Ranger Suarez has pitched lights out over the past month, looking like the high-impact starter Boston signed him to be.
With a massive starting pitching advantage, my Red Sox vs. Angels predictions and MLB picks see value in backing the road team — even as -160 favorites.
Who will win Red Sox vs Angels tonight: Boston Red Sox (-160)
He is primed to continue that success against the Los Angeles Angels. They rank 22nd in wOBA and have struck out at the third-highest rate vs. lefties since June 1.
The Boston Red Sox should give Suarez run support against Ryan Johnson, who owns a 7.40 ERA and has allowed 2.22 homers per nine innings.
Playable to -180.
COVERS INTEL: Ranger Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile in Pitcher Run Value, including boasting an average exit velocity that sits in the 90th percentile.
The southpaw is likely to carve up this Angels team, forcing the Red Sox to score in bulk to push this total Over.
While Johnson has been underwhelming overall, he’s allowed just one run over his last 11 innings of work.
Play to -115.
Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 50-40, -1.0 units
Over/Under bets: 48-38-4, +5.44 units
Red Sox vs Angels weather
Temperatures are expected in the low 80s with a slight wind blowing out, giving a small boost to the offenses.
Red Sox vs Angels odds
Moneyline: Red Sox -160 | Angels +140
Run line: Red Sox -1.5 (+105) | Angels +1.5 (-125)
Over/Under: Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105)
Red Sox vs Angels trend
Los Angeles has hit the game total Under in 29 of its last 50 home games (+7.50 units, 14% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Red Sox vs. Angels.
How to watch Red Sox vs Angels and game info
Location
Angels Stadium, Anaheim, CA
Date
Sunday, July 5, 2026
First pitch
9:30 p.m. ET
TV
Peacock
Red Sox starting pitcher
Ranger Suarez (4-3, 2.94 ERA)
Angels starting pitcher
Ryan Johnson (1-3, 7.40 ERA)
Red Sox vs Angels latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are heavy favorites against the San Diego Padres, but this spread price is too aggressive.
JP Sears has real contact-risk issues, but Emmet Sheehan is not safe enough to justify laying a run and a half at this number.
Here are my Padres vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks for July 5.
Who will win Padres vs Dodgers tonight: Padres +1.5 (-114)
This price on the San Diego Padres to keep this close is too good to pass up, especially with the added motivational angle of avoiding back-to-back sweeps by the Los Angeles Dodgers.
JP Sears has struggled, but his changeup should see positive regression. It owns roughly a .317 career xwOBA, far better than this year’s .649 mark.
It's helpful that the Dodgers lineup includes a few names who have struggled against the changeup this season, too, with Freddie Freeman and Kyle Tucker owning negative run values against it.
Emmet Sheehan also gives a path to enough offense. Play this to -130.
COVERS INTEL: JP Sears' expected ERA is currently three runs higher than it's been during the completion of a season in his MLB career.
Padres vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (-105)
I made this total 9.1 and see value on the Under down to -135. The reasoning is a continued echo of the sentiment above.
Sears can do enough to keep the Dodgers from putting up a big number, and the Padres offense won't explode against Sheehan. An Under bet with the best offense in baseball is always a risk, but I project L.A. for 4.5 runs.
On the other side, Sheehan is imperfect with a 10.4% barrel rate allowed, but his 26.1% strikeout rate can keep the Padres from carrying their half.
Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
ML/RL bets: 33-32, +2.77 units
Over/Under bets: 40-27, +17.40 units
Padres vs Dodgers weather
Padres vs Dodgers odds
Moneyline: Padres +184 | Dodgers -210
Run line: Padres +1.5 | Dodgers -1.5
Over/Under: Over 9.5 | Under 9.5
How to watch Padres vs Dodgers and game info
Location
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date
Sunday, July 5, 2026
First pitch
7:20 p.m. ET
TV
Peacock
Padres starting pitcher
JP Sears (1-1, 6.97 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher
Emmet Sheehan (4-5, 5.08 ERA)
Padres vs Dodgers latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA - NOVEMBER 19: Jonas Valanciunas #17 of the Denver Nuggets is defended by Kevon Looney #55 of the New Orleans Pelicans during the first half at Smoothie King Center on November 19, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement. (Photo by Tyler Kaufman/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Love it or hate it, the New York Knicks and Los Angeles Lakers keep getting linked to the same big men in the free-agent market.
After the Knicks took the lead in the race for veteran New Orleans Pelicans center Kevon Looney, edging the Lakers to it, it’s the Los Angeles mob who has now seemingly overtaken New York in the pursuit of Denver Nuggets big man Jonas Valanciunas while also getting some interest in Loony.
Looney seemed to be the Knicks’ primary target in the market before New York reached a deal with Andre Drummond on Friday.
“Looney remains on the Lakers’ radar, sources say, as does Nuggets center Jonas Valanciunas. The latter, remember, was a Lakers free agent target two summers ago before Valanciunas opted to sign a multiyear deal with Washington instead.
“Sources say that the Lakers’ interest, furthermore, is certainly welcomed by the Nuggets, who have made Valanciunas available in trade conversations since Denver’s season ended and especially in connection with the recent draft as the Nuggets explored various deals while also shopping the No. 26 overall pick.”
Stein and Fischer added another name to the list of potential Knicks’ targets for their backup center spots, reporting that New York is “monitoring” Charlotte Hornets big man Moussa Diabate, whose expiring $2.5 million contract fit New York’s second-apron plans and could be easy to trade for in a one-for-one deal.
Back to Valanciunas, it looks like landing the Lithuanian could take a bit of patience on top of beating competitors such as the Lake Show.
Valanciunas has one year left on his contract with Denver at a $10 million cap hit, but that figure can drop to a $2 million guarantee if the Nuggets waive him by Wednesday, July 8. That deadline creates three realistic paths for the Nuggets and JoVa:
Trade him before July 8, avoiding paying him the $10 (or $2) million entirely
Keep him as Nikola Jokic’s backup at $10 million
Waive him before July 8, saving $8 million and paying him $2 million
Obviously, given the self-imposed constraints the Knicks are operating with, the last outcome is the only viable path for the Knicks to land the veteran.
Following the Drummond signing, the Knicks have around $6.5 million to fill two roster spots before the start of the regular season while remaining below the second apron. That financial position makes a trade for Valanciunas at $10 million impossible, and even signing him could be a stretch depending on the center’s demands and the need to add at least another player.
Jonas Valanciunas and Zeke Nnaji are the only Nuggets’ veteran names of late circulating as trade candidates, per @TheSteinLine and @JakeLFischer.
Denver has welcomed the Lakers’ interest in Valanciunas, who has been available for trade since the season ended. pic.twitter.com/gps5RKuix4
Now, for the plot twist, BasketNews’ Jonas Miklovas and Karolis Tiskevicius reported on June 23 that Valanciunas had already committed to a two-year deal with Zalgiris Kaunas as long as he gets waived and enters the NBA’s free-agent market.
“Jonas Valanciunas has committed to a two-year deal with Zalgiris Kaunas, according to BasketNews sources, if he secures a release from his NBA contract with the Nuggets. If finalized, the veteran center will leave the NBA after 14 seasons and return to Lithuania.
“After 14 years in the NBA, Jonas Valanciunas is closing in on a return to Europe and has committed to Zalgiris Kaunas, if he secures a release from his NBA contract with the Denver Nuggets, according to BasketNews sources. If everything goes as planned, the Lithuanian center is expected to sign a two-year deal with Zalgiris.”
However, Stein and Fischer reported that the idea of Valanciunas being destined to return to Europe isn’t that clear. “NBA interest in Valanciunas seems to be growing given the increasing need for proven size,” they wrote. “The notion that Valanciunas is destined to return to Europe is suddenly a murky topic again.”
Valanciunas played 65 games for the Nuggets last season, averaging 8.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists while shooting 58.2 percent from the field. Across 1,002 NBA games, he has averaged 12.8 points and 9.0 rebounds while shooting 56.1 percent.
For now, New York has already addressed its most pressing offseason need in signing Robinson’s replacement after Mitch left for the Celtics and Ariel Hukporti bolted out to Philly. Until Denver makes its decision, Valanciunas will remain an unresolved question, and by the time that happens, the Knicks might have found their second bench big man.
New York Yankees pitcher Rich Gossage warms up his mit before the game.
Across the last century of baseball, few players fit their era quite as well as Rich “Goose” Gossage. With a high-octane fastball and an intimidating, occasionally hirsute look on the mound, he rose to prominence in the game as the concept of a capable bullpen was undergoing a revolution, and in those days of firemen and multi-inning relief aces, Goose stood out as one of the best. Among the first big-ticket names in free agency as well, Gossage signed with the Yankees as they were coming off a championship in 1977 and then helped them win another in ’78.
Richard Michael “Goose” Gossage Born: July 5, 1951 (Colorado Springs, CO) Yankees Tenure: 1978-83, 1989
Before he was Goose, he was simply Rick to his family. Growing up as the fifth of six children, Gossage formed a close relationship with his father, Jack, who worked as a landscaper by trade and spent much of his free time prospecting for gold after catching a case of gold fever.
Gossage attended Wasson High School in Colorado Springs, where he starred in both baseball and basketball. During his junior year, tragedy struck when his father passed away. A firm believer in his son’s powerful right arm, Jack Gossage allegedly insisted from an early age that Rick would someday pitch in the major leagues. If true, it was a prediction that proved prophetic or, at the very least, one spoken into existence.
Gossage’s path to the majors began right out of high school when the White Sox selected him in the ninth round of the 1970 MLB Draft. He impressed enough that summer to finish the season in Class A. Gossage soaked up advice and formed close bonds with his coaches as he adjusted to professional baseball and dedicated himself to the game.
In 1971, at just 19 years old, Gossage found himself in the starting rotation at the Class A level. It was the season that put Gossage on the map as he was named the Topps Midwest League Player of the Year. He earned the honor by winning 18 games while posting a 1.83 ERA with 149 strikeouts across 187 innings.
Chicago was impressed enough to invite Gossage to spring training before the 1972 season. It was there that the legendary nickname was born when teammate Tom Bradley told Gossage he looked like a goose while peering in for the catcher’s signs. The nickname stuck. Before ever throwing a major league pitch, the legend of Goose Gossage was born, and it would become the name baseball fans knew him by for the rest of his life.
Gossage was so impressive with an upper-90s fastball that could touch triple digits that he broke camp with the big league club. In his rookie season, Gossage went 7-1 with a 4.28 ERA, but he was still learning to harness his electric arm. That lack of command resulted in him averaging nearly five walks per nine innings. In many ways, he looked like the real-life version of Rick “Wild Thing” Vaughn. Those command issues led to Gossage bouncing between the major and minor leagues over his first few professional seasons.
Then, in 1975, everything clicked. Coincidentally, it was also the same season Major League Baseball adopted the modern save rule, forever linking one of the game’s most intimidating relievers with the birth of the statistic that would help define his Hall of Fame career and later become one of his most frequent subjects of criticism.
At 23 years old, Gossage made his first All-Star team. He finished the season with a 1.84 ERA, 26 saves, and 141.2 innings pitched while striking out 151 batters. Following that breakout campaign, the White Sox hoped to maximize Gossage’s value by converting him into a starting pitcher for the 1976 season. In the rotation, Gossage made his second straight All-Star team despite pitching for a club that lost 97 games. Across 29 starts, he went 9-17 with a 3.94 ERA over 224.0 innings.
Prior to the start of the 1977 season, Gossage was traded alongside Terry Forster to the Pittsburgh Pirates for outfielder Richie Zisk and pitcher Silvio Martínez. Gossage never enjoyed the rhythm of being a starting pitcher and gladly welcomed a return to the bullpen.
The move paid immediate dividends. The 1977 season proved to be one of Gossage’s best, and it came during his walk year. He recorded 26 saves with a 1.62 ERA while striking out 151 batters in 133 innings. After the season, the Pirates were unable to reach an agreement with Gossage, making him the crown jewel of the free-agent market.
The Yankees were fresh off a World Series championship and already had the reigning Cy Young Award winner, Sparky Lyle, anchoring the bullpen. However, never one to sit on his wallet, George Steinbrenner wanted another splash, and he decided Gossage was the ticket. As teammate Graig Nettles said, Sparky “went from Cy Young to Sayonara.” The two sides agreed to a six-year contract on November 22, 1977.
After a rocky start in pinstripes, much like the rest of the club, Gossage and the Yankees turned the summer of 1978 into one for the ages. At their lowest point, the Yankees trailed the Red Sox by 14.5 games. New York completed one of baseball’s greatest comebacks, and it was Gossage who induced Carl Yastrzemski to pop up to Graig Nettles for the final out of the legendary one-game playoff, completing one of the greatest collapses and comebacks in baseball history.
The Yankees went on to claim the World Series title, the only World Series championship Gossage would win as a player. The following season was one Yankees fans would rather forget. Still reeling from the untimely death of Thurman Munson, the club also lost Gossage for nearly three months after he tore ligaments in his thumb during a clubhouse fight with teammate Cliff Johnson. The Yankees missed the postseason in what became the definition of a lost season.
The Yankees and a healthy Gossage rebounded in 1980. Gossage recorded a career-high 33 saves and was selected to his fifth All-Star team. Everything appeared to be going according to plan until George Brett sent the Yankees home with a home run off Gossage in the American League Championship Series.
That defeat proved to be a turning point in Gossage’s relationship with the organization. As a way to needle Steinbrenner, Gossage grew his now infamous Fu Manchu mustache in protest of the Yankees’ facial hair policy.
Gossage continued to be a force while sporting the new look. Over the final three years of his contract, he recorded 72 more saves and earned All-Star selections in both 1981 and 1982. Despite the success, the relationship with Steinbrenner continued to deteriorate. Gossage famously referred to the owner as “the fat man upstairs,” and he also maintained a strained relationship with manager Billy Martin.
New York tried to re-sign Gossage after his contract expired following the 1983 season, but the veteran decided his time in Yankees management had run its course and instead signed with the Padres. During his age-32 and age-33 seasons, Gossage made the All-Star team both years and helped San Diego reach the 1984 World Series, where the Padres fell to the Tigers.
Gossage spent four seasons on the West Coast before the Padres traded him, along with Ray Hayward, to the Chicago Cubs for Mike Brumley and Keith Moreland. He spent the 1988 season on the North Side, completing a tour of both sides of Chicago. Prior to the 1989 season, the 37-year-old Gossage signed with the San Francisco Giants. That August, he was placed on waivers, and the Yankees successfully claimed him.
His return gave Gossage seven seasons in pinstripes. During his final stint in New York, he appeared in 11 games and posted a 3.77 ERA.
It seemed to most that this would be it for Gossage, but he opted to pitch professionally in Japan in 1990 before returning to the majors for four more seasons. Those final years included one with the Rangers, two with the Athletics, and the final campaign of his career with the Mariners in 1994.
In 2008, Gossage received baseball’s highest honor when he was inducted into the National Baseball Hall of Fame. The voters made him wait eight ballots before finally enshrining him in Cooperstown.
Whether you hate his old-school, unfiltered vocabulary or love his tough-guy mentality, I’d bet he probably feels the same way about you. Like him or not, there is no denying Gossage remains one of the greatest relief pitchers ever to wear Yankee pinstripes and one of the original great closers in baseball history.
Happy birthday, Goose.
See more of the “Yankees Birthday of the Day” series here.
CINCINNATI, OHIO - JUNE 17: Nolan McLean #26 of the New York Mets reacts in the sixth inning against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on June 17, 2026 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Mets lineup
Francisco Lindor – SS Juan Soto – DH Bo Bichette – 3B Mark Vientos – 1B Carson Benge – RF Tyrone Taylor – LF A.J. Ewing – CF Luis Torrens – C Brett Baty – 2B
SP: Nolan McLean – RHP
Braves lineup
Drake Baldwin – C Ozzie Albies – 2B Matt Olson – 1B Michael Harris – CF Mauricio Dubon – LF Dominic Smith – DH Austin Riley – 3B Mike Yastrzemski – RF Jim Jarvis – SS
SP: Martin Perez – LHP
Broadcast info
First pitch: 12:30 PM ET TV: NBC, Peacock Radio: Audacy Mets Radio WHSQ 880AM, Audacy App, 92.3 HD2
HOOVER, AL - MAY 22: Outfielder Caden Sorrell #13 of the Texas A&M Aggies rounds first and holds up after hitting a single during the SEC Baseball Tournament Quarterfinals game between Texas A&M Aggies and Auburn Tigers on May 22, 2026, at Hoover Metropolitan Stadium in Hoover, Alabama.(Photo by David Buono/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) | Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
The MLB draft is creeping ever closer, taking place exactly one week from today. This is our latest version of what the prognosticators believe will be happening. You can find each of the earlier roundups by clicking on the different links before you see how much things have changed.
As a reminder, the Phillies will not be choosing their first player until #36 because of passing the second luxury tax threshold too many years in a row, which is a good thing.
Radel’s riding fastball now sits at 93-95 mph and touches 98 while holding velocity deep into games. He’s doing a better job of locating a mid-80s slider with depth that has become a solid offering, while his new upper-80s cutter elicits plenty of chases. He lands his 78-82 mph curveball for strikes and mixes in an upper-80s changeup with fade and sink against left-handers.
Though Radel doesn’t have a true plus offering and his pitch shapes are fairly ordinary, he succeeds because of his pitchability and competitiveness. Combining a high release point with good extension gives batters a different look and he pounds the strike zone. He’s a high-floor starter who could fit into the middle of a rotation.
Sorrell has better physical tools and athleticism than a handful of the hitters who are likely to go in front of him. His 23.9% career strikeout rate means he is probably going in the back of the first round or shortly after it, and the Phillies sound like one of the teams who could take a shot on his power/speed combo and center field profile.
The Phillies love prep athletic-testing standouts at premium positions and Brick fits that profile while being young for the class after reclassifying from 2027. He’s a catcher/shortstop tweener with 25-plus homer upside and feel to get to it in games.
There's value all across the board this afternoon, and I found three hitters I love to leave the yard.
I break down my favorite home run predictions and MLB player props below.
Best MLB home run props today
Player to hit a HR
Odds
Jac Caglianone
+377
Andrew Vaughn
+760
Carson Kelly
+860
💲Today's HR parlay
+37907
Home run pick: Jac Caglianone (+377)
A man who only seems to generate hard-hit balls is Kansas City Royals up and coming superstar Jac Caglianone. Over his last 60 plate appearances against right-handed pitching, he's produced a 68.6% hard-hit rate and a 23% barrel rate. Over his last 30 plate appearances, those numbers have climbed to a 73.68% hard-hit rate and a 26.32% barrel rate.
Caglianone draws Philadelphia Phillies veteran Aaron Nola, who owns a 6.23 ERA against the last 60 left-handed hitters he's faced. During that span, he has also allowed a 46% hard-hit rate, a 13.5% barrel rate, and a 70.2% elevation rate. Those lefties have generated a .583 xSLG and a .332 xwOBA.
The Royals slugger has excellent arsenal coverage against Nola's subpar pitch mix, making this a great spot for the young fella to take the veteran deep this afternoon.
The Brewers slugger has been tearing up left-handers all season. Over his last 60 plate appearances against southpaws, he owns a .408 batting average, .714 slugging percentage, and 1.231 OPS, while generating a 48.8% hard-hit rate.
On the other side, Rodríguez has been torched by right-handed hitters. On the road against them, he is allowing a staggering 77.3% elevation rate and nearly a 40% hard-hit rate. Across the last 90 batted balls he has allowed to righties, they own a .599 xSLG and .356 xwOBA.
We are offered some pretty brutal home run prices regularly, but if +760 does not get your mouth watering against a pitcher allowing the ball to be elevated nearly 80% of the time, while the hitter you are backing is consistently making loud contact, this market is probably not for you.
Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Peacock
Home run pick: Carson Kelly (+860)
Yet another price I could not ignore this afternoon, Chicago Cubs catcher Carson Kelly to go bye-bye at nearly 9/1. Kelly carries an elite Batters-Box rating this evening, covering 80% of Cardinals left-hander Matthew Liberatore's below-average pitch mix.
Kelly has crushed left-handed pitching this season while consistently making hard contact. Over his last 60 plate appearances against southpaws, he owns a .364 batting average, .618 slugging percentage, and 1.045 OPS, while generating a 46% hard-hit rate and 10.6% barrel rate.
Liberatore has struggled against right-handed hitters all season. Away from home, he has allowed them to elevate the ball 67.1% of the time while giving up a 43.3% hard-hit rate. Over the last 60 right-handed batters he has faced, opponents are elevating the ball 72.7% of the time, producing a 41% hard-hit rate and a massive 20.4% barrel rate.
They also own an .855 expected slugging percentage and .433 expected wOBA during that stretch. Sure, Kelly only has four nukes on the season, but with the amount of hard contact he has generated, he probably should have more.
Time: 2:30 p.m. ET
Where to watch: Peacock
Colby Marchio's 2026 Transparency Record
HR picks: 69-251, +8.15 units
Today’s HR parlay
Jac Caglianone
Bet Now +37907
Andrew Vaughn
Carson Kelly
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 19: Angel Chivilli #57 of the New York Yankees pitches during the game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium on April 19, 2026 in New York, New York. (Photo by New York Yankees/Getty Images) | Getty Images
The Yankees needed an emergency starter on Saturday in the wake of Carlos Rodón’s return to the IL—Brendan Beck was the man tapped to do it, and he struggled through 3.2 innings in an eventual 11-4 loss to the Twins. On Sunday morning, the Yankees made the expected move, optioning Beck back to Triple-A Scranton Wilkes-Barre. Angel Chivilli has been recalled in a corresponding swap as the Yankees search for some extra bullpen help.
Chivilli, who debuted with the Rockies at just 21 years old in 2024, made a brief cameo with the Yankees this April, appearing in two games. Chivilli hit the 15-day IL on April 25th with right shoulder discomfort, returning on June 11th and remaining in Scranton. He has pitched to a 1.08 ERA across 12 appearances with the RailRiders this season.
It’s unlikely too many will remember this minor transaction from the offseason, but Chivilli was traded last winter for first baseman T.J. Rumfield, who has enjoyed a breakout rookie campaign in Colorado. The Yankees would certainly like the young right-hander to eventually emerge as a useful option for a bullpen—they’re big fans of his stuff, particularly his changeup, which has flashed elite swing-and-miss potential. But as far as the here-and-now, he’s probably going to be deployed in low-leverage spots—as he did when he popped up earlier in the season.
It doesn’t always feel like it, but Yankees relievers have pitched to a 3.15 ERA this season, which ranks second in MLB behind the Braves. In terms of fWAR, the core grades out seventh in the league. Some individual relievers have struggled, however—Camilo Doval has a 4.81 ERA on the season, and allowed four runs in the eighth inning on Saturday.
Prior to today’s game, the Yankees recalled RHP Angel Chivilli (#57) from Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
Jul 2, 2026; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves shortstop Jim Jarvis (74) turns a double play over St. Louis Cardinals shortstop Masyn Winn (0) in the seventh inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images | Brett Davis-Imagn Images
With a right-handed starter on the mound for the New York Mets in Sunday’s 12:30 p.m. ET game, the Atlanta Braves unsurprisingly are pivoting back to a righty-focused batting order.
Drake Baldwin is back in the leadoff spot after Mauricio Dubón led off Saturday night, dropping Dubón into the five-hole. Additionally, Dominic Smith gets the start at designated hitter (batting sixth) and Jim Jarvis is back at shortstop and hitting ninth against Mets starter Nolan McLean (5-5, 3.78 ERA).
Over his two career starts against the Braves, Atlanta’s current hitters are a combined 4-for-23 (.174) against McLean. No one has more than one hit and all of the hits are singles, along with a combined eight strikeouts and three walks.
Smith and Mike Yastrzemski have the lone two RBIs for Braves hitters off McLean.
The Mets are largely keeping the same lineup from Saturday, with Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto in the top two spots, albeit with Soto DHing this time. Luis Torrens replaces Francisco Alvarez behind the plate, and AJ Ewing is in center field, replacing Eric Wagaman, who DHed on Saturday.
Current Mets hitters are a combined 21-for-64 (.328) against Braves starter Martín Pérez (6-5, 3.27). The players you would probably expect are leading that charge. Bo Bichette is 5-for-10 with two doubles, Francisco Lindor is 8-for-19 (.421) with a double, five walks and one strikeout and Juan Soto is 4-for-10 with the only Mets homer off Pérez and three of the four RBIs.
While the Mets have had some success against Pérez, he’s 5-0 with a 2.94 ERA in 11 career appearances (seven starts) against the franchise.
Let’s see if he can keep that rolling and the Braves can inch closer to a Mets mop on a sweltering Sunday afternoon in Atlanta.
The Collingwood defender’s very being screams imminent confrontation but if the Pies’ opponents show any holes he and his teammates will exploit it
At this time of year there’s usually a story along the lines of “is this the most important game in the history of the Gold Coast Suns?” It’s often trotted out for Collingwood’s annual mid-winter trip, probably because it’s one of the few times they get a half decent crowd. Gold Coast’s problem, among many, is that this Collingwood side treats every game as a matter of grave importance. The Suns are more inclined to pick and choose.
There’s no real enigma to the 2026 version of the Pies. Their list is lopsided. They have significant limitations on every line. They have a few plodders up front and they’re patching holes down back. But their commitment is unconditional. They show the opposition exactly where they stand. If their opponent has any holes, any flakiness, any lulls, the Pies will exploit it. Few teams get more from less.
PHOENIX, AZ - APRIL 17: A general view of Chase Field during the postgame fireworks show after the game between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on Friday, April 17, 2026 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Chris Coduto/MLB Photos via Getty Images) | MLB Photos via Getty Images
Recaps
[AZ Central] Del Castillo’s blast, Kelly’s new look ignite Diamondbacks in victory – “I wanted to come out aggressive today and just kind of let it fly,” Kelly said. “Just kind of let the chips fall where they may. Not try to be too fine or too precise. “Just be aggressive and get back to competing.” That manifested itself in a repertoire that was up across the board; each of Kelly’s six pitch types came in above their season averages in velocity, three of which registered more than 1.5 mph hotter than usual. “What I was doing wasn’t working and what I was doing was the opposite of competing and being aggressive and being on the attack,” Kelly said. “Clearly, it wasn’t working, and I just got to the point of, in my mind, it couldn’t get any worse.”
[Arizona Sports] Did Merrill Kelly find some answers in Diamondbacks’ Fourth of July win over Brewers? – He drew 13 whiffs after inducing only four in his last start in Tampa Bay. He struck out six batters, tying a season high, several of which with runners in scoring position to keep the scoring down. “I feel like the league is adjusting to what I try to do, and I need to adjust back,” Kelly said. “I think I haven’t really done a very good job of doing that this year. And I think that just comes with establishing the fastball. I think everything, just like it has for however long baseball’s been around, they pitch off the fastball and everything else plays off the fastball. So going into today, I wanted to make that an emphasis and be on the attack and try to find myself in better counts than I have up to this point.”
[Dbacks.com] Carroll, Rodriguez to rep D-backs at All-Star Game – “It means a lot to me, because I’ve been in this game for quite a long time, and to have the opportunity to go to an All-Star Game for the first time is just something amazing,” Rodriguez said… [He] credited the Arizona defense behind him for his success this year. “That’s No. 1 factor for sure, because they always play really good behind me,” Rodriguez said. “And second has been that I’ve been great to locate my pitches where I want, have a really good relationship with the catchers that catch me, have a really good plan, and we just go out there and execute it.” Both players had made plans for the All-Star break, with Carroll having some pre-wedding festivities of a friend he was going to attend, while Rodriguez and his wife were going to spend the few days off in the Southern California area.“I think he’ll understand,” Carroll said with a smile.
[Burn City Sports] Was trading Jake McCarthy a massive mistake by the Diamondbacks? – When the lineup isn’t getting production from its biggest names, the lack of depth becomes obvious. That makes McCarthy’s emergence elsewhere even more difficult to ignore. His historic performance for Colorado wasn’t just a career night. It was a reminder of the player Arizona developed but ultimately decided it could live without. Two home runs, six RBI, a stolen base, and relentless pressure on opposing pitchers showcased the complete offensive package the Diamondbacks once believed could be part of their future. The frustrating part for Arizona fans isn’t simply that McCarthy is producing. It’s how he’s producing.
[AZ Central] In a superstar year, Luis Gonzalez embodied 2001 champion Diamondbacks – “Spring training went well, I felt comfortable, and I got off to a great start in the opening series. You get out of the gates good, you start swinging the bat well, your confidence grows. That’s what happened to me. It seemed like every series I felt more confidence going out there and I was starting to feel like the guys were relying on me, counting on me, and I loved that part of being one of the leaders of a ballclub.” Gonzalez became — and remains — the Diamondbacks’ ultimate ambassador, making himself accessible to fans wherever he goes and always greeting them with a warm smile and genuine inclusion. His easy-going, good-guy aura has always made folks feel special, and he has never lost that charm because it’s simply him.He’s not too good to be true; that’s just who he is.
And, elsewhere…
[Milwaukee Journey-Sentinel] Brandon Woodruff leaves start early again with concerning ‘dead arm’ feeling – Just as he did the last time he faced the Arizona Diamondbacks, Milwaukee Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff departed his start early with an apparent injury July 4 at Chase Field. Woodruff came out for the fourth inning with a 85.8 mph fastball and never got above 87.3 in a strikeout to Gabriel Moreno. After that, seven of his final eight pitches before being removed were changeups, including four straight between 73 and 75 mph – more than 7 mph below his season average. An injured list stint is all but a guarantee for Woodruff now the second time around with the ailment.”It’s kind of the same thing he had before,” Murphy said. “It’s in the same area, same spot. That cyst develops. He’s got that tear in the labrum there and that cyst develops. It flares up. It’s probably going to be an IL.”
[ESPN] 2026 MLB All-Star Game rosters: Snubs, other takeaways – At least the NL added all those starting pitchers and no extra relievers beyond the three mandatory voted in by the players — Mason Miller, Jhoan Duran and Raisel Iglesias. If there’s one thing we don’t need, it’s more relievers in an All-Star Game. Oh, don’t worry, we’ll get to the AL. Who should start the game on the mound? Misiorowski has arguably been the best story of the first half, and that’s kind of the point of the All-Star Game. On the other hand, the game is in Philly and Sanchez leads in bWAR and is tied in fWAR. Considering the cost of an All-Star ticket, let’s give the ball to Sanchez and make the home fans happy.
[MLB] Trout becomes 3rd AL player elected to start 11 All-Star Games – Trout leads all active players in All-Star Game selections, but hadn’t been named one since 2023 after suffering a torn meniscus in his knee that plagued him in ‘24 and ‘25. It’s also extra special for Trout because the Midsummer Classic is being held at Citizens Bank Park, which is located just 40 miles from his hometown of Millville, N.J. When manager Kurt Suzuki announced in front of the team that Trout had been elected as an All-Star, the Angels had Trout’s wife, Jessica, and his two sons, Beckham and Jordy, on FaceTime, which made Trout emotional. Trout also fought back tears when speaking to reporters about what it meant to him. “It was definitely on my list when it came out, so it’s pretty cool,” Trout said. “Just the kids, friends, family. It just means a lot.”
And since Mel Brooks recently turned 100 years old…
Young Frankenstein (1974)
Rating: B+
Dir: Mel Brooks.
Star: Gene Wilder, Marty Feldman, Peter Boyle, Teri Garr.
While Wilder is front and centre, the supporting cast are uniformly excellent. Feldman is a real standout, and it makes you wonder what he might have done, save his untimely early death. But the women – not just Garr and her knockers, Madeline Kahn and Cloris Leachman as well – are almost as impeccable. Though, for whatever reason, I think I laughed hardest at Inspector Kemp, with his false arm of 1,001 uses. This is the second time Kenneth Mars has stolen the show in a Brooks movie, after his turn as Nazi playwright Franz Liebkind in The Producers. It’s all almost entirely glorious, and will certainly ensure you won’t be able to watch the classics in quite the same way again. Or sing Putting On The Ritz either.
AMARILLO, TX - AUGUST 15: Trey Dombroski #26 of the Corpus Christi Hooks pitches during the game against the Amarillo Sod Poodles at Hodgetown Stadium on August 15, 2025 in Amarillo, Texas. (Photo by John E. Moore III/Getty Images) | John E. Moore III/Getty Images
Another day of minor league baseball is in the books. See the results below. Check out the previous day’s recap here.
AAA: Sugar Land Space Cowboys (40-45) won 7-5 (BOX SCORE)
Sugar Land got on the board in the first inning scoring 4 runs on a Biggio solo home run and Whitcomb 3 run home run. They got another run in the third on a Spence sac fly and 2 more in the 4th inning on a wild pitch and groundout. Gordon got the start and went 5 innings allowing 5 runs, though just 2 earned. The game was called after 6 innings as Sugar Land won 7-5.
Colton Gordon, LHP: 5.0 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 2 ER, 0 BB, 5 K (WIN)
AA: Corpus Christi Hooks (37-43) won 3-2 (BOX SCORE)
Dombroski started for the Hooks and pitched well allowing 2 runs, 1 earned over 6 innings of work. The Hooks tied the game in the 4th inning on a Whitaker solo HR and Rosario RBI double. In the 5th, Bush gave the Hooks the lead with a solo home run. The pen pitched well tossing 3 scoreless innings as they closed out the 3-2 win.
A+: Asheville Tourists (26-53) lost 4-3 (BOX SCORE)
The Asheville offense got on the board in the first inning on a Call RBI single. They got another run in the 2nd inning on a Brown solo home run. DeVos got the start for Asheville and allowed 2 runs over 5.2 innings. Asheville got a run in the 6th on a Moss sac fly to take the lead. The bullpen allowed a couple runs though and the offense was unable to respond as Asheville fell 4-3.
Note: Moss is hitting .398 for Asheville this season.
A: Fayetteville Woodpeckers (40-39) lost 4-2 (BOX SCORE)
The Woodpeckers got on the board in the first inning on a Luciano RBI single. Weber started for the Woodpeckers and allowed one unearned run over 3.1 innings. The offense got another run in the 3rd inning on a Luciano solo home run. Carrera pitched in relief allowing 3 runs over 4 innings. The Woodpeckers’ offense was quiet the rest of the way as they fell 4-2.
I’m going to start here again, there are still only five teams with more wins than the Cubs through July 4. On a pace to win 89 games. Go math. The Cubs played a game and lost. That lowered their overall win pace by an equivalent number. We’re getting to the point in the season where that pace doesn’t move a lot day to day and it takes streaks to move the number one way or the other.
Pete Crow-Armstrong was named an All-Star Saturday night. The Cubs are the fifth best team to date in the NL and they got a single player. Not that slots are apportioned relative to team strength, you could be a very bad team and have two superstars who make the team. Or a very good team that doesn’t get multiple players.
Ben Brown was the only other Cub who I felt flashed star level performance for any significant length of time. I didn’t think he’d done enough and then he got hurt. So this felt correct. I didn’t look over the rest of the roster or any of the usual noise out there that so and so didn’t belong there and so and so got snubbed. There are more good players than All-Star spots and typically the every team should be represented ruled leads to one or two guys who maybe otherwise wouldn’t be there. The most I’ve ever done is feel a guy was good enough to deserve consideration. I’d always rather they just got the days off. But I recognize it’s cool for the players to get to go at least once or twice in a career.
On the field in Chicago Saturday night, there wasn’t a lot of positive going on. Hat tip to Cubs pitchers, three runs over nine is a fine performance. They ended up using five pitchers to do it. But they didn’t really use many pitchers Friday in the lopsided loss, so not a huge deal. They were able to keep it close in case the offense ever came to life. This is exactly how you want to use your pen to try to steal a game. It just wasn’t to be on this day.
The Cub offense was limited to five singles, four walks and a hit batter. 10 baserunners, no slug. That’s a tough way to mount any offense. To make matters worse, Pete Crow-Armstrong was on four times with a single, two walks and a hit by pitch. That means the whole rest of the team reached base six times over nine innings. This is the same old story, the Cubs are one superstar player and a bunch of average to good players.
I don’t follow other teams with any high level awareness. So I don’t know how this compares to anyone else. The Cubs don’t have much chance against a team that is executing on either or both sides of the plate. On Friday, the Cardinals offense was locked in and on Saturday their pitchers shut the Cub offense down. The Cubs didn’t mount any real resistance either day. Not great. Not a lot of fun. Breathing some life into a Cardinals team that has been reeling a bit over the last few weeks. They certainly needed these games more and they’ve gotten them.
Three Stars:
Pete Crow-Armstrong. Single, two walks, hit by pitch. He did get caught stealing once.
Michael Conforto had a pair of singles and a walk. Two players were seven of the 10 runners.
Caleb Thielbar retired all four batters he faced, striking out one.
Game 89, July 4: Cardinals 3, Cubs 0 (49-40)
Reminder: Heroes and Goats are determined by WPA scores and are in no way subjective.
THREE HEROES:
Superhero: Pete Crow-Armstrong (.097). 1-1, 2 BB, HBP, CS
WPA Notes: Michael Busch (-.108) was just behind Dansby Swanson for the last spot here.
WPA Play of the Game: This whole exercise never feels quite as useless as when the play of the game is the very first play of the game. JJ Wetherholt started the game with a homer and that held up as the top play. (.100)
Cubs Play of the Game: Shōta Imanaga faced Jordan Walker with runners on first and second with no outs in the third, the Cubs down two. He got a double play ball for the first two outs. (.076)
Cubs Player of the Game:
Game 88 Winner: Other was the winner with 46 percent of the vote and the suggestions were Alex Bregman or none of the above. It was definitely that kind of game.
Rizzo Award Standings: (Top 5/Bottom 5)
The award is named for Anthony Rizzo, who finished first in this category three of the first four years it was in existence and four times overall. He also recorded the highest season total ever at +65.5. The point scale is three points for a Superhero down to negative three points for a Billy Goat.
Pete Crow-Armstrong +21
Carson Kelly +14.5
Ben Brown +13.5
Trent Thornton +12.5
Michael Busch/Michael Conforto +12
Edward Cabrera -9.5
Phil Maton/Dansby Swanson -10
Seiya Suzuki -12.5
Caleb Thielbar -13
Up Next: Game three of the weekend series Sunday afternoon. Javier Assad (6-1, 4.53) gets another start. Last time out he was used as a reliever after he’d had three straight starts. The Padres scored four runs against him in 2.2 innings of work, but the Cubs had a good sized lead when he came in. I’m not sure Assad has a ton of experience working in that situation where you have a big lead and you are just trying to finish the string. We all know the old don’t walk anyone and go after hitters, but that’s not really the Javy style.
Lefty Matthew Liberatore (4-5, 5.33) starts for the Cardinals. He’s coming off of a good start, against the Braves of all teams. He allowed just one run in five innings of work. Back on May 31, the Cubs were maybe his best start of the year. He held them scoreless over 5.1 innings, allowing three hits and one walk.
Javy’s whole style reads as “find a way.” He seems to always work into and out of trouble. This whole weekend series with the Cardinals feels like that for the team as a whole. Try to get out of the trouble, limit damage. That hasn’t worked for two days. Maybe, hopefully, the third time will be the charm.
The Toronto Blue Jays head into the series finale in a get-right spot with Trey Yesavage on the mound against the Seattle Mariners and Emerson Hancock. Toronto’s bats are cold, yet Andrés Giménez is bucking the trend, and he headlines my card on Sunday.
Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Mariners predictions and MLB picks for this Sunday, July 5 matchup.
Blue Jays vs Mariners predictions
Blue Jays vs Mariners best bet: Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 total bases (-135)
Seattle Mariners starter Emerson Hancock is a tricky customer, equally as stingy against righties (.634 opponent OPS) as lefties (.647), but Andrés Giménez is the guy I trust to beat him.
The Toronto Blue Jays shortstop had a big Friday, ripping a key RBI double, and like most of the lineup, he went quiet in Saturday’s blowout loss. I’m betting on the bounceback.
Giménez is Toronto’s hottest hitter over the last seven days, with a .750 OPS and .417 slugging in that stretch. I’d play this until -145 today, which is where I think the value dries up.
If you can grab the current number, lay it with confidence, because Giménez is Toronto’s best bet to spark the offense.
COVERS INTEL: Andrés Giménez owns a .725 OPS in 27 career games against the Mariners, comfortably above his .694 career mark, and he’s shown he can produce in this ballpark with clutch homers here in last year’s ALCS.
Blue Jays vs Mariners same-game parlay (SGP)
For the same-game parlay, I’m chasing +500 value again. I’ll start with the Blue Jays moneyline at +110. Saturday was rough, but that’s fair value with Trey Yesavage on the mound, especially with Seattle missing Julio Rodríguez.
Speaking of Yesavage, I like his Over 5.5 strikeouts. He didn’t clear the number last time against the Mets, but he flashed the best command I’ve seen from him all year and worked deep.
Finally, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will go Over 1.5 total bases. He profiles well against Emerson Hancock, and even through his struggles, I like his chances to stack a couple of singles, a double, or more.
Blue Jays vs Mariners SGP
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
Blue Jays moneyline
Trey Yesavage Over 5.5 strikeouts
img loading="lazy" width="100%" height="null" src="https://img.covers.com/editorial/2026/jaysmlcbp.jpg" alt="Canada’s best price for Jays"
Get the best Jays ML odds at BET99 — every game.
Blue Jays vs Mariners home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+675)
Blue Jays fans know Vladdy isn’t at his best right now, fighting through a slump and a sore back, but on Sunday, the first baseman is Toronto’s best shot to go deep, even if it’s been a statistical long shot all year.
Emerson Hancock lives off a strong, well-located fastball, and Guerrero has been essentially a pure fastball hitter this season, batting .317 against the heater with a .416 slugging mark.
Three of Guerrero’s four homers have come on the fastball, and all four have come on the road, right where he is today. I’d play this until +550 and keep it to a quarter unit.
2026 Transparency record
Best bets: 3-1, +1.99 units
SGPs: 1-3, +0.19 units
HR picks: 0-4, -1.00 units
Blue Jays vs Mariners odds
Moneyline: Toronto +110 | Seattle -130
Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-190) | Seattle -1.5 (+160)
Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-120)
Blue Jays vs Mariners trend
Trey Yesavage owns a 2.22 ERA on the road this season, giving the Blue Jays a live shot as underdogs in Seattle. Find more MLB betting trends for Mariners vs. Blue Jays.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Mariners and game info
Location
T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA
Date
Sunday, 7-5-2026
First pitch
5:00 p.m. ET
TV
Sportsnet
Mariners starting pitcher
Emerson Hancock (5-4, 3.47 ERA)
Blue Jays starting pitcher
Trey Yesavage (4-3, 3.34 ERA)
Blue Jays vs Mariners latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Mariners weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change. Not intended for use in MA. Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
COVERS INTEL: Ranger Suarez ranks in the 96th percentile in Pitcher Run Value, including boasting an average exit velocity that sits in the 90th percentile.
Jac Caglianone
Andrew Vaughn
Carson Kelly
