
With final cuts just days away, it’s time to see how the Cowboys’ projected 53-man roster has changed since training camp opened.
We published a roster projection summary prior to training camp featuring projections from Joseph Hoyt of the DMN, Todd Archer of ESPN, and Jon Machota of the Athletic. At the time (July 27), the three projections gave us a good idea of where public sentiment stood regarding the 2026 Cowboys roster.
Today, we turn to three more projections. One from Todd Archer of ESPN Dallas, another one from Calvin Watkins of the Dallas Morning News,and a final one from our own Dan Rogers of BloggingTheBoys, subbing in for Jon Machota.
With only a few days left until the cutdown, it might be interesting to take a step back, and look at how the Cowboys’ 53-man projection has developed since the start of training camp. This should allow us to see which players moved up or down the depth chart over the entire training camp (and two preseason games).
As our goal today is to compare and contrast the current projections with those earlier iterations, the tables are color-coded accordingly and the tally from the July projections is shown at the end of the table for each player.
Green = current projection represents an improvement over July
Yellow = current projection is less certain/represents a decline
July column = previous consensus
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Quarterbacks | Dak Prescott | Dak Prescott | Dak Prescott | 3/3 |
| Joe Milton | Joe Milton | Joe Milton | 2/3 | |
| Sam Howell | 2/3 |
Winner: Joe Milton
Questions: Sam Howell
What changed: Milton and Howell were both 2-for-3 in our July projection summary, but Milton is now the 3-for-3 unanimous pick as QB2. I’m with Archer though, who explains why the Cowboys may keep all three:
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }“Maybe in a perfect world the Cowboys would rather go with two quarterbacks, but Milton and Howell have fared well and if quarterback is the most important spot on the team, then maybe it’s wise to keep three.”
| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Running Backs | Javonte Williams | Javonte Williams | Javonte Williams | 3/3 |
| Malik Davis | Malik Davis | Malik Davis | 1/3 | |
| Jaydon Blue | Jaydon Blue | Jaydon Blue | 3/3 | |
| Hunter Luepke | Hunter Luepke | Hunter Luepke | 3/3 |
Winner: Malik Davis
Loser: Phil Mafah
Out: Israel Abanikanda, Jashaun Corbin
What changed: Phil Mafah entered camp on 2-of-3 projections, while Malik Davis felt like an also-ran at 1-of-3. But that changed dramatically, with Davis looking like a strong bet for the 53 and Mafah a likely PS candidate.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Wide Receivers | CeeDee Lamb | CeeDee Lamb | CeeDee Lamb | 3/3 |
| George Pickens | George Pickens | George Pickens | 3/3 | |
| Ryan Flournoy | Ryan Flournoy | Ryan Flournoy | 3/3 | |
| KaVontae Turpin | KaVontae Turpin | KaVontae Turpin | 3/3 | |
| Jonathan Mingo | Jonathan Mingo | Jonathan Mingo | 1/3 | |
| Camden Brown | Camden Brown | 0/3 |
Winners: Jonathan Mingo, Camden Brown
Losers: Marquez Valdes-Scantling, Anthony Smith, Traeshon Holden
Out: Jordan Hudson, Tyler Johnson, Denzel Mims, Jaden Smith
What changed: Mingo got one roster vote in July, Brown got none; Mingo upped his to three, Brown to two. As such, they are both winners of camp, even if keeping six wide receivers would be an unusual luxury here. MVS, Smith, and Holden all made one pre-camp projection, so their stock clearly dropped. The remaining receivers were likely never more than camp bodies.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Tight Ends | Jake Ferguson | Jake Ferguson | Jake Ferguson | 3/3 |
| Brevyn Spann-Ford | Brevyn Spann-Ford | Brevyn Spann-Ford | 3/3 | |
| Luke Schoonmaker | Luke Schoonmaker | Luke Schoonmaker | 3/3 |
Losers: Michael Trigg
Out: Zack Kuntz, DJ Rogers, Mitchell Van Vooren
What changed: There was some palpable excitement for Michael Trigg heading into camp, and he did show up on one of three pre-camp projections, but injuries and a steep learning curve as a blocker likely stopped him from making the jump to the 53.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Offensive Line | Tyler Guyton | Tyler Guyton | Tyler Guyton | 3/3 |
| Tyler Smith | Tyler Smith | Tyler Smith | 3/3 | |
| Cooper Beebe | Cooper Beebe | Cooper Beebe | 3/3 | |
| Tyler Booker | Tyler Booker | Tyler Booker | 3/3 | |
| Terence Steele | Terence Steele | Terence Steele | 3/3 | |
| TJ Bass | TJ Bass | TJ Bass | 3/3 | |
| Nate Thomas | Nate Thomas | Nate Thomas | 3/3 | |
| Drew Shelton | Drew Shelton | Drew Shelton | 3/3 | |
| Nick Leverett | Nick Leverett | Nick Leverett | 0/3 | |
| Ajani Cornelius | Ajani Cornelius | 1/3 |
Winners: Nick Leverett, Ajani Cornelius
Loser: Trevor Keegan
Out: Marcellus Johnson, Shiyazh Pete, DJ Wingfield, Chris Glaser, Sebastian Gutierrez
What changed: The question on the offensive line may be more about whether the Cowboys keep nine or ten guys, and perhaps less about which specific players they keep. But heading into camp, Trevor Keegan was a lock on all three projections, so he clearly lost some momentum throughout camp. Ajani Cornelius was 1-of-3 in July, and is now 2-of-3, so also an improvement. But Nick Leverett may be the biggest surprise here, as he didn’t show up on any of the July projections but looks like a strong 53-man candidate here.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Outside Linebackers | Rashan Gary | Rashan Gary | Rashan Gary | 3/3 |
| Donovan Ezeiruaku | Donovan Ezeiruaku | Donovan Ezeiruaku | 3/3 | |
| Von Miller | Von Miller | Von Miller | 0/3 | |
| Malachi Lawrence | Malachi Lawrence | Malachi Lawrence | 3/3 | |
| James Houston | James Houston | James Houston | 2/3 | |
| Marist Liufau | Marist Liufau | 1/3 | ||
| Sam Williams | 3/3 |
Winner: James Houston
Questions: Sam Williams, Marist Liufau
Loser: Tyrus Wheat
Out: Isaiah Land
What changed: Will McClay once coined the term “swarming rotation” to describe the Cowboys’ approach to their edge rushers, which may be one reason the Cowboys could keep six players here, and the Von Miller addition added even more pressure. All three projections agree on the first five. The only disagreement is over the sixth spot. Sam Williams was a 3-for-3 lock heading into camp but drops to 1-for-3 here, Marist Liufau was 1-for-3 and “improves” to 2-for-3, but both of them are likely in a battle with Tyrus Wheat (2-of-3 in July) for that last spot. James Houston was 2-for-3 in July and became a unanimous projection, so for now, he emerges as the winner here.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Defensive Tackles | Quinnen Williams | Quinnen Williams | Quinnen Williams | 3/3 |
| Kenny Clark | Kenny Clark | Kenny Clark | 3/3 | |
| Otito Ogbonnia | Otito Ogbonnia | Otito Ogbonnia | 3/3 | |
| LT Overton | LT Overton | LT Overton | 3/3 | |
| Jonathan Bullard | Jonathan Bullard | 3/3 | ||
| Jay Toia | 0/3 |
Questions: Jonathan Bullard, Jay Toia
Out: Adedayo Odeleye, Kevin Gilliam, Tommy Dunn
What changed: Note that teams can designate up to two players at the final cut down as “IR to return,” no longer requiring them to be on the roster for a day. For the Cowboys, Jonathan Bullard (groin and abdomen tendonitis) at DT and Julius Wood (concussion) at safety could qualify – and that may be the chance for Jay Toia to temporarily grab that fifth spot at DT.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Linebackers | DeMarvion Overshown | DeMarvion Overshown | DeMarvion Overshown | 3/3 |
| Dee Winters | Dee Winters | Dee Winters | 3/3 | |
| Jaishawn Barham | Jaishawn Barham | Jaishawn Barham | 3/3 | |
| Shemar James | Shemar James | Shemar James | 3/3 | |
| Curtis Robinson | 2/3 |
Questions: Curtis Robinson
Out: Justin Barron, Langston Patterson
What changed: No real surprises here, except for Watkins including Curtis Robinson, which he explains with “special teams work helps Robinson in this area.“
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Cornerbacks | Daron Bland | Daron Bland | Daron Bland | 3/3 |
| Cobie Durant | Cobie Durant | Cobie Durant | 3/3 | |
| Shavon Revel | Shavon Revel | Shavon Revel | 3/3 | |
| Devin Moore | Devin Moore | Devin Moore | 3/3 | |
| Veteran not on roster | Caelen Carson | 2/3 | ||
| Derion Kendrick | 3/3 |
Questions: Caelen Carson, Derion Kendrick
Out: Ameer Speed, Trikweze Bridges, Reddy Steward, Josh Butler
What changed: Derion Kendrick was 3-for-3 heading into camp, Caelen Carson was 2-for-3, but both are hanging on by a thread. Dan Rogers explains:
“How they stack after [Carson] is anyone’s guess, but for my guess, I’m going a little off script and predict that Derion Kendrick snags one of those last spots, but guys like Reddy Steward and Ameer Speed aren’t dead in the water just yet.”
Todd Archer adds perhaps the most intriguing wrinkle in the entire projection with his ‘veteran not on roster’ pick. This is the only position where Archer explicitly projects outside help. Our own RJ Ochoa writes:
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }“Archer is among the most plugged-in Cowboys insiders on the beat so when he says something like this we should listen. The four that he has on the team make sense, Devin Moore hasn’t popped but he is a draft pick, but that TBD is interesting.“
| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Safeties | Jalen Thompson | Jalen Thompson | Jalen Thompson | 3/3 |
| Caleb Downs | Caleb Downs | Caleb Downs | 3/3 | |
| Malik Hooker | Malik Hooker | Malik Hooker | 3/3 | |
| PJ Locke | PJ Locke | PJ Locke | 3/3 | |
| Markquese Bell | Markquese Bell | Markquese Bell | 0/3 |
Winner: Markquese Bell
Out: Julius Wood (possible “IR to return”), Alijah Clark, Zion Childress
What changed: Brian Schottenheimer’s recent comments about Bell as a special teams ace seem to solidify him as a 53-man roster lock. Bell was 0-for-3 on the projections prior to camp.
body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table { border: 1px solid #000 !important; border-collapse: collapse !important; } body .sbnu-legacy-content-table td, body .sbnu-legacy-content-table th { padding: 0px 6px !important; }“Markquese Bell is one of our most trusted leaders on special teams. He’s a really good football player. He’s a good defender. But I think he’s a great special teams player.
And there’s guys like that, they play eight, nine, 10, 11 years sometimes, because they have a trait that is needed.“
| Archer ESPN | Watkins DMN | Rogers BTB | July | |
| Specialists | Brandon Aubrey (K) | Brandon Aubrey (K) | Brandon Aubrey (K) | 3/3 |
| Bryan Anger (P) | Bryan Anger (P) | Bryan Anger (P) | 3/3 | |
| Trent Sieg (LS) | Trent Sieg (LS) | Trent Sieg (LS) | 3/3 |
No surprises on special teams.
So that’s where we stand with the roster a few days left until roster cuts. Summarized, the biggest individual movements and unresolved questions look something like this:
- Nick Leverett: 0/3 → 3/3
- Markquese Bell: 0/3 → 3/3
- Jonathan Mingo: 1/3 → 3/3
- Camden Brown: 0/3 → 2/3
- Sam Williams: 3/3 → 1/3
- Phil Mafah: 2/3 → 0/3
- Tyrus Wheat: 2/3 → 0/3
- The unresolved sixth OLB spot
- Archer’s mystery veteran at CB
The roster isn’t changing everywhere, but where it has changed, some players have moved dramatically.
For me, the biggest surprise isn’t any of the rookies—it’s Markquese Bell, who went from 0-for-3 before camp to a unanimous projection for the 53.
Who is the most surprising name on the projected 53-man roster for you?


















