PHOENIX, ARIZONA - MAY 05: Eduardo Rodriguez #57 of the Arizona Diamondbacks delivers a first inning pitch against the Pittsburgh Pirates at Chase Field on May 05, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Diamondbacks News
Rodriguez Ends Snakes’ Run of Poor Starts Eduardo Rodriguez didn’t just turn in a quality start, the veteran left-hander tossed seven full shutout innings, making the night easy for the struggling offense who then responded by posting nine runs.
Carlos Correa to Undergo Season-Ending Ankle Surgery One never likes to see a player miss the season, but this might be the time for Houston to take advantage of their injury woes and start planning for next year to be ahead of the curve.
DETROIT, MI - MAY 01: Detroit Tigers Framber Valdez (59) watches the game from the railing in the dugout during the game between Texas Rangers and Detroit Tigers on May 1, 2026 at Comerica Park in Detroit, MI (Photo by Allan Dranberg/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
It’s hard to think of a bleaker week of Detroit Tigers baseball in recent memory. During the whole length of a seven year rebuild there were no hopes and dreams to be crushed. The 2024 stretch drive came out of nowhere, while the collapse late in 2025 came with such a huge margin of error already built up, that it was only in the final few games where it really looked like the club wouldn’t even land a wild card spot. The Tigers entered the 2026 season for the first time really acting like a team with expectations and goals. Now those goals stand directly in harm’s way, and in last night’s debacle in Detroit, it was left-hander Framber Valdez, the key offseason signifier that the Tigers were finally really serious about winning, who was at the center of things in all the wrong ways.
Right from the first inning in Tuesday night’s matchup against the Red Sox, the 32-year-old left-hander was on tilt as hitters signaled in pitches and/or pitch locations from second base. Were the Red Sox actually seeing his grips in the glove from second base? Was he tipping pitches in some other way? Were they simply going on pitch location based on where Dillon Dingler was setting up? Hard to say. It’s even possible that they were simply cold signaling without any idea what was coming, knowing Valdez’s reputation for losing his cool at times and trying to get under his skin. Still, considering how consistently he was hit around in this one, odds are they were picking something up.
With two outs in the first, Wilyer Abreu singled and stole second base, and could be seen holding a hand to his helmet right before Valdez went into his motion, indicating to Trevor Story in the batter’s box. Story reached on a one-hopper that Zach McKinstry couldn’t handle, and he promptly had Valdez timed up and stole second base. Ceddane Rafaela followed with a three-run homer.
This continued in the third inning as the Red Sox seemed to know what was coming, and a parade of singles had baserunners behind Valdez at second base throughout the inning. Valdez certainly seemed preoccupied with staring down those runners at points during the inning. By the time he gave up back-to-back solo shots in the fourth inning, with no one on second base for any of those, he was on red and pumped a fastball into Story’s upper back. Story took umbrage, as they say, and there were some choice words with the benches clearing, but Valdez stoically made no move or response, and no real fracus developed. Things actually seemed entirely calmed down when lobbying from the Red Sox finally convinced the umpiring crew to toss Valdez from the game and then warn both benches.
First things first, this is on Framber Valdez, though possibly with a bit of Dillon Dingler mixed in. There’s nothing illegal about signaling from second base whether they were picking up his grip in the glove, as Eric Hosmer and several other former MLB players were speculating on social media, or whether Dillon Dingler was signaling pitch position too early, or whether they had nothing at all and simply know that Valdez is a hot-head who will sometimes go to pieces if you give him some extra things to worry about.
When a very good and generally very consistent pitcher starts giving up a parade of solid singles, and then the home runs start flying, experienced hands at baseball watching will always suspect tipping. But it’s crucial to remember that it’s on the pitcher or occasionally the catcher, who are tipping said pitches, to adapt. Plenty of coaching work goes into making sure in bullpens that their pitchers hold their glove and take their grips the same way everytime. Pedro Martinez famously worked on his grips extensively enough that he could change his grip precisely to a different pitch as he was already into his delivery. Catchers know they have to be careful with their glove to not give anything away before their pitcher goes into his motion. Plenty of work goes into that as well, sometimes flashing a false location as they get set for the pitch when there’s a runner on second base in view of the hitter.
The Pitch Com system has made illegal electronic sign stealing of the sort the Houston Astros infamously practiced, a thing of the past. However, pitchers still have physical cues for what they’re about to throw, and a savvy team of experienced major league hitters have the vision and knowledge to know what to look for, and to spot it if a pitcher is giving something away. This is a team of players managed until last week by Alex Cora, let’s remember. Getting pitches is a part of the game that Cora clearly focuses heavily on.
Wrist position of the hand in the glove can indicate a breaking ball or changeup just by the slight twist of the forearm required to get a grip around the side of the ball. Some pitchers will visibly tense their upper body and even their face when they’re determined to throw a fastball past a hitter. Even a subtle flexing of the forearm for a spread out grip on a splitter can cue the very best in the game, who by definition have outstanding vision, that a splitter is coming. You may have noticed that Casey Mize always takes his splitter grip first as he looks in at his catcher with his arm hanging down, then adjusts in the glove whether he’s actually changing from a splitter to another pitch or not, just to make it harder to pick any of this up.
Point being, this is all part of the game. An experienced pitcher like Framber Valdez has to know better. If there’s a runner on second, you have to keep your glove closed and hooded from the man on second as you take your grip and until you’re ready to go into your motion. You have to do everything exactly the same way every time, and if you don’t, it has to be your own move to try and send a false signal to the many eyes watching. An experienced pitcher like Framber Valdez, should he suspect the runner on second is signaling home, should be crafty enough to use this against his opponents by showing them one grip and changing to another right as their motion begins. This is a cat and mouse game that works both ways.
Part of the reason analysts who’ve done deep dives into the Houston Astros electronic sign signaling scandal generally come away doubting the schemes effectiveness for most hitters, is that they often got the signals wrong. Hitting a good major league fastball is hard even when you know it’s coming. When you’re signaled via trash can that a breaking ball is coming, and then you get a fastball, well you have no chance of barrelling it up.
What you don’t get to do anymore, is throw at a guy to get them to stop or pay them back. True, that was how things worked for much of the game’s history, but these are different times.
As AJ Hinch would say, this is all part of the competition. More simply, it’s all in the game, baby. On Tuesday night, Framber Valdez failed to compete. He didn’t adjust once he began to suspect he was giving something away, he didn’t act oblivious and then try to use it against them by flashing false signals. Instead, he just lost his focus. The two home runs that proceeded Story getting plunked, came with no one on second base. By then, Valdez was a mess, and you can see catcher Dillon Dingler drop his head the instant Valdez released the pitch into Story’s back. Maybe I’m reading too much into body language, but I don’t think so. Dingler knew the score, and he knew what had happened immediately.
In the old days, drilling Story was absolutely a common response. But for over a decade, Major League Baseball has made it very clear that they want these kinds of retaliatory beanballs out of the game. The risk of a fastball to the head is just too dangerous. And it’s a mentally weak response, when, had he just stayed composed and tried to use the signaling back against the Red Sox, he might have stopped the bleeding or at very least, given the Tigers some much needed innings. Even just keeping your cool and pitching like normal is a professional response. Losing your cool and potentially hurting your already hurt team even more, is not the professional response here, obviously.
The only thing Valdez did about the entire situation to help the team was to lie about his intent afterwards. Had he admitted it, we’re talking about a guaranteed suspension for the Tigers’ best pitcher currently healthy, at a time when they desperately needed him to help hold things together until the injury list starts to clear up towards the end of the month. No one is buying that it was accidental, though the way Valdez was booted from the game after the Red Sox spent a few minutes complaining to the umpires, who then apparently gave in, was bizarre, but there’s nothing to be gained by admitting it either. Everyone within the contest knew the score there, and it wouldn’t be surprising if Valdez ends up suspended for a start anyway, right when the Detroit Tigers can least afford it.
None of this is to personally attack Framber Valdez. He’s never had any off the field incidents or given reason to think he’s a terrible human, but he was certainly selfish and immature in his response to a bad night on the mound. He came to Detroit with a reputation tainted by the occasional bout of hot-headed foolishness on the mound, and we got a good example on Tuesday night. The hope, was that AJ Hinch, as Valdez’s former manager in 2018-2019, knew him well enought to polish some of his rough edges, and would be able to get through to him and into a place of better maturity on the mound. This incident will be the test of it.
The Tigers need Valdez to do what he’s here to do, pitch well. Not to get distracted and hurt the team out of some old school sense of “sending a message” when it’s his own responsibility to keep collected, watch his hand and glovework, and not give anything away. His actions were self-absorbed, and the very opposite of team focused. Other than maybe a teammate or two, the only person who can potentially get this through his head is Hinch, and there needs to be a very serious conversation had about this penchant for losing his cool and doing something stupid in a game.
Astros fans have seen this show before. Typically, Valdez goes right back to being Valdez, pitching well and showing no effects. More than likely this isn’t going to carry over into future performances. Still, the spector of Valdez melting down can only make fans fear further foolishness in a high pressure spot later in the season or in the postseason.
Framber Valdez came to Detroit talking about wanting to learn from Tarik Skubal and Chris Fetter, and take the next step in his career toward becoming a Cy Young caliber pitcher in his own right. He has the talent to be that good, but the key to becoming a truly elite pitcher lies between his ears. Dusty Baker and Joe Espada managed to get really good seasons out of him. AJ Hinch is now challenged to do the same, and get through to Valdez that nothing about the way he responded on Tuesday night is good for himself, or more importantly good for the Tigers.
HOUSTON, TEXAS - MAY 04: Kyle Tucker #23 of the Los Angeles Dodgers bats in the sixth inning against the Houston Astros at Daikin Park on May 04, 2026 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images) | Getty Images
It’s been four weeks since the Dodgers won a road series, and they’ll need a win on getaway day Wednesday in Houston to snap that skid.
Apr 26, 2026; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Jesse Scholtens (65) throws a pitch against the Minnesota Twins in the seventh inning at Tropicana Field. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images | Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images
The Rays claimed Jesse Scholtens in August 2025 after he was designated for assignment by the White Sox. Despite a fairly significant overhaul of the roster this offseason, Scholtens was able to hang on to a coveted 40-man roster spot, and has performed well in his limited time with the major league club — maintaining a 3.77 ERA / 3.59 FIP in 31 IP since 2025.
With injuries impacting the pitching staff, Scholtens may now be leaned on this summer in a starting role, where he has the tools to be a solid backend rotation option.
Control and Command
All Scholtens has done with the Rays is throw strikes. His 65.4 strike rate since 2025 ranks in the 78th percentile in the majors (min 500 pitches thrown). He strikes all five pitches in his arsenal at least 50% of the time, and even gets a pair of his secondaries above 60% in his cut-slider and offspeed pitch. The data here suggests above-average control.
Scholtens isn’t just a thrower; he does a good job of commanding his pitches too. He pitches in the zone without catching the heart of the plate better than 73% of major leaguers since 2025. His location consistency data and heatmaps further support his above-average command.
Scholtens has a solid three-pitch mix that allows him to adequately vary his sequencing to each side of the plate:
Four-seam, cut-slider, offspeed for lefties
Two-seam, cut-slider, breaking ball for righties
His four-seamer is a fairly standard cut-ride shape with low 90s velocity. His cut-slider sits in the upper 80s and he has plus feel for throwing it to both righties and lefties – it also gets more break than others thrown with similar velocity and vertical movement. Scholtens also throws a two-seam fastball in the low 90s with a bit more ride than expected from his slot. His low 80s breaking ball gives him a third velocity band but doesn’t have any outlier movement. On pure shape, most of his pitches grade out as average or below, with the cut-slider standing out as his most reliable offering. His above-average extension and slightly lower release height help everything play up a tick.
The separator in Scholtens’s profile is an outlier offspeed pitch that flashes plus. It gets optimal VAA separation from his four-seamer thanks to his above average command of both pitches. VAA separation correlates strongly with chase, while velocity separation tends to drive in-zone whiff. The Rays helped him shave some vertical movement off his offspeed pitch this winter and the velocity separation is already better than average, so the performance of the pitch will be something to monitor in a larger sample.
Despite strong VAA and velocity separation, most models likely grade the pitch poorly due to its unconventional movement profile. Below is a graph of how his offspeed shape compares to others in a similar arm-angle bucket (from 30 to 45 degrees, Scholtens sits at roughly 38 degrees when throwing his offspeed pitch):
We can see that Scholtens gets below-average vertical and horizontal movement compared to offspeed pitches from a similar arm angle. In particular, his horizontal break sits roughly two standard deviations below average – making it a true outlier. Combine this with the VAA and velocity separation he gets on the pitch compared to his fastball, and he’s got a unique offspeed pitch.
His grip resembles a split-finger with a spiked middle finger – closer to a kick-change variation:
While we can’t publicly observe seam orientation (evident in the grainy images of his grips shared above), the shift in spin direction from more backspin in 2025 to more sidespin in 2026 suggests he’s altered the seam orientation of the pitch to shift it toward more horizontal break and less vertical movement.
Horizontal separation matters less for whiff and chase than vertical and velocity separation, so trading some of it off for better VAA and velocity difference is a logical adjustment.
Scholtens is still developing his feel for this relatively new offspeed shape, and that may be the reason behind its limited usage so far. However, there’s a case for increasing its usage to roughly 25–30% against lefties as he gets more comfortable with the pitch given the VAA and velocity separation mentioned earlier. The outlier shape also suggests it could be an effective taste-breaker against righties occasionally.
The arsenal is fairly average overall, but his strike-throwing ability and uniquely effective offspeed pitch give Scholtens a clear path to outperform that profile.
Conclusion
Although Scholtens doesn’t overwhelm hitters with raw stuff, he succeeds through control and command, sequencing, and a subtle pitch design advantage that helps his outlier offering play up. That’s a valuable profile to have on the 40-man — especially for a team that’s navigating multiple injuries to the starting rotation — and with Matz sidelined at least two starts, he should get a significant opportunity in the month of May to show if he can hold his own.
After he was called up from Triple-A Gwinnett Wednesday morning, Jim Jarvis will immediately be making his major league debut for the Braves in Wednesday’s series finale in Seattle.
Jarvis, acquired from the Detroit Tigers just before last year’s trade deadline, will hit ninth and play shortstop.
He’s gotten off to a hot start in Gwinnett this season, slashing .305/.418/.445 with four homers, six doubles and 20 RBIs in 33 games. Now he gets an opportunity with the big league squad to carve out a role in the infield, which will be revamped in the coming weeks with the addition of Ha-Seong Kim.
Michael Harris II is back in left field for the series finale — a promising sign for the health of his quad — and hitting cleanup. Mauricio Dubon is in center once again and hitting fifth while Mike Yastrzemski is back in the seven hole and handling right field.
It’ll also be another Sean Murphy day behind the plate. He’s hitting eighth, letting Drake Baldwin DH in the leadoff spot.
This will be Mariners starter Bryan Woo’s first time facing the Braves. As such, the only five players with previous at-bats against him are players who were added to the Braves’ roster this offseason. Dubon, a previous division rival of Woo’s from his time in Houston, has 11 of the roster’s 25 at-bats against the righty. He’s 4-for-11 (.364) with a double against Woo. Yastrzemski is 2-for-8 with the only homer and only three RBIs.
Overall, the Braves’ hitter are 7-for-25 (.280) against Woo with eight strikeouts and one walk.
For the Mariners, Cal Raleigh is back in the lineup as designated hitter for the second straight day, hitting second. They made a few other lineup changes, putting in Connor Joe in right field and Jhonny Pereda behind the plate against a left-handed starting pitcher.
Four Mariners have 10-plus at-bats against Braves starting pitcher Martin Perez. None of them are hitting better than .235 against him, with both Randy Arozarena and J.P. Crawford (who has homered in each of the first two games of the series) 4-for-17. Arozarena has the current team’s only homer off Perez while Crawford has a pair of doubles.
As a team, Seattle’s roster is a combined 17-for-75 (.227) against Perez with seven RBIs, 18 strikeouts and eight walks.
HOUSTON, TX - MAY 05: Houston Astros left fielder Yordan Alvarez (44) watches the pitch in the bottom of the sixth inning during the MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Houston Astros on May 5, 2026 at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Leslie Plaza Johnson/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Astros fans, it hasn’t been the start anyone envisioned. The struggles have been real, and the pitching staff, in particular, has left plenty to be desired. But even in the middle of a frustrating opening stretch, one undeniable bright spot has emerged: the resurgence of a healthy Yordan Alvarez.
Alvarez hasn’t just been good, he’s been dominant. Taking home both American League Player of the Week and Player of the Month honors is a reminder of exactly who he is when he’s right. Few hitters in baseball possess his rare combination of power and average. When he steps to the plate, he’s not just a threat, he’s the kind of presence that changes games and forces opposing teams to adjust everything they do.
That’s what makes the recent local chatter about potentially trading him, or needing to, is so baffling.
Let’s be clear: Alvarez isn’t just another piece of this roster, he’s the cornerstone. While the Astros’ offense has been the lone consistent positive this season, Alvarez is the engine driving it all. His production sets the tone, and his presence lengthens the lineup in a way that few players in the league can replicate.
Then there’s the contract. In a league where elite hitters are commanding massive deals, Alvarez remains on a team-friendly contract that gives the Astros flexibility to build around him. If owner Jim Crane truly intends to keep the championship window open, as he’s consistently stated, players like Alvarez are exactly the ones you build with, not the ones you move.
The idea of trading him only makes sense in a full teardown scenario. And even then, it’s hard to justify. This isn’t a player nearing decline or carrying a burdensome contract. This is a prime, elite bat who delivers at an MVP-caliber level when healthy. Compare that to contracts like those of Mike Trout, Aaron Judge, or Juan Soto, deals that at least force a front office to consider long-term financial implications, and Alvarez still stands out as an asset you hold onto.
Jim Crane is a businessman, and he understands return on investment. There may not be a better ROI in baseball right now than what Alvarez provides: elite production at a manageable cost. That combination is invaluable for a team looking to remain competitive while continuing to retool.
Could the Astros make moves if this season continues to go sideways? Absolutely. A sell-off of veteran pieces isn’t out of the question if things don’t turn around. But even in that scenario, Alvarez should be viewed in the same untouchable tier as Jose Altuve, a player whose value to the organization goes beyond what any trade package could realistically return and he’s younger too.
At the end of the day, the question isn’t whether the Astros could trade Yordan Alvarez. It’s whether they should. And based on everything we’ve seen, his performance, his contract, and his role in this team’s present and future, the answer feels pretty clear.
You don’t trade players like Yordan Alvarez. You build around them.
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - APRIL 30: Lance McCullers Jr. #43 of the Houston Astros pitches against the Baltimore Orioles in game two of a doubleheader at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on April 30, 2026 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) | Getty Images
TODAY’S GAME: The Houston Astros (15-22) and Los Angeles Dodgers (22-14) will play the rubber game of their three-game series today in an afternoon matinee at Daikin Park.
RHP Lance McCullers Jr. (2-2, 6.32 ERA), who picked up the win in his last start on April 20 at BAL (3ER/6IP), will make his seventh start of the season today opposite RHP Tyler Glasnow (3-0, 2.56 ERA) and the Dodgers.
LMJ VS. LAD: RHP Lance McCullers Jr. is 2-0 with a 1.14 ERA (3ER/23.2IP) in four career regular season starts vs. the Dodgers, which includes a victory last season on July 4, 2025 at Dodger Stadium (1ER/6IP) in an 18-1 Astros win.
McCullers also faced the Dodgers twice in the 2017 World Series, starting Game 3 (3ER/5.1IP) and Game 7 (0ER/2.1IP), both resulting in Astros victories.
TODAY’S ROSTER MOVE: The Astros have recalled IF Shay Whitcomb from Triple A Sugar Land and have placed IF Carlos Correa on the 10-day IL with a left ankle tendon injury (retro to May 5). The injury is expected to sideline Correa for the remainder of the 2026 season.
HAPPY BIRTHDAY TUVE!: Happy Birthday to Astros legend 2B Jose Altuve, as he turns a spry 36 years old today. Altuve shares his birthday with the late Hall of Famer Willie Mays and veteran reliever Larry Andersen, who famously netted the Astros 1B Jeff Bagwell in a straight up trade with the Red Sox in 1990.
FAMILIAR FOE: After homering last night, 1B Christian Walker has 30 career homers vs. the Dodgers (in 95 games), which are his most against any opponent. His .879 career OPS vs. LAD is the highest among any active player (min. 300 PA), while his 30 HR rank third among active players.
HIT PAREDES: IF Isaac Paredes has hit safely in 12 of his last 15 games dating back to April 19, a span in which he’s hitting .339 (19×56) with two doubles, three homers, nine RBI and a .948 OPS.
Additionally, he’s reached base safely in 10 straight games, posting a .442 OBP in that span.
DOWN IN THE LAND: Three Astros pitchers were on rehab assignments last night at Triple A Sugar Land as they hosted the Albuquerque Isotopes (COL).
RHP Tatsuya Imai (arm fatigue) tossed 3.0 innings of one-run ball, LHP Josh Hader (left biceps tendinitis) worked 1.0 scoreless inning and RHP Nate Pearson (recovery from right elbow surgery) tossed 0.2 of an inning (1ER).
TODAY IN ASTROS HISTORY: 2021 – On his 31st birthday, 2B Jose Altuve hits a go-ahead, three-run homer in the 8th inning in the Astros 7-4 win over the Yankees in the Bronx.
Trailing 3-2 in the 8th, Altuve took RHP Chad Green deep to flip the game. Altuve has played in a Major League game on May 6 on 10 occasions, with this being his only career homer on his birthday.
Game Info
Game Date/Time: Wednesday, May 6, 1:10 p.m. CT
Location: Daikin Park, Houston, TX
TV: Space City Home Network
Streaming: SCHN+
Radio: KTRH 740 AM, KBME 790 AM & 94.5 FM HD2; TUDN 102.9 FM HD2 (Spanish)
Welcome to the steals report! I will be here every Wednesday to go over important stolen base trends so you can find more speed for your fantasy teams.
Stealing a base is as much about the opposing pitcher and catcher as it is the actual base runner themself. So, being able to spot which teams and pitchers specifically are being run on most frequently will help you to figure out who can swipe some bags over the next week.
Before we get to this week’s important trends, here is the stolen base leaderboard on the season so far.
The Yankees decided to stick with José Caballero at shortstop despite Anthony Volpe’s rehab stint ending. Volpe is back at Triple-A and Caballero will be their guy for the time being. So, the stolen bases will continue.
Jakob Marsee and Fernando Tatis Jr. are anchoring their fantasy value with stolen bases amidst their dreadful starts at the plate.
Last Seven Days Stolen Base Leaders
Player
SB
CS
Esteury Ruiz
3
0
Wenceel Pérez
3
0
Travis Bazzana
2
0
Brayan Rocchio
2
0
Jackson Merrill
2
0
Kevin McGonigle
2
0
Josh Naylor
2
0
Andy Pages
2
0
Victor Scott II
2
0
16 Others Tied
2
0
Remember Esteury Ruiz? Well, he’s back and stealing bases in a part-time role with the Marlins.
Travis Bazzana being so aggressive this early on is a good sign. It’s likely he runs a low batting average and doesn’t hit for a ton of power this season, so he needs speed to be a driver of his fantasy value as a rookie. Expect him to run a high on-base percentage and hopefully keep stealing bags.
Stolen Base Disappointments
Player
SB
CS
Ronald Acuña Jr.
7
4
Geraldo Perdomo
6
3
Austin Martin
4
4
Richie Palacios
4
4
Brayan Rocchio
3
2
Isaac Collins
2
3
Cole Young
2
2
Sal Frelick
1
1
Juan Soto
1
1
Sam Antonacci
1
2
Jose Altuve
1
2
Willy Adames
1
2
Ceddanne Rafaela
1
3
Daylen Lile
1
3
Ozzie Albies
0
3
Now on the injured list with a hamstring strain, Ronald Acuña continued to push the limits with his speed despite not being efficient early on. When he returns, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the Braves instruct him to be less aggressive. It’s just not worth it at this point.
The stolen bases should start coming for Sam Antonacci, right? He stole 48 in the minors last season, has a .386 OBP through 19 major league games, and has recently been inserted at the White Sox’s lead-off hitter. He’s a fun player with upside.
Now, let’s go over the most important stolen base trends over the past week.
Fantasy Baseball Stolen Base Targets
The Orioles allowed the most stolen bases as a team last week with 10 and they came as the team lost five of their seven games.
Ironically, this stolen base barrage came mostly with Adley Rutschman behind the plate. He caught four of their seven games over the last week, and seven of the 10 stolen bases were on his watch. Also, there was at least one successful stolen base in each of his starts.
Rutschman is a great defensive catcher and has never struggled in the run game. Perhaps he’s a bit slower with his draw after missing some time last month with an ankle injury. Even if that were the case, it still wouldn’t make sense for him to be targeted by opposing teams. Moreover, he caught two runners. So, his 22% caught stealing percentage over the past week isn’t even so bad.
Samuel Basallo is a bit of a different story. He’s made some strides defensively, but is still below average there despite having a fantastic arm. In two of his starts this past week, no stolen bases were attempted on him. Also, it needs to be mentioned that his Orioles were down by at least four runs after the second inning in each.
In their only competitive game with Basallo behind the plate, three bases were stolen and he cut down one runner. Interestingly enough, all three of those stolen bases came with reliever Andrew Kittredge on the mound. Two bases were stolen when he pitched Sunday as well.
Overall, eight of the 10 stolen bases allowed by the Orioles came with a relief pitcher on the mound. Kittredge was the main culprit along with Anthony Nuñez, who saw two stolen on him during an all-time implosion on Saturday versus the Yankees.
Kittdredge is known not to be great with holding runners on – like most relievers – it’s just difficult to target a relief pitcher in the run game for us fantasy managers.
If you want to try and catch the Orioles napping again, they face the Athletics and Yankees again over their next two series. Zack Gelof, Jeff McNeil, Trent Grisham, or Jasson Domínguez could provide some cheap speed.
Catching Changes
There were two huge catcher demotions this week that could dramatically affect the stolen base landscape.
First, a literal demotion with Agustín Ramírez being sent back to Triple-A by the Marlins.
I hinted at this a few weeks ago after featuring Ramírez in practically half of these columns dating back to last year. He’s unequivocally been the worst defensive catcher in baseball since being promoted about one year ago and since he wasn’t performing offensively, this was just a matter of time.
He’s been displaced by prospect Joe Mack, who’s a fantastic defender – 60-grade on FanGraphs – and may fix the Marlins’ run game issues by himself.
Also, another demotion in a more figurative sense as the Giants promoted more offensively-minded catcher prospect Jesus Rodriguez, pushing Patrick Bailey to more of a bench role.
Rodriguez started over Bailey in the first two days after being promoted and then in right field Wednesday with Bailey moving back behind the dish. Clearly, the Giants want Rodriguez’s bat in the lineup and are fine with it coming at Bailey’s expense.
While he is likely the best defensive catcher in baseball, Bailey has a .411 OPS so far this season and a career 72 wRC+. He’s simply not a major league caliber hitter and that will finally eat into his playing time.
No team is hotter in baseball than the New York Yankees and they’ll look to clinch their sixth consecutive series win when they face the New York Rangers this evening. Last night was a fade of the Yankees with our moneyline bet and we paid a price, seeing them complete a mid-inning comeback with relative ease. I’m not making that same mistake this evening.
Read all about it in myRangers vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks for Wednesday, May 6.
Who will win Rangers vs Yankees today: Yankees -1.5 (-102)
We’ve entered this unique place with the New York Yankees where there is some looming regression coming based on their stat profiles but they aren’t facing the competition to deliver that.
This is a very good team, potentially World Series good, but they’ve overachieved to this point at least slightly because of that.
Take Will Warren for instance. His biggest issue is being reliant on strikeouts inside the zone with 91st percentile K rate but bottom 24 percentile chaserate making him vulnerable to teams that don’t miss pitches in the zone. That’s not the Texas Rangers. On the other side, Nathan Eovaldi's split-finger grades at the 100th percentile but the Yankees chase at just 26% and a majority of those pitches fall out of the zone. They are not going to expand down in the zone to chase it.
That forces him to his fastball, which ranks in the 2nd percentile by run value and the Yankees smash. I’d play this to -130.
COVERS INTEL:Will Warren's whiff rate ranks in the 91st percentile despite a 24th percentile chase rate
Rangers vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+100)
I think there’s a good chance that Warren could really suppress the runs from the Rangers in this matchup and would consider some alternative team total Unders because of that. Either way though, he’s the anchor to this play. His 91st percentile Whiff rate paired with a 92nd percentile fastball run value gives him multiple ways to miss bats against a Rangers lineup that has a top five swing-and-miss profile.
I don’t expect Eovaldi to be exactly good but he should be competitive enough against the bottom of the Yankees lineup that chases more than the top to keep this Under.
Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets:13-11, +2.62 units
Over/Under bets:16-10, +6.72 units
Rangers vs Yankees odds
Moneyline: Texas +173 | New York -191
Run line: Texas +1.5 (-107) | New York -1.5 (-103)
Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (+101)
Rangers vs Yankees trend
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Yankees.
How to watch Rangers vs Yankees and game info
Location
Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Date
Wednesday, May 6, 2026
First pitch
7:05 p.m. ET
TV
RSN, Amazon Prime Video
Rangers starting pitcher
Nathan Eovaldi (3-4, 4.76 ERA)
Yankees starting pitcher
Will Warren (4-0, 2.39 ERA)
Rangers vs Yankees latest injuries
Rangers vs Yankees weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
May 5, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Cincinnati Reds pitcher Emilio Pagan (15) reacts to an injury during the ninth inning against the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-Imagn Images | David Banks-Imagn Images
We don’t yet have word on the severity of the hamstring injury suffered by Cincinnati Reds closer Emilio Pagan last night. What we do know, though, is what we all saw – and what we saw was a man who’d already once dealt with a sore hamstring this year writhing in pain after delivering just one pitch.
Typically when you need the cart to come take you off the field, you’re going to be out for awhile. Typically when the manager says “he’s certainly going to be an IL,” you’re going to land on the injured list. All that remains right now is whether it’s a 15-day IL stint or if there’s enough obvious damage there that Pagan will be placed right on the 60-day IL as he recovers.
That’s the current news facing the team’s bullpen. The scenario around the news isn’t a whole lot better at the moment.
Among MLB units, the 5.36 xERA by the Reds bullpen ranks dead last, to date. The group’s 6.22 BB/9 ranks dead last, too. They play their home games in perhaps the single most homer-friendly park in the game over the last decade, yet their collective 36.1% groundball rate ranks 4th lowest. All that rolled together makes for a 5.18 FIP, a mark that’s the 3rd worst in the league right now.
And all that came with Pagan as a part of the group.
How the Reds address things will depend on the severity of the diagnosis, obviously, but the severity of the diagnosis also will open up the avenues in which they can make moves. If Pagan is placed simply on the 15-day IL, both Zach Maxwell is on the 40-man roster and can yo-yo back to the active roster for seemingly the 10th time in the last five minutes. Kyle Nicolas is down at AAA right now and on the 40-man roster, and the two could both seemingly be brought back to deepen the bullpen if the Reds go ahead and option Chase Petty (since Nick Lodolo is expected to be recalled later this week to fill Petty’s spot in the rotation).
That adds depth and does so with seamless roster shuffling. The thing is, there are a pair of relievers down at AAA who aren’t currently on the roster who have looked a whole lot more impressive there than the likes of Maxwell, Nicolas, or even Luis Mey (who is already on the active roster thanks to other injuries).
Both Lyon Richardson and Tejay Antone, the latter coming off his third Tommy John surgery, have put up some pretty sparkling lines for the Bats.
Richardson, a former 2nd round pick who at times has looked electric at the big league level, owns a 1.04 ERA and 0.81 WHIP across 11 appearances, firing 17.1 IP with an impressive 18/6 K/BB. He was designated for assignment back in December when the Reds acquired Dane Myers and needed a 40-man roster spot, but after clearing waivers and sticking with the organization he’s done exactly what you’d hoped he’d do in that scenario by getting right back to work showing he belongs back in the big leagues.
“Getting right back to work” is something that’s never been the question with Antone as he has dealt with debilitating injuries repeatedly and, every single time, has jumped right back into the grunt work required to overcome them. Pitching with his fourth right elbow, Captain Hook has revamped his arsenal and yielded just 3 ER (and zero dingers) in 12.0 IP so far this year, boasting a 2.25 ERA and 1.00 WHIP while boasting a 15/6 K/BB. All that while pitching in the same offensive environment that has seen Rece Hinds, Noelvi Marte, et al post cartoonish batting lines so far for Louisville.
If Pagan is placed on the 60-day IL, that opens up one roster spot for one of Richardson or Antone’s return. The Reds are also expecting lefty Caleb Ferguson’s return from the 15-day IL quite soon, as he’s already thrown a pair of rehab outings with AA Chattanooga and may need just two more before being activated. So, there are legitimate reinforcements that are close, it just depends on how many roster gymnastics Nick Krall and Co. want to go through to reassemble their ‘pen.
That lays out the roster issue, but it doesn’t address the hierarchy. Who now steps into the closer’s role remains to be seen, whether it’s simply bumping guys up a rung on the depth chart or keeping the high-leverage guys where they are and promoting a wholly inexperienced reliever to a role that many believe is less important than key 7th and 8th inning spots.
The reality is that the bullpen needed help, needed work, and probably needed a shuffle given their poor performance before Pagan’s injury. Now that it looks like he’ll be sidelined for awhile, it’s going to force the Reds hand. All that remains to be seen is just how thorough the shakeup becomes.
Flaherty hasn’t made it out of the fourth inning in any of his last three starts. That includes an April 20 appearance against the Boston Red Sox in which he walked six batters in 3.1 innings of work.
Boston teed off against Framber Valdez yesterday and should produce more than enough offense again tonight to finish off a series sweep.
COVERS INTEL: Flaherty has produced a chase rate of just 21.2% this season, placing him in the third percentile among pitchers while walking 17.7% of batters he’s faced.
Red Sox vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105)
I don’t see the Red Sox needing much help to hit the Over tonight, but the Tigers should put up a few runs to help against Sonny Gray. The Boston starter is coming off the IL after suffering a hamstring strain in his last start against Detroit.
The Tigers have been league-average in terms of scoring but far more effective against righties, hitting to a .743 OPS against right-handed pitching this year.
Detroit’s .344 xwOBA is the fourth best in the league, suggesting it's better than its results have shown. That’s enough firepower to bring the total to the Over.
Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 5-11, -6.31 units
Over/Under bets: 5-9, -4.43 units
Red Sox vs Tigers odds
Moneyline: Red Sox -108 | Tigers -112
Run line: Red Sox -1.5 (+144) | Tigers +1.5 (-175)
Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-112) | Under 8.5 (-112)
Red Sox vs Tigers trend
The Red Sox and Tigers have combined to hit the Over in four straight meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Tigers.
How to watch Red Sox vs Tigers and game info
Location
Comerica Park, Detroit, MI
Date
Wednesday, May 6, 2026
First pitch
6:40 p.m. ET
TV
NESN, DSN
Red Sox starting pitcher
Sonny Gray (2-1, 4.30 ERA)
Tigers starting pitcher
Jack Flaherty (0-2, 5.90 ERA)
Red Sox vs Tigers latest injuries
Red Sox vs Tigers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
You all know that the Cubs struggled for the first 16 games of 2026, going 7-9.
Since then it’s been almost all winning — 10 straight, then three losses, and now entering Wednesday night’s game against the Reds on a seven-game winning streak (and also 13 consecutive wins at Wrigley Field).
I decided to see how this year’s 24-12 start ranked in franchise history.
Just four teams in Cubs franchise history had more wins over their first 36 games than the 2026 edition. You’ll be pleased to know that three of those four Cubs clubs made the World Series and two of those were World Series champions:
As you can see, the one team among the four that was better than 24-12 that didn’t win the NL pennant was the 1903 team, who dropped out of first place in early June and finished third at 82-56, eight games out of first place. It was the team’s best finish since 1891 and kind of a precursor to the dominance the franchise had over the rest of that decade.
Three other Cubs teams matched this year’s 24-12 start. Two of them (1910 and 1918) won NL pennants but lost the World Series. The other is the star-crossed 1969 team. This year’s club is far better stocked to avoid what happened in 1969, plus they have a better, more engaged manager.
Four of the seven Cubs teams that have previously gone at least 24-12 over their first 36 games won 100 games or more, including, of course, the 2016 Cubs. That’s four of the six teams in Cubs history that have won 100 games or more (the others: 1909 and 1935).
All of this is to say that with the exception of 2016, it’s been a very long time since any Cubs team has done what the 2026 version has accomplished over the season’s first six weeks.
In addition, the Cubs now have five walk-off wins this year, which is two more than anyone else. The franchise record for walk-off wins in a season is 14, set in 1930. The 2015 Cubs had 13 walk-off wins. The MLB record for walk-off wins in a season is 17, set by the Pirates in 1959 and matched by them in 1977.
The Cubs have a chance at those marks.
And all of this has been accomplished with:
One starting pitcher (Matthew Boyd) missing three weeks with a bicep issue
One starting pitcher (Cade Horton) making two starts and then going out for the season with Tommy John surgery
Several relief pitchers hitting the IL, with nine (!) relievers who started the year at Triple-A Iowa pitching for the Cubs
And a couple of key hitters (Pete Crow-Armstrong, Michael Busch) getting off to slow starts. Busch has come on of late, batting .300/.400/.500 (24-for-80) over his last 21 games, with five doubles, a triple, three home runs and 17 RBI.
Just imagine how good this team could be if everyone gets healthy and productive.
I see echoes of 2016 in this year’s Cubs. It’s not the same sort of club; no team can replicate past successes exactly. One thing the 2026 Cubs do is epitomize the idea of “next man up.” Every day seems to bring a new hero, the team’s getting production out of pretty much every single player on the 26-man roster (and those added due to injury). That’s definitely a recipe for success.
With 126 games remaining, of course, anything can happen. But the 2026 Cubs appear to be on a journey to a deep October run.
Apr 14, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola (27) enters the field with catcher JT Realmuto (10) before the game against the Chicago Cubs at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Ross-Imagn Images | Kyle Ross-Imagn Images
The calendar has flipped to May, which means we aren’t allowed to say “it’s still only April!” any longer. That’s fairly obvious when one actually reads the calendar, but by this point in the season, some of the things that are happening on the field may actually be how the season is going to happen for players. That troublesome two weeks at the beginning of the month? We’re now near 150 plate appearances at this point. Maybe there is something to the noise that their data is putting out. We can start to investigate a little further to be able to give a more definitive answer about questions that may have trailed some of the players on the roster. Let’s look at a few things that have popped out for the Phillies.
J.T. Realmuto is back to being an upper echelon catcher
When the team re-signed J.T. Realmuto over the winter, most of the discussion was about giving that much money to a player that was in decline. Almost everything about Realmuto’s season in 2025 was down – offense, defense, speed, all of it. Yet being arguably the best option on the free agent market for a position the Phillies didn’t really have much depth in, it made sense to bring him back, even if the price caused a brow or two to furrow.
At this point, Realmuto is about 15 games behind his contemporaries in the statistical realm, so a lot of his counting stats are going to lag behind the players at the top of the list when sorting numbers, but there are some things to like, some things to continue to worry about.
2025
2026
AVG/OBP/SLG
.257/.315/.384
.250/.319/.344
wRC+
94
87
avg. EV
90.0 mph
88.9 mph
bat speed
72.0 mph
74.0 mph
FRV
-5
3
The offense is still in the territory where one might be concerned. The bat speed at this point looks to have returned after a down season in 2025, but a drop in exit velocity might concern. The thing to remember with Realmuto though – he’s only had 72 plate appearances. His missing several games with a back injury means the sample size is still very small. The gains he’s made to being one of the better defensive catchers in the game are great, but again, small sample size.
Verdict: Too early. I’m not sure that Realmuto will ever get back to the halcyon days of his being the BCIB. Age never loses when she plays the game, and he is a 35 year old catcher who regularly plays 130-135 games a season. However, the defensive numbers may be a bit stickier and could give the team some real value if he can hold up through the summer. We’re so used to seeing Realmuto play through nagging injuries, but it seems more and more that those injuries are lingering longer. Calls for his to have less playing time will likely fall on deaf ears, but as we have said each year for <checks watch> forever, saving some innings on his body would go a long way.
Aaron Nola is cooked
Nola’s 2025 season was marred with ineffectiveness and injury. When he was off the mound, the team needed to come up with innings to cover his absence. When he was on the mound, some wondered if that absence could somehow be extended. The numbers he produced were easily the worst of his career, yet optimists could handwave it away with a simple blame of injury. It was easy to think this, that the injuries and innings were taking their toll. This season began with his having a good showing in the World Baseball Classic, hopefully a good omen for the season to come and a cause for optimism for the coming season.
Sadly, in April, Nola showed that maybe 2025 is the new norm. Or is it?
There are lots of various pitching models out there that grade the stuff of a pitcher. How reliant you are on them to tell you a story might cloud your judgement of Nola and his path forward from here. At this point, his numbers over the 2025 season and the start to his 2026 would paint the picture of a rotation workhorse that is starting to see the innings totals begin to take their toll. Nola’s baseball card numbers showed a pitcher with a 6.03 ERA, not a whole heck of a lot of that unlucky and more questions about his future with the team. Dig a little deeper and the picture does look a little bit rosier.
He’s striking out about the same amount of hitters that he usually does. His control isn’t the control we’ve come to know from Nola, but it also isn’t in the red yet. There is a tinge of bad luck surrounding his game (.343 BABIP), and the Phillies’ defense does stink, but there have been a lot of weak contact from him (6.1%, the highest of his career) that is finding the holes in the field, suggesting maybe the baseball gods are against him. He’s getting barreled more often and that’s entirely a him thing, but there is a bit of luck involved.
It’s the stuff that is a bit more encouraging. Using Stuff+, he has a really good pitch (knucklecurve, 121 Stuff+), two decent pitches (both fastballs, sinker and four-seam, 105 each), one that is slightly below average (cutter, 90) and a pitch that is pretty rough (changeup, 66). The results don’t exactly trend with those numbers as a few of those, at least by wOBA, are getting destroyed.
The fastballs have been steadily getting worse by the season, somewhat expected considering he’s reliant on location when using them. It’s the secondaries where there have been good results when hitters hit them. The changeup and curveball have been effective and probably should see an uptick in their usage.
Another issue with Nola has been how he has fared with left handed hitters. The difference between lefties (.909 OPS) vs. righties (.688 OPS) has been stark. Left handers are crushing his fastball right now, posting a .654 wOBA against the pitch even as he uses it a third of the time when they are in the box. A key to his having a better season moving forward would be a better pitch mix when facing left handed hitters.
Verdict: Fake (but it’s really close). Expectations for Nola moving forward probably should be ratcheted down quite a bit, if they haven’t been already. The days of his being an co-Ace are long gone, as are the days of his being a #2 or even a #3. If he can still settle into a #4 role, using his stuff in a better manner as he did on Monday night, the team might be able to use that well.
The Phillies badly need another outfielder
Check your preseason Phillies Bingo card. Did you have Brandon Marsh as a possible All-Star candidate?
The national narrative surrounding the team is that their outfield is bad and needs an upgrade (or two). In his most recent article where he decided to try and trade Mike Trout to the Phillies, Keith Law used that line to describe the team’s current outfield state.
The most obvious trade partner is the Phillies, who need help in the outfield corners and would get an immediate bump from bringing a local star.
As a whole unit, the team’s outfield ranks in the bottom third in OPS (.671, 22nd in MLB), so there’s truth to that statement. Marsh has been very good this season, though most of his damage has come against right handed pitching (.919 OPS against RHP, .432 against LHP). Justin Crawford is getting leeway this year with his offense, just needing to tread water for the most part, something he has done solidly thus far. Adolis Garcia hasn’t had the power arrive just yet, but the at bats have been quality thus far and defensively, he has made a difference.
It still just feels like there needs to be something more.
Verdict: Real. By the time the trade deadline rolls around, the team will probably know what they need with the outfield. How they continue to view Crawford both now and in the future will likely determine the course of action they choose with this group. If they believe that there is another gear for him to take, holding on to him and continuing to let him develop at the major league level probably means they don’t make a move for an outfielder. If they can find someone to platoon with Marsh, it would make for a more effective situation for their overall offense.
Of course, one can argue that this should have been done already at this point, but that just feels pointless right now.
NEW YORK, NY - AUGUST 05: Mark Teixeira #25 of the New York Yankees fights back tears as he announces his retirement at the end of the season during a press conference prior to the Yankees playing against the Cleveland Indians at Yankee Stadium on August 5, 2016 in the Bronx borough of New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) | Getty Images
If you had told me before the season started that one Yankees batter would have a wRC+ starting with 2 at the beginning of May, I would have immediately guessed Aaron Judge, since, you know, that’s what he did the past two years. Failing that, my next guess would have been Ryan McMahon, with the caveat that his would be in the 20s rather than the 200s. There’s a chance that Ben Rice wouldn’t have even been my third guess. But here we are on May 5, and lo and behold: through Sunday’s action, Rice leads the team with a 211 wRC+.
Rice probably isn’t going to maintain this level of production for the entire year. However, he doesn’t need to for him to be a godsend for the Yankees. In fact, even if Rice only managed to replicate his 2025 stats – a 133 wRC+ and 3.0 WAR – I would have been ecstatic. Are my expectations too low? Maybe. But after a decade-plus of lackluster production from first base, even 2025 Ben Rice was like a desert oasis.
To wit: that 133 wRC+ that Rice posted in 2025? The last Yankees first baseman to post a higher mark over a full season (excluding 2020) was…Mark Teixeira, all the way back in 2009. Indeed, Tex really was the last stable presence at first base before the rise of Rice; the intervening years saw many first basemen try to hold the position down, but none could. That’s not to say that the position was a black hole for 15 years – there were some bright points from time to time. Ultimately, though, even the players who enjoyed success could not sustain it. In order to fully appreciate the Ben Rice experience, let’s take a small trip down memory lane to recall what it was like before our boyish-faced king came around.
2013-2016: Mark Teixeira’s fall and Greg Bird’s emergence
After the Yankees signed him to an eight-year, $180 million contract in the 2008-9 offseason, Mark Teixeira certainly lived up to it during the first half of the pact. After a spectacular 2009 season which saw him win a ring and place 2nd in MVP voting, Teixeira hit 96 home runs and was worth 10.4 WAR from 2010-12. However, things went south quickly for the switch-hitting slugger thereafter. He missed nearly the entire 2013 season due to wrist issues and subsequent surgery, forcing the Yankees to make do with a truly uninspiring list of replacements – Lyle Overbay, Mark Reynolds, Kevin Youkilis, and a bunch of dudes that sucked even worse. I was there to witness it – on the game threads, at least. It was bad.
2014 saw Teixeira return to the field at least, but the results were meh at best – a .216/.313/.398 line, good for only a 102 wRC+, over 123 games. It was better than 2013 in the sense that in-flight meals are better than eating nothing at all. Given his age – this was Tex’s age-34 season – the consensus among Yankees fans was that we had seen the last of him as a productive major leaguer.
So, imagine our shock when Teixeira found the fountain of youth in 2015, hitting 31 home runs in just 462 plate appearances and posting a 143 wRC+. It was glorious, it was stupendous, and it was marvelous – before it came to an abrupt halt. In mid-August, Tex fouled a ball off his foot and left the game. Just like that, his season was over – though initial tests came back negative, a mid-September MRI revealed that he had suffered a fractured shin. However, a rising star within the Yankees’ system softened the blow. It was none other than the original Baby Bomber, Greg Bird.
Having been called up on August 13, Bird assumed starting duties at first base immediately following Tex’s injury, and spent the rest of 2015 looking like the Yankees’ first baseman of the future. He hit 10 home runs and garnered 1.1 WAR in just 178 plate appearances, and was one of only three Yankees to record a hit in the 2015 Wild Card game loss against the Astros. Every fan in Yankeedom was hoping that Bird would wrest the position from Tex for good in 2016.
Alas, it was not to be. Bird tore his labrum in the offseason and missed the entire 2016 season. Forced into a starting role, Teixeira posted a 76 wRC+ and -0.7 WAR over 116 games before retiring at season’s end. Thus ended Tex’s reign, with a whimper, an injured heir, and a cloudy future.
2017-2018: Greg Bird’s failed liftoff and Luke Voit’s magical run
There were many questions surrounding Greg Bird prior to the 2017 season. How did missing all of 2016 affect his development? Would he be able to hit like he did in 2015? Would his body hold up over a full season?
Then spring training started, and Bird absolutely raked. He hit eight homers, tied with Bryce Harper for the MLB lead, and had an OPS of 1.654. It was more than enough to turn the conversation surrounding him from “Is he good?” to “How many MVP votes will he get?” Every Yankees fan – at least those who frequented this site – could not wait for the season to start so that Bird could wreak havoc on the league.
If there is an omnipotent being, they must have it in for Bird for some reason. On March 30, less than 48 hours until Opening Day, Bird fouled a ball off his ankle. That was all it took to sap all of his offensive production. Over the first month of the season, Bird hit a paltry .100/.250/.200 across 19 games before being placed on the IL with a bruised right ankle. In July, he underwent surgery to remove a bone from his ailing foot. He would not return until August 26.
Luckily for the Yankees, they had acquired veteran slugger Chris Carter in the offseason for exactly this sort of situation. Unfortunately for the Yankees, Carter was utterly washed. He hit just .201 with eight homers with -0.3 WAR in 62 games. It was so bad that the Yankees had to turn to literally Chase Headley at first base. To his credit, Headley hit well, posting a 114 wRC+ in his 39 games played at first. That was good enough to hold down the fort until Bird’s return – and return he did, hitting eight home runs with a .575 slugging percentage in 98 PAs to close out the year.
Bird hit well during the Yankees’ 2017 postseason run as well, with a .244/.426/.512 line across 54 PAs. Who could forget his signature moment, a 7th inning solo shot against prime Andrew Miller in a do-or-die ALDS Game 3 against the Guardians which proved to be the margin of victory?
That postseason performance, coupled with a strong finish to the year, was more than enough to rekindle hope for Bird in even the most cold-hearted fans. But the universe is cruel and indifferent to our wishes. On March 26, 2018, it was announced that Bird would undergo ankle surgery, sidelining him for six to eight weeks. Two months later, he returned to the starting lineup, but his mojo was gone. Bird struggled to the tune of a .672 OPS in 82 games before losing his starting gig in late August. He played in just 10 games the following year, before yet another foot injury sidelined him for the entire year, and was designated for assignment in November. Just like that, the Yankees’ once first baseman of the future was gone.
However, as the saying goes, when one door closes, another one opens. The man who replaced Bird at first base in August 2018 was none other than Luke Voit. Acquired from the Cardinals at the trade deadline, Voit took the job and never looked back. In 39 games with the Yankees, he hit 14 homers with a .335/.405/.689 line, good for a 195 wRC+. Outside of Aaron Judge, I don’t really think I’ve ever seen a Yankee run this hot for this long; it really felt like he was homering every game. He was so good that even Ken Singleton was flustered.
Although the 2018 season ended in a painful fashion, there was a feeling among Yankees fans that they had finally found the answer at first base in Luke Voit. But as a wise man often said, you can’t predict baseball. Tune in on Friday for another look back at the Yankees’ first base situation from 2019-2024.
GLENDALE, AZ - NOVEMBER 02: Jim Jarvis #2 of the Glendale Desert Dogs bats during the game between the Surprise Saguaros and the Glendale Desert Dogs at Camelback Ranch - Glendale on Sunday, November 2, 2025 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Norm Hall/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Today, the Atlanta Braves made the move to call up utility infielder Jim Jarvis from Triple-A Gwinnett. Here is a look at what you can reasonably expect from the newest Brave, as well as a little more background.
Jarvis is a 25-year-old who was drafted by Detroit in the 11th round in 2023, and given a slightly overslot bonus of $175k, after a four year career at Alabama. The California native came over to the Braves last year at the trade deadline in one of the few moves the team made, for Rafael Montero. At the time he was hitting .242/.316/.336 in the Tigers Double-A affiliate.
Jarvis went right to Columbus and hit .265/.344/.361 in 21 games, then went three for nine in a short stint in Gwinnett. After the season he went to the Arizona Fall League and slashed .259/.394/.426 with three doubles and two homers in 16 games.
He came into this season off of the strong AFL performance, and got a decent amount of playing time in spring training, getting 18 plate appearances with the big league club and a spot on the Spring Breakout Game roster before being sent to Triple-A. He then started to breakout with Gwinnett, as he has slashed .305/.418/.445 with six doubles, four homers, 15 steals in 17 attempts, and 23 walks to 27 strikeouts.
Jarvis has played almost exclusively at short this season, with 32 starts there and one at second. However in the minors he has played 42 games at second and 53 at third, with 178 at short. In terms of the defense we’ve seen this year, there have been some great plays mixed with some errors/lapses in concentration, which gives the feel of a guy who can fill in at short in the bigs, rather than a guy you’d want out there every day.
Jarvis projects as a utility infielder off the bench, a player whose versatility, speed, and solid contact/on base skills will give him a chance to stick around in the big leagues. However he has shown more power since coming to the Braves organization, as his four homers this year are only one off his career high of five back in 2024 – though doubles power is more the expectation from him.