PHOENIX, ARIZONA - APRIL 26: A general view of Chase Field prior to the MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 26, 2025 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Kelsey Grant/Arizona Diamondbacks/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Team news
[Dbacks.com] Ross, Loáisiga make club as D-backs announce 3 more cuts – Left-hander Philip Abner was optioned to Triple-A Reno while catcher Aramis Garcia and infielder Jacob Amaya were reassigned to Minor League camp. In addition, the Diamondbacks have informed right-handed relievers Joe Ross and Jonathan Loáisiga that they have made the team and will have their contracts purchased. That seemingly sets the 13-man position-player roster with Corbin Carroll, Alek Thomas, Jordan Lawlar, Nolan Arenado, Geraldo Perdomo, Ketel Marte, Carlos Santana, Pavin Smith, Gabriel Moreno, James McCann, Ildamaro Vargas, Jorge Barrosa and Tim Tawa.
[Yahoo] Two veteran relievers clinch jobs on Diamondbacks’ Opening Day roster – Loaisiga’s inclusion was long anticipated. Signed to a minor-league deal in January, he showcased impressive stuff, including a fastball in the upper-90s, and posted solid results during spring training, logging a 3.86 ERA in seven appearances. “I thought he had some of the better stuff in our pen,” Diamondbacks general manager Mike Hazen said. “We’re trying to improve the aggregate stuff that we have going out there, from a (swing and) miss standpoint, and he looked good. He had a good spring.” Ross had been trending toward making the club in recent weeks as it became apparent that his ability to go multiple innings in relief appealed to the Diamondbacks.
[Arizona Sports] Abner optioned to Triple-A, Diamondbacks down to 1 lefty reliever – Philip Abner has been optioned to the Triple-A Reno Aces, leaving Brandyn Garcia as the lone lefty arm in bullpen barring a late addition. There was recent precedent for the club adding a lefty to its bullpen room so close to Opening Day, Arizona signing Jalen Beeks one day before the first game of the 2025 season. The Diamondbacks also reassigned catcher Aramis Garcia and infielder Jacob Amaya to minor league camp, which brought its camp to 33 players. Each MLB team has until Opening Day to trim its roster down to 26.
[SI] Gabriel Moreno Silences Injury Concerns in Unbelievable 2-Homer Game – [Moreno] played his first game behind home plate since he was forced to shut down throwing due to right forearm tightness. With no structural damage revealed, the hope was always that Moreno would be healthy for opening day. The first of Moreno’s homers traveled 445 feet, coming off the bat at 108 MPH. That, apparently, was not enough, as he followed that blast with a 110 MPH, 459-foot homer just one inning later. The second home run fell just shy of his 460-footer from earlier this spring. That is still the longest ball Moreno has hit.
And, elsewhere…
[Chicago Tribune] ‘Just feels like you’re on fire’: How Cubs and White Sox players adjust to record-breaking heat in Arizona – Sox third baseman Miguel Vargas kept it all in perspective. “We need to enjoy these couple of weeks when we’re here in the heat because it’s going to be cold (in Chicago),” Vargas told the Tribune last week. Vargas is feeling at home with the conditions. “I’m from Cuba, it’s hot out there every time,” he said. “Hydration” was the key word for [manager Will] Venable.“We have all of our trainers and strength coaches with all the resources they need to support these guys with hydration,” Venable said last week. “In between every half inning, you hear five different people yelling, ‘Hydrate.’
[ESPN] Phillies ace Cristopher Sanchez agrees to new 6-year contract – The team announced Sunday that the deal will start in 2027 and includes a team option for 2033. Financial terms were not disclosed, but sources told ESPN that the deal is worth approximately $103 million in new money. Sanchez will make $3.5 million in salary for 2026 before the new deal starts next year. The contract supersedes the deal Sanchez signed before the beginning of last year — one that paid him $47 million over four years, including two team option years. Sanchez went 13-5 with a 2.50 ERA in 32 starts last season and struck out a career-high 212 batters. He’s 30-21 over his five-year career.
[MLB] Experts predict all of this season’s stats leaders – With Spring Training winding down and Opening Day just days away, intriguing questions abound, from which teams will bounce back after subpar seasons last year to whether anyone will be able to dethrone the reigning MVP and Cy Young Award winners. One of the big ones to consider at the dawn of a new regular season is: Which players will lead their league in each major statistical category? We asked 57 MLB.com staff members to weigh in, and here are the results [Jim: No D-backs are mentioned. #SavedYouAClick]
Finally, here’s one from yesterday’s This Day in Baseball which I feel deserves more explicit coverage. It is still March 22 when I’m writing this so it is technically still This Day in Baseball. 🙂
Mar 14, 2026; Miami, FL, United States; Venezuela third baseman Maikel Garcia (11) celebrates after hitting a two-run home run against Japan in the fifth inning during a quarterfinal game of the 2026 World Baseball Classic at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images | Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
Hope springs eternal, and never is that phrase more applicable in baseball than February and March. Players start showing up to Spring Training in great shape, and the excuses–legitimate or not–of the previous year are washed away. Injuries healed. Disappointments left behind. During Spring Training, you can easily convince yourself that just about everyone can be better when the season starts.
The unfortunate truth is that everyone can’t improve. Even when lots of players improve, some don’t. Some do worse. Others get hurt. Take any two consecutive years and you’ll see that pattern. Like, look to the 2015 Royals championship season, a big step forward over 2014. Some players got better, but not all: Alcides Escobar was worse, Alex Gordon got hurt, Salvador Perez was worse, Jason Vargas got hurt, Omar Infante was worse, Greg Holland got hurt, Danny Duffy was worse.
So when looking ahead to this upcoming season, we have to take into account that it’s just not gonna go the way that we hope it will for certain players. Now, which ones? That’s the real question.
A month ago, my answer would have been clear that Maikel Garcia was the likeliest Royal hitter to regress. Garcia had a breakout 2025, turning in one of the most impressive Royals seasons in recent memory; he hit for average, he had great plate discipline, he hit for power, he fielded like a madman. He turned into an All-Star and arguably the best defensive third baseman in baseball, nabbing his first career Gold Glove.
But development is not linear, and Garcia has a lot of baseball history that suggests 2025 may be a sort of outlier. Prior to last year, he turned in 1,164 plate appearances where he hit .251/.301/.344–about 20% worse than league average overall. During that time, defensive stats suggested that he was a good-but-not-great third baseman. Garcia’s improvements in 2025 were real, but when you add almost 200 points of OPS in one season there is plenty of room to slide back a bit. Projection systems thought so, too, and they think he’ll be worth three and a half Wins Above Replacement or so as opposed to the five and a half he put up last year.
Now, I’m not so sure.
Maikel Garcia ripped through the World Baseball Classic like he was on a mission of baseball domination. In 28 plate appearances, Garcia hit .385, had three extra base hits, and stole a trio of bases without getting caught. He was big in big moments, as his above home run to bring Venezuela within a run of the imposing Japanese squad shows. And his single to left field against Italy gave his country a 3-2 lead.
At the end Venezuela stood alone, hoisting the World Baseball Classic trophy. And at the end, Garcia stood alone as MVP of the whole tournament.
Being a good baseball analyst means trusting the numbers and knowing the red flags, and the red flag of the nation of Small Sample Size waves clearly here. That’s because 28 plate appearances is basically nothing in the context of baseball. To trust those plate appearances more than years of recent history would simply be bad analysis.
At the same time, we don’t pit spreadsheets against each other to see who wins. Athletes are humans first, and humans are messy. We’re anxious. We doubt. We have confidence, we lack confidence, we seek confidence. We’re often equal parts brilliant and broken. And because athletes are complicated human beings, raw athleticism only goes so far. There’s a certain X-factor, a je ne sais quoi, a secret ingredient, that often drives athletic success.
And you know what? I think Maikel Garcia has it, whatever it is. He’s certainly got the tools while having plenty of room to grow–specifically in regard to barrel rate and bat speed. But that’s not just it. His performance in the World Baseball Classic is one intriguing point. His passion for the game is another, that his teammates rave about him as a player and person one more. And Garcia’s dedication to learning and mastering English is one of those things that reflects underlying and enduring positive traits, too.
I still wouldn’t be surprised if Garcia isn’t quite as good as his career year in 2025. But my intuition tells me that Garcia still has it in him to take another big step next year. If that happens, the Royals’ opponents need to watch out.
SEATTLE, WA - SEPTEMBER 8: Relief pitcher Dellin Betances #68 of the New York Yankees celebrates after the final out of a game against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field on September 8, 2018 in Seattle, Washington. The Yankees won 4-2. (Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images) | Getty Images
I always enjoy writing about Dellin Betances — not the least because he’s one of my personal favorite Yankees. In terms of post-dynasty players, he’s easily on my Mount Rushmore of favorites. But his is also a great story. The hometown kid burst on the scene with a ton of prospect hype, only to look like he was going to flame out.
Then, in a wonderful plot twist, Dellin turned into perhaps the most dominant and unhittable relief pitcher in the big leagues for a few years, confounding opposing hitters with his upper-90s fastball and a 12-6 knuckle-curve that instantly turned batsmen’s knees al dente. Betances made our Top 100 Yankees of All-Time, so it certainly makes sense we are going to wish him a happy birthday.
Name: Dellin Betances Born: March 23, 1988 (New York, NY) Yankees Tenure: 2011-19
A hometown kid, Betances was born in Manhattan and later moved to the Lower East Side when he was 10. That same year, Betances happened to be at Yankee Stadium on May 17, 1998. Nothing like getting to see David “Boomer” Wells hurl a perfect game in person.
By 2006, Betances stood 6-foot-9 and his fastball was touching 95 mph. Considered a first-round talent, he’d committed to Vanderbilt and there was concern it would take a king’s ransom to get him to break that agreement. Accordingly, the Yankees and every other team passed on him in the first round.
The Yankees stayed patient and eventually selected him in the eighth round, 254th overall. A $1 million signing bonus was enough to get Betances to forgo college ball. Dellin was a Yankee.
Betances’ prospect star waxed and waned as he struggled with command. But by 2011, he was Baseball America’s 43rd-ranked prospect. That season, he made his MLB debut in September, along with his first and only MLB start. Unfortunately, 2012 was a disaster, with Betances completely unable to locate his fastball.
With Betances still struggling in 2013, the Yankees made the fateful decision to move him to the bullpen, where he shined at Triple-A. He struggled in another brief cameo in the majors that year but there was hope.
The stage was set for one of the most surprising individual seasons in recent Yankee history. 2014 Dellin Betances was the kind of thing you tell your grandkids about someday. His stat line was breathtaking: 70 G, 90 IP, 1.40 ERA, 274 ERA+, 135 K, .442 opponent OPS, 3.7 bWAR.
As I noted when writing about his 2014 campaign, the effect was that he basically turned all major league hitters into a pitcher when they came to bat.
Betances was absolutely on another level. He basically turned MLB hitters—the best in the world at what they do—into John Smoltz at the plate for an entire season. The Hall of Fame hurler retired with a career .159 BA and a .433 OPS. Opponents hit .149 against Dellin in his breakout campaign, with a .442 OPS.
If you are a visual learner, here’s 2014 Dellin eviscerating Miguel Cabrera, one of the great hitters of his generation.
2015 was more of the same. Betances was so dominant that when Game 162 had come and gone, he led the Yankees in rWAR. As a relief pitcher. He did not allow an earned run until his 27th appearance of the season, in the Yankees’ 55th game. That is insane. 2014-15 Dellin Betances was historically great. After crunching numbers, I identified in Dellin’s Top 100 article:
Since 1990, the list of relievers who topped Betances by rWAR over two years is short: Boston’s Jonathan Papelbon, who compiled 8.1 rWAR from 2006-07, and Mariano Rivera, who bested Dellin in five different two-year stretches (lol). That’s it. No Billy Wagner. No Craig Kimbrel. No Eric Gagne. No Francisco Rodriguez. Not even a Trevor Hoffman. It’s just Mo, Papelbon, and Dellin.
2016 found Betances pitching out of the same bullpen as Andrew Miller and Aroldis Chapman. For the first time as a major league reliever, he was a one inning-and-done guy. And he was really good at it, to the tune of 126 strikeouts in 73 innings. The mid-2010s were a weird time for the Yankees, with only one playoff game to their name between 2013-16. But Dellin at least did his part to make his innings a thrill.
That offseason saw an ugly arbitration session, wherein Randy Levine and the Yankees seemed to go out of their way to disrespect Betances. This wasn’t Tarik Skubal and the Tigers either, with a $14 million gap between the camps. Betances wanted a $3 million salary. The Yankees offered $5 million. All that for $2 million. Anyway, you can read the infuriating details of that elsewhere.
Betances pitched two more full seasons in pinstripes as New York returned to regular postseason form. 2018 saw him make baseball history as he became the first reliever to record 100 or more strikeouts in five consecutive seasons.
Little did anyone know his magical run as an elite reliever was over. A should injury in March 2019 sent him to the injured list where he remained until mid-September, when he made his return against Toronto, striking out both hitters he faced. Two days later, the club announced Betances had partially torn his left Achilles during his return outing.
Injuries and COVID conspired to confound Betances, who never returned to form after signing with the Mets in December 2019. He officially retired from baseball in August 2022, but is still involved with the game and began doing work with YES Network in 2025. Look to see him more in the studio in 2026.
Happy birthday, Dellin! I’ll always remember the 2017 Home Run Derby when we were all Dellin Betances, awestruck watching Aaron Judge.
See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.
Sean Manaea | / Photo by Doug Murray/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
Had we written about Sean Manaea’s upcoming season earlier in spring training, the premise would’ve been a bit more straightforward. Coming off a season that saw him spend more time on the injured list than on the mound, Manaea would be looking to be healthy and bounce back from a 2025 season that saw him finish with a 5.64 ERA.
That’s still true, of course, but with the Mets having set their rotation for the beginning of the 2026 season, Manaea isn’t in it. Instead, the 34-year-old lefty will begin the year as the second part of a piggyback plan that will see him pitch multiple innings in relief of one or more of the Mets’ five starting pitchers. Assuming everyone stays healthy, he’ll presumably slot into the Mets’ rotation if and when the team deploys a six-man rotation.
Velocity is of concern, at least from our perspective as fans. Both Manaea and Mets manager Carlos Mendoza insist that they aren’t concerned about a fastball that’s averaged 88 miles per hour in spring training games. Having averaged just shy of 93 miles per hour with the fastball in his first season with the Mets in 2024 per Brooks Baseball, Manaea saw the pitch dip a bit to 91.5 miles per hour last year as he pitched through a loose body issue in his pitching elbow.
When the offseason began, surgery was one of the options on the table for Manaea, but he opted not to have surgery and came into camp feeling good. And in the innings Grapefruit League innings he threw, he managed a 3.72 ERA, albeit with a 5.11 FIP thanks to the pair of home runs he gave up in just 9.2 innings of work.
Of the projections published at FanGraphs, a couple have Manaea with a sub-4.00 ERA this season, but the general consensus projects a low-4s ERA in about 125 innings of work. That certainly wouldn’t be what the Mets were hoping to see when they inked Manaea to a three-year, $75 million deal coming off his incredible second half of the 2024 season, but it would still be helpful to the team.
If his velocity doesn’t come back and he struggles like he did last year, well, that’d be a bummer for Mets fans. We’ll have to wait and see what happens in relatively sparse outings early in the season. And if those appearances go reasonably well, Manaea might get his first start of the season during the Mets’ first full home stand of the year as the team hosts the Diamondbacks and A’s from April 7 to 12 before flying to Los Angeles for three games against the Dodgers without an off day in between.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are the best team in the Association, and a clear favorite to win the championship again. They head into tonight’s contest in the midst of an 11-game winning streak.
The Thunder just covered the 15-point spread in back-to-back games against the Nets and Wizards. They’ve also won by an average of 24.6 points against the Philadelphia 76ers across the last three meetings.
Philadelphia is still without Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, and Paul George. OKC ranks in the Top 5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, meaning a shorthanded Sixers squad doesn't stand a chance to compete.
Thunder vs 76ers same-game parlay
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.6 points per game, ranking second behind only Luka Doncic. He’s cashed the Over in two of his last three appearances, dropping 40 points in each contest.
SGA had 27 earlier in the campaign against Philly, and he’s averaging 30.3 PPG in March so far.
Chet Holmgren went nuclear earlier this season vs. the Sixers, scoring 29 points. He’s hit the Over in points in three of his last four, posting 18 points in Saturday’s blowout win over the Wizards.
Thunder vs 76ers SGP
Thunder -15.5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 points
Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: The Thunder Rolls
Isaiah Hartenstein is one of the best passing bigs in the league. He’s averaging 3.8 dimes per night, and he’s cashed the Over in two straight, notching 18 assists in that span.
Jalen Williams returns tonight after nearly a month sidelined due to injury. He will see a smaller workload as OKC eases him back in, but the Santa Clara product is averaging 17.5 points and 5.4 dimes this season. Even with limited minutes, he will still hit the 20 combo.
Thunder vs 76ers SGP
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 29.5 points
Chet Holmgren Over 16.5 points
Isaiah Hartenstein Over 3.5 assists
Jalen Williams Over 19.5 points + assists
Thunder vs 76ers odds
Spread: Thunder -15.5 (-110) | 76ers +15.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Thunder -1100 | 76ers +700
Over/Under: Over 225 (-110) | Under 225 (-110)
Thunder vs 76ers betting trend to know
The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 25 away games (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Thunder vs. 76ers.
How to watch Thunder vs 76ers
Location
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Date
Monday, March 23, 2026
Tip-off
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN-Oklahoma, NBCS-Philadelphia
Thunder vs 76ers latest injuries
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March Madness is about moments. Buzzer-beaters and dramatic game-winners draw us in like nothing else in sports.
The 2026 NCAA Tournament has been no different. While the upsets have been in short supply and Cinderella missed her carriage to the ball, there has still been plenty of iconic moments through the first two rounds.
BOSTON, MA - MARCH 22: Julius Randle #30 of the Minnesota Timberwolves tries to hold up Derrick White #9 of the Boston Celtics from getting to a loose ball during the second quarter at TD Garden on March 22, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
#1 – Surviving thanks to Jaylen
At half-time, Jaylen Brown had scored or assisted on 50% of the Celtics’ points. As the Timberwolves have one of the best rim protections in the league, Brown’s ability to be somewhat efficient from the mid-range is what got the offense going.
The problem the Wolves sometimes have is that, because of Gobert, the spacing gets too crowded and their offense struggles. That is one of the reasons they were stuck at 14 points after the first quarter. In the second period, the Wolves were able to go on a run with the Frenchman out, thanks to better spacing but also more aggressive defense.
Yet, these moments without Rudy Gobert create another problem for the Wolves: Jaylen’s drives. In the first half, the Celtics were able to get to the rim thanks to Brown and make the most of the lack of rim protection. Here, JB first gets the switch he wants and goes for an impressive reverse drive.
But after a remarkable start, Jaylen Brown slowed down in the second half, going 3-for-13 from the field. And, like the rest of the team, he collapsed in the fourth quarter, when the intensity was at its peak for the Wolves.
#2 – A fourth quarter to forget
To start the last quarter, the Wolves decided to go small and be mobile rather than tall. They put pressure on the ball as early as possible in the possession and tried to disrupt the offense that the Celtics were trying to run. As Joe Mazzulla said, the Wolves’ defense without their big man disrupted the Celtics’ offense even more.
For the @celticsblog I asked Joe Mazzulla why the Celtics struggled a little bit more against the Wolves defense when Gobert was out:
"A little bit more physical at the point of attack, a little more switching, higher pick-up points and that impacted the timing of our offense" pic.twitter.com/uqVCAllsxJ
On this drive from Jaylen Brown, we can see that the pressure on the ball comes much higher than in the first quarter, and the screen from Luka Garza isn’t really set. The All-Star drives early—maybe too early—and goes into a crowd of three Wolves ready to protect the paint.
Behind the Celtics’ collapse in the fourth, there was also a big shooting slump, going 0-for-7 from deep. Some of these shots were really well contested, and the Celtics weren’t able to get the good 2-vs-1 situations they wanted.
These misses created another problem: the Wolves could attack much more in transition and didn’t have to deal with the Celtics’ half-court defense.
#3 – The quickness off the bench
While the small-ball defense offers much more mobility for the Wolves, it also gave them an opportunity to run faster in transition and avoid being stuck in half-court situations. Without Anthony Edwards, the Wolves must avoid stagnant situations as much as possible because they lack the driving force that usually creates gaps.
So, as soon as they got a rebound, they ran. On the play below, you can see the willingness to push the ball up the floor as quickly as possible, with everyone running to offer passing options to the ball-handler until someone cuts to the rim.
With more speed off a miss, the Wolves could also force the matchups they wanted early in the possession. Here, Naz Reid gets a post-up against Brown while his normal matchup, Luka Garza, is far away from the ball. So this isn’t strictly transition, but because the Celtics weren’t able to get an offensive rebound or stop the break, Reid gets the ball exactly where he wants it against a favorable matchup.
As the Celtics kept missing, the Wolves had more and more opportunities to play fast, get away from half-court offense, and capitalize on their defensive intensity.
#4 – Getting Jayson Tatum in rhythm
The first half was a little brutal for Jayson, with one assist, one turnover, and four missed shots. But to get his groove back, the Celtics coaching staff involved him right away after half-time. A couple of play calls with Neemias Queta particularly stood out. They went to a Spain pick-and-roll action, with Sam Hauser positioned to bother Gobert. That gives a bit more space to JT after Queta’s second screen to attack the rim.
Same play call on the possession below. This time, Jayson snakes the pick-and-roll, and we can see that Queta isn’t fully used to that pattern. Yet, Tatum isn’t bothered and can launch a triple like he used to when a defense is in drop coverage. Bang!
With this action putting a player behind Gobert, the Celtics could punish his presence on the court and give Jayson Tatum the momentum needed to get back on track. Still, Tatum needed Queta’s screens, and the Portuguese big did a great overall job helping him attack the Frenchman’s coverages.
#5 – Going around Mount Gobert
Before the game, Joe Mazzulla and Chris Finch talked about the central role of Rudy Gobert in the Minnesota Timberwolves. They both highlighted that the French center has improved his versatility and is doing a better job on the perimeter than earlier in his career.
The Wolves’ coach also mentioned that, with Neemias Queta at center, the Celtics don’t have the typical stretch-five they had with Al Horford or Kristaps Porzingis. However, recently, the Celtics have started using the Portuguese big man as a hub on the perimeter.
Before the game, Chris Finch said the Boston Celtics don't have a stretch-big like Kristaps Porzingis or Al Horford to take Rudy Gobert of the paint. Which is true.
HOWEVER, they have Neemias Queta whom they love to use as a hub recently.
With Queta’s screen quality, the Wolves were sometimes forced to switch instead of staying in drop coverage. Here, Reid gets stuck in the screen long enough that Gobert has to switch on the perimeter, which opens a cut to the rim for Queta.
The Celtics’ defense is elite but still has a couple of weaknesses: quick guards and heavy wings like Julius Randle are among them. Going into the game, the Celtics knew they would have to adjust: do they let him play one-on-one, or send help and rotate behind his passing?
The biggest threat comes from his post-ups because of his frame, but also because his passing improves when he’s stationary. The Wolves knew that and started the game right away with a post-up for Randle. What I didn’t expect was to see Hauser matched up with him. Yet, you can clearly see that the others are ready to help and willing to leave Jaden McDaniels open, for example.
With players like McDaniels and Gobert on the court, the Wolves made it easier for the Celtics to decide how to defend. As often, the goal was to protect the paint and leave below-average shooters open, as long as the drive didn’t break the first defensive line.
This is another reason the Wolves went small later in the game. Reid is a much better offensive fit next to Randle. Here, he sets the screen, and Garza is stuck for a second protecting against a potential drive from Julius. This leads to more space for Reid when he catches the ball, and the shot is open.
As we said earlier, the Celtics struggle with quick guards and heavy wings. And while Julius Randle’s threat was well managed, the quickness of Bones Hyland was not. The guard, who was first signed on a two-way contract, is showing very good offensive potential for the Wolves. Not only was he fast in transition, but he also exposed the Celtics’ pick-and-roll defense.
But, as Joe Mazzulla mentioned after the game, it was his speed in transition that caused the biggest problems. On this play, he outruns everyone and gets to the rim in just a couple of seconds. Brown doesn’t have time to get set, and the Wolves get another layup.
After the Thunder, the Suns, the Warriors, and now the Wolves, this is the fourth team in recent games trying to avoid the Celtics’ half-court defense as much as possible by pushing in transition.
While the three other teams mostly did it by forcing turnovers, the Wolves were able to combine speed off live rebounds with on-ball aggressiveness to disrupt the Celtics’ flow.
Opponents are now aware that the Celtics’ ability to take care of the ball can be used against them. They can attack more freely but also make sure they are set defensively. With the Thunder and the Hawks coming to town this week, it will be interesting to see how the Celtics adapt to that level of aggressiveness.
#9 – Losing the bet against McDaniels
In the second half, the Celtics paid the price for their bet on McDaniels’ shooting. We mentioned earlier that Celtics defenders were often helping off McDaniels because he was seen as the lesser shooting threat. However, he scored 9 points from deep in the second half, fueling the Wolves’ run.
The defense would rather go under screens against him to protect the paint, but this gives him a chance to punish that approach if the shooting variance swings his way. It was a bold choice considering his efficiency from deep this season (41%), but the Celtics’ paint protection is sometimes worth the gamble. It just didn’t work this time.
#10 – Too lackadaisical
After the game, Jaylen Brown spoke candidly and said, “we didn’t play Celtics basketball tonight,” and used a word I had never heard back in French school: “lackadaisical.” For those who, like me, hadn’t heard it before, it means “lacking life, spirit, or zest.” And I think that perfectly captures the Celtics’ performance once the Wolves went small and attacked them with speed and intensity.
The Celtics will need to regroup and find their “zest” again before Wednesday to be ready for the biggest game of the season: OKC Thunder at home, with Jayson Tatum and Jalen Williams back on the court.”
Mar 3, 2026; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11) drives to the basket against Toronto Raptors guard Scottie Barnes (4) during the first half at Scotiabank Arena. Mandatory Credit: John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images | John E. Sokolowski-Imagn Images
As the standings start to take shape, I believe the ideal scenario for the Knicks is to finish third, and for the Raptors to finish sixth. While an argument—a strong one—could be made that the Knicks should chase the second-seed and secure home-court advantage in the second-round, being the third-seed and facing the Raptors would help them avoid the winner of the play-in game between the seventh and eighth-seed, which, right now, would be between the 76ers and the Magic.
I don’t think the Knicks or their fans should be afraid of either team, but at their very best, they both pose a tougher matchup for the Knicks than the currently fifth-seeded Raptors.
If they could get the second-seed, secure home-court advantage in the second-round, and have the Raptors win the play-in game between the seventh and eighth-seed, that’s obviously the best-case scenario. And look, if the Knicks are looking to win it all, or at the very least, reach the NBA Finals, none of this should theoretically matter. They shouldn’t, and likely don’t, care about who they are playing.
There are still a few weeks left in the season and with the bottom half of the playoffs still looking very close, a lot can happen. But for now, as a fan hoping the Knicks can secure the safest and most ideal route to said Finals, I’d root for whatever scenario most likely matches New York up with Toronto.
Overall, though, this is a very convoluted week of games, and this is just a general guide to who you could root for based on what could happen. With any given day, wins, losses, injury reports, and standing shifts, who to root for can change. And even that will likely differ from person to person based on who you want the Knicks to play, how good or bad you think certain teams are, and if you even care at all.
March 23rd
Kicking off Monday’s slate of games is the Pistons, who’ll be hosting the red-hot Lakers. The Pistons are just 6-4 in their last 10 games, and will once again be without Cade Cunningham, who was diagnosed with a collapsed lung late last week. Root for the Lakers to continue their streak to make it 10 wins in a row, and the Knicks could pull to 4.5 games behind them.
The Magic will also be playing the tanking Pacers, with the Raptors playing the Jazz later on. If the Knicks end up overtaking the Celtics for the second-seed, they’d play either the Magic or 76ers if the standings hold up the way they are right now. As I mentioned earlier, the Knicks shouldn’t be avoiding anyone, but as a fan, I’d rather them play the Raptors. Root for the Magic in this one, as it gets one game closer to passing the Raptors, unless you want to see the Magic take on the Pistons. In that case, root for the Pacers.
March 24th
Aside from the Pelicans vs. Knicks game, the Magic vs. Cavaliers game is the only one that has any real seeding implications in the Eastern Conference. For the reasons listed above, root for the Magic to win. That would not only put them another step closer to overtaking the fifth-seed, but it would also put a bit more breathing room between the Knicks and the Cavaliers. The only caveat is, if you really think that the Knicks can’t take over the second-seed, and will finish the season third in the conference, and would rather face off against the Hawks than the Magic, then you’ll be better off rooting for the Cavaliers in this one so that Orlando doesn’t climb too high in the standings.
March 25th
In what could still end up being a playoff preview, the Pistons host the Hawks. With the Knicks still trying to overtake the Pistons, and with the Hawks being the prime candidate to leapfrog the Raptors, root for Atlanta in this one.
While that game is taking place, the 76ers will host the Bulls. Tyrese Maxey is still out, as is Joel Embiid, but neither has been ruled out for the season just yet. If they can ever get fully healthy, or even remotely close to it, they likely pose the biggest threat to the Pistons and Celtics out of the play-in teams. Root for them to win this one so they can stay a seventh or eighth-seed, giving them an extra life in the play-in stage.
A few minutes after those games, the Heat vs. Cavaliers game will also be tipping off. If you are still worried about the Cavaliers potentially catching up to the Knicks, or want the 76ers to match up with the Pistons, root for the Heat. A Miami win would further the distance between New York and Cleveland, while also allowing Miami to keep pace with Philadelphia. But if you just want the 76ers to have two lives, just hate the Heat, or want to keep the Heat in the lower half of the play-in bracket, root for the Cavaliers in this one.
That game, though, as good as it may be, will likely be on the back burner for many NBA fans, as the Celtics host the Thunder in one of the few premier matchups left in the regular season. This one not only has the potential of being a Finals preview, it also has standings implications. Root for the Thunder to beat the Celtics and clinch the season sweep.
And lastly, we have the Raptors, who’ll be headed out west to take on the Clippers. Root for Los Angeles to take this one in an attempt to get the Raptors down to the sixth or seventh-seed to set up the aforementioned matchup with the Knicks.
March 26th
The Pistons host the lowly Pelicans…. Root for the Pelicans. Good luck. The Pistons did drop a game to the Nets not too long ago, so you never know. Plus, the Pistons holding on to the first seed could be argued to be better for the Knicks? More on that later.
The Magic take on the Kings. By this point, the Magic could be up to the fifth-seed, and the Knicks could be the second-seed. That would line up nicely for the Knicks, as it would mean avoiding them in a possible playoff series. Again, not that Orlando should be feared, but if you are looking for the easiest path to the Finals, it would likely mean avoiding the very physical Magic.
But remember, there’s a possibility that both the Hawks and Magic surpass the Raptors in the standings. If that happens, and the Knicks end the season as the third seed, they would play one of them. We’ll have to see how the standings look by Thursday, but there is a slight chance that fans will want to start rooting against the Magic (or Hawks) every now and then as well, to keep the Raptors matched up with the Knicks.
March 27th
The Cavaliers and Heat face off once again, and rooting guide for this one, while depending on how the standings look by this day, will mostly be the same as how it was on the 25th.
The Celtics also host the Hawks in another potential playoff preview. Most fans will root for the Hawks, as they should. But, as mentioned several times already, if you want to play things on the safe side, and secretly want to root for the Knicks to stay the third-seed, and avoid playing a potentially dangerous 76ers, or Magic team, secretly rooting for the Celtics to win and maintain the second-seed may not actually be the worst idea.
The Raptors will then host the Pelicans, in what should be a relatively easy win for them. But you never know. Root for the Pelicans to continue the Raptors’ downward spiral into the sixth, seventh, or eighth-seed.
March 28th
In an exciting cross-conference game, the Timberwolves host the Pistons. The first-seed is still unlikely to be in the Knicks’ reach, and with the Heat, Hornets, 76ers, and Magic all maybe matching up with the Knicks better than the Raptors, it may be time to start rooting for the Pistons to maintain the first-seed? Is that weird? Yes. But if by this point, the Raptors have fallen into ninth or tenth-seed, maybe rooting for the Timberwolves still actually makes sense.
Not too long after that, the 76ers and Hornets tip off in a matchup where fans will have to decide themselves who to root for based on the standings at the time, and how they want the playoff bracket to look. If you want to see the 76ers maintain two lives to potentially (still only a very small chance) matchup with the Pistons or Celtics, root for them. If you think the Hornets, given their overall good play in the second half of the season and health, would prove to be a tougher challenge for the Pistons or Celtics, root for them.
And in the last meaningful game in the Eastern Conference seedings for the week, the Hawks take on the Kings. In case the Raptors have held on to the fifth-seed this far into the week, root for the Hawks to win what should be a relatively easy game against the very, very bad Kings. If, though, the Magic have made it all the way up to the fifth-seed, and the Raptors have dropped too low, rooting for the Kings to either allow the Raptors to catch back up, or hold the Hawks below the Magic, might not be a bad idea.
After a relatively slow start to the 2025- 26 off season, the Detroit Tigers finished off the winter with a flurry by signing starting pitchers Framber Valdez and bringing back future Hall of Famer Justin Verlander, bumping their payroll to its’ highest level in franchise history, with an opening day payroll projected at $$203,747,859, and a competitive balance tax (CBT) payroll on target for $$242,091,505, according to Cot’s Contracts.
In 2025, the Tigers had a projected opening day payroll of $145,318,033, and wound up with a CBT payroll of $186,627,318. (The difference between the two is explained below.) So the club was about $55 million below the CBT threshold of $241 million for the season.
The lowest tier of the tax brackets is at $244,000,000 for 2026, meaning that the Tigers are within $2 million of paying a tax on any player salaries that go above that threshold. The tax itself won’t be a big deal to Chris Ilitch and the front office, since any tax is paid on the incremental amount that the club exceeds the threshold. So let’s say the Tigers pick up a player at the trade deadline that- with a pro rated salary pushes the payroll to $250 million. They would pay a tax on the $6 million that they are above the lowest tax threshold. As a first time “offender” that would be 20 percent, or $1.2 million. Not such a big deal in the big picture.
What IS a big deal is how luxury tax payors are treated when it comes to how the system treats clubs who dare to cross the tax threshold. A CBT payor could lose a share of revenue sharing rebates the following season, and would suffer greater penalties should they sign a free agent who has declined a Qualifying offer. For example, the Tigers will forfeit their third highest draft choice for signing Framber Valdez, who declined a qualifying offer from the Houston Astros. If they made a similar signing as a CBT payor, they would lose their second highest draft choice AND lose $1 million in international signing bonus dollars.
We hasten to add that the collective bargaining agreement expires on December 1, 2026. We don’t exactly know how next winter’s free agents will be treated under a new agreement, but there is a good chance that players who receive qualifying offers in November will be treated under the terms of the current CBA.
Cot’s calculations include estimates for injury replacements, team share of player benefits and bonus pool contributions, minor league salaries, option buyouts, and everything else that can be quantified. What they don’t include is any mid season trades that either add or subtract from the payroll.
When we looked at the payroll back in November, before any qualifying offers were made and before any player or club options were picked up or declined, BYB took a gander at the clubs’ payroll heading into the off season. But then, Jack Flaherty exercised his player option for one season at $20 million, and Gleyber Torres accepted a qualifying offer of $22.5 million, rather than hit the free agent market, and the team’s payroll was suddenly right back up to about where they started without making any additions.
The club also picked up Drew Anderson as a free agent, at a $7 million salary on a one year deal. And then, there’s “the decision”. As it turned out, Tarik Skubal won his arbitration case and will be paid $32 million for the 2026 season.
PAYROLL SUBTRACTIONS:
The Tigers, for the most part, didn’t lose any players that would be disruptive to their plans going forward. Coming off the books are Alex Cobb and his $15 million deal, Kenta Maeda’s $10 million contract, Tommy Kahnle, John Brebbia, Jose Urquidy and Charlie Morton are gone, saving the club $37 million after taking out Torres’ $15 million salary for 2025. Gleyber and Flaherty will consume that much and a bit more.
The Tigers then doubled down by resigning part time closer Kyle Finnegan for two seasons with an average annual value (AAV) of $9.5 million, plus an option for a third season with a buyout of $2.5 million. The club then signed closer Kenley Jansen for one year at $9 million, plus an option for $12 million or a $2 million buyout, for an AAV of $11 million.
WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE between major league (opening day) payroll and CBT payroll? There are three major differences between the two numbers.
-One is that, for tax purposes, player salaries are calculated using the average annual value (AAV), rather than just what they will be paid for the current season. So for example, Framber Valdez has a salary of $36.523 million for CBT purposes, although he will earn $22.826 million this season.
-The second difference is that all the players on the 40 man roster are included in CBT payroll, including those on injured reserve. The 14 minor league players add just under $4 million to the total.
-The third major difference is that each team pays about $18 million per season toward player benefits, plus $1.67 million toward the pre arbitration bonus pool, which are included in the CBT payroll number.
Most of the 14 players who are on the 40 man roster but not the major league roster will receive minor league pay, and accounts for less than $2.7 million in salaries, barring any players with guaranteed big league contracts who have been optioned. Cot’s does account for an average number of major league players being injured and replaced by others earning near major league minimum salary of $790,000. It does not account for in season moves, such as acquiring or trading away players during the season. That’s where the Tigers could put themselves into tax territory.
Following is a chart that shows the Tigers’ 2026 major league roster, salaries, and option status for the players on the 40 man roster.
Player
Position
Age
Service time
Options
2026 Salary
Contract
Skubal, Tarik
lhp-s
29
5.114
N/A
$32,000,000
1 y/$32M (26)
Báez, Javier
ss-cf
33
10.089
N/A
$24,000,000
6 y/$140M (22-27)
Torres, Gleyber
2b
29
7.162
N/A
$22,025,000
1 y/$22.025M (26)
Valdez, Framber*
lhp-s
32
6.163
N/A
$22,826,679
3 y/$115M (26-28)*
Flaherty, Jack
rhp-s
30
8.006
N/A
$20,000,000
2 y/$35M (25-26)
Jansen, Kenley
rhp-c
38
15.073
N/A
$9,000,000
1 y/$11M (26)+27 cl opt
Finnegan, Kyle
rhp
34
6.000
N/A
$8,750,000
2 y/$19M (26-27)+28 m opt
Verlander, Justin*
rhp-s
43
20.002
N/A
$7,859,347
1 y/$13M (26)*
Anderson, Drew
rhp
32
0.114
0 / 3
$7,000,000
1 y/$7M (26)+27 cl opt
Mize, Casey
rhp-s
29
5.111
N/A
$6,150,000
1 y/$6.15M (26)
Greene, Riley
lf
25
3.110
3 / 3
$5,000,000
1 y/$5M (26)
Keith, Colt
1b
24
2.000
3 / 3
$4,333,333
6 y/$28,642,500 (24-29)+opts
McKinstry, Zach
2b
31
4.099
0 / 3
$4,200,000
1 y/$4.2M (26)
Torkelson, Spencer
1b
26
3.076
1 / 3
$4,075,000
1 y/$4.075M (26)
Vest, Will
rhp
31
4.100
2 / 3
$3,950,000
1 y/$3.95M (26)
Carpenter, Kerry
rf
28
3.057
3 / 3
$3,275,000
1 y/$3.275M (26)
Vierling, Matt
rf
29
4.026
1 / 3
$3,225,000
1 y/$3.225M (26)
Rogers, Jake
c
31
5.040
2 / 3
$3,050,000
1 y/$3.05M (26)
Holton, Tyler
lhp
29
3.047
2 / 3
$1,575,000
1 y/$1.575M (26)
Brieske, Beau
rhp
28
3.056
1 / 3
$1,157,500
1 y/$1,157,500 (26)
Olson, Reese
rhp-s
26
2.123
2 / 3
$800,001
1 y (26)
Dingler, Dillon
c
27
1.063
2 / 3
$790,001
1 y (26)
Hanifee, Brenan
rhp
28
1.069
2 / 3
$790,001
1 y (26)
Hurter, Brant
lhp
27
1.042
2 / 3
$790,001
1 y (26)
Jobe, Jackson
rhp-s
23
1.006
3 / 3
$790,001
1 y (26)
Jones, Jahmai
2b
28
1.148
0 / 3
$790,001
1 y (26)
Meadows, Parker
cf
26
1.169
1 / 3
$790,001
1 y (26)
Horn, Bailey
lhp
28
0.102
1 / 3
$780,001
1 y (26)
McGonigle, Kevin
ss
21
0.000
3 / 3
$780,001
1 y (26)
Melton, Troy
rhp
25
0.068
3 / 3
$780,001
1 y (26)
Cruz, Trei
cf
27
0.000
3 / 3
$63,600
1 y (26)
De Jesus, Enmanuel
lhp
29
0.024
3 / 3
$1,300,000
1 y/$1.3M (26)
Gipson-Long, Sawyer
rhp
28
2.017
3 / 3
$361,789
1 y (26)
Jung, Jace
2b
25
0.079
2 / 3
$127,100
1 y (26)
Lee, Hao-Yu
2b
23
0.000
3 / 3
$63,600
1 y (26)
Liranzo, Thayron
c
22
0.000
3 / 3
$63,600
1 y (26)
Madden, Ty
rhp
26
1.035
3 / 3
$380,700
1 y (26)
Miller, Jake
lhp
25
0.000
3 / 3
$63,600
1 y (26)
Montero, Keider
rhp
25
1.011
1 / 3
$298,054
1 y (26)
Pérez, Wenceel
cf
26
2.000
2 / 3
$385,350
1 y (26)
Smith, Dylan
rhp
26
0.020
2 / 3
$127,100
1 y (26)
Sommers, Drew
lhp
25
0.032
3 / 3
$127,100
1 y (26)
Sweeney, Trey
ss
26
1.042
3 / 3
$351,028
1 y (26)
Valencia, Eduardo
c-1b
26
0.000
3 / 3
$63,600
1 y (26)
Source: Cot’s contracts;
Salaries
-The major league minimum salary is $780,000 for the 2026 season, in the last year of the current collective bargaining agreement. That is an increase of $20,000 from 2025.
This does NOT include pre- arbitration bonuses that were earned, for example by six Tigers’ players for the 2025 season:
Dillon Dingler — $549,351
Riley Greene — $378,111
Spencer Torkelson — $318,620
Colt Keith — $224,454
Reese Olson — $224,416
Wenceel Pérez — ~$219,000
These bonuses are paid out of a pool which is funded by all 30 MLB clubs.
The Tigers had 25 players on the 40 man roster in 2025 who earned near league minimum while in the majors, and minor league salary while optioned to the minors. That number is down to just six players on the major league roster plus another 14 players on the 40 man roster, projected for the 2026 season.
The Tigers will have at least three players- Jackson Jobe, Troy Melton and Reese Olson, who will start the season on the 60 day injured list, which will open two spots on the 40 man roster. Jobe may return later in the season, but Olson isn’t expected back until 2027. Melton could return by the end of May.
Options
A player may be optioned in three seasons in his career without clearing waivers. Only one option is used per season, so once a player on the 40-man roster is sent down, they can be freely moved between the majors and minors (after the requisite 10-day waiting period) up to five times in a given season. A player must be on optional assignment for at least 20 days to be charged with an option year.
Three Tigers are “out of options”, meaning that they can not be sent to the minor leagues without first being designated for assignment and clearing waivers. Those players are Zack McKinstry, Jahmai Jones, and Drew Anderson. Expect those players to have an edge on making the team versus a player who has options left.
In addition, any player with five years of service time may not be sent to the minor leagues without his consent. The ten Tigers in that category are Javier Baez, Justin Verlander, Gleyber Torres, Tarik Skubal, Jake Rogers, Framber Valdez, Casey Mize, Jack Flaherty, Kenley Jansen, and Kyle Finnegan.
Players with at least five years of major league service time can’t be optioned without their consent. They are noted with “NA” in the options column above. Detroit has eight players who have reached the five year milestone.
Players optioned this spring will not have their option counted until they remain in the minor leagues for 20 days. Those numbers will change shortly for those players unless they are called up to Detroit.
Outright Assignment
When a player is out of options, he must be taken off the 40-man roster, designated for assignment, and clear waivers before he can be sent outright to the minor leagues. A player who has been previously outrighted at any time in his career may decline the assignment and become a free agent immediately, or after the season if he is not returned to the 40 man roster.
For example, Jahmai Jones has not only used up his quota of options in his career, but he was also outrighted in 2024 by the New York Yankees, so he has the right to decline an outright assignment for the remainder of his career, either immediately or at the end of the season- the latter provided that he is not returned to the club’s 40 man roster.
A player who declines an outright assignment may lose any non guaranteed salary remaining on his contract.
Payroll
This would not be the first time that the Tigers paid a luxury tax. In 2008, which was Miguel Cabrera’s first season in Detroit, the club had a payroll of $ 161.8 million with a tax threshold of $155 million, so they paid a 22 percent tax on the overage for a penalty of $1.3 million. For the duration of Dave Dombrowski’s tenure in Detroit, the club avoided paying a luxury tax. In the first two seasons under Al Avila, as general manager, in 2016t and 2017,the club paid a taxes of $4 million and $3.66 million. For the record, the payroll was under the tax threshold prior to Avila’s signings in his first two seasons as GM.
While the Tigers’ payroll ranks 10th among the 30 MLB teams in 2026- both for opening day salaries and CBT payroll, the remainder of teams in their division rank in the bottom half of MLB. The Royals rank 18th and $143million. The Twins are 23rd, the White Sox 28th and Cleveland 29th with a payroll of just $77 million for opening day, or $94 M for CBT calculations. The median team payroll in major league baseball is around $200 million.
The 2027 class of Tigers free agents is a significant group, with Tarik Skubal, Casey Mize, Gleyber Torrez, Jack Flaherty, Jake Rogers, and Justin Verlander all eligible for free agency barring a contract extension. The 2027 arbitration class potentially includes 13 players.
Javy Baez, Framber Valdez, Kyle Finnegan and Colt Keith are the only Tigers with guaranteed contracts after the 2026 season, so the team will have a ton of payroll flexibility into the future. Obviously they’ll also have a lot of work to do to build a new starting rotation for 2027.
PEORIA, ARIZONA - MARCH 14: Gavin Sheets #30 of the San Diego Padres jogs to the dugout during a Spring Training game against the Cleveland Guardians at Peoria Stadium on March 14, 2026 in Peoria, Arizona. (Photo by Brandon Sloter/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The San Diego Padres suffered an 11-1 drubbing at the hands of the Arizona Diamondbacks in their Cactus League meeting at the Peoria Sports Complex on Sunday. Walker Buehler took the mound for his finals start of spring and looked good through two innings despite allowing a run. He ran into trouble in the third and fourth innings, allowing three runs in each inning as Arizona jumped out to a 7-0 lead after four innings. San Diego added its lone run of the game in the bottom of the fourth inning when Gavin Sheets blasted his fourth home run of the spring to make the score, 7-1. Buehler completed 3.1 innings and allowed seven runs on 11 hits with one walk and three strikeouts. The real concerning part of the outing for Buehler was he allowed four home runs during his time on the mound. Matt Waldron was also touched up by the Diamondbacks. He allowed four runs on three hits with three walks and four strikeouts over three innings pitched. San Diego plays its final game of spring against the Seattle Mariners at the Peoria Sports Complex at 12:10 p.m.
Sung-Mun Song was signed as a free agent out of Korea and was expected to fill the utility infielder role for San Diego. Song has been working through an oblique injury for much of the offseason and will start the year on the IL, which means the Padres will have a different look to their roster than what was expected at the outset of Spring Training.
The Padres have seen the benefit of scoring runs early; it takes pressure off the offense and gives the pitching staff room for error and the ability to pitch with a lead. San Diego has to figure out how to do so more consistently as the Padres prepare for the start of the 2026 season.
New York Yankees manager Aaron Boone announced Sunday that the Yankees will employ a four-man rotation to start the season, which means Luis Gil does not have spot in the rotation after Max Fried, Cam Schlittler, Will Warren and Ryan Weathers. He could potentially start the season in the minors.
Craig Kimbrel had a difficult spring with the New York Mets and will not make their Opening Day roster. In other Mets news, free agent signee Mike Tauchman had surgery to repair a meniscus tear, which means prospect Carson Benge should be on the Opening Day roster.
DUNEDIN, FLORIDA - MARCH 14, 2026: Tarik Skubal #29 of the Detroit Tigers walks off the field after the fourth inning of a spring training game against the Toronto Blue Jays at TD Ballpark on March 14, 2026 in Dunedin, Florida. (Photo by Nick Cammett/Diamond Images via Getty Images) | Diamond Images/Getty Images
The Tigers are the presumptive favorite to win the American League Central in 2026. After an offseason that saw the rest of the division make relatively little noise in free agency, the Tigers landed one of the biggest fish on the market, catapulting themselves atop every predictor’s division favorite, but is there trouble in paradise?
ADDITIONS
Offensively, the Tigers were mostly quiet. Detroit retained Gleyber Torres who accepted his qualifying offer to remain a Tiger, and then they nabbed short side platoon outfielder Austin Slater on a minor league deal.
On the pitching side of things, they were much louder. The Tigers went out and made upgrades to their rotation and bullpen, bringing back 43 year-old Justin Verlander for what seems to be a swan song in a Hall of Fame career. A late Spring injury to Troy Melton has made Verlander more of a necessity than depth. However, their big spending came by way of Framber Valdez, an infamous ghoul in the nightmares of Guardians fans, who inked a three year, 115 million-dollar contract with the Tigers earlier this year.
Detroit re-signed Kyle Finnegan to a two-year deal and also went out and nabbed another potential future Hall of Famer in the twilight of his career in Kenley Jansen to shore up the back of their bullpen. Jansen, 38, is coming off a solid season for the Angels, racking up 29 saves, putting him just 24 away from the all elusive 500 Save Club. Jansen saw diminished stuff in 2025 while posting career worst hard hit rates, strikeout rates, and home run rates.
SUBTRACTIONS
Detroit didn’t lose much at all in the grand scheme of things. Chris Paddack signed with the Marlins after a brutal second half of 2025 with Detroit, Tommy Kahnle signed with Boston, and Paul Sewald went back to Arizona. Suffice to say, Detroit upgraded significantly across the board with their pitching.
STORYLINES
THE SKUBAL SAGA
There are three main questions for the Detroit Tigers in 2026, and they all revolve around one man. Are they willing to pay Tarik Skubal what he wants? If they’re doing what they’re projected to and leading the division by the trade deadline, how aggressive are they in pursuing offensive upgrades? Lastly, what if they underwhelm?
That first question…we seem to have an answer already. The aforementioned upgrades to the pitching staff have a top tier frontline duo with aces Skubal and Valdez leading the charge, but with Detroit willing to pay big money in the short-term for Valdez with the way the contract is laid out, the writing seems to be on the wall for Skubal despite his best intentions of wanting to stay. Valdez will sit at roughly 36.5 million dollar AAV with a 2028 player option and 2029 mutual option, and, per Spotrac, Valdez will be lighter on the books in 2026 at just $22.8M before vaulting up to a price tag north of $40M in 2027, coinciding with the likely departure of Tarik Skubal.
The second question becomes paramount as Detroit’s pitching should lead them through the AL Central with inadequate pushback, so for this answer, we’re operating under the assumption that they do just that. With one of the deeper farm systems in baseball rich with bats, Detroit has a chance to make a big splash for a big bat this coming deadline to vault themselves into serious World Series discussions. That being said, even if they played their hand ultra aggressively, Kevin McGonigle is likely off the table. McGonigle has become a consensus top three prospect in all of baseball with the best bat across the entire minor leagues. He will not only not play a part in any trade talks, but he likely factors into Detroit’s success in 2026 in a big way, most likely at shortstop.
From there, the big trade pieces immediately become centerfielder Max Clark and shortstop Bryce Rainer. Among the very best prospects under 21 in all of baseball, no team in the sport outside of the Dodgers wield chips with that kind of power. Detroit will likely be looking for outfield upgrades, and they boast plenty of other pieces worthy of luring in such as catching prospects Josue Briceño and Thayron Liranzo as well as infielders Jordan Yost, Max Anderson, and Hao-Yu Lee. On top of that, a necessity to be aggressive stems from the extreme likelihood that Skubal doesn’t re-sign, and they’ll want to push all these chips into the middle of the table for one big run.
Lastly, what does this look like if they falter? Skubal’s clock to clock out is only winding down. Should Detroit sit around .500, struggling to grasp a stronghold of the AL Central or worse come the end of July, that ticking clock begins to sound more and more like a time bomb as the trade deadline approaches, and whichever direction they go will define their front office’s tenure.
A Skubal trade, after signing Framber Valdez and bringing Verlander back for One Last Ride™, would signify a waiving of the white flag for 2026 and mark a colossal failure after already failing to capitalize on their success both last offseason and last deadline before their embarrassing collapse cost them the AL Central. Yes, they were a game away from the ALCS, but coming from a Guardians fan, that rebuttal isn’t good enough and never has been.
Every team has needs it has to be willing to address, and while GM Jeff Greenberg and President of Baseball Operations sat on their hands and made small, cost-friendly moves to add depth to their pitching staff (Finnegan, Morton, Paddack, Sewald, Montero) last deadline, it was their offense that fell off a cliff after signs of a nose dive were met with blind eyes from their front office. That can’t happen anymore if Detroit has its eyes on bigger prizes with such little time to reach them with their best player. While they have built a strong farm system, nothing is ever a guarantee, so I would expect Detroit to be aggressive at the deadline regardless of their positioning in the standings.
LINEUP
*fWAR projections per FanGraphs
24.8 projected fWAR — 15th in MLB
C: Dillon Dingler (3.0 in 429 PA) // Jake Rogers (1.1 in 192 PA) — Dingler’s emergence for Detroit was a game changer for them in ‘25. Posting a 109 wRC+ with strong defense, Dingler’s 4.1 fWAR was the best from a Tigers’ backstop in over a decade. 1B: Spencer Torkelson (1.9 fWAR in 637 PA) — Torkelson put together a mostly complete season in ‘25, but as his power production waned towards the end of the season’s Detroit’s as a team did as well. He’s become good for 30 home runs a season when healthy, and he will continue to project towards that in 2026. 2B: Gleyber Torres (3.1 fWAR in 658 PA) — Retaining Gleyber Torres was vital to Detroit’s offense. It kept them from having to throw everything at Kevin McGonigle right away while simultaneously allowing them to throw everything at Kevin McGonigle while protecting him. Torres had a rough second half, but the bat is strong enough to hover above 110 wRC+. SS: Kevin McGonigle (3.3 fWAR in 532 PA) // Javier Báez (0.5 fWAR in 420 PA) — McGonigle is not guaranteed an Opening Day roster spot, but he will assume the lion’s share of reps at shortstop when he is eventually called up possibly in May (expect some service time shenanigans here). FanGraphs believes his bat will play right out of the chute, and I do as well. He’s as polished of an all-around hitting prospect as there’s been in a little bit and will help lead Detroit to a likely spot in the Postseason. 3B: Colt Keith (2.1 fWAR in 497 PA) // Zach McKinstry (1.1 fWAR in 406 PA) — Keith likely assumes third base and will need to turn his bat back around after being one of the key cogs to Detroit’s collapse in the second half of ‘25 before finding himself on the IL. McKinstry will likely bounce around the field where needed. Similar to Keith, McKinstry struggled mightily in the second half, watching his OPS drop 180 points. Despite that, he’s made himself a valuable utility piece for the Tigers. LF: Riley Greene (3.5 fWAR in 651 PA) — Greene’s All-Star 2025 campaign saw him receive MVP votes for the first time as well as his first Silver Slugger award. He also led the AL in strikeouts while watching his slugging percentage fall from .544 in the first half to .415 in the second half. Greene has to find consistency in the middle of Detroit’s lineup in order for them to be a real AL threat. CF: Parker Meadows (1.5 fWAR in 420 PA) // Javier Báez — Center field is a major question mark for the Tigers right now. Meadows put together a good 2024 (110 wRC+) after being called up, and expectations were high rolling into ‘25. Injuries and poor performance saw him go from 2.2 fWAR in 298 PA in ‘24 to 0.2 fWAR in 213 PA in ‘25. Meadows grades out as a good defender in center field, and if his bat can creep back up towards league average, Detroit has a quality center fielder here. Baez will likely see more time here in platoon matchups. RF: Wenceel Pérez (0.8 fWAR in 371 PA) // Matt Vierling (0.4 fWAR in 280 PA) — Detroit will continue to roll with their platoon-dependent outfield, and it will continue to be an area of needed improvement. DH: Kerry Carpenter (1.7 fWAR in 490 PA) // Colt Keith // Jahmai Jones(0.4 fWAR in 133 PA) — Detroit got a lot out of their Carpenter platoons in 2025 and were a big reason for their success through October. Carpenter will of course see time in the outfield, primarily right field, but his continued struggles in the field lean to more of a DH role. His continued problems against lefties led to a Jahmai Jones resurgence in 2025, and he will look to follow up his fantastic 159 wRC+ as a short-side platoon option in ‘26.
ROTATION
*fWAR projections per FanGraphs
ROTATION: 17.4 projected fWAR — 2nd in MLB SP1: Tarik Skubal (2.67 ERA, 6.3 fWAR across 200 IP) SP2: Framber Valdez (3.41 ERA, 3.6 fWAR across 195 IP) SP3: Jack Flaherty (4.01 ERA, 2.5 fWAR across 160 IP) SP4: Casey Mize (4.05 ERA, 2.0 fWAR across 145 IP) SP5: Justin Verlander (4.31 ERA, 1.7 fWAR across 141 IP) Depth: Drew Anderson (3.95 ERA, 0.7 fWAR across 82 IP) Injured: Troy Melton (4.03 ERA, 0.3 fWAR across 52 IP) BULLPEN: 2.7 projected fWAR — 18th in MLB CP: Kenley Jansen (4.10 ERA, 0.3 fWAR across 60 IP) Will Vest (3.29 ERA, 1.2 fWAR across 68 IP) Tyler Holton (3.65 ERA, 0.4 fWAR across 72 IP) Kyle Finnegan (3.92 ERA, 0.3 fWAR across 64 IP) Keider Montero (4.40 ERA, 0.2 fWAR across 55 IP) Brenan Hanifee (3.91 ERA, 0.2 fWAR across 58 IP) Brant Hurter (3.75 ERA, 0.1 fWAR across 52 IP) Beau Brieske (4.55 ERA, 0.0 fWAR across 50 IP) Enmanuel De Jesus (4.33 ERA, 0.0 fWAR across 42 IP) Bailey Horn (4.40 ERA, 0.0 fWAR across 32 IP)
The Detroit Pistons have been able to stay afloat without star Cade Cunningham in the lineup the last two games.
Monday’s home matchup with the scalding-hot Los Angeles Lakers will be the toughest test for a shorthanded Detroit squad, which needs small forward Ausar Thompson to step up his scoring against this high-octane L.A. offense.
Thompson’s touches and field goal attempts spiked last time out, and our Lakers vs. Pistons predictions and NBA picks see him playing a bigger role tonight, which so happens to be “Ausar Thompson Bobblehead Night” at Little Caesars Arena.
Lakers vs Pistons prediction
Lakers vs Pistons best bet: Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points (-120)
Ausar Thompson grabbed a shovel last time out, with his touches increasing alongside his shooting activity. He finished just 4-for-10 for eight points over 25 minutes in a one-sided win against Golden State.
Thompson has been on a minutes restriction since returning from a sprained ankle earlier this month, but with Cunningham out and the L.A. Lakers' high-octane offense on deck, Detroit needs his defensive and offensive output.
Player forecasts all sit north of 9.5 points from Thompson, with a ceiling of 13.3.
Lakers vs Pistons same-game parlay
The Pistons are outgunned against the Lakers without Cunningham. Game models call for a close L.A. victory, with the Purple and Gold extending their winning streak to 10 games.
Meanwhile, Luka Doncic is making a late push for MVP, scoring 30+ in nine straight games. The Pistons will focus their energy on taking the ball away from Luka. His projections still call for 30 points — just not 33.
Lakers vs Pistons SGP
Lakers moneyline
Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points
Luka Doncic Under 32.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Get your motor running!
With Cunningham out, Detroit needs others to pick up the scoring slack. On top of Thompson’s added touches, Daniss Jenkins is getting more minutes and looks from long range. Game models have this non-conference clash tipping the total and going Over 226.5.
Lakers vs Pistons SGP
Pistons +2
Over 226.5
Ausar Thompson Over 9.5 points
Daniss Jenkins Over 1.5 threes
Lakers vs Pistons odds
Spread: Lakers -2 | Pistons +2
Moneyline: Lakers -130 | Pistons +110
Over/Under: Over 226.5 | Under 226.5
Lakers vs Pistons betting trend to know
The Pistons are 10-2 SU and ATS as underdogs this season, including 3-1 SU and ATS as home pups. Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Pistons.
How to watch Lakers vs Pistons
Location
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date
Monday, March 23, 2026
Tip-off
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
Spectrum SportsNet, FDSN-Detroit
Lakers vs Pistons latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
BOSTON, MA - MARCH 22: Jayson Tatum #0 of the Boston Celtics tries to get untangled from Jaden McDaniels #3 of the Minnesota Timberwolves during the second half at TD Garden on March 22, 2026 in Boston, Massachusetts. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and/or using this Photograph, user is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo By Winslow Townson/Getty Images) | Getty Images
BOSTON — Everyone has something to say about Jayson Tatum’s return to the court. That’s the reality of the world we live in, after all: basketball is consumed by millions of fans worldwide, and the media’s job is to discuss the most hot-button topics, sometimes ad nauseam.
Tatum gets it worse than most: he plays for the Celtics, on one of the brightest stages in basketball, and in a city where athletes’ every moves are especially-scrutinized. He’s long been one of the sport’s best players. And, he’s coming back from what’s widely regarded as one of the worst injuries in basketball. So, it’s no surprise that his rehab and return have been one of the biggest stories in the NBA this season.
As a member of the media, I’ve had to speculate about, talk about, and write about Tatum’s journey back to basketball for more hours than I could possibly count. I recognize the irony of a media member sharing this message, but I’ll share it anyway:
Now is not the time to scrutinize Jayson Tatum’s on-court play.
That’s not because he can’t handle the scrutiny; he can, and he knows it’s a part of the job. But, it’s because dissecting his every move — his shooting numbers, his efficiency, his usage — completely loses sight of the big picture.
The big picture is this: Tatum tore his Achilles tendon last May and returned to the floor less than 10 months after suffering the injury. He’s been back on the court for less than three weeks. The choice to re-acclimate (and, unavoidably, struggle) in the public eye was a brave one, and, though it’s not unheard of to do so, it’s also very uncommon for a player of his caliber to return as quickly as he did.
Take a look at three other former NBA All-Stars who suffered the same injury in 2025: Dejounte Murray (injured in January), Damian Lillard (injured in April), and Tyrese Haliburton (injured in June). Lillard and Haliburton were immediately ruled out of the 2025-2026 season, while Murray rehabbed for 13 months — nearly four more than Tatum — before returning to the floor.
Tatum did not give himself that same grace; he opted to work tirelessly to lace up for the Celtics this season, knowing that a playoff run was ahead. A part of why he was able to pull that off is because, by all accounts, he has a wonderful training and medical staff around him — Celtics trainer Nick Sang is the mastermind behind his rehab, and his surgeon, Dr. Martin O’Malley, is considered to be among the best in the world.
But a big reason why he is where he is is due to his courage. Tatum recognized the Celtics were in position to make a real run at a championship, and decided he’d give whatever he could to the team, even if it wouldn’t always be perfect. The Celtics held the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference, and Tatum knew that he could come back and contribute, even if it wasn’t seamless right away.
Sunday night against the Minnesota Timberwolves wasn’t perfect. Tatum was scoreless in the first half — a rarity in his career — but found his rhythm in the third quarter, when he erupted for 13 points. He finished the game with 16 points, 11 rebounds, 2 assists, and 2 steals, converting on 6 of 16 field goal attempts.
Throughout the game, there were moments where the Celtics star was clearly frustrated, particularly early on. Asked whether he was giving himself grace during this stretch, he was honest.
“I didn’t know how this shit was going to be,” Tatum said. “It’s tough in the moment, right? You try not to think about it. You just want to be Jayson Tatum and feel like yourself again. I’m not Superman, so it’s obviously gonna take some time. I think the next day, I can give myself a little more grace over certain things, but in the moment, it’s frustrating.”
Asked Jayson Tatum if he feels like he’s giving himself grace throughout this stretch:
“It’s tough in the moment, right? You try not to think about it. You just want to be Jayson Tatum and feel like yourself again. I'm not Superman, so it's obviously gonna take some time. I… pic.twitter.com/b2pugYNgNn
That’s only human, and it’s commendable that Tatum is willing to give us a glimpse into his mindset as he learns to regain full trust in his body. At the same time, it’s our responsibility to recognize that the fact he’s even able to be out there is incredible and a testament to his work ethic — 7 months ago, he was in a boot, and now he’s dunking in an NBA game, battling against some of the greatest athletes on this planet.
His teammates recognize that he could have just taken the summer to get his on-court reps in in private. Jaylen Brown praised Tatum for making the decision to return to the Celtics as soon as he was able to.
“Him even wanting to come back is an unselfish act,” Brown said on the Vince Carter and Tracy McGrady podcast earlier this month, just a few days before Tatum made his debut. “[He’s] putting potentially his body on the line in order for us to accomplish something great.”
That’s exactly the way that we on the outside need to assess Tatum’s long road back to being Jayson Tatum.
Tatum’s rehab occurred behind closed doors, in private, in an empty gym, away from the gaze of the public. We didn’t see every struggle, only what he chose to include in his docuseries. But his on-court re-acclimation is taking place on national television (and it seems like every day, another one of the Celtics’ games is being flexed onto national TV).
He didn’t give himself much time to re-acclimate in private.
Tatum’s first real 5-on-5 scrimmage came on February 9th, when the Maine Celtics came down to Boston for a special game at the Auerbach Center. Less than one month later, he took the TD Garden parquet in a March 6th game against the Dallas Mavericks, in one of the most highly-anticipated games of the NBA season.
There have been some great moments since his return, and some struggles. He had a 12-point first quarter against the Cleveland Cavaliers, displayed hot outside shooting against the Golden State Warriors last week, and showed some flashes of tremendous defense.
He’s been a beast on the glass — he’s already re-established himself as the Celtics’ leading rebounder — and some stretches where he’s displayed the playmaking chops that make him one of the most versatile players in the game.
“He’s giving the game what it needs,” Joe Mazzulla said last week of Tatum.
There have also been some stretches where Tatum has looked a bit tentative, where his timing and rhythm has been noticeably off. That could be a result of his own physical and mental hurdles, and it could also be a result of the team trying to figure out how to implement him best (Does he have the ball enough? Is he getting it in the right spots? It’s hard for me on the outside to say for certain, because I’m not privy to the conversations going on behind closed doors).
Tatum, for one, is letting it all come to him.
“I’m just taking it day-by-day. I had probably the worst injury you can have. I came back in 10 months and am getting better, [I have a] better feel each game. I want it to be perfect — First Team All-NBA Jayson, like that,” he said, snapping his finger. “I didn’t rush the rehab, so I can’t rush this. It’s all going to work out.”
For what it’s worth: Tatum is averaging 19.1 points — second-most on the team — and still drawing plenty of double-teams when the ball is in his hands. Yes, his efficiency is down; he’s shooting 38.8% from the field and 29.3% from three. But the sample on those numbers is so small that, in my view, they are pretty much irrelevant.
His usage rate is down from last season, but not by as much as you’d think — last year, Tatum’s usage was a 31.1%, this year’s it’s slightly dipped to 30.2%. Though it feels like a noticeable decline, he’s attempting 17.4 shots per game, only 0.4 fewer than his career averages.
And, while in totality, he hasn’t looked exactly like pre-injury Jayson Tatum yet, the most encouraging thing is that, in spurts, he has. Those moments, those plays where he does fully look like himself? He points them out to Sang, one of his closest friends and confidants, for reference.
“There’s a lot of things I talk to Nick about, just things that I notice throughout a game — certain plays, certain moments of contact, explosion, attacking, getting downhill, the pace and speed of certain plays that just felt really normal, felt really good, or I didn’t think about it at all,” he said. “Just finding more and more moments of those from game to game — that gets me really excited.”
The NBA playoffs are less than a month away. And, Tatum will continue to ramp up his minutes and play in the days ahead. He’ll do so in the public eye, where every missed shot is at risk of becoming the front story on ESPN, where every sigh and emotion will be dissected by viewers at home.
He knew that would be part of the deal, and he opted to return anyway, even though his first five months of 5-on-5 scrimmaging could have occurred in private. He made the courageous decision to return anyway, because he’s a competitor. Because he loves basketball. Because he knows he can elevate this Celtics team even further.
For now, he’s leaning on those around him — his mom, his 8-year-old son Deuce, his medical staff — as he continues to publicly work through what’s undoubtedly been the biggest hurdle in his basketball career.
“That’s the first time I went through something like this,” Tatum said. ”It’s been a long time — a long time before I could shoot a basketball, before I could walk.”
PITTSBURGH, PA - DECEMBER 30: Sidney Crosby #87 of the Pittsburgh Penguins skates against the Carolina Hurricanes at PPG PAINTS Arena on December 30, 2025 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/NHLI via Getty Images) | NHLI via Getty Images
The Pittsburgh Penguins March schedule was always going to be daunting, and they are almost through it. So far, all things considered, they have handled it mostly okay, especially given the absences of Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin for a significant part of it. I said at the beginning if they could just play .500 or better hockey, they should be fine and maintain their playoff position. They have done that. At least to this point.
Even the past five games have been a pretty significant success. Sunday’s game against the Carolina Hurricanes was a total no-show, but even with that they still managed to get seven out of a possible 10 points. That is more than enough, and if they get seven out of the next 10 points they are still going to be in great shape.
I said on social media on Sunday you need to do yourself a favor and not look at every individual game as a must-win game and ride that roller coaster, but look at these games as groups of games and accumulated point totals. You get seven out of every 10 points, you are in. Even if they get six out of every 10 points, you are probably in.
I know it seems like nobody in the Eastern Conference ever loses, and that none of these teams will ever lose again, but I promise you, they are. If for no other reason than a lot of them play each other quite a bit over the next few weeks. Everybody around the Penguins also plays one of the toughest schedules in the NHL.
Right now the playoff cut-line in the Eastern Conference is 98 points. I suspect it might even come down a little bit as the next few weeks progress and some of these teams actually lose some games (and they will). But let’s just say 98 points is what you need. That is six more wins for the Penguins. That is not an overly high bar, even with the schedule (which, after getting through the past week, is now only the 11th toughest remaining schedule in the NHL instead of the absolute toughest).
They also, at the moment, hold the tie-breaker over almost every team behind them and chasing them.
So let’s just look at this as a math problem and what every team behind them would need to do record-wise (the required points percentage is in parenthesis) to pass them if they win between four and seven more games the rest of the way.
Realistically speaking I think this is a race between the Penguins, Columbus Blue Jackets, New York Islanders Boston Bruins and Detroit Red Wings. Four of those five teams are going to make the playoffs. All the Penguins have to do is not finish in last among that group. Again, not an overly high bar. It is reachable. All of those teams have more difficult remaining schedules, and there are also a LOT of head-to-head games in there for all of those teams. The Penguins play the Islanders and Red Wings one more time each. Those games can go a long way toward determining things. Detroit plays Columbus and Ottawa one more time each, and Philadelphia three more times. Somebody is going to lose those games. Columbus plays Boston twice, along with its game against Detroit, and that does not get into the two games it also has against Carolina and its two road games at Montreal. Somebody is going to lose THOSE games.
The Ottawa Senators are lurking on the fringes. Maybe they can keep playing their way back in, but that is still a lot of work to do.
The Philadelphia Flyers and Washington Capitals just seem like they have way too much ground to make up. The Flyers would probably have to sweep all three of those games against the Red Wings, preferably (for their sake) in regulation.
You can follow sports however you want, but instead of sweating the standings every night and with every result, just focus on a target goal. Basically, if the Penguins win six more games and get to 98 points, they most likely get in. Especially if one or two of those wins come against the Islanders and/or Red Wings. If they win seven more games, get to 100 points, and somehow still do not make the playoffs I would not know what else to say except, “that’s just messed up and some really bad luck.” In the salary cap era no team has ever had even 98 points and missed the playoffs. Only two teams have ever had 96 points and missed the playoffs.
Can they start stacking some more of those wins this week?
Well, that is going to be tough, because it is another daunting week on the schedule.
It begins on Tuesday night with their second game against the Colorado Avalanche in a little more than a week. The Penguins won the first meeting in Colorado by a 7-2 margin in a game that I am not quite sure was as lopsided as the final score would indicate. They are almost certainly going to get a much better effort from the Avalanche in this game, and they better be ready for it. Performances like they had over the weekend (even in the win against the Winnipeg Jets) are not going to be good enough. The one thing to take into account here is that Colorado has looked a little more mortal in recent weeks. After starting the season 31-2-7, the Avalanche are 15-11-3 in the 29 games that have followed. Still good. Just not quite as dominant. They look a little more beatable right now.
On Thursday the Penguins have a big Eastern Conference game at Ottawa. Even though I am not quite sold at the moment on the Senators still being *in* the playoff race, they are better than their record indicates and they have given the Penguins fits in their two previous meetings this season. The Penguins also never seem to win in Ottawa. This would be a good game to have, especially since it is sandwiched between two extraordinarily tough Western Conference games.
After playing in Ottawa on Thursday, the Penguins return home on Saturday to play the Dallas Stars who will be in the middle of a four-game, Eastern Conference road trip. Dallas is one of the best teams in hockey, and has quite honestly been the better team between them and Colorado over the past two months, even with some big injury issues. The Penguins outplayed Dallas in their first meeting this season (in Dallas) only to give up a late third period goal and lose in a shootout. In all honesty, I would take that result again in this game. Every point matters.
After playing Dallas on Saturday, they have another huge Eastern Conference game on Monday night against the New York Islanders to open the next week.
This is going to be a tough week, and arguably just as tough, if not tougher, than the past week. If they can get three out of these six points I would consider that a win for the week. With this schedule you just have to get through it. Especially when a lot of the teams in the playoff race are all playing against each other this week. Somebody is losing. Just maintain what you are doing. They mostly have.
If they are going to continue that, they are going to need a few things. The first is better goaltending than they have been getting over the past few games. The second is better defensive play in front of those goalies and way fewer turnovers and mistakes. That is kind of why I think Sunday’s game could have been something they needed. Some bad habits had been developing in recent games, but they were still getting results. Eventually bad process turns into a bad result. They got that on Sunday. It needs to be a lesson.
Pacers vs Magic best bet: Desmond Bane Over 20.5 points (-120)
Desmond Bane is averaging 20.4 PPG across 70 appearances in his first season with the Orlando Magic. In March, he’s averaging exactly 21 points per night.
The guard has cashed the Over in four of his last seven appearances, and he has played better at home, averaging 22.5 PPG compared to 19.5 on the road. Most notably, he’s averaged 24.5 PPG against the Indiana Pacers this season, who are losers of 16 straight contests.
Bane will have no issues delivering a big performance against an Indiana defense that ranks Bottom-4 in defensive efficiency.
Pacers vs Magic same-game parlay
Orlando is averaging 115.3 PPG, but it's up against a Pacers team allowing a minimum of 127 points across their last four contests.
Also, in their last matchup in January, the Magic dropped 135 points. Indiana is hopeless defensively, and this is a prime opportunity for Orlando’s offense to find their best again.
Jalen Suggs is averaging 5.3 dimes this season, and he’s cashed the Over in four of his last six outings. He’s averaging 5.8 assists at home compared to 4.5 on the road.
Pacers vs Magic SGP
Desmond Bane Over 20.5 points
Magic team total Over 122.5 points
Jalen Suggs Over 5.5 assists
Our "from downtown" SGP: I Put a Spell on You
Wendell Carter Jr. is averaging 12 PPG across two meetings with the Pacers in 2025-26, and he’s hit the Over in points in four of his last five. Two of those contests have been at home. He just scored 13 on Saturday against the Lakers.
Paolo Banchero has cooked Indiana this season, averaging 28.5 points and 4.5 assists against them in two matchups. Banchero is averaging 24.3 points and 5.0 dimes this month.
Pacers vs Magic SGP
Desmond Bane Over 20.5 points
Magic team total Over 122.5 points
Jalen Suggs Over 5.5 assists
Wendell Carter Jr. Over 11.5 points
Paolo Banchero Over 30.5 points + assists
Pacers vs Magic odds
Spread: Pacers +13 (-110) | Magic -13 (-110)
Moneyline: Pacers +575 | Magic -850
Over/Under: Over 233 (-110) | Under 233 (-110)
Pacers vs Magic betting trend to know
The Orlando Magic have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Magic.
How to watch Pacers vs Magic
Location
Kia Center, Orlando, FL
Date
Monday, March 23, 2026
Tip-off
7:00 p.m. ET
TV
FDSN-Indiana, FDSN-Florida
Pacers vs Magic latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.