AL Central Preview: Kansas City Royals

MIAMI, FLORIDA - MARCH 15: Bobby Witt Jr. #7 high fives Bryce Harper #24 of Team United States after the final out of the fifth inning was recorded against Team Dominican Republic at loanDepot park on March 15, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Overview:

After a season where they took a step back, I’m pretty confident that the Royals will bounce back in a big way in 2026. I expect Witt to be his normal MVP-caliber self (I actually think he ends up winning MVP this year), with bouncebacks from Pasquantino and Ragans, breakout seasons from Jensen, and for Maikel Garcia to continue his upward swing to become among the best 3rd basemen in MLB. For what it’s worth, if you don’t know Carter Jensen by now, you will quickly become accustomed to hearing his name whenever he inevitably gets called up to the big leagues this season. He’s, in my opinion, the best catching prospect in the league, and will take over the backstop anchored by Salvador Perez for the last decade. I assume Perez will slide to DH with occasional 1B stints mixed in when Pasquantino needs a day off. Back to Jensen. He broke out last year after a disappointing 2023 campaign and, to a lesser degree, a disappointing 2024 campaign. While he posted a sub-.800 OPS at AA in 2025, he put up a whopping 166 wRC+ at AAA over 40+ games. His strikeout rate rose, which is slightly concerning, but his walk rate rose with it. He had an ISO of **.359** at AAA. All of these next stats come courtesy of Thomas Nestico (@TJStats on X, his website is tjstats.ca). He hits the ball hard — constantly — registering a 100th percentile Hard-Hit rate last year at AAA. Barrel rate is in the 95th percentile, he doesn’t chase (87th percentile), and he pulls the ball in the air (72nd percentile). His weaknesses are his passivity (6th percentile swing% at AAA), and contact (28th percentile whiff%).

Offseason Additions/Subtractions:

One of the, funny enough, biggest reasons I’m so high on the Royals this year is because of the ballpark dimension changes they made in the offseason. As you all know, Kauffman Stadium has one of the biggest outfields in the league, which has made itself one of the hardest parks to hit home runs in. Conversely, it’s made it one of the easiest parks to hit doubles & triples in. No longer! According to the Royals’ MLB.com writer Anne Rogers, the Royals are moving in their left- and right-field walls between 9-10 feet. They’re also lowering the height of walls by a little over a foot. Here’s the article.

Outside of Witt, both Pasquantino and Salvador Perez have inevitably suffered from the deep walls at Kauffman, and since neither are particularly fast, this change should help both slug a little more. Conversely, it could hurt their XBH total, but I’m assuming both will hit significantly more homers because of this change. According to Statcast’s expected home runs by park feature, Pasquantino would’ve had the fifth-fewest homers in the league last year if he’d played all his games at Kauffman. The only lower ones are Boston (weird right-field dimensions), Minnesota (high wall in right-field if I had to guess), St. Louis (no idea), San Francisco (no explanation needed). As an extreme pull-hitter, the right-field wall being brought in by any amount will vastly improve his HR total.

Of my lesser impact breakout candidates are the pair of pitchers Kansas City received in the head-scratching Freddy Fermin trade last year: Ryan Bergert and Stephen Kolek. Both project to be back-of-the-rotation arms, but should supplement a very deep rotation. Of course, with Ragans and Bubic at the top of the rotation, everything else is just the cherry on top. I’ve been high on Ragans for a while and, as an objective fan, I hope he stays healthy this year. As a Guardians fan, I hope he puts up a 5 ERA. Circling back to the dimension change subject, I do think Lugo takes a big step back this year. He has vastly overperformed his expected stats each year he’s been in Kansas City, and with his barrel rate getting continuously worse, I’m not sure he makes it through an entire year at MLB with them. But, having Ragans-Bubic-Wacha-Cameron-Bergert is not a bad rotation to fall back on. In fact, there’s a decent chance that’s the best performing rotation in the division. Of course, it helps having an all-world defensive shortstop behind you.

Per Fangraphs’ Roster Resource Tool, this is what the Royals’ lineup should look like:

C – Salvador Perez/Carter Jensen

1B – Vinnie Pasquantino

2B – Jonathan India/Michael Massey

3B – Maikel Garcia

SS – Bobby Witt Jr.

LF – Isaac Collins (acq. from MIL for LHRP Angel Zerpa)

CF – Kyle Isbel/Starling Marte/Lane Thomas

RF – Jac Caglianone

DH – Carter Jensen/Perez

That’s a really, really good lineup, albeit there are some question marks. But what is an AL Central team without question marks? That lineup could very easily have 7 above-average hitters (save for India & Isbel).

Isaac Collins was a decent acquisition for them, and although I don’t think he’ll be as good in 2026 as he was in 2025, he’s a massive improvement from the corner outfielders they trotted out last year. I’m also not as high on Caglianone as some are but, again, an improvement. They’re one of the few teams to consistently have as bad or worse outfield productions than the Guardians, but they’ve addressed that need pretty well recently.

My biggest concern is the bullpen, particularly the closing role. They traded for LHRP Matt Strahm from the Phillies in December, acquired Nick Mears in the Collins-Zerpa trade, and of course still have Lucas Erceg, but seem content with running out Carlos Estevez for the 9th again. Bad idea. Estevez should, under no circumstance, see the 9th this year. They have too much backend depth to risk Estevez blowing games. Either let Erceg run with the closer role, or platoon it between him and Strahm. Both have enough leverage experience to succeed in that role. Estevez has been flat-out awful in Spring Training. His velocity is down about 5 (FIVE!!!) miles per hour across the board. His fastball is down below 89 (EIGHTY-NINE!!!) miles per hour. Not gonna work. He does not have a single pitch above average in Stuff+ in Spring Training (credit @TJStats on X). He’s not controlling any of his pitches (34% zone%), and is giving up loud contact (11th percentile barrel%, 15th hard-hit%). Pair that with an abysmal ground-ball rate, and he is going to get rocked. I do think they probably should have gone after another reliever in free agency. That, particularly, concerns me for them. Because of that, I’m assuming Estevez will get the 9th to start the year based off his track record, and will inevitably be eclipsed by either Erceg or Strahm if he can’t get his velocity back up.

The bullpen is going to be the biggest question mark for this team in 2026, but it’s also the easiest thing to fix. I expect them to be active at the deadline in targeting, well, anyone. I doubt that the reliever market at this year’s deadline will be nearly as robust as last year’s (hard to beat Mason Miller, Jhoan Duran, David Bednar, Kyle Finnegan, Ryan Helsley, Camilo Doval, and Tyler Rogers), but they should still be able to pick someone up.

Prediction:

The Royals win 90+ games and win the division. I assume they trade for multiple relievers at the deadline, and that helps bolster their 2nd half fortunes despite the Tigers (who I assume will come in 2nd) having a very easy schedule to close out the season.

Here’s a possible MLB expansion and realignment idea that would work well

The skyline of Nashville, Tennessee, a possible MLB expansion site | | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Last week, I wrote this article on how MLB could reduce its regular season schedule.

That’s almost certainly going to happen in conjunction with expansion, which Commissioner Rob Manfred has said is likely to come after the A’s and Rays get their stadium situations settled. Which might now actually happen within the next 3-4 years!

Anyway, recently I found these graphics online that propose a realignment (once expansion happens) that I think would be almost perfect:

In this case, two teams, both expansion clubs, would have to switch leagues. This realignment would keep existing rivalries intact (Cubs/Cardinals, Yankees/Red Sox, Dodgers/Giants, among others) and would create new divisional rivalries between the Pirates and Phillies, and Marlins and Rays.

These alignments would have the advantage of being geographically compact, as shown on this map:

As you can see, expansion markets noted in these potential divisions would be Portland or Salt Lake City (which would go in the AL West) and Nashville or Charlotte (which would go in a newly-created NL South. This is a great visual showing how compact most of the divisions are. Only the AL West would have a fairly large travel imprint, and if Portland were the city chosen, the cities would at least all be in the same time zone. None of the divisions noted here encompass more than two time zones and several are in just one.

We’ve discussed expansion here before, and I think the two cities now in the “lead,” such as it were, to become MLB cities are Nashville and Salt Lake City. Both have ownership groups and/or committees actively pursuing Major League Baseball.

Here’s a potential 150-game schedule that could be used in such an alignment:

17 games against every team in your division (51 games)
Three games against every other team (84 games)
Three additional games against your designated “rival” (3 games)
One additional game against the teams in the other divisions in your own league (12 games)

Yes, that’s a 12-game reduction and teams aren’t going to want to lose six games of revenue, but perhaps that could be made up by additional TV revenue. It would allow the season to start at least a week later and maybe up to 10 days later, much better for spring weather in northern cities.

When MLB expands, I would love to see an alignment and schedule like this.

Mariners News: Colt Emerson, Luke Raley, and Bryce Miller

Feb 26, 2026; Peoria, Arizona, USA; Seattle Mariners pitcher Bryce Miller (50) throws a pitch against the Cleveland Guardians during the first inning at Peoria Sports Complex. Mandatory Credit: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images | Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

Good morning everyone!

The Mariners are coming off a 7-3 victory over the Brew Crew thanks to strong performances from Emerson Hancock and Luke Raley, among others.

Today is a big day in the sports world, as March Madness on the men’s side kicks off in full (and the women — including UW, Oregon, Gonzaga, and Idaho — get started tomorrow!). If you’re reading this before 9:15am PT, it’s not too late to join the Lookout Landing ESPN bracket challenge! Test your ball knowledge (or, let’s be honest: luck) against fellow members of the community!

If you made a bracket, who is your champ? What is your hottest take? Every year I try to pick a fun, out-of-the-box upset to give myself something to look forward to during those first round games. Sometimes it works. This year, I’ve got North Dakota State over Michigan State. We’ll see if it pays off!

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

  • How can you not be romantic about baseball?

Join our March Madness conversation!

Drop in SB Nation’s March Madness open thread during Thursday’s games where we’ll be talking about all the wild upsets, buzzer beaters, and Cinderella runs! 

SB Nation’s cast of characters will be enjoying the game together, so join Chris Dobbertean, Mike Rutherford, Ricky O’Donnell, Mark Schofield, James Dator, and others for 12 hours of basketball chaos!

Mets 2026 Season Preview: In 2026, Francisco Lindor is a central figure on a roster that has changed around him

Mar 15, 2026; Port St. Lucie, Florida, USA; (l to rt) New York Mets third baseman Brett Baty (7), shortstop Francisco Lindor (12), shortstop Bo Bichette (19) and second baseman Marcus Semien (10) gather during a pitching change in the fourth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at Clover Park. Mandatory Credit: Jim Rassol-Imagn Images | Jim Rassol-Imagn Images

In the 2024 edition of the Baseball Prospectus annual, Francisco Lindor was referred to as “the steady centerpiece of a historically chaotic franchise.” As the calendar inches closer to Opening Day two years later, that is perhaps even more true now than it was then. This offseason saw the departure of Brandon Nimmo, Jeff McNeil, Pete Alonso, and Edwin Díaz. The longest-tenured Met is now David Peterson, who debuted in 2020, and next on the list is Francisco Lindor. Since the Mets traded for (and then extended) Francisco Lindor in 2021 and made him the face of the franchise, we’ve been through the “thumbs down” era, the “from 0-5 to OMG” era, the signing of another mega star in Juan Soto, and then the bitter disappointment of last season, which has ushered in the next Mets era that has yet to be defined.

“When the year didn’t end the way we all wanted it, it’s a business and you have a feeling that every year is not going to look the same,” Lindor said to SNY regarding the roster turnover. “[The front office] did a really good job. I’m fully on board with how they did it, and I’m looking forward to this year.”

Provided Lindor takes the field on Opening Day as scheduled, which he is currently on track to do, he will do so with an entirely new set of infielders on the dirt around him. Even Luisangel Acuña, who started at second base on Opening Day last season, is no longer in the organization.

“It was cool to play ball with Marcus [Semien],” Lindor said after he played in his first Grapefruit League game earlier this week. “At one point I looked to my side and I was like, ‘Wow, I have got a shortstop next to me’ … it was a cool day.”

Lindor having a natural shortstop next to him on either side is probably a good thing for the 2026 Mets. Though defensive metrics disagree wildly about Lindor’s shortstop defense, they do agree that his defensive skills declined in 2025 compared to the year before. Another sign that the 32-year-old may be showing some signs of age-related decline is the roughly 1.5 mph drop in bat speed from 2024 to 2025.

Make no mistake: Francisco Lindor is still Francisco Lindor. Five-time All-Star. Routine receiver of MVP votes. Gold Glover. Silver Slugger. You know, that guy. He was the most valuable player by WAR on the Mets last year and the third-best hitter on the Mets behind Juan Soto and Pete Alonso. He put up a 30-30 season for the second time in three seasons (and if he had stolen one more base in 2024, he would have accomplished the feat three seasons in a row). He’s still Francisco Lindor, likely first-ballot Hall of Famer, but he’s older now. These age-related smoke signals should be something to monitor, but they are not yet a five-alarm fire.

And as Francisco Lindor goes, the Mets usually go. He bounced back from the growing pains of his first season in a Mets uniform to put up a stellar 2022, which saw the Mets make the postseason, albeit at a stagger with a very disappointing conclusion. In 2023, Lindor’s production took a step back—thumb pointed groundward—and the Mets were a spectacular failure. In 2024, after a putrid April, Lindor got hot in the second half and didn’t look back—much like the Grimace Mets as a whole. Last year, Lindor had a strong start and made his first All-Star Game as a Met, but faded during the doldrums of June and July as the Mets began to falter. You get the picture.

This year, there is a wild card in the mix: Lindor’s newly missing hamate bone, which was surgically removed on February 11 as pitchers and catchers reported to spring training. When the injury was reported, the Mets felt optimistic that Lindor would be ready for Opening Day, given the recovery timeline. Lindor remains on track to take the field for the Mets at Citi Field a week from today, likely as their leadoff hitter. He made his Grapefruit League debut on Sunday, in which he dove for a ball, hit a ball home run distance that went just foul, and ripped a single—all encouraging signs. “It was a really good experience,” Lindor said after the game. “I felt like I was pretty much like myself, and I finished the game healthy. Overall, it was a good day for me.” Carlos Mendoza also remarked that “he looked like Francisco Lindor.”

Still, hamates are tricky things. Lindor also admitted that he felt something in his left wrist doing all of these activities, even if that something wasn’t pain, and that the trainers warned him that could be the case for quite awhile. For some hitters, it takes some time for the power to return after a hamate injury. Especially for a switch-hitter like Lindor, who is going to have to get used to this new reality for both his left-handed and right-handed swing, it will be an adjustment. But we’ve seen Francisco Lindor slump in April before only to blink, open our eyes, and see another 5+ WAR season in the books when all is said and done. We’ve also seen Lindor accumulate the occasional knock and play through it, such as with the infamous “finger in a hotel door” incident, his back issues at the end of 2024, and a broken pinky toe last year. The Mets’ shortstop has missed just 15 games since 2022 and one could argue he should be getting more days off to help manage his load as he ages, but good luck to Carlos Mendoza or anybody else trying to tell the erstwhile competitor and self-declared team leader who likes to lead by example to take it easy.

Neither you nor I were inside the Mets’ locker room last year. There have been reports of strife, but its exact severity and nature are unclear. Also, falling short of expectations will cause tension more often than not. What is clear is that most of the other players named as characters in the story of the Mets’ supposed locker room drama are all now elsewhere. But Francisco Lindor is still here and will be the one to oversee this next era of Mets baseball, whatever it will bring. Juan Soto is the Mets’ brightest star, but Lindor is the club’s most constant presence and the strongest bellwether of how its season will go.

Elephant Rumblings: Spring Breakout 2026

Leo de Vries, the Athletics overall #1 prospect will lead the A’s team at the Spring Breakout against the Brewers on Sunda at Hohokam Stadium. | Getty Images

This weekend, Major League Baseball will hold its third annual Spring Breakout which features baseball’s top prospects facing off against one another as Spring Training winds down. Bragging rights are on the line along with some future roster spots as the sport’s best and brightest compete head-to-head.

The A’s Spring Breakout game is scheduled for 1:05 P.M. PT, Sunday, March 22, at Hohokam Stadium against the top prospects from the Brewers’ system. The rosters are developed by analyzing each franchise’s top thirty prospect list and then bolstering the lineups with additions submitted by the teams. The players will participate in the showcase then be dispersed to their minor league assignments. I expect some of them will not be out of our eyesight for long. Players who will headline the A’s team are familiar names such as Leo De Vries, Henry Bolte, Jamie Arnold, all top-five prospects who played well during Spring Training but will start the season down on the farm.

The final rosters were released today, the A’s in Martín Gallegos column this morning:

Gameday Roster

Pitchers
Jamie Arnold, LHP, No. 2/MLB No. 41
Corey Avant, RHP, NR
Steven Echavarria, RHP, No. 16
Jackson Finley, RHP, NR
Kenya Huggins, RHP, No. 24
Cole Miller, RHP, No. 25
Kade Morris, RHP, No. 12
Eduarniel Núñez, RHP, No. 22
Tzu-Chen Sha, RHP, NR
Zane Taylor, RHP, No. 19

Two-Way Players
Shotaro Morii, SS/RHP, No. 13

Catchers
Cole Conn, C, NR
Davis Diaz, C, NR
Dylan Fien, C, NR

Infielders

Bobby Boser, 3B/SS, No. 30
Leo De Vries, SS, No. 1/MLB No. 4
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer, SS, No. 10
Edgar Montero, SS, No. 11
Drew Swift, INF, NR
Tommy White, 3B, No. 9

Outfielders
Henry Bolte, OF, No. 5
Breyson Guedez, OF, No. 23
Nate Nankil, OF, No. 26
Ryan Lasko, OF, No. 21
Cameron Leary, OF, No. 29
Junior Perez, OF, No. 20
Devin Taylor, OF, No. 8

Follow the Game
Watch:

Athletics Prospects – MLB Video
National – MLBN (out-of-market only)

Listen:

Athletics Prospects – ATH Audio

Previewing the AL East: Toronto Blue Jays

TORONTO.Toronto Blue Jays Jeff Hoffman is beating himself up after a devastating end to the World Series.The Toronto Blue Jays closer gave up the tying home run to Los Angeles Dodgers No. 9 hitter Miguel Rojas with one out in the bottom of the ninth of Game 7, erasing the home side's 4-3 lead.The Dodgers went on to win 5-4 in 11 innings as Will Smith homered off Shane Bieber.(R.J. Johnston/Toronto Star) R.J. Johnston/Toronto Star (Photo by R.J. Johnston/Toronto Star via Getty Images) | Toronto Star via Getty Images

The Toronto Blue Jays went from finishing last in the AL East (74-88) in 2024 to being one inning away from a World Series title last season.

The Jays won the division (94-68) with a tiebreaker over the Yankees before securing the American League crown in 2025. The Orioles, after finishing 75-87 last season, can look directly at their division opponent for a template to follow in 2026.

Additions and Subtractions

The Blue Jays have leveled up in the MLB payroll standings over the last few seasons. According to Spotrac, Toronto is one of only five teams with a tax payroll that exceeds $300 million. The Jays are being assessed a 30% tax for exceeding the tax threshold for the second consecutive season.

The Orioles took some heat for not landing one of the available frontline starters. The Jays cannot receive the same criticism after inking free agent Dylan Cease to a seven-year, $210 million deal. Is that a deal you would have liked to see Mike Elias pull the trigger on? It doesn’t matter now. Cease will be suiting up for a division opponent.

Cease will join a talented rotation that features former Oriole Kevin Gausman, 22-year-old phenom Trey Yesavage, future Hall of Famer Max Scherzer, Cy-Young winner Shane Bieber, newcomer Cody Ponce (three years, $30-million), and former All-Star José Berríos. The unit will not include former Blue Jay Chris Bassitt who signed a one-year deal with the O’s.

The bullpen will still include almost-Oriole Jeff Hoffman, but it also gained a boost from the signing of Tyler Rogers. Rogers posted a 1.98 ERA over 81 games between the Giants and Mets last year. Bassitt provided valuable relief for the Jays in the postseason, but Hoffman failed to convert a championship save.

Similar to Baltimore, Toronto’s crowded rotation could provide some help to a bullpen facing some uncertainty. However, Bieber will begin the season on the IL, and the Jays are expected to slow play Yesavage to some extent.

Toronto’s biggest loss of the offseason came when fan favorite Bo Bichette signed with the Mets. New York gave the 28-year-old $126 million over three years to play on the left side of the infield.

The Jays inked an intriguing international product to help offset the loss of Bichette. Corner infielder Kazuma Okamoto signed a four-year, $60-million deal that does not include opt-outs. Okamoto arrived with significant power but some concerns regarding his ability to make contact in the big leagues.

The Japanese slugger will look to provide a boost to an offense led by Vlad Guerrero. Unfortunately, the team expects to be without former Oriole Anthony Santander for a majority of the season. Santander signed a five year, $92.5 million deal ahead of last season, but he hit .175 over 194 at bats last year. Santander underwent shoulder surgery in February.

Projections

PECOTA: 89-73 (Win AL East)

FanGraphs: 85-77 (Second in AL East)

I’m not breaking any news when I say the AL East is a tough division. The Jays nearly beat the Dodgers in the World Series last season, but a repeat division title is hardly a sure thing. The Yankees are expected to be a factor, and the Red Sox have a real chance at another Wild Card appearance.

Toronto and New York both won 94 games last season. Unfortunately, both teams featured winning records against the Orioles. A contending Baltimore could bring the magic number in the AL East down to the low 90s.

The Jays look far better than their last place club from 2024, but last year proved that records can be volatile from year to year. Toronto should be considered a legitimate postseason contender, but its ceiling could hinge upon guys like Cease, Okamato, Yesavage and Hoffman reaching their full potential.

Good Morning San Diego: Joe Musgrove injury could result in move by A.J. Preller

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - DECEMBER 19: San Diego Padres President of Baseball Operations and General Manager A.J. Preller speaks to the media after Michael King's contract press conference at Petco Park on December 19, 2025 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The San Diego Padres entered Spring Training with an open competition for the fifth and final spot in the rotation. Since the start of spring, the Friar Faithful have learned that Joe Musgrove, who is returning after Tommy John surgery, is likely to start the season on the injured list, which means the Padres will have two spots to fill in their rotation.

The competition for what is now two spots in the rotation is likely to result in minor league signee Walker Buehler and major league signee German Marquez occupying those positions, but manager Craig Stammen said roster decisions will be made as late as possible to allow the organization to have the most information available to them. Could that mean San Diego president of baseball operations and general manager A.J. Preller might look to make a trade or sign a free agent? Thomas Conroy of Gaslamp Ball thinks Preller should strongly consider adding the best remaining free agent pitcher, Lucas Giolito, to strengthen the rotation and to provide pitching depth when players like Musgrove or Griffin Canning return to the team when healthy. Of course, there are other players on the roster who could push for a rotation spot and make the need to sign Giolito irrelevant, but with only a week remaining before Opening Day, decisions about how to address the pitching vacancies will have to be made soon.

Padres News:

  • There has been a lot of competition in camp this spring for the Padres. A handful of players like Ty France, Jose Miranda and Jase Bowen are pushing for opportunities to make the roster with solid performances in camp. Some of the veterans will have opt-outs that will allow them to seek employment elsewhere, but the best thing for the Padres according to Cheri Bell of Gaslamp Ball is all this competition means the Padres have renewed organizational depth that could benefit the team at some point during the 2026 season.
  • With the World Baseball Classic coming to an end, the players who competed for their respective countries will return to their MLB teams and continue preparing for the upcoming season. That means more Spring Training games that do not count and there is less excitement on the field which the WBC provided. Cheri Bell of Gaslamp Ball gives fans a reason for hope with the upcoming Spring Breakout Series, which allows minor league players from each organization to showcase their skills and give fans of the respective teams a glimpse at their organization’s future.
  • Like all teams in MLB, the San Diego organization is still getting used to the new strike zone that has come with the advent of the ABS Challenge System. The catchers seem to have the best grasp of the zone based on their success of getting calls overturned for their pitchers, but the hitters, and their lack of success challenging pitches, have shown they are still trying to learn the new normal as Opening Day approaches.

Baseball News:

  • New York Mets pitching prospect Nolan McLean pitched the WBC final for the US against Venezuela and it was easy to see why his is so highly rated. He was consistently hitting 98/99 mph on the radar gun and his sweeper looked unhittable at times. McLean also has MLB star and rival Philadelphia Phillies slugger Bryce Harper calling him the best arm he saw in 2025.

Snake Bytes 3/19

Team News


Corbin Carroll blasts 1st home run of spring training after hand surgery
https://arizonasports.com/mlb/arizona-diamondbacks/corbin-carroll-home-run/3614945/

Corbin Carroll Puts Power Doubts to Rest With Massive Homerhttps://www.si.com/mlb/diamondbacks/onsi/arizona-diamondbacks-news/corbin-carroll-puts-power-doubts-rest-massive-homer

Classic experience ‘so much fun,’ but D-backs happy to reunite with familyhttps://www.mlb.com/dbacks/news/diamondbacks-players-return-from-2026-world-baseball-classic

Diamondbacks unveil new treat at Chase Field, the “Take Me Out to the Ballgame Shake”https://arizonasports.com/mlb/arizona-diamondbacks/diamondbacks-shake/3614988/

Geraldo Perdomo moving on from controversial call to end WBC: ‘At least Venezuela won’https://arizonasports.com/mlb/arizona-diamondbacks/geraldo-perdomo-wbc-strike-call/3614955/

What the World Baseball Classic Meant to the Diamondbackshttps://www.si.com/mlb/diamondbacks/onsi/arizona-diamondbacks-news/world-baseball-classic-diamondbacks-marte-perdomo-arenado

D-backs Pitcher ‘Pretty Sure’ He’ll Begin Season on Injured Listhttps://www.si.com/mlb/diamondbacks/onsi/arizona-diamondbacks-news/d-backs-pitcher-pretty-sure-injured-list-merrill-kelly

Anything Goes

This day in history:

https://www.history.com/this-day-in-history/march-19

This day in baseball:

https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/March_19

The human brain is 78% water.

Up to 60% of the adult human body is made up of water. Research has indicated that both the human brain and heart are around 73-78% water. 

Ducks cannot walk without bobbing their heads.

Ducks often bob their heads to signify moods or emotions. At times, it may also be used to signify flirting during the mating season. 

The human tongue heals the fastest compared to all body parts.

This is due to the rich supply of blood that circulates the tongue. It may also be because the mouth is constantly replenishing your taste buds. 

AN Exclusive: Blogfather Toes The Rubber With Pitching Coach Scott Emerson

OAKLAND, CA - JULY 01: Scott Emerson #14 of the Oakland Athletics talks to Frankie Montas #47 and Jonathan Lucroy #21 during a mound visit against the Cleveland Indians during the first inning at the Oakland Coliseum on July 1, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Jason O. Watson/Getty Images) | Getty Images

A’s pitching coach Scott Emerson is one of the few people at Hohokam Stadium who actually recognizes me when I approach. But that’s not why I interviewed him on Saturday, March 14th. Emo is a huge part of the decision making and development around A’s pitchers and we had much ground to cover on this sunny Mesa day…

Nico: All right, my first question. As a baseball fan, I’ve been through so many pitches that suddenly became fashionable. I’ve been through the forkball, the splitter, the cutter. It feels like there’s a pitch that’s starting to be talked about but isn’t really well known, and that’s the kick change.

So I wanted to know what’s up with that pitch, how much it’s being used, its purpose, and specifically, how much it’s being used by ace pitchers, majors and minors now?

Emo: Well, I think the kick change is a good pitch that has a lot of movement. It acts like a forkball or a split. A loose rotation ball, that is another chase pitch. A lot of guys throw it because it looks good on the iPad, but if you can’t command the bottom of the third with it, then it’s really not a good pitch. It’s kind of just a forkball or a chase pitch. So yeah, there’s a lot of guys around the league that throw it and some throw it good and some throw it not so good because they don’t execute it at the bottom third.

For me, it’s a tough pitch to throw because you’re spiking a finger on the baseball, and kind of the ball has a mind of its own, and it’s kind of moving, which is good if you’re using it as a count leverage pitch. But if you’re trying to throw it in the zone with that much movement, and you’re trying to throw it behind in the count, then it doesn’t serve its purpose as a changeup. It serves its purpose as a chase pitch. I think for me it can go either way. If the guy throws obviously a good kick change where the movement is good and the profile of the pitch is good and it’s landed at the bottom third, then I like it.

If we’re throwing it ahead in the count as a chase pitch like a forkball or a split, then I like it. But if you’re trying to throw it behind in the count for a soft contact pitch and it’s thrown as a chase pitch, then obviously it’s not any good. So it’s kind of a fine line pitch. You’ve got to know how it fits into your arsenal. Some guys it fits into the arsenal as a chase pitch, and that’s because they can’t land it at the bottom third for a contact pitch. And the guys who can land it at the bottom third, they can use it as a behind the count pitch to get soft contact.

Nico: Now, just because a pitch is relatively new to fans doesn’t mean it’s new in the game and there’s usually a time lag. How recent has that pitch become fashionable?

Emo: Well, it’s become fashionable probably over the last four or five years because the internet made it fashionable. Ron Romanic, who’s the pitching coordinator here, we had plenty of guys throwing what they’re calling a kick change, you know, in the early 2000s. Guys threw a version of it in the late 80s, early 90s. They just put more of a knuckle on it. Anything they could do to take the revolutions and spin off the baseball, we were doing it. But now that somebody does it really well, it gets publicized a little bit more, right? And then you’ve got the guys who are posting it on the internet more. And it’s become famous because the news or the internet can make it famous. And then everybody’s going to try it because we see it out there.

So I think it’s like anything else. The sweeper is nothing more than what we used to call “slurve”. So we can change the names of pitches. If they’re still acting like the pitches we threw 10, 15, 20 years ago, they’re just the same pitches, right?

Nico: So switching gears to someone who doesn’t throw the kick change, it feels like one of the most tricky decisions that has to be made with this year’s pitching staff is how to leverage Jack Perkins. And he’s been starting, but he’s struggled with pitch count per inning, and obviously the big issue has been ability to stay healthy as a starter. But where are we now, March 14th, with regard to where he’ll probably start the year or where you might see him long term?

Emo: Yeah, Jack’s got another outing tomorrow for sure and we’re going to evaluate that outing again. I think it’s really good that Jack can have multiple roles on a team. You need guys that can do both. I always go back and think about Chris Bassitt and how Bassitt took a kind of a longer time to solidify himself in a major league rotation. It kind of went all the way to maybe 2020 and 2021. And he started in the big leagues in 2014.

So I remember in 2019, he called me up and said in the off season, you just pitch me and when the phone rings, I’m going to pitch. So, you know, for a guy like Jack right now with the guys that we got, you know, it can be that dual role and we’re just getting his pitch count up. So he could start, he could relieve, and then we’ll evaluate that as spring training continues.

Nico: You know, something that I have been advocating for, the A’s did last year, and I’m not sure if it was by design or if it was kind of by necessity, and that is the two-inning bridge reliever that gets you more seamlessly from the starter to the closer.

Luis Morales came up, Jack Perkins came up, and they went into the bullpen and then eventually the rotation. JT Ginn has spent time as like a two-inning reliever who can kind of let it out. I’m curious your thoughts about that “bridge reliever” concept and the two inning plus high leverage reliever. And what place that has in the game right now.

Emo: Yeah, I think it should have a big place in the game. Starting pitching, and we’ve averaged 5 1/3 for a long time. Everybody says we’re pulling pitchers out of the game too early. But it seems like 5 1/3, 5 2/3 is what we’ve been doing for the last 25 years anyways. But when you can bring in a guy who can go multiple innings, you don’t have to throw so many relievers in one game.

It’s hard to go out there and have a starter go 5, you got 4 innings left, and you expect four pitchers to be on their game every night. So by bridging guys or having guys that can go multiple innings, it just cuts down on how many pitchers that you’re using, and it also gives the guys the ability to get rest.

I think if you saw, obviously we didn’t pitch very good at all in the month of May. If you look at April and you take out May, we pitched pretty good all year other than the month of May was really bad. And some of our guys were worn out and not only were they pitching, but they were warming up a lot because we were getting hit pretty good and we needed guys to finish games.

So by implementing this concept, of having multiple inning relievers, I think it just makes pitchers better. The, for lack of another term, the blow and go guy {I had to refrain from making an inappropriate joke here} who’s coming out and pitching like a drag racer, who’s throwing everything as hard as he can for one inning and spinning everything as hard as he can for one inning. Are those guys sustainable over a course of time?

Yes, the elite ones are and the other guys aren’t. But who can actually bridge the game together? And, you know, if you look at what minor league pitchers are getting called up to the big leagues, in general you’re calling up starters. And they have a role in this game as relievers as well. You’re always trying to maximize their potential in the minor leagues and see if you can have a big league starter, because big league starters are gold.

But there’s eight relievers on a team and only five starters. Unless you’re the Dodgers, you get nine relievers and five starters. But, you know, I think it’s always good to have guys that can go multiple innings and generally ex-minor league starters command the baseball more and they can maximize their potential, be sustainable longer because they can execute better.

So you do look at the minor league starters who become big league relievers because they have big arms and you’re always trying to get them to be starters. But I think it’s a huge role and I’m hoping that we can implement that as best we can. Pitch counts, everybody gets us on pitch counts. And I always try to say it’s not the pitch counts that’s getting us, it’s the “third time through the lineup” penalty. If you look at the data, third time through starters get penalized.

The elite starters don’t get penalized because they’re elite, but the other starters could get penalized and that’s where the game is. And then if they’re 5 IP and 95, 100 pitches right there that’s a taxing workload. Obviously, you want to try to go, I’m still under the impression that our guys can go 9 innings, that’s (less than) 15 pitches an inning. Can we do that? That just means we gotta execute inning by inning.

Nico: Yeah, and I really like the way that you transition guys from the minor leagues as starters to the bullpen as high leverage relievers and then into the rotation when they were ready. And you were managing innings and that was part of the thought process. Is that something we can expect in 2026? Someone like Gage Jump comes to mind, or Mason Barnett comes to mind.

Emo: Yeah, I think all options are on the table, right? We’re going to go out there with the five guys that we deem are ready to go to start the season and then see how our plan plays out after that. We’re trying to get some of our guys multiple innings in spring training. You’ll see Luis Medina went 2 IP the other day. He’s probably going to go one inning his next outing, but the following outing after that, we’re going to try to get him up to 45 pitches in 3 innings.

Knowing that he’s coming off a major injury and didn’t pitch last year. So when he pitches, probably you’ll see him pitch in multiple inning roles so he can get the rest. I think it’s important to have rest. And then you got guys like Hogan Harris, (Justin) Sterner, who can go 1+. Michael Kelly, (Tyler) Ferguson can go 1+. We did a 1+ before Elvis Alvarado left for the WBC. And I told the guys in the WBC that he can go 1+ or get to 35 pitches. And then if he does get to 35 pitches, you can add on another 10 pitches, so the goal is always to have our relievers ready for 2 innings. Now, who can be ready for 3?

Nico: Right. Now, a feel good moment. Who are a couple pitchers that you can name and you’re like, “It’s been exciting to watch them this spring,” or “I think that they’re going to have a much better year than maybe their spring training numbers show,” because spring training numbers are always a bit deceiving.

Emo: Well, obviously, Jump comes to mind because he’s a high prospect, and he threw the ball well in spring training. I like the way JT Ginn’s gone about his business and done his thing. Lopez is coming back. Today’s game, we’re trying to get 4 IP and 60 out of him and see where we’re at with him. For me, the first four or five games for all the guys is kind of working on getting out there, getting the rust out and getting the kinks out. And these last three games are the exciting times and the exciting games, cuz this is where we gotta start getting ready for the season.

Nico: Yeah, last question, just getting back to specifics. Ginn has had such a split between managing right-handed batters and left-handed batters. It’s pretty clear if he can neutralize lefties at all, he could be a really fine pitcher. What are the things that you’re doing in terms of either approach or pitch selection or developing pitches to try to get him there?

Emo: Yeah, he’s been really working on a four-seam fastball to change eye levels, not only to left-handed batters, but to right-handed batters. I think he has to execute the sinker better to the left. He’s at the bottom rail. Instead of running it across the middle of cross rail, that’s when he gets in trouble. So a sinker at the bottom rail is very important to him. He’s been working on his change-up, something that can dive bomb and get to the bottom 1/3. I thought he did a really good job his last start of getting to the bottom 1/3 with that.

For Ginner, it’s being in the zone when he has to be and being out of the zone when he has to be. But to neutralize that left handed hitter, it’s executing pitches and it’s a slightly different arsenal mix from lefties to righties. You’re gonna see sinker, breaking ball a lot to the right handers. Now can we go four seamers and changeups with the breaking ball and maybe sneak in some sinkers as well to the left handed hitters. But for him, it’s basically executing pitches.

Many thanks to Emo for the time, intel and wisdom. If you missed my interview with Jacob Lopez you can read it here. Up next, Shea Langeliers talks ABS, the rigors of catching, his development arc, and much much less!

Fringe to Foundational: Far too many words about Jonathan Cannon

Jonathan Cannon is refining his mix, chasing his ceiling, and waiting for a chance to stick. | (Charles LeClaire/Imagn Images)

A couple of weeks ago, I introduced a new mini-series in which I examined a few players on the edge of the roster. These are guys who could fundamentally change the trajectory of this franchise if, improbably, they reach their full ceilings and become reliable, productive contributors to a good team. First, I profiled Brooks Baldwin and what his quiet surge in the second half of last year might mean. Next up is Jonathan Cannon, who remains on the outside looking in for a rotation spot after failing to solidify his future there last summer.

It’s as simple as this: Cannon’s pitch mix was and remains fascinating. It moves all over the place, and when things are going right, it’s the kind of stuff that makes you wonder how a hitter ever finds a barrel.

Through his first few outings in Arizona, he’s still tinkering with that mix. It appears he’s added yet another type of breaking ball to his arsenal, testing a new slider that could slot in neatly as a bridge between his cutter and his sweeper.

Just as a reminder, here’s what Cannon can already do on the occasion where he has everything going for him. His very first MLB win was a near-complete game gem against a Houston Astros team.

Cannon has a major problem, though, one that FanGraphs prospect writer Eric Longenhagen identified back before the 2024 season and remains true to this day: platoon splits. His sinker-sweeper combination can be hell for righties when he’s locating them, but his command isn’t good enough to prevent him from leaving the sinker up in the zone to lefties, where it’s gotten absolutely pummeled. With a relatively low arm slot and long-armed delivery, lefties are simply going to see fastballs better, and Cannon’s cutter hasn’t been significantly more effective, even though he favors them over the sinker to southpaws. Strangely, his most effective fastball, the four-seamer, is the one he’s used the least. This chart of his arm angle and pitch movement from 2025 clarifies things a little.

Jonathan Cannon’s arm angle and pitch movement in 2025

When it comes to fastball movement, if the pitch is fully in line with the pitcher’s arm angle, as Cannon’s almost is, it’s a lot easier for the hitter to track because the ball follows the path that the eye is expecting based on the arm angle and release point. A good sinker is going to drop substantially below the pitcher’s arm slot, and a solid four-seamer is going to have rise that’s significantly up and to the left of the arm. With that in mind, the difference in effectiveness between his sinker and less-used four-seamer makes more sense. We’ll see if this new slider, and perhaps an uptick in four-seam usage, can give him more of a chance against opposite-handed hitters. His sweeper is already deadly to right-handed hitters, and the changeup he’s introduced since his prospect days has solid potential as a change-of-pace pitch to mess with hitters’ timing.


With Erick Fedde signed to a major league deal and officially now slotted into the final rotation spot, Cannon appeared bound for Charlotte. Now, though, with Mike Vasil sadly out of the picture until mid-2027 with Tommy John surgery, there’s a long relief spot in the bullpen for which Cannon makes a fascinating fit. I hadn’t considered it before, but this could be where Cannon cements himself as a roster mainstay — even if the odds once seemed slim.

However, there are arguments against it. For one, and this is pretty wild, Cannon also has a weird split where hitters have done more damage the first time through the order than the second time through. An .877 OPS his first time through the lineup, an even .800 the second in a roughly equal number of plate appearances for his two-year career. It gives me pause as to whether he’s truly suited for multi-inning, one-time-through-the-order relief.

That being said, a deeper look at the splits says that it’s almost all luck. There’s virtually no substantial change in how batters have hit the ball, but an unlucky 65% strand rate the first time through and an unsustainably high 81% strand rate the second time suggest it might not hold up long term. There’s also the fact that pitchers usually change up their pitch mix the second time they see a hitter, and it may be that the pitch mix Cannon uses then is actually more effective than what we’d consider his primary arsenal.

I’ve discovered a hole in Baseball Savant and FanGraphs in which it’s impossible to see changes in pitch usage based on time through the order, so I can’t say for sure. If it’s the case, relating to a point you’ll see in a few moments, a move to a long relief role could let him figure out exactly which of his multiple approaches really works the best.

Finally, there’s the argument that if the potential to be elite is there, it’s better to have him slightly less stretched out in the big leagues than being a normal starter in the minors. Charlotte’s rotation is absolutely loaded between Noah Schultz, Tanner McDougal, and a revived Hagen Smith. While the big league rotation of Shane Smith, Davis Martin, and Sean Burke all finished between 135 and 146 innings pitched last year and will look to jump into the 160+ range this year. But it’s unlikely that they all get there. If all three of Schultz, McDougal, and Smith get it rolling in Charlotte at the same time, the future of the Sox rotation will be as bright as a star. But it probably won’t happen, and if they can get Cannon rolling as a long reliever in the majors, he’ll be extremely valuable as a seventh or eighth starter, so to speak, given that it’s hard to see more than three of those top six pitchers breaking the 150-inning threshold.

Only working through the order once has benefits beyond the standard general penalty, as a hitter sees a pitcher for the second time. There’s the classic velocity bump from working with shorter spurts. The four-seamer has potential, and a jump from the 94 mph range to the 96 mph range would make his already-intriguing four-seamer a lot more interesting. There’s also a lesser-considered side effect to this kind of change. Part of the game-within-the-game of being a starting pitcher is that it’s an extended battle with the opposing lineup. The way a starter pitches to a hitter always accounts for the fact that, in all likelihood, the hitter has either seen the pitcher’s arsenal already or is going to see it again in a couple of innings, or with the resolute knowledge that they aren’t going to see it again.

None of this is the case for a relief pitcher, and the result is that being asked to work in shorter stints allows a pitcher to hone in on what they do best. As a reliever, there’s no reason not to show your best stuff at all times, and so it presents an opportunity for a pitcher to find out what they’re really good at, if such a thing exists.


It’s not perfect, but I like Clay Holmes as an example of what a fully optimized Cannon might look like. When he came up to the majors with the Pirates, Holmes averaged about 94 mph on a sinker-heavy fastball mix and a broad arsenal that bears a pretty solid resemblance to Cannon’s. A move to the bullpen spiked Holmes’s velocity to 96-97 mph, and he went from throwing five pitches to locking in on the three that performed best. After several years dominating as a reliever, Holmes brought back the five-pitch mix for a move back to the rotation, and this time, he knew what to do with it, running a 3.53 ERA in 165 very solid innings for the New York Mets.

This isn’t to say that Cannon is going to turn into an elite closer, but it’s an example of how a move to the bullpen might unlock his full potential. If Cannon finds a way to do that before injuries and ineffectiveness chip away at the Opening Day starting five, he might be able to bring a newfound approach with him back to a starting role somewhere down the line.


Mike Vasil will be out for a while now. Still, the harsh reality is that while he’s probably a solid MLB reliever, pretty much everything under the hood indicates he won’t be able to replicate the 100 innings of 2.50 ERA that he gave the Sox in 2025. It’s a shame because that’s the kind of contribution that can help push a competitive team from good to great, and it would likely have been far more valuable in 2028 than in 2025.

In short, Vasil 2026–28 likely wouldn’t match 2025, but an optimized Cannon could — and with enough starting experience, the team wouldn’t have to wait until 2027 to stretch him out. All in all, if Cannon is going to shave down his arsenal and lock in on finding out what he does best, I don’t think it’s going to happen as a No. 4 starter in the International League Triple-A East. I’ll take the upside I just described over the seemingly small chance he emerges as a true building block starting pitcher while having to deal with Charlotte’s offensive bandbox of a stadium.


A couple of weeks ago, I talked a little about the implications that would be if Baldwin turned out to be an everyday-caliber player, or better. Given how much the pitching has lagged behind the starting lineup in getting high-impact prospects to the majors, the emergence of Cannon as a candidate for 100-ish effective innings as a multi-inning reliever and depth starter raises the floor of the staff by a full order of magnitude. Again, I love the thought of all three of Schultz, Smith, and McDougal forcing their way to the big league rotation with Triple-A dominance, but it’s not something you can expect or plan on. If things go according to plan, 2026 will be the last season in which wins and losses won’t really matter all that much, and the opportunity to take chances and risks with developing players won’t conflict with the necessity of engaging in a playoff chase.

Personally, I’m thrilled by the idea of not having to worry about rotation and long relief depth in the long term, because it opens the door to chasing a true ace next offseason. Stop spending money on back-end starters coming back from stints in other leagues and give Freddy Peralta or Shane Bieber or a resurgent Zac Gallen or an opted-out Tatsuya Imai what they’re worth to top the rotation alongside whichever of the Charlotte rotation prodigies shines the brightest. Or push it back a year and set your sights on Logan Gilbert, Joe Ryan, Pablo López, or Mackenzie Gore.

May we live in a world in which we get to find out!

Are you excited that MLB is finally moving to standardize check-swing calls?

ATLANTA, GA - APRIL 08: Atlanta Braves second base Ozzie Albies (1) with a check-swing ball 4 call during the Monday evening MLB game between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves on April 8, 2024 at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by David J. Griffin/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Now that the WBC is over, back to your regularly scheduled attempts for me to come up with a relevant question to pose every weekday morning. But hey, at least today, I have a good one.

Earlier this week, Eric Longenhagen snagged for FanGraphs, of all places, an exclusive regarding additional rules changes that MLB will be testing in the minors. One jumped out at me:

…the batter, pitcher, or catcher may also appeal the umpire’s decision regarding whether the batter swung at a pitch (“Check-Swing Challenge”). A swing will be considered to have occurred if the maximum angle between the bat head and the bat handle exceeds 45 degrees. This rule was tested in the Florida State League and Arizona Fall League in 2025. In the FSL, the strikeout rate was over 3% lower when Check-Swing Challenge was used, having a positive impact on balls in play and encouraging more extensive testing at higher levels. Under this format, each team will continue to start the game with 2 challenges. Challenges may be used on either ball/strike calls or swing/no-swing calls, but not both on the same pitch.

The above change will be tested in the Pacific Coast League partway through the season; the International League won’t have challenges apply to check-swing calls, but umpires will be instructed to attempt to make check-swing calls based on the same criteria as above.

This potential rules change is a big deal, because check swings aren’t currently codified in the rulebook, and thus are entirely at the discretion of the umpires. Does this definition work well? I have no idea. It seems pretty opaque to me, and again, MLB needs to start putting these things in the rules to avoid the potential for shenanigans and misapplication — but beyond that, I always thought that the “house rule” of check swings was whether the bat crossed the plate, and this is something completely different.

So, I like the pseudo-codification (though wish it were real codification), I like the more-objective potential standard, I’m not too keen on the standard itself… and I’m curious about what downstream effects this will have if implemented at the major league level. Longenhagen seems to suggest that this gives batters a lot of leeway and reduces called check-swing strikes. If so, will this encourage batters to slap more, given that by not going all out on a swing, they can always turn a potential strike on a ball outside the zone into a ball just by restraining themselves in a way that wasn’t guaranteed to previously work? Or, will it be so lenient as to encourage big swings that can nonetheless be stopped midway when the batter realizes they have been fooled? I really have no idea, so this is pretty exciting. But, moreso than that, I’m just glad that MLB is moving to less of a “you’ll know it when the umpire sees it” standard for stuff.

What about you? Are you excited about this potential change? Do you hate it? What do you think it’ll do to the MLB meta, as it were?

Yankees 2026 Season Preview: Ben Hess

CLEARWATER, FL - MARCH 1: Ben Hess #68 of the New York Yankees looks on before the game against the Philadelphia Phillies at BayCare Ballpark on March 1, 2026 in Clearwater, Florida. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images

In the 2024 MLB Draft, the Yankees used their first round pick on pitcher Ben Hess out of the University of Alabama. In that previous college season, Hess had posted a 5.80 ERA in 68.1 innings, which might not necessarily scream being the 26th overall pick. However, any draft/prospect people at the time would’ve been saying not to worry about that too much. For one, he struck out over 10 batters per nine innings every season in college, showing he had the raw “stuff.” Beyond just pitchers developing a good amount in the minor leagues beyond any development they do in high school and college, college baseball in particular can be a bit wild with offense.

Flash forward a year and a half with Hess now having spent parts of two seasons in the Yankees’ system, and you can see why that’s the case. Debuting in real games in 2025, he’s been good to very good at every minor league level he’s played at, and he also continues to strike out a boatload of batters. Now as we head into the 2026 season, how high might Hess be able to climb this year.

2025 Statistics (in High-A and Double-A): 22 games, 103.1 innings pitched, 3.22 ERA, 2.50 FIP, 2.94 xFIP, 85 ERA-, 139 K, 33.0 K%, 10.9 BB%, 0.26 HR/9, 1.07 WHIP

So far in spring training, Hess has impressed in a handful of innings in MLB spring games. In five innings, he’s posted a 1.80 ERA and has struck out six batters compared to two walks. You can read more about that and a greater look at his repertoire here, as we’re focusing more on his upcoming season in general. The Yankees have already reassigned him to minor league camp, but considering that he’s only reached as high as Double-A and the team has a lot of competition in the starting pitching department, that’s not a surprise nor a setback for him.

Just as one example, MLB Pipeline lists Hess’ major league ETA at 2027. That feels somewhat more realistic than 2026. With a full rotation already and the likes of Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodón, and maybe Clarke Schmidt returning at some point this year, the Yankees hopefully won’t have a massive need for starters, at least.

That being said, it’s also not impossible that a good season could get him a cameo this year. You’d imagine he’ll start the year at Double-A, having thrown 36.2 innings there last year. If he repeats his success there, it seems likely that they’d move him up to Triple-A, and at that point a player is right on the cusp. It doesn’t seem far-fetched that we could see him get some innings out of the bullpen as a September call-up or something like that, should he continue his upward trajectory. Getting up as a starter seems a little difficult, but then again, we would’ve been saying that about Cam Schlittler last year, so who knows.

On the other hand, unless the rotation suffers catastrophic injuries, there’s also no rush. Hess had progressed pretty nicely so far. Even when taking into account that college pitches can sometimes move through the minors a little faster, making it up to and having good results at Double-A in your first full year in the system is pretty impressive. Let’s hope we’re saying similar things about Hess following the 2026 season.


See more of the Yankees Previews series here.

Bless You Boys 2026 Detroit Tigers prospects #12: 2B Max Anderson

PORT CHARLOTTE, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 28: Max Anderson #82 of the Detroit Tigers rounds third during the second inning of a spring training game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Charlotte Sports Park on February 28, 2026 in Port Charlotte, Florida. (Photo by Mark Taylor/Getty Images) | Getty Images

One element that makes the Detroit Tigers a lot more formidable than they were last year is the presence of near major league ready positional prospects. Last season they didn’t really have a prospect push to buoy them throughout the season, particularly in terms of hitters. One of their top hopes for depth in the infield this season is Max Anderson. After a breakout 2025 season at the Double-A level, he’s had a nice spring camp and looks the part of a quality hitting prospect who isn’t too far from contributing to the Tigers’ efforts this season.

The 24-year-old right-handed hitter was the Tigers’ second rounder in the 2023 draft, selected right after they picked Max Clark and Kevin McGonigle with their first selections. The Tigers paid Anderson a hair less than $1.5 million to sign out of Nebraska, which saved them around $470K in signing bonus. Even better, it appears they got that pick correct.

Anderson doesn’t offer much in the way of athleticism, and is best suited to second base, but he can really hit. He raked in college, and he’s continued to be a high average, low strikeout hitter in the minor leagues. A second baseman by trade, Anderson has continued to improve his glove, footwork, and throwing during his time with the Tigers. The element that continues to hold him back is his lack of footspeed and range. Still, that’s not too dissimilar from Gleyber Torres’ defensive profile. So as long as Anderson hits, the Tigers will find a way to use him, whether at third base, first base, or at second in case of a Torres injury.

The knock on this profile is that while Anderson has plenty of juice and has popped numerous balls with plus exit velocities in his time in the minor leagues, he didn’t really hit for that much game power in his 2024 full season debut in A-ball. A free-swinger, hitting from a pretty deep crouch and without the flexibility to create good bat angles on pitches to all parts of the zone, Anderson has a tendency to let his hands do most of the work at the plate. To unlock his power potential, he needed to work on pulling more balls in the air, but he also needed to be a lot more selective in terms of what he’s swinging at as well, trying to get more pitches he can drive rather than just chasing off the plate on pitches he can slap the other way. In 2025, he made some strides in that direction.

In 405 plate appearances for the Double-A Erie SeaWolves, Anderson launched 14 home runs and hit .306/.358/.499. He struck out just 14.6 percent of the time, with a decent 6.9 percent walk rate as well. He moved up to Triple-A Toledo late in the season, and while his strikeouts spiked somewhat, he held his own, and added another five homers in 32 games to reach 19 long balls on the year. You couldn’t ask for too much more overall, though his numbers against left-handers were far better than his solid but modest .767 OPS against right-handed pitching. It also didn’t hurt that as predicted, Anderson and Kevin McGonigle faced much weaker pitching in the Arizona Fall League than they were used to seeing, and absolutely tore the place apart.

Anderson still hits the ball on the ground too much, but he improved in that regard compared to his 2024 debut and he also started pulling more balls to left field. He continues to show his plus hand-eye coordination in routinely getting the barrel on the ball, even on pitches where he was initially fooled. He didn’t abandon his crouch as some thought he might, but he did moderate it a bit, helping him to be more mobile in the box to catch balls out front, as opposed to letting everything travel deep with a heavy bias to the opposite field the way he did in his first pro season. Even better he did it without striking out any more, and even his late season run in Toledo showed a better than league average strikeout rate complete with sustained home run power.

It’s only 32 plate appearances of spring training work, but so far Anderson has held his own in spring camp. The stocky infielder is not going to get faster, but he’s otherwise continued to refine his defensive game and looks playable at both second and third base. We haven’t seen him cut down on the chase yet, but by hunting more pitches he can pull and drive early in counts, and then trusting his strong pure hitting ability deeper into an at-bat, he looks more and more like he’ll be a solid major league hitter who hits left-handers well in particular.

The final step for Max Anderson this season is to consolidate his gains and keep working on his zone discipline. Currently he isn’t on the 40-man roster, though he’ll be Rule 5 eligible next fall, and the Tigers don’t have an opening for him at second or third base. However, if this were a lower tier MLB roster Anderson would probably be going north with the team or looking at a debut in the spring. His more refined defensive game this spring has been a nice upgrade for him as well, and it’s worth mentioning that he also looks like a fairly attractive trade piece this season if required.

There’s a lot of pressure on Anderson to hit and to hit for solid power. He isn’t going to provide much value defensively or on the bases. However, he has cleaned up his all around game even more this offseason, and he shows a lot of signs that the bat will play enough to find at least a part-time role in the years ahead.

The Tigers have kept him in major league camp much of the spring, and it’s notable that he’s not on the Spring Breakout roster and seems likely to travel to Colorado for the club’s final two exhibition games of the spring calendar. He’ll head to Toledo beyond that, but on a team with a heavily left-handed infield group beyond 2026, there will be opportunities for a regular role as a lefty mashing infielder with a little positional versatility. A significant injury around the infield could open up a spot for him to make his debut this year. If not, one would expect that the Tigers will get him at least a look at the show sometime this summer when an opportunity comes along.

Do any Red Sox performances in the WBC change your outlook on the season?

MIAMI, FL - MARCH 15: Roman Anthony #3 of Team USA celebrates after hitting a home run in the fourth inning during the 2026 World Baseball Classic WBC game presented by Capital One between Team USA and Team Dominican Republic at loanDepot park on Sunday, March 15, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Ken Griffey Jr./WBCI/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Not only was the World Baseball Classic a massive success, but it also featured Red Sox players as a main character in what felt like almost every game. So as our attention turns back to the more traditional 162 game brand of baseball, do any performances on the global stage change your outlook for the upcoming season (for either a player or the team as a whole)?

On the positive side, Roman Anthony looked as good as any hitter on Team USA until he struck out in the final at-bat of the tournament. This included a .920 OPS, a .400 OBP, and a game winning home run against the Dominican Republic.

Wilyer Abreu was also fantastic, hitting two of the biggest home runs of the entire tournament. The first was his titanic shot that changed the momentum for good against Japan, and the second occurred in the tight final 3-2 Venezuela win. He may have even been robbed of tournament MVP, but that’s a different discussion.

Meanwhile, Masataka Yoshida looked great in his Team Japan uniform, particularly in the Tokyo games. His OPS in the five games he played in the WBC was a whopping 1.257, and he also had a massive home run in pool play.

Then there’s Jarren Duran, who even though he played for Team Mexico which didn’t make it out of pool play this year, posted a 1.412 OPS in his four games. This also included three home runs.

It’s funny isn’t it? These are all guys associated with the outfield / DH logjam, and they all performed well during the WBC.

On the flip side, there were a couple of concerning outings in the knockout stage. The most obvious is probably Garrett Whitlock cracking in the ninth inning of the championship game after looking great in the semifinal against the D.R. It seems as true as ever that you have to spread Whitlock’s performances out enough to keep him effective, and, if you don’t, you’ll get burned in a brutal spot. It cost the Red Sox in the Wild Card series against the Yankees last October, and it cost Team USA in the WBC championship final.

Additionally, Ranger Suarez, who was the big free agent pickup of the offseason, got shelled in his game for Team Venezuela Saturday night. In fact, when you look at his line against Team Japan of five earned runs in 2.2 innings pitched and then note he was slated against Yoshinobu Yamamoto, it’s kind of a miracle Venezuela won that game.

So how are you feeling a week away from the Sox season starting now that we’ve got a small sample size of results in games that matter? Talk about this and whatever else you’d like, and as always, be good to one another.

Dodgers notes: Shohei Ohtani shines, Miguel Rojas gets apology

Wednesday saw the return of Shohei Ohtani to the mound for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and in typical Shohei style, he picked up where he left off last season (aside from that Game 7 clunker).

Against the San Francisco Giants, Ohtani went 4 2/3 innings, allowing only one hit along with two walks and a hit batter.

Manager Dave Roberts was quite effusive in his remarks about Ohtani after the game.

“I was (surprised at how sharp he was). But I guess I’ve learned that you don’t ever underestimate or try to make predictions on what Shohei’s going to do. He’s always going to deliver. Yeah, I thought he would be a little bit more rusty than he was today. The breaking ball was good, got some swing and miss. The fastball command, he was working ahead in the count today. So across the board, really good.”

“It actually didn’t feel like it was my first spring training outing,” Ohtani said through his interpreter. “I do see this as more of an extension of a live BP situation. So it didn’t feel too bad going into this game.”

Bill Plunkett of the OC Register has many more quotes about Ohtani’s performance today, and how he felt over this offseason as opposed to last offseason. Spoiler alert – he felt great. Coming off your second World Series win in as many years and finally being healthy can have that effect on a man.

Jack Harris of the California Post shared a little bit more behind the scenes of the Dodgers pursuit of free agent Kyle Tucker. For as good as Tucker is, and for highly sought after he was in the offseason, the Dodgers wanted to know if he was ready to level up to compete on all cylinders.

“We feel like, with where he’s at, getting a complete season out of him on both sides of the ball is very attainable,” Friedman said. “And we feel like, in our environment, we can help bring that out of him even more.”

So far this spring, Tucker is batting .250 with two homers and three RBI. While Spring Training stats aren’t always indicative of what that player will be like in the season, it seems that Tucker has a little more work to do to achieve his best season yet.

Miguel Rojas spent six frantic minutes on Monday dealing with the fallout of an erroneous tweet sent out by Evan Drellich of The Athletic. The tweet stated that Miggy Ro had been suspended for 80 games for testing positive for use of a banned substance. It was in fact Johan Rojas of the Philadelphia Phillies who had tested positive for Boldenone, not the World Series hero.

Maddie Lee at the Los Angeles Times covered the fallout, and how Drellich finally issued a more formal apology on Wednesday to Miguel and the Dodgers organization. Seven minutes was seven minutes too long, as I’m sure Toronto Blue Jays and other baseball fans would’ve had some choice things to say about that infamous homer that would’ve marred that moment forever.

“I’m not frustrated because of the report, because we are all humans and we make mistakes,” Rojas said Wednesday morning in front of his locker at Camelback Ranch. “I was expecting a little bit more of an apology, not just to me, but the organization. Because it wasn’t just my name, it was pretty clear that it says, ‘Miguel Rojas from the Los Angeles Dodgers.’ And I don’t think anybody in this organization should be kind of freaking out and jumping out of their seats for the six or seven minutes that it happened.”

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