Reds' Rhett Lowder faces hitters in simulated game, rehab assignment could be next

NEW YORK — Cincinnati Reds starter Rhett Lowder threw 45 pitches to hitters at Citi Field, the next step in his recovery from a right shoulder injury.

“Feels good,” he said. “I think we got a good grasp on it early.”

Lowder simulated three innings of work against a handful of Reds teammates, including outfielder Will Benson. Provided he comes out of the session feeling healthy over the next few days, Lowder likely would be scheduled to throw about 70 pitches for Triple-A Louisville at Memphis, a St. Louis Cardinals affiliate.

Cincinnati manager Terry Francona didn’t rule out the possibility Lowder could return to the Reds’ rotation after that one minor league rehabilitation start.

“I think there’s a lot of possibilities. Don’t know that we need to put the cart ahead of the horse. Getting him healthy is what’s really important,” Francona said before his team’s series finale against the New York Mets.

“The fact that he almost could keep throwing — I think he was out for only two or three days. That was all it was. So, he’s not building back up. They just really have been stressing and working on like, range of motion, activating the right muscles and trying to re-train that shoulder. Probably the best way I could say it. And he’s done a really good job.”

Lowder exited his May 7 outing against the Chicago Cubs in the fourth inning and was placed on the 15-day injured list May 13, retroactive to May 10, with right shoulder pain.

The 24-year-old rookie is 3-3 with a 5.40 ERA in eight starts this season and 5-5 with a 3.52 ERA in 14 career outings. He was selected seventh overall by Cincinnati in the 2023 amateur draft from Wake Forest.

Lowder made his major league debut in August 2024 and compiled a 1.17 ERA in six starts spanning 30 2/3 innings that year. But he didn’t pitch in the majors last season, missing time because of a right forearm strain and making only five minor league appearances.

How Valuable is Jesús Luzardo?

May 19, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies pitcher Jesús Luzardo (44) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images | Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

Quick: name the most valuable Phillies pitcher by Wins Above Replacement.

Well, that wasn’t very difficult, was it? You said Cristopher Sánchez so quick I barely had time to take a sip of my tea. That’s okay. The first question is the warm-up. Now name the second-most valuable.

Did you say Jesús Luzardo? Good/bad news: you’re right/wrong. He’s the second-most/fourth-most valuable pitcher on the Phillies by WAR. Actually, he’s the second-most/only the seventh-most valuable Phillie overall by WAR. Zack Wheeler has been on fire since he returned, but Luzardo still has produced more value/less than half as much value than him.

Don’t adjust your monitor: nothing is wrong with the above paragraph. All of those statements are true, simultaneously. And this isn’t some sort of Schrödinger’s Phillie, where Luzardo is both extremely valuable and somewhat less so until you open the box.

See, there’s two main types of WAR: FanGraphs WAR, or fWAR, and Baseball Reference WAR, or bWAR (sometimes rWAR). And they disagree on Luzardo. The fine folks at FanGraphs have Luzardo at 1.7 fWAR, trailing only Sánchez’s 2.8, and a bit ahead of Wheeler’s 1.4. Meanwhile, the renowned recorders at Baseball Reference have Luzardo at 1.0 bWAR, far behind Sánchez’s 3.7 and Wheeler’s 2.1. A difference of 0.7 WAR in the evaluation of Luzardo may not sound like a lot, but fWAR has him as more valuable than Wheeler so far, and bWAR has him as just about half as valuable. That’s a pretty sizable difference. So what’s going on here?

First, to level-set: this is not a case where either formulation of WAR is wrong. fWAR and bWAR, as we’ll get into shortly, are both setting out to measure the same thing— how valuable a given player is—, but through decidedly different approaches. Neither one is incorrect on Luzardo; they’re just defining value differently. Despite the title of this piece (lamentably straightforward, I was fresh out of puns), we’re not really going to be determining how valuable Luzardo is here. Rather, by taking a look at how the two main forms of WAR ended up disagreeing on Luzardo’s value, we’re going to get a more holistic sense of how he’s performed so far.

So, why do fWAR and bWAR diverge when it comes to Luzardo? It comes down to what inputs they use for assessing pitchers. fWAR for pitchers is based on Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP). FIP tries to eliminate the impact of defense by taking only the plays that are determined solely by the actions of the pitcher and the batter into account: strikeouts, walks, home runs, and hit by pitches (to be technical, FanGraphs treats infield flies as strikeouts when calculating FIP for fWAR purposes, whereas standard FIP doesn’t). bWAR, on the other hand, is based on runs allowed, and innings pitched. There’s more to the calculations than just that, of course. But that information is all we need to explain the variance on Luzardo.

Luzardo has been good to great at most of the things that go into FIP. His 27.7 K% is in the 84th percentile. His walk rate of 6.5% is in the 81st. His 0.73 HR/9 is tied for 21st among qualified pitchers, and the total number of gopher balls he’s allowed (5) doesn’t pop any eyes. He’s hit four batters so far, which is more than most pitchers, but that doesn’t seem to be dragging his FIP down (or up, rather) much. His FIP of 2.82 is ninth-best in baseball, and so it’s no surprise that he’s doing well in the FIP-based fWAR.

But you can see the caveat coming: FIP, and thus fWAR, doesn’t take into account batted balls other than homers. And you can’t tell the story of Luzardo’s season without discussing those. Luzardo has been solid at avoiding homers, but he’s too often been sent into spirals by balls in play. Of all the pitchers in baseball who’ve pitched enough to be deemed qualified for the leaderboards, only one has suffered a worse BABIP than Luzardo: pity the suffering (and wonderfully alliterative) Cade Cavalli. That alone can’t explain Luzardo’s performance so far; Sánchez has the fifth-highest BABIP against in baseball, and he’s doing things that are giving us cause to bring up Grover Cleveland Alexander and Carl Hubbell (not that it’s ever a bad time to discuss the old greats). But hits aren’t the statistic that goes into bWAR. Runs allowed are. Luzardo has stranded 67.1% of the baserunners who reached against him. That puts him at 66 of 76 qualified pitchers; no Phillies pitcher allows a greater proportion of his baserunners to score.

On the whole, Luzardo has allowed 32 runs across 61.2 innings pitched. Hence the relatively unenthusiastic rating of Luzardo by bWAR. Wheeler’s allowed 7 runs in 37.2 innings pitched, and that’s how he surpasses Luzardo in bWAR, even as he posts a lower K% and an only slightly lower BB%.

So, which WAR variant represents the real Luzardo? They both do. Luzardo is a pitcher who strikes out tons of batters and hands out walks like a dentist hands out Halloween candy. He’s also, at least in this campaign, a pitcher who’s prone to allowing runs, who lets a large proportion of his base runners pass Go, collecting their $200 along the way. That run-proneness may not last—his xERA of 3.15 is far lower than his actual ERA of 4.38, suggesting some bad luck—, but if we’re evaluating how he’s done so far, we have to take what actually happened into account.

To focus only on the runs allowed would be to ignore the excellent peripherals that showcase Luzardo’s obvious talent. To ignore them would be to ignore something that is quite obviously rather important to his job performance. “I’ve looked at life from both sides now”, sang Joni Mitchell. She certainly wasn’t referring to bWAR and fWAR. But you ought to follow her example when evaluating Luzardo.

Ranking every MLB team by their Mets rivalry

Apr 30, 2021; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; The benches clear after Philadelphia Phillies relief pitcher Jos Alvarado (46) struck out New York Mets left fielder Dominic Smith (2) during the eighth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Kam Nedd-Imagn Images

Earlier this month, MLB held its second annual “Rivalry Weekend,” primarily pairing teams with inter-league geographic rivals. The Mets played the Yankees, the Dodgers played the Angels, the Cubs played the White Sox, the Orioles played the Nationals, and so on and so forth. The Mets will likely face the Yankees during every Rivalry Weekend until the end of time, yet one might begin to wonder…are the Yankees actually the Mets’ biggest rivals?

It’s in the spirit of this question that I’ve attempted to rank all 29 other major league clubs according to the intensity of their rivalry with the Mets, beginning with the most friendly relationships and ending with the most heated. The following countdown is entirely subjective and by no means an exact science, with factors like geographic proximity, postseason history, and regular season competition all playing some role.

Without further ado, here is the list…

TIER 1: Rivalry? We might as well be friends!

29. Mariners
The Mariners are like the New York Mets of baseball, as A-Rod might say.

28. Angels
The historically less successful, lower-payroll, mishap-prone team in a two-franchise city, with some of the best players in recent memory but not much to show for it? The Angels and the Mets are basically cousins from across the country.

TIER 2: A gentleman’s rivalry for a gentleman’s game

27. White Sox
Similar situation to that of the Angels, except comparisons between the Mets and White Sox feel more oriented towards geographic circumstance than team identity.

26. Twins
The Twins took a jab at the Mets after beating them at Citi Field in April. That’s about as heated as this match-up has gotten over the years.

25. Guardians
Did the Francisco Lindor trade start any sort of rivalry? Not really.

24. Tigers
The Mets almost played the Tigers in the 2006 World Series…see entry No. 5 for more.

23. Rays
There’s no hint of a rivalry here, but the Rays have to be above the rest of the relatively neutral AL Central because at least one person in the Citi Field stands can reliably be overheard complaining about Tampa Bay and their “analytics” during a given game.

TIER 3: I guess there’s something there

22. Blue Jays
The Mets and Blue Jays swapped enough players in the 2010s that their match-ups were certainly intriguing (though not necessarily heated) since someone seemed to always be facing their former team, whether José Reyes or Noah Syndergaard or R.A. Dickey or Marcus Stroman.

21. Rockies
One of two out-of-divsion National League teams the Mets have never faced in a postseason series. The Rockies lost both their first game and their first home game to the Mets within the span of one week in 1993, but got their revenge by winning the first game at Coors Field in walk-off fashion against the Amazins’ in 1995.

20. Pirates
The Pirates are the other out-of-divsion National League team the Mets have never faced in a postseason series, though the two teams did compete for division titles in the old NL East back in 1973 and 1990.

19. Diamondbacks
The Mets eliminated the Diamondbacks in their first-ever postseason series in 1999, but Arizona quickly got over that defeat with a World Series title two years later.

18. Padres
A rivalry that briefly sizzled when Buck Showalter approached a shiny-eared Joe Musgrove. If the Mets and Padres were to meet in another postseason series sometime soon, especially with Juan Soto facing his ex-teammates, this one could move up the list.

17. Rangers
Between Brandon Nimmo and Jacob deGrom (and Kumar Rocker?), the Rangers have a healthy collection of former Mets. That’s sure to make things somewhat intriguing for at least the next several years.

TIER 4: Memories of a Fall Classic

16. Royals
Even as they were ripping apart the Mets’ championship hopes with speed, defense, and an unhittable bullpen, it was difficult to root too hard against the scrappy 2015 Royals.

15. Athletics
The A’s ended the 82-win 1973 Mets’ incredible run to the World Series, though the Amazins’ put up a valiant seven-game fight.

14. Orioles
“They can take our Polar Bear, but they still can’t hit Jerry Koosman” – some nostalgic Mets fan, moments before their mind dissolves into a psychedelic dream-state with indiscernible technicolor images flashing by. Ron Swoboda parallel to the ground in mid-air. Don Buford running out of room at the fence. Gil Hodges holding a shoe-polished baseball in front of the home plate umpire. Cleon Jones kneeling in the outfield. “Those were the days” – that Mets fan, probably.

TIER 5: Things can get tense

13. Astros
It seems like these days every team’s fanbase fashions themselves something of a rival to the Astros, but this ranking is more a result of the tense 1986 NLCS, which concluded with two marathon extra-inning games. Speaking of 1986…

12. Red Sox
The enemy of my enemy is my 13th-biggest rival — at least according to this placement, anyway. The Fenway Faithful might not be so kind-hearted after the 1986 World Series, but I still believe Mets fans primarily feel a strange kinship with the staunchest anti-Yankee fanbase. Though they’re still a team from Boston, this is about as friendly as a New York-Boston relationship can get.

11. Brewers
Until 2024, the Brewers would have been ranked back in Tier 3 with the Rockies, Pirates, D-backs, and Padres. Things began to change when David Stearns made the switch from Milwaukee to New York. On Opening Day 2024 — the first game of Stearns’ tenure — the Brewers were promptly involved in a benches-clearing incident at Citi Field, and on the Crew’s last day of the 2024 season, Pete Alonso hit a backbreaking home run to eliminate them from postseason contention with two outs left to go before sealing the Wild Card Series. 

10. Giants
The orange in the Mets’ color scheme and the inspiration behind their “NY” cap logo, the Giants are barely hated in their old home of New York. Sure, the Mets eliminated them in 2000 and got eliminated by them in 2016, but there’s been no prolonged period of drama. Still, the New York history makes these franchises natural competitors for the same reason it makes them natural allies.

TIER 6: Bad Blood

9. Reds
If a franchise’s all-time WAR leader punches Bud Harrelson, they can’t be listed any lower than this. Punching Bud Harrelson is an automatic trip to Tier 6.

8. Cubs
Between the wild Black Cat division chase in 1969 and the NLCS sweep in 2015, the Mets have upended the Cubs in some pretty pivotal moments over the years.

7. Nationals
Ah, the 2010s. A decade when the Mets seemed to get their lunch money stolen by the Nationals every year…except for 2015, when they pulled off memorable win after memorable win against Washington to win the NL East. Even in 2019, a year when neither team won the division, each managed to pull off an absurd comeback against the other down the stretch. Whether it was Yoenis Céspedes and Lucas Duda mashing in 2015 or Daniel Murphy and Bryce Harper treating Citi Field like Coors Field in the following years, the Nats and Mets certainly know how to make fools of one another.

6. Marlins
Roses are red, violets are blue, the Marlins will win in Game 162. Three legendary Mets collapses — 2007, 2008, and 2025 — each made complete with a devastating loss to the Fish on the final day of the regular season. The Mets may have bigger rivals, but no one has been a bigger crimp in their plans.

5. Cardinals
This pair of superteams battled in the NL East during the mid-1980s, with the Cardinals outpacing the Mets by three games in both 1985 and 1987. But the ultimate dagger came two decades later, when the young duo of Yadier Molina and Adam Wainwright combined to shock Shea Stadium in Game 7 of the 2006 NLCS. Even 20 years later, I’m not sure Mets fans have come to terms with that night’s events.

TIER 7: All-Out Rivals

4. Dodgers
In some ways, the Mets are more of a brother to the Dodgers than the Yankees. So many elements of their identity trace back to the Brooklyn Dodgers, from Citi Field’s Ebbets-esque design to the Mets’ Dodger-blue primary color to the core tenet that fans will stand proud even while enduring disappointment after disappointment. The Flushing Faithful were born from the Flatbush Faithful. But that brotherly cross-country relationship has grown increasingly fraught over the years as the Mets and Dodgers have faced each other in a number of high-octane postseason series, with L.A. keeping a pair of beloved Mets teams away from the World Series in 1988 and 2024 and the Mets eliminating the Dodgers in the 2006 and 2015 NLDS (the latter intensified by Chase Utley’s hard slide into Ruben Tejada). Throw in the newly-cited mantra of becoming the “East Coast Dodgers,” and the big-budget Mets have practically declared open war on the franchise that once called New York City home.

3. Braves
It takes a special type of rivalry for an opposing team’s star player to name their kid after your team’s stadium. The Mets and Braves have had a contentious relationship since being re-aligned into the same division in 1995, with the Braves winning the first 11 titles in the new NL East as the Mets fought and failed (at least until 2006) to overcome Atlanta’s dynasty. The ferocity of the rivalry was renewed in 2022, when the Braves broke the Mets’ hearts with a late September sweep, eventually matching New York’s 101-win record and earning the tiebreaker to advance to the Division Series. It’s also been well documented that the Braves’ ballparks, whether the old Turner Field or the new Truist Park, have tended to be a house of horrors in both climate and outcome for the Mets.

2. Yankees
There’s just something about New York baseball. Whether it was the Dodgers and Giants battling for pennants or both National League squads attempting to knock off the mighty Yankees in the World Series, the baseball world revolved around New York for the first half of the 20th century (especially in the decade of Willie, Mickey, and the Duke). The Mets and Yankees rivalry is all that remains from that rich history of intra-city competition. It undeniably peaked in 2000 with the first all-New York World Series since 1956, but it proves itself alive and well with every season’s Subway Series games, which manage to produce a playoff atmosphere no matter each team’s respective record. Sure, it’s a one-sided hatred, with more fire and fury coming from the Mets’ side. Sure, it’s interleague play, and most of the games are early-season contests with little larger consequence. Sure, up until the Juan Soto signing the Mets never had a particularly resounding victory over the Bronx Bombers (and even that one played out in a bidding war rather than on the field). But still…there’s just something about New York baseball.

1. Phillies
The only rivalry that seems to regularly produce legitimate loathing between players and fans alike. Tension had been bubbling up for decades, with the Phillies barraging the Mets throughout the late 1970s and the Mets handling the Phillies throughout the 1980s. Then, in the mid-2000s, both teams weren’t just competitive at the same time — they were simultaneously elite. Jimmy Rollins called the Phillies the team to beat in the wake of the Mets’ 2006 division title (kicking off a chain reaction of trash talk) and Philadelphia lived up to the title, stunning the Mets after a late-season collapse in 2007 and edging them out in the NL East en route to a World Series championship in 2008. Plus, from Dwight Gooden to Hansel Robles (twice) to Rhys Hoskins to José Alvarado, this match-up has seen its fair share of bad blood over the years. In the words of David Wright: “I love the rivalry. I don’t necessarily love the city or the people. Or the players.”

Red Sox Minor Lines: Yes, Franklin Arias hit another home run

Franklin Arias of the Portland Sea Dogs is present during a Minor League Baseball game at TD Bank Ballpark in Bridgewater, United States, on May 1, 2026. (Photo by Dan Squicciarini/NurPhoto via Getty Images) | NurPhoto via Getty Images

Worcester: W, 8-1 (BOX SCORE)

Jake Bennett’s five-inning start proved yet again that he could be a good spot starter, if for no other reason than to gauge future value as this team may find itself firmly in selling territory as 2026 grows older. Wednesday morning’s start against the Rail Riders (Yankees AAA) was another in a long line of reputable outings, as he struck out seven and recovered extremely well after allowing a first inning home run to George Lombard Jr. And yes, that is the son of the George Lombard, the former Red Sox minor league bench coach and former Braves teammate of Andruw Jones, Greg Maddux and the like. Anywho, after Bennett’s five innings, the bullpen was sharp, not allowing a hit the duration of the game. Meanwhile, the top of Worcester’s lineup shone; Braiden Ward, Nate Eaton and Anthony Seigler, in the one-through-three holes, had seven hits between them and the 7-1 lead they had after four was key in allowing Bennett and his associates to coast the rest of the way.

Portland: W, 6-2 (BOX SCORE)

Blake Wehunt had maybe his best outing of the season. The 6’7” righty out of Georgia (that’s not the Bulldogs but instead the Owls of Kennesaw State) had eight strikeouts, allowing just two hits and a walk in six innings of work. Franklin Arias belted his 12th home run of 2026 and Johanfran Garcia got his seventh homer in the fifth. Add in three runs in the sixth and Portland also coasted to an early afternoon W, their eighth win in nine games. A big factor in that has been Arias, who has 25 total bases in the last five games.

Greenville: W, 11-5 (BOX SCORE)

And another coast! Despite some really spotty pitching by Marcus Phillips against Asheville (Astros High-A). Enddy Azocar’s new teammates surely like him, as he had his first home run since being promoted to High-A, and it was a grand slam to answer a run to get Greenville to within neccessity of a save situation. The score was 11-5, and there it’d stay. Ronny Hernandez also contributed three hits, coming within a triple of hitting for the cycle.

Salem: L, 2-4 (BOX SCORE)

The lone loser in the organization, the RidgeYaks fell to Hickory (Rangers A). This shouldn’t have even came down to two Hickory runs in the late going, but it did, but this was overall not a well-played game by Salem outside of a good shutout four relief innings from Luis Cohen. They had two defensive errors and just three hits, two from Kleyvar Salazar and one from Skylar King.

Have a thrilling Thursday.

Chris Sale to face former team at Fenway in Braves-Red Sox rubber match

MIAMI, FLORIDA - MAY 20: Chris Sale #51 of the Atlanta Braves delivers during the first inning against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on May 20, 2026 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Pokemon card king and staff ace Chris Sale will take the mound for the Braves as they seek a second series win (and avoid a second consecutive series loss) over the Boston Red Sox. Sale (7-3, 1.89 ERA) checked off a box with his first win over Miami his last time out, striking out eight Marlins in his seven innings of work. He started the month of May with a 2.14 ERA and has gone at at least six innings in each of his last seven starts. As dominant as he’s been, however, he’s been a victim of not having run support. Sounds familiar…

We’re starting to see a worrying trend with this Drake Baldwin-less offense, and it is runs being at an absolute premium, even when the pitching does its job. With the record we have, it’s greedy to ask for more comfortable wins. But here I am, asking anyway.  

You only have to go back to last Saturday for the last time Payton Tolle (2-2, 2.45 ERA) faced the Braves. I was only periodically checking in at a truly beautiful wedding reception celebrating some dear friends. It was a “oh, nice” vibe for most of dinner, “not comfy but a lead’s a lead” during cake cutting, and then “we tried to get Cute about Bryce Elder and the rally fell just short and we lost?” right before dutifully reporting to the dance floor. Upon review of the box score much later, it was truly dismaying to see how Tolle mowed down this Braves lineup, needing 85 pitches to get through eight innings. It is even more haunting when you see that Drake Baldwin was responsible for two of the four hits off Tolle and batted in both earned runs – get better soon, king. (And if you were wondering, José Azócar, who got the start in RF, collected the other two). Yikes! Looking for anyone else who’d like to step up here, especially after being blanked last night.

Tolle also had a quality start versus the Twins since we’ve seen him – he went six, gave up four hits and three earned runs, walked two, and struck out nine. With his run since being called up, it’s wild to think he didn’t make the team out of spring training. Here’s hoping that some familiarity and recency can help the Braves solve him this time to win the series.

Game Info

Game Date/Time: Thursday, May 28, 4:10 p.m. ET

Location: Fenway Park, Boston, MA

TV: BravesVision

Streaming: MLB.tv

Radio: 680 AM / 93.7 FM The Fan

2026 Cubs Heroes and Goats: Game 56

Just like that, the waking nightmare that has been consuming the Cubs comes to an end. I don’t know about you, but I have no surprise whatsoever that the streak went away with a thump and not a whimper. The Cubs put 10 runs on the board while running up 14 hits and drawing seven walks. Two batters were hit by pitches and so the Cubs managed to have 23 baserunners. They managed a team hitting line of .341/.460/.561. For one day, the offense played at the level of an MVP candidate.

I said this just a day or two ago. I understand why Ian Happ would get a day off or two given his struggles. Also, any resurgence of this team is almost certainly going to involve Ian so I don’t have a lot of joy seeing him out of the lineup. With his five-RBI outburst that included a homer, Ian continues to lead the Cubs in OPS among qualified hitters. He does so by leading them in slugging percentage and being second in on-base percentage. Until some of his teammates can sustain their production, it is a justifiable choice for Ian to bat in the middle of the lineup where he is typically found. Importantly, he has generally been the Cub who has performed best against right handed pitching through almost his entire Cub career.

The offense was the big story of the night, but there was a subplot. Jameson Taillon in his return to face the team that drafted him had another rough outing. The Cubs are surely approaching a difficult decision with Jameson. I’m not sure that his stuff would play significantly better out of the bullpen, but he doesn’t appear to have the ability to consistently get major league hitters out well enough to justify his spot in the starting the rotation once a few more pitchers get healthy. You hate to see it, but at some point, unless there is something ailing him that can be fixed physically, he may be nearing the end.

The Cub bullpen came through to keep this one on ice. They threw four scoreless innings, striking out five. Jacob Webb led the way with a perfect inning and three strikeouts. Webb appears to have emerged as the Cubs best reliever. Ethan Roberts appears to be a lot of smoke and mirrors, but he did throw another scoreless inning and has an 0.68 ERA that comes almost entirely in low leverage situations. You almost have to consider him for some higher leverage spots.

Speaking of leverage, am I the only one who has noticed how little leverage the Cub bullpen has encountered year to date? I’ve mentioned this in passing a couple of times. But this is the first time I’ve done a deep dive into it. Prior to Wednesday’s games, the Cubs had played 55 games to the Brewers’ 52. So raw stats can be awkward. But check this out. High leverage opponent plate appearances: Cubs 333 and Brewers 353. So 5 or 6 innings difference despite three less games. The Brewers have been really good, so not super wacky I guess. Medium leverage: Cubs 689, Brewers 732. Now you’re at maybe 10 innings difference despite three less games. The Cubs have faced almost 200 more plate appearances in low leverage situations than the Brewers. So it’s not my imagination.

Last thought. Those three games aren’t nothing either. This first half has been a gauntlet. As someone who blogs about every game, the cadence of the games is always front and center. This has felt like an unending line of games. That was a brutal combo with all of the pitching injuries and has surely exacerbated the Cub problems and them running out of gas. The 10-game losing streak is absolutely disconcerting, but I’m not ready to say that the ship has sailed on this Cub team yet.

Nothing like a win to walk me and surely a whole bunch of others back from the ledge a little.

Three Positives:

  • Michael Conforto came off of the bench and hit a two-run, pinch-hit homer to help put this one on ice. He got to hang around and have a second plate appearance and drew a walk. You have to love a day that measures out to an 838 wRC+.
  • This was Ian Happ’s night. A two-run single in the first and a three-run homer late to break a tie. He drives in five of the 10 runs on the night.
  • Six Cubs in all had a night that registered as over 200 wRC+, including Kevin Alcántara, who walked in his only plate appearance. But this spot goes to Dansby Swanson, another beleaguered Cub vet. He had a single, double, walk, stolen base and two runs scored.

Game 56, May 27: Cubs 10, Pirates 4 (30-26)

Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.

THREE HEROES:

  • Superhero: Ian Happ (.256). 2-6, HR, 5 RBI, R
  • Hero: Alex Bregman (.119). 2-6, 2B, R
  • Sidekick: Michael Busch (.085). 1-3, 2 BB, HBP, RBI, R

THREE GOATS:

  • Billy Goat: Jameson Taillon (-.169). 5 IP, 21 BF, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 ER, 4 K
  • Goat: Seiya Suzuki (-.113). 1-5, R, DP
  • Kid: Moisés Ballesteros (-.045). 0-2, K

WPA Play of the Game: Brandon Lowe’s one-out, three-run, game-tying homer in the third inning. (.250)

Cubs Play of the Game: Alex Bregman doubled with a runner on first and no outs in the seventh inning, setting up Ian Happ’s heroics. (.167)

Cubs Player of the Game:

Game 55 Winner: Alex Bregman received 52 of 84 votes.

Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)

The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.

  • Michael Busch +21
  • Nico Hoerner +12
  • Alex Bregman +9.5
  • Michael Conforto +9
  • Shōta Imanaga +7
  • Jameson Taillon/Phil Maton -9
  • Matt Shaw -10
  • Dansby Swanson -13
  • Seiya Suzuki -27.5

Current Win Pace: 86.79 wins

Up Next: The fourth and final game of the series between these two teams. If you haven’t heard, it’s been a few years since the Pirates actually won a home series versus the Cubs. I’m reminded of a game last May 1. Colin Rea faced Paul Skenes in an afternoon game in Pittsburgh. The Pirates staked Skenes to two early runs. But Dansby Swanson, Kyle Tucker and Seiya Suzuki all took Skenes deep and Skenes ended up a loser as the Cubs won 8-3.

Rea comes in with a 4-3 mark and a 4.83 ERA in 54 innings. This will be his ninth start of the season. He hasn’t won since May 1. In four starts since then, he’s allowed 14 runs (13 earned) in 21.1 innings. Last time he started rough but ended up throwing seven innings and allowing just three runs. That was his second quality start (though he technically also had a quality relief behind an opener). Skenes is 6-4 with a 3.00 ERA in 60 innings. This is his 12th start of the year. He’s lost two straight, allowing nine earned runs in 10 innings against the Blue Jays and Phillies.

It’s a tough matchup, but you never know. Maybe the bats are sufficiently awakened to steal one against Skenes and the Pirates.


Avalanche search for offseason answers after Vegas ends Presidents’ Trophy-winning season with sweep

DENVER — Captain Gabriel Landeskog explained the collapse as an “empty feeling.”

Defenseman Cale Makar described it as “tough,” while Logan O’Connor was even more direct about the season’s end.

“Feels like a waste, to be honest,” the Colorado Avalanche forward said.

The emotions were bitter and raw in the aftermath of the Presidents’ Trophy winners being swept by Vegas. The speed of the Avalanche — their trademark — was neutralized by the Golden Knights in the Western Conference Final. Their power play — shaky all season — was a nonfactor.

Changes appear on the horizon, whether it’s to the coaching staff, roster or playing style. The Avalanche became the seventh No. 1 seed in league history to be swept in a best-of-seven series, according to NHL Stats.

Ask goaltender Mackenzie Blackwood, though, and there’s no question the Avalanche should run it back with their core.

“Yeah,” Blackwood said, “because they are freaking amazing players.”

Coach Jared Bednar and his future were a hot topic on social media following the 2-1 loss in Game 4 in which the Avalanche struggled at times to get the puck into the Vegas zone. He has one year left on his contact.

“It takes a little bit of time,” Bednar said of processing the series loss. “I can’t really answer that right now. I think that takes a little bit of time with reflection.”

Going into the postseason, Colorado was a favorite to win the Stanley Cup — with good reason.

This team was No. 1 in the league from Nov. 1 until the end of the regular season. They had a club-record 121 points with Nathan MacKinnon (a career-best 53 goals) and Makar leading the way. The team ranked first in both goals per game (3.63) and goals-against (2.40).

The Avalanche cruised through the first two rounds against Los Angeles and Minnesota with an 8-1 record. Then, Vegas and its swarming defense brought the season to a close. Colorado had seven goals all series against the Golden Knights.

“We said it in training camp, it’s Cup or bust for us,” O’Connor said. “We let down coaches, each other, fans, management. It’s on us as players to be far better than we were. The results speak for itself. Lot of disappointment right now.”

The power play was 1 for 10 in the Vegas series. Not a big surprise, given team struggled with it in the regular season, too. They were 45 of 263 (17.1%) after assistant coach Dave Hakstol was brought in to fix it. The team was at 24.8% on the power play in 2024-25.

Back to the drawing board.

“If there’s one thing I’ve learned over the last handful of years, get knocked down, you just get right back up,” Landeskog said. “That’s the only way to do it.”

What the roster looks like going forward

For the most part, Colorado will return a similar roster. One of the big decisions will be Brent Burns, the 41-year-old defenseman who’s trying to win his first Stanley Cup. Burns has appeared in 1,007 consecutive regular-season games, trailing only Phil Kessel (1,064).

Other pending free agents include defensemen Brett Kulak, Nick Blankenburg and Jack Ahcan, along with forward Joel Kiviranta. Jack Drury is a restricted free agent.

“We have a lot of good players that are staying around still,” defenseman Josh Manson said. “As long as we keep building around those guys I think we can be competitive.”

Bumps & bruises

Makar didn’t want to delve into the injuries that caused him to miss the opening two games of the Vegas series. The Norris Trophy finalist was held without a point against the Golden Knights.

“I’m not the type of guy to talk with that,” said Makar, who had 20 goals and 59 assists in the regular season. “Did everything I can to feel good and come back and feel confident in my play, and felt 100% out there.”

MacKinnon also was dinged up after blocking a shot with his right knee in Game 3, but played in Game 4. Valeri Nichushkin, though, was sidelined for the season-ending loss.

“There’s a lot of guys dealing with stuff,” Bednar said. “I’m sure it’s the same on every team.”

Zach Ehrhard maintains on-base streak

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - MARCH 24: Zach Ehrhard #99 of the Los Angeles Dodgers during a spring training game at Dodger Stadium on March 24, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) | Getty Images

No wins for the Dodgers’ minor league affiliates; outscored 21-10. The Drillers saw their matchup with the Naturals postponed and will instead play a doubleheader today.

Player of the day

The job of a leadoff hitter is to set the table, and Zach Ehrhard did that as well as anyone could’ve hoped for in a 5-3 Comets loss. While the four hitters right behind him all went hitless, Ehrhard reached base safely four times and had one of the Comets’ three RBI.

It’s been an outstanding month of May for Ehrhard, who has reached base safely in every single one of his games, including recording a hit in nine of the last 10.

Triple-A Oklahoma City

Colton Gordon came into last night’s game having allowed 16 runs in just three starts this month, but for six innings against the Comets, he was phenomenal. The left-handed starter for the Space Cowboys completely shut down an offense that had just gotten into the double digits the day prior.

Trailing 2-0 at the top of the seventh, the Comets looked to Chuckie Robison to even the score with a two-run bomb against the first reliever out of the Space Cowboys’ bullpen. But Chayce McDermott ran into plenty of issues in the eighth, allowing three runs, making OKC’s comeback effort an unsuccessful one.

Although Robinson had the big hit, one ought to look at leadoff hitter Ehrhard as the Comets’ most productive batter. The center fielder finished the game with nearly half of the Comets’ nine hits, continuously stranded by the heart of the order, unable to score a single run.

Double-A Tulsa

The game was postponed

High-A Great Lakes

Although they led from the top of the second inning all the way through the start of the bottom of the ninth, the Loons came out on the losing end of a 3-2 score despite outhitting their opponent 8-3. One day after a slugfest, this offense let down a terrific effort from its pitching staff, one that saw them induce 18 strikeouts, nine of them by starter Zach Root.

Neither team managed more than a single hit with runners in scoring position, but the Dragons did enough for a rally against Nicolas Cruz in the ninth, an inning that saw the Comets commit an error and a balk and allow multiple hitters to reach base without a hit, including a walk and a hit-by-pitch.

Outfielder Kole Myers had the best performance among Loons hitters, reaching base in all four of his plate appearances with a pair of knocks and a couple of walks as well.

Single-A Ontario

There isn’t a whole lot a manager or even an offense can do when every pitcher that this team keeps sending out there simply fails to record outs consistently. This was the challenge faced by the Tower Buzzers in what ended up a 13-5 defeat at home, allowing nine of those 13 runs unanswered through the game’s first three innings. Starter Hyuk-Seok Jang couldn’t get out of the first, and the first three relievers who came in for him all allowed multiple earned runs.

Offensively, the Tower Buzzers didn’t make it close, as that’d be unreasonable to ask, but they put up enough of a fight by scoring all five of those runs in the back half of this game. Center fielder Jaron Elkins had a four-hit day, just a home run short of the cycle. Speaking of homers, Ontario’s only one came from third baseman Chase Harlan in the eighth, his sixth of the season.

Transactions

The Great Lakes Loons placed catcher Gio Cueta on the injured list and activated righty Josellyn Gonzalez. The Comets activated catcher Zeby Savala and left-handed pitcher Jackson Ferris as Alex Freeland was recalled to the big league club. Meanwhile, the Tower Buzzers activated outfielder Jaron Elkins.

Wednesday’s scores

  • Sugar Land 5, Oklahoma City 3
  • Double-A game postponed
  • Dayton 3, Great Lakes 2
  • Ontario 5, Visalia 13

Thursday’s schedule

  • 2:30 p.m. PT: Tulsa (Adam Serwinowski) vs. NW Arkansas (Hunter Patteson)
  • Game 2: Tulsa (Payton Martin) vs. NW Arkansas (TBD)
  • 4:05 p.m. PT: Great Lakes (Jakob Wright) at Dayton (Jose Montero)
  • 5:05 p.m. PT: Oklahoma City (River Ryan) at Sugar Land (Ethan Pecko)
  • 6:35 p.m. PT: Ontario (TBD) vs. Visalia (Jesus Escobar)

Growing Up With The Villains: Misfits Who Matter To Me

Deemed the most hated team in the NHL, the Vegas Golden Knights have become a league-wide punching bag for a long list of reasons. But beyond the villain narrative, they were simply my team.

From 2003 to 2014 the only hockey Sin City had was the Las Vegas Wranglers of the ECHL, and fifteen years ago that was my first taste of the sport. Then on June 22, 2016, hockey was back. Las Vegas became home to the NHL’s 31st franchise, and the city’s first major professional sports team. For me and many others at that time it gave us a hometown team that we could not only root for, but grow up with. 

The Golden Knights didn’t just reshape the NHL, they reshaped the city itself. Youth hockey in Southern Nevada has skyrocketed, surging roughly 268% to over 400% since 2017. Statewide USA Hockey registrations have jumped from 500 players to nearly 3,000 today.

The largest spike is at the 8U level, where girls' hockey alone has grown by 681%. With ice time maxed out, rinks overbooked, and not enough sheets to meet demand, local groups have stepped up. The Jake Kielb Hockey Foundation launched a $15 million campaign to build the Las Vegas Community Sports Complex, complete with two NHL-sized rinks and an indoor turf field. 

The results speak for themselves. The Vegas Junior Golden Knights became a national powerhouse earning multiple USA Hockey titles – including the 2026 Girls Tier II 16U 1A championship, their second in three years, along with national titles in 2019 and 2023 across several age groups. 

UNLV Hockey, which has been steadily growing since 2005, captured its first‑ever ACHA Division I National Championship in 2025 with a decisive 7–3 win over Adrian College. In less than a decade, Las Vegas has transformed from a non‑traditional market into a legitimate hockey pipeline.

And as someone who most definitely can’t bodycheck or shoot a puck whatsoever, I stand with the team that encouraged me to pursue journalism.

I stand by the early morning practices I woke up for.

I stand with celebrating my 13th birthday at a game.

I stand with the moment Marc-Andre Fleury stopped his car mid-drive to sign my stick.

I stand with Deryk Engelland signing the back of my jersey. 

I stand with the person I was a year ago who walked into a development camp not as a fan, but as a journalist. I stand by the fact that at 19 years old I got to write a piece about the Mitch Marner trade. I stand by the experience that I got to be in the same room as journalists I grew up reading and watching, people who I’m lucky enough to have in my corner as I still work my way up in this world. 

And to be absolutely clear: standing with the Knights does not mean standing with every player who has ever worn the jersey, nor every decision the organization has made. My loyalty isn’t about excusing anyone’s behavior. 

This is about the team that made me love hockey in the first place, and the next chapter we get to watch unfold. From welcoming PWHL Las Vegas to watching the Golden Knights skate into their third Stanley Cup Final.

Former Jets Forward Nikolaj Ehlers One Win From Stanley Cup Final

If you told Nikolaj Ehlers 10 years ago that he'd be one win away from making it to his first Stanley Cup Final, the then 20-year-old sophomore Winnipeg Jets forward likely wouldn't believe that it took that long.

What he also wouldn't believe is that he'd be doing so with the Carolina Hurricanes.

A long-time member of the Jets, Ehlers was drafted and developed through Kevin Cheveldayoff and Mark Chipman's system.

He put up 25 or more goals and 50 or more points in five of his 10 seasons in Manitoba and quickly became a fan favourite in and around Winnipeg.

He loved the team, the city and its fans.

Photo by James Guillory/USA Today 
Photo by James Guillory/USA Today 

Ehlers, who moved around a fair bit as a child and teenager, has actually called Winnipeg home longer than any other city he's lived in over the course of his 30 years.

'Fly,' as he's called by teammates who marvel at his breathtaking speed and acceleration, quickly developed a friendship with fellow Scandinavian, Patrik Laine. The two seemed inseparable during their early years with the Jets.

The only place they were separated was on the ice. 

For reasons unknown to the average fan, head coaches in Winnipeg have always liked Ehlers, but have never rewarded him quite the way he'd have hoped. None of Claude Noel, Paul Maurice, Dave Lowry, Rick Bowness or Scott Arniel gave Ehlers the opportunity for top-line minutes or considerable time on the first power play unit.

And that ultimately led to his departure last summer.  

As his long-term contract neared its conclusion, Ehlers' frustration with his usage and on-ice deployment continued to grow. It boiled over to the point of opting to use his unrestricted free agent right to sign with the Carolina Hurricanes - to the tune of six years and $51 million. 

Ehlers, who often mentions the importance of his family when making decisions, said he received input from his father, Heinz - a longtime coach in his native Denmark - when talking about his playing future. 

Opting for a change of scenery, Ehlers chose Raleigh, North Carolina as his new stomping grounds. That decision has already given him more points, power play minutes and more Stanley Cup Playoff wins than any singular season in Winnipeg garnered over his first 10 years in the league. 

So, to say he made the 'right' decision. 

Last week, after seeing his Canes fall to Montreal in the Eastern Conference Final series opener, Ehlers scored two goals - including the overtime winner - in Carolina's Game 2 victory. The Hurricanes have since gone on to pick up two more victories in the series, moving to within one win of the Stanley Cup Final.

He did so with his father in attendance at the game.

For Ehlers, making it to the Final will provide another difficult speed bump: the Vegas Golden Knights. 

A team that stood in Winnipeg's way more than once in the postseason - most notably in 2018, winning the Western Conference Championship in Manitoba, en route to their first Stanley Cup Final appearance in just their first year of existence.

Sure, there are a number of Manitobans on the Golden Knights, but they've all been there before. This time, it's Ehlers' time to shine. With one more victory over the suddenly powerless Canadiens, he will have that chance to skate as one of the final two teams remaining in the playoffs. 

Oh, and he'll be doing it alongside Winnipeg's top current hockey player, Seth Jarvis, who is also coincidentally signed through the 2030-31 season in Carolina.  

No, he's no longer with Winnipeg, but according to most in the Manitoba prairies, he will always be an easy choice to cheer for - even while dressed in Carolina's unfamiliar red and black. 

Canadiens vs Hurricanes Prediction, Picks & Odds for Friday's NHL Playoffs Game 5

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Three consecutive games in the Eastern Conference Finals have featured five goals or fewer.

With Montreal facing elimination, my Canadiens vs. Hurricanes predictions see another lower-scoring game in the cards Friday night.

Let's get right into my NHL picks for May 29.

Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 5 prediction

Canadiens vs Hurricanes best bet: Under 5.5 (-110)

The Carolina Hurricanes have limited shot attempts, expected goals, and goals more effectively than every team in the playoffs. They are giving up next to nothing on a nightly basis, which helps explain why 10 of their 12 games have gone Under the total.

The Hurricanes have been particularly smothering against the Montreal Canadiens, who are completely gassed after consecutive seven-game series vs. division rivals.

Generating offense will be a problem for Montreal, while Jakub Dobes, the playoff leader in Goals Saved Above Expected, has proven reliable at limiting the opponent.

Expect a 3-2 type of game in Carolina. Playable to -125.

Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 5 same-game parlay

Nick Suzuki is leading the Canadiens with 10 shots on goal in this series, trailing only Noah Dobson in scoring chances.

He has multiple shots on goal in six of seven games against Carolina dating back to the regular season, and Montreal's captain will be relied upon heavily to lead the way in this elimination game.

Lane Hutson blocked 18 shots over the last six games, including eight over two appearances in Carolina. He played 24+ minutes in both elimination games thus far, and that kind of workload would afford plenty of block opportunities against the shot-happy Hurricanes.

Canadiens vs Hurricanes SGP

  • Under 5.5
  • Nick Suzuki Over 1.5 shots
  • Lane Hutson Over 1.5 blocked shots

Canadiens vs Hurricanes odds for Game 5

  • Moneyline: Canadiens +185 | Hurricanes -225
  • Puck Line: Canadiens +1.5 (-135) | Hurricanes -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-110) | Under 5.5 (-110)

Canadiens vs Hurricanes trend

Carolina has hit the game total Under in 13 of the last 15 games (+11.30 units, 67% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Hurricanes.

How to watch Canadiens vs Hurricanes Game 5

LocationLenovo Center, Raleigh, NC
DateFriday, May 29, 2026
Puck drop8 p.m. ET
TVTNT, CBC

Canadiens vs Hurricanes latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Red Wings Could Try To Offer Sheet Golden Knights Breakout Pavel Dorofeyev

It appears the NHL may not have the most exciting offseason when it comes to free agency this summer. With very few superstar players expected to hit the open market, teams with lots of cap space like the Detroit Red Wings could find themselves limited in terms of impactful additions.

One name that has remained on Detroit’s radar for some time is Dallas Stars winger Jason Robertson. With Dallas facing a difficult salary cap situation, many Red Wings fans have begun speculating that the organization could attempt to pry Robertson away through an offer sheet. 

However, another emerging star on a team facing an even worse cap crunch may be becoming an even more realistic target in Vegas Golden Knights winger Pavel Dorofeyev.

The 25-year-old Russian forward has quickly become one of the breakout names of this year’s Stanley Cup Playoffs and would fit perfectly into Detroit’s growing core as another major scoring threat. 

Dorofeyev has developed into one of the league’s more dangerous goal scorers over the past two seasons, recording 72 goals during that span. That total ties him for the 15th-most goals in the NHL alongside some of the league’s top offensive talents, including Boston Bruins forwards David Pastrnak and Morgan Geekie.

Detroit has continued searching for additional offense to support their stars in Dylan Larkin, Lucas Raymond, and Alex DeBrincat, and Dorofeyev could provide exactly that. His ability to consistently finish scoring chances would give the Red Wings another dangerous top-six option capable of producing 35 or more goals per season.

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Dorofeyev’s value has only continued to rise during Vegas’ current playoff run, scoring 10 goals and adding four assists for 14 points through 16 playoff games. His scoring touch and ability to perform in high-pressure situations are likely making him one of the more attractive restricted free agent targets around the league.

The Golden Knights already entered the offseason facing one of the NHL’s most difficult salary cap situations, and Dorofeyev’s postseason breakout may only complicate matters further. Detroit could potentially present Dorofeyev with a long-term, high-paying offer sheet that Vegas may struggle to match financially.

Draft pick compensation may not be a major obstacle for the Red Wings either. An offer sheet in the range of $7,020,114 to $9,360,153 would cost Detroit a first, second, and third-round pick as compensation. While the Red Wings currently do not possess all of their own required selections, teams have previously completed trades to reacquire their own draft picks specifically for offer sheet purposes.

Detroit’s 2026 first-round pick is currently owned by the St. Louis Blues following the Justin Faulk trade, while their second-round pick next year belongs to the Anaheim Ducks as part of the John Gibson trade. 

Still, if general manager Steve Yzerman believes a player like Dorofeyev or Robertson can significantly accelerate the Red Wings’ rebuild into playoff contention, reacquiring those picks could become a realistic possibility this summer.

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2025-26 Season in Review: Ville Koivunen

PITTSBURGH, PA - MARCH 24: Ville Koivunen #41 of the Pittsburgh Penguins in action during the game against the Colorado Avalanche at PPG PAINTS Arena on March 24, 2026 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Joe Sargent/NHLI via Getty Images) | NHLI via Getty Images

Vitals

Player: Ville Koivunen
Born: June 13, 2003 (22 years old)
Height: 6’0
Weight: 184 pounds
Hometown: Oulu, Finland
Shoots: Left
Drafted: 2021 second-round, No. 51 overall, by the Carolina Hurricanes
2025-26 Regular Season Statistics: 39 games played, 2 goals, 5 assists, 7 total points, -10
Contract Status: Koivunen is a restricted free agent this summer

Story of the Season

After a promising debut in the NHL at the end of the 2024-25 season, Koivunen earned a spot on the opening night roster and was initially playing a top-six role. But things never really clicked for him at the NHL level, he eventually found himself back in the American Hockey League, and spent the 2025-26 season bouncing between the two levels. While he put up impressive numbers in Wilkes-Barre/Scranton for the second year in a row (he has been a point-per-game player with 97 points in 97 regular season games), it has not yet consistently translated to the NHL. The Penguins tried to go younger this season. A lot of the players they put into positions at the NHL level did not fully take advantage of it. At least not yet.

Monthly Splits

Via Yahoo! Sports

With just four points in his first 25 games, Koivunen never found any sort of consistency with his production and did not yet develop the scoring touch or playmaking that the Penguins were hoping for.

Even when he came back up at the end of the regular season the offense he was displaying in Wilkes-Barre/Scranton never carried over with zero goals and just two assists over his final 12 games of the season in March and April.

Regular season 5v5 advanced stats

Data via Natural Stat Trick. Ranking is out of 18 forwards on the team who qualified by playing a minimum of 150 minutes.

Corsi For%: 56.9% (1st)
Goals For%: 35.7% (18th)
xGF%: 57.3% (1st)
Scoring Chance %: 59.1% (1st)
High Danger Scoring Chance%: 57.8% (1st)
5v5 on-ice shooting%: 4.72% (18th)
On-ice save%: .889 (15th)
Goals/60: 0.13 (17th)
Assist/60: 0.27 (17th)
Points/60: 0.40 (18th)

Everything about this chart is positively hilarious, at least in some sort of bizarre, twisted way. He is either first or last in nearly every category.

All of the possession and scoring chance metrics? First. All of the actual goals scored and goals created metrics? Last. An enormous disconnect and basically makes him a newer version of Dominik Simon.

On one hand, it is positive that he pushes play and helps generate opportunities. That is important. There is value in that. It is also immensely frustrating that it does not turn into anything tangible on the scoreboard. That is going to have to start changing if he is going to be a regular in the top-six, or even in the top-nine. It is going to have to start changing rapidly.

Highlights

Questions to ponder

The big question is simply can he translate the AHL production into NHL production, and can he turn the territorial edge the Penguins get with him on the ice into something that becomes actuals goals?

There were countless times during the season where Koivunen would seem to be in a prime scoring position with a chance to score, only to have his shot get blocked or deflected away from the net. Is his decision-making and shot just a split second too slow for the NHL? There is a fine line between success and failure at the highest level, and openings that exist in the minor leagues are not going to be there as long in the NHL. Any small hesitation is going to take away the opportunity you have in front of you.

Ideal 2026-27

He does not need to be a star, but he needs to show something.

He needs to produce something.

An ideal season for Koivunen would be sticking in the NHL for the entire season, and showing that he can at least contribute in the middle-six forward group and give them (and him) something to build on.

Give them 15 goals. Give them 30-35 points. Take a step forward. Become an NHL player.

Bottom line

Koivunen has nothing left to prove at the AHL level, and we are getting close to make-or-break time with the Penguins. That might seem like a harsh thing to say about a 23-year-old, especially when development is different for every player, but if you are going to a top-six or top-line player you probably need to start showing something by this age. You do not need to be at your peak or your absolute best. But you need to do something.

At this point he is starting to go from prospect to suspect.

He is almost certain to get re-signed as a restricted free agent, but it is going to be a short-term “prove it” deal. It is going to be all on him to actually start proving it.

Final Grade: D+

It was a very disappointing season for Koivunen, at least as it relates to his NHL play.

There were positives, especially with the ability to help drive possession. But the Penguins expected to see, and wanted to see, more offense from him. The talent is there. The creativity is there. He just needs to bring it all together.

Guardians News and Notes – Travis Kelce, Minority Owner

CLEVELAND, OHIO - MAY 23: (L-R) Singer Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce of the Kansas City Chiefs attend Game Three between the New York Knicks and the Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA Eastern Conference Finals at Rocket Arena on May 23, 2026 in Cleveland, Ohio. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images) | Getty Images

The biggest news of the day came via a Passan bomb at 6AM yesterday morning. Travis Kelce is now a minority owner of the Cleveland Guardians.

Guest contributor, Mike Mahoney, gave his scouting report of the Lake County Captains Position Players.

The Guardians were able to avoid the sweep, taking yesterday’s game behind Gavin Williams. The game recap can be read here. Tonight is a much needed off day for the team with Boston coming to town for a weekend series.

MLB Network listed out their José Ramírez award for most underrated players. There is one current Guardian and one former Cleveland player on the list:

The MLBPA has made their first proposals for the collective bargaining.

Former Islanders Noah Dobson Experiencing Familiar Hurricanes Frustration With Canadiens

The New York Islanders blockbuster Noah Dobson trade with the Montreal Canadiens ahead of the 2025 NHL Draft is one that could turn out to be a very even trade for both sides. 

The Islanders bolstered their prospect pool with the two first-round picks acquired -- they drafted Victor Eklund at No. 16 and Kashawn Aitcheson at No. 17 with forward Emil Heineman's first season on Long Island a career-best. 

The Canadiens got an offensive defenseman to serve as a 1B behind stud Lane Hutson.

BREAKING: Islanders Trade Noah Dobson To Montreal CanadiensBREAKING: Islanders Trade Noah Dobson To Montreal Canadiens<b>LOS ANGELES</b> -- The<a href="http://thn.com/isles"> New York Islanders</a> have traded defenseman<a href="https://www.theelmonters.com/p/noah-dobson-trade-new-york-islanders"> Noah Dobson</a> to the<a href="https://thehockeynews.com/nhl/montreal-canadiens"> Montreal Canadiens</a>, first reported by Kevin Weekes.

While the Islanders didn't make the playoffs, Dobson and the Canadiens did.

But, unfortunately for the former 70-point blueliner, he and the Canadiens find themselves in a rather similar position against the Carolina Hurricanes that that the Islanders saw themselves in back in 2023 and 2024: on the brink of elimination.

While the Islanders were sent packing after six and five games respectively, the Canadiens are currently down 3-1 after they fell 4-0 in Game 4.

When Carolina is rolling, not only do they rack up the shot total but they stifle their opponents. They outshot Dobson and Co. 43-18 on Wednesday night. 

Dobson, who sustained a finger injury late in the regular season before returning for Game 7 against the Tampa Bay Lightning, has not recorded a point during this Eastern Conference Finals series, sitting with a +/- of -5 and six shots on goal.

He did score in Game 3 but the play was challenged and ultimately deemed offside. 

Dobson, who recorded 47 points (12 goals, 35 assists) in his first season of an eight-year deal worth $9.5 million annually, has one point through his 12 playoff games. 

Game 5 comes your way on Friday night at 8 PM ET on TNT, Tru TV and HBO Max.