MIAMI, FL - MARCH 15: Roman Anthony #3 of Team USA takes the field prior to the 2026 World Baseball Classic WBC game presented by Capital One between Team USA and Team Dominican Republic at loanDepot park on Sunday, March 15, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/WBCI/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
The World Baseball Classic has matured to the point where, like the World Cup and NCAA tournament, each edition is going to be remembered for a specific storyline.
In 2023, that storyline was the ascension of Shohei Ohtani to the level of Global Sports God. Over those two-and-a-half weeks we saw him definitively swipe the crown of “game’s best player” right off the head of his then-teammate, Mike Trout. We saw him hit a cultural Q-rating that no baseball player had approached in decades. And we reached a tipping point in the baseball GOAT debate wherein a critical mass of fans started saying “yup, it’s him.”
What will the storyline be for the 2026 tournament? Sadly, I think it’ll be last night’s atrocious strike call to end what had been a sublime baseball game.
Just an awful, inexcusable call. I’m sure someone in the comments will come up with something, but I can’t think of a single botched ball/strike call that was as impactful as that in recent baseball memory. The fact that Juan Soto was rung up with a similarly bad call at a similarly big moment earlier in the game only fuels the outrage. I have a feeling this is something we’re going to hear Dominican ballplayers and fans talk about for a long time. It’ll probably even be the main storyline heading into the next tournament.
And now we have Roman Anthony and Garrett Whitlock carrying Team USA into the finals.
Anthony — who has seven hits, four walks, two homers, seven RBI and an OPS of 1.014 thus far — hit this monster sockdolager that turned out to be the game winning hit:
Then Garrett Whitlock mowed down the heart of possibly the greatest lineup ever assembled to hold Anthony’s lead in the eighth (though, yes, this included that bad call against Juan Soto).
Team USA now awaits the outcome of tonight’s Venezuela-Italy game, while Anthony-induced giddiness has reached dangerous levels amongst Red Sox fans.
Talk about the WBC and whatever else you feel like and, as always, be good to one another.
In a week full of World Baseball Classic games, Guardians players have been finding success in Goodyear and in Houston.
Naylor’s Big Night
In Friday night’s WBC game between the United States and Canada, Guardians’ catcher Bo Naylor had a big night for his native Canada. Although his team lost and ultimately sent the U.S. to the semifinals, Naylor proved himself to fans all over the world. In the bottom of the sixth inning, Gabe Speier threw a two-out pitch to Naylor with a runner on base. He took that pitch deep into the seats at Daiken Field to cut the United States’ lead to 5-3. While his team wasn’t able to capitalize on that momentum and was ultimately eliminated from the WBC, Naylor made his name known on the biggest stage.
Halpin Helping Big
Cleveland’s 95th draft pick from 2020, Petey Halpin, has been making waves in Spring Training. The young centerfielder has had pretty consistent playing time this March, totalling 25 at bats so far. In that time, he’s hit .320/.433/.640 with eight hits and two home runs. He’s also continuing to show off his speed on the basepaths, claiming five stolen bases so far. He’s played just six Major League games during the regular season so far, but if he can get consistent playing time in 2026, he’ll definitely be a threat on the bases and at the plate.
Gaddis Nearing Return
As the start of the regular season inches closer, so does the return of setup man Hunter Gaddis. Gaddis was shut down early in Spring Training due to right forearm tightness. He received an MRI to assess the damage and found that there was no damage, however, the team had shut him down just to be safe. Since then, he’s been working towards a return with two bullpen sessions this week. While the timing of his return has yet to be fully determined, he’s been making good progress and has “been feeling really good” according to Manager Stephen Vogt.
Social Media Spotlight
This week’s social media spotlight highlights Matt Wilkinson who pitched for the Lake County Captains in 2025. He’s spent the last couple of weeks representing Team Canada at the World Baseball Classic, and he had a huge moment in Friday’s game against the U.S. He struck out the team’s heavy hitters, Cal Raleigh and Bryce Harper. The below video shows just how much spirit the young pitcher has.
Sometimes when we go over numbers things get missed. In this case, there were a few arms that got left out of the conversation and I would be remiss if I didn’t at least address them as camp is coming to a close. Some of the names are names you are familiar with, but they exist on the periphery of the conversation. Our numbers can help explain why that is.
There is one that came up late last season and actually looked pretty good. A third name is from one of the many non-roster invitees that has had major league time. As we do with most of the arms, we look at both major and minor league numbers when it suits us. There is a general rule in data analysis and that general rule is that we go with more data whenever possible. Nothing kills analysis quite like small sample sizes. All three of these arms have spent more time in the minors than at the big league level. As usual, before we get started let me remind everyone about our norms for the numbers we are using.
Chase rate: This is the percentage of balls a player swings at outside of the zone. The league average normally lives around 30 percent, but we will be looking at three year intervals and we should notice trends more than where a player is in relationship to the league average.
Hard hit percentage: This is simply the percentage of balls that a player hits hard. Hard hit balls become hits and extra base hits more often than softer contact. Typically 35 percent is around the league average in this category.
BABIP: This is batting average on balls in play. Home runs are obviously excluded since they are not in play. The league average tends to hover around .300 but it will largely depend on hard hit percentages and breakdowns between groundballs, flyballs, and line drives.
Contact percentage: This is the percentage of swings that turn into contact. Typically 75 percent is around league average.
HR/FB percentage: This is the percentage of flyballs that result in home runs. Ten percent is typically around the league average.
LOB%: It is pretty self-explanatory. It is the number of runners that get stranded on base. The league average tends to be around 70 percent. Of course, there is some debate as to whether pitchers control that or not.
J.P. France
Chase
Hardhit
BABIP
Contact
HR/FB
LOB%
2023
24.2
38.7
.289
79.4
11.8
76.7
2024
22.6
32.6
.321
77.0
11.4
62.2
2025
22.6
28.2
.301
71.9
14.3
62.5
Aggregate
23.3
33.2
.3o4
75.8
12.5
67.1
It should be noted that 2023 and 2024 came at the big league level where 2025 came at AAA. That can help explain the dip in contact and hard hit rate. Otherwise, France is pretty average and maybe even below average when it comes to contact rates. 2023 was a magical year for him when everything came together. He had a higher than normal left on base percentage and lower than normal BABIP.
I suppose that luck could return in limited exposure. If you pitch him exclusively in the pen and don’t let the order turn around on him then you could coax above average results out of him. In all likelihood, he will be penciled into Sugar Land’s rotation and provide decent quality depth when and if some of the ML starters go to the injury list.
Jayden Murray
Chase
Hardhit
BABIP
Contact
HR/FB
LOB%
2023
25.7
36.4
.403
81.3
16.7
63.7
2024
——
——
——
——
——
——
2025
24.5
30.2
.299
77.7
8.8
69.0
Aggregate
25.1
33.3
.351
79.5
12.7
66.4
Let’s start with the good news. Murray is better than the AAA numbers he put up in 2023 and 2025. He pitched only three innings in 2024, so we did not include those numbers here. Ultimately, he has the look of an average AAA pitcher. Like most average pitchers, he is capable of short bursts of solid production and that happened late in the season in Houston. He had 11.2 innings and pitched to a 1.54 ERA. That came with a .3.78 xERA and 4.52 xFIP.
Those numbers are obviously much more in line with who he is. He is like most middle relievers pitching in the big leagues. There are going to be years when the ball bounces their way and they put up very good numbers. There are going to be years where it doesn’t. The Astros’ strategy seems to be to collect as many of those guys as possible with the hope of finding three or four guys (to go along with their two or three high leveraged relievers) to cobble together a solid pen.
Christian Roa
Chase
Hardhit
BABIP
Contact
HR/FB
LOB%
2023
28.1
38.9
.320
72.3
16.0
72.4
2024
23.0
34.5
.346
76.3
19.6
67.6
2025
29.9
41.2
.225
74.8
10.9
81.5
Aggregate
27.0
38.2
.297
74.5
15.5
73.8
This is one of those calculated gambles that teams sometimes take. Roa seemed to find something last season. His chase rate went up and contact rates went down. His left on base percentage, BABI, and home run rate also improved dramatically. It could be fool’s gold and that is the risk. However, consider that Roa was brought in on a minor league contract. What’s the worst that can happen?
He has a 1.29 ERA in seven innings with seven strikeouts. So, maybe what he found last season has stuck with him. If we look at just the 2025 numbers we see that he is around the league average in contact rate, home run rate, and reasonably close in chase rate. He is just another guy that could potentially work out with good batted ball luck. The Astros have at least a half dozen of those guys and the expectation is that their pitching lab along with good batted ball luck could coax good performances out of half of them. Will Roa be one of those guys?
GOODYEAR, ARIZONA - MARCH 7: Romeo Sanabria #93 of the San Diego Padres at bat during a Spring Training game against the Cleveland Guardians at Goodyear Ballpark on March 7, 2026 in Goodyear, Arizona. (Photo by Brandon Sloter/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The San Diego Padres could not get much going against Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Brandon Pfaadt in their game at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick in Scottsdale, Ariz. on Sunday. San Diego was unable to record a hit against the right-hander through five innings, but in the eighth and ninth innings, facing relievers, the Padres scored four runs and pulled even with the Diamondbacks and the game ended in a 4-4 tie.
Randy Vazquez started the game for San Diego, and he too had success controlling the Arizona lineup through his first three innings and he entered the bottom of the fourth with the game tied 0-0. Vasquez ran into trouble in the fourth when he hit the first batter, allowed a single to center field which was misplayed by Samad Taylor and resulted in a one-run lead for the Diamondbacks. Vasquez then allowed a single, a triple and a single and Arizona had a 4-0 lead in the fourth before an out was recorded. He did get a lineout following the consecutive hits and was replaced on the mound by Johan Moreno. A forceout on a ground ball and a runner caught stealing by Freddy Fermin ended the inning.
Vasquez returned for the fifth and put all three batters down in order. The rest of the Padres pitching staff shutout the Diamondbacks over the final five innings and San Diego rallied in the eighth for three runs to make the score 4-3 before tying the game in the ninth with a run.
Padres News:
Nick Castellanos started his career on the dirt as a third baseman. He then spent several years on the grass as a right fielder. Since joining the Padres, he has said he will play anywhere the team needs him. That need may be at first base and Castellanos seems to be handling the transition as well as expected and could play a significant role for San Diego in 2026.
There has been and still is an ongoing battle for the fifth spot in the San Diego rotation, but that may be decided after Spring Training once Griffin Canning is able to return to game-action. The free-agent pitcher is recovering from an Achilles injury and is expected to return early in the 2026 season. The addition of Canning and possibly reliever Jason Adam who is recovering from his quadriceps tendon injury could be a boost for Padres pitchers.
Baseball News:
New York Mets shortstop Francisco Lindor made his return to Spring Training after Hamade surgery and had a successful day with plenty to build on with Opening Day just around the corner.
Mike Trout and then Los Angeles Angels teammate Shohei Ohtani provided one of the most memorable WBC moments in tournament history when the USA slugger faced the Japanese pitcher in the final at-bat of the 2023 World Baseball Classic final. Trout is not participating in the 2026 tournament, but like most baseball fans, is still watching and is happy to see the success of the global event.
Venezuela and Italy will face off today at 5 p.m. to determine who gets the opportunity to compete for the WBC title against the US, which defeated the Dominican Republic 2-1 in their semi-final on Sunday. Mason Miller closed out the game and earned the WBC save.
Feb 17, 2026; Surprise, AZ, USA; Texas Rangers pitcher Nathan Eovaldi during media day at Surprise Sports Complex. Mandatory Credit: Arianna Grainey-Imagn Images | Arianna Grainey-Imagn Images
Good morning.
Shawn McFarland checks out what we’ve recently learned from camp as the Texas Rangers enter their final week in Arizona.
Evan Grant writes that Skip Schumaker has named Nathan Eovaldi as the Opening Day starter for Texas for their upcoming season opener in Philadelphia.
Kennedi Landry writes that 2023 World Series hero Eovaldi will be making his sixth career Opening Day start and will become the first starter to make three Opening Day starts in a row for Texas since Kevin Millwood started four consecutive openers a couple of decades ago.
Grant has a few observations from camp from yesterday where Marc Church made his spring debut and the bullpen battles continued.
Jeff Wilson writes that prospect Cam Cauley put himself on a trajectory to eventually contribute to the big league team with a head-turning spring.
Grant notes that despite his impressive spring, Cauley was among the players who were cut from big league camp yesterday.
In her weekly newsletter, Landry writes about how the late-spring signing of Jalen Beeks could impact how the Rangers construct their pitching staff.
Grant writes that the Rangers were needing to see something quickly from Andrew McCutchen, and the veteran former MVP has already delivered in his short time in Surprise.
As a standout for the Rangers this spring, Jim Bowden writes that Evan Carter could be due for a breakout year for Texas.
SCOTTSDALE, AZ - FEBRUARY 20: Colorado Rockies infielder, Nicky Lopez warms up in the dugout during the first 2026 spring training game at Salt River Field at Talking Stick in Scottsdale, Arizona on February 20, 2026. The Arizona Diamondbacks went onto beat the Colorado Rockies 3-2. (Photo by RJ Sangosti/MediaNews Group/The Denver Post via Getty Images) | Denver Post via Getty Images
Will they, or won’t they?
That’s a question many Non-Roster Invites will be asking themselves this week as teams begin trimming their rosters in preparation for the 2026 season.
Nicky Lopez is one of the NRIs invited to the Colorado Rockies spring training activities. A 31-year-old infielder from Naperville, Illinois, Lopez is veteran who has experience with a number of teams — including the 2024 Chicago White Sox.
Since making his MLB debut in 2019 with the Kansas City Royals, the lefty has earned 5.6 rWAR and a .245/.310/.621 slashline. Although Lopez can play second, third, and short, his defensive numbers have been streaky but slightly above average. That said, he was a second base Gold Glove finalist in 2024.
Now, Lopez is looking to make the Rockies team and help mentor young players.
“Their pitch to me was just ‘We need a veteran presence, and we’re trying to change a culture.’”
The job appealed to Lopez.
“That’s one thing I really do hang my hat on,” Lopez said.
“I’m a guy who likes to keep it light in the clubhouse and and a guy who can come in here and help change a culture, whether that’s keeping it light, picking up a teammate, always cheering for a teammate, and just being that player that a coach can count on at any position.”
He was looking for a team that would give him a chance.
“That’s all I really want, is just an opportunity to compete and try to win a spot on the team and help the team any way I can.”
A different kind of veteran experience
Actually, Lopez brings to a young Rockies team a very specialized form of experience in that he was part of the historically bad 2024 Chicago White Sox. It was a time Lopez looks back on as a learning experience.
“I learned so much about myself that year that,” he said.
“You try to find a positive in anything. And obviously everyone looks the record is like, ‘Man, that’s such a bad year.’ And in the in the midst of a bad year, selfishly, I got nominated for a Gold Glove, which means I was handling my business on the defensive end.”
But it was more than his on-field work. His clubhouse presence mattered, too.
“I think the young guys [in Chicago] can speak highly of me, just trying to get them to have fun at the clubhouse and have fun at the field, even though it was such a tough time.”
That said, Lopez’s career hasn’t been defined by his presence on losing teams, and he sees the highs and lows of his career as being valuable for a rebuilding club.
“One of the things I discussed with the front office and Schaeff is that I’ve been on 110, 115-win teams with the Atlanta Braves. I’ve been to the playoffs. I was in the Cubs clubhouse last year, and then I’ve also been on 120-loss team. So I know what both sides of it looks like, and I know what’s both sides of it feels like.”
In short, he’s been through a lot.
“There’s not many situations I haven’t really experienced in my in my career, which is something I think it can be very valuable to a young team like the Rockies, which is why in November, I signed here.”
Rockies third baseman Kyle Karros has appreciated Lopez’s willingness to share what he’s learned.
“We’ve been taking a lot of ground balls together. He’s obviously is one of the best defenders in the game. So picking his brains,” Karros said. “He was part of the White Sox when they had their tough year. So he kind of has seen what it’s like to be on a good team and what it’s like to be on a bad team. So he’s going to definitely offer some good insight on how to get us going in the right direction.”
Plus, for Lopez, signing with the Rockies represented a reset.
“Last year was a little bump in the road, both defensively and offensively in my career,” Lopez said. “But getting here kind of felt like a breath of fresh air, where I can just kind of do my thing and bounce around all over the diamond.”
Settling in at “Camp Schaeffer”
As a free agent, he had a number of teams to choose from and calls signing with the Rockies “kind of a no-brainer” in large part because of what he heard about manager Warren Schaeffer.
“A lot of these players rave about Schaeffer, so I was like, ‘You know what? This is a place I want to be, and it’s going to give me an opportunity to make a team and compete for one.’ And that’s all I all I can ask for right now in my career. So I’ve really enjoyed it so far.”
And he hasn’t been disappointed.
“I love him,” Lopez said of the Rockies new manager. “Great dude, great human being, first and foremost.”
Lopez is not alone in his praise of Schaeffer, echoing comments of other Rockies players.
“He’s a manager that a lot of guys would go to fight for, which is, I think, the ultimate compliment as a manager,” Lopez said.
Much of that stems from Schaeffer’s open communication.
“His door is always open, which is something, as a veteran, I really do appreciate,” Lopez said. “Being able to go in there and talk to him if I need to, ‘Hey, where am I at? Hey, what you know? What do you want to see more of me?’ Stuff like that is a good dialog with managers, [and] it’s something that you can’t really take for granted. So for him to be able to be open to that and be accessible to the players is huge.”
Infield versatility
Being an adaptable infielder has been a staple of Lopez’s career, starting when he played baseball at Creighton University. He’s comfortable at second, third, and shortstop.
For a Rockies team looking to build around players with “optionality,” Lopez’s background seems like a good fit.
“My whole minor league career up until I got to the big leagues, from 2016 to 2019, I was just at shortstop,” Lopez said. “And then I made my debut at second base,” a position he started learning in Triple-A while in the Kansas City Royals system. But the organization continued to develop his versatility.
“When I got to the made the majors, they were, like, ‘Hey, can you play third?’ And I’m like, ‘Yeah, I’ve done it, but I haven’t done it since, obviously, 2014.’ So you have that attitude where it’s like, ‘Yeah, I can do it,’ and just go and just sink your teeth into it.”
The key to his versatility however, is taking practice seriously — an approach embraced by Rockies Gold Glove center fielder Brenton Doyle.
“When you treat practice like it’s a game, then in the game, everything’s just going to flow,” Lopez said. And so I take practice very seriously when it comes to defense.“
This season, Ryan Ritter has left the familiar confines of the dirt for the vastness of the outfield. Is there any chance Lopez might follow a similar path?
He’s not averse to the idea.
“I have a couple big league games in left,“ he laughed.
“We have some dogs out there right now in the outfield. So, but if it takes being a bench roll where these guys need a day off because it’s a long 162, and then, yeah, I’ll go out there and play defense and play in the outfield.”
He added, “And Schaeff knows that, too. I’ve talked to him already about it, and so it’s one of those things, if your name’s called, just go in and compete as best as you can.”
Now it’s a matter of seeing if he will be afforded that opportunity.
This week on the internet
Which Colorado Rockie is most likely to search himself on the internet? atRockies asked the question:
You’ll have to scroll to the bottom of this article to find the Rockies grade. (Before reading, take a wild guess at what it is.) Also, the Rockies are the only team that does not have a photo accompanying the assessment. Make of that what you will.
MIAMI, FL - MARCH 15: Mason Miller #19 and Will Smith #16 of Team USA celebrate after striking out Geraldo Perdomo #2 of Team Dominican Republic in the ninth inning to win the 2026 World Baseball Classic WBC game presented by Capital One between Team USA and Team Dominican Republic at loanDepot park on Sunday, March 15, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Kelly Gavin/WBCI/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
There was only one game, so let’s get right to it.
United States 2, Dominican Republic 1
I’ll admit, I was a little biased here. I wanted to see the United States come out and destroy the Dominican Death Star, hoping they would continue marching towards a WBC title. However, in my heart of hearts, I kind of thought there was no way it was going to happen. Even with Paul Skenes on the mound for at least four innings, my thought was that the Dominican lineup would eventually rise up against the bullpen of the United States and pound them into dust.
I was quite wrong.
A game fraught with tension, it got off to an unspectacular start as both starters, Skenes and Luis Severino, came out and handled the lineups. Skenes made one mistake to Junior Caminero that the Rays third baseman did not miss.
Now, while Severino was great to start the game, eventually the adrenaline he was fueled by ran out and he started missing more often. Gunnar Henderson took one of those misses and hit a moonshot to left to tie the game at one.
Once Severino was removed in that inning and replaced with Gregory Soto, it looked as though the game would settle into a battle of the bullpens. Soto being Soto, however, he missed with a fastball to Roman Anthony and Anthony did not miss it.
The game continued like this, the United States up 2-1. Instead of the offense on display, it was the defense that sparkled in this game. In addition to his throw at third, Judge also had a diving catch to rob a hit off the bat of Juan Soto. The favor was returned in the sixth when Judge hit a drive to center that was robbed by Julio Rodriguez.
It was the seventh where the game was decided. David Bednar was brought into the game to start the inning and allowed two runners on, those two both getting into scoring position with two outs. Bednar, though, got Ketel Marte swinging to end the frame and kept the U.S. out in front. In the ninth, the Dominican lineup mustered some noise against Mason Miller, but the Padres closer was able to keep them in check, striking out Geraldo Perdomo to end the game.
CLEARWATER, FL - MARCH 10: New York Yankees Outfielder Spencer Jones (78) points towards the fans in right field after hitting a home run during the spring training game between the New York Yankees and the Philadelphia Phillies on March 10, 2026 at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida. (Photo by Cliff Welch/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
For someone who’s never taken a big-league at-bat, there’s been an awful lot of talk about Spencer Jones. Taken by the Yankees in the first round of the 2022 MLB Draft out of Vanderbilt, the 6-foot-7 outfielder immediately drew the obligatory Aaron Judge comparisons that follow anyone with his physical profile. It didn’t hurt that he carried with him a prodigious power swing and an ability to play center field. Jones has risen steadily through the Yankees’ system during his four seasons as a pro, consistently showcasing a varied skill set to dream on. He was Baseball America’s No. 46 prospect entering the 2024 season and broke out in a major way last year between Double-A and Triple-A, swatting 35 homers.
And yet, his prospect stock has waned as his real-life performance has taken off. The reason is as simple as it is confounding: the man swings and misses too much.
Last year, Ryan McMahon led all big-leaguers with a 32-percent strikeout rate. Jones’ 37-percent rate at Triple-A dwarfed that number and, while his overall offensive package was still highly productive due to his power, it’s difficult to project success for the prospect against MLB competition if he continues to demonstrate those kinds of contact issues. And 2025 was not an anomaly — the year prior, he had an even higher strikeout rate as he was punched out an astonishing 200 times.
To his credit, this offseason the 24-year-old tackled these concerns head-on, retooling his swing and modeling it after another lefty-hitting masher, Shohei Ohtani. “He’s a great reference of a really good mover with a great swing,” Jones said of the four-time MVP in what amounts to a bit of an understatement. “He’s one of those guys that I look at with some of the stuff he does, and I try to apply it in whichever way I can.”
Success followed in spring training, where he posted a 1.345 OPS while striking out at a more tenable 29-percent rate, albeit in a sample of just 28 plate appearances.
His fellow 6-foot-7 outfielder was impressed. “The minute he puts that foot down with that little toe-tap, he’s ready to hit,” Judge said of Jones’ new swing. “They might have gotten him with a lot of high heaters in the past, or even last season. I think that’s just going to help him.”
The Yankees reassigned Jones to minor-league camp last Monday. With the Yankees’ outfield set to feature Judge alongside lefties Cody Bellinger and Trent Grisham, there would be limited opportunities for Jones and Jasson Domínguez, a switch-hitter who fared much better from the left side of the plate last season. Both are expected to start the year at Triple-A, with Domínguez, who appeared in 123 games with the Yankees last year and showcased strong lefty hitting and plus speed, the clear favorite as the next man up should the need arise. This is why, while FanGraphs’ Depth Charts projections expect Jones to make his Yankees debut this year, they only project him to get into five games.
Upon sending him out to minor-league camp, the prospect’s manager provided some advice. “As much as you can, don’t focus on things that right now might be out of your control a little bit,” Aaron Boone said. “Reality is, he’s coming off a really strong season. He continues to make really solid adjustments. He came in here this spring and has represented really well and has performed. You’ve seen the signs of him continuing to get better.”
It’s good advice. If Jones can demonstrate an ability to avoid the strikeout, his combination of power and outfield defense will be impossible to keep down at Triple-A for long, regardless of the other outfielders ahead of him on the depth chart. Given the team’s depth in the outfield, it’s possible that shot could come elsewhere, with Jones (and, for that matter, Domínguez) theorized throughout the offseason as potential trade bait to help out elsewhere on the roster.
This year will be a make-or-break campaign for Jones. If he can get his strikeout rate down, he’ll get some run to show he can fulfill the potential that made him a first-round pick and top-50 prospect. If not, Jones, who’ll turn 25 in May, will start to look like a former prospect whose time has passed.
SARASOTA, FLORIDA - MARCH 11: Taylor Ward #3 of the Baltimore Orioles hits a home run during the fifth inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates in a spring training game at Ed Smith Stadium on March 11, 2026 in Sarasota, Florida. (Photo by Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The ideal baseball lineup has players with high on-base percentages near the top of the order, setting the table for the sluggers in the middle. Optimizing a lineup like this can allow a team to score a few more runs per year. On a given day it may not make much of a difference, but over a 162-game season it could net your team an extra win or two. That’s nothing to sneeze at, and teams—especially those on the fringes of the playoff discussion—should be doing whatever they can to maximize runs.
This topic of lineup optimization has become a hot one as Orioles camp comes to a close. Manager Craig Albernaz was asked about it over the weekend, specifically who he planned to put in the leadoff spot on Opening Day. The skipper kept it vague with his answer.
“It all depends,” Albernaz said. “Depends on the hitter, depends on the pitcher, depends on the team we’re playing. Depends on a lot of different stuff.”
It also depends on who is healthy. That is what has really complicated things this spring. Jackson Holliday and Jordan Westburg are two guys that would probably top the list of consideration. But both will open the season on the IL instead.
MLB.com’s Jake Rill indicates that Albernaz won’t be committing to any one guy day in and day out. But he does seem to prefer either Gunnar Henderson or Taylor Ward in the role for now. While Henderson has been with Team USA, Ward has been getting a lot of at-bats in the top spot.
Ward does not scream “leadoff hitter” when you look at his recent numbers. He’s been a run producer that hits home runs. But he has experience in the role. The 763 plate appearances he has batting first are his most of any spot in the order, and the numbers have been good (.259/.326/.456, 32 homers). He’s also a patient hitter that doesn’t chase much and walks at a solid clip (11.3%). Putting him first and then, presumably, Henderson second, could benefit both. Pitchers may be more likely to give Ward pitches to hit, and it would also give Henderson traffic on the bases more often.
For whatever it’s worth, Ward does not seem to care when or where he hits.
“Really, it doesn’t matter to me. I mean, hit me ninth, eighth, I really don’t care,” Ward said. “I try to treat it like the same thing, just all the same. I like to keep it simple like that. So wherever Alby wants to put me, I’m good for it.”
The leadoff spot has also been Henderson’s most frequent role throughout his career. Over 789 plate appearances he owns a .276/.347/.533 line with 42 homers. Clearly, he is better than Ward, but putting Henderson first could be a waste of his slugging potential. He’s healthy this year and swinging the bat well for Team USA. If he is going to bounce back and return to the 37 home run form he had in 2024, it would be wise to have that happen with more runners on base. Moving him down a spot in the order makes sense.
But before we go and etch all of this in stone, let’s be clear that committing to any one lineup at this point in the year is foolish. So much is going to change throughout the summer. Players will get hurt. Hot streaks and cold streaks will pop up. A certain pitching matchup will present itself. Someone other than Ward or Henderson will lead off at some point. All of this could completely change Albernaz’s way of thinking.
Consider a few alternatives.
When healthy, Holliday and Westburg are going to be in the conversation. Holliday led off more than any other Orioles hitter in 2025. It didn’t go great (.236/.311/.366), but he is still young. You have to think the Orioles want him to eventually own the role if he can produce. Westburg has hit all over the lineup, usually settling into the second or fifth spots. But he can do a a job anywhere. He feels like the guy they will turn to if the lineup is in the midst of a bad run and needs some sort of spark.
Colton Cowser began the 2025 season as the Orioles’ leadoff hitter. At the time, he had a reputation for controlling the strike zone. His nightmarish campaign may have altered some perspectives, but it’s entirely possible he gets back to that point.
Dylan Beavers showed impressive plate discipline during his first taste of big league baseball. He walked 19 percent of the time and rarely chased pitches out of the strike zone. Putting a rookie atop a lineup with playoff aspirations right out of the gate might be a bit much, but Beavers could force the Orioles hand at some point.
And what about Adley Rutschman? His performance over the last season and a half suggests he should be in the bottom third of the order rather than the leadoff spot. But it wasn’t that long ago when he looked like the best hitting catcher in baseball. His 2023 season saw hime finish with a .374 on base percentage. If he could get back to that sort of production, he might be the team’s best option to hit first. He will need to prove that he’s actually back to that level before getting the distinction as everyday leadoff hitter.
The reality is that the Orioles do not have an “ideal” leadoff hitter on their roster. But they have plenty of competent big league players that they can cycle in and out to find advantageous matchups and put runners on base ahead of Henderson and Pete Alonso. That should be a recipe for success no matter who actually ends up in the top spot day to day.
TORONTO, ON - NOVEMBER 01: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. #27 of the Toronto Blue Jays reacts after hitting a double in the eleventh inning during Game Seven of the 2025 World Series presented by Capital One between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on Saturday, November 1, 2025 in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
As the Red Sox approach Opening Day, it’s time to start taking at look at the other American League playoff contenders. Next up, a team that may still be recovering from baseball heartbreak.
What’s this team’s deal?
The Toronto Blue Jays were inches away. Minutes away. One play or bounce away. They took the Los Angeles Dodgers to Game 7 of the World Series and nearly had it won. But the Dodgers found a way. That’s baseball. But don’t think for a second that when the game was over the Jays were ready to take a step back. After missing out on free agents and being lost in the shuffle of the Yankees and Red Sox as powerhouses, Tampa Bay as a relentless underdog payroll wise, and the Baltimore Orioles with their young core of stud prospects, the Jays aren’t a flash in the pan. They want to be here to stay.
Being in the World Series last fall is a step in the right direction for the Jays’ ambitions. And it may or may not have paid off in their recruiting. The money was there for the infamous Shohei Ohtani plane flight but no signing actually happened. This year?
Kazuma Okamoto, third base. Coming over from Japan, Okamoto signed a four-year deal to play in Toronto. In NPB the 29-year-old hit .277/.361/.521 over eleven seasons. If he’s close to that, watch out. For example, Alex Bregman, after his two big seasons and the COVID 2020 year has hit .264/.352/.447 from 2021-2025.
Dylan Cease, starting pitcher. The 30-year-old signed to play for the Blue Jays a long time. Seven years. Cease finished second in AL Cy Young voting in 2022 and 4th in NL Cy Young voting in 2024. Chris Bassitt moved to the Orioles over the winter and that’s a nice upgrade.
Cody Ponce, starting pitcher. Ponce is returning to North America after 3 years in Japan and one year in Korea. He shined in the KBO last year and the Jays’ think the changes are real. He’s in town for three seasons.
Max Scherzer, a familiar starter, is back for one more year at 41 and showed some life in the World Series.
Old friend Josh Winckowski signed a minor league deal with the club.
How good are they?
They’re good. Right now FanGraphs projects they Jays to finish with about 85 wins, one or two behind the Yankees, and essentially tied with the Red Sox. Will the AL East winner win more than 86 games? Almost certainly. That’s not what’s important here. The general feeling that the Jays are going to be in the fight for the top of the division.
Their rotation includes the two new members mentioned in the signings above, Max Scherzer, 2025 rookie sensation Trey Yesavage, and veteran stalwart Kevin Gausman. Plus Shane Bieber and José Berríos who are a little behind dealing with some injuries.
George Springer rediscovered himself in 2025 and hopes to continue playign like his younger self. Alejendro Kirk is one of the best catchers in the American League.
Addision Berger and Ernie Clement had breakouts in 2025 to help get the team to their first World Series in 30 years.
Oh, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Who’s their most likable player?
At least for Red Sox fans it’s going to be Vlad Jr.
‘Nuff said.
Who’s their least likeable player?
George Springer was part of the Astros cheating scandal. Max Scherzer is kind of a hothead on the mound, although seems to mostly yell at himself. Kevin Gausman has really owned the Red Sox at times. He’s unlikable for that.
Do people have strong feelings about any Jays players?
Schedule against the Red Sox
As an AL East opponent, the Sox will see a lot of the Blue Jays.
April 27-29 in Toronto.
June 16-18 in Boston.
July 24-26 in Boston.
August 10-13 in Toronto.
Season Prediction
The Blue Jays won 94 games last season and are arguably better this year. They also have a lot of places where there could be some regression in the lineup and maybe the rotation. Vlad also didn’t hit for tons of power so maybe that comes back to balance things out.
They’re going to win between 92-96 games because the Orioles should be better, although the Rays may be worse. The Jays are going to finish first or second again in the AL East assuming they’re about as healthy as they are right now. The question will be who in the AL East finishes third and if that is a playoff trip or not.
NORTH PORT, FL- FEBRUARY 22: JR Ritchie #92 of the Atlanta Braves pitches during a spring training game against the Minnesota Twins on February 22, 2026 at CoolToday Park in North Port, Florida. (Photo by Brace Hemmelgarn/Minnesota Twins/Getty Images) | Getty Images
If you are a fan of the Braves and baseball in general, this weekend was we worth the wait. From WBC moments to multiple Braves pitching prospects looking highly impressive, it was a great reminder that baseball is here to stay for the next 6+ months. On Sunday for the Braves, JR Ritchie once again was spectacular. It remains to be seen whether or not it will translate into a Opening Day roster spot, but in terms in what he can control, Ritchie has made a strong case to make his MLB debut in the near future.
Mar 9, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers manager Dave Roberts (30) and catcher Dalton Rushing (68) talk in the second inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Fields of Phoenix. Mandatory Credit: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images | Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images
As of Monday morning, 51 players remain in big league camp, a number that will be trimmed nearly in half within the next 10 days.
Hyeseong Kim already returned from the World Baseball Classic and played on Sunday, battling for a roster spot and a share of second base duties at the start of the regular season.
Shohei Ohtani, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Edwin Díaz will be back from the World Baseball Classic, perhaps as soon as Monday, so we’ll get to see them in games this week. Ohtani last played for the Dodgers on February 21, so it will be nice to see him back in the fold.
After pitching for Japan on Saturday Yamamoto could presumably start again for the Dodgers on Friday, which would presumably line him up for the opening day start, which would be his second in a row. The Dodgers have not yet announced their plans for Game 1.
There are still rotation spots up for grabs, with River Ryan, Emmet Sheehan, and Justin Wrobleski all in the mix. Depending on how things shake out, all three might make the opening day roster, perhaps in the bullpen.
I’m sure I missed a few things, so I’ll throw the rest out to you: What are you looking forward to seeing in this final week of spring training camp in Arizona?
Manager Bobby Valentine (L) of the New York Mets takes on World Wrestling Federation Champion Stone Cold Austin prior to the game between the New York Yankees and the New York Mets at Shea Stadium in the Bronx, NY on Saturday July 10, 1999 (Photo by Bernie Nunez) | Getty Images
SARASOTA, FLORIDA - MARCH 04: Tyler Wells #68 of the Baltimore Orioles delivers a pitch in the fifth inning against the Houston Astros during a Grapefruit League spring training game at Ed Smith Stadium on March 04, 2026 in Sarasota, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) | Getty Images
For a pitcher who has made just seven appearances in the last two seasons combined, Tyler Wells suddenly looms very large for the 2026 Orioles. And not just because of his 6-foot-8 frame.
Wells, who hasn’t pitched in relief since 2023, enters the season as a key bullpen piece, likely serving as the late-inning setup man to closer Ryan Helsley. The right shoulder injury suffered by presumed eighth-inning guy Andrew Kittredge has created a void that Wells might be the best equipped to fill. The right-hander has a career 3.49 ERA as a reliever, holding opposing batters to a .168 average and .531 OPS. Wells briefly served as the Orioles’ closer during his rookie season in 2021 and again during the stretch run in 2023.
Most of the 2024-25 seasons were a wash for Wells, who underwent UCL revision surgery on his elbow after only three starts in 2024 and returned for just four outings last year. Entering this spring, his role was up in the air, but once the Orioles signed Chris Bassitt to bolster their starting staff, there was no potential rotation spot for Wells. The Kittredge injury further solidified the Orioles’ need for Wells in the bullpen.
The 31-year-old could be a boon to a relief corps that added nobody except Helsley and Kittredge this offseason and is filled with untested youngsters and uninspiring veterans. Wells attacks the strike zone and generally doesn’t get himself into trouble. As a reliever, he has a 1.7 BB/9 and an excellent 0.791 WHIP in 49 career games. His one bugaboo is home runs; Wells has served up nine career dingers in 67 relief innings. But at least there usually isn’t much traffic on the bases when he does so.
What do the projections say about Wells’s 2026 campaign? We’ll exclude ZiPS, which projects him as a starting pitcher, and instead look at the relief-only projections from Steamer and Baseball Reference:
Both of these projections grade Wells as an adequate but unremarkable relief pitcher this year. That may be disappointing to O’s fans who are hoping Wells could turn into a lockdown setup man and backup closer. But hey, projections are just projections. They’re no guarantee of what’s going to happen.
What do you think will happen, Camden Chatters? What kind of 2026 season will Tyler Wells have?
I don’t believe there has been a time in Cardinals history where a prospect with the resume of Yhoiker Fajardo has been considered the 19th prospect in the system. The closest comparable player in recent years is Darlin Saladin, but Saladin was 21 (not 18), he pitched at both Low A and High A, and I’m pretty sure his stuff is worse than Fajardo. Well Saladin was considered the 16th best prospect last season. Working against the same prospects Saladin did last year, surely Fajardo could do even better than 16 last year? And he’s all the way down to 19 this year. Kind of insane. Current list:
JJ Wetherholt
Liam Doyle
Rainiel Rodriguez
Quinn Mathews
Jurrangelo Cjintje
Joshua Baez
Leonardo Bernal
Jimmy Crooks
Brandon Clarke
Tink Hence
Tekoah Roby
Tanner Franklin
Brycen Mautz
Nathan Church
Cooper Hjerpe
Ixan Henderson
Yairo Padilla
Deniel Ortiz
Yhoiker Fajardo
Why not him?
I thought I’d create a new section and basically explain why a player you liked and may have voted for if given the chance was not added to the voting for the top 20 or in some cases, even added to a comparable player poll. For any player in the Dominican Summer League, which had a fairly strong team, or a recent international signing, I promise you: this crowd would not vote for them. Yairo Padilla and Rainiel Rodriguez were 15th and 18th on last year’s list. In a weaker system. And those guys got national attention. Your favorite DSL prospect was not getting selected.
Ramon Mendoza I think would have had trouble, because Deniel Ortiz had trouble basically. He’s all stats. I have no scouting report for him. Fangraphs did not rank him as a prospect. He’s closer to the MLB than Ortiz, but Mendoza also has a longer history of being at best mediocre, and he’s not young for his level. It would not make sense to me that this crowd would wait until 18 to select Ortiz, and then choose Mendoza two players later. And I’m comparing them because neither are as of yet considered “real” prospects by national publications near as I can tell. (The Cardinal Nation has Ortiz 15th, but even they did not rank Mendoza as a prospect)
In the underwhelming stats department, I think Jack Gurevitch had no shot at being selected because he kind of sucked in his draft year. And if you’re wondering why I’m even mentioning him, he was ranked 20th by Baseball Prospectus. Also underwhelming is Ryan Campos, who actually made last year’s BP top 20 list, but I can’t see this group voting for a catcher with okay offensive stats and no power who is undersized. Jonathan Mejia didn’t make last year’s list and then went out and had a worse season so he was pretty easy to leave off the voting.
A lot of guys had an opportunity to be put in the voting, but lost their comparable player polls: Bryan Torres got destroyed by Blaze Jordan, still in the voting; Travis Honeyman got destroyed by Chase Davis, who is not that close to being selected for the top 20; Braden Davis lost his head to head poll to Pete Hansen, not that close to being selected; Andrew Dutkanych personally knocked out a lot of players, beating Mason Molina, Jacob Odle, Hancel Rincon, and Blake Aita in different head-to-head polls. Molina himself defeated Nate Dohm and Frank Ellisalt. Aita beat both Sem Robberse and Leonel Sequera. Won-Bin Cho and Zach Levenson did not get more votes than Colton Ledbetter and actually lost fairly easily.
And lastly, Colton Ledbetter is not on this current vote, because he was in either last or second-to-last in every single poll since I added him. He got just two votes total for the 18th vote. There is no way that guy can go from that to winning the 20th vote. To be clear, that is why he is not being added, I’ll also add I don’t think there’s a very good argument for him being in the top 20 this particular year, because well he’s not a barely worse prospect than Yhoiker Fajardo. I think he’s a slightly farther along Zach Levenson, who nobody really thinks is close to the top 20. Last year, when being in the top 20 meant being better than Zack Showalter or Travis Honeyman or Matt Koperniak, yeah I could see him being there, but not this year.
New Add
Once again, I am adding a new player just to get a new name onto the voting. Dutkanych pretty easily won most of his comparable player polls, but one of them was an actual contest and in addition, this is a guy I can actually see being selected maybe. Or to phrase it differently, of all the possible choices not yet added to the voting, this guy seemingly has the greatest chance to be selected. That would be last year’s 4th round pick, Cade Crossland.
Scouting (FG): 30/45 Hit, 35/50 Game Power, 50/55 Raw Power, 40/40 Speed, 40/45 Fielding
Baez was a fairly strong hitter in High A with a good walk rate, solid K rate, solid pop. He has so far been reasonably good at making contact despite the 45 potential hit tool, although maybe that scouting is being felt from his .270 BABIP with him trading some potential strikeouts for weaker contact. DRC+ saw him as a little bit unlucky in that regard. I’m not real sure of the run environment for High A for the Mets’ affiliate, but he should have plenty of opportunity to show his power at Springfield this upcoming year at 21-years-old.
Those stats are going to be a hard sell admittedly, but we’re missing some very important context: I could not find any stats on his groundball tendencies. A .331 BABIP against for example does not exactly suggest a flyball pitcher. And if he was a heavy groundball pitcher, there’s a good chance he had a high HR/FB%, which would not necessarily be predictive of how he’ll perform as a pro. Fangraphs thinks he’s very close to having four at least average pitches although not a huge fan of his command yet.
Scouting: 30/35 Hit, 30/45 Game Power, 60/60 Raw Power, 50/50 Speed, 45/55 Field
Davis started as a power-hitting outfielder when the Cardinals drafted him in the 1st round back in 2023 draft. That advertised power has never really come and really disappeared last year, although as we saw in spring training, it might be in there somewhere. Not necessarily advertised for his defense, it seems like it’s going to be better than originally expected, which is certainly necessary considering his bat has been worse than expected.
Fangraphs did not give him any scouting grades, but they did write a short blurb on him: “The Cardinals still took him in the seventh round, and saw him return to action late last year, where he sat 91-94 mph and flashed a promising vertical slider from an over-the-top slot that looks difficult to reach.” He had no problems with the swing-and-miss, he did have some issues with control that can be explained away by recovering from Tommy John surgery, but that explanation probably evaporates during this upcoming season.
Gastelum has one phenomenal pitch, and two other pitches just to make the hitter think he’s not a guarantee to throw a change. But his entire plan of attack is structured around the change. And he seems to have fairly good command, which is supported in the numbers so far at least, with pretty low BB rates. Hitters know the change is coming, and it hasn’t really helped so far. Although, I would be remiss if I didn’t point out that when hitters do make contact, and it’s not very often, for some reason they’re hits a lot more than you’d expect. He has run pretty consistently high BABIPs in his pro career, like .343 is actually his professional low (when he throws at least 9 innings), which is just crazy.
Hansen is very likely to throw his pitch where he wants to throw it, the question is are his pitches good enough for that to matter. Obviously, command is a very important part of pitching, especially starting pitching, but all pitchers make mistakes and it’s easier to live with mistakes with hard to hit pitches in all locations. According to the scouting by Fangraphs, Hansen has a get me over curve, and will have to spot his fastball in order to get to both his slider and change, which are probably the pitches he wants hitters to swing at.
Scouting: 40/50 Hit, 40/50 Game Power, 60/60 Raw Power, 30/30 Speed, 40/45 Fielding
Jordan has had a long route to get to this point, so it’s kind of easy to forget that he’s still just 23-years-old despite being in the minor leagues since 2021. Jordan was impossibly young when he was drafted, not turning 18 until December after his draft year in 2020. One advantage of that is that it can take you the better part of five seasons just to get to AAA and a little bit longer to truly excel at AAA and still be considered young for your level. The question for him will be can he swing at the pitches he is supposed to swing at and resist swinging at pitches that’ll produce weak contact because he’s plenty good at making contact, just not necessarily good contact.
From Lin’s perspective, he just has to forget about his 2025 season, because it did not go his way, even though he did end up getting a promotion to AA. One would assume if your season ends with a promotion to a higher level, that your season went as expected. Clearly in Lin’s case, it did not. What he did show was genuine swing-and-miss even though it seems like he rarely knew exactly where it was going. That profile typically sounds like a reliever, but a more healthy Lin walked just 7.8% of hitters in 2024 with over 5 innings per start. There’s still a chance.
Ryan Mitchell, 19 – OF
No stats
Scouting: 25/55 Hit, 25/50 Game Power, 40/55 Raw Power, 60/60 Speed, 25/50 Fielding
Also kind of a hard sell: voting for a player where you are relying on scouting, albeit scouting that led the Cardinals to draft Mitchell 55th overall in the draft. So the Cardinals certainly believe he’s a prospect. He is a speedy, athletic guy who will have the chance to prove he is a good outfielder – plenty of time honestly – who seems to have a good hit tool and good potential power. Like I’ve said before, I wish I had the power to know how quickly they would advance him to Low A, because that would tell us a lot about him as a prospect.
Scouting: 20/30 Hit, 30/50 Game Power, 50/60 Raw Power, 60/60 Speed, 45/55 Fielding
A vote for Peete is a vote for upside essentially. You’re certainly not voting for him based on his performance. In hindsight, I kind of think the Mariners should have started him in Low A last season. He did manage an above average line, but he struck out a lot and had a .391 BABIP. BABIP can be a talent in the minor leagues, but he was clearly not ready for High A. On the flipside, despite being mostly overmatched, he displayed a surprising amount of power. So his power seems legit, he’s fast, scouts think he’ll be a good fielder, but just needs to figure out how to get his K rate to a manageable level.