Remembering the year 1976

CIRCA 1970's : Manager Whitey Herzog (R) of the Kansas City Royals talking with the homeplate umpire during an MLB baseball game circa late 1970's. Herzog Managed the Royals from 1975-79. (Photo by Focus on Sport/Getty Images) | Getty Images

I have a client who just turned 104 years old. She was alive in the era of Babe Ruth, Lou Gehrig, Rogers Hornsby, Cool Papa Bell and Walter Johnson. She also would have been alive when the United States celebrated its 150th anniversary. It made me think how rare it is for someone to see three fifty-year anniversaries. I’ve witnessed the 200th and the 250th but won’t be alive for the 300th unless there is some yet-undiscovered medical miracle. Even if there is, I’m not sure I can stomach that much more bad Royals baseball.

Okay, that was kind of a cheap shot, but it is what it is. Watching the country celebrate the 250th anniversary got me thinking back to the glorious summer of 1976. Nostalgia is a powerful thing. Were things better in 1976 than they are today? Probably not. I can only say that our music and the Royals were better in 1976. I’m probably overlooking something that you’ll tell me about, but nostalgia has a way of making your brain forget about the bad things.

Sometimes we forget or take for granted some of the glorious things that make our lives easier today, such as medical advances and modern technology. Our houses are better. Our automobiles are better. Our food choices are more plentiful and better. Jet travel is faster and safer. I could go on, but you get the idea.

I thought of this often as the country hosted the World Cup this summer. I must give the United States a round of applause for the World Cup. Everything I’ve read from our visitors has been positive, eye-opening and refreshing. I loved hearing about the surprises our visitors encountered. Buc-ee’s! Waffle House! Stores open 24/7! Biscuits and gravy! Walmart! Ice in our drinks! Unlimited refills! Air conditioning! So many choices of beer! Ranch dressing! Barbecue! Over a million people came to the US for the games, and many raved about how friendly and hospitable Americans were. That warms my heart and makes me proud to be an American. I hope they come back for another visit.

1976 was a special year for the country and for baseball. Who can forget Mark Fidrych and his goofball antics on the mound? He was a pretty darn good pitcher that summer, winning 19 games, and became a national icon. Henry Aaron hit the 755th and last home run of his career off former Royal Dick Drago. The White Sox played some games in shorts. With free agency looming, Athletics owner Charlie Finley began to sell players. Commissioner Bowie Kuhn vetoed the sales “in the best interest of the game.” Nolan Ryan struck out 327 batters.

It’s hard to believe it’s been fifty years. What a time to be alive. I was just 15, working that summer pumping gas at Jensen’s Standard station and thinking about my upcoming junior year in high school. Our Cookie League baseball team was still wearing wool jerseys, which made day games under the scorching Kansas sun a miserable event. The wool jerseys were a leftover remnant from the 1960s. In the summer of ’77, the city leaders found a little cash to outfit us in more fashionable and cooler polyester jerseys.

We were poor kids, living in an impoverished small town. We scrounged around for extra bats, and most of us used hand-me-down gloves. Spikes were rarely seen. We never gave it a second thought; the teams we played against looked a lot like us. We just loved playing the game.

The year kicked off with the Steelers dynasty beating the Cowboys 21-17 in an exciting Super Bowl X.

A couple of guys named Steve founded a company they called Apple on April 1st and eventually changed the world.

The NBA and ABA merged on June 17th.

The big local news in June was the passing of Les Milgram on June 19th. The Milgram family were grocers and at one time owned 61 stores in the metro and surrounding area. Les Milgram, a name unknown to many younger fans, was a noted civic leader who was influential in getting the Philadelphia Athletics to relocate to Kansas City. He also played a large role in getting the Dallas Texans to relocate to Kansas City in 1963. He could often be found sitting a couple of rows behind the Athletics dugout.

After the Athletics left town, Milgram persuaded his childhood friend, Ewing Kauffman, to become the owner of the city’s new expansion baseball team.

Milgram served on the Royals Board of Directors and, through his love of baseball, played a large role in keeping the Ban Johnson League afloat after World War II.

Today, the Royals reward their best player each season with the Les Milgram Player of the Year Award. Milgram was truly a titan on the local civic scene, and his passing at the age of 58 left a huge void. He was survived by his wife, Ann, and children Betsy, Nancy, Sally and Nat.

July was a big month in the States. The United States celebrated its 200th anniversary on July 4th, which seemed like a much bigger deal than the recent 250th anniversary.

Family Feud made its debut on July 12th.

Son of Sam murdered his first victim on the 29th, setting off a year of angst and anxiety among New Yorkers.

On July 30th, Bruce Jenner captivated the nation by winning the gold medal in the decathlon at the Montreal Summer Olympics.

In November, Jimmy Carter upset incumbent Gerald Ford to win the presidency. On November 29th, the New York Yankees sent shockwaves through the baseball world when they signed Reggie Jackson to a five-year, $3 million contract. Imagine that. Five years of a superstar for $3 million.

Rocky was the movie of the year, while MASH, All in the Family, and Happy Days were the hit television shows. Culturally, 1976 was probably closer to the 1950s. With no internet or cell phones, kids still cruised Main Street on the weekends and went to school dances. The swimming pool was the nerve center of the community in the summer months. Life moved at a slower pace.

1976 was also the first year that the Royals won the American League West and, in just their eighth season of existence, made their playoff debut. The Royals were a young team, with only two starters, Freddie Patek and Hal McRae, aged 30 or over. The Royals had accumulated an impressive array of young talent. Royal hitters had 6,199 plate appearances that summer. Only 1,522 were taken by players age 30 or over, and the bulk of those were taken by Patek (age 31), McRae (30), Bob Stinson (30) and Cookie Rojas, the gray beard of the Royals at the age of 37. Even the pitching staff was young, with Al Fitzmorris, Marty Pattin and Steve Mingori being the only three age 30 or over who collected significant innings. That’s how you build a winner.

Whitey Herzog was in his first full season as manager, and George Brett followed up on his strong 1975 season with a season that announced him as a superstar. It was a great time to be a Royal fan.

Brett won the league batting title in his last at-bat of the final game of the season, edging out teammate Hal McRae, .333 to .332. George also led the league in hits (215), triples (14) and total bases (298), put up a 7.50 WAR season and still lost the MVP vote to Thurman Munson. Munson was a great player and had a decent season, but the voters blew this one.

McRae, the Butch Cassidy to Brett’s Sundance Kid, had some bitterness about losing the batting title but still had an outstanding season, leading the league in on-base percentage (.407) and OPS (.868) and infusing the Royals with a hard-nosed style of play.

The Royals offense was clicking early in 1976. They had a three-game stretch in May in which they scored 37 runs. They dropped 14 runs on Texas on consecutive nights in late May. They peaked on June 15th when they jumped out to a 20-0 lead against Detroit before settling in for a 21- 7 win. They lashed the Tigers with 24 hits. Tom Poquette had five. George had four.

The Royals’ division lead swelled to 12 games after they swept a doubleheader from the White Sox on August 6th.

The Royals and Sox played another doubleheader on August 8. This was notable because Chicago wore shorts for the first game. They took a lot of heat for the shorts, but I thought they looked kind of snazzy, and why not? July and August can be crazy hot, and if the shorts are more comfortable, let them wear them.

After the August 6th sweep, the young team battled injuries and the pressure of a pennant race and slumped to the finish line by losing 32 of their last 58 games.

Pitching ace Steve Busby was lost early in the season. Doug Bird lost significant time to elbow soreness. Tom Poquette, who had emerged as a solid force in left field, missed 58 games after he crashed into the wall in foul territory chasing a fly ball. He was briefly knocked unconscious and had to be carried off the field on a stretcher.

Patek, Rojas and Otis all missed games during the season due to injury. Fortunately, the Royals had built some depth, with guys like Dave Nelson, Jim Wohlford and Jamie Quirk stepping in. Frank White covered shortstop during Patek’s absence.

The Royals made one huge trade during the season, when they sent catcher Fran Healy to the Yankees for pitcher Larry Gura. Gura had fallen into Billy Martin’s doghouse and desperately needed a change of scenery. Gura only pitched 62 innings, toggling between starting and relief.

The second acquisition flew under the radar but was just as important. On July 5, they purchased the contract of pitcher Andy Hassler from division rival California. Hassler gave them 14 starts and almost 100 innings of work, which was desperately needed.

On September 29th, with the Royals clinging to a 2.5 game lead, Herzog surprised everyone by giving the ball to Gura. In what has become known as one of the most clutch performances in club history, Gura shut down the hard-charging A’s with a four-hit, complete-game shutout. The win gave the Royals a 3.5-game lead with three games to play and clinched their first American League West crown. The Royals lost nine of their last 11 games but still managed to win the division by 2½ games.

Two future Royal Hall of Famers, John Wathan and Willie Wilson, made their debuts in 1976, as did Ruppert Jones, a 21-year-old phenom. After the season ended, the Royals lost Jones, Al Fitzmorris, Stinson and Tom Bruno in the expansion draft.

It was a sad departure for Fitzmorris, who had been an original Royal and a fan favorite. Fitz had a fantastic 1976 season, making 33 starts, pitching 220 innings with a record of 15-11.

From 1974 to 1976, Fitzmorris was nails, making 95 starts and posting a 44 and 27 record with a 3.17 ERA. Despite being the Royals’ best starter in the regular season, Whitey Herzog did not pitch Fitzmorris in the Championship Series. It was a puzzling move and left many fans questioning the wisdom. I loved Whitey and will always have a soft spot for him, but this was a bad piece of managing. When Herzog informed Fitz that he wouldn’t be pitching against the Yankees, it sparked a heated argument between the two. Fitzmorris’ time with the Royals was over.

The magical summer soon came to an end at the hands of the damn Yankees. The teams split the first four games and were tied 6-6 going into the bottom of the 9th, thanks to George’s titanic three-run blast in the 8th off Grant Jackson. After a five-minute delay while miscreant Yankee fans had their moment, Chris Chambliss hit the first pitch from Mark Littell over the right-field wall to send New York to the World Series.

I always felt bad for Littell, who’d had a fantastic season and was one of baseball’s good guys. I spoke to him a few months before his untimely death, and he made no excuses. He said he’d cooled off a little while Yankee fans rioted, which delayed the start of the inning. Of the pitch, he said, “It was a high fastball, out of the strike zone. Chambliss just did a great job of hitting it.”

Despite the bitter ending, it was a great summer. Due to my own heavy work and baseball schedule, I was only able to attend two games but remember them fondly. The first came in early June against the Orioles. We arrived late to the game, and there were four young men sitting in our seats. Pop asked them to move. They refused. An usher showed up, looked at our tickets and told the guys to take a hike. The leader of the group told the usher to bleep off. The usher grabbed him by the nape of his neck and his belt, yanked him from the seat and hurled him down the steps. The other three meekly filed out. I loved every second of it. Can you imagine something like that happening today? The game was notable for being one of Steve Busby’s last great starts.

For younger fans, it’s hard to describe Busby’s greatness. The fact that he has two of the Royals’ four no-hitters should be some clue.

The game was also highlighted by a three-run bomb off the bat of Reggie Jackson. Brooks Robinson, nearing the end of his illustrious 23-year career, made a late-game appearance as a defensive replacement. Brooks’ appearance was brought on when future Royal manager Tony Muser took a bad hop to the cup, off the bat of John Mayberry. Muser went down like he’d been hit with a deer slug. He was carried off on a stretcher to a round of polite applause while the ground crew raked up what remained of his shattered sack.

The second game came in early September and wasn’t notable for anything other than Bert Blyleven stifling the Royals’ bats. It was a beautiful late-summer Sunday. My friend Dennis and I had ridden the bus from Salina to the stadium on one of those package deals, which was a bargain. Our seats were in the lower bowl, halfway up behind third base.

Before the game, we soaked up the sun while the PA system blared hit music from the summer. One of the songs they played was “Moonlight Feels Right,” which featured a fantastic marimba solo. Every time I hear that song, it takes me back to that day.

What a great summer.

Yankees Rivalry Roundup: Rays’ bats stay red-hot against A’s

SACRAMENTO, CA - AUGUST 11: Taylor Walls #6 of the Tampa Bay Rays celebrates after hitting a home run during the game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Athletics at Sutter Health Park on Tuesday, August 11, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Jacob Soriano/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

The Yankees were looking a little dire on Tuesday, getting blanked by Bryan Woo and his 6.71 road ERA for five innings and continuing those struggles against the Seattle bullpen until the seventh inning. After Ryan Weathers allowed a solo shot to Randy Arozarena in the sixth and it looked like that sole mistake was going to leave him with a loss, the offense rallied for four runs, Ryan McMahon and Trent Grisham driving in a pair each on singles to pull ahead. That outburst got them back in the win column after dropping the finale of their Atlanta series, and they’ve needed every win they can get to keep pace in an AL East race that is turning into a pressure cooker.

Tampa Bay Rays (73-46) 12, The Athletics (47-73) 4

The Rays stormed back to take Monday’s game against the A’s, scoring eight runs in the eighth, and they kept rolling from the get-go in Tuesday’s bout to win their eighth in a row. They got started with an error giving them a leadoff baserunner and Junior Caminero cashed them in with his 35th home run of the season for a 2-0 advantage. In the third they tacked on one more, with two walks and a wild pitch putting runners on second and third before a fielder’s choice cut down the lead runner. Chandler Simpson got a rare sacrifice double play marked down when he lifted a fly ball to center, getting the run in before the cutoff throw to home was redirected to second base and gunned down the trailing runner.

By the fourth inning the makings of a blowout were setting in, with Taylor Walls and Yandy Díaz both hitting home runs to double the lead to 6-0. The A’s got on the board in the bottom half with Lawrence Butler launching a two-run shot, but it was all the A’s would get for a while and the Rays were just getting started. The sixth inning saw Walls hit his second homer of the night (the only two homers he’s hit all year by the way), the seventh brought home two more Rays on a Victor Mesa Jr. blast, and in the eighth it was Carson Williams’ turn to hit a homer as he brought in three runs. At the end of that run it was 12-2 Tampa Bay, and their starter was still going strong.

Nick Martinez was on the mound for the Rays and he went the distance in this outing on 101 pitches. Never one to punch out batters at a high rate, Martinez only struck out five but managed to scatter eight hits and didn’t walk a single batter. The A’s did give him a fight in the ninth, stringing a trio of hits together to push across two more runs, but Martinez buckled down and got a pair of grounders to wrap up the complete game, the 15th pitcher to do so this year.

Other Games

Boston Red Sox (64-55) 3, Toronto Blue Jays (58-63) 5: This game had the two results that Yankees fans wanted to see: Cy Young competitor Dylan Cease had a mediocre night, but the Red Sox still lost. Adley Rutschman made his debut for the Sox after coming over at the deadline from Baltimore and going through a short rehab assignment, and the Sox catcher had a solid day going 1-for-3 with a pair of walks. It was Wilyer Abreu and Ceddanne Rafaela who did the damage for Boston though, hitting solo shots in the fourth and fifth respectively to put them up 3-1.

Toronto responded in the bottom of the fifth, however, tying the game up on a Charles McAdoo sac fly and a Brett Bateman RBI single. The sixth saw them take the lead as George Springer led off with a walk, moved to third on a single, and scored when Ernie Clement beat out a potential double play ball up the middle. Myles Straw brought in an insurance run in the eighth with an RBI double, but the Sox would strand Masataka Yoshida at second base in the ninth to make it redundant. Boston has dropped four in a row since winning 27 of 30, now sitting three back of the Yanks and nine behind Tampa Bay.

Chicago White Sox (61-57) 4, Cincinnati Reds (57-61) 5 (10 innings): The White Sox jumped out to a 4-0 lead powered by homers from Brenton Doyle, Edgar Quero, and Miguel Vargas, cruising behind Sean Burke as he pitched seven strong innings. The only blip on the radar came when Burke allowed a solo shot to Eugenio Suárez in the fifth inning, but he handed a solid lead to his bullpen just to watch it go up in flames. The Reds scored three in the eighth as soon as he left, Tyler Stephenson tying the game on a two-run single. In extras Elly De La Cruz lifted a sacrifice fly to drive in the Manfred runner, while Chicago was ineffective in the bottom half, striking out before lifting two weak pop ups and officially spoiling Pope Hat Night.

Texas Rangers (60-60) 2, Los Angeles Angels (46-74) 3: Cody Bradford lasted seven innings for the Rangers, but one inning would undo him. Up 1-0 in the third off of a Joc Pederson solo shot, Bradford was facing the bottom of the Angels’ order and allowed a leadoff single to Wade Meckler. Meckler got bunted over to second and then scored on a Zach Neto single to tie the game, before Mike Trout got aboard on a hit by pitch and the Angels ran a double steal to put them both in scoring position. Nolan Schanuel got Neto in on a sac fly and Vaughn Grissom scored Trout with a double out to left to give the Angels a lead they wouldn’t surrender. Texas got one back in the sixth as Jarred Kelenic singled a run in, but the backend of the Angels’ bullpen managed to strike out five of the last seven Rangers they faced to close the door on a comeback attempt.

Houston Astros (61-60) 1, San Francisco Giants (50-70) 4: In another case of no one being able to pull away with the AL West, Houston couldn’t capitalize on the Rangers’ downfall. Yordan Alvarez got the Astros a brief 1-0 lead in the second inning on a sac fly, but Drew Gilbert got it right back in the bottom half with an RBI single and from there it was all Giants. Drew Cavanaugh’s RBI single in the fourth put them ahead, Bryce Eldridge hit a solo homer in the fifth to extend the lead, and Christian Koss doubled in another run for good measure. As such, Houston remains half a game up on Texas for the AL West lead despite only sitting one win above .500.

Tyler Holton found his changeup and turned his season around

SEATTLE, WA - AUGUST 05: Tyler Holton #87 of the Detroit Tigers looks on during the game between the Detroit Tigers and the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park on Wednesday, August 5, 2026 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Connor Jalbert/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

While the Detroit Tigers’ offense is drawing most of the attention during their epic run from June 1 to the present, their much maligned bullpen has also played a part in turning the season around. Some credit for this has to go to the team at large, as good starting pitching and plenty of run scoring makes it far easier to keep a bullpen in order. Another crucial element to good bullpen work is team defense, and the return of Gleyber Torres, Javier Báez, along with Zach McKinstry swinging a hot enough bat to play most days, has really solidified them as a defensive unit as well. Adding in Max Clark to play above average center field has been the final piece of that puzzle. Even so, several key members of the bullpen have clearly pitched better over the last 10 weeks going back to June 1, and none more than veteran lefty Tyler Holton.

In 2023-2024, Holton was one of the most valuable relievers in baseball. One could scoff at his mediocre strikeout rates, but his extremely low walk rate, along with keeping home runs in check, lent plenty of support to the idea that Holton wasn’t just getting lucky on balls in play. He was an absolute workhorse for the Tigers, appearing in 125 games and throwing 179.2 innings with a combined 2.15 ERA. That’s an ace caliber season for a starting pitcher, but Holton managed it while pitching two to three games per week on short notice, occasioally spot starting, and otherwise never knowing when his number would be called, or for how long he’d have to pitch once he was on the mound.

In 2025, things finally started to slip. Holton’s strikeout to walk ratio remained excellent, but he had a few stretches in which teams got to him for a lot more home runs. After posting a 0.80 HR/9 mark across 2023-2024, that mark skyrocketed to 1.72 HR/9 in 2025, Holton’s age 29 season. Of course, he wasn’t alone as many of the Tigers relief options went down with injury or struggled to re-create their 2024 performances. While Holton managed to pull it together enough to pitch well in September, it seemed as though the lack of strikeouts had finally come back to bite him, and that his run as an unconventionally great reliever was at an end. That impression was only strengthened when Holton struggled early in 2026 as well.

Through May 31st, Holton had posted a 4.50 ERA/4.36 FIP for a bullpen that crumbled to dust in May. His strikeout and walk numbers were still solid, but still the home runs were coming more frequently than they used to as right-handed hitters continued to tee off on him.

Holton has long drawn attention for having two distinct three-pitch mixes depending on hitter handedness. Against lefties, he jams them with sinkers and bends sweepers down and away into the right-handed batters box, while mixing in fourseamers up to change hitters’ eye level. Against right-handers, Holton mainly features cutters, with a mix of changeups and fourseamers, along with a bit of curveball away to steal strikes on the outer edge. The pitch that was really betraying him even as his sweeper improved was the changeup.

Right-handed hitters posted a gruesome .452 wOBA, .462 ISO combination against the changeup prior to June 1 of this year. The pitch was averaging 12 inches of horizontal run, and two inches of vertical movement. Whatever adjustment Holton made to the changeup, since that point he’s added almost three inches of arm side run, and two inches of vertical movement. It’s fading away arm side more, and dropping a little less. As a result it seems to be harder to see out of the his hand with a bit flatter shape, but then fades away arm side more than expected. The result has been a lot more weak contact.

Right-handers have posted just a .187 wOBA and a .087 ISO against the changeup since June 1. Whether it’s the change in movement to accentuate the horizontal break, or whether Holton is just setting it up and commanding the changeup more effectively, it’s completely turned his season around. His main weapon against right-handers, his cutter, was also getting hit harder than usual this year, but that may have simply been because it was the only pitch working for him and hitters were able to sit on it. Since June 1 hitters have done absolutely nothing against the cutter, despite the fact that the average movement on it hasn’t changed at all. Fixing the changeup fixed his whole approach to attacking right-handed hitters and turned him back into the versatile reliever the Tigers relied so heavily on in 2023-2024. Once again, he looks like one of the better relievers in the game, and the struggles of 2025 now look like a single season blip in his career numbers.

SeasonIPERAK%BB%HR/9FIP
202385.12.1122.85.60.953.56
202494.12.1921.84.80.673.17
202578.23.6620.55.41.724.64
2026552.7819.35.30.983.78

Good to have you back, Tyler.

Holton isn’t all the way back to his 2023-2024 numbers just yet, but considering how rough the 2026 season started off for him, it’s remarkable that his numbers are once again lining up so well with his peak seasons. The strikeouts continue to trend up, and the home runs continue to trend down. If he can keep that up for the next seven weeks or so to finish out the season, everything should line up nicely once again with his career numbers, with only that home run spike in 2025 to remind us that he fought through a rough stretch for over a season before finally getting everything back in form.

The Tigers bullpen still badly needs a real ace reliever down there, one capable of turning out the lights on good opponents with strikeouts and weak contact. It’s hard to have faith in Kenley Jansen managing it, although Drew Sommers has certainly provided an overall boost in stuff for the high leverage crew. That lack may once again be their undoing down the stretch or in the postseason, and the disinterest in adding relief help at the trade deadline remains a baffling oversight. But with Tyler Holton back to dealing like he did in 2023-2024 it’s once again a deeper, more flexible bullpen for A.J. Hinch and Chris Fetter to deploy. Whether it’s enough to get them into October where they can use their starting pitchers more flexibly, and perhaps find ways to make it work, remains to be seen.

Mariners News: Dan Wilson, Rob Refsnyder, and Mike Maddux

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - JULY 10: Pitching coach Mike Maddux #88 of the Los Angeles Angels looks on against the Minnesota Twins on July 10, 2026 at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Hello everyone!

The Mariners’ slide continued yesterday in a 4-1 series-opening loss to the Yankees. The team will attempt to find some semblance of positive momentum in the middle match today, with Bryce Miller taking the hill against Will Warren.

In Mariners news…

Around the league…

Elephant Rumblings: Time to Finish Strong

SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 10: Seth Johnson #52 of the Athletics sits in the dugout after he pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays during the eighth inning at Sutter Health Park on August 10, 2026 in Sacramento, California. (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Welcome to Wednesday!

Last night, the Athletics’ struggles at home continued as they lost a second straight game to the Tampa Bay Rays. A’s pitchers allowed six home runs, while Rays’ starter Nick Martinez twirled his second career complete game.

With only a little over 40 games remaining in this season, the A’s once again find themselves looking toward the future. As a result, it is imperative that the team finishes this season strong while continuing to evaluate its players to determine who to keep and who to move on from.

If the 2027 season does not get wiped out due to this offseason’s looming lockout, it will usher in a wave of change, from a new league-wide CBA agreement to the A’s new general manager and potentially a new manager. That last part depends on whether owner John Fisher and the new head of baseball operations keep Mark Kotsay around for another season or make a change to better position the club for success.

Regardless of that decision, the A’s need to put more resources into upgrading their pitching staff, specifically the bullpen, which has been one of the biggest factors behind this disappointing campaign. At the moment, left-hander Hogan Harris and right-hander Luis Medina are the only two current relievers who deserve a spot in the bullpen moving forward.

Right-handers Elvis Alvarado and Seth Johnson have the stuff to pitch in high-leverage situations, but neither has fully harnessed his ability. Johnson began the A’s eighth-inning bullpen implosion on Monday night.

The A’s also must not forget about the rotation, which will be led by J.T. Ginn and Gage Jump. Luis Severino, who has missed most of this season with an injury, can opt out of his contract and enter free agency or accept a $22 million player option to remain with the A’s. In addition, the team needs to invest in more pitching coaches and support systems to foster better pitching development throughout the organization.

Alternatively, its offensive core is mostly in place. Top prospect Leo De Vries, who if healthy should join Triple-A Las Vegas for its playoff run, could join Jacob Wilson, Zack Gelof and Nick Kurtz on the infield sometime next season. Designated hitter Brent Rooker will return after undergoing season-ending knee surgery. Last but not least, the current starting outfield trio could carry over, with center field being a spring training battle between Henry Bolte and Denzel Clarke.

Mason Barnett, Jack Perkins, Tommy White and Max Muncy have the rest of this season to prove they deserve to remain key contributors for the A’s. Will they make the most of this opportunity or prove overmatched? What else are you looking forward to as the club plays out the rest of this season?

A’s Coverage:

MLB News and Interest:

Best of X:

Sounds like the team smoothed over the nature of the decision to part ways with former general manager David Forst.

An update on the A’s Las Vegas stadium construction:

Is Maddux a good fit to be the Athletics’ next pitching coach?

Are you excited for Thursday’s Field of Dreams Game? The third MLB game at the nostalgic baseball field will pit the Philadelphia Phillies against the Minnesota Twins. What is your favorite baseball movie of all time?




Wednesday Morning Links

Morning, all!

Monday marked the first game in a stretch against a couple of cellar dwellers, and the Rangers capitalized by winning 4-1 in extras against the Angels.

Unfortunately, the offense was flacid last night despite ample opportunities, so the signs aren’t pointing to a momentum building road trip.

Cody Bradford was a bright spot, though, making it through seven innings on 75 pitches . His outing Tuesday night marks only the third time that feat has been managed by a Ranger pitcher since 1988.

Jonah Bride has been designated for assignment and Jared Kelenic has replaced him on the roster ahead of a stretch of right handed pitchers.

Robby Ahlstrom has been lights out out of the bullpen since the All Star break, making the most of his first major league opportunity this season.

Jordan Montgomery finally made it back to the mound on Sunday after an extensive rehab following elbow surgery, and may soon be back in the rotation to fill in for Nathan Eovaldi who just landed on the IL.

Mike Maddux has been fired by the Angels, with interim manager John Mozeliak noting that Maddux and his coaching staff were not making use of the technological tools available to them.https://www.mlb.com/news/angels-dismiss-mike-maddux-dom-chiti-darryl-scott

MLB Expert Picks & Baseball Predictions August 12

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It's back to the grindstone, as there's no rest ahead of our MLB expert picks on Wednesday, Aug. 12.

Today, our baseball gurus are looking at a pair of plus-money moneyline picks, an Under between two struggling offenses, and a Boston Red Sox team righting the ship after dropping two straight to the Toronto Blue Jays.

Let's dive in with today's MLB picks!

MLB expert picks for today

PickOdds
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis: STL ML+144
Jon Metler Jon Metler: SD ML+108
Josh InglisDustin Saracini: SEA/NYY u8.5+108
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: BOS ML-117

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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Cardinals moneyline

Price: 41¢ (+144) at Polymarket

I want to fade Zack Wheeler in a lot of places today.

The Philadelphia Phillies righty is coming off a 116-pitch outing, his highest pitch count in more than five seasons. Making things worse, he threw just 32 pitches in his rain-shortened start before that and was pulled after 68 pitches in the prior outing, after allowing five runs over three innings. 

There is also the ongoing distraction about whether his foot has been on the rubber, another distraction coming off a massive workload and not being in great form. 

St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Kyle Leahy is a perfect home starter to back here, as he has quietly been one of the least-respected pitchers in baseball. He owns a 1.49 ERA over his last eight starts, with 40 strikeouts in 42 1/3 innings, and hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of those outings.

Wheeler is overpriced in this matchup, and I'll take the 41 cents that I'd play to 45. 

The Over 7.5 is also showing value.

  • Time: 2:15 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: NBC Sports Philadelphia, Cardinals.TV

Jon Metler's expert pick: Padres moneyline

Price: 48¢ (+108) at Polymarket

The Milwaukee Brewers might have the best record in baseball, but I'm siding with the underdog. Polymarket has the San Diego Padres trading at 48 cents, but I make them closer to a 53-cent favorite, giving us a meaningful edge at the current price. 

A big part of that projection comes down to Petco Park. Robbie Ray's high fly-ball rate and susceptibility to home runs are less concerning in San Diego, where the marine layer and spacious dimensions can suppress his home-run variance. I'd be much less interested in backing him in Milwaukee.

The Brewers are also likely to stack aggressive right-handed hitters against Ray, creating a favorable matchup for his pitch mix. If he can establish his four-seam fastball up in the zone before sequencing his slider below the knees, he should generate chases and use the slider as a put-away pitch, keeping Milwaukee's lineup off balance.

  • Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: Brewers.TV, Padres.TV

Dustin Saracini's expert pick: Mariners at Yankees Under 8.5

Price: 48¢ (+108) at Polymarket

This is a matchup between two offenses that are in a tailspin.

The Seattle Mariners have lost five straight without scoring more than two runs. Their reward is seeing Will Warren on the mound, who's punched out this Seattle lineup at a 28% clip while limiting them to a .198 xBA across 35 plate appearances.

It doesn't get much easier for the New York Yankees, who own a .222 xwOBA against Bryce Miller. The Mariners right-hander has dominated the heart of the New York lineup, too, holding Heliot Ramos, Luis Garcia Jr., and Jazz Chisholm to a 3-for-14 mark. 

What does that all add up to? An Under.

Play this to 55 cents over at Polymarket.

  • Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: ESPN

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Red Sox moneyline

Price: 54¢ (-117) at Polymarket

The Boston Red Sox have a major offensive edge in this matchup and are in a great position to get back on track.

Boston has been the best team in baseball against right-handed pitching over the past two weeks, ranking first in OPS, and now faces Jose Soriano in his first home start with the Toronto Blue Jays.

Soriano has struggled with walks, which is a concern against a Red Sox lineup that consistently draws free passes.

Ranger Suarez should also be set up for a strong outing, as Toronto ranks 29th in OPS against lefties and at home over the past month. Boston’s bullpen, second in both ERA and FIP over the last two weeks, only strengthens the case.

  • Time: 7:07 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: NESN, Sportsnet

More MLB best bets for today

PickOdds
NYY ML-130
Read analysis in our Mariners vs. Yankees predictions
MIL/SD u8.5-121
Read analysis in our Brewers vs. Padres predictions
PHI/STL o7.5-121
Read analysis in our Phillies vs. Cardinals predictions

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Nationals pitching prospect Jarlin Susana came back with a bang in his debut

WEST PALM BEACH, FL - FEBRUARY 20: Jarlin Susana #49 of the Washington Nationals poses for a photo during the Washington Nationals photo day at Cacti Park at the Palm Beaches on Friday, February 20, 2026 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (Photo by Kelly Gavin/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images

Last night one of the Nationals top ranked prospects finally made his season debut after recovering from injury. After undergoing lat surgery late last season, Jarlin Susana has been out of commission recovering. However, he made his debut and looked as electric as ever. The big righty tossed two scoreless innings, allowing no hits, walking two and striking out two. Here is a look at those two punch outs.

When it comes to raw stuff, there might not be a better pitching prospect in all of minor league baseball than Susana. He has a triple digit heater as well as a slider that might be even better. Susana has the ability to manipulate the slider into a couple different shapes. Some are hard downers, while others look more like curveballs.

All of the shapes are absolutely filthy and gets loads of whiffs. Last night’s outing was short, but it was very encouraging. Lat surgeries can be tricky, and it can sometimes take a while for guys to regain their stuff. That does not appear to be an issue for Susana.

According to folks at the game, Susana was sitting 101-103 MPH with his heater. He utilized both a 4-seamer and a sinker. Apparently, he also showcased a new sweeper that was around 89 MPH with serious horizontal break. This is just nuclear grade stuff from the righty. Susana’s arm is just ridiculously special and seems to be too big to fail.

Even with shaky command, Susana’s stuff is so good that he is very likely to be an impactful big leaguer if healthy. However, a couple questions still remain. The first one is about his previously mentioned health. He has a pretty lengthy injury history at this point, with a couple elbow scares and that lat surgery. Susana has only thrown more than 100 innings once in his career. 

The other concern is his strike-throwing. With this being his first outing in nearly a year, some command rust was expected. However, he only threw 14 of his 28 pitches for strikes. That will need to improve as he keeps building up. Susana will never have pinpoint command, but all he needs to do is to be generally around the strike zone. 

These two questions give him some relief risk. With his stuff though, Susana would likely be one of the best closers in the game. His stuff, shaky injury record and lackluster command is similar to Mason Miller when he was coming through the Minor Leagues. If Susana does have to be a reliever, he could be that level of closer.

However, the Nats are going to let him start for now. It is the right move in my opinion. There was a time not too long ago where Jacob Misiorowski was a hard throwing arm with a lot of relief risk. In fact, entering the 2025 season, most people projected him as a bullpen arm. With some strike throwing improvements, the Miz has become the most dominant starter in the league.

Susana getting to that level is a long shot, but it is not impossible either. There are only a handful of pitching prospects in the game you can say that about. His peaks are the most impressive highs we have seen from a Nats pitching prospect since Stephen Strasburg. The 22 year old remains a bit of a wild horse who still needs to be tamed though.

One outing that will always stick with me is what he did against the Tigers Double-A team last year. That team included the likes of Max Clark, Kevin McGonigle and Josue Briceno, all top 50 prospects at the time. Susana carved through that lineup like butter, striking out 13 in 5 innings of work. He touched 104 MPH and snapped off some of the nastiest sliders you will ever see.

It is easy to forget sometimes, but Susana also came in that Juan Soto deal. As if that deal was not already good enough, the Nats have another piece with insane upside from that deal. At the time, he was a raw 18 year old who recently signed out of the Dominican Republic. It has been a very slow burn, but Susana is back now, and is ready to take the MLB by storm when the time comes.

The command is shaky, but with his stuff, I have little doubt that Susana will be a productive big leaguer when he is on the mound. That last part is still a question mark, and seeing Susana stay healthy is massively important. The best way to improve command is getting a lot of reps, which Susana is going to need.

It will be interesting to see what the Nats do with him as the season comes to a close. Last night he rebabbed in Wilmington, but I am not sure what is next. A big league debut is highly unlikely, but there is a solid chance he gets up to Triple-A by the end of the season.

After the season, I think Susana is going to get some innings under his belt in the Arizona Fall League. Getting built up coming off the injury is a key step for him. He will have to be added to the 40-man roster this offseason, so a big league debut is on the horizon.

Assuming there is a season, I think 2027 will be the year where Susana announces himself to the world. His stuff and pure size makes him impossible to keep your eyes off of. Jarlin Susana is the most electric pitching prospect in the world, and it is great to see him back on the mound.

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The New York Yankees won a low-scoring series opener on Tuesday, and they're -130 to add to their win total in Game 2.

Both starting pitchers have posted underwhelming results of late, but Will Warren's process is a lot more encouraging. 

That's a big reason I'm backing the pinstripes with my Mariners vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, Aug. 12.

Who will win Mariners vs Yankees today: New York Yankees (-130)

Will Warren and Bryce Miller have posted very similar results over the past month. The difference is how they arrived at them.

Warren has been incredibly unlucky, with a strong 2.58 xFIP and 48.9% ground-ball rate wiped out by an unsustainably high .389 BABIP and nearly 40% of baserunners scoring.

Miller owns a 5.24 xFIP over the same time while posting a 50% fly-ball rate and allowing well over two homers per nine.

Both offenses are struggling, so I want to be on the side of the better pitching. 

Back the New York Yankees to -140.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Among today's starters, Miller ranks 28th in xFIP the past month.

Mariners vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-105)

Warren has pitched much better than his results indicate. The tide will turn sooner rather than later, and a matchup with the Seattle Mariners is the perfect time.

They are toothless against righties, posting a .274 wOBA (28th) and 43.1 GB% (24th) the last 30 days.

The Yankees have hit for more power but rank dead last with a .194 batting average over the same span.

While they may capitalize on Miller’s recent struggles at keeping the ball in the park, there’s unlikely to be much traffic on the basepaths.

I make the total 7.8 and would bet to -125.

Mariners vs Yankees home run prediction: Ben Rice (+235)

Miller’s Achilles' heel is preventing the home run, ranking in the 27th percentile in HR/9.

Ben Rice has feasted on such opponents all year long. Isolating starters in the 30th or lower, Rice has left the park in nine of 22 games — and six of 13 when facing a righty.

Miller throws the fastball 42% of the time, and Rice is sporting a ridiculous .597 ISO against that pitch.

This is a really nice spot for Rice to come back to life at the plate.

I’d back Rice to +200.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 75-69, -8.70 units
  • Over/Under bets: 78-61-6, +8.64 units

Mariners vs Yankees weather

The conditions will provide a boost to hitters as temperatures are expected to reach the 80s with slight winds blowing west.

Mariners vs Yankees odds

  • Moneyline: Mariners +110 | Yankees -130
  • Run line: Mariners +1.5 (-175) | Yankees -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-105)

Mariners vs Yankees trend

New York has hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.60 units, 24% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Yankees.

How to watch Mariners vs Yankees and game info

LocationYankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
DateWednesday, August 12, 2026
First pitch7:05 p.m. ET
TVESPN
Mariners starting pitcherBryce Miller
(4-6, 3.08 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcherWill Warren
(8-6, 4.18 ERA)

Mariners vs Yankees latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

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Nico Perez’s second two-homer game of the season

Los Angeles, CA October 29, 2025: A Dodgers player's hat and glove in the dugout during game five of the World Series between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Toronto Blue Jays at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday, October 29, 2025 in Los Angeles, CA. (Eric Thayer / Los Angeles Times via Getty Images)

Bobby Miller encountered some problems in his second appearance back from injury in Triple-A, and the Drillers overcame a blown save to beat the Travelers in walk-off fashion.

Player of the day

When the most impressive game is also the one with the biggest impact, the choice is easy, and such was the case for Nico Perez, who delivered one of his finest performances of the season. The Loons’ second baseman left the yard twice, both of them two-run shots in a 6-3 win.

What adds to the surprise of this game is that it’s not as if power has been a major part of Perez’s game. After all, he came into this game yesterday with just 13 long balls in 159 games across his minor league career.

Triple-A Oklahoma City

Other than Ronan Kopp—who had to maneuver his way through three baserunners to complete one scoreless frame—every other Comets pitcher that stepped on the mound allowed at least a run as the Comets wasted an early lead in a blowout loss 13-7.

One of those pitchers who had a tough time was Bobby Miller, allowing three runs and striking out one in a couple of innings of work. The loss, though, went to Ryder Ryan, allowing two more runs after Miller. Lastly, the worst performance that put this game to bed was from Griff McGarry, responsible for five runs without recording an out.

In most games, the Comets’ seven runs would’ve been enough with homers from Hyeseong Kim, Alex Freeland, and Zach Ehrhard, but not when the staff lets in 13. Having hit nine homers in June, Ehrhard had been dealing with a bit of a power drought, without leaving the yard in his last 17 games.

Double-A Tulsa

Outhomering the opposition three to zero, the Drillers still had to grind out a one-run win in a high-scoring game since all of their long balls were solo shots. Leadoff hitter Taylor Young, first baseman Joe Veltrano, and shortstop Eljah Hainline were the ones to leave the yard, which is somewhat surprising given that the trio combined has only 20 homers this season.

Following a four-run rally from the Travelers in the eighth, the game was tied at seven heading into extras. That’s when Hainline sent everyone home with a force-out walk-off on a bouncing ball down the third base line that allowed no attempt at a play at the plate.

High-A Great Lakes

Hitting cleanup for a second baseman isn’t a common occurrence. Nico Perez justified his spot there, accumulating four RBI to help the Loons erase an early three-run deficit to beat the Cubs at home in a battle of first-place teams.

Vastly improving on his success rate from a year ago, Eduardo Quintero stole a couple of bags in a 2-for-4 performance, now with 39 on the season, having been caught just six times. Recently promoted to High-A, Mairo Martinus was one of four Loons players with multiple hits, including an RBI.

Single-A Ontario

Starter Cam Leiter did his part with three scoreless frames, but the bullpen didn’t come close to matching that level of performance—homers allowed by Josehp Marte and Javier Bartolazzi were enough to surrender the game in a 5-1 defeat with little to no production from the offense to capitalize on three errors from the Quakes defense.

When Joendry Vargas was stranded at third in the first following a triple—his sixth of the season—it was a preview of the type of game the Tower Buzzers would have, whose only RBI came from the catcher Francisco Espinoza. The king of singles in Single-A, Espinoza has 22 hits in 20 games for Ontario, 19 of them singles.

Transactions

The Dodgers optioned left-handed pitcher Charlie Barnes to the Oklahoma City Comets.

Tuesday’s scores

  • Oklahoma City 7, Albuquerque 13
  • Tulsa 8, Arkansas 7
  • Great Lakes 6, South Bend 3
  • Rancho Cucamonga 5, Ontario 1

Wednesday’s schedule

  • 4:05 p.m. PT: Great Lakes (Jacob Frost) vs. South Bend (Braylon Myers)
  • 4:35 p.m. PT: Oklahoma City (Emmet Sheehan) vs. Albuquerque (TBD)
  • 5:00 p.m. PT: Tulsa (Adam Serwinowski) vs. Arkansas (Ryan Hawks)
  • 6:30 p.m. PT: Ontario (Luis Carias) at Rancho Cucamonga (Trey Gregory-Alford)

Padres beat up on Brewers en route to series win

SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 11: Luis Rengifo #21 of the San Diego Padres celebrates after hitting a grand slam home run during the second inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Petco Park on August 11, 2026 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Orlando Ramirez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

There was no comeback or late-game heroics needed by the San Diego Padres against the Milwaukee Brewers in the second game of their three-game series because the Padres exploded for 11 runs on 17 hits in an 11-2 win over the Brewers at Petco Park on Tuesday night. San Diego also secured a series win after winning the first two games against Milwaukee.

The Padres got on the board early, scoring five runs in the bottom of the second inning off Brewers starter Kyle Harrison. The big blow came off the bat of Luis Rengifo who hit a grand slam home run to left field to give San Diego a 5-0 lead. That was all the support Padres starter Walker Buehler would need as the veteran right-hander worked through six innings, allowing one run on three hits with two walks and five strikeouts.

San Diego continued to add to its run total after Buehler allowed a run in the top of the third to make the score, 5-1. Fernando Tatis Jr. connected on a solo home run to right field in the bottom of the fourth and Luis Campusano connected on a two-run home run in the bottom of the fifth to make the score, 8-1. The Padres were not done and added three more runs to their total in the bottom of the sixth inning to take a commanding 11-1 lead.

The Brewers were able to scratch another run across in the top of the ninth inning against Griffin Canning, but it was too little too late as the home team went on to a nine-run win. This was a big win for the Padres as both the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Philadelphia Phillies both lost, allowing San Diego to force a three-way tie for the last two National League Wild Card positions.

The Padres will go for the series sweep today at 1:10 p.m.

Padres News:

  • The Padres and Brewers are both trying to get to the postseason and Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union-Tribune says the clubs are on different paths en route to that goal.

Baseball News:

Francisco Lindor talks Mets future, faith in direction of franchise: 'Stearns is the right guy'

Ahead of the trade deadline, the Metsinformed teams that onlyJuan Soto,Carson Benge,A.J. Ewing, Christian Scott, andNolan McLean were off-limits. Left off that list was Francisco Lindor, which naturally led to frenzied speculation regarding his future in Queens.

Shortly before that, owner Steve Cohen had discussed the perceived Lindor-Soto feud that existed in 2025, saying that it was "last year's story" and that he didn't see either player "going anywhere."

But soon after the Mets made their deadline strategy known, David Stearns danced around a question about Lindor's future.

"I'm not going to rule out or in any specific player on anything," Stearns said on July 24. "I don't think that's wise for me to do. What I will say is, we've got a group of young players and we've got some potential Hall-of-Famers, future Hall-of-Famers, that we view as our core. We expect them to be our core."

With the deadline in the rearview and Lindor still a Met, the shortstop discussed his future on Tuesday.

"The plan is to be here for my contract," Lindor told Mike Puma of The New York Post. "When I signed up here, it was to be in the good times and bad times and to win."

Lindor, 32, is in the fifth year of a 10-year, $341 million extension he signed before the 2021 season. And as someone who has 10-and-5 rights, he has the power to refuse any potential trade. 

Jul 7, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets left fielder Juan Soto (22) reacts with shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) after making a catch to end the top of the fourth inning at Citi Field.
Jul 7, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets left fielder Juan Soto (22) reacts with shortstop Francisco Lindor (12) after making a catch to end the top of the fourth inning at Citi Field. / Vincent Carchietta - Imagn Images

While speaking with The Post, Lindor also weighed in on his faith in Stearns and the overall direction of the franchise.

"We have the right guys," he said. "Stearns is the right guy. That is No. 1. We have one of the best owners in sports history, because [Cohen] is going to go always with the energy that needs to be put into the team. When you are in a big market there is not such a thing as rebuilding. There is a little bit of transition, that is it. You can’t afford to rebuild in big markets, so I think we are working toward the right place. We have not taken a step backwards."

As he talked about the Mets' future, Lindor name-dropped some of the prospects who were acquired at the deadline -- including infielder Jefferson Rojas, who was acquired from the Cubs in the deal that sent Clay Holmes and Tyrone Taylor to Chicago, and should make his debut at some point during the 2027 season.

Throughout the season, Stearns has been clear that the Mets intend to retool ahead of next season with an eye on an immediate return to contention.

That will almost certainly be easier to accomplish if Lindor remains in the fold.

Lindor missed about two months earlier this season due to a serious calf injury, but has been terrific since returning from the IL on June 24.

In 174 plate appearances over 40 games since being activated, Lindor is hitting .253/.339/.487 (.826 OPS) with nine homers, five doubles, two triples, 22 runs scored, and 25 RBI.

Brewers vs Padres Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

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The Milwaukee Brewers visit the San Diego Padres this afternoon as a -113 moneyline favorite at Petco Park, with first pitch set for 4:10 p.m. ET. 

San Diego is flourishing offensively, and my Brewers vs. Padres predictions are eyeing them to jump on Dustin May in just his second start with Milwaukee. 

Read more in my MLB picks for Wednesday, Aug. 12. 

Who will win Brewers vs Padres today: Padres (+105)

The San Diego Padres send Robbie Ray to the mound for just his second outing since the trade. He struggled in his debut, allowing four earned runs, but the left-hander was sharp before that, posting a 2.08 FIP across his previous three starts.

The bigger focus is the Milwaukee Brewers' issues against southpaws. The Brewers own a 92 wRC+ versus lefties compared to a 108 mark against righties, and they also have a 92 wRC+ over the last week.

Dustin May allowed two earned runs in his Milwaukee debut, but he carried a 4.79 xERA over his previous three appearances. He now faces a Padres lineup with a 125 wRC+ over its last seven games.

I’ll back San Diego down to +100.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Padres have surged offensively over the last month, posting a 128 wRC+ compared to their 98 season mark. That 30-point jump makes San Diego a difficult lineup to fade right now.

Brewers vs Padres Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-121)

This total sits at 8.5, and I lean Under. San Diego is swinging it well with a .204 ISO over the last week, but Milwaukee has shown less power, posting just a .147 ISO during that span.

The bullpen profiles also point toward a lower-scoring finish. San Diego’s relief corps has been elite, owning a 2.26 FIP over its last 26.2 innings while allowing just 0.34 HR/9. Milwaukee’s bullpen has also been sharp with a 2.84 FIP over the last week and the same 0.34 HR/9 allowed.

The late-inning matchup is the separator here, and both relief corps are in strong enough form to keep this total contained.

I’ll play this pick up to -130.

Brewers vs Padres home run prediction: Fernando Tatis Jr (+474)

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s power is finally waking up. The Padres star has clubbed four home runs in his last seven games while posting a massive .500 ISO.

His barrel rate sits at 26.9% over the last week, and his launch angle is up to 22.8 degrees during that span. In fact, 53.8% of his contact lately has been in the air. While May and the Brewers’ bullpen are not especially prone to the long ball right now, Tatis’ red-hot batted-ball profile is impossible to ignore.

Plus, even though May hasn’t had many homer issues lately, he is allowing 1.31 HR/9 on the road this season.

Play this pick down to +400.

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 48-58, -17.92 units
  • Over/Under bets: 58-45, +6.31 units

Brewers vs Padres weather

Weather at Petco Park looks very stable today, with partly cloudy skies and temperatures sitting at 74 degrees throughout the afternoon. Winds are moderate around 9 mph, humidity is high, and rain chances are 0%. Overall, conditions look clean and mostly neutral, with no real delay risk.

Brewers vs Padres odds

  • Moneyline: Brewers -113 | Padres +108
  • Run line: Brewers -1.5 (+144) | Padres +1.5 (-156)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+113) | Under 8.5 (-117)

Brewers vs Padres trend

The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 31% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Brewers vs. Padres.

How to watch Brewers vs Padres and game info

LocationPetco Park, San Diego, CA
DateWednesday, August 12, 2026
First pitch4:10 p.m. ET
TVBrewers.TV, Padres.TV
Brewers starting pitcherDustin May
(6-7, 4.30 ERA)
Padres starting pitcherRobbie Ray
(10-7, 3.24 ERA)

Brewers vs Padres latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

Minor league update for 8/11/26

An aerial view of Anglian Water's Rutland Water reservoir shows the remains of buildings in the former hamlet of Middle Hambleton, revealed in the bed of the reservoir by the receding water -- a reservoir created by the flooding of hamlets Lower and Middle Hambleton -- due to the persistent hot weather and drought, in Upper Hambleton, central England on August 12, 2026. England and Wales experienced their driest July on record this year, with high temperatures and low rainfall across swathes of the country having plunged almost three-quarters of England and all of Wales into drought. (Photo by HENRY NICHOLLS / AFP via Getty Images) | AFP via Getty Images

For Hickory, Louis Marinaro struck out two and walked one in 1.2 scoreless innings. Aneudis Mejia struck out three in 1.1 scoreless innings. Michael Trausch struck out one and walked one in a shutout inning.

Marco Argudin homered. Noah Franklin had a hit and a walk.

Hickory box score

Hub City’s game got suspended in the third inning with Hub City down 5-0.

Joey Danielson struck out the side in an inning for Frisco. Josh Trentadue allowed a run in an inning of work, walking one. Thomas Ireland struck out two and walked one in two shutout innings.

Frisco box score

For Round Rock, Ryan Lobus struck out three in 1.1 scoreless innings. Gavin Collyer struck out two in an inning of work, allowing one run. Michel Otanez walked one in a scoreless inning. Wilian Bormie walked two and struck out one while allowing a run in an inning of work.

Rehabbing Danny Jansen was 1 for 2 and caught five innings. Cody Freeman doubled and walked. John Taylor was 2 for 5 with a stolen base. Logan O’Hoppe was 2 for 4 with a double and a homer. Aaron Zavala homered. Alejandro Osuna had a hit and a walk.

Round Rock box score

DSL Rangers Red box score

DSL Rangers Blue box score

Thoughts on a 3-2 Rangers loss

ANAHEIM, CA - AUGUST 11: Texas Rangers second baseman Nicky Lopez (33) stretches to catch a throw to second base during an MLB baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels played on August 11, 2026 at Angel Stadium in Anaheim, CA. (Photo by John Cordes/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Angels 3, Rangers 2

  • I regret to inform you that there is no winning streak.
  • Kind of a weird game, really.
  • Cody Bradford made his second start of the year, and though he was on a pitch limit, he still went seven innings.
  • How, you may ask? Efficiency. Bradford needed just 75 pitches to get through those seven innings. He faced 26 batters in all, which meant he averaged fewer than three pitches per batter.
  • Not surprisingly, given that, he walked only one batter and struck out only one batter.
  • Bradford wasn’t missing bats in this outing — he got just four swings and misses. He also gave up a lot of loud contact, giving up 9 hard hit balls out of the 23 balls in play.
  • Yet he just gave up five hits, and you would think that five hits and a walk (and, yeah, a hit by pitch thrown in) would mean little in the way of scoring by Anaheim.
  • Its that whole sequencing thing, though. Three hits and the hit by pitch all came in the third inning, resulting in three runs.
  • One of the three hits was a double, and it came last, which was bad from a sequencing standpoint as well, at least if you were trying to keep runs off the board.
  • If there was a double first, then a couple of singles, then a hit by pitch, then you probably are ending the inning with just one run scoring.
  • Such is the game of baseball.
  • Joc Pederson homered to lead off the game and walked three times, but Wyatt Langford and Corey Seager, hitting in the 2 and 3 spots, were each 0 for 4, so the walks didn’t lead to anything.
  • Jarred Kelenic, back in the majors in place of Jonah Bride, who I hope enjoyed his two days in the majors, had a pinch hit RBI single. It was the one hit the Rangers had with runners in scoring position.
  • It was a winnable game that the Rangers didn’t win. The Astros lost, so you can either be relieved that the Rangers didn’t lose any ground, or mad that they didn’t move into first place.
  • That’s up to you, which way you go with that. I am not going to tell you how to live your life.
  • Cody Bradford topped out at 89.8 mph with his fastball, averaging 88.3 mph. Chase Silseth hit 96.5 mph with his fastball.
  • Ezequiel Duran had a 105.5 mph single. Brandon Nimmo had a 105.1 mph single and a 100.9 mph single. Joc Pederson had a 104.8 mph homer. Justin Foscue ended the game with a 103.0 mph fly out. Corey Seager had a 101.0 mph fly out.
  • Moving on. Another game ahead. Its a marathon, not a sprint.