‘It's pretty brutal' — Nola addresses his velocity dip and 0-5 start

‘It's pretty brutal' — Nola addresses his velocity dip and 0-5 start originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

NEW YORK — The season is less than a month old but Monday night was emblematic of how it’s been for Aaron Nola in 2025.

Loud contact early. Lots of baserunners. High-wire acts. A settling-in period.

And then more frustration.

Nola would have had a six-inning, two-run quality start but manager Rob Thomson sent him out for the seventh at 89 pitches because the Phillies trailed by two runs and had a short bullpen.

Nola’s fastball velocity, already down, was even lower in that seventh inning to the 88-89 mph range.

“I think it’s probably an early-season thing,” he said. “Feel like I do start out with lower velocity when it’s cold and then it starts to tick up when it gets a little bit hotter. Hope that’s the case but just got to keep competing out there. Commanding the ball is the most important thing for me.”

Nola’s four-seam fastball and sinker are both down 2 mph this season, to 91 and 90, respectively. It’s not the first or second time this has happened. Just last April, Nola’s velocity was in this same range before averaging 92.8 mph after May 1.

He and the Phillies are hoping that’s the case again. But what if it isn’t? What if the 198 innings he’s averaged over the last six non-shortened seasons are beginning to catch up?

“Gotta keep competing, man,” Nola said. “I’ve gotta throw a lot of innings, try to limit the runs and compete. I know I haven’t done that so far this year but I’ve gotta command all my other pitches and go out and try to win the game. I can’t control the results but I can control the walks and getting ahead of guys.

“I’m not getting the results. When I do get a groundball, it’s going through holes. My fastball’s not where I need it to be right now and I hope the velocity starts to kick up here soon. Curveball, changeup felt pretty good tonight. But when the ball’s over the plate, they’re not missing it right now.”

Nola missed with a low-and-in curveball to leadoff man Francisco Lindor in the bottom of the first. It was tattooed 376 feet to give the Mets an early lead.

Nola missed right down the middle on a 2-0 count to Jesse Winker to begin the second. It was hit even harder for a solo homer.

He put five men on base over the next four innings but stranded them all before two early baserunners ended his night in the seventh. Both scored when Jose Ruiz gave up a three-run shot to Lindor. The Phillies scored four runs in the ninth inning but lost, 5-4.

“It’s frustrating for sure,” Nola said. “I’m 0-5 with a six-and-a-half (ERA), it’s pretty brutal. But I’m gonna keep working and trying to have good weeks leading up to my next start, preparing as best as I can and trying to stay healthy. Keep believing that things will turn around soon.”

Thomson says he isn’t worried about Nola because he’s seen him pitch through diminished velocity in the past. It’s not as if Nola’s arsenal is based around throwing 96. But he needs more life on the heater. Two of his many weapons are the four-seam fastball just above the zone and the two-seamer that freezes lefties. But both can be easier to time and lay off when they’re 89-91 as opposed to 92-94.

“It’s just a little bit more jump at the end, I think that’s the biggest thing for me, especially with my four-seam,” Nola said. “I need that late jump. I’m not gonna go out and sit 94-95, that’s just never been me, so I need the late jump before it gets to the plate. But command is always number one for me.”

It doesn’t help that the Phillies have scored five runs for Nola in his five starts. Aside from feeling like his location must be perfect, he’s had no room for error.

He’ll be back in the lab this week, working on command and trying to find that “little bit more jump” that can make a world of difference. He grunted more than ever before on Monday night trying to add a little oomph to the fastball.

Nola’s next start will be Saturday afternoon at Wrigley Field. It would be fortuitous if the wind is blowing in.

“I’m not worried about him,” Trea Turner said. “He’s been such a good pitcher for such a long time. People are gonna go through their ups and downs. It’s been a tough start but not worried about him.”

Braves pitcher Spencer Strider strains hamstring, goes on 15-day injured list

ATLANTA — Atlanta Braves ace Spencer Strider strained his right hamstring on Monday while playing catch and was placed on the 15-day injured list.

Atlanta made the move retroactive to Friday, two days after Strider returned from elbow surgery and made his first big league appearance since April 5 last year. Strider allowed two runs over five innings in a 3-1 loss at Toronto, and the 26-year-old right-hander was slated to make his home season debut on Tuesday against St. Louis.

Strider made just two starts in 2024 before UCL internal brace surgery on April 12. Strider finished fourth in 2023 NL Cy Young Award voting and was an All-Star, going 20-5 with a 3.86 ERA and a league-best 281 strikeouts.

Atlanta recalled right-hander Michael Petersen from Triple-A Gwinnett. Petersen pitched two scoreless innings against Tampa Bay on April 13.

The Braves rotation also is without right-hander Reynaldo López, who underwent arthroscopic surgery April 8 after one start. He will be out at least three months.

Birdsong shines on night Giants' bullpen needed the help

Birdsong shines on night Giants' bullpen needed the help originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

SAN FRANCISCO — Hayden Birdsong’s last outing left a bad taste in his mouth. Last Tuesday, his name went in Bryce Harper’s book, and all he could think about for the rest of the Giants’ series at Citizens Bank Park was how much he needed to get back on the mound. 

“I wanted Philly again,” Birdsong said Monday night. “I was itching, telling [bullpen coach Garvin Alston]: ‘Hey, I’m ready.'”

The benefit of being a reliever now is that Birdsong will occasionally get a second crack at a team. But he’s also such a big part of this organization’s future that he might not always get that shot when he wants it. The Giants had no intention of throwing him back out there against the Philadelphia Phillies after he pitched twice in three days, and Birdsong had to wait nearly a full week to touch the mound again.

This is his new reality now, and he couldn’t possibly be handling it better. 

After five days off, Birdsong threw three shutout innings in a 5-2 win over the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday at Oracle Park, saving the bullpen on a night when both Tyler Rogers and Ryan Walker were unavailable because of recent workloads. He took over in the sixth inning of a 2-2 game and struck out four, earning his first win of the 2025 MLB season and first big league win as a reliever. 

“We’re looking for spots like that for him,” manager Bob Melvin said. “It worked out really well today.”

The Bullpen Birdsong experiment could have been awkward. When the Giants chose Landen Roupp as their fifth starter a month ago, there seemed to be a good chance that Birdsong would be back in Triple-A by this point of the season, waiting for an opening in the rotation. 

Nobody has pulled that door all the way open yet, but it hasn’t mattered. Birdsong has been so valuable as a reliever that there’s no need to send him down. He’ll be back in the rotation at some point this season, and possibly for good, but for now he’s a needed weapon for a team that hasn’t made a roster move with the pitching staff through 23 games. 

Birdsong has thrown 13 relief innings over six outings and given up just the two runs, both on the Harper homer. He has 13 strikeouts, three of which came in the eighth inning Monday with the Giants nursing a two-run lead. 

Melvin had Camilo Doval ready for the ninth and Erik Miller available if Birdsong really ran into trouble, but he let the 23-year-old face Sal Frelick with two on and two outs. Birdsong threw his new changeup to get out of the jam. 

“I don’t think anything bothers him too much,” Melvin said. “With baserunners out there, he has the weapons to strike someone out and also the weapons to get a double play.”

It didn’t take long for Birdsong to adjust to life as a reliever, but all of this is still new. There’s a different kind of adrenaline that comes with protecting a two-run lead in the eighth inning in front of 30,000 screaming fans, but Birdsong didn’t seem to feel it. As the changeup settled into Patrick Bailey’s glove, Birdsong turned and strolled off the mound without a hint of emotion on his face. 

“I think if I were to come in in the eighth then it would be a lot more adrenaline going through me, but I was already out there for two [innings],” Birdsong said. “It was like the same thing. Just keep pitching.”

That mentality is part of the reason the Giants went with this plan in the first place. Birdsong always has seemed unflappable, and the Giants had no doubts this spring that he could handle a role change and all that would come with having to keep games close in the late innings. 

As he talked about his new job on Monday night, Birdsong said everything has gone pretty smoothly. His body is bouncing back well, and while he expects to be sore Tuesday after throwing 49 pitches, he also expects to be ready by Wednesday if the Giants need him. There’s no revenge to get this time, but he still can’t wait to get back out there. 

“It’s still baseball regardless of what I’m doing,” he said. “I’m starting to get used to it. I’m starting to like it. It’s fun.”

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MLB Power Rankings: Yankees on the rise, Cal Raleigh leads resurgent Mariners

Featured in this week's MLB Power Rankings: Fernando Tatís Jr. continues to obliterate baseballs, the Braves lose even when they win, Mike Trout is smiling again, Elly De La Cruz is Superman, and the Athletics are getting more interesting by the minute.

Let’s get started!

(Please note these power rankings are a combination of current performance and long-term projected outlook)

1) San Diego Padres

Last week: 1

Just named as the National League Player of the Week, Fernando Tatís Jr. has reached base safely in all 21 games for the first-place Padres. He's the early frontrunner for the National League MVP Award.

2) Los Angeles Dodgers

Last week: 2

Yoshinobu Yamamoto ís showing why he got a $325 million contract before even throwing a pitch in MLB. Coming off a 10-strikeout performance against the Rangers on Friday, he hasn’t allowed an earned run in his last 21 innings pitched.

3) New York Mets

Last week: 3

Highlighted by a walk-off blast from Francisco Lindor on Friday night, the Mets just pulled off their first four-game sweep of the Cardinals since 1986. Someone please remind me, did something else happen that year?

4) New York Yankees ⬆️

Last week: 8

While we can quibble about how the no-hitter scoring change was handled (as well as Aaron Judge’s possible home run), Max Fried has stepped up as the new Yankees ace in Gerrit Cole’s absence, posting a 1.42 ERA and 30/7 K/BB ratio across his first five starts with New York.

5) Chicago Cubs ⬆️

Last week: 6

The Cubs’ offense has proven formidable in the early part of the season, with Michael Busch in a starring role. After posting a .775 OPS over 152 games in his first season with the Cubs last year, he’s slashing .316/.386/.608 with five homers through 23 games to begin the 2025 campaign.

6) San Francisco Giants ⬇️

Last week: 5

Even after closer Ryan Walker melted down in Sunday’s loss to the Angels, the Giants’ bullpen is second in the majors with a 2.22 ERA.

7) Philadelphia Phillies ⬇️

Last week: 4

Cristopher Sanchez’s breakout continues. He made a certain kind of history in his 12-strikeout performance against the Giants on Thursday.

8) Arizona Diamondbacks ⬇️

Last week: 12

Josh Naylor homered in three straight games last week and is hitting .333/.406/.548 to start his D-Backs tenure. He delivered a go-ahead RBI single in the 11th inning on Sunday, helping Arizona salvage a game from an entertaining series against the Cubs.

9) Texas Rangers ⬇️

Last week: 7

So much talk about Jacob deGrom and the Rangers’ young pitchers, but Tyler Mahle has been the team’s best pitcher so far, posting a 0.68 ERA through five starts.

10) Detroit Tigers ⬇️

Last week: 9

Former No. 1 overall picks Spencer Torkelson and Casey Mize are helping lead the Tigers at the top of the AL Central, just like they drew it up a few years ago.

11) Boston Red Sox

Last week: 11

Liam Hendriks was back on an MLB mound on Sunday for the first time since June 9, 2023. The results weren’t quite there, as he allowed three hits — including a homer — against the White Sox, his former team. Still, it was great to see him back out there as one of the easiest players to root for in MLB.

12) Seattle Mariners ⬆️

Last week: 18

The Mariners have won eight out of their last 10 games, with Cal Raleigh mashing seven home runs in that timespan. The Blue Jays are surely happy to see him leave town.

13) Toronto Blue Jays ⬇️

Last week: 10

27-year-old Paxton Schultz tied the record for the most strikeouts (eight) by a reliever in his MLB debut Sunday against the Mariners. He induced 17 swinging strikes in his 64 pitches. A cool moment for the 2019 14th round pick.

14) Milwaukee Brewers ⬆️

Last week: 21

The Brewers began the year battered in their rotation, but Jose Quintana and Quinn Priester have been lights out recently and top prospect Logan Henderson fired six innings of one-run ball with nine strikeouts in his MLB debut against the A’s on Sunday.

15) Atlanta Braves ⬇️

Last week: 13

The Braves just swept a series for the first time this season. Everything’s cool, right? Right? Maybe not. In addition to some internal drama with Ronald Acuña/Jarred Kelenic and manager Brian Snitker, the recently-activated Spencer Strider landed on the IL on Monday due to a strained hamstring.

16) Cleveland Guardians ⬆️

Last week: 17

Emmanuel Clase continues to struggle, but the Guardians took care of business with a three-game sweep of the Pirates over the weekend.

17) Houston Astros ⬇️

Last week: 14

It’s been a rough start to Christian Walker’s first season with the Astros, so it was nice to see him go yard as part of a win over the Padres on Saturday.

18) Los Angeles Angels ⬇️

Last week: 16

Who knows if the Angels can keep this going, but it’s fun to see Mike Trout smiling. He deserves a winner.

19) Cincinnati Reds ⬆️

Last week: 22

You remember as a kid when you’d put on a cape and pretend to be Superman? Elly De La Cruz gets to do that every day.

20) Baltimore Orioles ⬇️

Last week: 19

After the 24-2 drubbing at the hands of the Reds on Sunday, Orioles starters now own a 6.11 ERA for the season.

21) Kansas City Royals ⬇️

Last week: 15

The Royals have displayed an alarming lack of power with just 11 home runs through 23 games. Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia are the only regulars with an OPS north of .600.

22) St. Louis Cardinals ⬆️

Last week: 24

Only Aaron Judge has more hits than Brendan Donovan so far this season.

23) Athletics ⬆️

Last week: 25

Tyler Soderstrom has arguably been the biggest surprise so far this season, as he’s tied for the MLB lead with nine home runs. The A's are reportedly about to get even more interesting, as top prospect Nick Kurtz is expected to be called up to the majors on Tuesday.

24) Tampa Bay Rays ⬇️

Last week: 20

If you blink, you might miss him. That’s Chandler Simpson, who was called up by the Rays this weekend. He swiped his first base on Sunday and there’s a lot more where that came from. He stole 104 bases last season in the minor leagues.

25) Washington Nationals ⬇️

Last week: 23

It has been a disappointing start to the season for Dylan Crews, but a trip to Colorado was just what the doctor ordered, as he launched a pair of homers on Saturday. Prior to Saturday’s game, he hadn’t driven in a run all season.

26) Minnesota Twins

Last week: 26

Injuries forced the Twins’ hand, but we saw Luke Keaschall make his MLB debut against the Braves over the weekend. The 22-year-old ranked No. 70 on Christopher Crawford’s Top 100 prospect list this past January.

27) Pittsburgh Pirates ⬆️

Last week: 28

The Pirates have stumbled on and off the field this season, but this was a nice gesture by the team.

28) Miami Marlins ⬇️

Last week: 27

The Marlins are Marlins-ing after a nice start to the season, but at least their fans will get a look at Agustin Ramírez for his MLB debut. The 23-year-old was acquired from the Yankees in the Jazz Chisholm deal and boasts legit pop and contact ability from the right side, even though his long-term position is unclear.

29) Chicago White Sox

Last week: 29

Luis Robert Jr. has walked 12 times in 20 games this season, which puts him on pace to blow away his career-high of 30 from 2023. There’s not much incentive for pitchers to challenge him in this unimposing lineup, but to his credit, he’s not chasing pitches like he has in the past. Perhaps there’s something to him working out with Juan Soto during the offseason?

30) Colorado Rockies

Last week: 30

The Rockies are off to their worst start in franchise history and they had to place Kris Bryant on the injured list last week due to lumbar degenerative disc disease. It’s pretty much as bad as it sounds.

Another rough night at Citi Field to begin Phillies' season series with Mets

Another rough night at Citi Field to begin Phillies' season series with Mets originally appeared on NBC Sports Philadelphia

NEW YORK — The fifth pitch of Aaron Nola’s night was a low-and-in curveball to one of Francisco Lindor’s nitro zones, it traveled 376 feet over the wall in right field and so began the Phillies’ 2025 season series with the Mets.

The Phils were sent home last October on this same field in Flushing, and the Mets again looked like the superior team on Monday night. The final score was a 5-4 loss but the Mets entered the ninth with a five-run lead and tried to get middle reliever Max Kranick through a third inning when the Phillies finally came through with a few knocks. It was too little, too late.

Nola served up leadoff home runs in each of the first two innings while Mets right-hander Tylor Megill stifled the Phils’ offense for the sixth consecutive time.

Megill retired eight of nine the first trip through the order, striking out five, before the Phillies put some solid plate appearances on him in the third inning. They loaded the bases on a Bryson Stott single and back-to-back two-out walks from Trea Turner and Bryce Harper. Kyle Schwarber expanded the zone, though, to strike out on a down-and-away changeup.

Not capitalizing on that opportunity hurt because the Phillies’ chances to touch Megill have always been sparse. He’s dominated them in six starts dating back to 2022 with a 1.36 ERA. The Phillies have hit .149 and homered once in 124 plate appearances against him.

The Phillies are 13-10, three games behind the Mets in the NL East. They’re 20-30 in their last 50 games against the Mets, who played them tough even before they started spending freely under owner Steve Cohen. This looks like a much better club than even the one that defeated the Phillies in the 2024 NLDS with the additions of Juan Soto and Clay Holmes, a healthy Kodai Senga and the most productive start of Pete Alonso’s career.

It was obviously just one early-season game and the teams will meet at least 12 more times, but Monday was a continuation of a couple of concerning trends. The Phils are going to need to hit Megill at some point. His career ERA entering the night was 4.39.

Nola was slightly better than he’d been previously and two of the runs he was charged with were inherited by Jose Ruiz, but he continues to struggle with the home run ball, pitch with diminished velocity and put more traffic on the basepaths than usual. Though he’s had trouble in the past keeping the ball in the park, Nola has always maintained low walk rates and low opposing batting averages, which has resulted in many of the home runs being solos.

Nola has been more hittable than ever before, though, with a .301 opponents’ batting average compared to .233 for his career. He’s also walked 10 batters over his last three starts. Nola said after his most recent outing against the Giants that he hasn’t felt like himself from the stretch this season, and he’s spent quite a bit of time in the stretch, putting the leadoff man on base in nine of his last 18 innings. He is 0-5 with a 6.43 ERA.

Once again, though, it wouldn’t have mattered much if Nola pitched a gem. The Phillies have scored a grand total of five runs for him in his five starts.

They’ll look to even the series Tuesday night behind Cristopher Sanchez, whose last outing was one of the most impressive by a Phillie in recent memory. He’ll need to keep it up.

What we learned as Flores, Lee deliver in Giants' win vs. Brewers

What we learned as Flores, Lee deliver in Giants' win vs. Brewers originally appeared on NBC Sports Bay Area

BOX SCORE

SAN FRANCISCO — The reward for playing 10 games in three cities over 10 days and traveling from the East Coast to Anaheim without a day off, or even a 1 p.m. game on getaway day in Philadelphia? For the Giants, it was another night of baseball.

They returned to San Francisco on Monday night and began a seven-game homestand against two teams — the Milwaukee Brewers and Texas Rangers — with postseason aspirations, and once again, they responded to the challenge. Wilmer Flores hit a go-ahead blast and Hayden Birdsong provided a huge boost to a tired bullpen as the Giants won 5-2 on their first night back at Oracle Park. They’re now 6-5 during this marathon stretch and 15-8 on the 2025 MLB season.

The Giants took the lead in the sixth when Flores crushed a middle-middle sinker from Grant Anderson. An inning later, their best player early on tacked on an insurance run. With Willy Adames on first, Jung Hoo Lee smoked a line drive into the gap in right-center and cruised into third for his second triple of the season.

The Giants trailed early but caught up in the fifth, with a little help from the Brewers. Tyler Fitzgerald reached on his second infield single and moved along to second on a walk of Mike Yastrzemski that ended Quinn Priester’s night. Right-hander Nick Mears entered to face Adames and got a potential double-play ball to third, but Adames beat out the throw to first, which clanked off Rhys Hoskins’ glove. That allowed Fitzgerald to walk home for the tying run.

With Ryan Walker unavailable after going back-to-back games in Anaheim, Giants manager Bob Melvin figured he would have to get creative if he had a lead late in the game. Birdsong ended up providing a relatively smooth path, throwing three dominant innings out of the bullpen to get the ball to Camilo Doval, who went 1-2-3 for his third save. 

Flo Show

It’s been an odd month for Flores. His photo is constantly on graphics representing the league leaders in home runs and RBI, but he entered Monday’s game with an fWAR of 0.0 and a wRC+ that put him 10 points below league-average as a hitter. Flores isn’t drawing walks, is one of the slowest players in baseball, and doesn’t play defense — but the Giants don’t care about the advanced metrics at all right now. 

From a more traditional standpoint, Flores is off to a huge start. The only player in the NL with more homers is Fernando Tatis Jr., and Aaron Judge and Spencer Torkelson are the only other big leaguers with at least seven homers and 20 RBI. With the go-ahead homer, Flores moved into a tie with Pete Alonso for the league lead in runs driven in. 

The Giants talked all spring of the importance of having more “RBI guys.” Nobody is doing it better than Flores right now, and that has made it pretty easy to push all the other numbers to the side. 

Establish It

Robbie Ray has had to grind through his starts this season, and this one was no exception. Ray was at 64 pitches through three innings and had only one clean inning on the night, but he allowed just two runs. They came on a pitch that was pretty predictable by that point of the second inning. 

Of Ray’s first 41 pitches, 37 were four-seamers, including an elevated fastball that No. 9 hitter Caleb Durbin smacked out to left for his first big league homer. Ray mixed in a lot more sliders and changeups the second and third times through the order, but he paid for being fastball-heavy in the first couple of innings. 

Ray ended up getting charged with two earned on five hits and three walks. After throwing four innings in each of his starts on the road trip, he went five on the first night back home. 

Old Friends

Nobody was busier before the game than Adames, who spent four seasons in Milwaukee before signing with the Giants in the offseason. Adames took about 30 minutes in the afternoon to catch up with Brewers reporters, and he made his rounds during BP to chat with old teammates, most notably right-hander Freddy Peralta, a close friend who will start Wednesday’s game. 

The Giants are still waiting for Adames to break out at the plate, and it didn’t come against his old friends. He struck out the first time up and then grounded out three straight times. The night dropped his average to .194. 

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Mets' David Stearns says 'difficult decisions are a good thing' with Francisco Alvarez, Jeff McNeil nearing return

The Mets, coming off a four-game sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals, now welcome the rival Philadelphia Phillies to Citi Field for an NL East showdown in Queens.

Speaking during his typical once-a-homestand media availability, Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns discussed a number of topics, including what happens to the roster when Jeff McNeiland Francisco Alvarez come back, the current frenzied atmosphere at the ballpark, and Pete Alonso's red-hot start.

Here are the key takeaways...

"Difficult decisions are a good thing"

McNeil and Alvarez will continue their rehab assignments over the next few days, but there's a chance both players could be back on the major league roster by the end of the week.

So will Alvarez instantly take over as the starting catcher?

"I think we have two catchers who we feel really good about," Stearns said. "Mendy’s going to decide who plays every day and who gives us the best chance to win, and we certainly think Alvy’s going to be a huge part of that."

Meanwhile, Stearns noted that both Luisangel Acuña and Brett Baty have “done a nice job,” noting it’s not easy to bounce back and forth between second and third base -- which Baty has done -- and saying Acuña has been doing what they expected of him.

"I think difficult decisions are a good thing," Stearns said. "When we have players that we want to keep here as we get healthier, these types of decisions are going to become more and more a part of our thought process. We’re going to continue to talk about it, and when Jeff is ready we’ll certainly make a decision to get him back on the roster.

"And I imagine Jeff’s going to do what he always does: he’s going to bounce around, he’s going to play some second, he’ll fill in for the corner outfielders when needed. We’ll see how the center field thing goes. I think he’s excited about that, so there are plenty of at-bats to go around here, and Jeff will certainly get his share."

Hey Siri, who plays center?

"I don’t think we know," Stearns said candidly on what the center field mix will look like until Jose Siri returns. "I think Tyrone [Taylor] is going to get a lot of it, clearly. He’s a very gifted centerfielder, he can impact the game in a number of different ways, and I think he’s starting to take better at-bats as well.

"Beyond that, we’ll see. Jeff could be a part of it. Brandon [Nimmo] could be a part of it. Luis could be a part of it. I think it’s who’s playing well, what pitchers we're facing, how we want to structure the lineup on any particular day. But we feel confident we have enough people to play there, to cover that position and cover it well."

Controlled chaos in Queens

"I think the fans in general have been outstanding this year," said Stearns. "It’s been fun coming to the ballpark. I get a sneak peek at some of the attendance numbers ahead of a homestand, and some of them I did double takes where it’s like, ‘Wow, that’s really good for April.’

"Not only have the numbers been good on paper, but it has felt like that in the ballpark, and so it’s exciting. Our players have talked about it, I think we all feel it when we’re here… I think we had a fun run last year, our fans believe in this team, and we’ve played pretty well out of the chute here, which probably helps."

"I think we have [a homefield advantage]," Stearns added. "It feels like we have it right now. Good players help as well, but certainly I think we have the ability and our fan base, historically, has shown the ability to make this an uncomfortable place for opposing players. When I was on the fan side of this, it’s fun to come to a ballpark that’s an uncomfortable place for opposing players.

"It’s a whole heck of a lot of fun for our players to see that when it happens. So I think we are getting to that point where our players really enjoy this atmosphere and can take their level of intensity to another notch. And on the flipside, it can get pretty loud and hostile for the opposition, and that’s not a bad thing."   

What's a Polar Bear doing being so hot?

"What Pete’s doing is as good a start as you can imagine for, I think, any human," Stearns said on Alonso's torrid start at the dish. "This is pretty impressive. He’s locked in. His zone control  is incredible right now. He’s hitting everything hard. I’ve been enormously impressed."

Mets Injury Notes: Francisco Alvarez, Jeff McNeil closer to return; Mark Vientos could be option off bench

The first-place Mets are inching closer to welcoming a pair of injured hitters back into their starting lineup.

Before their series opener against the rival Phillies on Monday, Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said that catcher Francisco Alvarez (hamate fracture) and veteran Jeff McNeil (oblique strain) will continue their rehab assignments with Triple-A Syracuse this week.

The plan is for both players to complete a full nine innings on Tuesday and Wednesday, and McNeil will receive work at second base and in center field.

"[They're] feeling good," Mendoza said. "I think at this point, it's just more building up volume for them. Getting used to playing the full games, back-to-back, and things like that."

Alvarez, who broke his hand early in spring training, served as the designated hitter for Double-A Binghampton on Sunday, going 1-for-5. As for McNeil, he found much more succcess in the same lineup on Sunday, finishing 4-for-4 with a home run and double. Alvarez has played eight rehab games thus far, while McNeil has played six.

Vientos feeling better

Mark Vientos was unavailable for Sunday's win against the Cardinals due to a groin injury suffered on Saturday, but the third baseman has a chance to see some game action again on Monday. Mendoza isn't ruling him out as a pinch-hitter.

"I saw him take ground balls earlier, he was doing some sprints. He's scheduled to take BP," Mendoza said. "If he comes through batting practice and all that, he could be an option off the bench today."

It's been an uninspiring April for Vientos, who's hitting a measly .167 through 20 games (72 at-bats). But he showed some signs of a turnaround against the Cardinals this past weekend, smacking a pair of solo homers. Brett Baty took over for Vientos at the hot corner on Sunday, and he's once again slated to start there on Monday, this time batting eighth.

Manaea keeps playing catch

Sean Manaea suffered a setback in his recovery from an oblique injury a few weeks ago, but Mendoza said on Monday that the veteran left-hander is doing light toss from 60 feet and expected to move to 75 feet in the coming days.

His return to the Mets' rotation is expected sometime in May, barring another complication. Mendoza noted that they're still "a few weeks away from that."

Former No. 1 picks Mize and Torkelson are giving the AL-Central-leading Tigers a boost, finally

This is a sight the Tigers probably expected a lot more often by now: Casey Mize pitching seven strong innings, and Spencer Torkelson hitting a three-run homer to lead Detroit to a 3-1 victory.

There’s still time for both of them to make big contributions to the team that drafted them No. 1 overall.

When the Tigers returned to the postseason last year for the first time in a decade, they did it without great production from Mize and Torkelson, who were supposed to be cornerstones of their rebuild. Torkelson hit 31 home runs in 2023 but managed only 10 (with a .219 average) last season. Mize made only two starts total in 2022 and 2023 before going 2-6 with a 4.49 ERA a year ago.

Now both of them are starting to show why they were taken at the top of the draft — Mize in 2018 and Torkelson two years later. The 27-year-old Mize is 3-1 with a 2.22 ERA this season. Torkelson, who is still just 25, already has seven home runs and a .288 average that is well above his career high of .233. On Saturday, Mize got the win and Torkelson accounted for all Detroit’s scoring in a victory over Kansas City.

After relying heavily on Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal in their run to a wild card last year, the Tigers are off to a more balanced start in 2025. Only two AL teams have scored more runs than Detroit, which leads the AL Central by a half-game over Cleveland. Only one AL team, the New York Yankees, has a better run differential than the Tigers.

Wild inning

The Chicago Cubs became the seventh team in the last 125 seasons to allow 10 runs in an inning and still win. Arizona scored 10 in the top of the eighth on Friday, only for Chicago to rally with six in the bottom half and win 13-11.

Remarkably, the Colorado Rockies nearly matched the Diamondbacks’ plight a day later. Colorado scored eight runs in the seventh Saturday but still lost 12-11 to Washington. Also Saturday, Miami scored six in the ninth but lost 11-10 to Philadelphia.

Other big innings from this past week included a nine-run third by Tampa Bay against Boston on Monday, a seven-run first by the Los Angeles Dodgers against Colorado on Wednesday, and a seven-run third by Cincinnati against Baltimore on Sunday. The Rays, Dodgers and Reds all won.

Trivia time

The Milwaukee Brewers broke a franchise record by stealing nine bases in their 14-1 win over the Athletics on Sunday. The Brewers stole eight bases against Toronto on Aug. 29, 1992.

Which Milwaukee player, who went on to win Rookie of the Year honors that year, stole three bases in that 1992 game?

Line of the week

Cincinnati’s Austin Wynns had six hits in the Reds’ 24-2 blowout of Baltimore on Sunday, although the last two of those came against position players pitching. Wynns also drove in six runs.

Wynns had seven hits and two RBIs all of last season for Cincinnati.

Comeback of the week

After entering the game with a four-run lead in the ninth Saturday, struggling Yankees closer Devin Williams managed to retire only one batter before Tampa Bay tied it. Williams allowed five straight hitters to reach, culminating in Brandon Lowe’s tying two-run single. Williams managed to induce a double play to end the inning, but Tampa Bay went on to win 10-8 on Jonathan Aranda’s 10th-inning two-run homer.

The Rays had a win probability of 0.6% in the ninth, according to Baseball Savant.

Williams hasn’t blown a save this season — Saturday’s game wasn’t a save situation — but he’s now allowed eight earned runs in eight innings.

Trivia answer

Pat Listach had three of Milwaukee’s eight steals in that game. He went on to finish the season with 54, second in the American League to Cleveland’s Kenny Lofton.

Patriots' Day Traffic? No thank you. Red Sox' Walker Buehler spends night at hotel for early start

BOSTON — Walker Buehler wasn’t taking any chances with the early start.

Instead of getting up and figuring out what roads may have been closed along the Boston Marathon route, he took his family to a nearby hotel to get ready for his Monday morning start.

“I stayed at a hotel last night, just so that I kind of didn’t have to worry too much about it,” he said after Boston’s 4-2 victory over the White Sox in its annual Patriots’ Day game.

“My wife and kids stayed with me and everything was kind of normal for us,” he said. “We’re all kind of used to sleeping in hotels, so we’re all good.”

Wearing a white home jersey with red letters spelled out “Boston” across the front — a jersey inspired after the city rallied in the Red Sox’s first game following the Boston Marathon bombings in 2013 — Buehler threw his first pitch at 11:11 a.m. on a chilly morning at Fenway Park.

“I had all my stuff done,” he said of the move from his nearby Newton home. “I took an iPad home and read it last night, where I typically do. I scouted their whole lineup and every guy on the bench.”

Buehler gave up a run in the first inning before going the next six scoreless, holding Chicago to four hits while striking out nine and walking three in his 100-pitch outing.

He said he set his alarm for 6:45 a.m. and got to the park at 7:15. It was the earliest game he’d pitched in since Double-A in 2017, he recalled, when he was in the Los Angeles Dodgers’ farm system.

“Against Jack Flaherty, SpongeBob Squarepants Day, that we faced each other in,” he said, smiling. “I was thinking about that earlier.”

Cardinals vs Braves Predictions: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, stats for April 21

It’s Monday, April 21 and the Cardinals (9-13) are in Atlanta to take on the Braves (8-13). Spencer Schwellenbach is slated to take the mound for Atlanta against Erick Fedde for St. Louis.

The Cardinals are on a four-game losing streak after being swept by the Mets, while the Braves won the past three games, sweeping the Twins. St. Louis was out-scored by New York 19-9 in their last series, while Atlanta out-scored Minnesota 16-9 in theirs.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch the Cardinals at Braves

  • Date: Monday, April 21, 2025
  • Time: 7:15PM EST
  • Site: Truist Park
  • City: Atlanta, GA
  • Network/Streaming: DSNMWX, FDSNSO

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Odds for the Cardinals at the Braves

The latest odds as of Monday:

  • Moneyline: Cardinals (+155), Braves (-186)
  • Spread:  Braves -1.5
  • Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for the Cardinals at Braves

  • Pitching matchup for April 21, 2025: Erick Fedde vs. Spencer Schwellenbach
    • Cardinals: Erick Fedde, (1-2, 3.43 ERA)
      Last outing: 6.0 Innings Pitched, 1 Earned Run Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
    • Braves: Spencer Schwellenbach, (1-1, 2.55 ERA)
      Last outing: 4.2 Innings Pitched, 6 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 3 Strikeouts

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!MLB

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Cardinals and the Braves

Rotoworld Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans the Cardinals Team Total Under 3.5:

"The Cardinals have lost four straight games and five of the past six contests and scored three or fewer games in three of the last six and four or less in all six. The Braves Spencer Schwellenbach is coming off his worst start of the season, but this is an ideal spot at home for him to put together a quality start and record a win. The Cardinals scored nine total runs in the previous four games, so the offense is certainly not clicking. I like St. Louis to score under four runs again, so give me the Team Total Under 3.5."

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Cardinals and the Braves:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Atlanta Braves on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the St. Louis Cardinals at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Cardinals at Braves

  • The Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games
  • The Under is 7-4-1 in the Braves' matchups against National League teams this season
  • The Braves have failed to cover the Run Line in 3 straight matchups against the Cardinals

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

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  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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Phillies at Mets prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for April 21

It’s Monday, April 21 and the Phillies (13-9) are in New York to take on the Mets (15-7). Tylor Megill is slated to take the mound for New York against Aaron Nola for Philadelphia.

The Phillies are coming off a 7-5 extra-inning loss versus the Marlins yesterday, which snapped the chance of a 3-0 sweep over Miami. That 2-1 series win also snapped three-straight seasons tied or loss by Philadelphia. The Mets have won four straight all coming over the Cardinals. The Mets out-scored the Cardinals 19-9 and won three of the four games by three wins. Now let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Phillies at Mets

  • Date: Monday, April 21, 2025
  • Time: 7:10PM EST
  • Site: Citi Field
  • City: Queens, NY
  • Network/Streaming: NBCSP, SNY

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Phillies at the Mets

The latest odds as of Monday:

  • Moneyline: Phillies (+100), Mets (-120)
  • Spread:  Mets 1.5
  • Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for the Phillies at Mets

  • Pitching matchup for April 21, 2025: Aaron Nola vs. Tylor Megill
    • Phillies: Aaron Nola, (0-4, 6.65 ERA)
      Last outing: 5.1 Innings Pitched, 6 Earned Runs Allowed, 9 Hits Allowed, 4 Walks, and 8 Strikeouts
    • Mets: Tylor Megill, (2-2, 1.40 ERA)
      Last outing: 5.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 3 Strikeouts

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Phillies and the Mets

Rotoworld Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans the Mets to take care of business amid their hot streak:

"Aaron Nola is 0-4 this season and allowed at least two earned runs in every start. Nola started against the Mets twice last year and had a 4.05 ERA with 10 hits allowed and six earned runs over 13.1 innings. Nola did strike out 15 and walk two, but his current form is not reminiscent of that. Nola has walked four hitters in back-to-back games and I don't see a reason why this road start against the Mets, winners of four-straight, would be his get-right spot. It's Mets ML or pass for me with a lean to the New York Team Total Over 3.5."

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Phillies and the Mets:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the New York Mets on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Philadelphia Phillies at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Phillies at Mets

  • The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against divisional opponents
  • The Phillies' last 5 road games have stayed under the Total
  • The Mets have covered in 4 of their last 5 games for a profit of 3.63 units

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
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  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Dodgers believe Shohei Ohtani will get a boost from 'dad strength' as a new father

Los Angeles Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani, center, talk with teammates in the dugout before a baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas, Sunday, April 20, 2025. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)
The Dodgers' Shohei Ohtani, center, talks with teammates in the dugout before a game against the Texas Rangers in Arlington, Texas, on Sunday. (Tony Gutierrez / Associated Press)

As a father of two, Dave Roberts is a true believer.

“Dad strength,” he declared Sunday morning, “is real.”

Which, naturally, made the Dodgers manager all the more excited about the return of the team’s newest dad: Shohei Ohtani.

“Now that he is a father,” Roberts joked, “we might see some 120[-mph] exit velos off the bat.”

Indeed, when Ohtani rejoined the Dodgers on Easter morning, after being away for two games for the birth of his first child this weekend, he was met with a wave of congratulations — and also a hint of expectation.

Read more:Bullpen saves Dodgers after Tyler Glasnow exits with leg cramps in win over Rangers

Sure, the so-called theory of dad strength — gains in physical strength and stamina that some new dads seemingly experience upon entering fatherhood — might be more of a playful urban legend than scientifically proven fact.

But when it came to Ohtani, the intrigue was palpable.

“I’m sure if there is someone that is gonna have it,” teammate Mookie Betts said, “it’s Shohei.”

Whatever fatherly forces Ohtani acquired this weekend — when he and his wife, Mamiko Tanaka, welcomed a baby girl — weren’t immediately on display in his first game back in the lineup.

In the Dodgers’ 1-0 win on Sunday, Ohtani walked just once and went hitless in three other at-bats. His top exit velocity was only 82 mph. Roberts said after the game that the reigning MVP looked a little unsettled at the plate.

“[He was] overly aggressive,” Roberts said after Ohtani hit two groundouts and a strikeout. “Having two days off, I think today he just came a little anxious.”

Still, it did little to dampen belief in the dad strength phenomenon — one that, well before Ohtani entered the ranks of parenting, has become particularly popular within professional baseball.

Read more:Roki Sasaki shows progress in six innings, but Dodgers fall to Rangers on walk-off

In recent years, several MLB stars have had memorable dad strength surges; perhaps none more notable than when Angels slugger Mike Trout hit six home runs in his first eight games after becoming a father in 2020.

MLB’s website even tracks what it terms as “dad strength home runs,” listing the 26 players since 2011 who have gone deep in their first game back from paternity leave. Phillies star Bryce Harper, remarkably, has done it twice.

Around the Dodgers’ clubhouse Sunday morning, several players recounted their own dad strength experiences.

Third baseman Max Muncy noted how, after the birth of his daughter, Sophie, in July 2021, he went on to receive MVP votes at the end of what became a career-best season — even if, he added with a laugh, there were plenty of “dad ache” moments that also came along with it.

“Just when your arms start hurting holding the baby, and your back starts hurting,” he said. “I had more of those moments than I had dad strength moments.”

Tommy Edman joked that his own recent power surge, which has seen the once light-hitting utilityman rack up 13 home runs in his last 60 games going back to last season, has come in the wake of son Eli’s arrival two offseasons ago.

“Ever since he’s been born,” Edman said, “my home run rate has gone up.”

Plenty of others detailed changes they noticed away from the field upon becoming fathers.

Evan Phillips said he feels his dad strength whenever he’s carrying groceries or other baby-related products for his 2-year-old son, Beau.

“When the baby stuff at home happens, you just gotta make it happen,” he said.

Read more:Shohei Ohtani's wife gives birth to a girl, the couple's first child

While Phillips was on a rehab assignment with triple-A Oklahoma City last week, he highlighted another benefit not shared by younger prospects in the organization.

“We had an 11 a.m. game … and everyone is walking in all dragging,” Phillips chuckled. “And I’m like, ‘Guys, I woke up at the same time I always do.’”

Veteran pitcher and father of four, Clayton Kershaw, explained a similar dynamic.

“I think you just have more energy,” he said. “You just have to. Like now, I don’t ever feel the need to really sit down. I just am ready to go, all the time.”

“When you don’t have kids, you feel like, ‘Oh gosh, I just need to relax,’ or like, ‘I just need a day,’” Kershaw added. “Now, you don’t have that. But you don’t need it, either.”

Roberts, too, recalled dad strength moments from his playing days, crediting it for a few of the 23 career home runs he hit over 10 years in the majors.

“There's something to the dad strength,” he reiterated. “But [I was] nothing close to Shohei."

Ohtani, of course, isn’t exactly lacking for physical capabilities on the field. Last season, he became the first player in MLB history to have a 50-homer, 50-steal campaign. This year, he already has six long balls, five stolen bases and, according to MLB’s Statcast data system, one of the five hardest swings in the majors.

Read more:Anticipating birth of first child, Dodgers star Shohei Ohtani goes on paternity leave

However, Roberts noted, it’s the renewed perspective fatherhood provides that usually drives the biggest transformation of players.

“Some of the attributes you get from being a dad do translate to the baseball field,” he said. “Not sweating the small stuff. Understanding what’s most important. I have seen our players evolve in how they look at life and baseball.”

And to that end, how Ohtani navigated his first weekend of fatherhood had already made an impression on the manager.

“For him to just make sure the baby was healthy and to get back here, and to be a part of this, certainly shows his ability to balance life and work,” Roberts said. “It’s good to have him back. And most importantly, I'm happy him and Mamiko have a healthy baby girl."

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This story originally appeared in Los Angeles Times.

Brewers at Giants Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for April 21

Its Monday, April 21 and the Brewers (12-10) are in San Francisco to take on the Giants (14-8).

Quinn Priester is slated to take the mound for Milwaukee against Robbie Ray for San Francisco.

Milwaukee took two of three this weekend against the Athletics. The Brew Crew won 14-1 yesterday collecting 16 hits. Rhys Hoskins had three hits and four RBIs to pace the attack, and Logan Henderson gave up one run in six innings.

The Giants have lost three of their last four including two of three over the weekend to the Angels. San Francisco fell 5-4 yesterday allowing four runs in the bottom of the ninth.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Brewers at Giants

  • Date: Monday, April 21, 2025
  • Time: 9:45PM EST
  • Site: Oracle Park
  • City: San Francisco, CA
  • Network/Streaming: FDSNWI, NBCSBA, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Brewers at the Giants

The latest odds as of Monday:

  • Moneyline: Brewers (+122), Giants (-144)
  • Spread:  Giants -1.5
  • Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Brewers at Giants

  • Pitching matchup for April 21, 2025: Quinn Priester vs. Robbie Ray
    • Brewers: Quinn Priester (1-0, 0.90 ERA)
      Last outing: 4/15 vs. Detroit - 5IP, 0ER, 1H, 3BBs, 4Ks
    • Giants: Robbie Ray (3-0, 4.19 ERA)
      Last outing: 4/16 at Philadelphia - 4IP, 4ER, 6H, 5BB, 8Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Brewers at Giants

  • The Brewers are 10-12 on the Run Line this season
  • William Contreras has hit safely in 12 of his last 13 games (15-45)
  • The Over is 7-3 in Giants' games against National League teams this season
  • The Giants have failed to cover the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Brewers and the Giants

Rotoworld Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Brewers and the Giants:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Milwaukee Brewers at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

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Blue Jays at Astros prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for April 21

Its Monday, April 21 and the Blue Jays (12-10) are in Houston to open a series against the Astros (10-11).

Kevin Gausman is slated to take the mound for Toronto against Hunter Brown for Houston.

The Astros fell short of a weekend sweep of the San Diego Padres yesterday falling 3-2. Jake Meyers picked up a couple hits for Houston in the loss.

Toronto lost both games over the weekend to Seattle. Yesterday the Mariners blasted the Jays 8-3. Cal Raleigh and Rowdy Tellez each went yard for Seattle.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Blue Jays at Astros

  • Date: Monday, April 21, 2025
  • Time: 8:10PM EST
  • Site: Minute Maid Park
  • City: Houston, TX
  • Network/Streaming: SNI, SCHN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Blue Jays at the Astros

The latest odds as of Monday:

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays (+118), Astros (-139)
  • Spread:  Astros -1.5
  • Total: 7.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Blue Jays at Astros

  • Pitching matchup for April 21, 2025: Kevin Gausman vs. Hunter Brown
    • Blue Jays: Kevin Gausman (2-1, 2.49 ERA)
      Last outing: 4/15 vs. Atlanta - 6IP, 2ER, 6H, 0BB, 6Ks
    • Astros: Hunter Brown (2-1, 1.50 ERA)
      Last outing: 4/15 @ St. Louis - 6IP, 0ER, 4H, 2BB, 4Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Blue Jays at Astros

  • The Astros have won 4 of their last 5 home series against the Blue Jays
  • Jake Meyers is 8 for his last 18 (.444) and is hitting .305 for the season
  • The Astros' last 3 home games with Hunter Brown as the starter have gone under the Total
  • Cam Smith is riding a modest 3-game hitting streak (4-11) to raise his avewrage for the season to .232
  • The Astros have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games against the Blue Jays

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Blue Jays and the Astros

Rotoworld Best Bet

Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Blue Jays and the Astros:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Houston Astros on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Toronto Blue Jays at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)