One week ago, the Los Angeles Lakers clinched their spot in the NBA playoffs. They had won 15 of 17 games behind a surge from Luka Dončić and looked prime to lock up the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference.
How quickly things can change.
Dončić injured his left hamstring late in a blowout loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. Austin Reaves strained his left oblique in the same game, and just like that, the Lakers were down two of their most important players for the foreseeable future.
The reaction was predictable; the Lakers came out flat against an already eliminated Dallas Mavericks team on Sunday. They were able to fight back behind a 30-point, 15-assist effort from LeBron James and a triple-double by trade deadline acquisition Luke Kennard, but Cooper Flagg had arguably his signature moment of his rookie season with 45 points, eight rebounds and nine assists to outlast LA 134-128, handing the shorthanded Lakers their second straight loss.
In the meantime, the other teams in the running for the third seed – the Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets – have surged. The Nuggets have won nine in a row and overtook the Lakers for third place with their comeback over the Portland Trail Blazers, Monday, April 6. The Rockets, trailing by just one game, have also been red-hot with a six-game winning streak of their own.
So how much room do the Lakers have for error – if any at all? Here's what lies ahead for each team in the final week of the season:
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Lakers injuries
Luka Dončić's MVP campaign was put to a premature end when he suffered a grade 2 left hamstring strain in the fourth quarter of the Lakers' blowout loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder. He's been ruled out for the remaining five games in the regular season, with his status unclear for the playoffs.
The standard timeline for a grade 2 hamstring strain is four-to-six weeks, which would make a return in the first round highly unlikely, but Dončić is currently in Spain to undergo an injection procedure in an attempt to expedite his recovery timeline. It's currently unclear how effective this treatment is or how much it can speed up the healing process.
Austin Reaves also went down with a grade 2 left oblique strain in the same game; he is also expected to miss 4-6 weeks as he rehabs in Los Angeles. If both timelines go completely as expected, the Lakers would likely need to advance to the second round in order for Dončić and Reaves to return to the floor.
LeBron James also landed on Monday's injury report as questionable for their game against the Oklahoma City Thunder with left foot injury management, which has been persistent over the past month or so. Given the Lakers' reliance on the 41-year-old to carry them at least through the first round, it wouldn't be surprising for him to have a night off in at least one of the four games left in the regular season.
Remaining schedules for the Lakers, Nuggets and Rockets
Here are all the games left for each of the teams in the running for the No. 3 seed in the West:
Lakers remaining games
- Tuesday, April 7: vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Thursday, April 9: at Golden State Warriors
- Friday, April 10: vs. Phoenix Suns
- Sunday, April 12: vs. Utah Jazz
Nuggets remaining games
- Wednesday, April 8: vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Friday, April 10: vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Sunday, April 12: at San Antonio Spurs
Rockets remaining games
- Tuesday, April 7: at Phoenix Suns
- Thursday, April 9: vs. Philadelphia 76ers
- Friday, April 10: vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Sunday, April 12: vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Who has the edge?
The Nuggets have championship experience and one of the greatest centers to ever play the game on their side in Nikola Jokić, but they unequivocally have the toughest remaining schedule out of the three teams. Denver's final two games are against the top two seeds in the West -- though Victor Wembanyama's status might be up in the air for that game.
The Rockets have endured plenty of growing pains along the way, but they're ending the season on just as strong of a note as they started it. This is the youngest of the teams vying for the third seed, and Kevin Durant is still every bit the matchup nightmare he's always been (burner accounts aside). Three of their final four games are against teams jockeying for playoff positioning, and their penultimate meeting with the Timberwolves can likely decide who ends up with the fifth seed.
The Lakers – on paper at least – have the most favorable remaining schedule after Tuesday's game against OKC, but their backs are against the wall after dropping a winnable game in Dallas. The Warriors are still trying to find their rhythm, but Steph Curry looked like himself in his return April 5, which could spell danger for anyone in the West. The Suns might still be fighting to get into the top six, but odds are they'll be locked into the play-in by then. The Lakers then finish off against the tanking Utah Jazz.
The third seed is still within reach, but LA is going to need their role players to step up, like Deandre Ayton had during their 15-2 March or how Luke Kennard did with his triple-double on Sunday. James has shown that he can still pull off amazing feats on the court, but it can't come down to just him if this shorthanded Lakers team is going to survive.
This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Lakers, Nuggets, Rockets battle for NBA Western Conference No. 3 seed