Fantasy Baseball Closer Report: Emmanuel Clase leads Opening Day rankings, Tigers send down saves leader

Happy Opening Day and welcome to the first edition of the Fantasy Baseball Closer Report for the 2025 MLB season.

This column will feature weekly updated closer rankings with writeups breaking down the previous week in saves. To wrap things up, I'll highlight some relievers on the rise and try to get ahead of the game with potential stash candidates to speculate on for future saves.

Fantasy Baseball Closer Rankings

Tier 1: At the Top

Emmanuel Clase - Cleveland Guardians
Mason Miller - Athletics
Devin Williams - New York Yankees
Josh Hader - Houston Astros

Clase takes the top spot in the closer rankings to start the season. Coming off his third straight 40-plus save campaign with a 0.61 ERA and 0.66 WHIP over 74 1/3 innings, he's been one of the game's top closers over the last several seasons. If not for a disappointing playoff performance, Clase may be alone in this top tier. Still, there's no better bet to lead the American League in saves once again.

Miller checks in at second to open the season. The 26-year-old right-hander was dominant in his first year in relief, converting 28 saves with a 2.49 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 104 strikeouts over 65 innings for a league-leading 41.8% strikeout rate. He has all the tools to be the best closer in the game. Durability and team context are the biggest questions surrounding Miller, but moving to relief has been a great way to preserve his health and get the most out of his 100-mph arm. And he still saw 31 save chances on an A's team that should improve on last season's 69-93 record.

There was no reliever better than Williams over the final two months. After returning from a back injury, he was as dominant as ever, posting a 1.25 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, and 38 strikeouts over 21 2/3 innings while converting 14 saves. Now, Williams takes his skills to New York where he'll be closing games for the Yankees. Rounding out the top tier is Hader. His susceptibility to homers has brought volatility to his ratios, but he remains among the most dominant ninth-inning relievers in baseball and should be near the top in both saves and strikeouts at the position.

Tier 2: The Elite

Ryan Helsley - St. Louis Cardinals
Edwin Díaz - New York Mets
Andrés Muñoz - Seattle Mariners
Raisel Iglesias - Atlanta Braves

Helsley bounced back from an injury-shortened 2023 to lead baseball with 49 saves in 2024. He posted an incredible 2.04 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 79 strikeouts across 66 1/3 innings. Durability concerns aside, he's one of the game's top closers. There is some speculation that Helsley could be traded by the Cardinals at some point this season before he hits the free-agent market this winter, but he'll likely remain in line for saves no matter the team.

Given his track record and strikeout ability, it would be no surprise to see Díaz join the top tier. But his diminished velocity this spring gives me pause. After missing the 2023 season with a knee injury, the 31-year-old right-hander returned with a mixed season, converting 20 saves with a 3.52 ERA across 53 2/3 innings. If he can get his velocity back in line with 2022 levels, he can once again be among the best. But there's some sneaky downside here if his reduced velocity sticks well into the regular season.

Muñoz could be in line for his best season yet as he appears ready to take on full-time save duties in Seattle. Last year, he converted 22 of the team's 34 saves. Six of the saves from other relievers came in June when Muñoz was nursing a back injury, though he never actually hit the injured list.

Iglesias posted the best ERA of his career in 2024 despite seeing a decline in his strikeout rate, down to 26.3%, his lowest since 2016. Still, the veteran 35-year-old right-hander remains one of the safest options for saves. The upside may just be capped now as it's difficult to see him repeat career-best ratios at his age without a rebound in his strikeout rate.

Tier 3: The Solid Options

Jhoan Duran - Minnesota Twins
Ryan Walker - San Francisco Giants
Félix Bautista - Baltimore Orioles
Tanner Scott - Los Angeles Dodgers
Jeff Hoffman - Toronto Blue Jays
Robert Suarez - San Diego Padres

Duran got off to a late start last season after suffering a spring oblique injury. Despite a down season on the surface, his skills and underlying numbers remained in line with his career norms. His 3.64 ERA appears to be more the product of some bad luck. The thing holding Duran back isn't necessarily anything in his control. The Twins are still managed by Rocco Baldelli, who seldom gives all the save chances to one reliever.

Rounding out the top ten closers is Walker, who broke out with the Giants last season, ending the year with the closer role and posting a 1.91 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, and 99 strikeouts over 80 innings. Manager Bob Melvin has given Walker his vote of confidence in naming him the team's full-time closer to start the season.

Bautista's 2023 was one of the most dominant seasons from a reliever we've seen in recent memory. The 29-year-old right-hander is ready to return to action after missing last season recovering from Tommy John surgery. There were questions surrounding his availability to open the year, but he will be included on the Opening Day roster. How much the team will lean on him, at least in the early going, remains to be seen. I wouldn't expect him to pitch many back-to-backs to start the season, opening the door for Seranthony Domínguez or Yennier Cano to pick up the occasional save.

Scott landed in one of the best situations, joining the Dodgers on a four-year, $72 million contract. Manager Dave Roberts stated Scott would be getting "the bulk" of the team's save chances. He got the first save opportunity against the Cubs in the two-game Tokyo Series, with Alex Vesia working the ninth inning the following day. Even if Scott isn't getting every save chance, there should be more than enough to go around to make him well worth his draft season price.

After two excellent seasons in relief with the Phillies, Hoffman is getting an opportunity to operate as a full-time closer with the Blue Jays. The 32-year-old right-hander was one of the best setup men in 2024, posting a 2.17 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and 89 strikeouts across 66 1/3 innings. Some durability questions were raised during Hoffman's free-agency process, but he's shown no reason for concern since moving to relief.

Suarez got off to an incredible start before struggling over the final two months. He posted a 1.67 ERA through the All-Star break before recording a 4.28 mark in the second half. That second-half slide and trade speculation have him lower in the rankings than his 2024 season total might warrant. And the Padres seem to have plenty of options ready to step in should Suarez falter.

Tier 4: Only Here for the Saves

Trevor Megill - Milwaukee Brewers
Pete Fairbanks - Tampa Bay Rays
Kenley Jansen - Los Angeles Angels
Jordan Romano - Philadelphia Phillies
Aroldis Chapman - Boston Red Sox
Justin Martinez/A.J. Puk - Arizona Diamondbacks
David Bednar - Pittsburgh Pirates
Kyle Finnegan - Washington Nationals
Ryan Pressly - Chicago Cubs
Carlos Estévez - Kansas City Royals

Megill led the Brewers in saves last season with 21 while posting a 2.72 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 50 strikeouts across 46 1/3 innings, filling in nicely in Devin Williams' absence over the first four months. Now, Megill goes into the season as Milwaukee's unquestioned closer. Lack of track record and durability concerns hold him down, but he has more upside than most in this tier.

Much of the same can be said for Fairbanks, who saw a sharp decline in his strikeout rate last season. The 31-year-old right-hander has yet to prove he can hold up over a full season. And he may be running out of time to prove himself as a reliable closer in Tampa Bay. Fairbanks has a club option for 2026, his final year of team control, and could be a trade candidate.

Every year brings a little more risk and a little more volatility, but Jansen just continues to get it done even as he enters his 16th season in the majors. The 37-year-old right-hander will look to add to his 447 save total with the Angels.

After back-to-back dominant 36-save seasons, Romano was limited to just 13 2/3 innings with the Blue Jays last season, converting eight saves with a 6.59 ERA as he dealt with elbow issues. He'll look to return to form with the Phillies. José Alvarado and Orion Kerkering have impressed this spring and could step in to close if Romano struggles on the mound or misses time.

Like Jansen, Chapman's track record continues to give him closing opportunities, even if he becomes more volatile. He was much better over the second half with the Pirates last season, ending the year with 14 saves. The 37-year-old left-hander has impressed in camp with the Red Sox, striking out 14 batters over 7 1/3 innings in spring training. Manager Alex Cora stated Chapman will begin the season in the closer role, but could pitch earlier in the game if the situation calls for the southpaw.

If either Justin Martinez or A.J. Puk were named the team's full-time close, they'd be much higher on the list. As things stand, manager Torey Lovullo is likely to deploy them both in a matchup-based committee, with Martinez facing right-handed heavy lineups in the ninth inning and Puk getting the left-handers.

Bednar suffered a lat injury last spring and despite avoiding the injured list to start the year, stumbled out of the gate. He did land on the injured list in June with an oblique strain and never seemed to get right as he ended with a 5.77 ERA across 57 2/3 innings. This spring, manager Derek Shelton refused to name a closer after Aroldis Chapman finished 2024 in the role. Still, Bednar will likely get the first crack at saves for the Pirates as he looks to have a bounce-back season.

Finnegan returns to the Nationals, where he converted a career-high 38 saves last season. The numbers may not be pretty, but saves are saves. In Chicago, Pressly had operated as the Astros closer for four seasons before taking a step back in 2024 for Josh Hader. Now, he'll get a chance to close games again with the Cubs. The 36-year-old right-hander will need to halt the decline in his strikeout rate he's seen over the last two seasons to remain effective in the role, otherwise, Porter Hodge has shown he's capable of stepping in if needed.

It's a similar situation in Kansas City, where Carlos Estévez is set to take the higher share of save chances. Behind him, Lucas Erceg will get the occasional save chance while being used in the highest leverage situation late in games.

Tier 5: Bottom of the Barrel

Chris Martin/Luke Jackson - Texas Rangers
Beau Brieske/Tyler Holton/Tommy Kahnle - Detroit Tigers
Scott Barlow/Tony Santillan/Taylor Rogers - Cincinnati Reds
Tyler Kinley/Victor Vodnik/Seth Halvorsen - Colorado Rockies
Calvin Faucher/Jesus Tinoco - Miami Marlins
Mike Clevinger/Fraser Ellard/Jordan Leasure - Chicago White Sox

This bottom tier is full of underwhelming options and unclear situations, some of which you may not want a part of. The Rangers present the most upside. Manager Bruce Bochy stated the team could open the season mirroring a recent spring training outing in which Luke Jackson pitched in the closers' spot. Chris Martin is expected to be in the mix. Marc Church is another name Bochy has mentioned as a candidate.

In a surprise move by the Tigers, Jason Foley was optioned to Triple-A to start the season. Beau Brieske is the first name to speculate on, though he's had some struggles this spring. In Cincinnati, Alexis Díaz will start the year on the 15-day injured list with a hamstring injury. Tony Santillan was mentioned as a possibility to step in, but manager Terry Francona may want to use his best reliever in high-leverage situations. Emilio Pagán, Taylor Rogers, and Scott Barlow all have some previous closing experience.

Relievers On The Rise/Stash Candidates

Starting with one of the most skilled setup men in baseball, Griffin Jax is worth rostering across most formats despite pitching behind Jhoan Duran in Minnesota. He broke out in a big way last season, posting a 2.03 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, and 95 strikeouts across 71 innings. Cleveland's Cade Smith is right there with Jax among the top setup men in the game and holds value regardless of format. Smith struck out 103 batters while recording a 1.91 ERA across 75 1/3 frames.

If you're looking to leverage against some of the more risky closers and stash a potential saves candidate, Orion Kerkering has top-ten closer upside if he's ever tasked with stepping in for Jordan Romano. The red flags in Robert Suarez's profile make Jason Adam a stash candidate in deeper leagues. And Edwin Uceta has some intriguing upside should Pete Fairbanks struggle or be sidelined at any point after Uceta ended the 2024 season closing out games in Tampa Bay.

Clay Holmes to take ‘uncharted’ new role slow, beginning with Mets’ 2025 Opening Day start

Clay Holmes’ last 300 big league appearances have been out of the bullpen. On Thursday afternoon in Houston on Opening Day, the right-hander will climb the hill for the Mets as a starter for the first time in 2,370 days.  

“Definitely try and enjoy the moment, just soak it in for a second,” Holmes said on Wednesday. “Then it’s time to get to work.”

On the eve of making a big shift from closer to starter, the 32-year-old was asked what the biggest question he has about his season. “It’s a good question,” Holmes said, pausing and looking toward the sky from the Mets’ dugout in Houston.

“Personally, I’m keeping this thing kinda short-sighted,” Holmes said. “For me, it’s like, ‘Hey, let’s get through five starts and evaluate where we’re at.’ And you get through that one start at a time.

“It sure is fun to set big season goals, long goals. But, especially this being so new, and it’s been a while since I’ve done this, it’s a little bit uncharted [territory] for me. There’s been a few guys who’ve done this the past few years, but for me, it’s like, get through the starts, see where we’re at, see how we’re feeling, see how things are testing, and put a plan for the next week and tackle the next start.”

Holmes said early on this is something that will require a lot of monitoring.

“Monitor where we’re at, see where the trends are going and correct course when we need to,” he continued. “And hopefully be out there for every start.”

Holmes said he has been in contact with two pitchers who have made the switch – Michael King and Garrett Crochet, both of whom are, coincidentally enough, also Opening Day starters Thursday – to pick their brains on that, but every pitcher is “a bit different.”

“Everybody has their own set of challenges and things they need to accomplish, but just to hear their perspective and how the overall experience went for them,” he said. “It’s just good to have that perspective when you do run into things, have questions, it’s nice to have that.”

But, Holmes isn’t shying away from the expectations of the ballclub, which come from an NLCS trip last year, and the other former Yankee who made the jump from The Bronx to Queens this offseason.

“You can feel the excitement, there’s definitely expectations,” he said. “Everybody knows the payroll and the players we have here and the talent we have here and there are things that come with that.

“... there’s expectations, sure, but there’s a lot of accountability in the locker room, too. And I think that’s what makes this group great.”

Entering his eighth big league season, the righty said there’s a standard that’s being set here, and the “responsibility” of World Series expectations is one the players are “all excited to have.”

Now, all that’s left is the next 162 games.

“I think we had a great spring training, I think we’re in a great position to do what we set out to do,” Holmes said.  “Time to just go compete now.”

Cubs at Diamondbacks prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, trends, and stats for March 27

Opening Day for the Cubs and Diamondbacks finds the National League clubs squaring off in Phoenix on Thursday night.

Justin Steele is slated to take the mound for Chicago against Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Cubs at Diamondbacks

  • Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Time: 10:10PM EST
  • Site: Chase Field
  • City: Phoenix, AZ
  • Network/Streaming: MSN, DBACKS.TV

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Cubs at the Diamondbacks

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Chicago Cubs (+110), Arizona Diamondbacks (-130)
  • Spread: Cubs +1.5 (-190), Diamondbacks -1.5 (+155)
  • Total: 8.5 runs

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Probable starting pitchers for Cubs at Diamondbacks

  • Thursday’s pitching matchup (March 27): Justin Steele vs. Zac Gallen
    • Cubs: Justin Steele
      Spring Training - 1GP, 4.0 IP, 0-1, 11.25 ERA, 5 Ks
    • Diamondbacks: Zac Gallen
      Spring Training - 4GP, 9.1 IP, 2-0, 2.89 ERA, 10 Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Cubs at Diamondbacks

  • Prized offseason acquisition Kyle Tucker was just 3-30 (.100) in 13 Spring Training games
  • Highly touted 1B Michael Busch was 15-36 (.417) in 14 Spring Training games
  • Corbin Carroll hit .400 (18-45) in Spring Training for Arizona
  • Corbin Burnes gave up 9 earned runs in 16 IP this Spring

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Thursday’s game between the Cubs and the Diamondbacks

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Cubs and the Diamondbacks:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on Arizona on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play ATS on the Diamondbacks -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 8.5.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

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  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Braves at Padres prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for March 27

Opening Day at Petco Park features the Padres hosting the Atlanta Braves.

CY Young winner Chris Sale is slated to take the mound for Atlanta against Cy Young hopeful Michael King of San Diego

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Braves at Padres

  • Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Time: 4:10PM EST
  • Site: Petco Park
  • City: San Diego, CA
  • Network/Streaming: FDSN South

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Braves at the Padres

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Atlanta Braves (-130), San Diego Padres (+110)
  • Spread: Braves -1.5 (+145), Padres +1.5 (-175)
  • Total: 7 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Braves at Padres

  • Thursday’s pitching matchup (March 27): Chris Sale vs. Michael King
    • Braves: Chris Sale
      Spring Training - 5 GP, 19.1 IP, 1-1, 2.79 ERA, 20 Ks
    • Padres: Michael King
      Spring Training - 4GP, 13.2 IP, 1-1, 3.95 ERA, 13Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Braves at Padres

  • Gavin Sheets hit 6 HRs in 54 ABs in Spring Training for San Diego
  • Manny Machado was just 7-33 (.212) in Spring Training for the Padres
  • Marcell Ozuna smacked 4 HRs in Spring Training for Atlanta
  • Matt Olson hit 3 HRs in Spring Training but had just 9 hits in 49 ABs (.184)

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Thursday’s game between the Braves and the Padres

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Braves and the Padres:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Braves on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Braves -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 7.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Yankees option RHP Yerry De Los Santos among flurry of injury moves

The Yankees' 2025 Opening Day roster is coming into focus, and after Wednesday's moves, it's likely the bullpen has been decided.

The team announced they optioned RHP Yerry De Los Santos to Triple-A, making room for Yoendrys Gomez and Brent Headrick to take the final two bullpen spots as internal options.

De Los Santos had a very good spring, pitching to a 1.93 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 9.1 innings across eight appearances. However, De Los Santos had minor league options, something Gomez didn't. But that doesn't mean Gomez isn't good; the 25-year-old righty has not allowed a run in 11.1 innings pitched (seven appearances) while striking out nine batters.

As for Headrick, although he had an option, he is a left-hander that will allow the Yankees to carry two southpaws alongside Tim Hill. The 27-year-old Headrick has struggled a bit this spring, allowing seven runs over 11.1 innings pitched but he had back-to-back scoreless outings in his final tuneups of camp.

In addition to the roster move, the Yankees made a flurry of injury designations.

The team placed RHP Clayon Beeter (shoulder), RHP JT Brubaker (rib), RHP Scott Effross (hamstring), Jonathan Loaisiga (elbow surgery recovery), RHP Clarke Schmidt (rotator) and RHP Ian Hamilton (illness) on the 15-day IL to start the season.

DJ LeMahieu (calf) and Giancarlo Stanton (elbow) were placed on the 10-day IL, which is a good sign for the Yankees. They don't believe either hitter will miss more than the first week of the season before they can return. Both are retroactive to March 24 so they can potentially return on April 3.

The Yankees begin the season at home against the Milwaukee Brewers at 3 p.m. on Thursday. Their Opening Day roster will not be due until then.

Luisangel Acuña earns final spot on Mets' 2025 Opening Day roster: report

The Mets are naming infielder Luisangel Acuña to the 26-man roster for Opening Day, according to multiple reports.

The 23-year-old infielder has reportedly been told that he will be named the final player to the club's roster ahead of New York's first game of the 2025 MLB season against the Houston Astros on Thursday.

This likely means that outfielder Alexander Canario is the odd man out and, since he is out of options, will be placed on waivers by noon tomorrow when the Mets' Opening Day roster is due.

Earlier on Wednesday, Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns announced that Brett Baty, Hayden Senger, Max Kranick, and Huascar Brazoban had been informed that they made the Opening Day roster.

However, Stearns did not announce the decision on Acuña, saying the team was "ensuring we stay open to what might be out there."

"This is a highly active time of year as players are on waivers, players have assignment clauses, players have upward mobility clauses, players take their [opt-]outs and become free agents," he said from Houston. "Players become available at the last minute before rosters are submitted and the last thing we want to do is tell a player that they are on the Opening Day roster and then have to walk that back before rosters are due.

"So we're just gonna make sure that we explore all possibilities before we announce anything final."

Stearns and manager Carlos Mendoza indicated that Baty will be getting "a lot of playing time" at second base.

Acuña made his MLB debut at the end of last season, collecting 12 hits in 39 at-bats over 14 games with three home runs and six RBI. He appeared in nine games during the Mets' postseason run, mostly as a late-inning replacement, and went hitless in three at-bats with two strikeouts. During 131 games at Triple-A Syracuse last year, Acuña knocked in 50 runs with 33 extra-base hits and a .258/.299/.355 slash line (.654 OPS) with an impressive 40 steals on 54 attempts.

This spring, he had 13 hits in 52 at-bats (.250 average).

"I think he had a nice spring training," Stearns said. "Luisangel is a very, very gifted defender. I'm glad he got some additional exposure to third base. I think that was important for him and towards the end of camp, he started to play a strong third base, and that was great to see.

"Offensively, I think we saw some really good signs. We saw some ability to go the other way, we know he's got some pop in the bat when he gets to his pull side. And then we also saw where there still needs to be some growth, and he's very aware of that as well."

Canario was solid during the spring for the Mets – 11 hits in 36 at-bats with three home runs and eight RBI and a 1.030 OPS – but keeping him would have meant that the Mets would begin the season with only four infielders on the 26-man roster.

He was acquired in a cash deal with the Chicago Cubs in late February. The 24-year-old appeared in 21 games with the Cubs the past two seasons, tallying 12 hits in 45 plate appearances with five extra-base hits, eight RBI, and a .857 slugging percentage.

Red Sox manager Alex Cora says Alex Bregman will play third base and Rafael Devers will move to DH

BOSTON — Boston Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Wednesday that newly acquired free agent Alex Bregman will play third base this season, with incumbent Rafael Devers moving to designated hitter.

“We all are in the winning business, and he understands that,” Cora told WEEI-AM. “It’s like everything, right: You don’t have to agree with it, but at the end of the day what are we going to go out there and perform every single day.”

Devers has developed into one of the top hitters in the American League over the past seven-plus seasons, batting .279 with 200 home runs and 638 RBIs while earning three All-Star selections and picking up MVP votes five times. While the Red Sox refused to make a long-term commitment to homegrown stars Mookie Betts and Xander Bogaerts, they signed Devers before the 2023 season to a 10-year, $313.5 million deal.

But Devers has struggled at third base, where he has played almost 1,000 games, leading the league in errors at the position seven years in a row. When the team signed Bregman - the reigning Gold Glover winner at the position - this spring, Devers said: “Third base is my position.”

“We had conversations throughout spring training, and he was very vocal about how he felt,” Cora told the radio station. “We made a decision: Alex is going to play third, Raffy’s going to DH.”

Cora said Devers has been working to understand the routine as a designated hitter. He will bat second, with Bregman batting third.

“I think having Alex behind him is going to benefit him,” Cora said. “I expect a great season from Raffy.”

The changes mean Masataka Yoshida, who played all but one game as DH last season, is looking for a spot in the lineup. He still has three years and almost $56 million left on his contract.

Orioles at Blue Jays prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for Mar. 27

The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays open the 2025 regular season Thursday north of the border in Toronto.

Zach Eflin is slated to take the mound for Baltimore against José Berríos for Toronto.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Orioles at Blue Jays

  • Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Time: 3:07PM EST
  • Site: Rogers Centre
  • City: Toronto, Ontario
  • Network/Streaming: MASN, SportsNet Now

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Orioles at the Blue Jays

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Baltimore Orioles (-115), Toronto Blue Jays (-105)
  • Spread: Orioles -1.5 (+145), Blue Jays +1.5 (-175)
  • Total: 8.5 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Orioles at Blue Jays

  • Thursday’s pitching matchup (DATE): Zach Eflin vs. José Berríos
    • Orioles: Zach Eflin
      Spring Training - 4GP, 11.2 IP, 0-1, 5.40 ERA, 9 Ks
    • Blue Jays: José Berríos
      Spring Training - 5GP, 20.2 IP, 2-0, 2.18 ERA, 18 Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Orioles at Blue Jays

  • Certain to be in the news all summer, Vladimir Guerrero hit .298 in Spring Training for Toronto
  • Bo Bichette led the Jays with a .373 average this Spring
  • Ryan Mountcastle led the Orioles with 5 HRs this Spring
  • Jackson Holliday went 16-48 (.333) this Spring for the O's

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Thursday’s game between the Orioles and the Blue Jays

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Orioles and the Blue Jays:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on Toronto on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 8.5.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Mets' Hayden Senger 'pretty speechless' to make first career Opening Day roster

Drafted by the Mets in the 24th round of the 2018 MLB Draft, catcher Hayden Senger has been waiting years for the message he finally received just before the team broke camp in Port St. Lucie this week.

For the first time, the 27-year-old can call himself a major leaguer.

Senger, who has played a combined 402 games in the Mets’ minor league system, has officially made the 2025 Opening Day roster. President of baseball operations David Stearns announced the move to reporters on Wednesday, and Senger later spoke to the assembled media, describing what that moment meant to him.

“It was a very nice conversation. I feel like I couldn’t really get words out,” Senger said. “I was really excited. All of those years that I put in, kind of overwhelmed me. So, yeah, pretty speechless.”

With Francisco Alvarezbeginning the season on the Injured List due to a broken bone in his left hand, Luis Torrens will take over as the starting catcher, opening a spot for Senger as the backup.

“There’s a lot of down times and lot of times when I felt like I was on top of the world,” Senger said. “It’s a roller coaster playing in the minor leagues for that long. To be here, it does make it all worth it.”

“I’ve got to give a shoutout to my wife [Ryann],” Senger added later. “She has worked for a lot of years to support me through this, and it kind of made it all worth it now that I get to say I’m a major league baseball player.”

Stearns said Senger making the team is a good story, but that's not the reason he made the ballclub. 

“He’s getting the job because we think he can help us win games,” Stearns said. “He’s an elite defensive catcher. Our pitchers love throwing to him; that really matters for us. And we’re excited to have him on the team and looking forward to watching him play.”

As Senger has battled his way up through the Mets’ minor league system (he first got a taste of Triple-A ball in 2022), he’s needed to take on an offseason job along the way, working in a grocery store to supplement his income.

“[Carlos Mendoza] said I know what you do in the offseason,” Senger said about when he got the call into the manager’s office, “and I don’t know if you ever got a promotion [there], but you got one here.”

Of course, there’s no telling how long this major league dream will last for Senger, but he’s not thinking that far ahead. For now, he’s soaking up every moment he can as he looks forward to his major league debut.

But what about keeping that other job?

“Still up in the air,” Senger said with a laugh. “I gotta tell my boss.”

Hall of Famer on Phillies Andrew Painter: ‘This guy's gonna be Gerrit Cole'

Hall of Famer on Phillies Andrew Painter: ‘This guy's gonna be Gerrit Cole' originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

The Phillies haven’t opened the 2025 season just yet, but one Hall of Famer believes their pitching will guide them deep into October.

Hall of Fame baseball writer Jayson Stark was a guest on 97.5 The Fanatic’s “The Best Show Ever,” and he was very bullish on the Phils, particularly the starting pitching, a group that features a pair of additions at the back end to an already strong top four: hard-throwing Jesus Luzardo, added via trade from Miami, and top prospect Andrew Painter, who expects to arrive sometime around the middle of the season.

“I think the upside is best rotation in baseball,” Stark said. “We’re assuming the big guns stay healthy. [Zack] Wheeler, [Aaron] Nola, they’re all about taking the ball. Let’s assume they do. Then you have Cristopher Sanchez. So much buzz about that guy all spring, and with reason. He finished the spring with a 29% strikeout rate. Now you have this ‘swing and miss’ version of Sanchez that we’ve never seen. It could be spectacular if this is what he is.”

“Jesus Luzardo is a swing and miss machine. It feels to me like he is highly motivated by a chance to pitch for a team that’s actually good! When you think about all the retreads that they ran through the number 5 starter hole last year, and now you compare that group to Jesus Luzardo, what a difference! It’s incredible to think about what a difference that make.”

Some lofty expectations indeed for Luzardo, who while exceedingly talented, has yet to truly arrive in the major leagues. But Stark saved some superlatives for a man who has yet to throw a single major league pitch.

“Ricky, this guy’s gonna be [Yankees ace] Gerrit Cole, honestly. I just wonder about how patient the Phillies can be about getting him to the big leagues if they have any injuries early in the rotation.”

Whoa.

Painter hasn’t pitched a single inning above AA-ball, and Stark compares him favorably with a 6-time All-Star, Cy Young winner and future Hall of Famer. Heady stuff. I’ll take it.

Coming off Tommy John surgery and rehab, Painter (who turns 22 next month) is on an innings restriction of about 100 innings for 2025. The front office would prefer that those innings are pitched down the stretch, or, if the situation calls for it, in the postseason. But we shall see.

“I know they feel like they’ve got the best rotation in the big leagues… I’m not sure they’re wrong, and a lot of it is about those two guys who were not there at any point last year.”

'Generational upgrade.' Inside Dodgers' offseason renovations to their new home clubhouse

Los Angeles, CA, Monday, January 6, 2025 - Construction continues on the field at Dodger Stadium as harsh Santa Ana weather conditions are predicted this week. (Robert Gauthier/Los Angeles Times)
During the offseason, construction crews gutted the bowels of Dodger Stadium, digging deep trenches down the left and right field foul lines to build new, expanded clubhouse areas. (Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times)

When the Dodgers’ Guggenheim ownership group first bought the team in 2012, one of their early hires was renowned sports architect Janet Marie Smith.

And in her first couple of months on the job, one of her biggest early tasks quickly became clear.

The clubhouse at the time, she recalled, still felt like a “1962 locker room” — from the shared batting cage and food room used by the home and road teams, to the dilapidated dressing room that still harkened back to the stadium’s opening a half-century earlier.

So, that first offseason before the 2013 campaign, the team did some immediate renovations, updating the space with more modern features and expanding its footprint to a more spacious two-level design.

But over the decade since, a more complete reimagining of the space had been on the club’s bucket list.

Read more:Mookie Betts is happy to be back in the Dodgers' lineup

This winter, those visions finally became reality.

When the Dodgers begin the domestic portion of their schedule on Thursday, hosting the Detroit Tigers for their home-opener at 4:10 p.m., they will do so in the comfort of a brand-new clubhouse space, having completed an extensive renovation to Dodger Stadium this offseason that centered on transforming the area players will call home for the next six months.

“We felt that what we’d done in 2013 seemed like a marked change,” Smith said this week. “But what we’ve done this year is what [team president] Stan Kasten has described as a ‘generational upgrade.’”

In the space of just four months this winter, construction crews gutted the bowels of Dodger Stadium, digging deep trenches down the left and right field foul lines to build new, expanded clubhouse areas within the confines of Major League Baseball’s third-oldest ballpark.

When fans arrive Thursday, the results of the work won’t be obvious to the naked eye. From the exterior, the ballpark won’t look much changed from the extensive 2020 renovations Smith oversaw at the stadium, when the outfield pavilions were updated and the center field plaza was added to become Dodger Stadium’s new “front door.”

But beneath their feet, the Dodgers will be enjoying all the trappings of their new home clubhouse.

Fans take in the view as construction workers finish renovations during DodgerFest at Dodger Stadium Saturday.
Fans take in the view as construction workers finish renovations during DodgerFest at Dodger Stadium last month. (Wally Skalij / Los Angeles Times)

They now have expanded weight, training and food rooms. Their once-cramped locker room has been turned into a more spacious, luxurious setting. And, to the excitement of much of the roster, a second batting cage has been installed as well, one fitted with all the trappings of modern training technology in what the team hopes will serve as yet another boon to its superstar-laden roster.

“That clubhouse was amazing,” first baseman Freddie Freeman said after getting his first look during the team’s Freeway Series exhibition game against the Angels on Sunday.

“Really crazy,” added starting pitcher Tyler Glasnow. “Everything was really nice.”

“It’s hard to put into words,” echoed third baseman Max Muncy, one of the longest-tenured players on the roster. “You get so used to something being there and you come in and you have no idea where you’re at. It’s really cool. It’s what you’d expect out of the Dodgers.”

Because Dodger Stadium is built into a hillside in Chavez Ravine, Smith said the only way for the team to create new space for its players and coaching staff was effectively by digging deeper into the ground.

“It would be impossible — and I don’t use that word casually — to go into the hillside to create the space for the clubhouse,” said Smith, whose decorated career includes leading past jobs to build Camden Yards in Baltimore, transform Turner Field in Atlanta from a Summer Olympics venue into an MLB stadium, and renovate Fenway Park in Boston for a second century of use.

“So,” she continued of this winter’s Dodger Stadium renovations, “we took all the seats out, created the space below the playing field, and then created essentially a concrete roof over that” for the pre-existing structure to be rebuilt on top of.

Read more:Dodgers will visit President Trump and the White House to celebrate World Series title

Planning for the project had taken shape over the last two years, with Smith soliciting input from president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman and his front office, members of the coaching staff and playing roster, and virtually anyone else who counts the clubhouse as their workplace on a daily basis.

“I don’t think there’s anyone in the clubhouse who didn’t have some input on their area,” she said. “That’s been really helpful.”

And through those conversations, the reality Smith first confronted a decade ago was only further crystallized as blueprints came together.

“As we worked with our baseball operations team and Andrew Friedman and all of his lieutenants,” she said, “it became clear that what we really needed was not just an appendage to the clubhouse, but a holistic renovation.”

Now, the home clubhouse is a sprawling three-story structure residing beneath Dodger Stadium’s field level. It stretches from behind the third-base dugout all the way down to the left-field foul pole. And it’s so big, Freeman joked that before Sunday’s game, he didn’t even have time to check out all of its new features on his first day there.

“I heard there were [new] sleep rooms,” he said with a laugh. “I haven’t even seen those yet. So yeah, it’s gonna take a couple days to take it all in.”

One of the most notable changes was the expansion of the actual locker room, which transformed from one of the smallest home dressing rooms in all the majors to a more modern space with new stalls complete with mood lighting and digitized nameplates.

Vast improvements were also made to strength and conditioning rooms, something that Smith credited to owner Mark Walter’s goal of making Dodger Stadium “a place where the players feel is there for them 12 months a year,” and also noted as being high on Friedman's list of suggestions.

“One of the things that Andrew and his team asked for was that our weight room and training room be placed together,” she said, “because the activities between the two are very fluid.”

The team’s full-service kitchen got a facelift, too, having evolved as a place of renewed importance since Dodger Stadium’s last clubhouse renovations in 2013.

Construction crews worked throughout the offseason to finish upgrades to the team's clubhouse in time for the 2025 season.
Construction crews worked throughout the offseason to finish upgrades to the team's clubhouse in time for the start of the 2025 season. (Robert Gauthier / Los Angeles Times)

Same went with the batting cages — the place many hitters and coaches spend much of their time pregame, and made near-universal requests for the creation of a second hitting tunnel.

“I mean, we made it work with one cage,” Freeman said. “But having two cages, obviously you can get so much more. Guys can work at the same time … We’ll be able to change schedules.”

“More space, more resources,” Freeman added, “means hopefully better things.”

The real surprise from players was how quickly the renovations got done.

Freeman deadpanned that, compared to Dodger Stadium’s four-month timeline, it took a wine cellar he installed at his home “about eight months to do, so I’m kinda confused.” Glasnow added that, at points this offseason, he “honestly didn’t think it was gonna get done” in time for the start of the season.

“But when we walked in, everything was ready to go,” Glasnow remarked this week, his eyes still wide with amazement at the new space. “To all the workers, I don’t know how they did that so quick. It was so much stuff.”

Smith acknowledged the scale of this offseason’s renovations isn’t usually completed so quickly. She estimated that the timeline “probably should have been three times” as long as their four-month construction window. But, to expedite the process, crews from PCL construction, along with hundreds of other subcontractors and vendors who were involved in the job, worked on a seven-day-per-week schedule. Some contractors, Smith said, “have literally not had a day off since January.”

“When they took the job on, it was sort of a pact everyone made: You’re gonna be available,” Smith said. “And everyone stuck to that … I think people feel real pride in being able to be a part of something that has this kind of cultural relevance to the city.”

Read more:News Analysis: Shohei Ohtani is restarting his throwing program. But how much will he pitch in 2025?

Smith’s hope is that fans feel similarly, even if their gameday experience might not look much different when they arrive Thursday.

“I know it’s not a fan-facing space [that we renovated],” she said. “But I think our fans have such a connection to our players and their emotions and their psyche, that I hope they sort of feel that energy resonated.”

With the players, at least, it already is; giving the Dodgers’ defending World Series-winning roster one more thing to celebrate as they open the 2025 season.

“It feels like they created space out of nothing, which they kind of did,” Muncy said. “Everything just feels a whole lot bigger. It’s kind of amazing.”

Sign up for more Dodgers news with Dodgers Dugout. Delivered at the start of each series.

This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Phillies at Nationals Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for Mar. 27

Phillies at Nationals Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for March 27

Thursday, the Philadelphia Phillies and the Washington Nationals open the 2025 regular season in our nation's capital.

Zack Wheeler is slated to take the mound for Philadelphia against MacKenzie Gore for Washington

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Phillies at Nationals

  • Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Time: 4:05PM EST
  • Site: Nationals Park
  • City: Washington, DC
  • Network/Streaming: NBC Sports Philadelphia, MASN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Phillies at the Nationals

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies (-175), Washington Nationals (+145)
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5 (-102), Nationals +1.5 (-118)
  • Total: 7.0 runs

Listen to the Rotoworld Baseball Show for the latest player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long. Click here or download it wherever you get your podcasts.

Probable starting pitchers for Phillies at Nationals

  • Thursday’s pitching matchup (DATE): Zack Wheeler vs. MacKenzie Gore
    • Phillies: Zack Wheeler
      Spring Training - 4GP, 14 IP, 0-1, 3.86 ERA, 13 Ks
    • Nationals: MacKenzie Gore
      Spring Training - 4GP, 16.1 IP, 2-1, 2.76 ERA, 18 Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Phillies at Nationals

  • Alec Bohm who was rumored to be on the trading block this offseason led the Phillies this Spring with a .370 average
  • Kyle Schwarber collected 9 hits in 49 ABs (.184) this Spring
  • Dylan Crews was 15-55 (.273) this Spring for the Nationals
  • Josh Bell struck out 19 times in just 46 ABs this Spring for Washington

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every
single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Thursday’s game between the Phillies and the Nationals

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Phillies and the Nationals:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Phillies on Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Phillies -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 7.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Red Sox at Rangers prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for March 27

The Boston Red Sox open the 2025 MLB season against the Texas Rangers in Arlington on Thursday.

Garrett Crochet is slated to take the mound for Boston against Nathan Eovaldi for Texas.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Red Sox at Rangers

  • Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025
  • Time: 4:05PM EST
  • Site: Globe Life Field
  • City: Arlington, TX
  • Network/Streaming: NESN, Rangers Sports Network

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Red Sox at the Rangers

The latest odds as of Wednesday:

  • Moneyline: Boston Red Sox (-115), Texas Rangers (-105)
  • Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+150), Rangers +1.5 (-185)
  • Total: 7.5 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Red Sox at Rangers

  • Thursday’s pitching matchup (DATE): Garrett Crochet vs. Nathan Eovaldi
    • Red Sox: Garrett Crochet
      Spring Training - 5GP, 15.2 IP, 1-0, 0.57 ERA, 30 Ks
    • Rangers: Nathan Eovaldi
      Spring Training - 4GP, 13.1 IP, 0-1, 5.54 ERA, 9 Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Red Sox at Rangers

  • A notorious slow starter, Alex Bregman led the Sox in Spring Training with a .279 batting average
  • Trayce Thompson led the Red Sox with 6 HRs and 13 RBIs in Spring Training
  • Wyatt Langford was 14-33 (.424) this Spring for Texas
  • Joc Pederson led the Rangers with 5 HRs this Spring

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for Thursday’s game between the Red Sox and the Rangers

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Red Sox and the Rangers:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on Boston -1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 7.5.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Sean Manaea's rehab going at 'really good clip,' Frankie Montas progressing toward throwing

The Mets were dealt a handful of injuries to starting pitchers during spring training, with Paul Blackburn the latest to land on the injured list at Opening Day, but president of baseball operations David Stearns said on Wednesday that the club isn’t overly concerned about any of the injuries to the starters.

Stearns said that he’s experienced some spring trainings where you come out unscathed on the injury front and others where you "take it on the chin a little bit." 

“We’re fortunate that we believe that these dings to our starting rotation are pretty temporary and really not concerned with any of them,” he said from the Mets’ dugout in Houston ahead of Thursday's game against the Astros.

The Mets’ top baseball man said that Blackburn has already responded "really well" to the injection he got to deal with inflammation in his right knee, and Sean Manaea is “throwing and in good shape and really going through his rehab process at a really good clip and we’re excited about that.”

The Mets got the good news on Manaea two weeks ago when a follow-up MRI on his right oblique came back clear, and he was cleared to resume throwing as he was "symptom-free."

"We gotta pretty much build him back up as a starter," manager Carlos Mendozasaid at the time. "The good thing is he's feeling good, there's nothing going on there -- that oblique. And now it's just 75, 90, 120 [feet] before he gets on the mound."

Frankie Montas, who had had a “repeat MRI” on his lat injury in the last few days that showed “really good healing,” Stearns said.

In terms of throwing progression, the right-hander is still a “week or two away,” but Stearns was upbeat about Montas’ progress: “Clearly good healing is better than not healing and so we’ll certainly take that update.”

Montas landed on the shelf right at the start of spring training, which he believes he sustained during his first bullpen session of camp.

But on the whole, Stearns indicated a level of positivity on the rotation's injury issues on the eve of the season's start.

“At this point, we’re pretty optimistic on all these guys,” Stearns continued before dropping a grain of salt, “Of course, until they’re back throwing well in major league competition, we won’t know for sure. But we seem to be trending in the right direction and we’re really looking forward to getting them back.

“In the meantime, we have guys that we think can step up and do the job.”

Francisco Alvarez recently got stiches out, is nearing baseball activities

Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez is making progress toward a return from a broken bone in his left hand.

The 23-year-old, who underwent surgery just over two weeks ago, got his stitches out on Monday and is set to begin strength work, manager Carlos Mendozasaid on Wednesday, adding that Alvarez is expected to resume baseball activities shortly after he starts his strength work.

Speaking on March 12, Alvarez discussed his expected return date.

"Maybe six weeks," he said. "My goal is to make that as quick as possible."

Alvarez added: "They said after the third week, maybe I can start hitting. It's on me. If my body takes more time than normal, maybe take eight weeks. But it's very on me. If I feel comfortable, if I feel good, I can move quicker."

Alvarez's return from injury seems to be on track with his aim for the shorter end of the six-to-eight week timeline, which would mean the catcher being back at some point near the end of April.

The 23-year-old went through something similar last year.

He injured his thumb on April 19 against the Dodgers while taking an aggressive turn at first base and awkwardly landing on his hand. That injury required surgery to repair a torn ligament and kept him out of the lineup until June 11.

When Alvarez returned, he took a while to get going offensively. But he finished the regular season on a high note, posting a 1.000 OPS and smacking five home runs over his last 48 plate appearances from Sept. 11 to Sept. 30.

Alvarez said he didn't think the thumb injury last year hampered his hitting upon his return.

Regarding how this injury might impact him?

"Maybe yes, maybe no," Alvarez said on March 12. "It's a quick recovery, so I don't think I'm going to lose strength in my hand. I'm very strong."