Here’s a complete schedule of where you can watch or listen to Cubs Spring Training games

As you know, Marquee Sports Network has cut back on its live game coverage this spring. The Score, now also on FM 104.3 in the Chicago area, will carry some games as well, but radio and TV coverage overlap for some dates.

I’m here to tell you that of the 33 Cubs games this spring (32 major-league games and the Spring Breakout prospect game), 26 of them will have TV or radio coverage, or both, either via the Cubs broadcast outlets or the opposing team.

So, while that’s not perfect, it’s at least most of the spring.

Here’s where you can watch or listen to those 26 Cubs games this spring. If a line is blank after the opponent’s name, that means no broadcast coverage for that game.

DateTeamTVRadio
Fri 2/20vs White SoxMarqueeThe Score/ESPN 1000
Sat 2/21vs RangersMarqueeThe Score/Rangers radio 105.3
Sun 2/22at GiantsSF VideoKNBR 104.5
Mon 2/23at RoyalsALT 96.5
Tue 2/24vs PadresSD Audio
Wed 2/25vs Rockies
Thu 2/26at Angels
Fri 2/27vs Guardians
Sat 2/28at DodgersSportsNet LA
Sun 3/1vs White SoxMarqueeESPN 1000
Mon 3/2at RedsMarquee/Reds TV
Tue 3/3vs Italy
Wed 3/4at BrewersMarquee/Brewers TVWTMJ 620
Thu 3/5vs D-backs
Fri 3/6at PadresPadres TVKWFN 97.3
Sat 3/7vs AthleticsThe Score
Sun 3/8vs GiantsMarqueeThe Score/KNBR 104.5
Mon 3/9OFF DAY
Tue 3/10at Rangers
Wed 3/11vs Royals
Thu 3/12vs MarinersSeattle Sports 710 AM
Fri 3/13at White SoxCHSNESPN 1000
Sat 3/14at RockiesThe Score
Sun 3/15vs DodgersMarquee/SportsNet LAThe Score
Mon 3/16at GuardiansGuardians TVWTAM 1100
Tue 3/17vs AngelsThe Score
Wed 3/18at D-backsAZ Video
Thu 3/19OFF DAY
Fri 3/20vs Reds (SS)WLW 700
Fri 3/20at Athletics (SS)Marquee/NBC Sports CAATH Audio
Sat 3/21at MarinersMarquee/Mariners TVThe Score
Sat 3/21Spring BreakoutMarquee
Sun 3/22vs BrewersMarquee/Brewers TV/ESPN UnlimitedThe Score
Mon 3/23vs YankeesThe Score/WFAN
Tue 3/24vs YankeesWFAN

I’ll also post broadcast information in every game preview, including today’s. Today’s game preview will post at 12 noon CT (2:05 p.m. CT game time).

The first three games, at least, you’ll be able to watch or listen to as they all have TV and radio coverage.

Enjoy the spring!

The Royals would be one of many teams who have to spend more under a salary cap

Sep 25, 2025; Anaheim, California, USA; Kansas City Royals shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. (7) gestures after hitting a double during the eighth inning against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: William Liang-Imagn Images | William Liang-Imagn Images

With the expiration date of the current competitive bargaining agreement between the Major League Baseball Players Association and the owners looming over the end of the season like a supermoon in the sky, you can be assured that there will be lots of digital ink spilled all year long about the key negotiating issues. This is, of course, one of those pieces discussing one of the key negotiating issues. The issue at hand is arguably the central issue: that of a potential salary cap.

You all know the generalities by now. MLB is the only major American sports league without a salary cap. The MLBPA has historically resisted any form of a salary cap. The owners increasingly want a salary cap. None of this has changed. What has changed is that we’re close enough to the new CBA negotiations that we’re starting to see some actual numbers floated about. Evan Drellich, probably the most well-versed and well-connected journalist on this particular topic, included what his sources are telling him could be some realistic proposed numbers in a recent piece for The Athletic:

Whatever the owners first propose probably is not where they’d be willing to end up. A reasonable goal from an ownership perspective might be $240 million at the top and $160 million at the bottom, one source briefed on management thinking who was not authorized to speak publicly said. 

There are a lot of arguments, many of them deep and interesting, about whether a salary cap would benefit players or owners or lead to more or less competitive balance. For now, let us set these gently aside as out of the scope of our little examination. Let’s pretend that, tomorrow, the league and the union magically agreed to this exact salary cap. What’s the fallout?

To find out, I looked at Cot’s Baseball Contracts and pulled the 2026 projected Opening Day payrolls for all 30 MLB teams. For any team under the $160 million floor, I adjusted their payroll figure to exactly $160 million. For any team over the $240 million ceiling, I adjusted their payroll figure to exactly $240 million. I then put them in a fun little spreadsheet so we all can see the results:

Team2026 Opening Day Projected2026 Salary Cap AdjustedDifference
New York Mets$355,204,181$240,000,000-$115,204,181
Los Angeles Dodgers$314,895,813$240,000,000-$74,895,813
New York Yankees$296,398,833$240,000,000-$56,398,833
Philadelphia Phillies$280,583,618$240,000,000-$40,583,618
Toronto Blue Jays$274,188,218$240,000,000-$34,188,218
Atlanta Braves$259,586,000$240,000,000-$19,586,000
Houston Astros$236,532,333$236,532,333$0
Chicago Cubs$220,383,079$220,383,079$0
San Diego Padres$215,130,898$215,130,898$0
Detroit Tigers$203,747,859$203,747,859$0
San Francisco Giants$193,459,922$193,459,922$0
Boston Red Sox$187,500,905$187,500,905$0
Texas Rangers$183,055,000$183,055,000$0
Arizona Diamondbacks$181,129,256$181,129,256$0
Los Angeles Angels$174,865,260$174,865,260$0
Baltimore Orioles$165,694,000$165,694,000$0
Seattle Mariners$159,446,881$160,000,000$553,119
Kansas City Royals$140,459,488$160,000,000$19,540,512
Cincinnati Reds$126,921,333$160,000,000$33,078,667
Milwaukee Brewers$125,492,605$160,000,000$34,507,395
Colorado Rockies$119,501,290$160,000,000$40,498,710
Pittsburgh Pirates$105,673,500$160,000,000$54,326,500
Minnesota Twins$104,090,857$160,000,000$55,909,143
St. Louis Cardinals$98,125,000$160,000,000$61,875,000
Washington Nationals$90,564,700$160,000,000$69,435,300
Wandering Athletics$89,110,713$160,000,000$70,889,287
Tampa Bay Rays$85,178,000$160,000,000$74,822,000
Chicago White Sox$85,008,000$160,000,000$74,992,000
Cleveland Guardians$74,552,140$160,000,000$85,447,860
Miami Marlins$73,936,000$160,000,000$86,064,000
TOTAL$5,220,415,682$5,641,498,512$421,082,830

The quick and dirty results: if MLB had implemented this particular version of the salary cap and floor, the players in aggregate would have gotten $421 million more in salary. Only six teams were above the ceiling. Meanwhile, more than double the teams—14!—were below the floor. There were as many teams at least $69 million below the floor as there were teams above the ceiling by any amount.

Sure, there are still some free agents out there, but Fangraphs’ free agent tracker lists only three players that project to get $10 million+ this year and have yet to sign: Lucas Giolito, Max Scherzer, and Zack Littell. And sure, this doesn’t include 40-man rosters, which cost each team a few extra million to fill out. On the other hand, a realistic scenario here wouldn’t have a whopping 14 teams at the exact $160 million floor; just a few million dollars spent above that floor for each team would cancel both things out.

So why has the union resisted if something like this would result in more money in the pockets of their members? There’s the principal of the matter, as the union likely feels it’s not their fault that teams like the Guardians, Rays, and Brewers are such incredible cheap-asses. Additionally, the union is trying to protect the earning potential for its best players. Under this scenario, the stars of the game would see their earning potential curtailed without the half dozen or so largest markets able to flex their financial muscles.

I don’t have a huge sweeping takeaway for you. The only thing I offer is the data’s perspective here, and a perhaps more subjective perspective informed by the data: if the players stay disciplined and focused, they can give the owners the salary cap that they want while securing terms that widen their slice of the revenue pie—all while catering to a public that’s generally sick of seeing big market teams push their way to the top.

Astros Spring Prospect Profiles: AJ Blubaugh

WEST PALM BEACH, FLORIDA - FEBRUARY 16: AJ Blubaugh #69 of the Houston Astros throws a bullpen session during spring training workouts at CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches on February 16, 2026 in West Palm Beach, Florida. (Photo by Houston Astros/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll be rolling out a series of prospect previews for Spring Training. This week we look at one of the top arms: AJ Blubaugh.

Blubaugh was selected in the seventh round of the 2022 draft out of the University of Wisconsin–Milwaukee after a solid, albeit limited, college career. In his first full professional season, he showed promise, striking out 112 batters over 100 innings. Despite a 4.41 ERA, he finished strong in Double-A with a 1.26 ERA. In 2024, he had a true breakout season, reaching Triple-A and finishing with a 3.71 ERA and 133 strikeouts over 128.2 innings, helping Sugar Land capture the Triple-A Championship.

Heading into 2025, expectations were high for continued success and a potential big league call-up. He made a couple solid starts before his MLB debut, where he allowed seven runs, two earned, over four innings. The next eight starts were a struggle, as he gave up 37 earned runs in 34.1 innings. Blubaugh regained his footing and earned a call-up in August, striking out eight over five innings in relief against Miami.

He finished the 2025 season in Houston dominant, posting a 1.69 ERA with 35 strikeouts over 32 innings while allowing just 17 hits. Blubaugh showcased a 98 MPH fastball and a devastating changeup which he didn’t allow a single hit with the pitch at the major league level, proving he has the tools to be a reliable big league arm. Blubaugh is extremely athletic and a former basketball player. Blubaugh is extremely athletic and a former basketball player, which contributes to his strong arm and agility on the mound.

Now entering 2026, Blubaugh has a legitimate opportunity to establish himself as a reliable big league arm. Read more on his 2025 season here.

Jayson Tatum’s injury decision will be the right choice for the Celtics

DETROIT, MICHIGAN - JANUARY 19: Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics looks on against the Detroit Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on January 19, 2026 in Detroit, Michigan. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images) | Getty Images

You know how Batman has the Bat Signal to project a big light in the sky for when people need him the most? I have my own Bat Signal, except it’s exclusively for Boston Celtics content emergencies. I call it the “why is everyone in my day-to-day life asking me this question?” Signal. We’re working on the name.

Right now, the signal is going crazy with a simple message: will Jayson Tatum return to play for the Celtics this season? Contained in that question are easy follow-ups: should he return? Is he rushing back? Will it be bad for team chemistry? Is there going to be a conflict with Jaylen Brown, who’s been a low-key MVP candidate this year? 

When the Signal is shining this bright, you know I have the answers. And the answers are … I don’t care. I don’t know. It doesn’t matter. I recuse myself. I pardon you all from the suffering of trying to answer these questions. I release you, because the answers are “unknowable and irrelevant,” two words to live by and also my nickname in college. 

So to keep things knowable and relevant, here’s the distillation: Jayson Tatum returning to play this season is simply a non-issue for Celtics fans, for Boston sports media or for anyone else with their emotional or professional wellbeing wrapped up in the Boston basketball industrial complex. Whatever ends up being Tatum and the team’s decision will be the right decision, and there is no reason to worry about this.

There are two basic questions people are trying to answer: will Jayson Tatum come back this season, and should he come back. Both are not rational discussions and thus we should not have them. Here’s why.

First, I am not some kind of debate detractor. Generally, I think it’s fine to discuss anything in potent or polemical public pieces in parallel publications, such as whether the New England Patriots were frauds, if Olympic Curling is the best competitive entertainment product since Season 1 of Survivor or the necessity of aggressive alliteration with the letter P in the fifth paragraph of an article about Jayson Tatum. All of that is fair game, because the parameters of those discussions are reasonably equal.

The problem with the “will Jayson Tatum come back?” question is that any rational argument about that would require a baseline of medical information that we simply do not have. Reading tea leaves about the five-part docuseries about his road to recovery or that the NBA flexed a March 1 game to primetime on NBC suggests a fairly commercial motivation for returning to play, something I do not believe Tatum or the Celtics would ever risk.

Even more insane is trying to determine if he is rushing back from his injury or is putting himself at additional risk by not sitting out the whole season—as if any of us have literally any idea what we’re talking about in the field of a specific individual’s recovery from Achilles surgery. If you want to speculate on that, I have a quick questionnaire for you to fill out: 1. Are you an Achilles surgeon/specialist or do you have intimate access to one? 2. If yes, is said specialist Jayson Tatum’s doctor themselves? 3. If yes, you may now speculate. 

Basically, it doesn’t matter if Tatum is rushing back from his injury; if he comes back, I am forced to assume it was the right decision because there is no planet where I could possibly dispute it. It’s a hard thing to do for someone who thinks they have a right to comment on everything that happens with this team, but I am hereby recusing myself entirely.

We move now to the basketball consequences of Tatum’s return, namely the glorious question of “should he return, even if healthy?” The Celtics are playing great, Jaylen Brown has been a revelation and it would be risky to disrupt such great chemistry, right? Maybe just see how this thing goes and bring Tatum back for next season, right? Right? RIGHT!?

If you are worried about that, I have yet another question for you: are you kidding me? 

The Celtics not bringing back Jayson Tatum because they are worried he will make the team worse is like not cashing your monthly paycheck because you’re worried it will make your wallet a little heavier in your left pocket. It’s like not listening to the new Kendrick album because you’re worried you’ll like some songs and it will disrupt your carefully curated Spotify playlists by adding them. It’s like—are we being serious about asking if adding 27-year-old, four-time All-NBA First Team Jayson Tatum to the basketball team is going to make the team worse at basketball?!?

Basketball teams are not porcelain figurines that may break at the first stiff breeze they encounter. They are built through blood, sweat and work over months; they need every single piece they can get. If that piece is Tatum, it would be an excellent one to add. There is nothing more to litigate.

The reason people still want to litigate it is, probably, because there is real money riding on the Celtics in the form of win-total or Championship futures, Jaylen Brown MVP odds and an untold number of gambling stakes in whether Jayson Tatum returns or not. But even gambling discussions must base themselves on logical parameters, and as we have functionally proven, such parameters do not exist in this dojo. 

If Tatum returns, it will be good for the Celtics. If something goes wrong afterward, it will be bad for the Celtics, but we have no reason to predict that given the presently available information. Hypothetical future narratives about re-injury or Tatum-Brown beef are pure speculation, something that also does not exist in this dojo. This dojo is rational, and thus, for now, closed.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends and best bets for February 20

The Minnesota Timberwolves (34-22) return from the All-Star Break tonight when they take the court at home against the struggling Dallas Mavericks (19-35).

Winners of two straight, the Wolves sit in eighth place in the Western Conference but are within one game of the Houston Rockets and the three-seed. Minnesota enters the matchup tonight as the heavy favorite, having already smacked the Mavericks in their first two meetings this season, including a 118-105 victory on January 28. In fact, the Timberwolves have won and covered the spread in each of their last four games against the Mavericks.

The Dallas Mavericks arrive in Minnesota struggling mightily. Riding a nine-game losing streak and without standout rookie Cooper Flagg, the Mavs sit in 12th place in the Western Conference and are unofficially but officially looking toward the future and another high draft pick. Last night the Mavs lost to the Lakers in Los Angeles, 124-104. Naji Marshall and Max Christie led the Mavs with 19 points apiece.

With Dallas playing their second game in two nights in two different cities, the severely shorthanded and defensively challenged Mavericks face immense odds against them snapping their nine-game losing streak. Minnesota’s frontcourt, led by Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert, should dominate the paint against this depleted Mavericks’ lineup. This game should be a walk for the Timberwolves.

Lets take a closer look at the matchup and take into consideration lineups, injuries, and other factors affecting the line and total.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds courtesy of DraftKings recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

After 24 years, the NBA is back on NBC and Peacock, combining the nostalgia of an iconic era with the innovative future of basketball coverage. The NBA on NBC YouTube channel delivers fans must-see highlights, analysis, and exclusive and unique content. 

Game Details and How to Watch Live: Mavericks at Timberwolves

  • Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
  • Time: 7:30PM EST
  • Site: Target Center
  • City: Minneapolis, MN
  • Network/Streaming: ESPN

Rotoworld has you covered with all the latest NBA Player News for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Game Odds: Mavericks at Timberwolves

The latest odds as of Friday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Dallas Mavericks (+500), Minnesota Timberwolves (-700)
  • Spread: Timberwolves -13.5
  • Total: 238.5 points

This game opened Timberwolves -11.5 with the Total set at 235.5.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NBA schedule! 

Expected Starting Lineups: Mavericks at Timberwolves

Dallas Mavericks

  • PG Brandon Williams
  • SG Max Christie
  • SF Naji Marshall
  • PF P.J. Washington
  • C Daniel Gafford

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • PG Donte DiVincenzo
  • SG Anthony Edwards
  • SF Jaden McDaniels
  • PF Julius Randle
  • C Rudy Gobert

Injury Report: Mavericks at Timberwolves

Dallas Mavericks

  • Cooper Flagg (foot) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
  • Kyrie Irving (knee) has been declared OUT for tonight’s game
  • Caleb Martin (ankle) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Max Christie (ankle) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game
  • Daniel Gafford (ankle) is listed as questionable for tonight’s game

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • No Injuries to Report

Important stats, trends and insights: Mavericks at Timberwolves

  • The Timberwolves are 19-10 at home this season
  • The Mavericks are 5-18 on the road this season
  • The Timberwolves are 25-31 ATS this season / 13-16 at home
  • The Mavericks are 23-31 ATS this season / 7-16 on the road
  • The OVER has cashed in 25 of the Mavericks’ 54 games this season (25-29)
  • The OVER has cashed in 28 of the Timberwolves’ 56 games this season (28-28)
  • The UNDER has cashed in 7 of the last 10 games between these teams
  • The Timberwolves have won and covered the last 4 games against the Mavericks
  • Anthony Edwards has scored at least 30 points in 5 of his last 7 games
  • Donte DiVincenzo has buried at least 3, 3-pointers in 9 of his last 15 games but in none of his last 4 games

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
 
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s Mavericks and Timberwolves’ game:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Mavericks +13.5 ATS
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Game Total OVER 239.5

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar! 

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: 

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) 
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) 
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick) 

Projecting the White Sox Opening Day starting rotation

WASHINGTON, DC - SEPTEMBER 28: Shane Smith #64 of the Chicago White Sox pitches against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on September 28, 2025 in Washington, DC.
Shane Smith is not only a cinch for the rotation, but has the inside track on his first Opening Day start. | (Photo by G Fiume/Getty Images)

Rotation battles aren’t always super-interesting when you’re projected to threaten triple-digit losses for the fourth straight year. But they’re always happening! Here are some thoughts and ideas about how the spring might change what this year’s Opening Day starting five looks like. 


Absolute, 100% Locks

Shane Smith
In a way, Smith is the reason for this whole exercise. The point is that no matter how much you think you know, you never know. A year ago ago, most of us were operating under the assumption that Smith would likely as not be returned to Milwaukee by the time the rosters got set.

Something I always look for when a young player appears to break out is how they respond after the league has adjusted to their initial outburst. We saw it in action with Smith last year, as I think most of us knew we would. Even with the 2.37 ERA he carried into June 17 last year, the way he subsequently got torched for 25 earned runs over his next 22 2/3 innings brought us to a crossroads as to whether Smith was just another flash in the pan.

Fortunately, Smith responded. Just as much as his electric start to 2025, the reason he’s a lock for a 2026 rotation spot is because of how he finished, running a 3.09 ERA while averaging 5.5 innings per start in 10 starts down the stretch. He’ll enter camp as the frontrunner to take the ball on Opening Day, probably no matter how he looks in March.

Anthony Kay
Kay is being paid $15 million over two seasons to soak up starts in the middle of the rotation, and hopefully do it well enough that he’ll either fetch a worthwhile trade return or perhaps even incentivize the White Sox to extend him at a reasonable rate. So, that’s exactly where he’s going to be. No competition to see here.


Seem certain, but you really just never know

Sean Burke
Lock seems like quite a strong label for Burke right now, but I came about THIS close to putting him in that category pretty much solely because of this:

I dare you to raise your hand if you thought Burke was capable of doing that before seeing it with your own eyes. Let’s do one more, for good measure:

Smith stole all the headlines early in the season, but among the all the Sox young starters Burke was quietly the most solid over the bulk of the season, pacing the rotation (sans Houser) with a 3.96 ERA over 86 1/3 innings from May 23 on. Promisingly, it was accompanied by an above-average 26.5% strikeout rate and manageably subpar 9.5% walk rate. His arsenal might not be quite as sharp, but I’d argue Burke flashed about as much upside as Smith last season. For that reason, I actually think he’s more of a lock to walk out of camp with a job than the below.

Davis Martin
I’ve long been the conductor of the Davis Martin Hype Train™, but it wouldn’t be the most shocking thing in the world to me if he’s not quite the lock he’s been reported to be. It’s still a very, very safe bet he’ll open the year taking turns in the rotation for the second straight year, and I’m perfectly happy about that. Still, questions linger.

The resumé and argument for having him as a clear-cut starter is pretty basic. Save a brief stint on the injured list in June, Martin is one of the few members of this roster who’s made it through an entire big league season taking turns in the rotation. He led the team at five-and-a-half innings per start in 2025, and did it while delivering an almost perfectly league-average 4.10 ERA. As of now, there’s no real reason that shouldn’t earn a place to start on the 2026 White Sox.

As of now is the only reason he’s here. While Burke has cranked it up to nearly triple-digits, Martin topped out at 97 mph in 2025. Smith and Burke will be 26 this season, while Martin will pitch the year at 29. If the team’s pitching operation thinks they can get another tick or two of velocity out of Martin in short bursts, he strikes me as a candidate for an on-the-surface unexpected move to the bullpen. A Davis Martin who can hit 98 with multiple secondary pitches over a couple of relief innings might be well more valuable over the next two or three years than a superfluous No. 4 starter. If we see another pitcher with a Smith-type emergence out of nowhere next month, Martin to the pen might suddenly be a more realistic possibility than it would feel right now.

Erick Fedde
I’m trying to convince myself that Fedde is here simply as an insurance policy in case virtually no other young or veteran arms show themselves to be worthy of a rotation spot after some innings in Arizona. Then again, he’s got a $1.5 million major league deal, so again, what else is Fedde doing here if he’s not going to get a shot in the major league rotation? With a year-and-a-half in the rear-view mirror, the 6.5% walk rate Fedde posted with the Sox in 2024 looks pretty solidly like a mirage. If his command of the zone in spring still looks like it has for the large majority of his career, it’s hard seeing there being much justification for putting him in the mix. (Not that that’s ever stopped the Sox before.) Still, the MLB deal and the fact that Fedde and the current staff have an affinity for each makes me think he might have a leg up here that I’m not in love with.


Fifth/Sixth Starter Battle Royale (Veterans)

Sean Newcomb
If Fedde just can’t cut it, Newcomb is probably the next man up as far as veteran presences go. It makes sense that with the team looking to take a substantial step forward in 2026, they’d upgrade on their Bryse Wilson acquisition from 2025, tapping Newcomb to be a quintessential swingman. Newcomb made five starts and averaged almost two innings per outing as a reliever in 2025, and unlike Wilson in his platform year Newcomb was actually successful, running a 2.73 ERA along the way. The team has said it’ll give him a chance to start, and Newcomb almost certainly will pick up some starts over the course of the season. But if he shows enough in the spring to hint that his 2025 relief performance might actually translate to a full-time starting role, Newcomb might have the inside track on a final rotation spot in any real competition.

Jonathan Cannon
Jonathan Cannon is still here! Last year’s showing was not pretty, for sure, and he was the clear loser of last year’s four-man derby among himself, Smith, Martin, and Burke for the inside track at the 2026 rotation. Still, his arsenal remains intriguing, and he’s still young. It’s not out of the question that with some offseason tweaks, Cannon could come barging into Spring Training looking like a guy who very much deserves a shot.

It happens seemingly every year or two, where Spring Training reveals an elite talent that was previously thought to be lost, or even non-existent. In 2021, Carlos Rodón entered camp a changed man. Dylan Cease was visibly ready to make the leap in 2022. Garrett Crochet was a revelation in 2024. Last season gave us Smith, of course. Cannon lacks the pure upside of any of those names, but the point stands. Spring Training is full of surprises, and Cannon could be one of them.

Mike Vasil
Vasil was the first pure reliever to break 100 innings pitched with fewer than four starts since Tony Peña did it for the White Sox in 2010 (Jalen Beeks broke 100 innings in 2019, though he primarily worked for Tampa Bay as a bulk “starter” following an opener). As such, given that Vasil posted a 2.50 ERA while doing it, it makes sense that he’d be stretched out and given a chance as a starter. It’s also a given that most peripheral numbers say that ERA was very lucky, and also a given that Vasil has simply proven himself to be effective out of the bullpen. If he can come into camp and show that he can meaningfully cut down his 12% walk rate from 2025 while holding his velocity at 94-95 for four or five innings at a time, Vasil has a chance at being a surprise inclusion in the Opening Day five. The last thing that’s also a given, though, is that now that he’s spent his Rule 5 year fully on the roster, he has an option year remaining. The most likely outcome is that if Vasil shows some promise as a starter, he’ll open the year in Charlotte’s rotation to see if he can get acclimated and work out the kinks. But hey, you never know!

Jordan Hicks
Every indication is that Hicks is going to pitch out of the bullpen, but I’m leaving him here just because Brian Bannister was the one running the pitching show in San Francisco when they surprisingly signed Hicks to be a starter in 2023. That being said, if Hicks winds up starting more than a low single digit number of games in 2026, a lot of things have probably gone wrong. 


Fifth/Sixth Starter Battle Royale (Young Wild Cards)

David Sandlin/Tanner McDougal
Neither of these guys have the upper-minors experience you see out of typical rotation candidates, but the modern game has increasingly leaned towards eschewing the traditional minor league ladder, especially when it comes to pitching. You only have so many bullets in your arm, the thinking goes. If a guy might be ready, why not spend those bullets where it matters most?

Again, I’d be pretty surprised if we make it halfway through spring games before word (or video) starts spreading of somebody looking completely reinvented. If it should be one of these two, there might not be any sense in giving them the cursory Triple-A look before tossing them out there against big leaguers to see if they’ll swim. 

Hagen Smith/Noah Schultz
The only thing that separates the two lefties from those two above is that their pedigree and upside is high enough that you probably don’t want to risk throwing them off the deep end into the major leagues. That being said, everyone knows that the stuff being big-league caliber isn’t the question. If either of these two comes into camp looking like something’s clicked with their command and repeatability in their mechanics, they’ll still probably be asked to work through a few tune-up starts in the high minors. But again, this is the modern game, and with pitching, anything goes. If Hagen Smith is magically filling up the strike zone all of a sudden when we first see him, the list of reasons to keep him down becomes thin. 

That’s about the biggest what-if you can imagine, which is why it’s at the bottom of this list.


Have at me in the comments. I know we’re all looking forward to seeing what things look like a month from now.

World Baseball Classic Prediction: Japan is the Smart Money Pick at Prediction Markets Like Kalshi

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Japan has dominated the World Baseball Classic, winning three of the five tournaments held since 2006.

However, it’s the United States that far and away leads the World Baseball Classic odds, and with the roster it boasts, it’s not a surprise.

My World Baseball Classic prediction and betting picks break down my favorite plays for the 2026 tournament at prediction markets like Kalshi.

World Baseball Classic prediction

ResultPrice
Japan to winYes - 22 centsTrade at strongKalshi/strong

On Kalshi, a contract trading at 22 cents translates directly to a 22% implied probability of Japan winning the World Baseball Classic. In betting terms, you are essentially "buying" a win for $0.22 to receive $1.00 if Japan succeeds. This equals +355 when converted into traditional American odds.

Who will win the 2026 World Baseball Classic at prediction markets?

There is a reason the United States is trading at this high level. The Americans have a stacked lineup led by Aaron Judge and Bobby Witt Jr.

The rotation features arguably the two best pitchers in baseball in Paul Skenes and Tarik Skubal, and the bullpen is a nightmare for opposing teams with Mason Miller and David Bednar. 

That said, the United States has won the World Baseball Classic just once, and it is not the only stacked roster in this tournament. This makes it difficult to get behind Team USA at this price, given other teams like Japan and the Dominican Republic.

My prediction: Japan (22 cents)

Japan's roster is among the deepest in the world, blending MLB superstars with the elite of Nippon Professional Baseball (NPB). While Shohei Ohtani will focus exclusively on hitting this time, his presence as a four-time MLB MVP provides a psychological edge. Behind him, the pitching staff is terrifying: Fellow Dodger Yoshinobu Yamamoto, the 2025 World Series MVP, anchors a rotation that includes young phenoms like Hiroto Takahashi and Sawamura Award winner Hiromi Itoh.

Japan benefits from eight MLB players, including Munetaka Murakami (White Sox) and Kazuma Okamoto (Blue Jays), both of whom recently made the jump to the Big Leagues. With the first round and quarterfinals taking place at the Tokyo Dome, Japan enjoys a massive home-field advantage where they historically rarely lose. 

Their disciplined defense and situational hitting make them a nightmare in a single-elimination format, and with 15 returning members from the 2023 championship squad, their veteran composure is unmatched.

My sleeper prediction:Dominican Republic (19 cents)

The Dominican Republic can make the case that it has the best lineup in this tournament, with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Juan Soto leading the way. If Cristopher Sanchez and Sandy Alcantara can anchor the pitching staff, the DR has the best value among the true contenders and is the team you should keep your eye on.

Start trading with Kalshi today!

Sign up now using our exclusive Kalshi promo code 'COVERS' and get a $10 trading bonus after you trade $10 on any other event contracts — including this game!

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What is Kalshi and how does it work?

Kalshi is a federally regulated U.S. exchange where you trade directly on the outcome of real-world future events. Instead of traditional bets, you trade "Event Contracts" which are simple Yes/No questions like "Will the Eagles win this Sunday?" These events are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, and the prices reflect the market’s estimated probability of that event occurring. For instance, $0.55 equals a 55% chance. If your prediction is correct, the contract pays out exactly $1.00; if not, it settles at $0. Kalshi is essentially a stock market for reality.

How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?

In a sportsbook, you bet against the bookmaker, who sets fixed odds and takes a "vig," which is a kind of commission. On Kalshi, you trade against other users. This peer-to-peer prediction markets model means prices are driven by supply and demand, often resulting in fairer odds. Additionally, because these are financial derivatives, you can exit your position early. If your team takes a 14-point lead, the contract price will rise, allowing you to sell your "Yes" shares for a profit before the final whistle even blows.

Why should I wager on the World Baseball Classic at Kalshi?

Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:

  1. Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.

  2. Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.

  3. Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.

  4. Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.

    This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here and view our best betting sites or check out our top sportsbook promos.

    In the lab: Looking at first base offense

    These articles are a part of a series and are designed to be consumed as an entire series, but I know we get new readers every day. So, we will reset the conversation to the beginning. This series is about looking at specific underlying numbers to get a handle on what hitters might do in the coming season. The idea is to avoid magical thinking whenever possible. Magical thinking is simply taking the most positive outlook on a player, team, or situation and assuming that is the likely result.

    Could Christian Walker bounce back and have a year close to what he produced in Arizona? Sure, it’s possible. Could Isaac Paredes do what he did last year, but do it over 150 games? Sure, it’s possible. However, what we want to do is look at is most likely. When we look at the underlying numbers, we get an explanation for why things turned out the way they did. We also get a sneak peek at what categories players could target improvement in. Before we get to that though, we need a quick tutorial on the numbers we will use.

    • Chase rate: This is the percentage of balls a player swings at outside of the zone. The league average normally lives between 30 and 32 percent, but we will be looking at three year intervals and we should notice trends more than where a player is in relationship to the league average.
    • Hard hit percentage: This is simply the percentage of balls that a player hits hard. Hard hit balls become hits and extra base hits more often than softer contact. Typically 35 percent is around the league average in this category.
    • BABIP: This is batting average on balls in play. Home runs are obviously excluded since they are not in play. The league average tends to hover around .300 but it will largely depend on hard hit percentages and breakdowns between groundballs, flyballs, and line drives.
    • Contact percentage: This is the percentage of swings that turn into contact. Typically 70-75 percent is around league average.
    • HR/FB percentage: This is the percentage of flyballs that result in home runs. Ten percent is typically around the league average.

    Christian Walker

    ChaseHardhitBABIPContactHR/FB
    202326.840.3.27275.415.9
    202424.248.0.28776.215.7
    202528.646.1.29171.314.7
    Aggregate26.544.8.28374.315.4

    I hate to oversimplify everything, but there are essentially three tools at play here. The first tool is the plate discipline tool. It is simply the ability to distinguish between balls and strikes. Walker is above average in that category, but showed some slippage last season. He seemed to have slower bat speed last season, but came into camp this year ten pounds lighter. Does that help him up that bat speed? If so, he might have that extra split second to lay off of pitches outside the zone like he did in 2023 and 2024.

    The second tool is the ability to hit for power. You do that through your hard hit rate and home runs per flyball rate. Walker is close to elite in this category. He generates more power and hits more home runs per flyball than most of the hitters in baseball. There are isolated guys better in the hard hit category and home run category, but he is really strong there.

    The last category is the ability to make contact consistently which scouts call the hit tool. This is where we saw major slippage. The scouting report says he struggled to catch up to heat on a consistent basis. However, Walker was never gifted in this department. He has always had swing and miss in his game. If he could return to career norms in both contact rates and chase rates he could elevate himself back to where he was in Arizona. However, given that he is entering his mid thirties that might prove harder than it sounds.

    Isaac Paredes

    ChaseHardhitBABIPContactHR/FB
    202328.528.5.25782.816.9
    202426.227.1.25983.79.4
    202522.933.6.26885.514.0
    Aggregate25.929.7.26184.013.4

    What’s interesting about Paredes is that he plays up in certain ballparks. The lack of hard hit contact limits his effectiveness unless he has that short porch to left field. In 2024 he went to the Cubs and practically disappeared. Like Walker, he is good at two of the three tools. He recognizes balls and strikes and is also elite at putting the bat on the ball. Unfortunately, he doesn’t hit the ball hard, so he will always struggle to hit for average even with those contact rates.

    Of course, the difficulty and difference between the scouting world and the analytical world is that the scouting world treats all tools equally. He has the plate discipline tool and a portion of the hit tool (the contact portion), He has the power portion in certain ballparks. Yet, that plate discipline is an elite tool and creates value maybe more than his inability to make hard contact hurts him.

    There are fewer and fewer dunces in MLB, so general managers know all of this. So, this presented Dana Brown with a challenge because it meant finding a team that needed a third baseman/first baseman who also had a home ballpark that would suit Paredes. Ironically, the same could be said for Walker as well because he plays up in ballparks with short left field porches. Generally, it is a good thing to have players that are more valuable to you than other teams, but that always presents a problem when you try to move them. So, what do you think? Can we expect a bounce back season from Walker? Will Paredes stay healthy and productive?

    Cavaliers vs Hornets Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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    The Cleveland Cavaliers look for their seventh straight win when they visit the Charlotte Hornets tonight.

    Both teams will be playing the latter half of a back-to-back, with the books setting the visitors as 6-point favorites in the NBA odds.

    Even with James Harden’s successful integration onto the Cleveland roster, my Cavaliers vs. Hornets predictions and free NBA picks like the home team to cover on Friday, February 20.

    Cavaliers vs Hornets prediction

    Cavaliers vs Hornets best bet: Hornets +6 (-110)

    The Cleveland Cavaliers crushed Brooklyn 112-84 on Thursday, moving to 3-0 since acquiring James Harden while averaging 123 points a game.

    But Cleveland has had its problems against the Charlotte Hornets. While they’ve won six of the last seven straight-up, they're just 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings.

    The Hornets lost a close 105-101 decision to Houston yesterday, but they’re built to bounce back. They're 9-2 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back, the second-best mark in the NBA.

    They’re also allowing just 105.2 ppg over their last 10, third-best in basketball.

    Cavaliers vs Hornets same-game parlay

    The point guards are front-and-center for this SGP. Harden has topped his 8.5-assist line in each of the last two games, missing the Over in his debut by two dimes.

    LaMelo Ball, meanwhile, racked up seven assists in the loss to Houston, and he’s averaging 7.4 dimes per game on the season.

    Cavaliers vs Hornets SGP

    • Hornets +6
    • James Harden Over 8.5 assists
    • LaMelo Ball Over 6.5 assists

    Our "from downtown" SGP: Arc asylum

    Harden has hit at least three 3-balls in six of his last nine, shooting it much better than backcourt mate Donovan Mitchell, who has hit three triples in a game one time in his last seven.

    Brandon Miller has hit 3+ 3-pointers in three of his last four, while rookie phenom Kon Knueppel has drilled 4+ in five of his last eight outings.

    Ball has struggled shooting deep against Cleveland, hitting four 3-pointers or more in a game just three times in 10 career starts.

    Cavaliers vs Hornets SGP

    • James Harden Over 2.5 3-pointers
    • Donovan Mitchell Under 2.5 3-pointers
    • Brandon Miller Over 2.5 3-pointers 
    • Kon Knueppel Over 3.5 3-pointers
    • LaMelo Ball Under 3.5 3-poiners

    Cavaliers vs Hornets odds

    • Spread: Cavaliers -6 | Hornets +6
    • Moneyline: Cavaliers -225 | Hornets +185
    • Over/Under: Over 231.5 | Under 231.5

    Cavaliers vs Hornets betting trend to know

    The  Hornets have hit the moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+18.20 Units / 39% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Hornets.

    How to watch Cavaliers vs Hornets

    LocationSpectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
    DateFriday, February 20, 2026
    Tip-off7:00 p.m. ET
    TVFDSN Ohio, FDSN Southeast Charlotte

    Cavaliers vs Hornets latest injuries

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    Friday morning Rangers things

    SURPRISE, ARIZONA - FEBRUARY 17: (ALTERNATE CROP) Wyatt Langford #36 of the Texas Rangers poses for a portrait during photo day at Surprise Stadium on February 17, 2026 in Surprise, Arizona. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) | Getty Images

    Good morning, LSB.

    Evan Grant has a live Q&A up in which he answers a bunch of Rangers spring training questions.

    Grant also has another version of his Rangers roster protection.

    Kennedi Landry writes about the prospect of Wyatt Langford, MVP candidate.

    Jeff Wilson has some names of young pitchers impressing in Arizona.

    Speaking of, Gavin Collyer is throwing gas out of the pen and garnering some early attention.

    Evan Carter’s goals for 2026, unsurprisingly, revolve around health.

    And Jayson Stark has a list of MLB front offices with the heat turned up to start 2026.

    That’s all for this morning. Smell ya later.

    Royals sign catcher Elias Díaz to minor league deal

    WASHINGTON, DC - JULY 20: Elias Díaz #17 of the San Diego Padres looks on after a baseball game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on July 20, 2025 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

    The Royals announced they have signed former All-Star catcher Elias Díaz to a minor league deal. Díaz spent 106 games with the Padres last year and hit .204/.270/.337 with nine home runs.

    The Venezuelan-born Díaz began his career with the Pirates in 2015, but was non-tendered after the 2019 season. He signed on with the Rockies, where his bat blossomed. He socked a career-high 18 home runs in 2021, and was named an All-Star in 2023 when he hit .267/.316/.409 with 14 home runs. His power dropped the next year and the Rockies released him in August to save some money. The Padres picked him up and he made a postseason appearance for him that fall, and he returned to serve as a backup catcher for them in 2025.

    The 35-year-old right-hander isn’t much with the bat anymore, but he has one of the quickest pop times in baseball behind the plate. He threw out 23 percent of would-be basestealers last year, and rates well in blocking and framing metrics.

    The Royals may be looking for a veteran catcher to carry on the roster behind Salvador Perez and Carter Jensen to allow them to play one of those players at first or DH. The team already signed veteran Jorge Alfaro, who was teammates with Díaz in Colorado in 2023. They also signed Luke Maile, although he has not been in camp for personal reasons.

    Good Morning San Diego: Padres play Mariners in first game of ‘26 Spring Training

    PEORIA, ARIZONA - FEBRUARY 10: Manager Craig Stammen of San Diego Padres watches practice during the Spring Training workout at Peoria Sports Complex on February 10, 2026 in Peoria, Arizona. (Photo by Matt Thomas/San Diego Padres/Getty Images) | Getty Images

    The San Diego Padres are set to open their Spring Training schedule with a contest against the Seattle Mariners today. It will be the first opportunity for the Friar Faithful to see the 2026 players in action. There are competitions at first base, designated hitter and the starting rotation, which should make for compelling performance as spring progresses. Tat will come later, but during the first game of spring it will be nice to hear the crack of the bat and the pop of the glove that are universal signals to baseball fans that Opening Day is not far away.

    Padres News:

    • Prior to the flurry of moves less than a week ago, Padres fans were asked how they felt about the offseason for San Diego in a Padres Reacts Survey in mid-January. Gaslamp Ball asked the Friar Faithful if their feelings about the offseason have changed after multiple signings and the A.J. Preller extension.
    • The San Diego minor league system took a lot of criticism in recent polls and was even considered the worst farm system in baseball by some. Despite that, AJ Cassavell of Padres.com believes there are four young Padres to watch during Spring Training. Cassavell also lists four position battles to watch as San Diego begins their Cactus League season.
    • Craig Stammen is no stranger to Spring Training with the Padres in Peoria, Ariz. The difference this season is he will be the one calling the shots as he makes his first appearance at the helm of the Padres when they take on the Mariners later today.
    • Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union-Tribune took a side trip through Yuma, Ariz. on his way to Peoria, Ariz. the Padres spent 25 years training in Yuma and even trained there in 1969 when the team started leaving behind some memories of years and teams past.
    • Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune believes German Marquez is reinvigorated after signing with he Padres and believes he can make an impact in the rotation he also has notes about the ABS challenge system and the San Diego approach to Ethan Salas.

    Baseball News:

    San Antonio spreads the wealth in win over Suns

    SAN ANTONIO, TX - FEBRUARY 19:Stephon Castle #5 of the San Antonio Spurs drives to the basket during the game against the Phoenix Suns on February 19, 2026 at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photos by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

    The San Antonio Spurs “home stretch” of the Rodeo Road Trip in Austin kicked off with a bang. The Spurs secured a 121-94 victory over the Phoenix Suns. The Spurs were locked in defensively while playing an even offensive game. Six members of the Silver and Black scored in double digits, and 30 of San Antonio’s baskets came off assists.

    Stephon Castle led the team in scoring with 20 points, 4 assists, and 3 steals. Castle shot an efficient 8-11 from the field and 2-4 from deep. He scored at all-three levels, getting shots to go around the rim, in the mid-range, and hitting some big threes. Castle has turned it on over the last month, heating up as the Spurs head into the stretch run of the season.

    The Area 51 duo was in action on Thursday night. Castle does a great job probing the defense until the defense ignores Victor Wembanyama (a mistake) and then finds him on the lob. Castle is probably the best on the team in finding the big man for lobs, which makes sense given the nickname.

    Wembanyama showed why he is considered the favorite for Defensive Player of the Year. Wemby was dominant defensively, altering shot after shot in the paint. He finished the game with 17 points, 11 rebounds, and 5 blocks.

    Wembanyama’s best play of the night came in the pick-and-roll when he slammed the ball over Mark Williams and Jordan Goodwin. Williams had been playing physically and trying to dunk on him all night, and Wembanyama punished him on the other end with a towering slam.

    He wasn’t the only Spurs center with highlight reel dunks, though. Luke Kornet was all over the rim against the Suns. He had 10 points and 9 rebounds on a perfect 5-5 shooting from the field. He was a beast on the boards, grabbing three offensive rebounds. He’s been a much better lob threat than expected this season, thanks to his great hands and elite positioning in the paint.

    Kornet had the play of the game with this monster slam off the offensive board. There is nothing more satisfying than a one-handed put-back dunk.

    The rookies had their moments, too. Dylan Harper had 17 points off the bench, hitting 2 three-pointers. He, like Castle, scored at all three levels, which has been rare for him early in his career. Carter Bryant also hit two three-pointers, including a smooth-looking side-step jumper late in the fourth quarter.

    San Antonio will play the Sacramento Kings in the last game of their Austin home-stand on Saturday night as they look to secure their 40th victory. Check out the video below for full game highlights.

    Suns try to reverse narrative on Kevin Durant trade with Rockets

    HOUSTON, TX - JANUARY 5: Kevin Durant #7 of the Houston Rockets and Dillon Brooks #3 of the Phoenix Suns talk during the game on January 5, 2026 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. Mandatory Copyright Notice: Copyright 2026 NBAE (Photo by Logan Riely/NBAE via Getty Images) | NBAE via Getty Images

    Last offseason’s trade between the Phoenix Suns and Houston Rockets, that saw Kevin Durant get dealt to Houston, in exchange for Jalen Green, Dillon Brooks, five second-round draft picks and the 10th pick of the 2025 NBA Draft has been a franchise saver, of sorts, for the Rockets. 

    Especially when considering the mountain of injuries Houston has seen. Fred VanVleet was out before the season even started.

    Steven Adams is out for the season.

    (And hasn’t suited up in a month).

    Tari Eason has missed over 20 games (well, 22, to be exact).

    And Houston’s prized free agent signing, Dorian Finney-Smith, has missed 33 games (and hasn’t looked good, although we’ve seen positive signs, of late ).

    Yet and still, the Rockets have their same record at this point in the season as last year. Despite being without three of last year’s starters.

    According to Suns CEO Josh Bartelstein, the Rockets’ brass tried making the deal for Durant at last year’s deadline, albeit with the inclusion of Jabari Smith Jr. instead of Dillon Brooks. 

    “The deal was never gonna get done without Jalen and Dillon in the deal.”

    Bartelstein claims the Suns wanted Brooks, to help set their culture.

    Houston’s brass has denied being willing to part with Smith.

    But make no mistake. They surely would’ve included him, if it came down to it.

    Not many players on last year’s roster should’ve been deemed untouchable, especially with Kevin Durant on the table as an acquireable piece.

    Even an older version.

    We should expect the Rockets to deny their willingness to move Smith.

    In the same way that it shouldn’t be a surprise that the Suns are now hyping up their guy in Brooks.

    It’s a bit less believable that Brooks was a sticking point for the Suns.

    It’s not like it could’ve been predicted that he was going to average a career-best 21 points (albeit on 18 shots).

    It should also be noted that Phoenix couldn’t have moved Durant for Green and Smith at the deadline, from a salary standpoint, as Smith was still on his rookie salary.

    But again, this shouldn’t be surprising. 

    Heat vs Hawks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

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    The Miami Heat begin their second half on the road this evening against the Atlanta Hawks at State Farm Arena. Tip-off for this contest is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. 

    Jalen Johnson has been a beast this season, and I’m targeting him to ball out in my Heat vs. Hawks predictions. 

    Read more in my NBA picks for Friday, February 20.

    Heat vs Hawks prediction

    Heat vs Hawks best bet: Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points (-120)

    Jalen Johnson has burst onto the scene this season, averaging 23.5 ppg. Before he partook in the All-Star festivities in Los Angeles, the Duke product cashed the Over in points in two of his final four games in the first half. 

    He also returned with a bang on Thursday, as the Atlanta Hawks hammered the 76ers. Johnson showed out for 32 points

    Johnson is averaging 26.5 ppg across two meetings with the Miami Heat in 2025-26, so he knows how to beat this team.

    Heat vs Hawks same-game parlay

    Tyler Herro is having a nice campaign, averaging 21.9 ppg. He’s hit the Over in points in four straight games. 

    Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging a respectable 3.7 assists per game. He’ll be important in getting Johnson more scoring opportunities tonight. 

    The Canadian guard has cashed the Over in dimes in seven straight. 

    Heat vs Hawks SGP

    • Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points
    • Tyler Herro Over 17.5 points
    • Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 assists

    Our "from downtown" SGP: Home cooking for Hawks 

    Atlanta is coming off a big win over the Sixers, and this new-look roster is promising. They also beat the Heat on February 3. 

    Heat vs Hawks SGP

    • Jalen Johnson Over 22.5 points
    • Tyler Herro Over 17.5 points
    • Nickeil Alexander-Walker Over 3.5 assists
    • Hawks moneyline

    Heat vs Hawks odds

    • Spread: Heat -3.5 | Hawks +3.5
    • Moneyline: Heat -155 | Hawks +130
    • Over/Under: Over 244.5 | Under 244.5

    Heat vs Hawks betting trend to know

    The Hawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+7.05 Units / 23% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Hawks.

    How to watch Heat vs Hawks

    LocationState Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
    DateFriday, February 20, 2026
    Tip-off7:30 p.m. ET
    TVFDSN Sun, FDSN Southeast Atlanta

    Heat vs Hawks latest injuries

    Not intended for use in MA.
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