With just over one-third of the 2026 MLB season in the rearview, the Mets find themselves in the same position they were in at the end of the 12-game losing streak that sent their season into a spiral they haven't emerged from.
They were nine games under .500 ahead of play on April 22, and they're nine games under .500 ahead of play on June 3 -- with a record of 26-35.
The Mets were better in May, going 16-12. But even amid a relatively positive month, they mixed in a five-game losing streak against the Marlins and Reds. And New York has started June by dropping two games to the Mariners, with the first loss due to a lack of offense and the second one due to poor pitching and sloppiness in the field.
So it goes.
It feels like the Mets have rescued their season from the brink a few times already, and it won't be a surprise if they do it again.
But the most important question isn't whether they can avoid slipping hopelessly out of it before June ends. Rather, it's whether the Mets can string together enough wins before the trade deadline to avoid becoming sellers in a year where they were expected to be World Series contenders.
As the Mets try to do that, let's assess what put them in this spot...
The bad
Underperformance and injuries have been the two key factors, but the one that has been the most glaring is the sloppiness.
The physical errors, including a leaky right side of the infield consisting of Mark Vientos and a badly regressing Marcus Semien, have been bad enough. But the mental ones, including being out of position, not backing up home plate, forgetting how many outs there are, or not coming forcefully enough through the bag on double plays, have been hard to figure.
In addition to the mistakes has been a seeming lack of accountability at times.
Not to pile on Vientos, but after going 0-for-4 on Tuesday (dropping his OPS to .633) and making a costly error at first base, he cited "bad luck" for his offensive struggles while noting he's got to give himself "a little bit of props." Regarding his defensive issues, Vientos said he feels he's been doing "pretty good" at first base. In actuality, he's been in the 8th percentile when it comes to OAA.
There is absolutely nothing wrong with a player being positive and believing in himself. But Vientos' comments seemed peculiar given the circumstances -- and given his remarks earlier this season after he ran through a stop sign at third base.
When it comes to underperformance, it has hit a number of the Mets' key offensive pieces, with Bo Bichette's difficulties being the most painful.
Bichette, who entered this season with a career OPS of .806, has a .570 OPS this season. It isn't rare for a player to have an adjustment period in his first season in New York and/or his first year with a new team after signing a big deal, but the drop-off from Bichette has been hard to fathom.
Brett Baty (83 OPS+ this year after a 110 OPS+ in 2025) has also regressed. Meanwhile, even though Francisco Lindor started to turn it on before going down with a serious calf injury on April 22, his OPS+ is just 91.
About those injuries...
The Mets have been decimated, with Lindor and Juan Soto being in the lineup together just 11 times this season -- Lindor suffered his injury during the game when Soto returned from a three-week absence due to his own calf injury that coincided with New York's big losing streak.
New York also lost Francisco Alvarez to a torn meniscus he sustained while swinging the bat, and has been without Jorge Polanco and Luis Robert Jr. for the majority of the season.
Both Polanco and Robert have checkered injury histories, making it fair to question David Stearns' team-building strategy. But it's also fair to note that the Mets being without four of their regular offensive players at the same time for a huge chunk of the season was not possible to forecast.
Also impossible to forecast was losing Clay Holmes to a fractured fibula after getting hit by a liner on May 15. At the time, Holmes had been New York's best starting pitcher and one of the best pitchers in baseball, with a 2.39 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 52.2 innings.
Holmes' absence, in addition to the struggles and injury issues of Kodai Senga and the inability of David Peterson to succeed in a starting rolehas thrown a rotation that already wasn't providing enough innings into a bit of disarray.
The good
Soto has been tremendous, slashing .296/.385/.574 with 13 homers in 44 games. His .959 OPS is tops in the National League.
Carson Benge, who essentially replaced the traded Brandon Nimmo in the lineup, has been terrific since getting acclimated to the majors.
In 37 games since April 23, Benge is hitting .309/.378/.475 while working impressive at bats, smacking the ball to all fields, and starting to hit for more power.
Benge's defense in right field has also been a plus, with him in the 72nd percentile in OAA and the 98th percentile in arm strength.
Speaking of defense, the emergence of A.J. Ewing in center field has been a sight to see. Ewing has been a flash in the outfield, laying out for improbable catches while being fearless going back on balls that result in him having to crash into the wall.
Jared Young (142 OPS+ in a small sample size) has also been a bright spot as he fills in at first base and DH.
In the rotation, Nolan McLean began the season on an All-Star track before hitting a two-game hiccup. But he started to right the ship his last time out, and is one of the most important players for the Mets going forward.
Christian Scott (2.97 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 11.3 K/9) has excelled in what is his first year back after having Tommy John surgery, and is emerging as a potential long-term answer in the rotation.
The bullpen has also been solid, especially Luke Weaver (who hasn't allowed a run since April), Brooks Raley (1.61 ERA), and Huascar Brazoban (2.35 ERA).
It's been a bit of a mixed bag for Devin Williams, but his ERA is badly skewed by a performance against the Marlins on May 24 when he allowed four runs in just one-third of an inning. Aside from that outing, Williams has been unscored upon in 13 appearances dating back to April 26. Overall, he has struck out 31 batters in 20 innings -- a rate of 14.0 per nine.
What's to come
The Mets should get Polanco back in a few days and could have Alvarez in the fold soon after.
As far as calling up more prospects, New York has pushed nearly all of those buttons.
When Polanco returns, he'll be mainly a DH, which could lead to a configuration where Young gets the bulk of the time at first base.
Lindor has been progressing and could theoretically be back in a few weeks, which would provide an enormous jolt to the offense.
Will the Mets still have a season to salvage by the time Lindor gets back?
If they're able to survive their current road trip and rise to the occasion when they return home to face the Cardinals and Braves, the Mets can still make something of this season. At the very least, they would make things interesting this summer and avoid a trade deadline sell-off.
If not?
This year would likely resemble the 2023 campaign, when the Mets traded Max Scherzer, Justin Verlander, and others ahead of the deadline when they determined they were unlikely to reach the playoffs.
What that kind of sell-off would look like in 2026 is unclear, but it's fair to believe every pending free agent would be available. That includes Freddy Peralta and potentially Holmes, who has a player option for 2027.