ST PETERSBURG, FLORIDA - AUGUST 20: Shane Bieber #57 of the Toronto Blue Jays delivers a pitch in the third inning against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field on August 20, 2026 in St Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The demise of the starting pitcher has been much-bemoaned in recent years (including by yours truly when discussing America’s pastime with friends). Don’t tell that to some of the men who toed the slab Thursday though. Shane Bieber, Jacob deGrom, Grant Holmes, and Gavin Williams all starred for their respective clubs. Holmes flirted with history while deGrom and Williams hit impressive milestones.
It was nice of the Jays to come through when they did, as Gerrit Cole (speaking of outstanding pitching performances) spun a gem of his own to lead the Yanks to victory Thursday night.
Tampa Bay Rays (76-51) 1, Toronto Blue Jays (63-66) 5
After falling to Tampa Wednesday, Toronto rebounded Thursday, giving the Yankees a chance to pick up a game on the division-leading Rays. For the Jays, Shane Bieber recorded his second straight excellent start after giving up one run over six innings against the Yanks last week. Thursday, he again surrendered one lone run. This time, he tossed seven innings. In the last six days, he’s brought his season ERA down from 5.48 to 4.53. Not bad.
Offensively, the Jays played home run derby early. Kazuma Okamoto, Nathan Lukes, and Daz Cameron all hit long balls to put Toronto up 3-1 through five. Old nemesis George Springer delivered the dagger blow on Thursday though. His two-run single extended the Toronto lead to 5-1 in the seventh, more than enough run support for Bieber and the Jays bullpen.
Houston Astros (64-64) 3, Los Angeles Angels (51-77) 18: I guess not every game can have a masterwork pitching performance. It still had a spectacular stat line though, in the form of Zach Neto of the Angels. Neto went 5-for-6 Thursday night, scored two runs, and drove in seven as the Angels mercilessly battered the Astros in Houston. The loss knocks the Astros down to .500 and moves Texas to within a game of first place in the mire of mediocrity known as the American League West.
Texas Rangers (63-65) 2, Washington Nationals (61-68 ) 0: Another fantastic performance on the mound, this time from a usual suspect. Jacob deGrom was vintage Thursday night, spinning six innings of one-hit shutout ball, striking out 10. His second strikeout of the night gave him 2,000 for his illustrious career. When his candidacy comes up for Cooperstown, it is going to be fascinating, because counting stats (other than Cy Young Awards) will not be on his side. But what a dominant peak he had. Offensively, Corey Seager gave him all the help required with a third innings solo home run, as Seager continues a hot stretch over the last couple weeks.
Chicago White Sox (66-61) 0, Atlanta Braves (75-53) 2: Old friend Andrew Benintendi singled in the seventh inning of this game. That is particularly noteworthy because it was the first hit against Braves starter Grant Holmes. It also ended Holmes’ day, but was Chicago’s only hit, as Atlanta pitching completely stifled the White Sox. Austin Riley, with RBI singles in the third and seventh innings, provided the game’s only offense. Unsurprisingly, this one was over in a crisp 2:22.
Cleveland Guardians (62-66) 5, San Francisco Giants (52-75) 2: Gavin Williams is having himself a nice second half for the Guardians. Thursday, he delivered 5.2 innings, whiffing 11 Giants’ hitters. That makes six of his last eight starts where the righty has notched double-digit strikeouts. Yesterday’s performance also gives him 201 strikeouts on the season in only 154.2 innings. Offensively, “Guards Ball” was on full display, with four singles and a sacrifice fly accounting for all five Cleveland runs. Very on brand.
TAMPA, FLORIDA - MARCH 21, 2026: Alex Lodise #74 of the Atlanta Braves warms up during the first inning of a spring training Spring Breakout game against the New York Yankees at George M. Steinbrenner Field on March 21, 2026 in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
The Columbus Clingstones went on a tear offensively, with Alex Lodise and Jordan Groshans each vying for the system lead in home runs with their output on Thursday night. Eric Hartman has yet to hit a home run in Double-A as those two have passed him up, but is showing some signs of life as well, while the pitching from top-to-bottom gave every level something to look at.
JR Ritchie, SP: 5.2 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 7 K, 3.22 ERA
Rolddy Munoz, RP: 1 IP, 1 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, 3.74 ERA
JR Ritchie led the way in a well-pitched evening for the Gwinnett Stripers even though they choked the game away later on. Ritchie has been out of the zone too much in his recent starts and that did carry over for this game, but that doesn’t necessarily mean he commanded the ball poorly. He was elevating his fastball consistently even if he didn’t force a lot of chases above the zone, and was able to avoid his sinker getting battered around in the early innings. Once he settled into a groove late in this game and opened up the arsenal he hit the next level and his breaking stuff was at its peak for this outing. Ritchie had eight misses on his breaking ball which carried him to his seven strikeouts, and it was his ability to land the curveball at or below the strike zone that really stood out from this outing. Fastball and curveball placement being pluses doesn’t necessarily mesh with the walk rates we have seen from him recently but there really isn’t much to complain about with how he attacked on those two pitches. His changeup wasn’t where it needed to be which limited how effective he could be with the pitch as he left it up and on his glove side more often than not. He didn’t use it much at all until he got into the third trip through the order where he was mixing pitches well and hitters were off balance on much of what he was throwing, and he hit his peak in the fifth inning by striking out three batters with two men on base to protect a 1-0 lead.
While Ritchie was rolling the offense scuffled and got a bit lucky to get a run at all. Brett Wisely led off in the second inning by forcing a walk and then stole second base, so when Kyle Farmer’s chopped to the right side slid just past the first baseman Wisely was able to trot home and give Gwinnett a 1-0 lead. That lead held until the ninth inning. Neither pitching staff gave ground and Gwinnett turned to Rolddy Munoz. Munoz, unfortunately, had one of his blow up starts. Munoz had absolutely no clue where anything was going, and before you could blink he gave up a leadoff double, hit two batters, then walked home the tying run. Durham got two more in on sacrifices, but it should have been much worse. Munoz threw a slider dead center that got absolutely hammered into the right center field gap, but a diving play from Patrick Clohisy turned a bases-clearing hit into a sacrifice fly and kept Gwinnett in the game. The Stripers got two on in the ninth inning, but failed to score any of them. That diving catch from Clohisy was his lone contribution to the game, but it was a much improved version of Clohisy over some of his recent offensive outings. He made solid contact on a couple of occasions and put up a good approach at the plate, and if he can show more comfort with sliders like in this outing he should be able to put this recent meh stretch behind him. I’m really excited to see Lizandro Espinoza finally healthy again especially with the home run in yesterday’s game. He was not as successful last night with an 0-4 showing and I expect him to face an uphill battle trying to come back from injury and get a look at a new level, but he’s a player that is really worth a look. I was a fan of the changes to his approach that we’ve seen and increased impact he is making on the ball, and I thought prior to his injury he was on his way to a breakout season. He’s flown under the radar but steadily improved everything he needed to since joining the Braves, and the hit tool questions are a major concern but if he’s drawing walks, hitting the ball as hard as he has this season, and playing solid shortstop he’s going to get some major league looks at some point.
Garrett Baumann, SP: 7 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 7 K, 4.26 ERA
Last week Garrett Baumann went nine innings and this week he cruised through another seven with a game that was even better than it looks in the final stat line. Baumann gave up a run in the first inning when a hitter managed to muscle a fastball up and in out to right field for a double, then scored on a wild pitch that bounced well away from Archer Brookman behind the plate. After that he was in complete control of the game. Baumann dominated the top of the strike zone with his fastball, and Baumann often lives and dies by fastball command so seeing him this sharp was a great outcome. He consistently threw his four seamer past hitters, and when he needed to his curveball and changeup both had the bottom of the zone and produced results. Baumann’s curveball has taken a step to being the breaking pitch he needed to get him over the hump, and with that the biggest step is going to be consistently finding the edge with his fastball. Much of the damage against him comes because he lets his fastball drift down and doesn’t really have the fastball traits to miss a lot of bats, so days like this are refreshing when projecting him to another shot at Triple-A. He still lacks a pitch that I project as a go-to bat misser at the major league levels, but he has the basic command building blocks and an average arsenal top-to-bottom which should be enough to push him to a future as a starter.
The offense was the Jordan Groshans show once again. Groshans had his third-multi home run game of the season, a performance that pushed his hitting streak to 11 games. in that 11 game span he has six home runs and only three strikeouts, and this game would have pulled him into a tie for the system lead with 25 home runs. It would have been a tie, except before he got the chance Alex Lodise hit his first Double-A long ball. Lodise. Lodise showed off his great pop by staying back on a sinker and shooting it over the wall to right center field, and so far he has looked solid in the adjustment to Double-A. He had a couple of aggressive hacks on fastballs too far up for him to reach and whiffed, and that’s still something he needs to tone down in his approach, but he has continued to look better against spin. There were a few hard hit near misses in this game as well. Eric Hartman is still looking for his first Double-A home run and had another near miss, driving a ball in the first inning to the deepest part of the park where it died for a fly out. John Gil did a similar trick a few innings later, crushing a hanging slider out to left field where it died just shy of leaving the yard. I think Hartman has done well in terms of his approach upon being promoted, he just isn’t getting fastballs in the zone and he’s not producing a ton of power on other pitches. He’s been making more contact than the strikeout rates suggest and he’s just a bit off from hitting his stride. The biggest issue I see is that pitchers are keeping the ball away from him and he is still trying to yank those pitches, which is leading to more rollover ground balls than anything. His swing is geared to the pull side and it’s what makes him successful so it’s nothing the Braves can really change, but an attack plan to have better success on the outer third is going to be a key stepping stone for him.
Swing and Misses
Garrett Baumann – 18
Owen Hackman – 3
(56-58) Rome Emperors 5, (53-64) Hub City Spartanburgers 4
Ethan Bagwell, SP: 3.2 IP, 4 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, 3.83 ERA
I tried to watch this game and think of what went wrong for Ethan Bagwell, and the honest answer is that it wasn’t very much. He allowed four runs in the second inning but the Spartanburgers did not hit the ball hard against him, and there were some borderline pitches in two-strike counts that went against him that extended at least one at bat longer than it should have gone. Bagwell didn’t have the best feel for his slider in this game and that didn’t help his cause, and it’s why he struggled to miss bats, but his fastball command was strong throughout. Bagwell worked around the edges with his fastball and utilized the pitch to get weak ground balls and quick outs, but that also had the effect of him having one inning where all of those hits found grass at the same time. It wasn’t Bagwell’s best work, because without a secondary offering to carry the weight late in counts he struggles to finish at bats and is reliant on batted ball luck, but his command was good enough and the batted balls he allowed don’t really support the four runs he gave up. He left his last start with some back soreness, so him being healthy for this game was already a positive, and it’s not great to speculate but it wouldn’t be out of the question to say there is still a lingering issue there. He was not near as sharp with his breaking ball as he has been for the past two months and I don’t expect that to be a trend that holds.
There wasn’t a huge amount to write home about offensively as Rome just took care of their opportunities when they had them. The Spartanburgers issued a lot of walks and hit Cody Miller a couple of times, and that put the Emperors in position to score runs which they pulled off. It was just a 1-4 day from Luis Guanipa but he looked as good as I’ve seen him at this level and he’s definitely working through some changes that are affecting his swing. He was aggressive in his first couple of at bats but he was swinging at hittable pitches in the strike zone, and in both cases he attacked with the intent to hit it hard on the pull side. One of those turned into a hard hit single, and approach early in the count is exactly what I’m hoping to see more of as the season draws to a close. He had some decent takes in his third at bat and ended with a ground out, and the only at bat he really looked uncomfortable was against a side-armer in the 7th inning. Guanipa is always going to be aggressive, and I’m fine with that sacrifice as long as he’s taking those hacks with intent to do more than just make contact and he did so in this game. Conor Essenburg had a couple of hard hit balls in addition to a couple of strikeouts. On the first one he just got beat and didn’t approach the at bat well, but the second wasn’t fully his fault. The opposing pitcher got two borderline calls, neither of which Essenburg liked and both of which were probably out of the zone, and it led to him feeling he had to chase a fastball off of the edge 0-2. Carter Beck had a rough one, with weak contact in his three plate appearances before ending the game getting dominated by a guy with a good changeup. This is the first time I’ve seen Beck really look lost against a specific pitch and I’m going to be keeping a close eye in future games on how he looks against right-handed changeups.
Swing and Misses
Jacob Shafer – 5
Ethan Bagwell – 5
(62-54) Augusta GreenJackets 3, (58-58) Columbia Fireflies 4
Davis Polo, SP: 6.2 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, 3.25 ERA
Davis Polo had an interesting dynamic in this start. His slider was solid but he wasn’t pitching with his best changeup, and he had to make some adjustments to find success against left-handed hitters. To start with the three runs, he made a couple of bad pitches that led to the Fireflies getting a run on an RBI double, but the rest of the inning was just bad luck. The next hitter got rewarded with an infield single that could have been called an error, but in any case was a bad hop that got away from the second baseman and led directly to another run to no fault of Polo. Polo ran into some control issues in the fifth inning that led to a run, but otherwise he did a good job of locating his fastball. For much of the game Polo was feeding sinkers low and mixing in sliders, and he got a ton of ground balls as usual but his secondaries just weren’t getting the results he was used to. Polo doesn’t pitch up in the strike zone as often as a lot of Braves prospects, but when he turned to that the second time through the order he had his best innings of the night. He was consistently pumping 93-95 and hitting it on the top edge of the strike zone, and the Fireflies couldn’t get to it to fight it off. Polo doesn’t often miss bats like that with his fastball and it was nice to see that facet of his game, and it’s something I would like to see be part of his approach more often in the future. That is dependent on Polo being able to actually command the ball there, which isn’t always a given, but it gives a lot more depth to his arsenal.
There wasn’t a great offensive showing from anybody, as top-to-bottom the lineup struck out quite a bit and it prevented them from taking advantage of the opportunities they were given often enough. Parker Brosius was the exception with a single, a double, and a hard hit fly out late in the game, but that’s going to be the expectation for him moving forward. I am interested to see Brosius tested against better stuff, because I want to see if he is going to be able to handle pitchers that can land fastballs on the inner half and breaking balls away more consistently. Brosius’s swing path can get long to the ball and he’s gear to yank everything, but I don’t see enough bat speed there to get away with that against consistently good velocity. He also doesn’t have a swing that shows the athleticism to adjust to spin and he’s going to be on top of it with his approach, those these are early returns and also pretty picky complaints for a ninth round pick at this stage.
Jul 19, 2026; West Sacramento, California, USA; Athletics pitcher Jacob Lopez (57) talks with Athletics manager Mark Kotsay (7) before being pulled during the fifth inning against the Washington Nationals at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Scott Marshall-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Happy Friday everyone! The weekend is right around the corner.
The Athletics have once again failed to win a game this week, suffering their first four-game sweep against the Kansas City Royals since 1994. The team’s bullpen, which loomed as its biggest concern entering the season, has indeed been a season-long problem. In two of its past three games, the A’s makeshift bullpen failed to protect multi-run leads in the eighth inning or later. The team’s defense did its pitching no favors, as a defensive error played a major role in both of those game-altering rallies.
The 49-79 A’s enter this weekend’s series at the Houston Astros as the undisputed worst team in the league. Manager Mark Kotsay’s squad has gone 11-41 over its last 52 games, good for a .212 winning percentage. With a little more than 30 games remaining, the team needs two wins to surpass 2023’s miserable 50-112 season. While the A’s are likely to win more games this year, the team remains on pace for another embarrassing 100-loss campaign.
Before the Athletics fell apart in Kansas City, the team ended its homestand by playing spoiler, winning two of three against the Texas Rangers. Starting tonight, the Green and Gold will look to play that role again as they begin a three-game series against the Astros.
The American League West is so poor that the Astros lead the division despite hovering over .500. The A’s will have to contain AL MVP favorite Yordan Alvarez, who has single-handedly powered Houston’s ascent to the top of the division.
Right-hander J.T. Ginn and left-hander Jacob Lopez will start the A’s first two games in Houston, looking to get their team back in the win column. They will be opposed by Astros right-handers Hayden Wesneski and Hunter Brown. Neither team has announced its starting pitcher for Sunday’s series finale.
With playoffs well out of reach and the entirety of the team’s core out for the rest of the season, the A’s just need to end the season on a respectable note. At least 60 wins should be the goal, and things should be set in place on and off the field for a turnaround like the Chicago White Sox experienced this year.
How many wins do you think the Athletics will have at the end of the season? What can the team do to build some momentum and positive vibes over the final weeks of this fifth-straight losing season?
Not the way the A’s wanted this season to go. Three of these injured players are signed long-term, with Nick Kurtz also emerging as an extension candidate.
Should Mark Kotsay lead the A’s into Las Vegas or would the team be better served by replacing him?
Should the A's Keep Mark Kotsay? SI Writers Give Their Verdict
MARK KOTSAY: KEEP HIM OR MOVE ON? 👀
Should Mark Kotsay be the manager when the A's enter their Las Vegas era? SI's Andrew Ferguson @afergLV and Dylan Quinn @dylanq_2 joined Rants Live @AthleticsRants and gave…
— The House Always Wins Media Network/Las Vegas A's (@lasvegasaspod) August 20, 2026
The San Diego Padres are one of the hottest teams in baseball, posting an 8-3 record over the last 10 games. It has allowed them to secure a slim one-game lead over the Arizona Diamondbacks in the chase for the last National League Wild Card berth.
The roster seems set; everyone understands their roles. But there is still one move to make. It is not so much for the remainder of this season, more for the 2027 campaign.
The Padres need to promote Ethan Salas as one of their September call-ups.
Outstanding minor league season forces call-up conversation
It should not come as a surprise, as Salas is the organization’s prized minor league possession. He has played in two levels (Double-A San Antonio and Triple-A El Paso) this season. You would expect a September promotion is the final step in his development.
After suffering through an injury-plagued 2025 season, Salas has been on fire at the plate. In 72 games with the San Antonio Missions, the 20-year-old batted .286 with seven home runs and 37 RBI. It earned him a promotion to Triple-A, where Salas continued to rake. Currently, he is hitting .315 with three home runs, 35 RBI and a mouth-dropping 1.076 OPS in 15 games.
His play has opened some eyes within the organization. Usually, major league clubs bring up their top prospects when rosters expand, rewarding them for an outstanding minor league season.
In Salas’ case, it would give the youngster a taste of being around big-league players during the stretch run. He can observe and learn from players like Manny Machado on how to prepare for pressure-packed games that could decide a team’s postseason fate.
Granted, the young catcher will not be eligible for the postseason, but summoning him to San Diego will prepare Salas to compete for a starting job next spring.
Fermin and Campusano raising the level of their game
The Friars have a good mix behind the plate. Freddie Fermin and Luis Campusano share the catching duties. Both players have spent time on the injured list this season, but their return to the lineup has provided a much-needed spark to the offense.
Fermin is batting .312, and Campusano is hitting .310 for August. It is the type of offensive production that has allowed the Padres to own an MLB-best 18-7 record since late July. Salas would not replace either catcher in the lineup, but does add depth as a left-handed bat off the bench.
Since the All-Star break, the Friars have been a wonderful story. The club has picked itself off the mat to surge back into contention for a postseason berth. But the job is not done.
If the Padres fail to play October baseball, all was for naught.
Calling up Salas to bolster the September roster is the right move.
CHICAGO, ILLINOIS - AUGUST 11: The Chicago White Sox mascot Southpaw warms up before a game against the Cincinnati Reds at Rate Field on August 11, 2026 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Jessie Alcheh/Getty Images) | Getty Images
After finishing off a 5-1 homestand, New York Mets (58-70) head out on the road for a three-game series with the AL Central-leading Chicago White Sox (66-61). The Mets last faced the South Siders in May 2025, taking two out of three from them at Citi Field. The Mets last traveled to Rate Field in summer 2024, when they swept the ChiSox on the road. In fact, the Mets have swept the last two series they’ve played in the South Side of Chicago. The Mets sport a seven-game road winning streak against the White Sox, with their last loss coming all the way back on June 25, 2013.
The Mets cooled off the Padres, who came in as baseball’s hottest team and left as losers of two out of three games. The Mets could have had a sweep, if not for Fernando Tatis Jr. and his heroics on both sides of the ball in the 5-2 loss on Tuesday night. Tatis Jr. robbed Francisco Lindor of a grand slam and hit two home runs, driving in three of San Diego’s five runs in the process. The Mets got a small measure of revenge with a 2-1 win on Monday and a 4-2 victory in the rubber match to leave home with the series win. In Monday’s win, Benge was the shining star, throwing out runners at home on back-to-back play, with the latter throw clocking in at 103.9 mph (the third-hardest outfield throw in the Statcast era). A.J. Ewing, who has been struggling at the plate, contributed with an outfield assist of his own in the second inning, and each of those three runs proved critical. On Wednesday, Benge’s two-run homer to left field put the Mets ahead, and they were able to do just enough to hold on.
Benge really shined in this series and solidified his case as a potential NL Rookie of the Year contender alongside frontrunners Sal Stewart and JJ Wetherholt. With his two OF assists on Monday, he now leads all NL right fielders with nine assists. He also continues to excel with his glove beyond just his arm, posting 3 DRS in RF (and 1 DRS in LF) in 2026.
What’s most impressive about Benge is how well he’s recovered from a slow start. There was talk in April of sending him back to AAA, but Juan Soto’s initial injury gave him extra life in the lineup. After starting the season hitting .179/.235/.263 with a 41 wRC+ in his first 29 games through May 2, he’s hit .297/.359/.459 with a 130 wRC+ in 92 games since this point in the year. Among qualified NL hitters, that wRC+ is good for 14th, while his 3.1 fWAR is seventh among NL hitters, trailing Pete Crow-Armstrong, Gabriel Moreno, Bryson Stott, Luis Arraez, Shohei Ohtani, and James Wood. Safe to say Benge has been really good, and it stands to reason that he’ll only get better.
The White Sox enter this series on a bit of a rut, having lost three of their last four contests leading into the weekend. They dropped their first two games against the crosstown rival Cubs before salvaging the finale on Wednesday. Then, in what was supposed to be a day off on Thursday, they played a makeup game against the Braves and fell 2-0. The White Sox maintained their lead over the Twins in the AL Central, which is now 3.5 games, as they look to become the first team in MLB history to make the postseason after back-to-back 100-loss campaigns.
Chicago lives and dies by their offense. They are 10th in MLB and 5th in the American League with a 103 wRC+ and a .726 OPS. They have the third-most home runs in the AL (167) and have scored the most runs in the league (605), 13 clear of the second-place Twins. Their bullpen has also enjoyed a solid year, posting a 3.76 ERA (4th in the AL). Their rotation is their biggest weakness, posting a 4.39 ERA (1oth in the AL) and a 4.35 FIP (13th in the AL).
Unsurprisingly, Munetaka Murakami has been the standout star for the White Sox (shoutout Tokyo Yakult Swallows). The rookie has blasted 29 home runs (tops on the club) and would probably be chasing down Pete Alonso’s rookie record had he not missed six weeks with an injury. He is still very much in consideration for the AL Rookie of the Year award and leads White Sox hitters with a 146 wRC+ and an .893 OPS in 92 games. Miguel Vargas is also enjoying a breakout season for Chicago, posting 3.8 fWAR (a career best and tops on the White Sox) and leading the entire AL in runs scored (86) while hitting 28 homers and posting a 131 wRC+ in a team-leading 125 games. Vargas’ year earned him his first ever All-Star game nod. Colson Montgomery rounds out the White Sox hitters with 25+ homers, as he enters play with 26 dingers and a 101 wRC+ with 2.5 fWAR in 120 games.
Friday, August 21: Sean Manaea vs. Sean Burke, 7:40 PM EDT on WPIX
Manaea was cruising in his last start against the Nats, but an ill-timed three-run home run quickly flipped the game on its head and made his line look worse than it was. He ended up being charged with four earned runs on six hits over 6 1/3 innings and settled for a no decision as the Mets ended up coming back late. He struck out seven, walked two, and surrendered two home runs in the start. It remains encouraging that Manaea, who began the year in the pen, continues to give the team solid length and save the bullpen. He’s pitched into the seventh inning in two consecutive outings and has completed at least six innings of work in five straight and in six of seven starts. He has been looking a lot more like 2024 Manaea as the season has gone on.
Burke is enjoying a breakout season for Chicago. The 26-year-old has already eclipsed a career-high with 140 innings pitched and has set a career mark with 154 punch outs in his second full season in the majors. His 3.15 ERA is about a run less than the mark he set in his rookie season, and his 3.44 FIP is about a run and a half less than last year. It’s been a really positive year for the former third round pick, and he’ll look to finish things off on a high note. He is coming off a start in which he allowed four earned runs on five hits over 4 1/3 innings against the Tigers. Prior to that, he had a really strong start against the Reds, allowing one earned run on three hits with eight strikeouts over seven innings.
Saturday, August 22: Christian Scott vs. Luis Castillo, 7:10 PM EDT on SNY
Scott turned in a really strong effort his last time out against the Nationals, resulting in his fourth win of the season. The right-hander went 6 1/3 innings and allowed three earned runs on five hits to pick up the victory. He struck out seven and walked two while giving up one home run and hitting a batter. It was his longest start of the year and also the first time he has thrown a pitch in the seventh inning since his second major league start—he did so in each of his first two big league outings. At 84 2/3 innings pitched, he is now three innings away from his career high of 87 2/3 innings, which he accomplished in 2023 across St. Lucie, Brooklyn, and Binghamton. After missing all of last year and with the team out of the playoff picture, it does stand to reason that he could be shut down at some point in September to preserve some innings on his right arm.
Castillo has had a brutal 2026 season, but his past was at least enough to convince the White Sox to take a chance on him and pick him up from the Mariners ahead of the trade deadline. Since arriving in Chicago, he’s had two rough starts and one great start—in fact, probably his best start of the year. In that outing against the Reds, where he picked up his fourth win of the season, he allowed just one hit and two walks while striking out 10 over seven scoreless innings. In the other two starts combined (both of which resulted in no decisions), he went 8 2/3 innings and allowed nine runs (eight earned) on 14 hits, with two walks and six strikeouts.
Sunday, August 23: Nolan McLean vs. Erick Fedde, 2:10 PM EDT on SNY
McLean picked up his ninth win of 2026 in the team’s series opener against the Padres on Monday. The victory was heavily aided by three outfield assists over the first two innings, while allowed him to skirt some early-game trouble and allowed him to pitch deeper into the game. He ended up going six innings and allowing just one earned run on six hits. He only struck out three and walked four, which is less than ideal, but he was able to limit the damage thanks to his defense.
The Mets are plenty familiar with Fedde, who spent his first six seasons with the Nationals and also had a cup of coffee with the Braves in 2025. He signed a one-year deal in February 2026 with the White Sox and has bounced back and forth between Chicago’s rotation and bullpen. This will be his first start in August after making five relief appearances and allowing 10 runs (nine earned) on 14 hits in 12 innings. His last start came against the Rays on July 31, when he earned the win after allowing one earned run on four hits with six strikeouts over five innings. He has historically struggled against the Mets, posting a 6.78 ERA in 74 1/3 innings against New York.
ANAHEIM, CALIFORNIA - MAY 02: Andy Ibanez #77 of the New York Mets hits a sacrifice fly to score Mark Vientos #27, to trail 3-2 to the Los Angeles Angels, during the seventh inning at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on May 02, 2026 in Anaheim, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) | Getty Images
After 2023 rule changes successfully brought back the stolen base, steals are down for the second year in a row. Michael Baumann at Fangraphs investigates.
Williams team principal James Vowles during a press conference at the Mascot Circuit Zandvoort, Netherlands. Picture date: Friday August 21, 2026. (Photo by David Davies/PA Images via Getty Images) | PA Images via Getty Images
Hickory starter Evan Siary went seven innings, allowing two runs and striking out three.
Paulino Santana homered. Pablo Guerrero homered and walked twice. Yolfran Castillo had a double and a walk. Dewar Tovar had a hit. Josh Springer was 2 for 3 with a homer and a walk. Jeremy Owens and Seong-Jun Kim each had a hit.
Hub City starter Case Matter threw two shutout innings, striking out one. Kamdyn Perry allowed five runs in three innings, walking three, hitting two batters and striking out one.
Evan Morrison was 2 for 4 with a double. Chandler Pollard doubled.
Rehabbing Jack Leiter allowed five runs in three innings for Frisco, including a homer, walking two and striking out five. Joey Danielson allowed a run in an inning, striking out one. Dylan MacLean struck out three and walked three in four innings, allowing two runs. Eric Loomis struck out three in a shutout inning.
Yeison Morrobel homered. Arturo Disla was 2 for 4 with a double.
Round Rock starter David Davalillo allowed two runs, including a homer, in 5.2 IP, striking out two and walking one. Ben Peoples allowed three runs in 0.1 IP, walking one and giving up a homer. Ryan Lobus allowed a homer to former Ranger Dustin Harris in one inning, walking one and striking out two. Michel Otanez struck out one and walked one in a scoreless inning.
Alejandro Osuna was 3 for 5 with a pair of doubles and a stolen base. Cam Cauley had a hit, a walk and a stolen base. Logan O’Hoppe had a pair of hits. Aaron Zavala was 2 for 4 with a homer.
NEW YORK, NEW YORK - AUGUST 19: Fernando Tatis Jr. #23 of the San Diego Padres stands in the dugout before the game against the New York Mets at Citi Field on August 19, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The San Diego Padres finished a .500 road trip after dropping the final game of the series to the New York Mets by a score of 4-2. It was a disappointing end to a two-city trip that felt like it could have been much better. San Diego took two of three from the Cleveland Guardians and went into New York looking to replicate that success.
The Padres opened the series with the Mets with a 2-1 loss that saw four outs recorded at the plate in the first two innings. Three of those outs came on outfield assists and caused a lot of the Friar Faithful to question whether the team needed to make a change at the third base coach position. Of course, those were more heat of the moment discussions and they quickly dissipated the next night.
The second game of the series will forever be known as the Fernando Tatis Jr. Game. The star right fielder led off the game with a solo home run on the very first pitch. He later went on to add a two-run home run which was a welcome sight considering his slow start to the season in regard to his power numbers. But the home runs took a back seat to his defense which helped Robbie Ray maintain a lead and eventually earn a win.
With two outs and the bases loaded in the bottom of the second inning Tatis leaped high above the wall in right field to take away what would have been a grand slam home run from Francisco Lindor. The Padres would go on to win the game, 5-2.
In the final game of the series, the Frair Faithful were hoping for the Padres to ride the momentum from Tuesday night to a second consecutive win and a series win. However, they were unable to provide starter Michael King with any run support and they were unable to come through with a clutch hit in the final at-bat of the game. With runners on the corner with one out, pinch-hitter Austin Hays bounced into a double play and San Diego dropped the game and the series to New York with a 4-2 loss.
The Padres have little room for error in the win-loss columns and need to get back on track in the series opener against the Minnesota Twins tonight at Petco Park. The Twins are coming off a sweep of the Atlanta Braves and are engaged in their own playoff hunt in the American League. The sweep in Atlanta followed Minnesota getting swept in a three game set against the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Padres have improved their starting rotation and have been getting consistent 6-plus-inning outings from their starters. They have an offense that has shown it can put up a big number on the scoreboard but the problem has been consistency. San Diego will be rested after a day off on Thursday and will get energy from what is likely to be another sellout crowd, but can they turn that into a win? That will be determined tonight at 6:40 p.m.
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 16: Rafael Devers #16 of the San Francisco Giants hits a three-run home run against the Colorado Rockies in the bottom of the second inning of a major league baseball game at Oracle Park on August 16, 2026 in San Francisco, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
It’s a simple question. And for me it’s a simple answer. I watch the game for the players and for the moments they create on the field. For 8 years Rafael Devers wowed me with his bat, his flare for the dramatics, and with the attitude of boyish fun he brought to the field. I don’t want to be the type of person who cares about anything more than that.
Talk about Rafael Devers and whatever else you want in this space and, as always, be good to one another.
The Milwaukee Brewers (-140) have flexed their muscles against quality competition this season, posting a 41-21 record against teams over .500.
With Milwaukee starting the heavy favorite to win the NL Cy Young, my Braves vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks see the Brewers earning another victory against a good team on Friday, Aug. 21.
Who will win Braves vs Brewers today: Brewers moneyline (-140)
The Milwaukee Brewers are better positioned for success at the dish.
Eight of their projected batters have been posting double-digit walk rates against lefties over the last 30 games. That will not only help them get on base, but it'll pester Chris Sale and increase his pitch count.
They’ve also hit for a lot of power, producing an 11.8% barrel rate (99th percentile) and 41.4% hard-hit rate (89th percentile) during that span.
The Atlanta Bravessit 29th in OBP vs. righties over the past 30 games, which will make life even harder against Jacob Misiorowski.
Bet this to -150.
COVERS INTEL: The Braves have struck out at the seventh-highest rate against righties in August. That doesn't bode well going up against Misiorowski and his 100th percentile K%.
Braves vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 6.0 (-110)
This total is too low.
Sale is exceptional, but he's pitched into the seventh inning just once over his last 10 starts, and Milwaukee’s patience at the plate should chase him in six innings or fewer.
That would give Milwaukee plenty of opportunities to scratch together runs against a bullpen sitting 25th in xFIP over the last month.
Misiorowski isn't immune to power, allowing multiple homers in three of his last seven starts. He gives up a lot of fly balls, and the Braves boast the sluggers to capitalize.
I’d play the Over to -122.
Braves vs Brewers home run prediction: Gary Sanchez (+510)
Sale attacks right-handed bats with a steady dose of fastballs, and that’s good news for lefty-masher Gary Sanchez.
He's gone nuclear against four-seamers from southpaws, barreling up that pitch more than 22% of the time while posting a .684 ISO.
Sanchez has the ability to make Sale pay if he fails to locate his fastball, and that’s more likely if the Brewers can force the veteran into longer at-bats with their patience.
Bet this down to +480.
Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 84-77, -11 units
Over/Under bets: 84-71-6, +2.42 units
Braves vs Brewers weather
This game will be played in a dome.
Braves vs Brewers odds
Moneyline: Braves +120 | Brewers -140
Run line: Braves +1.5 (-190) | Brewers -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under: Over 6.0 (-105) | Under 6.0 (-115)
Braves vs Brewers trend
Milwaukee has hit the moneyline in 34 of their last 50 home games (+9.25 units, 11% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Braves vs Brewers.
How to watch Braves vs Brewers and game info
Location
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date
Friday, Aug. 21, 2026
First pitch
4:10 p.m. ET
TV
BravesVision, Brewers.TV
Braves starting pitcher
Chris Sale (12-8, 2.16 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher
Jacob Misiorowski (12-5, 1.75 ERA)
Braves vs Brewers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
ARLINGTON, TEXAS - AUGUST 20: A detail view of the scoreboard after Jacob deGrom #48 of the Texas Rangers threw career strikeout 2000 against the Washington Nationals during the first inning at Globe Life Field on August 20, 2026 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Ron Jenkins/Getty Images) | Getty Images
PHILADELPHIA, PA - AUGUST 17: Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Jhoan Duran #59 warms up in front of his entrance visuals during the game between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins on August 17th 2026 at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA. (Photo by Terence Lewis/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
The Phillies have been calling upon the services of Johan Duran a lot lately. The fire balling closer has appeared in four games over the last week and has seen his rest days start to shrink in number as the postseason race tightens.
Look no further than his appearances earlier this week for evidence of how much the Phillies will lean on him the rest of the year. Duran collected a save on Sunday but needed 33 pitches to do so. He was then immediately called upon again on Monday in another save situation, however this time he only needed 10 pitches. Duran received some rest on Tuesday, but he was back at again for his third save in four days on Wednesday. In those appearances, Duran threw a total of 61 pitches.
Duran has for the most part been durable. He did miss time earlier this season due to an oblique strain, but has been otherwise extremely reliable since arriving in Philadelphia at last year’s trade deadline. Still, it’s always worrying to put this much mileage on a reliever’s arm, as you run the risk of overworking him and sacrificing effectiveness.
But in Duran’s case, his earlier injury may actually be a bit of a blessing in disguise at the current moment, as he’s only thrown 45.1 innings this season so far, way down from the 70 he tossed last year. There’s obviously still a month to go in the regular season, but Duran is behind his 2025 innings pace due to missing that time earlier, as he was up to 55 innings by August 19th of last season. Therefore, it should give the Phillies at least some confidence that he should be able to hold up over an increased workload down the stretch.
Of course, total innings is only one worry. The other is general lack of rest in the day-to-day workings of a reliever. The rest of the Phillies bullpen is a prime example of what can happen when relievers are called upon in rapid succession with little time off. Duran hasn’t seen any velocity bleeding yet and his fastball has actually slightly ticked up as the season has progressed, but it will be something worth monitoring as he sees his usage increase.
The Phillies are going to ride Duran as much as possible while they look to secure a postseason berth, especially if they keep up their tendency of playing close games. But how do you feel about Jhoan Duran’s workload?
Aug 4, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies first baseman TJ Rumfield (7) fields the ball as Tampa Bay Rays shortstop Taylor Walls (6) runs in the eleventh inning at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Two months before the season even started, the Colorado Rockies made one of the best moves for 2026 and, hopefully, beyond.
Entering Friday’s series with the Cleveland Guardians, Rumfield leads the Rockies in rWAR at 3.0. He is tied for second in doubles (25), third in RBI (60), tied for fourth in homers (13), and his line puts him among team leaders in every category: .292./372/.447 with an .820 OPS.
His eye at the plate is a key part of his effectiveness. Rumfield leads the team in walks with 48 (9.7% walk rate), while registering an extremely low strikeout rate of 14.3% (71 strikeouts in 497 plate appearances). All of his numbers are making him a strong candidate for the National League Rookie of the Year. He already won NL Rookie of the Month for May and June.
There’s no doubt that Rumfield is an excellent hitter, but a new stat from Statcast also could reveal more about his defense.
He’s an above-average defender by the basic stats as he’s only committed three errors in 893.1 innings. The 26-year-old Rumfield leads the Rockies in 10 defensive runs saved. In addition, Rumfield’s outs above average is tied with Atlanta’s Matt Olson with an MLB-leading six. He also has a Fielding Run Value of six.
Here’s one example of his skills on the right side of the infield.
As the first baseman, it’s no surprise that he leads the team in putouts at 826. However, a new stat gives more insight into how well a first baseman is able to catch the throws that come his way.
Until now, fans didn’t have many options to measure how well a first baseman receives throws. There are scoops, which record how many times first basemen catch throws in the dirt, but the stat doesn’t capture total scoop attempts. Instead, fans mostly used their eyeballs to gauge a player’s Go-Go-Gadget-like abilities to catch high, wide and low throws, indicating whether or not a first baseman was above-average at their position.
The new Statcast metric, simply called first base receiving, is calculated to factor in expected catches for on-target throws as well as those that make the first baseman reach, in addition to the speed of the runner. According to Baseball Savant, “Each throw from 2B/SS/3B is given an out probability based on inputs including throw location (high/low, wide/on-target, bounce/in-air), runner speed on play, and runner location from first base at the point the 1B catches the ball. Only throws within an 8 foot perimeter of the 1B bag are considered in the model.”
Here’s a look at the visual:
Rumfield’s two receiving outs above average puts him in a five-way tie for eighth, five behind MLB leader Alec Burleson of St. Louis. Rumfield is tied for first on one of the factors that makes up the stat — height, which makes sense with his 6-foot-5 frame.
Baseball Savant has the stat going back to 2021, which gives us a chance to look at how Rumfield measures up against the Rockies other first basemen over the last five years. While Rumfield’s sample size is small, with just 107 games at first in his rookie campaign, it’s interesting to see how he stacks up against the main first basemen in Colorado for the last few seasons: Michael Toglia, Elehuris Montero and CJ Cron.
Name
Year
Hand
Height
Receiving OAA
On Target
Bounce
Scoops
Low
High
Wide
Outs
Opportunities
Avg exp.
TJ Rumfield
2026
R
6-5
2
1.6
-0.3
-0.4
0.5
1
-0.9
387
411
93.8%
Michael Toglia
2025
L
6-5
3
0.9
2.5
-0.1
0.6
-0.4
-0.2
358
376
94.4%
Michael Toglia
2024
L
6-5
0
-2.2
-0.2
1.2
0.7
0.08
-0.4
430
449
95.8%
Elehuris Montero
2024
R
6-3
1
0.5
-0.4
-1.1
-0.3
0.4
1.8
226
235
95.8%
Elehuris Montero
2023
R
6-3
1
-1.1
1.3
0.7
0
0.1
0.4
214
219
97.1%
CJ Cron
2023
R
6-4
1
-1.1
0.6
0.4
-0.4
0.7
1.1
203
214
94.3%
CJ Cron
2022
R
6-4
-2
1.4
-2.3
0.5
1.2
-2
-0.7
555
590
94.40%
CJ Cron
2021
R
6-4
4
0.2
0.7
-0.5
0.8
1.4
1.7
552
579
94.6%
While this is a new stat and Toglia, Montero and Cron have different seasons to compare, the thing that jumps out from this table is the variance from year to year. In 2021, Cron had a four receiving OAA, but the next year he was at -2. Toglia jumped from zero in 2024 to three in 2025. Montero is the only consistent player who had one in both his seasons at first in Colorado.
For the average expected out rate calculation, a ground ball that is thrown right on the money is 0.99, like this throw from Kyle Karros in March against Miami.
For bounce, scoops, low, high and wide, going off a baseline of zero, positive numbers are obviously more favorable than negative. To better understand how high is high and how low is low, as well as the difference between a bounce and a scoop, here’s a diagram.
It helps to have examples to compare it to. Here’s a table with the receiving OAA leader Burleson, 2025 Gold Glove winner Matt Olson, and outfield convert Bryce Harper, who is in last place in ROAA.
Name
Year
Hand
Height
Receiving OAA
On Target
Bounce
Scoops
Low
High
Wide
Outs
Opportunities
Avg exp.
Alec Burleson
2026
L
6-0
7
2
2.4
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.2
505
527
94.60%
Matt Olson
2026
R
6-4
0
-1.4
-1.6
1.5
1.3
-0.6
0.2
491
520
94.50%
Bryce Harper
2026
R
6-1
-8
-3.4
0.4
0.7
0.5
-4
-1.9
384
427
91.70%
However, if you look at the cumulative stats from 2021-2026, Olson is second at 28 ROAA, just behind Freddie Freeman’s 29. So far, ROAA seems to be a stat that can fluctuate from year-to-year and might be best assessed with multiple years of data. Like WAR, it also accumulates over time with greater potential to increase and heavily favors longevity.
In terms of a lifelong baseball career, Rumfield is relatively new to first base. Rumfield was the third-ranked third baseman in the state of Texas as a high schooler before moving to the other side of the infield. He switched to DH and 1B in college at Virginia Tech, where he redshirted in 2019, had a shortened season in 2020 and only played one full year of college ball.
The Phillies drafted him in the 12th round of the 2021 MLB Draft and traded Rumfield to the Yankees later that year. As he worked his way through the minors, Rumfield played 364 games at first base and 63 as DH. All of this is to say that Rumfield could be the type of player who gets better and better at first base, especially with more and more MLB experience.
While ROAA is just one factor in a first baseman’s fielding, if Rumfield is the first baseman of the Rockies future, it will be an interesting number to keep an eye on.
The Isotopes carried a 6-4 lead into the ninth inning, but the Aviators rallied back to tie it in the ninth and then win it in the 11th. Jose Cordova hit a solo homer, doubled and walked, Charlie Condon added two hits and scored a run, Ryan Ritter also pitched in two hits, while also driving in two and scoring one and Sterlin Thompson scored two runs on two walks and one hit. Roc Riggio and Nic Kent each chipped in sac flies. After Las Vegas took a 7-6 lead in the top of the 10th, but Kent scored on a passed ball to send the game to the 11th. That’s when Aviator Brayan Buelvas hit a two-run triple, which ended up being the game-winner.
Double-A: Hartford Yard Goats vs. Somerset Patriots, Postponed
Weather made this one a late scratch, but it will be made up on Friday as part of a doubleheader.
Spokane was out-hit 9-3 and gave up all nine runs in the fourth and fifth in a shutout loss on Thursday. On the bright side, Gabriel Hughes entered the game in the seventh and tossed three scoreless, hitless innings with five strikeouts. Jacob Hinderleider doubled, Tommy Hopfe and Robert Calaz each singled and the Indians drew three walks while striking out six times in the loss.
When Cort MacDonald tripled on a line drive to right field to score Daniel Jackson and Juan Martinez in the eighth inning, the runs put the Grizzlies up 10-7. In the end, that was enough to win the high-scoring game in the Rockies lone affiliate victory of the night on Thursday. On the night, MacDonald went 2-for-3 with three RBIs, while Daniel Jackson went 3-for-3 with a homer, a double, two RBIs, three runs scored and two walks. Ronny Ugarte scored two runs and drove in another two. All in all, Fresno combined for 15 hits.
Purple Row’s Skyler Timmins takes questions from the Purple Row community from all over the world about Rockies prospects, Ezequiel Tovar, front office operations, Rockies fans origin stories and more.
Celebrating players’ personalities and lives off the field, MLB Players’ Weekend will be back in action this weekend. Friday will showcase the players’ off-field interests, Saturday will highlight causes players are supporting and Sunday will feature players’ appreciation of the people who helped them reach The Show. The content will be on social media, local broadcasts and MLB Network throughout the weekend.
The bigger news this weekend for Rockies fans will happen when the organization reveals the statue for Hall of Famer Larry Walker on Sunday. The statue will be located outside of Coors Field at the corner of 20th and Blake Street.
ST. PETERSBURG, FL - AUGUST 17: Jonathan Aranda #8 of the Tampa Bay Rays scores behind Carlos Narváez #75 of the Baltimore Orioles during the seventh inning of the baseball game at Tropicana Field on August 17, 2026 in St. Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Mike Carlson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Welp. What a difference four days makes. On August 16, the O’s were clobbering the Rays 10-2 to complete three straight wins in St. Petersburg, vaulting into sole possession of the third American League Wild Card spot. As of last night, they’d dropped four in a row, including a home sweep by the Yankees, tumbling back out of a playoff spot in the process and falling to six games under .500.
This is who the 2026 Orioles are: a team that can look like the best club in baseball for three days and the worst for four, sometimes in the same week. The question this week of baseball raises for is not whether Baltimore is erratic (that’s not much of a question); it’s whether last week’s high was real, and whether this week’s low means the season is effectively over, even if the math says otherwise.
After three days in Tampa, we were riding high. It wasn’t expected, against the AL’s best team by record—far from it. On August 14, the Orioles won 6-5, buoyed by home runs by Colton Cowser and Gunnar Henderson and a two-run Dylan Beavers single. That night, Chris Bassitt, returning for action after two months on the shelf, pitched a stalwart 5 1/3 innings, and although Yennier Cano gave up three runs in the ninth, Cam Sanders and the team hung on for a narrow win. The next day, they won by a narrow 4-3 margin, in ten innings behind a solid Kyle Bradish, who went six innings with two runs allowed, and homers by Pete Alonso and Christian Encarnacion-Strand. Andrew Kittredge allowed the game-tying run in the ninth, but the Birds rallied in extras and Cam Sanders shut the door. Then came the laugher: on August 16, Jackson Holliday drove in three runs, Colton Cowser added a two-run homer in the sixth, and Trevor Rogers turned in six innings of two-run ball to close out the series, 10-2. Manager Craig Albernaz summed up the mood afterward: “For us, we really believe we can play with anyone.”
The series win pushed Baltimore to 61-63—sub-.500, yes, but nonetheless good enough in a jumbled Wild Card picture for the third and final spot, a half-game up on Texas and a full game up on Toronto, Cleveland, and Detroit. After a disheartening Trade Deadline that had you question whether this Orioles front office believes in the team anymore, it was a great moment.
Alas, the wheels soon came off. The Rays got the series finale back on the 17th, 7-6, in a game the Orioles should have had. Coby Mayo hit a 468-foot homer, Christian Encarnacion-Strand drove in four runs, and Baltimore led 6-4 into the seventh before Yennier Cano failed to get an out and the bullpen surrendered the lead.
A couple days later, the Yankees came to Camden Yards and swept. New York took Game 1 3-1, due to the offense’s total failure to back up a stellar Shane Baz, who struck out a season-high ten batters. The Yankees took Game 2, 5-3 on Wednesday in a game Baltimore arguably should have led in the seventh—that inning, a Pete Alonso fly ball down the left-field line was (wrongly) ruled foul, and the Yankees broke the ensuing tie with two runs in the eighth off Cam Sanders. Then, they got a lopsided 6-1 defeat on Thursday, with Gerrit Cole cruising and Kyle Bradish getting tagged for a pair of solo homers in the sixth. Dylan Beavers’ homer was the lone offensive highlight in that finale, much as as Coby Mayo’s had been two days earlier, with Baz on the mound.
It seems to me that the how of the wins and losses matters here, because this a specific, recurring failure mode. In three of the four losses, Baltimore’s offense either went cold against a plus starter (Cole, Rodón, and Yankees pitching generally), simply lacking thump besides a single big swing. In the other, a shaky bullpen turned a winnable game into a loss. Those are exactly the two questions that were hanging over this roster before the winning streak ever started, and the win streak didn’t dispositively answer either one. In fact, the team nearly lost the lead in Tampa in two of the three games; it was just well-timed hitting and a blowout that, in retrospect, obscured those weaknesses.
So: was the Tampa series a mirage or not? Truthfully, yes and no: this Orioles team is capable of exactly what Albernaz said, beating anyone on a given night, not to mention hanging with the pack in a decidedly mediocre AL Wild Card chase. But those wins ultimately were not proof that the team is good. A sub.-500 club that needs a hot week to sneak into a Wild Card spot in a weak field is, definitionally, a bubble team, and bubble teams have patent, obvious weaknesses.
As for whether Baltimore is really out of it: not numerically, not with more than five weeks left and half the AL still hovering within a couple of games of a playoff spot. But practically speaking, if the team’s ceiling is “beat a good opponent by doing just enough to cover for the weak bullpen” and their floor is “fail to hit decent starters, then blow leads,” they simply aren’t built for anything like a real playoff run. It seems that most of us in Birdland are well aware of this unfortunate fact.
COVERS INTEL: The Braves have struck out at the seventh-highest rate against righties in August. That doesn't bode well going up against 
