetings between the Yankees’ starting pitcher and catcher, the catcher delivers comprehensive scouting reports detailing the strategy for attacking the opponent’s lineup.” Apparently the conclusion is that the Rockies don’t do game prep on the opposing team? At any rate, the Hunter Goodman articles increasingly seem less an analysis of his skills and more about decreasing his trade value.

The inevitable Kyle Karros | Blake Street Banter

Eli Whitney examines what Karros brings to the Rockies.

This rising Rockies prospect just hit over .400 for the second straight season | MLB.com

In case you’re just starting to learn about Cristian Arguelles, the 19-year-old outfielder dominating the ACL, here you go.


Join the conversation!

Sign up for a user account and get:

  • Fewer ads
  • Create community posts
  • Comment on articles, community posts
  • Rec comments, community posts
  • New, improved notifications system!

Please keep in mind our Purple Row Community Guidelines when you’re commenting. Thanks!